000
FXUS04 KWBC 180831
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
430 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUN 18/1200 UTC THRU JUN 21/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

LOWER MS VALLEY---SOUTHEAST---INTO THE MID ATLANTIC

WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE DAY 1 FROM THE
LOWER MS VALLEY---EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND THEN
NORTHWARD INTO PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC IN AN AXIS OF ABOVE
AVERAGE PW VALUES---1 TO 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE
MEAN--FORECAST TO PERSIST ACROSS THESE AREAS.  SHORTWAVE ENERGY
MOVING OUT OF TN VALLEY WILL PUSH A SURFACE WAVE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS MORNING AND OFFSHORE OF THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY EVENING.  THERE ARE DIFFERENCES WITH
THE STRENGTH OF THIS WAVE---WHICH IMPACTS HOW FAR TO THE NORTH THE
MODERATE TO HEAVY OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION SPREADS INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC REGION.  THE 0000 UTC GFS IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER WITH THIS
WAVE THAN THE 1200 UTC EC AND NAM---WHILE THE NEW 0000 UTC
ECMWF--WHICH WAS NOT SEEN FOR THE PRELIM DAY 1 QPF---HAS TRENDED
FARTHER NORTHWARD FROM ITS PREVIOUS FORECASTS AND IS NOW MORE
SIMILAR TO THE GFS.  DAY 1 QPF LEANED TOWARD THE FARTHER SOUTHWARD
QPF AXIS OF THE 1200 UTC ECMWF WHICH HAS SUPPORT FROM THE NAM AND
THE LATEST HI RES MODELS.  HEAVY PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS DEPICTED
FROM THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC NEAR THE TRACK OF THE LOW AND
SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE TRAILING FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH THE
SOUTHEAST AND TOWARD THE LOWER MS VALLEY.

LEE OF THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN ROCKIES

LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW EXPECTED TO PERSIST DAY 1 IN THE LEE OF
THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN ROCKIES WITH PW VALUES REMAINING ABOVE
AVERAGE ACROSS THESE AREAS.  SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING EASTWARD FROM
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL CONVECTION ACROSS THESE AREAS.  WITH
CONFIDENCE LOW IN QPF DETAILS---AREAL AVERAGE LIGHT TO MODERATE
AMOUNTS DEPICTED FROM NORTHWEST TX/NORTHEAST NM--ACROSS WESTERN
OK--EASTERN CO---WESTERN KS INTO WESTERN NE---FAR SOUTHEAST WY AND
FAR SOUTHWEST SD.

PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES

THE STRONG CLOSED LOW OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST WILL PUSH
INLAND INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUE NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY.
VERY DIFFLUENT FLOW AHEAD OF THIS CLOSED LOW WILL SUPPORT
INCREASING CONVECTION TUE AFTERNOON/TUE NIGHT INTO EARLY WED IN
THE VICINITY OF THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHING INLAND.
WITH PW VALUES EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL NEAR THIS
FRONT---MODERATE TO ISOLATED HEAVY PRECIPITATION TOTALS POSSIBLE
OVER NORTHERN ID INTO NORTHWEST MT.  LIGHTER PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
EXPECTED WESTWARD INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WHERE WEAK ONSHORE
FLOW WILL PERSIST DAY 1.

DAYS 2/3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES/NORTHERN PLAINS...

AN INCREASING LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF A STRONG CLOSED MID LEVEL
LOW WILL TRANSPORT HIGHER MOISTURE AIR INTO THE REGION DURING DAY
2. THE MOISTURE WILL FUEL CONVECTION...WHICH COULD PRODUCE HEAVY
TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MT. OUTSIDE OF
THE 00Z NAM...THERE IS GOOD CLUSTERING WITH RESPECT TO THE MID
LEVEL SYSTEM...AND BECAUSE OF THIS THE QPF FORECAST WAS BASED ON A
00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET BLEND.

THE STRONG CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM WILL WOBBLE ITS WAY THROUGH THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST DURING DAY 2. COOLING MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES
WILL STEEPENING LAPSE RATES...SUPPORTING MARGINAL INSTABILITY
ACROSS WA AND OR. THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES PEAKING NEAR 0.75 INCHES WILL SUPPORT CONVECTION
ACROSS WA AND OR...AND THE MID LEVEL FLOW WILL FAVOR THE HIGHER
TERRAIN FOR QPF. A STRIPE OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED
ACROSS THE OLYMPICS IN WA AND THE COASTAL RANGE IN OR.

FURTHER EAST...A SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST INFLOW AHEAD OF THE CLOSED MID
LEVEL LOW AND EAST OF A SURFACE FRONT STRETCHING FROM ID INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS WILL TRANSPORT 1.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR
(WHICH IS CLOSE TO TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) INTO MT
AND ND. MODEL SOUNDINGS CLOSE TO AND EAST OF THE FRONT SHOW THE
POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY. THE COMBINATION OF
INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE...AIDED BY SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT ASSOCIATED
WITH A 90 KNOT JET STREAK...SHOULD ALLOW CONVECTION TO FIRE NEAR
THE FRONT AND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

THE HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER CONTENT AIR SHOULD SUPPORT QPF AMOUNTS
BETWEEN 1.00 AND 1.50 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN NORTHERN
MT. THESE QPF VALUES ARE ABOVE THE RELATIVELY LOW THREE HOUR FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS...SO MUCH OF NORTHERN MT HAS BEEN RETAINED
IN THE CURRENT SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREA.

ANOMALOUSLY STRONG LOW PRESSURE DEEPENING OVER MT WILL TRACK INTO
AB...AND THE FRONT OVER MT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS DURING DAY 3. THE AXIS OF DEEPEST MOISTURE (AS PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES INCREASE TO NEAR 1.50 INCHES) MOVES EAST IN
ND/SD...AS THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW SLOWLY WEAKENS. MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY IN THIS AREA...AHEAD OF A
SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH EASTERN MT. THE LIFT SHOULD AID
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE FRONT. THE ABOVE SHOULD SUPPORT A
STRIPE OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS NORTHERNMOST ND. THESE
QPF NUMBERS ARE BELOW THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
NUMBERS...SO NO SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS ASSIGNED HERE.

FURTHER WEST...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 0.75 INCHES IN AN
AREA OF GENERAL SYNOPTIC LIFT WITH THE MID LEVEL CLOSED LOW WILL
SUPPORT CONVECTION...MAINLY OVER EASTERN WA AND OR. THIS SHOULD
SUPPORT AN AREA OF 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF IN THE CASCADES OF
WA.


...GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST/CENTRAL PLAINS...

A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST WILL
BECOME THE FOCUS FOR QPF ON DAYS 2 AND 3 ACROSS THE REGION. THERE
WAS GOOD MODEL CLUSTERING WITH THIS FEATURE IN THE 00Z MODEL
SUITE...AND A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET WAS USED TO CREATE
THE QPF TEMPLATE.

ON DAY 2...A DEVELOPING SOUTH SOUTHWEST 35 TO 45 KNOT LOW LEVEL
JET WILL TRANSPORT PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1.75 INCHES IN
TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST. NEAR THE FRONT....MODEL
SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. AFTER THAT...IT APPEARS AS THOUGH THE CONVECTION
TRIES TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED ACROSS THE MIDWEST...WHEN THE BEST
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX APPEARS. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
CONVECTION AFTER 00Z...AS MODEL SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW
MODERATE INSTABILITY THROUGH AT LEAST 06Z THU. AN AREA OF 0.25 TO
0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS EASTERN SD...EASTERN NE AND
WESTERN IA TO ACCOUNT FOR THE CONVECTION.

THE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX SHOULD AFFECT THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT
LAKES DURING DAY 3 AS THE SURFACE WARM FRONT MOVES INTO THE
REGION. THERE IS SOME MODEL SPREAD CONCERNING JUST HOW MUCH
SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT WILL BE PROVIDED BY WEAK SHORT WAVES IN THE
MID LEVEL FLOW...SO IT IS NOT YET CLEAR SHOW EXTENSIVE THE
CONVECTIVE CLUSTER WILL BE. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE
INSTABILITY NEAR THE FRONT WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES PEAKING
NEAR 1.75 INCHES. THE INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE SHOULD EITHER
SUSTAIN ONGOING CONVECTION AND/OR SPAWN NEW CONVECTION.

AN AREA OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS EASTERN
MN...WESTERN WI AND EASTERN IA TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS ACTIVITY. IT
SHOULD BE NOTED THAT A FEW MEMBERS OF THE LATEST ECMWF ENSEMBLE
OUTPUT SUGGEST 2 INCH AMOUNTS ACROSS MN AND WI...BUT THERE IS NOT
YET ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO INCREASE QPF AMOUNTS TO MATCH THIS YET.


...MID ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST/GULF COAST...

MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ALONG A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT CROSSING
THE MID ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST STATES SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO
PRODUCE CONVECTION DURING BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3...BUT IN SLIGHTLY
DIFFERENT GEOGRAPHIC AREAS. THERE WAS DECENT MODEL CLUSTERING WITH
THE TIMING OF THE FRONT WITHIN THE 00Z MODEL SUITE...AND THE QPF
FORECAST WAS BASED ON A 00Z ECMWF/UKMET BLEND.

ON DAY 2...THE FRONT SHOULD EXTEND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MID
ATLANTIC STATES INTO THE SOUTHEAST. MOISTURE POOLING AHEAD OF THE
FRONT (IN THE FORM OF 1.75 TO 2.00 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES)
SHOULD HELP FUEL CONVECTION ON AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE
BEST MID LEVEL SUPPORT FOR SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT SHOULD EXIT
EARLY...SO CONVECTION THAT FOLLOWS MAY BE MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE
ALONG THE FRONT. MODEL SOUNDINGS ACROSS NC...SC AND GA SHOW
MODERATE INSTABILITY IN A UNIDIRECTIONAL ENVIRONMENT...WHICH
SHOULD PRECLUDE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS. A SWATH OF 0.50 TO
1.00 INCHES WAS PLACED JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE
ABOVEMENTIONED AREAS.

ON DAY 3...THE FRONT COMES MORE OR LESS TO A HALT ACROSS CENTRAL
FL AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...AS ITS MID LEVEL SUPPORT SHEARS
OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY IN
A WEAKLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT ALONG THE FRONT. PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES NEAR 1.75 INCHES SUGGEST THAT THE CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS
NEAR THE FRONT COULD LINGER INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE BEST
ACTIVITY SHOULD STRETCH ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTION OF FL...AND A
0.50 TO 0.75 INCH QPF STRIPE WAS PLACED IN THIS AREA.


ORAVEC/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 535220 537208 539197 540186 541175 542165 543155 543144
      542136 540128 538122 531111 515095 508086 503083 497083
      493088 491091 488093 481084 479080 477076 476072 471063
      469057 465051 459043 453033 447021 445017 442013 438010
      436009 434004 427997 420993 411988 407985 402983 394978
      389978 385980 381985 377989 368995 365998 359001 354007
      350007 348002 342993 334969 332962 332954 333943 335932
      336927 338922 347905 352896 355891 358887 371869 376860
      379859 381867 380871 381877 382880 385883 386887 390890
      392891 395889 399886 402880 404869 408860 410854 411847
      409834 408826 410821 412809 415799 416787 418780 421772
      424768 426763 430759 432753 434750 436745 439739 440733
      443723 447707 446706 441705 431707 427708 427703 424699
      421698 418697 416694 413687 410679 409672 408668 403667
      398670 394670 388670 386675 385678 383683 380688 378693
      365714 355729 350735 347739 343750 342755 339759 334767
      329775 325783 319792 315802 311810 308820 299840 296843
      294847 293852 292857 293868 292871 293877 295925 295950
      296963 296974 298986 300992 301000 307022 309028 310036
      312036 316039 325044 332048 341052 344055 350055 359051
      363050 369048 378044 384039 388039 393041 398042 403046
      412051 417051 421053 426057 430061 438068 444076 446079
      445082 439084 433091 433093 436094 438096 443098 447101
      450106 452114 456124 456128 454130 448132 443132 440135
      436140 435146 435153 437158 440162 442166 441171 438177
      435180 432183 429182 425186 422189 422193 420196 419197
      421202 424214 420224 413235 409236 407237 406241 409253
      409258 410262 412264 418267 423266 428265 432262 435262
      439260 448253 452251 457252 470257 478263 483267 487271
      492276 496280 503287 507287 513286 518275 520264 518256
      517254 518250 520245 528229 535220
 0.01 497250 500248 500244 498241 494234 489228 484222 475219
      469220 465220 463221 462225 465227 474229 477229 480233
      482236 488236 489239 493243 494246 497250 497250
 0.01 294807 291801 287799 282797 275799 266796 262794 256795
      252795 249798 245802 245808 243815 247820 252821 254821
      255819 257813 264820 270821 276820 289815 292810 294807
 0.25 534171 536165 536160 535151 533144 530138 526134 522128
      516119 510115 508114 505120 501125 492130 487134 485138
      485144 484148 481150 478149 474149 471145 468141 461142
      459143 459146 458154 459160 462165 468168 479173 488180
      491184 494189 496199 498205 501205 504204 507204 513207
      517210 520212 523212 527210 529202 528195 527190 527184
      530178 534171
 0.25 423718 421714 417716 413723 411731 407738 404740 403733
      405724 405717 404711 402707 395710 380719 372724 364730
      360734 355741 341765 334779 328790 318814 308842 304854
      300867 301875 299883 298896 300931 302941 305950 308955
      312954 316947 317940 320926 331902 337888 343877 359855
      365849 371844 376840 381834 383831 384826 386819 385803
      385794 385786 389783 392784 396784 400782 411772 414763
      416756 420736 422725 423718
 0.25 448200 448199 445197 443199 445203 448200 448200
 0.25 436246 439243 437238 436238 434238 430239 427239 427241
      427243 429246 432247 435246 436246
 0.25 408034 402030 399027 399023 393009 385008 376009 369011
      365016 361019 357018 349017 342017 341019 341024 344031
      349036 355038 361037 367033 374031 379032 383031 389032
      403036 408034
 0.25 278810 276808 275808 272806 268805 265804 263804 262803
      260804 259805 259808 260811 262813 263813 266814 267815
      269815 272815 274814 277813 278810
 0.50 532160 529155 526150 526149 524147 521148 520148 520151
      521153 523157 524159 526161 528163 531161 532160
 0.50 523202 523197 522196 520193 518191 517190 514189 513190
      513194 514196 515200 516201 519203 521206 523202
 0.50 515152 516148 515146 512143 512142 509139 509137 507134
      504132 501136 500136 498140 499145 500148 501150 503152
      506154 508155 511156 514154 515152
 0.50 386734 384730 380729 375728 370731 362738 356746 345763
      336781 328799 324808 321816 314835 313840 312845 315855
      317860 317866 316875 310895 308904 307911 310915 315915
      318913 321909 324905 331886 336877 342870 348862 354854
      360846 367839 372836 375832 377821 380800 379792 377786
      379775 381765 383760 387755 390753 390751 389743 386734
 1.00 375745 374741 370741 366742 363745 358751 354757 347767
      342778 339785 338791 332803 327814 325820 326828 328833
      329837 329843 329852 328859 325872 326877 328876 334871
      338866 344855 348849 351844 359833 362828 365822 368810
      369803 369795 373781 375753 375745
 1.50 370768 370761 368757 364756 360758 356761 354764 351770
      345784 345799 341811 340819 345824 346827 348827 353821
      355816 357808 352807 353801 357800 360795 363790 367777
      370768
 2.00 363767 361765 359765 357766 356767 355770 354772 353774
      353776 352779 351781 353782 355780 357778 358777 360775
      361772 362771 363767

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 545849 541844 538842 535842 528844 526843 520850 518858
      515860 512861 507860 501860 495862 488870 483877 481882
      476893 470952 470960 468967 469979 470988 471995 473001
      472008 469012 466012 458044 458055 458066 459077 459082
      459091 458096 454109 447125 440134 434149 433160 432168
      430170 427170 422170 415176 415181 419188 428195 434196
      440191 445195 451197 470186 471195 470200 469202 461207
      438214 436214 432216 427219 421221 418224 412239 414244
      421247 427248 433248 441249 445248 452248 455247 465248
      470247 474249 482251 485253 487256 491262 496274 502278
      505276 509276 512271 517263 514253 514247 516246 522247
      526242 528239 529233 530226 529220 528215 529209 533205
      537198 538196 540190 541179 542166 541152 538140 536131
      534125 528120 526110 522096 519086 519073 517065 515054
      502029 494020 492015 491005 488981 486977 484966 483953
      484950 486951 488953 500958 505960 512957 518944 521938
      525932 532926 536921 543912 545906 546895 546882 546870
      544855 545849
 0.01 389691 387686 384684 378682 372683 370685 350707 348713
      345714 344711 343705 341702 338702 334704 331708 325713
      322717 314729 308740 295762 287771 282775 279779 276782
      271787 267791 262794 254798 256805 254811 257818 266825
      275831 276842 275847 277856 280870 285882 289889 291898
      294915 301947 307958 315964 320966 326966 330966 332969
      335974 337984 341987 346990 351995 356997 361002 367004
      372005 377008 381008 384010 390011 399011 411010 422005
      427003 431005 435003 442000 446000 448002 454002 454994
      453988 453985 454981 456973 454964 451958 444947 443935
      441925 438920 436918 433918 424920 417919 411917 406915
      394910 390908 384910 386927 388937 389942 390944 391946
      389948 382951 378952 374952 364954 362955 362960 359960
      357958 353953 346945 342939 340929 338922 335919 331903
      329897 327889 325879 325872 325863 328857 333846 344823
      352830 362832 364842 370840 372835 375826 375818 377810
      378804 379798 377789 376784 377780 379775 380770 378762
      373746 375739 377733 384720 385716 387713 390704 388696
      389691
 0.25 536181 537173 537168 535159 528142 521130 517124 513116
      511105 510096 506074 502059 499052 496045 490037 485035
      481036 479040 477049 476066 472073 468078 465088 464097
      467105 472108 476113 478120 477125 469125 455130 450134
      446140 442147 441152 442159 443163 445166 448174 453178
      460177 467175 472175 476178 480184 483191 484196 484199
      480204 473209 468211 463214 459216 451216 446218 438219
      437221 438224 435227 429229 427232 427237 434240 442240
      446238 450234 446227 447224 451223 457222 461222 464224
      468225 471223 477224 481227 485234 494239 502240 506233
      514233 521235 524230 525225 523216 522211 523207 525202
      530194 534186 536181
 0.25 515902 514893 510890 507891 504893 501898 499903 497910
      497918 499927 500932 504933 506933 509928 511923 513915
      515907 515902
 0.25 448978 447969 445964 440955 434946 430944 425942 416941
      412939 408942 405952 405958 406965 407973 411975 417974
      422974 429980 432982 438982 441983 446982 448978
 0.25 407000 409995 409992 407988 406984 403981 403980 400981
      400982 403985 401989 398992 396993 398995 400997 401997
      404000 407000 407000
 0.25 360773 358765 355761 351760 346761 344760 344755 344751
      341745 334738 330737 326740 320747 316754 299782 296791
      296800 297805 296810 292815 295824 296833 296838 295842
      294850 295860 297872 297876 295879 295883 296887 300890
      303891 306893 308899 309904 313907 316903 316900 316877
      317867 319859 331828 339812 348797 356783 359776 360773
 0.50 534175 534166 533163 529153 525144 521139 515130 510121
      508112 506100 505088 503076 495059 489052 485053 483059
      480068 476077 473084 473089 474093 482108 485119 485126
      484130 469133 461136 454142 450149 450155 453166 455168
      460170 475170 482174 486178 488183 491189 499191 502192
      504196 506200 506212 510214 512213 518210 522196 526188
      530185 533180 534175
 0.50 504215 503212 500212 497212 494211 491210 488209 485210
      482211 480213 479217 481220 482222 484223 486224 489226
      492228 494231 497232 498232 500228 501223 502219 502218
      504215
 0.50 442975 441971 440967 439964 438963 436961 434960 433958
      430961 431964 433968 434968 436972 437973 439975 440975
      442975
 0.50 420959 419955 417954 414952 412954 411957 411960 412964
      413966 416966 417963 418961 420959
 0.50 352777 352770 348767 343770 332782 320792 318792 319786
      323778 328773 333767 336759 336755 334751 332750 330752
      325757 322763 313778 309783 307790 308799 308808 307815
      304820 302824 302829 303837 301851 300855 300860 303864
      305860 307858 312854 317847 320841 326828 333815 341801
      348787 352777
 1.00 523168 523158 520152 513138 507126 503125 501128 498133
      494139 492141 489141 483138 477136 473140 472145 474149
      476155 482157 489161 493165 497171 500172 505173 509179
      515185 518183 519179 522172 523168
 1.00 499104 500095 499090 497081 496077 494072 489068 488068
      485073 482077 480081 480085 482093 485099 488103 490106
      493109 496110 498109 499104
 1.00 337791 335791 332793 330794 328795 328797 325800 325801
      324804 323805 323808 326810 328807 328806 330803 330802
      331800 333797 333796 336794 337791
 1.00 325815 324812 323812 324815 325815
 1.50 492095 493090 493086 491081 488079 485079 483081 483085
      484090 485091 486094 488097 491096 492095

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 533729 526715 522705 520702 514702 510703 502702 497706
      495712 493719 490720 487717 484708 480705 476707 471711
      468716 465722 463726 462730 461736 455758 452772 456792
      455797 456805 455818 454826 451832 445843 442847 437850
      428856 408870 399875 393880 390883 386887 385894 387910
      384921 382926 380930 376930 372929 367928 360928 351925
      346922 340923 335925 335932 337939 340943 347948 350947
      354945 358944 360945 363949 367953 370954 375954 377955
      379958 382963 386966 392967 398965 404964 406960 412959
      415967 421976 424980 426983 425987 421990 420994 417998
      407995 398989 391988 387987 373987 367989 364991 360993
      356995 346002 339007 324019 319022 316028 315032 317036
      320039 326039 336039 341038 345035 350034 355030 371016
      375013 381011 388010 392013 400017 408023 415030 420033
      425035 429031 430029 431025 432017 435020 436018 440016
      446015 456008 459003 463006 466018 470035 474040 476047
      479052 482058 487068 493078 495081 496086 499091 504100
      505109 506116 506128 505133 503134 497132 494129 490125
      486121 485117 486111 488106 489086 489077 486073 482069
      479062 477055 474050 466044 461042 458041 454042 450046
      448053 448062 449072 454083 456091 459096 460099 460104
      458109 451115 443124 440128 441129 445133 444138 442143
      438148 438153 439159 442166 445170 448171 450175 454176
      454172 453168 457167 461162 463162 466166 469171 472169
      475170 476174 477182 476191 472195 463202 459205 455209
      439217 438225 439231 437234 440240 449247 460251 464252
      468252 469254 474265 480278 482281 485287 495292 503288
      511277 515272 516268 519264 524253 529232 538204 540197
      541191 541181 542175 542168 543157 544153 544145 545097
      545074 545048 545037 543027 538016 534001 531995 528990
      520982 515978 511974 507971 505965 503961 500952 499950
      498944 497934 494916 492897 492891 492881 502853 505849
      508843 510837 511833 513830 518818 521806 525792 527784
      528776 531764 533751 533729
 0.01 388785 384783 381784 378783 373785 352795 342800 337801
      334799 332795 332792 333787 333782 334778 344741 344736
      342729 342726 339722 340714 342704 346685 342682 334685
      326690 318696 309704 303712 302730 300739 296747 290762
      286771 282779 277787 275791 271793 261797 257799 256803
      254807 255812 260819 266825 267829 266833 259849 259858
      259861 262863 263864 265861 267859 271852 278837 280833
      285835 288845 290849 293853 292863 291873 289881 290887
      288891 289903 288908 289914 291919 294921 297922 304921
      309920 311917 312906 310893 307885 305883 305879 306876
      303863 305854 310847 315840 318836 325834 327835 332834
      335836 336840 336845 335850 334853 338853 343851 353848
      356844 361841 363836 363832 364829 366827 369825 371821
      370814 372809 375806 379806 382804 381800 382797 385791
      388785
 0.25 510772 509769 506768 500767 493770 489770 485775 483785
      479800 477803 474803 470794 466785 462783 466817 466825
      465835 464841 460847 453862 450868 449874 452881 454886
      453889 446893 440893 435890 432889 428890 420893 412895
      405900 401905 397916 395923 394927 395933 398936 402934
      406932 409934 412942 416948 425954 429957 435959 440959
      447954 452951 456954 459962 462967 469968 472965 473960
      476955 477960 477968 478971 478976 475981 473990 471000
      471008 475021 483035 489048 497059 506071 511076 516082
      520089 522097 524107 523120 523127 523132 522135 518138
      508143 500144 494141 489135 484133 479134 475137 475142
      481149 483152 484158 481164 483173 485188 488194 487197
      484197 478201 473205 469209 465214 460219 459222 460224
      463225 468229 470232 472237 476242 478245 482246 489246
      500242 505238 509231 511223 513217 514213 523206 528201
      533194 535191 536187 536177 537151 536127 535121 536114
      537101 538094 538082 537074 534064 529047 523030 519015
      515007 512001 503992 497984 494975 492968 490962 490956
      486932 482916 482904 481895 483887 483877 482840 484831
      489828 495820 498814 504790 509779 510772
 0.25 469076 470072 470068 468065 467064 465062 462062 461064
      460068 462070 463072 465075 467076 468078 469076
 0.25 325743 323735 321732 319730 316732 314734 311740 306750
      302759 298771 292780 286788 283793 281798 280803 275807
      271811 270813 270817 277824 287827 292829 297832 304834
      308829 309824 313813 319803 321792 324768 325743
 0.50 529174 531167 531160 530154 526152 518150 509149 503152
      498152 494150 491152 489157 488162 485165 487174 491182
      495184 500184 504184 509187 517191 521189 524185 527179
      529174
 0.50 527082 527074 526069 522058 514039 511033 508030 502025
      492008 489006 489003 488992 487985 485982 484983 482986
      481989 481993 481009 479020 484029 488038 497054 503062
      507065 511068 513068 517073 521076 523079 526084 527082
 0.50 499223 500217 499214 495206 491203 486203 482204 480206
      474211 469218 472223 477228 476233 478239 485241 489239
      493239 495237 496235 494233 494229 496227 499223
 0.50 476821 475817 473813 472809 472814 472818 473823 476825
      476821
 0.50 473885 474876 471868 468865 466863 463866 461870 459876
      459878 463885 464893 464897 466901 469902 471895 473890
      473885
 0.50 468931 469924 468918 466913 462912 456910 451906 439900
      433899 429900 425902 413905 408908 405911 403914 401922
      402924 405924 411926 415936 419941 425944 429944 433942
      439938 447934 454938 460941 464941 466938 467934 468931
 0.50 320753 319747 317744 314742 311747 309752 303768 301777
      297784 290791 286797 285803 283806 279810 279813 278817
      281819 288820 295823 301824 303820 303814 309808 312803
      313799 315791 317783 318772 319763 320753
 1.00 509054 510049 508046 505041 502037 499032 497032 496027
      494023 492019 490015 487015 487020 490028 492032 494036
      496041 500045 502049 505055 508056 509054

$$