Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 162058
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
457 PM EDT WED AUG 16 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 17/0000 UTC THRU AUG 20/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES

MODELS ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR DAY 1 WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER
TROF PUSHING EAST NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE NORTHERN TO CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND UPPER LAKES REGION.  THIS TROF
IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY--SENDING A DEEPENING
SURFACE LOW FROM IN THE VICINITY OF THE MN/IA BORDER EARLY DAY
1---ACROSS SOUTHEAST MN AND WI WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AND
INTO THE WESTERN U.P. BY THURSDAY EVENING.  MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR
A NORTHERN PRECIP MAX ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL DEFINED COMMA
HEAD/DEFORMATION PRECIP AREA STRETCHING ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL TO EASTERN MN---WI---THE NORTHERN L.P. OF MI AND ACROSS
THE U.P.  HEAVIEST TOTALS EXPECTED OVER MN WHERE THE COMMA HEAD IS
EXPECTED TO PIVOT WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING WITH 1-2" AREAL
AVERAGE TOTALS DEPICTED.  PRECIP SHOULD BE MORE PROGRESSIVE TO THE
NORTHEAST ACROSS WI AND INTO BOTH THE L.P. AND U.P. OF MI.  THIS
SHOULD KEEP AREAL AVERAGE TOTALS LOWER HERE---ALTHOUGH LOCALLY
HEAVY AMOUNTS POSSIBLE

SOUTHERN PLAINS---LOWER MO VALLEY---LOWER TO MID MS VALLEY AND OH
VALLEY

THE TRAILING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE LOW MOVING INTO THE UPPER
MS VALLEY/UPPER LAKES REGION WILL BE PRESSING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE LOWER MO VALLEY---MID
MS VALLEY AND LOWER OH VALLEY REGION.  FAVORABLE UPPER DIFFLUENCE
ALONG THIS FRONT AND IN THE AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES IN THE
VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED
CONVECTION TO PRESS SOUTHEASTWARD FROM SOUTHEAST KS/CENTRAL
MO---INTO CENTRAL TO EASTERN OK---SOUTHERN MO---AR---NORTHEAST TX
AND NORTHERN LA.  THERE IS MORE MODEL SPREAD WITH RESPECT TO
TIMING AND QPF TOTALS ACROSS THESE AREAS--LEADING TO LOWER
CONFIDENCE THAN FOR AREAS FARTHER NORTH NEAR THE PRIMARY SURFACE
CENTER.  THE DAY 1 QPF LEANED MORE TOWARD THE NSSL WRF--NAM CONEST
AND HI RES ARW ACROSS THESE AREAS WITH .50-1" AMOUNTS DEPICTED.
LESS ORGANIZED AND PROGRESSIVE CONVECTION WILL SUPPORT LIGHTER
PRECIP TOTALS EASTWARD THROUGH THE LOWER TO MID MS VALLEY AND OH
VALLEY THIS PERIOD.

SCATTERED CONVECTION ALSO LIKELY FROM THE FL PENINSULA---ACROSS
THE COASTAL SOUTHEAST AND INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND LEE OF
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS DURING THURSDAY.  MODERATE AREAL AVERAGE
AMOUNTS DEPICTED WITH LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS POSSIBLE.

DAY 2 (00Z FRI-00Z SAT)...


...GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES ON
THURSDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH FROM THE LOW. THE MID
AND UPPER LEVELS WILL BE QUITE FAVORABLE FOR ASCENT...WITH A
STRONG MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING EAST AND A VERY DIFFLUENT UPPER
PATTERN. STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ADVECT ANOMALOUS
PWATS INTO THE REGION AS WELL...WITH VALUES AROUND THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL 95TH PERCENTILE. THUS ANTICIPATE WE WILL SEE A
RATHER LARGE SWATH WITH AREAL AVERAGED RAINFALL UPWARDS OF 1-2"
FROM NORTHEAST MN INTO NORTHERN WI...MUCH OF MI AND INTO NORTHERN
OH OVER THE 24 HOUR DAY 2 PERIOD. TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW LIKELY
TO HAVE AN ORGANIZED REGION OF DEFORMATION AXIS RAINFALL. IN
GENERAL RAINFALL RATES FROM THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD NOT BE THAT HIGH
GIVEN A LACK OF INSTABILITY. HOWEVER SHOULD BE ABLE TO GET SOME
EMBEDDED HEAVIER CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS...WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOOD ISSUES. FURTHER INTO THE WARM SECTOR OF THE
SYSTEM PRECIPITATION SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY CONVECTIVE IN
NATURE. SEEMS PROBABLE THAT WE SHOULD SEE TWO ROUNDS OF
PRECIPITATION...ONE INITIAL WAA SURGE...AND ANOTHER WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT. IN GENERAL THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF
BOTH THE SYSTEM AS A WHOLE AND INDIVIDUAL CELLS SHOULD KEEP
RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM GETTING TOO EXTREME. HOWEVER LIKELY TO HAVE
AT LEAST SOME CELL MERGERS RESULTING IN LOCALIZED HEAVIER
TOTALS...WITH THE GENERAL CONSENSUS OF THE HIGH RES CAM GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING ISOLATED POCKETS OF 2-4" OVER LOWER MI. WILL HAVE TO
MONITOR THE NEED FOR A SLIGHT RISK UPGRADE...HOWEVER GIVEN THAT
ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS HAVE NOT BEEN THAT WET AND THE PROGRESSIVE
NATURE OF THE SYSTEM...FLASH FLOOD ISSUES MAY ONLY BE LOCALIZED IN
NATURE. THUS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP THE RISK AT MARGINAL.

WPC QPF FOR THIS REGION FAVORED A MULTI MODEL BLEND. DO THINK THE
GLOBAL MODELS MAY BE A BIT SLOW MOVING CONVECTION ACROSS MI...WITH
ALL THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE DEPICTING A QUICKER PROGRESSION. THUS
THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST DID LEAN MORE TOWARDS THE 0Z RUNS OF
THE HRW ARW...HRW ARW2 AND THE EXPERIMENTAL HRRR.

THERE ALSO APPEARS TO BE A GROWING SIGNAL FOR SCATTERED CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP WELL AHEAD OF THE SURFACE FRONT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WV/VA/NC/MD ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE REGION IN
A WEAK LOW LEVEL WAA PATTERN. PWAT VALUES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE
TO ABOVE 2" BY THIS TIME. STORMS SHOULD GENERALLY BE MOVING OFF TO
THE EAST AT AROUND 10-20 KTS...HOWEVER SOME SIGNALS FOR LOCALIZED
CELL MERGERS WITHIN THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE. GIVEN THE HIGH PWAT
AIR...WOULD ANTICIPATE THIS CONVECTION TO BE EFFICIENT HEAVY
RAINFALL PRODUCERS. SO LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 1-2" IN AN HOUR SEEM
POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD BEGIN TO APPROACH FFG OVER PORTIONS OF WV
INTO WESTERN AND NORTHERN VA. FOR THIS REASON OPTED TO EXTEND THE
MARGINAL RISK TO INCLUDE THESE AREAS...WITH ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD
ISSUES POSSIBLE.


...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...

AN AREA OF MODERATELY STRONG MOISTURE CONVERGENCE WILL BE PRESENT
ACROSS NORTHERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA ON FRIDAY AS A SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE LIFTS A WARM FRONT THROUGH THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS. AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY CROSSES THE ROCKIES IT WILL LATCH ONTO
THIS FEATURE ALLOWING THE LEADING EDGE TO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS/MIDWEST. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST AN AREA OF ORGANIZED
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY DEVELOP FROM NORTHERN TEXAS/PANHANDLE TO
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AS THIS IS WHERE THE STRONGEST SURFACE
CONVERGENCE AND UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE SETS UP.

WPC FAVORED AS SOLUTION CLOSER TO THE 12Z GFS AND 12Z NAM. THERE
CONTINUES TO BE A DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY WITH HOW QUICKLY THE
CONVECTION MOVES THROUGH, WHICH WOULD IN TURN IMPACT THE RISK FOR
FLASH FLOODING. THE PERSISTENT 850MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE
BOUNDARY MAY BE ABLE TO SUPPORT SOME BACKBUILDING. AND GIVEN THE
WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS ACROSS THIS AREA WILL MAINTAIN THE
SLIGHT RISK.


DAY 3 (00Z SAT-00Z SUN)...


...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE LOWER/MID MS VALLEY...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO FIRE ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. CONVECTION WILL BE WELL-DEVELOPED OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDWEST ON SATURDAY WITH THE HIGHER QPF FORECAST
NEAR KANSAS CITY TO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THIS IS
IN PART DUE TO MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTING THAT BACK BUILDING MAY
OCCUR OVER THIS AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SHOULD THAT
MATERIALIZE, TRAINING STORMS OVER AN AREA THAT HAD RECENT FLOODING
WOULD INCREASE THE THREAT THEREFORE OPTED TO MAINTAIN THE SLIGHT
RISK CURRENTLY IN EFFECT.


...MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TRACKING THROUGH ONTARIO/QUEBEC WILL DRAG A
TRAILING COLD FRONT THROUGH THE NORTHEAST, MID-ATLANTIC AND
SOUTHEAST ON SATURDAY. AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE EAST ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE. A SIGNIFICANT SWATH OF PW VALUES 2-2.5+ INCHES
WILL STREAM UP THE EAST COAST PRIOR TO AND AS THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH. THIS MAY SUPPORT EMBEDDED AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND
ELEVATE THE THREAT FOR FLOODING. THE INHERITED MARGINAL RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS CONTINUED.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


CAMPBELL


24HR QP VT 18/00Z
 0.01 526897 525888 522881 518873 514865 505850 497837 485823
      475809 463792 458787 452782 442776 435772 429770 422769
      416765 411759 403755 400753 395754 387758 381764 376766
      370767 362768 354766 342766 338764 341760 358739 361731
      361727 359725 356723 350724 342728 325735 318741 313749
      303765 296779 294786 294789 293793 290800 285801 282799
      275796 266795 259794 253798 251798 247802 242810 241814
      242820 244825 247820 248816 250816 251818 257823 266835
      268843 269846 272847 276849 280849 283848 286845 289843
      293844 295845 299844 300841 303838 314838 328833 329838
      332839 337839 341841 346844 348848 350852 347857 342862
      340864 337864 333863 327864 323870 315883 313883 311881
      311877 310871 309868 308863 306860 302858 297859 293866
      291868 292872 292880 291883 291889 291903 291910 290914
      290920 289926 292930 296931 301931 303930 304933 304938
      303943 301950 301955 302959 308975 309978 309984 309990
      311994 309998 309005 309011 315012 318014 319020 319027
      322030 324035 326038 334041 355043 360045 367045 372044
      375042 380037 393032 395028 394025 388020 376019 367018
      356017 353017 351014 350009 347999 346993 351990 358987
      364982 370979 374974 381959 388945 392937 397931 404925
      407922 411920 417920 420921 422926 423934 425941 424947
      423952 424964 427975 428979 431980 438983 445984 453982
      466978 473974 479969 493957 499950 502944 504939 518930
      523910 526897
 0.01 224062 230071 236075 241079 249086 258094 270098 277098
      282093 292090 296090 299089 301087 301084 299078 296074
      294065 291060 289054 294050 296048 301049 304044 306041
      306034 302029 298029 296027 283024 270019 260014 251006
      247002 243998 240996 237995 234995 233997 232008 229019
 0.25 508900 509892 508882 504870 497857 490846 478829 459813
      452809 440806 434805 428803 420796 417795 414797 411801
      409806 405810 399813 395818 389829 382838 380842 378849
      378856 377861 379864 380869 382871 389870 393868 395862
      399859 406858 413857 420858 421861 421865 421874 420882
      418888 416893 415898 416901 420902 424902 426904 429909
      431916 432924 433930 433938 432946 432966 435973 440976
      445976 450975 460970 477954 491937 498927 501919 504912
      508900
 0.25 395789 396785 394781 392779 388779 382781 377785 373788
      368791 363794 359800 357805 356807 356812 356819 355823
      356827 360828 364823 367818 371813 380806 388798 392794
      395789
 0.25 400908 398903 394899 386897 381898 377901 372905 366908
      360905 357905 352909 344919 340923 334925 329930 325934
      321945 319953 318962 318970 319978 321979 325980 328973
      330969 333968 334971 335974 338977 344980 357976 362974
      368971 373968 376963 381949 385936 391923 396915 400908
 0.25 343794 343788 341785 336787 333789 328796 322803 316807
      312810 307810 299809 287808 267810 265812 266817 271824
      279827 288829 291830 295830 303826 311823 319818 326814
      333808 338802 343794
 0.25 287079 286070 282063 278057 272051 260043 246035 239032
      234033 231036 228043 227048 227054 229062 234067 246077
      258086 266090 269091 273091 285082 287079
 0.25 260809 260808 258809 258811 260810 260809
 0.50 501906 501893 501887 499881 496869 492861 483846 473830
      468826 463819 460816 456814 447814 440815 432819 428821
      426827 427834 429838 432847 430854 431866 430871 431878
      433881 432886 433889 437890 433907 436916 438926 440931
      440937 436945 435950 436957 435963 437968 439972 443973
      450971 457967 463962 470957 476951 485938 490931 495922
      499914 501906
 0.50 431890 430889 429890 427890 427893 429891 430890 431890
 0.50 379945 380940 380934 378928 377923 373918 368916 362917
      355920 348924 343928 337935 335937 330937 326940 325944
      323952 321964 323967 326964 328960 332959 343971 357972
      364969 370965 375958 378949 379945
 0.50 299817 297814 293813 288812 283813 279812 275815 274820
      278823 281824 287824 292823 296822 299818 299817
 0.50 282076 280070 276065 266056 258049 245043 240041 236041
      232043 230047 230055 231059 233061 238065 247073 257081
      261084 268087 273085 278082 282076
 1.00 495904 495897 495890 492880 482861 478853 473846 470843
      465841 457837 449835 445835 443836 443840 448849 457852
      464856 468864 473874 473877 470875 467872 455862 451860
      450861 449865 445870 445874 446878 449882 453882 457879
      461881 465884 467886 467890 451928 443943 440947 439954
      439962 442968 446968 450966 457961 464956 468954 472949
      476943 481935 487926 491917 494910 495904
 1.00 456908 456906 456903 455902 454903 455906 454908 455910
      456908
 1.00 372956 373949 373940 371934 367932 360927 357932 352932
      349937 349941 351942 353940 356936 358935 361936 362938
      360952 357963 357967 362967 370961 372956
 1.00 272077 271075 269074 267074 268076 268077 270078 272077
 1.00 252063 251061 250058 248057 246056 244055 243054 241054
      240054 239053 238055 239057 240060 241060 242061 243062
      244062 246063 248063 249063 251063 252063
 1.50 491904 491897 490890 489884 486880 483878 481878 480881
      480887 477892 474894 473899 473915 471918 468921 464922
      460925 455932 449939 445947 443951 442959 442962 444964
      452960 466952 469949 471946 474940 474934 476929 478926
      483917 488912 491904
 2.00 485904 486902 486899 485897 485895 483895 482897 482898
      481899 480901 480902 480904 480907 482909 484909 485907
      485905 485904
 2.00 469940 467934 465932 462932 459935 454938 450943 448949
      447954 450956 457954 461952 466949 468947 469942 469940

24HR QP VT 19/00Z
 0.01 528862 523852 519841 513821 511814 507809 505805 502800
      489780 483771 477766 467755 442737 423735 420733 418728
      415726 410727 404727 401728 395732 392737 384745 378753
      373758 367764 362769 358770 355772 352775 347776 345772
      341772 337774 331776 326777 322775 311773 305777 300779
      296781 290785 281792 276796 271799 264799 258801 255801
      254797 251798 248801 243802 238809 235817 236823 242826
      245824 249820 263826 271833 273836 275842 276854 276859
      278863 284872 289879 295891 298892 302890 303884 304885
      305891 304894 302895 297899 295901 295906 295917 293928
      293940 295944 297946 298952 300955 303955 312958 314959
      315962 315968 315980 318994 320006 319019 318022 316023
      312024 298019 279021 277023 275028 271035 268039 268045
      268056 269060 273065 280070 289073 291071 293067 305051
      308046 312041 316037 321037 340038 347034 354032 357032
      358034 360039 358044 358049 364050 367049 372048 374046
      382038 386037 386044 386050 384056 378062 377063 376067
      376075 377078 379078 380075 381065 383064 387063 391066
      395067 396072 396076 399074 401072 402066 402060 401058
      397053 394050 391045 392039 394037 398033 402030 406031
      406037 407042 411040 415030 416027 418027 421028 423031
      424034 428035 428030 427025 429024 437024 442022 445023
      446025 447032 450037 454040 458043 464043 472049 483060
      487061 488057 489043 489037 488033 488026 491023 494021
      500019 509019 515012 516007 517001 518994 516988 508984
      491969 479960 476959 471959 468961 464961 458969 456973
      452975 443975 435971 426967 422965 418967 405975 395981
      391981 386983 381983 376980 371977 368972 359959 355952
      351947 368914 387909
 0.01 387909 393908 394901 394894 396891 399890 402890 405891
      410894 414898 417903 420907 422913 426926 430940 435948
      438954 442958 449964 452965 453964 459961 467955 477950
      486945 500929 508921 512916 513910 518897 521887 521882
      524875 528863 528862
 0.01 453100 454088 455081 453078 453072 452068 451064 449062
      447060 444062 440067 439072 441075 445082 443091 441095
      443098 448102 453100
 0.01 386200 384197 381193 378191 375188 371185 366184 364184
      367188 371191 374194 377197 380200 385200 386200
 0.25 512872 512866 512861 509853 506844 504840 494827 486814
      480799 473790 469786 464785 455782 452782 449780 447772
      443765 442758 437752 433750 431753 434763 434769 432773
      426774 421771 416770 411774 409773 406773 406776 403783
      397796 391798 385806 382806 391794 393791 396785 398777
      398767 398764 400760 403755 406748 407745 406740 403740
      401742 394750 393754 390754 387753 384756 388762 386768
      380779 377787 371790 356790 351791 348795 342793 341790
      339789 333791 330796 326803 322806 315811 311810 299807
      292805 285806 278806 275808 274812 273816 270818 267811
      259806 256811 259814 263817 270818 270822 272825 279827
      282827 286825 290825 293828 295828 298826 302826 307825
      310824 318820 339807 344808 348811 351816 352824 352835
      351843 348856 346865 344872 339879 336886 333892 329897
      325902 323907 321912 320918 320927 322932 325934 328931
      334933 340923 347910 348906 348899 351891 357879 359874
      365872 368869 371869 375873 377877 379881 383883 388879
      391873 395869 421868 426866 430867 435871 438875 444886
      451896 455903 456914 457929 456935 457940 459942 463943
      471942 476937 486929 494919 499911 505898 510884 512872
 0.25 372017 374011 373005 371999 369994 367990 362987 355983
      351978 348970 345965 340964 336966 336970 336975 337985
      339993 340001 337008 336011 336016 339021 342024 346024
      352022 358022 364025 367025 370023 372017
 0.25 331954 331952 331949 332947 332945 331943 330942 328943
      327944 326945 326947 326949 326952 326954 326956 327956
      328958 330956 330955 331954
 0.25 310935 311933 311930 311928 310926 308926 306928 305930
      305931 304933 305933 306935 307935 308936 310935 310935
 0.25 305044 305042 306040 306038 306036 304035 302035 302036
      301037 300038 299039 298040 298042 298043 299044 300046
      302046 304045 305044
 0.25 300848 301846 300844 300842 300840 300838 300836 299834
      299833 298834 297835 297836 297837 298838 299840 299842
      299844 298847 299849 300849 300848
 0.25 291845 291843 290841 288841 287843 287845 286846 286848
      287850 288852 289852 290849 290847 291845
 0.50 502890 502881 501876 500866 500858 500850 498845 493838
      486832 481831 476828 468809 465803 463800 459797 452799
      446805 442805 439803 435800 431799 427797 426792 424787
      420784 417783 413784 406791 399802 396809 393814 389815
      386820 388823 396830 397833 399833 403831 408831 410835
      412841 414846 418850 423851 431857 438860 442862 444867
      445875 448881 452892 456900 460904 461910 464924 464931
      462935 462938 464939 469938 473935 476932 482922 487913
      493906 498898 502890
 0.50 390769 389767 388767 389769 389770 390769
 0.50 394856 390852 389845 387841 385843 382848 379852 377859
      379866 382873 384874 387872 391867 393863 394856
 0.50 374799 370796 365799 362803 358808 356815 357823 358826
      360825 363820 366814 368809 371804 374799
 0.50 369012 369003 366995 360990 351989 347991 345993 343997
      343002 340010 339014 340017 343020 347020 351015 354013
      358013 364016 367016 369013 369012
 0.50 349881 349879 349877 348875 347877 346877 345879 345881
      345882 347884 349882 349881
 0.50 335917 335912 333908 331904 331900 328904 326907 324912
      323917 324919 327918 329919 332921 334922 335919 335917
 0.50 310814 302813 295811 292810 288810 278812 275818 273822
      274824 279825 282823 288820 294822 303821 308817 310814
 1.00 494858 493853 492849 487843 480844 475845 468845 466839
      466833 466827 465824 461819 458816 455816 453820 451826
      448832 445829 440824 437821 435817 432810 429807 426810
      425813 424825 424834 426840 431845 438847 443851 446857
      450863 456868 461881 465888 466895 467901 466912 466922
      468927 470927 473919 477913 481909 484902 486898 489895
      491887 488879 488872 489865 492861 494858
 1.00 417809 417806 413805 411804 410801 407800 406803 405808
      405815 411813 413817 413826 415831 416823 417816 417809
 1.00 362003 361998 359996 357997 353998 349000 346004 344008
      343013 345013 349010 353009 356007 361005 362003
 1.50 485854 480854 475856 470859 469865 467869 466867 461871
      461876 465877 468876 473874 475875 476879 479872 481865
      484861 485854
 1.50 480899 480892 478887 476884 473880 469880 469885 470890
      470897 469902 470909 473905 475901 478902 480899
 1.50 462829 457827 456832 452836 450843 448849 449855 452860
      455857 460852 462846 461837 461831 462829
 1.50 435837 436835 436832 434831 434830 433829 431829 429830
      429831 429833 429836 430838 432839 433839 435837 435837
 2.00 457847 456845 456844 455842 454842 452842 452843 452845
      451848 452850 453851 455851 455850 456848 457847

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 444629 450634 458639 462642 464644 467644 473642 475641
      477642 497670 509685 510694 512701 513718 515733 516749
      517757 516762 515769 516774 522801 524807 522813 519826
      513845 511855 509859 504860 494861 490859 486859 482860
      481858 478854 471846 460832 455826 454819 452813 451800
      447788 446781 442774 437766 429765 421764 417762 413763
      403767 385776 377781 370788 362805 354822 350825 346826
      339832 331838 329843 331849 335856 341862 349857 356852
      364847 372843 380836 383826 387806 392799 394801 394810
      394814 393821 392826 393834 397844 403854 407861 409866
      409871 411876 409880 406882 404883 404886 406889 410891
      414889 417886 419881 421876 424873 427870 432871 436875
      441877 446877 454881 453884 449889 453910 457923 458932
      457937 452942 444945 439945 435947 431948 426950 413962
      399974 385988 379992 373999 364014 360018 355021 353022
      353025 356029 353035 351039 348042 344042 340039 335032
      335025 337020 340020 340017 338013 337006 338999 342989
      343964 342953 339945 334937 332934 331932 328931 323929
      317930 305931 301931 298928 293924 287917 285913 284907
      282899 280894 279887 273865 273860 274856 277845 275840
      275834 276830 273831 268838 264840 258840 255838 251835
      244835 240832 235828 231822 227814 225801 225794 225788
      226783 228778 235772 244767 251763 262761 269761 278758
      284762 291768 293775 294782 289790 286797 287803 288806
      290807 293803 295799 299792 313779 321772 327764 328759
      329755 332748 335743 336738 340731 347714
 0.01 347714 351704 351702 354701 358698 364696 368693 378688
      388683 398677 406671 416665 425660 430651 435641 438636
      441632 442630
 0.01 441846 441844 441842 440839 438837 437837 435837 433840
      432842 432843 432845 432847 432850 434852 436852 437849
      439849 441846 441846
 0.01 409105 410103 410101 410098 410096 408095 408096 406098
      406100 406102 406103 407105 407107 409106 409105
 0.01 411005 412003 412001 411000 410000 408000 406000 404002
      404003 403005 404005 406005 408005 410005 411005 411005
 0.01 398164 398162 399159 398159 396159 394160 394161 392162
      392163 390164 390167 389169 390169 392168 393168 394168
      395166 396166 397164 398164
 0.01 400141 398140 397140 396140 395142 394145 396145 398143
      400141 400141
 0.01 392200 390194 385190 380186 375183 370180 365181 364184
      365187 369191 372195 377199 383202 390201 392200
 0.01 403067 404060 402056 401051 399048 396046 394050 393055
      395059 396064 398069 399072 401069 403067
 0.01 390004 389002 387999 385999 383002 383004 381006 381008
      383009 385009 387009 388007 389006 390004 390004
 0.01 379895 376893 374891 372889 370887 370885 367885 367887
      365889 363892 362896 364898 367900 371900 374899 376897
      379895
 0.01 375026 374023 372025 368029 363033 358038 349046 336049
      328048 320046 315041 310039 299042 294044 289049 282050
      278055 276063 278069 279076 283080 288086 293090 298094
      300095 303095 306094 309096 312096 315095 320091 324087
      327086 331086 334082 334077 337073 342070 346066 352062
      359054 364049 367043 375026
 0.01 328990 328984 326980 325977 321975 319977 317981 315986
      316990 317994 320999 322999 326995 328992 328990
 0.25 510778 507763 503757 499755 494754 489750 486750 483752
      481759 479774 477790 477800 480807 483813 486818 491819
      496815 499811 501803 506790 510778
 0.25 479688 476677 474671 471667 467662 460656 453654 445656
      437661 430668 423674 416681 409683 406684 403687 398694
      394702 390710 384717 380720 374721 370723 369721 363730
      344759 338766 333774 329781 327789 326793 324797 318804
      316806 311809 306811 307814 313819 311825 308828 292830
      289832 287835 287841 288848 284867 289866 291868 291876
      293880 297887 299896 298899 300902 306909 309901 309895
      313897 316890 318886 316881 313874 312870 313865 320825
      323816 324809 326805 332800 341802 346802 349799 355793
      366779 372772 379766 394758 422735 427735 431733 435728
      439728 445732 448734 453734 458729 465721 469719 472714
      476706 478697 479688
 0.25 407926 406918 403912 398910 393913 389917 386923 384925
      380926 373926 366925 362921 353914 349913 345914 342918
      340926 342932 345937 348944 350950 352958 351972 352979
      356985 359987 361987 366987 375987 380984 385980 388976
      388971 385972 380975 377974 378970 382965 388963 395963
      400959 405956 407952 407947 406938 405932 407926
 0.25 362003 362000 358999 355000 353000 349000 346002 344004
      345008 347010 351011 354009 356008 358007 361005 362003
 0.25 308890 308888 308886 307884 307882 307880 307878 307876
      306878 306880 305880 305882 304884 303886 303888 304889
      305888 305887 306888 307890 307891 308890
 0.25 272781 271774 269770 264769 258770 254773 252777 250782
      246785 243789 242795 239794 240801 241807 244811 248814
      253816 258817 264815 267811 267806 268800 268794 269788
      272783 272781
 0.50 497801 497796 497791 496788 495784 493782 490782 489784
      488788 488793 489798 490802 492805 494806 496804 497801
 0.50 468684 467677 464671 461665 457662 452660 447661 440665
      436668 428675 422685 419690 416694 411698 408702 405713
      401716 396722 392732 392738 396740 400741 403740 408738
      413734 416730 421719 422717 424717 426720 429721 438717
      449720 455719 459715 463710 465705 468684
 0.50 400952 401948 400945 398942 394938 391937 381936 371938
      368941 366938 361931 355925 353924 350925 348928 348932
      350937 353947 356956 357962 356969 356976 359980 365983
      367978 367972 365967 366961 370953 372949 377949 390959
      394959 397957 400952
 0.50 365762 364759 361756 355758 352760 350764 345768 341775
      339782 342790 345791 349789 352783 357777 361771 365764
      365762
 0.50 353004 351003 349003 348004 347005 347006 347007 349008
      351008 352007 353004 353004
 0.50 266780 266779 266778 265776 264775 262775 261776 260777
      260778 260780 260782 260785 260787 261787 263786 265784
      266782 266780 266780
 1.00 456692 455690 455689 454690 454693 455693 456692
 1.00 434701 432701 431701 432702 434701 434701
 1.00 418714 417712 414711 411713 409714 408717 406719 405723
      404727 407727 409725 412723 414722 417719 418717 418714
 1.00 395954 395951 393949 391947 389945 386943 384942 381943
      382946 384948 386950 388952 390954 393956 395954
 1.00 365949 366947 365945 365943 364942 363941 363940 361939
      360938 359938 357937 355938 355941 355943 355944 356945
      357947 357948 358949 359951 360952 361952 363952 364951
      365949
 1.00 362978 364976 363974 362974 361976 362978 362978
 1.50 364947 363945 363944 361943 359942 358943 359945 361947
      363948 364947

$$





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