Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 210853
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
452 AM EDT MON AUG 21 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 21/1200 UTC THRU AUG 24/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY INTO THE MID AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...

THE MODELS...INCLUDING THE HIGH-RES CAMS... CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE
WITH THE QPF DETAILS ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
WESTERLIES...DUE IN LARGE PART TO THE CONVECTIVE CONTRIBUTION WITH
LOCATION/TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH MCS GENESIS AND TRACK.
DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER IN THE PERIOD (MON NIGHT-EARLY
TUE) PER A NOTICEABLE UPTICK IN BROAD-SCALE FORCING...AS AN
AMPLIFYING UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND
ATTENDANT HEIGHT FALLS ALLOWS FOR STRENGTHENING LOWER TROPOSPHERIC
FRONTOGENESIS AND A MORE PROGRESSIVE COLD FRONT/PRE-FRONTAL
CONVECTION.

WPC QPF LEANED HEAVILY TOWARD A BLEND OF CONTINUITY (PREVIOUS
FCST) WITH HRRR/NBM TRENDS EARLY (THROUGH 18Z MON)...THEREAFTER A
COMBINATION OF THE 00Z WPC GUIDANCE WITH THE LATEST NBM AND
HREF/HREF VERSION 2 ENSEMBLE MEANS. THE NSSL-WRF OF LATE HAS BEEN
STRUGGLING WITH THE 6 HOURLY DETAILS...PARTICULARLY WITH THE
FORMATION OF NOCTURNAL/ELEVATED CONVECTION (TOO FAR SOUTH OF THE
PRIMARY LOW-LEVEL BOUNDARY WHERE LIMITED SUPPORT FOR DEEP-LAYER
ASCENT RESULTS IN A STRONGER MID LEVEL CAP). THE AFOREMENTIONED
MEANS OFFER A VIABLE COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE LATITUDINAL SPREAD IN
THE HIGH-RES GUIDANCE OVERNIGHT MON-EARLY TUE...WHICH WOULD PUT
EASTERN KS AND NORTHWEST- WEST-CENTRAL MO IN THE CROSS HAIRS FOR
HEAVIEST RAINFALL DURING THE DAY 1 PERIOD (12Z MON-12Z TUE). THE
RESULT WAS A SLIGHT SOUTHWARD SHIFT OF THE RAINFALL MAX
(AREAL-AVERAGE TOTALS OF 2-3+ INCHES) COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS
(00Z) WPC QPF. STRENGTHENING PRE-FRONTAL MOISTURE POOLING
OVERNIGHT MON-EARLY TUE (PWAT AND 850 MB MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES ~
2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL)...ALONG WITH AN ELONGATION OF
MODEST ELEVATED INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WILL RESULT IN A
FAIRLY BROAD SLIGHT RISK AREA OVERNIGHT. THE RISK WILL BE
HEIGHTENED ACROSS THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS IN EASTERN KS-WESTERN
MO...WHERE THE STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL INFLOW IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE MEAN 850-300 MB FLOW FOR A LONGER
PERIOD (THUS RESULTING IN WEAK MBEs/CORFIDI VECTORS...INCREASED
UPWIND PROPAGATION...AND HIGHER PROBABILITY OF CELL TRAINING).


...EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS...

SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH ACROSS CA WILL EVENTUALLY CLOSE OFF AND
MIGRATE OFF THE SOUTHERN-CENTRAL CA COAST LATER IN THE PERIOD
(LATE MON- MON NIGHT). THIS WILL ALLOW FOR STRENGTHENING
DEEP-LAYER RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES-HIGH PLAINS THIS
PERIOD...ALONG WITH A BREAKDOWN IN WHAT UP TO THIS POINT HAS BEEN
A PERSISTENT (ALBEIT COMPACT) MOISTURE CONVEYOR BELTS PER THE WV
SATELLITE LOOPS. THE MESOSCALE GUIDANCE FOLLOWS SUIT...NOTING A
MORE ISOLATED (MARGINAL) RISK FOR ROBUST CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED
HEAVY/POTENTIALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.



DAYS 2 AND 3...


...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE GT LAKES..OH/TN VALLEYS AND
INTO THE NORTHEAST...

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW INCREASING THREAT OF HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY ON DAY 2
WITH THAT THREAT SHIFTING SWD INTO PORTIONS OF OK/AR/NRN TX/WRN
TN.  THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO AN AREA OF NRN STREAM HEIGHT FALLS
THAT IS EXPECTED TO SHARPEN SEWD ACRS THE NRN PLAINS TODAY WHILE
ADDITIONAL S/WV ENERGY IS FCST TO EJECT EWD FROM THE CNTL ROCKIES
THAT WILL INTERACT WITH TRAILING PORTION OF A COLD FRONT PUSHING
SLOWLY SEWD FROM THE NRN MS VALLEY AND CNTL PLAINS.

THE OPERATIONAL GFS AND EC ALONG WITH THEIR RESPECTIVE ENSEMBLE
MEANS SHOW VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING AND LARGER SCALE
EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER TROF ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO SUPPORT DVLPG LOW PRES ALONG THE FRONT THAT REACHES WI
OR THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MI AT THE START OF THE DAY 2 PD...WITH
THE LOW INTENSIFYING  NEWD INTO SRN QUEBEC PROVINCE.  ONGOING MDT
TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT ACRS PARTS OF THE
MIDWEST INTO THE GT LAKES DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY 2
PD..BUT THE MORE SIGNIFICANT RAINS ARE FCST TO FOCUS SWD ACRS ERN
PORTIONS OF KS INTO NRN MO WITH CONFLUENT WLY FLOW ALONG WITH EWD
EJECTING S/WV ACRS THE CNTL PLAINS LIKELY SUPPORTING AN AREA OF
ORGANIZED CONVECTION/PSBL MCS.  HI RES GUIDANCE SUGGESTS POTNL FOR
LOCAL 2 TO 3+ INCH RAINS ACRS PORTIONS OF IA SWD INTO ERN KS/NRN
MO WHERE SUFFICIENT AGREEMENT EXISTS TO SUPPORT A SLIGHT RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINS ACRS THIS AREA.

BY DAY 3...ADDITIONAL S/WV ENERGY DROPPING ACRS THE UPPER MS
VALLEY WILL HELP FORCE FRONTAL BNDRY SWD INTO OK/NRN TX/AR REGION
WHERE A SOMEWHAT SIMILAR SETUP OF CONFLUENT LOW LEVEL WLY FLOW AND
POOLING OF HI PWS AHEAD OF WEAK UPPER SHEAR AXIS/PSBL WEAK MCVS
THAT WILL CONTRIBUTE TOWARD POTENTIAL HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAIN
SETUP...ESPECIALLY FROM PORTIONS OF SRN/ERN OK INTO WRN AR WHERE A
SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINS HAS BEEN POSTED.   POCKETS OF MDT
TO BRIEF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM NEW ENGLAND SWWD INTO THE
CNTL APLCNS GIVEN FAVORABLE DYNAMIC/THERMO FORCING..BUT
PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE FRONT SHOULD LIMIT ANY ORGANIZED FF
THREAT...THOUGH COULD NOT RULE OUT ISOLD RUNOFF PROBLEMS DVLPG
ACRS PORTIONS OF CNTL NY NEWD INTO WRN MAINE GIVEN LOWER MOIST
ANTECEDENT SOIL CONDS..SO HAVE MAINTAINED A MARGINAL RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINS THERE.

WHILE INITIALLY BEING IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE ECMWF AND
NAM...THE 00Z GFS EVOLUTION OF THE SYNOPTIC SYSTEM BEGAN DIVERGING
FROM THE OTHER MODELS DURING DAY 2 AND BECAME LARGER ON DAY 3.
ITS QPF ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS SLOWED ITS
SOUTHWARD PROGRESSION AND THEN REMAINED NORTH OF OTHER GUIDANCE IN
PART BECAUSE IT HAD A STRONGER RIDGE LOCKED IN PLACE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST STATES.  IN ADDITION...IT HELD A VORT CENTER TOGETHER
FOR A LONGER PERIOD AS IT CAME OUT OF THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S.
STATES.  THEREFORE THE GFS WAS NOT GIVEN MUCH WEIGHT.  THE
ECMWF...ON THE OTHER HAND...MAY BE PUSHING THE COLD FRONT TOO FAR
SOUTH CONSIDERING WHERE THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN HAD ITS PRECIP.
AS A RESULT...THE MANUAL WPC QPF WAS DEVELOPED LARGELY FROM THE
NAM...ECMWF ENS MEAN QPF AND THE UKMET AS WELL AS THE WPC IN HOUSE
PSEUDO BIAS CORRECTED ENSEMBLE QPF.


...CA/NV/FOUR CORNERS REGION...

UNSETTLED CONDS WILL EXIST ACRS THIS REGION WITH UPPER LOW OFF
CNTL/SRN CA COAST FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY NEWD TOWARD THE COAST
OVER THE DAY 2/3 PD.  THIS WILL HELP MAINTAIN AN AREA OF BROAD
UPPER DIFFLUENCE TO THE EAST OF THE LOW FROM PORTIONS OF AZ/UT WWD
INTO THE SIERRAS ON DAY 2. THE UPPER DIFFLUENCE WILL INTERACT WITH
WEAK MONSOON MSTR TO SUPPORT SCATTERED MAINLY DIURNALLY ENHANCED
SHOWERS/TSTMS ACRS THIS REGION THROUGH WED.  SOMEWHAT MORE
FAVORABLE MSTR PROFILES ACRS THE SIERRA WITH WITH WEAK 85H/7H FLOW
PSBLY SUPPORTING SOME VERY SLOW MOVING CELLS AND POTNL FOR ISOLD
RUNOFF CONCERNS.  FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT...LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE AND LOW LEVEL EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW ON
DAY 3 SHOULD SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS SOME
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION. DID NOT MAKE
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO DAY 2/3 MARGINAL AND SLIGHT RISK AREAS ACRS
THIS AREA AS THEY LINED UP WELL WITH LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE.

...FL...

HEAVIER RAIN THREAT WILL INCREASE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CNTL/SRN FL
DAY 2 INTO DAY 3 BEHIND SLOW MOVING ELY WAVE THAT IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE WWD ACRS THE BAHAMAS.  MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH
REGARD TO THE INTENSITY OF THE WAVE...WITH THE CANADIAN GLOBAL AND
UKMET REMAINING A BIT MORE ORGANIZED/DEVELOPED WITH THE SYSTEM AS
IT APCHS THE E FL COAST BY TUES EVENING.  GIVEN THE BIAS OF AT
LEAST THE CANADIAN TO OVERDEVELOP THESE TYPES OF SYSTEMS...HAVE
STAYED CLOSER TO THE WEAKER MORE WWD PROGRESSIVE GFS/EC CONSENSUS
BRINGS HEAVIER RAIN THREAT ACROSS MUCH OF SRN FL ON DAY 2 AND
EARLY DAY 3.  MAINTAINED THE MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
GIVEN THE SLOW MOVEMENT AND HIGH PW ENVIRONMENT EXPECTED WHICH
WILL LEAD TO POTENTIALLY EFFICIENT TROPICAL RAINS.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

HURLEY/BANN


24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 525991 525973 525958 525949 522947 518944 513942 507944
      500949 489971 480972 477974 471973 467973 464971 459964
      462954 463947 464942 468915 469900 470893 472890 475885
      477879 480868 484859 487849 491834 494823 500805 502796
      503790 503785 504779 503775 506772 511767 511758 510752
      509750 507735 506727 504720 502705 500699 499695 497693
      493701 490702 489696 487690 484686 481683 477684 477689
      475695 472694 469694 466699 463706 459715 456723 455729
      451731 449741 448748 449753 450768 447773 445775 442776
      436782 432783 429779 430765 432751 433746 432739 426730
      422729 419731 412736 405741 397746 390747 387751 382758
      377766 374774 375780 376783 376789 374794 369801 367806
      363809 357817 351824 348827 347831 346837 345842 347845
      352844 355840 359832 362823 366817 372813 396785 399782
      402781 403792 396812 401811 403806 404810 404814 403818
      399822 398830 398836 399841 400853 399859 396861 391864
      387867 382875 379878 376882 370885 365887 360886 357885
      352886 348888 347892 348896 351899 356901 361901 366903
      368905 368908 369912 371913 371916 368932 367943 367951
      368956 370968 370973 368976 364986 363989 363995 363001
      363005 361007 359006 358001 355000 350002 343006 340010
      337015 333023 330027 326027 323025 314024 303027 295031
      292033 288037 282044 276049 268050 262059 259060 253059
      243056 237053 234056 233059 237064 240068 243070 248072
      252074 258081 266087 285091 290089 294086 298083 303082
      307081 309077 309072 312068 318063 324070 329070 334069
      340070 343074 347081 349084 353086 357082 361080 364088
      368091 371091 375089 378086 385077 391071 394068 397072
      403066 405063 410061 416059 422053 420046 418042 411038
      402034 398034 396036 390041 386044 383044 382042 380037
      384034
 0.01 384034 395023 401029 403030 407028 413024 423023 431028
      436033 440033 442030 444029 449024 455017 463014 473014
      480010 495004 500006 503008 509014 511017 516018 521012
      525991
 0.01 510890 510879 507873 504869 499872 496878 494883 488896
      485909 482927 482935 482939 484940 489937 492932 498921
      503908 506902 508896 510890
 0.01 416727 415717 412713 409718 407723 402726 396725 393726
      391729 390734 390739 392741 398741 402740 403738 408734
      413731 416727
 0.01 409108 409105 409103 410101 410098 408098 406100 405102
      405105 405107 407108 409108 409108
 0.01 389201 386195 380190 380181 379177 378174 376175 372181
      369182 367180 362184 363188 365190 372194 376200 377204
      381205 386206 388203 389201
 0.01 396112 394110 392111 389113 385114 382113 379113 375113
      372115 369116 364115 361113 356112 345104 342101 342095
      339088 334082 334078 336078 336073 334074 331075 330078
      328081 326083 328085 328089 324089 319088 316086 315089
      315093 320098 323101 322106 324110 326111 328109 330103
      332100 337101 339106 340111 343114 346116 349120 350125
      349131 354135 346137 350144 352151 357157 362161 366160
      368156 369153 367149 362143 362140 366138 369137 371136
      373138 378137 382131 388118 396112
 0.01 368210 368209 366208 365207 365206 363205 361205 359205
      359206 360208 361209 362210 364211 366212 368211 368210
 0.01 369736 368729 364728 354725 344724 343721 341720 338719
      336721 316753 312762 309772 307777 304781 298789 295793
      293787 296779 304772 306770 302770 296769 292767 282764
      260764 238791 236795 237801 236808 235814 235819 237822
      241826 243831 244837 242841 241846 242850 247857 253861
      264862 266867 266872 264884 262896 264901 264908 263915
      264921 266924 264927 259933 250936 245938 243940 243944
      243951 241956 239960 236964 234970 235977 239984 241988
      241994 242998 246996 247991 252990 255986 258982 262979
      265975 268974 271976 273981 276983 280984 283983 290981
      293977 296973 297967 299962 303953 309945 311940 311932
      310926 306922 304921 303918 302915 307912 310907 314901
      315896 315890 315882 316877 316870 318864 319851 320845
      316845 313846 312844 310839 310834 313832 318830 322827
      327822 332819 335815 341807 345798 351789 355778 356774
      355767 355759 357755 361748 366742 369736
 0.01 343838 342836 342834 340834 339834 337836 337839 339841
      341840 343838 343838
 0.01 332846 330844 328844 327846 327848 327850 329850 331850
      331848 332846 332846
 0.01 315109 316107 316105 316103 316101 314099 314098 312098
      311097 309097 307097 307098 307100 308102 308104 308105
      309107 310107 311109 311110 313110 315110 315109
 0.01 288820 286813 281815 275814 269813 264812 257812 256816
      257817 263821 267823 272825 278827 283827 286823 288820
 0.25 477717 477714 478712 478709 476707 475708 473710 472712
      471713 471716 471718 471721 473722 474721 476720 476719
      477717 477717
 0.25 482819 475805 473800 472794 469788 465789 463791 458796
      456803 455811 453820 451823 449824 446815 445811 441809
      438810 436812 433821 430825 425829 422831 422837 421843
      417859 414866 412870 409872 403874 398872 378893 376897
      376902 378906 380907 387908 386915 383922 380929 377936
      375940 375945 377961 377969 375979 375988 375997 377006
      380008 383005 391993 398984 403979 407977 408978 411981
      411986 411999 413006 417007 420006 429999 434998 436000
      441006 444003 444000 441994 437988 435984 436979 440964
      442955 444947 448941 452933 456916 460902 461893 462887
      462881 464874 469865 472860 475852 477845 479837 482819
 0.25 420752 416749 412750 408752 403755 398761 395764 392762
      388762 385765 381773 381776 384778 389776 393773 396771
      401771 405772 409770 414762 418755 420752
 0.25 421792 422789 422787 421785 420784 419783 418782 417782
      415783 413785 413786 412788 412789 411791 412793 412794
      414795 414796 416795 416794 417792 418792 419793 421792
      421792
 0.25 416821 417818 417816 417814 416811 416809 415807 414809
      415812 414813 413814 412815 411817 410819 410821 411824
      413825 415824 416823 416821 416821
 0.25 380074 380069 380067 378064 375064 373066 373071 373075
      373080 373083 376082 378080 379076 380074
 0.25 368059 368056 369053 369050 365048 362045 359045 357049
      354051 352055 353060 355062 358067 360067 362062 366060
      368059
 0.25 352746 350742 347741 340737 328746 324753 320760 317767
      319778 318786 312792 308797 306806 305810 303814 301823
      301827 299831 301836 299840 296842 294843 298844 300848
      299851 299861 298865 299870 302879 304888 306891 309888
      312868 313864 312859 310850 307840 306835 306831 310825
      316820 327808 330801 335795 339789 340784 343780 345777
      345773 345763 349752 352746
 0.25 352020 352015 349017 347022 345025 341026 338030 339036
      340039 344039 346035 349031 351026 352022 352020
 0.25 300947 300945 299945 298947 299949 300947
 0.25 288066 287064 284062 281062 277061 273061 270061 268062
      266066 267068 270071 273072 276072 279071 282071 285070
      287068 288066
 0.25 284844 283840 282838 280836 277834 273836 271837 269839
      268843 270846 272848 274849 278850 281848 283846 284844
 0.25 261831 260829 258829 257830 258832 260833 261831
 0.25 256950 256947 255946 255945 254945 252944 250944 250943
      248943 246943 245945 245947 245950 245952 246954 246955
      247956 248957 250957 251956 252955 253954 254953 255952
      255950 256950
 0.25 249964 249962 249960 248958 246959 246960 245962 245964
      246965 248964 249964
 0.50 475830 474828 472831 471836 470838 469841 468846 468851
      467853 468858 469858 471855 472852 473848 473845 474840
      475838 475832 475830
 0.50 470801 470795 466797 463802 462805 462812 463817 462822
      461827 461831 462834 465830 466824 466817 468812 469807
      470802 470801
 0.50 453894 453889 451887 448881 437885 434880 430879 430876
      429872 431869 434866 438861 440859 440854 440849 442847
      448844 449838 445834 443831 440830 436833 433838 430845
      426850 423857 421863 420871 418877 415882 410882 403880
      401879 397881 396883 397889 398895 399900 398905 394915
      386926 379937 377942 377949 378957 379963 379983 380988
      381991 384991 386989 393981 400972 403966 406964 409965
      412971 414979 417994 422994 425989 427982 428974 433959
      437945 440940 440934 436929 435925 436919 432908 436894
      440891 443892 443894 443904 441912 439918 443924 447928
      449923 452908 453894
 0.50 389769 387769 387772 388772 389770 389769
 0.50 387895 387893 387890 386889 385888 383890 383891 381893
      381895 380898 380899 380900 382902 383901 385900 385899
      387897 387895
 0.50 365054 364052 363051 362052 361052 360054 361056 363055
      365054
 0.50 343755 342753 342752 342753 340754 339755 340756 342757
      343755
 0.50 329755 327753 326755 325755 325758 326760 328757 329755
 0.50 325762 326760 324759 324760 323762 322762 321765 321766
      323766 324764 325762 325762
 0.50 320800 319799 319798 317796 316797 315798 315800 315802
      316804 318803 319802 320800 320800
 0.50 310863 309860 307857 306854 304852 302855 303857 303861
      303865 303869 305873 306871 308869 309865 310863
 0.50 280842 281840 280838 279836 277836 276836 275837 274838
      274840 275842 276844 277844 279843 280842
 1.00 426949 424924 421919 417919 412926 405934 402931 400928
      398926 395926 391929 386936 383939 380944 380949 380954
      382967 384974 386978 390976 394972 399966 401961 403955
      405951 407949 411954 413959 415963 417968 418974 421975
      423970 423964 424952 426949
 1.00 413905 413903 413901 412898 412896 411895 410894 410893
      408891 406891 406892 405894 405896 405899 405901 405903
      406905 406906 408907 409908 410908 411908 412907 413905
 1.50 400952 400943 398937 394936 389939 384943 382949 383954
      384963 386970 391971 394965 396961 400954 400952
 2.00 395956 396952 395948 395945 391944 388944 386946 384949
      384954 385959 386961 387964 391964 393961 394959 395956

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 537824 536808 532793 526773 524769 523761 524755 524750
      523735 524730 523723 522710 517695 513683 511678 509671
      504660 501655 500647 498642 495640 490633 486630 482631
      474638 471641 466644 460648 454654 447660 440667 434673
      421687 407701 400708 396715 388735 385745 380755 384761
      385768 384772 381782 379792 376801 371808 364816 356823
      346824 343824 342820 343814 344803 345801 345796 347791
      352773 350771 345773 343775 340777 336775 330781 326787
      316801 313805 312809 310813 307816 304819 302824 300827
      300833 297842 294849 284866 279876 276879 274884 272888
      272895 273903 274908 275919 276923 277929 278933 279940
      279951 279963 279969 282971 293967 299960 303952 307941
      313923 315913 318903 328863 331855 336848 343847 345847
      348848 342855 337863 334867 333871 333878 332883 332897
      329923 328928 327935 325945 321969 320979 320992 320007
      314013 303024 299027 297030 293039 285047 282050 276050
      258052 251052 249056 248063 246066 250075 251081 256083
      271090 280093 284095 289096 293096 298096 302097 305100
      310105 316110 326109 332103 341104 345099 344093 342084
      341078 342072 344070 348070 359074 364076 368079 371086
      375101 379100 381097 384092 387091 390087 389084 389081
      390077 392075 400069 407065 411061 411054 404049 396043
      392039 387038 382037 378034 377030 375029 371026 373016
      375006 376001 377994 377981 378975 380971 384963 393940
      401920 405911 410903 414895 418889 423880 427877 432876
 0.01 432876 438873 443869 449866 455860 464849 467847 470851
      472860 475867 478868 480871 485876 488880 486886 482903
      482908 482915 482924 484935 487942 491948 496957 499962
      502970 505970 508973 515976 518978 521978 527976 532972
      531964 528955 526948 525935 526928 528923 534908 537899
      539896 539890 538865 538858 536852 537842 537831 537824
 0.01 446201 444193 440192 437193 433194 429193 425186 415149
      412143 409143 407146 406153 405156 403157 400154 398150
      394143 393142 392148 392153 393157 396160 399164 403171
      405174 403176 401174 398173 393174 387178 386182 383184
      374183 366180 361179 359181 363187 369192 381203 385206
      389208 394212 408222 403228 400235 404236 407236 415233
      421229 426224 437214 442207 446201
 0.01 417199 416196 416194 415192 415191 414189 412188 411190
      410192 410195 408197 409198 411198 413199 414199 416200
      417199
 0.01 410115 410096 407093 406095 400099 396105 393108 389109
      384111 378114 372118 367119 363117 357115 353115 352119
      360132 365135 372136 377135 379137 383138 385136 394124
      398122 402123 404123 408119 410115
 0.01 367160 367158 366157 365155 365154 363154 362154 361155
      360156 361157 361159 362160 364161 366161 367160
 0.01 289804 288793 283787 277783 270779 263777 259776 257778
      251783 244787 240793 237801 235808 234818 235828 236835
      238838 240840 245840 253838 261835 266829 271824 279819
      285815 287808 289804
 0.25 518774 517766 514759 509750 504716 502705 501694 501676
      499660 497653 495647 491642 486640 481641 478645 471654
      466663 462668 455669 449670 444672 432691 429697 426703
      429707 435707 433710 429714 421721 416725 413730 409741
      405753 403759 402767 403771 402776 398779 390786 379804
      373813 370819 368825 362852 358864 357868 359874 361876
      368874 371873 371881 370889 368891 364890 361890 360887
      357883 353882 350883 347888 346896 344901 339913 336923
      332949 330964 328972 329980 334982 335991 333008 330021
      331026 335029 339029 342028 345024 350014 352008 355003
      360992 366981 370969 377959 382951 386940 389927 392911
      396898 399885 404874 409863 416856 420853 425852 435855
      440853 443848 451840 460832 468826 480820 483818 487822
      494830 500837 508844 511845 513843 514835 516819 515811
      516803 517788 518774
 0.25 398057 397052 393048 389045 383045 376045 371041 369037
      364034 359034 353035 350037 348039 349046 356055 368056
      373059 377060 381058 384060 387064 392063 397059 398057
 0.25 382195 381193 381192 380191 378191 376189 375188 373187
      371186 369187 369188 371189 372190 372191 374192 376192
      377194 378194 379195 381195 382195
 0.25 381076 382074 382072 383070 383067 382066 380065 378065
      377064 375064 373065 371066 372068 373070 374071 374072
      375073 375075 376076 377078 379078 381076 381076
 0.25 301086 301082 297080 291075 282071 271069 264068 257073
      263078 272082 279087 282089 288089 294086 301086
 0.25 301926 301922 300920 297919 295922 295924 295929 295933
      295937 295941 296944 296941 297939 299935 299933 301928
      301926
 0.25 280802 280796 276791 274788 269787 263787 256789 252790
      248794 243803 240811 240818 243822 246825 252825 258824
      261821 268814 276807 280802
 0.50 512778 512767 510759 504749 501734 498714 497697 497680
      497664 495655 491648 486646 481649 475658 464682 457690
      451699 448704 445708 434717 427725 420733 417738 416744
      414751 414754 417753 426746 430743 433744 432747 432757
      430763 425774 418783 411791 410797 410806 415807 419806
      426804 431806 433808 432813 427824 426827 427832 431836
      436835 441832 460821 470813 477806 494794 499793 503787
      505786 507781 511784 512778
 0.50 411807 408805 405804 403805 400808 398811 395816 393821
      392825 390829 394828 396825 399823 402819 405815 407811
      410808 411807
 0.50 401793 398789 396789 389794 385800 382809 377814 374822
      370829 367838 363856 362865 365867 368866 372859 375851
      381834 384826 387818 387813 390810 393808 396803 401793
 0.50 403853 402848 398846 395847 392851 388858 384868 384870
      386876 386884 386888 386891 388890 392882 395874 398864
      402855 403853
 0.50 392055 392052 391050 390049 388048 387047 385047 383049
      384051 384053 385054 386056 386057 388057 390057 391055
      392055
 0.50 386927 387918 385909 384904 380903 377904 372907 368911
      364912 362910 362905 360898 355895 351898 348905 343916
      338928 335940 335950 337956 339961 341968 342984 340999
      340004 341006 344007 345005 349000 351996 357985 363974
      365967 366961 368954 370951 373950 377946 380940 384933
      386927
 0.50 365052 365051 364050 363049 361049 361047 360046 359047
      359049 360050 361050 362052 363052 365052 365052
 0.50 274801 274797 272793 265791 256793 251796 246802 243808
      242812 242815 244816 250818 252817 256818 259818 261815
      265809 271805 274801
 1.00 492672 491662 488657 485656 480661 475673 471686 468700
      467704 465706 461709 457714 456721 456739 458742 463743
      466749 466757 466774 465783 465792 467795 469794 472790
      481782 484776 486770 491757 493751 493741 492732 491721
      489703 489692 491687 492678 492672
 1.00 363952 364944 363940 361940 356930 354924 353918 349916
      346919 341929 339934 338941 340946 344949 347960 348976
      349977 353974 358965 360960 362954 363952
 1.00 265802 266800 264799 263798 262798 261798 259799 258799
      257800 255801 254803 253804 254806 256806 258806 260806
      261805 262805 263804 265803 265802
 1.50 356954 357945 356936 352933 349932 348929 348926 345925
      343930 341936 344939 349938 350947 351954 354956 356954

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 482616 495624 501628 506639 509648 514659 522680 526690
      531704 533711 533715 533729 533759 530769 527783 518801
      515810 510818 500832 488848 486853 484859 481872 479878
      476882 474884 471880 462864 458855 453847 451845 452840
      455829 451820 447809 442802 441798 441792 436782 435778
      439776 445770 444763 444759 442757 440752 441748 440740
      442735 447726 450721 451716 459709 471705 476704 480701
      482698 483692 484687 483682 478675 474673 470674 465676
      461679 454683 444689 438695 433702 427709 422718 419723
      416727 404730 401731 399733 395736 392741 391746 389768
      387778 389789 390799 389813 382830 372850 366867 359886
      355899 353905 353912 357933 357939 356943 351943 347942
      343940 341944 338953 332973 332981 334987 334994 336998
      342007 349017 353023 356027 361029 363032 365034 367032
      370032 371037 372040 374041 378043 383044 387043 396043
      404047 406046 406042 398039 394036 395030 400021 404021
      406020 407017 413012 416010 421012 425018 428023 430029
      432037 434043 439045 442049 447057 449061 449067 447072
      445071 443067 440067 436069 433072 429075 427081 426085
      422086 419084 418078 418074 415074 408069 403069 400069
      393069 389070 378074 376072 378067 378064 375063 370062
      359065 354065 351065 350068 347077 345081 342083 341087
      341092 343102 347111 351120 354124 352126 345123 338119
      330114 322109 311109 300108 292100 273093 245074 238070
      231065 228062 226057 226053 228049 232043 239039 250040
      255041 259043 267048 275053 280055 288057 292059 296054
      299047 306042
 0.01 306042 316036 309032 305025 300018 295016 293011 292007
      293004 291993 291984 292980 295978 298976 297972 295962
      294956 288957 279956 277953 279947 281937 284919 289902
      291893 294883 304869 308853 304846 299839 296837 292840
      288842 282843 273843 264840 251834 239826 233820 231817
      230811 229804 228800 229797 227793 222787 218781 217775
      218772 220764 223760 226757 237755 257752 273752 282754
      289756 296761 303766 306768 308764 313759 320754 325749
      338738 344732 352727 356725 359721 363715 381688 386681
      392675 399668 405661 414651 420655 424648 437633 441632
      443634 447636 450634 460628 470620
 0.01 519263 520258 519252 516245 513237 508232 503235 498240
      496242 494246 495254 497263 500266 502265 508267 515265
      519263
 0.01 475146 471142 468142 466144 455145 450148 447150 443149
      426145 423143 424138 426131 428129 430124 435126 438127
      440131 443137 444140 449141 452142 455140 457135 458125
      463111 459106 452102 441096 427094 429100 428104 425107
      419107 416107 414106 410104 408106 403111 403116 404118
      407124 415132 418140 417144 415147 414157 414162 415167
      413177 412179 411183 410188 408190 406192 402192 396192
      389191 373185 366184 362186 371194 375195 377198 382203
      389205 396205 401202 406200 408202 406204 402209 400213
      400215 402218 405220 407223 408228 408232 413231 419229
      429223 433219 432215 432212 434210 441200 444193 448189
      456180 461176 463165 461158 461153 464153 468153 471151
      475146
 0.01 432169 431166 429163 428165 429168 430170 432169
 0.01 443993 443988 441985 435980 428979 425981 422985 422994
      422999 424002 427005 427009 430016 433015 434011 434002
      440000 443993
 0.01 422039 422036 421035 420034 419032 417034 418036 419038
      419039 420040 422039
 0.01 351042 350038 346038 339037 331037 326038 323038 319039
      320046 320054 325053 332054 338053 342050 347046 351042
 0.25 516767 517762 516757 513749 509747 504749 500749 493749
      486752 484758 483765 482774 485780 487783 487788 488795
      491802 495807 497808 500806 506795 511783 516769 516767
 0.25 452659 450655 448654 443658 440662 437668 434674 432679
      432684 435684 438679 441674 445668 448664 452659
 0.25 420690 419684 416684 414687 412689 410693 407697 404701
      402703 406704 410707 412706 415703 418699 419695 420690
 0.25 400709 400707 399706 397707 396709 394710 393711 393713
      395715 396714 398712 399712 399709 400709
 0.25 383763 383756 381751 377739 374737 370739 361737 356739
      351743 345750 333769 329771 324771 318771 315774 313779
      310782 305785 302785 291782 284777 279775 273773 269772
      262773 256774 252777 249780 246784 243793 240797 239801
      241811 242818 245822 249826 253830 261835 270837 275836
      279834 282829 281822 283817 282813 284810 289808 293806
      300805 312806 317807 319814 320817 320823 322826 327825
      336820 346822 349822 349824 348831 347836 345840 340850
      337855 333860 329861 325864 322868 320873 317883 316895
      316911 314924 312934 307947 305958 306969 305982 304995
      303010 307019 310024 312026 315025 320021 323021 327023
      333025 339023 340019 338013 336010 333006 330003 322997
      318988 318978 317970 316956 322948 328941 332931 333926
      336922 340918 342912 345898 350875 355854 360831 366809
      370796 374786 383763
 0.25 324078 324074 320072 313069 309070 307072 303078 298084
      295091 298095 304093 311090 315086 321081 324078
 0.25 291089 291085 288080 282072 275066 266062 255063 253062
      248064 254072 261079 268086 272089 276091 281093 287093
      291089
 0.50 500773 501770 499768 498770 499773 500773 500773
 0.50 378764 377760 376756 374753 371751 364753 356754 352755
      350757 346763 343770 341777 336793 335801 335807 337810
      344813 350813 360803 363796 366789 373776 376769 378764
 0.50 342886 341875 340872 337870 335869 331870 328871 325874
      323883 322892 321900 324908 326910 330911 335907 338900
      341893 342886
 0.50 332019 334017 333014 333013 332012 331011 329010 327010
      325012 325014 325015 327016 327017 329018 330019 331019
      332019 332019
 0.50 329926 330924 329921 328920 327919 326919 324919 323920
      321921 321922 320924 320926 320928 320930 320932 321934
      321935 323936 324934 325934 326932 326931 327930 328928
      328927 329926
 0.50 308087 308086 306085 305087 304087 302089 304090 306089
      307089 308088 308087
 0.50 288087 286083 282078 278074 273072 267070 262070 259071
      261074 264078 267083 271087 277089 282091 285091 287089
      288087
 0.50 287795 286791 284789 278785 272783 266779 261778 255783
      251789 246794 243800 244807 244814 247821 251826 256830
      263833 271834 276830 277825 277819 274812 270806 274801
      283799 287795
 1.00 369768 368765 363766 358771 354777 349781 346787 344796
      346798 350799 356795 360787 363782 367775 369768
 1.00 271826 270823 270821 270820 268817 266816 263815 260815
      258815 257818 257822 258824 259827 262829 264830 267830
      270828 271826
 1.00 253808 254806 252804 250805 249806 248808 248810 249812
      251811 251810 252808 253808

$$





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