Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 232114
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
413 PM EST FRI FEB 23 2018


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 24/0000 UTC THRU FEB 27/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


UPDATE...

MADE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 PACKAGE.

PEREIRA

DAY 1...

...NORTHEAST TX/SOUTHEAST OK---EAST NORTHEAST INTO PORTION OF THE
LOWER TN---LOWER MS VALLEYS AND ACROSS ALL OF THE OH VALLEY...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL CONTINUE FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY
INTO THE OH VALLEY THROUGH SATURDAY. IN FACT EXPECT SIGNIFICANT
AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING TO DEVELOP OVER A
LONG CORRIDOR FROM AR NORTHEAST ALONG THE OH RIVER INTO KY AND FAR
SOUTHERN IN. THE OVERALL FLASH FLOOD THREAT MAY REMAIN IN A LULL
INTO THE OVERNIGHT BEFORE RAMPING UP TOMORROW. THE LEAD WAVE
CURRENTLY OVER OK WILL MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE OH VALLEY
TONIGHT. THE AXIS OF RAINFALL WITH THIS ACTIVITY IS GENERALLY
NORTHWEST OF THE HEAVIEST AXIS THE LAST FEW DAYS...AND LIMITED
INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP TOTALS AND RATES FROM GETTING TOO
IMPRESSIVE. MAY HOWEVER SEE SOME HEAVIER RATES DEVELOP TOWARDS
MORNING ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VICINITY...AS ENHANCED 850 MB
MOISTURE TRANSPORT AHEAD OF THE WAVE RUNS INTO THE STALLED OUT
BOUNDARY IN THE AREA.

THINGS RAMP UP ON SATURDAY AS A STRONG WAVE EJECTS EAST INTO THE
PLAINS. OVERALL AN IMPRESSIVE SYNOPTIC SETUP...WITH LIFT AHEAD OF
THE WAVE AND A DUAL JET STRUCTURE IN PLACE...WITH THE REGION IN
BOTH THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE SUBTROPICAL JET AND RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION OF THE NORTHERN STREAM JET. PWAT VALUES WILL
REMAIN AROUND CLIMATOLOGICAL RECORD VALUES AS WELL. ANTICIPATE
CONVECTION WILL BREAK OUT ACROSS NORTHERN TX AND SOUTHERN OK
DURING THE EARLY TO MID MORNING HOURS. THIS CONVECTION WILL
INTENSIFY THROUGH THE MORNING AND TRANSITION INTO A LINEAR LINE
MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS CONVECTION WILL BE INTENSE
AND LOCALLY SEVERE IN NATURE...WITH HEAVY RAINFALL RATES LIKELY
FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO SOUTHEAST OK AND MUCH OF AR. COULD
POTENTIALLY SEE SOME CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS
LINE ACROSS AR...WHICH COULD MERGE WITH THE CONVECTIVE LINE. IF
THIS HAPPENS AMOUNTS WILL BE EVEN HIGHER OVER AR. EITHER
WAY...GIVEN THE VERY SATURATED CONDITIONS...EVEN A PROGRESSIVE
LINE DROPPING 1-2"+ OF RAIN IN A SH0RT TIME WILL PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOOD CONCERNS. A BETTER TRAINING SETUP APPEARS
TO BE UNFOLDING FROM NORTHEAST AR NORTHEAST ALONG THE OH RIVER. IT
IS HERE WHERE PERSISTENT STRONG 850 MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL
PUSH NORTHEAST ALONG THE EARLIER STALLED OUT BOUNDARY. THIS SHOULD
SUPPORT SOME SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST TRAINING FROM SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN RATHER
PROGRESSIVE...SO THE DURATION OF THIS TRAINING WILL BE CAPPED BY
THAT...HOWEVER IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT THE TRAINING PERIOD WILL BE
LONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD CONCERNS
GIVEN SATURATED ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS.

WPC QPF STARTED CLOSE TO A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE HIGH RES
GUIDANCE...AND BY LATE IN THE PERIOD WE STAYED CLOSER TO THE HRW
ARW AND ARW2 WHICH WHICH SEEMED TO SHOW REASONABLE EVOLUTION. THE
GLOBAL MODELS WERE SLIGHTLY FURTHER NORTH...AND WHILE WE PREFER TO
STAY CLOSER TO THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE...WE BLENDED SOME OF THESE
GLOBAL MODELS INTO OUR QPF...AS THE EXACT AXIS IS UNCERTAIN. THE
NEW WPC DAY 1 QPF IS THUS SHIFTED A BIT SOUTH FROM OUR PREVIOUS
FORECAST.

SO TO SUMMARIZE...A SIGNIFICANT FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD RISK WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH THE WORST CONDITIONS EXPECTED
FROM MID TO LATE MORNING SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT....PROGRESSING NORTHEASTWARD WITH TIME. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
THE LARGE AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL...ALTHOUGH THE NORMAL
UNCERTAINTIES WITH THE EXACT AXIS OF HIGHEST TOTALS REMAINS.


DAYS 2/3...


...MID-SOUTH NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND ACROSS THE
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC...

***SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING EVENT LIKELY ONGOING SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY FROM THE OZARKS UP  THE OHIO VALLEY***

A HIGH RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS IN EFFECT FROM 12Z SATURDAY
TO 12Z SUNDAY ROUGHLY ALONG AN AXIS FROM THE OUACHITA MOUNTAINS
AND HOT SPRINGS AR...TO CINCINNATI OH. A MODERATE RISK EXTENDS
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEASTERN TX AND NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWESTERN PA. A
SLIGHT RISK SURROUNDS AND INCLUDES NORTHERN MS...WITH A MARGINAL
RISK IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN GULF COAST AROUND TO DALLAS
TX TO PHILADELPHIA PA.

HIGH CONCERN IS FOR A POTENTIAL HIGH-IMPACT FLOODING EVENT ACROSS
A BROAD SWATH OF THE COUNTRY AS HEAVY RAIN RATES ARE LIKELY TO
PASS OVER AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN
IN THE PAST WEEK (UP TO 10 INCHES IN WEST CENTRAL AR)...HAVE
ONGOING RAINFALL THROUGH TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE DAY 2 EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL PERIOD. THE CUMULATIVE EFFECT OF SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL THIS WEEK HAS HYDROLOGICALLY PRIMED AN EXTENSIVE REGION
FOR FLASH FLOODING.

THIS ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE DRIVEN BY CONTINUED NORTHWARD
SURGES OF ANOMALOUSLY HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES IN A PLUME OF
DEEP MOISTURE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING
LOW MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS SATURDAY. PW
OF 1.5 INCHES...3 TO 4 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL...ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD UP THE HIGH RISK AREA...AND RICHER LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BE DRIVEN NORTH BY A MODEL-FORECAST 50-70 KNOT
LOW-LEVEL JET. THE EXPECTATION IS THAT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL
OCCUR ALONG THE TRACK OF THE NOSE OF THIS LLJ. WHILE THE 12Z ECMWF
IS SLIGHTLY FARTHER NORTH OF THE 12Z GFS...HI-RES MODELS INCLUDING
THE ARW AND ARW2 WERE GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH PLACEMENT
OF THIS SWATH OF HEAVIEST RAIN. THE HEAVY RAIN SHOULD ALSO BE
FOCUSED BY VERY FAVORABLE JET COUPLING. WPC QPF WAS WEIGHTED
TOWARD A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS/ARW/ARW2. OVERALL THIS PLACED
THE FOCUS FOR HEAVIEST RAIN SLIGHTLY SOUTH. THE HIGH RISK WAS
COORDINATED AMONG AFFECTED WFOS AND RFCS.

RAIN RATES WITH THIS WAVE OF PRECIPITATION APPEAR LIKELY TO BE
HEAVIER THAN SOME OF THE RECENT EVENTS OVER THE PAST WEEK GIVEN
THE INCREASED FORCING OF THE FRONTAL AND JET. DEVELOPING
CONVECTION SHOULD HAVE ACCESS TO A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
(CONSIDERING THE TIME OF YEAR)...WITH MUCAPE AROUND 1000 J/KG FROM
EAST TEXAS INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND WESTERN TENNESSEE...AND
MUCAPE AROUND 500 J/KG POSSIBLY EXTENDING NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW THAT A MAJORITY OF THIS INSTABILITY SHOULD
BE CONCENTRATED BELOW THE -15C TO -20C LAYER...SUGGESTING THAT ICE
MAY BE LIMITED IN THE CLOUD LAYER AND ANY CONVECTION SHOULD BE
EFFICIENT AT RAINFALL PRODUCTION.

THE HEAVIEST RAIN APPEARS LIKELY TO FALL IN A RELATIVELY SHORT
TIME PERIOD...AS A SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT WILL BE SWEEPING TO THE
EAST. ALTHOUGH A TRAINING BAND OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
DEVELOP ALONG THE NOSE OF THE LLJ...INDIVIDUAL LOCATIONS MAY HAVE
ONLY A 3-4 HOUR WINDOW WHERE OPTIMAL CONDITIONS EXIST FOR
SIGNIFICANT RAIN RATES IN EXCESS OF 1 IN/HR. THAT BEING
SAID...RAIN RATES SHOULD BE QUITE HIGH...AND HI-RES MODELS SUGGEST
THE POSSIBILITY THEY COULD REACH 2 IN/HR. GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF RAIN
THAT HAS FALLEN OVER THE PAST WEEK...SUCH RAINFALL RATES WOULD BE
VERY LIKELY TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING. FURTHER TO THE
NORTHEAST...ACROSS PORTIONS OF OH...WV...AND PA...RAIN RATES MAY
BE LOWER AS INSTABILITY WANES ON SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE IS SUBSTANTIALLY LOWER. THEREFORE...EVEN RATES
APPROACHING THE 0.8 TO 1.0 IN/HR RANGE COULD BE SUFFICIENT TO LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING.


...DEEP SOUTH AND GULF COAST...

THE FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAIN WILL SHIFT SOUTH WITH THE SYNOPTIC FRONT
INTO THE GULF COAST STATES ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE DAY
THREE SLIGHT RISK WAS EXPANDED AND SHIFTED A BIT SOUTHWARD TO
ACCOUNT FOR 12Z GUIDANCE AND NOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL LA/TX
BORDER NORTHEAST TO ATLANTA GA. A PLUME OF 1.5INCH PW (2 TO 2.5
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) WILL PERSIST INLAND FROM THE
GULF COAST THROUGH THIS TIME. DEEP LAYER FLOW WILL BE NEAR THE
ORIENTATION OF THE LOW LEVEL FRONT WHICH COULD LEAD TO TRAINING
ACTIVITY AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING DESPITE A REDUCTION IN THE
STRENGTH OF THE JET OVERHEAD AS THE PARENT LOW SHIFTS INTO CANADA.


...UPPER MIDWEST...

DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SHIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST
SATURDAY NIGHT...MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR SUNDAY
MORNING. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS THIS REGION IS ON THE NORTH
SIDE OF THE LOW WHERE HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY...REFER TO THE WPC
WINTER WEATHER PRODUCT SUITE FOR MORE INFORMATION ON SNOWFALL. THE
12Z GFS REMAINED THE WETTEST OF GLOBAL GUIDANCE AND ESSENTIALLY
MAINTAINED ITS QPF FROM 00Z. WPCQPF IN THE UPPER MIDWEST WAS A
BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS. THE 12Z NAM WAS CONSIDERED TOO FAR
WEST. SOME 12Z UKMET WAS INCLUDED IN THE BLEND DESPITE IT HAVING
LOWER QPF THAN THE ECMWF/GFS.


...THE WEST...

MODEL AGREEMENT REMAINED QUITE GOOD IN THIS REGION WITH THE 12Z
SUITE...AND THE QPF FROM THE GLOBAL MODELS WAS RELATIVELY SIMILAR.
A BROAD-BASED MODEL BLEND CONTINUED TO BE FAVORED FOR QPF IN THE
DAY 2-3 PERIOD OVER THIS REGION. THE HEAVIEST QPF IS EXPECTED TO
BE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHERE HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY. PLEASE REFER
TO THE WPC WINTER WEATHER PRODUCT SUITE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


CHENARD/JACKSON


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML




THIS DISCUSSION WILL TRANSITION TO MIXED-CASE FEB 26, 2018.  THE
LISTING OF ISOHYET POINTS CONTAINED BELOW WILL ALSO BE ELIMINATED
FROM THE PRODUCT FEB 26, 2018.  ISOHYET GRID INFORMATION WILL
CONTINUE TO BE GENERATED IN A VARIETY OF BINARY FORMATS AND MADE
AVAILABLE THROUGH THE WPC GIS PAGE.

24HR QP VT 25/00Z
 0.01 497326 485310 468296 463289 458282 453276 449275 447275
      445277 441280 437282 432282 427281 415278 404274 401271
      398269 389266 386260 384255 383251 385241 391232 407225
      409222 406219 399213 392208 390206 388203 389201 398201
      400201 401198 398193 391186 385179 388152 389146 391143
      394137 421105 425104 428101 427094 432094 442096 446096
      452096 456103 458105 460105 464105 471106 471114 470117
      472120 478126 487133 500147 502151 506155 511160 519164
      525170 530178 533183 536183 537179 539162 544155 550145
      552139 553135 554132 553128 552122 553108 547102 544096
      544088 542082 542073 543060 543054 543051 542046 542041
      541035 541030 540025 539020 537016 537005 539000 539995
      539986 541978 543975 547974 550974 553985 559990 562999
      565010 566023 566035
 0.01 500620 493622 484626 460635 450638 436642 426646 417649
      396672 390680 389689 387698 384703 383708 380706 377708
      371710 368713 361715 357718 350725 330757 328766 327768
      329771 331771 338772 342772 345771 350764 354757 358750
      361742 364735 369725 374717 375712 378711 380714 383719
      383725 381737 382743 381748 379762 378772 376782 374786
      371790 365797 357808 353815 350822 349826 346829 339835
      332841 326843 321844 321842 318843 315844 311846 309850
      311852 311856 313859 319865 324871 324877 319879 313879
      309881 300884 292885 283885 276881 271881 266882 264885
      263889 265894 267898 276904 284906 294909 298911 301914
      302920 301925 297935 296947 292954 288963 283971 277983
      278986 276989 273997 276013 276018 279022 283020 286016
      291013 296012 306013 311015 316016 326017 331016 334014
      340010 344006 346002 349994 350991 353988 358984 361986
      363990 366992 369990 371993 371996 371002 370016 380036
      379044 376050 366051 358053 356058 356060 359060 360063
      357068 354075 351078 346079 342080 341084 323104 325111
      329112 335111 338114 341118 346128 351135 362136 366133
      367130 366125 365114 364109 365102 369094 372092 377094
      379099 381101 385095 391089 393088 396090 400090 403089
      408090 409094 411096 415095 417092 421088 423083 425078
      429073 437055 441050 443046 445042 447039 450039 455035
      461028 466019 468015 471012 475012 477009 482004 485001
      485996 484984 482974 479962 478955 476949 469942 467937
      466928 464922 462919 451905 448901 445900 439897 433894
      429886 421866 420856 418842 420806
 0.01 420806 420796 421790 426789 428786 427784 423780 421776
      420770 421759 429767 435769 443769 446763 447760 451758
      455757 458756 460758 465764 466772 466776 465782 460788
      457788 456791 458793 470796 472799 474806 473813 475818
      478817 479815 480810 482806 486800 489791 491784 493782
      495783 497786 501794 499806 501811 503813 506813 511808
      515799 515796 517792 520784 527769 530764 533755 536742
      538729
 0.01 523238 524235 524233 523230 522227 521226 519228 519231
      518233 518236 519237 521238 522239 523238
 0.01 521049 520043 522037 522031 520028 509040 498054 494064
      493076 493084 494090 496094 499098 497104 498109 499114
      499118 502130 507135 511135 511127 510122 510118 509111
      510105 511092 511084 511078 512073 515069 519061 519054
      521049
 0.01 481196 482192 480190 475189 472189 470190 466190 463191
      459193 458199 461201 466203 471203 474201 478200 481197
      481196
 0.01 460116 460114 459112 457113 457115 458118 460116
 0.01 426741 424739 424737 422735 420733 419735 419738 418740
      419743 419745 420747 422746 423744 425743 426741
 0.01 354799 352800 354799 354799
 0.01 324790 324786 321786 317789 313794 312798 307799 305801
      301801 291797 286793 282790 282786 279784 278786 279794
      280796 280800 281804 283806 287810 292812 299812 309805
      316798 321794 324790
 0.01 322771 320771 318772 319774 320774 322771 322771
 0.01 312873 312871 312869 310869 308869 306871 306873 307875
      307876 308876 310875 312873 312873
 0.01 287823 286814 282810 279806 276803 273801 272799 269792
      263782 260776 255773 251771 245771 239774 232776 229780
      228785 226792 225794 222795 220800 220808 226819 228824
      231828 232837 232845 234848 236849 241850 243851 247852
      251851 254852 253851 253842 248829 249824 250818 251816
      255816 259820 262823 267825 272828 279828 284826 287823
 0.01 269009 269007 270005 269004 268003 267002 266002 264002
      262002 261004 261006 262009 263011 265011 267011 269009
      269009
 0.01 262021 262017 260015 256012 253010 256008 258004 256000
      253000 250998 246998 247002 249004 247006 245007 246012
      249017 253020 259021 262021
 0.25 522262 518258 514253 511249 507244 503244 503249 501257
      497260 496265 496270 497276 499282 503287 508291 512290
      513289
 0.25 496228 497224 497218 495211 492206 487204 481204 475206
      467210 455212 450212 444211 441210 438211 432213 428215
      424218 422219 421224 421228 423231 415236 415241 417243
      422247 427249 432251 445251 454250 460248 465246 469245
      473247 479247 483243 483237 480231 472230 471228 472223
      476222 481224 485228 490230 493230 496228
 0.25 487169 486159 482154 478154 474153 469149 463146 461146
      458148 455154 453157 449157 445156 441156 439158 445162
      447165 448170 446181 445191 447192 450191 454188 460184
      464180 467172 473172 485171 487169
 0.25 477139 478137 477136 476136 474135 473136 472138 474139
      475140 477139 477139
 0.25 446949 444940 442935 437934 433935 428937 422940 419945
      417954 417961 418972 418982 415984 414989 412996 414000
      415001 418994 422987 425982 428975 433971 438969 442964
      446949
 0.25 411789 411778 407768 403763 397764 394768 391774 388781
      385786 379800 376808 372815 363841 359845 355852 351858
      346864 339872 331883 327887 326889 323888 320887 306892
      300895 297897 303899 308898 316897 321892 323892 322896
      318902 323915 321922 320928 321935 319939 317941 312947
      309954 306968 310973 310977 311984 314987 319987 323987
      328988 335989 352973 356968 362964 369962 379961 388956
      400950 404945 406942 407939 406936 405931 405926 406917
      406901 408882 409838 409822 408803 411789
 0.25 355739 355735 352733 349736 347738 346741 344743 344746
      343748 343752 345753 348752 350749 352746 353744 354741
      355739
 0.25 264802 264800 263798 262797 261798 260799 260801 261802
      261803 263803 264802
 0.50 490219 490214 488210 485209 481208 474209 469213 463216
      456216 442215 435218 429220 426222 426224 429229 435235
      441234 446229 451226 454225 456228 458232 459232 469221
      472219 475219 483222 489221 490219
 0.50 456234 455233 454233 453233 452233 450233 448233 447233
      446234 445234 443235 443236 441237 442237 444240 445240
      446240 447241 449240 451240 453239 454238 455236 455235
      456234
 0.50 461180 462178 461176 459175 458176 456176 455177 454179
      455181 455182 457182 459182 461181 461180
 0.50 404792 403784 399780 394782 390787 385794 381805 378818
      375831 372841 366849 358857 355861 352867 350872 349877
      340882 333889 330894 328901 333910 334921 336925 333930
      325937 320945 318950 316956 316963 317968 318974 321979
      330982 336982 339980 346971 350967 355964 370953 379947
      383943 387939 389934 391929 394917 397904 400890 401878
      400870 401862 403848 403840 402830 400825 399818 401805
      404792
 0.50 316892 315891 313891 311892 311894 311895 313894 315893
      316892
 1.00 481216 480215 479214 477212 475214 475215 477216 478216
      480216 481216
 1.00 397793 396791 394789 393790 391791 390792 389794 389795
      389797 389799 389801 389804 389806 391807 392806 392805
      394803 395800 396798 397796 397795 397793
 1.00 388845 388839 387833 386830 382832 377844 374852 372860
      371866 372869 370872 367874 362875 359881 354894 352904
      349911 343922 334935 332939 329947 329954 327963 329970
      331973 334974 339971 345966 355958 365949 373940 378934
      381926 385911 386901 387892 388874 387856 388845
 1.50 385850 385845 385840 384838 382841 381843 380846 379848
      378853 377855 378859 380861 383859 384857 385852 385850
 1.50 379918 380913 378909 376908 374911 366918 363923 363919
      368909 371904 373896 374890 377884 378877 377871 373875
      369878 366883 363889 358899 352911 346920 340931 338936
      336943 333957 331962 332966 334967 340966 344962 353956
      369941 373936 375930 379918
 1.50 361930 362927 362925 361924 360925 359927 358930 359930
      361930 361930
 1.50 354941 354938 354937 352938 351938 350939 349941 348943
      349945 350946 352946 353945 353943 354943 354941
 2.00 377918 376914 374916 373918 370920 368923 367925 366929
      366931 366934 370935 371934 373930 374927 375925 376920
      377918
 2.00 369900 370895 369891 365894 361900 358905 351916 347923
      344928 339941 337949 337956 339961 341960 343957 345950
      346941 349934 352930 359918 363912 366907 369900
 3.00 343943 343941 343940 342941 343943 343943

24HR QP VT 26/00Z
 0.01 543195 536179 527165 519153 515147 508143 507145 502144
      496138 493129 492125 490123 487120 486116 486111 485105
      484100 481107 482112 479114 477113 476109 474104 471102
      463099 460099 457096 450093 445091 438091 433092 429090
      423089 421088 417090 420095 422098 423100 422102 419104
      416105 413094 411089 409089 406092 406096 406101 402102
      396104 384110 380114 376121 374125 374131 373137 375141
      383154 385162 387170 387175 389178 392181 395182 400181
      406180 407174 407170 409169 415167 422163 424162 425157
      427154 429157 433164 438170 438175 435179 431186 426190
      414216 404229 401237 403245 404249 403255 401258 400263
      402270 406274 411281 413284 418287 433293 445300 452306
      458310 461313 464315 467321 470328 474334
 0.01 416638 430643 444649 450654 455657 463660 469664 474668
      480670 494676 501679 505683 509687 511691 515696 519700
      521704 525709 530715 532720 534725 541742 544749 548767
      549775 551781 552797 553802 554808 555818 556826 555835
      553848 551871 545912 544923 541934 539944 536955 536960
      534966 528971 525973 523971 515976 510983 506988 499993
      490993 482994 479992 475992 473989 469982 463975 458969
      454963 447960 436960 431959 428957 424950 414948 410947
      407945 402940 396933 389930 383927 377927 372925 368927
      365929 360928 351929 345934 334944 331947 330954 329959
      328965 325973 321980 311991 305998 302000 298001 290000
      288003 288008 287018 284025 281028 279026 275021 272023
      269023 263019 252020 245018 241016 241011 238002 237999
      237996 242991 249987 253985 254984 253982 248978 246972
      246968 250966 257965 265962 270958 273951 271946 266946
      259942 255935 255929 258926 264922 267924 273923 275922
      279919 280915 280909 284901 287895 288892 287888 290883
      289878 287875 285873 284869 286861 296849 301842 306836
      314821 322805 325799 330793 349769 368748 374741 376737
      373733 370729 366732 362735 358738 348751 339762 334767
      329768 325770 320775 314779 295782 291789 287787 283784
      279782 275776 271775 269773 268776 265785 262787 258785
      251780 246777 243775 239775 224771 221762 221758 222755
      229751 231750 232748 231746 230744 233742 239739 243740
      248739 250742 252747 256756 262761 277763 281765 285768
      287772 290773 299772 304771 305767 306763 309760 311758
      315757 329750 335746 340740 347729 350723 351715
 0.01 351715 353713 352711 353710 354708 354706 353704 354701
      354699 354697 353695 352693 351691 351689 351686 350684
      350682 350680 349678 349676 348674
      370658 372658 374659 375659 377658 378657 378656 380654
      382653 383651 383650 384648
 0.01 499062 500054 499050 499046 499041 497041 495043 492048
      488048 485047 484043 484035 483030 479029 476034 475039
      479044 482047 485052 490053 489068 489073 490075 493076
      498067 499062
 0.01 470195 471193 471191 470188 468188 467188 465188 464189
      463191 463193 463196 464198 465198 467198 468197 469197
      470195
 0.01 439132 438129 437129 435131 436133 438134 439132
 0.01 412141 411139 409138 408138 406140 407142 409142 411142
      412141
 0.01 417076 417066 415062 412061 405057 403055 400055 397057
      394060 387062 383062 380064 377065 375064 367061 362064
      360066 361070 362073 365074 368074 371076 373084 374088
      376091 378095 380096 385093 389089 395089 397086 400084
      406080 409079 413080 417076
 0.01 390132 390130 389129 387129 386129 385131 385132 384133
      385136 386136 388134 390132
 0.01 366092 364090 362087 361087 359089 360089 362092 364092
      366092 366092
 0.01 351088 352086 350084 348083 346083 345083 346085 346086
      348088 350088 351088 351088
 0.01 321797 317796 312798 307805 302810 298810 297809 287805
      276803 270804 269806 275809 280811 291810 293812 295813
      293815 286816 275815 268814 266810 258805 254808 254812
      256814 260816 261819 263824 267827 270831 275833 289831
      294829 298826 307819 310816 307814 321797 321797
 0.01 267792 265789 263792 266796 261798 255799 250800 252800
      256802 259801 263801 266798 268794 267792
 0.01 260827 255826 249826 243815 236806 238802 241801 236797
      233798 233800 233809 233814 231821 231824 233831 234834
      236836 244841 248838 250832 257831 260827
 0.25 526255 510229 504213 502207 500204 497201 482200 471204
      465206 459207 455207 452206 448205 445206 439210 433214
      429217 425222 424232 418234 414238 413242 415244 417247
      421249 428248 436250 441256 446261 450262 452260 456256
      460257 464258 466262 471268 477279 487293 496303 504313
 0.25 534214 535209 534206 530200 523190 521183 518178 509172
      504168 499168 496169 495171 498177 500184 503189 507193
      510194 516198 519201 521210 523216 530216 534214
 0.25 527801 527793 525786 520782 514776 512770 511764 507754
      506751 505745 507741 505737 498740 493737 489732 486728
      484728 480733 473738 470744 467747 463749 462746 463743
      466740 468736 469732 468728 466715 463710 465709 467713
      470714 472711 470708 466705 464701 460694 457692 453692
      449694 445693 439687 434682 430676 421662 416658 411656
      400659 393664 389672 387675 387681 385691 382698 378689
      375680 372677 370680 367688 367694 369698 374703 377705
      380704 383705 384709 387730 388756 387778 387785 386788
      382794 378797 376801 372809 370812 367809 366804 366799
      363796 361798 356804 347817 340819 334824 329831 323838
      320847 316853 314858 313862 312873 307880 305887 302894
      302901 299908 295914 290920 288928 284943 280952 276960
      273969 269976 266984 268990 271994 274996 279995 282993
      286988 290985 295981 300974 306968 310962 319951 324943
      330937 337932 342927 356919 370910 381901 386895 391888
      396883 400877 408866 416849 418840 420834 422831 426822
      428813 435797 441791 444788 448787 448803 445812 441818
      438826 435832 432843 431847 432855 434858 434861 434875
      432879 429882 425888 422897 421903 424907 428914 426919
      426925 426928 428931 431933 438936 446938 460942 466943
      470942 474940 477937 492937 496935 499932 500926 502922
      506914 508904 525828 526812 527801
 0.25 491165 489155 488149 490144 489139 486136 484133 479130
      477129 472130 467137 463136 458138 454144 450148 446149
      442148 438150 435153 436159 438163 441166 445168 448172
      448177 446182 446188 450191 455186 462181 464176 466174
      474170 482169 489170 491165
 0.25 455764 455762 455759 455757 455754 454753 453752 452752
      450752 449753 449754 449756 449757 450758 450760 450762
      450763 451765 452766 453767 454767 455765 455764
 0.25 449845 449841 447838 446838 444841 442843 441845 439848
      437851 437854 438857 440858 442858 443856 446855 448853
      449848 449845
 0.25 445111 445108 444107 443106 442105 441103 439103 437104
      436105 435105 433106 433107 432107 430108 430109 431111
      431112 433113 435113 436113 438113 440112 442112 443112
      445111
 0.50 522263 515253 510243 504231 500219 493210 489206 483205
      480204 477205 473207 468210 464210 453211 444213 438215
      434218 431222 430226 432234 429240 433243 439244 446246
      451245 461244 466244 472246 482250 487254 490260 494270
      502280 507284 512285 514285
 0.50 502254 503248 502244 497239 493231 489224 481222 474223
      473227 475230 479231 482234 487239 491246 495252 498255
      500256 502254
 0.50 498855 498848 498840 496834 494831 486833 481834 476834
      472835 469837 465835 462835 458837 456847 453855 449863
      441875 442880 447881 451880 454879 460874 463871 463866
      466845 470846 471850 473854 473860 472867 471871 469875
      466878 462883 459891 459898 457903 451907 446908 444910
      442913 441918 442922 444926 449927 462920 470906 474905
      476902 478899 480894 480889 482885 486876 489870 492856
      498855
 0.50 475161 475156 474150 471145 468144 464144 459145 457150
      458156 461159 464164 467166 471165 475162 475161
 0.50 448160 447159 447157 446157 445157 444158 444157 443156
      441156 441157 441159 442159 444160 446160 447160 448160
 0.50 440709 428692 425687 423680 422669 419666 415666 406667
      400668 396671 396677 396684 394697 393702 390707 389712
      390720 393730 395737 394742 394755 394769 395777 395784
      393789 386797 386818 384821 381823 379827 377831 373834
      368835 364837 362832 361828 357824 352823 348826 345836
      339844 336848 335844 335832 332833 330836 327844 324850
      320853 318858 317865 317872 316876 311886 308889 307895
      308899 307903 303912 298918 295923 294929 291940 288951
      283959 279970 275978 273982 273987 275991 277991 284983
      291976 297970 301965 305962 311956 317948 325934 332926
      340920 348915 357912 372903 380897 386890 392883 398873
      403865 408854 410845 413836 421815 424805 428792 437773
      439769 439760 438753 438747 439741 438735 436724 440709
 0.50 359816 359814 358817 359817 359816
 1.00 491216 490213 487212 484211 481208 477208 473211 463214
      452216 447216 442217 437221 435226 437230 440231 445229
      450227 455226 466224 471220 475219 480218 485216 491216
 1.00 479241 480239 479236 477235 476235 475235 474237 475239
      475240 477241 478241 479241
 1.00 414720 414718 413715 413714 411714 410716 409717 409719
      409721 410722 411723 412723 413721 414720
 1.00 420787 418773 416763 415751 415747 413744 409743 406746
      404750 403755 405773 401794 399804 396811 392819 389827
      380839 374846 369852 364857 364861 366864 366869 364874
      360880 356886 352892 349897 349901 351903 354903 361900
      367896 389874 394867 399858 404843 408833 411824 412816
      414807 417795 420787
 1.00 355839 353837 352839 351839 350841 349842 348843 348844
      348845 350845 351844 352843 353841 354841 355839
 1.00 354875 355872 354871 352872 351873 350873 348875 347877
      346877 345879 344880 345881 347881 349881 350880 352879
      352878 353877 354875 354875
 1.00 344882 327892 326881 322882 320885 314896 310906 304917
      299925 292949 288960 287964 289965 292961 296957 301954
      310949 316941 321931 326919 329916 332913 338891 341885
      344882
 1.00 287968 288966 286964 286966 285968 284970 285972 286970
      286969 287968
 1.00 281976 283974 281974 280976 281977 281976
 1.50 481213 480213 479210 477211 476212 475213 474214 475215
      477216 478216 479215 480214 481213
 1.50 469218 468216 466217 466218 468219 469218
 1.50 414788 412787 410787 409789 408791 407794 406796 406799
      407801 408801 409799 410798 411796 412793 413791 414788
      414788
 1.50 404820 403819 400822 399826 397827 394830 386835 382843
      376852 381857 377860 374864 372874 361890 358894 355897
      356899 360896 363896 364894 365889 372884 379877 388872
      392864 396855 400846 400836 399830 402826 404820
 1.50 317911 313906 310912 306919 305927 303937 303944 308944
      310943 314937 316928 314926 314922 317915 317911
 2.00 397848 395846 393846 393847 392847 390848 389849 388851
      388852 387854 387856 386859 387861 387862 389861 390859
      391858 392857 393856 394854 394853 395851 397848

24HR QP VT 27/00Z
 0.01 485614 492625 496635 501644 503649 506654 516674 523691
      527702 530713 534725 538737 542751 546764 547770 547777
      549782 551791 553808 554813 555822 556839 556858 557866
      555873 556890 555903 554914 553921 550926 546935 544939
      539939 536941 533939 528939 525936 520936 517936 517940
      517948 516954 512965 510970 510976 511992 512998 511004
      508009 512014 514032 514049 514061 512075 508084 506087
      504093 500105 494112 493114 494117 496120 500130 501135
      499136 496135 493124 492119 489115 490107 492104 498096
      498087 497078 492068 489064 487065 486060 491060 494054
      496047 494043 490040 488036 487030 488025 490020 490010
      488004 487998 487982 490979 494982 497980 497976 495971
      492967 492959 492947 489934 487924 487919 489914 488904
      488896 487891 487876 487869 486864 480857 478852 475853
      472853 469849 466846 464840 467829 469813 472803 473798
      475794 477787 479780 481771 479758 467745 463713 461709
      459709 457708 455710 446715 443716 439714 436715 433712
      420700 412695 403692 399691 397691 396695 394707 393728
      390748 389755 388761 384772 382783 380791 379798 380806
      379810 379814 374823 373830 371835 367845 364854 360862
      357866 355872 352882 349893 346900 342907 336914 331924
      325932 320939 314944 309950 304957 298964 291971 285977
      279972 268986 266994 268999 259001 255002 251001 246999
      243995 239992 238988 239965 241961 244957 249950 256942
      259934 264927 266922 267916 274897 274892 272889 267895
      263887 264881 266876 272871 278863 288850 294832 299826
      302817
 0.01 302817 302812 300809 294809 289808 285808 280805 277802
      273799 270798 266800 261802 263806 266808 268809 271808
      276807 279809 290813 282818 277821 271821 266819 264816
      262811 258809 258807 259805 256804 251803 245803 241801
      237802 234800 229797 229792 232791 231787 227779 232777
      238776 249779 260782 270778 264782 259784 258787 261787
      267788 272790 278790 280785 283781 286778 295771 299768
      304764 311758 316755 318752 324741 332721 336718 338714
      346705 351696 353690 357688 363681 364675 365671 368670
      372665 374661 380652
 0.01 413310 418310 422311 429311 433313 436312 440313 443312
      447313 451312 454313 458312 465312 472313 478313 482314
      485313 493316 496315 500317 502315 524261 521257 517255
      513247 506236 504231 501228 498221 496217 491214 491208
      489203 482202 474204 468205 463205 459203 456200 456193
      458190 460187 468183 472183 475181 478177 481176 484179
      487177 491170 492157 493150 492146 489135 485128 482125
      478124 474125 472122 471116 471108 472096 469089 468088
      466094 462096 459093 457083 456078 454073 452061 449060
      447062 434069 436073 437072 441072 444077 445082 442085
      435089 430087 427084 425081 424075 422072 419069 413066
      409065 406067 408072 410073 414077 414084 413090 410093
      405100 399106 396111 397116 399119 400125 402128 401133
      399136 393142 388150 388155 385161 381169 379171 377177
      375180 373182 366184 359188 352192 346198 340203 333206
      332210 333214 339219 346225 350231 353233 358235 366241
      369245 368251 366256 363260 359260 356262 359269 365274
      372280 388290 394303
 0.01 534198 534195 532196 530192 530187 527180 523174 520169
      514165 510164 507164 504165 501165 499167 497172 498177
      500179 499188 503179 504185 503190 501194 501199 504196
      507196 510199 514204 519208 523210 526208 530205 534198
 0.01 504260 503254 504247 501243 499239 496239 491238 487241
      484245 485253 488256 491260 496262 500263 504260
 0.01 279840 279836 275832 276828 274826 269825 265827 258833
      253838 244842 237847 243850 248850 252847 255845 261844
      268841 273839 277840 279840
 0.01 251794 249793 247793 245794 244795 243797 244798 246797
      247796 248796 249795 251794
 0.01 251832 248829 244825 241819 238818 239821 240823 237825
      235823 230821 227823 229824 232829 234833 236836 244836
      249835 251832
 0.01 246786 245786 243786 241787 243787 245787 246786
 0.25 426635 430640 434645 435649 432656 428660 425662 421662
      416660 411658 404659 399658 397656 398653 401648 405642
      407641
 0.25 509718 508698 506691 503692 502694 501708 500703 498703
      497709 495725 494733 493741 495748 497756 499763 502770
      505771 506769 507761 507743 507732 505730 505726 507729
      508726 509718
 0.25 470243 468239 465236 462233 460229 472218 472216 470215
      466215 460219 457222 457226 456228 454228 455224 456221
      454219 451217 444211 441209 437208 432210 429209 426206
      425201 421195 416198 410205 396196 388195 379194 374204
      371212 371216 373218 377219 382218 390217 395219 400219
      406220 407222 404226 397230 395234 394238 395242 398244
      402254 408260 416259 420257 424258 426260 431260 444254
      460250 470243
 0.25 464655 462648 458642 455641 448643 443645 440647 439650
      441654 443662 445663 448663 453660 458660 462657 464655
 0.25 455103 455098 454094 451091 447091 436095 429092 425090
      425096 425099 423102 419107 412108 408108 406112 412126
      421138 422142 425139 428132 436117 438117 441120 444122
      448121 451115 454105 455103
 0.25 447157 447150 446145 444141 439141 435141 433145 433150
      434157 435160 439163 442164 445160 447157
 0.25 429170 429166 426165 423161 422157 421148 413149 411148
      408149 406152 405156 409162 411169 416176 418177 418174
      416171 416166 419165 423166 425169 429170
 0.25 387694 386689 383686 376683 372684 369687 366692 364701
      362710 360718 356725 352731 347737 344742 341749 332751
      330754 330759 337771 338777 337781 334789 327801 314828
      310835 306841 302846 298853 295859 293866 287883 281897
      275910 270925 267932 265941 264951 261957 259962 263965
      265963 269956 274953 280948 285942 286938 289937 297937
      304937 311933 314932 317929 321924 326919 330913 342883
      354852 360837 363830 364822 367806 368796 370786 371776
      372766 374751 376734 378725 381716 387694
 0.50 445223 443218 439216 431220 422221 418226 414228 409229
      405231 404235 404241 415243 424241 428240 430242 433242
      437241 439238 439234 441228 444224 445223
 0.50 447109 448104 448099 444100 441100 439101 437102 436107
      437110 440112 442114 445114 447111 447109
 0.50 395207 395205 392202 391202 387199 384198 380199 381204
      382206 383209 386211 389211 391211 394209 395207
 0.50 377703 377700 376699 375701 374703 374706 376706 376705
      377703 377703
 0.50 367750 365746 363747 361751 359756 357760 356764 355770
      357775 360776 362774 364771 365766 366761 367755 367750
 0.50 354835 352829 349824 345822 339822 336826 334826 333823
      334817 337810 338806 339798 339793 338791 332800 328811
      309849 305852 303858 302863 300868 297872 294876 294883
      298880 305873 310873 311878 309884 307886 304892 300896
      292903 289903 291899 292897 292893 290891 287895 285902
      282906 279911 277915 277921 277924 279922 283919 286915
      290920 296928 300931 303930 308922 311916 315913 318917
      321920 328913 332904 336891 338879 341867 345855 350847
      353841 354835
 1.00 342851 343846 342840 338839 336841 332848 329855 327863
      326872 325879 328878 330876 332876 334873 337866 339858
      342851
 1.00 331898 331895 331893 331891 329893 328896 327896 327898
      327900 328902 329901 330900 331898 331898
 1.00 326906 328904 327902 326901 326902 325904 324907 324909
      326907 326906
 1.00 303918 303916 303914 303912 302910 302909 301908 299909
      298910 297911 296912 296914 296916 296918 296920 296922
      296924 297926 297927 299928 301926 301925 301924 302922
      302920 303919 303918
 1.50 338852 338849 338848 336849 335850 334851 334852 334854
      335856 336856 337854 338852 338852
 1.50 301918 301916 301914 301913 300914 299916 299918 299920
      299922 299923 299922 300920 301918 301918

$$




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