Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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031
FXUS04 KWBC 262100
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
456 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID SEP 27/0000 UTC THRU SEP 30/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

NEW ENGLAND---MID ATLANTIC INTO THE SOUTHEAST

MODEL ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR WITH THE TIMING OF THE SURFACE
FRONT---INITIALLY STRETCHING FROM THE EASTERN LAKES INTO THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS---AS IT PUSHES EASTWARD INTO NEW
ENGLAND---THE MID ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEASTERN U.S.  FAVORABLE UPPER
DIFFLUENCE AND WELL DEFINED FRONTAL CONVERGENCE IN AN AXIS OF
ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES WILL SUPPORT AN ORGANIZED AREA OF FRONTAL
AND PRE-FRONTAL PRECIP---WITH AREAL AVERAGE MODERATE TO LOCALLY
HEAVY TOTALS POSSIBLE.

COASTAL CAROLINAS

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG
THE SOUTHEAST AND NC COAST AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPSTREAM
FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS WAVE TO REMAIN OFFSHORE.  HOWEVER---THE
WESTERN EDGE OF THE ANTICIPATED PRECIPITATION SHIELD MAY AFFECT
THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL SECTIONS OF SC AND NC WITH MODERATE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS.

UPPER LAKES

LATEST GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SLOW EASTWARD PUSH
OF THE STRONG CLOSED LOW IN THE VICINITY OF LAKE SUPERIOR DAY 1.
THE SOUTHERN END OF THE ASSOCIATED COMMA HEAD/DEFORMATION
PRECIPITATION BAND WILL PUSH ACROSS THE UPPER LAKES REGION FROM
NORTHEAST MN---ACROSS NORTHERN WI--THE U.P. OF MI AND THE NORTHERN
L.P. OF MI.   CYCLONIC FLOW OFF OF LAKE SUPERIOR AND NORTHERN LAKE
MICHIGAN WILL ENHANCE PRECIP TOTALS OVER THE U.P. AND NORTHWEST
L.P.  WIDESPREAD MODERATE TOTALS IN THE .25-.50" RANGE DEPICTED
WITH HEAVIER TOTALS IN AREAS OF LAKE ENHANCEMENT TO THE
PRECIPITATION.

SOUTH TX

THE SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY OVER SOUTH TX WILL BE
PUSHING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY.  WHILE PW
VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE IN THE VICINITY OF
THIS FRONT OVER SOUTH TX THIS PERIOD---MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR
DECREASING PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL FOR SOUTH TX AND A SOUTHWARD
SHIFT IN THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST PRECIP POTENTIAL TO ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE SOUTH TX COAST AND INTO FAR NORTHEAST MEXICO.  WITH THE
EXPECTED DECREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF
PRECIPITATION---THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THREAT OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
TO SOUTH TX ALSO EXPECTED TO DECREASE.  THE PREVIOUS SLIGHT RISK
AREA WAS TAKEN OUT---WITH A BROAD MARGINAL RISK AREA MAINTAINED.

SOUTHWEST INTO FAR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

THE CLOSED LOW THAT HAS RETROGRADED ACROSS NORTHWEST MEXICO SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY IS EXPECTED TO LIFT BACK TOWARDS THE NORTH THROUGH THE
NORTHERN BAJA AND TOWARD SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHERN ARIZONA.
 WITH PW VALUES EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE TO THE NORTH OF
THIS CIRCULATION---SHOWERY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST FROM SW TX---SOUTHERN NM INTO SOUTHERN/CENTRAL AZ AND
INTO FAR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.  THE DAY 1 QPF DID NOT DEVIATE FROM
THE MODEL CONSENSUS OF LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE TOTALS.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...EASTERN U.S...

THE UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES IS FORECAST TO CUT OFF FROM THE
MEAN FLOW AND DRIFT SOUTH ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. THE EXACT EVOLUTION AND LOCATION OF THIS UPPER LOW WILL
PLAY A SIGNIFICANT FACTOR IN THE MAGNITUDE AND LOCATION OF
POTENTIAL HEAVY RAINFALL WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO THURSDAY. AS THE
UPPER LOW BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH EXPECT THE EASTWARD PROGRESSING
COLD FRONT TO STALL ACROSS THE CAROLINAS INTO THE EASTERN MID
ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY. NOT EXPECTING AREAL AVERAGED AMOUNTS TO BE
TOO HIGH THROUGH 0Z THURSDAY...WITH THE BETTER SYNOPTIC FORCING
AND MOISTURE NOT YET IN PLACE. ALTHOUGH WITH SOME TRAINING
POTENTIAL ALONG THE SLOW MOVING BOUNDARY AND LOCALIZED HEAVIER
TOTALS SHOWN IN SOME OF THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE... A MARGINAL RISK
WAS MAINTAINED ALONG THE BOUNDARY FOR DAY 2.

THE RISK OF HEAVIER PRECIPITATION APPEARS TO INCREASE AFTER 0Z
THURSDAY AS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO DIG AND TAKE ON MORE OF A
NEUTRAL TO SLIGHT NEGATIVE TILT...RESULTING IN INCREASED UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. A PRONOUNCED LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE AXIS IS ALSO
FORECAST TO DEVELOP BETWEEN INCREASED SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
EAST OF THE LOW AND NORTHEASTERLY FLOW SOUTH OF A BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE FROM THE NORTH. THIS CONFLUENCE AXIS WILL LIKELY RESULT
IN ANOMALOUS MOISTURE ADVECTED WESTWARD OFF THE ATLANTIC...WITH
PWAT ANOMALIES OF 1-2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS FORECAST. ALSO APPEARS
TO BE AT LEAST SOME MARGINAL INSTABILITY THAT IS ABLE TO DEVELOP
ALONG THIS CONFLUENCE AXIS...SUGGESTING THAT EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE RAIN SHIELD. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT...IMPRESSIVE LOW LEVEL
CONFLUENCE....SLOW MOVEMENT OF BOTH THE UPPER LOW AND LOW LEVEL
CONFLUENCE AXIS...AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY...SUGGESTS AN AXIS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL AND POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY WEDNESDAY
EVENING INTO THURSDAY. THE MAIN QUESTION IS EXACTLY WHERE...WITH
MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWING DIFFERING SOLUTIONS.

THE 12Z GFS/GEM ARE FURTHER EAST WITH THE UPPER LOW...WHICH
RESULTS IN A FURTHER NORTHEAST CONFLUENCE AXIS AND RESULTANT QPF.
MEANWHILE THE 12Z ECMWF REMAINS THE FURTHEST WEST
SOLUTION...ALTHOUGH IT DID TREND A BIT EAST OF ITS 0Z RUN. WPC
CONTINUES TO PREFER A SOLUTION IN BETWEEN THE EAST GFS AND WEST
ECMWF...AS BOTH MODELS APPEAR TO BE SLOWLY TRENDING TOWARDS A
SIMILAR SOLUTION. WPC QPF THUS GENERALLY FOLLOWED A SOLUTION IN
BETWEEN THE GFS/ECMWF...WHICH CONTINUES TO BE RESEMBLED CLOSEST BY
THE 12Z UKMET. THIS RESULTS IN A MAX QPF AXIS STRETCHING FROM
SOUTHEAST PA SOUTH INTO PORTIONS OF MD AND EASTERN VA. CONFIDENCE
IN THIS AXIS IS ONLY AVERAGE GIVEN THE LARGE MODEL SPREAD...SO
HOPEFULLY FUTURE MODEL RUNS CONTINUE TO TREND TOWARDS A COMMON
SOLUTION. GENERALLY KEPT OUR MAX QPF IN THE 2-4" RANGE ACROSS THIS
AREA GIVEN THE CONTINUED UNCERTAINTY...HOWEVER LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
OF 4-6" SEEM POSSIBLE BASED ON THE SETUP AND MODEL QPF OUTPUT. AS
CONFIDENCE INCREASES IN THE EXACT LOCATION...MAY THUS HAVE TO BUMP
UP AMOUNTS A BIT FROM THE CURRENT FORECAST. CONTINUED WITH A
SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE WPC PREFERRED HEAVY
RAINFALL AXIS. AS CONFIDENCE INCREASES IN THE EXACT AXIS OF
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS MAY EVENTUALLY NEED TO UPGRADE TO A MODERATE
RISK...ESPECIALLY IF INSTABILITY CONTINUES TO BE FORECAST ALONG
THE CONFLUENCE AXIS.


...GREAT LAKES...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR LIKELY ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH THE UPPER LOW
OVERHEAD RESULTING IN STEEP LAPSE RATES. EVEN LOOKS LIKE SOME LAKE
EFFECT ENHANCEMENT AT TIMES. WPC QPF FAVORED THE HIGHER RES
GUIDANCE THROUGH 12Z WED...WHICH USUALLY CAPTURE THE LOCALIZED
CONVERGENCE AND LAKE EFFECT ENHANCEMENT BETTER THAN THE GLOBAL
MODELS. THIS RESULTS IN ONE MAXIMUM ALONG THE SOUTHEAST SHORE OF
LAKE MICHIGAN...AND ANOTHER ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN SHORE OF LAKE
SUPERIOR.


...FAR SOUTHERN TX...

MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE SUPPRESSED WITH TIME AS HIGH PRESSURE
NOSES SOUTH THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ALONG WITH DRIER AIR.
HOWEVER THE GUIDANCE HANGS ON TO A NORTH/SOUTH AXIS OF STRONGER
SURFACE CONVERGENCE NEAR THE LOWER TX COAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE COLD FRONT SETTLING FARTHER SOUTH THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS
SHOULD RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS RIGHT ALONG AND
JUST OFFSHORE THE SOUTH TX COAST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE
ACTIVITY GRADUALLY PUSHING SOUTH AND DIMINISHING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WPC QPF GENERALLY FOLLOWED CLOSE TO A GFS/ECMWF BLEND
THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAY NEED TO CONSIDER AN UPGRADE TO A SLIGHT
RISK ON THE NIGHT SHIFT FOR OUR CURRENT DAY 2 PERIOD (12Z TUE-12Z
WED)...AS QUITE A FEW OF THE HIGH RES DATA SETS ARE SHOWING THE
POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF CONVECTION MOVING ASHORE ACROSS
FAR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...SO SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE ON.


...SOUTHWEST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA IS FORECAST
TO SLOWLY DRIFT NORTH INTO MID WEEK. INCREASED MOISTURE TO THE
EAST OF THIS SYSTEM...COMBINED WITH SOME INCREASED SYNOPTIC
SUPPORT FOR ASCENT...SHOULD LEAD TO INCREASED SHOWER COVERAGE
ACROSS THE WEST WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...WITH THE THREAT SHIFTING
NORTH WITH TIME. ASSUMING WE CAN GENERATE SOME INSTABILITY(WHICH
IS FORECAST TO BE MARGINAL AT BEST)...A MARGINAL FLASH FLOOD
THREAT MAY EVENTUALLY DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF OF THE SOUTHWEST
AS PRECIPITABLE WATER ANOMALIES INCREASE ABOVE THE CLIMATOLOGICAL
90TH PERCENTILE ACROSS PORTIONS OF AZ/CA/NV/UT. MAIN LIMITING
FACTOR IS THE LACK OF A WELL DEFINED SYNOPTIC FEATURE TO FOCUS
CONVECTION AND LIMITED INSTABILITY...ALTHOUGH COULD BE JUST ENOUGH
OF BOTH OF THESE TO RESULT IN AT LEAST SOME LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAINFALL THREAT WED/THU.

ORAVEC/CHENARD

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

24HR QP VT 28/00Z
 0.01 558853 557846 556840 552831 543810 536788 531779 526770
      516753 506737 497722 494718 494713 492697 487686 486682
      484674 480664 477658 476651 472641 469636 466632 460629
      451628 441631 433636 415648 405662 395679 385694 380700
      370706 338727 332732 325738 322746 321748 318750 312751
      303754 297761 293770 291778 288787 289792 291797 296805
      297807 295808 291806 284802 280799 277795 275792 272790
      263786 254787 250788 246790 239796 237806 236811 236816
      240825 244829 247830 254834 262836 265837 271837 275837
      277838 279842 281846 285850 286865 284869 285874 285887
      285893 284898 284910 282921 279929 268931 255943 242954
      238957 234961 230973 230985 231987 231989 231991 231993
      231995 230997 230999 230001 230003 230005 230007 229009
      226044 228053 229056 233059 238064 245068 252073 256074
      260076 273085 283097 288102 292110 294117 295123 293127
      288125 285125 280125 279130 280133 282136 287142 298154
      306159 312164 318169 328170 336170 339168 339166 335164
      332160 331156 333152 341137 355129 357127 358122 354115
      349108 346099 344091 340082 336075 333066 330060 325053
      321047 320036 313020 308014 302010 296005 291999 289997
      286992 287979 290971 294963 302949 305942 307933 309923
      308910 310908 310905 311903 322890 326884 329883 332879
      337872 343867 349862 353859 355855 358848 363842 383816
      387810 392803 397797 405793 431784
 0.01 431784 439781 442781 448781 453780 458780 458783 455786
      450787 444793 442796 441801 436808 434818 438825 442825
      444827 445832 443837 442840 440842 436849 429853 426857
      424862 424867 426871 430878 431885 431892 430897 430904
      434912 440919 446924 455928 459935 464943 467947 470949
      477953 484957 494958 502955 505954 509955 516953 525949
      531946 539942 542940 545939 553933 555931 555923 556917
      556908 556892 557886 557878 557863 558853
 0.01 540197 542182 539172 540170 539164 537159 533157 527155
      519155 512150 505143 502141 498141 496145 498150 500155
      503158 504164 501168 500172 501177 502183 504187 507191
      509196 507201 506208 503211 498210 489209 485208 481209
      477212 474213 470213 470218 473219 478218 485220 489224
      490227 495236 499245 496249 492246 489244 486248 486257
      487262 489268 494274 496279 499282 504284 507283 513279
      519272 523262 535212 540197
 0.01 515840 515833 512829 509820 505812 501803 496797 491792
      479783 463780 459782 460785 463784 469786 475793 477797
      477802 478809 479816 483823 491838 493843 496846 500852
      501855 503856 508856 510853 512852 513848 515840
 0.01 480244 480238 478234 473234 469234 465234 460234 457235
      454238 456242 461244 464243 469244 473244 478244 480244
 0.01 304865 304863 304861 303859 303857 302855 302853 301851
      301848 301846 301844 299842 298844 298847 298849 298851
      299853 298855 299857 300859 300861 301863 301865 303866
      304865
 0.25 533190 534181 531175 527172 522172 518177 515182 514187
      516190 519195 524200 525202 528203 532197 533190
 0.25 545893 546885 545877 542866 539861 536860 528864 522868
      515875 510880 501884 493887 489888 486884 481859 479848
      477843 473841 468834 466830 462827 452845 447850 444853
      439855 437858 436862 438866 443868 450870 452874 453881
      453893 454906 457915 460918 464917 468916 472918 476927
      481934 487940 497941 504941 512939 520936 527931 533924
      537917 541906 545893
 0.25 516264 516258 514253 513248 511244 509240 504239 504242
      504248 506253 508258 510262 514265 516264
 0.25 535824 534816 533810 528799 519779 509762 497747 491740
      484734 481733 479738 481743 484747 491753 496761 505779
      516798 526815 531823 533825 535824
 0.25 461658 461653 458649 453644 449643 446643 438646 423656
      417662 411668 407674 403680 399688 395696 387711 382718
      379721 376722 357726 350729 341733 335739 331745 328753
      323760 317764 311765 309768 308774 309780 308784 308793
      309797 312801 315803 319802 325799 331794 336788 346776
      355763 361757 363757 364760 364767 359782 350798 342809
      340812 339818 337828 336847 337850 340848 345848 350847
      359834 368820 376808 386795 396784 404779 413777 420776
      427773 435769 441763 441757 440753 435746 429741 428738
      429733 426725 428721 428715 426709 428704 432696 436689
      440680 444673 449667 457663 461658
 0.25 298941 297938 293937 287941 277947 272951 266954 261956
      254958 247960 241964 238968 235975 234982 235991 237997
      240002 245006 250010 259019 263022 267027 270032 273034
      277035 283033 286026 287022 285014 278001 276996 271993
      268991 268988 270982 279974 284970 288964 291960 294953
      298941
 0.25 283053 277044 273040 269038 259031 253030 247028 242026
      237026 235027 233031 233037 234043 237047 245054 255061
      260063 266065 273066 278063 283053
 0.25 281809 272804 263801 256802 253799 250798 248800 246805
      244815 246819 250820 253821 256820 255815 252811 254807
      257807 258809 260815 261817 264819 267818 272816 277814
      280811 281809
 0.50 539890 537883 532878 526877 521879 510887 505891 500893
      497896 496899 491904 486909 485911 485917 490921 495924
      501926 509925 515923 520921 529911 534906 537899 539890
 0.50 475890 475880 473874 469874 466875 463881 461888 460896
      460901 462905 465910 469910 472905 474902 474897 475890
 0.50 456852 455850 453852 453853 455853 456852
 0.50 436659 435656 432655 427658 420665 408681 403688 398698
      397707 393718 375753 371761 367771 365782 362792 356799
      351807 347816 346821 346829 345834 347838 350840 353836
      363820 368811 372801 377796 382793 385789 390781 389774
      398756 403748 405744 406738 415722 417717 418711 422701
      429682 429674 432668 436659
 0.50 431761 430761 429760 428760 427759 425759 423760 422760
      420761 418763 418764 419766 420768 421769 422769 424769
      426768 427767 429765 430764 431763 431761
 0.50 368737 367732 362731 352734 344737 338742 333749 329757
      322770 316776 313783 312787 313793 315796 319797 327792
      332787 337781 343776 348770 352764 362751 366743 368737
 0.50 291954 291947 287950 279954 269958 259961 248963 242970
      239974 238980 237986 238993 240997 244001 251007 258012
      267017 273019 276018 278015 277009 275003 273999 269996
      262990 259986 259982 263979 268977 272975 277972 284966
      288960 291954
 0.50 267052 264047 260044 256041 252036 248033 244032 240033
      237037 240043 244046 249049 253053 257055 261057 265056
      267052
 1.00 525894 524892 523891 521892 520892 519893 518894 516895
      515896 513897 512898 513899 515899 516899 518898 519898
      521897 522897 523897 524895 525894
 1.00 469895 469893 469890 468888 467890 466890 466893 465895
      465896 465898 465899 467899 468898 468896 469895
 1.00 361742 361738 358738 351740 346742 341746 338750 335755
      330766 322775 321780 321783 324784 329783 334778 343772
      350762 356753 359748 361742
 1.00 359814 359813 357814 355817 355819 354821 354824 354826
      355824 356822 356821 357819 358819 358817 359815 359814
 1.00 279966 277962 274962 266963 261964 254965 249968 247974
      248976 252976 257975 264974 270973 275970 279966
 1.00 270009 268003 264998 260994 257992 251989 246990 243992
      243996 247999 252002 256005 262008 267010 270009
 1.50 357745 357741 355741 350743 344746 340751 337756 335760
      334765 335769 337771 342770 345765 349760 352755 355750
      357745
 1.50 269970 269968 268968 266967 265967 263968 262968 263969
      263970 265970 266970 268970 269970
 1.50 259000 258000 257998 257997 255997 254996 253995 251994
      251996 251998 253999 255999 257999 257000 258000 259000
 2.00 351751 350748 347748 345748 343749 342751 340754 339758
      338760 338764 340768 343766 345763 346761 348758 349756
      350753 351751

24HR QP VT 29/00Z
 0.01 456625 454634 450640 441652 439654 439659 439663 438666
      435674 432681 429688 428696 426701 426708 425713 430713
      432710 436709 441704 445700 454697 457699 456704 453711
      448715 445714 443716 440717 436719 429722 427720 427716
      426713 424715 424720 423725 425727 423730 423736 424749
      424753 423756 420765 418774 423779 427785 431794 433797
      436799 439800 443800 448803 460797 462795 466794 468794
      470798 471803 474805 476813 475817 475824 476835 477841
      478846 479859 484879 484886 482891 479897 471909 466915
      464917 460917 455913 451907 449903 446903 443909 435926
      426917 419903 416901 411901 408901 405898 397888 395883
      398876 401868 402865 402858 401855 398851 394853 392857
      387861 385859 385855 383852 381853 378855 374857 371858
      370854 369849 368842 377829 381825 388822 393817 394812
      392810 387805 380803 378802 376801 374803 370808 366814
      361818 358821 353822 349824 348827 343832 338839 334845
      330851 328853 324853 317852 313853 311856 308860 302875
      303882 302886 300887 297891 295895 292903 289904 288909
      286914 284912 284909 282906 284902 284896 282890 280885
      274870 271863 270855 270851 272847 275841 273837 271835
      267830 264827 261824 255820 253818 253813 254810 250804
      249803 250800 253798 257783 264781 273780 280780 288779
      295777 302774 307771 309763 309758 307754 305746 304743
      303737 306731 311725 315718 324705 327700 333696 345689
      351686 354687 358685 367676 377666 390655 397651 406648
      417646 423636
 0.01 393144 391139 389141 387145 384145 380134 382131 385132
      387127 390123 389119 386117 382118 375125 371128 369127
      369124 371119 370114 373107 370104 368102 367099 364089
      349079 343077 337076 331076 329076 328079 327082 324082
      320083 317081 313078 309076 304073 299073 294075 288080
      286084 286090 289098 297105 313114 324126 327125 329127
      329129 331139 334140 338139 341141 344145 344148 342148
      343151 346160 353167 357170 360174 365170 371170 374168
      379160 386153 391149 393144
 0.01 368185 366182 361180 356180 353182 350183 346186 344191
      346194 349192 351187 355185 359185 364185 368185
 0.01 367146 367144 366143 364143 363143 362144 361145 362147
      364147 365148 367146
 0.01 361165 360164 358163 357165 358167 359167 361165
 0.01 343180 345173 346167 343163 342159 339156 335154 335158
      336161 338164 334165 332167 335170 339172 340177 343180
      343180
 0.01 340122 339121 338120 337119 336118 334117 332117 331116
      329116 327116 325117 327119 327120 328122 329122 330124
      332123 332122 334123 335123 337123 339124 340122
 0.01 231979 235981 236985 237996 244000 250996 252992 255989
      262985 270981 275975 281969 287964 292949 281937 275931
      268927 263927 259929 252933 245937 239942 237945 237950
      235955 232957
 0.01 226050 233054 236057 241059 247063 253069 259074 265074
      265072 262068 261064 261061 264062 268063 274069 278071
      280070 282070 281066 275059 268056 263049 254034 254028
      256025 252016 249014 245016 243019 241025 240030 237033
      233034 229032 228032
 0.25 473892 474888 473885 469880 468878 464878 462883 460891
      458897 457901 458904 460910 465909 468903 472897 473892
 0.25 458822 456820 456823 456824 458823 458822
 0.25 457854 457849 454847 451841 442848 437845 433839 429836
      425841 422846 418851 414857 413861 414865 415873 418879
      422885 429886 432886 435885 440880 450872 453866 455859
      457854
 0.25 425664 425659 424655 418655 409664 393669 354697 347700
      342704 334712 333717 334726 337734 338737 341743 345747
      350749 354747 360744 365740 370736 376734 379734 381737
      380744 379750 374754 369758 364763 361767 357770 351774
      344776 335778 332780 330782 329788 329793 331795 330803
      331805 335805 339808 343812 348811 353808 359803 362798
      364792 370781 377773 384763 393754 399744 401737 400730
      395731 389728 387726 389725 394720 404722 409718 411713
      414699 419685 423675 425664
 0.25 424827 423825 422822 418821 415821 413821 409821 406822
      404823 403827 403828 405831 407832 410832 414832 417831
      420830 422827 424827
 0.25 419804 419801 418800 418799 416798 415798 413798 411799
      410800 411802 412803 413804 415804 415805 417805 419804
      419804
 0.25 331099 329098 327099 325099 324100 323100 321101 321102
      320104 320106 321106 323107 324107 325107 326106 327105
      328103 329101 331099 331099
 0.25 321093 320092 319091 317090 315089 313088 311090 313091
      315092 317093 318093 320094 321093
 0.25 293797 292795 291793 289792 288792 286792 284793 282794
      281795 280796 280798 281799 282800 283801 285801 287801
      288800 290799 292798 293797
 0.25 232975 242976 248977 252980 257980 263978 271974 274971
      275966 274954 274949 271945 266945 263948 258950 254953
      250956 246958 240958 235960 232963
 0.25 265806 265804 263803 261803 259804 258805 257807 258809
      259809 260810 262809 264809 265807 265806
 0.50 469898 469895 469893 468893 466893 465894 464895 463896
      463898 463899 464900 464903 463904 463905 463906 465905
      467903 468900 468899 469898
 0.50 439868 438863 436862 435859 432856 429853 425853 422855
      419857 416861 417867 420870 423872 426871 431871 437869
      439868
 0.50 418676 418671 417667 414666 411671 409676 407684 406691
      405698 407701 411697 414691 416686 418678 418676
 0.50 395675 393673 389674 382679 370690 364695 356699 343710
      342713 341718 342726 345736 348740 351742 356741 360738
      365733 378723 382715 386708 391690 395675
 0.50 365775 364771 360771 355776 350780 345785 342792 341797
      341800 347804 352804 356802 359796 362787 363780 365775
 0.50 272968 268961 265960 261960 256960 250961 241962 233967
      232970 233973 239972 243971 247972 250974 253978 257978
      264975 268973 271970 272968
 1.00 428862 427861 426860 424861 422862 421862 420863 420865
      421865 423866 424865 426865 426864 428863 428862
 1.00 385692 382688 377689 372692 369695 362702 356707 353710
      351714 351720 352726 354731 355734 358733 363726 366724
      370720 374719 376714 381706 384699 385692
 1.00 354795 355793 353791 352793 351795 351797 352798 353797
      354797 354795
 1.00 265970 265968 265967 263966 261965 259965 257965 255965
      255966 254967 253968 252970 254971 255972 257973 259973
      261972 262972 263972 264970 265970
 1.50 381700 380695 376695 372697 371700 369704 366706 361707
      358710 357714 357719 358723 360725 365719 368713 369710
      371709 375709 377707 381700

24HR QP VT 30/00Z
 0.01 231990 234988 237988 242990 244984 246983 249983 252987
      255988 257986 259986 263990 266992 268988 269980 272975
      276965 276947 276915 279902 283893 291868 295864 301863
      304860 302856 301852 302850 304844 304838 304833 306828
      309822 309820 311818 316816 321814 326810 333803 336802
      340802 345804 349809 351817 352822 350825 348831 348837
      348841 350844 350858 350862 351866 354866 364865 371873
      376876 379877 383877 389877 393877 397878 403878 407875
      416877 422877 427874 432873 431866 428861 428857 431855
      439847 445836 449833 454830 452827 452822 451814 452807
      452797 452790 452780 452773 450764 450760 448758 445753
      442746 439738 439730 441725 444715 440708 438702 435698
      430695 410692 397692 388691 379699 370707 362714 353721
      344728 335734 315746 311750 307752 297758 291763 287765
      279767 275769 261772 258772 258775 257781 251805 243825
      238836 235842 234847 238875 238936 238952 237959 235963
      232963
 0.01 516179 518164 516153 513150 509148 501147 493150 489152
      490155 491160 491168 492173 493176 498182 506180 511181
      514180 516179
 0.01 468142 464134 460130 456127 453124 453119 456113 456107
      456101 455095 450092 444089 440088 436090 432091 428089
      425086 425084 422080 418078 412077 409077 406075 404071
      401069 398072 398075 397079 395079 393078 389080 386079
      386077 384071 383069 380069 374071 365073 355074 351072
      345071 335072 329072 326072 324073 321075 316073 306070
      297063 290057 287053 282052 273056 269056 266054 260049
      255047 250045 245043 242048 242054 244059 246064 249068
      247070 248073 251077 249081 252080 255080 257082 262078
      269086 289092 302094 306097 308101 309107 311111 314114
      319115 323114 325116 323119 317129 310134 302137 293142
      290145 289152 289157 295159 304157 312154 319147 326140
      336137 338135 341136 345138 351140 354136 357138 362137
      366137 369139 371143 377144 380147 378150 375155 371163
      373175 376178 380179 389174 392172 394167 396161 397155
      399148 399141 400137 404137 408135 418138 419141 418143
      415149 415154 418157 421153 424149 425144 423140 423137
      425136 428137 431140 435145 440156 442161 445161 450161
      454159 461148 468142
 0.01 428056 425053 422052 418050 415052 411052 406053 397053
      393055 390059 390066 392069 396067 398063 400059 404057
      407059 410063 414066 416062 418057 421058 426058 428056
 0.01 338126 338124 337121 336119 334119 332119 330119 329120
      328122 330124 332124 333125 335125 337127 338126
 0.25 232975 238976 244975 250977 256978 261975 264968 263960
      261954 262947 262937 262928 260921 259918 256917 252921
      250926 248935 248950 247956 245964 242969 239970 235970
      230969
 0.25 444776 444766 442759 439753 436748 431745 428741 426732
      423727 415718 409717 403718 396717 391721 385724 380727
      364742 357744 352744 344745 339748 331755 325764 321769
      317774 308780 298786 284789 278792 275795 277799 283802
      289802 296801 308799 316797 322794 331787 336786 341788
      345792 349794 355797 359800 371801 372806 371810 369815
      363825 362832 362835 364836 372837 378836 385834 389830
      392824 395821 398819 402818 407821 411825 415830 419832
      424830 428826 431822 438811 441806 443800 443786 444776
 0.25 390100 387095 385092 382092 377091 371088 363086 359085
      355085 347085 342083 336086 332090 333098 335101 337103
      345104 348102 348097 347094 348091 351089 354091 356107
      363108 370107 376107 382105 388104 390100
 0.25 356120 357118 357116 356115 355113 353113 351115 350117
      350119 352121 353122 354122 356120 356120
 0.25 294836 295831 293826 288822 285821 285818 287815 288812
      287807 285805 282803 278804 275806 275811 279817 281819
      278820 270822 266829 263835 260842 259850 261858 267862
      273864 278859 282854 287848 290842 294836
 0.25 274069 272065 268062 264060 261057 258055 254053 250052
      248054 250058 253061 255063 258065 264068 267070 273069
      274069
 0.50 438770 437761 435754 430751 424750 418747 414744 406736
      400734 396734 394736 386744 380748 376753 372758 370765
      367770 363774 358776 352777 349783 350788 354788 359790
      363791 366791 373790 380790 386791 392793 396796 401799
      406803 413813 416818 420819 421818 426804 433794 436788
      438782 438770
 0.50 388813 387811 385810 385811 384812 382813 382814 381816
      382818 383818 384818 386817 387815 388814 388813
 0.50 366090 364089 362089 361089 362092 364092 366091 366090
 0.50 343096 343094 342091 340093 340095 340096 342097 343096
 0.50 289831 289827 287826 281825 276827 274832 272839 269843
      268849 271854 276851 279846 281841 283835 288832 289831
 0.50 258970 258966 257963 254962 252961 250962 248966 248968
      246970 246972 250974 252975 254974 256972 258970
 1.00 426765 425760 423757 417755 405748 399746 394746 392748
      385753 381759 377764 377770 375773 364782 363785 367784
      374781 379777 384780 392781 398784 410782 415776 421772
      426765
 1.50 415767 416764 415762 413759 407754 401751 398750 394751
      387755 382760 381763 381767 383771 385774 391777 399779
      405778 411773 415767 415767
 2.00 409768 407761 403755 399753 393755 388758 384762 385770
      389774 393775 400776 404776 406773 409768
 3.00 403767 403762 402760 400757 398756 396756 393758 391760
      391764 393766 394768 396771 400771 401769 403767

$$





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