Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 100959
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
558 AM EDT THU JUL 10 2014


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 10/1200 UTC THRU JUL 13/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR



DAY 1

...LOWER MS VALLEY/SOUTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC...

1.50-2" PRECIPITABLE WATER(PW) VALUES WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND TO
THE SOUTH OF THE SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHING FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND INTO MID ATLANTIC.
FRONTAL AND PRE-FRONTAL BNDRY LAYER MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG
WITH BROAD... MAINLY WEAK UPPER DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE UPPER
TROUGH WILL PRODUCE PERIODIC SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS.
THE MORE PERSISTENT AND ROBUST UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE...AIDED BY
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION FORCING OF AN UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK TO THE
NORTH...WILL CROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NC INTO FAR NRN SC THU AFTN
INTO THE EVENING...SO THERE CONTINUES TO BE INCREASED FORECAST
CONFIDENCE ON A MAXIMUM THERE WITH PW VALUES INCREASING TO ~2.00
INCHES AND MUCAPES THIS AFTN PEAKING BTWN 2000-3000 J/KG. WPC USED
A GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS WITH THE AREAL-AVERAGE QPF OVER THIS
REGION...BTWN 1 AND 2.5 INCHES...THOUGH SOME OF THE HIGHER
RESOLUTION GUIDANCE INDICATED LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OVER 4 INCHES.

...PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...

DEVELOPING MCS ACROSS CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND KANSAS EARLY THIS
MORNING IS BEING FUELED BY A STRENGTHENING NOCTURNAL LLJ (30-40
KTS CURRENTLY PER THE LATEST VWPS) ALONG A SECONDARY MAXIMA OF PW
(1.5+ INCHES). COMPARATIVELY SPEAKING...DEEP LAYER INSTABILITY IN
THIS ENVIRONMENT IS NOT AS ROBUST (MUCAPES BTWN 1000-2000 J/KG).
FURTHERMORE...GIVEN THE DEGREE OF W-NW FLOW ALOFT (DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR) AND NORTHWESTERLY 0-6KM BULK SHEAR OF 40 KTS...THE ACTIVITY
ALONG THE LEADING EDGE THUS FAR HAS CLEARLY EXHIBITED ENHANCED
FORWARD (DOWNWIND) PROPAGATION. HOWEVER...AT THE SAME TIME
ADDITIONAL CELLS ARE DEVELOPING/TRAINING UPSTREAM IN THE COOL
SECTOR NORTH OF A SURFACE STATIONARY BOUNDARY WHICH IS BEING
ENHANCED BY THE OUTFLOWS...AS THE STRENGTHENING SRLY LLVL INFLOW
OPPOSES THE NORTHERLY CORFIDI VECTORS. SOME OF THE LATEST
MESOSCALE GUIDANCE... INCLUDING THE PARALLEL VERSION OF THE 4KM
NAM CONEST...SUGGEST ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER 4 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITHIN A FEW HOURS...WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED RUNOFF
ISSUES AND FLASH FLOODING. FOR FURTHER DETAILS...PLEASE REFER TO
THE LATEST MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION (FFGMPD #183) AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/METWATCH/METWATCH_MPD.PHP.

...SOUTHWESTERN U.S. INTO THE GREAT BASIN...

THE RECENT MONSOONAL PATTERN IS SHOWING NO SIGNS OF SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE THIS PERIOD.  WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A
MOISTURE PLUME STRETCHING FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO INTO THE SOUTHWEST
AND GREAT BASIN ON THE SOUTH AND WEST SIDES OF THE GREAT BASIN
UPPER HIGH. PW ANOMALIES IN THIS PLUME WILL CONTINUE IN THE 2-3
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN RANGE.  WEAK IMPULSES REMAIN
EMBEDDED WITHIN AND ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE MEAN UPPER HIGH OVER
THE GREAT BASIN AND WILL SUPPORT ADDITIONAL SCATTERED CONVECTION
IN THIS HIGH PW AXIS.  CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW WITH PLACEMENT OF
CONVECTIVE AREAS...WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER ODDS IN THE HIGHEST PW
VALUES IN AZ AND ACROSS UT ALONG THE PATH OF AN MCV THAT MOST OF
THE MODELS ADVERTISE. MANUAL QPF USED A MULTI-MODEL...CONTINUITY
CONSENSUS.

HURLEY


DAYS 2/3...

...DEEP SOUTH TO MID ATLANTIC COAST...

HEAVIER RAINFALL HAS NOW BECOME A DAY 1 ISSUE ALTHOUGH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSHOWERS CONTINUE TO BE A FACTOR ON DAY 2
AND SOMEWHAT ON DAY 3.  WHILE SEVERAL OF THE MODELS INCLUDING THE
12Z UKMET/18Z GEFSMEAN AND 21Z SREFMEAN HAVE TRENDED SLIGHTLY
NORTHWARD WITH SHOWERS IN THE MID ATLANTIC REGION ON DAY 2...NEW
ENGLAND REMAINS DRY EXCEPT IN THE 21Z SREFMEAN.  MEANWHILE...OTHER
MODELS HAVE NOT TRENDED NORTHWARD SUCH AS THE 12Z ECMWF/12Z EC
MEANS AND 18Z/00Z GFS.


...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS/MID TO UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY/MIDWEST...

THE AREA OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY APPEARS TO BE A FOCUS FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL
ON DAYS 2 AND 3 WITH A POSSIBILITY FOR FLASH FLOODING SINCE SOME
OF THE REDEVELOPING CONVECTION MAY OCCUR OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS.
IN PARTICULAR...IOWA COULD SEE THE POTENTIAL MORE THAN OTHER
REGIONS AND IS DEPICTED ON THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CHART.

FACTORS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF POSSIBLE MULTIPLE
CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS INCLUDE THE ENTRANCE REGION OF AN UPPER JET
MOVING ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER.THIS JET IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
PROGRESSIVE TROUGH OVER SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA AND A COLD FRONT
MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS STATES. MEANWHILE A
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET FEEDS MOISTURE NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS ABOVE A PRONOUNCED STATIONARY/WARM FRONT OVER
THE PLAINS/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. ONE POSSIBLE CONVECTIVE AREA
DEVELOPS OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON FRIDAY MORNING THAT THEN
DRIFTS EASTWARD WHILE A POSSIBLE SECOND AREA REDEVELOPS LATER
FRIDAY FROM NEBRASKA EASTWARD ACROSS IOWA INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS
BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE 12Z GFS SHOWS QUITE A BULLSEYE OF QPF
OVER IOWA.  AN ADDITIONAL AREA OF CONVECTION MAY ALSO DEVELOP FROM
NORTHEAST COLORADO/SOUTHEAST WYOMING INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA AND
SOUTH DAKOTA BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY.  WHILE THE
PREDICTIONS OF THE LOCATIONS AND INTENSITY OF THESE CONVECTIVE
SYSTEMS ARE STILL FAIRLY UNCERTAIN...THERE SEEMS TO BE ENOUGH
SIGNALS NOW TO SHOW THAT THESE AREAS REPRESENT THE LARGEST THREAT
FOR MULTIPLE DEVELOPMENT AND ONLY ON JUST DAY 2. THE GFS/GEFS
APPEARS TO BE THE ONLY MODEL SUITE FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT
OVER COLORADO LATE ON DAY 2.

ON DAY 3/SATURDAY THRU SUNDAY MORNING...MORE UNCERTAINTY ENTERS
THE FORECAST.  HOWEVER...THE 00Z NAM/GFS QUICKLY BECOME SUSPECT
SINCE THEY LACK CONSISTENCY WITH EARLIER RUNS AND DIFFER
SIGNIFICANTLY IN QPF DISTRIBUTION FROM THE ENSEMBLE MEANS.
THEREFORE...WILL KEEP WITH THE ECMWF...BOTH 12Z AND 00Z...IN
GENERATING THE QPF FORECAST AS WELL AS THE UPDATED MULTI MODEL
BIAS CORRECTED ENSEMBLE MEANS. THE FORECAST ALSO CHANGES SINCE A
STRONG COLD FRONT NOW ENTERS THE SCENE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
STATES IN RESPONSE TO AN AMPLIFYING TROUGH OVER CENTRAL CANADA.
THIS SYSTEM WILL HELP FOCUS THE QPF TO AFFECT THE AREA FROM THE
CENTRAL PLAINS ACROSS THE MID TO UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
ACROSS THE MIDWEST. HAVE GONE WITH THE 00Z ECMWF WITH DEVELOPING A
SIGNIFICANT MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM ACROSS THE MIDWEST FROM
EASTERN IOWA AND NORTHERN MISSSOURI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
MICHIGAN ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. GIVEN THE LOW
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES OF 1 TO LESS THAN 2 INCHES...HAVE
INDICATED A SLIGHT RISK OF FLASH FLOODING ON DAY 3 FOR THIS AREA.

HURLEY/KOCIN



GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 11/12Z
 0.01 225054 237064 248075 251080 253083 261089 266094 271101
      299123 336132 350141 354148 357154 361151 365149 377151
      377159 381162 382167 383172 385177 391185 394185 400186
      405187 409183 410180 414177 418179 421183 422186 421189
      419190 413193 407198 405203 406206 407209 410207 413204
      419204 421209 421216 419223 416229 414234 415239 419240
      423239 428208 430204 429200 429187 431184 430180 427177
      426175 426171 429168 429165 426160 423157 422154 421149
      422142 424138 425131 427126 430123 434122 439123 440127
      438129 437141 440144 445145 448136 451129 452122 456110
      457103 456099 453088 450078 451072 450067 450060 452055
      458052 461049 466050 472055 474057 477054 478048 480043
      486036 494041 498043 503043 508043 512041 520039 527035
      536030 543025 548020 549015 550008 551004 551996 551991
      552983 555974 556969 557962 555952 550943 547941 543940
      539941 535943 525926 515925 507926 501933 499933 498931
      497923 495921 494917 494913 496907 497901 495896 492894
      485887 484884 480882 475882 473885 467904 460908 456909
      451909 443905 433908 423908 419910 415911 410912 405911
      398908 394917 391921 386922 382923 376923 372922 367923
      361928 353930 350932 346930 342923 338916 334908 329899
      328892 327887 327884 329883 329879 329873 331869 340865
      343857 354843 365827 370821 374814 380808 382804 386802
      389800 394799 397801 401804 404807 407811 410816 411819
      413819 416816 417811 419804 409802 409796 411791 413782
      411771 412766 414761 415753 409748 408741 407735 413718
      420700 424691 428681 432672 435662 439652 438648 435644
      429645 426648 421651 419654 415662 410669 402674 395682
 0.01 395682 392686 389688 388693 382704 375717 372723 366729
      361734 354738 343748 335757 325766 303782 298783 296781
      290777 283776 275776 270776 267777 261780 255783 251789
      252796 246799 239803 236810 238814 240815 244816 250816
      244820 240824 237830 235838 234843 235848 246843 251843
      253841 262840 277835 282835 286835 287838 286841 285849
      284854 282856 273865 274873 277877 282882 283887 285891
      289897 292899 293904 293916 293927 294944 296948 299948
      303945 311941 315945 318941 317932 318930 320933 323935
      326937 333939 337943 342950 345954 345958 346964 347967
      356978 360982 365985 368986 372987 378985 386985 393987
      401988 403985 404981 393971 389965 389962 391963 394964
      400968 407971 414975 415982 416986 415991 413996 410003
      409007 409012 408033 409049 403052 395050 388049 384051
      381051 376048 372046 371041 369038 370032 366032 364034
      359036 355042 345049 334054 327057 325059 328061 339058
      342069 336073 331076 323076 318077 313077 304076 296074
      290071 286066 284064 281063 279061 275060 269056 266051
      265047 263044 259037 254031 256028 259027 265023 270024
      274025 281027 288027 293022 297017 297000 299998 299995
      299987 296970 294963 292952 279945 268939 259939 253942
      243949 231957
 0.01 512147 510143 507140 506133 505129 500120 498110 493101
      488106 486110 485118 482122 481127 482133 485136 487141
      489144 493147 498148 508148 512147
 0.01 486032 485026 483022 478017 473012 471010 470004 470000
      472997 478994 479984 481981 482978 481974 481965 478965
      474967 472968 471971 472979 472984 471989 470992 467995
      461998 459002 459008 460010 458015 460018 464019 473021
      475029 479036 486032
 0.01 463876 463873 462871 461871 461874 459876 461878 463876
      463876
 0.01 456898 456896 455896 453898 451901 451903 453903 455903
      455901 456898 456898
 0.01 451037 451034 451032 450030 449032 449034 449036 450039
      451037
 0.01 449027 449024 449023 447024 447027 449029 449027
 0.01 401207 399199 397196 394194 389189 380186 373184 366184
      364184 366187 370193 377198 379200 383202 389206 392208
      397209 401207
 0.01 391105 392095 389093 387093 385095 381095 378094 376091
      373085 372081 370082 364084 367090 363096 360097 356096
      350093 348091 346092 344101 344106 346109 352112 360114
      368114 373110 379109 383108 384104 385101 388102 389106
      391105
 0.01 395945 393943 391944 390945 391947 393947 395945
 0.01 380947 379946 377946 376945 375944 373943 371942 370942
      368943 370945 371947 372948 372949 373951 374952 375953
      376952 377949 379949 380947
 0.25 544976 544970 542963 539958 535955 532952 527950 520943
      517942 516945 513949 511952 511956 515960 516966 514973
      508980 502990 500995 499998 499003 502007 506005 509006
      508008 505014 502016 497018 495024 495028 497030 506026
      514020 522016 530012 534008 535000 537994 539988 542982
      544976
 0.25 495138 494135 493132 491129 490132 490134 491137 492138
      494139 495138
 0.25 473932 470926 466922 460920 453920 448920 443924 436935
      428945 417945 412947 410950 410954 412961 416967 424976
      425984 425994 423012 423025 424029 426032 429029 429024
      432018 438016 441010 442001 443993 446988 449988 450991
      454992 455989 460975 464961 465956 466952 469947 470937
      473932
 0.25 448099 446096 443094 440090 436091 434092 431090 428086
      425089 427094 429096 434099 437101 442102 447102 448099
 0.25 414696 412692 407691 401694 399697 395706 393712 390717
      386720 382723 377726 374729 367737 363747 351760 340777
      335785 331793 329798 325801 321801 315802 305806 304808
      306814 302817 296819 302827 288865 287871 289875 294876
      296880 296891 298905 301913 304918 308916 316919 318923
      323924 327926 330929 333934 336936 342943 348953 350963
      353968 355972 360975 365978 369980 373981 382981 392982
      396982 395978 391974 386967 379961 374959 370956 367953
      362950 354947 352942 349938 341932 334927 327920 325915
      324912 326906 324900 322889 322885 323880 323867 325863
      330861 333858 336852 339842 341838 346836 352835 356833
      367815 371805 369799 371793 378791 380788 378785 379781
      382777 386774 393778 396777 400778 403784 405785 406780
      405773 403768 401764 397761 392762 396753 398749 400746
      400742 401730 405720 409711 413703 414696
 0.25 427063 425057 421057 419059 418061 414061 410064 406069
      399068 398071 399074 403072 406070 410070 415069 419065
      422067 426065 427063
 0.25 411108 412106 412103 412101 411100 411098 410097 408096
      406098 405100 405102 404105 404107 403109 401111 403112
      405112 407112 408111 410110 410109 411108
 0.25 397115 392113 389114 384115 381118 379122 377126 375130
      376132 379135 383136 387132 389127 391123 393119 396116
      397115
 0.25 389771 389769 389771 389772 389771
 0.25 392075 393073 393071 393068 392068 391068 389070 390073
      391075 392076 392075
 0.25 379078 379076 378074 378073 377073 376076 377078 377079
      379078
 0.25 350128 349128 348125 347123 346123 345122 343122 342122
      341124 341126 342129 344130 346130 347131 349130 349129
      350128
 0.25 309100 308097 303096 299096 296094 295090 292087 288082
      284081 281079 278081 277085 275087 273092 278096 285100
      292103 300105 306104 309100
 0.25 291818 290813 286812 281811 278809 274801 268800 263801
      254805 250803 247805 251810 253814 256818 262823 263825
      268823 274822 279822 288820 291818
 0.25 288793 287789 285788 282788 278788 274789 271790 269793
      269794 272795 275796 279796 281796 284796 287795 288793
 0.25 228032 234038 238037 240032 236027 235022 237019 254010
      258010 262012 270016 274019 278020 282019 287016 288014
      288007 286003 282999 277993 276987 278982 282974 283969
      281966 273960 269958 265957 246963 239968 231971
 0.25 271785 270784 270783 268783 266783 265783 263784 262784
      261785 259786 259787 258788 257789 257791 258792 259793
      260793 262793 263792 264792 265791 266790 267789 269788
      269787 270786 271785
 0.50 538979 539971 538965 535960 531960 528960 523961 521965
      520973 523978 526978 530978 533979 537979 538979
 0.50 463940 463935 462932 459930 457929 454928 450930 449932
      449937 450942 452945 454947 455949 457951 460949 461947
      462942 463940
 0.50 457976 458974 458971 457969 455969 454970 452971 450972
      449974 449976 449978 449981 450983 450984 451986 452987
      453986 454986 454983 455981 455980 456979 457977 457976
 0.50 443983 443981 443978 442976 440977 438978 438980 438981
      439983 440983 441985 443983
 0.50 437009 437007 436002 436999 434996 433994 429994 429997
      428001 428006 428011 428015 432014 434013 437011 437009
 0.50 434985 433984 432983 431982 431983 432985 433986 434985
 0.50 409702 409701 409700 407698 405701 404703 404704 404706
      403708 403711 405711 406710 407709 407707 408706 408705
      409702 409702
 0.50 424964 424963 424961 424959 423957 422956 421954 419953
      417953 416954 415954 414956 414959 414961 415963 416964
      417966 418966 419967 421968 423967 424966 424964 424964
 0.50 409105 410103 409102 408102 407103 407105 409106 409105
 0.50 387735 387730 386728 384729 381730 379732 378735 376739
      376742 378744 379746 381745 383743 385740 386738 387735
 0.50 391977 386972 382966 377963 370959 364955 357954 355954
      352958 353963 355967 359972 366976 373978 382978 391978
      391977
 0.50 375758 376754 375751 371749 368748 365750 362754 355760
      353765 349769 344776 339785 335794 332804 328813 326815
      324814 320812 313817 315823 313828 311838 302843 299853
      295860 294863 298865 301869 305873 305879 305890 305897
      306899 308899 311896 314891 315886 317881 319875 318868
      319862 321858 324855 327857 331856 333852 326846 323835
      324831 325830 330827 336820 339817 342818 345821 348820
      348818 353817 351823 350828 352830 355829 361821 361802
      362797 364792 369784 372779 374771 375763 375758
 0.50 349943 349941 348940 347939 346938 345936 344936 343935
      341936 341939 342941 343942 344943 345944 346945 348944
      349943
 0.50 293098 293094 291092 289091 286089 284088 282088 278089
      276092 278095 281096 285097 287098 290099 293098
 0.50 231987 237989 242992 247004 249007 253007 260006 274009
      279013 282012 284010 282005 278000 270990 266986 265978
      262972 255970 251970 244972 234979 231981
 0.50 268814 268813 267812 266810 265810 264809 263808 262807
      260807 258808 256808 254809 254810 254812 255813 255814
      257815 259816 261817 262818 264818 266817 267816 268816
      268814
 0.50 228025 229025 230025 232023 233021 234019 234017 233015
      232015 230013
 1.00 369768 370759 368755 366755 357762 354768 351771 345781
      339793 339799 341805 344810 350812 353808 354804 352802
      354796 357791 363781 367777 369775 369770 369768
 1.00 372972 372967 370965 368963 366962 363961 361960 359962
      358965 359967 361969 364971 366972 370973 372972
 1.00 306854 306852 305852 305854 306854
 1.00 269999 266994 264992 260990 257988 253986 248984 246987
      248990 249992 253996 255998 259000 264001 268999 269999
 1.00 254002 253001 251001 251002 253003 254002
 1.50 365764 364762 361763 356769 352775 348780 344787 341795
      344798 348796 353791 356786 359779 362771 365764
 2.00 358777 357772 353775 352778 349782 347785 344790 344793
      348794 351791 353788 355784 357779 358777

24HR QP VT 12/12Z
 0.01 527885 524854 508791 501769 493770 483782 466806 452828
      444838 435840 422834 409835 393851 378878 373902 359915
      336908 326893 325881 331862 345845 358831 371816 386801
      399797 411790 420772 422752 415745 418730 421709 419693
      411679 396682 380699 366709 349722 332747 322762 292787
      270795 249798 244805 245817 254831 268847 282863 286883
      287909 292933 302945 311942 324940 337944 351944 363937
      379932 393947 399973 391002 363030 321065 306072 297062
      300048 302029 296010 286001 272998 256008 249030 248057
      254081 269098 270100
 0.01 270099 272101 291117 304124 316129 327127 336120 342124
      345127 351125 351116 349104 360093 377087 388090 391099
      385111 372124 373130 375132 385132 396127 404129 409138
      410142 409154 413162 415174 413193 409210 403225 401234
      412244 425246 434239 441226 445214 443190 434183 426170
      431159 439153 451149 463130 467114 469097 473060 471013
      469993 475977 486967 518944 520943 528926 528902 527886
 0.01 517159 518151 517148 512142 507137 504137 502139 497140
      494139 491137 489137 486140 487144 489152 493159 496163
      498165 506167 511165 517159 517159
 0.01 504117 505110 504106 504101 502097 498090 493084 490083
      488085 486093 486103 489111 492119 497124 501124 502121
      504117
 0.25 519921 515913 512912 510914 505919 500924 496930 491935
      488938 487941 492941 496939 501937 507933 514929 518923
      519921
 0.25 518868 518864 516862 512862 507864 504867 499873 496878
      495881 490889 488901 491905 495906 503903 511899 515895
      515890 512887 511884 515874 518868
 0.25 509833 509828 509823 507820 505819 502821 501824 500827
      499832 499834 500837 502839 503839 506838 508836 509833
 0.25 497863 498857 496855 492857 487861 484864 479869 476873
      472878 471884 476881 481878 486875 490871 494868 497863
 0.25 467048 466038 464027 462018 458010 448003 444004 442006
      437011 432014 427014 425013 425009 426003 428999 430989
      434972 438957 444940 447933 453927 455925 457920 459914
      460906 461901 460896 458893 454892 449893 445892 440887
      435882 432874 429869 423865 419866 407875 396886 394892
      392899 391906 390912 391916 394924 399931 404936 408943
      412956 413967 412977 412989 412998 414008 413015 412018
      409024 403026 391031 378037 367048 365053 365059 367062
      371063 378066 391074 407079 413080 417078 422074 429072
      444074 446077 446081 444086 445088 447087 449085 450080
      453073 456067 460062 465054 467048
 0.25 407107 409105 409103 408100 408098 406096 406098 405100
      405102 405105 405106 406107 407108 407107
 0.25 343813 358796 371781 379767 382748 382728 374721 359730
      354735 348743 343752 335769 330778 324787 319795 311807
      302811 285811 272810 266809 262810 261813 263816 267818
      276821 280822 287822 293822 298825 302831 303842 303845
      302851 302855 304856 309854 319840 343813
 0.25 344093 343086 338079 332076 328076 326079 328083 329085
      332088 335092 337095 340100 344096 344093
 0.25 324100 325097 324095 321093 313090 299085 291082 286078
      275070 268066 265066 262068 261075 264078 274092 286104
      300112 314114 317106 324100
 0.25 280023 284023 287020 286016 282014 279017 279020 279021
      280023
 0.50 440923 441915 439908 434899 424883 419882 414881 406885
      403888 400892 400898 401906 401911 400917 400921 401926
      404930 409933 412940 415954 416966 417982 418987 419989
      421990 424987 426981 429971 431959 433947 440925 440923
 0.50 429042 431035 430032 428030 424030 414038 406053 404062
      410068 417066 423062 425055 424049 425046 429042
 0.50 394048 394046 394044 393043 392043 390042 389042 388043
      387045 387047 386047 385051 381051 375051 379055 386057
      392050 394048 394048
 0.50 370766 367755 361748 354750 350757 353764 356768 360774
      363775 366774 369769 370766
 0.50 334085 337090 340089 337084 335082 334082 333084 334085
 0.50 310826 314826 317823 316818 311817 308822 310824 310826
 1.00 433916 431908 427902 422898 417896 414895 412898 411905
      408914 407922 415933 418940 418949 419967 419972 420973
      424968 427952 430935 432926 433918 433916
 1.00 418057 418055 416054 415053 413054 412057 413057 413059
      414060 416059 418058 418057
 1.50 428921 428916 428913 426911 424909 420909 419910 417912
      415915 415919 415922 417924 419927 421929 423931 425931
      426928 427923 428921
 1.50 421941 421951 423955 424949 423940 423939 422940 421941


24HR QP VT 13/12Z
 0.01 525885 526878 530845 529831 529809 521768 500725 485720
      475720 441724 418738 404753 402772 408786 402809 381844
      367863 379892 385906 388930 378985 353033 327044 298030
      288018 270029 249064 241078 261103 281115 317132 330131
      353106 385086 413084 441136 450148 468108 467066 463024
      461980 458946 461909 477884 480908 477939 478963 490977
      495991 497004 502026 506039 509050 513060 515066 518069
      520069 522064 523050 525015 525996 525989 524934 522907
      525885
 0.01 382780 376767 376749 381730 380717 365720 328753 273791
      253798 248818 265842 277869 279900 284927 288926 300903
      305887 307909 311919 320897 328846 338833 355831 374815
      378810 390797 389790 385784 382780
 0.25 510014 511004 511993 511983 510973 507969 504972 502983
      502990 503998 505007 510008 510014
 0.25 489821 489815 486812 481814 476815 472816 468819 462825
      459828 458827 458824 457808 460783 459775 456772 452772
      443774 438775 434778 428786 423795 418816 416823 413833
      409842 406851 402864 399874 398878 398887 401891 402905
      405927 404972 407977 412979 416993 410006 400008 389009
      374027 368053 375061 388064 401062 417058 431064 440085
      444088 449079 449074 448069 447064 438037 434006 436997
      438985 437970 437955 438925 439912 440906 441901 445894
      447889 448884 450874 453862 463846 469837 471833 475830
      484827 489821
 0.25 459113 459109 458107 456105 453103 451100 450099 447097
      446096 446101 446104 446109 447112 448116 450117 452117
      455116 457115 459113
 0.25 352775 351771 349766 348765 345768 334779 324791 319797
      316804 312812 307818 305821 305824 308833 311842 313843
      315841 317838 327826 331819 335811 341796 349782 352775
 0.25 308109 309104 308100 306096 290067 280061 271062 264068
      262079 261084 264090 268096 274101 286109 292112 300114
      305112 308109
 0.50 410894 413938 421961 428965 434954 434928 441889 450844
      452804 444786 434790 424810 415837 412861 410882 410894
 0.50 393048 392042 390038 387036 384033 379033 377036 374039
      372044 372048 375053 379054 384054 388053 392050 393048
 0.50 300105 300099 298095 293088 288081 284074 281072 277071
      273073 270076 268078 268083 269089 271091 277098 283103
      291108 297108 300105
 1.00 445829 445821 444813 442807 438808 433818 429829 425840
      421851 421858 422865 425877 419903 417916 417922 417931
      419934 422935 424933 426926 427919 430907 433895 435889
      435883 435877 435868 442848 444838 445829
 1.50 438851 438847 438842 437837 435837 433839 432841 430843
      428847 428850 428855 429857 433858 435856 437854 438851
 1.50 426893 423901 422910 424911 427904 429892 429888 426893

$$




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