Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 280908
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
506 AM EDT THU APR 28 2016


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 28/1200 UTC THRU MAY 01/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

UPPER MS VALLEY---LOWER LAKES---UPPER OH VALLEY---CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC

THE LEAD CLOSED LOW MOVING INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY THIS MORNING
WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN...SHEARING EASTWARD ACROSS THE UPPER MS
VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES DAY 1.  WITH THE OVERALL WEAKENING
TREND TO THIS LEAD SYSTEM---PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND INTENSITIES
TO THE EAST OF THIS SYSTEM LIKELY TO DECREASE FROM THE UPPER MS
VALLEY INTO THE LOWER LAKES.  STRONGER ISENTROPIC LIFT OVER THE
STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED FROM THE OH VALLEY INTO THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC WILL SUPPORT
HEAVIER PRECIP TOTALS ACROSS THESE REGIONS DAY 1.  HEAVIEST TOTALS
LIKELY IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER EASTERN NC
WHERE THERE MAY BE A REPEAT OF THE CURRENT ACTIVE CONVECTION ALONG
THE WEST TO EAST ORIENTED FRONT LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO
THURSDAY EVENING.  WHILE FFG VALUES ARE CURRENTLY HIGH IN THE
VICINITY OF THIS FRONT...CURRENT CONVECTION AND POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION ALONG THE BOUNDARY MAY POSE ISOLATED RUNOFF
ISSUES---ESPECIALLY WHERE TRAINING IN A WEST TO EAST DIRECTION
OCCURS.

SOUTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST

LOW CONFIDENCE IN QPF DETAILS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY PRESSING EAST SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO
THE TN VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST.  THERE IS A WIDE SPREAD WITH RESPECT
TO QPF DETAILS AMONG THE LATEST GUIDANCE ACROSS THESE AREAS.
WHILE PW VALUES ARE ABOVE AVERAGE ACROSS THESE AREA---LARGE SCALE
FORCING IS WEAK.  WHILE THERE WILL LIKELY BE LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS
IN THIS AXIS--CONFIDENCE LOW GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED SPREAD.  DAY
1 QPF DID GO TOWARD THE MODEL CONSENSUS FOR A MAX IN THE VICINITY
OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM EASTERN LA INTO FAR SOUTHERN
MS---SOUTHERN AL AND THE WESTERN FL PANHANDLE.

SOUTHWEST INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES

AS THE LEAD CLOSED LOW OVER THE UPPER MS VALLEY WEAKENS DAY 1--THE
NEXT IN THE SERIES OF AMPLIFYING CLOSED LOWS WILL PUSH FROM THE
SOUTHWEST EARLY DAY 1---INTO THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.  PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN
CONCENTRATED INITIALLY TO THE NORTH OF THIS STRENGTHENING CLOSED
LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN IN A REGION OF A FAIRLY WELL
DEFINED COMMA HEAD/DEFORMATION PRECIPITATION BAND---EXPANDING WITH
TIME INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES IN A REGION OF INCREASING UPPER
DIFFLUENCE DOWNSTREAM OF THIS CLOSED LOW.    MODEL CONSENSUS IS
FOR A WIDESPREAD REGION OF MODERATE PRECIP TOTALS FROM NORTHERN
AZ--EASTERN NV INTO MOST OF UT---AND INTO CO---WITH ISOLATED HEAVY
TOTALS POSSIBLE---ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE WASATCH AND INTO THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES.  LATE SEASON HEAVY SNOWS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
WASATCH AND INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.  SEE THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR
ADDITIONAL WINTER WEATHER INFORMATION.

CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS

INCREASINGLY UPPER DIFFLUENT FLOW AND STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL FLOW
INTO AND OVER THE WEST TO EAST ORIENTED FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SUPPORT INCREASING PRECIPITATION COVERAGE
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS.  THERE IS A LOT
OF MODEL DETAIL DIFFERENCES ACROSS THESE REGIONS---LEADING TO LOW
CONFIDENCE WITH THE QPF DETAILS DAY 1.  QPF DIFFERENCES ARE BOTH
WITH HOW FAR TO THE NORTHEAST PRECIP SPREADS INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS TO THE NORTH OF THE WEST TO EAST FRONTAL BOUNDARY---AND THE
DEVELOPMENT OF POTENTIALLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION CLOSER TO THE WEST
TO EAST BOUNDARY OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  DAY 1 QPF KEPT WITH
CONTINUITY IN SHOWING MODERATE TOTALS SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD INTO
THE CENTRAL PLAINS---WHILE SHOWING HEAVIEST PRECIP POTENTIAL
FARTHER TO THE SOUTH IN THE VICINITY OF THE WEST TO EAST BOUNDARY
FROM THE TX PANHANDLE---ACROSS NORTHERN TX/SOUTHERN OK.  STILL A
LOT OF TIMING DIFFERENCES HERE ALSO WITH HOW CONVECTION DEVELOPS.
 WITH A LOT OF INSTABILITY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS
FRONT...STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY INFLOW INTO THE BOUNDARY AND VERY
DIFFLUENT FLOW DOWNSTREAM OF THE SOUTHWEST/SOUTHERN ROCKIES CLOSED
LOW---BELIEVE THERE WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE OF INCREASING CONVECTION
IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT FROM 0000-1200 UTC FRIDAY.  DAY 1 QPF
LEANED TOWARD THE IN HOUSE QPF MEAN WHICH SHOWED PRECIP PUSHING
DOWNSTREAM FASTER...CLOSER TO THE ECMWF AND GFS.  WHILE AREAL
AVERAGE PRECIP TOTALS WERE KEPT IN THE .25-.50"+ RANGE---THERE
WILL LIKELY BE HEAVIER TOTALS GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED
CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF THIS FRONT.  RUNOFF ISSUE ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF THIS FRONT...WITH A BROAD SLIGHT RISK
OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DEPICTED IN THE VICINITY OF THIS BOUNDARY.

DAYS 2/3...

...UPPER LOW/TROUGH MOVING FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS
FRI/SAT...SHEARING EAST SUNDAY...

ANOTHER UPPER LOW WILL FORM OVER THE SOUTHWEST ON
THURSDAY...SLOWLY EJECTING EASTWARD INTO THE ROCKIES AND THE
PLAINS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ON THE LARGE SCALE...THE MODELS ARE IN
RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE EVOLUTION AND PROGRESSION OF
THIS SYSTEM. THE UPPER LOW WILL EJECT NORTHEAST OUT OF THE ROCKIES
INTO THE PLAINS LATER FRIDAY...BEFORE CUTTING OFF FROM THE
STEERING FLOW AND THUS SLOWING ITS FORWARD PROGRESSION. IT WILL
EVENTUALLY SHEAR OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY. ONLY RELATIVELY MINOR
DIFFERENCES IN THE LATITUDE AT WHICH THE UPPER LOW STALLS OUT AT
OVER THE PLAINS...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE QPF AXIS ACROSS
THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS EAST INTO THE MID MS VALLEY AND GREAT
LAKES. FOR QPF GENERALLY FAVORED A CONSENSUS OF THE FURTHER NORTH
ECMWF/UKMET AND SOUTHERN GFS/GEM...WITH ENSEMBLES GENERALLY
SUPPORTING THIS COMPROMISE SOLUTION.

DAY 2

TWO AREAS OF CONCERN FOR HEAVIER PRECIPITATION EMERGE WITH THIS
SYSTEM ON DAY 2. THE FIRST BEING ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO/WESTERN
KANSAS ON FRIDAY MOVING INTO CENTRAL NEBRASKA ON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. IT IS IN THESE AREAS WHERE WE SEE THE MAXIMUM SUPPORT
FOR SYNOPTIC LIFTING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING ENERGY IN
CONJUNCTION WITH A FAVORABLE DIFFLUENT ATMOSPHERE ALOFT. SOUTHERLY
FLOW WILL PULL ANOMALOUS MOISTURE NORTHWARD...EVENTUALLY WRAPPING
AROUND THE UPPER LOW AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE.
LOOKING AT QPF IN THE 1 TO 2 INCH RANGE...ESPECIALLY INTO THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. IN GENERAL A LACK OF INSTABILITY ACROSS THIS
REGION IS EXPECTED TO KEEP RATES LOW ENOUGH TO PREVENT AN
ORGANIZED FLASH FLOOD RISK.

THE OTHER REGION AND PROBABLY MORE CONCERNING IS ACROSS EASTERN
TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WEST AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS...AND
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTHWARD THROUGH TEXAS
ON THURSDAY IS FORECAST TO STALL ALONG THE TEXAS/OKLAHOMA BORDER
WHICH SHOULD ACT AS A FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND
ORGANIZATION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. COULD BE A COMPLEX
EVOLUTION ON THURSDAY NIGHT WITH STORMS FORMING ACROSS NORTHEAST
TEXAS NEAR THIS BOUNDARY...AND ALSO ACROSS WESTERN TX/OK ALONG THE
DRY LINE. INITIAL STORM MOTIONS SHOULD BE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST
ALONG WITH THE MEAN LAYER FLOW. HOWEVER AS CONVECTION ORGANIZES
AND PUTS OUT AN OUTFLOW...WOULD EXPECT MORE OF A WEST TO EAST
PROPAGATION AS SUGGESTED BY CORFIDI VECTORS. THIS WOULD OPEN UP
THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING CONVECTION ALONG THE BOUNDARY/OUTFLOW
FOR A PERIOD ON LATER THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. SOME UNCERTAINTY
ON EXACTLY WHERE THIS SETS UP. AS LIKELY DEPENDENT ON HOW QUICKLY
CONVECTION ORGANIZES AND MOVES MORE WEST/EAST INSTEAD OF SOUTH TO
NORTH. CONTINUED TO FAVOR A SOLUTION THAT KEEPS THE BEST TRAINING
POTENTIAL FROM NEAR THE TX/OK BORDER EAST INTO SOUTHERN AR. THIS
IS THE AXIS THAT IS SUGGESTED BY THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE AND THE HIGH
RES ARW. IN FACT AT THIS TIME THOUGHT THE ARW WAS PROBABLY THE
CLOSEST GUIDANCE TO OUR EXPECTED EVOLUTION. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
THE AXIS SETS UP A BIT FURTHER NORTH AS SUGGESTED BY THE GEM
REGIONAL..SO SOMETHING TO WATCH. WILL ALSO LIKELY HAVE CONVECTION
FORM ALONG THE DRY LINE LATER FRIDAY AND PROPAGATE SOUTHEAST INTO
THE REST OF EAST TEXAS AS WELL INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.

AN IMPRESSIVE PLUME OF ANOMALOUS (1 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
NORMAL) MOISTURE ADVECTS NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING TROUGH AND UNDERNEATH OF A FAVORABLE SUBTROPICAL JET
LOCATION AND ENHANCED UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. ALSO THE INCREASING
LOW LEVEL JET WILL PROVIDE AN IMPRESSIVE AXIS OF MOISTURE FLUX
INTO THE REGION. THUS THE INGREDIENTS ARE IN PLACE FOR A HEAVY TO
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EVENT. THE WPC QPF HIGHLIGHTS AN AREAL AVERAGED
1 TO 4" ON DAY 2 ACROSS MUCH OF EAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHEAST
OK/SOUTHERN AR AND NORTHWEST LA. OPTED TO UPGRADE TO A MODERATE
RISK ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OK...FAR NORTHEAST TX AND
SOUTHERN AR. AS MENTIONED ABOVE IT IS HERE WHERE TRAINING ALONG
THE EAST/WEST WARM FRONT AND POTENTIAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...COMBINED
WITH THE ANOMALOUS MOISTURE PROFILES SUGGEST THE HIGHEST FLASH
FLOOD RISK...WITH 3-5" (LOCALLY HIGHER) POSSIBLE. STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTY ON THE EXACT EVOLUTION. BUT GIVEN THE INGREDIENTS IN
PLACE...AND SUPPORT FROM THE NORMALLY WELL PERFORMING HIGH RES ARW
AND GEM REGIONAL...THOUGHT THE UPGRADE WAS WARRANTED. FUTURE
SHIFTS CAN ADJUST THE EXACT AREA AS NEW GUIDANCE BECOMES
AVAILABLE. SURROUNDED THE MODERATE RISK WITH A BROADER SLIGHT RISK
AREA.

DAY 3

THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO SHEAR EAST ON SATURDAY. EXPECT AREAS OF
CONVECTION TO BE ONGOING ALONG/AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE WARM
SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM FROM THE OH VALLEY TO THE GULF COAST. GIVEN
WEAKER SYNOPTIC FORCING BY THIS TIME THE EXACT CONVECTIVE
EVOLUTION BECOMES MORE UNCLEAR. HOWEVER MOISTURE/INSTABILITY
PARAMETERS DO SUPPORT A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT ALONG/AHEAD OF THE
FRONT AS IT PROGRESSES EAST. ALSO THE RELATIVELY SLOW MOVEMENT OF
THE FRONT AND MEAN FLOW WITH A LARGE COMPONENT PARALLEL TO THE
FRONT...COULD RESULT IN SOME TRAINING OF CONVECTION FOR A PERIOD.
THREAT SEEMS MORE MARGINAL THAN DAY 2...BUT WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED
A SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ALONG THE EXPECTED
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AXIS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. LIMITED THE
NORTHWARD EXTENT AT THE EXPECTED NORTHERN EDGE OF THE MARGINAL
INSTABILITY.


...NEXT UPPER LOW IMPACTING THE WEST THIS WEEKEND..

MODELS ARE GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE NEXT UPPER LOW
DROPPING INTO THE SOUTHWEST SAT/SUN. WPC QPF GENERALLY PREFERRED A
SOLUTION CLOSE TO THE AGREEABLE 0Z GFS/ECMWF SOLUTIONS.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

ORAVEC/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 529207 529201 529198 527191 525187 524182 518174 515170
      511166 515163 513158 511151 506143 502140 499136 495127
      494121 494117 490104 486097 481088 480082 480076 477065
      475054 471051 470043 469031 465003 462990 462984 461980
      461976 461970 460965 459952 455929 453901 448879 446874
      445866 444860 443853 441846 440838 437828 434796 433788
      432781 428769 427763 427759 425747 419726 416702 405685
      400676 394668 391667 390673 380677 376681 374685 372689
      368693 361694 357698 351704 347713 343720 334736 329743
      324749 314763 312766 310772 310776 310782 311788 317788
      317793 314798 312803 309807 304808 302811 295809 291807
      286809 281811 277813 278816 282818 289822 295826 298838
      300841 300847 295864 285881 283885 281890 282904 285913
      290921 297926 299929 303927 310922 312918 315913 320906
      323898 330880 340866 349851 361834 363832 365835 366843
      369853 372853 375852 383855 392860 396862 401863 404865
      407868 411877 414887 416899 422923 422935 422943 424947
      424955 426961 426966 424972 424978 422980 421978 419975
      415968 412960 409956 406953 396958 392959 386959 380954
      377953 373952 368951 365949 359947 356945 345932 339926
      332919 329918 326919 322921 317929 308946 308970 310975
      313979 315984 316989 302998 293007 292014 296017 303021
      306023 311022 316023 321025 342031 349031 354030 357028
      359029 360032 357054 357062 358067 360069 365070 368074
      370078 371082 371086 367092 364096 359097 353103 350108
      347105 341089 339086 335087 333091 334095
 0.01 334095 335103 337109 343119 341131 345136 346143 350149
      353155 357160 360163 366163 370167 374179 373185 370186
      365182 361183 360186 362187 370195 374198 378200 380197
      379194 382194 388197 389189 390184 392181 408166 418161
      419151 413150 412142 413136 417132 423129 427125 430119
      435114 437113 438115 443120 446117 450114 454115 454126
      452129 452134 445142 438136 438139 437142 438148 442152
      445155 447157 451163 452170 454176 459176 461178 466175
      471171 475172 477175 482179 482186 483191 482196 478200
      474200 473203 474207 481209 488209 493207 497205 501199
      503193 507196 512201 521210 524212 526211 529207
 0.01 497156 492153 491150 488144 485141 480141 475141 471143
      471147 474150 477153 480155 485158 489157 494157 497156
 0.01 450085 442076 439071 437068 438064 440063 442059 440052
      438038 436030 433023 430009 428003 426005 427007 429013
      429018 430023 430031 431038 434054 434062 435069 428068
      424065 419069 415073 412079 410084 410093 411100 413107
      414110 417110 423107 426103 429100 427096 426091 424089
      426086 427084 431085 440090 443089 446089 450085
 0.01 344178 345171 343167 340165 334164 329163 323162 321164
      322169 326170 330169 334168 338170 340175 343177 344178
 0.25 479127 478126 476126 475126 476127 478127 479127
 0.25 422818 422811 420804 418796 415788 415776 416765 414758
      413754 410746 406738 401730 398721 395716 393714 386712
      377713 370714 362719 358723 348737 337748 331754 327761
      325764 326768 334766 338766 338771 336781 337787 342794
      345796 350797 353793 354789 359803 373810 377817 383822
      390826 398823 406823 411827 416830 419832 420830 422818
 0.25 421844 421841 421844 421844
 0.25 407110 408103 402104 397098 394098 392103 386106 380108
      374114 372116 369116 359115 352115 350118 351122 355127
      362131 367136 374140 378140 381138 385133 391128 396124
      400118 405114 407110
 0.25 410052 409046 408040 403031 401026 400022 400007 399001
      399993 397987 393984 384983 376985 370987 366984 356981
      349977 346974 345967 345956 342946 337937 331932 327932
      323936 321941 320946 321954 323958 326966 330970 332975
      332985 329995 326005 322011 322014 325016 333019 339021
      345021 354019 360019 363023 366028 366033 366042 363046
      363052 363055 366056 372057 374061 371063 375082 381085
      384089 389091 392090 396087 398083 403074 408064 408055
      410052
 0.25 378766 379762 378757 376755 373754 371754 370756 370759
      370763 371768 371772 371775 373777 375776 377773 377769
      378766
 0.25 327842 322838 319838 313842 310845 306850 304855 300867
      297880 296887 298892 302895 306892 313884 319874 324863
      327857 326848 325842 327842
 0.50 407761 404753 401748 397742 392738 393746 396754 397765
      396775 390786 384789 381796 380799 381804 384810 389814
      394811 405804 408796 408792 407788 404779 404774 404769
      407761
 0.50 400051 399044 398040 396036 393033 388031 386028 382026
      379028 373033 369037 368041 367046 366049 367052 372053
      375054 382058 388059 391058 395056 398053 400051
 0.50 388120 388118 387116 385116 381116 379117 377119 375121
      373123 372127 373130 376131 378130 380128 382126 384124
      386122 388120
 0.50 380015 381007 380999 377995 374995 368996 363994 359990
      353989 347989 341991 338994 335999 333003 332010 334015
      340017 351015 356013 360010 363011 365013 367017 370019
      373018 377017 380015
 0.50 368786 367773 365761 362756 360754 356750 353751 351754
      349758 345767 342775 342781 345785 354780 358788 360794
      363798 366797 367793 368786
 0.50 343967 343959 341952 339947 336942 334939 330939 328941
      327945 329952 331958 333965 335971 337978 339980 341978
      342973 343967
 0.50 320855 320851 318849 313849 309854 307858 305865 304871
      302878 302882 303886 309883 312879 316873 318868 319862
      320855
 1.00 382047 381045 381044 380043 378043 377044 377046 378047
      379048 381048 382047
 1.00 364789 364782 363776 363769 361764 359761 355759 352762
      352766 353771 357772 360776 361783 363787 364789
 1.00 352004 353002 351000 349999 347999 346000 344001 343002
      343004 343006 344008 345008 347008 349007 350007 351005
      352004

24HR QP VT 30/12Z
 0.01 543176 544167 543161 542155 540151 536142 530137 526136
      522133 513131 496128 487128 482127 477124 473115 471109
      468107 462109 462113 460115 455115 454110 455106 453100
      452095 449092 441088 437086 434086 429086 426088 419092
      417089 418086 419080 422077 425077 432081 437081 440079
      446077 447071 446066 444054 447044 447036 449032 449022
      448017 448010 446002 444990 435947 431936 428926 422910
      418901 417896 414890 405875 400867 394859 383847 376840
      370835 364831 362829 360834 359839 359843 354850 349857
      345865 337869 332870 328869 322863 317854 314851 313846
      311836 310830 311824 311818 308814 306812 301813 295809
      280803 271803 260804 257806 256810 255814 258815 265818
      274821 290828 302863 303877 304887 307896 307902 309907
      309912 308917 301921 287930 281935 280944 280957 281963
      280969 279974 280977 281981 279985 273994 273999 274005
      276009 279013 285018 287020 291019 296016 295011 298010
      302013 306013 326015 340025 346031 349034 351038 353047
      347054 333064 332071 329076 328080 328086 327098 328102
      330105 331110 334114 338120 351130 359134 368139 369143
      368150 368161 374166 380168 383171 381176 377180 375184
      374187 371186 368185 368189 375195 381200 386206 404208
      412205 416206 421208 426232 431234 435238 439242 442246
      447253 454261 463267 472269 478265 483258 488250 493251
      498255 497250 497244 497242 499241 506248 513253 525244
      527239 528234 532225 536211 539204 539194 541183 543176
 0.01 434782 434776 432772 431766 430763 426753 422744 419734
      417725 415719 412717 409714 406712 400709 395704 389697
      384692 378686 376684 373687 371690 367690 363689 359692
      356696 355700 353707 351715 352720 354724 366734 372740
      375743 374747 374753 373757 374769 376780 379780 381783
      382786 386806 392810 398814 404820 410824 422832 427832
      429830 429824 430820 433797 434782
 0.25 534182 534175 534168 530163 526159 523156 517153 512153
      506152 500150 496153 493156 491158 491163 495174 499177
      503180 510187 514190 520192 524192 528191 532187 534182
 0.25 507221 508219 508217 507214 507213 506211 506210 505208
      505207 503205 502205 500206 499208 498211 498213 498216
      498217 499219 500221 501222 502222 503223 504224 505223
      506223 507221
 0.25 478167 478157 476152 472148 463143 458140 455140 444138
      441139 438144 442154 447163 450168 455171 465170 475169
      478167
 0.25 453223 452222 450221 448221 446222 445222 443222 443223
      444224 446225 448224 449224 450224 451224 453223
 0.25 437023 437014 437004 435986 433971 430962 426956 418945
      412934 401906 385886 377873 372869 366874 362877 356876
      350875 344876 338880 334885 329887 326889 324893 321907
      316920 313926 306928 301932 297937 292941 285943 284945
      285950 285957 286966 286973 287982 290990 298991 304989
      312988 318986 325984 331984 335988 337995 338000 341001
      347002 353002 357006 363019 365025 366034 367043 366050
      369055 374058 378059 381061 383068 387073 391075 396074
      405067 406063 408061 413059 420056 425052 428047 431040
      435032 437023
 0.25 420159 421157 421154 420152 419151 417150 415151 413153
      413155 414158 415160 416162 417163 419161 420159
 0.25 418769 418764 417759 415757 412756 411760 410763 408765
      407768 406771 409773 411773 414772 416771 418769
 0.50 430013 432004 432995 431986 430979 428972 425967 417958
      414953 409950 399945 397939 399933 400926 398917 396911
      392908 381906 373898 365889 354884 350881 346882 341886
      338890 330900 321921 317926 313930 308933 303937 299940
      295943 289945 287949 288962 292977 296980 301982 306984
      313984 324980 329979 336980 340984 342991 346993 350993
      358994 362997 364002 368008 371021 375033 377039 380044
      390051 395053 400053 405054 409051 414048 417044 419037
      424032 430013
 0.50 391066 392064 391062 389063 389064 391066 391066
 1.00 424999 425990 424985 422979 419975 415972 409970 403971
      398975 393976 389974 379970 375969 372972 370973 366973
      362969 360956 362944 363930 363923 362916 358905 356900
      353896 349892 345892 341895 338900 333908 330919 327924
      324928 321932 317935 300945 290949 290955 290960 304973
      309975 316976 326975 337973 345978 348981 354982 364987
      378999 382002 386006 388011 389018 394027 397031 401029
      409024 417017 420013 422009 424999
 1.00 403039 403038 401038 399038 398039 396040 394040 392041
      394043 396044 397044 399044 400044 401043 402042 403041
      403039
 1.00 377938 377936 377934 375932 375931 373930 372929 371929
      370929 368929 368930 367932 367934 368935 368936 370937
      371938 371939 373939 375940 377938 377938
 1.50 417999 418989 415982 410981 403982 401986 398991 397995
      398998 402002 406006 411008 415004 417999
 1.50 356952 357945 357938 357930 356923 353914 351906 349902
      346899 342899 337908 335918 331928 328932 326935 324939
      319941 300947 292952 291957 294962 303964 309971 320972
      332972 341971 348970 350967 354960 356952
 2.00 354943 355932 354926 352923 349917 347908 345904 342903
      340910 335926 333934 332940 331943 324945 317948 311952
      311957 313960 310963 313965 316967 321968 326969 332964
      336964 338967 342968 345966 349961 351952 353946 354943
 2.00 308958 306956 308954 307951 303950 299950 296952 294954
      293956 294958 296960 299960 301959 305958 308958
 3.00 348943 349934 347928 346921 343919 339924 337930 336939
      335945 333952 336956 341959 345956 348949 348943

24HR QP VT 01/12Z
 0.01 533187 534175 530167 523154 511141 505134 497130 493126
      487125 479126 474124 471121 471114 470108 469101 465097
      462091 461084 461068 459057 452019 450005 449001 449994
      448979 448967 447911 446843 445831 445825 446821 449801
      451791 452784 451777 449749 447733 445717 441716 437716
      431715 429716 427719 416735 400727 394724 389724 387724
      382724 379726 374731 371734 369739 366748 359765 356773
      354776 349777 345780 342785 340789 337793 334798 329803
      324811 324815 321816 315815 305814 297813 291811 288810
      286811 281812 278815 275817 276824 283826 291829 297834
      300838 302842 307850 312859 313864 311869 303878 298884
      292891 286897 280901 274904 269908 269914 267918 261923
      259926 260930 264947 266951 264956 261970 260975 259979
      259990 262993 266997 270999 276999 286999 291998 295994
      306986 312981 316977 329966 343956 350952 358946 365941
      373945 377949 378953 379957 381969 383984 385997 386006
      386016 387026 388030 387036 380039 371034 365030 363027
      358028 355026 349026 346028 344030 342034 341041 340045
      338047 334049 334054 337056 339060 337064 336069 335085
      335094 336099 337105 336111 336116 334119 336125 337129
      336133 337141 340146 341150 344159 348167 352179 351184
      355187 373195 385198 389197 391194 396182 400176 404172
      415165 426157 427158 431156 439161 449163 452166 454171
      454174 456175 461176 462169 463165 466165 479180 487178
      499181 503184 509185 518188 523190 527191 531189 533187
 0.01 475838 474830 473825 471820 469815 466811 464813 464819
      463824 463832 465836 467841 471843 473843 475838
 0.01 446138 446133 447128 447123 447119 447114 445118 443120
      441122 441125 438129 437131 436136 439139 443139 446138
 0.01 422093 422088 420083 418081 413080 409080 404081 398083
      395085 393089 391092 392098 394100 399101 404095 408091
      414087 419092 420094 422093
 0.01 344180 344175 344171 343169 343166 342163 338162 334162
      334165 336166 337168 338172 339174 340178 341180 344180
 0.25 442091 441079 442072 438070 436071 434065 434056 435048
      437041 441036 442034 442028 443017 443985 441960 441943
      439928 434902 432893 432884 431875 430869 431864 433861
      434855 434843 433827 431821 429815 422806 421800 421796
      423794 423788 419783 416778 410772 399762 391757 386755
      382757 369775 360782 350789 346796 342805 337827 335832
      333836 331842 330848 332855 335861 336865 336869 333874
      327879 318883 314884 310888 304896 291911 283918 278923
      275927 273931 272937 274947 278957 282968 283972 290974
      295972 300969 309962 318956 325951 331946 338939 345932
      353925 357921 363919 368918 375920 378923 383925 389929
      393933 394936 396941 398944 398948 395954 391958 390960
      390965 391973 392980 392989 394995 395004 397016 403036
      418050 427057 430062 431071 432077 430083 429087 430091
      434095 439096 442091
 0.25 392156 393151 393147 393142 391140 389141 387146 386148
      385150 383153 383154 384157 387159 391158 392156
 0.25 385131 385122 385117 384112 380105 377101 374098 368095
      362088 360090 359096 359105 357109 353110 351113 349119
      345122 348130 352137 359141 361144 362149 361156 366162
      368166 372165 376157 379153 380147 383138 385131
 0.25 387788 388785 388783 388781 386780 384779 383780 381782
      380784 380787 381789 382789 383791 384791 386790 387788
      387788
 0.25 386065 387060 384058 377055 374048 367043 362044 356047
      355052 356055 362061 368065 372071 373074 376077 380077
      382074 385067 386065
 0.50 437014 439993 439981 438969 438959 437946 437939 435935
      431925 427910 423891 421876 421869 419865 415860 411852
      408844 405837 401830 396826 393824 390824 384830 377835
      372840 362848 358847 356845 351845 347846 348852 347856
      346866 344871 342875 336881 330884 324887 316890 312894
      302907 291918 283927 278933 278938 279943 283951 286953
      288957 289961 289964 291966 296966 299964 310957 321949
      327942 331934 337929 343925 362906 369902 372903 376905
      383909 391912 396914 401918 408933 408945 409955 409961
      406964 399970 399975 399980 401987 405005 409014 413020
      419025 423028 428028 431027 434023 437014
 0.50 371792 371789 369788 364791 360794 356798 351802 347805
      349809 352815 353818 357817 361814 364809 367804 370799
      371792
 0.50 368124 370122 368120 368119 367119 365118 363118 362118
      361119 360121 360123 360125 360127 360129 361127 362125
      364125 366125 368124 368124
 1.00 433985 434981 433976 431968 428964 424959 423957 420959
      420968 420978 419987 417994 419001 424999 428997 431992
      433985
 1.00 362890 361883 358879 356877 352878 349882 340888 335890
      329891 325894 321898 313906 306912 297918 290925 286929
      284935 290943 294945 296952 298957 302958 310949 317943
      325936 330928 339920 345913 348908 351901 354894 360892
      362890
 1.50 339910 339902 338899 335898 326905 321908 316911 313915
      306917 302920 298924 291933 294937 299941 304942 308939
      313935 319932 326924 331922 335917 339910
 2.00 334915 334913 334911 333910 331909 330910 328911 327913
      327915 328917 329917 330917 332916 333915 334915

$$




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