Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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054
FXUS04 KWBC 250914
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
514 AM EDT SAT MAR 25 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAR 25/1200 UTC THRU MAR 28/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


...EAST-CENTRAL US...

GUIDANCE STILL REASONABLY AGREES THAT AN AMPLIFIED MID-UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH/CLOSED LOW WILL STEADILY PROGRESS ACROSS THE MID-MS VALLEY
STATES DAY1 WHILE TAKING ON MORE NEGATIVE TILT. A SWIRLED COMMA
HEAD/DEFORMATION PRECIPITATION BAND WILL LIFT SLOWLY NEWD OVER THE
MID-MS VALLEY ALONG/N OF THE LOW TRACK FORGING POTENTIAL FOR SOME
MODERATELY HEAVY LOCAL PRECIP TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 1". FARTHER
SOUTH...ACTIVE BANDED CONVECTION SHOULD STILL FLOURISH INTO DAY1
AS HEIGHT FALLS AIDED BY TX SHORTWAVE APPROACH...INSTABILITY...AND
GULF OF MEXICO AND MID-LEVEL ERN PACIFIC MOISTURE ADVECTION AS PER
AN ENHANCED LLJ FUELS DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION
AS PER SPC. THIS OCCURS AHEAD OF A TRAILING COLD FRONT PUSHING
EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION. SUSPECT THAT HEAVIEST RAINFALL WITH
SOME TRAINING/RUNOFF POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO FLOURISH IN AN AREA
OF DEEPER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
STATES AND WITH TERRAIN LIFT INTO THE FAR SRN APPALACHIANS. SOME
LOCALLY HEAVY 2-4" AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE EVEN WITH OVERALL SYSTEM
PROGRESSION ALONG WITH SOME THREAT FOR RUNOFF ISSUES. ACTIVITY
LIFTING FURTHER NORTHWARD WILL FEED INTO THE MID-LOWER OH
VALLEY/MIDWEST TO A PIVOT POINT CENTERING AROUND SRN LAKE MI.
ADDITIONAL 1-2" AMOUNTS AND SOME RUNNOFF ISSUES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
LONGER DURATION ACTIVITY. FAVORABLE LEAD THETAE ADVECTION WILL
ALSO SPREAD PCPN FROM THE GREAT LAKES ESEWD TO THE NRN
MID-ATLANTIC AND SRN NEW ENG. THIS MAY SUPPORT MODEST PRECIP
TOTALS.

OVERALL WPC DAY 1 QPF LEANED HEAVILY ON WPC CONTINUITY BLENDED
WITH ARW/SSEO MEAN GUIDANCE FOR UPDATED DETAILS...BUT THE FINAL 12
PACKAGE WAS UPDATED TO REFLECT A SLIGHTLY MORE PROGRESSIVE
SCENARIO ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES AND TN VALLEY SAT
AFTER COLLABORATION WITH LOCAL WFOS AND WITH CONSIDERTAION OF
LATEST RADAR TRENDS AND POST CONVECTION COLD POOL INERTIA.

...WRN U.S...

MDTLY HIGH AMPLITUDE UPR TROF APCHG THE WEST COAST IS FCST TO
REMAIN PROGRESSIVE ACRS THE WRN U.S. DURING THE DAY 1 PD WITH TROF
SPLITTING AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST..WITH STGR
JET ENERGY FOCUSING INTO THE BASE OF THE TROF THRU THE SRN GT
BASIN INTO SAT EVENING. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW REASONABLY GOOD
RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY AND AGREEMENT WITH THE HANDLING OF THIS
SYSTEM...STILL WITH A GENERAL WEAKENING OF THE PCPN SHIELD AS IT
MOVES ACRS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND ROCKIES. POST FRONTAL
ONSHORE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN UNSETTLED CONDS ACRS THE PAC NW WITH
MODEST COASTAL SHOWERS AND HIER ELEV SNOWS. FARTHER EAST..LIGHT TO
SPOTTY MDT QPF AMOUNT ARE EXPECTED WITH THE ASSOCD PAC FRONT AS IT
MOVES ACRS THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND INTO THE ROCKIES. HEIGHT
FALLS AND LIFT SHOULD COMBINE WITH LINGERING MOISTURE TO PRODUCE
SOME MODERATE WINTERY PCPN TOTALS INTO THE WASATCH/UNITA RANGES
AND N-CENTRAL ROCKIES. FOR MOST AREAS...CONTINUITY WAS GENERALLY
FOLLOWED WITH SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS GIVEN GOOD RUN TO RUN
CONTINUITY.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...WEST COAST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/ROCKIES...

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS WITH MULTIPLE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES WILL
MOVE INTO THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING A
RETURN OF LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS...WITH THE
HIGHEST AMOUNTS FROM WESTERN WA/OR INTO NORTHERN CA. NOT
ANTICIPATING AMOUNTS TO GET TOO HIGH...AS THE BETTER PLUME OF
MOISTURE REMAINS OFFSHORE...AND THE SYSTEM IS IN GENERAL PRETTY
PROGRESSIVE. WITH MODELS IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT...A MULTI
MODEL BLEND WAS USED FOR DAY 2 QPF (12Z SUN-12Z MON).

THIS TROUGH AXIS DIGS INTO THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY
MONDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION OVERSPREADING THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
IN THE FORM OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. OVERALL MODELS
ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE EVOLUTION OF THIS
SYSTEM...ALTHOUGH THOUGHT THE 0Z NAM AND 0Z GEM MAY BOTH BE ON THE
EDGE OF THE MODEL SPECTRUM. THUS WPC QPF STAYS CLOSEST TO A
GFS/ECMWF/UKMET BLEND...WITH UT AND WESTERN CO SEEING THE MAXIMUM
QPF. AREAL AVERAGED AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY STAY AT OR BELOW
0.5"...ALTHOUGH THE COMBINATION OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND PWAT
VALUES AROUND 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE AVERAGE DOES SUPPORT
LOCALIZED 1" AMOUNTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF UT.

A STRONG UPPER JET AND INCREASED WESTERLY ONSHORE UPSLOPE FLOW
WILL BRING CONTINUED PRECIPITATION TO PORTIONS OF WESTERN WA/OR
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE LOCATION OF THE SHORTWAVE ENERGY AND THE
ORIENTATION OF THE FLOW DOES SUPPORT THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS STAYING
NORTH OF WA ACROSS BRITISH COLUMBIA THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY.


...SYSTEM MOVING FROM THE OH/TN VALLEY SUNDAY INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST THROUGH MONDAY...

AT 12Z SUNDAY A CLOSED DEEP LAYER LOW WILL BE MOVING ACROSS MO
INTO IL...WITH THE WAVE CONTINUING TO WEAKEN...AND TRANSITIONING
TO AN OPEN WAVE AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND EVENTUALLY
INTO THE NORTHEAST. UPPER LEVEL FLOW JUST AHEAD OF THE WAVE WILL
BE INCREASINGLY DIFFLUENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF OH/WV BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS COMBINED WITH AN UPTICK IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
TRANSPORT AHEAD OF THE WAVE SHOULD RESULT IN INCREASED CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY...AS AT LEAST MARGINAL INSTABILITY
DEVELOPS. THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE WAVE WILL HELP KEEP
RAINFALL TOTALS IN CHECK. HOWEVER PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL
BE RUNNING AROUND 1.5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
NORMAL...SUGGESTING A LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT. ALSO WITH
THE LOW LEVEL FLOW ALIGNED WITH AND CLOSE IN MAGNITUDE TO THE MEAN
CLOUD LAYER WINDS...SOME BACKBUILDING CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE. THUS
A FEW TRAINING LINE SEGMENTS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE GENERALLY
PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM ARE POSSIBLE. THIS COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED
1-2" RAINFALL TOTALS...WHICH GIVEN THE LOW FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
OVER THE REGION...COULD RESULT IN A FEW MINOR ISSUES. AGAIN NOT
ANTICIPATING A SIGNIFICANT THREAT AT THIS TIME...BUT ENOUGH OF A
LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL SIGNAL TO WARRANT A MARGINAL RISK OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OH INTO PORTIONS OF WV.

OVERALL WPC QPF FOLLOWED A MULTI MODEL BLEND FOR THIS SYSTEM ON
BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3...WITH THIS BLEND RESULTING IN A GOOD MIDDLE
GROUND SOLUTION. DID INCORPORATE SOME HIGH RES GUIDANCE INTO THE
SUNDAY FORECAST TO BETTER HIGHLIGHT CONVECTIVE AREAS.


...SYSTEM MOVING INTO PLAINS AND MS VALLEY ON SUNDAY INTO THE
OH/TN VALLEY LATER MONDAY...

ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL EJECT EAST INTO THE WESTERN PLAINS
SUNDAY...RESULTING IN SURFACE LOW FORMATION OVER OK/TX. THE UPPER
LEVEL PATTERN BECOMES VERY DIFFLUENT ACROSS KS/OK ON SUNDAY AHEAD
OF THIS FEATURE. MEANWHILE INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE
WAVE WILL ALSO RESULT IN INCREASED MOISTURE TRANSPORT. THESE
FACTORS WILL COMBINE TO RESULT IN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...BOTH ALONG THE COLD FRONT ACROSS EASTERN OK...AND THE
WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEAR THE OK/KS BORDER. OVERALL PRETTY GOOD
MODEL AGREEMENT ON THE DAY 2 PERIOD (12Z SUN-12Z MON) WITH THIS
FEATURE...AND WPC QPF IS PRETTY CLOSE TO A MULTI MODEL BLEND. MAIN
LIMITING FACTOR FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE THE PROGRESSIVE
NATURE OF THE WAVE AND QUICK MEAN LAYER WINDS OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST. HOWEVER PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES DO INCREASE TO 1-2
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL...AND CORFIDI VECTORS ARE PRETTY
WEAK OFF TO THE EAST...SUGGESTING SOME BACKBUILDING/TRAINING
POTENTIAL GIVEN STORMS WILL TEND TO BE PROPAGATING AGAINST THE
MEAN FLOW. CONSIDERED A MARGINAL RISK ON DAY 2 ACROSS PORTIONS OF
KS/OK. HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IN APPROACHING FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS
JUST TOO LOW AT THIS POINT GIVEN THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE
WAVE AND GENERAL LACK OF STRONG QPF SIGNAL IN THE GUIDANCE.
SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE ON THOUGH.

THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE MS/TN VALLEY ON DAY 3 (12Z MON-12Z TUE).
AGAIN WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS REGION WITH REGARDS TO ANY
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THREAT. AT THIS TIME NO PARAMETER REALLY JUMPS
OFF THE PAGE WITH REGARDS TO AN ENHANCED FLASH FLOOD RISK. NEITHER
MOISTURE TRANSPORT NOR PWATS ARE EXTREME...AND THE SYSTEM REMAINS
PROGRESSIVE. HOWEVER THE THREAT OF ROBUST CONVECTION AND LIKELY
CONVECTIVE PROPAGATION ALWAYS IS AT LEAST WORTH KEEPING AN EYE ON.
SO NO MARGINAL RISK AT THIS TIME...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES BY THIS TIME WITH REGARDS TO THE DEPTH AND
SPEED OF THE WAVE. THOUGHT THE 0Z NAM WAS LIKELY A BIT SLOW AND
REPRESENTED A LESS LIKELY QPF SOLUTION...THUS WPC QPF GENERALLY
STAYED WITH A NON NAM MULTI MODEL CONSENSUS...FOCUSING HIGHEST
AMOUNTS ACROSS EASTERN MO INTO NORTHERN MS AND WESTERN TN.

SCHICHTEL/CHENARD

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML



24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 509230 509225 508219 506212 503206 499200 494197 489200
      483205 476204 465209 460210 453213 447214 440214 433216
      429220 424224 422227 419228 409237 404242 403246 404250
      410252 417253 442249 450248 456247 463247 470249 478252
      482253 486256 489261 491264 495266 498265 497260 494253
      491250 490247 494241 496238 498241 502237 506232 509230
 0.01 514187 513184 514182 514174 512157 508151 505147 500143
      494140 487131 485128 481127 478131 472133 470136 469139
      467135 466132 462132 462128 464126 466123 466120 466113
      469110 471105 471101 470092 468085 466080 463075 463072
      464068 465062 479040 493020 495017 495012 495008 496004
      502992 507980 507970 506962 506959 503960 499962 495965
      492970 477992 470000 461008 453014 445019 423027 411022
      402016 400021 404026 408031 407036 405038 398039 394036
      391034 386035 380035 378040 377045 374048 369050 362049
      358049 358051 359058 363059 363063 362069 363075 368087
      370089 369092 365094 361097 359100 361106 365112 367118
      365119 363119 361122 357118 352114 349112 346111 345118
      346123 353133 360142 361148 361155 364161 367160 375154
      378158 381164 385168 392169 396168 399169 403172 406172
      408170 408162 412162 414160 413157 410152 413151 415154
      417160 423162 425148 426139 427135 429135 436132 438134
      439139 435145 437153 441158 443164 445169 447175 449177
      447179 443182 441185 440190 441195 442200 444201 446197
      444191 445190 447192 448195 452193 468175 505192 514187
 0.01 481882 481874 480867 479858 477850 476842 474837 468827
      458811 452800 450796 449787 445751 444735 442726 440720
      438708 436699 435695 433696 429694 425691 424694 422696
      419697 416698 414696 410697 408704 405710 401711 398714
      395724 393729 394737 393745 394752 400774 399781 399784
      396786 392789 389794 386799 390799 398793 401790 406790
      409790 411793 412800 413808 412813 410824 408827 405829
      401829 396827 391824 382819 375813 369806 364806 360807
      350812 341818 334824 324831 315836 306841 298845 294848
      291852 288856 286860 284871 278878 277882 278886 279892
      275915 275921 278926 283935 287944 288947 292950 296948
      298944 303933 310925 314922 320921 331920 336922 342922
      348922 351925 356934 354946 354952 359955 366955 371956
      381960 389964 394966 399966 408963 416959 424954 430950
      432945 437933 440930 446928 450928 455926 459928 465928
      470920 475910 477907 477903 479895 481882
 0.01 393209 394205 392202 388199 380192 370184 362183 358181
      350186 344182 343171 341166 330166 339172 341178 341183
      338193 340202 341204 344207 346209 350211 355210 356204
      356201 360201 366201 373202 380204 386207 393209
 0.01 401097 402092 399093 391093 385095 381096 378098 374103
      371105 368108 374113 382111 385110 389110 396108 400102
      401097
 0.01 382058 381056 379056 377055 375055 374055 372055 370057
      372059 372062 373063 375063 376062 377062 379061 380060
      381059 382058
 0.01 257793 248800 242810 243820 253816 261806 270804 276803
      272795 257793
 0.25 469860 469855 467851 463842 453830 450823 446814 443805
      440798 434779 430771 426771 424775 421782 419792 419802
      420813 420823 417834 414842 410849 407851 404850 397847
      391844 386838 381834 373830 367827 365823 364818 362814
      359814 352818 346822 342826 330837 324841 317845 311848
      303849 296853 292860 286876 285885 283894 281902 280909
      283916 288922 294926 298924 301921 308917 314913 329907
      336906 339906 342908 348910 359910 363911 365915 365927
      364937 363943 368944 380939 389939 395939 398941 401945
      403947 408948 411947 417943 421939 430926 440913 444906
      447896 450889 453883 459878 464872 468866 469860
 0.25 464099 462091 459085 454071 451064 449062 445062 439064
      435069 436073 438076 442081 445084 449084 453088 452093
      450096 445098 438100 435104 435109 438112 443115 448116
      453112 456106 461102 464099
 0.25 417114 412108 410101 409097 407100 404107 400112 399114
      399118 398121 395122 389125 380132 373129 371130 370133
      369139 370142 372145 375146 380143 383138 388134 394131
      404125 406120 407119 413116 417114
 0.25 407757 407754 405754 405755 405756 407757 407757
 0.25 404065 404063 403061 403060 402058 400058 398057 397057
      396060 396061 397062 398063 400064 400065 401067 403066
      404065
 0.25 383076 382074 381073 380073 378072 377071 376071 375073
      376075 376076 378077 379077 381077 383076
 0.50 452869 449864 446860 446856 447850 446844 445835 439819
      437813 434802 433793 431787 428784 425783 425788 424797
      426805 429814 428824 427831 426840 423850 419856 417858
      413859 404861 398857 393855 387854 383852 381848 377842
      366833 361830 358821 356820 351821 347825 326846 321849
      315851 300855 295861 292869 290876 288884 287891 284898
      282906 283912 288917 291919 296919 303916 309913 321906
      327904 335902 352904 368901 372901 375904 376909 373912
      372925 370930 373932 376930 390926 396923 400919 403920
      406919 408916 412916 418912 425909 428915 433914 435912
      438904 440896 442889 445882 450875 452869
 0.50 417933 416933 414932 412932 410933 410935 410938 410940
      412941 413940 414938 415938 416937 417935 417933 417933
 0.50 399880 397878 395877 394874 393871 391872 388873 386872
      388876 388879 389883 392884 393883 397882 399880
 1.00 434873 433870 431866 430864 428862 424864 422866 421867
      419871 419873 420877 422879 425881 427881 428881 432878
      433876 434873
 1.00 395911 394908 392906 391908 392911 391913 389915 388915
      387918 389920 391921 392920 393920 393917 393915 393913
      394911 395911
 1.00 367887 368883 365880 362875 357873 355871 355868 360856
      360850 357846 353840 352837 351832 351830 348831 344836
      337844 333848 329851 306860 300863 297866 297871 295874
      293878 290892 288897 287904 289910 294913 300911 304909
      316903 326898 351894 361890 367887
 1.50 351888 351885 347884 341882 331882 336877 343875 345875
      349869 348859 348850 348845 347842 343844 341850 338855
      326859 320860 315864 304869 297877 294882 293887 289903
      290908 293911 299909 305906 315901 326896 338893 346891
      351888
 2.00 342888 337887 331888 324890 317889 316882 318879 329873
      335867 329865 321869 310871 299879 296882 293894 291903
      291908 297907 304904 313899 322895 333892 338891 342888

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 506266 505257 501258 501252 503245 504245 506248 508247
      508242 510238 510230 510226 505226 506214 507206 509201
      511187 512172 512168 511165 508163 506161 502154 498149
      492143 487136 483133 479132 474131 472131 458135 456136
      454134 451129 449124 449120 452110 453104 450101 443098
      431105 426108 422112 420132 411148 404152 399155 393167
      383180 378185 374186 371184 367184 364184 361191 361195
      362198 364207 363212 361215 356222 354225 350228 346230
      346237 346240 348244 352249 359251 359256 361259 365266
      366269 371271 374273 379275 389278 406284 413286 420287
      428289 436290 452289 457294 458299 457304 462316 470320
      474319 478320 485320 488317 490312 494305 498296 500289
      502278 500275 501271 503271 506266
 0.01 524052 525039 525031 525023 522017 516004 514001 512996
      512986 510980 505984 501001 501006 503009 504011 503012
      501011 498013 501019 508032 512039 514046 518052 521053
      524052 524052
 0.01 517803 516798 515791 513776 511761 510752 508745 505728
      501715 497713 495713 494709 491705 487701 481697 475691
      469684 466682 463683 460683 457682 453683 445681 435671
      431670 428671 423674 419676 415679 408681 404682 400688
      390685 385687 381690 369709 365711 363715 359722 355737
      355740 358744 362745 365744 370735 372731 377730 381731
      385730 391729 392733 389744 387756 383766 379770 375774
      367782 360789 352800 348803 343805 337809 333811 329815
      318817 299819 296824 296826 299829 302833 304838 306839
      305842 298851 289854 284856 282860 276868 271873 270877
      274879 277877 281872 283869 286871 292877 299885 304890
      317890 322883 324881 327883 329885 332883 336884 336888
      336895 336900 335904 331913 329918 328921 326922 319924
      315926 305930 296941 294945 295949 299956 305971 306977
      306984 307989 312990 315990 318987 326983 331980 335982
      344987 349986 353987 356993 356001 357007 358014 364023
      363028 361030 359034 361037 362038 365035 371036 376037
      373039 369039 366044 362047 361051 359056 357058 363059
      363061 361062 360067 362070 375072 379083 381085 388086
      397079 405075 410075 415074 422072 429068 435047 437044
      442045 445047 449047 454046 457043 460040 462036 466029
      471019 473015 475008 477002 477997 472986 468983 464986
      461988 458987 453986 451991 451998 451008 447011 432018
      406007 400010 396000 400977 401961 402955 403946 405932
      413939 416940 420940 426940 431933 437927 440924 444921
      447923 447927 449928 454931 455937 452947 447962 452964
      454964 455961 461952 466944 469940 471935 477925 480919
      484916 490912 494906 498884 509841 510833 511826 513817
 0.01 513817 513814 514812 514811 516809 516806 517803
 0.01 412050 412047 413045 413043 413040 412039 410040 408041
      406041 405041 404042 403044 403046 404048 406048 408049
      409050 411050 412050
 0.01 389038 387037 385037 384038 385039 387039 389038
 0.01 383893 380888 377885 375882 370881 363878 362871 361869
      359868 352873 349874 349877 347882 347886 349890 352899
      354901 357900 362899 371897 377897 380895 383893
 0.01 350756 349754 349753 347753 346754 344754 343755 344757
      346757 348757 349756 350756
 0.01 313803 313800 312798 310797 310796 308796 306796 305796
      303797 301797 301798 299800 299802 300802 301803 303804
      305804 307804 309805 311803 312803 313803
 0.01 306909 306907 304909 304912 306910 306909
 0.01 286806 286804 285803 283802 281802 279802 278802 277803
      276805 277807 278808 279809 280809 282809 284809 284808
      285807 286806
 0.01 284789 284787 284785 283783 281783 279784 279786 279788
      279790 280792 280793 282793 283792 284790 284789
 0.01 270781 270779 270777 269775 267775 266775 265776 264777
      264778 264780 264782 266784 267784 268784 269783 270782
      270781
 0.01 259778 257777 256776 255777 254777 253778 252779 253781
      253782 255783 256783 257782 258781 259779 259778
 0.01 253004 253002 251001 249002 251004 253005 253004
 0.25 494283 495275 498267 501243 502233 502225 500219 497215
      493212 489209 485208 478208 474209 472211 460208 451212
      448214 443213 441211 441208 443206 448200 454189 461181
      462173 462164 461158 459155 453153 449154 443152 437153
      436157 436162 439168 444172 445177 442180 437182 435184
      435187 435194 432200 428202 421201 417205 415209 412211
      409212 405211 396203 388198 382195 379193 375193 375197
      377200 381204 389213 399219 400225 395227 388229 386231
      384235 383239 385244 391255 415270 425274 433276 438277
      450277 457278 463282 473290 482296 486298 490297 491294
      494283
 0.25 495799 494791 494780 494772 493765 490757 486753 482750
      477748 473753 469751 465752 464756 463760 460764 459766
      455765 448765 444762 442760 441755 438748 435741 429739
      419741 411744 403753 400757 397763 392779 389786 380789
      361803 341824 340828 340831 343840 345846 347849 349851
      354848 359843 364836 368835 371836 368842 367846 370849
      376850 379855 385859 390860 394858 398852 402848 404847
      406849 412850 418849 423843 426836 430827 432821 433824
      435826 440829 444832 448833 450836 454838 453849 453861
      454870 461881 463877 469874 474870 478863 483856 486849
      487840 489834 492828 493820 494806 495799
 0.25 377714 377713 376712 374711 373713 372715 372718 374720
      374719 375718 376717 377715 377714
 0.25 389961 391953 390949 388947 382939 379935 374932 369925
      363915 359913 355916 348923 343931 332947 330955 331959
      333962 339969 342972 347974 357972 360977 361984 363990
      366993 374001 377001 380999 383995 385987 386974 389961
 0.25 382054 381051 379050 377051 376051 377053 379054 381054
      382054
 0.50 494277 497261 498252 496246 495242 497238 499234 498227
      496223 491215 487212 482212 478213 478216 480218 488223
      491225 492232 489237 485240 481241 479237 478230 476227
      473227 469229 464229 467224 469219 467216 461214 457214
      453215 449217 438216 428216 422222 421226 416225 413219
      408216 403214 400211 394205 390203 387203 394212 397215
      402217 405219 405224 403228 399231 396235 395239 397241
      400243 405244 407248 405252 408256 414258 420261 424264
      434267 443267 453268 457269 463271 472276 479282 484286
      486288 489287 492281 494277
 0.50 456229 454227 452228 449229 447228 444229 441229 438230
      436233 438233 441233 443232 447231 449231 452231 454231
      456229
 0.50 434235 436233 434231 433231 431230 429230 428229 426229
      424228 423228 421228 422230 423231 424232 425234 425235
      427235 428236 430236 431236 432236 434235 434235
 0.50 419825 414809 415804 416797 413788 413784 413777 412765
      409759 406762 405766 404777 401786 399788 402790 400793
      397794 392795 386796 383795 380796 377799 377805 378811
      377815 376821 376824 383826 393826 399829 408829 415828
      419825
 0.50 393844 394842 393840 394837 393835 392835 391837 391838
      391840 390842 391844 391845 393844 393844
 0.50 382958 382954 380949 375945 368940 366938 364932 361923
      359921 357921 351928 347934 344943 338947 337951 337958
      341965 343967 348967 354963 361963 364969 365976 365983
      365989 367991 371992 375992 378989 379986 379972 381963
      382958
 0.50 353830 354828 354826 352824 351824 349826 349827 348829
      348831 349833 350834 351833 352833 353831 353830
 1.00 449222 448221 447220 445220 443220 441221 441222 443224
      444224 446224 446223 448222 449222
 1.00 426242 425239 423237 421236 418233 415232 411231 409232
      410235 411237 413240 415241 418242 421243 424243 426242
 1.00 403813 401811 399809 396809 392809 389809 387811 386813
      386818 387820 390820 393819 395819 398818 401816 403813
 1.00 372967 373965 371964 371965 371967 371968 372967
 1.00 356941 356938 356936 356934 355933 354932 352934 352935
      351936 351938 352939 353941 354941 355942 356941
 1.00 349960 349958 350956 348954 346955 345956 345958 345959
      344960 345962 345963 346963 347963 348961 349960

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 494334 473325 461318 457314 453309 452303 451299 451294
      449289 444287 438288 432285 430281 431275 434270 437269
      441266 443266 444262 440259 435255 422254 415253 408251
      401249 396246 390244 385240 386237 389234 393232 397229
      401230 406229 409226 409221 410211 408206 405203 402202
      397206 392208 386205 377199 372195 369193 365193 356192
      348197 346196 346192 348185 350183 353184 360185 363184
      368184 371185 373188 374190 378191 382188 384186 383184
      379183 376180 373175 371170 370165 371158 368154 363150
      360146 359140 355138 352137 350133 349130 349125 348121
      349119 349116 346115 345120 345124 343125 341124 339122
      338115 333113 332108 332103 334099 338095 341092 344085
      348081 352083 357088 358091 361088 362084 362080 359076
      354073 351068 352057 349053 350050 358045 363043 368043
      375043 379042 380038 382031 386024 389011 392006 396002
      401001 407003 420016 425020 427021 430020 433007 435001
      438997 441000 443006 451019 457029 461032 462036 464041
      462047 461055 457062 456064 457068 462072 471080 476094
      475111 474120 476126 483133 489140 506151 510155 513158
      517162 520164 524164 526164 526167 528171 531177 534177
      535174 536172 535169 537166 539164 541165 543165 545169
      546174 545180
 0.01 567924 566930 562928 560924 559919 558916 556903 552904
      550903 550900 548897 548892 548886 549882 549875 549871
      547868 547859 551854 557854 559861 559864 561855 560850
      559845 556843 554837 555832 558829
 0.01 553142 552142 551140 550140 549140 547139 546139 544141
      544144 543146 543149 541151 543154 544155 546155 547158
      549159 551156
 0.01 552096 552091 551085 548085 545084 543087 541092 541097
      539097 539102 542103 545103 548102 550099 552096
 0.01 551846 549843 548840 544839 543842 542847 540847 539850
      536853 536856 536861 538862 541863 542861 544858 545855
      548854 550849 551846
 0.01 545885 545882 543879 541882 540885 540888 540890 542893
      543890 543887 545885
 0.01 524246 524243 524241 523240 524238 523235 521235 519236
      517238 518241 518242 520244 520245 521246 523247 524246
 0.01 528727 521703 515689 513681 510670 505653 502647 498641
      490633 483633 478633 454639 427643 421647 414652 406664
      403668 400671 397672 391676 388679 384684 382688 378699
      377707 374713 369725 367734 367744 366747 367752 371756
      375760 376763 374763 368764 365769 362774 357776 348781
      332800 322810 318813 312817 306819 301820 300823 302826
      305828 309827 320824 328831 330837 331842 329845 326849
      322851 319849 316847 314849 315859 313867 310873 307873
      305879 302885 301893 302900 300905 300921 297935 296947
      299952 303954 312947 320944 328944 334946 337948 339952
      345958 348963 353961 359959 360958 364958 367965 372968
      378972 380974 383972 388969 391963 392956 393949 394939
      396937 400936 406929 409926 409924 410918 412910 413900
      419896 420895 420890 420879 421873 423870 425853 427846
      430845 432843 436843 439844 442844 444846 450845 452848
      451852 449866 448874 447883 448887 449892 450896 452896
      463891 466887 470880 476868 479862 482854 493834 506810
      520782 523776 522768 521765 520760 520754 521750 524745
      526740 525734 527730 528727
 0.01 516222 515219 515216 514214 512213 511215 511217 511220
      512220 513223 514224 516222
 0.01 523054 523041 520032 518030 514030 510031 506032 502032
      497038 492035 489035 489039 487042 485044 480044 472044
      471049 473051 483052 488058 491061 494064 496061 499067
      497069 500075 501078 503080 505077 506083 508086 511084
      515079 516074 517069 519066 522055 523054
 0.01 491191 489182 488177 485172 478174 471178 469178 468174
      465172 464175 463181 459188 457194 456199 455204 452206
      445208 441208 438206 430200 428205 431209 434212 439212
      448214 455212 462211 469209 475206 483204 488199 490193
      491191
 0.01 498077 497074 497069 494066 492069 489073 483077 478079
      476084 478089 482092 486090 488088 491087 495084 498077
 0.01 447177 448173 446170 443165 440161 436156 434150 433147
      430147 428153 427158 428163 431166 434172 439175 445177
      447177
 0.01 412190 411185 407185 404186 402188 401190 399192 397194
      395196 397198 400199 402197 406196 408196 410192 412190
 0.01 396786 391784 389782 385784 375788 373791 371788 369784
      370777 367777 365780 357788 354792 354802 356805 360805
      362807 365805 368800 372797 375794 378803 388796 392792
      396786
 0.01 387726 385724 384726 382727 380727 382727 384727 386728
      387726
 0.01 314762 314760 313759 313760 314762 314762
 0.01 253852 253850 252850 251849 250848 248848 247849 247851
      248853 249853 251854 252853 253852
 0.25 524259 520255 517251 512240 502220 500217 495213 490210
      484209 476211 468215 458216 449219 445220 443222 444226
      447230 448236 450242 454245 458249 461253 465263 467269
      468275 467282 466292 468306 473313 478317 484319 493322
      499321
 0.25 514730 513719 512704 510697 507691 501684 477656 471650
      467651 463650 458652 452652 442650 436649 430649 425652
      418659 413670 413679 416692 416700 415705 415712 413718
      412726 411733 410738 407749 407753 408756 411757 414756
      422753 429757 436758 441755 448748 450748 452754 454763
      455770 457775 463785 467792 470796 474799 482802 484802
      487801 490795 497778 503770 508759 513746 514730
 0.25 470160 470154 468150 466145 464144 461146 457148 454152
      452156 451159 452164 454167 459167 462167 464164 468162
      470160
 0.25 463104 462099 460096 457096 453100 451102 449107 447111
      447116 450119 455121 458118 460114 462109 463104
 0.25 434035 433034 431033 430033 428035 429037 429038 431038
      432037 433037 434035
 0.25 417121 417097 414093 411091 406092 403090 397084 394081
      390082 385083 382079 379075 374075 373079 374084 375096
      379103 386104 387109 386112 381122 378129 379134 381139
      387143 392145 396145 403139 408133 417121
 0.25 422041 423039 421037 417036 414036 413031 411026 409024
      405023 406028 409033 410038 413039 416043 419043 422041
 0.25 407854 407843 405835 402833 396838 392841 390847 386853
      383856 379859 376859 373857 370854 368849 353842 351842
      348845 347850 344854 330863 326872 323881 322890 322900
      321906 318909 315913 314918 312926 311931 312934 314934
      324932 334929 339928 345930 348932 354937 358939 364938
      372938 376939 379937 381936 380941 381945 384942 388936
      389932 387930 385926 384919 385912 389904 392894 393889
      395886 400878 402874 404869 406861 407854
 0.50 522266 517260 514252 510245 506237 502232 498224 496222
      492222 491226 490229 491238 485240 473233 470235 469240
      470244 472247 476253 479262 480271 482280 486286 495288
      499290 505297 508299
 0.50 506740 505732 504723 502715 500708 498703 495696 493694
      488692 484695 483698 483702 484711 484717 484733 486750
      488755 492758 496755 499752 503747 505742 506740
 0.50 449662 446659 443658 436655 429654 423658 420666 420671
      421678 423681 426684 425696 422703 423715 423725 420730
      424732 429721 434713 434703 436692 436681 436678 433676
      440672 449662
 0.50 455113 455110 454110 453110 452111 452112 452113 454114
      455113
 0.50 411108 411106 411105 409104 409105 408107 409109 410108
      411108
 0.50 403123 403121 402120 401123 402123 403123
 0.50 391128 392126 391125 391123 390121 388121 386122 386123
      385124 384127 385129 385130 387130 389130 390130 391129
      391128
 0.50 382893 381888 380880 379871 377868 373866 368865 363866
      359869 359873 364875 365877 359878 355877 354873 351873
      342869 340867 337869 334872 331876 329881 328887 328895
      325907 325913 324919 323923 326924 329921 332919 335917
      338918 343919 350921 353922 357923 360921 363918 366914
      369903 369900 373896 382893
 0.50 349881 347881 346882 347882 349882 349881
 1.00 502278 502272 500267 499263 496258 493254 490251 488251
      487254 488259 489265 491269 494272 499276 502278 502278

$$





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