Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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357
FXUS04 KWBC 250900
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
459 AM EDT MON SEP 25 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID SEP 25/1200 UTC THRU SEP 28/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

...SOUTHWEST TEXAS...

ONE OF THE MORE NOTEWORTHY AREAS OF PERSISTENT SYNOPTIC
FORCING...ENHANCED INSTABILITY...AND GROWING MODEL QPF SIGNAL
EXISTS OVER THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...AROUND THE SERRANIAS DEL BURRO
RANGE IN COAHUILA...WITH THE PRECIPITATION SIGNAL BLEEDING OVER
INTO THE DEL RIO TEXAS AREA. EARLY MONDAY MORNING ORGANIZED
CONVECTION WAS INCREASING ON THE MEXICAN SIDE OF THE RIVER PER
RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. ALTHOUGH THERE IS LITTLE MOVEMENT OF
THE LARGE SCALE TROUGHING THROUGH TODAY...THE AREA OF FAR
SOUTHWEST TEXAS WILL REMAIN IN A GENERALLY DIFLUENT REGION OF THE
500-250 MB FLOW...AND THIS DIFLUENCE MAY BECOME ENHANCED LATE
MONDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER JET STREAK TIGHTENS AND STRENGTHENS
UPSTREAM OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO. THUS...AFTER ONE ROUND OF
DIURNAL CONVECTION SUBSIDES LATER THIS
MORNING...ANOTHER...POTENTIALLY MORE SIGNIFICANT ROUND...IS
POSSIBLE FROM THE AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

A BALANCE OF SLOW CELL MOTIONS AND ENHANCED LOW LEVEL
INFLOW...PARTICULARLY DURING THE NATURAL BACKING AND STRENGTHENING
OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW AT NIGHT...COULD LEAD TO VERY SLOW MOVING
CONVECTION WHOSE RAINFALL EFFICIENCY IS PEAKED BY THE INVOLVEMENT
OF HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE STREAMING OFF OF TROPICAL STORM PILAR.
THEREFORE NUMEROUS HI-RES MODELS START TO PRODUCE PROLIFIC
RAINFALL AMOUNTS APPROACHING 10 INCHES OR MORE...AT LEAST ON A
SMALL SCALE...AS OF MONDAY NIGHT. THIS IS PRIOR TO WHAT IS
EXPECTED TO BE A MORE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN EVENT UP ONTO THE U.S.
SIDE OF THE BORDER LATER ON TUESDAY. THE DIFFICULTY ON DAY 1 IS
PREDICTING HOW MUCH WILL REACH THE U.S. SIDE...ALTHOUGH ALL OF IT
WILL FALL IN THE RIO GRANDE BASIN...EVENTUALLY FINDING ITS WAY
INTO THE RIVER.

FOR THE DAY 1 PERIOD...WPC LEANED ON RECENT WRF-ARW RUNS FROM 12Z
AND 00Z...AND THE 00Z NAM CONUS NEST AND NSSL WRF. THIS RESULTED
IN HEAVIER QPF...2 TO 3 INCH AREAL AVERAGE...STRADDLING THE RIO
GRANDE NEAR DEL RIO. SOME ISOLATED MUCH HEAVIER AMOUNTS APPEAR
POSSIBLE.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS TO UPPER MIDWEST...

THERE WILL BE SOME MOVEMENT WITHIN THE STABLE...POSITIVELY TILTED
LONGWAVE TROUGH TODAY AS A SHORTWAVE EJECTS FROM THE ROCKIES TO
THE UPPER MIDWEST...BUT DEEP LAYER FORCING WILL ONCE AGAIN
PRIMARILY OCCUR TO THE COOL SIDE OF THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD
FRONT. THIS LACK OF WESTERLY FLOW AND ABSENCE OF STRONG FORCING
OVER THE WARM SECTOR HAS GENERALLY HAMPERED THE MAGNITUDE OF MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND RESULTING INSTABILITY. ALTHOUGH RAIN WAS
WIDESPREAD WITH THIS SYSTEM...IT HAD NOT YET BEEN TOO FOCUSED OR
HEAVY. THE MODEL QPF SIGNAL IS SOMEWHAT HEAVIER FOR THE MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT PERIOD...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE TX/OK/KS PORTION OF
THE FRONT...BEING BRUSHED BY THE SHORTWAVE EJECTING OUT OF THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES. STILL...IT IS DIFFICULT TO GO TOO HEAVY WITH THE
QPF WHEN SEEING CAPE DROP OFF DRASTICALLY WITH EASTWARD EXTENT
INTO THE WARM SECTOR. FORTUNATELY...FOR QPF PLACEMENT THERE WAS
GOOD AGREEMENT AMONG MULTIPLE GLOBAL AND HI-RES MODELS...AND GOOD
CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS WPC FORECAST. FOR THE UPDATE THIS
MORNING WE PUSHED SOME OF THE TIMING AND INTENSITY DETAILS TOWARD
A CONSENSUS OF THE 00Z NAM CONUS NEST...NSSL WRF...AND 12Z WRF-ARW
WHICH LOOKED A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE THAN ITS 00Z RUN.


...ELSEWHERE...

A WEAK UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE DIURNAL SHOWERS ALONG
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...AND WARM ADVECTION WILL BRING SOME LIGHT
PRECIPITATION TO WESTERN WASHINGTON. MEANWHILE FLORIDA WAS CAUGHT
IN RELATIVELY WEAK DEEP LAYER FLOW...AND WITH SOME DRYING HAVING
OCCURRED AT MID LEVELS...DIURNAL SHOWERS WILL BE LIMITED IN SCOPE.

BURKE


DAYS 2 AND 3...


...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS/SOUTHWEST...

DEVELOPING UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND THE
SOUTHWEST WILL AID IN KEEPING THE MIDDLE AND UPPER-LEVEL FLOW
SOUTHWESTERLY OVER THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS.  THE LOW-LEVEL
FLOW WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST DRAWING MOISTURE OUT OF THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.75 TO
2.00 INCHES ON TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING.  ON TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING ... THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME MORE
SOUTHEASTERLY OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS AND THE PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES WILL INCREASE TO 2.25 INCHES AT TIMES WITH THE LOW-LEVEL
FLOW AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.  THE MAXIMUM QPF AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM
4.00 TO 5.00 INCHES CENTERED APPROXIMATELY NEAR 101 W ON TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.  A SECONDARY MAXIMUM WILL DEVELOP FROM
SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

ON WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING ... THE PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE FROM 2.00 INCHES TO 1.75 INCHES BY
THURSDAY MORNING.  THE MAXIMUM QPF WILL DECREASE WITH THE MAXIMUM
QPF AMOUNTS RANGING BETWEEN 2.75 TO 1.75 INCHES OVER THE SAME AREA
OF TEXAS.

DURING THE DAY 2 AND DAY 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL PERIOD (12Z TUE-12Z
THU) A REGION OF MODERATE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS DEPICTED
OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS CENTERED ON 101 W ON DAY 2 AND DAY 3.  THERE
IS ALSO A MODEL TO MODEL AND A RUN TO RUN VARIABILITY OF THE QPF
AMOUNTS AND THE LOCATION OF THOSE AMOUNTS COME INTO PLAY WITH THE
MODERATE RISK.  THE GFS CONTINUES TO BE LIGHT WITH THE QPF OVER
SOUTHERN TEXAS WHILE THE UKMET/CMC/ECMWF HAVE MUCH HEAVIER AMOUNTS
AND THE LOCATION IS ROUGHLY THE SAME.  WITH THAT IN MIND ... WPC
USED A BLEND OF THE UKMET AND THE ECMWF AS A STARTING POINT FOR
THE

OVER THE SOUTHWEST ... THE CIRCULATION AROUND THE EAST SIDE OF THE
UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL AID IN PRODUCING QPF OVER THE SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTHERN ROCKIES WITH THE MAXIMUM QPF AMOUNTS RANGING BETWEEN 0.50
TO 0.75 INCHES ON WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

...NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/UPPER GREAT
LAKES/NORTHEAST...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY CROSSING THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING SPINS UP A
SURFACE LOW ON A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND SURFACE LOW WILL FEED CONVECTION THAT COULD
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.  MOISTURE WILL POOL ALONG THE
BOUNDARY WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.50 INCHES.  THE
MAXIMUM QPF WILL BE OVER THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN WITH
MAXIMUM QPF AMOUNTS RANGING FROM O.25 TO NEAR 0.50 INCHES ON
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

ON WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING ... THE QPF MAXIMUM WILL MOVE
INTO NORTHERN NEW




...GULF COAST/FL...

MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FOCUSED ON MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST AND SOUTH FL WILL SUPPLY MAINLY DIURNAL
CONVECTION CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY DURING
DAY 2 ALONG THE GULF COAST. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS
BASED ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND.

DAY 2...
THE LAST VESTIGES OF A MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL GULF
STATES PROVIDES SOME SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN LA INTO SOUTHERN MS ON DAY 2...WHERE 1.75/2.00 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR AND MODERATE INSTABILITY FEEDS MAINLY
DIURNALLY FORCED CONVECTION. THE LIFT COULD ALLOW FOR SOME
ORGANIZATION...AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE BEST CONVECTION REMAINS
JUST OFFSHORE OF THE CENTRAL GULF STATES. AN AREA OF 0.25 INCHES
OF QPF WAS PLACED HERE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE CONVECTION. FURTHER
SOUTHEAST...LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ACROSS FAR SOUTH FL WILL FOCUS
INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE TO SUPPLY MAINLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN
CONVECTION THAT PRODUCES LOCAL 0.25 INCH QPF AMOUNTS OVER FL KEYS.

DAY 3..
THE MAIN FOCUS FOR QPF ON DAY 3 LIES ACROSS FAR SOUTH FL...WHERE
THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENT FLOW AIDS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
CONVECTION THAT PRODUCES LOCAL 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF...MAINLY
ACROSS THE FL KEYS.


...MID ATLANTIC...

AS MARIA APPROACHES THE MID ATLANTIC COAST DURING DAYS 2 AND
3...THERE IS SOME MODEL SPREAD CONCERNING JUST HOW FAR WEST THE
SIGNIFICANT BANDING GETS ACROSS EASTERN NC. THERE IS STILL SOME
MODEL SPREAD ON THE PLACEMENT OF THE RAIN SHIELD...SO THE WPC QPF
WAS BASED MAINLY ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS,

DAY 2...
AHEAD OF THE APPROACH OF MARIA...A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENT FLOW ALONG
THE EASTERN NC COAST COULD RESULT IN CONVECTION THAT PRODUCES
LOCAL 0.25 INCH QPF AMOUNTS. THE OUTER BANDS FROM MARIA COULD
AFFECT THE OUTER BANKS LATER ON DAY 2...BUT GIVEN SOME SPREAD
REMAINING CONCERNING THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE BANDING...IT IT NOT
YET CERTAIN IF THIS OCCURS DURING DAY 2. THE MODEL CONSENSUS
SUGGESTS AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS FAR EASTERN
NC...AS DRIER AIR ACROSS LAND COULD ERODE THE OUTER BANDS FROM
MARIA.

DAY 3...
MARIA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE ITS CLOSEST PASS DURING DAY 3. AS
MENTIONED EARLIER...THERE IS SOME SPREAD CONCERNING HOW FAR WEST
THE BANDING WITH MARIA GETS...SO THE QPF FOR DAY 3 IS SOMEWHAT
UNCERTAIN. AGAIN...FOLLOWING A CONSENSUS APPROACH...AN SMALL AREA
OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED OVER THE OUTER BANKS OF
NC...WITH A TIGHT QPF GRADIENT WEST OF THERE. AS THE WESTERN EDGE
OF THE BANDING BECOMES CLEARER...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN QPF
AMOUNTS SHOULD INCREASE WITH SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


BURKE/ZIEGENFELDER


24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 535206 535198 535190 530175 527169 524166 515158 512157
      510154 504153 500155 498157 497162 497170 500178 507186
      510191 512198 515205 517212 522215 528217 532213 533209
      535206
 0.01 517281 518270 518263 518249 516240 514235 509224 507219
      503214 498210 494210 488210 482208 474213 470215 466219
      463224 467225 473221 475222 477225 478229 476231 471232
      467232 465234 462232 459232 456234 453238 451240 449244
      454248 452255 452260 454265 458270 465279 475286 486291
      498295 504297 509296 511294
 0.01 507872 507860 507854 505849 501832 498824 492821 487818
      483816 475825 470832 467839 466848 464855 458866 449879
      439888 429897 420904 413914 405924 396933 386942 362956
      352962 342970 321983 316983 310981 303968 301962 297956
      294949 290947 287947 283950 282959 278964 273967 263968
      256969 255972 255976 259980 261987 254988 249989 244991
      238993 236996 235001 238017 248025 253028 259031 270037
      273040 278043 284048 285050 281050 275051 270054 271057
      273059 276061 278065 281067 289066 295067 299066 301064
      304058 309056 312054 316055 323057 328060 336060 348058
      363057 422062 434063 429068 427070 426075 425077 425082
      421087 425092 429099 432104 438103 440100 442096 440088
      437086 436083 440078 444078 446080 451083 452073 449066
      446053 445049 447050 449051 453047 452041 450039 447038
      424043 420046 413047 412045 414044 417042 422038 428035
      431031 438021 457003 479987 485975 488967 492961 494955
      497949 501932 507895 507881 507872
 0.01 486030 487021 487012 486006 485002 483001 479999 475001
      471004 468008 464018 459030 457036 456042 458047 462047
      468047 473047 478045 481042 486030 486030
 0.01 407110 407107 408105 408103 408100 406102 405105 405107
      405109 407110 407110
 0.01 282714 277726 276740 277748 279754 286762 294773 303781
      308783 314784 325782 333781 339778 347770 357761 364753
      372743 376738 379733 382727 384720 385715 384710 382709
      379707 376707 372711 368715 361717 355714 351710 346706
      343702 336694 332691 327688
 0.01 315892 315884 314880 312873 310869 300854 294847 288841
      281835 277836 275840 274846 274852 275865 276877 278888
      282899 285908 286915 288920 288931 293930 295929 298930
      303931 305928 308924 309918 312909 315892
 0.01 279792 278785 276781 273776 271774 267771 263769 258770
      254772 247778 243786 239795 238806 236815 236821 238826
      240839 242842 248841 253833 258826 267829 269827 269820
      266815 264813 261812 260809 264809 268812 272812 277811
      275807 272804 273800 277797 278792 279792
 0.25 501272 501265 500261 496255 492248 487241 482240 475242
      473246 473251 475260 480265 486271 492275 496276 499274
      501272
 0.25 492886 492879 491871 486864 483863 480865 475872 470873
      464877 458883 453888 439898 428909 423915 418921 409932
      403938 396944 385953 372961 366965 359969 346980 341983
      334987 326990 318992 302990 293991 284994 277997 273998
      268998 261996 254997 244997 242002 243008 247015 254020
      260024 266028 273032 280034 290034 298038 304042 308045
      311045 314042 318041 325042 331048 336049 340047 346044
      351039 364029 370025 378022 391015 397011 403006 413993
      424982 444959 455947 458944 462943 468939 479928 482921
      486912 489904 490898 492886
 0.25 434009 434004 431002 424006 419010 413014 407019 404026
      406028 410028 416026 423022 427018 432012 434009
 0.25 292709 286716 283724 282730 283736 284742 286747 297760
      303766 309770 313772 318772 326770 336767 343763 350757
      353748 353739 351729 346720 342711 337705 331698 324695
      314696
 0.25 308894 308884 306876 301869 295867 292868 290871 288879
      289889 290897 291901 295903 300902 306899 308894
 0.25 294060 295058 294056 292055 290054 289054 287054 285055
      283057 285059 286060 288060 290061 292061 294061 294060
 0.25 245817 245815 244814 243815 242817 242819 243821 243819
      244818 245817
 0.50 488257 489255 489252 489251 487249 486247 484247 483247
      482248 481249 481252 482253 483255 483256 484258 486258
      488257 488257
 0.50 464917 465912 465906 464900 462898 455897 448897 442900
      437904 429912 420923 413933 409939 405945 396950 375964
      365971 356978 346986 341989 335992 329993 323995 318997
      314998 311996 305993 296993 290995 285997 275003 271006
      267012 266015 267020 270025 275029 283030 290030 295028
      301030 305036 307038 309038 312035 314034 328033 332036
      334042 344039 354029 363021 381007 400991 417975 427964
      435955 442943 449935 456923 458921 462921 464917
 0.50 350742 349735 348731 343721 338714 334707 327701 320699
      310700 302704 295709 289715 286722 285727 285733 289742
      294749 304761 309764 312764 322765 327764 332763 340760
      346753 350745 350742
 0.50 305882 305880 304876 301874 299873 297874 295876 294880
      294883 294885 295889 297891 300893 302893 303890 304888
      305884 305882
 0.50 257010 258008 258006 258004 256003 255002 253001 251001
      249001 247002 248004 248006 249008 249009 250010 251011
      252012 254012 256011 257010
 1.00 448918 447918 446918 445920 445921 444923 445924 446923
      447922 448920 448919 448918
 1.00 413963 410963 407964 403959 397957 391960 380967 370973
      364976 359981 350989 340997 328000 322003 320008 322016
      322024 324024 327022 331018 337016 341016 342019 339027
      340032 345031 348026 353020 358016 367008 377000 382997
      387993 394982 403974 409968 413963
 1.00 345741 345735 343730 340722 336716 331711 326706 320704
      313703 305705 299710 294714 290721 289728 291736 295741
      305753 311755 318756 326756 335755 340750 344743 345741
 1.00 279026 288026 295023 300020 304018 309021 312020 312017
      310014 310004 308999 303997 297997 288001 280005 276009
      273013 272018 274023 279026
 1.50 392972 391972 390972 391974 392972
 1.50 389977 382971 373976 369978 365981 358987 355991 352996
      350001 351007 355010 359007 364005 367002 371999 375997
      380994 383991 387987 388981 389977
 1.50 342737 340729 337723 333717 329711 325708 319706 312706
      306707 300711 295716 292722 292729 295736 299741 304745
      308748 321750 328751 334749 339744 342739 342737
 1.50 335008 334006 333004 331005 329005 329006 328008 329009
      331010 333009 335008 335008
 1.50 306009 306004 304001 297000 291002 284005 279009 275015
      278022 281024 284024 291023 296019 302015 306009
 2.00 381981 380978 378979 374983 369985 364989 360994 358998
      356003 362001 366998 371995 375992 378987 381981
 2.00 340735 339729 336723 329713 325710 319708 313707 306709
      301712 297716 294721 293727 295733 300738 304742 309743
      321745 327746 333745 337743 340738 340735
 2.00 302011 303004 298003 293003 289004 286006 282009 280012
      278015 280017 281022 285023 289021 291018 295016 299015
      302011 302011
 3.00 336736 336729 335725 329718 323712 315710 310710 305712
      299717 297721 297726 298733 301736 304738 308739 318739
      326740 331741 335738 336736
 3.00 289010 293007 294006 291006 289007 285010 287010 289010
 4.00 334734 334729 333726 328720 323715 316712 309712 305714
      302717 299723 301730 305736 309737 312736 320738 327739
      332738 334735 334734
 5.00 333732 332727 330724 325719 320715 313713 308714 305716
      301723 301727 303729 308734 316735 321737 326737 331736
      333732
 6.00 331733 329725 325721 321717 317715 311715 307718 303723
      305727 309730 314733 319735 325736 329735 331733
 7.00 329731 327726 325722 321719 319718 315716 311717 308720
      306725 309728 312730 315732 319733 323734 327733 329731
 8.00 327729 325725 323724 321722 319720 317718 315718 312719
      310721 308723 309725 311727 313729 315730 317731 321732
      323732 326731 327729
 9.00 323730 323728 322727 321726 320724 320723 318722 317721
      316720 315720 314721 313721 312722 311724 312725 313726
      314727 315728 316729 317730 319731 321731 322730 323730
10.00 320728 319726 318725 316725 315727 317728 317729 319729
      320728 320728

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 231993 233001 238006 243012 244023 246032 246040 249048
      251052 255054 261058 262062 265065 272071 280074 287076
      294081 306088 309091 312093 315095 320096 326102 333107
      336110 341110 348108 354104 358094 357086 359081 364081
      371086 370089 368090 364090 372103 376108 380109 383106
      385102 382101 379101 379096 380092 378089 381081 385072
      386067 387064 390064 402058 400055 395055 392056 388054
      383049 380046 376044 369041 364043 362040 362037 364033
      363025 360015 364006 368000 375995 386986 399975 405971
      411968 419964 422962 426961 429960 433959 437957 440959
      454966 460972 465979 467981 471983 479987 482988 485990
      488992 490995 492999 494004 500008 507003 510991 511981
      512978 512970 512963 514958 517949 524934 526923 527909
      527902 528897 528884 526874 525863 521835 517812 514803
      511796 510793 508793 503793 499794 495797 484791 481794
      480796 477795 474794 469795 463799 460803 457807 454817
      450825 438833 400885 394899 392905 391908 389908 384913
      377917 373922 367930 362936 359943 352947 339958 335960
      332960 326964 314972 307975 305971 305966 303944 303933
      307926 312920 317918 319915 321912 321907 317900 312892
      311881 309873 306871 303869 295866 290868 286874 286885
      287896 289907 290918 290929 290935 288938 285949 263970
      259971 257970 251972 248974 248978 249982 244983 236981
      230985
 0.01 481667 479663 477660 471654 467653 462654 456660 452660
      450664 446667 444671 439690 438695 440694 444685 447683
      448690 453698 456698 458704 459712 458717 459724 462726
      467725 470724 472718 473713 474707 476704 479699 480693
      480683 481667
 0.01 494031 494024 491020 485019 480017 477014 471013 467011
      463012 458014 454017 452021 452025 454026 457027 462026
      467028 470033 471040 475042 479030 482030 487032 492034
      494031
 0.01 473113 474108 474104 473100 473096 472093 471088 469087
      466086 464087 463092 463097 463102 464104 464109 465112
      467114 471114 473113
 0.01 477004 477999 473996 470993 467991 464988 460988 459996
      460001 463006 466007 472007 475005 477004
 0.01 455675 455673 455670 454669 453671 453673 453676 455678
      455675
 0.01 302704 297711 294716 294721 287727 284731 282735 281741
      282748 286758 290766 297775 309790 313790 318789 327785
      333784 338785 344785 347783 352782 357779 359776 362774
      364774 376771 383766 384762 380761 375758 380755 383752
      386747 388749 391748 393745 397742 399740 402740 404740
      408736 410735 410732 411725 410721 411718 413713 419705
      420702 419697 415693 412696 409701 409706 408720 405729
      403734 398737 393739 393732 392718 390704 389699 386694
      383688 380685 372679 365675 360675 355678 345676
 0.01 422881 423879 421877 420879 418882 415884 413887 411889
      410891 408894 407896 408900 410898 413896 415893 417893
      418890 420887 421884 422881
 0.01 284806 283802 281798 277792 273787 268785 260776 254773
      249777 246783 244791 242797 238803 235810 234818 235828
      236832 240831 245828 254826 258821 260818 264817 272816
      274813 278812 282809 284806
 0.25 515908 515901 515896 512887 511861 511835 511825 511818
      509812 506805 504802 500801 489811 481812 478817 475825
      473828 470828 465830 460835 457843 458847 460849 462852
      460857 458864 455871 454875 454879 456885 456889 456899
      457902 459904 465908 470908 476913 477917 477921 476930
      473940 472949 478953 486954 494953 498952 501951 505945
      509938 512931 514924 515908
 0.25 416942 416937 416934 413931 409932 400940 396943 390945
      384943 380943 377945 367951 362954 358959 353962 349965
      343967 337971 328979 323982 317982 286982 278981 273984
      268989 265993 258993 250992 244991 241992 241996 246996
      251998 257002 258005 257009 257013 259019 264030 268034
      271040 277051 282061 283064 285067 291070 297071 300070
      302071 303073 305072 302070 300069 300065 295054 293051
      296048 301048 308050 314049 321047 323045 324042 324037
      327032 336024 340020 344015 351005 369991 379983 386974
      395965 403958 413952 415947 416942
 0.25 382713 381704 378699 374700 373702 368707 367708 365707
      360703 352697 346695 341693 330696 319703 311711 307715
      304720 299730 299737 299745 301753 304758 311767 315771
      320774 326775 332775 338773 344770 353764 357760 361756
      365744 374736 377732 380726 382719 382713
 0.25 375053 374051 374050 372049 370048 369049 367049 366050
      365052 367054 368054 370054 372054 374053 375053
 0.25 339104 339102 338100 337100 336097 335095 335094 334095
      333095 331097 331099 332101 334103 335105 337105 339104
 0.25 321085 321084 319083 317083 316083 314083 313084 314084
      315085 317085 319085 321085 321085
 0.25 250800 249795 246794 244797 243801 241807 241811 241817
      244820 247817 249813 250808 250802 250800
 0.50 506844 506834 505828 502822 498819 494818 490821 484829
      470845 467857 467864 469865 473862 477859 482859 485864
      487870 487879 487888 487897 490912 489920 487926 487931
      489934 491935 494938 499937 502930 503923 504908 505892
      505875 505866 505857 506844
 0.50 411945 411942 410942 409940 407940 405941 403942 403943
      402945 402946 402947 403949 405949 407949 409947 410945
      411945
 0.50 376721 374719 374720 376721 376721
 0.50 390961 391954 388951 385949 380949 374954 369958 362963
      357967 344976 338981 331985 323987 315985 311985 307987
      298988 290989 282992 276995 267998 267003 265007 264012
      265017 270022 277026 292032 300035 304041 308043 311042
      316037 321031 327027 333021 338015 348003 353998 358993
      372985 377980 382972 390961
 0.50 362724 362717 360711 355705 349700 341698 336698 330699
      323704 317710 312717 307724 305733 306740 307746 311755
      316761 323767 331769 336768 342766 349762 355757 358752
      359747 361738 362724
 0.50 291060 290058 289056 288056 287054 285054 284055 284057
      285059 286059 288060 290061 291060
 1.00 381956 382954 380954 379954 379956 380958 381956
 1.00 372974 371971 369972 363974 352980 347980 343983 339988
      333990 327992 321993 315991 308990 302993 296995 289996
      284998 278001 274005 272011 274016 280020 286022 292023
      297026 303029 307033 312034 316030 326023 334014 341005
      348995 352990 352985 354985 355987 359985 367979 372974
 1.00 358736 358726 357716 353709 348705 343703 335704 327707
      321711 315721 313728 312736 314741 317746 325758 330762
      336763 342761 348758 353753 356747 358736
 1.50 356734 356725 354717 351712 347708 341707 336707 328708
      323712 320716 318722 316727 316736 319742 323747 329755
      335757 340757 346755 350751 353746 355741 356734
 1.50 339004 340999 338996 330996 322997 316996 310994 306993
      304995 301000 297001 293001 285001 280004 276009 278014
      284018 290019 303025 309028 316026 322024 327020 334010
      339004
 2.00 354735 354727 353719 347711 342709 338709 331709 325712
      322715 320720 318731 319738 322742 329750 332753 336754
      343754 347751 351747 352742 354735
 2.00 333008 334004 333001 328999 315000 308998 304000 299004
      293003 287003 282005 280009 281014 286016 291016 296018
      300021 304024 310024 315023 321023 325020 328016 333008
 3.00 352726 351720 348716 346713 342711 332711 329711 325713
      323717 321721 320731 321737 324741 329746 332749 336750
      344750 348747 350743 352733 352726
 3.00 329012 329007 327005 323004 318005 311006 304006 296006
      289006 285008 284012 291014 299017 307019 316020 321019
      323018 329012 329012
 4.00 350733 350722 346715 340712 333712 328713 326715 322721
      321730 324738 329744 335747 343748 348743 350739 350734
      350733
 4.00 325012 322007 316008 310009 304009 298008 291008 288012
      294013 300015 307016 314017 320016 325012
 5.00 350729 350723 348720 343715 336713 327714 323721 321728
      325736 329742 334745 338746 343745 346743 348740 349737
      350731 350729
 5.00 307013 305013 304012 302012 300012 299013 300013 302013
      303013 305013 307013 307013
 6.00 349727 349722 346719 341715 335714 327716 323722 322727
      324732 327738 333743 336744 341743 346742 349736 349727
 7.00 348734 349725 345719 341716 335715 328717 324721 323724
      323728 325734 329740 333742 337742 344740 347738 348736
      348734
 8.00 348729 347722 343719 339716 335715 331717 326720 324725
      326734 329738 333741 337741 339740 342738 345738 348736
      348732 348729
 9.00 347734 347725 345721 343720 339717 337716 333717 328720
      326725 326730 329736 333740 337740 339738 343737 347736
      347734
10.00 347734 347727 345723 341720 338718 333717 329720 327724
      327729 328733 331737 335739 338737 343736 347734

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 487694 486679 484671 482666 479662 473663 471659 473655
      471650 468646 464642 458641 454640 449641 441640 431642
      426649 418662 414669 410679 405701 402711 400722 399733
      395742 391751 384758 377759 373759 370758 378751 384745
      389739 393729 394725 394720 380726 378717 378705 376698
      374696 370695 364695 358691 353689 348689 342690 336691
      323697 316701 308707 303714 297722 293729 292738 298754
      304759 306763 310767 317770 325773 345775 351774 355777
      361777 365778 379776 385775 387772 392764 395756 403748
      406746 409744 413744 416748 420742 421737 423737 428737
      429739 428742 424751 420760 420765 419769 421771 422774
      421777 420782 415791 411804 406812 403816 401821 394837
      390848 387856 378869 375871 373876 372881 369887 368892
      367896 364906 356926 353934 350938 346941 336948 330956
      325962 321964 318962 314960 312956 310952 314950 316947
      317943 315934 312933 310934 307933 301924 301912 300907
      295905 293907 293915 296923 297927 296931 294935 290947
      290952 293955 298957 301961 304969 302973 301976 299975
      292964 290958 286957 284956 280959 272963 263967 257968
      254969 246974 242976 240981 237990 236995 238000 240012
      242024 244033 248051 255057 258063 271073 290081 300095
      311109 322113 329119 335126 339129 344132 350133 354135
      356139 360141 362143 365143 372142 378141 380142 383138
      389132 393128 395124 397110 397096 397090 398083 400079
      400071 400066 402063 405061 406058 404056 399053 391047
      382049 378049 375047 373044 369043 367045 363047 356043
      351037 348033 347027 348020 351016 356007 361000 366994
 0.01 366994 377985 383980 387970 389962 390960 390953 392944
      392933 393930 393924 393912 396902 399893 404880 407873
      414868 419863 424859 431855 439850 445846 453843 461842
      466844 472848 475858 478867 479874 478879 477889 476894
      474896 472900 471903 468912 469932 475951 478959 481967
      485974 489980 490990 491995 494995 497988 499976 500953
      501948 501942 502929 501916 500905 498893 497886 495881
      493878 487882 485879 485873 484859 480839 477828 474818
      468803 459790 455785 448784 445783 443776 443770 445766
      449758 452752 455745 456737 457726 459718 462715 464714
      465717 466724 467729 469732 472735 477731 481723 483715
      487694
 0.01 468898 468895 468893 468890 468888 466885 465885 464886
      464888 464890 465893 465895 466898 467898 468898 468898
 0.01 445700 440695 437698 436695 436691 433694 429700 426705
      423710 424715 423724 422732 426731 430728 435723 438717
      442709 445703 445700
 0.01 425765 425763 423761 422763 422765 424767 425765
 0.01 382729 380727 379728 378730 378732 379734 381732 382729
 0.01 268794 267787 263785 259784 256787 252791 250796 245804
      242808 242813 241825 245834 254830 256828 257824 260821
      262816 264811 266800 268794
 0.25 483692 482685 480680 476672 471665 463670 461672 465675
      466680 465683 463688 462693 460704 462708 464707 468704
      470699 472695 475696 478699 480698 483692
 0.25 390109 389105 387102 383097 381087 380084 382079 382074
      382068 381060 375058 367059 359059 352061 344058 341050
      338045 336041 336035 338028 341021 343014 345005 346995
      351988 359976 362972 364967 362958 358958 356960 354969
      352973 349976 336980 323983 307985 299986 294986 290985
      284981 278981 266985 262986 257985 253985 250986 244986
      242989 241995 244001 248004 250011 247020 249024 252025
      254028 254032 259048 261054 264060 268064 275067 278067
      282066 286060 286053 292049 297047 305047 312050 318055
      321062 321071 319080 315088 316094 318097 323099 328101
      331103 333105 343115 349119 357118 363118 370121 373126
      379123 385115 390109
 0.25 373722 370710 366703 358698 350696 331702 326705 323708
      319711 318714 314723 310730 310735 311739 315747 318751
      322754 328757 335763 342766 346767 351767 359764 365757
      367753 368748 372729 373722
 0.25 380970 381965 381961 381956 381952 379951 377954 377956
      375960 373963 372965 371970 372974 375976 377974 379972
      380970
 0.25 284051 284047 285043 284039 283037 281034 279034 277034
      276038 277040 278044 280047 281049 283051 284051
 0.25 269034 270031 268030 267029 266029 264028 264029 263030
      262031 261033 261035 262037 264036 265035 266035 268034
      269034
 0.50 476677 476676 475674 473673 472674 471676 471678 471679
      471681 472683 473683 473682 475681 476679 476678 476677
 0.50 377114 377108 376103 375099 372097 368095 365092 364088
      366086 372082 375080 376076 374072 371069 364071 359071
      353069 347073 342073 337072 332072 329074 325081 323085
      323087 328094 332099 339106 345103 350103 354104 360109
      372116 375116 377114
 0.50 369725 370719 368712 363706 357702 349702 339703 332708
      321719 316726 314734 314738 316742 320743 324743 327744
      330748 334754 336757 340759 348760 352760 352764 359761
      362758 364754 363751 365747 367738 369730 369725
 0.50 341002 340994 335991 333989 329990 322989 315988 307988
      297992 272995 266993 260991 254993 251992 248993 246992
      244996 248998 252002 256006 258013 261017 265020 277024
      283026 286028 290033 293040 302037 308040 312043 324046
      327047 329044 331037 335025 337019 339013 341002
 0.50 267052 268050 268048 269046 267044 265045 264047 263049
      263051 265052 267052 267052
 1.00 364726 363717 360713 356709 350708 343709 338712 333715
      328720 325725 323730 326736 330739 337747 342752 346755
      349755 353753 358750 361746 363740 364726
 1.00 333019 331012 332007 331003 328000 324999 319998 316996
      313994 308994 304998 301002 297002 289000 279999 271001
      265007 265011 267014 281021 290023 294024 297027 310034
      314037 318038 323033 329027 332020 333019
 1.50 361729 360723 358718 355715 352713 347712 342714 335719
      332722 330726 330731 331735 334739 338740 342741 344743
      345748 347750 353750 356748 360740 361729
 1.50 347738 346736 345736 344737 343737 344739 344740 344741
      346742 347741 347738 347738
 1.50 329023 328015 327010 325008 323007 319007 314003 310998
      306002 304004 301005 295004 286002 278003 273007 271010
      272013 275015 281018 296020 300025 306028 313026 317026
      319028 326026 329023
 2.00 359729 357721 352715 344715 337719 334722 333726 334732
      336736 339738 342737 343734 347734 349736 349745 352747
      354746 358739 359732 359729
 2.00 325023 325017 322012 318014 314011 311007 306005 301008
      298008 293005 287004 278008 276009 276012 280015 285016
      291016 296016 299019 303022 305023 310021 316021 321024
      325023
 3.00 357734 355726 352720 348717 341719 336723 335728 337733
      341733 346732 351736 353740 355739 357734
 3.00 292012 291011 289011 288012 289013 291012 292012
 4.00 355732 354728 353725 351722 349721 347720 343720 340722
      338723 336726 337729 338731 341732 344731 348732 350733
      352735 354735 355732
 5.00 352733 353728 351725 349723 347722 343722 340723 338725
      338729 341731 344730 346730 350730 352733 352733
 6.00 351727 349725 347724 345724 343724 342724 341724 340725
      338727 339729 341730 342729 344729 346728 348728 350728
      351727

$$





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