Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 270854
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
453 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2015


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 27/1200 UTC THRU MAY 30/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

NORTHERN INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST INTO NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...

A MID-LEVEL LOW AND SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE INTERIOR NW AND NRN
ROCKIES WILL SLOWLY PRESS DOWNSTREAM ON WED... AS HEIGHT FALLS AND
SMALL SCALE VORTICITY SPREAD OUT INTO THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS. THE UPPER DYNAMICS ADVANCING INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS WILL POSSIBLY IGNITE TWO AREAS FOR POTENTIALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND QPF... ONE IN ADVANCE OF ENERGY LIFTING OFF TO THE
NORTH AND EAST THROUGH THE DAKOTAS AND ANOTHER POSSIBLY EXITING
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO KS AND POSSIBLY SPREADING SOUTH AND EAST
TOWARD OK. WPC WENT WITH AREAL AVG RAINFALL AMOUNTS AOA 1 INCH IN
BOTH LOCALES. MEANWHILE UPSTREAM OVER THE WEST... EXPECT LOW UPPER
HEIGHTS WITH ABNORMALLY COLD TEMPS ALOFT TO INTERACT WITH STRONG
DIURNAL HEATING FOR SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
NRN INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST.

SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER MS VALLEY...

VERY DIFFICULT FORECAST ACROSS THE AREA IMPACTED BY UNPRECEDENTED
RAINFALL THE PAST FEW DAYS AND MONTH... AS HI-RES GUIDANCE AND
OPERATIONAL MODELS ARE ADDING VERY LITTLE CONFIDENCE TO THE
IMMEDIATE SHORT TERM TO THE NEXT 24 HRS. TWO CLUSTERS OF ORGANIZED
CONVECTIVE HEAVY RAINS ARE OCCURRING AT THE MOMENT... ONE NEAR
NERN OK AND ANOTHER MORE LARGER AREA ACROSS NERN/NRN TX. THE
SMALLER ZONE OVER NERN OK APPEARS TO BE FADING BUT SPREADING
DOWNSTREAM TOWARD NWRN AR/SWRN MO BUT MOST MODELS SUGGEST THIS
LOCATION BEING HIGHLIGHTED THROUGH THE FCST PERIOD... ESPECIALLY
NERN/ERN OK. MEANWHILE... THE ORGANIZED COMPLEX OF CONVECTIVE
RAINS OVER NERN TX IS BEGINNING TO ADVANCE DOWNSTREAM TO THE SOUTH
AND EAST POSSIBLY TOWARD SERN TX/SWRN LA. NONE OF THE GUIDANCE
HAVE MUCH OF AN IDEA ON THIS ACTIVITY EXCEPT FOR THE SPC WRF BUT
THIS MODEL WAS TOO SLOW. DUE TO THE LACK OF SUPPORTABLE
GUIDANCE... THIS FCST IS RATHER HUMBLING AS WPC ATTEMPTED TO CARRY
WHATS LEFT OF THE MESOSCALE FEATURE TOWARD SERN TX AND THEN
POSSIBLY RE-DEVELOP HEAVY RAINS ACROSS ERN OK INTO NRN/NERN TX
DURING THE DAY BUT AT THIS POINT ITS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN HOW TO PLAY
OUT.

EASTERN U.S. INTO SOUTH...

A SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE UP ACROSS THE UPPER
MS VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL PROGRESS TO THE NORTH AND
EAST TOWARD SERN CANADA OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS. TWO SHEAR AXES
EXTENDING TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OR OVER THE ERN PORTION OF THE
COUNTRY SHOULD YIELD SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN. THE FIRST SHEAR AXIS IS MOVING INTO WRN PA/WV INTO
NC/SC AT THE MOMENT AND WILL PROCEED THROUGH THE NERN QUAD OF THE
COUNTRY... WHILE THE TAIL END OF THE VORTICITY FADES. THUS EXPECT
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS FROM NRN NEW ENGLAND DOWN INTO THE
MID-ATL REGION WITH RELATIVELY SLOW CELL MOTION... ESPECIALLY INTO
THE MID-ATL REGION AS THE ATLANTIC RIDGE KEEPS STEERING MOTIONS
LIGHT. THE SECOND SHEAR AXIS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN SURFACE COLD
FRONT WILL PRESS THROUGH THE OH AND TN VALLEYS INTO THE SOUTH
YIELDING MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS. THE MOST OPPORTUNE
ACTIVITY APPEARS ACROSS THE SOUTH... AS MORE POOLING MOISTURE WILL
EXIST WITH LIGHTER 850-700MB WINDS.

DAYS 2/3...

...EASTERN U.S....

EXPECT DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION FROM THE MID ATLANTIC SOUTH
INTO THE SOUTHEAST BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOONS. MODELS
WERE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL SETUP AND QPF. THUS
WPC USED A MULTI MODEL BLEND AND ENSEMBLE INFORMATION TO DERIVE
QPF FOR DAYS 2 AND 3. PWAT VALUES ARE GENERALLY ON A DOWNWARD TEND
BY DAY 2...THUS WHILE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS ALWAYS POSSIBLE IN
THUNDERSTORMS...THINK TWO DAY TOTAL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY STAY AT
A HALF INCH OR LESS ON AVERAGE...WITH MORE OF THAT FALLING ON
THURSDAY THAN FRIDAY. BETTER LARGE SCALE FORCING ACROSS NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND AS A SHORTWAVE TRACKS ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY. THUS
SHOULD SEE A BIT BETTER ORGANIZED STORMS UP THERE...AND GIVEN PWAT
VALUES AROUND 2 SD ABOVE NORMAL...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE.
BUT GIVEN THE FAST MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM...AMOUNTS SHOULD
GENERALLY STAY UNDER A HALF INCH.

...SOUTHERN PLAINS...

TO START THURSDAY...PRETTY LOW CONFIDENCE ON WHAT WILL BE ONGOING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH REGARDS TO CONVECTION. NO REAL
FOCUS FOR ANYTHING AND MODEL SIGNALS ARE NOT TOO STRONG. THUS FOR
NOW JUST WENT WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW QPF TO ACCOUNT FOR
SCATTERED ACTIVITY...THAT MAY TEND TO INCREASE A BIT IN COVERAGE
WITH DAYTIME HEATING. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER
THAT STORMS SHOULD FORM ALONG THE DRY LINE ACROSS WESTERN TEXAS AS
A SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE AREA. PRETTY GOOD SIGNAL AMONG THE
GUIDANCE THAT AN MCS MAY TRY TO EVENTUALLY DEVELOP OUT OF THESE
STORMS. GIVEN THE MODERATE TO HIGH INSTABILITY EXPECTED ACROSS
TEXAS...THE INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET AND MOISTURE FLUX...AND THE
LARGE SCALE FORCING FROM THE SHORTWAVE...SEEMS VERY POSSIBLE THAT
AN MCS WILL FORM ACROSS WESTERN TEXAS THURSDAY EVENING. ANY SYSTEM
THAT DOES FORM WILL PROPAGATE OFF TO THE EAST AND EVENTUALLY
SOUTHEAST. WPC FOLLOWED A MODEL AND ENSEMBLE COMPROMISE FOR A
STARTING POINT FOR QPF...BUT TRIED TO DEPICT THE IDEA OF AN MCS
MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST...ON THE QUICKER SIDE OF GUIDANCE GIVEN THE
EXPECTED PROPAGATION AND THE TENDENCY FOR THESE SYSTEMS TO MOVE A
BIT FASTER EAST THAN MODELED. HAVE EXPANDED THE DAY 1 SLIGHT RISK
TO THE SOUTH TO BETTER HIGHLIGHT THE POTENTIAL MCS RISK...SO IT
NOW INCLUDES A GOOD PORTION OF CENTRAL TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA.

THE DAY 3 FORECAST AGAIN STARTS UNCERTAIN...AS IS DEPENDENT ON
WHAT HAPPENS WITH THE THURSDAY NIGHT POTENTIAL MCS. FOR NOW HAVE
THE SYSTEM DISSIPATING BY FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS AS
IT OUT RUNS THE BETTER FORCING AND WE START TO LOSE THE BETTER LOW
LEVEL INFLOW. BUT THIS IS STILL UNCERTAIN. SHOULD SEE AFTERNOON
REDEVELOPMENT ACROSS OKLAHOMA ND NORTHERN TEXAS AS A COLD FRONT
PUSHES SOUTH INTO THE REGION INTO AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS. PWAT VALUES
WILL STILL BE RUNNING 1 TO 2 SD ABOVE THE MEAN ACROSS THE AREA SO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS AGAIN PROBABLE. HOWEVER LESS LARGE SCALE
UPPER FORCING WILL BE PRESENT...AND THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW/MOISTURE
FLUX IS NOT AS IMPRESSIVE. THUS LESS CERTAIN ON AN ORGANIZED FLASH
FLOOD THREAT. SO OPTED TO LEAVE OUT A SLIGHT RISK AT THIS
TIME...BUT WILL NEED TO BE REEVALUATED AS WE GET
CLOSER...ESPECIALLY GIVEN HOW SATURATED THE AREA IS. AS SOME SIGNS
THAT STORMS MAY TRY TO ORGANIZE BY FRIDAY EVENING AND DIVE SOUTH
INTO THE BETTER INSTABILITY ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. OVERALL WPC
STARTED WITH A MULTI MODEL BLEND...WITH QPF DERIVED FROM THAT
ALONG WITH ENSEMBLE PROBABILITIES.

...GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES/CENTRAL-NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS IN
COVERAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
PLAINS AS THE LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
SHORTWAVE. ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT
BEGINS TO WORK SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. BY DAY 3...DIFFERENCES
IN THE TIMING OF THE FRONT BEGIN TO SHOW UP...WITH THE GFS ON THE
FASTER SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE AND THE ECMWF ON THE SLOWER...AND THE
CMC AND UKMET IN BETWEEN. OVERALL THE TREND HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY
QUICKER...BUT THE GFS SEEMS LIKE IT COULD BE A BIT TOO FAST. THUS
A GENERAL BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE GUIDANCE WAS USED...WHICH SEEMED
LIKE A GOOD COMPROMISE AND MATCHED THE ECMWF/SREF/GFS ENSEMBLE
MEANS PRETTY WELL. TWO DAY TOTAL QPF FEATURES A LARGE AREA OF OVER
A HALF INCH...WITH AROUND AN INCH FROM WESTERN WISCONSIN AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...SOUTH INTO CENTRAL IOWA AND EASTERN KANSAS.

AS THE WAVE MENTIONED ABOVE MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND
NORTHERN ROCKIES ON THURSDAY...EXPECT MORE CONVECTION ACROSS THE
AREA...FOCUSED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. STILL SHOULD SEE SOME
ACTIVITY ON FRIDAY...BUT WITH THE TROUGH OFF TO THE
EAST...INTENSITY AND COVERAGE SHOULD BE ON A DECREASING TREND.
OVERALL THE GUIDANCE WAS IN GOOD AGREEMENT...THUS WPC QPF WAS
BASED ON THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...ADJUSTED BASED ON THE LATEST
MODEL CONSENSUS.

MUSHER/CHENARD

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 534212 535198 534183 533171 529162 522146 515130 513126
      512120 511112 511105 510102 510098 511091 508078 505066
      503060 504055 503052 501046 501035 502016 498991 496979
      496972 493968 484954 479951 471952 467956 465961 464966
      460969 454971 450968 446970 442973 440975 438973 435970
      432968 427970 421970 417970 416966 417959 417954 415952
      410954 407951 401950 395947 393950 390950 389947 386940
      384936 384931 383924 386916 393897 397886 400882 405880
      410877 413873 419865 423862 430860 436860 439856 441852
      444851 444858 441863 439866 435868 427873 426876 428879
      432879 434881 437892 441899 443900 444903 446907 452914
      455918 459921 468925 472927 474927 474924 474919 475915
      472912 469910 465905 464900 468898 471894 474892 476895
      480904 482902 485901 487896 488890 491881 493871 495861
      496856 498852 506834 515810 523789 525783 527777 530763
      535739 535733 534730 531717 528709 527700 520679 519673
      516668 511658 509652 506647 502644 498640 495637 492639
      483644 475651 468661 465664 465660 466654 465650 464649
      456650 451651 447654 442660 438667 437675 440683 438695
      439700 437703 432707 420722 416726 413725 412722 413717
      416711 426695 428687 425691 423695 417702 411708 405712
      400718 392733 378747 371755 368758 363761 354768 348775
      336789 325803 314816 308822 302827 298832 297835 292836
      280837 275838 272842 267847 273856 277860 280865 284874
      288883 289887 287889 285893 284898 285902 286907 289911
      293918 294922 294930 292947 287954 286957 289959 293962
      296966 295970 294976 292981 293984 294989 291993 288993
      287996 289997 292006 293014 296013 298015 299021 301025
      298025 292020
 0.01 292020 288022 288027 291030 291033 293035 292038 290038
      288035 285034 277037 268041 265043 266048 272055 289060
      301055 313054 316053 320055 323057 329058 332058 334056
      338054 345049 351043 352039 357039 360040 360044 358047
      357053 359058 359061 357064 357068 360068 364070 369073
      371074 372077 373082 375085 376091 375096 375098 373099
      370100 368103 368106 372104 381099 385100 385105 385108
      384111 380114 379117 383120 384125 389126 391130 388132
      385131 382132 379137 380140 379154 379161 380166 383170
      383177 374177 369178 366180 364182 365186 367188 372190
      382190 386188 388187 386185 385179 389176 393175 397171
      402172 405177 409174 422176 428171 433174 430179 430182
      432186 438193 441195 444193 447194 448197 454194 455189
      457185 470173 478169 482171 482176 479180 480185 482195
      480199 477200 472204 464206 460207 461213 463216 468217
      472214 475214 477213 487216 491217 495220 502235 506245
      508248 513247 518225 526217 528216 532216 534212
 0.01 461825 459815 457810 457805 454802 452802 450804 447810
      444817 440825 439829 437832 436836 437840 442846 445848
      447845 451844 454842 457839 458835 460827 461825
 0.01 449763 448761 446762 445764 445766 447768 448765 449763
 0.01 442171 441167 440165 438163 436160 434157 432156 429156
      430161 431163 433165 434169 436172 437174 439172 442171
 0.01 433083 432080 430078 429080 428081 427082 427084 428086
      430086 432085 433083
 0.01 424079 424077 425075 425072 424070 422070 421072 420072
      419074 418074 417076 418078 418081 420082 421082 423081
      423080 424079
 0.01 414727 412725 411726 409727 407728 407729 406730 405731
      405734 406734 408733 409731 410730 411729 413728 414727
 0.01 422062 422060 422058 421057 420057 419060 418062 419063
      421063 422062
 0.01 403739 401738 400739 399740 400741 402740 403739
 0.01 406049 404047 404045 404044 405042 405040 405038 405037
      403035 401036 400037 400039 400041 399042 398044 399046
      401048 402049 404049 406049 406049
 0.01 391100 390099 389098 388096 387096 385095 383097 385099
      386099 386100 388102 390102 391100
 0.01 389041 389036 388034 387031 385029 383026 381026 381031
      379033 377035 378037 380041 383041 386043 388043 389041
 0.01 311026 311024 310022 309022 307023 307024 305025 306028
      308027 310027 311026
 0.01 307032 306031 305031 303030 301030 299031 301033 303033
      304034 306033 307032
 0.01 299031 297030 295030 294031 295032 297032 299031
 0.01 293046 294044 293042 291043 293046 293046
 0.01 260819 257817 252816 250812 249808 245806 239807 237810
      236814 238818 240821 243823 247825 252824 256822 259820
      260819
 0.25 526733 521708 517699 515696 512695 508695 504697 493702
      486704 477704 473704 469701 469694 471691 475684 478681
      479677 478671 476668 470669 467673 465678 464683 461686
      458687 438713 435717 433721 429725 425728 417732 410740
      407743 404747 400754 396760 393762 390760 381759 377759
      376763 372766 368770 369773 371774 375774 378775 382775
      390772 396768 402764 407759 414754 419754 422753 425747
      427746 428758 429763 432766 435763 437759 440752 441747
      441740 442735 445732 450730 453725 459716 462713 465712
      464717 464723 464728 465734 464744 465755 467761 467767
      468774 470780 472785 473790 474803 472810 472823 471831
      468843 468848 468855 460874 461878 464882 468880 471877
      476871 480865 488847 493837 497826 511794 519771 522761
      524749 526740 526733
 0.25 497049 497044 496041 494035 491025 494015 489983 465987
      458987 453985 450983 449984 448989 450991 455995 456999
      455003 452003 446007 441012 437015 439021 444027 448032
      452037 440040 441045 443047 450048 454049 456052 457055
      459058 467059 471061 475067 478059 481042 482039 484044
      487050 493053 496051 497049
 0.25 488030 488025 486022 481015 477009 475006 473006 470008
      468011 464019 462021 464025 469025 471023 476024 479032
      480035 482034 488030
 0.25 477129 475124 472120 471115 470110 471105 469099 469095
      471092 470088 468086 464087 460087 457089 455083 453076
      454068 451065 447066 443067 442070 445074 448077 451081
      452088 450100 444110 440107 437110 436115 439117 439120
      440134 441140 444145 447147 449147 453146 456147 457149
      460153 466155 469155 472154 473151 472148 469146 466142
      467138 476131 477129
 0.25 433118 433115 431113 426112 419111 416110 413110 410113
      409109 413103 414097 414094 412092 409093 408096 406102
      399111 397113 397116 400122 415137 413142 408141 401140
      399138 396138 389145 388160 389163 392163 392156 394149
      397147 399147 406147 410146 413151 415154 417154 422143
      425127 429123 433118
 0.25 425791 424786 422789 419794 417797 417802 415804 414809
      416814 419813 422808 423803 424798 425793 425791
 0.25 419825 417820 413818 410818 407822 401828 397836 394841
      393845 396850 394856 387867 379874 373875 366875 356873
      348877 347882 345886 339895 337897 335895 334888 335882
      336878 339877 343877 346873 346862 348857 349852 348847
      349843 351831 348826 343824 339821 335822 332827 331835
      323843 320844 317843 314840 310837 306838 293848 292854
      296857 299856 302860 307873 308877 308881 306888 303899
      303906 302912 301922 299934 296945 296950 297956 304966
      305972 305981 304988 305992 306996 309999 315000 329991
      333988 335983 340982 344978 359977 362977 363980 364987
      364993 362998 359004 363006 368009 371016 376017 380019
      386021 395026 401029 408030 414032 416028 413016 404012
      401007 401003 403001 406000 408995 409992 409988 405984
      401981 395979 392979 389980 385983 380983 377979 372977
      370976 368974 365963 363952 359945 350922 352916 356910
      366905 369900 373897 376893 378888 380885 386885 390882
      392879 398869 405859 409846 409840 410836 416832 419825
 0.25 398055 397054 395053 394052 393052 392053 390054 391057
      393058 395057 397056 398055
 0.25 365843 365840 364840 363841 362843 363844 365843 365843
 0.25 360816 360814 359813 358812 357811 355810 353811 352813
      352814 351815 350817 350818 349820 350822 351822 352822
      354822 355821 356821 358820 358819 359817 360816
 0.25 355897 351894 346897 344903 343905 340906 337906 335904
      335902 331900 329902 330906 333909 335912 336913 340912
      344908 349906 352901 355897
 0.25 354005 351001 349998 350993 348989 344987 340989 338993
      337998 335003 335006 336011 339012 342011 345011 349009
      353006 354005
 0.25 345809 345807 344805 342804 340804 338804 336806 335808
      334808 334811 335813 335815 336816 337815 338815 339814
      341813 342812 343812 344810 345809
 0.25 334030 334027 330026 328028 326031 325033 324035 324040
      324043 326042 329040 331038 332036 333032 334030
 0.25 332817 330814 328813 324814 323815 321817 319820 318822
      316825 315828 318829 321827 324825 325824 327822 330820
      332817
 0.25 321012 321009 321007 321005 320003 318001 317001 315001
      315003 315004 315005 315006 314007 314009 314011 315011
      316012 318013 320013 321012
 0.50 520739 520730 518722 516717 511715 507718 504722 500736
      496747 492761 485786 480814 479829 478837 477845 477849
      479850 481847 485841 488836 497812 507789 515764 518753
      520739
 0.50 495046 494043 494041 493041 492038 491036 489037 488038
      488040 488043 489043 489045 490047 491048 492049 493048
      495046
 0.50 474675 474672 473671 471672 470672 469674 469676 468676
      468679 469681 471680 472679 473677 474676 474675
 0.50 489997 489996 488995 487993 486992 485991 484991 483992
      482994 483997 483998 484000 485000 487000 488000 488999
      489997
 0.50 460694 460691 459691 457691 455693 455695 456697 457697
      458697 459695 460694
 0.50 465129 463127 459126 456127 454128 451127 447126 445128
      445132 448133 452132 455132 459134 460133 463131 465129
 0.50 471038 467035 462031 459027 456020 456015 455013 451015
      452025 454030 457035 460040 465044 468044 470041 471038
 0.50 463099 462097 461097 460095 460096 460099 460101 461103
      463102 463100 463099
 0.50 462996 463994 462993 460991 459991 458990 457991 456991
      457992 457993 458995 460996 462996 462996
 0.50 449017 451015 449014 448014 447015 447017 449017 449017
 0.50 434732 433730 430729 427730 424731 422732 419735 419738
      421739 424739 426740 430740 431737 433735 434732
 0.50 403993 404989 403988 398984 387988 383990 382993 382997
      383007 388017 391020 397022 400020 399014 394013 396011
      394009 392011 390009 396002 395997 396995 399994 403993
 0.50 392766 392764 390762 389762 388762 386762 384762 383762
      381763 380764 380766 380768 382770 384771 385770 387770
      387769 389769 390768 392766 392766
 0.50 381013 379008 377003 378999 378994 375990 372988 369988
      367992 366998 368003 371007 372010 376014 378015 381013
 0.50 362969 362965 361961 359958 355952 354945 353939 350935
      344936 345943 343944 340943 341939 336930 331931 328935
      325939 319938 315937 311938 305936 301936 301939 299944
      300949 302955 307959 312960 314964 311977 309983 310988
      313993 317993 319990 319984 322980 324978 327978 333975
      339969 346960 348966 350970 355972 361971 362969
 0.50 343842 343841 342840 341839 339840 338841 337841 336843
      336844 335845 334847 334848 334849 335850 336851 337850
      338849 340848 340847 341846 342845 343843 343842
 0.50 346002 346000 345998 344996 342996 340997 338999 337002
      338004 338005 340005 342004 344004 346002
 0.50 330865 331863 331861 329860 328860 326861 325864 326865
      326866 328866 330866 330865
 0.50 328855 328852 327851 327853 326855 327856 328855
 0.50 324894 325889 324885 323882 321880 319881 318883 317888
      316892 316894 316898 317900 320901 322899 323896 324894
 0.50 318922 318920 318917 317916 315917 315918 314920 314922
      313924 313926 313928 314930 315928 315927 316926 317924
      317923 318922
 0.50 312869 313867 313864 313862 311861 310861 309863 308865
      309867 310868 312869 312869
 1.00 341954 340952 339951 339952 338954 339956 341954
 1.00 337960 336958 336957 335956 334954 333954 332953 330953
      328953 328954 327954 325956 325958 325960 326962 326965
      326967 328968 330967 332965 332964 334963 335962 336962
      337960

24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 490613 493629 496640 498649 498657 498671 499681 498687
      498693 498701 496716 494729 490746 487755 482764 478772
      473778 465775 463775 462772 460768 456757 451749 448744
      443743 438743 433742 426744 423744 420747 414749 410752
      407755 406759 402771 399788 396808 397816 399821 398827
      398835 394856 391865 389875 388884 388888 390892 401892
      409891 414889 421887 425884 429877 435869 438866 442865
      447865 450867 457871 461873 464871 468868 470864 472856
      474852 477849 483841 497798 500792 502785 505778 508776
      518773 524772 527773 532780 537784 543790 545792 547798
      552825 557851 559866 558879 557887 557897 558912 559932
      558941 557948 555955 555960 559973 561982 562987 563993
      560024 559029 557034 553040 547050 543057 537066 535070
      533072 533075 529086 525100 526109 528117 532130 538152
      543171 544177 543181 540200 534217 526239 525241 522242
      519238 517235 516232 516229 518222 517217 511209 477215
      471218 466219 465218 463215 466212 473206 479201 484192
      483181 479175 477170 474166 467161 461159 456162 449165
      443164 439160 436155 434150 433146 434143 432136 431134
      428132 424135 422138 416134 410129 407127 403126 398127
      400129 405135 409138 413141 411143 405143 395143 387146
      384143 384138 387134 388131 385129 376129 375122 376115
      377101 378093 377085 371068 368066 364061 356056 345055
      339055 336056 326056 320053 307052 302051 299049 294046
      291043 282039 266030 257025 251025 250021 268001 282995
      285992 286986 286981 285974 285967 288960
 0.01 288960 292948 291930 288919 284910 281905 281900 282892
      283885 282878 276875 268872 266870 263870 264868 269864
      273859 279853 282849 287847 312841 319840 322838 327828
      339807 342797 344792 348789 351784 354779 360769 368761
      373753 379744 386733 393725 396715 400704 403701 405701
      409705 412708 410713 412715 414715 418712 427705 433700
      436695 439691 442686 446677 465632 469626 472619
 0.01 463178 463174 461172 459170 457169 453168 451171 451173
      452176 454179 455180 459182 461180 463178
 0.01 476014 476010 475007 475002 473996 472993 470992 467994
      465995 464998 463006 463013 465018 465022 468021 469018
      473016 476014
 0.01 375186 373185 372184 372183 370182 368182 366182 364184
      366185 368185 369186 371186 373187 375187 375186
 0.01 248812 247804 244799 242793 240787 235788 231792 231798
      232806 234812 235820 237824 243821 246817 248812
 0.25 552906 552889 551875 550860 548847 545836 542822 538810
      533802 528796 523792 520791 517792 512799 509809 507820
      502837 499848 496855 482866 481870 482874 483881 483892
      484898 483904 481909 478913 472916 470917 469914 468910
      465907 458905 449903 446904 443909 439915 433917 429919
      429926 430930 429934 426936 421937 417938 411939 409945
      405947 396948 391956 386965 383971 381972 378969 377958
      378947 377942 375937 371932 362922 355918 348915 344915
      342912 338904 335892 336887 336883 344866 348858 350849
      354843 359836 362830 367824 368817 368812 369807 371802
      372800 370797 369794 372790 376788 380790 382791 380795
      378800 378805 383806 386802 389794 389789 383789 385781
      386775 385770 383765 379763 374768 369782 367786 365788
      359792 351807 343824 339834 337839 335842 323855 320858
      315860 310860 307859 303861 303865 305869 309875 310881
      309887 311903 309908 307912 305920 304925 305933 308939
      313943 318944 324945 327946 328954 323962 314974 306987
      303994 299999 293004 284005 280006 276008 273016 271020
      271024 272026 276029 280030 295038 319040 327040 334038
      342035 352034 357030 361025 366020 370014 388016 392020
      397021 404019 413018 418017 422017 429024 434020 440014
      444007 455994 458987 462981 466976 472972 476972 479973
      484979 488981 491982 494981 500975 509957 513948 517937
      523921 525917 527915 533922 537926 541933 544935 546931
      549922 551912 552906
 0.25 524200 524195 523192 521183 519178 517176 510177 504173
      496170 492170 493173 498178 504184 509188 515194 517202
      521204 523202 524200
 0.25 492661 490649 487642 486636 483633 478637 474644 472651
      468659 464665 461672 458679 454695 454702 456707 461710
      468711 474714 478712 481710 484704 488695 489688 491678
      492669 492661
 0.25 480125 479117 478108 477100 475095 473088 470081 468068
      461057 456055 451051 445041 445037 442033 435030 432029
      432034 434047 435052 433055 430056 428058 423062 421067
      431092 436104 439109 442113 449124 455135 459138 463140
      466140 473133 478129 480125
 0.25 410068 408067 407067 406068 407068 408068 410069 410068
 0.25 336936 334936 333936 334937 336937 336936
 0.50 531843 530838 528834 525832 520832 517832 512835 509839
      506847 502857 499863 494868 491877 491879 493885 498890
      498896 492916 490922 484925 478930 476934 475939 476947
      472954 467959 464962 464964 466967 470967 474963 476961
      480962 486967 492965 496962 498959 502957 506949 509941
      510934 513923 517915 521897 524889 526885 526879 521863
      520858 521854 526849 530846 531843
 0.50 487663 485656 484651 482649 479651 474655 470660 467666
      465672 466677 468679 473682 477684 481682 484677 487669
      487663
 0.50 461096 461087 460081 456076 452071 448067 446072 448078
      451083 452088 450092 446095 448100 453104 456104 458103
      461096
 0.50 462964 460963 459962 457960 456962 455963 455964 455965
      456966 457967 459967 459966 460965 462964
 0.50 454947 454946 452945 452944 450943 449942 449941 447941
      445942 444945 444947 445949 447951 449951 450951 452951
      454949 454947
 0.50 430961 429957 427954 424954 423959 421962 418964 412962
      408962 403963 398968 394975 391979 389983 391986 389991
      387995 385000 383008 397006 405008 411007 418003 422998
      424995 426990 428983 428972 429964 430961
 0.50 359011 356002 354997 351995 354987 357978 354957 353948
      352943 348943 345950 339957 334965 330969 324975 317980
      312988 308994 301012 298014 294013 287009 282009 279011
      279018 276023 275026 280028 286029 290031 295031 298028
      301027 304030 305036 307033 306030 303026 299023 297023
      293022 295018 300018 309019 312020 314025 318027 321031
      325033 329031 334027 339026 341027 344028 345024 340017
      338015 338010 359011
 1.00 510905 511903 511900 511898 510895 510893 509895 508896
      508898 508900 508903 508906 507908 508910 509908 510907
      510905
 1.00 494934 495932 495929 494928 493927 492926 492927 491928
      489929 489930 488932 487933 487934 487936 488937 489938
      491938 492937 493937 494934 494934
 1.00 343987 344979 343974 339973 336975 330980 322984 315989
      311996 310003 311007 312013 316015 322007 328002 331999
      333996 339991 343987

24HR QP VT 30/12Z
 0.01 538207 536197 537189 536182 539148 536142 533138 529132
      527128 525111 523104 521101 516100 513102 505105 498108
      491111 489114 491117 492119 496121 498124 503125 507127
      504130 497133 493134 490134 488131 480127 475126 471125
      470123 469107 466101 464094 459085 458076 459068 460052
      459040 456029 455020 453015 453010 454004 455000 461979
      465970 469960 473949 478940 484930 489919 499898 503890
      506881 515859 521842 524839 527838 531836 531833 530828
      529820 528815 527806 528790 528785 527780 511728 506721
      503720 500723 494728 490732 477747 471753 466759 456775
      444791 432807 428812 425817 421820 419822 418820 416818
      414814 417809 422802 423793 426786 420780 416776 413775
      407770 401765 396759 392758 387757 378762 373764 370767
      349807 344823 336843 333850 329856 327859 323861 313861
      303863 295868 292870 294873 302876 303880 301885 300890
      296895 289904 288910 288917 286920 286927 288936 288941
      290945 285951 276962 277966 279968 277971 274972 270974
      269980 268982 275989 280997 283006 283010 285012 289013
      292017 297019 303021 306026 310037 312042 315045 320048
      329054 340055 357057 363058 365058 369060 367063 378076
      390078 394080 399081 401079 404080 411081 417091 418093
      421094 423097 421100 418102 415107 413106 413103 411098
      409094 406095 406100 404104 396106 398110 396114 398115
      401116 405115 408117 413118 416118 418121 420123 421127
      421130 422137 427127 433120 436119 440121 438129 436135
      435144 435150 436153 438154 445155 448159 451161 455161
      459154 464149 466147 470145 472146 474149 473157 474163
      476165 479169 479176 480182 482186 489195 495200
 0.01 495200 504202 508206 509210 511216 511223 513234 514245
      516256 518268 520266 521261 525249 527233 531224 533217
      535213 538207
 0.01 443220 444217 440216 438216 435217 433218 429218 427219
      425220 423222 425223 429224 430223 434223 436222 439221
      441221 443220
 0.01 309818 308812 304805 299797 295794 289791 280790 275788
      267788 254791 248792 244796 244802 242807 243815 245821
      247827 250830 256831 257828 257823 255818 257818 261821
      261828 262835 264838 268842 274845 279845 285844 296843
      300841 297837 293834 291831 294828 296824 297818 300817
      305817 309818
 0.01 303038 304035 303032 301031 296030 292029 288024 283018
      277018 277028 276038 276044 278045 286044 291040 299039
      303038
 0.25 530213 530203 529194 527187 524182 520181 516178 515175
      515172 512170 501164 495164 492168 492173 493176 495182
      497185 499187 505189 512191 514195 517203 519208 524213
      530213
 0.25 519811 519795 517787 515784 509778 506778 504776 501770
      498761 497752 494749 489754 484761 479767 477772 475778
      473782 470786 460791 454796 451803 447811 442818 438827
      433835 427842 417847 403855 391864 379875 375878 371878
      367881 364886 359891 356894 354898 350904 346912 343920
      337926 331934 325943 319958 317968 316973 316979 316992
      320000 326007 328013 329019 330029 332033 335036 339038
      343037 350033 356029 362023 376009 380002 385994 391988
      394982 399975 405969 410968 413969 419970 423974 427972
      429969 433971 437973 442971 447964 456949 465927 471909
      474900 478892 488879 494869 498857 503850 509845 512837
      515827 519811
 0.25 447070 444064 440060 439057 440051 443047 446040 443034
      441028 440021 438013 434009 429014 427019 424037 422044
      423048 424051 427057 431061 435065 438069 444073 447070
 0.25 403053 401048 397046 390041 385040 383038 379030 369030
      370035 367038 365038 364041 365045 368050 372052 383053
      387054 391057 395058 398057 403053
 0.25 373803 371799 368800 365803 363807 361812 359815 357819
      356824 357826 359822 363819 366817 369813 371809 373805
      373803
 0.25 355830 355828 354826 353828 353830 352831 353833 355831
      355830
 0.25 356872 356870 356868 355867 353866 352866 351866 350866
      348868 349870 349873 350874 352875 353875 354874 355873
      356872
 0.50 502821 501817 499814 498806 495804 494799 489799 488797
      488793 486788 483787 480788 478790 473795 468799 462802
      460807 461810 457811 456815 451823 439849 436852 433853
      425857 417860 412866 408871 404878 402885 397890 388900
      379916 375919 369923 357929 352933 346939 336952 330964
      328970 328978 334019 335025 336028 340030 344029 347027
      352022 356005 360997 366992 377984 382980 386975 389969
      394963 410957 415954 423952 437951 442952 447947 452939
      456930 462917 468903 470895 472885 475876 478873 482871
      486865 489856 495844 500831 502821
 1.00 420926 420924 419923 418924 417924 416926 416928 415928
      415931 416933 417932 418931 419928 420926
 1.00 388947 388943 384942 379944 373948 368950 361948 357952
      350964 346970 343969 341978 340986 341990 344992 349989
      353983 355978 359970 362965 371957 376952 380952 386950
      388947
 1.00 345019 346017 345016 343016 342017 341017 341019 341020
      343020 345020 345019
 1.00 340006 341004 342002 342000 342997 342995 340993 340995
      339997 338998 338999 338000 339002 339004 340006 340006

$$





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