Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 162018
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
418 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID SEP 17/0000 UTC THRU SEP 20/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1
~~~~~

SOUTHWEST
~~~~~~~~~
AN INCREASING HEAVY RAIN/POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD THREAT IS EXPECTED
THIS PERIOD AS MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES (PWS)
WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
WITHIN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF ODILE. PW ANOMALIES OF 2-4.5
SIGMAS ABOVE THE MEAN -- NEAR RECORD VALUES FOR MID-SEPTEMBER --
ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. FROM FAR SOUTHEAST
CA, FAR SOUTHERN NV, MUCH OF AZ, SOUTHERN NM, AND WESTERNMOST TX.
AROUND 25+ KTS OF 700 HPA INFLOW (PER RECENT GUIDANCE) COULD
ORGANIZE CONVECTION NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.  THE EXPECTED EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD ALLOW
ANY CONVECTION WHICH BUILDS WITHIN TOPOGRAPHY ACROSS SOUTHEAST AZ
AND THE MOGOLLON RIM TO MIGRATE OUTWARD TOWARDS VALLEY/DESERT
FLOORS TODAY.  DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY, THE FLOW BECOMES MORE
SOUTHERLY WHICH SHOULD CONFINE THE THREAT MORE TO THE MOGOLLON RIM
AND SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS OF AZ, POTENTIALLY LEAVING THE
DESERT/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY HIGH AND DRY.

THE BIG QUESTION -- OTHER THAN TRACK -- CONCERNS WHERE INSTABILITY
WILL MAXIMIZE EACH DAY.  SATELLITE TRENDS SUGGEST PLACES JUST
OUTSIDE ODILE`S OUTFLOW JET/CLOUD SHIELD NEAR THE LOWER COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY AND THE MOGOLLON RIM COULD BE THE MOST UNSTABLE AND
THAT RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST AZ/SOUTHERN NM/WESTERNMOST TX COULD
BE MORE STRATIFORM OR MORE OF A LONGER DURATION FLOOD CONCERN
RATHER THAN A FLASH FLOOD CONCERN THROUGH TOMORROW.  CORE RAINFALL
FROM SOME PORTION OF ODILE`S CIRCULATION (MOST LIKELY AT 700 HPA
AND 500 HPA) IS EXPECTED TO NEAR THE AZ BORDER LATE TOMORROW.
LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 4" ARE POSSIBLE HERE WHERE A HEAVY RAIN BAND
AND/OR CONVECTIVE CELLS MERGE AND/OR TRAIN, WHICH WOULD APPROACH
ANNUAL AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR THE REGION.  THE HEAVY
RAINFALL EVENT EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS COULD RIVAL THAT OF
MONDAY SEPTEMBER 8 WHICH OCCURRED AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF NORBERT,
THOUGH IT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER A LONGER TIME INTERVAL.  WENT
SOMEWHAT BELOW 12Z WPC QPF CONTINUITY IN THIS REGION PER
COORDINATION WITH THE TUCSON AZ FORECAST OFFICE, WHICH WAS
WELL-SUPPORTED BY THE 00Z GEFS- AND CLIMATOLOGY-BASED QPF
REFORECAST.


MISSOURI
~~~~~~~~
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT DUE TO A STRENGTHENING WARM
AIR ADVECTION PATTERN, WITH INCREASING BUT NARROW INFLOW AT 850
HPA INTO THE REGION TOWARDS 25-30 KTS.  THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD PER CORFIDI VECTORS, NEAR WHERE THE
1000-500 HPA THICKNESS IS MOST DIFFLUENT.  THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL
CAP, REPRESENTED BY 700 HPA TEMPERATURES >12C, IS SOMEWHAT REMOVED
FROM THIS REGION, LYING ACROSS WESTERN KS.  STANDARDIZED ANOMALIES
IN THE PRECIPITABLE WATER FIELD IN THIS REGION ARE LIMITED,
LURKING NEAR ONE SIGMA ABOVE AVERAGE FOR MID-SEPTEMBER WITH PW
VALUES IN THE 1.50-1.75" RANGE.  AS THE SYSTEM CAUSING THIS REGIME
IS FAST-MOVING, BELIEVE AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS WILL BE RATHER
LIMITED.  STAYED THE COURSE WITH 12Z WPC QPF CONTINUITY, WHICH
REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE AVAILABLE GUIDANCE.  LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 2-3"
ARE POSSIBLE WHERE CELLS MANAGE TO MERGE AND/OR TRAIN.


CENTRAL GULF COAST/COASTAL SOUTHEAST/FLORIDA
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, ANOTHER ROUND HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE
NEAR THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEAST AND THE CAROLINA PIEDMONT.  AN
AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES -- 1.5+ STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
THE MEAN OR NEAR 2" -- WILL EXIST IN THE VICINITY OF THE WEAKENING
STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHING ALONG THE GULF COAST INTO THE COASTAL
SOUTHEAST.  WIDESPREAD SCATTERED CONVECTION IS LIKELY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THIS FRONT IN A REGION OF ENHANCED UVVS FROM FAVORABLE
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION UPPER JET DYNAMICS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS
THIS AREA LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING.  ISOLATED VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
AMOUNTS HAVE FALLEN THE PAST TWO DAYS ALONG COASTAL SECTIONS OF SC
AND GA---WITH THIS POTENTIAL AGAIN POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL GA INTO
FAR NORTHEAST FL.  ISOLATED TOTALS OF 3-5"+ REMAIN POSSIBLE.  ON
WEDNESDAY, THE BOUNDARY SLIPS SOUTHWARD INTO FL WHICH SHOULD
BECOME THE FOCUS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL.  LOCAL AMOUNTS IN
FL ON WEDNESDAY IN THE 3-4" RANGE ARE POSSIBLE WHERE CELLS MERGE
AND/OR TRAIN.


DAYS 2/3...

...SOUTHWEST TO SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS OF TEXAS...

WIDESPREAD MODERATE-HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED BOTH DAYS ACROSS THE
REGION AS TROPICAL CYCLONE ODILE IS FORECAST TO DRIFT ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CA ON WED BEFORE THE LOW LEVEL CENTER DISSIPATES
OVER SOUTHERN AZ LATE THU.  WPC QPF BLENDED THE 12Z ECMWF/12Z
UKMET QPF THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD.  THE 12Z GFS CONTINUES TO
STREAK THE RAINFALL FASTER TO THE EAST AND PRODUCES BULLS EYES
OVER NM WHICH ARE LOW CONFIDENCE IN AMOUNTS/COVERAGE...SO THE GFS
QPF WAS GIVEN LESS WEIGHT.  THE 12Z NAM 700 MB LOW TRACK WAS NORTH
OF THE PREFERRED CLUSTER...SO WHILE ITS AMOUNTS MAY NOT BE TOO
BAD...THE LOCATION OF THE QPF AXIS WAS ADJUSTED SOUTH TOWARDS THE
MAJORITY LOW TRACK.
HOWEVER...THE 12Z ECMWF DOES AGREE WITH THE IDEA OF A SLIGHTLY
FASTER EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE 700 MB LOW...SO AMOUNTS ARE A
LITTLE LOWER THAN PRIOR FCSTS AS A RESULT OF THIS FASTER TREND
(SHORTER DURATION OF RAINFALL AS A RESULT).

THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ON DAY 2 ARE EXPECTED TO FOCUS ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN AZ INTO NM...COINCIDENT WITH THE GREATER 700 MB
CONVERGENCE AND OVERLAP WITH THE HIGHLY ANOMALOUS PWS/LOW LEVEL
DEWPOINTS.

ON DAY 3...ALTHOUGH THE LOW LEVEL CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH ODILE MAY
NO LONGER BE DEFINABLE...PLENTY OF DEEP MOISTURE WILL
REMAIN...WHICH ALONG WITH AMPLE MID-UPPER FORCING WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT A HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THREAT.  THE ECMWF INDICATES
THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY AMOUNTS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST
ACROSS NM INTO THE TX PANHANDLE/WEST TEXAS...WITH AN EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL THREAT OUTLOOKED ACROSS THESE AREAS ON DAY 3.

...CENTRAL TEXAS TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...

MODELS SHOW PLENTY OF MOISTURE REMAINING IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL
TX TO THE TX GULF COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH PWS INCREASING
TO AROUND 2 INCHES.  THIS MOISTURE INTERACTING WITH LOW LEVEL
CYCLONIC SHEAR AXES
AND SPORADIC LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE/UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE MAXIMA
IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE WITH SOME HEAVY AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE TX COAST.  MANUAL PROGS BLENDED
THE 00-12Z ECMWF AND GFS QPF AMOUNTS.

...FLORIDA...

AS A COLD FRONT DRIFTS SOUTH ACROSS THE PENINSULA....DEEP MOISTURE
POOLING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA IS TAPED BY SPORADIC LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE/UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA IN CONJUNCTION WITH LAKE AND
SEA BREEZES TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW REMAINS LIGHT SO SLOW MOVING STORMS COULD PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINS.  THIS LOOKS TO BE AN EXTENDED PERIOD WITH ENHANCED
SHOWER/STORM ACTIVITY AS THE FRONT LINGERS AND DRIFTS SLOWLY.
MANUAL PROGS BLENDED THE 12Z GFS/12Z ECMWF/12Z UKMET.

...CENTRAL PLAINS TO MID/LOWER MS VALLEY...

INCREASING WARM AIR/MOISTURE ADVECTION INTERACTING WITH LOW-MID
LEVEL CONFLUENT FLOW AND FRONTOGENESIS MAY PRODUCE A COUPLE OF
ROUNDS OF CONVECTION DAY 2.  MODELS DIFFER SIGNIFICANTLY ON THE
AXIS/ORIENTATION OF THE CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS/STORMS...AND THEREFORE
FOLLOWED A MULTI-MODEL BLEND WITH BELOW AVERAGE FORECAST
CONFIDENCE. THE MID LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE AREA DAY 3...WITH
QPF AMOUNTS/COVERAGE DECREASING AS A RESULT.

...GREAT BASIN...
A PACIFIC TROUGH MOVES SLOWLY EAST WITH RETURN LOW LEVEL FLOW
ADVECTING MOISTURE NORTH ONSHORE INTO OR AND CA ON DAY 2 AND THEN
ACROSS CA INTO NV/UT DAY 3.  IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH...AN
UPPER LEVEL JET MAX SUPPORTS UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA CROSSING CA
INTO OR DAY 2 AND THEN NV INTO UT DAY 3.  THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE
TROUGH LEADS TO PERSISTENT SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN UT ON DAY 3.
MANUAL PROGS BLENDED THE MULTI-MODEL AND SREF MEAN/00Z ECMWF
ENSEMBLE MEAN QPF BOTH DAYS 2-3.

ROTH/PETERSEN

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 18/00Z
 0.01 525722 524711 523706 521702 515698 510697 503699 499700
      496704 486719 483725 482728 479729 476719 473712 471708
      468709 465717 460736 457751 455771 454774 450777 448780
      448783 452792 455806 456827 457832 459837 460841 460846
      461858 462872 463883 465888 468893 482917 485927 489935
      497952 499958 501961 505961 509969 511977 518994 521002
      526011 530016 533017 534014 534002 532992 530982 528970
      523949 518934 511919 507898 502875 493838 492824 490813
      488802 488790 490773 493754 496745 499737 503734 508733
      517731 523728 525722
 0.01 511173 509166 508159 508150 506147 503146 498143 492140
      489139 488142 490145 494149 497154 502158 502168 505173
      511173
 0.01 487220 488215 488210 486209 483208 481208 478209 476209
      472211 470213 469215 470218 473219 475218 478219 481220
      483222 484221 487220
 0.01 472272 473263 473255 471248 464244 441243 435241 431236
      421228 408223 400221 393222 389224 385228 380233 377240
      375255 374257 376260 380264 391271 405277 411278 417278
      421280 425286 434294 442297 445298 448297 453297 458295
      462291 466285 472272
 0.01 456140 454133 456129 456123 457118 456114 457111 458105
      454099 452095 448094 445093 442091 436093 426091 426094
      428097 431100 431103 430106 425109 425110 430111 433112
      435115 440115 442116 444118 446121 444127 441134 439143
      439147 442149 446147 454145 456140
 0.01 409112 410103 409096 405098 404104 402108 398106 396108
      395112 392114 388116 392114 395115 398113 405114 407114
      409112
 0.01 407031 403028 400023 397016 397009 394004 391004 388006
      385008 385013 386015 388020 391025 395030 400035 403033
      407031
 0.01 407956 407949 405944 398935 395931 393925 391919 390911
      387899 385893 381886 379887 376891 370902 364911 360914
      356919 343936 339938 337939 337943 339947 339952 341958
      344961 349963 355961 363956 370954 375958 380965 382968
      386968 391966 397966 402966 405961 407956
 0.01 378698 366694 363693 359693 353690 332694 328695 325697
      318702 302714 297721 292723 289727 285736 280744 271758
      263771 259786 255794 250801 245809 243816 248835 250846
      252859 254884 255891 257896 260909 261912 261918 260926
      259935 259945 255951 250957 244964 239971 242978 244982
      246984 257987 261989 263990 264993 265003 266007 262010
      259013 261017 266019 270020 274021 280025 283026 287027
      291026 294023 291019 290015 291011 295008 300009 307014
      310017 310021 304029 302034 301042 302046 302051 297054
      291053 269050 260049 252053 247053 244055 242064 245070
      248075 250079 253081 258086 262089 261093 260105 262113
      265121 263132 266140 272149 278155 289159 295161 300160
      304160 308163 312163 315162 318160 322162 325163 326168
      329171 334173 338175 341179 345180 346176 349167 351162
      356161 362163 367166 371165 373163 371158 372153 371149
      367146 365141 363137 362131 363127 365122 363118 356114
      358106 365108 368106 367104 362099 368093 363086 363078
      368076 370078 373082 377092 377099 380096 382083 383079
      381075 380069 377065 372050 368049 363047 360046 357048
      351051 347052 343050 343044 345041 347037 345033 339027
      337023 338018 338010 337004 337988 334965 332953 329945
      325936 320928 315922 311917 306911 303903 302891 302884
      303877 306883 309886 313886 315883 316877 316871 315865
      313861 312853 310841 309828 310824 313822 319821 322820
      328818 333816 336819 342826 345829 352829 356822 361814
      367809 371806 376805 378803 379798 380793 378793 371788
      366785 365780 363773 364768 367758 369746 370742 370735
      371722 378698
 0.01 347160 347158 346157 344156 343155 342155 341153 339153
      338154 337156 338159 338160 340161 341161 342163 343162
      344161 345162 347160
 0.25 494899 488871 484841 482826 481814 477801 475785 472772
      470766 467769 464781 463788 464797 464804 463810 463817
      464824 468834 473845 475850 477856 478864 480872 485882
      487897 490903 493901 494899
 0.25 445267 444262 439261 432259 425258 421257 416257 413262
      416266 423270 430272 436272 441271 445267
 0.25 397952 396946 393940 387929 385923 384918 382916 377915
      371917 364926 359928 356934 354940 353942 354946 360946
      366945 371945 375949 380953 386956 392955 397952
 0.25 366157 364155 363155 362157 362158 364159 366157
 0.25 352715 351710 349708 344704 340702 337703 330705 322710
      316714 309720 302727 295738 286751 279763 274772 271781
      266794 264797 261800 255804 253808 255815 253825 254830
      257832 259835 259840 258857 259866 262874 265883 269891
      272899 273913 276948 272957 268964 266968 267972 268976
      271980 310974 313967 314964 314959 313949 311941 306935
      303933 301929 295922 293912 293894 294882 294874 294850
      294839 294826 295822 297820 303817 315807 328796 331794
      335792 341797 344799 348798 353795 354790 354783 352781
      351775 354767 355762 353758 347751 346746 345739 352715
 0.25 356122 349107 347096 346083 345073 340066 340054 337049
      333045 330043 325043 321044 317046 308061 300062 289061
      284061 280063 276065 271064 264061 258060 254061 252063
      253065 255069 262076 269079 280080 290083 292088 291092
      289093 283096 281099 281103 278107 277112 278118 276123
      273126 273131 274142 276146 279149 283153 288154 297156
      307157 314153 321145 326139 333135 337133 341132 348134
      353133 353128 356122
 0.50 390949 389943 387936 384929 382925 377921 371923 369929
      367936 372938 376943 379947 384950 387951 390949
 0.50 346719 346714 343710 337711 331713 326715 321718 315720
      312723 306730 301738 296747 289757 284764 280773 278783
      274787 272793 266799 259805 257810 259816 260823 264827
      262849 262857 263865 264870 268876 274882 278883 283883
      285873 289860 290816 299812 303809 305805 312798 316793
      316789 314786 308782 304779 305774 308763 313753 316750
      321749 329752 332754 336753 337747 336740 339733 344727
      346722 346719
 0.50 354120 349113 346106 342085 342079 342075 336069 334065
      334063 336059 335054 329051 324050 321051 318054 317059
      319063 319067 316069 313069 303066 292066 288067 287070
      285072 282072 274070 265067 262068 263072 266075 270076
      280077 289079 293082 296086 297089 296093 291098 287100
      286104 281113 279123 276130 277139 278144 281148 288151
      298154 303154 308154 312152 315148 322133 328126 331123
      335122 342124 347127 349123 354120
 0.50 307952 305945 302941 298939 294941 290945 288952 285957
      281962 283964 290964 296963 302962 305958 307952
 1.00 377931 376929 375929 373928 373929 373930 374931 375934
      377931
 1.00 328057 327056 326057 327057 328057 346114 346113 345112
344111
      342110 342111 342112 343114 344114 345114 346114
 1.00 340104 341100 341096 339089 338082 337078 335075 330073
      325076 322082 322087 318084 314079 309075 303074 298076
      296079 297082 302087 308090 309092 309095 305098 299100
      294105 287113 284119 281126 279131 279138 282144 287148
      300152 308151 313146 315132 319126 321119 322113 321106
      323100 328096 331098 332104 336106 340104
 1.00 299798 299792 298788 296783 293782 291784 289789 287791
      286796 286802 289804 293805 296804 299800 299798
 1.00 296765 295763 295762 295763 294764 293765 292767 292769
      292771 293772 294771 295769 295767 296765 296765
 1.00 278805 278803 276801 275801 274801 272801 270801 269802
      268802 267803 266804 265805 264806 265808 265809 267810
      269810 271809 273809 274808 276807 278805 278805
 1.00 279834 278829 275826 272826 271832 270837 269841 269847
      270853 273857 275853 276848 277843 278838 279834
 1.50 336091 337089 336086 336084 336083 335082 334080 334079
      332079 330078 330079 329080 328081 328083 330086 332088
      333089 334090 335091 336091
 1.50 318118 318112 317108 315106 311104 304105 295110 291112
      287117 282128 280131 280135 282141 285145 292148 303150
      308148 311143 312138 313131 316125 318118
 1.50 320093 319091 318091 317089 316090 316092 316094 317095
      318095 320095 320094 320093
 2.00 316122 316116 315112 309109 304111 294113 290116 287120
      282130 281134 282139 285143 290146 301149 305148 309145
      311135 315123 316122
 3.00 312126 313121 312118 305117 298115 294120 291121 289125
      285132 283135 284139 286142 289144 298147 305146 308142
      308138 309132 312126
 4.00 310126 307121 301119 297122 295125 296130 297137 290136
      287136 286138 289142 296145 304145 306140 308132 310126
 5.00 305134 306132 306130 306127 304126 302125 301124 299124
      300127 301129 302130 303131 303133 304134 305134 305134

24HR QP VT 19/00Z
 0.01 538205 538191 537185 534180 531171 530166 527162 523153
      519151 516150 510151 505150 501150 498159 495161 491165
      489172 491183 494194 493201 490204 482206 474209 470210
      467214 462213 457214 451212 447209 443203 434202 429201
      426197 427184 426181 426176 429173 430173 440169 448166
      450169 449173 448180 450183 454179 456174 457167 458159
      460155 465148 466144 467137 468122 473111 472106 470102
      464096 459088 455078 451075 447072 445070 441072 442076
      445080 447085 443089 435091 431093 426094 423098 419100
      414100 411098 403099 396103 390109 384116 375120 371121
      369121 367119 363113 359105 358102 359099 361095 364092
      366087 362075 369055 366046 362038 353020 347013 342008
      337999 334995 333990 335982 336977 342976 350974 353970
      357969 361970 367971 376977 390988 396995 402003 408007
      411010 416010 423007 432009 434006 433001 428992 423985
      419977 417973 414968 412955 411949 409945 404935 393925
      388918 384909 377901 369895 362891 352888 345885 340884
      336886 334889 333894 331897 327899 323897 319894 313888
      303869 294868 286868 282867 278864 277852 277839 277833
      277829 280828 287823 292816 295811 299809 302809 304812
      305819 310822 320821 335811 342805 348796 353789 356788
      359790 362794 364796 363798 360803 356806 351813 348820
      347824 349827 354826 358821 361813 368806 377792 376787
      374781 370777 368775 368771 369766 368760 371749 379735
      383727 385722 385717 382702 383697 382689 377680 374677
      369677 365676 360677 347680 338682 330687 322693 315700
      303713 294717 287723 281729 273737 268742 261749 255763
      251772 248780
 0.01 248780 243793 240804 238820 237832 239850 242862 246877
      248884 249893 252908 256920 257930 256935 255938 255956
      255964 256970 257978 261984 265987 270991 274997 276003
      275008 273009 269011 267009 260008 255004 247998 243003
      242010 246014 251016 257019 263023 272030 270037 266042
      254041 248043 244046 241052 235057 236063 236066 238068
      243072 246076 254077 263080 273086 278090 280091 280094
      274095 274103 276105 276109 275117 277124 280130 283135
      288140 301145 305147 312145 317142 322137 326132 329128
      332126 334128 334137 336139 339140 344136 355133 361134
      365135 368138 375139 377142 378147 379154 382161 385166
      390170 392173 389173 385177 383180 383182 392184 395181
      396174 395172 397171 400171 407173 421178 425184 423194
      419198 414198 411199 408203 405204 401203 388198 384198
      383201 383207 385208 389213 391215 390217 389221 386223
      379221 375220 372222 374230 376237 380243 387252 396263
      404272 409277 414282 423290 429295 438298 445301 451300
      457299 460295 468283 471277 476271 480267 485265 492267
      495270 496273 499279 503284 506286 509286 513278 515269
      518258 520250 520241 519232 517223 517215 521217 523219
      525222 528224 531225 532222 536213 538205
 0.01 503663 502652 500645 493632 488629 483630 480633 476638
      474646 472651 467663 465666 461667 455669 449672 446675
      445678 445681 451679 459677 462679 462684 461690 458697
      454702 450706 443714 445719 444725 442727 435736 429747
      427753 426759 425763 425768 426777 428786 429783 433771
      436756 441744 442735 446730 450727 454725 450756 451774
      452792 453802 455808 456813 457815 461814 464809 466803
      471789 473783 475778 478770 481764 484751 487737 488722
      489714 492707 495700 497694 500682 502671 503663
 0.01 511973 511967 509965 504962 498959 491958 485957 481959
      476964 476972 478974 482975 487973 491973 494976 493987
      494997 495002 496005 498015 499018 501018 505014 505003
      505998 504994 504983 511973
 0.01 478223 477223 476221 474220 473220 471221 472223 474224
      476224 477223 478223
 0.01 436143 435141 435136 434133 431131 429133 427134 426139
      426143 425148 424153 427155 429154 432152 434150 435145
      436143
 0.25 526198 526193 525190 524187 523184 521183 518182 514181
      512181 512185 514188 515190 517193 519195 521198 522200
      525201 526198
 0.25 512252 511246 507240 503236 500232 497224 496222 494223
      496226 495229 498235 495246 491248 486244 477237 473240
      472244 474247 479249 485251 491255 494259 497262 501262
      505258 512252
 0.25 486666 485662 482659 479659 477661 473670 473680 473690
      472699 469708 468717 466726 464735 464745 465751 467752
      470746 472736 473726 475717 478699 484684 486676 486666
 0.25 453270 455266 454263 454256 452245 441229 444226 446224
      445220 440219 436221 430226 429229 427229 425227 408217
      399212 396212 399216 402221 401226 399232 397234 396239
      399243 403247 405250 405257 408260 415263 431272 441273
      450271 453270
 0.25 414146 414145 413143 412143 411143 410143 409143 407145
      405147 403149 402151 401153 402154 404155 406155 407155
      409154 411152 412151 412150 413148 414147 414146
 0.25 406979 406972 405966 403956 401947 397940 386924 376911
      371905 365901 358897 352897 346898 339902 336905 334909
      333915 330917 326917 323919 318926 315929 312927 302916
      283887 273876 270870 269860 269850 270837 272818 287789
      292782 296775 305759 309752 314745 321742 329739 334738
      338738 340742 339746 332760 331767 334769 336768 340765
      344760 349753 352746 353742 352738 345734 343728 344722
      350706 352701 352698 350697 341700 325708 318712 311717
      266763 259770 256776 254787 254792 252796 248801 245809
      245819 245829 247840 250851 251862 253869 255889 258899
      260907 263915 265924 268934 269945 269955 268965 268970
      269974 274980 279988 280990 283990 284993 288999 290003
      293006 305015 308018 306023 300031 295035 293040 294044
      297052 299056 299059 296062 291063 285063 280061 274057
      271054 268054 266058 268061 274067 280071 283073 288073
      296073 299076 301079 301083 299087 293095 288102 285109
      285114 286119 288124 290128 294134 300138 305139 308138
      315133 327122 333117 340115 343112 345108 345101 347094
      350086 351081 350075 349067 352059 353053 351048 347040
      343032 339026 334018 329014 323008 322995 321975 320963
      321949 322945 327944 335945 339945 343943 345943 347947
      352954 356958 359961 373967 387974 397981 403982 406979
 0.50 483667 483666 481667 479668 478668 478671 478673 478676
      479677 481676 481675 482672 483669 483668 483667
 0.50 444260 442257 438254 433251 432246 430246 427249 428255
      425257 425261 429264 434265 438265 442263 444260
 0.50 395961 396955 396949 393941 385929 375918 366907 364905
      360904 355904 351905 346910 346918 349925 352933 354941
      357947 363952 370956 375960 381963 389965 394963 395961
 0.50 344092 345084 345077 345061 346053 344047 339036 331030
      325029 321030 317034 315039 315052 314059 312066 309069
      307075 306087 299095 296098 293104 291110 291115 292121
      296125 305131 316128 324122 339106 342099 344092
 0.50 329720 327718 322721 312725 309726 305730 299737 287751
      274764 264780 263783 262786 263789 270795 275793 278790
      284783 290776 295769 303753 313736 327723 329720
 0.50 317992 317985 316978 312969 310961 309955 305944 301933
      296922 286902 277898 272895 268898 268914 270928 272941
      276954 279965 283976 292995 299004 303007 309009 313007
      316001 317992
 0.50 308043 308041 308038 308036 308035 307034 306034 304033
      303034 301035 300036 299037 298038 297039 297040 297042
      298044 298045 300045 302045 304045 305045 306045 307043
      308043
 0.50 266810 265805 263801 259800 254801 251804 250808 249812
      249818 250830 250837 251842 253846 256849 260851 262848
      263837 263827 265817 266810
 1.00 385949 385947 384945 384944 383943 382942 381940 380940
      379940 377940 377943 378945 379946 379947 380948 382949
      382950 384950 385949
 1.00 339093 340083 340074 339067 335062 331061 328062 323065
      315075 311090 303101 300107 299111 300116 302121 304123
      308125 315124 319121 325116 329111 332106 336099 339093
 1.00 310992 309984 306979 303972 301969 301964 299948 297941
      294935 285928 281927 280928 279935 280942 283948 292956
      295963 295968 295978 297985 304995 307996 309994 310992
 1.50 335091 336079 336074 334069 330069 326071 322075 319080
      315090 310099 308104 306110 307116 310120 315119 319117
      326110 330101 335091
 2.00 329096 331091 331086 330077 327077 325079 321087 317092
      313099 311107 311111 313114 316114 320112 324108 328100
      329096
 3.00 324098 324096 324095 323093 322093 321093 320094 319095
      318096 318097 317099 317101 316103 317105 318106 319106
      320104 321103 322102 323100 323099 324098

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 537213 538207 539200 537191 534182 530175 527168 525165
      521164 515164 512157 505156 502157 501162 493176 500191
      505190 507200 513204 516211 518215 521217 528216 532217
      534216 537213
 0.01 551906 551879 550852 548840 546831 539813 538799 535791
      534786 531783 527779 524777 519778 516779 513781 506786
      501792 491802 485806 480812 460834 451845 446851 442857
      438865 435873 433883 433895 433901 430904 426907 422909
      417910 409910 395906 392907 391912 391922 387927 385930
      386935 390951 391954 394956 396959 400959 403956 405952
      405940 402933 406931 410931 414931 419933 426933 427935
      427938 427944 428955 428961 429966 430971 433976 438979
      444983 447991 451996 453998 457999 464998 470990 472987
      474982 477980 479982 485985 493998 498003 504006 513007
      519002 523996 526989 528984 528978 529966 530954 535947
      541942 545936 550922 550911 551906
 0.01 516275 518268 519259 519251 518245 512238 512231 509227
      503219 498208 495206 490206 480204 472206 468210 468216
      469221 472224 476224 482225 492229 495233 496239 500249
      501251 500255 496252 492250 490252 491257 492264 495275
      497281 501283 506284 509284 512281 515276 516275
 0.01 488252 488247 486244 485242 482240 480238 477237 475237
      473239 472244 473247 475250 477252 478254 481256 485256
      486254 488252
 0.01 485148 484143 485136 484130 481127 478128 474130 472133
      470138 472142 474146 477149 481151 484149 485148
 0.01 464149 465144 463143 460143 458145 455149 451156 449162
      445167 442171 444176 449175 454176 457170 459167 459163
      461153 464149
 0.01 452223 451217 447218 441217 436218 427220 418222 414219
      408217 404218 406222 406229 411231 416230 420231 426230
      431234 433236 436233 444228 448226 452223
 0.01 467078 466067 464060 463056 462055 458054 454061 452063
      447065 439064 435061 433059 430053 429049 426041 424037
      421034 406027 395016 390010 382004 375999 368995 361992
      355990 348986 343980 334969 328962 323958 317951 314947
      313944 313941 313929 312918 310911 305903 302893 298886
      290874 289871 289868 291867 295870 297874 301880 305884
      309886 311885 316879 318875 318870 317858 314850 310837
      312833 315830 320824 324817 328810 334797 353771 355764
      357756 358752 357749 352744 346738 342737 338738 328744
      321749 313753 307757 300761 291763 288765 284766 276768
      258774 240780 239784 239790 237799 236809 236819 238840
      241882 242890 243902 243907 245911 246920 248929 249938
      249960 249971 251975 251979 243983 240985 240992 240997
      241001 244009 247014 250016 254017 258019 260019 261022
      264027 267031 266035 260035 258037 254042 254053 258058
      264063 273066 278072 281074 286076 292079 295082 298083
      294085 288084 285085 284089 285091 289096 292104 294111
      296119 304123 306123 308120 312119 313124 313131 319145
      320149 321148 325148 329146 335141 340135 339131 339124
      343122 344117 345106 346102 348106 350112 357113 359112
      360114 362118 366120 368123 366126 365135 368137 369140
      374142 377141 384138 387134 391133 395144 398147 401149
      402152 401155 398159 392163 392168 395168 401167 408164
      421156 428142 431137 435136 442142 446143 449141 453137
      454132 454122 459116 461113 463108 464105 464102 462097
      461091 462084 467078
 0.01 442081 442079 441077 439075 438076 438079 437081 439082
      440083 442081
 0.01 394209 394207 394206 392204 390203 389201 387200 386198
      384198 383200 383202 383203 385205 386206 388208 390209
      391209 393210 394209
 0.01 391103 392100 392098 390096 389095 387093 386095 385097
      386099 387100 388102 390104 391103
 0.01 373111 373107 372104 372098 374093 374089 371084 370080
      367080 365081 364085 368086 368088 367095 363101 363105
      364108 365112 369113 373111
 0.25 530202 528196 526190 523184 519180 514176 512174 509175
      508180 509185 512189 516194 520199 523205 526206 529205
      530202
 0.25 513266 514261 512255 509252 506250 506257 509262 509265
      505267 502270 502273 503275 507277 509275 511271 513266
 0.25 528828 527822 525818 519814 517808 513805 509806 506810
      502818 499827 491848 488856 482862 476867 467871 459874
      453880 448887 443895 441900 440906 441918 445929 448940
      450949 452954 455958 459961 462959 469952 474947 482944
      485946 486950 489954 493957 502959 508962 512962 515959
      517955 518948 520941 520935 522924 521897 520892 521887
      521879 520875 519869 519865 523854 527841 528828
 0.25 437110 437109 435107 434106 432105 430105 428104 427104
      425103 423104 422105 423106 423107 424110 426109 428110
      429111 429113 429114 431115 433115 434114 435114 436112
      437111 437110
 0.25 418125 419120 418116 419111 421107 420103 417099 412095
      408095 405098 403107 398112 396115 395119 400125 401132
      405134 410134 415130 418125
 0.25 376051 374041 376032 374026 372023 368016 366012 362009
      355004 338997 331993 324989 317984 314981 312977 308969
      305959 303947 303937 301926 299917 296906 293899 285883
      281874 277863 276852 276843 277832 276823 273812 273806
      274802 273798 268794 260792 254792 251794 248797 246801
      245809 246821 251840 252845 253852 252863 251873 251884
      252897 254905 256914 259922 263931 265943 264954 263963
      261969 262976 264983 266987 269991 276996 282002 286005
      289007 295007 298005 302002 305005 307009 308013 308019
      306024 303027 301031 297035 293037 289039 287044 287051
      298053 301055 304058 308066 313073 319079 324086 321106
      326112 328114 332114 335111 337106 342100 354089 364072
      371061 375055 376051
 0.25 317783 315781 312782 307788 303793 299799 296801 294804
      292806 295809 302810 307808 311803 314796 315787 317783
 0.25 280053 280052 279051 278050 276049 274049 272048 271048
      269049 267050 266052 267053 267054 268055 270055 272056
      274055 276055 277055 279053 280053
 0.50 512931 512922 508916 504911 502907 501903 503897 506888
      506879 504872 501871 499874 496883 490896 485899 482904
      480907 477909 479916 482922 486929 491932 497933 503934
      509937 511934 512931
 0.50 403118 403116 401115 401116 400118 401118 403118 403118
 0.50 369052 369041 369034 368028 364021 359014 351010 342011
      331011 327013 325016 323028 317033 315037 313043 316054
      314060 314066 316070 320073 326078 332084 335088 338090
      343090 348088 353082 357073 362067 366058 369052
 0.50 301983 302977 301971 300961 297939 295929 293919 290910
      286901 278885 274877 270867 267858 266848 267838 269833
      268827 267820 266817 266807 266800 262797 257798 254800
      251809 251816 252826 255836 256848 257859 258885 262904
      265915 269923 272931 273942 272954 272962 271966 270970
      271974 277980 279983 283985 286987 292989 294990 297989
      301983
 1.00 358053 358042 358039 355036 348037 342041 337047 338052
      339055 341064 342068 344072 346072 347070 353064 356058
      358053
 1.00 329051 327051 326051 327052 329053 329051
 1.00 321046 320044 318043 318044 320046 321046
 1.00 291962 292960 291958 291956 290955 289954 288953 287953
      285954 284956 283958 283960 283962 285964 286965 288965
      290964 291962

$$





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