Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 200915
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
514 AM EDT WED JUL 20 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 20/1200 UTC THRU JUL 23/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...NORTH DAKOTA/UPPER MS VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES...

ANOTHER BOUT OF CONVECTION DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A
850/700-MB SHORTWAVE MIGRATES FROM EASTERN WY INTO THE
DAKOTAS/MN...WITH SHOWERS BOTH IN WARM ADVECTION AND THEN
PRE-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE.

FURTHER SOUTH IN SOUTHERN MN AND WI INTO EASTERN IOWA...
THE NUMBER OF MODELS/ENSEMBLE MEMBERS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL IS
DROPPING WITH TIME.  A FEW OF THE HIGH RES RAPID REFRESH MEMBERS
0-4Z STILL INITIATED HEAVY SHOWERS/STORMS COMING ACROSS SOUTHERN
MN AND MOVED THEM INTO ADJACENT SOUTHERN WI OR IOWA.  AMONG THE
MAJOR CONVECTIVE ALLOWING ENSEMBLES THE 00Z RUN OF THE NSSL WRF
REMAINS THE HOLDOUT SHOWING HEAVY RAIN THIS MORNING OVER THE
REGION.  CONSEQUENTLY...THE AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THIS MORNING.

OTHERWISE...THE MODELS ARE SHOWING LITTLE IN THE WAY OF A DEFINED
UPPER DIVERGENCE/LOWER CONVERGENCE SIGNAL TO TRIGGER SUSTAINED
SHOWERS/STORM DEVELOPMENT. THE OVERNIGHT RAP ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK
300 MB DIVERGENCE MAXIMA THAT HAVEN`T BEEN ENOUGH TO GENERATE
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN SOUTHERN MN.
PLENTIFUL MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE AS NOTED BY THE LAYER RELATIVE
HUMIDITY OF 70 PERCENT IN EASTERN IOWA...THERE IS UNCERTAINTY AS
TO WHETHER A STRONG ENOUGH ASCENT TO TRIGGER CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE TOP OF THE CENTRAL US RIDGE. THE
300 MB DIVERGENCE IN LAST NIGHTS FORECASTS IS NOT PRESENT IN
TONIGHT`S FORECASTS.

DIURNAL SHOWERS/STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP WITHIN THE MOIST AXIS IN THE
MID MS VALLEY...AS THE GFS FCST A POOL OF PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES TO BE 1.75-2 INCHES BY 00Z THU FROM SOUTHERN IL TO AR.  THE
LACK OF A DEFINED UPPER DIVERGENCE/LOWER CONVERGENCE SIGNAL
PROHIBITS ANY ORGANIZED/PERSISTENT ACTIVITY.

THE MODELS BROKE CONTINUITY TO INDICATE LIGHTER AMOUNTS IN MI/IN
SO WENT WITH THE NEWER GUIDANCE SUITE. A COMBINATION OF RECENT
HRRR RUNS AS WELL AS THE 00Z HRW-ARW/HRW-NMMB COUPLED WITH SOME
CONTINUITY WAS USED FOR MANUAL PROGS.


...SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC/SOUTHEASTERN U.S...

THE REMNANTS OF A FRONT STALL OUT OVER THE SOUTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC...WHICH COMBINE WITH POOLED MOISTURE ACROSS THE
REGION WITH POCKETS OF LAYER AVERAGE RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 70
PERCENT AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.75-2 INCHES IN GA AND
AL TO SUPPORT DIURNAL CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION.
ADDITIONALLY...ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG THE COASTAL SEA
BREEZE IN THE CAROLINAS...SUPPORTING HIGHER AMOUNTS THAN INTERIOR
LOCATIONS. THE WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING SHOULD RESULT IN LESS COVERAGE/INTENSITY OVERNIGHT.
MANUAL PROGS USED A BLEND OF CONTINUITY AND THE 00Z CANADIAN
REGIONAL GEM/NAM/GFS.

...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKY MOUNTAINS/HIGH PLAINS...

WITH A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL
PLAINS...RETURN FLOW ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION WILL ADVECT ABUNDANT SUBTROPICAL PACIFIC MOISTURE
NORTHWARD. THE ENHANCED MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS REGION TO TRIGGER SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION...CONTINUING ACROSS THE CO
ROCKIES.  THE 00Z GFS INDICATES UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA LIKELY TO
SPUR SHOWERS EJECTING FROM THE CO FRONT RANGE ONTO THE HIGH PLAINS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON//EVENING. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
LIKELY IN REGIONS OF UPSLOPE FLOW.  MANUAL PROGS USED A BLEND OF
CONTINUITY WITH THE 00Z NAM/GFS QPF.

...GULF COAST/FL...

PERSISTENT LOW/MID-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DRAW
ENHANCED ATLANTIC MOISTURE TOWARD THE FL PENINSULA. MUCH OF THE
CONVECTION SHOULD ORIGINATE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE
ZONES/LAKE BREEZE AND MERGING OUTFLOWS AS ACTIVITY CONTINUES AND
QUICKLY MIGRATE WESTWARD WITH THE PREVAILING EASTERLY FLOW IN
PENINSULAR FL. BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE LIKELY GIVEN THE HIGH
AVAILABLE MOISTURE IN SOUTH FL WITH THE GFS INDICATING NEAR 2
INCHES OPF PRECIPITABLE WATER IN PLACE.  MANUAL PROGS BLENDED
CONTINUITY WITH THE 00Z GFS/CANADIAN REGIONAL GEM.



DAYS 2/3...

...UPPER MIDWEST-UPPER GREAT LAKES (DAY 2)...

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL FLATTEN SOMEWHAT ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY
AND UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION THU AND THU NIGHT AS THE UPPER JET
STREAK AND ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE ENERGY DROPS INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO
AND FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST-UPPER GREAT LAKES
REGIONS. WHILE A BIT SOUTH OF WHERE THE MOST FAVORABLE DYNAMICS
(LEFT EXIT REGION UPPER JET FORCING) IS EXPECTED...SUFFICIENT
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE COMBINED WITH THE ROBUST DEEP-LAYER
INSTABILITY (MUCAPES 2000-3000 J/KG) AND ANOMALOUS PW VALUES
(NEARING 2.00" OR ~2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) WILL
NONETHELESS FAVOR  ORGANIZED/WIDESPREAD CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE
UPPER JET AXIS ACROSS EASTERN WI AND OVER MI THU AND THU NIGHT.
WPC USED A MULTI-MODEL BLEND WITH THE QPF DURING DAY 2...HOWEVER
WAS A BIT MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAIN COMPARED
TO THE GFS...WHILE ALSO FARTHER SOUTH COMPARED TO THE ECMWF
(TOWARD THE GREATER DEEP-LAYER INSTABILITY). STRONG WSW LOW-LEVEL
INFLOW IS NOTED BY LATE THU (40-50 KTS)... WHICH WILL VEER W-NW
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRI MORNING. THIS SETUP WOULD FAVOR MORE
DOWNWIND PROPAGATION AND THUS A PROGRESSIVE MCS. GIVEN THIS ALONG
WITH THE DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS/CURRENT SHORT TERM FFG...IT
WOULD APPEAR THE RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WOULD BE
MARGINAL/ISOLATED AT BEST.


...NORTHERN PLAINS (DAY 3)...

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS FRI-FRI NIGHT. THE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
OUT AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM... ALONG WITH THE INCREASING
RIGHT-ENTRANCE REGION UPPER FORCING VIA THE UPPER JET STREAK IN
SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA...WILL FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD
CONVECTION (LIKELY MCS) ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THERE IS A
FAIRLY GOOD SIGNAL FROM THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE FOR HEAVY TO
POTENTIALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...HOWEVER AS IS TYPICAL 48-72 HOURS
OUT...THE LATITUDINAL SPREAD AMONG THE MODEL QPFS IS FAIRLY HIGH
AT THIS POINT. WPC REMAINED ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE
SPREAD...LINING UP CLOSER TO THE 03Z SREF PROBABILITY-MATCHED MEAN
THAN ANY OTHER PIECE OF GUIDANCE (INCLUDING THE 00Z GFS AND
ECMWF). CONSIDERING THE FORECAST LOW LEVEL INFLOW...MOISTURE
FLUX...AND POOLING OF BEST DEEP-LAYER CAPE...BELIEVE THE 00Z
GFS/ECMWF ARE TOO FAR NORTH (ND-NORTHERN MN) WITH THE AXIS OF
HEAVIEST RAINFALL. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE MODEL LATITUDINAL SPREAD AT
THIS POINT...FOR NOW WPC WILL INTRODUCE A RATHER BROAD "SLIGHT
RISK" AREA IN THE DAY 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK.


...SOUTHWEST/SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN/SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL ROCKIES...

SOUTHWESTERLY LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE
OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN...WITH MOISTURE
FROM EASTERN PACIFIC TRANSPORTED FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES.  THE MODELS...ESPECIALLY THOSE MODELS WITH A
FINER GRID SPACING BOTH HORIZONTALLY AND VERTICALLY...SHOW A
GRADUAL UPTICK IN COVERAGE OF LATE DAY AND EVENING CONVECTION OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN ON LATE WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY.  THIS
IDEA WAS ALREADY COVERED BY THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...WE ONLY MADE
SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO CONTINUITY.

PETERSEN/HURLEY

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 505237 505230 502224 498215 497209 496202 497194 499186
      501178 501172 500169 500160 499152 493124 487101 482076
      480063 479056 479051 482051 487056 494057 498054 500052
      501047 501037 499031 497027 496024 497019 501991 506977
      509970 510962 511951 510944 508938 505934 503932 502927
      502919 500906 498900 496896 492884 487870 482857 478852
      475852 474854 465860 459861 456865 451873 449877 449884
      451890 451896 454914 462925 467935 468939 468943 467949
      464978 463993 457002 450012 447019 448024 451031 454036
      457042 456052 453058 452064 450069 449076 449090 451104
      461129 469138 471144 467150 463162 458168 451174 448178
      448180 466180 468183 470182 474178 478175 481170 485168
      486175 484180 483187 482196 480200 473207 462212 461218
      462221 465224 468224 471224 472228 469232 467233 464232
      462233 461237 464241 472243 476245 480249 483249 483242
      483234 480229 476224 481222 496236 501238 505237
 0.01 448913 397844 386844 375845 365845 359845 357839 357835
      358832 361828 363823 365820 364816 361812 356809 356805
      357803 359797 368779 372770 379764 381758 379748 375746
      370748 366743 364742 361742 348744 345745 339746 332752
      326759 323768 314793 307802 302805 298802 296798 292795
      285791 276787 272787 266787 252791 244799 240809 238814
      238822 239828 241833 244837 249837 255836 258835 263836
      267839 276843 281846 283847 285850 287857 288866 288872
      287879 287905 286916 284923 284928 281939 279945 275949
      271954 266958 258966 251972 249976 249982 253990 257994
      261996 268997 274995 280993 284989 290981 296971 299962
      302951 310946 314944 317944 319945 331950 346950 352950
      357948 366943 371940 376938 385935 388933 395932 406932
      414932 419936 422942 426947 430950 434949 438945 442941
      444935 446929 448913
 0.01 442954 440952 438952 437954 435956 433958 431959 429961
      428964 427968 428971 431971 433969 435966 436964 438962
      440959 440957 442954
 0.01 428061 420045 419032 417022 413019 409014 405014 402018
      398023 396024 393022 391020 389025 384034 382035 378035
      375035 374030 371030 368032 360040 352049 353053 355058
      357062 356067 327074 323075 321077 321082 320086 316086
      313085 311086 309091 312094 308096 303097 299099 295102
      293105 291109 288110 287106 286101 283099 280094 278092
      290092 291089 284087 288085 289083 287081 279078 277077
      275073 261064 259058 263056 262051 259048 255038 255043
      258049 257052 253049 248050 248053 248056 245057 243056
      241057 240061 248068 252071 255075 251074 246071 242069
      242072 243076 249078 252080 253085 255088 258091 263092
      266095 266098 261098 262103 267104 272107 276111 280115
      285117 290124 295125 297128 301130 306130 315129 321127
      328127 332130 338129 342129 345131 348136 352137 358138
      362138 367131 369129 369124 370120 370115 372115 373117
      372127 374132 379131 384129 387126 393119 397109 401101
      403097 405096 406098 407103 408098 401091 406089 410089
      412092 414090 416084 420072 423065 428061
 0.01 386104 388102 388100 387098 385099 385102 386104 386104
 0.01 378107 377105 375104 374105 373105 373107 375108 377108
      378107
 0.25 497952 497940 495929 491923 485922 482924 479934 477944
      476955 474969 473994 470004 469009 470014 471019 473019
      480013 484013 486010 491002 494995 495990 495985 491977
      494967 496959 497952
 0.25 473910 473905 473900 473895 471891 470888 466888 465891
      464895 463900 463905 464910 466913 469915 470915 472912
      473910
 0.25 431916 431909 427904 421901 413899 410894 406890 397880
      388872 382869 375867 360868 356869 353872 349877 340884
      334889 329889 329892 327891 327894 330900 332908 338919
      343925 349928 354927 359924 362911 368909 375909 381909
      389907 396906 403906 409908 414914 419917 424918 428919
      431916
 0.25 403074 403070 402067 400064 401058 400055 397053 391050
      386052 383053 381050 379051 379054 381057 382060 380062
      375062 368059 366062 367065 369066 374071 372082 375087
      377089 379087 381085 384086 385089 387091 391089 390085
      392082 395077 400077 403075 403074
 0.25 388084 389082 389079 389077 390075 388074 387074 386074
      385075 384077 383079 383081 384083 385083 386084 388084
      388084
 0.25 369108 369104 367101 365097 368093 368090 364088 359087
      358089 358093 361098 359106 357110 361114 364112 369108
 0.25 358763 357758 355755 352754 347756 341761 334767 329773
      326780 319798 317807 314813 308819 302826 298832 295832
      295834 297838 298844 300853 299873 295895 294904 294915
      295920 297924 305922 312918 316912 319904 321898 321892
      321880 320870 321859 324849 331834 334824 337817 341809
      344802 346793 351784 355775 358767 358763
 0.25 349114 347110 345103 345096 340092 337093 336097 337101
      335105 332104 329105 331110 335115 337115 338112 342117
      345118 349114
 0.25 279823 278818 276813 273810 273807 275803 272800 270797
      266795 255797 249802 245809 244814 244817 248819 253820
      260823 269825 279823
 0.25 271091 272089 271088 269088 269089 268091 269092 271093
      271091
 0.50 488949 488944 487942 484941 482943 482947 482952 482957
      481962 482966 483962 484959 486955 487952 488949
 0.50 381076 383074 382072 382069 381067 380066 379067 379069
      379071 378073 377076 377078 376080 375082 377083 378083
      379081 379080 380078 381076 381076
 0.50 380893 380886 377882 374880 370880 365880 361881 358885
      357890 359894 363896 367897 372897 378896 380893
 0.50 364090 362089 361089 362091 364091 364090
 0.50 350771 350768 349766 345766 342768 333773 330776 328781
      326792 323803 322810 325816 328817 330816 334813 338804
      342792 346783 350773 350771
 0.50 313896 314888 312880 311878 309877 306882 303886 300893
      299899 299907 299914 303917 307914 311909 312903 313896
 0.50 311839 311837 310835 310834 308834 306835 305837 306840
      306842 307842 308843 310841 311839
 0.50 266814 264813 261809 261804 263800 261799 257800 254802
      252806 253812 255814 259815 262817 266815 266814

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 505237 505230 503225 499219 496213 495207 495200 493197
      491195 485192 482191 478192 472195 469200 468208 464210
      459214 454215 450216 444215 442216 441220 442225 453226
      458227 461228 463226 467225 470225 466229 462228 459230
      450231 447235 446238 447240 451241 461242 467243 471243
      473242 478244 482242 486236 488229 496236 502238 505237
 0.01 499149 500134 499120 497107 495094 490071 488060 486054
      485050 483049 477044 473046 471051 471058 472063 473078
      476087 481097 486106 489117 489124 487129 483132 479134
      477137 478141 483145 486148 488150 493152 497151 499149
 0.01 504870 504859 501851 493835 477806 472797 471793 472788
      477770 486725 487716 487705 485692 484687 482682 478674
      476671 473670 468670 465673 463675 462681 461686 458689
      455692 449694 445697 444701 445708 442713 434715 432718
      431723 432732 430743 429747 427749 420753 416758 413767
      411777 409787 408798 408806 408813 407817 407825 406829
      404842 399850 394858 391865 388874 390883 393888 400891
      402892 408893 416893 419895 422899 425907 426916 425921
      424924 419934 415942 410951 407961 401979 400992 398002
      398008 400011 399017 392032 391034 393038 390039 386038
      378035 374038 371036 368032 365025 359029 353035 349039
      347043 343050 327055 329060 338061 340065 337068 334070
      329070 311068 306068 302069 300072 299076 297082 297088
      288086 285084 279083 272083 270083 269085 271093 276098
      289108 295110 300115 306121 312124 320127 324128 326126
      327120 332119 335120 338122 340127 343130 350135 354135
      359134 364132 367129 366114 369113 372115 373119 373125
      374132 377133 379130 392121 396115 398113 403112 407110
      409108 411106 411100 409097 405095 400092 401089 403089
      405091 408092 410089 411082 415079 417076 419072 420065
      419060 417056 419051 420049 420045 418042 419039 427037
      435038 443041 443037 442033 438025 436021 437015 440009
      444998 450993 454983 455975 455967 456955 457945 461935
      462933 464936 464942 463953 462963 462969 460974 460986
      460992 461997 463999 466996 470989 473981 480960 484950
      487937 489928 492915 495896 504870
 0.01 443954 445950 445945 442944 442947 438952 435957 431962
      428967 425973 423980 426982 429981 433978 438973 440968
      443961 443954
 0.01 428061 429058 428056 427055 425053 425056 423058 423060
      423062 424063 426063 428061 428061
 0.01 387102 388100 387098 385099 385102 386103 387102
 0.01 378107 379105 377103 375104 374105 373105 373107 375108
      377109 378107
 0.01 374887 374882 372880 368876 365875 364870 364862 367856
      367851 369848 369842 370837 370826 367810 365801 364790
      363779 364773 364768 363758 361754 358752 353753 349754
      348756 340767 337773 334780 326792 318803 313806 306809
      299808 295807 292805 288799 282794 278790 273788 268786
      261784 254785 247788 241792 236798 235804 236813 237820
      240827 250835 255841 261846 265848 271849 278848 284844
      285841 283838 286836 290836 295841 294849 297863 299869
      300877 300887 295893 291898 290908 293924 295939 297943
      300945 304946 308944 312941 316935 321931 327929 340924
      342922 346921 353916 358912 362907 369898 374887
 0.01 365112 365110 364109 362108 362107 361106 359105 357103
      356103 354103 352102 351104 351106 351108 351109 353109
      355109 357110 358110 360112 362113 364113 365112
 0.01 356868 355867 353867 352868 350869 348871 346873 345875
      344877 343880 345881 347879 348879 350877 352875 354872
      355870 356868
 0.01 230983 233988 238993 244996 249995 255993 260988 266978
      268970 269962 270957 270947 269941 265935 261932 258931
      254931 249934 244939 238950 235954 232961 231965
 0.25 487215 489213 489211 488208 488207 487205 485206 484207
      483207 481208 479210 479212 478213 479214 480215 482216
      483216 485216 487216 487215
 0.25 477235 476232 476235 477235 477235
 0.25 480721 478714 475708 472703 469702 466704 463709 460715
      459718 459724 460728 462731 467732 470733 474732 478727
      480721
 0.25 486869 486862 485856 483844 478832 473823 468814 464804
      464796 463791 461788 457787 453789 449790 447785 447779
      448773 451761 452755 452748 450745 446747 442755 434763
      432767 431773 431780 429784 424792 422797 422802 424805
      428806 433803 435801 437802 437806 437812 434816 425820
      417828 412834 409843 410858 411866 410870 411875 414877
      418880 420884 427891 434898 437900 443901 452898 456898
      462900 468900 471902 475912 477915 479916 481914 481906
      480898 481889 483882 486869
 0.25 474748 474745 470744 467746 465747 464750 463755 465759
      466762 469763 471761 472758 473755 474750 474748
 0.25 433002 433999 432998 432997 431994 429992 427993 426993
      424993 422994 420996 420999 421001 422002 424004 425005
      427005 429005 431004 432002 433002
 0.25 416996 417994 416991 415991 414989 413989 412990 410991
      408993 407996 408998 410999 412999 413999 414998 415997
      416996
 0.25 403072 402069 403064 400061 399058 393055 390049 388050
      386053 383054 382051 379050 378053 381056 382060 380062
      376063 370060 368059 366061 366064 369066 373070 374074
      372080 373084 375087 378089 380085 382083 385086 385091
      389091 391090 391087 391083 392080 403073 403072
 0.25 389084 389082 389079 389077 390075 388073 387074 386074
      385075 384076 383079 383081 384083 386085 388084 389084
 0.25 369093 368090 366088 364088 363087 362087 361086 359087
      358089 357091 356093 358094 360094 362094 364094 365094
      367094 369093
 0.25 362065 361063 359064 358065 359065 360067 362065
 0.25 360825 361822 360818 355815 350818 345821 341819 338821
      337824 338828 332837 329841 326842 323842 314839 311839
      308841 303845 300849 300853 302857 307867 311877 311892
      312897 315901 318900 320898 322892 323882 323877 326870
      328858 331854 338852 348849 350844 355840 360825
 0.25 341098 341096 340094 339095 339098 340098 341098
 0.25 336112 336110 335108 334106 332104 330103 328102 328103
      329105 330107 331109 332110 333111 334112 335113 336112
 0.25 331815 331813 330813 328812 326812 324813 323814 322814
      321815 320817 320819 321821 321822 323822 325822 327820
      328819 330818 331815
 0.25 310905 310903 311901 309900 308900 306900 306901 305903
      304905 304906 304907 304909 306909 306910 306909 308909
      309907 310906 310905
 0.25 289824 289822 288821 288820 286819 285819 283819 281819
      279819 278819 277819 276820 274821 274822 274824 276825
      277826 278826 280826 282826 283825 285826 287825 289825
      289824
 0.25 271808 271805 267805 263805 260806 258809 256810 257813
      259815 261816 263817 266817 267814 269813 271810 271808
 0.25 269835 268831 266829 265826 263824 261823 257822 256824
      256828 257830 259832 261833 264835 266835 269835
 0.25 254802 254801 252801 250801 249802 250803 252803 254802
      254802
 0.25 249966 248962 246960 245959 242960 240962 239963 237967
      237969 236973 237977 239978 242978 244976 246974 247972
      248968 249966
 0.50 474717 474716 473715 472713 471713 470713 470714 469715
      467717 466719 465720 465722 465725 467727 468727 470726
      471726 472726 473724 474723 474720 474719 474717
 0.50 478867 478851 474837 470826 463819 456812 452810 449814
      447819 448827 448833 445836 440838 434838 431832 427829
      422830 418833 413837 412842 415854 419865 424875 430884
      436891 441894 446894 450894 453890 455888 459888 464886
      472881 475877 477870 478867
 0.50 440774 439774 438775 438777 439778 440777 440774 440774
 0.50 383074 382072 382069 381067 380066 379067 379069 379071
      378073 377076 377078 376080 375082 377083 378083 379081
      379080 380078 381076 383074
 0.50 364090 364089 362089 361089 362091 364091 364090
 1.00 467858 468853 468847 466840 465836 463833 461832 457832
      456837 457843 456848 454852 452855 449856 447854 440851
      433850 427845 425843 423843 421847 422853 429867 433872
      439875 445878 448880 450877 453870 456868 459869 464866
      467858

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 439631 444639 446645 450646 452646 453649 455652 456650
      462648 466648 475646 478647 483646 488644 492645 494648
      496654 499663 504677 507686 508693 506699 498718 489739
      487743 484743 475740 471739 467742 460751 454756 449765
      444772 443776 444783 444789 443793 440803 434811 434815
      435818 439819 445819 445827 445834 440839 437843 435848
      436859 437887 438896 437902 437918 436923 439925 448927
      455929 463932 474948 480948 483948 486947 494942 498941
      502939 507944 514965 517970 518974 520980 520986 521996
      523000 528010 532018 534029 534036 533043 530055 528060
      527068 527076 525082 522094 518102 514116 512119 512123
      511129 512134 515139 518142 524149 528156 532165 534181
      535187 534195 533204 532209 530213 526215 523216 522213
      518212 515208 508203 505199 500196 495195 492194 490195
      492201 491207 498214 502224 507235 508243 507245 483224
      477218 471222 463226 455224 453223 454220 457217 465213
      468212 471208 473203 472196 473189 472181 473174 472169
      471164 470157 464154 458153 459148 461145 464144 470143
      472133 474127 478124 480120 480113 482100 482093 480090
      477090 474091 471091 469085 469077 470067 471062 472055
      469053 462049 455047 450047 443047 438048 434048 430051
      427056 423056 420058 418063 413073 407074 404078 400082
      395088 392087 391089 389093 385095 382094 381099 378099
      376098 376095 376089 372084 371079 370074 369071 366071
      360071 356068 353057 354050 356044 360038 366032 377019
      383009 388000 390997 395997 399999 400004 399010 401015
      407010 413004 418001 419999 418996 418990 419984 423976
      425972 425966 425959 423953 419952 415948 412944 409939
      405931 401922 397909 394897 392886 391875 390861 389856
      387853 381859 378858 375853 378841 377837 375835 371834
      366834 362832 359835 356839 353843 349846 339845 335843
      332840 329840 329844 332848
 0.01 332848 342851 345852 350851 355848 358850 356854 350862
      348864 347867 347875 342886 342893 345898 349903 350912
      345923 337933 334936 328939 317941 312944 307945 304941
      303939 299937 290931 286927 285925 284920 284913 286908
      294898 289896 285892 280883 276878 270874 271869 274865
      279866 286866 293865 295864 295859 293854 290849 288846
      286845 283850 278853 271853 267852 264849 260845 254847
      249845 245839 243833 243827 243823 241821 237818 234815
      232809 227795 224783 224777 226773 231769 236768 239769
      242774 242779 244783 258794 269796 276797 282800 298812
      301816 304822 307827 313826 318822 322817 326812 329809
      337801 341801 342804 342808 341811 337815 333817 329820
      325824 330835 331837 333835 335832 338827 347819 351824
      356821 369805 373810 377807 384797 389794 390791 387790
      383786 383783 383779 384777 389771 392765 391760 389755
      391753 394752 398747 400743 398738 391731 386729 385724
      386720 384719 380724 374728 368731 363734 359734 357732
      355728 356721 373705 377701 379697 385687 391676 394670
      397666 400661 404656 409651 415646 425635
 0.01 483245 482239 479233 476231 474232 467232 464230 461229
      459231 455236 454238 456240 463242 469244 476246 481247
      483245
 0.01 368108 369104 368102 367097 366095 366092 364089 360089
      359089 357091 356095 355100 356103 357105 359108 362109
      366109 368108
 0.01 356120 356116 355113 353110 349109 347106 346101 345094
      343089 342082 347079 352079 356077 354072 349070 340073
      329077 326081 324085 320090 313090 302086 296085 292085
      291087 291091 292093 294097 297103 300107 303112 301117
      301120 303121 310122 317123 321122 326119 329115 331113
      334113 338116 346123 353123 356122 356120
 0.01 302872 302869 302867 301865 301864 299865 299868 300870
      300872 301873 302872
 0.01 231991 237996 242996 247996 255993 262988 268983 272976
      273966 270963 266960 255961 250961 244960 235963 232964
 0.25 517077 517070 514065 511062 507061 503062 500059 501055
      503054 503049 501044 501039 502037 504031 505025 505020
      505016 504010 503004 500998 495991 490983 484974 478967
      471960 466954 459947 452942 448940 442938 437940 435944
      436959 435975 430984 430991 431995 425004 423010 424013
      438025 443033 454036 459036 464038 471042 476044 480047
      483051 487053 493060 492064 491072 490082 491091 491104
      490112 492118 494122 497123 500119 501111 503105 506101
      512089 517077
 0.25 496146 497141 497138 495135 493133 491131 489134 487136
      486139 486144 487146 489149 491151 493150 495148 496146
 0.25 484687 482682 478679 472675 465675 462680 458690 453699
      450703 447707 435707 428712 419718 417721 416727 415736
      416743 415755 413767 413774 413780 409784 406789 402797
      399801 396807 396814 392827 389836 386839 388843 390840
      395838 400839 403838 406837 407839 409846 411850 416853
      421851 423846 428837 429830 427824 426817 426809 428805
      431800 433797 435792 435783 434780 435775 445759 454738
      462731 468726 472721 475717 480708 484687
 0.25 444661 443656 442654 437649 434648 431649 425653 421659
      418665 414670 411676 410685 408692 404697 404702 406707
      412708 417707 421701 424694 431682 438672 443666 444661
 0.25 424924 425907 425890 425882 424874 421870 416868 411868
      407870 405874 405882 407896 410908 412915 413921 417931
      419934 421933 423928 424924
 0.25 355835 355832 355831 353831 351833 351835 351837 352838
      353838 354837 355835 355835
 0.25 334921 335919 334917 333917 332917 330918 328919 326921
      325922 324922 324924 325925 326925 328925 330924 331924
      332923 334922 334921
 0.25 309850 308844 308837 308833 306832 302833 299832 296828
      292826 293832 291836 297834 299840 299849 302854 307854
      309850
 0.25 296819 296817 295816 295815 294813 293813 291812 290812
      288814 288816 289818 289820 290822 291822 292823 294823
      296822 296821 296819
 0.25 286823 284818 280815 276812 273808 265802 260802 256804
      252807 251810 252814 252821 248823 246828 249832 253829
      254823 258821 263821 274819 276823 277826 280827 284825
      286823
 0.25 243976 243974 243972 241970 239971 238971 237973 237975
      237976 239977 241978 242977 243976
 0.50 503085 503084 503083 503080 502078 501077 500076 498076
      497077 497078 496079 495082 495084 495087 495089 495092
      496093 496095 497096 499096 500095 501094 501093 502090
      503088 503087 503085
 0.50 488030 489022 489014 488008 486002 482991 481986 477983
      467964 462957 455950 448945 444944 440947 438973 437981
      437988 438994 436999 434003 434009 437013 441015 447021
      452029 458030 461030 465032 471032 479031 482035 486034
      488030
 0.50 469704 468700 465700 460704 455710 449714 422730 420768
      419778 420783 419789 409799 405806 403812 403819 406822
      410826 410835 414840 424829 423810 421806 422802 428797
      430793 431787 431781 430776 432771 436766 441760 442752
      438745 436742 437739 441736 445736 452733 464723 467719
      469715 469704
 0.50 439660 437655 432655 429658 426663 425668 421672 417674
      413679 414683 413689 408698 409700 411701 414701 418690
      426682 430673 437665 439660
 0.50 305846 305845 304844 303844 301846 301848 302849 303850
      304848 305847 305846
 1.00 460989 461986 460985 459984 457984 455986 453988 452991
      452993 453995 455995 457995 458994 459993 460991 460989
 1.00 456976 457973 456969 455964 453959 450956 447954 445957
      446961 445967 443972 443976 447979 452981 455981 456976
 1.00 423679 423677 421675 420676 418677 416678 416679 416681
      417682 419683 421682 422681 423679

$$





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