Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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747
FXUS04 KWBC 172115
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
514 PM EDT TUE OCT 17 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID OCT 18/0000 UTC THRU OCT 21/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

18Z UPDATE...

ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO PRELIM GUIDANCE BASED ON
SATL/RADAR TRENDS.

PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES

IN THE WAKE OF THE LEAD AREA OF HEIGHT FALLS MOVING INLAND FROM
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES THIS
AFTERNOON---ADDITIONAL STRONG UPSTREAM NORTHEAST PACIFIC HEIGHT
FALLS WILL AMPLIFY AS THEY PUSH TOWARD THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST
WEDNESDAY.  THIS WILL LEAD TO STRENGTHENING WEST SOUTHWESTERLY LOW
LEVEL IN AN AXIS OF PW VALUES 2.0-2.5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
THE MEAN IMPACTING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FROM THE NORTHERN OREGON
COAST/WASHINGTON COASTAL AREA---INLAND INTO THE NORTHERN OREGON
CASCADES---THROUGH THE WASHINGTON CASCADES.  HEAVY RAINS LIKELY
THROUGH THE WASHINGTON CASCADES AND ALONG THE WASHINGTON COASTAL
RANGE/OLYMPIC RANGE--WITH A TIGHT GRADIENT OF PRECIP SOUTHWARD
INTO FAR NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES AND THE NORTHERN OREGON COAST
RANGE.   MAX TOTALS EXPECTED IN THE OLYMPIC RANGE WITH AMOUNTS IN
THE 3-6"+ RANGE...1-2+ INCHES IN THE NORTHERN WASHINGTON
CASCADES---WITH LIGHTER TOTALS BETWEEN THE COASTAL MAX AND THE
CASCADES MAX.  GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE TOTALS EXPECTED FARTHER
INLAND INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN/NORTHERN ROCKIES REGION FROM
EASTERN WASHINGTON STATE INTO NORTHERN ID AND NW MT.

FLORIDA

A SURFACE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STATIONARY IN AN EAST TO
WEST DIRECTION ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA DAY 1.  PERSISTENT EASTERLY
LOW LEVEL POST FRONTAL FLOW IN THE AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES
IN THE VICINITY OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED SHOWERY
PATTERN ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AND ALONG THE EAST CENTRAL TO
NORTHEAST COASTAL SECTIONS.  THE THREAT CONTINUES FOR LOCALLY
HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF
FLORIDA WHERE EAST TO WEST ORIENTED RAIN BANDS MAY SET UP.   UVVS
IN THIS LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW REGION WILL BE
ENHANCED...ESPECIALLY DURING THE 0000-1200 UTC TIME FRAME...BY
UPPER DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING EAST
NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE EASTERN GULF AND ACROSS FLORIDA.  THERE HAS
BEEN RUN TO RUN VARIABILITY IN THE HI RES GUIDANCE WITH THE
DETAILS OF WHERE THESE RAIN BANDS MAY SET UP.  CONSENSUS FROM THE
HI RES MEANS IS FOR MAX PRECIP FROM IN THE VICINITY OF DAB---SOUTH
TO MLB---WITH LIGHTER TOTALS SOUTH INTO SOUTHEAST FLORIDA.  NO
CHANGES PLANNED TO THE CURRENT MARGINAL AND SLIGHT RISK AREAS OVER
THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL REGIONS.  SHORT TERM RAINFALL
RATES OF 1-2"+ PER HOUR POSSIBLE WHERE THESE BANDS SET
UP---LEADING TO POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED RUNOFF ISSUES IN URBANIZED
AREAS.


DAYS 2/3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES...

A DEEPENING LONG WAVE TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST PUSHES A FRONT
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST DURING DAY 2...BEFORE THE LONG WAVE
TROUGH COMES ASHORE OVER THE WEST COAST AND ROCKIES DURING DAY 3.
THE 12Z GFS CONTINUES TO BE TOO FAST WITH THE TIMING OF THE LONG
WAVE TROUGH...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z
ECMWF/NAM/NBM.

DAY 2...
AS A DEEPENING LONG WAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
DURING DAY 2...IT PUSHES A WEAKENING FRONT WA/OR INTO ID/WESTERN
MT. AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND LONG WAVE TROUGH...A 40 TO 50 KNOT LOW
LEVEL WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER
AIR (WHICH IS ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN) ACROSS
WA/OR... MAINLY DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD. THE FOCUS FOR
THE DEEP MOISTURE AND LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW IS THE OLYMPIC AND WA
CASCADE RANGES...WHERE THERE IS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR 5.00-6.00
INCHES OF QPF. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE UPSLOPE FLOW AND LIFT
PROVIDED IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF A 130 KNOT JET STREAK
CROSSING BRITISH COLUMBIA...THESE VALUES APPEAR PLAUSIBLE. THE
MARGINAL RISK IN PLACE WAS RETAINED FOR DAY 2.

FURTHER EAST...THE MOISTURE PLUME IS NOT QUITE AS ROBUST ACROSS
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...BUT THE UPSLOPE FLOW AND SYNOPTIC SCALE
LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE JET STREAK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A SMALL
AREA OF 1.25 INCHES OF QPF OVER THE FAR NORTHERN BITTERROOT RANGE
IN ID.

DAY 3...
THE BEST LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE PACIFIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY BECOMES
FOCUSED ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES DURING THE FIRST PART OF DAY
3. WHILE THE MOISTURE FEED FROM THE PACIFIC IS NOT QUITE DEEP AS
THE PLUME ALONG THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST...UPSLOPE FLOW ALONG
THE FRONT PRODUCES LOW TOPPED CONVECTION (AS STEEPENING LAPSE
RATES RESULT IN MARGINAL INSTABILITY)...AND AN AXIS OF 0.50 TO
1.00 INCHES OF QPF ALONG THE BITTERROOT RANGE IN ID.

AS THE LONG WAVE TROUGH COMES ASHORE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
AND NORTHERN CA...THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FEED (WITH 1.00 INCH
PRECIPTABLE WATER AIR) BECOMES FOCUSED ON THE MOUNTAIN RANGES OF
WA/OR SOUTH INTO THE SIERRA NEVADA RANGE IN NORTHERN CA. THE BROAD
AREA OF UPSLOPE FLOW...COMBINED WITH LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LONG
WAVE TROUGH...IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AXES OF 1.50 TO 1.75 INCHES
OF QPF OVER THE COASTAL RANGE IN OR AND THE WA/OR
CASCADES...DROPPING OFF TO NEAR AN INCH OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
THE SIERRA NEVADA RANGE IN CA.

HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST DURING DAY 3. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SUITE OF WPC
WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.


...SOUTHWEST/TX...

A BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE SOUTHWEST STATES AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS DURING DAYS 2/3...PROVIDING SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT AHEAD OF AN
ONSHORE FLOW CONTAINING INCREASING MOISTURE. THE RESULTING LOW
TOPPED CONVECTION COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER
SOUTHEAST TX...ESPECIALLY DURING DAY 3. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD
MODEL AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE TRACK OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH...SO
THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS/NBM.

DAY 2...
A BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSES AZ/NM DURING DAY 2. ACROSS THESE
AREAS...THE LOW LEVEL SOUTHEAST FLOW TRANSPORTS ENOUGH MOISTURE
INTO NM TO FEED SCATTERED CONVECTION THAT PRODUCES LOCAL 0.25 INCH
QPF AMOUNTS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL NM.

FURTHER SOUTHEAST...THE LOW LEVEL FLOW AROUND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE TRANSPORTS 1.50/1.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR ACROSS
PORTIONS OF COASTAL SOUTHEAST TX AHEAD OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH.
THE LOW LEVEL 15 TO 20 KNOT SOUTHEAST FLOW IS FOCUSED DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD...WHERE MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATED
MARGINAL INSTABILITY AS THE LONG WAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHWEST STATES. AN AXIS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF WAS PLACED
NEAR KCRP. GIVEN THE DEPTH OF THE BUILDING MOISTURE...HIGHER QPF
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE...THOUGH MOST MODELS SHOW THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
REMAINING OFFSHORE DURING DAY 2.

DAY 3...
THE BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH TAKES ON A NEGATIVE TILT AS IT CROSSES
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS DURING DAY 3. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW FEEDS
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE ON A SOUTHEAST FLOW OVER CENTRAL NM TO SUPPORT
LOW TOPPED CONVECTION THAT PRODUCES AN AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES
OF QPF ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. LOCAL TRAINING COULD PRODUCE
LOCAL 1.00+ INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE SOUTHEAST FACING
TERRAIN IN CENTRAL NM.

A 25 KNOT SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO FEED 1.75 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR ACROSS SOUTHEAST TX. BROAD SYNOPTIC SCALE
COULD ALLOW LOW TOPPED CONVECTION TO ORGANIZE OVER THE SOUTHEAST
TX COAST BETWEEN KCRP AND KIAH. THERE IS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR
0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF IN THIS AREA...WITH MOST SOLUTIONS
KEEPING THE HIGHEST QPF AMOUNTS JUST OFFSHORE.


...FL/SOUTHEAST...

WEAK WAVES IN THE EASTERLY FLOW FOCUS DEEP MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY THAT FEEDS CONVECTION WHICH PRODUCES LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST OF FL...ESPECIALLY ON DAY
2. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE THE
DEPTH OF THE EASTERLY FLOW...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND
OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS/NBM.

DAY 2...
A BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE SOUTHEAST STATES DURING DAY
2. THE LONG WAVE TROUGH PROVIDES AN AREA OF SYNOPTIC SCALE OVER
FL...AS A 15 TO 25 KNOT LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.75
INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER OVER THE PENINSULA. THE LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE FOCUSES THE DEEP MOISTURE AND MARGINAL/MODERATE
INSTABILITY ALONG THE FL EAST COAST...WHERE AN AXIS OF 0.25 TO
0.50 INCHES OF QPF...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE SPACE
COAST.

DAY 3...
THE SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT WEAKENS AS THE LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVES
OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST DURING DAY 3. THE LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW
CONTINUES TO FOCUS 1.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER ON THE FL EAST
COAST. THE CONVECTION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS EXPANSIVE AS DAY 2
(DUE TO LACK OF BETTER MID LEVEL FORCING)...SUPPORTING AN AXIS OF
0.25 INCHES OF QPF ALONG THE FL EAST COAST FROM THE SPACE COAST
THROUGH THE KEYS.


ORAVEC/SULLLIVAN/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML




24HR QP VT 19/00Z
 0.01 478336 488327 498314 505303 512288 516280 519272 521261
      523254 523248 521239 519231 514219 513215 515217 518223
      524232 526234 528233 532225 535218 540203 541197 541189
      540182 529168 513149 504137 496135 491134 488131 483128
      477126 473125 471126 471132 472136 472139 475139 479138
      483140 486142 487144 487147 486151 482153 479154 477152
      472147 467143 461143 458146 458153 462158 465161 466164
      464166 460172 456178 455181 455184 461184 465186 466189
      471193 474194 477193 480192 485193 484198 481199 461210
      456215 450216 443217 440222 443224 448225 450228 449232
      446235 443242 444247 448254 454257 461262 461268 459272
      454290 457304 460318 464330
 0.01 502715 500708 496701 493697 488695 483698 480699 480695
      483689 487686 491680 493677 492671 493667 492663 490659
      488657 485658 476661 472660 469664 469667 471670 476677
      477680 477684 474689 471694 463697 458701 453704 448708
      440711 441718 445721 451721 455721 459719 467714 470722
      475726 479730 482736 487740 490736 497725 501719 502715
 0.01 496200 496199 494198 493199 494200 496200 496200
 0.01 482227 482226 481224 481223 479223 477222 477223 479224
      480225 481226 482227 482227
 0.01 444742 444739 444737 442737 440735 438735 438736 438738
      438741 438743 439745 439746 441745 442743 444742 444742
 0.01 371188 372186 372183 370181 370180 368180 367180 366180
      365181 363180 361180 360181 359183 359185 360188 362189
      363190 365190 367190 369190 371188 371188
 0.01 307803 303792 304787 304780 289784 277784 272786 267786
      261788 257791 250797 245800 242804 240808 241815 242822
      242826 243830 245835 246841 249844 256842 261835 262830
      263822 270817 280820 284823 289824 292824 299822 302820
      306816 307803
 0.01 305083 305076 304072 300067 297065 290064 286065 273063
      264060 257058 255059 254061 254069 256073 263078 268081
      274082 286083 293084 297083 305083
 0.25 533211 534205 534197 532189 526174 522166 517161 516162
      515166 513168 506165 502164 499167 497168 493168 489167
      487169 490176 492180 494181 498177 503183 506190 515202
      524214 527217 530216 533211
 0.25 516270 518263 519257 519250 518245 512229 504213 499207
      493204 490201 488201 485203 481204 470212 457220 457222
      459225 463226 465224 467221 470219 474219 478220 483224
      487231 482232 480228 477226 475226 464231 458236 455239
      456244 459248 462250 468253 472256 473260 474265 475271
      477278 474288 473298 474310 475314 478317 485317 491313
      496306 504294 511280 516270
 0.25 500253 500250 499247 497244 495241 494240 493236 491234
      489234 491235 492238 494241 495244 496247 498250 500253
      500253
 0.25 301813 297798 295792 289791 276793 269792 262794 254801
      252807 253812 257818 260815 263805 267803 269805 274807
      282815 287817 294817 301813
 0.50 529204 530198 529194 526185 524176 522172 519170 515174
      511171 507172 506179 508185 510188 514195 519200 525206
      529204
 0.50 515267 517260 517254 515243 513235 509228 501212 499209
      496207 490203 477209 472215 474217 478219 485224 491230
      498244 501248 501252 502257 499255 496249 492240 487234
      482234 479229 477227 474228 469231 463234 461241 465244
      471249 476255 480262 483271 486279 486284 485289 484296
      485300 489303 493302 497298 503291 507284 508280 508274
      505266 508268 513271 515267
 0.50 461223 460222 459220 458222 459222 460223 461223
 0.50 296813 296807 295803 295797 293794 286796 279796 271794
      266795 263796 262799 265800 269802 271804 278807 282813
      288815 293815 296813
 0.50 260809 258808 256809 256810 255812 256814 257814 259814
      259813 259811 260809 260809
 1.00 512260 513251 512244 510233 504223 499212 498210 495209
      491209 485208 481209 477212 478216 483220 488223 491226
      493232 496237 499240 503245 505250 509260 512260
 1.00 506282 505273 503266 500261 498255 494249 492243 488238
      485236 483237 477229 472231 470234 469238 472244 475249
      480253 484258 489269 496280 501283 506282
 1.00 293809 293805 293801 292797 290797 288798 286800 283802
      282804 282806 282809 284812 286812 290812 292812 293809
 1.00 275801 274799 273799 272799 272801 272802 274803 275801
 1.50 504276 503270 500264 495255 492250 491245 490242 487239
      483240 480236 478231 475230 473232 471234 472239 474243
      477247 483249 487254 492263 496273 500277 503277 504276
 1.50 508243 508235 507231 503228 501222 498213 496210 492212
      489212 484210 480211 479214 485220 489220 491217 493220
      492226 494231 496235 502242 506245 508243
 1.50 291807 291805 291803 292801 290799 288800 287802 286802
      285803 284804 283805 283806 283808 284810 285810 286811
      288810 289810 290810 291808 291807
 2.00 501272 500267 498263 493255 490245 488241 485240 482242
      480239 479234 476231 473233 472237 475242 478245 483246
      488253 493261 498271 500273 501272
 2.00 504239 504237 504236 503234 502233 502232 500230 499227
      497225 496225 496226 494228 495231 496234 498235 499237
      499238 501238 502239 504239 504239
 2.00 486217 485216 483216 482216 483217 485218 486217
 2.00 290808 290805 290803 289802 287803 285804 284806 284808
      286809 287809 289808 290808
 3.00 480241 479238 479236 478233 476232 474234 474237 475239
      476240 477241 478243 480243 480241
 4.00 479241 478240 478238 478235 477235 476234 475235 475237
      477239 478241 479241

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 416311 425309 434307 442303 446301 451300 455298 460298
      469297 473296 479298 488297 491294 496292 505291 508290
      512287 516282 521269 523259 523245 515220 515216 518212
      523212 527214 532216 535213 540203 542198 543191 542184
      540180 537174 536166 533160 530157 525151 521149 516146
      510145 506141 501139 497139 483130 478127 474129 476134
      480137 483140 483144 475147 472150 470156 465169 462172
      457171 451170 449173 445179 443185 437194 426209 419216
      411222 404225 395228 391230 388233 386241 387247 388250
      389256 390267 392272 394277 391291 394297 396302 400305
 0.01 508679 508672 505666 502663 497661 492661 490664 482672
      477679 475682 474685 473693 472697 469701 461709 457719
      456727 460729 462733 459738 455742 453747 455751 459753
      468757 472758 475757 483748 496731 500729 503725 505722
      505720 506716 506712 507698 508682 508679
 0.01 403109 400106 396108 392112 387113 384115 380114 376116
      375120 377123 382124 385125 388123 392119 396117 400113
      403109
 0.01 383079 383076 383074 383072 383070 382067 380067 378067
      378069 378071 378073 377076 377078 377080 377082 377085
      379085 381083 381081 383079 383079
 0.01 375121 372118 368119 367115 367112 366110 364110 363114
      363119 362123 362126 366126 368124 370122 372122 375121
 0.01 364096 364092 362089 356087 356081 356077 358073 357070
      355066 350064 350060 354060 358064 361065 363061 361056
      352051 358045 362043 364040 365038 359038 357040 353040
      348039 342043 338044 334042 333036 330036 322043 319045
      316043 312041 307040 300040 299041 307045 310047 313047
      316046 318048 320051 320055 318056 316057 313056 307051
      300046 292046 287049 288051 285057 286060 290064 295065
      299063 301061 304061 308064 313063 317065 322072 325081
      327091 328097 328105 330107 334109 338111 342111 346107
      347103 345098 346094 350093 354095 364096
 0.01 347765 346761 344759 341759 337761 332764 329767 324775
      315786 308792 302787 296782 288781 278782 268779 262778
      253779 246784 238789 235795 233803 234814 238824 241831
      246837 251843 259846 264846 267847 276847 282847 286845
      287839 284835 281830 285825 283825 281822 280819 283817
      286818 290820 295822 300822 303819 307817 311814 315812
      317808 327797 338782 342773 347765
 0.01 292970 288964 284954 282950 283945 282941 279937 266925
      246921 243918 239917 233918 230922 232928 237936 238941
      237945 237959 238963 241966 246968 252968 268977 271980
      275981 281981 286979 290976 292970
 0.01 270824 268823 268822 266821 265823 267824 267825 269826
      270824
 0.01 264821 263819 262819 261818 259819 261821 263823 264821
 0.25 533192 533185 532180 527168 520157 514153 509151 501145
      495143 491144 490146 489151 487153 482158 479163 476169
      474175 475180 480184 482188 481194 480197 478200 475202
      471204 466206 458209 450212 443214 439214 433219 429221
      427228 423231 418232 413232 402235 398242 397246 398249
      401253 406254 412257 415262 416270 418273 420275 425275
      428280 431282 434282 437282 443280 448278 459275 467268
      471266 475265 481265 485265 487264 489267 490271 490276
      493280 499282 508283 511281 515277 518270 520260 519251
      517243 514233 512218 511209 512204 514202 517200 520200
      527202 530199 533192
 0.25 495244 495241 495244 495244
 0.25 330783 329780 325782 323783 322785 320788 319790 317793
      316796 318799 320797 322795 324793 326790 327788 329785
      330783
 0.25 301808 301804 299801 292797 287795 279794 270794 265795
      262793 255793 250794 246792 242796 242800 243805 243810
      244815 246815 249809 251805 254802 259801 267804 273805
      278809 292814 295815 298813 301808
 0.25 281968 281964 278960 272955 265949 261942 256935 252934
      250935 248937 247941 248947 252956 255962 259965 263967
      272969 277970 281968
 0.50 516270 517262 517257 514245 512239 511231 509225 510220
      507208 505203 507198 510194 514191 520191 525189 527185
      527180 526172 524167 516158 509156 506153 503149 498147
      495147 493150 494154 488157 484160 481165 479172 482177
      486179 494185 494189 493193 490196 480202 465210 455214
      445216 438219 434222 431227 431231 426234 414235 412238
      410241 411244 416253 428260 433261 437259 446258 456264
      461263 465261 474257 483256 486256 489260 496271 499276
      502279 505279 512276 516270
 0.50 498247 498246 498245 497242 495239 494238 493235 491234
      490233 488233 488234 489236 489237 491238 491240 492241
      493243 495246 496247 498248 498247
 0.50 295811 296807 294804 292802 290801 287800 284800 282800
      280802 282804 285805 287806 289808 291810 293812 295811
 0.50 271960 268956 266954 263951 259948 255947 254950 255954
      256958 259961 263964 265964 269962 271960
 1.00 513269 515263 515258 512250 507243 504239 504236 506226
      505217 501208 499204 494203 488203 481206 475209 467212
      463214 457218 442222 443226 446228 448228 447231 444232
      437236 433244 432247 432251 437251 444249 453249 482248
      487252 491255 495255 497252 495250 493247 487239 479227
      483226 488227 495232 500236 503238 504243 506253 504259
      502264 501270 502272 504273 509272 513269
 1.00 517177 518171 516167 509168 503164 497161 490162 485166
      486170 490172 499172 501171 505174 506182 509185 512183
      517177
 1.00 426244 427242 426240 425239 424239 423239 421238 419238
      417238 416238 415239 414241 415243 416244 418244 420245
      422245 423245 425245 426244
 1.50 511265 511263 512260 511259 510259 509259 508261 507263
      507264 506266 507267 508268 510267 511265
 1.50 501227 502222 502217 500212 496208 491206 486207 483208
      477211 470213 463216 457222 458227 456231 453233 448238
      446243 450244 466244 473244 478246 481245 483241 482237
      477229 473227 474223 477220 481221 487224 497229 501227
 1.50 422243 422242 420241 419241 417241 416241 417242 418242
      420243 422243 422243
 2.00 498224 499219 499216 497212 495210 493209 491209 488209
      484209 482211 480213 482217 484220 486221 489223 493224
      496225 498224
 2.00 479241 480239 479236 479235 478233 477233 476232 475230
      473230 471231 469232 468232 467232 467235 468237 469238
      470239 472239 473240 475241 476243 478243 479241
 2.00 475217 473215 470215 468215 465216 463218 461220 459222
      460226 463226 465226 468225 470224 472221 474219 475217
 2.00 458237 457235 455234 453235 451236 450237 449238 449239
      449241 451241 452241 453240 454240 456239 456238 458237
 3.00 493220 493217 493215 492213 491212 489212 487212 486212
      485212 485215 485216 486218 487218 488219 490220 491220
      493220

24HR QP VT 21/00Z
 0.01 536220 539204 538196 536188 534182 533173 528161 520154
      512147 506141 502140 499137 482125 477122 474118 473108
      473103 472100 469095 465092 461089 459085 450070 447067
      441066 435066 433068 432072 435076 439079 444083 446086
      445089 440090 436087 426087 423088 424093 425098 424101
      422102 418103 415103 413101 412097 412092 415087 416084
      416079 413078 409082 409086 407089 406095 404100 403111
      404116 408117 411115 415116 418119 425124 433117 435115
      439116 441116 442120 439128 436135 434139 431143 428146
      426147 426143 426129 422128 420131 415139 411143 407147
      402158 404164 407170 408172 408176 407185 403196 399197
      396194 394193 390193 385191 382188 379183 374182 371186
      372193 373200 374203 377205 384210 390217 390222 384221
      374215 371212 366212 360214 358220 362224 367227 371233
      375236 386252 405257 411257 417259 428260 434261 439264
      444267 451270 459275 469279 478280 489284 495292 498297
      502298 508297 511293 517279 519273 521263 522255 521249
      520237 526233 532227 536220
 0.01 519223 519217 519215 516211 514209 511207 510205 507206
      507211 507214 508218 511220 513222 516224 519223
 0.01 492669 492660 491655 489652 485648 482648 474657 469665
      461686 459700 452708 449711 447718 446723 448729 464721
      470719 475720 482714 484708 483703 480703 476704 472709
      469711 467708 472699 480692 487684 491675 492669
 0.01 468202 467201 465200 463200 462199 460199 458198 457198
      456199 455201 456203 458203 459204 461203 463203 465203
      466203 468202
 0.01 390073 389068 387070 382069 380065 377062 373064 371066
      373069 376073 377078 377083 381081 383079 387075 390073
      390073
 0.01 374055 373052 368051 365049 364043 363039 361036 355033
      354030 354026 354022 352018 349013 346013 343010 338006
      333006 331008 331012 332016 336019 338018 341017 343020
      339023 336025 329036 327038 324040 315038 308036 301036
      291035 289037 289043 289047 291050 293056 297063 304064
      308062 312064 317067 324066 329067 333069 343076 353091
      358093 364092 366092 366085 367077 367072 366070 363068
      363063 365059 370057 374055
 0.01 324014 324007 324005 321004 316002 309002 302998 302993
      304988 308986 310982 313977 313973 311971 311968 314965
      318958 319954 319947 317941 314937 300928 298924 298921
      299918 302913 303907 300899 296889 294885 291883 281879
      275879 269879 268878 265882 262892 258894 252892 246893
      242895 240902 237911 237918 238920 239924 240928 240934
      237937 239940 241944 240947 240954 242960 246968 249976
      252978 258980 270982 274984 277987 280993 282997 287001
      295007 301014 309015 320016 324014
 0.01 310811 304805 298802 289799 282795 273792 265791 254793
      248798 244806 242815 243825 245829 249830 253831 257829
      258824 261825 268820 268818 265815 270807 274806 278807
      292817 300819 305819 307816 310811
 0.25 516264 517258 516253 513242 505220 503216 501212 495205
      493203 489203 483204 476206 467209 460210 455211 448210
      443206 442202 444200 455189 460183 463180 466174 470172
      475172 480175 484178 490183 492186 496189 504189 512191
      519194 522194 526190 526181 526174 521165 515156 509151
      498143 484131 477126 474128 474136 473140 469141 465142
      463140 462136 458133 452136 445139 441141 439144 437152
      438158 440162 445166 447169 447174 445180 443184 441187
      441193 442198 439201 433200 432199 434193 435188 433184
      429181 425184 424189 425193 424199 422204 419211 416213
      411213 403208 400206 394203 390200 387199 385200 386206
      389210 395215 402221 407225 406228 403229 399229 395231
      395235 398239 417249 423251 433252 449253 458255 467256
      476258 481260 485264 490270 494277 497280 502282 505281
      508277 513270 516264
 0.25 495244 494241 494238 494237 494235 493233 492230 490229
      489228 487227 485227 484227 484230 485232 485233 486234
      488235 488236 489237 490239 490240 492242 492243 493245
      495244
 0.25 480226 479225 477225 476225 477227 478227 480226
 0.25 475227 474225 472226 473228 475227 475227
 0.25 457120 457115 458111 459106 459101 457098 453099 451100
      449102 447104 446109 447112 448116 449119 451122 453123
      456123 457120
 0.25 346061 345059 343060 342061 341063 342065 344065 346063
      346061 346061
 0.25 301962 302953 301946 292941 286941 282939 275937 268939
      260945 255948 257952 261958 261962 261966 263968 266971
      271974 274976 277976 283973 286970 294969 299967 301962
 0.25 276799 275799 274799 272799 271799 272800 274800 275799
      276799
 0.50 513261 513255 511249 506237 502228 500217 498214 495210
      489207 483206 469212 450215 441214 432214 417225 414219
      411219 407215 400209 395206 389206 395213 401218 412223
      412226 408231 404234 403235 404237 411242 421246 432247
      440248 449249 471249 478250 482249 483246 483242 481239
      476235 470234 468229 469225 473222 481223 486224 491227
      494231 496238 500248 505255 509262 513261
 0.50 517185 519178 517171 513164 510162 505161 501161 497160
      486157 477155 470149 462146 458145 453146 451149 450152
      448155 446158 450165 450178 455172 461166 463164 468163
      478167 485171 492177 495179 499181 510184 517185
 0.50 493145 492142 490139 489137 487136 485133 483132 480132
      479134 480137 482139 485141 487142 489144 491145 493145
 0.50 431236 432234 431233 430233 429235 430236 431236
 0.50 291958 291954 290952 290947 287947 283946 279946 276947
      274949 274954 276958 276960 278962 281963 285962 287961
      288960 291958
 1.00 498226 497221 495217 492213 488211 482210 479213 476215
      478218 483220 488222 493224 495228 497228 498226
 1.00 472218 471216 468217 462218 455219 451219 447217 440217
      433219 431223 434226 440227 445227 448226 455225 462225
      467222 472218
 1.00 462238 460235 459233 455232 453233 450233 448234 445235
      442237 440238 440239 444241 447243 450243 454243 455243
      459242 461240 462238
 1.00 427240 426239 425237 423236 421236 420235 418235 416235
      414236 413238 414240 414241 415241 417242 418243 420243
      421243 422243 424242 426242 426241 427240
 1.50 491217 490215 489214 487214 485215 485217 487218 488219
      489219 490218 491217
 1.50 454238 456236 455236 453235 451237 450237 451239 453239
      454238 454238
 1.50 447221 445220 443220 442220 443221 445222 446221 447221

$$





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