Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 230912
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
511 AM EDT SUN APR 23 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 23/1200 UTC THRU APR 26/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...SOUTHERN-CENTRAL APPALACHIANS / SOUTHEASTERN U.S. / MID
ATLANTIC...

THE POSITIVELY-TILTED UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AS IT
PIVOTS SOUTHEAST DURING DAY 1...WITH DECENT MODEL CLUSTERING OF AN
EVENTUAL CLOSED MID-UPPER LOW GRADUALLY TRAVERSING THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES. THIS ALONG WITH THE OVERALL NEGATIVE TILT TO
THE TROUGH WILL GENERATE STRONG...FOCUSED UPPER DIFFLUENCE E-NE OF
THE UPPER LOW...WITH THE UPPER DIVERGENCE GETTING A BOOST FROM THE
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER JET STREAK OVER THE NORTHERN
MID ATLANTIC REGION. THE EVOLVING SYNOPTIC PATTERN...WITH THE DUAL
NORTHERN AND (ESPECIALLY) SOUTHERN STREAM COMPONENTS...WILL FAVOR
A RATHER BROAD SWATH OF HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE LOWER OH VALLEY AND TN VALLEY...ALONG WITH THE
CENTRAL-SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... ADJACENT PIEDMONT...AND MUCH OF
THE SOUTHEAST. WPCQPF WAS INITIALIZED FROM CONTINUITY AND A
NON-NAM/NON-CMC BLEND (PER THE PMDHMD)...LED BY THE ECMWF AND
(ESPECIALLY FOR TIMING) THE WRF-ARW/NMMB. AS NOTED IN PREVIOUS
DISCUSSIONS...THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW LIMITED INSTABILITY/WEAK
UPDRAFT STRENGTH POTENTIAL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS-PIEDMONT GIVEN THE MORE OR LESS MOIST ADIABATIC LAPSE
RATES ALOFT. WHILE THIS WOULD CAP THE SHORT TERM RAINFALL RATES AT
LEAST TO SOME DEGREE...THE STRENGTHENING DYNAMICAL PROFILE WITH A
MATURING WCB/BAROCLINIC LEAF AND STRENGTHENING LOW-MID LEVEL
MOISTURE FLUX WILL SOMEWHAT COMPENSATE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN GIVEN THE UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT. NOT WITHSTANDING THE
MEAGER INSTABILITY...THE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE IS QUITE
IMPRESSIVE...AS POSITIVE ANOMALIES (2-2.5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE NORMAL) CONTINUE TO BE NOTED ON THE ENSEMBLES FOR BOTH PW
AND 850-700 MB MOISTURE FLUX. THIS AS THE SYSTEM WILL BE ABLE TO
DRAW IN BOTH GOMEX AND GULF STREAM MOISTURE...LEADING TO AN
EXPANSIVE (POLEWARD) AREA OF ANOMALOUS PW INTO THE UPPER LAYERS
(500-300 MB).

IN TERMS OF THE QPF...WPC NOTED A FAIRLY BROAD AREA WITH
AREAL-AVERAGE AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1-3"...HIGHEST ACROSS UPSTATE SC...
WESTERN NC...SOUTHWEST VA...NORTHEAST GA...AND EASTERN TN WITH
GIVEN THE UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT. BECAUSE OF THE ANTICIPATED MINIMAL
CONVECTIVE CONTRIBUTION ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION (ESPECIALLY
NORTHERN AREAS)...DO NOT ANTICIPATE SIGNIFICANT DEVIATION FROM
THESE HIGHER AMOUNTS. HOWEVER CONSIDERING THE OROGRAPHY AND
ATTENDANT LOWERING FFG VALUES...WILL CONTINUE WITH A MODERATE RISK
FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE NC-SOUTHERN VA PIEDMONT INTO THE
APPALACHIANS AND INCLUDING FAR NORTHEAST TN....WITH A SURROUNDING
BROAD SLIGHT RISK AREA.


...KEYS/SOUTH FLORIDA...

THE CONVECTIVELY-AIDED SHORTWAVE LOW NEARING THE FL STRAITS EARLY
THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE A GRADUAL EASTWARD MOTION EARLY...THEN
PIVOT MORE NE-N OF THE EAST COAST OF FL LATER TODAY AS IT BECOMES
ABSORBED BY THE AMPLIFYING BROADER SCALE TROUGH. THE
MODELS...PARTICULARLY THE HIGH-RES CAMS...HAVE BEEN PERFORMING
POORLY UP TO THIS POINT WHEN IS COMES TO THE QPF...NOT JUST IN
TERMS OF LOCATION BUT WITH AMOUNTS AS WELL (MAINLY UNDERDONE
COMPARED TO RECENT OBS). THE SOMEWHAT ORGANIZED (ALBEIT COMPACT)
LOW-MID LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THUS FOCUSED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ON THE EASTERN SIDE WILL COMBINE WITH THE IMPRESSIVE
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE IN GENERATING HIGHLY EFFICIENT SHORT TERM
RAINFALL RATES (MUCAPES 1000-1500 J/KG...PWS AOA 2.00" WHICH ARE
AT NEAR RECORD LEVELS FOR LATE APRIL...AND WARM OR >0C CLOUD LAYER
ABOVE 13 KFT).

AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RISK WILL SHIFT
FROM THE KEYS INTO SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST FL IN RESPONSE TO THE TRACK
OF THE SHORTWAVE. WHILE MAXIMUM RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO
AVERAGE AROUND 2" AREA-WIDE...SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER LOCALIZED
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED CONSIDERING THE AVAILABLE DEEP-LAYER
INSTABILITY...TO THE TUNE OF 4-8+ INCHES PER THE HIGH-RES CAMS.
WPC NOTED A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER A PORTION OF
SOUTHEAST FL...LINING UP WITH THE HIGHEST WPC AREAL-AVERAGE QPF
AND CAM CONSENSUS OF HEAVIER TOTALS. MOREOVER...THE 00Z PARALLEL
HREF 40KM NEIGHBORHOOD PROBABILITY OF THE 24 HOUR QPF EXCEEDING 5
INCHES IS AOA 50% WITHIN THE MAJORITY OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA.


DAYS 2 AND 3


...SOUTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC INTO THE NORTHEAST...

A HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...FOCUSED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SC AND NC. OVERALL A PRETTY IMPRESSIVE SETUP...WITH
BOTH THE UPPER AND LOWER LEVELS...ALONG WITH MOISTURE VALUES ALL
FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY CONVECTION. IN THE UPPER LEVELS A NEGATIVELY
TILTED CLOSED LOW WILL RESULT IN INCREASED ASCENT...WITH THE 250MB
FLOW STRONGLY DIFFLUENT AS WELL. IN THE LOWER LEVELS EXPECT TO
HAVE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SLOWLY MOVE EAST ACROSS SC. A STRONG
COASTAL FRONT SHOULD EXTEND NORTHEASTWARD OUT FROM THIS LOW...WITH
AN IMPRESSIVE AXIS OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE EXPECTED TO PERSIST
FROM EASTERN SC INTO SOUTHERN NC. STRONG EASTERLY FLOW INTO THIS
BOUNDARY SHOULD BE ABLE TO MAINTAIN SOME INSTABILITY ALONG/EAST OF
THE BOUNDARY. TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE BOUNDARY...STRONG
OVERRUNNING WILL STILL RESULT IN STEADY RAINFALL...ALTHOUGH
MINIMAL TO NO INSTABILITY WILL KEEP RATES IN CHECK. PRECIPITABLE
WATER IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ABOVE THE CLIMATOLOGICAL 90TH
PERCENTILE ACROSS EASTERN SC/NC...AS MOISTURE FROM THE WAVE
CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS FL IS WRAPPED WESTWARD INTO THE CLOSED
LOW. THE COMBINATION OF PERSISTENT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE DUE TO
THE STATIONARY COASTAL FRONT...AND WIND FIELDS CONDUCIVE TO
SOUTHWARD BACKBUILDING INTO THE INSTABILITY...BOTH POINT TOWARDS
THE POTENTIAL FOR PROLONGED CONVECTION CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL RATES GIVEN THE IMPRESSIVE PWAT VALUES. FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE IS QUITE HIGH ACROSS THE IMPACTED AREA. HOWEVER THINK
THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THAT RAINFALL RATES WILL BE ABLE TO
OVERCOME THIS AND RESULT IN AN INCREASING FLASH FLOOD THREAT
THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. ALWAYS SOME CHANCE THAT THE COASTAL FRONT
AND INSTABILITY IS FORCED OFFSHORE WHICH WOULD LIMIT RAINFALL
RATES ONSHORE AND WILL THUS HAVE TO MONITOR THIS. HOWEVER THE
CURRENT FORECAST EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM...AND ALL AVAILABLE
GUIDANCE...STRONGLY SUGGEST THAT THE FRONT AND INSTABILITY WILL
REMAIN INLAND ALLOWING FOR HEAVY RATES TO MOVE ASHORE. OVERALL
BOTH PATTERN RECOGNITION AND MODEL QPFS SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL OF
AN ENHANCED FLASH FLOOD THREAT...THUS OPTED TO UPGRADE PORTIONS OF
EASTERN SC AND SOUTHERN NC TO A MODERATE RISK. THIS MODERATE RISK
IS SURROUNDED BY A SLIGHT RISK...BOTH ON THE EDGE OF THE EXPECTED
CONVECTIVE FOCUS...AND TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE MODERATE RISK WHERE
RAINFALL SHOULD BE LESS CONVECTIVE IN NATURE RESULTING IN LOWER
RATES.

WHILE ALL THE GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT PRODUCING A SWATH OF
IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL TOTALS (4-6"+)...THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT AS
TO EXACTLY WHERE THIS MAX AXIS ENDS UP. THE 0Z NAM/ECMWF ARE THE
FURTHEST SOUTHWEST...WITH THE 0Z UKMET/GEM THE FURTHEST NORTHEAST.
THE 12Z ECMWF...0Z GFS AND THE 0Z HIGH RES ARW AND 3KM NAM ARE
GENERALLY IN THE MIDDLE. FOR NOW OPTED TO GENERALLY FOLLOW THIS
MIDDLE SOLUTION...WHICH PUTS THE HIGHEST AXIS NEAR THE SC/NC
BORDER. WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR...AS SOME CHANCE THIS
AXIS MAY HAVE TO BE SHIFTED A BIT SOUTHWEST. BASED ON THE
SETUP...THINK THE HIGHEST TOTALS WILL PROBABLY REMAIN PRETTY CLOSE
TO THE COAST...AND THIS IS SUPPORTED BY ALL THE AVAILABLE HIGH RES
GUIDANCE WE LOOKED AT. THUS THINK THE ECMWF/UKMET AND TO A DEGREE
THE GFS...ARE ALL PROBABLY A BIT TOO FAR INLAND WITH SOME OF THEIR
HIGHER TOTALS.

BY DAY 3 (12Z TUE-12Z WED) THE SYSTEM BEGINS MOVING UP THE COAST.
BY THIS TIME THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL BE ON A DECLINE...WITH
THE CLOSED LOW WEAKENING RESULTING IN LESS FAVORABLE
SYNOPTICS...THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW DECREASING...AND THE SYSTEM
BECOMING MORE PROGRESSIVE. THUS NOT EXPECTING RAINFALL TOTALS OR
RATES TO BE THAT IMPRESSIVE BY THE DAY 3 PERIOD. SOME MODEL
DISAGREEMENT WITH EXACTLY HOW QUICKLY THE SYSTEM MOVES OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST. THE 0Z NAM WAS A PRETTY BIG SLOW OUTLIER...AND APPEARS
TO REPRESENT A LOW PROBABILITY EVENT AT THIS TIME. WPC GENERALLY
TRIED TO FIND A MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION BETWEEN THE SLOWER 12Z
ECMWF AND QUICKER 0Z GFS.

...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE MID MS VALLEY...

A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT MAY DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS
OF EASTERN OK/KS AND SOUTHWEST MO. A NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST FRONT
WILL BE DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA....WITH AMPLE INSTABILITY BUILDING
NORTH ALONG/AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY. THE APPROACH OF A STRONG
SHORTWAVE AND INCREASED DIFFLUENCE ALOFT...SHOULD RESULT IN THE
CAP BREAKING AND CONVECTION EXPANDING IN COVERAGE TUESDAY NIGHT.
NOTE THAT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND CONVERGENCE REALLY PICK
UP OVERNIGHT INTO THE BOUNDARY...WITH THIS MOISTURE CONVERGENCE
AXIS NOT MOVING MUCH FOR A PERIOD OVERNIGHT. THIS SIGNAL ALONG
WITH SLOW CORFIDI VECTORS ARE SUGGESTIVE OF A
BACKBUILDING/TRAINING POTENTIAL. THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS OF THE
ECMWF AND GFS HAVE ALL GENERALLY HIT THIS AREA WITH SOME PRETTY
GOOD QPF TOTALS AS WELL. THUS OPTED TO INTRODUCE A DAY 3 MARGINAL
RISK ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OK/KS AND SOUTHWEST MO TO ACCOUNT
FOR THIS TUESDAY NIGHT THREAT.

...NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND GREAT
LAKES...

ONE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY
ON MONDAY...WITH A SWATH OF PRECIPITATION TO ITS NORTH. THE TREND
HAS BEEN FOR A SLIGHTLY FURTHER NORTH SOLUTION. WPC QPF BLEND WAS
WEIGHTED TOWARDS THE GFS/ECMWF AND GEFS MEAN.

ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS ON TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE MORE MOISTURE TO
WORK WITH...ALONG WITH A STRONGER BAROCLINIC ZONE AND RIGHT
ENTRANCE JET DYNAMICS. THUS EXPECTING A BIT HIGHER QPF TOTALS
COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM. SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE SYNOPTIC
EVOLUTION AND MODEL QPF AXIS. THE 0Z UKMET/GEM APPEAR TO BE
OUTLIERS IN THEIR HANDLING OF THIS SYSTEM...WITH THE GFS/ECMWF/NAM
AND THEIR ENSEMBLE MEANS IN CLOSER AGREEMENT. WPC QPF IS A BLEND
OF THE 0Z GFS/18Z GEFS MEAN AND THE 12Z ECMWF/ECMWF MEAN WHICH
REPRESENTED A GOOD MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION...WITH THE 0Z NAM
PROBABLY A BIT TOO FAR NORTHWEST. STILL A DECENT AMOUNT OF
UNCERTAINTY THOUGH...AS THE NEW 0Z ECMWF DID TREND NORTHWEST AS
WELL...SO WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS.

...NORTHWEST...

PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE NORTHWEST CONTINUES MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
AS MULTIPLE WAVES OF ENERGY IMPACT THE REGION. SOME QPF
DIFFERENCES WERE NOTED WITHIN THE GUIDANCE. FOR NOW WPC GENERALLY
FOLLOWED A MIDDLE GROUND CONSENSUS SOLUTION.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

HURLEY/CHENARD


24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 549159 550152 549146 546134 551122 551119 549113 545101
      543095 541089 537078 536071 537062 539050 536042 531034
      530029 527023 519009 510998 505990 502988 501985 501981
      499975 499966 497960 497954 494940 492924 490912 486899
      484888 481879 476871 476863 477857 479846 481836 485817
      487807 490798 493787 497776 501765 505756 509752 515749
      521748 527748 529748 532745 536738 536732 534726 529720
      523716 520715 516715 506718 502718 504715 515702 518698
      520697 520694 518689 514687 505685 500684 494686 489687
      487685 487681 487674 486667 484664 482663 478666 477670
      473679 470688 462705 457722 458728 460731 460736 459741
      459748 459755 458761 459769 460783 466774 471766 473765
      473768 471773 468781 467790 466795 466802 467816 466828
      464840 462861 462868 461873 458883 459897 459905 461911
      462927 464942 468969 467972 464976 459981 453986 450992
      450995 451000 454010 456014 456017 456022 457026 455029
      454034 452038 447038 444036 439035 438040 438045 442050
      444055 442063 441069 442074 447078 449080 449084 448087
      445088 440088 436090 434092 432091 428087 425081 420074
      417065 405056 402056 400058 401063 398067 396073 397078
      401079 403077 405079 407081 407085 408091 408098 406105
      402108 399104 398107 394112 389114 386116 385118 384122
      385126 391126 397122 409125 412123 415126 419132 419136
      419143 418151 416156 419161 421159 422163 424167 425180
      426187 424191 422195 420197 415197 411199 408204 405208
      400208 398211 397218 402224 400227 397228 395230 394236
      393247 394267 394277 400284 415296 419299 424301 436305
      441306 445306 454306 464302 471297 477292 481290 479279
      480275 482273 485272 488275 495275 499274 502276 507284
      509286 512287 516283 519274 520269 519266 519262 518259
      517256 515253 515248 515245 515242 517244 518247 520247
      520242 520239 521236 523232 522228 521224 520221
 0.01 520221 515211 517195 518192 519194 524196 531193 532186
      530180 525171 519164 517162 517159 516153 515147 514139
      510131 505122 501120 495120 496114 498108 501104 505102
      509105 511106 512110 515121 523140 529149 535156 538160
      544162 549159
 0.01 516193 515190 512189 512191 510194 508196 504196 503199
      504202 506205 507208 508211 511213 512210 513205 514200
      514195 516193
 0.01 505215 504214 503213 503211 502210 501208 501207 500205
      500204 499201 498201 497199 496200 496202 495205 496207
      497208 498209 499210 500211 501213 501214 502216 503217
      505215
 0.01 484196 485190 484185 480178 473174 469174 466177 463183
      459190 460200 463206 465208 467207 469205 473201 478202
      480200 484196
 0.01 435189 434187 432186 430188 432190 433190 435189
 0.01 441130 441125 439123 434124 428126 425131 423141 424150
      425158 427160 428158 432152 433145 436138 440132 441130
 0.01 399779 399770 397764 389755 384738 385731 383719 378707
      372698 374687 375676 364674 362673 359675 357682 348708
      334751 330762 327767 323771 314779 308779 301776 291773
      283766 277759 273757 269756 258752 249747 243746 237749
      229750 226753 222754 221757 223764 225768 227773 228779
      229786 230800 230806 231812 238822 241828 243830 247830
      254831 262830 248844 246847 246854 249859 253861 254868
      258872 262871 267867 270866 270869 269873 272881 268887
      262894 257902 251909 248921 240946 238953 238962 238970
      238980 238994 242996 245000 252001 255001 255998 254986
      254970 254962 256955 265927 269919 275909 287893 290890
      296887 306880 317876 323874 331871 338870 341870 343873
      344879 344887 346892 351893 355892 362891 369883 373878
      375870 379857 382841 385830 390820 394809 397796 398786
      399779
 0.01 293075 293070 291065 294058 294054 291050 282047 274043
      268039 264036 263034 265031 265027 265021 257018 250021
      243026 239031 233040 234051 235055 238059 240062 244063
      259072 263074 268075 276078 281079 288079 293075
 0.25 500232 498221 495218 492214 477211 460214 454215 446216
      438217 430220 427222 425223 426226 428230 427234 424234
      418233 413232 409234 404240 403246 405250 407253 408258
      407271 409278 415285 423290 434294 441296 449296 456293
      459288 459283 457274 457264 458258 461255 466256 472257
      482250 487250 490254 493257 494255 493251 492248 488245
      485243 483240 480230 477227 476222 478220 482221 484223
      488223 491223 492227 495235 497237 500232
 0.25 508149 509146 509144 508142 508141 507140 505139 504140
      503140 502141 502142 501144 501146 502147 503148 504149
      506149 508149 508149
 0.25 508065 509059 508054 505044 504041 500040 494041 490043
      488045 488055 486065 486072 486078 486084 490085 495082
      500076 505070 508065
 0.25 482710 482705 479706 478707 476710 473713 472715 471718
      473722 475723 477722 479719 480716 481713 482710
 0.25 469157 471151 471143 471137 471130 468125 463120 461111
      460105 459101 455099 451100 446106 442107 441109 442113
      446118 450126 451130 450135 446143 442152 442158 444163
      447170 450179 455184 460178 460172 462167 469157
 0.25 391785 390774 387765 382761 377752 373748 372743 373738
      374732 372724 367720 360723 353728 348735 337759 329772
      317781 293794 287797 284795 283789 283781 282775 280771
      275767 270764 264762 258761 250762 240765 236770 236774
      238778 241782 244789 244797 242803 243812 244816 248818
      253817 256818 265820 272821 280820 296819 303819 307818
      309816 311813 316812 317815 315817 313820 307832 304837
      303844 307848 304855 303858 305862 308863 314863 329860
      336860 342860 346862 348864 350867 351873 351878 352884
      355886 360886 365882 368877 373863 377846 381827 385814
      389799 391785
 0.25 273056 272055 270054 268054 267053 265053 263052 261051
      259051 258051 258052 257053 257055 258055 259057 261057
      263058 264059 266059 268059 270059 271058 272058 273056
 0.50 479243 479236 474232 471231 469225 469221 467217 459217
      442219 437220 434223 432225 432229 433232 429237 425237
      420236 415236 412241 414246 418255 422265 422272 424275
      429278 435279 439279 441276 439268 444260 447255 451251
      457246 461244 466244 474244 479243
 0.50 455231 454228 453227 452227 451229 450229 450230 452231
      454231 455231
 0.50 383802 384794 383785 379769 376766 371766 365768 362771
      359776 355781 351782 346779 344775 345769 350761 355751
      358746 362742 366739 369736 369733 368729 364728 355734
      351738 348743 339760 334771 332776 327781 311790 300795
      296799 295802 296805 317808 321810 322814 319819 316824
      310832 308837 310843 315852 329852 349857 357862 359866
      357871 357878 359881 363878 366875 368871 371858 374844
      379821 382809 383802
 0.50 295813 290812 286812 277813 275813 273810 276806 280800
      278790 278782 278776 275772 270768 263766 253766 248767
      245769 243772 243775 248782 249792 247800 247809 249812
      253812 260815 268818 277816 281817 285816 293815 295813
 1.00 459222 457221 457222 459222 459222
 1.00 378800 378793 376787 374782 370780 365782 362786 357790
      347787 342786 336787 328794 324801 324806 328809 328812
      325816 324821 326827 321834 323842 332845 342849 349851
      355851 361850 367845 371835 374825 377812 378803 378800
 1.00 274799 273791 271781 267775 261771 256771 252773 252777
      253781 255789 253796 251804 253807 256809 261808 264807
      270803 274799
 1.50 375808 375801 373794 369788 366787 364789 362793 359795
      354795 346792 342791 337792 331800 329803 329805 332809
      330814 328816 329821 339822 343825 334829 330834 336841
      342845 347846 351846 354845 357843 361840 363835 367828
      372820 375810 375808
 1.50 272799 271791 269786 265782 260779 257780 256783 257787
      259793 257797 255804 260805 265804 270802 272799
 2.00 372813 372805 371799 369795 364795 358800 354803 351802
      346799 343798 340798 337799 336803 336809 339811 346814
      351816 350822 352824 356824 362824 366822 369819 371815
      372813
 2.00 356841 356837 354835 351834 348835 345834 342833 339834
      341837 343839 344842 347844 350844 352844 354843 356841
 2.00 340814 339814 337815 339815 340814
 2.00 271800 269794 267790 265786 262784 259785 261787 261790
      263794 261798 258801 261803 266802 270800 271800
 3.00 366809 366807 366804 365803 363804 362805 361805 360807
      360810 359812 359813 358814 359816 360816 361816 363815
      364814 365814 366811 366810 366809

24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 531197 532182 529175 526171 522170 518168 516164 515159
      515153 516140 516126 516117 516110 517093 516087 516081
      517074 514073 512069 510066 504060 502057 503052 505047
      508043 510037 511032 514022 515008 515980 516964 518951
      522942 524932 528923 531911 534899 536887 535873 534858
      533847 532835 530830 530823 528818 527812 523804 518798
      515796 511796 509794 505795 499796 496797 492802 491806
      487828 484839 482844 479844 476840 474840 471848 471854
      470859 469865 467867 463875 459883 452899 451904 451912
      450918 447923 446926 448931 445939 441950 440957 440962
      440970 440973 437975 431968 425965 421963 418960 416952
      414949 412951 406956 399960 396962 396968 396979 397983
      398990 399994 397002 395011 393023 392035 392041 393046
      394050 392055 388057 383056 380054 379055 383060 378066
      369065 374078 376087 375098 375105 380106 384098 389093
      392090 397090 401090 403093 402097 400101 398106 396108
      389111 385113 382116 379120 378124 374130 376134 378132
      380131 385130 392127 395125 399127 400130 403133 406135
      407139 406142 401143 399138 398134 397136 395142 393143
      391179 394182 399184 402187 404192 403197 403200 401201
      393198 385193 379189 373184 370183 366184 363185 358185
      352183 350183 348185 346196 348196 351193 353187 359187
      361186 364187 367190 373196 378202 383216 387218 392217
      396219 395224 386223 376221 374224 375228 380234 384240
      388250 393257 399263 411276 414279 415278 422275 426272
      429271 437270 444268 450265 456260 462256 467248 469244
      471243 478241 481236 480232 477229 474228 475224 477222
      480220 486221 487219 484216 482213 484210 487208 493210
      498216 500219 502219 503211 506207 512205 518207 523206
      526202 531197
 0.01 488195 486192 483192 480190 478188 476182 472183 470185
      466188 465192 466196 469200 471201 473199 474196 477195
      481198 482200 484199 488195
 0.01 488068 489062 488058 485048 484044 482040 475044 473046
      470046 467046 465043 462035 462029 461025 461013 456006
      450003 445003 443004 443007 448012 451015 452020 457037
      460055 471065 475070 478072 482073 486071 488068
 0.01 440752 439740 437731 430711 425705 421696 417674 413668
      411666 407667 399669 395672 391674 378682 374685 371686
      364692 361693 357696 352700 345706 340711 335714 330720
      317731 307741 302746 298754 297758 297763 299771 298773
      294775 288778 272785 266789 263791 262794 262799 265802
      273802 284800 287801 289803 291807 292812 288818 284820
      279821 275821 272819 268818 263818 259820 257824 257828
      260830 267830 277829 286827 291826 294824 303823 317818
      321825 325833 327843 329846 333847 341849 344856 346858
      349855 351848 353844 356842 359839 360834 394800 398799
      401800 408802 415807 421809 425809 429807 432805 433802
      435797 436793 438784 438779 439774 438766 439762 439757
      440752
 0.01 433085 432081 431078 430075 430070 430066 430061 429058
      428056 427058 428063 428065 428070 427075 426077 427081
      428084 430086 433085
 0.25 521897 522885 521873 519851 518842 514836 508836 504840
      501845 498853 494859 489862 484866 481873 477890 475897
      473905 472916 473927 470933 468942 470962 468970 466979
      466985 468987 474991 485986 490991 495987 499982 502976
      506960 510942 512934 515926 519911 521897
 0.25 509159 511147 509136 506128 503124 501130 499132 494138
      493141 495145 497154 498164 498168 501171 505166 509159
 0.25 500111 500103 500098 499090 499085 495082 491084 488086
      483086 481088 482092 485095 487098 490101 493106 496109
      499111 500111
 0.25 467225 468220 468217 465213 459206 456203 456195 458190
      462183 464178 465174 465160 465153 463146 461141 458138
      454137 450140 447144 446146 443147 428150 425141 425134
      426129 429123 432118 437115 442118 450119 453124 456122
      459115 462111 469105 472096 472090 471084 468080 463077
      457067 452058 450053 449047 448040 446034 444031 439028
      435029 434032 434037 436049 438054 439060 438068 440072
      446080 447085 446090 443095 439096 433097 430100 414111
      408106 404109 401113 402116 406120 413125 418128 419135
      417139 418144 415149 409149 404150 401155 406164 409172
      415181 422186 426191 430193 434196 437201 442207 448211
      446215 442215 435216 430214 426206 421197 416196 412199
      410203 412207 416210 418211 421214 421219 414219 409216
      402209 398204 395202 387198 385200 385204 388208 396214
      405220 406223 405227 404229 401229 397229 394231 390234
      391239 398247 401249 406252 417256 425256 433251 442250
      451247 458242 464234 467225
 0.25 419228 419227 419225 418224 416223 414224 415227 416227
      417228 419228 419228
 0.25 429016 430010 430004 429998 427997 424002 420008 417011
      416015 413024 411033 411039 411045 414047 418045 420043
      421039 421032 425025 428018 429016
 0.25 414073 415067 415062 413059 411059 404056 397058 391063
      386063 386069 384072 383074 386075 390077 397079 404078
      411076 414073
 0.25 402723 399721 397715 395702 391701 388703 381707 374712
      368718 349724 335733 329739 324745 319752 316760 310776
      307784 301790 296797 296801 299802 315806 320813 324815
      326818 331824 334826 339826 358823 370811 377806 382800
      388795 395789 399787 401784 402779 402774 396755 394749
      394742 396738 397733 401728 402723
 0.25 412998 410997 408997 407998 406999 405000 405003 404003
      404005 403007 404009 404010 406011 407010 408009 409007
      410005 411003 411001 412000 412998
 0.50 515897 516889 516880 515872 514864 512860 510858 508859
      502866 499870 496873 491875 489879 484888 480898 478903
      479910 480916 479924 477937 477943 478949 478957 477963
      477969 481967 484965 490965 494963 497960 501950 504939
      507925 508919 510913 513905 515897
 0.50 464224 463219 461215 456212 452213 445216 440216 437217
      433218 428218 424219 422224 427232 433233 430235 422234
      413230 399237 401241 404244 412248 417251 422251 430248
      436245 445244 448243 452241 457232 461228 464224
 0.50 461178 462171 462166 461160 460155 455154 453157 451163
      452168 453174 454179 455184 459183 461180 461178
 0.50 450232 449230 447230 445230 443232 442232 443233 445234
      446234 447234 448233 450232 450232
 0.50 463082 458075 455072 454067 451063 448060 444060 442065
      442067 444072 449078 451083 452087 451090 449095 451100
      454103 457098 455088 458084 462084 463082
 0.50 427115 427113 426110 424110 423111 422112 421113 420114
      419116 419119 420121 422123 423122 424119 425117 426117
      427115
 0.50 397208 396205 395205 394204 392203 391203 390204 390205
      392206 392207 393208 395209 397209 397208
 0.50 409070 408069 408068 407067 406068 407068 408070 408071
      409070
 0.50 394780 387769 382763 377762 372758 369751 367742 363738
      358734 352733 340739 331748 327753 323758 320764 318770
      315776 313783 303791 299796 301800 314802 320806 322810
      327813 330820 333821 337820 343821 351822 355820 357818
      361812 366808 371805 376800 379794 384791 388788 390785
      394780
 1.00 457222 457219 454217 449219 443219 440219 438221 437223
      434224 430221 427223 433226 437226 441223 446226 451225
      455223 457222
 1.00 428243 427240 424239 421236 418235 414234 411235 409237
      410240 413241 416244 418245 422245 423245 426244 428243
 1.00 373788 373781 372777 367768 358750 354748 349750 340754
      338758 334761 327766 324774 319780 318785 315788 309790
      306792 304795 306798 316800 323802 331806 346812 362803
      369799 373790 373788
 1.50 424241 422240 421238 420238 419238 417239 417240 419242
      420242 422242 424241
 1.50 368788 367781 364771 358759 354754 348757 344762 338765
      334766 331769 329774 324778 321784 317790 316793 317796
      322800 329802 335804 342804 346803 350804 358802 367793
      368788
 2.00 364789 362783 361774 356761 352759 348763 347767 345768
      340768 337769 335771 335778 328779 325781 323784 321789
      319791 321795 325798 330800 336802 342802 345801 349801
      356800 363791 364789
 3.00 356788 352782 348779 344776 341776 339777 334782 329784
      326788 328794 330796 334795 339796 345796 348797 352795
      355790 356788
 4.00 350791 350787 349784 347781 345780 341780 338782 336783
      333785 331787 330789 331792 335792 339792 342792 344792
      348794 350791
 5.00 346787 347785 346783 345782 343781 341782 340783 338783
      336784 335787 335788 335789 337790 339790 340789 342789
      344789 346788 346787
 6.00 343785 342785 340786 339786 340786 342786 343785

24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 536126 532106 531100 527095 524091 520089 516087 512083
      509080 505076 498073 488072 484072 480068 478064 475061
      470060 468060 466057 464048 461036 460023 455998 455989
      455983 457976 460971 463967 469962 472959 474955 478947
      488928 492919 495919 496924 500924 503923 506919 507914
      510909 510905 512898 512890 511871 512864 515859 520853
      524844 526841 524836 521822 518807 514796 513791 511786
      506792 501796 496788 486773 481764 476772 467789 459805
      458810 456817 453828 451840 449845 446850 435862 418870
      414877 409882 380906 369916 366920 361923 352926 346928
      343929 338932 335935 328950 325957 325960 330962 336966
      344971 347979 349992 345004 342006 338012 339021 343027
      345028 348026 352037 359044 362047 361052 358055 354056
      349056 344056 340056 336058 334058 336061 342070 340076
      339081 339087 341092 342096 347097 355094 358095 359097
      361103 373112 377110 379105 380098 383094 390088 392089
      392093 392099 399103 401107 397109 389111 382115 379116
      380121 381124 382125 386129 395133 397138 398143 394147
      393153 395156 396160 396163 391171 389174 392177 406168
      410166 411169 415180 416186 414191 409199 404207 401207
      397204 395202 390201 389204 391207 396215 398218 395223
      388228 383230 379233 377237 379241 382243 383248 383251
      385253 388255 393258 396263 401270 406277 414285 421291
      439298 462307 472310 476309 479307 481303 484306 486310
      489313 490315 493312 495308 496302 499286 500282 503281
      507280 512260 510250 508240 503218 504205 506190 509186
      511184 519180 523179 525176 526166 528164 528159 529154
      530151 532140 536126
 0.01 477671 476662 474652 470648 464646 459644 455645 452644
      440647 436644 432649 418654 406658 402665 397669 393673
      391675 387676 381676 377677 375679 370683 366688 359690
      354694 349697 345702 343707 342715 340722 337729 333733
      329737 326742 324748 323754 323759 321762 315771 312777
      312781 311784 315796 327799 332801 337804 348810 356817
      364817 371816 378814 383812 389810 396807 402805 409807
      418814 431813 440811 443807 448803 450796 455791 460788
      466784 469778 470763 471756 474748 478734 477729 478727
      479717 478708 478702 478696 477683 476675 477671
 0.01 439144 439141 437139 436136 434136 433134 431133 430132
      429132 427134 428137 429138 429139 430141 431142 432144
      432145 433146 435146 436146 437145 439145 439144
 0.01 412141 411139 411138 411136 410134 410133 408131 407131
      405133 405135 405137 404139 405142 406142 407144 409145
      410143 411143 412141
 0.01 401972 401963 400959 398963 396968 393975 393981 391986
      392991 392999 394004 395008 396004 397995 397986 399979
      401972
 0.01 352195 353193 354191 354189 354186 354184 353183 352183
      351183 350184 348185 346187 346189 346191 347192 347194
      348195 350197 352195 352195
 0.25 498255 499250 496247 490242 484239 481236 480232 478229
      479224 485224 491223 492219 490214 487209 483207 480208
      468212 441215 439214 434215 427214 424213 420214 416220
      411225 407230 402235 396236 394239 393242 399247 411254
      415256 417260 419262 422261 428257 432256 438253 445253
      452254 458257 462258 465257 469260 476262 483266 490268
      493266 495260 498255
 0.25 509157 510147 511136 509131 507124 504119 499114 495110
      493113 489119 487126 486136 485146 486153 483158 481164
      484169 495175 501175 504171 507164 509157
 0.25 506828 506820 506815 504812 502807 500805 499807 483819
      473839 469843 468848 467855 465861 451875 447879 446884
      443897 438907 433916 428927 423938 416961 412970 409984
      410989 413996 415999 420002 428011 431013 435014 437009
      437004 437997 437988 439980 440972 441966 443962 449954
      456947 462940 469930 475922 480912 490893 495883 500873
      504860 505854 505847 505835 506828
 0.25 476172 477167 478162 476154 470152 466149 463147 461148
      459153 459158 460165 462171 459178 464178 471178 475174
      476172
 0.25 470105 470100 469094 460094 457096 453094 447087 442081
      439078 439074 443074 447077 449081 452083 454078 453071
      449064 446060 442059 438067 432073 430079 432086 434095
      436101 435105 436109 438113 445119 451114 456105 463107
      470105
 0.25 451694 448683 447676 445672 440666 433661 429662 424665
      418670 404680 389689 382693 372697 364699 358704 352710
      350719 345754 347757 351758 359761 363767 365773 366780
      366785 364789 363794 366798 369799 372798 375795 384793
      389793 394792 400787 412774 414771 414765 416762 419759
      426753 434749 440743 443734 448716 451694
 0.25 448041 448037 447034 445031 443030 441029 440028 437031
      436034 436038 436040 438045 439048 441049 444048 446046
      447043 448041
 0.25 410073 408069 405070 401069 400066 400060 397059 394062
      394068 396071 399075 403072 406076 410074 410073
 0.25 400051 400046 398043 394036 391031 390024 386018 382013
      380005 379997 375992 372992 369993 365998 362003 358009
      356012 358018 360024 360034 363040 367045 371049 373051
      377053 383054 390054 396053 400051
 0.25 400924 400919 398921 394922 380929 373930 368934 359945
      354952 352960 351969 353976 357976 359974 364969 370965
      377962 383959 388954 393949 395946 396940 398931 400924
 0.50 498845 499838 497832 495829 492827 487827 484829 480837
      475855 471863 466869 460874 455881 452890 449899 445907
      441914 435930 430938 427947 425958 424961 422966 419975
      417984 417988 420992 424992 427990 431983 434973 436963
      440955 449942 454935 459928 463922 469917 474910 477902
      492869 495864 496857 498845
 0.50 481219 480216 478215 477215 478216 479218 480219 481219
 0.50 474237 475235 474233 473234 473237 474237 474237
 0.50 470218 468217 467217 468220 469219 470218
 0.50 463223 463218 459217 452218 450218 445218 441217 438218
      433220 428220 425222 425224 428227 435227 444229 449227
      453225 456226 460226 463223
 0.50 456241 457239 457236 455235 453234 452233 450233 448234
      446234 444235 443236 441237 441239 442240 444241 445242
      447243 448243 450244 452244 454243 456242 456241
 0.50 437697 436689 432684 426682 419684 413687 406689 400693
      394696 383703 378705 370707 363710 358714 355718 354726
      353733 354743 355746 357748 363751 372758 375763 378769
      382774 386779 391782 394780 396777 395768 397762 400756
      405751 408746 413742 419739 424735 427730 430724 435710
      437704 437697
 0.50 428245 428242 426239 423237 420236 418235 415233 413234
      410237 409239 410242 412245 414246 418247 421248 423248
      426247 428245
 0.50 387043 386033 384024 381019 378016 376012 374010 371008
      365012 363017 365021 366026 365032 365037 367040 369043
      372045 379048 385044 387043
 0.50 385943 384938 380936 375935 371938 366943 359948 356952
      354956 353967 353972 356973 358972 363965 368958 371955
      375953 379951 382948 385943
 1.00 420714 419711 417709 414709 412711 409713 407715 406719
      406721 407724 409726 412726 415724 417722 418719 419716
      420714
 1.00 363956 363954 364952 363950 361950 359951 359952 357954
      357956 356958 356960 356963 356965 357967 357968 357967
      359965 360963 361961 362958 363956 363956

$$




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