000
FXUS04 KWBC 220845
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
445 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 22/1200 UTC THRU MAY 25/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN
ROCKIES...

AN ANOMALOUSLY DEEP LATE SPRING UPPER LEVEL LOW (2 STD DEVIATIONS
BELOW THE NORM AT 500 MB PER THE SREF/GEFS) WILL SLOWLY PINWHEEL
ITS WAY INTO THE NRN GREAT BASIN TOWARD THE END OF DAY ONE (WED
NIGHT). THE CLOSED NATURE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING ONLY MODEST
ONSHORE FLOW/MOISTURE ADVECTION TO THE REGION...HOWEVER THE MOIST
ONSHORE FLOW...STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES... AND STRONG
OROGRAPHIC CONTRIBUTION WILL NEVERTHELESS MAKE FOR WHAT SHOULD ADD
UP TO BE A MODERATE PCPN EVENT TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE WA/OR
COASTAL RANGES (INCLUDING THE OLYMPICS) AND INTO THE CASCADE
RANGES.  SOME OF THE PCPN WILL FALL IN THE FORM OF SNOW ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CASCADES...AS SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER HEIGHTS
ALLOW WET BULB ZERO LEVELS TO FALL BETWEEN 3500-4500 FT PER THE
NAM/GFS.

FARTHER EAST ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES...MOIST S-SE INFLOW (30-35 KT
AT 850 MB) ALONG WITH THE DPVA AND DEEP LAYER QS FORCING EAST OF
THE CLOSED LOW WILL LEAD TO AN ANOMALOUS (WHILE RELATIVELY NARROW)
REGION OF LLVL MSTR FLUX WITH PW`S AROUND 0.75".  EXPECT MOD TO
HVY PCPN AMOUNTS ACROSS NRN ID AND WRN MT DURING DAY ONE AS A
RESULT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN-FACING SLOPES WHERE SOME
OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT IS EXPECTED.  GIVEN THE STRONGER DYNAMICS E
OF THE NRN GREAT BASIN...THIS IS ONE OF THOSE SETUPS (GIVEN A MORE
SOUTHERLY VS. WESTERLY FLOW) WHERE PCPN AMOUNTS OVER THE NRN
ROCKIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ON PAR IF NOT HIGHER THAN ACROSS THE
CSTL RANGES AND CASCADES.


...LOWER MS VALLEY NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE OH VALLEY AND GREAT
LAKES...

THE SRN...MESOSCALE-ENHANCED VORTICITY CENTER AT THE TROUGH BASE
OVER THE SRN PLAINS/LWR MS VLY WILL LIFT NE AND EVENTUALLY BECOME
ABSORBED WITHIN THE TROUGH ACROSS THE MID MS VLY BY WED EVENING.
MEANWHILE...THE TROUGH WILL FINALLY BECOME A BIT MORE PROGRESSIVE
W-E TONIGHT THANKS TO AN ELONGATED NRN STREAM SHORTWAVE PIVOTING
ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON AND ST. JAMES BAY.  THE 00Z MODELS
CONTINUE TO LINE UP FAIRLY WELL IN TERMS OF THE MASS
FIELDS...HOWEVER THE QPF OVER THIS REGION IS STILL NOT QUITE AS
PROGRESSIVE IN THE NEAR TERM (0-12 HRS) AS IT SHOULD BE PER
EXTRAPOLATING THE MULTICELLULAR LINEAR CONVECTION EARLY THIS AM.
AS WAS NOTED IN THE PRIOR DISCUSSION...THERE IS A GENERAL MODEL
AGREEMENT ON A DECREASE IN HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL TODAY AS THE
UPPER DYNAMICS WEAKEN.  AT THE SAME TIME HOWEVER...ABOVE NORMAL
PW`S (1.5 TO 1.75"...HIGHEST SOUTH TOWARD THE GOMEX) FROM THE
LOWER MS VALLEY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY/INTO THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES) ALONG WITH THE BROAD-SCALE (ALBEIT WEAKENING)
VERTICAL ASCENT AND MODEST LLVL MSTR POOLING (ENHANCED BY
OUTFLOWS) WILL GENERATE MODERATE 24 HR TOTALS ACROSS THIS REGION.
THE HIGHEST AREAL-AVERAGES...UP TO 1-1.5 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED
OVER PTNS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST (ERN WI THROUGH MUCH OF LOWER MI)
GIVEN THE FVRBL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE (K INDICES INTO THE LOW-MID
30S) ALONG WITH ENHANCED UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE (AND LOW-MID LEVEL
FGEN) WITHIN THE RRQ OR RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE JET STREAK
SOUTH OF ST. JAMES BAY.

...UPPER MS VALLEY...

THERE REMAINS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT ON A SLOW EASTWARD MOVEMENT TO
THE WELL DEFINED CLOSED LOW MOVING INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY REGION
DAY 1.  ADDITIONAL LONG DURATION LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
LIKELY IN THE COMMA HEAD/DEFORMATION PRECIPITATION BAND ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS UPPER CENTER.


...NORTHERN NY INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND

TO THE EAST OF THE MID-UPPER MS VALLEY CLOSED LOW...WSW TO SW
LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO OVERRUN THE WEST TO EAST ORIENTED
WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD THROUGH THE UPPER
LAKES...NORTHERN NY...AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.  THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT MODERATE TO HEAVY CONVECTIVELY-AIDED RAINFALL
POTENTIAL AMOUNTS IN THE OVERRUNNING ZONE TO THE NORTH OF THIS
BOUNDARY.  THE PREVIOUS GLOBAL AND EVEN NEAR-TERM HIGH RES MODELS
SUCH AS THE RUC/HRRR DID NOT HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON THE WDSRPD AREA
OF CONVECTION MOVING ACROSS ERN NY AND NEW ENGLAND DURING THE
PRE-DAWN HRS WED...AND AS SUCH WPC OPTED TO USE CONTINUITY RADAR
EXTRAPOLATION THROUGH 12Z WITH THE QPF...THEN USING A MULTI-MODEL
ENSEMBLE (BOTH GLOBAL AND HIGH-RES RUNS) THEREAFTER.

...FLORIDA...

THE CLOSED LOW OVER NORTH FL IS EXPECTED TO MIGRATE SLOWLY NE-WRD
AND EVENTUALLY OFF THE NE COAST OF FL LATER TODAY. CONTINUED S-SE
LOW LEVEL FLOW TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF THIS UPPER CENTER IN
THE AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES STREAMING OFF THE ATLANTIC
WILL MAY FOCUS ISOLATED VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS ALONG THE
COASTAL SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF FL.  THESE HEAVY TOTALS MORE LIKELY
IN THE MORNING HOURS NEAR THE E COAST...WITH CONVECTION THEN
PROGRESSING INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE LLVL MOIST
CONVERGENCE BECOMES ENHANCED BY THE DEVELOPING GULF BREEZE.

DAYS 2-3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

THE CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL CONTINUE
TO INFLUENCE  QPF PRODUCTION THROUGH BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3. THE EAST
SOUTHEAST INFLOW AHEAD OF THE CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM WILL RESULT
IN HEAVY TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF MT ON DAY
2. AS A RESULT...A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREA WAS
DRAWN IN THIS AREA. FOR THE MOST PART...THE 00Z MODEL GUIDANCE
CLUSTERED WELL WITH THESE FEATURES...AND A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/GFS/UKMET WAS USED AS A QPF TEMPLATE.

AHEAD OF THE CLOSED LOW...THE 30 TO 40 KNOT SOUTHEAST INFLOW WILL
HELP TRANSPORT 0.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR (WHICH IS TWO
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) OVER A SURFACE FRONT DRAPED OVER
THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE IN MT. THE UPSLOPE FLOW WILL TARGET THE
HIGHER TERRAIN FOR A QPF MAXIMUM. IN ADDITION...COLD MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN MARGINAL INSTABILITY HERE...SO THAT A
STRIPE OF 0.75 TO 1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS THE DIVIDE
IN MT. THESE VALUES ARE CLOSE TO OR JUST ABOVE THE THREE HOURLY
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS...SO A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL AREA WAS DRAWN HERE.

ELSEWHERE...SHORT WAVES ROTATING AROUND THE CLOSED LOW TRUNDLING
THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL AID IN SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT
ACROSS THIS AREA. COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL STEEPEN LAPSE
RATES AND PRODUCE MARGINAL INSTABILITY... RESULTING IN MAINLY
DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION. THE WESTERLY MID LEVEL
FLOW BEHIND THE SHORT WAVE WILL TARGET THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WA
AND OR FOR THE HIGHEST QPF...AND 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS
FOCUSED ON THE OLYMPICS IN WA AND THE COASTAL RANGE IN OR.

ON DAY 3...THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL SEE LESS IN THE WAY OF
CONVECTIVELY DRIVEN SHOWERS AS THE CORE OF THE COLDEST AIR ROTATES
TO THE NORTHEAST. AGAIN...THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL EXPERIENCE THE
HIGHER QPF...AND AN AREA OF 0.15 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED
OVER THE RANGES IN WA AND OR. FURTHER EAST ACROSS ID AND MT...THE
BEST INFLOW IS SHUNTED TO THE EAST AS THE CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM
PUSHES TOWARD THE AREA. QPF AMOUNTS OF 0.15 TO 0.25 INCHES WERE
PLACED ACROSS ID AND MT.


...PLAINS...

ON DAY 2...THE FOCUS FOR QPF WILL BE ALONG THE DRY LINE IN THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AS MOISTURE RETURNS FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. ON
DAY 3...THE MAIN FOCUS FOR RAIN SHIFTS TO THE NORTH INTO THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS AS THE AFOREMENTIONED MOISTURE
OVERRUNS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE REGION.  THE 00Z MODEL
GUIDANCE CLUSTERED WELL WITH THESE SYSTEMS AS WELL...AS THE QPF
WAS BASED ON A 00Z ECWMF/GFS/UKMET BLEND.

ON DAY 2...MOISTURE RETURNING NORTH ON A 30 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL
JET WILL HELP FUEL SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...MAINLY ALONG THE DRYLINE. WEAK SHORT WAVES IN THE MID
LEVEL FLOW WILL AID WITH SYNOPTIC LIFT. RELATIVELY LOW
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES (NEAR 1.25 INCHES) AND CAPPING AND CIN
SHOWN ON MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOULD KEEP THE ACTIVITY SCATTERED IN
NATURE...AND A STRIPE OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PAINTED
CLOSE TO THE EXPECTED POSITION OF THE DRYLINE.

ON DAY 3...THE FOCUS FOR QPF MOVES NORTH INTO THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL PLAINS. A WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM MT INTO THE NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL PLAINS WILL BE OVERRUN BY PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR
VALUES CLOSE TO 1.25 INCHES...TRANSPORTED NORTH ON A 30 TO 40 KNOT
LOW LEVEL JET. NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT...MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND THIS
SHOULD RESULT IN A STRIPE OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF STRETCHING
FROM KS SOUTH INTO TX...WHERE THE DRYLINE WILL ONCE AGAIN BE THE
FOCUS FOR CONVECTION.

FURTHER NORTH...CLOSER TO THE WARM FRONT IN NE AND WESTERN
IA...THE LOW LEVEL JET MAY END UP BEING THE PIVOT POINT FOR A
DEVELOPING MCS...AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES CLIMB TO NEAR 1.50
INCHES ON THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET. THE ACTIVITY LOOKS TO
PEAK DURING THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW A
CONTINUATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY OVER KS INTO NE AND IA. AN
INCH OF QPF WAS PLACED HERE.


...MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

TWO SLUGS OF MOISTURE WILL AFFECT THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST
STATES ON DAYS 2 AND 3. THE FIRST SLUG OF MOISTURE WILL RIDE NORTH
ALONG THE COLD FRONT ON DAY 2...AND A SECOND SLUG OF MOISTURE
SHOULD AFFECT MAINLY NEW ENGLAND DURING DAY 3. THERE WAS SOME
MODEL SPREAD CONCERNING THE EVOLUTION OF THE MID LEVEL PATTERN AND
ULTIMATELY THE SPEED OF THE SURFACE FRONT AND WHETHER A SURFACE
WAVE DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT. A BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/UKMET AND NAM
WAS USED FOR THE FORECAST...AS THE 00Z ECMWF SEEMED TOO SLOW AND
DEEP WITH ITS CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM.

FOR DAY 2...THE SURFACE FRONT BEGINS TO SLOW AS LONG WAVE TROUGH
DEEPENS. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.50 TO
1.75 INCHES ARE TRANSPORTED NORTH ON A 30 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET
INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOW MARGINAL INSTABILITY (BETTER SOUTH THAN NORTH) AND
UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR...SUGGESTING CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. THE
ACTIVITY SHOULD BE MOVING QUICKLY ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS...DESPITE THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT OF THE AIR. A
STRIPE OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS STRETCHED AHEAD OF THE
FRONT FROM CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND SOUTH INTO SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. THESE VALUES ARE BELOW THE THREE HOUR
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS IN THE AREA.

ON DAY 3...SEVERAL MEMBERS OF THE 00Z MODEL SUITE SLOW THE FRONT
ENOUGH (AS THE LONG WAVE TROUGH STARTS TO GO NEGATIVE AND POSSIBLY
CLOSE) SO THAT A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM ON IT. THE BEST
INSTABILITY SHOULD LIE NEAR THE FRONT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND (WHICH IS
MARGINAL AT BEST)...BUT DIFLUENCE IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF A
110 KNOT JET STREAK WILL AID LIFT. ALONG THE FRONT...AN AREA OF
0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

MEANWHILE...MOISTURE WHOSE ORIGIN IS THE BAHAMAS THIS MORNING IS
DRAWN NORTH AHEAD OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH. THERE HAS BEEN
CONSIDERABLE MODEL SPREAD CONCERNING HOW FAR WEST THIS MOISTURE
WILL GET...AND HOW IT WILL IMPACT THE EAST COAST. AT THIS
POINT...IT LOOKS AS THOUGH EASTERN MA AND EASTERN ME STAND THE
BEST CHANCE OF SEEING THE BEST OF THIS MOISTURE DURING THE SECOND
HALF OF DAY 3. AN AREA OF 0.75 TO 1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PAINTED
OVER THIS AREA...AND THIS COULD END UP BEING UNDERDONE IF THE
WESTERN EXTENT OF THE MOISTURE IS NOT CORRECTLY DEPICTED. NONE OF
THE 00Z GEFS OR ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SHOW 24 HOUR QPF VALUES
ABOVE TWO INCHES...BUT THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED AS QPF
VALUES HIGHER THAN THOSE CURRENTLY FORECAST ARE POSSIBLE OVER
EASTERN NEW ENGLAND.


HURLEY/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 239803 247791 244778 226759 219747 226737 245734 255741
      276761 286763 289764 295762 298761 300759 304755 306752
      312745 331734 341728 348726 357724 363724 371727 374734
      374742 375746 373750 365762 355779 363783 371784 382778
      387771 393763 398756 402749 406740 410732 413725 416718
      420710 424696 426689 426683 427671 422658 424650 429640
      431629 439620 441611 440607 443603 446592 450590 454591
      456593 459598 457607 453616 450623 447627 447631 455637
      459638 463637 470633 473632 479628 482627 490628 494630
      497634 500635 503640 508654 510659 510664 511677 511683
      511689 509697 507708 505713 504718 501727 498734 493758
      492764 492769 490781 488794 487799 487806 486812 486816
      485820 486825 486830 485841 484846 484849 483853 482857
      481864 480874 479878 480885 481899 481908 480915 478922
      477929 474941 473948 470953 465962 460970 457974 453975
      447975 442975 437971 430968 427965 426958 425946 426943
      426937 425930 422927 420916 417906 415900 410896 406894
      399898 390903 384907 364905 361904 356905 350910 344914
      335919 333921 329923 325928 319939 311951 301967 297973
      288974 285969 283959 285940 286932 288924 291910 293901
      294899 297896 301891 302886 304877 305873 310870 315863
      316854 319846 319840 318837 316834 309830 302829 288829
      275826 254816 250815 244816 240816 238811 239803
 0.01 535205 536190 536180 529163 524151 521143 514135 507129
      499117 493113 487108 484103 485099 485094 482092 476092
      472090 468083 461080 456081 447081 440080 433080 432084
      427086 424088 425090 429098 423107 426112 432116 437116
      440117 442120 444123 443128 439135 436141 438144 437146
      435149 435157 442170 446179 441182 442186 441188 439192
      438198 441202 443204 448205 452200 454197 456193 461187
      462184 466180 472179 477185 478193 475200 472202 468204
      466205 462205 451213 448213 444215 440215 434215 427216
      424218 421221 423229 423230 420231 407233 404236 403241
      404245 407249 421258 425260 428264 431269 442268 450274
      454275 458275 468276 477280 494289 501293 506293 508290
      511286 513278 515272 516267 518264 518259 517255 517247
      519239 521225 523222 525220 529216 531212 535205
 0.01 446150 444147 442146 439149 441152 444152 446150
 0.01 407061 407057 407056 404056 401053 401052 398052 395050
      395049 395050 395053 398054 401057 404061 407061 407061
 0.25 494678 492670 488667 484666 479666 473664 466658 457652
      449648 445647 440650 437655 436664 436668 439675 445688
      446692 446695 445700 441708 429719 427723 426730 426735
      423736 420736 417739 415744 414755 412764 409774 406778
      402779 397781 390785 384790 381795 379799 374802 369802
      366805 349812 343818 339824 335829 333835 330845 330849
      331855 335858 341856 349852 350855 349859 346862 340868
      334873 325880 318883 315883 311888 308891 305896 306903
      304907 300913 298922 297926 297931 300937 304937 311933
      318926 325916 330910 337905 342902 347900 356896 363890
      373890 381888 391881 399878 409875 413877 415879 419888
      426898 431912 435917 439918 442917 447912 450910 452904
      456894 458884 461873 465846 472821 475808 476798 478774
      483746 488722 493700 494688 494678
 0.25 523197 520183 518177 521172 522169 522163 521156 517150
      512144 504136 495128 484118 480115 475111 459096 456093
      454091 449090 445091 442092 441095 444100 448103 451105
      452108 451113 451118 453122 455130 459135 465140 465149
      468156 472161 478169 484185 487194 485205 481209 476211
      467213 462213 458215 453215 448217 444217 440218 431222
      430224 432232 431237 425238 421241 426247 445260 451258
      457254 465246 470244 474246 479252 481253 488253 492259
      496264 498264 498259 496255 493250 493244 496242 501245
      505246 507245 511236 512230 511223 508215 506211 506206
      510203 515204 520203 523197
 0.25 491239 490238 490234 489229 486224 486223 484222 481221
      479221 478222 475222 472222 471223 468226 468227 471229
      474229 477230 479233 480235 482237 484240 487240 490239
      491239
 0.25 347753 345750 341750 335751 317757 312762 308768 305772
      301775 292779 285779 279776 267769 244748 242747 238749
      237751 237756 242762 249768 258775 260780 262785 259792
      254797 253803 255807 258809 265812 276815 283815 287810
      291807 296806 301805 312801 321796 327792 332786 338778
      342771 346761 347756 347753
 0.50 484701 483695 480689 475682 473681 469682 465688 463699
      457707 450715 446720 445726 444736 442742 438751 435758
      431778 427786 423790 418794 412798 406798 399797 394796
      390796 385798 381804 376813 376816 377819 381824 383832
      384834 382839 371848 362854 360857 355860 351867 345871
      341873 336876 333878 332881 327885 322890 314890 311891
      309894 310898 311901 312905 310910 308917 311922 315918
      319914 327899 327895 330891 336886 345882 352886 368879
      379875 387871 396868 403865 412864 416865 418869 424883
      429895 435902 439904 443903 447899 449894 451885 453876
      458860 463838 467817 471780 480738 484720 485714 485708
      484701
 0.50 518162 518157 516153 511147 506142 498136 487126 482122
      472120 468120 464122 463123 466126 470131 471137 474141
      481142 485150 486152 483153 480157 481164 488179 491185
      495189 499190 508189 510188 513185 512176 510165 514165
      518162
 0.50 508231 507226 505222 503220 502218 500215 499214 497209
      494212 493217 494221 494226 495229 496231 497232 500232
      500233 501233 503234 506233 508231
 0.50 465239 465234 463229 464224 465221 463218 455217 448219
      442219 439221 438226 438234 434238 431242 435245 441248
      444251 448250 453248 460243 465239
 0.50 427751 426747 426748 427751 428753 427751
 0.50 421814 420813 418811 417811 414812 412814 410819 408823
      407824 407828 410830 411831 413831 416830 418828 419827
      420822 420821 419819 419817 421814 421814
 0.50 381858 380858 377858 374858 371858 369859 366862 366864
      367864 370863 372863 375862 378860 380859 381858
 0.50 341764 341760 340758 336757 329759 321765 313772 308779
      300787 292787 284784 276782 272782 270785 267793 267798
      265799 266801 273803 282805 291802 309794 316792 322789
      325786 332780 338772 341764
 0.50 358834 358830 357827 354823 348824 344828 341833 340837
      338841 338845 342845 346845 348845 352842 355838 358834
 1.00 476717 473714 470715 465715 461719 459721 455730 450745
      448755 447763 445779 445790 445799 441802 437804 434809
      433819 431829 425842 424845 425852 429860 431870 434880
      437886 440887 443884 444879 448865 452846 454837 455830
      454819 452806 454799 456793 463775 469761 470756 469752
      470746 471740 474729 476717
 1.00 513157 511152 507146 503144 498140 495139 492135 486131
      483129 479129 482134 484138 488143 491148 494150 500153
      505155 508158 513157
 1.00 504173 505169 504168 502164 502163 499163 498163 496163
      493166 492166 492171 492172 493176 495178 497181 498181
      500180 502178 504174 504173
 1.00 336767 335766 332767 330769 328772 326774 324776 322779
      319781 317783 320783 322781 325780 327778 329775 332773
      332772 334770 336767 336767
 1.50 460753 459748 458748 457750 456753 456755 455759 455760
      454765 453766 453771 456772 457768 457767 458763 459760
      459758 459753 460753
 1.50 446827 444819 441820 439826 438831 437835 436840 435845
      434853 434857 437861 439860 440855 441846 440842 442837
      445832 446827

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 511293 508292 505294 503289 499287 493286 482284 474286
      470289 466289 463291 458290 453288 448288 442287 433284
      428282 425283 416280 408277 406272 407268 408263 411260
      418256 412243 419227 418224 419217 422209 421206 418206
      413206 410207 409202 410198 413198 422201 428204 434199
      440194 443193 446191 444187 454176 458176 463174 465178
      462182 458183 456186 459188 464190 466195 468207 482200
      490197 491197 494193 494187 492183 487174 483165 482160
      479155 474153 471157 467156 454162 450161 447157 440152
      437149 435145 436138 439133 444128 445120 443116 435113
      436107 438103 441096 446092 450090 454090 459090 463089
      471083 477082 478081 476077 473068 473058 473051 476050
      479046 480047 485055 488059 489063 491067 494074 497079
      500081 506089 509097 518116 519122 521126 526136 535157
      538166 540171 541178 542182 542190 541198 539207
 0.01 519667 519681 515692 508705 507710 503716 499726 496738
      493755 489768 483790 480802 475813 470824 467829 465835
      457846 454851 450855 439871 433879 424882 421880 417881
      412883 408882 403878 399875 397871 394867 393863 390860
      378846 375844 370844 365843 359845 329853 321869 319872
      315876 312878 308879 305876 303870 301868 302864 303858
      301854 298853 296850 294844 292839 289834 283830 279828
      275828 268824 260820 252816 250808 248804 247801 250793
      251789 251784 241768 238764 237758 236753 237747 238744
      243742 247740 252739 260738 270734 273734 280732 282731
      286732 296732 307730 326726 334724 340718 351710 359703
      364694 371683 388677 398671 407663 415652 419648 423642
      438637 443637 446630 451625 456625 464622 466616 470611
      474606 479601 483599 486598 489596
 0.01 527242 527238 528233 529228 530224 530219 529216 527218
      526219 524222 523226 524231 524232 525237 525241 525245
      527242
 0.01 450076 448072 447072 444068 441068 439068 436068 439068
      441072 444072 447076 450076 450076
 0.01 421154 421150 421146 422142 422138 422135 422131 422130
      422131 419134 416138 416142 418146 418150 417153 414157
      417158 418157 421154 421154
 0.01 404057 404051 404045 399042 394041 393035 397027 400018
      399004 394982 392977 390973 386967 383964 381959 378956
      376952 371943 366933 363931 360930 357935 358945 360948
      362952 364955 363957 360958 355957 352954 347946 343941
      337936 330934 341972 341977 338981 334984 331987 328994
      325005 322011 318016 315020 311022 304024 291025 292020
      295017 300008 301006 300001 292000 285999 281999 278001
      274004 273008 270012 267010 264008 263005 264001 263999
      258993 253989 247986 239985 234986 231989 231995 232001
      235022 244030 249033 253033 256030 258027 263029 265032
      267037 268047 272049 277049 309053 319052 323050 327049
      333044 336041 341038 344034 348032 353032 357034 360037
      358046 365050 368051 374051 380051 383056 387061 392062
      396057 404057
 0.01 312908 310900 306892 303890 299890 292894 288900 286908
      289930 288937 285946 282951 281956 281960 281963 284966
      287968 290968 297966 301963 303960 307954 310945 312938
      313928 313920 312908 312908
 0.25 506640 504633 501628 495625 491625 486629 480639 473650
      467654 462655 454658 447659 443660 439661 433666 421681
      412689 407694 402698 392702 383703 377705 368710 358716
      350722 342729 331735 321739 313741 300742 296743 291744
      281750 276755 271758 267758 263757 262760 268766 278774
      289786 296789 302790 321787 328787 331787 333791 338802
      339805 344805 351807 360810 363810 367808 373801 375799
      375804 375807 376813 379817 381818 387817 392814 403810
      407807 411802 417799 423800 427801 431805 438808 439813
      439819 436827 432834 429838 431843 433844 436843 441839
      446831 451811 460794 468776 476755 481735 487715 489703
      492695 498684 501677 503671 506655 507644 506640
 0.25 516272 518263 517257 516238 515233 512229 510227 502217
      500213 497210 493211 489212 482213 479213 473215 469218
      467220 463218 458219 457221 454219 447218 440216 437217
      435221 435226 439230 436234 431236 427238 425240 425243
      428246 432248 444249 448249 453252 460262 464265 470268
      482273 492271 503276 506277 511278 514276 516272
 0.25 527184 530175 530163 528157 526149 520138 514124 509113
      505108 502104 493097 486095 479097 473096 470092 467093
      465095 461099 456100 452102 453107 453118 452126 450131
      449136 450139 455143 459146 466146 470144 477144 483147
      485151 488156 490164 492171 496175 503183 509184 513183
      516183 519185 523187 526186 527184
 0.25 479226 478221 475222 472222 469223 466222 464225 465228
      468228 471228 474226 477226 479226
 0.25 374011 372000 368990 362982 357974 354974 352978 353984
      352989 344996 339004 340011 342014 348015 358016 362017
      368018 373015 374011
 0.25 310036 310035 307036 306036 307037 310037 310036
 0.25 287012 286012 283010 282013 284014 286012 287012
 0.50 501645 499639 496634 493637 486658 482662 477665 468668
      463671 459676 454683 450690 443698 437705 430711 426713
      426711 426704 425699 423695 421693 415695 411698 405705
      399710 384719 377719 368719 361720 352727 340737 331741
      323744 308748 298752 294753 290758 287763 288767 292771
      296775 303776 316778 325778 333777 341775 346776 349781
      351786 359784 367777 369771 367765 363762 361761 363756
      367750 371746 381740 386734 392731 397730 403728 406729
      410728 404732 400738 393745 387752 384759 383762 384768
      387773 391774 397773 407769 413768 419764 433761 437759
      441755 447749 454742 462737 467734 473725 477717 480708
      481698 484692 486687 496669 499663 501656 501645
 0.50 526169 525159 522149 518141 513133 505118 501113 496108
      493108 491112 491117 488121 481123 477123 474124 471131
      474137 482142 486147 496162 499168 503170 505169 508167
      513167 517169 522172 525171 526169
 0.50 512261 513250 513242 512237 511234 507229 495226 495233
      498241 497246 494248 487242 483242 481241 477234 469240
      466245 465248 470253 473254 487258 494259 499258 506261
      510262 512261
 0.50 445666 444666 441667 438669 436672 435673 436678 438677
      441675 443673 445670 445666
 0.50 469136 468132 467127 466123 464121 461122 458121 457122
      457126 457127 457131 458135 460138 463139 466138 469136
 0.50 448241 445239 442239 441239 442242 445242 448241
 0.50 392799 389800 386800 384802 383804 384807 385807 386806
      387804 390801 392799
 0.50 363008 364005 362001 361001 358999 356998 355998 352998
      350999 349999 347000 345003 347006 347007 350009 351009
      353010 356010 359010 362010 363008
 1.00 464688 460691 456697 450702 444708 438718 429723 424728
      421733 421738 422743 424745 428746 435746 437740 443733
      453723 456718 459711 459704 460700 462695 464688
 1.00 518158 517148 512141 507136 503134 498135 495135 487130
      484130 482135 484138 489145 491148 494149 498151 503154
      508158 512160 517160 518158
 1.00 414746 413743 411743 408743 406745 404748 403749 402751
      401754 403756 406755 408753 411750 413748 414746
 1.00 365727 361726 356729 346737 338743 333750 323757 319761
      318765 320767 325768 333768 338767 343763 350757 356748
      362741 364737 365731 365727
 1.50 513152 512147 509144 506144 504146 506150 506151 509153
      511154 513152
 1.50 493139 492138 489135 486134 486135 488139 489140 492142
      493139
 1.50 359735 355735 350738 345743 344747 342750 337755 335757
      332761 337762 340761 342759 347756 351751 353747 355744
      358739 359735

24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 503627 496638 492646 489657 485669 480680 477688 475693
      473699 468709 453745 450754 448757 447761 445766 438784
      435792 434795 430797 414813 406817 397822 380822 373822
      364824 360827 358831 354839 352839 350834 353825 356819
      362812 371799 377791 380787 380785 377784 370784 362783
      355779 352776 349774 337768 331765 323762 318762 313764
      311765 306764 302766 297765 291768 278762 272760 269758
      266752 265747 265744 262741 266741 268738 269734 272730
      284720 290714 300707 306703 313700 317697 322696 331694
      333693 337691 343686 346682 352678 357671 390652 399647
      405645 415637 420634 423633 431626 441617 451609 455605
      458604 462602 465602 471595 478595 483593 487592
 0.01 549166 548160 548154 549144 551139 554119 555101 553089
      552082 550075 547062 544056 543048 542045 540038 538033
      537028 531017 522998 512984 508979 505975 502970 494955
      492952 490947 487943 482942 476936 474933 469934 464934
      462932 455928 449922 442914 433899 428893 425891 422886
      418883 415881 411881 404884 399889 394891 389893 380896
      376897 377904 382913 386920 384929 383935 380939 375945
      346944 344945 341948 339949 336947 334945 326938 318936
      311938 309942 310947 311953 313956 315964 320972 319979
      316987 314994 308000 301002 291003 286002 279000 272001
      267004 256005 251006 246005 242010 243021 244025 245027
      245032 241032 233028 231028 230031 231037 236043 247048
      253051 258058 261063 264066 269072 274072 277075 285075
      295075 305075 305067 305062 307061 310062 319062 327062
      333060 343058 349055 361047 365043 369040 373036 377033
      383026 394016 399009 406005 416003 419000 425999 431003
      434005 438006 444001 449000 454002 460005 464011 466017
      466022 466028 464033 459040 456047 455055 453060 453068
      449069 445069 441072 442073 445079 448083 450088 449092
      447095 447097 449103 448110 449117 455122 461116 467112
      474116 478117 481120 482123 482129 479130 474132 473138
      474141 476149 473150 466142 462142 459144 455146 450146
      442144 438149 446163 447166 445169 441173 438174 436177
      434188 433195 435199 436201 439202 442202 445200 450202
      454201 460199 464195 465188 465176 469168 471166 476166
      478164 480166 483169 486176 492186 498195 502198 504202
      509212 519225 535218
 0.01 522267 518264 517262 517249 510231 507225 505220 502218
      492205 487200 483199 480199 473202 467205 461207 458210
      456214 443216 439217 437219 428219 424222 429228 433232
      431236 428237 420236 416235 414239 415243 417245 426249
      430251 428254 423258 420261 420263 424270 429274 435280
      461300 468304 477307 480306 484306 489303 500293 506288
      509285 513286
 0.01 281809 280803 276801 273801 270801 264802 259804 257806
      253810 253814 255817 260815 263817 266815 268813 271813
      274813 279811 281809
 0.01 303904 303900 302900 299898 299897 296899 296902 296905
      295908 295909 293912 293913 296915 297915 299912 301911
      301907 303904 303904
 0.25 487621 486617 483612 480608 477606 475607 469613 455623
      450625 446625 435634 423642 416647 409652 399656 351688
      347688 344691 340696 328700 315707 302715 296723 296729
      298733 303737 306739 313738 318739 327740 338741 344742
      349745 357750 366753 377754 389751 397757 407760 411761
      418761 421760 424758 427754 430747 432739 435734 437731
      447725 455713 464699 470688 477674 482658 485645 487631
      487621
 0.25 542177 543163 543152 543142 540127 537112 536108 532102
      525105 520104 508101 499097 496095 492095 490099 493102
      499113 502123 501127 498131 493135 489137 486138 484142
      485147 490157 496165 502173 517189 525197 528202 534202
      537199 539192 542177
 0.25 510274 512268 511262 506254 501249 497245 492244 484242
      477244 475249 476255 474259 480265 485269 493275 497278
      505279 510274
 0.25 452964 448951 445945 441942 434934 428924 421914 417909
      414908 404907 400910 396914 397922 399929 402935 401940
      396943 393947 391956 389959 386962 381966 376969 374971
      373975 377979 381982 392985 399985 406984 409984 419988
      430989 438984 446974 448968 452964
 0.25 352027 351025 348025 346025 343026 341027 340028 337029
      336031 338033 340033 343032 346031 349029 351027 352027
 0.25 349992 349988 346982 342979 340981 334983 331987 327997
      325008 322013 320017 310015 297015 295014 288014 284017
      282022 281025 282029 287040 290043 294046 305049 312048
      313044 310042 312039 316037 321029 327020 336014 343014
      347010 348006 349992
 0.50 479629 479624 476622 472622 461630 455635 450641 447645
      441652 434661 421672 408681 399685 357692 353691 349693
      346697 340702 323718 321723 324726 328730 333731 342733
      352736 361738 366738 372737 383734 396727 405726 407727
      408731 405737 397748 399749 405751 412752 416752 419750
      422744 423737 425731 425724 424719 421717 418717 418713
      422707 426703 430703 434709 439711 444709 450705 457698
      462690 466683 472672 475665 478657 479642 479629
 0.50 535186 538174 539162 538151 536141 533136 530131 522119
      517115 511112 508114 508121 507130 503135 498139 493143
      492144 491148 493154 498158 507168 512171 517176 526188
      530190 532190 535186 535186
 0.50 399662 398662 396664 395665 397667 399664 399662
 0.50 396669 395669 392671 390673 393672 395670 396669
 0.50 437967 435953 434949 430941 427937 423934 419930 414928
      411932 410938 408946 403951 399954 398963 399967 401971
      405976 414980 426982 430980 434976 437967
 1.00 464654 462648 459647 451652 444660 440665 433673 426680
      423687 422691 424692 433688 441682 448676 456670 462661
      464654
 1.00 528174 530167 531160 529148 527140 524137 522131 520128
      516127 516134 516140 512142 506143 503145 501150 502155
      505157 511161 518167 522173 526175 528174
 1.00 420690 417690 415692 413695 416696 419694 420690
 1.00 411705 409703 407705 405708 402710 402712 403712 406710
      408708 410706 411705
 1.00 368725 367725 364727 363729 365728 367727 368725
 1.00 421962 419959 418955 415959 412960 410963 409965 410966
      413967 416966 418964 421963 421962
 1.50 451661 449662 446664 444666 444667 443671 442673 443673
      446670 447668 448667 449663 451661

$$