Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 182121
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
519 PM EDT THU AUG 18 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 19/0000 UTC THRU AUG 22/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

18Z UPDATE...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO PRELIM GUIDANCE.

...OVERVIEW...

WIDESPREAD AVAILABILITY OF MOIST AND SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE AIR
COMBINED WITH MARGINAL AND IN SOME CASES WEAK FORCING YIELDS A
MUDDLED LOOKING QPF ACROSS THE CONUS...WITH 24-HOUR AREAL AVERAGE
AMOUNTS GENERALLY LESS THAN 1.5 INCHES. IN THE DAYS AFTER THE
FLOODING RAINS ALONG THE GULF COAST HAD SUBSIDED...HEAVIER POCKETS
OF RAIN HAD BROKEN DOWN TO MUCH SMALLER SCALES...AND THAT REMAINS
THE CASE THROUGH FRIDAY. LOCALLY GREATER ODDS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL
ARE EXPECTED OVER THE MIDWEST...THE WESTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY...AND
SOUTHWEST TEXAS...ALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH BETTER DEFINED SYNOPTIC
FORCING...AND ALSO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WHERE WESTERLY FLOW HAD
STRENGTHENED TO ALLOW FOR GREATER STORM ORGANIZATION. FOR QPF
THERE WAS A FAIRLY GOOD CONSENSUS AMONG THE MODELS...SO THAT A
CONSENSUS APPROACH COULD BE USED. WE LIKED ESPECIALLY THE
DEPICTION IN THE SREF PROBABILISTIC OUTPUT AS A GUIDE. WHEN
CREATING THE WPC QPF ACROSS THE CONUS WE STARTED WITH A BLEND THAT
USED ROUGHLY EQUAL PARTS OF THE 12Z NAM / WRF-ARW / OUR IN-HOUSE
ENSEMBLE / AND PREVIOUS WPC FORECAST. COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST CYCLE THERE WAS VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO PRECIPITATION
LOCATION...BUT MAGNITUDE WAS INCREASED A LITTLE BIT IN THE AREAS
OF BETTER SYNOPTIC FORCING.


DAY 2...

PLAINS/MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES/OH-TN VALLEYS/APPALACHIANS...

THE MORE INTERMEDIATE TIMING AND INTENSITY OF THE 12Z GFS/12Z
ECMWF FOR THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH...
THEREFORE AFFECTING MANY ASPECTS OF FRONTAL CONVERGENCE...ARE
PREFERRED OVER THE 12Z NAM...WHICH LIES NEAR THE DEEP AND SLOW
EDGES OF THE SOLUTION ENVELOPE. BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF...THE
GFS IS SLIGHTLY FASTER WITH THE FRONTAL TIMING VERSUS THE
ECMWF...WITH TIMING DIFFERENCES OF JUST A FEW HOURS. THESE TIMING
DIFFERENCES HAVE SOME INFLUENCE FOR THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH EJECTING
OUT OF COLORADO...WITH THE GFS APPEARING TO SUFFER FROM MORE
SEVERE CONVECTIVE GRID-SCALE FEEDBACK VERSUS THE SLIGHTLY MORE
SUBDUED ECMWF...WITH THE ECMWF BETTER SUPPORTED BY THE AVAILABLE
HI-RES GUIDANCE. DESPITE SOME MODEST QPF AMOUNTS OVER THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES...EXPECT QUICK CELL MOTIONS GIVEN THE RELATIVELY
STRONG WIND PROFILES THAT SHOULD MINIMIZE THE RISK FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL. CONDITIONS ARE SLIGHTLY MORE SUPPORTIVE OVER KANSAS
WHERE LIGHT FLOW ALOFT COMBINED WITH A STRONGER LOWER LEVEL JET
AND HIGHER INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT HIGHER RAIN RATES AND THEREFORE
A SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ON DAY 2.

TEXAS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

CONTINUED WITH A BLEND OF THE 12Z GFS/00-12Z ECMWF FOR DEPICTING
PRECIPITATION ACROSS TEXAS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH THESE MODELS REPRESENTING THE SLOW AND
FAST SIDES OF THE GUIDANCE RESPECTIVELY. TIMING DIFFERENCES ARE 6
TO 12 HOURS BY DAY 3...ALTHOUGH THIS COULD BE CONSERVATIVE GIVEN
THESE MODELS ARE ROUGHLY HANDLING THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EAST
PAC AND ITS INTERACTION WITH THE MEXICO TERRAIN SIMILARLY...AND
THESE APPROXIMATIONS OR ASSUMPTIONS MAY CHANGE BY TOMORROW. THE
QUANTITY AND DEPTH OF MOISTURE COMBINED WITH ANY APPRECIABLE
ASCENT THAT WILL QUICKLY OVERCOME ANY CONVECTIVE INHIBITION
SUPPORT A RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD
FROM ABOUT THE BIG BEND TOWARD TEXARKANA...WHERE SEVERAL INCHES OR
MORE OF PRECIPITATION ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH DAY 3. FORECAST WIND
PROFILES SHOWING LIGHT AND NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL OR WEAKLY VEERING
FLOW WITH HEIGHT ALSO FAVOR TRAINING AND/OR QUASI-STEADY CELL
MOTIONS. THUS...HIGHER TOTALS ARE QUITE POSSIBLE.

CAROLINAS...

THE WEAK RESIDUAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY STRENGTHEN THIS WEEKEND AS
THE MID-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLIES APPROACH AND COASTAL CYCLOGENESIS
COMMENCES. ADD IN SEA BREEZES...ABUNDANT AND DEEP MOISTURE...AND
LIGHT WINDS ALOFT...SCATTERED CONVECTION WITH HEAVY RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED. USED A INTERMEDIATE SOLUTION INVOLVING THE 12Z
GFS/00-12Z ECMWF FOR MOST AREAS WITH SLIGHTLY GREATER EMPHASIS FOR
SEA BREEZES WHICH ARE GENERALLY BEYOND THE RESOLUTION OF THE
GLOBAL GUIDANCE. CONTINUED WITH A MARGINAL AREA FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL OVER THE EASTERN CAROLINAS...WHERE THE THERMODYNAMIC AND
KINEMATIC CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR HIGH RAIN RATES.

BURKE/JAMES/SULLIVAN

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 494145 494138 493132 495114 496098 496084 486037 481029
      476022 474016 471012 467009 464007 455004 453999 454993
      461976 464965 466952 474947 481940 484937 486932 489922
      491909 491892 482875 481870 482864 485853 488841 489836
      489828 483809 481804 477804 467807 462809 456810 445812
      440813 436815 431816 427814 424810 424807 422803 417801
      409803 406806 405808 402814 400809 399803 402798 402792
      400788 396791 393789 389785 385783 380782 377780 376777
      376774 377769 375763 372758 369756 367749 365738 367734
      365728 362724 359721 356719 352719 344725 338732 333741
      326758 320776 318783 318789 320793 319797 316802 314805
      309808 297811 291812 288812 286810 280804 277803 276800
      275796 259793 255795 251798 246801 244806 243811 247811
      250808 252808 252812 255815 259822 256829 264831 270837
      272837 272834 275834 286831 293833 297836 300840 299850
      308868 312875 311882 309886 304893 299899 296903 295908
      291916 292927 295935 293945 294951 294956 290966 288970
      288977 297976 296988 293992 287992 280989 273993 271996
      271999 276001 276005 270011 269018 265021 263026 260027
      253031 248038 248050 244053 241058 240062 242065 246074
      249084 253090 262095 271099 279104 286110 289113 290117
      298123 308127 316131 321137 325143 329151 333154 335154
      336152 331144 330139 329133 326125 323120 327117 330113
      330107 325100 310087 303082 296075 295071 294067 297063
      300061 303059 304054 305051 309048 312045 313039 313032
      316027 318023 323022 331017 338013 343011 345006 348002
      351999 353000 352003 350008 338025 333031 335036 339037
      340039 344037 352041 353045 351049 348052 343050 326043
 0.01 326043 324042 320041 316045 320056 323061 328064 335066
      340068 342072 338073 334073 332075 329079 328082 329085
      330092 333098 336103 338108 339111 339116 339125 335128
      338133 345144 347150 350152 357154 358147 358144 359141
      363137 369133 374132 382124 385119 384112 381111 376114
      377120 372125 365118 368084 367081 369082 373087 376091
      379093 378096 379103 384104 386106 389107 391107 392103
      390100 390095 392086 395080 396077 399076 403075 406075
      408073 410075 413081 418084 417091 418098 420105 423110
      428109 432106 435105 438107 442111 446116 448122 452128
      457132 462136 464141 470144 476144 481144 487146 491147
      494145
 0.01 444147 444145 445142 445140 444139 443137 443136 442135
      441134 440132 438134 437136 437138 437141 437143 437144
      438146 438148 438149 440149 441150 442149 443148 444147
 0.01 421721 419716 416717 412726 408734 404742 395746 394750
      394754 398757 403756 407753 412752 415749 418745 417743
      417737 420727 421721
 0.01 407215 406213 408209 408206 408203 406201 405200 403202
      401207 401211 399213 399216 403218 405217 407215
 0.01 413108 413104 413099 413096 412093 410089 409088 406088
      404091 403094 402097 402100 403104 404107 406109 409110
      411110 413108
 0.01 396205 391202 388198 383193 380189 373187 368185 367187
      369190 372194 375199 376202 380203 387204 394206 396205
 0.01 414921 407908 401894 396887 393881 388875 383875 381877
      381879 382891 382902 382911 379915 378920 379936 376945
      377948 378951 380949 393945 400942 405936 414924 414921
 0.01 391178 391176 391174 391172 392169 392167 391165 390164
      389162 387161 387162 385163 384166 384168 384170 384172
      385175 385177 387178 389179 390179 391178
 0.01 364976 364969 361970 357972 354973 354976 353980 353987
      352993 353000 355996 358991 360987 362983 362978 364976
 0.01 335165 334162 333160 330157 328156 326154 323153 320153
      320158 321160 323163 325164 329165 332165 335165
 0.01 320866 320862 320857 320853 320849 318846 316848 314850
      312852 312856 313860 313862 315866 317868 320866
 0.01 320958 319956 316956 314958 308963 303968 301971 301974
      305975 307977 310983 313992 316989 315984 313977 315969
      318962 320958
 0.25 488093 484068 480058 478045 470028 467024 463022 458020
      453020 449020 444018 442015 440008 444998 448987 455965
      456960 456951 456944 457938 461928 463914 467905 472895
      474890 475885 473880 471877 469872 469866 473855 476844
      477837 476829 474824 471821 467821 463824 457832 454836
      448837 443838 442841 446851 446854 444860 443865 442874
      442882 441887 439892 436895 431896 427895 423892 422886
      421877 419872 416869 409876 404877 402881 409902 413911
      416914 419918 423921 426924 428929 429935 428940 424945
      418953 412959 404965 387974 381979 375985 376988 378990
      383992 393995 398995 400000 403003 407003 410005 410012
      411023 410036 411042 407044 404047 398047 394046 390043
      388047 387054 389056 392057 398056 407059 411063 413067
      416071 421072 426074 428077 429082 432087 436089 441088
      445090 447094 452104 454110 455116 458119 461115 464112
      467112 471115 475114 483105 486098 488093
 0.25 387799 386797 383797 379797 376799 374800 371801 369803
      369806 371808 373809 376809 379807 380807 383807 385805
      386802 387799
 0.25 386824 385823 384822 383821 382823 383823 384825 385825
      386824
 0.25 379850 379848 379847 379848 377849 377850 376853 378854
      379852 379851 379850
 0.25 376891 374869 364858 363854 364851 369849 371847 371838
      370829 368829 365833 362840 361848 357850 352851 348851
      345854 341862 334876 330882 324885 320887 320890 322894
      322898 321902 322907 323911 323916 321926 323930 326932
      330940 331949 332960 330963 329966 330969 336964 344966
      350963 354955 360950 363943 365934 366932 365927 361926
      359928 356919 355916 356913 360907 368906 373902 375896
      376891
 0.25 364771 360752 359749 357746 354746 353742 352735 350733
      346734 344739 341748 344752 347753 346758 343763 340771
      336786 333793 330800 319807 314811 308815 303819 301823
      303824 307828 310830 313830 329827 333828 335830 338831
      340829 347816 350814 351810 350805 347803 342808 338814
      335813 336810 339803 342797 346791 354781 362776 364771
 0.25 354122 355120 354117 352116 351116 350117 350119 351121
      352123 354123 354122
 0.25 359828 359825 359823 358821 358820 356820 354820 352821
      351822 350822 349824 348827 347829 348831 349833 351833
      353833 355833 356832 357832 358830 359828
 0.25 345991 346988 344985 341983 336983 331984 327985 323988
      320994 314000 311003 308005 289006 278018 268030 264033
      261034 257036 255039 254047 256057 256063 253065 250064
      249068 252075 255082 261088 268092 276096 279098 285099
      290098 293094 294090 292086 281076 276069 276065 282064
      288062 294054 300050 302047 303041 303036 304031 308029
      310024 312020 314016 321014 326013 329011 333009 336006
      340997 345991
 0.25 303920 301918 301920 303920 303920
 0.25 299821 298820 297819 296819 294819 292819 290819 288820
      287822 286823 287823 289824 291824 292824 294824 296824
      298823 299821
 0.25 266812 266810 265810 265808 264807 263806 261806 260807
      258809 258810 258811 258813 260815 262816 264816 266815
      266814 266812
 0.50 478092 477088 474086 470085 468080 470076 474068 474061
      473051 472043 467038 462031 457027 443027 438024 430023
      430020 432016 435009 441993 444988 447980 452965 453954
      452944 451939 452935 454931 454926 457905 459898 458888
      457881 454874 451875 451882 452892 452898 450901 448903
      447909 445912 442910 432903 426901 422900 421896 417891
      413896 411898 412903 415910 419914 424917 429923 432930
      433939 433949 433959 433967 427980 420994 417999 414009
      417024 417030 421030 424029 425032 425044 426048 430047
      435044 440049 441052 441058 437065 435067 432067 428068
      429071 431074 434076 442079 446082 451089 455096 460101
      463103 465102 471100 478092
 0.50 471843 471837 471832 469828 467826 464828 462832 460839
      459849 461859 458866 459872 461874 463866 465858 468850
      471843
 0.50 425058 425057 425056 424053 423052 422052 420052 418052
      416051 416050 415049 414050 413052 414054 414057 414058
      415059 416061 417059 418058 419057 420057 421059 423059
      425058 425058
 0.50 418970 419965 418962 416963 410967 405970 398975 392977
      385980 382986 389987 396989 400989 403988 408984 414977
      417971 418970
 0.50 373896 373889 372882 366878 363874 362869 360864 357861
      353860 347861 343869 341880 341884 342891 342902 342906
      340910 337915 336919 335923 335930 339939 341943 342947
      343952 346950 345944 346940 350937 351932 349928 348921
      349914 355908 360902 366902 369900 373896
 0.50 359772 359765 358759 356752 353756 350760 348763 345767
      344772 344776 345783 347782 350779 353776 357773 359772
 0.50 341991 341988 339988 335989 331991 327993 324995 320998
      318001 317004 318007 322009 326007 329005 333003 335997
      337995 340992 341991
 0.50 330818 330813 330809 329807 326807 321810 317813 312817
      309822 311826 316826 322824 329822 330818
 0.50 304023 304015 301012 296013 293014 291016 282022 279025
      277030 268036 263037 258041 259065 254073 259082 262086
      267089 273091 278094 283096 288094 289091 286086 281082
      278078 273070 270065 275062 280061 284059 292051 296047
      298042 296036 295031 299027 303024 304023
 1.00 457049 456047 455044 453041 451039 448038 445037 444041
      446043 448044 451046 452049 453051 454054 456052 457049
 1.00 453081 454078 454076 454073 453071 452068 450068 448068
      447070 446072 446073 447075 448076 449078 451080 451081
      453082 453081
 1.00 449961 449953 445947 443941 442937 440936 438944 437952
      438961 437971 437976 438979 440982 442981 445974 447968
      449961
 1.00 440925 439921 437916 434912 432909 428907 424907 424909
      428913 429918 431921 434926 436930 439930 440925
 1.00 357894 357892 356891 356890 354888 352886 351887 350888
      349890 348892 348895 348897 348899 348901 348903 349905
      351905 353903 354901 355900 355899 356896 357894
 1.00 320819 319818 318819 316819 316820 314821 314822 316822
      318821 319819 320819
 1.00 296023 298021 296020 294020 294021 292022 291022 292024
      294024 296023 296023
 1.00 291043 289039 286037 282039 278041 271041 266042 264044
      263047 267050 266056 270056 275057 280055 283050 288047
      291043

24HR QP VT 21/00Z
 0.01 536727 532721 528712 527703 524698 521688 517679 512680
      508681 505684 503690 499700 496707 494712 491716 485724
      477729 474732 470733 464738 461750 459761 458766 455769
      449775 435787 428803 424808 420810 410812 407810 405806
      403801 406796 410789 411779 404776 399775 397772 397765
      399761 401756 400753 397746 386748 379750 375748 371747
      371743 373738 373733 371728 368725 364714 362709 361702
      358683 357677 355675 350673 335684 331689 326693 324698
      322704 321719 317733 308765 307782 308783 306786 302791
      298796 290797 284798 280798 277797 276793 273791 265790
      260789 252788 248789 245791 242797 243806 245811 248819
      250820 254821 257818 260820 267823 273826 279827 290828
      297828 300828 300824 305816 307814 310818 312824 314828
      314833 312839 312843 311848 312868 309877 305882 291887
      288891 287895 286905 281908 273910 270917 270923 274921
      279921 282919 287918 290916 292919 294926 295934 295939
      294943 290949 285953 283955 280955 268958 266959 263960
      257964 253968 252974 259975 267974 270973 274974 275979
      275983 274988 273991 265993 256993 249992 241993 236995
      237007 238015 236019 232027 230030 230035 229053 235066
      242077 251087 259096 267103 273108 278111 280113 284115
      288118 304125 308126 311128 316131 318134 319137 319140
      322145 328144 332140 335138 339138 344137 351138 355141
      362146 360142 360138 363136 370136 372135 373131 366126
      365123 365119 359118 354112 353108 351104 346098 347093
      349091 356095 360095 363095 365090 362085 360083 361081
      363079 367075 370072 372075 372080 375081 377083 379081
      380075 382072 384069 387070 403088 404098 407104 414111
      417116 421113 420108 422104 422100 418099 418090 414084
      411082 410078 410070 410066 412062 416057 419054 420050
      421036 421031 423027 427023 432023
 0.01 432023 438022 444017 451011 455005 457996 457989 455987
      448981 445978 445973 444967 445962 448954 450949 453950
      457950 461952 462950 465949 468950 471947 474945 477941
      481934 487932 495927 498917 501908 502906 499906 490906
      482901 482887 483881 484877 487869 489865 493862 495851
      498844 502836 504831 507828 511821 519806 523797 526788
      538751 536737 536727
 0.01 479992 479984 477979 474977 470976 467974 464974 462979
      462984 464989 466994 468997 473997 477995 479992
 0.01 421008 420003 415999 411997 405997 400998 394998 384002
      376006 372009 372014 374020 377025 381027 388028 392026
      395023 399020 404018 414015 421008
 0.01 383195 381192 378188 375185 372182 366181 363184 363187
      366188 369190 371195 374198 378200 380200 381197 383195
 0.01 328094 326079 325072 322065 321062 319059 312056 303049
      292053 286054 290060 292065 296070 300074 303077 307078
      310082 310092 308094 309098 312100 316099 327096 328094
 0.01 256801 255800 254801 252802 254802 256802 256801
 0.01 251808 251806 250805 249806 249808 251810 251808
 0.25 527732 527724 526719 522712 519706 517704 513705 510708
      507713 503721 498738 495748 491756 482768 477776 471782
      460797 454802 452809 450818 448824 444831 439838 426848
      410858 393865 381872 374875 370877 366875 365868 361863
      355860 349860 347851 345847 342844 340843 337844 334847
      330855 325874 323883 324888 325893 328896 331896 340899
      344904 342912 332942 323958 319964 316971 313978 308985
      304988 300990 292993 280001 262003 258010 254016 253018
      249019 243020 237026 235032 235037 239043 236050 235055
      237059 242065 245072 247074 249075 263086 271091 278096
      288104 294101 296097 297089 299087 299084 291079 283075
      278070 271066 262062 260059 259055 260052 264049 270046
      279044 287041 292035 297031 301027 303021 316018 323012
      331015 339020 343021 348022 353022 356024 360032 361036
      361042 356046 354049 355053 358054 363055 378056 382057
      386057 391055 390050 387046 383045 379042 376040 375035
      372032 363030 357024 355020 356014 360008 366002 372996
      384988 391984 397981 408976 416974 421971 425967 428963
      431954 435947 442942 445940 447936 450928 460913 463910
      465907 468897 479867 483856 486847 492831 496824 502817
      507808 512799 518782 522763 525748 527732
 0.25 410935 412933 412931 411928 410927 409927 407927 405928
      404929 403929 402930 401931 402931 403933 403934 404936
      405938 407939 408938 409937 410936 410935
 0.25 406912 401911 398908 396905 392907 389910 386913 384916
      380918 383920 387921 391922 393920 397917 401916 405913
      406912
 0.25 370768 368762 364757 361751 361744 361737 359728 356712
      351699 348693 344690 340689 338691 334695 331700 328707
      326719 327735 325748 324756 325764 323776 323784 325790
      327795 329804 331810 335814 340815 345813 353811 356807
      359793 359785 361779 363776 366773 370768
 0.25 326048 325047 325046 324044 323042 322041 320040 319041
      318041 318043 318044 319046 320047 321048 322049 323049
      325049 326048
 0.25 268814 268812 268810 268808 267808 265807 264807 263806
      261806 260806 258807 257807 256809 257811 258812 260813
      262814 264815 266815 268815 268814
 0.50 524730 523722 519724 516718 512723 509728 508735 507742
      509745 507762 505779 505787 508789 512784 515777 517772
      519763 522750 524733 524730
 0.50 492815 492811 489811 489807 488804 486805 483804 481802
      479805 476808 469815 459829 452837 446843 441849 434854
      426860 417864 411868 408873 407877 409880 414882 423881
      426883 428887 427892 425897 422909 419921 417930 414942
      411954 410964 413968 416968 423963 433946 439941 442937
      443931 443925 446919 451911 461897 471878 474870 477858
      481847 484837 487826 490818 492815
 0.50 402968 398962 389961 380961 373963 359972 354976 348982
      339995 336996 336002 342008 348004 356005 368996 380987
      393979 398974 402968
 0.50 400880 399875 397873 392873 389875 374884 363893 357899
      352905 348912 346920 347931 346936 345939 334950 329957
      325964 322971 320980 318992 316001 317004 320006 324005
      327003 333996 334986 336978 340971 352958 356954 362949
      364945 365940 362937 357937 354936 352933 352929 353925
      358918 364913 375903 388893 395888 400880
 0.50 383051 380049 376047 374044 373038 369036 367039 365044
      365047 368052 371052 376051 380053 383051 383051
 0.50 360767 360761 358756 355750 356746 356734 354721 351711
      346699 344695 341693 337696 335700 332709 331722 330733
      331739 330746 329755 329768 328779 332789 335800 338804
      342803 348796 352786 355777 360768 360767
 0.50 302008 303003 300000 295000 291001 284004 276008 270013
      268017 268023 272030 273035 275036 280036 284034 287031
      290027 295021 300013 302008
 0.50 286091 287086 285082 281077 274074 269073 264070 256066
      254065 254069 258073 263078 268083 275088 280091 286091
 0.50 267035 266031 264030 262031 259032 255031 253030 250030
      247030 249032 249036 251038 253040 255041 257041 260040
      262039 265037 267035
 1.00 482827 482820 480814 476816 474820 464838 459845 453853
      450857 450862 451869 450874 449879 446885 441894 436902
      435905 435909 438914 441914 444911 449901 451899 456896
      460893 463888 466880 470868 477847 481837 482827
 1.00 435938 434934 430934 426932 428926 431920 431916 428915
      424922 422931 419939 418943 419949 419955 422954 426947
      430942 435938
 1.00 391970 389967 383968 371969 364976 360977 356980 350989
      354989 359985 362983 362986 361992 363994 366994 373988
      380983 387977 391973 391970
 1.00 351740 351733 350725 346713 343709 340711 339722 338736
      339749 337760 336767 337771 338773 341773 344769 346765
      347758 350747 351740
 1.00 351775 350773 347774 344776 343778 341780 340784 340786
      339790 341792 342791 344789 345786 347783 348780 350778
      351775
 1.00 342958 343956 343954 341953 341954 339955 338956 337957
      336958 336960 335960 335962 336964 337964 339963 341960
      342958
 1.00 293012 291011 289011 287011 285012 283013 282014 281016
      280018 280020 281020 283020 284020 285019 287018 289017
      289016 291015 291014 293013 293012
 1.50 466866 464862 460864 457867 455872 452877 451882 451886
      452891 456892 460889 461886 463881 465876 465868 466866
 1.50 375976 373976 371978 371979 371980 373979 375977 375976
 2.00 460881 461878 459877 457877 456878 456879 454881 454882
      454884 454886 454887 456887 457886 458886 459883 460881

24HR QP VT 22/00Z
 0.01 535770 535760 534751 533733 530718 525705 521694 519692
      515695 510697 508701 503710 499718 495709 493707 488708
      477710 468711 464712 461711 451712 446712 441713 432718
      428722 424725 422726 420725 416722 406722 396721 390716
      375703 370698 365690 363686 359685 352683 348682 345683
      337688 323699 311717 308728 307739 307752 309767 308776
      305784 303787 300787 294787 290788 285787 274788 269794
      266796 269797 266799 263798 254801 250802 248806 248810
      251814 257822 265825 270826 276826 286822 292820 297820
      308818 311816 317816 325811 331806 338802 341801 342806
      342810 339814 334821 328828 322833 311850 304870 300881
      294887 293889 290888 287885 285887 285893 286905 286910
      287914 288928 287940 286945 283947 278952 259957 239963
      237967 239973 242976 247977 253978 252992 250002 248007
      245010 239015 235022 232026 232032 233041 234050 235056
      237059 242067 243070 247073 262085 271092 276099 282105
      291112 298116 301119 307119 300088 302089 304092 311096
      327103 331107 333112 338120 342129 348139 353140 358141
      363139 365136 367132 368126 368121 365117 357113 355112
      355109 358106 365101 368098 369095 363088 363085 364083
      367082 370082 377087 381085 388078 393080 395076 397070
      400067 403063 405058 399053 397049 395045 394041 395038
      398034 400029 397025 395023 392022 382021 375026 367029
      361029 357031 344030 340030 336027 330023 331010 329999
      332987 335976 343958 348948 352941 360925 370909 375903
      382898 395888 409879
 0.01 409879 413877 416879 419884 425893 429897 432900 437904
      441904 443906 447906 453906 455915 457920 460925 464928
      470927 472927 473925 475908 476901 478896 486887 493878
      504860 510848 513843 515838 526815 528809 530803 533798
      534792 535770
 0.01 386198 384197 383195 380192 379190 376188 375185 371185
      368184 366184 366187 369190 371191 373193 375195 378196
      380198 384199 386198
 0.01 385120 385118 385115 383115 381115 379117 378118 377119
      375121 375123 375125 375127 375128 377128 378128 379126
      381124 383122 385120 385120
 0.01 298046 296042 293039 290038 288039 282045 278049 276054
      278057 279061 281063 286068 291073 293074 294072 293069
      293058 294050 298046
 0.25 523755 522742 520736 517733 510733 503738 497742 493742
      488742 477737 467732 460730 454730 440733 432736 424737
      415740 407744 401749 394752 378754 369756 362754 356751
      352747 350738 349727 352713 352705 349700 345697 341699
      336705 331711 326718 320731 318739 318749 317757 317764
      325779 326785 325793 324796 325800 330796 340784 343776
      348771 351771 353776 355786 360791 364796 364802 362810
      354823 353828 349834 346840 344847 344856 348861 344869
      340876 332887 329894 326902 320913 317920 314929 311943
      305956 303964 299972 295979 289983 284987 277991 264995
      259000 256004 252020 247025 246030 250032 254032 257030
      258027 258023 262023 272025 282025 292025 298023 304019
      309013 312007 318994 323980 327965 328956 328945 330936
      334928 337921 343915 348912 355909 365898 383879 393869
      403863 410859 419857 424855 427854 436852 442850 445852
      444856 447857 451855 457851 462852 465858 467868 464878
      463884 461894 461899 464903 467900 468898 472888 474877
      476873 479870 484866 494854 500839 506826 512809 516795
      520779 522765 523755
 0.25 363056 363054 359052 356052 354053 352057 351059 351064
      352066 355068 358068 360067 362063 362058 363056
 0.25 360854 361852 360852 358852 357854 356856 356857 356858
      358857 358856 360854 360854
 0.25 345074 342073 336073 333073 329075 327080 327083 330086
      333090 336093 338096 340098 341091 343087 344081 345075
      345074
 0.25 332058 332056 332055 330055 329054 327055 328057 329057
      330058 332058 332058
 0.25 324048 322047 321048 322049 324049 324048
 0.25 275811 275807 273805 271805 267806 263806 261807 260809
      260812 262814 264816 267816 270817 273816 275813 275811
 0.50 516756 516750 515747 513745 510746 500752 480764 466777
      461779 454779 447773 450767 454767 460765 467762 470759
      471756 471752 469747 465742 456739 452739 446741 441743
      436744 425746 420747 414751 400755 395758 388759 382760
      379764 382768 383771 382773 380779 381787 383793 383799
      381803 377807 372811 368815 364820 360824 353833 351838
      350842 352844 357842 360838 367829 374824 380816 384811
      389808 394805 398800 401787 405785 408787 425796 420799
      423800 425801 423806 420811 418818 416825 412829 402834
      397834 393837 366865 357874 349883 341890 335899 330908
      328913 328918 332919 335915 340907 406854 417847 425839
      433830 441824 444821 451819 457819 461820 463825 466832
      468846 471853 475858 478858 481857 485853 492844 497832
      502823 506810 511786 515769 516756
 0.50 376774 375770 373769 369768 367767 365766 361765 359767
      359772 361774 364775 366777 370776 373775 376774
 0.50 323958 324950 323945 320944 318945 316948 311958 308966
      306972 303976 297983 282993 273997 266001 264006 265013
      267016 270019 275021 281021 291020 300017 306011 311002
      315994 319982 321972 323958
 1.00 505777 505771 503768 497771 487780 478788 473793 472799
      478802 478812 476830 477836 479838 483834 490822 494815
      496808 498799 500793 503785 505777 505777
 1.00 314988 314980 313978 310979 303985 295991 286995 279001
      276005 276011 279015 285016 292015 296013 304007 309999
      312994 313989 314988
 1.50 308996 309992 308988 304988 299991 295994 290997 286000
      282005 282010 287012 293011 298009 302005 306000 308996
 2.00 304998 305994 302993 300994 298996 295998 293999 291001
      289002 287004 287008 289009 293008 295008 297006 300004
      301002 303000 304998

$$





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