Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 180935
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
534 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 18/1200 UTC THRU JUL 21/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY/MID AND UPPER MS VALLEY/CENTRAL
PLAINS...

THE AREA OF CONVECTION OVER OVER IL/IN THIS MORNING FORMED IN A
REGION OF ENHANCED LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR THE SURFACE
FRONT...AND INCREASED UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION OF AN UPPER JET. THE CONSENSUS AMONG THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE
IS FOR THIS CONVECTION TO CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE EARLY THIS
MORNING...EVENTUALLY TURING MORE SOUTHEASTWARD AS SUGGESTED BY
CORFIDI VECTORS ACROSS THE REGION. THIS SHOULD BRING THE HIGHER
AMOUNTS AFTER 12Z SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE IN/OH/KY BORDERS. OVERALL
FAVORED A SOLUTION CLOSE TO THE PARALLEL HRRR AND THE 0Z NSSL
WRF...BOTH OF WHICH APPEARED TO HAVE A DECENT HANDLE ON CURRENT
ACTIVITY AND SHOWED PLAUSIBLE EVOLUTIONS INTO THE MORNING HOURS.
IN GENERAL EXPECT THE CONVECTION TO BE MORE PROGRESSIVE BY
12Z...WHICH SHOULD GENERALLY LIMIT THE FLOOD THREAT. EXPECT A
GRADUAL WEAKENING OF CONVECTION AS IT CONTINUES TO SHIFT SOUTH
THROUGH KY/WV/SOUTHWEST VA AFTER 12Z AS IT OUTRUNS THE BETTER
SUPPORT. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN IN/OH AND NORTHERN KY. THE APPROACH OF
A LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY ALONG WITH A SHORTWAVE RIDING ON THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE SOUTHERN US RIDGE COULD BE ENOUGH TO GET THIS
ACTIVITY GOING. ALTHOUGH DEFINITELY UNCERTAINTY ON WHETHER THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL BE ABLE TO RECOVER ENOUGH AFTER THE MORNING
ACTIVITY TO SUPPORT ADDITIONAL CONVECTION. ONLY THE 0Z NSSL WRF
REALLY INDICATES THIS ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...SO CONFIDENCE IS
LOW. HOWEVER THE COMBINATION OF THE CONVECTION THIS MORNING MOVING
THROUGH...AND THE POTENTIAL OF AFTERNOON REDEVELOPMENT WARRANTS A
SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. AGAIN THINK THE THREAT THIS
MORNING IS PROBABLY MARGINAL GIVEN THE EXPECTED FORWARD MOVEMENT
OF CONVECTION...WITH THE RISK POTENTIALLY INCREASING THIS
AFTERNOON IF STORMS ARE ABLE TO REDEVELOP OVER AREAS THAT RECEIVED
RAIN THIS MORNING. STORM MOTIONS WOULD BE SLOW WITH ANY AFTERNOON
ACTIVITY...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER ABOVE 1.75" SUPPORTING A HEAVY
RAINFALL THREAT SHOULD STORMS DEVELOP.

AN AREA OF CONVECTION THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTHWEST IA AND
VICINITY HAS FORMED ON THE NOSE OF INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET
POINTED INTO THE REGION...MAXIMIZING MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE
INTO A STALLED OUT BOUNDARY. ALSO AN UPPER JET PASSING TO THE
NORTH PUTS THE REGION IN THE FAVORED RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION. THIS
COMBINATION OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE
HAS ALLOWED FOR BLOSSOMING CONVECTION OVER THE AREA...WITH STORM
MOTIONS FAVORING TRAINING. IN GENERAL EXPECT THIS CONVECTION TO BE
IN A WEAKENING STATE BY 12Z...WITH THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT RAPIDLY
DECREASING.

ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO TONIGHT...WHEN A SIMILAR SETUP APPEARS TO
UNFOLD. MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL INCREASE INTO THE STALLED OUT
BOUNDARY...WITH ANOTHER UPPER JET PLACING PORTIONS OF SD/NE/IA/MN
IN THE FAVORED RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION. THUS WOULD EXPECT A
REGENERATION OF ELEVATED CONVECTION BY OR SHORTLY AFTER 06Z. ONCE
AGAIN STORM MOTIONS SHOULD EXHIBIT A LARGE COMPONENT PARALLEL TO
THE BOUNDARY OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST...THUS TRAINING APPEARS LIKELY.
WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAINING ABOVE 1.75"...ANOTHER
FLASH FLOOD THREAT MAY DEVELOP. THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO LIFT
NORTH THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...BUT UNCERTAINTY ON HOW FAR NORTH IT
GETS. NOTICED VERY GOOD AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE 0Z NSSL WRF AND THE
12Z ECMWF WITH REGARDS TO THE AXIS OF CONVECTION...AND GIVEN ONE
OF THESE IS TYPICALLY THE BEST GLOBAL GUIDANCE AND THE OTHER THE
BEST HIGH RES GUIDANCE...GENERALLY FOLLOWED CLOSE TO A CONSENSUS
OF THOSE SOLUTIONS. THIS KEEPS THE AXIS SOUTH OF THE LATEST GFS.
CURRENTLY EXPECT THE FOCUS TO BE FROM NEAR THE NE/SD BORDER INTO
WESTERN IA. DID NOTICE THAT THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT IS
FORECAST TO BE A BIT LESS TONIGHT INTO THE BOUNDARY COMPARED TO
THIS MORNING...AND THE CONVERGENCE AXIS MAY BE A BIT MORE
PROGRESSIVE THAN THIS MORNING. THESE ARE BOTH SIGNS THAT TONIGHTS
CONVECTION MAY NOT BE QUITE AS INTENSE AS WHAT WE ARE SEEING THIS
MORNING ACROSS SOUTHWEST IA. ALTHOUGH STILL THINK THE SETUP
WARRANTS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL GIVEN THE TRAINING
POTENTIAL AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES APPROACHING 2".


...SOUTHEAST...

SCATTERED DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION IS AGAIN EXPECTED TODAY
ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
OF 1.75-2" SUGGEST LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY IN
STORMS. HOWEVER NOT MUCH OF A FORCING MECHANISM TO HELP FOCUS
CONVECTION...WITH GENERALLY PULSE STORMS EXPECTED. FOLLOWED CLOSE
TO A BLEND OF THE 00Z ARW/NSSL WRF FOR QPF ACROSS THE REGION. TWO
AREAS OF POTENTIAL FOCUS FOR LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS APPEAR TO BE
ACROSS SOUTHWEST TX AND SOUTHWEST LA...AND OVER THE WEST COAST OF
FL.


...MID ATLANTIC TO NORTHEAST...

EXPECT SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. GREATEST COVERAGE SHOULD BE
FROM THE MD/PA BORDER NORTH INTO NEW ENGLAND...CLOSER TO THE
BETTER SYNOPTIC SUPPORT. ALL OF THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE WAS SLIGHTLY
QUICKER WITH THE CONVECTIVE PROGRESSION THAN THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE.
THE HIGH RES WERE ALSO NOTICEABLE HIGHER WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF
QPF. THIS IS A PRETTY COMMON OCCURRENCE DURING EVENTS LIKE
THIS...WITH THE HIGH RES USUALLY OUTPERFORMING THE LOWER RES
GLOBAL GUIDANCE. THUS THE WPC QPF WAS HEAVILY WEIGHTED TOWARDS A
BLEND OF THE 0Z NSSL WRF AND ARW...WHICH ARE TYPICALLY THE BEST
PERFORMING HIGH RES GUIDANCE. AREAL AVERAGED QPF SHOULD GENERALLY
BE BETWEEN 0.5"-1" WITH THE CONVECTIVE LINE ALONG THE FRONT FROM
THE PA/MD BORDER INTO NEW ENGLAND. THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF
CONVECTION SHOULD LIMIT ANY FLASH FLOOD THREAT.


...SOUTHWEST...

AN INCREASE IN MONSOONAL MOISTURE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SOUTHERN
US UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TODAY.  IN ADDITION...WEAK SHORTWAVE
IMPULSES IN THE VICINITY COULD HELP BE A FOCUS FOR CONVECTION
ONCE AGAIN...WPC GRAPHICS TENDED TO RESORT TO A MULTI MODEL BLEND
WITH THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE RECEIVING MORE WEIGHT THAN THE GLOBAL
MODELS. WHILE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE...WOULD REALLY
LIKE TO SEE BETTER LOW LEVEL FLOW AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES TO INTRODUCE ANY MARGINAL EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREA.
CURRENT THOUGHTS ARE THAT ANY FLASH FLOODING ISSUES WOULD BE
WIDELY ISOLATED AND CONFINED TO FLOOD PRONE AREAS...BUT WILL HAVE
TO MONITOR THROUGH THE DAY.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

THE UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST WILL AGAIN RESULT IN SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY INTO THE EVENING
OVER WESTERN WA. GENERALLY FOLLOWED A MULTI MODEL BLEND WEIGHTED
TOWARDS THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE. SOME POTENTIAL FOR SOME LOCALIZED
1-2" RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS WESTERN WA AS SUBTLE SHORTWAVE
IMPULSES MOVE THROUGH AND THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF A DEVELOPING 300
MB JET INCREASES UPPER DIVERGENCE.

...WESTERN PLAINS...

A WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDING ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SOUTHERN US
RIDGE COMBINED WITH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE...MAY HELP
INITIATE CONVECTION ACROSS EASTERN CO INTO WESTERN NE THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE A GREAT SETUP...WITH
WEAKER LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE
REGION COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. THUS NOT SURPRISING THAT GUIDANCE IS
MORE MIXED ON THE DEGREE OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. ALTHOUGH WOULD
EXPECT AT LEAST ISOLATED ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP AND MOVE EASTWARD.
STORMS SHOULD GENERALLY BE MOVING AT A GOOD ENOUGH CLIP TO PREVENT
MUCH OF A FLASH FLOOD THREAT...ALTHOUGH WITH ANOMALOUS
PRECIPITABLE WATER MOVING INTO THE NE PANHANDLE...ANY STORMS THAT
MOVE INTO THAT AREA WOULD HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
RATES.



DAYS 2/3...

...NORTHERN PLAINS/MID TO UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/GREAT
LAKES/OHIO VALLEY/APPALACHIANS...

THE INITIAL SHORTWAVE THAT PRODUCES A ROUND OF SHOWERS OVER IOWA
IS FCST TO DISSIPATE BY THE MAJORITY OF MODELS EARLY ON DAY 2.
THE GENERAL LOW-MID LEVEL WARM/MOIST ADVECTION REGIME SPREADS
SLOWLY DOWNSTREAM ACROSS FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE UPPER AND
MID MS VALLEY ON TUE AND THEN THE GREAT LAKES ON WED.
THE QPF SPREAD GROWS WITH TIME...WITH AMOUNTS AND TIMING
INCREASING ON WED.
THE WED RAINFALL FOCUSES ON WHAT IS SEEN IN THE GFS 700 MB THETA-E
ADVECTION MAXIMA CROSSING MN/IA TUE NIGHT INTO WI BY WED MORNING
AND THEN LAKE MI/UP OF MI EN ROUTE TO LOWER MI AS WED PROGRESSES.
A SEPARATE WAVE ROTATING AROUND THE CENTRAL US RIDGE COMES OUT OF
MT WED AND CROSSES ND...WITH SHOWERS DEVELOPING IN NORTHERN ND AS
A 300 MB DIVERGENCE MAXIMA CROSSES THE AREA.  MANUAL QPF USED A
MULTI-MODEL BLEND WITH CONFIDENCE BELOW NORMAL DUE TO MODEL AND
RUN TO RUN DIFFERENCES.

...SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST...

A COLD FRONT DRIFTS SOUTH ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES ON DAY
2/TUESDAY...BNDRY LAYER MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE FRONT
TRIGGERS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS  ACROSS SOUTHERN VIRGINIA AND
NORTH CAROLINA...WHERE HIGH AVAILABLE MOISTURE WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES FORECAST BY THE GFS IN THE 1.75-1.9 INCH RANGE
SUPPORT STORMS THAT COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.
THE 12Z-00Z GFS/UKMET/CANADIAN ALL SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR GREATER
THAN AN INCH PLUS OF RAIN IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. AN AREA OF A
SLIGHT RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING IS MAINTAINED IN THIS AREA FOR
POTENTIALLY LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL.

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AS IT
STALLS OVER THE CAROLINAS POSSIBLY PROLONGING THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND STORMS TUE NIGHT INTO WED.
THE GEFS MOISTURE PLUMES NUDGES SOUTH INTO SOUTHEAST NC AND
ADJACENT EASTERN SC ON WED...SO THIS IS WHERE THE QPF FOCUS IS
EXPECTED TO BE. MANUAL PROGS USED A MULTI-MODEL MODEL AND
CONTINUITY BLEND FOR QPF.

...SOUTHWEST/SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN/SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL
ROCKIES/CENTRAL PLAINS...

SOUTHWESTERLY LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE
OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN...WITH MOISTURE
FROM EASTERN PACIFIC TRANSPORTED FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES.  THE GFS FCST AREAS OF SFC-500 MB LAYER RH OF
50-70 PERCENT...SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS
ACROSS THESE REGIONS. TOPOGRAPHICALLY AND DIURNALLY ENHANCED
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THROUGHOUT THIS
AREA.  A BLEND OF CONTINUITY WITH THE GFS/ECMWF AND NAM WAS USED
FOR THE QPF.


CHENARD/PETERSEN



24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 531178 531171 530164 528158 525153 522148 520145 519141
      521134 522125 523107 521101 519101 517102 511102 507104
      503105 497102 493100 491095 488088 489079 491076 493079
      498082 506089 512090 516088 520084 524079 526076 528069
      530063 531055 528044 522033 510011 507006 503003 495995
      491994 487995 478002 473009 469022 466028 463034 463043
      466048 469052 468061 469066 471072 473079 471088 466100
      465112 463119 459122 456126 457130 459129 463130 469132
      474134 479138 481143 482147 480150 477152 475157 475159
      477161 481163 486162 487165 487169 485177 481180 478185
      473188 469190 463190 461188 462183 464179 467174 468170
      467167 466164 464163 460164 453171 446179 440190 434202
      429214 429222 427228 430232 434232 444228 449228 452229
      451232 442237 447243 457239 458243 457246 453250 447259
      446266 448270 453269 458266 466259 472251 478242 482238
      483231 483226 489227 492231 495236 490237 485238 487245
      489250 491256 493263 496268 503276 508276 512274 515269
      517262 518254 518246 517240 518233 516226 515219 516209
      520202 527191 531178
 0.01 513707 512700 510694 508679 506675 503672 501667 496665
      492664 487662 478662 476659 474654 469655 465654 460656
      457660 454663 449665 445668 440670 432677 421689 409702
      404710 401714 399718 396722 393726 388734 382741 376751
      372759 365764 358770 350775 333787 316788 300785 290782
      286782 283781 264778 258777 253777 247778 242780 237782
      235786 233795 233812 233821 236830 238835 240839 241847
      243852 245856 246861 250871 262907 270928 271933 269937
      262942 257947 257953 258958 259964 261967 264970 269971
      278973 287977 293978 297976 305973 312968 318962 330948
      359925 371909 383908 387909 390911 396917 398920 399923
      399928 398935 397940 395952 396959 398962 407966 412967
      413968 413973 413991 410003 407006 402007 395011 392021
      389031 388037 384040 374043 369042 365045 363049 359051
      352055 348059 351062 353065 353069 352072 351075 347076
      329070 324074 322075 319074 317070 315066 312062 310064
      306065 301066 297065 293062 288062 284064 282066 276066
      265066 260065 260070 261074 261080 262085 264087 272093
      286103 293108 296111 302113 310118 321123 329127 332125
      333120 334114 340115 341124 345132 350135 353139 356141
      361141 367137 382128 390124 396119 403114 409108 413104
      410101 406099 403093 400090 396089 391088 392083 409080
      413075 415070 417065 418059 417058 413060 411058 411054
      412048 411044 413040 421037 439043 448044 450044 451041
      453034 452022 446012 441004 442999 445995 447990 447985
      449980 449971 449964 447957 443945 441934 440927 438923
      433918 426914 422913 421907 418898
 0.01 418898 412872 409859 409851 410845 413833 416821 418816
      419813 421811 429806 438799 449797 470799 478792 484786
      496768 502757 505754 506748 509734 512723 513707
 0.01 476227 475225 474225 472226 470226 468226 467227 466229
      466230 465231 464232 463233 462236 463238 464236 465236
      467234 469233 469232 471232 473233 473232 474229 475228
      476227
 0.01 384097 385095 383094 382094 381097 383099 384097
 0.01 382101 381097 379099 376098 374101 372103 370105 368108
      366109 364111 364113 367113 369112 372111 375110 377109
      379107 381103 382101
 0.25 510191 511178 510169 507163 505161 506157 507154 505145
      503142 502138 502126 500118 499113 496112 494123 493132
      495140 500157 498161 497167 498171 497177 494186 493192
      491194 487193 486189 483188 480190 469198 464201 461208
      454211 451210 452205 454201 451198 445201 440207 439210
      441212 448214 449217 452218 458216 461215 464216 470216
      477216 485219 492218 499219 503212 510191
 0.25 480234 480231 480229 479231 478232 477233 478234 479236
      480234
 0.25 488116 487115 486113 484112 484113 483115 484116 485118
      486118 487118 488116
 0.25 478691 477684 476677 470668 462665 456671 445688 439695
      434696 429700 423706 419710 417715 410733 403740 393745
      386747 381755 377757 376759 377763 382763 385768 387772
      388776 385780 383786 384788 389790 390792 389795 387799
      383808 380818 382823 385821 392814 399807 406803 410805
      414805 418802 421799 428791 434785 437782 437776 437768
      438762 442752 445742 445735 448731 453730 457731 461727
      464724 469716 472710 475703 478691
 0.25 476204 475202 473203 471204 470205 471207 473207 474206
      475206 476204
 0.25 482110 482107 483105 482102 480103 479104 478107 478109
      478110 479111 481111 482110
 0.25 483065 483064 482062 481060 479061 479062 478064 477065
      477066 476069 476071 477073 479074 480073 481072 482070
      482067 482066 483065
 0.25 435961 435955 432950 428941 424931 418924 413915 409912
      408915 406920 404926 402930 401936 400951 403956 407958
      412956 415957 418960 421966 423970 423977 423984 422989
      417015 420019 426018 428014 429009 431003 431995 430991
      431984 433970 435961
 0.25 407028 408026 407025 405024 404026 403028 405030 407028
      407028
 0.25 398111 398108 395107 393108 391110 389111 386113 383115
      382117 383120 385120 388118 390117 392116 394114 396113
      398111
 0.25 401058 400056 400055 399055 397055 395056 394057 393059
      394062 395062 396062 398061 399060 400059 401058
 0.25 401039 400037 398036 396037 394039 392042 390045 390047
      390050 393052 396050 398048 399046 401042 401039
 0.25 401846 400836 399827 397822 393821 390824 382830 376830
      372833 370835 370840 370847 369856 371864 373871 376875
      379880 381882 384883 392881 396878 398873 400867 400848
      401846
 0.25 383074 383072 383070 382067 382066 380065 378066 378067
      377069 376071 375073 375075 375078 375080 377080 379079
      379078 381076 383074
 0.25 384886 383884 381885 380886 379888 379889 379891 380891
      381890 383888 384886
 0.25 373819 373817 372815 371815 370814 368814 366815 366816
      365818 365820 365822 367824 367825 369825 369824 370823
      371822 372821 373819
 0.25 367122 367119 366119 365119 363120 362121 362123 363123
      364124 365123 366122 367122
 0.25 362130 361127 360127 359126 358127 357129 358131 360132
      361132 362130 362130
 0.25 365103 365101 365100 363099 361100 361101 360103 361104
      363105 364105 365103
 0.25 360827 359825 356825 354826 352828 350831 349833 348836
      347840 349842 352843 356843 357840 358837 359834 360830
      360827
 0.25 348110 348109 347107 346107 345105 344105 343104 342105
      341107 342109 344111 346111 348111 348110
 0.25 342098 342096 342094 341091 340091 339090 337090 335091
      334093 334095 335095 335097 336099 337100 338100 340100
      341099 342098
 0.25 343836 342832 340832 340830 339822 338815 335810 331809
      329802 327801 323803 315808 313812 314817 310820 305822
      303826 306829 311832 313835 317838 321840 328841 332843
      338841 341838 343836
 0.25 331107 331104 330101 327096 325094 320093 311090 306087
      303084 298081 292081 290083 292087 298095 304104 309111
      313115 318117 322115 326112 331107
 0.25 312937 312930 310922 306911 302906 297908 295914 295918
      295923 293929 289941 287947 285954 285958 287961 292964
      296964 301962 307958 309954 311947 312939 312937
 0.25 293820 291817 288814 282812 269808 266810 262810 259809
      257808 258806 264802 260797 257795 253795 246797 243799
      242803 244811 254822 260825 266827 278833 285835 290833
      291824 293820
 0.50 504200 505192 501192 494198 490201 487205 478208 469209
      464208 462211 467214 470215 475213 480214 485215 489213
      494212 498208 501205 504200 504200
 0.50 468682 467674 464670 461671 458673 455676 452681 449689
      445698 442708 441713 444716 448717 453716 462713 466710
      467705 468694 468682
 0.50 438714 435708 431706 426707 421711 419716 417721 415736
      401752 397749 392750 389750 387756 389761 394764 394768
      392775 392780 395781 398780 400783 398788 397791 398795
      403796 410794 412781 418771 425763 431753 434749 436744
      435737 429736 432725 438714
 0.50 430957 430950 428945 423938 418931 415927 412925 408926
      405931 403934 402940 402947 403952 406953 408952 410949
      414951 417954 423960 426962 429959 430957
 0.50 427006 425004 424004 422004 420006 420008 419010 419013
      420015 421016 423016 424015 425013 426011 427008 427007
      427006
 0.50 400041 399040 398039 397039 396039 395041 394043 393043
      392045 393048 394049 395048 397047 398046 399044 399043
      400041
 0.50 397846 398839 397832 395828 393827 390828 385834 382838
      377838 372840 372846 373860 375866 377871 382875 387874
      391872 396865 397860 396853 397846
 0.50 380074 381072 380069 378071 378072 377073 377076 378076
      379074 380074
 0.50 317114 318112 318110 317108 315105 314103 313103 312102
      312103 311105 310107 311109 311110 312111 313112 314114
      316114 317114
 0.50 307935 306928 303922 301922 299924 297930 296937 295943
      294949 292952 292955 299954 303949 305945 306937 307935
 0.50 286829 287827 286825 285824 284823 283823 281822 279823
      278824 276825 274826 274828 276829 278829 279830 280830
      282831 284830 286830 286829
 0.50 263819 263817 262816 262815 260814 260813 258812 258811
      256810 255810 253812 253814 255816 257817 259818 261819
      261820 263819 263819
 1.00 484212 483209 481211 482212 484212 484212
 1.00 458687 458684 456682 456683 455685 455688 455690 455691
      456690 456688 458687 458687
 1.00 423751 422749 422748 420749 419749 419750 417752 416755
      415755 415757 416758 418758 420758 421756 422754 423753
      423751
 1.00 426952 424948 423945 421942 419940 418938 416935 414935
      412936 411940 412942 414946 416948 417951 419953 423954
      426952
 1.00 415764 415761 413760 411761 409763 407764 404762 402764
      401767 399770 401771 405770 407773 409773 410772 412770
      414767 415764
 1.00 393842 394838 393835 391836 388839 385843 383847 380850
      380857 379861 380866 386868 390865 391860 391854 392848
      393843 393842
 1.50 420949 419948 419947 419945 418942 417941 416941 415942
      416944 416945 417947 417948 419949 419950 420949
 1.50 388847 386847 386849 388847 388847
 1.50 387856 387854 387852 386850 385850 384852 383854 383857
      382859 383861 383863 384863 385862 386861 387859 387857
      387856

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 533173 532163 528155 528132 524136 518143 514148 510149
      506147 503145 500144 497147 494145 486143 484145 484151
      486160 487165 485170 482180 481191 479204 477208 473210
      470211 467214 464219 463226 460229 457231 455236 455238
      455245 455248 456251 459255 461255 466254 469256 480265
      481267 484265 487261 489260 490263 493270 495274 497276
      501278 504277 507274 509269 515251 518240 521228 525206
      528198 529191 530188 532177 533173
 0.01 534005 535986 535968 535959 533954 533940 532933 531925
      528913 525898 523890 519887 514884 510884 501885 496885
      492884 485880 478874 471872 469870 464870 455871 449871
      443870 434869 426866 419865 410870 406867 403862 396854
      390844 389829 392819 393809 394800 390792 390781 389777
      389770 389765 390760 391753 389747 386736 384732 382724
      380712 378706 375703 372700 369700 364701 360702 359704
      356707 349713 341728 336737 333746 323778 318801 310805
      306807 303805 296800 292797 287797 283797 280796 278790
      268787 261788 257786 256781 254780 253788 250790 247790
      248794 245796 240801 238808 236812 238816 239822 241828
      243831 247833 254836 260837 265836 272835 279836 286842
      288844 288848 285852 281861 279865 279869 279874 277877
      280896 283907 284914 283919 278927 277931 274935 272939
      268943 263949 252961 248969 244973 240975 235979 233983
      233989 236994 238998 243000 251003 255004 259005 269004
      275003 278001 284997 290993 295988 300978 304969 307959
      309950 312941 316937 320935 324936 326939 328945 338949
      341952 347952 352952 356950 363947 366945 368939 368936
      365932 362925 359915 357911 358909 360908 369914 375921
      380929 382931 387932 403941 411951 414962 422982 424985
      428987 433989 437992 442996 435998 422006 396032 392036
      388039 380045 370046 361051 354055 346059 346066 349067
      349070 345072 340070 337066 336061 338057 333053 328053
      326055 325059 328064 331068 331072 325076 322079 317079
      310077 305074 300073 297069 278064 271059 266060 262063
      258069 261079 263082 266085 271091 281101 286107 291113
 0.01 291113 296118 301121 308126 315127 329114 330108 333106
      337107 346119 344125 347126 350125 357124 359123 359120
      357113 354108 351106 355104 361108 365112 370113 371111
      370108 370104 372102 377103 379103 381100 385097 389098
      393100 394104 391109 386112 380112 377119 380119 383122
      385120 388120 393117 399112 402106 401101 400097 401092
      403090 405091 406095 406100 407106 409108 412105 415096
      416088 418081 420071 424068 428061 429053 428049 428043
      428038 430034 433026 437022 447017 455007 459013 464018
      475026 480027 486028 495039 498048 499058 500067 502074
      506083 511077 515072 518063 519059 520053 524037 527037
      527032 530024 534005
 0.01 505772 503763 500757 494746 490741 489739 487739 483732
      482726 480721 478719 474721 470726 467732 464737 464740
      466742 475747 478755 479762 483769 486771 491774 497775
      505772
 0.01 491235 490230 488229 487226 484222 483220 480219 476218
      474220 472221 470226 473228 477227 479227 482229 483231
      484234 488235 491235
 0.01 481165 482158 479151 478147 475143 472140 468144 463154
      459167 456173 454173 451171 452178 450185 446186 435206
      431209 427210 423213 422219 425223 430222 436221 439218
      446219 449217 452213 464196 467191 471187 476179 481165
 0.01 478124 475118 473114 473110 470100 469093 466085 464082
      463084 462089 465092 467097 465102 468105 467110 466114
      469118 475124 478124
 0.01 453098 450090 447089 445087 442084 440091 436093 431097
      429101 429104 432104 434100 436097 440096 446097 453098
 0.01 370122 370120 368119 367119 365119 363121 364123 364124
      366124 368124 370122 370122
 0.25 521015 522989 523981 522973 522962 514948 511942 507938
      502933 497927 493920 489912 479903 475900 468899 453898
      445899 441899 438898 434897 431900 427902 423900 418898
      413893 402886 388879 383876 378875 374881 375887 378895
      381900 385904 388906 395908 410931 424959 430965 434969
      445975 453973 455971 456967 455960 452951 450945 447938
      443932 440925 437915 439912 443913 459917 464919 470923
      475927 479932 481940 482949 474963 470964 471967 474975
      477980 482984 488987 491989 495989 499991 499996 496998
      494003 494008 496011 499017 501020 505021 513020 519019
      521015
 0.25 409063 409056 406051 401049 395049 390050 386052 383053
      382055 382059 380061 370062 369065 369068 372073 375083
      378083 380082 383078 385076 388076 392078 398080 401076
      407066 409063
 0.25 378751 377744 375739 371735 367733 361733 355735 349740
      344749 339760 334777 330787 327799 326808 323817 320827
      317833 313835 306841 302848 302856 301860 301868 303874
      307877 311878 314876 316873 318861 317845 320846 323843
      325845 322849 322853 326853 332844 337836 344832 350839
      353841 356840 361838 364839 367843 372849 377826 376818
      373815 367811 365806 365801 370790 373780 375772 377760
      378751
 0.25 362092 362091 360090 359090 357090 356091 357092 358093
      358094 360094 361094 362092 362092
 0.25 344094 343092 342089 340087 337085 336083 333082 330081
      330083 332085 333087 335090 335093 336095 340098 343096
      344094
 0.25 290824 289822 287821 286821 285820 283820 281820 279821
      279823 280823 281825 282826 283827 285827 287827 289826
      290824
 0.25 270802 269798 267796 263795 259797 255797 248802 248806
      249809 253816 256822 259824 263823 266821 265817 263809
      264805 267804 269804 270802
 0.50 516981 513978 512973 510965 505958 503956 499955 495955
      491957 488959 486962 486965 487967 492969 496969 500975
      504980 507983 510983 516981
 0.50 434952 434944 433939 430928 426921 421913 415907 409906
      406908 405911 406915 408917 412922 414926 417934 421945
      423949 426950 430952 434952
 0.50 371756 371751 370746 366741 360740 355742 346752 343759
      341765 337779 336786 336795 337800 340802 345803 349803
      352801 356796 361783 367771 370764 371757 371756
 1.00 362765 362754 358750 354752 349756 348760 347765 346772
      344781 345787 346789 349792 351791 354784 357776 360769
      362765

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 505237 505231 504228 500219 497211 496204 496196 498189
      500183 501176 501168 501162 500156 498151 496146 495140
      494133 493118 494103 494095 496089 497073 497058 499042
      502031 505022 504011 500000 499987 498980 500974 505965
      509959 511954 512945 512931 512914 512905 510899 506890
      501880 498875 497870 499863 499857 496842 496837 494833
      493819 493805 495792 494776 490766 487757 481747 475742
      466739 458741 452742 448745 445749 442754 441760 441765
      440796 438805 437809 435813 425814 415813 403814 395818
      388823 385826 383831 382835 382841 387854 384865 382870
      382876 381883 378886 372893 369898 367903 365908 366916
      368923 370926 373927 384927 392923 402921 407921 411922
      421922 428928 431931 431937 431943 433948 437950 443951
      448957 452959 458961 462964 465969 470977 474989 471992
      467993 460996 455000 452006 449007 448005 442000 439997
      436999 432000 429004 422010 405021 402025 398028 395031
      391032 388033 385033 380033 376035 373039 370041 366043
      358047 351050 346055 339062 334067 325072 318071 315069
      306068 302069 300073 299079 297084 295098 294102 295107
      296111 299114 306121 317127 319131 323134 326136 332136
      344130 351135 360134 373106 377105 377109 374114 373120
      373125 375130 378130 381128 411103 411099 409096 406095
      404100 401098 400096 401089 407083 410080 413080 419074
      421062 420055 418050 416045 417039 420033 424030 428028
      430025 435017 440024 445024 447022 450022 452018 456021
      469022 475026 480032 476044 475049 474055 472060 473066
      475071 479074 481078 479083 476085 471087 469091 469095
      467097 466105 465113 464130 465134 468138 471143 469147
      465157 462163 459167 452173 447179 449182 452183
 0.01 452183 459180 463179 466180 468183 471181 478175 483169
      484166 485170 486173 485176 484180 483188 482195 480202
      478205 474206 467209 463211 461214 461220 465224 467225
      472224 473226 472230 471239 477244 481243 483237 482232
      480228 476225 479222 484223 488225 490230 493233 496236
      499238 502238 505237
 0.01 428061 428058 428056 427053 425053 423055 423058 423060
      424063 426063 428061 428061
 0.01 375758 375753 373750 368742 363734 357728 352730 348733
      341739 335745 332748 329752 326758 322766 320774 319786
      318791 317796 314798 313803 313806 310807 303808 301807
      300804 298800 292795 286791 278788 269787 260789 251792
      245799 241807 240815 241827 245833 249833 254830 258829
      261831 268837 275841 279842 283846 286851 286857 284862
      283872 283882 284896 285907 283929 281939 281943 278947
      272953 266958 254971 251974 249978 250982 251986 254988
      258990 267990 275987 279981 289965 294956 299958 303958
      310958 314956 316952 318948 319942 321932 322926 323921
      323915 322909 321897 321883 320873 320870 322870 323876
      325880 329882 334881 337879 341872 344861 347856 351855
      357848 359841 358830 356824 356818 355804 358794 361784
      371768 375758
 0.01 358109 357107 356104 356103 354103 352102 351104 352106
      352108 353109 355109 357110 358109
 0.01 335121 334119 332119 330119 329119 327120 327122 327124
      328125 329125 330124 332123 333123 334122 335121
 0.01 336060 336058 336056 336055 334053 332053 331053 330053
      329055 328055 327057 326057 327057 328059 330060 332060
      334060 335060 336060
 0.01 323868 323866 322864 321866 321868 323868 323868
 0.25 491010 491005 491000 490997 489995 485993 483994 482997
      481002 481007 482009 483012 486014 489012 491010
 0.25 486907 486897 486886 485876 483867 481860 478854 474848
      470845 447837 435835 429834 421837 417839 413844 405855
      399864 397872 397883 399890 403894 415899 427902 436911
      439915 441923 442925 445926 450922 457920 464922 469923
      476926 481925 483919 484912 486907
 0.25 406058 404055 399054 390052 384057 378064 375066 374070
      375082 380089 382085 383080 384077 387073 392074 395077
      399076 401072 400067 403063 406058
 0.25 357770 357765 356760 354757 350757 343760 338765 334771
      331779 326792 324801 322810 324820 325823 324827 324829
      327829 331823 333816 336808 339803 345798 351784 357770
 0.25 280805 280800 275799 268798 261797 254801 249806 251814
      254817 257818 264821 272822 274822 276820 274811 273809
      274806 280805
 0.50 476902 475896 474891 474875 472870 469867 466866 460865
      454862 446856 441851 432847 425848 417853 412859 407866
      405871 405877 407882 409884 418888 426890 443896 449899
      458902 463908 468909 471909 473907 476902
 0.50 351773 351767 349765 345766 342769 339773 337776 335780
      335787 337791 342791 345787 347784 349780 350775 351773

$$





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