000
FXUS04 KWBC 150959
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
558 AM EDT SAT JUN 15 2013


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUN 15/1200 UTC THRU JUN 18/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


UPDATE

CHANGES TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 QPF WERE BASED MOSTLY ON CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS.  WITH ORGANIZED CONVECTION MOVING INTO THE MID WEST
WEAKENING---QPF AMOUNTS DECREASED FOR THE FIRST 6 HOUR PERIOD.
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS INCREASED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TX GIVEN
PERSISTENT OF RAINS HERE.

DAY 1

CENTRAL PLAINS---MID MS VALLEY INTO THE LOWER LAKES

IT SHOULD BE A FAIRLY ACTIVE CONVECTIVE PATTERN DAY 1 ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FORECAST TO STRETCH IN A
WEST TO EAST DIRECTION FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS---THROUGH THE MID
MS VALLEY AND INTO THE LOWER LAKES REGION. PW VALUES IN THE
VICINITY OF THIS FRONT EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE---1 TO 2
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN.  SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING
NORTHWARD OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL TAKE A MORE EASTERLY
TRACK THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND INTO THE UPPER MS
VALLEY---ACCENTUATING LIFT IN THIS HIGH PW AXIS IN THE VICINITY OF
THIS FRONT.  WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
LIKELY ACROSS THESE AREAS---ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS NOT VERY HIGH
WITH THE QPF DETAILS THIS PERIOD GIVEN THE USUAL SPREAD AMONG THE
LATEST OPERATIONAL---HI RES AND SREF GUIDANCE.  DAY 1 QPF LEANED
TOWARD THE HI RES ARW---NSSL WRF AND IN HOUSE PSEUDO BIAS
CORRECTED ENSEMBLE MEAN---DEPICTING A BROAD .25-.50"+ AREAL
AVERAGE PRECIPITATION REGION ACROSS THESE AREAS.  MODEL CONSENSUS
IS FOR MAX PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS IN THE VICINITY OF NORTHERN
MO---EASTERN IA INTO NORTHERN IL.

WEST CENTRAL TX

THE ELONGATED UPPER TROF ACROSS WESTERN TO CENTRAL TX WILL BE
WEAKENING DAY 1 AS THE ABOVE MENTIONED HEIGHT FALLS PUSH NORTHWARD
OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND THEN EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS/MID MS VALLEY REGION.  THIS SHOULD LEAD TO A LESSENING OF
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN THE AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES THAT
WILL PERSIST THIS PERIOD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.   GIVEN THE
WEAKENING TREND WITH THE TROF---CONFIDENCE IS LOW WITH QPF DETAILS
WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS DEPICTED.

EASTERN GULF COAST INTO CENTRAL FL

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ALONG THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST INTO CENTRAL FL DAY 1.  LOW CONFIDENCE
WITH QPF DETAILS IN THE VICINITY OF THIS BOUNDARY--WITH SCATTERED
CONVECTION LIKELY ACROSS THESE AREAS.  LIGHT TO MODERATE AREAL
AVERAGE AMOUNTS DEPICTED WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER TOTALS POSSIBLE


DAYS 2/3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

WEAK SHORT WAVES ROTATING AROUND A DEEP CLOSED LOW OFF THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST COAST WILL BE THE FOCI FOR QPF ON BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3. THE
00Z MODEL SUITE CONTINUES THE CLUSTERING THAT PREVIOUS MODEL
CYCLES HAVE SHOWN WITH THE CLOSED LOW...AND BECAUSE OF THIS THE
QPF FORECAST WAS BASED MAINLY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS BLEND.

THE DEEP CLOSED LOW OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL TRUNDLE
EASTWARD...REACHING A POSITION JUST WEST OF THE COAST BY THE END
OF DAY 3. DURING DAY 2...THE FIRST SHORT WAVE COMES ASHORE ACROSS
WA AND OR. MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES INCREASE AS A RESULT... AND THE
COMBINATION OF MOISTURE (IN THE FORM OF 0.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES) AND LIFT FROM THE SHORT WAVE WILL RESULT IN
SCATTERED CONVECTION... MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. THE MID LEVEL FLOW FAVORS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...MAINLY
ACROSS EASTERN WA AND EASTERN OR. BASED ON THE ABOVE...A STRIPE OF
0.15 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS THE CASCADES.

A SECOND...STRONGER SHORT WAVE AFFECT THE AREA DURING DAY 3. THE
MOISTURE CONTENT OF THE AIRMASS DOES NOT CHANGE MUCH...BUT
STEEPENING LAPSE RATES WILL RESULT IN MORE
INSTABILITY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS. THE STRONGER
LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SECOND SHORT WAVE AND INSTABILITY SHOULD
PRODUCE MORE IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION ON DAY 3. AGAIN...THE HIGHER
TERRAIN WAS TARGETED FOR THE HIGHER QPF...AND AN AREA OF 0.20 TO
0.35 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CENTRAL WA
AND CENTRAL OR.


...ROCKIES...

INCREASED MOISTURE ON AN UPSLOPE FLOW...COMBINED WITH INCREASING
INSTABILITY... WILL RESULT IN QPF ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES... MAINLY ON DAY 3. THERE WAS GOOD
AGREEMENT AMONG THE 00Z MODEL SUITE MEMBERS...AND THE QPF WAS
BASED ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS BLEND. THE 00Z NAM WAS UTILIZED TO BETTER
DEFINE WHERE THE QPF MAXIMA WERE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

WEAK TO MODERATE UPSLOPE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
ROCKIES DURING DAY 2...BEFORE BECOMING MAXIMIZED ON DAY 3. THE
UPSLOPE FLOW WILL HELP BRING IN HIGHER MOISTURE AIR TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INCREASE TO NEAR AN
INCH...WHICH IS CLOSE TO TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL.
MARGINAL INSTABILITY DEVELOPS AS A RESULT OF STEEPENING LAPSE
RATES. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW SOME VEERING OF THE WINDS WITH
HEIGHT...SUGGESTING SOME POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZATION OF THE
CONVECTION IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

THE CONVECTION SHOULD NOT BE LIMITED TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN...GIVEN
THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN AN AREA OF
0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE FRONT RANGE IN WY AND CO.


...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS
INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI WILL BECOME THE FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAIN
DURING BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3... THOUGH NOT IN THE SAME GEOGRAPHIC
AREA. A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/UKMET WAS USED AS A TEMPLATE FOR
THE QPF...AS THE 00Z GFS APPEARED TO BE SUFFERING FROM GRID SCALE
FEEDBACK...AND WAS DISCOUNTED FOR THIS FORECAST.

ON DAY 2...WEAK MID LEVEL SHORT WAVES IN THE FLOW WILL RIDE MORE
OR LESS OVER A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN PLACE ACROSS OK...KS INTO MO.
WEAK SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT SHOULD BE PROVIDED IN THE FORM OF
DIFLUENCE IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF A 90 KNOT JET STREAK.
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW STRONG INSTABILITY IN THE VICINITY OF THE
FRONT... ALONG WITH INCREASING SHEAR. THE COMBINATION SHOULD
RESULT IN STRONG ORGANIZED CONVECTION ACROSS OK AND KS DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

THERE IS A GROWING MULTI MODEL SIGNAL THAT AN MCS COULD DEVELOP
FROM THE CONVECTION DURING THE EVENING HOURS...TRACKING ACROSS KS
INTO MO. ALL OF THE 00Z MODEL SOLUTION SHOW SOME VARIATION OF
THIS...AND IT IS EVIDENT IN THE QPF FIELDS. PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES INCREASING TO NEAR 2.00 INCHES SHOULD FUEL THE CONVECTIVE
CLUSTER OR COMPLEX...LEADING TO AN AREA OF 1.50 TO 2.00 INCHES OF
QPF ACROSS EASTERN KS INTO NORTHEAST OK AND WESTERN MO. THERE HAS
BEEN A CONSISTENT SIGNAL FOR 2+ INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THIS AREA IN
THE GEFS AND ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS. THE FORECAST QPF VALUES ARE
BELOW THE THREE HOURLY FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE...SO NO SLIGHT RISK
AREA WAS ASSIGNED.

ON DAY 3...THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT SHIFTS TO THE MID AND LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...CLOSER TO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND BEST FEED
OF MOISTURE. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AGAIN TOP OUT NEAR 2.00
INCHES...AND MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW STRONG INSTABILITY WITH WEAK
VERTICAL SHEAR. THE WEAKER SHEAR COULD RESULT IN AN LARGER AREA OF
1.75 TO 2.25 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS NORTHEAST AR INTO WESTERN TN.
THESE QPF VALUES AREA ARE MIRRORED BY 00Z GEFS AND ECMWF ENSEMBLES
MEMBERS SHOWING 2+_ INCHES OF RAIN. ONCE AGAIN...THE FORECAST QPF
VALUES ARE BELOW THE THREE HOURLY FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE...SO NO
SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS ASSIGNED.


...NORTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC...

MOISTURE RIDING ALONG A WARM FRONT ON DAY 2 AND AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT ON DAY 3 WILL RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC STATES. AGAIN...THE 00Z
GFS APPEARED TO BE SUFFERING FROM GRID SCALE FEEDBACK ACROSS PARTS
OF THE MID ATLANTIC...SO ITS SOLUTION WAS IGNORED THERE.
ELSEWHERE...A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF AND 00Z GFS WAS USED TO
CREATE A QPF TEMPLATE.

ON DAY 2...MOST OF THE QPF WILL BE FOCUSED ON A WARM FRONT SNAKING
ITS WAY THROUGH INTERIOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN PA AND WESTERN NY
INTO NORTHERN AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. THE BEST VERTICAL LIFT
ALONG THE FRONT WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE MOVING
THROUGH ONT AND QUE. MODEL SOUNDINGS IN THE AREA SHOW MARGINAL
INSTABILITY AT BEST...BUT PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INCREASING TO
NEAR 1.75 INCHES ON THE NOSE OF A 30 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET NEAR
THE FRONT SHOULD RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS. AN AREA OF 0.50
TO 0.75 NICHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ALONG THE FRONT. AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT...AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED
ACROSS THE SPINE OF THE APPALACHIANS IN WV INTO EASTERN KY. THESE
VALUES REMAIN BELOW THE DEPRESSED THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
NUMBERS.

ON DAY 3...A STRONG CLOSING MID LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHING NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND WILL PROVIDE LIFT IN AN INCREASING LESS MOIST AIRMASS.
THE LIFT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE CLOSED SYSTEM
COULD RESULT IN AN AREA OF 0.15 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS
NORTHWEST AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. FURTHER SOUTH...CLOSER TO THE
COLD FRONT...MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MARGINAL TO MODERATE INSTABILITY
IN A WEAK TO MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES NEAR 1.75 INCHES SHOULD ALLOW FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IN
SOME ORGANIZED CONVECTION...AND AN AREA OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES QPF
WAS PLACED ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
ACROSS THE CAROLINAS.


...FL...

DIURNALLY DRIVEN QPF WILL AFFECT THE WEST COAST OF FL...MAINLY
DURING DAY 2. FOR THE MOST PART...THERE WAS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT
CONCERNING THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN...AND THE QPF WAS BASED
MAINLY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS/NAM BLEND.

CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THE SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE.
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY IN A WEAKLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT. HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS SHOW THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE
BECOMING THE MAIN FOCUS FOR CONVECTION. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
BETWEEN 1.75 AND 2.00 INCHES...SUGGESTING THAT THE CONVECTION
COULD LAST A COUPLE OF HOURS PAST 00Z. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A
SWATH OF 0.20 TO 0.35 INCHES OF QPF...CENTERED ON THE WEST COAST.
THERE WERE A COUPLE OF MEMBERS OF THE 00Z GEFS THAT SHOWED AN INCH
OF QPF WITH THE CONVECTION.


ORAVEC/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 16/12Z
 0.01 473776 472769 471760 470756 468753 464748 459748 454750
      449750 445752 436757 431760 429764 425768 423771 418777
      415783 411791 406799 401799 399800 393803 390810 389813
      388816 386818 384826 386836 384848 381851 378857 376867
      376872 375875 375881 374886 374896 371902 369910 365917
      359930 353943 349950 344955 338961 333970 330973 327976
      321983 312985 303986 284988 279988 275990 271995 270998
      270003 262005 257006 252010 252014 254017 260022 279024
      290023 302021 331011 336007 339004 340000 352990 358988
      362984 364987 358000 357005 357011 358018 357021 354023
      347028 342036 340038 340044 337047 333045 316044 309046
      302047 289045 281045 270045 262045 258046 256051 258056
      260058 268062 272065 271068 271072 274075 279081 285083
      293086 299089 304093 309098 313102 315105 318107 323108
      328105 335103 339095 343094 346091 352083 356075 352065
      352061 352058 355058 364058 366055 372054 375057 369064
      369068 376080 381081 385081 390080 391074 396057 399047
      399042 397041 394042 386048 377045 375043 373040 374038
      378036 380033 382031 387029 392030 394031 398033 402033
      406033 410030 413028 415024 415011 412002 410991 411987
      412987 414999 416004 421004 424000 427995 435974 439965
      441956 444948 446937 448927 452918 461913 465911 469910
      474912 478912 482913 487912 493905 493901 493896 489891
      485885 487880 487875 488871 489859 488855 484852 481851
      472859 468861 466865 463866 458866 460859 465850 471846
      473841 473835 473827 473823 473817 470812 469805 470801
      473786 473776
 0.01 369982 368979 365980 363983 366985 368983 369982
 0.01 371040 369037 366037 364040 363040 361044 358047 361050
      364050 366050 369047 369043 371040
 0.01 287797 283791 281789 278790 276794 275800 274803 271805
      265803 260803 256803 254808 258812 259815 262815 266817
      271820 267820 265822 268827 271837 273840 274844 278859
      280869 279872 279875 282890 281893 281897 285902 288905
      291901 293896 298895 298882 301877 302871 304865 303857
      300847 298839 295834 293828 293820 291816 289814 287803
      287797
 0.01 330075 327072 324069 321069 321068 319067 316066 313066
      310068 308068 310070 313072 316072 319075 321075 324075
      327076 330075
 0.25 447783 445779 443780 436783 430787 427791 420811 417818
      413824 407832 401842 397852 394865 391876 388886 384895
      378906 374917 370927 366936 355956 350964 352966 355966
      361965 373959 378959 382962 386964 390965 399969 406967
      414966 419967 421974 423978 426979 428977 431968 435953
      437940 436931 434928 437918 437908 438900 443889 443884
      441875 437865 436860 437856 439849 442837 444823 445811
      445801 447795 447783
 0.25 406015 408011 407007 405004 404004 401001 400000 398000
      396001 395001 393003 392005 392009 391013 393016 394017
      397019 398019 400021 403022 405019 405018 406015
 0.25 381014 379010 378007 378003 378999 377996 375993 374993
      372992 369992 366993 365994 364997 364000 364001 364005
      364008 365010 367011 368012 371013 373014 374014 376016
      379016 381014
 0.25 317999 316995 313994 307993 299992 291993 285993 279995
      277001 279007 282009 286009 294007 302005 310004 316001
      317999
 0.25 283818 281816 280814 280816 279820 282821 283818
 0.50 434878 434873 431869 428864 427856 428852 418850 406854
      400864 396874 392886 388894 381905 379915 379930 377941
      379947 383951 387954 391955 399953 402951 407946 410941
      413937 417932 421923 424910 427900 434878
 0.50 305001 307997 304996 302995 301995 299995 296995 293995
      290995 288996 285996 285997 283000 286003 288003 291003
      294003 297003 299003 302002 305001 305001
 1.00 421895 420887 419883 420879 417876 414878 410883 409887
      408893 408899 406911 403920 402926 402930 406927 409926
      413921 412917 415915 417909 417904 419898 421895

24HR QP VT 17/12Z
 0.01 555134 555106 555103 552098 552084 552072 550067 550059
      549052 548050 546042 545036 544031 542024 540011 538004
      529970 527961 524954 520936 517911 513888 510867 508857
      505851 502842 499838 496833 492827 487820 485814 482811
      479810 476812 473814 471812 468803 466801 464795 466786
      468780 469777 473774 477770 479764 482752 482742 480733
      480728 478720 476710 474705 474701 476696 480690 482684
      483678 482668 480661 476656 472651 468650 462651 455653
      449655 436667 422677 414682 408685 395693 382740 379750
      377756 372762 368764 368771 368782 369796 368811 361815
      357815 355818 354824 352829 346832 341833 334836 326839
      321843 317846 316848 314848 312844 310838 307834 301822
      298815 295811 287807 283806 278805 269803 258800 254800
      255807 252810 251813 253817 257819 273827 282832 291838
      298852 302868 301874 301878 304879 308882 314883 319881
      322878 328869 331863 337861 344859 348860 352863 356871
      361872 362877 362882 359906 359912 357917 352923 348920
      345911 342906 339900 335894 332892 330893 326896 321894
      314889 310887 303889 297897 295899 296903 297912 300916
      304919 314922 320923 325925 328929 331935 334948 335957
      334962 333965 331966 325967 319968 313970 313977 315982
      323991 327994 329997 327002 325008 323010 319012 309013
      303020 303024 301027 302029 304033 306033 310036 322036
      332039 338038 341035 348028 358024 366024 371028 378035
      383039 389039 394036 402035 410034 414034 417035 429041
      435042 438043 440042 442039 444032 444025 440008 434997
      427992 416985 413984 412980 416974 420971 424965 430954
      432949 431944 428937 423936 414935 404931 407923 408917
      411910 413903 415897 417890 423875 432854 445831 449827
      452826 453829 454834 453837 453846 452849 453855 454866
      455872 456884 458893 460897 464910 470924 472933 474942
      475955 476961 475966 473985 473990 476995 476001 481020
      484037 485042 487046 487050 496082 498091 499100 504116
      511124 516130 520137 525147 527153 529160 531166 533176
      535182 539182 545167 546163 548155 551149 552140 555134
 0.01 524256 524252 525247 528237 530222 531209 523168 521164
      520158 515152 504141 502140 497139 495140 491143 490152
      488166 493186 491198 486203 476201 470204 462203 458211
      460216 467220 469222 471221 476221 478224 477226 463230
      456230 452234 454237 458240 466240 469239 471242 474247
      477247 481246 487243 489244 491247 492250 492256 490260
      488264 490267 498270 502279 506286 512284 517281
 0.01 480887 480883 478880 477884 478888 479889 480887
 0.01 419064 419060 418060 416057 415056 413053 412052 412053
      410056 407056 404057 407057 409060 410061 412064 412068
      412069 415069 416068 418065 419064
 0.01 395061 395057 396053 396050 395046 392046 389049 386049
      384049 381049 378050 378054 381054 384054 386054 389057
      392061 395061 395061
 0.01 367043 366036 363039 360040 359042 355046 350043 346047
      335051 324047 318048 318055 321059 327060 332062 338063
      344065 347062 349057 352052 357048 360050 361054 364054
      364047 367043
 0.25 542122 542117 541112 540107 537102 534096 532090 529085
      526080 523077 520078 520087 520093 521101 522111 524115
      527121 531124 536126 539126 542122
 0.25 469684 469679 467674 462670 460669 457671 454677 445698
      440711 435719 432731 430735 428737 424740 421744 418751
      417761 416775 414784 413787 410789 405788 394790 390791
      386794 380801 368821 364828 360837 360845 365849 371855
      374853 376848 382839 388830 392822 400815 409815 415824
      420825 424824 430823 433820 438810 441807 445801 451790
      456781 459771 461757 461743 461738 461729 463718 466708
      468700 469695 469689 469684
 0.25 516267 517262 515254 513248 511241 510236 507230 504227
      500228 501233 503238 505244 505253 505259 507266 509271
      512273 514271 516267
 0.25 513002 512001 510998 509998 507003 507006 507008 507012
      507017 507022 508026 508028 509026 510021 510017 510016
      511012 511007 512003 513002
 0.25 508942 507924 506915 503906 499899 491889 490882 487885
      486891 485899 482904 475911 479926 484935 487939 490946
      497954 500956 506954 507947 508942
 0.25 493859 493852 491846 487839 483831 477825 473828 470831
      470837 475849 479856 484862 488866 489875 491877 492873
      492866 493862 493859
 0.25 430028 429023 426018 422011 416005 412999 407992 403983
      401978 401971 401962 390919 386910 384906 380905 370909
      367915 358929 353931 349930 342928 340928 339932 342939
      347947 348954 345962 345967 346973 347976 344978 341980
      346985 349996 356997 367007 371014 374018 378020 382017
      385014 388009 393006 399006 402008 405011 416022 423029
      429030 430028
 0.25 406864 407860 406856 405853 402851 400851 397854 397856
      395858 394861 393863 393865 393869 393873 395876 396877
      399877 402875 404873 404872 406868 406867 406864
 0.25 282822 279820 275818 272817 270817 269817 266816 265819
      267820 269821 271821 273822 274823 277824 278824 280824
      282822
 0.50 460696 458691 457694 454701 449709 445717 443724 444734
      445744 448749 451747 453743 453739 456731 458722 459714
      461705 460696
 0.50 502916 501912 497908 495911 491909 488907 488912 486917
      488924 489929 491938 495941 496941 496932 497926 500925
      500921 502916
 0.50 489852 488848 486845 486844 484840 482836 481836 478836
      475835 475840 476844 477845 478847 480851 482855 486858
      487857 488856 489852
 0.50 443781 443776 442773 439770 433770 431766 430762 427760
      426767 425773 424779 423783 424790 424792 428798 431800
      436802 439800 441796 442790 443785 443781
 0.50 391804 390803 389801 386800 384802 383804 382806 381808
      381812 384814 387813 389810 390808 391805 391804
 0.50 406000 403993 400989 397978 395974 394969 395962 395958
      393953 388940 387932 384926 381922 376920 369922 364926
      360936 354943 355951 354958 353964 354971 359991 371007
      374010 377008 378005 376001 372993 371986 375985 381994
      385995 389994 392994 395997 398002 402003 406000
 1.00 388980 387969 387965 386956 382949 378944 375941 372942
      370947 365953 362959 361964 363969 370971 376973 380977
      383984 386984 388980 388980
 1.50 385976 382976 382977 385977 385976
 1.50 382966 383962 382959 380955 376953 375953 374952 371953
      368955 367958 366960 365962 366965 366966 369967 372966
      375966 378966 379966 381968 382966


24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 515664 510654 506648 503645 495641 490637 485635 479631
      471629 469629 466631 462640 459645 455648 451650 448653
      447659 446663 444666 442677 441683 441686 442695 440706
      437715 433720 432724 430730 426733 425736 429737 432739
      432743 435752 437758 438765 437774 434784 432791 431796
      431803 430813 429825 426838 423849 422858 420879 422889
      423894 426899 428905 431908 434907 438910 439920 441930
      444934 445940 452960 459982 465995 468001 470005 475012
      478018 478020 481024 485025 491025 494023 498018 499015
      501009 501002 503994 500990 497986 495980 493973 491971
      489961 479941 471919 469915 468911 466901 465896 462892
      462888 463878 462871 463864 463859 464854 464848 468845
      471842 473837 474825 473817 474811 475803 477796 483778
      485769 488767 492769 496771 498770 505763 510759 513754
      516751 517747 519739 519735 517728 516720 515715 516708
      516702 516690 517683 517673 515664
 0.01 536221 534214 535208 536203 539195 541192 543186 545183
      545175 546165 545158 545146 545138 542132 540132 533131
      529135 526140 520153 514151 508151 505152 501152 495154
      490156 487161 482164 481169 482175 481185 480191 476193
      468192 462190 458192 451200 450206 448209 445209 441208
      439210 435210 432213 428214 425218 425222 429227 433231
      437229 449225 455225 462226 464230 461232 458235 454236
      448237 437245 433246 428250 421257 426263 427268 425273
      425278 426281 429287 429293 430299 433295 436291 442290
      446290 449292 453293 457293 470298 473296 476292 478282
      482277 485275 487275 488278 488288 490302 493305 497303
      503299 509288 510282 512280 514275 518275 523265 522265
      521260 522255 523251 525247 526242 527238 530236
 0.01 384647 380653 376661 374669 372678 371688 369697 362714
      345738 326761 304782 303787 302793 306798 303800 299800
      290800 283803 278803 270805 264805 257805 254807 253811
      254814 260818 280834 287837 292838 296840 303844 308849
      311857 310863 315884 317891 322897 329908 330912 330914
      328922 322936 320940 318946 316950 313951 310955 311962
      312968 311973 309990 304004 304013 307018 312022 318025
      324027 333027 335029 340030 344034 347037 349039 352040
      352043 349046 345049 343052 349055 356058 359060 363061
      368062 374060 379060 384058 393058 399057 404058 417066
      419069 420075 424080 428079 430075 430071 427066 425064
      427062 430058 433054 438053 439050 438047 435045 433042
      424032 419013 422007 425005 428001 430001 431996 430990
      428988 423993 420996 415997 405998 399998 395001 390004
      387008 382015 380018 377020 371023 368023 366021 361016
      360012 362009 365003 363994 357990 355988 353984 353974
      355974 358976 362981 372979 376978 380975 392960 401945
      403937 404931 402920 400909 396887 393864 393855 392848
      392843 392820 394815 394810 396801 398797 397793 400785
      401778 401775 402770 398768 393771 391775 386778 381773
      379769 380765 381757 387742 390731 393721 396703 402689
      404681 406673 407668 409664 413657 415654 416649 417643
      402651 397645 390643
 0.25 505673 500659 497656 493653 486652 478658 475663 475668
      476681 478687 481689 488692 487699 481709 476717 473721
      469724 466734 463739 457742 452744 447752 447762 444773
      443781 440791 439795 440802 441806 443810 446814 444821
      441829 438837 438841 439845 443849 448846 451843 456835
      455825 452817 452813 452808 456800 458798 461793 464785
      468774 474757 475752 479748 483742 486739 491731 494726
      499724 503721 507715 508702 508691 506678 505673
 0.25 526217 526214 525210 523207 520196 517191 512185 507177
      502174 498175 496179 495185 493194 492199 495201 500202
      504203 506207 509209 518214 523218 526217
 0.25 506254 508250 507247 506244 505242 503243 503248 504250
      505253 506254 506254
 0.25 502238 500233 500232 497232 494233 493235 490238 488237
      485236 483236 482236 478239 481243 484243 486244 489244
      492244 494244 496240 499238 502238
 0.25 482209 480207 477207 476207 477209 479210 482209
 0.25 399666 396660 391661 385665 383670 380682 377695 376703
      376714 372722 366730 362737 358743 356748 353751 348755
      338765 325776 320784 318793 319797 319803 319808 314812
      311814 306814 302813 296810 294810 292813 291816 293819
      301825 307827 311828 314831 316840 317847 320854 322863
      324870 331887 335896 338901 339908 338918 335927 330938
      327943 326948 327961 323969 321972 321977 323981 325982
      324985 323989 322996 317003 314010 315013 318013 320012
      329014 334015 337017 351027 352027 353023 353020 348009
      345983 343973 344968 346964 352959 360960 368954 373949
      380944 384940 386935 387928 384904 383880 382865 382854
      379825 371778 373767 376758 380745 383734 384724 385715
      385710 387705 391697 394689 397680 399666
 0.25 422052 423050 422046 420045 417042 415037 414030 411022
      409011 406009 402009 396012 391019 389023 390028 392035
      398038 401042 402046 404049 407052 412055 417055 421054
      422052
 0.25 387043 386041 383039 380039 378040 375043 376047 378050
      381050 383050 384050 386046 386044 387043
 0.50 501687 500683 499678 498674 496670 495666 493663 490663
      488665 486669 486670 486675 486679 486680 488683 489687
      491691 491695 492700 495703 497699 500698 500693 501691
      501687
 0.50 493714 493709 491710 491711 489715 487719 490719 493715
      493714
 0.50 478735 476734 474734 473734 472735 471740 472744 473744
      475742 476742 477738 478735
 0.50 378731 376728 373730 370733 367738 365743 364747 368753
      368754 370759 372758 374754 376750 378746 379740 379735
      378731
 0.50 376826 372813 369800 365797 362797 357794 354793 350796
      347801 345803 340806 335809 334814 336825 334828 331827
      330824 329821 326819 322822 320831 322837 324839 324849
      328858 333870 334878 337887 341899 342906 342912 340921
      336931 333939 332944 332950 334954 335960 334963 331967
      329971 328974 330976 333977 335975 337971 340962 352948
      357941 359940 361941 365944 371940 378934 381931 383926
      382918 379911 378904 379892 378879 376872 373869 375849
      376839 376826
 0.50 341790 339783 339780 336778 331780 328781 326782 322788
      322791 324797 327800 331800 335801 338801 340798 341793
      341790
 0.50 342007 341004 341000 341997 341993 339990 337990 334994
      331998 328002 328005 330008 333011 336012 342010 342007
 1.00 372887 370878 366874 363874 357869 352865 344862 343865
      342872 345892 346903 345913 341929 340938 340942 341945
      344944 347941 349938 352929 356924 364924 368923 370919
      371910 372888 372887
 1.50 366900 366895 364890 360887 357886 356882 351874 349873
      347874 348884 349891 350901 349908 349919 353920 357918
      362914 366908 366900
 2.00 361905 360904 357903 355907 355911 356914 359911 361909
      361908 361905

$$