Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 260859
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
459 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2016


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 26/1200 UTC THRU MAY 29/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS/MID MS VALLEY...
LOW PRES IS EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE ACRS WRN KS LATE THUR IN RESPONSE
TO UPR TROF LIFTING OUT OF THE SW U.S. TOWARD SRN CO.  AS IT
DOES..BROAD 85 FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO BETWEEN 30 TO 40
KTS OUT OF THE SOUTH IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW WHICH WILL ALLOW DEEP
GULF MOISTURE TO BECOME WELL ESTABLISHED FROM THE SRN PLAINS NWD
INTO THE E/W FRONT EXTENDING E OF THE CIRC.  STG AFTN HEATING
COMBINED WITH DEEP MSTR AND APCHG HEIGHT FALLS WILL LEAD TO
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ACRS THE CNTL PLAINS AND MID MS VALLEY SWD
INTO TX PRIMARILY THUR AFTN WHICH WILL CONTINUE INTO THUR NIGHT AS
HEIGHT FALLS CONTINUE TO PUSH EWD.  LOTS OF SPREAD EXIST WITH
MODELS REGARDING HEAVIER QPF PLACEMENT ACRS THE ENTIRE AREA.  THE
ONE AREA WHICH SHOWS SOME DECENT AGREEMENT IS BACK ACRS CO WITH
COMBINATION OF UPSLOPE AND COMMA HEAD DVLPMENT...WITH THE 00Z NAM
TRENDING WWD WITH CONSENSUS TOWARD AN AREA OF 1 TO 1.5+ AREAL AVG
AMOUNTS THROUGH CNTL CO MTNS/FOOTHILLS AND ADJACENT PLAINS WHICH
LOOKS REASONABLE GIVEN EXPECTED TRACK OF MID LEVEL CIRC.  FARTHER
EAST...MUCH OF THE FORECAST HINGES ON EARLY MORNING ACTIVITY ACRS
ERN KS/MO AND WHERE ANY OUTFLOW ENDS UP FOR AFTN CONVECTION TO
FOCUS ON.  00Z WRF ARW AND NSSL WRF HAVE THE SUPPORT OF RECENT
HRRR RUNS IN PLACING OUTFLOW BNDRY/EFFECTIVE FRONT FARTHER SOUTH
THAN MOST OF THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE.  THE WRF ARW IS SOMEWHAT MORE
AGGRESSIVE THAN THE REST IN PUSHING THIS BNDRY THE FARTHEST
SOUTH..AND SATL/RADAR TRENDS AS OF 06Z COMPARED TO ITS RADAR
SIMULATION SUGGEST IT MIGHT BE A LITTLE FAST.  WITH THIS IN
MIND...HAVE FOLLOWED THE LEAD OF 00Z HI RES GUIDANCE...BUT
SLIGHTLY AWAY FROM THE FARTHER SOUTH ARW...IN BREAKING OUT A
SECONDARY STG CONVECTIVE DVLPMENT LATE THUR AND THUR EVENING ACRS
CNTL/ERN KS PROPAGATING EWD INTO MO WHICH SHOULD BE AIDED BY
DECENT UPR JET COUPLET. STG FORCING COUPLED WITH HIGH PWS AND PSBL
TRAINING COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD 2 TO 3 INCH RAINS ACRS ERN
KS/WRN MO WITH ISOLD HEAVIER AMOUNTS NEAR 5 INCHES.

FARTHER SOUTH ACRS THE SRN PLAINS...THE PICTURE IS NOT AS
CLEAR..BUT WITH PWS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 1.75 INCHES AND
ABOVE..THIS SUGGESTS THAT AS ACTIVITY DVLPS ALONG AND IN ADVANCE
OF DRY LINE THIS AFTN...STORMS THAT CONTINUE TO DVLP DOWNSTREAM
INTO THE DEEP MSTR COULD QUICKLY ORGANIZE INTO POTNL HEAVY RAIN
PRODUCING CLUSTERS/LINES.  TOOK MORE OF AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH HERE
GIVEN RATHER LARGE SPREAD..BUT AGAIN PUT A LITTLE MORE EMPHASIS ON
HI RES CAM GUIDANCE.

A LITTLE FARTHER EAST...MODELS ALL DVLP A S/WV THAT IS EXPECTED TO
LIFT NEWD FROM SRN TX TODAY AHEAD OF THE MAIN UPR TROF.  FORCING
FROM THIS IMPULSE OVER MSTR RICH AIRMASS WILL LIKELY SUPPORT
WIDESPREAD SHWRS/TSTMS FROM ERN TX/LA NEWD INTO MUCH OF AR WITH
AREAL AVG AMOUNTS OF .50 TO 1+ INCHES EXPECTED.

...OH VALLEY/MID ATLC/GT LAKES...
EWD SHEARING S/WV EXTENDING FROM THE UPR MS VALLEY SWD INTO THE TN
VALLEY WILL ACCOMPANY A BROAD AREA OF SHWRS/TSTMS AS IT WEAKENS
OVER UPR RIDGE OVER THE ERN U.S.  WEAK FORCING AND LIGHT 85H FLOW
AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE ALONG WITH THE LACK OF STG LOW LEVEL FOCUS
SHOULD KEEP MOST AREAL AVG AMOUNTS ON THE LIGHT TO MDT
SIDE...THOUGH INCREASING INSTABILITY COULD LEAD OT SOME SPOTTY
HEAVIER RAINS ESPECIALLY NEAR AXIS OF 1.5" PWS AS IT MOVES ACRS
THE ERN OH VALLEY  INTO PARTS OF THE MID ATLC THUR AFTN/EVENING.

...NRN PLAINS...
UPR CIRC OVER MT IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE EWD TOWARD ND THUR NIGHT
SPREADING MAINLY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AND PSBLY SOME EMBDD TSTMS
ACRS PARTS OF ERN MTN/ND/NRN SD..WITH HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF UP TO .50
INCH AREAL AVG NEAR THE NW ND/CANADIAN BORDER REGION.

...PAC NW...
REASONABLY CLOSE MODEL AGREEMENT HERE WITH S/WV DIGGING SEWD
TOWARD THE PAC NW FROM WRN CANADA. MSTR WILL BE LIMITED HERE..SO
GENLY LIGHT AMOUNTS EXPECTED IN LINE WITH MODEL CONSENSUS.

DAYS 2/3...

...WEST...


THE PATTERN OF UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SYSTEMS THAT HAVE PERSISTED
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST OVER THE
LAST FEW DAYS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
SHORTWAVES ROTATING WITHIN THE TROUGH WILL COMBINE WITH THE STEEP
LAPSE RATES TO RESULT IN SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS BOTH DAYS...WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING VIA DIURNAL HEATING.  THE QPF FORECAST HERE
IS GENERALLY A BLEND OF THE GFS/ECMWF ACROSS THIS REGION WITH
LOCAL ADJUSTMENTS FOR TERRAIN.


...PLAINS/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/GREAT LAKES REGION AND POINTS EAST...

THE WEATHER PATTERN ON DAYS 2/3 WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY ACTIVE
WITH SEVERAL OPPORTUNITIES FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF MESOSCALE
CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS, POSSIBLE FLOODING RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER.
THE MAIN TROUGH WILL MIGRATE EAST NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE
SOUTHWEST/ROCKIES TO THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS AS A NEGATIVELY
TILTED TROUGH ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. GIVEN THE HIGHLY CONVECTIVE
NATURE OF THE PRECIPITATION...FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW ON
THE DETAILS OF SPECIFIC FEATURES ALTHOUGH MODEL ENSEMBLES AND
INDIVIDUAL FORECASTS SUGGEST MORE PREDICTABILITY FOR SOME OF THE
MESOSCALE DEVELOPMENT...AND ESPECIALLY FOR 24 HOUR TOTALS IN SOME
REGIONS.

MOIST SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO
WITH A STRONG WARM FRONT BOUNDARY OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL FOCUS POSSIBLE HEAVY RAINFALL ESPECIALLY
OVER EASTERN NEBRASKA/NORTHEAST KANSAS/NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND
SOUTHWESTERN IOWA ON THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WHILE A SEPARATE
AREA OF HEAVY CONVECTIVE RAINFALL WILL FOCUS WITHIN THE WARM
SECTOR AHEAD OF THE WEST TEXAS DRYLINE AND THROUGHOUT MUCH OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS DURING THE SAME PERIOD...ALTHOUGH SOME
OF THIS RAINFALL WILL BE INFLUENCED BY THE DIURNAL CYCLE.

ON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...THE MECHANISMS PROMOTING HEAVY
RAINFALL MOVE EASTWARD AND DOES NOT PRESENT AS STRONG A SIGNAL YET
AS ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY BUT STILL SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RAINS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO NORTHERN MIDWEST...AS WELL AS A SEPARATE AREA IN THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

DAY 2 (00Z FRIDAY-00Z SATURDAY)

THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING APPEARS FOCUSED ON TWO SEPARATE
AREAS.  THE FIRST AREA IS CENTERED AROUND THE INTERSECTION OF THE
BORDERS OF IOWA/NEBRASKA AND MISSOURI WHERE THE AREAL AVERAGED
RAINFALL FORECAST IS EXPECTED TO BE ON THE ORDER OF 2 TO OVER 3
INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS.  THIS AREA IS
LOCATED

THIS FIRST AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS A
STRONG SHORTWAVE WITHIN THE BASE OF THE TROUGH MOVES FROM THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS.  LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP
DOWNWIND OF THE ROCKIES AND WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM FRONT
DIRECTLY BENEATH THE AXIS OF THE UPPER LEVEL JET.  THE MOST RECENT
BIAS CORRECTED MULTI MODEL MEAN...AS WELL AS THE GEFS/ECMWF
ENSEMBLE MEANS SUPPORT A MAXIMUM QPF IN THIS AREA WHILE THE
ECMWF/GFS/UKMET ARE ALSO SUPPORTIVE OF MAXIMUM QPF IN THE REGION.
THIS AREA ALSO EXTENDS TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST IN MORE OF A
DEFORMATION BAND EXTENDING ACROSS SOUTHERN NEBRASKA INTO EASTERN
AND CENTRAL COLORADO...WHERE AREAL AVERAGED QPF VALUES ARE
GENERALLY FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES.

THE OTHER REGION OF FLOODING POTENTIAL ON DAY 2 IS ACROSS TEXAS.
THERE IS GROWING CONFIDENCE IN THIS AREA OF CONVECTIVE RAINFALL AS
A DISTINCT SIGNAL EXISTS IN SEVERAL OF THE MODELS AND ENSEMBLE
MEANS.  THIS FEATURE SHOWS UP IN THE ECMWF/GEFS AND CANADIAN
ENSEMBLE MEANS BUT WITH SOME IMPRESSIVE FORECAST AMOUNTS
ESPECIALLY IN THE 12Z GFS AND EVEN THE ECMWF.  FORECAST TOTALS IN
THE GFS APPROACH 12 INCHES OVER SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS OVER DAYS 2
AND 3...WHILE THE HI RESOLUTION ECMWF GENERALLY HAS 4 TO 6 INCHES
FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS....AND THE 12Z CANADIAN APPROACHES 7 INCHES IN NORTHEAST
TEXAS.  THE WPC FORECAST HAS A LARGE AREA OF 2 TO 3 PLUS INCHES
FROM CENTRAL TEXAS INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS AND DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTIES AT THIS
POINT...STILL WENT WITH A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
ALTHOUGH ALSO CONSIDERED GOING WITH A MODERATE RISK. THE 12Z
NAM/UKMET WERE LESS ROBUST.

DAY 3 ((00Z SATURDAY-00Z SUNDAY)

BOTH AREAS OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST
NORTHEASTWARD ON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ARE PRESENTLY NOT EXPECTED TO BE QUITE AS HEAVY AS ON DAY 2.  THE
NORTHWARD AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD
AS THE UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO LIFT
NORTHEASTWARD...WITH A BROAD AREA OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF QPF
FORECAST FROM NORTHERN IOWA AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
INTO NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.  THE SOUTHERN AREA HAS SHRUNK AS THE
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM MOVES INTO ARKANSAS AND LOUISIANA WITH AREAL
AVERAGED TOTALS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES.  IN GENERAL...THE ECMWF AND
GEFS MEANS LOOKED RELATIVELY SIMILAR WHILE THE 12Z RUNS ALSO HAD
ELEMENTS IN COMMON WITH THE MEANS AND WERE USED TO GENERATE THE
FORECAST.

ACROSS THE EAST COAST DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION SEEMS POSSIBLE
UNDER THE WEAK FLOW BENEATH THE RIDGE...MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN.
THOUGHT THE GFS WAS TOO WIDESPREAD AND HEAVY WITH ITS
DEPICTION...WITH THE ECMWF PROBABLY TOO WEAK/DRY. OPTED FOR A
SOLUTION IN BETWEEN.

...SOUTHEAST...

THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BROAD UPPER LOW NEAR AND NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS
WILL PROVIDE A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY ON DAY 3...AS AFTERNOON HEATING COULD
ACCELERATE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE CAROLINA COASTS AND
JUST INLAND.  THIS IS THE BEGINNING OF A POSSIBLE LONGER AND MORE
WIDESPREAD FEATURE FOR THE EAST COAST BUT CURRENT GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS MOST AMOUNTS REMAIN BELOW A QUARTER INCH.

...CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TO THE NORTHEAST...

WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN APPALACHIANS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
EVENING...WITHIN A MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S..
 SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...HEAVY AND MORE ORGANIZED
PRECIPITATION COULD FOCUS ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SETTING UP OVER
NEW ENGLAND.


SULLIVAN/GERHARDT




24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 544155 546145 545140 544138 541134 538128 537126 534125
      527124 523123 521124 518124 516127 512131 509130 498124
      488116 480107 475102 472097 466087 459075 452064 443062
      438062 434069 437080 435083 431084 427083 425085 423088
      424092 427099 424104 421104 418102 414099 412093 407093
      405095 399099 395102 387104 382105 376101 373097 371091
      368087 366085 363084 356084 350084 353093 349097 342094
      340094 339098 341102 344107 346112 350123 357127 363128
      367129 369131 372138 373145 372155 371161 376164 381165
      383168 387169 397162 400160 403161 409162 421164 423162
      422159 422151 421142 413141 406139 403136 403132 406127
      412127 416128 420133 422133 424131 428125 431123 434122
      435129 436136 440143 439152 440154 442157 446158 451157
      455159 459155 461149 465144 476142 481146 486151 488158
      488166 480175 477182 478188 487197 491201 490203 486204
      482204 478207 474209 469213 457217 452219 449217 445218
      441222 446224 448222 452223 460226 467226 468224 472226
      472229 471233 467233 460231 455232 451235 448238 450242
      455247 466244 471247 478250 481248 484249 489253 494262
      496270 497273 499274 505266 512253 514246 517236 519229
      521217 526203 529198 532191 535184 538177 541164 544155
 0.01 540874 538841 537813 536794 534788 533781 531776 528772
      523762 514746 513738 509728 504716 498706 492697 488688
      482684 474681 468678 462676 454674 446673 438680 430687
      416721 413726 410730 406735 404739 401743 399747 399751
      402752 401755 398757 393759 387765 382770 377777 375780
      373785 370795 364803 356810 343821 334838 340850 344852
      350851 358855 361858 359862 356866 353869 343882 340889
      331893 323899 316900 312902 304907 302910 301916 298925
      297930 294934 291937 286939 277943 272949 266954 263957
      261961 257970 257974 255977 253980 255984 250986 247988
      244992 242994 242997 244006 248009 251012 258017 268018
      277021 277027 275032 276036 279039 283042 287044 295040
      299038 303034 307028 315023 327015 334009 338006 343003
      351001 357000 361999 366001 369007 374015 375018 375022
      375029 371041 367050 365054 366057 357064 357069 359073
      362076 368078 372083 376090 380096 387091 389089 391091
      393097 394096 394090 399089 402084 407078 414073 417069
      420064 425058 428056 427052 428045 425043 423041 424038
      426034 429030 431026 435017 437012 437010 434008 432007
      432004 438995 441993 443989 448978 451967 453960 454954
      456949 460948 464949 470950 475951 478954 481958 483963
      481966 476967 472969 470972 464976 460979 457983 455983
      455987 456992 457993 455998 451005 453005 453009 451013
      445022 448031 448034 451034 455034 459044 461055 464058
      467063 471066 476070 488081 500073 505066 509054 512046
      514042 514035 517023 517020 518014 524005 526999 529994
      535986 536983 536978 536968 535936 534928 533923 531918
      530916 530911 531906 533903 537896 540874
 0.01 487233 486232 485231 483230 482230 480229 478229 477230
      478231 479233 480233 481236 482237 484237 486235 487233
 0.01 476227 475226 475224 474223 473224 472226 473228 475228
      476227
 0.01 465722 465715 461711 451714 441717 438719 434718 435722
      439726 445732 447736 448741 450745 451753 454756 458759
      461758 464755 463743 465730 465722
 0.01 428731 427727 423728 420729 418732 417736 416738 415741
      413744 416745 419742 421741 424739 426736 427734 428731
 0.01 402211 397205 391199 386197 383194 376188 370183 359180
      357182 359186 365191 370194 373197 382201 385203 390205
      393207 399209 402211
 0.01 335174 335173 334171 333170 332169 332168 330167 328167
      326167 325166 323166 322167 322169 322171 324172 325174
      327174 329175 331174 333174 335174 335174
 0.01 292807 289804 286801 279794 272790 265784 254769 252767
      245768 239773 237777 234781 231784 230789 224807 225813
      227817 234822 242821 246821 250817 263807 269805 273808
      280811 283813 288812 292807
 0.25 520191 521186 521180 520172 517165 518161 521160 523157
      521153 518148 511144 509149 508154 500162 495167 491173
      491178 492182 494185 497185 502186 504189 505194 504213
      506222 509224 511222 513218 514212 514206 515200 518196
      520191
 0.25 496226 496222 495219 493217 490214 487214 485215 482216
      478215 478216 480218 482218 483219 486222 489223 491224
      494227 496226
 0.25 509802 509794 507792 505793 501796 500802 499809 498813
      496817 496820 498820 500816 503812 506810 508805 509802
 0.25 512993 511983 510978 507975 502976 497982 492998 486016
      483024 480025 478023 476027 477033 479042 482050 485053
      488054 492055 496054 500048 503039 506030 508021 509009
      510000 512993
 0.25 496832 496826 495821 491815 487808 482802 477797 471795
      468796 467801 467804 470805 476807 481812 485819 485823
      482826 478820 475816 473815 472818 469821 470826 474827
      478832 483839 486845 490848 492845 494840 496832
 0.25 469115 470113 470110 469109 469108 468107 466106 465107
      464108 463109 464110 465112 466113 466115 467116 469116
      469115
 0.25 466880 467878 467875 467873 467871 467868 465866 464866
      462866 460868 460869 459871 459874 459876 459877 459879
      460881 461882 462883 463884 464883 465883 466881 466880
 0.25 460802 459800 458800 456798 456797 456798 456801 457801
      458802 459803 460803 460802
 0.25 442949 442942 439938 431936 414926 407921 404919 398918
      394915 392911 391906 392902 393897 396894 402893 406892
      409889 408882 407875 407869 405864 399858 393851 394846
      393844 391844 388849 385853 380862 375867 373873 371880
      366888 360892 353898 345905 337912 324923 318929 309935
      301941 293945 287950 284954 282960 283964 281969 279977
      277984 279991 282993 285998 286003 289008 295014 299016
      305015 311009 328002 334995 339986 328973 347948 359949
      366956 368961 369967 371979 374988 377992 380993 390990
      394992 396996 395007 392021 391027 388030 380037 376046
      375051 375057 376064 378069 386070 391072 394069 402064
      406060 409055 409045 410040 413034 416026 421013 423008
      423000 420991 421985 422982 425982 430980 433977 437966
      442949
 0.25 434821 435815 431813 426812 420817 417825 417832 417836
      414838 411841 410845 410851 411853 413852 418848 424843
      427836 431830 434821 434821
 0.25 429771 428763 426758 424757 421759 419764 414774 410775
      407773 402771 398773 395777 393779 393782 396785 400790
      402795 405796 406794 408788 410783 416783 420785 423784
      425781 428776 429771
 0.25 316986 317984 315983 315984 315986 316986
 0.25 260793 258789 256787 252784 248782 246782 243785 240789
      238793 240799 243802 248801 252799 255797 259795 260793
 0.50 509175 509172 509170 508169 507168 506168 504167 503167
      501167 501168 499168 497169 496171 495171 495172 497174
      497175 498176 500176 502177 503178 505179 506178 508177
      509175
 0.50 503016 503008 503001 501001 499005 496009 494013 491018
      491023 491030 492034 496033 499029 501026 503019 503016
 0.50 416959 415944 412938 409933 403929 398927 394924 387923
      383920 381915 382905 383899 386885 388870 386869 384872
      383878 381886 378890 358902 351908 341916 332923 328926
      326932 330935 336936 341939 347939 356938 361936 364941
      368952 371959 372967 374983 376989 378990 382991 390985
      395984 399987 403993 403000 400014 399023 398028 393034
      389037 385041 382045 380053 382059 383062 385065 388068
      394066 398063 401060 404053 404043 404038 402035 402031
      404028 407024 411017 413010 413005 412998 409992 408985
      410978 412970 416959
 0.50 334986 335982 332981 330982 328984 325986 324988 322991
      322994 322997 325997 328995 329993 331990 333988 334986
 0.50 325960 323953 319952 316952 309950 303952 294962 287972
      284977 282985 286989 288995 291002 295006 298006 300005
      304998 310985 312979 315973 323964 325960
 0.50 311943 310942 308942 307943 306943 307944 308944 310944
      311943
 0.50 296949 294949 292949 291949 292951 294950 296949
 1.00 406954 405947 402941 396931 391928 384927 377928 371930
      370932 369936 370943 371952 373958 376972 378979 380985
      384985 387981 393978 396972 401961 406954
 1.00 399057 400053 400048 399045 397043 395043 392044 390045
      387047 386049 385054 386057 388059 391061 395061 397059
      399057
 1.00 366912 366907 364906 358910 355912 350916 346919 342923
      341928 343930 346931 352928 357925 361922 364916 366912
 1.00 308975 310970 310964 307957 301962 296966 292972 288979
      287982 288985 291992 296993 299991 303985 306979 308975
 1.50 395055 396053 395052 394052 393054 393052 393050 392049
      390049 390050 388052 389054 390055 391056 393055 395055
      395055
 1.50 396961 393959 395954 397949 396943 392936 389932 386931
      380931 377933 373935 371938 373949 376958 378970 380974
      384977 389973 395966 396961
 1.50 305975 306971 303968 299970 297971 295973 294975 292978
      291981 292983 291985 293987 297986 299984 301982 303980
      304977 305975
 2.00 391947 391940 387936 384934 380935 376938 375945 376952
      379958 380965 382968 384961 388956 391949 391947
 2.00 301977 301975 299974 297974 297975 295977 295979 295981
      293982 293983 295983 297982 298981 299980 300979 301977
      301977
 3.00 384952 385949 385947 385945 385943 384941 382942 382943
      380945 380947 380948 381949 381952 382953 384952 384952

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 544141 543132 544122 544116 542111 539102 537097 530090
      529082 527077 525073 522070 513066 503064 486063 466059
      462057 460058 453063 450064 445063 441062 437059 433056
      428053 425051 422049 421046 420040 421033 423027 428023
      435019 439016 442015 445015 448013 452013 456011 459011
      461013 474019 481024 484027 488028 492028 495027 504024
      510025 513028 516030 520031 523031 525029 527023 527014
      527010 526007 524002 522996 520989 521979 522973 523968
      523962 522958 522954 517927 513904 510875 509862 508856
      507852 502829 498814 497806 496804 495799 490788 489782
      488776 489769 489761 491749 492744 491736 492730 492722
      489697 487685 483682 476679 471680 467679 453673 447673
      444673 442676 439678 435683 425703 420710 417714 415719
      414724 414732 412737 409740 404745 401748 400752 396760
      394765 390769 386774 382783 377790 370795 363803 360807
      358812 345829 345836 346842 349844 349850 347854 347858
      349859 353859 356856 360850 365845 372840 377832 380824
      382820 385818 387814 393813 396814 400818 402825 403834
      401848 396860 393863 390867 374874 368875 363877 354881
      349887 345894 329900 321903 313907 306911 301918 286931
      278938 275949 274955 270957 264962 261964 259970 259976
      259981 264986 267989 272989 282990 288996 290000 295001
      298003 304003 319998 326997 331995 339991 348984 352981
      357983 362983 364984 365986 367991 367998 364002 362007
      361020 364031 361041 360051 361061 365069 369076 373084
      380090 385094 390098 391103 387106 378112 375117 375123
      379127 384128 393126 400122 405119 409117 417119 422119
      425118 430118 434121 437125 437132 440141 444149 448156
      454162 470170
 0.01 470170 476177 479183 481189 480198 476204 471208 462213
      456214 451217 451222 455226 455232 452234 449234 449239
      452244 457247 459255 463261 468265 472267 479269 483268
      486269 491268 495266 499271 505273 512266 515242 517232
      517227 519223 532200 534187 536179 538169 539162 541154
      542149 544141
 0.01 445041 443038 441038 440038 438038 436038 438040 440040
      441041 443041 445041
 0.01 423155 423148 421142 416142 410145 403144 401145 398145
      396149 399155 404156 409159 412161 414163 419164 421161
      422157 423155
 0.01 393202 392199 390197 385195 380191 375187 373185 370184
      365181 361181 360183 364187 369190 374194 378199 384201
      389204 393202
 0.01 347752 346745 344739 338734 331734 324731 316726 312725
      308726 301729 295734 293738 292744 291747 292754 289762
      286768 280775 277779 274778 269782 263788 255792 248790
      243790 240793 237799 234802 233808 235810 240811 242814
      246816 252818 258818 262821 263825 266828 275828 278828
      280825 281820 280815 280811 283807 286805 289806 295810
      299811 305811 310810 314808 322804 327799 329795 330790
      332781 335774 340768 343763 345758 347752
 0.25 525174 523168 521164 518161 515161 503160 496164 491165
      488167 488174 490178 495188 498198 498203 497207 494211
      486211 481212 477214 470215 469219 471218 477218 484223
      494228 499222 503210 509203 515194 519183 522174 525174
 0.25 509094 509089 506085 503083 500082 491081 483081 468084
      459086 454090 451093 448097 448103 447109 446114 445121
      445127 446130 449135 453136 460133 463124 465120 468117
      480108 487104 492102 500100 507098 509094
 0.25 510978 511972 511966 508961 504956 500954 499958 498956
      500948 499933 497924 496918 492908 490898 489890 489881
      489864 486847 482835 475825 469820 462812 455808 452809
      449814 446820 444825 437836 431843 425853 418861 411867
      398878 393883 389886 382887 375889 366892 356898 350903
      342908 326917 314922 305929 297934 294937 290942 286953
      282962 282974 284978 286981 296988 302990 309990 320989
      330984 346974 353969 361967 369965 373965 379967 382972
      387982 389989 389996 389003 388009 383017 382022 384027
      387036 384041 379042 374044 372048 372051 376055 380058
      387063 389059 393061 397063 402063 405060 406056 403045
      402041 403036 405031 411017 417011 425003 430997 436988
      449976 455972 459969 470965 476965 481967 491970 494968
      497964 498965 498970 498977 498986 497991 496995 497998
      500997 504992 507987 510978
 0.25 365818 363818 361819 359822 358824 356826 354828 352831
      353835 357832 358830 359828 361825 363823 365820 365818
 0.25 319744 317742 315742 313743 310745 308746 306748 306752
      307756 311755 313753 315751 317749 319746 319744
 0.50 511186 511181 510178 508176 505174 504173 500172 499173
      497177 498180 499183 502186 504188 507190 509188 511186
 0.50 500095 500090 497088 491088 479088 474090 470090 467090
      465092 463097 458100 455105 452112 450119 450125 453126
      458124 464114 470112 474109 480098 485095 491095 497097
      500095
 0.50 486929 481883 479874 478864 478859 477854 473848 467854
      461860 459867 456877 451880 444883 438883 432881 425878
      421877 417876 411879 405883 396893 391895 385897 332920
      315926 305935 301939 296943 290954 286962 286967 287972
      290977 296982 303985 307985 315985 321983 329980 336976
      347967 356961 362958 368955 376953 383952 389956 392964
      395970 395981 395990 396000 397009 400009 403006 410003
      415999 421994 424990 431980 437973 443968 449965 454960
      458955 464952 470950 475947 479943 483938 486929
 0.50 397050 397047 396043 395041 394037 392039 390042 389044
      387046 385048 385051 386052 390054 393054 396053 397050
 0.50 398034 398032 398030 397027 397026 395025 394027 394030
      394032 394034 394035 395036 396038 396037 398034 398034
 1.00 464930 464915 464910 462905 456900 452900 448901 433905
      424909 420914 416924 414933 415941 416945 418954 417959
      417966 420967 424966 428959 432952 436942 440936 444933
      449935 454938 459937 462935 464930
 1.00 423980 422978 421978 419979 418980 417980 416982 415984
      415985 417986 419986 420985 421984 422982 423980
 1.00 373940 373936 370934 368931 366925 364921 359919 353919
      344922 335926 326928 310937 302943 297949 294962 293966
      294970 297975 301977 308979 315979 321977 328975 337969
      343964 350957 357952 361949 366947 371942 373940
 1.50 438923 438918 436917 435916 432916 429917 427919 425921
      424924 424928 426930 430930 433929 435928 437926 438923
 1.50 361938 360934 358930 357927 353926 348926 344927 337929
      325935 312941 306946 302952 300961 301969 303973 307974
      314976 322974 328971 338962 349954 355949 359944 361938
 2.00 356941 356936 353934 348932 342931 337932 326937 316943
      311946 308949 305957 305964 307968 309969 314971 321971
      326969 335962 343955 352947 356941
 3.00 346943 345941 345940 343939 341939 339940 338941 337942
      337943 337944 339945 339946 341946 342945 343945 345944
      346943

24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 556955 556908 556886 551868 548859 545851 539837 535817
      529796 528793 527788 524781 519766 517759 513753 507739
      503731 499724 491712 483699 479692 475684 468673 465668
      464665 460664 450662 443661 440662 437665 428674 420680
      418687 417695 415703 414711 412715 413720 414730 415735
      413739 410745 408751 395775 387787 384791 381799 377805
      375812 372819 370822 369828 367834 366843 366851 362856
      359861 354864 349869 343873 339877 336884 336893 336899
      333902 328906 321908 306913 293918 285924 276932 274935
      273938 272945 269953 269958 271961 272964 271967 266970
      261973 259974 257978 252985 242985 236986 234988 234993
      236000 240003 244006 251009 258011 263015 271025 275028
      281031 287033 297033 310027 334019 340018 344014 353005
      373981 378969 381963 383959 386961 391965 395970 399974
      403979 403984 404986 407992 410999 417003 424004 430007
      440002 445999 452996 459991 464984 467980 472974 477973
      481977 485980 490985 502980 506980 510983 515986 520990
      521991 525990 532990 536990 539988 544983 549979 550973
      553966 556955
 0.01 548109 550086 550077 547071 541057 539051 535046 525039
      519035 513033 488022 483019 481021 477020 471019 466018
      462018 459015 456015 454017 450021 446025 442030 435032
      431037 426041 421047 415049 402048 381037 378035 371037
      366041 363047 364054 368059 371066 371073 373082 375087
      380087 383086 386089 391089 396089 399090 401094 399097
      396098 392100 380105 374115 369119 366121 362120 355116
      350111 345109 344111 343116 349119 351123 351126 355131
      359132 363134 368137 371141 372148 370151 367153 363152
      359151 357153 358160 359164 356166 354168 353172 356178
      363191 373199 384206 390208 394207 396205 397198 395192
      393185 392176 394171 398164 402158 407153 410148 415144
      423129 425124 427116 428107 429102 431100 435100 437102
      441108 444124 444133 448139 455148 465158 470164 475170
      482181 485188 483197 478202 474205 469209 466214 461217
      461220 464222 470225 467230 465233 462233 460234 455233
      451237 453245 456249 460250 464253 467258 470263 474263
      481265 487266 492262 494260 498262 502264 506266 510264
      514256 519250 526233 534200 533192 531186 527180 522175
      520168 519158 520152 521149 525142 528138 531134 534133
      544125 548109
 0.01 495097 495092 494089 490085 485080 482076 474068 468066
      464066 462068 461071 461076 465080 468082 471083 478084
      481087 481092 479092 473093 472098 473101 473106 475109
      477116 482120 485120 487118 490112 493104 494099 495097
 0.01 374740 373734 371731 364728 356730 347735 332743 328746
      326749 320756 316762 309766 293774 287779 281785 276790
      273793 268795 258796 253797 251800 248802 246806 245810
      247813 261821 276826 286825 290824 294822 299817 303817
      307819 313822 317821 321820 329816 334817 339817 349816
      353815 357812 362807 365798 367788 366778 365774 364767
      364760 365755 374740
 0.25 537893 537887 535880 531871 526860 521852 512831 507818
      502806 500800 499792 499784 499779 499771 498763 493751
      488740 483730 477722 472719 468714 463708 459705 456703
      452703 449705 446709 441716 434726 430736 429743 429750
      432759 435763 438767 440774 442785 445800 447806 446814
      442825 438835 432846 428857 424867 420875 414882 406888
      396893 391896 386899 379905 371910 361913 352915 341915
      328916 306924 299929 296933 294939 296944 301947 310948
      315947 319945 327941 336935 340933 346932 357931 364931
      368934 371936 376935 380932 382929 384925 388922 394920
      400920 405921 408921 410923 410928 408935 407942 408951
      410957 414961 425975 432980 437981 441980 447978 451975
      460967 467961 473954 495921 499920 506920 511922 518922
      525918 531910 537893
 0.25 533077 534072 533066 530060 527055 521050 510044 497044
      490044 482045 478047 477054 480057 484060 489065 492071
      499074 504076 510080 521087 524088 527087 531081 533077
 0.25 505244 505240 504236 500230 500224 498220 492215 486212
      479213 477216 480220 484225 488233 490236 494237 498238
      500242 502244 505244
 0.25 510183 511180 511175 509171 506168 503165 500162 495160
      492163 494168 497172 499175 501179 505182 509183 510183
 0.25 490247 490243 489240 486238 485238 482237 481236 477234
      475235 474238 473240 475242 478243 481245 484247 487249
      490247
 0.25 359741 352742 343747 337752 332760 326766 318770 310774
      303780 298786 297790 295796 298801 300804 303806 308807
      316806 325802 332798 338791 348777 352769 355759 356750
      359741
 0.25 315005 315999 313996 306991 301990 295991 287993 284995
      282999 280005 280009 280013 283018 287019 291018 300016
      308013 314007 315005
 0.25 266804 265804 263804 261804 260805 261806 263806 265805
      266804
 0.50 529068 528067 527065 525064 524064 522063 520062 519062
      517061 517062 517064 517065 518067 519068 520069 522070
      523071 525071 526072 528071 528070 529068
 0.50 505877 505868 504861 500847 492818 483796 473769 468758
      464745 461739 458736 450737 447741 446746 447750 449757
      450770 451778 454786 459795 465806 467812 468820 471837
      472846 472855 468865 465870 461873 453880 448885 445889
      441900 438912 434925 433932 430940 426949 426955 429961
      433966 438968 444968 450965 476929 481919 486909 488903
      491898 500889 503883 505877
 0.50 349762 349758 348754 343755 339759 336764 333768 328772
      317776 312779 307784 304788 304795 306800 312802 319800
      324797 328793 331788 338780 345770 349762
 0.50 333928 330924 326923 321923 316924 312926 310928 307933
      306937 308940 314940 317938 321936 325934 328932 332929
      333928
 0.50 304009 306004 304001 302000 299998 295998 293997 291997
      288999 287001 286006 287008 290010 293011 296011 300011
      302010 304009
 1.00 324784 323783 321783 320783 318784 317785 316786 315787
      315788 314790 315790 317789 318788 320788 322788 323786
      323785 324784

$$





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