Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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659
FXUS04 KWBC 210859
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
458 AM EDT MON AUG 21 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 21/1200 UTC THRU AUG 24/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY INTO THE MID AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...

THE MODELS...INCLUDING THE HIGH-RES CAMS... CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE
WITH THE QPF DETAILS ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
WESTERLIES...DUE IN LARGE PART TO THE CONVECTIVE CONTRIBUTION WITH
LOCATION/TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH MCS GENESIS AND TRACK.
DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER IN THE PERIOD (MON NIGHT-EARLY
TUE) PER A NOTICEABLE UPTICK IN BROAD-SCALE FORCING...AS AN
AMPLIFYING UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND
ATTENDANT HEIGHT FALLS ALLOWS FOR STRENGTHENING LOWER TROPOSPHERIC
FRONTOGENESIS AND A MORE PROGRESSIVE COLD FRONT/PRE-FRONTAL
CONVECTION.

WPC QPF LEANED HEAVILY TOWARD A BLEND OF CONTINUITY (PREVIOUS
FCST) WITH HRRR/NBM TRENDS EARLY (THROUGH 18Z MON)...THEREAFTER A
COMBINATION OF THE 00Z WPC GUIDANCE WITH THE LATEST NBM AND
HREF/HREF VERSION 2 ENSEMBLE MEANS. THE NSSL-WRF OF LATE HAS BEEN
STRUGGLING WITH THE 6 HOURLY DETAILS...PARTICULARLY WITH THE
FORMATION OF NOCTURNAL/ELEVATED CONVECTION (TOO FAR SOUTH OF THE
PRIMARY LOW-LEVEL BOUNDARY WHERE LIMITED SUPPORT FOR DEEP-LAYER
ASCENT RESULTS IN A STRONGER MID LEVEL CAP). THE AFOREMENTIONED
MEANS OFFER A VIABLE COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE LATITUDINAL SPREAD IN
THE HIGH-RES GUIDANCE OVERNIGHT MON-EARLY TUE...WHICH WOULD PUT
EASTERN KS AND NORTHWEST- WEST-CENTRAL MO IN THE CROSS HAIRS FOR
HEAVIEST RAINFALL DURING THE DAY 1 PERIOD (12Z MON-12Z TUE). THE
RESULT WAS A SLIGHT SOUTHWARD SHIFT OF THE RAINFALL MAX
(AREAL-AVERAGE TOTALS OF 2-3+ INCHES) COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS
(00Z) WPC QPF. STRENGTHENING PRE-FRONTAL MOISTURE POOLING
OVERNIGHT MON-EARLY TUE (PWAT AND 850 MB MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES ~
2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL)...ALONG WITH AN ELONGATION OF
MODEST ELEVATED INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WILL RESULT IN A
FAIRLY BROAD SLIGHT RISK AREA OVERNIGHT. THE RISK WILL BE
HEIGHTENED ACROSS THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS IN EASTERN KS-WESTERN
MO...WHERE THE STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL INFLOW IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE MEAN 850-300 MB FLOW FOR A LONGER
PERIOD (THUS RESULTING IN WEAK MBEs/CORFIDI VECTORS...INCREASED
UPWIND PROPAGATION...AND HIGHER PROBABILITY OF CELL TRAINING).


...EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS...

SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH ACROSS CA WILL EVENTUALLY CLOSE OFF AND
MIGRATE OFF THE SOUTHERN-CENTRAL CA COAST LATER IN THE PERIOD
(LATE MON- MON NIGHT). THIS WILL ALLOW FOR STRENGTHENING
DEEP-LAYER RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES-HIGH PLAINS THIS
PERIOD...ALONG WITH A BREAKDOWN IN WHAT UP TO THIS POINT HAS BEEN
A PERSISTENT (ALBEIT COMPACT) MOISTURE CONVEYOR BELTS PER THE WV
SATELLITE LOOPS. THE MESOSCALE GUIDANCE FOLLOWS SUIT...NOTING A
MORE ISOLATED (MARGINAL) RISK FOR ROBUST CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED
HEAVY/POTENTIALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.




DAYS 2 AND 3...


...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE GT LAKES..OH/TN VALLEYS AND
INTO THE NORTHEAST...

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW INCREASING THREAT OF HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY ON DAY 2
WITH THAT THREAT SHIFTING SWD INTO PORTIONS OF OK/AR/NRN TX/WRN
TN.  THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO AN AREA OF NRN STREAM HEIGHT FALLS
THAT IS EXPECTED TO SHARPEN SEWD ACRS THE NRN PLAINS TODAY WHILE
ADDITIONAL S/WV ENERGY IS FCST TO EJECT EWD FROM THE CNTL ROCKIES
THAT WILL INTERACT WITH TRAILING PORTION OF A COLD FRONT PUSHING
SLOWLY SEWD FROM THE NRN MS VALLEY AND CNTL PLAINS.

THE OPERATIONAL GFS AND EC ALONG WITH THEIR RESPECTIVE ENSEMBLE
MEANS SHOW VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING AND LARGER SCALE
EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER TROF ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO SUPPORT DVLPG LOW PRES ALONG THE FRONT THAT REACHES WI
OR THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MI AT THE START OF THE DAY 2 PD...WITH
THE LOW INTENSIFYING  NEWD INTO SRN QUEBEC PROVINCE.  ONGOING MDT
TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT ACRS PARTS OF THE
MIDWEST INTO THE GT LAKES DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY 2
PD..BUT THE MORE SIGNIFICANT RAINS ARE FCST TO FOCUS SWD ACRS ERN
PORTIONS OF KS INTO NRN MO WITH CONFLUENT WLY FLOW ALONG WITH EWD
EJECTING S/WV ACRS THE CNTL PLAINS LIKELY SUPPORTING AN AREA OF
ORGANIZED CONVECTION/PSBL MCS.  HI RES GUIDANCE SUGGESTS POTNL FOR
LOCAL 2 TO 3+ INCH RAINS ACRS PORTIONS OF IA SWD INTO ERN KS/NRN
MO WHERE SUFFICIENT AGREEMENT EXISTS TO SUPPORT A SLIGHT RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINS ACRS THIS AREA.

BY DAY 3...ADDITIONAL S/WV ENERGY DROPPING ACRS THE UPPER MS
VALLEY WILL HELP FORCE FRONTAL BNDRY SWD INTO OK/NRN TX/AR REGION
WHERE A SOMEWHAT SIMILAR SETUP OF CONFLUENT LOW LEVEL WLY FLOW AND
POOLING OF HI PWS AHEAD OF WEAK UPPER SHEAR AXIS/PSBL WEAK MCVS
THAT WILL CONTRIBUTE TOWARD POTENTIAL HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAIN
SETUP...ESPECIALLY FROM PORTIONS OF SRN/ERN OK INTO WRN AR WHERE A
SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINS HAS BEEN POSTED.   POCKETS OF MDT
TO BRIEF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM NEW ENGLAND SWWD INTO THE
CNTL APLCNS GIVEN FAVORABLE DYNAMIC/THERMO FORCING..BUT
PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE FRONT SHOULD LIMIT ANY ORGANIZED FF
THREAT...THOUGH COULD NOT RULE OUT ISOLD RUNOFF PROBLEMS DVLPG
ACRS PORTIONS OF CNTL NY NEWD INTO WRN MAINE GIVEN LOWER MOIST
ANTECEDENT SOIL CONDS..SO HAVE MAINTAINED A MARGINAL RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINS THERE.

WHILE INITIALLY BEING IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE ECMWF AND
NAM...THE 00Z GFS EVOLUTION OF THE SYNOPTIC SYSTEM BEGAN DIVERGING
FROM THE OTHER MODELS DURING DAY 2 AND BECAME LARGER ON DAY 3.
ITS QPF ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS SLOWED ITS
SOUTHWARD PROGRESSION AND THEN REMAINED NORTH OF OTHER GUIDANCE IN
PART BECAUSE IT HAD A STRONGER RIDGE LOCKED IN PLACE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST STATES.  IN ADDITION...IT HELD A VORT CENTER TOGETHER
FOR A LONGER PERIOD AS IT CAME OUT OF THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S.
STATES.  THEREFORE THE GFS WAS NOT GIVEN MUCH WEIGHT.  THE
ECMWF...ON THE OTHER HAND...MAY BE PUSHING THE COLD FRONT TOO FAR
SOUTH CONSIDERING WHERE THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN HAD ITS PRECIP.
AS A RESULT...THE MANUAL WPC QPF WAS DEVELOPED LARGELY FROM THE
NAM...ECMWF ENS MEAN QPF AND THE UKMET AS WELL AS THE WPC IN HOUSE
PSEUDO BIAS CORRECTED ENSEMBLE QPF.


...CA/NV/FOUR CORNERS REGION...

UNSETTLED CONDS WILL EXIST ACRS THIS REGION WITH UPPER LOW OFF
CNTL/SRN CA COAST FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY NEWD TOWARD THE COAST
OVER THE DAY 2/3 PD.  THIS WILL HELP MAINTAIN AN AREA OF BROAD
UPPER DIFFLUENCE TO THE EAST OF THE LOW FROM PORTIONS OF AZ/UT WWD
INTO THE SIERRAS ON DAY 2. THE UPPER DIFFLUENCE WILL INTERACT WITH
WEAK MONSOON MSTR TO SUPPORT SCATTERED MAINLY DIURNALLY ENHANCED
SHOWERS/TSTMS ACRS THIS REGION THROUGH WED.  SOMEWHAT MORE
FAVORABLE MSTR PROFILES ACRS THE SIERRA WITH WITH WEAK 85H/7H FLOW
PSBLY SUPPORTING SOME VERY SLOW MOVING CELLS AND POTNL FOR ISOLD
RUNOFF CONCERNS.  FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT...LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE AND LOW LEVEL EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW ON
DAY 3 SHOULD SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS SOME
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION. DID NOT MAKE
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO DAY 2/3 MARGINAL AND SLIGHT RISK AREAS ACRS
THIS AREA AS THEY LINED UP WELL WITH LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE.

...FL...

HEAVIER RAIN THREAT WILL INCREASE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CNTL/SRN FL
DAY 2 INTO DAY 3 BEHIND SLOW MOVING ELY WAVE THAT IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE WWD ACRS THE BAHAMAS.  MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH
REGARD TO THE INTENSITY OF THE WAVE...WITH THE CANADIAN GLOBAL AND
UKMET REMAINING A BIT MORE ORGANIZED/DEVELOPED WITH THE SYSTEM AS
IT APCHS THE E FL COAST BY TUES EVENING.  GIVEN THE BIAS OF AT
LEAST THE CANADIAN TO OVERDEVELOP THESE TYPES OF SYSTEMS...HAVE
STAYED CLOSER TO THE WEAKER MORE WWD PROGRESSIVE GFS/EC CONSENSUS
BRINGS HEAVIER RAIN THREAT ACROSS MUCH OF SRN FL ON DAY 2 AND
EARLY DAY 3.  MAINTAINED THE MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
GIVEN THE SLOW MOVEMENT AND HIGH PW ENVIRONMENT EXPECTED WHICH
WILL LEAD TO POTENTIALLY EFFICIENT TROPICAL RAINS.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

HURLEY/BANN


24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 525991 525964 525949 518944 511942 504947 500949 497954
      495959 492965 491969 488972 479972 476974 473974 468973
      464971 461968 460963 461958 463947 466936 468922 490836
      495819 498808 500804 502798 503784 504778 504774 506772
      510769 511768 511763 510756 508750 507738 507730 505726
      503710 500698 497694 495696 493700 491703 490699 488693
      486688 482684 478683 477686 476694 474695 470694 468695
      466701 461710 457718 455728 451731 450736 448748 449757
      450764 449770 434782 431783 429781 429776 430763 431752
      433748 432740 428732 425729 420730 405741 397746 391747
      388750 382757 380759 378764 375771 374775 374782 372792
      368801 364808 358816 352823 349826 347831 345842 348845
      352844 357835 361826 365819 372812 378807 383800 387793
      393787 399781 402781 403785 403792 402799 397807 396811
      398816 398824 400830 402842 401846 399849 396857 394861
      391864 388867 385871 380878 372884 368886 361887 359885
      355885 351886 347888 347894 349897 357901 362901 366903
      370913 371916 370923 368934 367949 368956 369962 370967
      370971 369974 365982 364987 363993 364003 365010 362011
      360009 358002 356000 353001 346005 339010 335019 331027
      327037 324040 320039 314038 310036 304040 304047 306050
      307052 305055 303059 304062 308064 316062 319063 321066
      324070 327070 333069 338070 342072 343075 347082 351084
      354086 355084 356082 359081 363084 364088 368091 371093
      373091 387075 392069 395068 397072 403065 407062 411061
      416059 419057 422053 420051 420045 417041 410037 406036
      407031 408028 413027 420022 423019 426018 428020 434027
      437029 442030 446028 450024 456016 465014 473014 490005
      498004 503008 510015 513018 518017 521012 522003 525991
 0.01 510890 510880 507873 504869 499872 496877 494883 491889
      488896 486902 485909 482927 482934 482939 484940 489937
      492932 498921 503908 506903 508896 510890
 0.01 416727 415717 412713 409718 407723 402726 396725 393726
      391729 390734 390739 392741 398741 402740 403738 408734
      413731 416727
 0.01 409108 409105 409103 410101 410098 408098 406100 405102
      405105 405107 407108 409108 409108
 0.01 389201 386195 380190 379186 380181 379177 379174 376175
      372181 369182 367180 362184 363188 365190 372194 374197
      376200 377203 381205 386206 388203 389201
 0.01 396112 394110 392110 389113 385115 382113 379113 374113
      372116 368116 363115 360113 355112 343102 342093 337086
      334082 333079 336077 336073 331075 329081 326083 328085
      330088 329091 322091 317086 315088 315093 321098 323103
      323106 324111 326111 330103 331100 334099 337102 340111
      342113 346115 350123 349129 350133 355135 352136 348136
      346138 350146 352154 355162 358165 360164 366160 369156
      368151 364145 362142 362140 365139 372137 374139 377137
      382131 388118 396112
 0.01 394036 393035 392034 391032 391031 392029 392027 391026
      390027 389028 388029 387030 386031 386032 384033 384034
      383035 384037 385037 387038 389040 391040 392039 392038
      394036
 0.01 368210 368209 366208 365207 365206 363205 361205 359205
      359206 360208 361209 362210 364211 366212 368211 368210
 0.01 369736 369730 366728 357725 351725 346724 343721 337719
      332727 330732 328736 324739 321743 316753 313760 309770
      308775 305780 299787 297791 295793 294791 294784 296779
      303772 305770 302770 297769 293768 285764 279763 274764
      261764 255767 250775 248780 244784 238791 236794 236799
      237806 236811 235817 237822 243829 244834 244838 241842
      241848 246856 249859 253861 258861 262862 265863 266866
      267871 262895 264902 264909 262915 266925 259933 256934
      252935 246937 243941 243949 242954 237963 234966 235972
      235978 238982 241992 242998 244998 246996 257984 263978
      265975 268975 271976 272978 275982 278984 281983 284983
      289981 292978 295973 297967 299962 303954 308946 310942
      312935 310927 308924 305922 303918 302915 304914 307911
      313902 315897 315890 316878 318867 318859 319853 319846
      318844 314846 312843 310839 309836 311833 320828 327822
      334817 340809 343804 345799 350791 353786 354782 356776
      355768 354761 356756 361748 366742 369736
 0.01 343838 342836 342834 340834 339834 337836 337839 339841
      341840 343838 343838
 0.01 332846 330844 328844 327846 327848 327850 329850 331850
      331848 332846 332846
 0.01 315109 316107 316105 316103 316101 314099 314098 312098
      311097 309097 307097 307098 307100 308102 308104 308105
      309107 310107 311109 311110 313110 315110 315109
 0.01 309079 309073 307070 304066 301063 287055 278052 273051
      269054 263059 259060 253059 244057 237053 235055 233059
      238065 243070 248072 252074 257080 264086 267087 273089
      282091 286091 290089 296084 304082 309079
 0.01 287816 286813 283815 277816 271814 266813 260812 257812
      256816 259819 265822 270824 276826 280827 283827 285825
      285821 286818 287816
 0.25 477717 477714 478712 478709 476707 475708 473710 472712
      471713 471716 471718 471721 473722 474721 476720 476719
      477717 477717
 0.25 482824 481816 478806 475797 471789 468786 465787 461793
      458795 456799 454808 452815 451816 448812 445810 442809
      437810 435813 432821 427826 421831 422837 421843 417858
      414866 411869 409865 401866 395870 390875 386882 378893
      376897 376901 377905 381908 385907 387909 385918 382926
      379932 376011 380012 383011 386007 394992 398985 403980
      405978 409979 410983 411989 409009 411012 414013 419007
      425001 428000 430002 439015 444016 445012 447008 451002
      455994 455989 453990 452992 450996 448998 444993 438988
      436986 435982 438973 445956 452942 457937 462930 464923
      466913 470893 474873 477855 482824
 0.25 419750 415748 412749 406752 402755 395762 386759 382762
      382769 380774 379778 383779 389776 393773 397771 403771
      407773 409774 412773 414768 416762 417756 419750 419750
 0.25 421792 422789 422787 421785 420783 419783 418782 417782
      416783 415785 414786 414787 413788 412790 412791 412793
      414795 414796 416795 418793 419793 421792 421792
 0.25 416821 417818 417816 416814 416811 416809 415807 415809
      415812 414813 413814 412815 411817 410819 410821 411824
      413825 415824 416823 416821 416821
 0.25 380074 380069 380067 378064 375064 373064 371066 372068
      373071 373075 373080 373083 376082 378080 379076 380074
 0.25 371052 366048 364043 358039 351036 349035 349030 352022
      354018 353014 351013 346016 343021 341026 339027 335033
      335040 338046 349053 352060 356064 357067 361068 363066
      364061 369058 371052
 0.25 352746 352743 350742 346740 342737 338738 330744 326748
      324753 319762 317766 318774 319779 319785 316789 312792
      310795 307801 303810 301815 301821 301825 301828 306829
      312823 320817 326810 330800 337793 341782 344778 345772
      345764 346759 349752 352746
 0.25 312867 313862 312858 309854 304850 302850 300852 299859
      298866 300872 302878 303886 304890 305891 308890 309887
      310880 311873 312867
 0.25 300947 300945 299945 298947 299949 300947
 0.25 299891 300889 298887 297889 298891 299891
 0.25 288068 288065 286063 282062 279062 275061 272061 268062
      267064 267068 269070 271071 274072 278072 280071 284071
      287070 288068
 0.25 284844 283840 282838 280836 277834 273836 271837 269839
      268843 270846 272848 274849 278850 280848 282846 284844
 0.25 261831 260829 258829 257830 258832 260833 261831
 0.25 256950 256947 255946 255945 254945 252944 250944 250943
      248943 246943 245945 245947 245950 245952 246954 246955
      247956 248957 250957 251956 252955 253954 254953 255952
      255950 256950
 0.25 249964 249962 249960 248958 246959 246960 245962 245964
      246965 248964 249964
 0.50 476835 476830 474827 470826 468821 470797 468795 465799
      461807 462820 460829 462836 464837 464843 462852 460856
      459863 460868 458871 453877 449878 443879 439886 435885
      434881 431879 429876 430870 433867 439861 440858 440852
      441848 444846 449844 450839 448835 445834 443832 439831
      435833 433836 429845 425852 422858 421863 421868 418878
      415882 413882 408877 400875 396876 393880 393885 394889
      397895 398901 397905 393913 389920 380934 377941 376946
      377951 379961 380973 380982 379992 378000 381003 390987
      394981 400974 403966 406963 409966 412972 415982 415991
      415997 418996 424990 428982 431975 436968 438962 441952
      443940 444936 447933 451925 453914 453908 456908 457914
      456920 457923 461923 464915 468892 472872 474861 474850
      476835
 0.50 443007 444002 443998 442995 440992 438991 434991 432992
      433995 434998 436001 437004 439007 441008 443007
 0.50 405764 405762 404760 402760 400762 399763 399764 398765
      399767 400767 401767 402767 403767 404766 405764
 0.50 391769 391766 390765 389764 388763 387763 386763 385763
      384763 385764 385765 385767 385769 385770 385772 386773
      387774 388774 389773 390771 391770 391769
 0.50 387895 387893 387890 386889 385888 383890 383891 381893
      380895 380898 380900 382902 383901 385900 387897 387895
 0.50 365054 365052 363051 361051 361052 359053 359054 359055
      361055 363055 365054
 0.50 343755 342753 342752 342753 340754 339755 340756 342757
      343755
 0.50 343030 341029 340030 339032 341034 343032 343030
 0.50 329755 327753 326755 325755 325758 326760 328757 329755
 0.50 325762 326760 324759 324760 323762 322762 321765 321766
      323766 324764 325762 325762
 0.50 322799 321797 320795 319795 318795 317796 316797 315798
      315800 315802 314804 314805 315805 315807 317807 318806
      320804 321802 321800 322799
 0.50 310863 309860 308858 306856 303857 302860 302863 302867
      303869 304874 305876 307875 308871 309869 310865 310863
 0.50 280842 281840 280838 279836 277836 276836 275837 274838
      274840 275842 276844 277844 279843 280842
 1.00 447918 447916 448913 447911 446909 446911 445913 445916
      446918 447919 447918
 1.00 429966 430959 427953 427945 424942 424935 424927 422921
      419919 407933 403934 402929 401922 399920 396921 386936
      380944 379951 381956 382969 384974 385977 387977 391976
      395972 400964 403954 406950 409949 411954 414958 416963
      417970 419974 424973 429966
 1.00 422949 422947 422945 421944 419944 419945 418947 418949
      419951 421951 422949
 1.00 412905 412903 412901 412898 412896 411896 410894 410893
      408891 408889 406888 405889 405892 405894 405896 405899
      405901 405903 406905 406906 408907 410907 412906 412905
 1.50 400952 401946 400940 398931 397928 394929 390936 386941
      383943 381947 382957 384967 385970 389971 392969 394965
      398959 400952
 2.00 397952 398945 397938 394938 391940 387943 384946 382949
      383954 384959 386964 389966 392963 394959 396954 397952

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 537824 537813 537808 535805 532791 528780 526772 523768
      523757 524752 524744 524728 522713 517693 513683 509673
      500651 499644 496640 490633 486629 481633 476636 473640
      468643 463645 455652 443664 430677 406701 399709 395717
      388735 387737 387742 384747 381752 381756 384761 385767
      382779 377798 373806 367813 361818 359821 354823 348824
      343824 342816 343810 352773 334776 331780 329783 323792
      314804 310813 306816 304820 300827 300832 299837 296845
      294849 291853 284867 279877 276879 274884 272886 272890
      273898 273904 274911 278935 279949 279962 279967 280971
      285970 288969 294966 299961 306944 312924 318903 324878
      330857 334850 339848 345847 347847 348849 344852 339859
      334866 333870 333877 332886 332899 329920 327933 325945
      322958 322966 320972 320000 320006 318009 312015 306021
      299027 290042 284048 282050 277050 258052 253052 250054
      248061 246066 249071 250077 252082 258084 276092 284095
      290096 293096 302097 309104 311107 316110 320110 325109
      330105 334101 337104 341104 345101 345098 344091 342082
      341078 342072 346069 351072 362075 366077 369082 374091
      374094 372098 375100 378101 381097 389086 388081 390077
      396073 399070 403068 409064 411058 411054 409053 406050
      407045 408040 405039 397034 398032 397030 395024 384021
      373021 370016 369008 369003 368999 367989 379974 382968
      386958 394937 401921 405911 410903 414895 418889
 0.01 418889 423879 426877 430876 436874 442870 450865 455860
      465849 468848 470853 472863 476867 481872 485875 488879
      486889 482907 482922 483932 486939 491947 494954 499962
      502969 507973 521978 528976 533971 528954 525943 525931
      533912 539896 539883 538869 537848 537833 537824
 0.01 446201 445195 443193 440192 436194 433194 428192 425186
      415149 413145 410142 407144 406148 406154 405156 402157
      398150 393142 392150 392153 394157 397160 399164 404172
      403176 400173 394174 387178 385182 382184 373182 366180
      361178 359181 364188 370193 381203 395213 408222 403229
      400232 401235 408236 415233 422228 427223 437214 443206
      446201
 0.01 417199 416196 416194 415192 415191 414189 412188 411190
      410192 410195 408197 409198 411198 413199 414199 416200
      417199
 0.01 410115 410096 407093 406096 400099 397103 396106 394108
      389109 383111 378114 374118 372118 368119 363117 356115
      352115 352119 360132 365135 372136 377135 380137 383138
      385136 394124 398122 402123 405122 408119 410115
 0.01 367160 367158 366157 365155 365154 363154 362154 361155
      360156 361157 361159 362160 364161 366161 367160
 0.01 289804 288793 283787 270779 263777 259776 257778 250783
      244787 239793 237801 235809 234818 235829 236835 238838
      241840 245840 253838 262834 266829 272823 279819 286815
      287808 289804
 0.25 518774 517764 513757 511753 508745 506728 503712 501692
      501679 499663 498656 495648 491642 486640 481642 478646
      465663 456668 446670 442674 439680 434689 427701 421712
      412733 405752 399778 393782 389788 383798 373816 369826
      365837 363848 359861 357868 359874 363874 370872 371875
      371878 371886 368891 361891 355882 352882 350883 347886
      346894 345899 341912 333939 330953 329965 328972 330977
      335978 338984 338987 338992 336999 333012 331020 331025
      333027 339030 345027 347023 349018 354006 359998 362986
      366973 370961 379953 382948 384942 387931 390917 392905
      395894 404871 410856 412852 416847 424842 428840 434841
      455835 466830 473825 480821 484819 492828 505842 508844
      511845 513843 515827 517799 518785 518774
 0.25 398057 399051 395047 387041 377037 372035 368033 361033
      356033 352036 350042 351048 354053 359055 365055 373060
      382058 385062 389064 397059 398057
 0.25 382195 381193 381192 380191 378191 376189 375188 373187
      371186 369187 369188 371189 372190 372191 374192 376192
      377194 378194 379195 381195 382195
 0.25 381076 382074 382072 383070 383067 382066 380065 378065
      377064 375064 373065 371066 372068 373070 374071 374072
      375073 375075 376076 377078 379078 381076 381076
 0.25 301086 301082 297080 291075 282071 271069 264068 257073
      263078 272082 279087 282089 288089 294086 301086
 0.25 301926 301922 300920 297919 295922 295924 295929 295933
      295937 295941 296944 296941 297939 299935 299933 301928
      301926
 0.25 280802 281798 279795 276791 273788 269787 262787 256789
      251790 248794 243803 240811 240818 243822 246825 252825
      258824 261821 268814 276807 280802
 0.50 512778 512766 510758 506753 504748 501732 498714 497694
      497677 497662 495654 491648 489646 485646 480650 474660
      464682 455691 450694 449700 447705 443708 437711 432715
      428719 423725 421729 418734 415746 414752 414753 417752
      427745 431742 434743 432748 432757 431762 428769 421780
      417784 414788 411791 410798 411806 419806 427804 432805
      437807 435813 430823 429829 432833 438832 443829 449826
      453825 462819 472813 480804 485799 489797 492794 497794
      501791 504787 512778
 0.50 411807 408805 405804 403805 400808 398812 396816 393821
      392826 392829 396826 398823 400820 404816 406813 408809
      411807
 0.50 401793 398788 396788 391792 386799 384802 384807 380812
      376819 369832 365847 363857 362863 366866 369864 372858
      379844 384829 387812 393807 397800 401793
 0.50 398858 397853 394849 391849 388852 386856 384861 383866
      384872 386875 389879 391878 394874 396869 397865 398859
      398858
 0.50 394055 393051 391048 387046 383046 378046 374045 369041
      364040 359040 357042 356046 358049 364050 367048 370048
      372051 376053 383054 390057 394055
 0.50 385915 384908 382904 377905 371907 367910 362909 361902
      360899 358898 356896 353896 350901 346911 341923 338934
      335947 335954 337959 339965 341973 342978 343984 341999
      343005 347003 355996 357990 358983 361968 364957 370947
      373942 377939 381935 384930 385924 385916 385915
 0.50 274801 274796 272793 265791 256793 251796 246802 243808
      242812 244816 250818 253817 256818 259817 261815 265809
      271805 274801
 1.00 492672 491661 488656 485656 480661 475674 471686 468700
      467704 465706 461709 459712 457716 457723 457731 456739
      459743 462743 463746 459751 464753 466758 466763 466772
      466779 465787 465793 467795 471791 474788 479784 485771
      490759 492752 493745 492736 491731 492726 489705 488695
      489690 492684 492680 492672
 1.00 364936 364932 362932 359930 355925 354919 351916 348919
      342928 338939 338943 339946 342949 344955 346960 346967
      348973 352969 354965 359956 363943 364936
 1.00 353989 352987 351985 350986 349987 349989 349991 350991
      351991 353989
 1.00 265802 266800 264799 263798 262798 261798 259799 258799
      257800 255801 254803 253804 254806 256806 258806 260806
      261805 262805 263804 265803 265802
 1.50 358949 358941 355934 352932 348927 345928 343930 341935
      340939 343941 345941 348947 349954 350956 354957 356956
      357952 358949

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 482616 495624 501628 506639 509648 514659 522680 526690
      531704 533711 533715 533729 533759 530769 527783 518801
      515810 510818 500832 488848 486853 484859 481872 479878
      476882 474884 471880 462864 458855 453847 451845 452840
      455829 451820 447809 442802 441798 441792 436782 435778
      439776 445770 444763 444759 442757 440752 441748 440740
      442735 447726 450721 451716 459709 471705 476704 480701
      482698 483692 484687 483682 478675 474673 470674 465676
      461679 454683 444689 438695 433702 427709 422718 419723
      416727 404730 401731 399733 395736 392741 391746 389768
      387778 389789 390799 389813 382830 372850 366867 359886
      355899 353905 353912 357933 357939 356943 351943 347942
      343940 341944 338953 332973 332981 334987 334994 336998
      342007 349017 353023 356027 361029 363032 365034 367032
      370032 371037 372040 374041 378043 383044 387043 396043
      404047 406046 406042 398039 394036 395030 400021 404021
      406020 407017 413012 416010 421012 425018 428023 430029
      432037 434043 439045 442049 447057 449061 449067 447072
      445071 443067 440067 436069 433072 429075 427081 426085
      422086 419084 418078 418074 415074 408069 403069 400069
      393069 389070 378074 376072 378067 378064 375063 370062
      359065 354065 351065 350068 347077 345081 342083 341087
      341092 343102 347111 351120 354124 352126 345123 338119
      330114 322109 311109 300108 292100 273093 245074 238070
      231065 228062 226057 226053 228049 232043 239039 250040
      255041 259043 267048 275053 280055 288057 292059 296054
      299047 306042
 0.01 306042 316036 309032 305025 300018 295016 293011 292007
      293004 291993 291984 292980 295978 298976 297972 295962
      294956 288957 279956 277953 279947 281937 284919 289902
      291893 294883 304869 308853 304846 299839 296837 292840
      288842 282843 273843 264840 251834 239826 233820 231817
      230811 229804 228800 229797 227793 222787 218781 217775
      218772 220764 223760 226757 237755 257752 273752 282754
      289756 296761 303766 306768 308764 313759 320754 325749
      338738 344732 352727 356725 359721 363715 381688 386681
      392675 399668 405661 414651 420655 424648 437633 441632
      443634 447636 450634 460628 470620
 0.01 519263 520258 519252 516245 513237 508232 503235 498240
      496242 494246 495254 497263 500266 502265 508267 515265
      519263
 0.01 475146 471142 468142 466144 455145 450148 447150 443149
      426145 423143 424138 426131 428129 430124 435126 438127
      440131 443137 444140 449141 452142 455140 457135 458125
      463111 459106 452102 441096 427094 429100 428104 425107
      419107 416107 414106 410104 408106 403111 403116 404118
      407124 415132 418140 417144 415147 414157 414162 415167
      413177 412179 411183 410188 408190 406192 402192 396192
      389191 373185 366184 362186 371194 375195 377198 382203
      389205 396205 401202 406200 408202 406204 402209 400213
      400215 402218 405220 407223 408228 408232 413231 419229
      429223 433219 432215 432212 434210 441200 444193 448189
      456180 461176 463165 461158 461153 464153 468153 471151
      475146
 0.01 432169 431166 429163 428165 429168 430170 432169
 0.01 443993 443988 441985 435980 428979 425981 422985 422994
      422999 424002 427005 427009 430016 433015 434011 434002
      440000 443993
 0.01 422039 422036 421035 420034 419032 417034 418036 419038
      419039 420040 422039
 0.01 351042 350038 346038 339037 331037 326038 323038 319039
      320046 320054 325053 332054 338053 342050 347046 351042
 0.25 516767 517762 516757 513749 509747 504749 500749 493749
      486752 484758 483765 482774 485780 487783 487788 488795
      491802 495807 497808 500806 506795 511783 516769 516767
 0.25 452659 450655 448654 443658 440662 437668 434674 432679
      432684 435684 438679 441674 445668 448664 452659
 0.25 420690 419684 416684 414687 412689 410693 407697 404701
      402703 406704 410707 412706 415703 418699 419695 420690
 0.25 400709 400707 399706 397707 396709 394710 393711 393713
      395715 396714 398712 399712 399709 400709
 0.25 383763 383756 381751 377739 374737 370739 361737 356739
      351743 345750 333769 329771 324771 318771 315774 313779
      310782 305785 302785 291782 284777 279775 273773 269772
      262773 256774 252777 249780 246784 243793 240797 239801
      241811 242818 245822 249826 253830 261835 270837 275836
      279834 282829 281822 283817 282813 284810 289808 293806
      300805 312806 317807 319814 320817 320823 322826 327825
      336820 346822 349822 349824 348831 347836 345840 340850
      337855 333860 329861 325864 322868 320873 317883 316895
      316911 314924 312934 307947 305958 306969 305982 304995
      303010 307019 310024 312026 315025 320021 323021 327023
      333025 339023 340019 338013 336010 333006 330003 322997
      318988 318978 317970 316956 322948 328941 332931 333926
      336922 340918 342912 345898 350875 355854 360831 366809
      370796 374786 383763
 0.25 324078 324074 320072 313069 309070 307072 303078 298084
      295091 298095 304093 311090 315086 321081 324078
 0.25 291089 291085 288080 282072 275066 266062 255063 253062
      248064 254072 261079 268086 272089 276091 281093 287093
      291089
 0.50 500773 501770 499768 498770 499773 500773 500773
 0.50 378764 377760 376756 374753 371751 364753 356754 352755
      350757 346763 343770 341777 336793 335801 335807 337810
      344813 350813 360803 363796 366789 373776 376769 378764
 0.50 342886 341875 340872 337870 335869 331870 328871 325874
      323883 322892 321900 324908 326910 330911 335907 338900
      341893 342886
 0.50 332019 334017 333014 333013 332012 331011 329010 327010
      325012 325014 325015 327016 327017 329018 330019 331019
      332019 332019
 0.50 329926 330924 329921 328920 327919 326919 324919 323920
      321921 321922 320924 320926 320928 320930 320932 321934
      321935 323936 324934 325934 326932 326931 327930 328928
      328927 329926
 0.50 308087 308086 306085 305087 304087 302089 304090 306089
      307089 308088 308087
 0.50 288087 286083 282078 278074 273072 267070 262070 259071
      261074 264078 267083 271087 277089 282091 285091 287089
      288087
 0.50 287795 286791 284789 278785 272783 266779 261778 255783
      251789 246794 243800 244807 244814 247821 251826 256830
      263833 271834 276830 277825 277819 274812 270806 274801
      283799 287795
 1.00 369768 368765 363766 358771 354777 349781 346787 344796
      346798 350799 356795 360787 363782 367775 369768
 1.00 271826 270823 270821 270820 268817 266816 263815 260815
      258815 257818 257822 258824 259827 262829 264830 267830
      270828 271826
 1.00 253808 254806 252804 250805 249806 248808 248810 249812
      251811 251810 252808 253808

$$





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