Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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532
FXUS04 KWBC 202307
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
607 PM EST TUE FEB 20 2018


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 21/0000 UTC THRU FEB 24/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

...LARGE SCALE HEAVY RAIN / FLOOD EVENT...

...EASTERN PLAINS / MID-UPPER MS VALLEY / GREAT LAKES / UPPER OHIO
VALLEY...

A SYNOPTIC PATTERN DRIVING A PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN EVENT...WITH
EMBEDDED PERIODS OF INTENSE RAINFALL...CONTINUED TO EVOLVE...WITH
LARGE SCALE AMPLIFICATION OF THE WESTERN U.S. TROUGH...BLOCKED BY
A 594 DM RIDGE IN THE ATLANTIC...ALLOWING FOR PROLONGED ELONGATED
MOISTURE TRAJECTORIES EMANATING FROM THE CARIBBEAN BEFORE
ENCOUNTERING A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL ZONE IN THE MIDDLE OF THE
NATION. PWAT VALUES REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL...WITH NEAR RECORD TO
RECORD VALUES STRETCHING FROM EAST TX ALL THE WAY INTO THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. SHORTWAVE ENERGY EJECTING THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST
HAD TIGHTENED THE DEEP LAYER GRADIENTS AND ASSOCIATED BROAD UPPER
LEVEL JET STREAK. INCREASED ASCENT IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF
THIS JET WILL SHARPEN THE COLD FRONT OVER THE MIDDLE OF THE
COUNTRY...AND HELP PUSH IT EASTWARD WITH TIME. FROM THE MID MS
VALLEY NORTHEAST INTO THE OH VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES...THE FRONT
WILL BE MORE PROGRESSIVE IN NATURE...HELPING CAP RAINFALL
MAGNITUDES. STILL LOOKS LIKE A BROAD SWATH OF MODERATE RAINFALL
TOTALS THOUGH...AND SOME WEAK INSTABILITY MAY TRY TO MOVE NORTH
AHEAD OF THE EASTWARD MOVING FRONT. THIS COULD RESULT IN SOME
EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RATES INTO PORTIONS
OF MO/IL/IN/MI THIS EVENING. GIVEN THE DEEP FROST DEPTHS AND
INCREASINGLY SATURATED CONDITIONS OVER THIS AREA...SHOULD THESE
HIGHER RATES OF BETWEEN 0.5"-1" IN AN HOUR MATERIALIZE...A FLASH
FLOOD THREAT IS POSSIBLE ON TOP OF THE ONGOING AREAL FLOODING.

THE FOCUS FOR HEAVIEST RAINFALL THROUGH THE DAY 1 PERIOD IS FROM
NORTHEAST TX INTO SOUTHEAST OK...AR AND NORTHERN LA. IT IS ACROSS
THIS AXIS WHERE THE COLD FRONT SHOULD BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY (OR
AT LEAST SLOW) THIS EVENING. CONTINUED MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO
THIS BOUNDARY SUPPORTS TRAINING CONVECTION INTO TONIGHT. ON
WEDNESDAY AN ADDITIONAL WAVE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ALONG WITH
THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE SUBTROPICAL JET. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT
AN INCREASE IN 850 MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE
BOUNDARY...RESULTING IN INCREASING CONVECTIVE COVERAGE/INTENSITY
THROUGH THE DAY. CONVECTION SHOULD BE ABLE TO TAP INTO ENOUGH
INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT A CONTINUED EASTWARD PROGRESSION WITH TIME.
FOR THIS REASON WE FAVORED A BIT MORE OF THE PROGRESSIVE GUIDANCE
ACROSS TX/AR/LA ON WEDNESDAY. THIS INCLUDED THE 12Z RUNS OF THE
HRW ARW/ARW2/HRRR EXPERIMENTAL AND 0Z UKMET. ALL OF THESE
SOLUTIONS WERE A BIT MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST
ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND SEEMED TO FIT OUR EXPECTATIONS
BEST. THE DAY 2 (12Z WED-12Z THU) MODERATE RISK WILL THUS BE
SHIFTED A BIT SOUTHEAST TO MATCH THIS QPF AXIS. IT SHOULD BE NOTED
THAT SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS AXIS ON WEDNESDAY REMAINS...WITH
SOME GUIDANCE EVEN MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN OUR NEW FORECAST...AND
OTHERS STILL SLOWER. THUS WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS.
FOR NOW OUR 30 HOUR TOTALS (18Z TUE-0Z THU) SHOW 3-6" FROM
NORTHEAST TX INTO SOUTHEAST OK...CENTRAL AND WESTERN AR AND
NORTHERN LA...WITH A 4-7" MAX OVER NORTHEAST TX.


...WESTERN U.S...

A DEEP AND COLD TROUGH HAD BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE WESTERN
STATES. SHORTWAVES DROPPING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ALONG THE COAST
WILL SUPPORT IMPACTFUL WINTER WEATHER OVER OREGON IN PARTICULAR.
MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION FALLS EARLY IN THE PERIOD /
TONIGHT...DURING WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE NEXT DIGGING WAVE
THAT WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY EVENING. OTHERWISE...HEIGHT FALLS TO
THE SOUTH ARE RATHER LIMITED...ESPECIALLY INLAND...AND WITH
COOL...DRY AIR ENTRENCHED OVER THE INTERIOR OF THE WEST...ONLY A
FEW HIGH ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY 1
PERIOD TO THE EAST OF THE CASCADES...AND DOWN THROUGH THE
CALIFORNIA SIERRAS.



DAYS 2/3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY DROPPING INTO A REFORMING LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER
THE WESTERN UNITED STATES PROVIDES SUFFICIENT LIFT FOR QPF ACROSS
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST DURING DAY 2. MEANWHILE...SHORT WAVE ENERGY
EJECTED FROM THE BASE OF THE REFORMING TROUGH PROVIDES LIFT OVER
AN ARCTIC FRONT FOR QPF ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN
ROCKIES.

DURING DAY 3...ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE ENERGY DIVES INTO THE BASE OF
THE LONG WAVE TROUGH...PROVIDING LIFT FOR QPF OVER THE SIERRA
NEVADA RANGE IN CA...AS WELL AS THE GREAT BASIN...SOUTHERN ROCKIES
AND SOUTHWEST.

THERE IS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE TIMING
OF THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY DIVING INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN
REGION...ESPECIALLY ON DAY 2.  BUT THERE CONTINUES TO BE
INCREASING SPREAD IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS CONCERNING HOW THE LONG
WAVE TROUGH REFORMS DURING DAY 3. IN AN ATTEMPT TO MITIGATE SOME
OF THE DIFFERENCES...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z
ECMWF/GFS...WITH MORE EMPHASIS PUT ON THE GFS CONSIDERING HOW ITS
PRECIP FIELDS WERE A BETTER FIT TO THE TERRAIN OF THE COASTAL
RANGES AND TO THE UINTAS AND SAN JUANS ON DAY 3 AS WELL AS TO THE
WAY THEY FIT DYNAMICS.

...CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY/SOUTHERN LAKES TO THE
EAST COAST...

PART ONE OF SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL SHOULD
BE ON GOING AT THE START OF THE DAY 2 FORECAST PERIOD AT
22/0Z...WEDNESDAY EVENING.  MODEL AGREEMENT REMAINS GOOD EARLY IN
THE PERIOD IN TERMS OF WHERE THE AXIS OF ANOMALOUS PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES SET UP AND THE BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION MAINLY
FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES.  BY THE END OF DAY
2...THOUGH...AN IMPORTANT DIFFERENCE OPENS UP BETWEEN THE GFS
ATTEMPTING TO MOVE ITS SURFACE FRONT FASTER TO THE SOUTHEAST THAN
DID THE NAM/ECMWF/UKMET. GIVEN SPRAWLING HIGH PRESSURE TO ITS
NORTH AND A SECOND AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PRETTY WELL LOCKED IN
OVER THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN...THERE DOES NOT SEEM TO BE
A LOT OF ROOM FOR TOO MUCH SOUTHWARD ADVANCEMENT OVER THE
APPALACHIANS AND EASTERN TN VALLEY.  WPC KEPT CLOSER TO THE
NAM/ECMWF AND UKMET.  OVERALL...THOUGH...THE OVERALL IDEA THAT
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE WILL BECOME LESS INTENSE
AS THE SYSTEM PROGRESSES EASTWARD.

ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM...THE MODELS ARE ADVERTISING A
SECOND AREA OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING OVER THE UPPER MS
VALLEY IN RESPONSE TO ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE THAT DEVELOPS IN THE WAKE
OF DEPARTING HIGH PRESSURE.  THERE WAS SOME CONVERGENCE IN THE
MODEL SOLNS AND A GENERAL MODEL BLEND WAS EMPLOYED HERE.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY INTO THE WESTERN OH/TN
VALLEY...

ROUND 2 OF HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD DEVELOP LATE EARLY ON DAY 3 OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AS LOW LEVEL FLOW ACCELERATES AND
RIDES UP AND OVER THE SYNOPTIC BOUNDARY LEFT BEHIND BY THE FIRST
SYSTEM.  THE MODEL QPF WAS RATHER CHAOTIC EARLY ON DAY 3 AS THE
ATMOSPHERE GOES THROUGH A TRANSITION...BUT THE MODELS THEN
CONVERGE ON THE IDEA OF INCREASING COVERAGE OF RAINFALL AND
INCREASING RAINFALL RATES OVER PARTS OF TX/OK/AR ON DURING THE
LATTER HALF OF DAY 3.  WE TENDED TO SIDE WITH THE WETTER CAMP OF
MODEL GUIDANCE SINCE PRECIPITABLE WATER ANOMALIES ARE STILL
FORECAST TO RUN ROUGHLY 2.5 STANDARDIZED ANOMALIES ABOVE
CLIMATOLOGY.

BASED ON A SHIFT SOUTH AND EASTWARD IN QPF DURING THE LATTER PART
OF THE DAY 2 OUTLOOK...NUDGED THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN BOUNDARY OF
THE MODERATE RISK SOUTHWARD.

WENT THROUGH ANOTHER ITERATION ABOUT WHETHER OR NOT TO UPGRADE THE
SLIGHT RISK AREA IN THE CURRENT DAY 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK.
OPTED TO KEEP THE SLIGHT RISK IN PLACE AND NOT UPGRADE TO A
MODERATE...PRIMARILY SINCE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL ON DAY 3 FALLS
AFTER THE END OF THE DAY 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK
/SPECIFICALLY IN THE 23/12Z TO 24/00Z PERIOD/.  IT IS ASSUMED THAT
THIS SECOND BOUT OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL NEED TO BE
ACCOUNTED FOR IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS.


CHENARD/BANN

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML




THIS DISCUSSION WILL TRANSITION TO MIXED-CASE FEB 26, 2018.  THE
LISTING OF ISOHYET POINTS CONTAINED BELOW WILL ALSO BE ELIMINATED
FROM THE PRODUCT FEB 26, 2018.  ISOHYET GRID INFORMATION WILL
CONTINUE TO BE GENERATED IN A VARIETY OF BINARY FORMATS AND MADE
AVAILABLE THROUGH THE WPC GIS PAGE.

24HR QP VT 22/00Z
 0.01 503694 503688 502681 501674 499670 493653 492648 490646
      486642 482639 477637 461638 454651 448665 446673 447687
      448693 447697 443707 437719 436722 433725 428729 421726
      415731 412739 409746 405752 400756 398759 397763 396775
      396781 394784 377791 374796 373800 371803 369799 370796
      368795 366797 361798 356799 352800 349804 348813 345819
      340824 335829 328832 318833 312833 308833 300833 295834
      293836 297841 303842 303848 308851 312855 317858 327865
      330868 334868 332874 330878 327880 324882 318883 313883
      308882 305882 302886 298893 296895 296901 296911 294918
      279935 272951 270958 271966 271971 269973 264977 263982
      260984 257988 253988 246987 242985 241989 240996 244001
      246003 247006 248013 250020 254023 257027 260027 265021
      269016 276013 281011 286011 289013 294019 299023 306028
      314028 322027 326027 328026 333023 337018 343015 345017
      347016 349016 349019 346022 341028 331038 332044 334047
      340044 350032 375986 378981 382977 382973 379963 375956
      373952 374949 378944 382940 387934 392929 398923 406913
      414902 420893 437868 442861 447855 453850 458844 463839
      469831 475820 477802 478785 478774 479768 481766 486760
      486750 498714 501705 503694
 0.01 493176 493171 491166 488163 483161 480159 476159 478164
      481166 484169 486171 486174 485182 485184 487186 491184
      492178 493176
 0.01 496154 495148 493144 490139 487136 484135 479133 475134
      472136 473139 478142 482144 486146 489149 492153 496154
      496154
 0.01 467247 469238 470230 470218 472210 471205 464196 463191
      462183 463179 464176 465171 462168 461169 459167 458165
      458160 462154 463147 463144 461143 455137 452136 450138
      446142 441143 437141 435141 435145 436150 439159 443164
      445169 443175 438177 435177 433178 431181 427184 425189
      421200 419204 417204 412206 408210 406215 410217 409222
      407225 405226 401229 393232 383236 376238 370238 366241
      362245 359248 358252 358256 361259 369265 379272 387277
      393281 397284 405288 411288 415285 417282 420276 422267
      422264 424261 429262 432260 436257 439258 445260 450259
      458252 461250 465249 467247
 0.01 450112 451107 451103 449102 449104 446106 443101 439100
      437102 435107 435109 438111 441115 441122 444126 447121
      447116 449114 450112
 0.01 432169 431168 429165 428163 426163 424165 422167 420168
      418170 417175 417177 419178 423176 425175 426175 430173
      431171 432169
 0.01 402214 403208 402202 400199 395197 390195 389192 378188
      372183 367182 363184 365190 373195 380201 386206 394212
      400215 402214
 0.01 410045 410039 408037 406035 401035 399036 394036 389038
      383044 381051 381054 384058 390058 393057 397055 402051
      408047 410045
 0.01 373225 371222 370221 368219 366218 365218 363217 363218
      364220 364221 365223 366223 367224 369226 371225 373225
      373225
 0.01 381078 382069 377064 377057 372053 364052 359054 355055
      352055 350056 347055 339054 332051 330053 327053 328059
      332063 335064 339065 341068 340071 336075 342076 345076
      349075 352075 355074 363075 367075 370077 375080 379081
      381078
 0.01 343180 345169 343166 341168 336166 331162 322159 320157
      315156 307155 308158 312161 316166 324169 331172 334173
      338175 343180 343180
 0.01 288808 286804 282802 275798 268795 263795 258794 256791
      252792 250796 247798 245802 243807 244809 249810 258806
      261804 267804 274806 283808 288808
 0.25 493687 491678 488670 484661 480656 476654 473654 468656
      466661 465669 465674 469681 471684 471689 467693 460701
      450721 448725 448729 449737 447741 445754 445765 441781
      435792 432796 427800 423803 419804 408808 403815 396826
      393829 388831 383834 378837 373841 370845 356861 345875
      338884 333892 328898 324900 319905 317909 314915 310919
      303926 296933 292939 290952 289960 287965 273982 264990
      262994 266995 275992 280993 283995 291003 297011 302015
      307017 312017 317016 324007 327003 329999 337993 342986
      346983 349978 356970 356961 358955 366945 380931 392917
      399908 405901 420879 431861 440843 451825 457811 460805
      462800 463793 462782 463774 464768 468759 474751 475748
      473744 470739 470735 473730 478725 480719 485710 489698
      493687
 0.25 454241 455236 454231 457222 457217 455212 453209 451204
      449200 445198 440205 442208 440209 437208 435209 434213
      433217 430221 428225 424228 417229 412231 409235 408239
      409243 412245 416244 422239 429235 431231 434228 442227
      445229 448233 444245 447246 450244 454241
 0.25 388254 388252 386251 385250 383250 381250 379251 378252
      377253 377254 378256 380257 382258 383258 385257 387256
      388254
 0.25 357837 357831 356826 355823 350822 346829 342834 337840
      332844 332848 334851 340854 347856 353853 356846 356839
      357837
 0.50 474713 471709 468707 463709 460712 458717 456722 454727
      455730 457727 461724 464721 467719 470718 472716 474713
 0.50 450220 450218 450217 449216 447215 446216 445216 444216
      442216 440216 440217 438218 438219 437221 438221 439222
      441222 442222 443222 445221 446221 447221 448221 450220
      450220
 0.50 458759 459756 459754 459751 458749 457748 455749 454751
      454752 453755 453757 453760 453762 455763 457763 457761
      458759 458759
 0.50 453791 452785 449784 445789 439799 433807 430814 426820
      421825 416831 414833 412833 412831 409830 404832 393843
      385845 378848 342890 337895 332900 322906 317913 314920
      310926 306930 303933 301937 298943 294955 291965 290969
      288972 284978 281985 282989 285992 289996 297004 302006
      306007 309005 311002 314996 319992 326988 330984 338974
      356952 374933 385921 392910 408888 418875 425862 437836
      445820 447814 449804 453791
 0.50 354830 353827 351826 349828 348831 347833 346836 344838
      344842 347844 348842 350839 352837 353833 354830
 1.00 419856 419851 418847 415847 410854 403862 396869 390872
      386873 380873 377871 372868 368871 361878 358882 355883
      354885 346893 339899 331906 326912 319917 315922 312928
      303945 299956 296968 293979 293985 294989 298994 301995
      303994 305989 310987 319983 326978 332971 341963 352949
      361941 367934 373926 380920 384911 387905 390900 397893
      403887 409878 415868 419856
 1.50 411868 409867 407869 405872 404874 402877 400879 398881
      396883 394885 397887 399885 401883 403880 405878 407875
      408873 410870 411868
 1.50 392890 392889 390888 389888 390888 391890 392890 392890
 1.50 389890 383888 380884 375880 371879 368880 359888 349899
      345902 339904 334908 330914 325918 320921 316925 313932
      309938 307944 303958 301966 299973 299980 302982 306981
      318979 322978 325976 330971 346952 354943 359938 363934
      370923 375918 378912 380906 383900 389890
 2.00 376895 372893 369896 366897 364896 363893 365889 363888
      361889 360891 357895 349903 345908 343910 341908 336910
      333915 328919 324921 319924 316929 310940 310948 308954
      306960 305967 305972 307974 314973 319975 325973 333965
      340956 347947 362930 365925 367919 368912 370905 376895
 3.00 350936 350928 350922 348917 345916 343917 337923 334920
      332923 328929 329936 325941 322940 322935 323932 319932
      315936 315942 317944 312958 313963 315965 318967 323968
      328965 334958 342947 350936
 4.00 338947 337943 336940 334939 330942 327945 324947 321950
      318954 316958 319960 323964 326962 330958 332956 335952
      337948 338947
 5.00 332952 333949 332949 330948 328949 327951 325952 326954
      325956 325958 327958 328956 329956 330954 332952 332952

24HR QP VT 23/00Z
 0.01 532225 533217 532212 529202 523197 513194 510191 507190
      499192 484201 478207 477210 482212 485215 487216 488220
      485225 482226 479225 474222 470215 462208 458206 452205
      445207 442209 440204 439199 437194 433186 431182 430178
      436172 443169 452168 455167 458163 460159 461151 460147
      457144 446142 441140 438137 434129 430125 427126 424129
      422133 417140 413143 409144 398143 390144 384145 381151
      381156 389176 389187 386188 384188 380185 376184 372183
      369187 371190 373195 375198 381206 388212 396217 397220
      393222 386226 393242 396245 395248 392248 387247 385249
      387259 389265 392270 421264 430264 428269 427276 424279
      423287 424292 427293 435289 441286 456281 470273 485264
      491260 494262 498265 500269 502273 506275 509272 509268
      510260 509249 509245 511243 515241 522237 528233 532225
 0.01 455103 456094 455092 451091 445091 443092 440092 435090
      429088 427086 425086 424091 427098 425099 420101 416101
      415099 403097 393103 392109 388113 383113 378116 374119
      370121 365118 361118 360121 362126 366129 376132 382131
      386127 390123 393121 403116 406117 408115 413115 423111
      435112 445109 451107 454103 455103
 0.01 459947 458939 457932 456930 447918 443914 442910 443907
      445903 446897 446887 444880 439880 436882 434889 431900
      419926 415928 413925 408921 402919 398919 396922 391927
      385933 375938 371939 369937 366929 366926 368924 372918
      376911 380905 387890 402866 414840 417819 419811 422804
      426790 430771 432754 433744 431733 430713 425696 422689
      418686 411685 405688 398692 397686 394684 391682 387684
      384687 384692 383695 383700 382709 382727 381734 379738
      377740 375748 375757 374776 372795 370802 370807 367810
      352815 346819 341823 333835 333839 336841 339841 342843
      344846 342850 340856 336862 331869 322881 318886 313891
      305901 297912 293917 288922 284926 280925 280920 280915
      278912 278920 274926 273933 263944 264948 267949 274952
      275957 274962 270968 259974 257978 259980 259982 263984
      262991 262000 270010 275014 281018 285019 289020 295020
      303018 307017 309015 314013 319014 322012 327010 333007
      339004 342002 347003 360005 365999 369993 373988 379983
      392978 398976 400984 401991 399995 395002 392010 391013
      391018 394024 396027 400030 405030 413027 416027 419025
      423021 425015 430009 434004 438997 454967 457958 458951
      459947
 0.01 415069 415062 415059 412058 401053 397050 391049 388047
      381047 373046 371044 368046 367048 363048 358050 354053
      354059 355063 353064 352068 352076 350081 347081 345079
      341078 339083 339087 337091 336095 338097 341098 344094
      346090 349088 353089 364093 373087 389093 396086 399082
      402078 406075 410073 414071 415069
 0.01 373159 372156 370154 370153 368153 367153 365152 364153
      363154 362154 362157 364158 366160 367160 369161 371161
      373159 373159
 0.01 339172 339170 339169 338168 337167 336165 334164 332164
      331163 329163 327163 325163 326165 327166 328166 330168
      332169 333169 335170 337172 339172 339172
 0.01 311911 311909 310908 308909 308910 307911 306912 305914
      306916 308914 309913 310912 311911
 0.01 285802 285798 284796 281795 277796 275795 273795 270797
      268799 268800 272801 274802 278801 279803 283803 285802
 0.01 252812 250804 247800 244796 241797 241801 241807 242813
      242819 242823 243826 244829 247830 249824 250818 251814
      252812
 0.25 487241 486238 483236 474233 472230 468229 462231 456232
      448234 441233 435228 438220 434220 434222 430227 428231
      428236 433242 439246 444248 451248 467250 479248 484245
      487241
 0.25 421752 419741 417734 415730 412727 407728 405730 402734
      398742 395742 392745 388767 385776 382786 380796 382806
      381809 379814 373821 362838 358845 354853 350862 346869
      342875 338883 326900 322907 317913 305926 296939 293943
      291947 289953 285955 280961 276970 273979 274982 278983
      285980 289977 292976 297974 303974 308972 310973 304979
      299986 297991 298994 300996 305997 311996 315997 320998
      326997 334993 341989 351977 357974 365978 371978 375976
      384972 391968 395966 398962 399957 395955 384956 375958
      371957 367954 364952 359949 355947 354941 354931 358923
      376893 387879 393872 398863 401855 404845 407835 410825
      411817 412804 415792 417781 419766 421752
 0.25 411216 411214 411213 409212 408211 408209 406210 407213
      408215 408217 410218 411216
 0.25 404212 405207 405205 403202 401199 399199 396200 394202
      392203 391206 393208 395210 398213 400214 403214 404212
 0.25 393080 392075 389068 386065 385056 382051 376050 369050
      364052 359055 357056 357058 362058 365059 364061 362063
      359064 357067 362070 366068 371070 374075 375081 377083
      381084 387077 391082 393080
 0.50 415762 414755 411752 408754 406761 405768 405775 402782
      398788 397791 393791 393787 391787 389793 392793 393795
      391801 388808 385814 380826 377832 376835 373837 368841
      365845 351868 338890 330899 326905 323911 317921 308929
      304934 301939 297945 294952 291956 287960 286963 286968
      292970 297968 303964 310962 317961 323960 329957 337947
      341943 345938 352927 359916 365905 372893 379883 386872
      390868 393863 396857 399850 403834 406821 407811 406806
      409792 410782 411775 414768 415762
 0.50 381076 381074 380072 380070 380069 378067 377066 375065
      373064 371065 371066 372068 373069 374071 376073 376074
      376076 377078 377079 379079 380078 381077 381076
 1.00 395842 395837 393834 388838 377849 372853 367856 362859
      359865 343891 334901 326913 323921 321930 321936 320939
      313941 308945 303951 302954 306955 316954 321950 325945
      330939 336935 346926 350921 354914 369889 377876 385863
      390853 395842
 1.50 379861 377859 374861 368866 363867 360869 356877 347890
      339902 331917 329921 330925 334926 337925 343921 349914
      358901 365887 369879 373871 379861
 2.00 361885 361881 359881 354887 350892 346899 342904 339911
      338915 342915 347910 351905 356899 358892 361885

24HR QP VT 24/00Z
 0.01 535220 537208 535198 530186 522175 511167 503165 498166
      488172 488177 490180 493186 496193 501197 507201 512205
      517211 520216 524222 529227 531227 533224 535220
 0.01 519274 521265 520258 518247 517242 514236 511227 505218
      499210 496207 490205 483209 472223 468225 464229 462233
      461240 465249 472257 486270 491279 497286 502288 506288
      513285 517278 519274
 0.01 519790 517768 516763 515757 514745 513739 511736 506730
      497720 489711 483707 478706 454707 435690 426681 412675
      410676 410680 408686 404694 402687 400681 399671 397667
      395666 389666 384669 379674 376681 374688 372708 372717
      372726 373731 375734 379739 374749 372755 372763 372768
      374770 380771 388779 391790 391794 390797 385814 384816
      383812 382807 379805 374803 369808 369815 368822 363837
      361842 361850 361858 360866 359876 358880 356883 333900
      327903 321901 316900 309897 303895 299896 292896 289895
      288891 285893 283900 280908 279913 281917 286917 289915
      294915 298918 304924 308926 311928 308930 304930 301928
      295929 293936 292939 294942 296947 297950 296953 289953
      285958 281963 277970 275978 274989 276992 278995 283998
      290010 292015 294018 296020 310024 314023 318020 337002
      341997 346993 349986 355980 360977 366974 371971 377970
      383967 390966 397966 401967 403970 412977 415980 419980
      424985 432985 437985 440983 445978 448974 455959 457954
      459952 462950 467955 471955 473953 478950 482949 485943
      489937 492929 493924 494921 494914 495910 496898 500879
      504860 507846 514814 515807 517801 518793 519790
 0.01 462158 462153 460149 455141 446139 443134 441129 440124
      440117 442107 442103 438102 433102 430103 428104 425108
      421111 416111 412111 411105 408095 409088 411084 416078
      419070 419064 416062 417050 413047 409047 405044 399044
      395050 390055 386057 382057 377062 372069 365074 359082
      355089 351099 348107 343106 339106 335108 335111 348146
      350148 353148 355146 360146 365147 369150 371154 371161
      373165 376164 377168 378172 371179 368181 362180 357180
      354181 351183 350188 354190 358191 363193 364196 367205
      369214 376222 380222 385221 388220 392221 400225 401228
      400231 400236 400246 409249 417249 422247 427247 434245
      438237 439226 435218 430211 426203 417201 408182 405173
      404170 403166 405164 411164 415170 416180 417183 419184
      424185 429185 433181 432171 432165 432159 438155 443160
      450164 455165 459164 462158
 0.01 427890 425888 423887 422888 420891 419893 418894 417896
      418898 420897 422895 424895 425893 425892 427890
 0.01 406093 406091 405088 405086 404084 403083 402082 400083
      399085 398087 398090 398092 398094 399097 401099 402097
      403097 404095 405095 406093
 0.01 392172 391170 391169 390167 388168 387168 388171 389171
      391173 392172
 0.01 389105 388102 386102 384104 386106 388105 389105
 0.01 345182 347172 343165 334163 327160 322158 317157 313156
      312158 316164 323168 330171 338174 341180 344183 345182
 0.01 287808 286805 284802 277799 271796 264795 257799 252802
      248804 250805 259804 268804 274806 282807 287808
 0.25 509256 509251 508245 507240 505234 502231 499228 494226
      494231 496234 499238 502243 503246 504252 507256 509256
 0.25 498263 496256 494250 491245 487240 482240 476240 478246
      480246 483245 488249 492255 494259 496262 498263
 0.25 483837 482829 478823 475818 470816 464815 458817 455823
      453830 453847 455856 458862 461866 466870 473879 476877
      477874 479867 480852 480847 481843 483837
 0.25 470910 470902 469898 468893 465891 463893 460894 458901
      458906 458913 462915 464915 467911 469907 470910 470910
 0.25 432754 433749 431743 428735 424727 421723 418720 414720
      411723 410726 411730 413740 413749 413759 411768 406785
      403792 400800 398808 395814 392820 389828 382844 376858
      370871 340921 337927 332934 323947 308969 305975 303985
      302990 302994 305002 311006 317004 324001 329997 333992
      338986 344981 349976 358966 369958 374954 379949 381944
      382938 386931 391918 398906 405892 408884 411874 413866
      415855 417839 421822 423815 425803 427796 427784 430769
      431760 432754
 0.25 393690 394687 394685 394683 393680 392678 391676 389676
      387677 387680 387682 387684 387686 387687 388689 388691
      389693 390695 391695 392695 393692 393691 393690
 0.25 398071 398067 397067 394067 391068 389069 387070 385072
      382074 381076 381079 383081 386083 390082 391081 393078
      395076 397073 398071
 0.25 381124 377119 373117 369117 362116 357116 354115 350114
      348116 347122 349125 355130 364132 370134 374137 376136
      378128 381124
 0.50 415795 415791 413790 409793 406798 404806 403811 400817
      395826 385849 375869 363889 353905 347916 341927 334936
      330943 318964 313971 309983 308988 307993 308995 314998
      319999 327993 334986 341978 345975 348969 357962 363956
      371949 377938 381926 385917 392908 397896 406875 408860
      410845 412817 414811 414805 415795
 1.00 401846 399843 395844 390851 385859 384866 365893 357908
      350921 345929 340936 335942 332949 326966 322972 319982
      317988 319990 324989 329984 334978 337972 340969 344966
      355956 373932 374926 376921 381914 385906 389900 397885
      399877 400873 400869 400863 399855 401846
 1.50 385886 385880 382880 380882 374887 365898 360907 357914
      350928 341941 338951 336954 339957 346952 352947 355947
      359943 363938 368931 371923 375915 379909 383891 385886
 2.00 376895 372895 369898 364904 360912 357921 355927 353930
      348936 348941 352939 359935 364929 369920 373911 375902
      376895

$$





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