Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 200955
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
554 AM EDT SUN APR 20 2014


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 20/1200 UTC THRU APR 23/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR




DAY 1...

06Z UPDATE...
ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO PRELM GUID BASED MAINLY ON
SATL/RADAR TRENDS.

...CAROLINA COASTS...

MOIST ELY FLOW PATRN BETWEEN HIGH PRES OFF THE COAST OF NEW
ENGLAND AND UPR LOW SLOWLY PUSHING OFF THE SE COAST WILL KEEP RAIN
THREAT CHANCES FAIRLY HIGH ALONG COASTAL SECTIONS THE
CAROLINAS..ESPECIALLY THE OUTER BANKS OF NC.  MANUAL QPF GENLY
FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE EC/NAM WITH THE GFS AND 12Z UKMET
APPEARING TO BE A BIT ON THE DRY SIDE.


...CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES...

PERSISTENT SWLY LOW LEVEL FLOW INTO NEARLY STALLED FRONTAL BNDRY
WILL ENCOURAGE SOME POOLING OF HIER PWS INVOF THE BNDRY WHICH
ALONG WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND GRADUAL DESTABILIZATION..WILL
SUPPORT INCREASED THREAT OF CNVTN FROM NEB NEWD INTO THE GT LAKES
REGION.  FOR SEVERAL RUNS IN A ROW THE GFS APPEARED TO INITIALIZE
PWS A BIT TOO HIGH ACRS THIS REGION..WHICH LIKELY ACCOUNTS FOR IT
BEING THE HEAVIEST SOLN WITH REGARD TO QPF.  GENLY FAVORED A
EC/CANADIAN/UKMET BLEND WITH A STRIPE OF .25 TO .50 INCH PLUS
AMOUNTS.

...SOUTHERN ROCKIES/SOUTHERN PLAINS...

SWRN U.S. UPR TROF IS FCST TO CONTINUE TO LIFT ENEWD INTO THE SRN
PLAINS THIS PD WITH ALL MODELS SHOWING SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING OF
THE 5H TROF WITH TIME.  THIS GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND ALONG WITH
LACK OF WELL DEFINED SFC FOCUS AND GENL LARGE SPREAD IN QPF SOLNS
LEADS TO RATHER LOW CONFIDENCE IN QPF DETAILS ACRS THIS REGION.
DO BELIEVE SOMEWHAT HIER CONCENTRATION OF SHOWER WILL TEND TO DVLP
ACRS N TX INTO OK WHERE SWLY 85H FLO INTO COLLAPSING THICKNESSES
GENLY FAVORS DECENT LIFT.  GIVEN LARGE MODEL SPREAD..GENLY FAVORED
AN ENSEMBLE APCH HERE WITH 12Z EC/UKMET/CANADIAN GEM GIVEN
SOMEWHAT HIER WEIGHT.


DAYS 2/3...


...WEST COAST...

A LONG WAVE TROUGH COMING ASHORE ALONG THE WEST COAST FROM THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST THROUGH CENTRAL CA WILL PROVIDE LIFT AND
MOISTURE FOR QPF ON DAY  2. A SHORT WAVE CROSSING THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST LATE ON DAY 3 WILL PROVIDE ANOTHER ROUND OF LIFT AND
MOISTURE FOR QPF THERE. THERE WAS DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE
EVOLUTION AND MOVEMENT OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH ON DAY 2...AS WELL
AS THE SHORT WAVE ON DAY 3. BASED ON THIS...THE QPF WAS DERIVED
FROM A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

THE LONG WAVE TROUGH FINALLY COMES ASHORE ALONG THE WEST COAST
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 2. A SHORT WAVE AT THE BOTTOM OF THE
LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE CENTRAL CA COAST LATE...PROVIDING THE
BEST SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT ALONG THE COAST. AHEAD OF THE SHORT
WAVE...A LOW LEVEL WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.75 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES TO THE SAME AREA. STEEPENING MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT WAVE COULD PROVIDE A BRIEF
WINDOW OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CA AND
SOUTHWEST OR LATE IN THE PERIOD. THE COMBINATION OF LIFT AND
MOISTURE SHOULD RESULT IN AN AREA OF 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF
OVER NORTHWEST CA AND SOUTHWEST OR...SURROUNDED BY A LARGER AREA
OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN CA AND MUCH OF WESTERN OR.
THE GENERAL AREA OF LIFT WITH THE LONG WAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF OR AND
WA.

A WEAK SHORT WAVE CROSSES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST LATE ON DAY
3...SUPPORTED BY LIFT IN THE LEFT FRONT QUADRANT OF A 110 KNOT JET
STREAK. MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW SHOULD BE FOCUSED
ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN...AND THE COMBINATION OF LIFT AND MOISTURE
WILL DEPOSIT BETWEEN 0.25 AND 0.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS MUCH OF
WESTERN WA AND OR...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE OLYMPIC RANGE
IN WA AND THE COASTAL RANGE IN OR.


...NORTHERN ROCKIES/NORTHERN PLAINS...

THE REMAINS OF THE WEST COAST LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES LATE ON DAY 2 INTO DAY 3. FOR THE MOST
PART...THERE WAS FAIRLY GOOD 00Z MODEL SUITE AGREEMENT CONCERNING
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF
THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

AS THE LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE NORTHERN ROCKIES ON ITS WAY
INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS...THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION CLOSES OFF
OVER NORTHERN MT AND SOUTHERN ALBERTA BY THE END OF DAY 3. AHEAD
OF THE CLOSING MID LEVEL SYSTEM...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SPINS UP ON
A LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER NORTHERN WY...WHICH TRACKS INTO
NORTHERN MT LATE. AHEAD OF THE SURFACE SYSTEM...A LOW LEVEL
SOUTHEASTERLY INFLOW DEVELOPS...OVERRUNNING A WARM FRONT STRETCHED
ACROSS EASTERN MT AND THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS. THE 35 TO 45 KNOT
LEVEL INFLOW TRANSPORTS 0.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR (WHICH IS
ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) INTO EASTERN MT...AS
STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES RESULT IN MARGINAL INSTABILITY.

THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY PRODUCES A SWATH OF
0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST AND
CENTRAL MT...WITH A LARGER AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF
ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL ID AND SOUTHWEST MT. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE NUMBERS ARE GENERALLY BETWEEN 1.00 AND 1.50 INCHES ACROSS
EASTERN MT...SO WHILE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED...ORGANIZED FLASH FLOODING IS NOT. IT SHOULD BE NOTED A
FEW OF THE 00Z MODEL SUITE MEMBERS...MOST NOTABLY THE 00Z
UKMET...SHOWED CONSIDERABLY MORE QPF (BETWEEN 1.00 AND 1.25
INCHES). THIS IS POSSIBLE...CONSIDERING THE MOISTURE CONTENT OF
THE AIR...THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION...AND SLOW CELL MOVEMENT
AROUND THE CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM. IF THE HIGHER QPF VALUES COME
TO FRUITION...A SLIGHT RISK AREA MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR A
PORTION OF CENTRAL OR EASTERN MT.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES...

SHORT WAVES DROPPING INTO THE BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE
CENTRAL UNITED STATES ON DAY 2 WILL PROVIDE LIFT FOR QPF ACROSS
THE REGION. THERE WAS GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS REGARDING THE TIMING
AND PLACEMENT OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH...AS WELL AS INDIVIDUAL
SHORT WAVES...SO THE QPF WAS BASED PRIMARILY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/GFS.

A NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE DROPPING INTO THE LONG WAVE TROUGH
POSITION CROSSES THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES. THE
SHORT WAVE WILL PRODUCE LIFT OVER A WARM FRONT STRETCHED ACROSS
SOUTHERN WI INTO THE LP OF MI. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...A LOW
LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.00 TO 1.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE
WATER AIR OVER THE WARM FRONT...AND MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW ELEVATED
INSTABILITY NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT. THE ELEVATED CONVECTION
IN THIS ENVIRONMENT SHOULD PRODUCE A SWATH OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES
OF QPF STRETCHING ACROSS SOUTHEAST WI INTO THE UPPER PORTION OF
THE LP OF MI.

A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TRACKING FROM THE ARKLATEX TO
SOUTHERN AL WILL PRODUCE LIFT FOR CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS INTO THE LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY...WHICH SHOULD EXTENT INTO
THE MIDWEST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. A LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
FEED MARGINAL TO MODERATE INSTABILITY UP AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT
ACROSS EASTERN OK INTO THE LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY...AS WELL AS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1.25 INCHES. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT A
LINE OF AT LEAST SCATTERED CONVECTION STRETCHING FROM THE MIDWEST
SOUTHWEST INTO EASTERN OK AND NORTHEAST TX. THE HIGHEST QPF SHOULD
OCCUR ACROSS NORTHEAST TX INTO NORTHWEST AR...IN CONJUNCTION WITH
THE BEST LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT WAVE. IN THIS AREA...0.50
TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF SHOULD BE COMMON. A LARGER AREA OF 0.25 TO
0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED OVER MUCH OF THE LOWER AND MID MS
VALLEY...AS WELL AS IA AND IL.


...SOUTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

A LONG WAVE TROUGH TAKING ON A NEGATIVE TILT CROSSING THE MID
ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST WILL PUSH A SURFACE FRONT THROUGH THE
EASTERN UNITED STATES ON DAY 3. THERE WAS FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH RESPECT TO THE TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF THE LONG WAVE
TROUGH...THOUGH THERE WAS SOME MODEL SPREAD ON THE TIMING OF THE
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHEAST. IN AN ATTEMPT TO MITIGATE THE
DIFFERENCES IN TIMING...THE QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/GFS.

THE BEST LIFT OCCURS ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...AS THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW RIDES UP AND OVER A WARM FRONT IN PLACE EARLY IN THE
PERIOD. THE WARM FRONTAL QPF SHOULD AVERAGE BETWEEN 0.25 AND 0.50
INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN NH AND MUCH OF ME. FURTHER
SOUTH...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.00 AND 1.25 INCHES
RIDING UP AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON A LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW FEEDS
MARGINAL INSTABILITY EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN NJ INTO THE SOUTHEAST
STATES. THE BEST COMBINATION OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND LIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LONG WAVE TROUGH SHOULD STRETCH FROM NORTHERN
AND WESTERN NY STATE INTO WESTERN PA AND NORTHERN WV. THE
PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE SYSTEM SHOULD LIMIT QPF VALUES IN THIS
AREA TO BETWEEN 0.25 TO 0.05 INCHES. ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES
INTO THE COASTAL MID ATLANTIC...THE FRONTAL PASSAGE OCCURS LATE IN
THE DAY...AND QPF AMOUNTS SHOULD AVERAGE BETWEEN 0.10 AND 0.25
INCHES.


SULLIVAN/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 538205 539200 538196 537190 530178 523169 520163 515159
      508151 505145 500146 493137 490136 488134 483130 477129
      475135 478140 485141 492151 503158 507162 508168 505168
      503165 498161 497159 493158 489157 486162 488164 491166
      495171 498176 501181 508183 508188 510189 514193 518197
      521205 525209 530211 535210 538205
 0.01 525258 522251 520245 513233 503225 497213 496210 492209
      488208 482209 480212 478215 476217 477220 483222 486224
      485227 481231 472236 470239 467240 462243 453249 448252
      443257 436266 432271 431276 431282 432285 435286 439288
      445287 453288 459288 464289 470288 475285 477284 481284
      487286 499290 503295 507297 510296
 0.01 536048 537023 537009 536998 536987 533980 532972 533964
      535952 535947 534943 530925 527916 526911 523907 517904
      511900 506897 497897 482899 479901 475900 470897 461893
      458889 458885 459877 466864 472848 479830 483815 482804
      479795 477787 470788 464798 461805 459809 457807 449790
      445805 442822 437861 431891 429898 426905 419920 415926
      413930 411934 408942 405942 403938 396926 387914 374915
      366916 360918 347925 342928 336934 323962 319966 313970
      308974 299977 289980 283982 277984 271987 266992 264994
      265996 269001 269007 273009 278013 283018 287020 290021
      298021 306024 312027 317028 319031 321038 322046 324051
      327055 342063 349063 354063 358065 369071 374076 380072
      383067 388061 395062 398064 399069 401075 404079 406082
      408081 413079 421067 423065 423059 422055 420053 416051
      412048 410040 405023 404019 405013 407009 409010 411015
      414015 420012 433009 443005 468014 475015 479015 481017
      486018 488020 492021 494026 496028 496033 497039 494041
      488045 483052 481057 480066 481070 482072 488071 509084
      515079 520075 524068 527059 531052 536048
 0.01 479992 475989 474987 471989 469990 467992 464994 462994
      460996 457998 460000 463998 465998 468998 470996 473996
      475994 479992
 0.01 458001 457998 455999 453000 455003 456003 458001
 0.01 398110 396108 393110 391112 387113 381115 378116 374118
      373123 377124 381122 385120 387118 390116 394113 398111
      398110
 0.01 377716 376703 374692 373687 370684 362679 337696 333703
      330709 327729 327735 326740 322745 318752 315762 314766
      311770 306775 301781 292785 284788 280789 278792 277797
      277801 285806 293809 300810 307812 319811 325806 330801
      333798 339798 344797 347794 366766 370748 373740 376730
      377716
 0.01 353117 351114 348110 346107 345103 343098 340095 338096
      341100 342105 342109 345114 349117 352117 353117
 0.25 514274 516266 516259 516251 513245 508237 502235 499237
      495240 490241 482244 479249 477256 477263 479269 485270
      489274 494276 498280 501284 504285 507285 510283 513277
      514274
 0.25 520939 520934 519931 518928 517924 514926 513929 512933
      511936 511942 511947 512950 514952 515952 517949 518944
      520942 520939
 0.25 458847 456842 453845 450851 447858 445863 443869 438882
      429909 426921 421935 412961 410968 411971 417973 422971
      426967 428962 431955 434949 440939 444935 447930 448914
      450895 452881 454864 458847
 0.25 458969 457963 453964 449966 446969 442971 439973 436976
      436978 438980 443979 446976 448973 452971 457970 458969
 0.25 392009 393998 391995 387995 381999 380001 374002 368005
      362006 358005 356003 355999 357997 367991 374988 377987
      379983 380980 380976 375979 372980 369979 366972 361965
      359958 356952 353951 348952 337957 334962 330970 315992
      315000 316007 321012 329015 338016 345016 352015 359018
      363018 366021 368028 373027 379023 386017 390013 392009
 0.25 368730 367717 364706 360698 356696 350696 343701 341704
      338709 336718 334728 332736 328746 321763 320771 320777
      323782 327783 332782 341777 348774 355768 360761 364753
      366744 368732 368730
 0.25 372044 371042 369042 368043 369045 371044 372044
 0.50 512263 513258 512252 509242 504241 502244 498246 494246
      490245 486248 484259 490265 492270 495274 501281 504281
      507276 509267 512263
 0.50 445909 445896 444892 442892 438898 434904 431914 430923
      429933 430937 433938 438933 441925 443918 445909
 0.50 364728 363720 360711 356704 353703 348704 343709 340715
      336732 332746 329754 327762 328767 329772 331774 333774
      339769 347767 353763 358756 361750 363742 364735 364728
 0.50 356974 355967 354964 350961 345962 341964 339967 337973
      339980 342982 346983 350982 353979 355975 356974
 0.50 343987 341983 337982 333983 330985 327988 325992 326997
      328001 329004 331004 334001 336997 338993 341989 343987
 1.00 509257 509252 508248 507245 504249 504252 500253 494251
      489252 489257 491260 494264 496270 500275 502275 504270
      503262 504259 507258 509257
 1.00 358736 359731 358725 354717 352715 348716 345722 342729
      340738 340746 341751 344755 346755 351754 356749 358741
      358736
 1.50 500267 500265 500264 499262 499261 498259 496257 495256
      493255 492255 491255 491256 492258 493259 494261 495262
      495263 496265 497266 498266 500267 500267

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 522264 521260 523252 525242 526236 525229 523221 518222
      514223 512221 511216 512211 514209 518209 524207 526206
      526202 517187 510182 507177 504171 500165 484160 476159
      468161 460153 459144 456140 450134 442132 437138 436148
      444162 444167 444172 440177 434180 424179 420180 418182
      415191 408194 402195 396196 394196 390195 382192 379192
      375193 375198 377201 383208 388212 392217 393222 388221
      386219 368213 363218 362223 363227 368233 367237 365239
      360242 357248 355251 353257 353263 356265 364268 367269
      368272 366278 370282 374283 376282 380282 383281 389278
      394274 399272 399279 401282 407288 415290 419290 422290
      433289 438290 442289 448289 463284 470284 475282 480281
      487283 490282 493283 501286 513291
 0.01 544968 544957 543946 543934 544926 544911 542903 536890
      534873 534866 536861 538854 539845 540836 539826 529798
      522759 494728 491723 486717 483708 481703 476696 471693
      466692 462698 459707 458714 457718 455720 451733 452741
      451748 448754 444759 439765 434768 415787 410790 403792
      393798 387804 380812 376817 372822 369829 366833 362841
      358847 351857 344864 339871 330880 325891 320903 317909
      316917 315926 315931 316933 316937 314941 312947 307959
      304963 302969 297979 294989 292996 293000 296002 298004
      302005 306001 310998 318999 325999 332998 341993 350989
      361983 371983 386979 398975 409968 417958 444925 448920
      452915 457909 459903 465888 467880 468877 471878 474882
      476887 479892 477897 473903 470910 470915 472920 476927
      479927 481930 484932 487932 492936 496940 499951 503965
      505973 509978 512981 518981 524981 528979 533979 537976
      542971 544968
 0.01 520713 518690 513673 508668 504665 499659 494658 489660
      486662 484666 489678 492683 493689 493700 493703 493707
      496715 500721 504726 506729 509729 512731 516728 518724
      519718 520713
 0.01 459116 456104 453097 444092 441090 436090 433090 430087
      426087 425091 426097 427102 421107 422110 425113 429113
      433112 434116 432118 430120 428120 424120 422124 419136
      417140 417146 416154 416156 419157 422150 426137 430128
      434119 437116 441116 445119 451121 455121 458118 459116
 0.01 394048 393045 390043 387047 378045 372044 372038 370035
      364033 353038 346041 343046 344049 347051 349053 352053
      357059 362061 373069 377069 379067 377062 377057 379054
      386054 390050 394048
 0.01 373724 372718 370716 369711 366709 359708 353711 347714
      341720 338724 333728 332732 332737 329745 323749 318750
      307761 298770 289772 281774 270780 268783 269787 272794
      276799 281802 287805 295805 300803 307800 315788 323778
      328773 331772 335769 345763 352758 357753 362749 366744
      368743 369739 371733 372727 373724
 0.01 296023 293015 289015 274018 269018 266016 261013 252002
      247996 240994 237995 235000 238007 243012 249015 254020
      255024 257025 262026 266028 271032 278035 281034 283032
      295025 296023
 0.25 516267 517262 516257 514249 511244 507238 503233 502227
      501221 499216 490209 486207 480209 475211 473213 474215
      478214 484215 488216 492214 491219 491228 494235 495238
      493239 490241 486245 481249 479246 480242 479237 475238
      477246 478249 472249 463248 450249 444249 442250 441247
      441237 440230 446221 450216 451214 452209 452200 449197
      445198 432214 419214 413214 407213 401210 397209 396211
      397216 401218 406223 406228 398238 396242 396246 397252
      404252 417256 429255 434255 439256 445261 450264 463266
      476264 485264 495264 508270 513270 516267
 0.25 504911 504906 503903 504901 503898 502896 499893 497893
      495895 495899 496901 497904 499908 500910 502911 504911
 0.25 482764 482756 480751 476741 473737 468737 464740 462745
      456759 449776 444798 443808 443817 444825 444833 443837
      439845 437852 436861 433872 430881 416881 406881 400887
      394900 391903 384904 382903 381901 383897 387888 392880
      394877 393872 389867 386865 381864 373864 368865 364867
      358872 345885 342890 342896 347902 350903 349905 346912
      343917 340919 333925 328932 325937 325940 325944 322945
      318953 316962 315971 331978 340977 349973 355969 362963
      372955 386946 389945 395944 406947 411945 414943 419936
      420929 417919 417914 420911 425904 430895 433891 436890
      444886 449882 454876 458869 465850 469840 470833 470825
      470812 472803 473795 476787 480773 482764
 0.50 512260 512258 512255 512254 511252 511251 509249 508249
      506250 505252 505255 505257 505258 506260 506261 507262
      509263 511262 512260
 0.50 499232 498230 498229 497227 496226 496225 495226 495228
      495230 495231 496232 498233 499232
 0.50 473768 473761 470756 467756 465758 460766 457773 452792
      450802 448812 447832 449837 449841 448846 449853 451855
      453853 455850 457840 461820 466802 468791 470781 473768
 0.50 432246 434242 431240 428240 426241 422241 419240 416238
      414238 412240 411243 414245 416246 419248 423250 426249
      428249 430248 432246
 0.50 379929 380922 377919 373918 368919 362919 359921 353925
      341935 338939 337943 330947 328951 325952 321960 323966
      327968 334971 339970 343968 348963 349958 348954 344952
      342949 343945 346945 354944 363942 370939 376934 379929

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 551154 551134 551110 536082 531070 524057 518046 512037
      509030 507023 503007 497992 494984 489977 477958 473953
      469949 465945 459944 453942 447944 434949 426949 422949
      420951 412952 404955 400958 396963 393970 394976 396979
      400982 414982 422983 424985 428986 439994 448004 457017
      470033 472042 473044 475042 480041 483045 479060 474065
      469069 457073 454075 450073 448070 445067 441068 435071
      428082 419087 414087 410089 405095 403102 398107 393110
      386111 380113 378118 376121 374125 376128 386125 393125
      398127 398134 394139 389141 388148 386156 384166 384171
      385175 388181 389184 387187 381184 379182 376180 368180
      362180 360183 361186 369194 376203 380207 384211 396218
      403221 404225 402227 400228 397226 394226 392227 403238
      407246 416256 417272 419276 421279 424280 469263 475267
      479271 483276 486282 490285 495290 499295 503298 509295
      512289 513283 512278 513273 514268 522254 524251 525245
      524235 524230 524225 525219 528219 536213 537210 538205
      540203 542184 545160 548156 551154
 0.01 530758 529747 527740 524718 519702 516696 515691 516686
      514667 509653 505641 500632 495626 492628 487634 484639
      481641 477642 472640 460637 456635 450635 438638 427642
      421649 422654 426658 436663 441666 437672 431676 426681
      418690 413701 408707 400715 397719 395727 393734 394742
      398747 395752 386763 378769 373773 368777 361783 358785
      355790 351793 348798 339808 332815 324827 318835 310843
      307847 305852 302861 297874 297881 298890 298898 297907
      293921 293935 294940 297945 305950 316950 333935 338931
      341926 347913 351905 358896 368878 374866 381855 388845
      397836 403829 411822 418814 419812 423811 430811 437819
      443822 449821 456821 458818 458815 457803 455800 454795
      453790 452786 454784 458783 462785 466789 468794 470798
      470804 471813 473818 479820 482827 484831 484836 487839
      495838 499838 501837 506831 514822 518814 519808 522803
      523797 524794 524789 526780 526775 527771 528763 530758
 0.01 426060 427056 425055 423053 420050 418050 415050 411047
      410047 409049 408051 409052 411054 413057 416057 418060
      421060 425061 426060
 0.01 394071 394064 389063 386063 384061 383058 383054 381049
      378046 372045 363049 359051 359058 364066 373071 374079
      375082 381083 386081 392075 394071
 0.01 230007 241014 246018 249022 255026 260029 266031 273032
      282033 286033 288031 288025 285020 280018 272016 265014
      261011 260002 257998 251994 246991 233991 230995
 0.25 546142 547133 545128 540120 535112 529102 526094 521087
      516082 510077 507074 502073 491071 482072 478074 474078
      470083 465089 462092 457092 453091 448092 445093 440091
      434092 429090 428103 425105 424109 423112 420114 415113
      411110 411103 410098 407098 405106 399113 397117 402120
      413127 419128 423126 425124 432121 434132 434144 432157
      438162 445164 448165 450168 452171 450175 448180 446187
      445192 445197 448199 451198 453195 458185 461180 460177
      457172 459170 469163 473159 474153 473142 474135 473131
      472129 470126 470122 472114 476109 481105 487109 492117
      512151 516159 510157 502157 495156 491158 489162 487168
      487173 491183 496194 501199 508203 513205 518204 523202
      529196 528190 526186 518164 517161 519162 523165 527166
      536166 538163 538156 539152 542147 546142
 0.25 509698 506680 502674 499667 500660 499652 498647 494645
      461673 455674 449677 443681 437685 435689 431692 428697
      429704 433706 436707 437710 435716 434719 434725 433731
      436734 438736 439739 437743 429753 425758 422764 419777
      417781 413785 412787 408787 402788 397786 391789 384796
      379805 377812 379816 381817 388817 392816 395814 401807
      406803 411802 415801 418799 422795 427793 432788 437777
      440767 443760 448758 451762 454764 458762 462759 468758
      478759 484760 490757 493752 495744 500734 504723 508708
      509698
 0.25 497278 495262 492250 490242 487236 489230 492227 497228
      496223 495219 492214 489210 482208 476209 467210 446214
      440216 435219 432223 433229 436234 437237 436238 427242
      425245 425247 432248 442248 454245 459245 464245 471246
      478249 483253 486258 491271 494276 497278
 0.25 480009 478004 475000 473996 470993 467990 462989 462994
      464998 467002 470006 473008 476010 480009
 0.25 427156 427153 426150 424146 423143 421142 419142 417144
      415146 413148 411152 412157 414160 416161 419163 423162
      425160 426158 427156
 0.25 406217 407210 404207 399204 394203 391200 386198 382197
      380196 380199 382202 385205 388209 391211 395214 399216
      405217 406217
 0.25 369826 369822 366822 362825 353831 343837 336839 332841
      325851 322857 322864 325869 332868 337865 340861 347851
      356845 364836 367831 369826
 0.50 534144 532138 530132 526125 521116 516108 509103 506094
      504089 500086 491085 482085 475083 471085 469091 469095
      471098 487101 492104 495107 499114 502118 506122 513126
      525138 531143 534144
 0.50 515198 515194 513191 511189 509186 507184 506182 503179
      500180 499183 499187 500190 502192 505195 506196 509198
      512199 513200 515198
 0.50 496699 496696 495694 495693 493692 492692 491692 490695
      490698 490701 491703 491705 491706 493707 494705 494703
      495702 495699 496699
 0.50 488665 489662 487658 483660 479666 477670 473672 467677
      462681 460685 458688 459691 462693 468692 473685 478679
      482675 486668 488665
 0.50 488724 488719 487717 482715 477717 473722 471728 471735
      475740 478742 484744 487740 488732 488724
 0.50 463708 460705 456705 452704 447707 445710 443714 440719
      443722 449720 454719 457716 460712 463708 463708
 0.50 466114 465110 463108 454105 453102 449101 443102 438102
      435104 433106 433111 440115 443117 448123 452128 457130
      462124 465115 466114
 0.50 396210 395208 395207 394207 392206 391206 392207 393209
      395210 396210

$$





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