Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 260952
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
551 AM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 26/1200 UTC THRU MAY 29/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS---MS VALLEY---TN VALLEY
AND OH VALLEY...

NEGATIVELY TILTED HEIGHT FALLS IN SEVERAL STREAMS---INITIALLY OVER
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS---WILL BE LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD THIS PERIOD
FROM THE EASTERN PLAINS AND MID MS VALLEY...THEN FARTHER
NORTHEASTWARD INTO OH VALLEY-TN VALLEY DURING TUE AFTERNOON.
ACTIVE CONVECTION LIKELY AHEAD OF THESE HEIGHT FALLS IN A BROAD
AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES STRETCHING FROM THE GULF COAST
INTO THE GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST---ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IN DETAILS OF
THE EVOLUTION WILL BE DECREASING WITH FORECAST HOURS AS WE
CONTINUE TO SEE A DIVERGENCE AMONG THE GLOBAL AND HIGH-RES
GUIDANCE (ESPECIALLY WITH TIMING). IN TERMS OF THE LARGE MCS
ACROSS EASTERN TX AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY EARLY THIS MORNING...WPC
CONTINUED TO FOLLOW THE ARW WITH RESPECT TO THE TIMING. THE OTHER
GUIDANCE...INCLUDING THE NSSL-WRF...ARE DOING A POOR JOB RESOLVING
THE INSTABILITY GRADIENT DOWNSTREAM AND THUS FORWARD
PROPAGATION...AND AS A RESULT ARE TOO SLOW WITH THE PROGRESSION.

TO THE NORTH OF THIS---ADDITIONAL CONVECTION LIKELY TO BREAK OUT
TODAY FROM THE MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY---OH VALLEY INTO THE GREAT
LAKES AS BROAD UPPER DIFFLUENCE CONTINUES TO PRESS NORTHEASTWARD
AHEAD OF THE ABOVE MENTIONED HEIGHT FALLS. AGAIN THE MODELS SHOW
DIFFERENCES...THIS TIME NOT AS MUCH WITH TIMING AS WITH PLACEMENT
OF HEAVIER CONVECTIVELY-AIDED RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON WITH THE PEAK DIURNAL HEATING. ONE AREA THE MODELS DO
AGREE ON IS THE AXIS OF HEAVIER (.50 TO 2.0 INCH) RAINFALL ACROSS
THE UPPER MIDWEST ALONG THE MID LEVEL DEFORMATION AXIS. OVER THIS
REGION...DYNAMICAL FORCING WILL BECOME ENHANCED BETWEEN 2 SUBTLE
UPPER LEVEL JET STREAKS...ONE MORE S-N ORIENTED MOVING THROUGH THE
MID MS VALLEY AND THE OTHER MORE W-E ORIENTED LIFTING NORTH INTO
SOUTHERN ONTARIO. MUCAPES PEAKING BETWEEN 1000-2000 J/KG ALONG
WITH THE ANOMALOUS PWS BETWEEN 1.25 AND 1.5 INCHES WILL ALLOW FOR
A FAIRLY ROBUST THERMODYNAMICAL PROFILE TO GO ALONG WITH THE QG
SUPPORT IN PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY...POTENTIALLY EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ALONG THE SW-NE AXIS MAXIMUM 850-500 MB
DEFORMATION. ALL OF THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE SHOW ISOLATED TOTALS
OVER 2.5-3 INCHES...THE BULK OF WHICH WOULD FALL IN A RELATIVELY
SHORT WINDOW LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING (AGAIN
COINCIDING TO PEAK DIURNAL INSTBY). GIVEN THE RELATIVE LOW FFG
OVER THIS AREA...THERE CERTAINLY COULD BE LOCALIZED RUNOFF ISSUES
LATER TODAY.


...EASTERN GULF COAST/SOUTHEAST/UPPER TN VALLEY INTO THE
APPALACHIANS...

AHEAD OF THE HEIGHT FALLS MOVING INTO THE MS VALLEY---A LEAD AREA
OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY EMBEDDED IN A MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE PW AXIS FROM
THE EASTERN GULF COAST/SOUTHEAST--NORTHEASTWARD INTO UPPER TN
VALLEY AND INTO THE APPALACHIANS WILL SUPPORT AN ACTIVE AREA OF
CONVECTION ACROSS THESE AREAS.  THERE IS THE USUAL CONFIDENCE WITH
DETAILS ACROSS THESE AREAS--BUT POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD MODERATE
TO LOCALLY HEAVY PRECIPITATION TOTALS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY
AREAS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AFTER 12Z WILL BE CLOSER TO GULF COAST
FROM NEW ORLEANS EAST TOWARD PENSACOLA...GIVEN THE ONGOING (ALBEIT
WEAKENING) MCS EARLY THIS MORNING AND WHERE THE THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILE WILL BE MOST FAVORABLE (PWS NEAR 2.00 INCHES AND MUCPAES
AROUND 2000 J/KG). BY AFTERNOON...THE DEEP-LAYER INSTABILITY WILL
BE HIGHER OVER THIS REGION...HOWEVER THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW AND
0-6KM BULK SHEAR WILL BE LOWER...SUPPORTIVE OF MORE AIRMASS/PULSE
TYPE STORMS WITHOUT THE ORGANIZATION CURRENTLY OBSERVED WITH THE
MCS THIS MORNING.


...GREAT BASIN---NORTHERN TO CENTRAL ROCKIES...

THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH THE VERY SLOW
MOVING CLOSED LOW MOVING FROM IN THE VICINITY OF CENTRAL TO
EASTERN WASHINGTON STATE INTO NORTHERN IDAHO DAY 1. CYCLONIC FLOW
IN THE VICINITY OF THIS CLOSED LOW WILL EXTEND SOUTHWARD INTO THE
GREAT BASIN AND ACROSS THE NORTHERN TO CENTRAL ROCKIES REGION.
WIDESPREAD SCATTERED CONVECTION LIKELY ACROSS THESE AREAS DAY
1--WITH AREAL AVERAGE MODERATE PRECIPITATION TOTALS IN THE
.10-.25"+ RANGE POSSIBLE.


DAYS 2/3...

...LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE EAST COAST...

AS THE TROUGH AND FRONT PUSH EAST...SO WILL THE FOCUS OF
CONVECTION. STILL SEE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.5 AND
1.75 INCHES ALONG THE BOUNDARY...WHICH IS GENERALLY 1 TO 2
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. THUS LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS SEEMS
LIKE A GOOD POSSIBILITY FROM ALABAMA AND GEORGIA NORTH ALONG THE
APPALACHIANS INTO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN NEW YORK AND
VERMONT. AREA AVERAGED RAINFALL WILL PROBABLY GENERALLY STAY
BETWEEN 0.25 AND 0.75 INCHES...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
LIKELY...WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY THE LATEST HI RES GUIDANCE. THE
MEAN WIND IS ALIGNED WITH THE BOUNDARY...SO STORMS MAY TEND TO
TRAIN OVER EACH OTHER...WHILE SLOWLY PROPAGATING OFF TO THE EAST.
OVERALL AREAL AVERAGED RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE HIGH ENOUGH
AND CONVECTION NOT ORGANIZED ENOUGH TO WARRANT AN EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL RISK. THE BOUNDARY DOES NOT MOVE MUCH INTO THURSDAY...SO
EXPECT A REPEAT OF AFTERNOON ACTIVITY...ESPECIALLY FROM EASTERN PA
SOUTHWEST ALONG/NEAR THE APPALACHIANS INTO GEORGIA. FOR DAY 2/3
WPC USED A GLOBAL MODEL COMPROMISE AS A STARTING POINT FOR THE
MANUAL QPF...WITH SOME ADJUSTMENTS BASED ON ENSEMBLE MEANS AND THE
HI RES GUIDANCE.

...ROCKIES/GREAT BASIN/PLAINS...

MAY SEE CONVECTION ONGOING EARLY THURSDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA IN A HIGHLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. SOME SIGNS THAT
CONVECTION LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING COULD TRY
TO ORGANIZE INTO A CONVECTIVE SYSTEM...WHICH WOULD TEND TO MOVE
OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER FORCING IS NOT OVERLY STRONG...AND
NEITHER IS THE LOW LEVEL JET. ALSO MOISTURE PARAMETERS ARE NOT
EXCESSIVE AND THE MODEL SIGNAL FOR AN MCS IS NOT TOO GREAT EITHER.
IT IS CONCERNING GIVEN HOW MUCH RAIN THIS AREA HAS RECEIVED
RECENTLY...BUT FOR NOW BELIEVE MOST OF THE SIGNALS SUGGEST NOT
GOING WITH A DAY 2 EXCESSIVE AT THIS TIME. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
MAY START TO GET DEVELOPMENT FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND
LOUISIANA CLOSER TO THE BETTER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY AND
BOUNDARY LAYER CONVERGENCE. ALTHOUGH GIVEN THE LACK OF STRONG
FORCING...AT THIS TIME NOT EXPECTING AREA AVERAGE AMOUNTS TO BE
TOO HIGH. FURTHER NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHER PLAINS
PRETTY GOOD NORTHWARD MOISTURE TRANSPORT WITH THE LOW LEVEL JET
SHOULD ALLOW FOR AN AREA OF ELEVATED CONVECTION TO MOVE EAST
ACROSS THE AREA.

THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE PLAINS ON
THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. NOT AS AMPLIFIED AS THE PREVIOUS
SYSTEMS...SO LARGE SCALE FORCING WILL NOT BE AS STRONG. HOWEVER
ENOUGH FORCING AND COOLING ALOFT...THAT COMBINED WITH INCREASING
INSTABILITY...SHOULD SEE A PRETTY LARGE AREA OF AT LEAST SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE PLAINS. BASED ON FORECAST SHORTWAVE
LOCATIONS...TWO AREAS APPEAR FAVORED FOR HIGHER AMOUNTS...ONE FROM
NEBRASKA EAST NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...AND ANOTHER
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. MORE OF A SIGNAL AMONG THE GUIDANCE OF
POSSIBLE MCS DEVELOPMENT ACROSS NORTHERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA BY
THURSDAY EVENING AS THE SHORTWAVE INTERACTS WITH THE HIGH
INSTABILITY AIRMASS IN PLACE. OVERALL NEITHER FORCING OR MOISTURE
CONTENT IS AS EXTREME AS WHAT WE HAVE BEEN SEEING THE PAST FEW
WEEKS OVER THE PLAINS. NONE THE LESS...STILL SEE PWAT VALUES
AROUND 2 SD ABOVE NORMAL ALONG WITH MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES AROUND
4 SD ABOVE AVERAGE. PLUS MOST THE THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE SHOW SIGNS
OF MCS DEVELOPMENT IN THEIR QPF FIELDS. WPC USED A
GFS/ECMWF/UKMET/CMC BLEND AS A STARTING POINT FOR QPF...THEN MADE
SOME ADJUSTMENTS BASED ON ENSEMBLE CLUSTERING. GIVEN THE
UNCERTAINTY THE AREAL AVERAGE QPF TOTALS GENERALLY STAY BELOW AN
INCH...MAXIMIZED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN
TEXAS. HOWEVER GIVEN THE POTENTIAL MCS DEVELOPMENT SEEN IN THE
GUIDANCE...THE HIGHER MOISTURE PARAMETERS...RECENT HEAVY
RAINFALL...AND THE FACT THAT ANY MCS THAT DOES FORM MAY EVENTUALLY
BEGIN TO BACK BUILD INTO THE STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET AND THUS
SLOW IN FORWARD MOTION...OPTED TO GO WITH A SLIGHT RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR A PORTION OF THE AREA. AS CONFIDENCE
INCREASES IN A PARTICULAR EVOLUTION...FUTURE SHIFTS CAN ADJUST AS
NEEDED.

IN THE GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES...AS THE TROUGH SLOWLY SHIFTS EATS
ACROSS THE AREA...AND INTERACTS WITH A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS
AND PWAT VALUES 1 TO 2 SD ABOVE NORMAL...WILL CONTINUE TO SEE
MAINLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS FOCUSED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 48 HOUR
RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 0.5 AND 1 INCH SEEM PROBABLE FROM
SOUTHERN MONTANA INTO NORTHERN WYOMING...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS.

HURLEY/CHENARD

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 528204 541205 543193 540186 537180 533176 531174 530170
      530163 528158 524153 520150 515139 512134 507131 503129
      499123 494113 491107 489100 490096 493089 493083 492078
      487067 484062 480060 471063 467065 464065 461064 460061
      462056 460050 456046 452046 450047 449054 450061 454064
      457063 457066 456067 450066 445065 437064 434063 433060
      434057 436055 445052 446047 446041 446030 443025 440026
      437031 437038 439044 442049 438049 436047 431044 426043
      414044 404048 392045 390040 384037 380033 384027 388026
      391022 390018 384017 381017 379015 374015 372017 372020
      372026 375032 373037 372043 369043 367045 363047 366052
      369057 369066 372077 375088 378093 381098 376113 375119
      377124 381127 381135 379138 378143 377152 378165 381168
      386167 390170 396169 414173 416175 419176 424177 429173
      432169 428158 426152 427143 429137 432137 433139 434145
      435151 437158 438165 442176 446179 450180 460185 463183
      465184 470188 476190 478193 476196 469201 465205 464209
      469213 474214 480214 486216 490220 492225 498235 510257
      518262 521262 521258 519254 518241 514230 512227 511223
      511219 512214 514209 520207 524205 528204
 0.01 521694 518679 513666 504649 498641 492635 479627 472624
      462627 454633 447641 438648 436652 435657 435661 436667
      440673 442675 446674 450677 453680 456686 454691 454698
      453703 450707 442713 440716 440720 444721 443727 439728
      441730 446729 449726 453725 459719 461717 467715 470716
      474720 476724 478727 479731 480740 480745 479748 471753
      467758 462762 458760 455764 452767 446767 441764 439762
      437755 436759 434769 432780 432785 435789 438790 441792
      440798 437801 432804 429802 428797 428792 428785 429779
      428765 430757 429751 428746 427738 427731 426726 419727
      416730 413739 407732 403730 400733 397740 394744 389745
      387750 386756 386760 387764 392766 389770 384777 379784
      374793 372798 368802 360806 351810 338812 335822 324824
      312824 295822 277818 267817 264817 262820 260825 262829
      270835 279837 285837 287840 286844 284846 281843 276843
      271847 272850 273857 271863 264866 261872 260877 262881
      260882 254882 249882 245884 245887 249894 253901 257909
      257919 257923 259926 266933 271943 271955 271961 269966
      267972 264976 262980 258983 251987 246992 246998 248002
      253007 262011 267011 268007 270997 271991 275991 278002
      272009 272015 274018 277020 281022 287022 290021 298018
      301021 303019 302016 304013 307011 308006 307000 300995
      299984 296974 294970 296966 303960 307962 309966 314974
      315980 315987 320992 327998 331999 335997 344994 347997
      350998 355995 358994 359997 359004 360012 363011 365006
      368996 368989 370984 375977 380969 382966 385965 384972
      385972 389972 391967 395957 396954 398952 399954 398959
      398964 405971 407973 410974 415972 420971 421966 428957
      434949 441943 449937 453932 457923 467908 473900 480890
      488871 501834 508815
 0.01 508815 511807 514798 517790 519782 522773 524765 523754
      519745 519738 519734 520723 521713 522708 521702 521694
 0.01 516190 516187 516185 516183 515182 514180 513181 512184
      512186 512189 512191 513193 514192 515191 516190
 0.01 460748 460746 460743 458743 456743 456744 455746 455747
      455749 455752 455754 456755 457754 458754 459751 460748
      460748
 0.01 451738 451736 450735 448735 447736 446737 445739 446739
      447741 449741 451739 451738
 0.01 414024 415019 414017 413014 411012 408012 406012 404014
      404016 405021 407024 409024 411026 412026 414024
 0.01 376913 371910 366908 355904 346911 337918 330926 325930
      324933 325934 334941 339944 345947 351945 355942 360938
      363934 370924 376913
 0.01 336784 331782 323781 316780 308779 301778 295777 292780
      292783 298786 306789 313790 320789 329788 334787 336784
      336784
 0.25 511715 510708 508702 505699 501698 499701 498707 498720
      498743 498755 497763 495768 492771 486778 481786 480791
      479796 479801 477806 475813 473816 471818 469816 467814
      466809 465802 463797 460795 457796 455800 455804 458814
      457818 455821 448825 441829 435832 428835 422840 423846
      426850 433852 441853 447856 450858 450865 448872 445876
      442878 437876 435873 435869 433864 431860 428857 422852
      415850 408848 402845 396842 395837 390837 376846 372849
      369849 363846 361843 360838 364832 370825 376820 380827
      384827 387825 393821 397816 398811 398805 395798 396794
      398791 404783 404780 399780 391783 385788 381794 377800
      373806 357814 344823 339828 336831 331833 315832 310831
      305833 302834 300833 298830 292828 284827 277825 272825
      274828 277829 286830 295832 300833 302836 306837 306841
      301846 298853 293853 288854 289859 290867 285868 280868
      274871 268876 267883 265886 259888 254887 252890 262903
      263914 264920 265923 268923 269917 273910 277909 278914
      279921 283927 284939 286942 289940 290937 293935 296935
      297940 297944 299946 303945 306942 312934 314927 316922
      318920 330907 336902 341896 344894 347897 354897 361895
      368892 382884 385887 386892 391897 394899 399900 401901
      398905 394911 390918 391920 393920 396920 400921 404923
      407926 408931 410941 413949 416952 417951 423946 428942
      439932 449921 460911 465904 469895 485860 488851 490843
      492833 495825 501813 505794 508781 509768 512747 511732
      511715
 0.25 511157 509150 506146 500138 495128 491117 488111 482111
      475105 466090 464097 463100 461100 454103 450099 444098
      439098 436102 419111 414111 412107 411100 410098 408098
      402107 399111 400116 403126 406130 409129 411127 414127
      413131 410136 410143 412147 415148 418143 420137 422131
      426126 433121 442120 449128 452134 456137 460139 462136
      463125 457117 456113 457110 462108 467110 471112 478118
      482123 485128 486136 487141 491151 493157 493163 494169
      496172 498172 506167 509160 511157
 0.25 499209 500206 500204 499201 498201 497199 496199 494199
      492200 491201 490202 490203 490206 491209 493210 494210
      495210 496210 498209 499209
 0.25 466644 466639 464636 461636 458638 456640 453643 452646
      451649 451652 451657 454658 456658 457656 458653 460651
      463648 464647 466644
 0.25 459143 458140 458138 457140 456140 455142 456143 458144
      459143
 0.25 378940 376935 371938 366945 358952 357957 354961 343959
      341962 341966 344971 347975 351978 362980 366977 369972
      370958 371954 372952 375947 378940
 0.25 346978 345975 341974 336978 336967 333960 331958 327957
      324959 323962 323971 326978 329980 333981 339986 343984
      346978
 0.25 292002 292997 291993 291991 291987 291983 289981 287981
      286985 286989 286993 287997 288001 289004 291004 292002
 0.25 290008 289006 287008 289009 290008
 0.25 264000 264997 263994 262992 259990 257989 254990 252992
      253995 254998 256000 258002 260003 263002 264000
 0.50 508721 508719 508718 506717 504718 504720 503723 503724
      503725 503728 503731 504733 504735 505736 506736 507735
      507732 508729 508727 508724 508723 508721
 0.50 500160 502157 502155 502152 501150 501149 500147 500146
      499144 498143 497141 495141 495143 495145 495146 495148
      496150 496151 497154 497155 498156 498159 498160 500160
      500160
 0.50 491828 490821 488818 485816 482819 477825 474833 462840
      457836 450836 444839 442842 442846 447849 456850 457854
      457860 457869 454877 449882 442886 436890 431895 427900
      419903 413906 410909 409913 412919 417926 421931 426932
      430931 435927 447919 456908 462903 465898 473882 485853
      489839 491828
 0.50 416877 416871 412873 409875 405878 402881 399885 397888
      397892 402892 406890 409888 413885 415882 416877
 0.50 394810 392808 391809 390810 389811 388813 387813 386815
      386816 385818 386819 388818 389817 389816 391815 391814
      393812 394810
 0.50 390856 390849 388846 384847 381850 378853 376853 372855
      369858 369861 371862 375864 380863 385861 389859 390856
 0.50 379873 379868 377868 371870 367874 363877 359881 354886
      353888 356888 363887 368885 373882 377877 379873
 0.50 364820 364816 361815 357818 350822 344829 340838 337843
      332843 328842 326839 322838 319840 318845 313847 309847
      305850 305855 304859 297866 294869 290870 279874 274876
      272878 268887 264890 258890 259894 262897 264901 265907
      266912 269907 273900 278897 282896 284906 285917 287922
      290925 297931 301935 305936 308917 315910 320903 325894
      327890 330887 327874 329870 334868 337865 335863 331861
      331857 334851 338849 342850 347849 352842 357833 361826
      364820
 0.50 364972 365969 365967 365965 364963 364962 364961 363958
      363956 361956 360956 360958 360961 360963 359965 359967
      358969 358972 358974 359974 361976 362975 363974 364972
      364972
 0.50 357870 357869 355870 357870 357870
 1.00 486831 483832 481836 476845 472853 469863 461878 448891
      437904 434907 433910 435914 437916 440915 445913 448911
      453905 459898 464890 466885 468883 471873 476864 480857
      484846 485834 486831
 1.00 355826 356823 354824 353826 354827 355826
 1.00 309882 308876 305876 301876 298879 295883 294887 296891
      296897 298901 301901 304898 306894 308890 309884 309882
 1.50 455896 455894 453895 451896 450898 449899 448900 448901
      448902 450903 451902 453901 454898 455898 455896

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 530227 534196 538161 531141 525115 520094 514075 508053
      502045 500041 498038 499036 505031 511023 516017 523007
      524002 528997 526986 525981 522976 516970 509965 500964
      495964 491962 488957 484954 474954 467958 452964 444967
      433968 428967 424965 416961 398952 392951 389949 389945
      388941 389937 390930 392925 395917 400909 403904 406901
      414897 422893 438897 446897 453891 460886 464883 467878
      472869 475865 479860 482858 485862 485869 484875 481902
      479916 478923 479928 480931 481937 484937 488939 492939
      494937 494929 496926 496922 497919 500896 503883 504870
      507857 507849 508843 510814 512801 512793 513787 513780
      514776 516764 518753 517738 514725 513709 513695 514683
      513675 511671 506659 501650 494641 486638 479636 469641
      460640 453639 448644 442650 437660 435664 434669 435678
      435684 430692 421697 416703 411713 403720 396726 390733
      384740 380749 375757 370765 362771 357778 355782 350785
      344790 339795 326807 322809 316810 308815 301823 297830
      291838 284843 277848 274851 272855 269859 268863 266874
      265878 265884 265892 267897 268901 271904 275910 279916
      284923 288927 288933 286939 286945 282956 279960 277964
      275968 277972 281981 287986 293993 291997 294000 303008
      318016 319020 316020 309017 303012 295008 291006 286005
      280005 278009 275021 273023 273027 274032 269039 267042
      267049 268052 271055 277059 286064 296065 303066 307065
      313065 317064 324068 331073 337067 338063 336058
 0.01 336058 342057 348058 354058 359060 363060 366055 369066
      377088 380090 383095 386096 386100 385109 388118 388125
      386132 382142 378155 376162 377166 377173 379174 381177
      384182 385178 393173 396173 398175 399180 401187 403193
      406196 408192 410186 413184 417185 419190 423194 425199
      429203 431207 437201 441198 444193 447190 451191 455190
      458187 466180 476180 479180 481184 479193 472200 469203
      464205 460207 462211 471210 476210 479211 488218 496224
      499228 502234 508240 512244 515245 517243 522242 526240
      528231 530227
 0.01 388201 387196 383193 380191 376188 373185 368184 365187
      367190 370192 375196 379198 382201 387202 388201
 0.01 286825 285818 284814 275817 270817 267814 265810 265805
      267802 264799 261798 255799 253802 251806 251812 253817
      259822 268825 276828 280828 284827 286825
 0.25 508706 507692 504678 500668 494661 486655 481655 476658
      468664 464668 462672 459682 455690 445708 440711 438713
      433721 427728 420733 406745 396761 385775 379784 376787
      371790 363794 355799 342807 328819 313831 302844 297852
      296859 293869 293877 293883 296888 299891 302894 304899
      308907 307917 305927 305939 304950 305963 307972 309976
      312979 319979 323978 327975 330973 336972 338973 339976
      340982 343986 347987 351986 354982 359975 362972 367969
      369970 368972 366976 364980 364986 366995 367000 369003
      372006 376008 380010 385011 390011 394012 399014 402017
      407018 410021 414022 418021 423018 427017 430015 434017
      439019 442021 445026 442030 442034 444039 447051 448057
      449062 452063 455062 458061 464054 466050 468047 472039
      475036 479033 483030 485024 482012 477989 475984 473980
      469978 464979 456982 446986 441988 438990 436995 433997
      431002 427006 422999 418997 413996 402995 392993 390989
      389983 379969 375967 372967 370967 370962 369955 370947
      372938 376926 377917 379912 381908 387902 391893 395883
      396878 395870 393865 388866 382867 379869 373875 367890
      364899 363911 364923 364930 362934 358936 354939 350943
      344944 339945 337944 335940 334933 331924 328917 325913
      322913 320911 321905 322900 326896 330887 345877 348871
      353862 356852 361845 368837 374832 383825 389819 394811
      398802 397788 399781 402778 408777 413775 418772 431771
      436771 439769 443766 446766 451763 457763 460765 464766
      468767 471769 477779 482787 482796 480802 477811 476817
      478822 481820 483816 486810 490806 495799 500791 503784
      507775 508763 509750
 0.25 509750 509748 509747 509745 509742 509740 509737 509734
      509732 508729 508727 508724 508722 508721 508719 508716
      508714 508711 508708 508707 508706
 0.25 470135 471128 470122 467118 466110 470098 470091 469089
      466088 461090 456089 449090 447092 446106 446115 447121
      447127 449133 451139 454143 460145 466145 466142 470138
      470135
 0.25 428118 426113 424110 421107 416106 411105 408107 404116
      402121 402127 400127 401130 407138 409142 412143 418139
      423129 427120 428118
 0.25 396152 396149 395147 394145 393145 392146 390148 390151
      390152 391153 392154 393155 395154 395153 396152
 0.50 500734 500726 499719 498711 495707 491710 491716 490722
      489729 490736 489742 488747 492747 496745 498741 500736
      500734
 0.50 432742 429735 425736 421740 418746 415753 412756 407761
      409766 412766 415765 419761 423758 428754 431748 432742
 0.50 385797 384794 382796 378801 375804 369808 364811 356810
      346816 336822 328831 324834 318833 315837 313843 310856
      308862 308869 309875 310879 313881 317878 323881 330878
      334875 341865 348857 350851 352844 354839 357832 363823
      372817 376812 380809 384803 385797
 0.50 359958 359956 357952 354953 352954 350956 348959 348963
      348965 350969 352969 353969 356967 357965 359961 359958


24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 562980 561974 558968 553959 551954 552946 555928 558914
      556909 555904 556888 554876 547827 544818 541808 532787
      529782 526775 519771 511767 509765 508769 506776 500798
      491817 484836 483839 479842 478847 476849 466862 459869
      457872 452874 445880 436884 430885 428887 425888 415893
      406900 403897 401893 399890 397886 397883 395879 395872
      395866 396860 397855 397851 399840 403834 413793 417783
      424775 431769 434763 437756 440751 445752 449752 452751
      459744 465740 470734 476729 483724 488719 494712 496697
      496684 494671 493663 491656 488640 485635 481634 467637
      464638 461643 459647 455650 450652 447656 447667 428694
      424701 420709 417719 415721 413720 409716 406717 401720
      395728 390737 383748 377756 370762 365770 360776 349789
      340802 332815 328822 322831 320835 316839 307843 302845
      296846 290845 290853 288877 289889 287894 287899 288909
      289919 290941 290954 290959 288964 288978 288984 286991
      279997 274004 272009 265011 260012 258020 261027 269031
      277035 282036 286038 290038 293040 299046 307049 314051
      323052 333057 343057 354056 357056 359058 365059 371066
      374073 376078 377085 378094 377101 378105 377119 376126
      378130 386136 393141 399143 403144 406143 412144 415146
      418144 420140 423137 425133 428130 432129 433135 433143
      433148 436155 441162 446165 450164 461160 467161 471163
      475165 479168 482171 484177 484189 484195 482201 476207
      465213 463216 466219 474217 481214 489216 493213 496210
      498208 503208
 0.01 503208 508212 512216 516227 516232 517236 521240 525244
      526239 530220 531212 533206 542179 544160 543153 540148
      530124 532085 533073 536068 542060 553037 556030 558023
      558014 560007 561990 561983 562980
 0.01 314813 311809 308809 302808 298808 295809 289811 286814
      286818 290819 294820 299820 305819 308818 312815 314813
 0.01 248818 248812 246809 244799 242792 241787 239783 238777
      236774 234774 230782 229787 230792 231804 233809 234814
      237822 240826 243827 246824 247821 248818
 0.25 528177 528172 526168 524165 522160 518150 512141 507134
      505127 501120 498118 495117 487126 485127 481125 478124
      476122 475118 475113 475101 472091 469084 465076 460070
      455064 452060 449055 446051 445047 445036 439021 439010
      441002 448991 462966 465967 470969 476974 482979 489985
      492985 495982 499973 500963 503956 512944 516939 519934
      526922 528911 527897 526887 522879 522876 525872 533866
      535861 535855 534840 533830 531820 527812 522806 516807
      511810 507816 503823 501831 499840 496850 492857 487865
      485870 485879 482888 479897 473912 470917 463920 457906
      453901 450900 448903 445911 441919 435923 428926 423928
      421933 418945 415947 411948 403950 400951 397953 392957
      387959 380957 376953 373948 368942 361941 353943 348945
      341950 336956 324969 315979 310985 306992 301996 295998
      285007 283009 282012 284017 287022 292027 299032 305034
      310034 314032 317031 319033 322038 326044 329045 334045
      347041 385004 394007 398009 400012 400019 400023 400029
      398034 399037 407039 411040 413042 417048 412053 413057
      416058 417062 417066 418076 420082 421091 424094 427098
      434101 439103 442107 445110 450115 454115 457117 460121
      462126 468131 472131 474128 481131 486136 492147 494156
      495163 497167 500169 505170 508174 511181 517184 524182
      528177
 0.25 479678 479671 476666 472665 468669 466672 466676 467679
      466684 466692 471691 474688 477684 478681 479678
 0.25 416738 417736 417733 415731 414732 413732 411734 411735
      410736 408738 407740 406743 407744 409744 411743 412742
      413741 414740 416739 416738
 0.25 407750 406746 405745 402748 398756 395757 392756 387757
      384760 381764 376767 372773 370780 369786 361794 356799
      352805 348813 340829 339837 334844 325849 322851 317853
      309853 306855 303859 304865 306870 313874 317873 319871
      321868 324865 330864 333860 337852 341847 346842 350839
      353835 358828 367815 370812 374809 382806 387801 391792
      390781 394775 399769 401765 402760 407750
 0.25 384786 383782 379783 378785 375787 374790 371791 370794
      370796 370798 370800 374800 376798 379796 380793 381791
      383788 384786
 0.25 320924 320915 320907 316903 311900 306902 302905 300908
      300912 301918 303924 306929 310933 314934 316932 319926
      320924
 0.50 519897 519889 516883 514878 513872 512852 510848 508847
      506849 503856 502864 502869 501878 501886 498891 493899
      490905 488911 484922 481927 478931 472938 471942 472946
      475950 479952 480955 481959 485962 490962 493961 496957
      500952 502946 505936 511924 514913 518903 519897
 0.50 457098 457096 456096 455095 453094 452094 450094 449095
      449097 449099 450100 451101 453102 455102 456101 456100
      457098
 0.50 452080 452078 452076 451075 450073 449073 448072 446070
      445069 443069 443070 443072 444074 444076 446077 446078
      448079 448080 449081 451082 452080
 0.50 447964 447955 447951 446942 444936 443934 441934 435938
      430940 427944 423950 419960 418966 420971 422976 423981
      423987 422992 418995 414996 411999 410005 412011 413018
      414021 419020 426014 430006 433002 433999 432997 430994
      432990 439985 442983 443978 446969 447964
 0.50 436071 436069 436066 436064 435062 435064 434066 434068
      434071 434072 436071 436071
 0.50 360996 362982 361972 361960 354958 345962 339967 334973
      328978 321984 319986 317992 316998 317002 321009 327016
      329025 329033 330036 337034 339029 339026 341022 345020
      353016 357009 360001 360996
 0.50 305019 306017 306015 305014 304015 303015 303017 303018
      304019 305020 305019
 1.00 350978 350976 350974 350973 348972 346973 346974 345976
      345978 345980 346981 348981 349980 350979 350978
 1.00 337002 336999 335998 333999 332001 333002 335004 337002

$$





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