Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 192154
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
554 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 20/0000 UTC THRU JUL 23/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


...NORTHERN PLAINS / UPPER MIDWEST...

PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARDS TO THE EVOLUTION OF CONVECTION
AND AXES OF HEAVIER QPF ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER
MS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE NAM AND WRF-ARW/NMMB
ALL PRODUCE HEAVY AMOUNTS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN WI...WELL TO
THE NORTH OF THE GFS AND THE NSSL-WRF.  DIFFERENCES APPEAR TO BE
AT LEAST PARTIALLY ATTRIBUTED TO THE EVOLUTION OF ONGOING
CONVECTION ACROSS EASTERN SD INTO SOUTHERN MN/NORTHERN IA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE GFS AND NSSL-WRF INTENSIFY ONGOING
CONVECTION AS IT DROPS FURTHER SOUTHEAST...WITH FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT UPSTREAM CONTRIBUTING TO AN AXIS OF HEAVY AMOUNTS
ACROSS SOUTHERN MN...NORTHEASTERN IA INTO NORTHWESTERN IL.  THIS
WOULD LIKELY INHIBIT MOISTURE ADVECTION AND CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
FURTHER TO THE NORTH.  THE NAM AND WRF-ARW/NMMB WEAKEN THE ONGOING
CONVECTION MORE QUICKLY AND ARE LESS BULLISH REDEVELOPING
CONVECTION UPSTREAM...WITH STRONGER LOW LEVEL INFLOW AND DEEPER
MOISTURE CONTRIBUTING TO HEAVY AMOUNTS FURTHER TO THE NORTH.
GIVEN THAT THE GFS AND THE NSSL-WRF APPEAR TO HAVE A BETTER HANDLE
ON THE ONGOING CONVECTION...THE WPC QPF LEANS CLOSER TO THEIR
SOLUTIONS.  FURTHERMORE THE NAM LOOKS TO BE OVERDONE WITH ITS 70
KT 850 INFLOW WITH 2.25+ INCH PWS INTO CENTRAL WI OVERNIGHT
APPEARS OVERDONE.


...LOWER GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST...

MID LEVEL ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH WED AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTION
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE BASE OF A BROADER SCALE
TROUGH...CROSSING THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION INTO WESTERN NY/PA
THU AFTERNOON EVENING.  THIS ENERGY INTERACTING WITH STRONG
MOISTURE ADVECTION ALONG AN AXIS OF DEEP WESTERLY INFLOW...ALONG
WITH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY...MAY CONTRIBUTE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF
HEAVY RAINS...WITH SOME OF THE LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWING LOCALLY
HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN NY.

...SOUTHWEST/GREAT BASIN/CENTRAL ROCKIES...

MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND MID LEVEL ENERGY DRAWN NORTH ALONG THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A STRONG UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTRIBUTE TO DIURNALLY ENHANCED CONVECTION ACROSS AZ NORTHWARD
INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND EAST INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...WITH HIGH
PW ANOMALIES EXPECTED TO SUPPORT SOME LOCALLY HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS.


...DAYS 2 AND 3...


...ROCKIES/SOUTHWEST...

THE MONSOONAL FLOW REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND
ROCKIES DURING DAYS 2 AND 3...PROVIDING SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR A
FLASH FLOOD THREAT ON BOTH DAYS. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS
BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
THE MONSOONAL FLOW CONTINUES TO FUNNEL DEEP MOISTURE ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST STATES (AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES TOP OUT NEAR 1.00
ACROSS THE ROCKIES...AND 1.50 INCHES OVER SOUTHWEST AZ). MARGINAL
TO MODERATE INSTABILITY... COMBINED WITH THE MOISTURE...WILL FUEL
SCATTERED TO BROKEN CONVECTION WHICH IS INITIALLY TIED TO THE
TERRAIN. THE LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW DECREASES MARKEDLY FROM DAY 1
INTO DAY 2...WHICH SHOULD FOSTER THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING AND
CELL MERGERS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
AZ/SOUTHWEST NM. IN THESE AREAS...LOCAL 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF
WERE PLACED. MOST 12Z MODELS HAD LOCAL 2.00+ INCH QPF AMOUNTS
ACROSS THIS AREA...SO A SLIGHT RISK WAS MAINTAINED ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHEAST AZ/SOUTHWEST NM FOR DAY 2.

FURTHER NORTH ACROSS THE WASATCH RANGE IN UT...THE MOISTURE IN THE
COLUMN IS NOT QUITE AS ROBUST AS AZ/NM...BUT MID LEVEL VORTICES
WITHIN THE RIDGE COULD PRODUCE POCKETS OF LIFT FOR ORGANIZATION.
AN AXIS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED OVER THE
RANGE...AND LOCAL TRAINING COULD RESULT IN HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS
(WITH THE 12Z GFS MAXIMUM QPF AMOUNTS PROBABLY TOO HIGH AS
MOISTURE COULD END UP BEING THE LIMITING FACTOR HERE). WHILE THE
WPC QPF QPF AMOUNTS ARE MODEST...THERE ARE ENOUGH MODEL SIGNALS
FOR LOCAL 1.50 INCH QPF AMOUNTS TO MAINTAIN THE SLIGHT RISK HERE
FOR DAY 2.

DAY 3...
SHORT WAVE ENERGY CROSSING THE NORTHERN ROCKIES LATE ON DAY 2 INTO
EARLY DAY 3 TEMPORARILY WEAKENS THE MID LEVEL RIDGE...BUT THE
RIDGE REASSERTS ITSELF AFTER THE SHORT WAVE PASSAGE. IN
GENERAL...CONDITIONS ON DAY 3 ARE EXPECTED TO BE SIMILAR TO THOSE
OF DAY 2 WITH RESPECT TO MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY. WEAK STEERING
WINDS OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES WILL ALSO PROMOTE SHORT TERM
TRAINING AND BACKBUILDING...AND A LARGE AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50
INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED OVER SOUTHEAST AZ/SOUTHWEST NM.
AGAIN...MOST 12Z MODELS HAD LOCAL 2.00+ INCH QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS
THIS AREA...SO A SLIGHT RISK WAS MAINTAINED ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHEAST AZ/SOUTHWEST NM FOR DAY 3.

ACROSS THE CO ROCKIES...DEEP MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND MARGINAL
INSTABILITY WILL FEED SCATTERED TO BROKEN CONVECTION...MAINLY TIED
TO THE TERRAIN. AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED
HERE...BUT THERE IS STRONG SUPPORT FROM THE 12Z GUIDANCE SUITE FOR
LOCAL 1.50 INCH QPF AMOUNTS. BECAUSE OF THIS...A SLIGHT RISK AREA
WAS MAINTAINED FOR DAY 3.


...NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY/GREAT LAKES...

CLUSTERS OF STORMS (OR MCS) ARE EXPECTED TO RIDE ALONG AND SOUTH
OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS ACROSS
THE UPPER MS VALLEY THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES DURING DAYS 2 AND 3.
EACH CONVECTIVE CLUSTER OR MCS MAY PRODUCE EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL...THOUGH THERE IS SOME SPREAD ON THE PLACEMENT OF THE
MAXIMUM QPF ASSOCIATED WITH EACH...ESPECIALLY ON DAY 3. IN AN
ATTEMPT TO MITIGATE SOME OF THE DIFFERENCES...THE WPC QPF WAS
BASED PRIMARILY ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS...WITH MORE OF A
LEAN TOWARD THE 12Z GFS ON DAY 3 ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.

DAY 2...
SHORT WAVE ENERGY IN A FAST MID LEVEL FLOW OVER THE NORTHERN
PLAINS AT THE START OF DAY 2 RIDES OVER A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
EXTENDING FROM ND ACROSS NORTHERN IA INTO SOUTHERN MN INTO
SOUTHERN WI. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...A 30 KNOT LOW LEVEL
SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 2.00+ INCH PRECIPTABLE WATER ALONG AND
OVER THE FRONT...WHERE MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED STRONG INSTABILITY.
THE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ON THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET
SHOULD FEED AN MCS THAT DEVELOPS OVER EASTERN SD AND TRACKS ACROSS
SOUTHERN MN AND SOUTHWEST WI BEFORE 21/12Z.

AN AXIS OF 1.75 TO 2.25 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ALONG THIS TRACK.
THE QPF MAXIMUM WAS PLACED JUST SOUTH OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE EXPECTED RESIDENCE OF THE BEST INSTABILITY. THREE
HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY HIGHER THAN THE WPC
QPF...BUT HEAVY RAINFALL FROM DAY 1 COULD SATURATE THE SOIL
LOCALLY... SO A SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS ASSIGNED OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST SD INTO SOUTHERN NM FOR DAY 2.

DAY 3...
THE MCS IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER 21/12Z AS THE LOW LEVEL JET
WEAKENS AND INSTABILITY IS CONSUMED. THERE IS SOME MODEL SPREAD
CONCERNING WHERE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO LIE DURING
DAY 3...AS THE OUTFLOW FROM THE EARLIER MCS COULD PUSH IT FURTHER
SOUTH ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST IA/NORTHERN IL (AS DEPICTED BY
THE 12Z GFS). WHILE THIS POSITION MAY BE TOO FAR SOUTH...A
POSITION FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE MODEL CONSENSUS WAS USED WHEN THE
WPC QPF WAS CONSTRUCTED FOR DAY 3.

ANOTHER MCS IS EXPECTED TO FORM AHEAD OF A MUCH STRONGER SHORT
WAVE TRACKING FROM WEST CENTRAL CANADA TO NORTHERN MN DURING DAY
3. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...A 30 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST
FLOW TRANSPORTS 2.00+ INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR AND STRONG
INSTABILITY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MN/NORTHEAST ACROSS
SOUTHERN WI INTO THE LP OF MI. AN AXIS OF 2.00 TO 2.50 INCHES OF
QPF WAS PLACED ALONG THE EXPECTED TRACK OF THE MCS...WHICH WAS
SOUTH OF BOTH OF THE 12Z ECMWF/NAM. PROPAGATION VECTORS SUGGEST
THAT TRAINING COULD RESULT IN LOCAL TRAINING...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. THE DAY 3 SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS ADJUSTED SOUTHWARD TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE FURTHER SOUTH TRACK OF THE MCS...FOLLOWING THE
BEST INSTABILITY.


...OH VALLEY/NORTHEAST...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY RIDING ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM
THE OH VALLEY INTO THE NORTHEAST PROVIDES LIFT FOR SOME CONVECTIVE
ORGANIZATION...AND THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY EARLY DURING DAY 2. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD
MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF
WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
AN ONGOING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX (OR SMALL MCS) IS EXPECTED TO CROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN OH VALLEY AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL NY
STATES DURING THE FIRST PART OF DAY 2. THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW AND
INSTABILITY SUPPORTS AXES OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE DUE TO SHORT TERM TRAINING. WHILE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
VALUES ARE AS LOW AS 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES...MAINLY OVER WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NY STATE DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL EARLIER THIS WEEK. WITH WET
ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS...A MARGINAL RISK WAS MAINTAINED FOR MUCH OF
THIS AREA FOR DAY 2.

DAY 3...
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY BECOMES FOCUSED ON A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
EXTENDING FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES OVER THE OH VALLEY DURING DAY
3. THE BEST MOISTURE (WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.75
AND 2.00 INCHES) AND INSTABILITY ARE FOCUSED OVER IN/OH...WHERE AN
AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED. THERE ARE SOME 12Z
MODEL SUITE MEMBERS WITH LOCAL 1.50 INCH QPF AMOUNTS...AND THESE
AMOUNTS ARE CLOSE TO THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES
OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL OH. WITH THIS IN MIND...A MARGINAL RISK
REMAINS IN PLACE HERE FOR DAY 3.


...SOUTHEAST/GULF COAST...

DEEP MOISTURE AND STRONG INSTABILITY...FOCUSED PRIMARILY ON
MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES...WILL FEED SCATTERED TO BROKEN CONVECTION
THAT PRODUCES LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON DAYS 2 AND 3. THERE WAS
GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC
SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND.

DEEP MOISTURE (WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 2.00 AND
2.50 INCHES) AND MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY WILL FEED MAINLY
DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM FL ACROSS THE GULF
COAST TO LA/TX EACH DAY. SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING IS FAIRLY
WEAK...WITH MID LEVEL RIDGING IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.
THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE FOCUSED ON MESOSCALE
BOUNDARIES...SUCH AS SEA/BAY BREEZES...AS WELL AS OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES FROM OTHER CONVECTION. FOR THE MOST PART...LOCAL 0.50
TO 1.00 INCH QPF AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH A MUCH BROADER AREA OF
0.25 INCHES OF QPF OVER THE GULF COAST AND FL...WHICH COULD RESULT
IN LOCAL RUNOFF ISSUES.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


PEREIRA/HAYES


24HR QP VT 21/00Z
 0.01 533190 535175 536159 535149 533145 531143 528140 524139
      519138 516139 509139 503142 500144 497148 492154 490159
      489165 488177 488189 490194 490200 488205 486207 481212
      476212 472213 469212 464213 457214 454215 451217 453223
      458225 460229 458233 455234 451233 448234 434242 435246
      439247 445252 455255 465257 473260 480261 484260 489260
      493262 497262 502259 508253 516235 521229 525220 530205
      532194 533190
 0.01 513996 513991 508993 501996 497998 494001 488010 485012
      482016 474021 466027 458031 454033 449033 443032 440029
      436019 437012 439006 443997 445990 449988 453987 460986
      464982 467976 468970 468964 468947 472938 474932 475926
      474918 473910 468882 466870 463857 464830 464823 462819
      459809 460798 459792 458788 456771 453761 452758 453755
      455750 458741 463732 469723 476714 481706 487697 491689
      494680 495675 494669 493663 490659 487656 483656 477662
      469668 458672 459684 461686 461690 461696 457705 450713
      447718 446723 442727 436728 432732 431736 442734 443737
      441743 433746 428744 426740 424733 426729 425723 422719
      420718 418719 416729 413742 412747 413754 414768 413781
      411792 410799 408805 404816 398822 390827 384833 377839
      373843 375848 378850 385852 393847 398847 401850 407861
      403867 400878 400885 401890 404903 408915 412926 415936
      417947 417960 417985 416000 415006 413010 409019 406024
      405030 402044 396039 393040 390043 386052 377053 380058
      374061 370062 367062 368059 372053 361052 358051 355054
      354057 356058 358067 366073 369076 371079 374089 375091
      373093 369090 362082 354077 352073 350068 348064 345061
      342057 338055 328051 323049 319046 312040 308038 303037
      298037 296040 294043 296046 300051 305054 308058 309062
      308065 305065 296052 287048 283047 279047 275055 266051
      247053 244055 242060 248065 270085 274095 279101 290116
      306127 318129 320130 324126 328123 332123 337125 340129
      344132 348135 353136 358137 362141 360147 357148 356152
      359156 365154 374151 378153 381153 386152 389150 399149
      403147 406144 406137 405133
 0.01 405133 402128 406124 409122 415121 419119 424119 427122
      430121 434119 440118 448116 453113 452106 455096 454090
      452087 450087 444086 441081 444076 448078 448075 450073
      453069 457066 459064 461063 467064 470061 473056 476051
      482042 493023 506009 511002 513996
 0.01 499939 500919 499908 498898 495883 493877 491871 487864
      485866 482882 481890 478897 478905 478914 485924 492934
      494940 496943 498942 499939
 0.01 404792 389785 386783 383786 382793 387796 387800 383802
      378805 373812 369817 365818 363820 351826 348830 346831
      344834 344838 343847 338853 330861 333867 335870 337869
      343869 348865 355862 358863 360861 363855 365847 359834
      361831 365829 369829 377817 380814 383814 387815 388820
      388824 390822 392815 394807 397802 404792
 0.01 353775 342764 347760 348753 346750 343749 338753 334747
      331746 327746 313753 292765 285769 279772 272775 263778
      251782 244784 239789 237795 236803 237812 240821 243826
      248827 262830 260836 261838 264840 268840 271843 272852
      273868 274888 274898 276905 278913 281920 288930 292935
      291941 284973 284979 285978 290974 296963 299956 301950
      304942 305938 305934 305923 306914 306908 308901 314867
      317853 323840 328836 334833 337832 338829 338823 339818
      348794 351782 353775
 0.01 336165 332163 329161 324159 321156 315156 312154 308153
      310156 314159 318161 321164 326165 330166 334165 336165
 0.01 316809 315807 313807 311807 309807 307806 305806 304806
      302807 301808 302809 304810 306810 308811 310811 311811
      313811 315810 316809
 0.01 257006 258000 256996 253993 250990 247988 242986 238987
      236991 236997 238000 242003 245006 249007 253009 256007
      257006
 0.25 466917 461875 457866 456859 457850 456840 455830 453819
      452809 449799 443785 438770 434761 431755 428752 424751
      422755 422761 422778 421787 418795 416802 415811 414815
      416816 419810 423803 425803 427806 429814 430824 432833
      432839 432844 431848 428852 423853 420847 416843 411837
      405834 406838 408847 417859 419868 421872 423874 426872
      431868 435874 438882 436891 433893 429893 423891 420889
      418886 416884 413883 408887 408894 409905 416919 422933
      425939 426947 428958 428968 427990 426995 427000 432997
      435992 438983 440975 442973 446972 454975 457974 459971
      460962 460956 461946 463937 465925 466917
 0.25 441105 439100 438096 435093 431091 429091 428094 428101
      425104 425108 429108 433107 437105 440105 441105
 0.25 420067 420065 419063 418062 418061 416062 415062 414062
      412062 411063 410066 410068 412070 413070 415069 417068
      419067 420067
 0.25 411108 411099 408093 400102 397102 394105 391109 384108
      381107 378109 374114 371120 371125 372129 374134 379139
      382141 386142 389141 391138 390134 389132 381129 384124
      389120 395118 401114 403113 407113 411108
 0.25 354120 352116 349112 343107 345102 345097 342089 337082
      335080 332080 330083 333091 333097 334103 337106 341107
      345116 352121 354120
 0.25 328111 329108 329105 326101 322093 318086 311081 294073
      285070 281063 271061 264058 261059 261063 264070 271076
      275083 278092 283098 293112 296115 300117 310118 316119
      320118 326113 328111
 0.25 305831 300824 294818 290817 289811 287807 286802 293797
      296794 297790 295786 290785 281785 272788 264792 256797
      250802 249806 251811 257816 264821 272824 286832 283827
      289825 295825 301829 303833 305831
 0.25 303842 303840 303838 301840 300840 299842 299844 299846
      301845 302844 303844 303842
 0.25 298929 298926 297925 297924 296922 295921 295920 294918
      293918 292916 292915 290915 289916 288918 288920 289922
      290924 290925 290927 292929 294930 296930 297929 298929
 0.25 289820 289818 288817 287818 287820 288820 289820
 0.50 462915 461904 458894 456886 452877 451873 450869 451864
      450859 447856 444858 442861 442868 442892 445909 443913
      440913 434907 431900 425898 413889 409889 410894 411903
      414911 419919 426933 428942 430952 431964 430975 430982
      432986 435983 436978 438971 441967 443965 449969 452970
      453967 454964 454953 452950 449949 446950 443948 445938
      449935 455940 457940 458936 460928 462915
 0.50 451843 452837 451831 449821 446805 442798 439791 434775
      429762 426759 426764 426772 428788 430795 432804 434813
      436821 438830 440837 445842 447844 451844 451843
 0.50 408105 409103 409101 409098 408097 407098 407100 407103
      407105 407106 408105
 0.50 396112 394112 392113 391113 389114 387115 385115 387116
      388116 390116 391116 392116 394115 395115 396113 396112
 0.50 382115 381115 380114 380115 381115 382115
 0.50 318114 320110 319106 317101 314096 309097 306095 305093
      308089 308087 306084 301080 290079 282073 278074 281076
      283082 282093 289102 296111 300114 305114 309113 313115
      318114
 0.50 280807 279801 279796 275795 271796 264797 259799 254802
      252806 256811 260814 264817 268817 268814 270812 273811
      280809 280807
 1.00 454908 454903 454898 454894 453891 451888 449889 448894
      448898 448900 449904 450908 451911 453911 454908
 1.00 442928 440922 437918 432909 429905 426901 417896 413895
      413900 415907 418912 424921 428931 432942 433949 436954
      437954 438950 438942 439936 442930 442928
 1.00 312109 311108 311107 310106 309104 308104 307104 307106
      308107 310108 311109 312109
 1.00 303108 304104 302101 299099 298097 296094 295093 291094
      290096 292098 293100 294102 295105 297107 300109 303108
 1.00 270804 269802 268801 266801 265801 263801 261802 259802
      258803 258805 260805 261806 263806 265806 267805 269805
      270804 270804
 1.50 438933 437926 436923 433916 429909 424903 418899 415898
      417907 422913 426920 429927 433935 436935 438933
 2.00 434928 432926 433924 432921 431916 428912 426907 424908
      422907 424910 426914 428919 430923 432928 434928

24HR QP VT 22/00Z
 0.01 527031 528023 527017 523004 521992 520986 515985 511985
      509983 506970 504962 500953 495943 491937 487934 482942
      481949 478954 471948 469946 467941 461918 446875 445872
      442868 438863 435859 431857 427855 429850 430846 432840
      432832 433828 436823 437818 438807 442782 447754 451745
      453733 455730 458730 462733 466733 470731 481719 484712
      487703 491690 493678 494672 492666 487658 481653 473651
      467652 462655 457657 454661 448669 446661 443656 439653
      436654 428658 416669 411675 406681 403685 400690 399693
      400701 402708 401714 401718 402723 402725 403738 402743
      402748 406750 408752 408756 409764 408770 405774 403768
      403764 401762 400758 399760 396761 394764 392769 392772
      389774 382772 379771 376774 372781 371789 370797 368801
      365804 363810 359818 354825 349833 344841 343846 344855
      347858 351855 355847 359843 361839 362834 365830 370829
      373826 375822 379823 380830 381834 384855 383861 382866
      380877 383884 386890 388893 392897 395899 403904 405905
      406910 408916 411931 414941 416947 417955 419966 420972
      420980 403008 399016 395025 391032 389039 387043 383046
      379047 369049 359052 350061 344053 342050 337047 329042
      325040 321037 314036 305034 295033 289035 284035 280038
      278042 277049 276055 274060 273071 274075 275082 278090
      281099 287106 301118 319125 324127 329127 331129 335130
      351137 356138 360137 371139 377139 381138 383138 385142
      388146 395148 399144 401139 398135 399128 402125 407124
      411120 416121 423114 428113 431110 436103 439093 440089
      443085 450083 457085 460081 462076 462070 464067 465058
      472048 479044 482043 484040 487036 491038 497044 499046
      499049 500057 502062 505065 508066 509058
 0.01 509058 510058 510055 510053 511052 513052 514052 516052
      517051 518050 519050 520049 521048 522046 523045 524044
      524041 525040 525039 526036 526034 527032 527031
 0.01 445700 444698 442696 441699 442700 443701 444702 445700
 0.01 443693 443691 443689 442686 440685 440687 439690 438692
      439695 440696 442696 443693
 0.01 335804 334799 333795 329797 327799 318808 311811 302812
      296808 297804 298798 299788 298785 295782 290779 284777
      296751 291757 287762 282766 278761 275749 275751 275756
      275764 274768 270768 266765 271770 272773 266771 263769
      259771 254777 246788 242795 243803 248815 252824 257830
      260836 264843 272856 275861 276865 277869 279873 279879
      282886 283891 284896 287904 291910 293914 293918 295922
      295927 295935 292945 289952 286958 282966 281975 282978
      285979 290976 294972 310945 318931 326922 328919 328914
      330904 333885 333879 334875 334864 333856 330849 324835
      323829 322823 323817 325814 335804
 0.01 293776 293775 291775 290776 289776 290777 291776 293776
      293776
 0.25 522036 522028 519020 518019 514018 510014 506010 503014
      502018 503021 504029 504034 506037 507040 509039 515040
      518040 521038 522036
 0.25 482672 481665 477664 472666 470671 469675 467680 468684
      472688 474687 477684 479679 481675 482672
 0.25 492008 491988 490981 487976 480977 476972 472969 466967
      461963 458964 456965 454967 453965 453957 451938 450930
      450920 450909 449902 447896 444890 439887 434888 422891
      417886 413880 412875 412870 410859 410849 409839 408831
      407826 407821 410815 413810 415804 416797 415792 414790
      412788 409790 402794 397798 396806 395812 395821 391826
      389829 390833 393838 395846 400861 405872 409878 410881
      411886 411891 413898 422925 427941 428946 427951 427961
      430977 431985 433991 434000 439995 441990 445985 450988
      454986 457986 462989 472998 478009 482015 487017 490014
      492008
 0.25 437729 434727 431723 433720 434713 433703 431695 432686
      430680 427679 426681 423687 421694 421700 424706 427714
      429720 431723 430726 428728 428733 427740 429745 431746
      434742 436739 435736 432731 434729 436730 437729
 0.25 426765 426760 426755 426751 425746 423743 420744 419747
      419752 419754 418759 419764 421768 422770 424770 426767
      426765
 0.25 432016 430011 431009 429004 425003 422006 421010 419015
      419022 420027 422032 426034 430031 430027 430022 432017
      432016
 0.25 409066 405063 407061 409053 409049 406047 401048 397052
      394055 391059 387061 382065 378066 375071 375078 379082
      384083 387087 391084 395080 397076 401074 404069 408066
      409066
 0.25 390116 389114 387115 385115 383115 381115 380117 379118
      379119 379121 379122 381123 382123 384122 385122 386121
      387120 388119 389118 390116 390116
 0.25 366124 367120 363119 358119 354115 349112 344109 342104
      345090 345082 342078 338074 332073 326071 322072 320074
      316073 313070 311067 308067 304070 293068 287068 284070
      281076 282082 285093 288098 291102 295105 301107 306109
      311108 317110 322113 327115 332112 335108 339109 346118
      351121 356122 366124 366124
 0.25 365092 364088 361087 359085 355085 354082 352080 349081
      350085 351088 353090 355092 358093 362093 365092
 0.25 336060 336058 334057 332056 330056 329056 327056 326057
      326059 326060 328061 330061 332061 334061 335061 336060
 0.25 315886 315883 315881 315879 315877 314875 312873 310875
      310877 310880 310882 310884 311886 312888 313889 314888
      314886 315886
 0.25 292795 291790 287789 276789 269790 266794 262795 258797
      255801 256809 256812 260814 264816 269816 278817 282819
      285818 288810 288804 290800 292795
 0.25 294834 293830 292828 289826 287825 284825 281825 280826
      278828 278832 280834 282835 285835 288836 291836 294834
 0.50 489002 489993 487987 484987 483989 480992 477990 475989
      475987 477983 477979 474977 470979 471986 474992 477999
      480003 485006 488005 489002
 0.50 447954 448949 448944 447933 447922 447911 445903 442897
      437894 434895 432897 428903 427912 427922 429930 431938
      431945 431955 432964 433972 434976 436978 440975 443967
      445959 447954
 0.50 429702 429700 428697 427700 428702 429703 429702
 0.50 354117 352117 351117 350117 351117 352118 354117
 0.50 342098 342094 341091 341088 339086 337084 336081 334080
      331078 329079 328082 331083 331088 333090 334093 335095
      337097 340099 342098
 0.50 326098 326096 325096 324094 323093 322092 320091 318092
      318093 317095 318096 320097 322098 323098 325099 326098
 0.50 315090 316088 313086 310085 306083 301082 297082 293085
      291087 290094 292097 296099 301099 304097 307094 310092
      315091 315090
 0.50 285796 284794 282793 280793 278793 278792 277792 275793
      273794 273795 273797 274798 275799 277799 279800 281800
      283799 284798 284797 285796
 0.50 280809 278808 276808 276809 276810 278809 280809 280809
 0.50 266812 264811 264810 264811 264813 266813 266812
 1.00 444949 444943 442937 442931 443925 442913 439902 438899
      435902 433906 433914 433923 434930 434938 435949 435956
      437961 439963 440962 442957 444949
 1.50 442949 442947 440945 439947 438948 438949 437952 437954
      437957 438958 440957 441954 442952 442951 442949
 1.50 440923 440921 440918 439916 438914 438911 437911 436912
      436914 435916 435918 435921 436923 438926 439926 440925
      440923

24HR QP VT 23/00Z
 0.01 518278 519265 519259 517254 512236 508228 503222 499221
      496218 493220 492225 492230 493235 493241 491238 484234
      482237 483242 478249 476253 476258 480265 485274 487282
      493287 496287 500289 503292 507293 512290 516284
 0.01 536981 536973 536967 533956 530933 530924 528917 526904
      523894 518885 515883 513878 511872 510864 504859 500860
      497862 490868 487872 482873 478871 474867 472864 469858
      463837 460829 455822 445807 439798 433792 429785 425776
      418753 414742 414730 411724 408719 403725 396742 394746
      391746 387746 384748 381750 378754 374763 372767 371774
      371779 370785 365794 360804 355812 352821 349831 348835
      348841 348844 350844 354846 357850 360850 361847 358843
      364838 367835 369838 370843 372844 377846 376852 376856
      377861 379868 382873 384877 388880 400889 405896 407907
      412918 412930 412938 409946 405956 401964 401970 400974
      400979 401983 404986 404991 396008 390017 386020 381021
      364031 361041 357049 349053 344054 337052 331048 326047
      324047 319048 319055 319065 319070 317069 313062 311051
      314042 313037 309033 303033 297035 291034 287035 285037
      286040 285044 287047 288051 285055 281056 276054 269049
      266050 263054 262058 262064 264074 264080 266085 269091
      273098 279103 290115 296120 302121 308121 316123 326127
      336126 339124 343127 345131 350133 362137 367137 370136
      377137 383129 388123 399115 399110 395111 391112 385113
      384108 381105 378108 377111 374110 374102 378099 381096
      383094 385095 389094 391096 392100 396106 400107 402104
      401099 399095 398090 400084 406075 412070 416062 414055
      408049 412036 416034 421034 426035 429033 431032 432029
      434024 434008 434001 431996 428994 426999 423002 423995
      426984 426973 426970 427966 429964 433974 444986 449993
      452001 455005 458008 463008 465006 469004 474006 481013
      487019 491026 504037 510038 514036 520031 526021 531010
      531001 533994 536981
 0.01 470681 469674 467669 464666 460669 458673 453675 450674
      446675 442684 439690 438694 436703 433713 435717 438719
      440726 439731 437735 436741 439745 441748 445747 448744
      450733 453743 456744 458742 461739 464731 466719 468708
      470697 470681
 0.01 347884 347875 344873 342875 339877 339862 335855 329852
      325850 321851 313853 308857 303857 301855 295836 291839
      289847 288851 286855 282860 275874 276896 274904 272913
      271933 272941 275950 281954 285954 287955 288958 288962
      290966 292968 296969 302965 307960 311943 313933 313922
      322911 330909 337905 347884
 0.01 317774 316767 314763 309762 303763 297764 293767 281769
      273775 264781 260783 257787 254791 253796 255799 257805
      257812 261817 267822 276827 298828 302829 307827 309822
      308818 301811 297808 295806 295803 303798 309789 315783
      317774
 0.25 512274 513266 513261 512255 511251 508247 504248 504252
      502257 502264 501267 502272 504276 506279 510279 512274
      512274
 0.25 528984 529976 529970 527960 522953 518945 515933 513920
      508900 504892 502889 498890 493896 490900 486900 482902
      480906 480911 476914 470917 468913 468905 469900 469894
      466888 462878 461864 458854 454844 450835 445829 439825
      436818 431809 428801 424789 421781 417772 413765 408757
      404764 398781 395789 393798 396810 399818 401828 403839
      404852 404866 409888 412898 416905 420913 422920 425931
      428940 433947 438949 442947 447939 448928 451920 453917
      454920 459928 462931 466930 472927 474928 479930 480935
      481939 479946 476949 473957 470964 469969 469974 472985
      473989 477992 484999 486000 489999 494992 495987 499988
      498995 500005 505013 508016 512018 517020 523019 526010
      526004 525996 528984
 0.25 498266 497263 496260 496259 494258 494259 494260 495262
      495263 496265 497266 498266
 0.25 396062 396056 393051 391047 388046 385047 382050 378051
      375047 372046 367048 365052 360055 361057 365057 369059
      373064 375075 377080 379082 383081 386078 388073 395066
      396062
 0.25 387118 387117 385117 383116 381116 380117 379117 379119
      379120 381121 383121 385120 386119 387118
 0.25 380814 379809 375808 371807 367809 364813 363816 359821
      359825 361824 364820 367818 370817 375819 377819 380817
      380814 380814
 0.25 367122 366121 365120 363120 362121 363122 364123 366123
      367122
 0.25 354122 356118 354115 349112 344110 343105 344100 343093
      342087 342078 339074 334075 329078 325081 319082 315081
      309079 305075 298069 284067 278067 275071 274075 277081
      288095 298101 306107 314114 320115 324112 328110 332107
      336107 339108 342111 349118 352121 354122
 0.25 316890 316888 315886 314885 312884 311886 310888 309890
      310892 311893 313893 314892 315892 316890
 0.25 308911 308909 308908 308907 306905 304905 302906 301907
      300907 299910 297912 298914 299914 301916 303916 304916
      305916 306915 308914 308912 308911
 0.25 288789 285786 281788 276790 274793 269795 265796 268798
      269800 272801 277799 279796 282794 286791 288789
 0.25 291931 291924 291918 291912 291906 289901 286899 282902
      281906 281912 282918 283923 285926 286929 287933 290932
      291931
 0.25 278819 277817 276815 275815 273814 272814 271814 269813
      268814 268815 267816 268818 270819 271820 272821 274822
      276822 277821 278819
 0.50 523981 524973 523965 519955 515946 510935 508931 507926
      506917 505908 504903 501899 499898 495901 488908 486914
      486922 489935 492946 496955 495962 496970 501975 505980
      506985 506001 508007 511011 514013 520015 522012 523008
      522999 521995 521989 523981
 0.50 450850 450848 449846 449845 448843 447842 447843 447846
      448848 449850 449851 450850
 0.50 447872 439839 434825 428812 424806 423797 420789 417782
      413778 407778 404784 401790 403797 406804 409811 412819
      413828 414834 413844 411852 410861 411872 415891 420903
      422911 425919 432930 436936 438938 441937 442935 443930
      443919 443897 446884 447872
 0.50 382074 381073 381072 380071 379071 379074 379075 381075
      382074
 0.50 354117 352116 351117 352119 354118 354117
 0.50 342098 342096 342095 342094 341091 340090 339091 337092
      336093 335095 335097 336099 338100 340100 341099 342098
 0.50 322095 321093 320091 319091 319090 317090 315090 315091
      313092 313094 314096 316097 318097 319097 320097 322095
 0.50 305083 305082 303080 303078 301079 300078 298078 296078
      294078 292078 291079 291081 292083 294083 295084 297084
      299085 301085 303085 305083 305083
 1.00 512955 512954 511952 510950 510949 509949 507947 507946
      505945 505944 504943 503944 504945 504947 505949 506950
      506952 507954 507955 509956 510957 511957 512956 512955
 1.00 496919 496916 496914 495913 494913 493914 493916 493919
      494920 495919 496919
 1.00 436918 437910 436903 435896 434890 429878 426867 424860
      422854 419855 418857 418865 418873 420881 424893 425898
      425907 426913 429919 432922 436923 436918
 1.50 433904 433899 432895 431892 430890 429887 427884 425886
      425890 426893 427897 427900 429904 431906 433904
 2.00 431900 431897 429895 429894 429895 429897 429899 430900
      431901 431900

$$





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