Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 160915
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
514 AM EDT SUN JUL 16 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 16/1200 UTC THRU JUL 19/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


...SOUTHERN / SOUTHEASTERN U.S...

SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE COASTAL CAROLINAS SIT IN A FAVORABLE
POSITION FOR ENHANCED COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN. EASTERN U.S. TROUGHING WILL UNDERGO SLIGHT
AMPLIFICATION TODAY WITH THE MEAN TROUGH AXIS BACK ACROSS WESTERN
GEORGIA AND ALABAMA. THIS PLACES THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC COAST
BENEATH SLIGHTLY DIFLUENT UPPER FLOW WHICH WILL AIDE THUNDERSTORM
GROWTH...INTENSITY...AND LONGEVITY...AS STORMS INITATE NEAR THE
COASTAL CONVERGENCE ZONE / SEA BREEZE AND ALSO WITHIN THE MOIST
AND STRONGLY HEATED ENVIRONMENT FARTHER INLAND TOWARD A SLOWLY
SAGGING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. IN THE ABSENCE OF A WELL DEFINED UPPER
SHORTWAVE...AND WITH MODEST DEEP LAYER WIND SPEEDS AND SHEAR...IT
WILL BE DIFFICULT TO ANTICIPATE EXACTLY WHERE CONVECTION WILL
BECOME MORE ORGANIZED. THE MODELS...HOWEVER...ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT...THE ONLY EXCEPTION BEING THE GFS WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE
SYSTEMATIC PROBLEMS UNDER CERTAIN REGIMES BY PLACING QPF OFFSHORE
WHEN THE OVERWHELMING MAJORITY OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE PLACES IT
JUST ONSHORE. THE GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS OVERLAPS NICELY WITH THE
HI-RES MODELS...AND WPC PREFERRED THE NSSL WRF...NCEP
WRF-NMMB...AND CANADIAN GEM REGIONAL FOR THE DETAILS. THE RESULT
WAS A SPATIAL LAYOUT SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...AND A
SLIGHT INCREASE TO AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS...EXPECTING A WET DAY
ACROSS SOUTHERN GA TOWARD SVANNAH AND CHARLESTON...AND CONTINUING
UP THE COAST INTO THE OUTER BANKS. WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER AROUND
2 INCHES...THERE WILL BE VERY HEAVY RAIN RATES IN THE STRONGEST
CELLS...WITH POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED 4-PLUS INCH AMOUNTS WHEREVER
CELL MERGERS OR TRAINING OCCURS.

BACK WEST...WPC WAS FAIRLY GENEROUS WITH THE AREAL COVERAGE OF
HYDROLOGICALLY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION AT LEAST A QUARTER INCH
OR MORE WITHIN A ZONE OF FAVORABLE MID LEVEL MOISTURE...WHICH WILL
ENHANCE RAINFALL EFFICIENCY FROM SOUTHERN ALABAMA TOWARD THE UPPER
TEXAS COAST. HI-RES MODELS ARE INDICATIVE OF VERY HEAVY RAIN
ASSOCIATED WITH A MID LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR COASTAL
TEXAS...ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIEST MAY TEND TO OCCUR JUST OFFSHORE.


...SOUTHWEST U.S. AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

THE PAST FEW DAYS HAVE BEEN ACTIVE FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM
SOUTHWARD...AND AS MOISTURE DEPTH CONTINUES TO CREEP WEST THROUGH
THE DESERTS WE SAW AN ENVIRONMENT ON SATURDAY THAT SUPPORTED
CONVECTION SURVIVING DOWN INTO THE VALLEYS AND DESERT AREAS OF
SOUTHERN ARIZONA. SUNDAY SHOULD BE SIMILAR AS STEERING FLOW
REMAINS NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST...WITH THE RIDGE POSITION OVER THE
NV/UT BORDER. THE MODELS TEND NOT TO DO A GREAT JOB OF FOLLOWING
THE CONVECTION DOWN INTO THE LOWER TERRAIN...SO WE USED A BIT OF
EXTRAPOLATION AND THE NAM CAPE FIELD TO PUSH QPF AS FAR WEST AS WE
COULD DO REASONABLY...ALTHOUGH EFFICIENCY AND AREAL AVERAGE
AMOUNTS WILL DROP OFF WITH WESTWARD AND SOUTHWARD EXTENT. THE
SETUP IS NOT OVERLY FAVORABLE FOR CELL TRAINING...BUT THERE IS
USUALLY SOME SLOW MOVEMENT IN THE EARLY STAGES BEFORE A LARGER
COLD POOL IS BUILT. ONE OF THE CONCERNS TODAY...IS THAT ALL OF THE
HEAVY RAIN PARAMETERS CONTINUE TO INCREASE JUST AHEAD OF AN
EASTERLY WAVE COMING THROUGH MEXICO. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
SPIKE AT 2.0 TO 2.5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE AVERAGE OVER CENTRAL
TO SOUTHERN ARIZONA...AND THE HI-RES MODELS PREDICT AFTERNOON
DEWPOINTS HOLDING UP IN THE 60S...WITH LARGE CAPE VALUES.
THUS...EVEN WITHOUT MUCH TRAINING THE SHORT TERM HEAVY RAIN RATES
MAY BE ON THE EXCEPTIONAL SIDE ON LOCAL SCALES...CAUSING AN
INCREASE TO THE NUMBER OF INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING COMPARED TO
 RECENT DAYS.

MEANWHILE THE SMALL VORTICITY MAXIMUM OVER COLORADO...EMBEDDED IN
MEAN RIDGING...HAD BECOME MORE PRODUCTIVE WITH LARGER SCALE
CONVECTION ON SATURDAY. STILL...ITS RADIUS OF INFLUENCE IS FAIRLY
SMALL...WITH WEAK WIND FIELDS SURROUNDING IT. THE FEATURE WILL
OPEN UP A BIT AND BECOME STRETCHED NORTH TO SOUTH WHILE ALSO
BEGINNING TO LIFT NORTHWARD LATE SUNDAY...UNDER THE ENCOURAGEMENT
OF NORTHERN STREAM FLOW PICKING UP ACROSS THE ROCKIES. THIS SETS
UP AN AXIS OF MODERATE AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE KS/CO
BORDER AND EXTENDING BACK INTO NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. IN A SOMEWHAT
UNRELATED FASHION...A SOUTHWARD EXTENSION OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
WAS DRIFTING ONTO THE HIGH PLAINS WITHIN EASTERLY FLOW...AND WILL
SUPPORT SCATTERED DOWNPOURS DOWN THROUGH WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST
TEXAS. WPC QPF FAVORED A MIX OF CONTINUITY / 00Z WRF-NMM...AND OUR
IN-HOUSE ENSEMBLE.


...NORTHERN TIER...

WAVES TOPPING THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE WILL SUPPORT PRECIPITATION IN
THE NORTHERN ROCKEIS/PLAINS AND...SEPARATELY...DOWNSTREAM INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY AND NORTHEAST. THE ENVIRONMENT FAVORS PROGRESSIVE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL HOLD AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS DOWN BELOW
THREE QUARTERS INCH IN MOST CASES...THOUGH THE TYPICAL HEAVIER
RAIN WILL OCCUR IN SPOTS. SIMILAR TO THE REST OF THE NATION...WPC
CONTINUITY LOOKED GOOD HERE...AND WE TRENDED TOWARD THE WRF-NMM
AND OUR LATEST IN-HOUSE ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE.


...DAY 2 (12Z MON-12Z TUE)...

SOUTHWEST

OPTED TO UPGRADE PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AZ TO A SLIGHT RISK. SOME
SIGNS POINT TOWARDS MONDAY BEING A BIT MORE ACTIVE OF A MONSOON
DAY. PWAT VALUES WILL REMAIN ANOMALOUS...GENERALLY 2-3 SD ABOVE
AVERAGE. A 700MB LOW WILL SLOWLY MOVE WEST ALONG THE AZ/MEXICO
BORDER THROUGH THE DAY...WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING
NORTH INTO AZ. ENHANCED CONVERGENCE AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE MAY BE ENOUGH TO HELP FOCUS
CONVECTION A BIT MORE THAN PREVIOUS DAYS. IN GENERAL MODEL QPF
OUTPUT ALSO SHOWS AN INCREASE OVER PREVIOUS DAYS. UNCERTAINTY
REVOLVES AROUND THE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION...AND WHETHER
CONVECTION ON SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT LEAVES ENOUGH REMNANT CLOUD
COVER TO LIMIT INSTABILITY. IF THIS WOULD OCCUR THEN THE THREAT
WOULD NOT END UP AS HIGH AS FORECAST. HOWEVER ENOUGH OF A SIGNAL
IN THE SETUP AND MODEL QPF FIELDS TO WARRANT THE SLIGHT RISK FOR
NOW. SURROUNDED THIS SLIGHT RISK WITH A BROADER MARGINAL AREA.

NEBRASKA

A COMPACT VORT IS LOCATED OVER EASTERN CO AS OF 12Z SUNDAY. THIS
ENERGY WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO MONDAY.
QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD WITH HOW CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE THIS FEATURE
WILL BE...AND THUS CONFIDENCE IS PRETTY LOW ON THE EVOLUTION OF
CONVECTION DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD. ANY CONVECTION THAT DOES FORM
WILL BE SLOW MOVING...WITH SOME TRAINING LIKELY. PWAT VALUES WILL
BE HIGH ENOUGH TO SUPPORT LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS AS WELL. SEVERAL OF
THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE ARE QUITE ROBUST WITH QPF AMOUNTS OVER
CENTRAL NE ON MONDAY...WITH SOME OF THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE LESS
AGGRESSIVE. THIS WILL DEPEND ON HOW WELL DEFINED THE VORT/MCV ENDS
UP AS IT TRACKS EAST AND THE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION PRESENT.
NOT READY TO COMPLETELY BUY INTO THE TOTALS SUGGESTED BY SOME OF
THE HIGH RES SOLUTIONS...HOWEVER DO THINK THAT ACTIVITY WILL
PROBABLY BE A BIT MORE CONCENTRATED THAN SOME OF THE GLOBAL MODELS
SHOW. CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW FOR A SLIGHT RISK AT THIS TIME...AND
WILL THUS INSTEAD CARRY A MARGINAL RISK OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL NE.
WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR...AS IF THE MCV REMAINS WELL
DEFINED WE COULD END UP WITH A MORE CONCENTRATED FLASH FLOOD RISK
AND NEED TO UPGRADE ON FUTURE SHIFTS.

NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY

NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY WILL HELP SUPPRESS THE RIDGE AND PUSH A
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT. ANTICIPATE THAT WE WILL SEE CONVECTION BREAK
OUT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND PROGRESS SOUTHEAST WITH
TIME...ALTHOUGH EXACT CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION IS UNCERTAIN. SOME
SIGNS THAT WE COULD SEE AN INITIAL CONVECTIVE LINE MOVE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH ADDITIONAL ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT FURTHER WEST OVERNIGHT AS ADDITIONAL ENERGY REINFORCES
THE FRONT. THIS RESULTS IN A DECENT AMOUNT OF SPREAD WITH MODEL
QPF. THE MAJORITY OF THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE ARE MORE AGGRESSIVE
WITH THE INITIAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...RESULTING IN A QPF AXIS
FURTHER SOUTHEAST THAN THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE. GIVEN
UNCERTAINTY...STUCK PRETTY CLOSE TO CONTINUITY...WHICH IS CLOSER
TO THE FURTHER EAST HIGH RES GUIDANCE. WILL CARRY A MARGINAL RISK
FROM NORTHEAST SD INTO CENTRAL/NORTHERN MN AND NORTHERN WI.
CONVECTION SHOULD GENERALLY BE PROGRESSIVE...BUT HIGH PWAT AIR AND
SOME POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS WARRANTS THE MARGINAL RISK.

NORTHEAST

A SLOW MOVING TROUGH/FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL FROM PA INTO NY/VT THROUGH MONDAY. ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND
SHEAR ALONG THE SLOW MOVING FRONT TO SUPPORT MULTI CELL AND LINE
SEGMENTS. SOME TRAINING OF THIS ACTIVITY IS LIKELY GIVEN THE SLOW
SYSTEM MOVEMENT. MAIN LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE MARGINAL PWAT
VALUES...BUT SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AND BRIEF
TRAINING SHOULD OVERCOME THIS AND ALLOW FOR LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS.
SHIFTED THE AXIS A BIT NORTHEAST FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST BASED
ON RECENT TRENDS IN THE GFS/ECMWF AND OUTPUT FROM THE HRW ARW AND
HRRR V3. THE 0Z SUITE OF HIGH RES GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF ROBUST CONVECTION...WITH LOCALIZED 1-3"
LIKELY. HAVE THUS OPTED TO UPGRADE PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEAST
PA...EASTERN NY AND VT TO A SLIGHT RISK.

SOUTHEAST

A MOISTURE AXIS WILL REMAIN DRAPED ALONG THE GULF COAST AND INTO
THE COASTAL CAROLINAS...WITH 2"+ PWAT VALUES EXPECTED. THIS AXIS
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED DIURNALLY
DRIVEN CONVECTION...WITH LOCALIZED 2-4" AMOUNTS WHERE CELL MERGERS
OCCUR. NOT ANTICIPATING AN ORGANIZED FLASH FLOOD THREAT...BUT A
MARGINAL RISK IS WARRANTED GIVEN THE HIGH PWAT AIR AND GOOD
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE...WITH ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD ISSUES AGAIN
LIKELY.

...DAY 3 (12Z TUE-12Z WED)...

SOUTHWEST

MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA...WITH ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED CONVECTION AGAIN EXPECTED. BY THIS TIME THE HIGHEST PWAT
AIR AND 700MB LOW WILL A BIT WEST FROM WHERE THEY WERE ON DAY 2.
MODEL SIGNALS SUGGEST THE BEST CONVECTIVE COVERAGE MAY SHIFT INTO
CENTRAL AZ...WITH A BIT OF A DECREASE IN COVERAGE OVER SOUTHERN
AZ. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY A BROAD MARGINAL RISK OVER THE AREA. NO
SLIGHT RISK FOR NOW...AS THE SETUP AND MODEL QPF SIGNAL IS A BIT
LESS THAN IT WAS DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD...POTENTIALLY INDICATIVE
OF A DOWNWARD CONVECTIVE TREND AND MORE OF A ROUTINE MONSOONAL
ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD RISK.

MID/UPPER MS VALLEY TO THE GREAT LAKES

A COLD FRONT WILL BECOME ORIENTED MORE WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY. THIS COULD ALLOW FOR AN ENHANCED TRAINING THREAT WITH
CONTINUED MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THIS BOUNDARY AND MEAN FLOW
PARALLEL TO THE FRONT. QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY HOWEVER BY THIS
TIME WITH REGARDS TO BOUNDARY POSITIONING AND CONVECTIVE
EVOLUTION. WHILE THE SETUP IS WORTH WATCHING...NOTHING REALLY
JUMPS OUT AS WARRANTING ANYTHING MORE THAN A MARGINAL RISK AT THIS
TIME. MODEL QPF OUTPUT FORM THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS OF THE GLOBAL
GUIDANCE ALSO DO NOT INDICATE THE NEED FOR A SLIGHT RISK AT THIS
TIME...WITH A MARGINAL SUFFICING. DID TREND THE MAX QPF AXIS A BIT
SOUTH GIVEN RECENT TRENDS TO NEAR THE MN/IA BORDER.

EAST

CONVECTION IS AGAIN LIKELY ALONG THE GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST
COAST. BY THIS TIME MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS BEGINNING TO BUILD
IN AND PWAT VALUES ARE GENERALLY ON A DOWNWARD TREND. THUS NOT
ANTICIPATING CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AND QPF MAGNITUDES TO BE AS HIGH
AS PREVIOUS DAYS. THUS FOR NOW WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY DAY 3 THREAT
AREAS.

TROUGHINESS LINGERING OVER THE NORTHEAST WILL RESULT ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED CONVECTION TUESDAY. CURRENTLY NOT ANTICIPATING THE
COVERAGE OR INTENSITY TO BE HIGH ENOUGH TO POSE ANY FLOOD RISK.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


BURKE/CHENARD


24HR QP VT 17/12Z
 0.01 537210 538204 537198 534187 533181 531177 525171 520169
      518172 511177 508180 507185 509189 513190 518193 521197
      524206 525212 528215 532217 535215 537210
 0.01 523036 524026 522020 518013 518004 515001 516997 518992
      519983 517975 511965 514947 517933 515927 513925 510925
      505926 501930 495932 489937 475952 472957 470964 467971
      466981 466992 465998 461011 456025 452031 448034 439040
      438045 439048 442051 447054 450060 439067 433078 426086
      420095 417104 418107 421108 428108 433107 436108 438110
      440115 441122 445128 450128 455125 468106 472103 475099
      476089 475085 475082 477077 478068 480052 481047 483047
      483055 491057 498057 503057 509056 516049 523036
 0.01 499229 499228 498226 498224 498223 497221 496220 495220
      494220 494223 495225 495228 495229 497230 498230 499229
 0.01 494684 492672 488664 483656 476654 470658 466663 460676
      459682 456685 452691 448702 445708 442711 441714 439724
      436726 431727 428728 427731 434730 438730 437734 434738
      430737 426738 423741 422744 422747 424752 423756 421759
      417761 413762 410765 407773 406781 406787 409791 410797
      409801 406809 403816 400824 396830 380860 375874 373882
      371886 371891 374900 376903 379905 383907 387911 389918
      392928 395935 399942 403947 408952 410954 412953 411948
      411940 410931 410920 409911 409900 409889 413889 415886
      418882 419878 422868 426860 428851 431845 435838 440832
      443825 446818 451809 455801 459794 462787 464779 466770
      467760 468751 472742 473736 472732 472728 474724 477718
      488708 491703 492695 494684
 0.01 479239 480236 479235 478234 476232 475235 476236 477238
      478239 479239
 0.01 490038 489036 487036 486037 484040 483042 482045 483047
      485045 487043 487042 488040 489040 490038
 0.01 413106 414099 412093 407093 405095 402099 399101 394103
      391105 376116 371119 366115 367100 370097 375099 380099
      385098 391093 396086 397082 401079 402075 404074 410068
      412064 412059 409056 404053 398048 401043 406043 410041
      412037 415023 415015 414009 415003 414997 411992 407990
      404988 398988 390992 384992 375989 365988 359985 350981
      347980 342982 342987 344991 349998 344001 341002 333999
      331986 328981 325980 319982 316986 313989 310987 310984
      310976 314971 317969 328957 335953 339952 342954 346954
      349951 352947 352941 343925 343912 342904 344897 357853
      357846 359841 362833 365825 371819 377812 382805 389799
      395794 396791 395786 389787 387790 382796 379797 378795
      379789 376786 376781 379778 381775 380772 380764 378758
      375752 374747 375738 374732 372728 371722 368718 362713
      359711 357709 352710 348713 343721 340731 334750 325765
      319774 314782 309793 308798 308801 306803 289810 284811
      279810 277806 278801 279798 278795 276790 273789 265791
      256790 250791 244792 240798 239803 239809 240815 242819
      243824 247829 257830 262832 266835 269840 273842 282844
      281855 280859 281863 283872 285882 286887 285891 283901
      281912 281919 280924 279929 277932 271938 266945 262956
      261962 262967 264973 269975 269978 268979 261980 256986
      252988 249992 247999 247005 250007 254009 258008 262009
      264013 268020 271021 274020 276020 277017 275012 271005
      274004 277006 279010 279017 283026 287026 291024 293029
      291033 293035 296036 299041 301046 305049 307049 311046
      313041 312037 311032 316031 330024 337022 347022 350021
      357021 362022 365023 365030 362033 359036 355038 328057
      333058 339060 343066 346069 346073 338073 329072 326070
      324065 322062 318060 313062 306062 301060 297057 290054
 0.01 290054 284057 278058 272057 264055 257058 253060 251064
      250069 253073 257075 259079 262084 269090 277096 292104
      294121 299128 302135 307142 310147 311151 306152 306156
      311161 314164 319166 328167 337170 344171 344167 340164
      337161 332159 328160 323159 316155 331156 334154 336151
      344147 358138 365136 371130 377124 384118 399114 405114
      409112 413106
 0.01 402741 401736 397734 394738 391741 389744 387749 385754
      387756 389754 392752 396749 399746 402741 402741
 0.25 493015 491012 486012 482002 481996 479993 476997 473001
      470011 467021 465026 463030 464037 467039 472032 475029
      479027 482029 485029 488026 491022 493018 493015
 0.25 490959 488957 486957 484958 482961 481964 480967 478969
      476972 476977 479979 482977 484974 485972 486969 487967
      489962 490959
 0.25 460758 459751 457747 452746 446746 442746 439747 438750
      435758 433771 431776 430781 427793 425803 420813 415821
      413825 411831 411837 413843 416842 421838 428832 429828
      429819 431815 435813 446797 452787 456779 459768 460758
 0.25 461096 462089 462082 463075 462067 461062 457065 455071
      454076 455081 455088 455096 456101 458101 461096
 0.25 454110 455108 454106 453106 451107 450109 449110 448111
      447114 446116 446117 448119 450118 451117 452116 452115
      453112 454112 454110
 0.25 407866 407860 406856 404852 401852 396857 391863 387869
      386877 387886 388890 392892 397885 402882 406875 407866
 0.25 406026 407020 405016 402008 397004 390004 383002 378003
      375004 372005 370004 363003 359002 358004 359009 362011
      367011 373010 375016 373023 369031 366039 368042 371040
      376035 381031 387032 391034 395035 401032 406026
 0.25 376082 377073 378069 377066 373061 368059 363059 358062
      356069 358073 359078 361079 365080 367078 371073 372075
      372080 373084 376082
 0.25 368757 367747 367736 365730 363727 356723 351725 348730
      342742 337756 329769 322779 317793 312805 307812 300815
      296817 294820 294823 295825 299828 303833 303839 304843
      304852 303858 301858 297853 295850 291850 290853 290858
      293865 293874 294882 296886 299888 301893 304897 302899
      295901 290904 288908 286914 285924 284932 279938 276945
      270957 269961 270965 274969 280972 284970 286968 295956
      300952 307950 312946 314941 321927 321917 318911 315909
      315906 316898 320894 325891 328892 331891 334884 337875
      340869 344863 346856 347840 349832 349823 350817 351813
      354806 354799 355794 361780 366768 368757
 0.25 357127 356119 352113 350107 348101 341089 337087 335089
      333091 332094 331099 328099 324094 320089 315084 313079
      310076 307074 295069 289067 279066 272066 265064 260064
      258067 260070 267079 278087 287094 293097 297103 300116
      304121 308127 312132 316135 324138 331136 342132 357127
 0.25 363049 362047 360045 358047 358048 357049 356049 356051
      356053 358052 359051 360051 361050 363049
 0.25 354088 355086 354085 352086 351088 351089 353089 354088
 0.25 321001 321999 321997 320996 320997 319997 317999 316001
      315002 314003 313005 312007 311008 310009 311009 313010
      314009 315009 316008 318007 318006 319005 320003 321001
 0.25 303886 302884 301884 300886 302888 303886
 0.25 292832 291826 287824 280824 276823 272820 269816 263808
      259805 256803 250801 248802 247804 250810 253813 261818
      267825 272828 276829 286833 292832
 0.25 291993 292991 291990 290990 288990 287991 286993 288994
      290994 291993 291993
 0.25 278993 278989 277986 273986 271987 268988 266988 263990
      262993 262995 266996 268997 269997 273996 276995 278993
 0.25 270800 270799 268798 266799 265800 265801 264802 265804
      267803 268802 270800 270800
 0.50 454769 454763 453757 450755 447755 443760 438767 435775
      435785 434794 437798 439795 444790 448784 452777 454769
 0.50 403023 401019 401012 399009 394009 390010 386011 384016
      384022 386025 389027 395029 400028 402025 403023
 0.50 399871 399869 398867 396868 395869 395870 394872 393874
      393876 393878 394879 395879 396878 397878 398876 398874
      398873 399871
 0.50 372066 371064 370062 368061 366061 364062 363063 362064
      361065 360066 360067 360068 362069 364070 366070 367069
      369069 371068 372066
 0.50 365757 363749 363735 361730 358729 355728 352731 348737
      344746 346754 344758 341759 335766 330774 326780 322788
      316805 312812 310815 306817 302819 299821 301825 304828
      308835 311843 311849 310853 308865 307875 309879 312881
      317879 319876 323878 327876 328871 328866 326863 322863
      322859 324855 329853 332850 334842 334837 332833 332827
      334823 339814 344798 353783 357776 360769 363766 364763
      365757
 0.50 344118 345114 345109 344103 342098 338092 335097 332103
      329107 328112 329116 329122 333127 339125 343120 344118
 0.50 321128 321106 319103 319097 319093 317090 310085 307079
      298075 291073 282072 275070 265070 269075 271079 275081
      281085 287090 294094 300099 302107 304110 305116 309121
      315127 319129 321128
 0.50 318924 317918 312918 308921 307926 306930 305936 301939
      300943 305945 308942 310939 312934 314930 317926 318924
 0.50 292933 292931 292930 290929 290931 290933 290935 290937
      291935 292933 292933
 0.50 292927 292926 291924 290924 289924 290926 291927 292927
      292927
 0.50 288954 290945 288941 290937 287940 283944 279948 276954
      274960 274964 279967 284964 287960 288954
 0.50 271993 270992 268992 267992 268993 270993 271993
 0.50 264815 263813 262812 261811 260809 259809 258808 257807
      256807 254806 253808 254810 256812 257812 258813 259813
      260815 262816 264815
 1.00 396020 395019 393019 391019 391020 391021 393022 395022
      396020
 1.00 358745 358743 358741 357739 357737 356736 355737 354737
      353739 353740 353742 353744 353746 354747 355748 356749
      356748 357746 358745
 1.00 354768 353766 351766 347768 343769 340771 336778 331783
      327786 325790 322797 317813 312821 311824 311827 314837
      315841 318844 321843 323838 325829 333815 334805 338799
      346785 347780 349776 353770 354768
 1.00 335115 335112 334112 334114 334116 335115
 1.50 334793 333789 331789 328792 325799 324804 323812 321817
      319819 321821 325820 329816 329807 330801 333796 334793
 1.50 319830 318828 316827 316828 315830 317831 318831 319830

24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 514939 514922 514914 512910 509908 507909 504909 504906
      506900 507892 508889 508883 509876 508869 506863 504859
      501846 498842 494842 489841 485843 482845 479849 473856
      467861 460868 452881 441922 439926 435930 426937 416942
      411950 404955 398964 391979 387988 384991 380994 377998
      383002 394005 402009 405011 406014 411015 416015 422015
      425014 426017 423025 422027 419029 416031 412035 404039
      396043 393045 388044 378044 370040 365040 363043 361046
      358047 351051 348054 346061 348064 348069 345072 341073
      337075 333075 329076 326079 325081 323080 318075 312066
      313059 317061 323062 325066 331071 335067 337062 341059
      343055 342052 337051 333050 332049 332045 334034 336027
      330023 325022 321024 314029 313025 313020 311015 312009
      312000 313996 315983 322957 323953 324947 327939 330930
      332922 339901 341891 345884 347879 350875 354867 358859
      362852 360849 360844 361837 361829 363824 368818 373813
      377810 381808 384809 389811 392813 388822 384832 378847
      375856 371866 370871 369877 368888 367898 373905 377904
      381900 382893 384887 388878 392867 401853 408837 412828
      418818 422810 426803 431794 436792 440794 449793 452791
      455787 463780 468774 473771 478770 481768 484755 485749
      487745 486732 485719 484704 485695 484691 485686 485683
      487682 491679 493677 492675 490673 487674 467667 457673
      450678 445681 441686 437695 435700 433704 428714 424721
      420728 415735 409740 402747 395752 387756 381751 380745
      384743 389737 391723 392716 391707 385698 379692 373688
      365685 359686 355688 352693 351697 338729 331746
 0.01 331746 323754 317761 313767 311773 306780 304785 300797
      296800 290800 286797 280795 271793 260794 256795 251798
      246802 241803 241806 242816 245819 255826 261834 272849
      278860 278867 277873 271887 267899 265905 265912 264923
      264941 265954 263960 262965 260970 257975 251988 251997
      251003 256012 264018 269021 273025 277028 279032 285043
      288046 288050 287051 286056 283058 275060 272064 270071
      270079 272084 275090 280092 284095 286100 291108 294113
      297117 303125 312135 318139 323142 329144 334143 337139
      342138 346141 351146 355147 360145 370141 374140 378136
      387126 397120 407118 416116 435107 440103 444104 448108
      450114 447122 443130 440138 440146 445151 450154 453152
      456145 457138 458131 457124 457116 464117 468103 474091
      479074 479065 479058 478049 477045 477039 476036 472031
      469026 469023 466023 461023 458024 457021 459015 462011
      465004 470997 472992 474989 477988 480988 483984 489972
      496962 502955 505951 507948 510947 514939
 0.01 457066 455064 454064 452064 450064 449065 449068 450069
      451068 452068 454068 455067 457066
 0.01 429092 429087 428084 425083 423084 420084 416083 412085
      411085 409087 410089 411091 412094 414097 417097 419096
      420095 424095 426093 429092
 0.01 406093 406091 405089 403089 402090 401091 400092 399095
      398097 397097 396099 397100 399100 400099 401099 402099
      404097 404095 405095 406093
 0.01 387104 385097 383092 380091 374094 369098 363102 358107
      359111 361114 367118 374116 380114 384108 387104
 0.25 499919 499913 497907 496891 486881 483878 479878 475880
      471883 468886 467890 464900 461909 457918 449935 440950
      435958 433961 430962 424958 418958 413959 410967 406975
      403984 401989 397991 394995 396998 403003 406006 410007
      416007 421006 426001 431992 434985 442980 451993 453997
      456995 461986 469971 481957 490944 493939 496932 499919
 0.25 478699 476692 472685 467687 462688 457690 454698 450703
      445706 439709 434715 428724 415747 407757 399766 396771
      395776 396782 400786 406786 412784 418779 427772 444754
      456747 459741 461736 467722 472711 475702 478699
 0.25 471678 471677 469678 468679 469680 471679 471678
 0.25 387790 388788 387787 385786 383787 382787 381789 380790
      379791 379794 381795 382795 384794 385793 386792 387790
      387790
 0.25 380080 380078 380076 379075 379074 378071 376070 375071
      374073 374075 375078 376079 376080 377081 379081 380080
 0.25 369748 368743 365740 361733 356734 351738 345744 334755
      325768 317781 312802 310810 303813 296815 289811 282807
      276804 269799 258799 255801 255805 258812 263817 270821
      285825 295824 298826 300832 296840 294847 293858 292867
      288885 285909 288928 289937 289943 287947 284955 280962
      270977 268981 267986 269993 271003 272007 274010 276012
      275015 277018 281018 286015 287013 288009 293008 296002
      296996 297991 295987 293984 294981 294972 294968 296964
      299957 305948 309940 312922 315913 317905 319883 322873
      323861 324841 323830 323823 324818 333806 339799 343789
      347782 351776 353773 356771 364767 367763 368757 369748
 0.25 363067 363065 363063 362061 361060 359060 357061 357062
      356064 356067 357067 358069 360070 361069 362068 363067
 0.25 356124 356118 353115 347107 345103 345096 342092 339091
      331094 326094 322091 309079 300075 291075 289078 289081
      288089 291098 297106 301114 307121 315126 319129 324127
      332125 337125 340128 344128 348126 353126 356124
 0.25 334117 334115 334114 333113 331114 329115 328116 329118
      330120 332119 334119 334117 334117
 0.50 492911 492904 492901 489899 482897 478892 476891 473891
      470893 467898 466903 465911 464916 462920 456930 452940
      445959 444966 447972 450974 452974 454971 456972 455978
      454985 455991 458988 460983 463971 467962 472954 484938
      489929 491924 492916 492911
 0.50 458722 458718 457715 453713 449712 444713 439714 435718
      430726 428728 426734 422742 418751 413758 406764 401770
      400773 404775 405776 404780 408782 412779 418773 430762
      439756 443748 450742 454734 458722
 0.50 423982 421976 418970 414971 410975 408982 405988 404996
      405998 408000 413001 419999 421994 422985 423982
 0.50 362758 359748 355742 350743 347746 342751 335757 331763
      325778 321786 317793 314811 311813 313816 321813 323811
      325807 329800 336786 346773 351767 357763 362758
 0.50 348114 347113 346112 346111 345112 346113 346114 347115
      348114
 0.50 340122 340120 340119 339120 337121 339122 340122
 0.50 326109 326104 323100 318095 311089 308087 303086 299088
      297090 294094 295098 299105 304113 307117 310119 316119
      320117 325111 326109
 0.50 319862 319854 318847 313847 309845 307849 304853 301858
      301864 297868 296873 297884 297892 300892 303892 307893
      309899 310901 313902 315890 317877 319864 319862
 0.50 306911 304907 297905 298897 296894 295896 291901 289906
      290912 292919 294924 299926 303928 303924 304918 306911
 0.50 283817 279813 275809 272806 268802 263799 259800 257801
      257806 258809 261813 266817 270819 276821 282819 283817
 1.00 487914 487911 485913 484916 482919 481922 479924 478927
      478932 481934 483932 485929 486926 486922 487917 487914
 1.00 477915 475914 472917 469924 466931 462938 459945 457952
      461952 464950 468944 472937 474930 475922 477915
 1.00 450726 450721 448719 445718 442718 440718 438721 437722
      435725 434727 435729 438731 439731 443730 444730 448728
      450726
 1.00 441740 440737 437738 433738 430739 426743 424750 421755
      418760 417764 420764 424760 428756 432752 436746 439742
      441740
 1.00 413991 412989 410990 409991 410994 412992 413991
 1.00 317108 317106 317105 316103 314102 312102 312103 310105
      310106 310107 310109 311109 313110 315111 316110 317108
      317108
 1.00 311879 311877 310876 310877 310880 311881 311879
 1.00 272816 271814 269812 267809 266806 265804 263801 259801
      257803 258805 260808 262810 264812 266813 268815 271816
      272816
 1.50 447724 445723 444723 443723 442723 440723 439724 438726
      439727 441728 442728 444727 446726 447724
 1.50 433744 432742 430742 430743 429744 428745 427748 427750
      428751 429750 430750 431748 432747 432746 433744


24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 516025 516007 516001 515994 514990 511987 505984 496987
      487992 472999 468001 465998 465994 464982 464968 464956
      467945 469937 472932 477926 484920 487917 490912 494904
      497894 498885 504864 505857 508851 510846 509841 507833
      504831 498836 490840 486841 485836 484829 482822 477811
      474808 473804 475793 476785 476778 474772 471770 467771
      464773 458778 449794 440815 437825 433834 427850 411888
      404908 401917 401921 400925 395947 394960 394975 398979
      401982 404983 404987 404993 404999 403002 402009 400012
      394019 391022 389027 391031 393034 398037 403037 412034
      422034 426037 430038 435043 446058 453064 456066 462067
      465064 469066 475071 483076 489078 493079 497077 499074
      501069 511050 513043 514037 514029 516025
 0.01 484684 471668 465662 462661 459664 448677 444683 443686
      441690 427701 422705 419709 417714 414719 402734 392752
      388762 381763 375764 368761 364760 364755 363746 358738
      354731 353728 351728 349731 337748 335753 329754 323756
      320758 313760 309762 301766 293771 286776 284780 283785
      288794 293800 294803 290802 276798 268796 261798 256799
      253802 249810 247813 249817 254822 260830 267836 271839
      275842 285848 288851 289858 289873 287882 286894 285904
      284911 284918 282922 282933 282961 282973 284985 286989
      286997 286000 282998 277996 273996 272998 270003 270005
      267006 258010 257016 258021 259026 264025 267026 268031
      270040 270050 270059 269064 267068 266080 267086 271089
      277095 281097 282100 282104 290109 294115 301121 309126
      320132 322133 322136 322143 325145 329146 337143 339141
      342140 344143 343149 345152 349153 354153 359152 364145
      368140 372138 374136 377131 379127 379120 380117 378116
      373113 371111 370107 373102 381098 385095 387091 389087
      388083 390081 395085 399086 404064 406056 406051 401050
      396050 392047 387042 383040 381046 377048 370046 365043
      356048 352052 350057 348062 346068 343071 339073 332076
      329079 327082 325083 321085 315084 313081 312075 314066
      316056 316053 314050 313047 312042 311030 312021 314008
      313002 311996 307993 304991 305987 306981 307975 309970
      313959 318956 323956 329954 332950 333936 334926 334912
      345879 368843 376830 380827 384823 389815 396809 403801
      410794 414788 426774 430769 435763 448749 451741 455732
      468716 473705 475700 478696 484684
 0.25 473880 473874 473870 471865 467864 464866 461870 457875
      455880 453882 453877 452868 450864 448863 445863 438873
      431882 422890 418896 418901 420919 416932 415940 414949
      414954 417960 422963 426963 430962 434962 437963 441965
      445964 447961 449955 451941 454925 456909 458903 462903
      467900 470895 472888 473880
 0.25 431721 431718 431716 430716 429714 428713 427714 426715
      425715 424718 423720 422721 422723 421725 422728 422730
      424732 425731 427730 428729 428727 429726 430724 430723
      431721 431721
 0.25 360129 357120 353113 350108 346105 344103 343097 342092
      339091 336095 337097 339102 339106 339113 339119 341128
      344132 347134 355131 360129
 0.25 349756 349752 347750 344754 343759 341762 339766 337771
      336776 337782 339780 341777 344772 345768 347763 348758
      349756
 0.25 337788 337784 334784 330791 320799 316804 313811 310816
      303819 281807 275805 267804 259804 255805 254808 263817
      267821 273824 287827 294828 300832 301839 300848 300852
      302855 305863 306867 308870 310868 311863 312856 314848
      324840 335832 339826 335820 332813 333804 336796 337788
 0.25 321104 320099 318095 315092 312090 308088 304086 304089
      306093 308098 310102 312106 315107 319107 321104
 0.25 279016 279014 278012 276012 274012 272013 272015 272016
      274017 276017 278016 279016
 0.50 465881 466878 464877 464878 463880 462881 462883 463885
      464883 465881
 0.50 452913 451910 452906 449903 445909 442911 439909 433895
      430894 426895 422900 423906 426912 425920 423928 421937
      421947 422952 424955 430954 438953 441947 444930 448924
      451918 452913
 0.50 347125 347123 346122 345122 344122 343125 344127 346127
      347125
 0.50 323818 321819 320819 319819 318819 316819 314819 313820
      313822 312822 312824 313826 314826 316825 318823 320822
      321821 323819 323818
 0.50 277813 277811 275810 273810 271810 269811 267812 266814
      265815 266817 267818 268819 270820 272820 274819 275818
      277815 277814 277813


$$





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