Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 130837
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
336 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 13/1200 UTC THRU FEB 16/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

...UPDATE...

12Z WPC QPF CHANGES FROM THE PRELIM PACKAGE WERE TO TREND QPF
DOWNWARD ALONG THE CNTRL COAST OF MAINE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE LATEST
OBSERVATIONS. RADAR TRENDS HAVE SHOWN ONLY LIGHT SNOW MAKING IT TO
THE COAST...WITH THE HEAVIEST REMAINING OFFSHORE. WHILE THIS MAY
CHANGE BY 12Z AND BEYOND WITH STEEPENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...THE LATEST HI-RES MODELS INCLUDING THE HRRR AND 06Z NAM
CONEST...KEEP THE HEAVIEST OFFSHORE. OTHER CHANGES WERE TO
SLIGHTLY INCREASE QPF ACROSS THE NRN HIGH PLAINS IN THE 12Z-18Z
PERIOD IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE LATEST HI-RES MODEL CONSENSUS.

...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...


...COASTAL MAINE INTO CENTRAL MAINE...

A WELL DEFINED INVERTED TROUGH WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING TO
THE NORTHWEST OF A SURFACE LOW DEEPENING WELL EAST OF THE
SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COAST AND SOUTH OF THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES...EXTENDING NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST OF
MAINE INTO A WEAKENING SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS SRN
QUEBEC. 06Z OBSERVATIONS SUPPORT THE 00Z HI-RES MODEL CONSENSUS OF
A WEAK LOW FORMING IN THE GULF OF MAINE...ALONG THE DEVELOPING
SURFACE TROUGH AXIS. STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR THE
MESO LOW AND ALONG THIS TROF AXIS WILL SUPPORT LOCALLY HEAVY
SNOWFALL TOTALS IN THE VICINITY OF THE CENTRAL COAST OF
MAINE...MAINLY PRIOR TO 18Z. THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME MODEL
DIFFERENCES WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL AXIS UP
AND DOWN THE CNTRL MAINE COAST...BUT THERE HAS BEEN A DEFINED
SHIFT FOR THE HEAVIEST QPF TO BE PRIMARILY OFFSHORE IN THE 00Z
HI-RES MODELS AND EVEN THE 00Z NAM/GFS/UKMET/CMC. SEE THE LATEST
QPFHSD FOR ADDITIONAL WINTER WEATHER INFORMATION.

...GREAT LAKES INTO THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...

THE SRN CORE OF A DEEP UPPER LEVEL VORTEX CURRENTLY DROPPING
SOUTHEAST THROUGH SERN CANADA WILL PASS OVER NEW ENGLAND
TODAY...BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE SAT NIGHT. LOW LEVEL NWLY FLOW WILL
DOMINATE THROUGHOUT THE MAJORITY OF THE LAKES WITH THE ONLY
DEVIATION BEING ACROSS LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN BY
12Z/14...WHICH IS WHEN SOME BACKING OF FLOW IS ANTICIPATED AS 850
MB RIDGING MOVES OVER THE REGION. LOCALLY HIGHER SNOWFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE DOWNWIND OF MULTI-LAKE FETCH ACROSS HURON AND ERIE INTO
NWRN PENNSYLVANIA/NERN OHIO. SNOW SHOWERS WILL ALSO EXTEND FAIRLY
FAR TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE UPSLOPE REGIONS
OF THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. SEE THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR
ADDITIONAL WINTER WEATHER INFORMATION.

...NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS...

AS A SHORTWAVE PASSES THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST EARLY THIS
MORNING...IT WILL AMPLIFY DOWNSTREAM INTO SOUTH DAKOTA/NEBRASKA
TONIGHT...COINCIDING WITH ONE OR TWO SURFACE LOWS ALONG A STRONG
WARM FRONT. THE PRIMARY SURFACE LOW LOOKS TO REACH THE SOUTH
DAKOTA/NEBRASKA BORDER NEAR 12Z/14...WITH BANDS OF MIXED
PRECIPITATION IMPACTING THE PLAINS WITH SNOW GENERALLY EAST OF 100
W. THE 00Z NAM WAS NOT USED AS IT DIFFERED WITH THE PLACEMENT OF
THE MID-LEVEL VORT MAX MOVING INTO THE PLAINS COMPARED TO THE
REMAINING MODEL CONSENSUS. STILL...QPF DETAILS REMAIN UNCERTAIN
GIVEN ABOVE AVERAGE SPREAD IN THE 00Z MODEL OUTPUT FROM THE GLOBAL
AND HI-RES GUIDANCE. BANDS OF PRECIPITATION APPEAR LIKELY FROM
WEST TO EAST AS WARM ADVECTION STRENGTHENS LATE THIS EVENING INTO
OVERNIGHT WITH ENHANCEMENT FROM THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF A JET
STREAK REACHING THE PLAINS AROUND 00Z/14. MODEL QPF WAS CLOSE TO A
00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF BLEND ALONG WITH SOME COMPONENT OF THE 00Z ARW.
SEE THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR ADDITIONAL WINTER WEATHER INFORMATION.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

AFTER A BRIEF LULL IN PRECIPITATION AFTER A SHORTWAVE AXIS
CONTINUES ESEWD FROM WASHINGTON/OREGON
TODAY...MOISTURE/PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE AGAIN AHEAD OF
ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM EXPECTED TO REACH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
COAST THIS EVENING. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.00 TO 1.25
INCHES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE OREGON COAST BETWEEN 00 AND
12Z/14...WHICH WOULD BE +2 TO +3 ANOMALIES. MODERATE TO LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN WILL FIRST REACH THE OLYMPICS AFTER 18Z TODAY...WITH
THE HEAVIEST RAIN AND 850-700 MB FLOW OF 40 - 50 KTS...AND LOCALLY
HIGHER ACROSS THE OLYMPICS NEAR 00Z/14. THE FOCUS SHOULD BE FOR
1-3 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH 12Z/14 FROM THE OLYMPICS DOWN INTO THE
OREGON COASTAL RANGES AND INTO THE CASCADES. WPC QPF BUMPED UP
AMOUNTS SLIGHTLY FROM CONTINUITY TO MATCH THE LATEST HI-RES MODEL
CONSENSUS AS WELL AS THE 00Z GFS/NAM AND 12Z ECMWF.


DAYS 2/3...

NORTHWEST...

THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT THAT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY
MAY LAST 24 TO PERHAPS 36 HOURS WHILE DRIFTING SLOWLY
NORTHWARD...THUS IMPACTING THE DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF. MODELS APPEAR
TO HAVE A SIMILAR HANDLE ON THE ACCOMPANYING MOISTURE PLUME AND
TRAJECTORY OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS. THUS...HAVE USED A BLEND OF
SEVERAL MODELS...INCLUDING THE 00Z NAM/00Z GFS/12-00Z ECMWF TO
ADDRESS ANY LINGERING UNCERTAINTIES TO DERIVE THE QPF FOR BOTH
DAYS...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS FALLING ACROSS THE COASTAL RANGES
AND CASCADES OF WASHINGTON...WITH DECREASING TOTALS FALLING INLAND.

LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/TN-OH VALLEY/APPALACHIANS/EAST COAST...

A SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM THE
LOWER MS VALLEY NORTHEASTWARD MONDAY AND TUESDAY...YET THERE
REMAINS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE PATH OF THE LOW AS WELL
AS ITS SPEED. BOTH HAVE MAJOR IMPLICATIONS ON THE AMOUNT OF LIQUID
EQUIVALENT AND P-TYPE. ALL 00Z GUIDANCE TRENDED FASTER...IN SOME
CASES MUCH FASTER...WITH THE SPREAD QUITE LARGE BY DAY 3.
THUS...THE MODELS HAVE YET TO LOCK INTO THE FORECAST. THE MODEL
THAT HAS DEMONSTRATED THE MOST CONSISTENCY AND HAS BEEN MOST
BELIEVABLE THE LAST COUPLE DAYS HAS BEEN THE GFS. THUS...IT FORMS
THE BASIS OF THIS FORECAST. HOWEVER...THE PARALLEL RUN OF THE GFS
FROM 18Z IS EVEN QUICKER...WHILE THE 00Z ECMWF WHILE TRENDING MUCH
FASTER IS STILL SLOWER. THE 00Z NAM/00Z CANADIAN LIE NEAR THE FAST
SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE...WHILE THE 00Z UKMET IS CLOSE TO THE
GFS...THUS AFFORDING SOME SUPPORT. FUTURE FORECAST CHANGES AS NEW
GUIDANCE ARRIVES ARE LIKELY OWING TO THE COMPLEXITY AND
UNCERTAINTY OF THE MODELS RESOLVING THIS PATTERN. FOR NOW
HOWEVER...THE FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE DETERMINISTIC
CONSENSUS WHICH HELPS TO ACCOUNT FOR RECENT TRENDS. A BRIEF WINDOW
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL OVERLAPPING WITH LOW FFG VALUES MAY OCCUR
MONDAY NIGHT FROM NEAR WASHINGTON DC TOWARD PHILADELPHIA AND NEW
YORK...EXTENDING TOWARD THE WEST AS THE LOW LIFTS NORTHWARD.
THUS...A SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL BE INTRODUCED FOR
DAY 3. REFER TO THE QPFHSD FOR MORE INFORMATION ON WINTER WEATHER.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

OTTO/JAMES



24HR QP VT 14/12Z
 0.01 558106 559089 557077 556070 555066 550056 546049 542043
      536037 533033 530030 529028 528025 529018 529002 527993
      523985 514971 510965 504959 490949 476939 460934 454930
      449925 443919 438914 426902 420898 415891 402880 396873
      389870 386870 382875 381879 381886 374900 371904 369908
      363914 360918 359925 359930 360934 367950 370957 374959
      377958 385955 388954 391950 391929 396929 400931 405938
      415952 418959 420963 419967 417970 419975 422982 428989
      431998 433011 433024 433035 434042 432047 429051 428056
      428061 432064 437065 438070 442079 446087 442088 438090
      428096 429102 426107 425113 429116 443121 445124 444131
      441137 435140 432152 428161 425166 427170 432178 427184
      427187 429184 435179 438178 439184 439190 441193 447194
      448197 453200 455200 455204 452207 449207 440209 434210
      428215 422221 419228 421258 423262 424267 427274 431283
      433292 435301 438309 444315 449319 454321 458321 463322
      468324 471323 478323 484321 490317 497312 507294 515280
      517276 519268 522254 525244 528231 530223 531219 536207
      537202 535199 536194 532187 525173 524168 521164 513159
      506153 499147 494140 489134 483128 475125 470123 465122
      467119 471117 473112 472108 476107 480105 482100 482092
      476069 481062 485063 488066 491070 495072 504073 510069
      515064 518064 518067 517069 513079 512095 514109 517119
      517123 519128 522131 525131 533133 537131 540132 547128
      551125 554119 558106
 0.01 490713 488691 484685 478685 473685 468681 462678 462672
      464668 466660 466657 464654 462647 469644 474639 477633
      476631 476627 468628 454633 447635 441634 415648 384656
      371662 364666 360671 356676 354683 352697 352704 352714
      353719 350722 345725 342728 339729 333734 328738 324743
      319754 318757 318762 322768 325767 327764 331757 337756
      342752 347748 354746 358744 360746 365751 408722 410714
      412707 413704 416702 420704 427704 433708 434713 436715
      440718 440726 446730 460727 465730 470731 476732 478730
      479726 481723 484723 488722 490713
 0.01 482196 483194 481192 480193 479195 481196 482196
 0.01 478197 479193 480188 479183 476182 474184 472186 470190
      468190 466194 467197 469200 472201 474200 475199 478197
 0.01 487869 486864 483862 479853 477850 475849 467846 464845
      460847 457848 451849 442839 438837 438841 439844 436844
      424836 423837 424840 428847 431849 434852 436855 436858
      434858 430857 426855 424853 422851 422847 414835 413833
      414831 415828 418825 423822 427826 430827 436829 449836
      452838 456838 457830 454817 455807 451801 446797 442795
      439796 439801 442805 442809 437809 431807 428804 426800
      427796 429793 432793 435792 437787 438779 441770 441764
      440761 431749 429745 425745 423744 422747 424750 424755
      423759 424772 423777 421781 416783 413784 414786 409784
      406782 403783 397787 389791 383797 380805 380809 383809
      390805 394803 397805 401806 403810 405821 403829 401832
      402836 405845 408854 412863 416870 421874 430874 435873
      438872 444872 446869 450867 453867 456868 462874 464876
      466881 466887 465892 465899 466904 468905 470902 475895
      480892 485879 487869
 0.01 288776 288774 288772 287772 286770 285770 283770 282770
      281771 280773 280775 280778 281778 282779 282781 283782
      285782 286781 287781 287779 288777 288776
 0.01 279861 279859 279857 279854 279852 279850 278848 277846
      276845 274847 273849 273851 273853 274855 274857 275857
      276859 276861 277861 278861 279861
 0.25 516262 517256 516252 515245 508232 501219 498212 496209
      493207 487205 481205 469207 464209 458211 447215 441217
      436219 432224 433230 436231 440230 443231 443233 437236
      435237 433242 432247 434252 439255 444259 448266 456276
      458283 466287 473287 478287 490286 503288 506286 508282
      511276 516262
 0.25 524198 523192 520188 513181 505173 499165 490159 485156
      481153 478148 479144 483143 487139 483134 479131 473130
      471135 471140 467140 460139 456140 454146 451154 451159
      451161 454163 460164 466166 472168 477168 483170 487174
      490178 492183 497186 502186 506187 510191 517198 521201
      524200 524198
 0.25 491237 490234 488232 487230 485227 482226 479225 479226
      481229 482232 484232 486232 488234 490237 491237
 0.25 482012 482005 481001 478000 472994 467984 462981 461974
      455964 452954 449949 445946 439947 437952 436966 438978
      439987 439995 442007 442019 444031 446044 449049 452054
      454056 457055 460056 463055 463049 464040 466025 469021
      473018 482012
 0.25 461180 462178 461176 459177 458176 456177 454176 452178
      451180 450183 450185 450188 451189 452190 454189 456187
      458185 458184 459182 461181 461180
 0.25 447231 445230 444230 445233 447231 447231
 0.25 447663 446658 445654 440651 435649 430650 424653 419657
      409664 405668 407674 411678 415684 418689 422693 428695
      432694 436694 440693 442691 444676 446671 447663
 0.25 456108 455105 454104 454103 454100 453099 452097 451097
      450096 449097 448099 448102 449104 451107 452109 454110
      456109 456108
 0.25 445111 446109 445108 444107 443106 442105 441105 440105
      439106 437107 435108 434109 435110 437110 438110 440110
      442111 443111 445111 445111
 0.25 406684 405679 404675 398673 393674 391676 386681 379691
      371703 368708 364715 362721 361729 366733 370733 374732
      385725 395717 399711 401704 404689 406684
 0.50 512266 514255 513248 507237 503231 501225 496213 491209
      484208 474209 454216 443219 439224 438226 440227 447229
      451227 454225 456226 456231 444235 441238 438239 438241
      440244 442247 448249 459252 466254 472257 477260 481265
      489273 493278 499282 503281 505279 507273 512266
 0.50 500248 497243 494238 491232 489225 483222 476222 471223
      472227 475227 480232 481235 484236 487237 490239 493244
      498247 500248
 0.50 481137 480137 479135 478137 479137 480137 481137
 0.50 473161 473158 472155 470153 467150 466148 463147 461149
      460153 460156 463158 465159 467162 469164 472163 473161
 0.50 441675 441669 439666 436661 432658 426659 423663 420670
      421675 426681 428686 434689 436690 437688 441682 441675
 0.50 448998 449990 449983 448980 450974 450966 449963 447962
      445966 444973 445978 444983 444990 445996 446001 448998
 0.50 396694 395688 393687 388692 383698 379705 374710 370715
      368723 372724 376722 381718 387713 390711 392707 394699
      396694
 1.00 493261 493254 491248 489243 486241 483242 481240 479236
      476232 473232 469234 459234 454234 450236 447240 447242
      450243 460243 469242 479247 487254 490259 493261
 1.00 498234 497231 497229 496226 496224 495223 495221 494222
      493225 493228 494229 494230 494233 495234 496236 498234
 1.00 489219 488213 486212 479211 473214 466215 461218 454219
      454222 457224 461226 463225 469221 471219 475218 483220
      486220 489219
 1.50 479241 479239 479238 477236 476235 474235 473236 473239
      473240 475242 476242 478241 479241
 1.50 482216 482215 480214 479213 477214 476215 477216 478217
      480217 482217 482216
 1.50 459237 458236 457236 455235 454236 453236 451237 451238
      453239 454239 456239 458239 459237
 1.50 461223 460221 459221 458222 458223 460223 461223

24HR QP VT 15/12Z
 0.01 533198 534184 530182 529177 526169 522164 513150 502136
      496130 492124 487118 484110 482102 480097 477093 466081
      462074 459064 455061 451060 448061 444062 442064 436070
      434073 433080 436083 440084 444086 445089 443091 436093
      430091 428089 426089 423098 418104 413110 411105 409105
      407108 406114 410116 412120 417124 419127 420131 420134
      418137 417144 413152 411155 411158 412163 415165 420172
      423176 425176 438178 438189 437196 435198 432198 419204
      415227 414236 416244 427258 432264 437270 447283 455296
      458300 461301 470304 474304 478305 488309 491310 493308
      498297 501291 506285 508282 510278 513266 516254 518249
      517243 507210 507204 509200 515206 528219 533198
 0.01 514957 514949 512942 509928 506917 500914 495911 494907
      493903 492897 491888 491877 489871 486866 484860 477855
      468851 451848 444847 440843 434832 431828 426825 420820
      416816 412814 411810 410805 409797 408784 404775 403771
      401769 397765 393761 389760 379759 373760 371765 371770
      370774 368775 360783 356790 353800 351805 350812 347826
      345838 344851 344858 342862 335871 329877 327886 324897
      321901 316904 313900 311893 308888 302887 287901 280905
      273910 273918 277921 283922 288924 290927 290931 290939
      290945 292948 305963 309971 311975 314978 324983 329985
      336984 339980 343976 346978 350976 359972 362966 365962
      373947 376941 380937 383933 388930 399927 409932 421948
      426955 428959 431964 437972 446980 454986 461993 467001
      475009 481012 485015 489014 493013 497010 505004 510970
      511962 514957
 0.01 490198 490192 489186 487182 483179 480177 476178 470184
      468187 467194 463195 457194 453202 454204 459206 461203
      465201 468203 472201 479198 484199 487199 490198
 0.01 456123 453121 450122 444121 439119 436122 432128 430135
      429139 432142 436138 440134 444130 445128 449129 450130
      452127 456123
 0.01 455825 455822 453819 451818 448816 446815 444814 442816
      440818 438820 437823 438825 440827 443828 446828 450827
      453827 455825
 0.01 450049 449048 448046 448044 448043 447041 446041 445038
      445036 443034 443033 441036 440038 440040 441043 441044
      443045 443046 444046 446048 448049 449049 450049
 0.01 439762 436762 432761 427762 428764 429769 431776 432783
      434787 436785 436780 436773 437768 439762 439762
 0.01 427688 426681 420678 414677 409678 407679 404682 403687
      404691 406693 409698 413701 418700 422694 425694 425691
      427688
 0.01 428065 428062 425061 420057 417053 412052 400053 395055
      390059 387063 385072 381074 379076 381077 385074 388073
      392073 401078 403076 406076 411079 415074 419070 424070
      428065
 0.01 410045 410042 407040 403036 400030 397025 391024 388029
      384031 386036 387040 388043 392046 399048 404049 408047
      410045
 0.01 343761 340755 334751 330752 328754 322758 313770 309775
      303780 291788 286793 286796 288799 292803 300805 307806
      311805 314804 321800 326795 331791 335784 339778 341770
      343761
 0.25 525195 525190 523187 520182 515176 511171 506166 501163
      493161 487158 483157 483151 484147 486146 489144 489139
      485133 482131 478130 474128 468132 464136 459138 454142
      450147 447148 443148 437150 436151 434156 436160 439163
      444166 445170 445176 443182 442187 445190 450193 455190
      459186 463180 465170 471169 478170 485174 491178 495184
      500187 506186 510186 514188 516193 519196 523197 525195
 0.25 512258 513253 512249 511244 507240 505234 502221 500215
      496210 491206 486204 480204 475206 466210 455213 445213
      439214 434217 429221 426224 429229 433234 433242 436247
      442250 448249 456246 467244 471245 474247 477250 483254
      487259 495267 500269 505266 512258
 0.25 484230 484227 482225 481225 479225 478225 477225 475226
      474227 473227 472228 473230 475230 476230 478231 480231
      481231 483231 484230
 0.25 467107 463104 458102 452095 447095 442096 437097 434100
      430103 425105 423108 420116 422118 429119 436114 447112
      456110 461110 466109 467107
 0.25 451083 452080 452078 451076 451075 450074 449073 448072
      446070 445069 444070 443070 443072 443074 444076 445077
      446078 447080 448080 449082 450083 451083 451083
 0.25 437921 436914 435909 432898 428890 422884 418882 414884
      411889 411891 413905 415915 419918 422921 429924 433926
      435923 437921
 0.25 414066 415064 414061 412061 411061 410061 409062 407063
      406063 405063 403064 402065 402067 402069 403070 405072
      406072 408072 410072 412071 413068 414067 414066
 0.25 383820 382816 380813 375808 369809 366812 363818 357834
      353852 348868 346876 343884 339892 337898 332915 326930
      323938 321947 320959 322966 327971 333972 335971 338962
      339952 342944 346938 352923 355916 359907 366894 370887
      374880 377872 378866 378854 379846 378838 379832 383820
 0.25 298908 298905 297905 295905 293905 291906 290907 288908
      286910 286911 285912 286913 287914 288915 290915 292915
      293914 295913 296912 297910 297909 298908
 0.50 507177 506174 504172 502170 499169 496168 494168 492170
      494172 495174 498176 501178 503179 505178 507177
 0.50 497226 497219 495215 491210 485207 478207 474209 465213
      456215 445216 440217 436219 435222 435227 440230 443231
      443233 439236 437239 438243 442244 452242 463241 468241
      473242 486248 490251 491246 488241 484237 478234 472233
      469233 466230 466229 474222 484222 491227 496229 497226
 0.50 484138 484137 484135 482135 481134 479134 477134 477137
      479138 480139 482139 484138 484138
 0.50 479162 477157 474153 470150 464147 459146 455149 452154
      449158 449164 448172 446186 450189 454189 461180 461175
      458169 460165 464163 474163 479162
 0.50 454231 452229 451229 450229 450231 452232 454231
 0.50 450232 449230 447231 445230 445231 447232 448232 450232
 0.50 448075 446073 445075 446076 448076 448075
 0.50 437110 437109 435108 433108 432107 430106 428107 426107
      426108 424110 425112 426115 427115 428115 429115 431113
      433111 435110 437110 437110
 0.50 368865 368858 367854 361847 358848 355852 352861 347882
      345890 340897 337907 335917 332927 331931 332937 335938
      336936 338933 341928 343929 346927 349924 353914 359896
      363888 364884 366878 368865
 1.00 491219 489214 486211 481209 477210 470213 463217 456219
      448222 447225 449226 453223 458226 462225 469222 472220
      476219 486220 488221 491219
 1.00 479239 479238 477237 475237 475239 475240 477241 478241
      478240 479239
 1.00 468157 467155 467154 466152 465152 464151 462151 460153
      460154 461156 462156 463157 465157 467157 468157
 1.00 455238 455237 453236 451235 450235 448236 447236 446237
      445238 445240 447241 449241 451241 452240 453240 454238
      455238
 1.00 457182 459180 457178 456179 455177 454175 454174 453172
      451173 451176 452177 454178 455179 455181 455184 457183
      457182
 1.00 359874 360869 359863 358860 356863 354871 353881 351890
      349897 349902 350906 351908 353905 354901 355897 356888
      358879 359874
 1.50 487215 485213 484213 482212 481212 479211 477211 476211
      475212 474213 472214 470215 471218 473218 475218 476218
      478218 480217 482217 483218 485218 486218 487216 487215
 1.50 471218 470216 468216 466217 464218 462220 462221 464222
      465221 466221 467221 468220 469219 471218
 1.50 459222 457221 457222 458223 459222
 2.00 484214 482214 481213 482214 484215 484214
 2.00 480216 480213 479213 478213 477212 475213 474214 475217
      477217 478216 480216

24HR QP VT 16/12Z
 0.01 534203 533193 531187 528180 525174 513148 506132 503126
      501116 496101 492094 488088 482077 479069 476063 465039
      461032 455030 455024 457023 459025 464031 475039 490041
      492021 491010 488005 482993 479989 474984 462957 453946
      442934 432926 421919 401908 389902 383902 380904 379909
      382918 384923 388932 392938 396944 400949 408958 421980
      428991 433998 434004 432009 428026 424034 420041 413050
      406053 401054 396057 392063 391066 390070 393070 396070
      397072 400075 406078 413077 419074 425071 432071 432078
      433084 432090 426091 428096 428101 425103 423104 421108
      417111 414113 413115 419127 423127 429123 432120 435119
      442117 445122 443130 441151 441155 441158 442162 444164
      448169 450176 454177 456176 460169 463165 468167 480174
      486180 488187 491196 490200 486200 479202 475205 470209
      465212 453215 447216 445218 445221 457226 459230 456233
      451235 449237 449241 455244 459243 462246 470250 478262
      483267 486274 488281 491287 496287 498286 499281 501271
      503266 505264 509260 511257 512252 512247 512240 510231
      506225 504219 505213 508212 511212 515208 516207 518204
      519200 522200 529203 533205 534203
 0.01 495855 495847 491841 488836 487831 486829 474809 458793
      447786 437775 445764 450753 455744 459739 460731 463713
      465698 466683 464674 462666 459656 458652 457650 454646
      450646 448645 445645 443644 440648 432657 429662 427669
      423677 421684 415697 412701 410703 407702 402704 398708
      389716 380724 373732 364742 359747 356749 353749 328744
      315746 308747 303750 294756 286764 281767 276772 266779
      248795 244799 242805 242811 246815 262826 264827 266830
      264837 259843 255846 253851 249852 247856 244867 246872
      252875 255878 256883 257884 258892 260899 260907 263910
      269913 273917 281929 291937 295941 299943 316957 326960
      332960 336958 341954 344949 349933 351918 354911 357905
      367883 376860 379853 383848 387842 394838 397838 399841
      402846 409857 412863 416868 423874 432881 441885 455889
      458889 461891 467890 480884 485882 488876 490872 494868
      494860 495855
 0.25 518185 518180 517176 514171 509164 503160 496157 492156
      492153 493149 493145 491137 487130 482126 474122 472120
      471116 471107 467100 461095 453094 450093 446094 440094
      437097 433096 432104 428107 428111 431111 448115 463119
      466120 468125 466129 462131 457134 456142 455154 458156
      461157 467160 472164 482167 488169 492175 496181 499189
      501192 505193 512192 518185
 0.25 504239 505234 504229 500219 497212 495208 492205 487204
      483204 480205 477207 472212 465216 464219 466222 474223
      479226 482228 480231 477231 474233 472240 474244 479249
      484257 488265 492274 494276 497273 500261 502248 504239
 0.25 462996 460988 457982 450971 442959 433950 423943 418940
      415940 416944 418950 421956 429968 436978 445988 455997
      459000 462996
 0.25 444698 442695 439694 435693 432693 428699 422706 411717
      397729 386740 374751 367757 357760 351762 342761 335759
      325760 321761 316763 311767 307771 306776 303784 302790
      303796 302800 305803 313803 321806 326809 326818 323826
      319830 315832 307834 295835 291842 285846 278849 271853
      266858 262862 262866 270882 273889 278895 285908 288911
      292912 301915 306919 311928 316934 321939 328942 333942
      336940 339936 341931 344923 350906 362874 366865 369858
      377841 386827 395816 408801 411794 415786 422772 430758
      438738 441730 443720 444698
 0.25 452080 453078 452076 451075 450073 450072 448071 448070
      447069 445068 443069 443070 442072 443074 444077 445077
      446079 447080 448081 449082 451081 452080
 0.25 412071 412068 411066 410065 409064 407063 405064 404065
      404067 404070 405071 405072 406073 408073 410073 412071
      412071
 0.50 503236 502228 498219 495213 493209 490207 482206 477210
      472215 471218 473219 479221 486225 490232 491237 489237
      481235 477235 475237 477244 484250 487256 490263 496262
      498259 499253 500242 503236
 0.50 510183 511181 510178 510177 509175 509174 507173 505172
      504172 502172 501173 502176 503178 503179 504181 506182
      508183 509183 510183
 0.50 481137 482135 481134 479132 478132 476132 474133 473136
      474138 475139 477139 479139 480138 481137
 0.50 472158 473156 472153 471150 470150 469150 467149 466148
      464148 462147 461148 461151 462153 463154 465155 467156
      468157 470158 472158 472158
 0.50 451107 452102 451100 448097 445096 443096 441096 439099
      437102 437105 437107 440109 444110 447110 449109 451107
 0.50 433725 432716 429713 426713 420717 415722 409728 403734
      392743 370760 356767 351769 345768 338768 331766 324766
      318768 313773 311781 310785 311790 319791 321795 323797
      330796 337795 340796 340801 338807 332824 324838 320841
      313844 305845 298847 283854 280856 278859 277863 278869
      284872 291873 298874 304876 306885 308890 312892 318889
      320896 319906 320911 322914 324922 326928 329931 334930
      339925 342917 344910 347902 350895 356882 362867 368851
      374838 377832 381826 389813 399800 406788 414777 422762
      425755 428748 432737 433730 433725
 1.00 499232 499229 497225 496222 495220 492217 490215 487213
      485215 484217 484220 486221 489223 491224 494228 495230
      496232 499232
 1.00 492253 493251 492250 492248 491246 491245 490243 489242
      488241 487240 485240 484240 483242 483245 484246 486248
      486249 487250 489251 490252 490253 492253 492253
 1.00 422744 421738 419737 416738 409744 405746 400751 393758
      380771 370777 365780 362785 356792 351800 348804 346812
      344823 344830 342834 335840 328848 325852 324857 325862
      329864 332867 332872 330877 329884 330893 328906 329915
      330919 332920 336916 340906 344897 348888 354877 357868
      365848 370838 374828 384810 389800 395791 407775 413766
      418757 421750 422744
 1.00 307859 306857 305857 304854 302854 300854 298854 296855
      295856 294857 293860 294862 295862 297862 299862 300862
      302862 304861 305861 306860 307859
 1.50 397772 397770 396768 395768 394768 392770 392771 391773
      390776 390778 390779 389781 390781 392780 393778 394777
      395776 396775 397772
 1.50 387785 383786 378789 368797 363802 360806 359810 357814
      354819 353825 349830 346837 343842 349846 348851 343864
      341877 337893 333905 334907 336905 338899 343888 351877
      361852 365840 371827 379800 387785
 2.00 365825 365822 362827 358834 354844 353853 349861 348868
      346873 347875 350873 352868 355859 359850 362841 363829
      365825

$$




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