Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 112048
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
445 PM EDT WED OCT 11 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID OCT 12/0000 UTC THRU OCT 15/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

...EASTERN U.S...

A TROUGH EXITING THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...WILL PRODUCE A FAIRLY UNIFORMLY DISTRIBUTED
QUARTER TO HALF INCH AVERAGE RAINFALL FROM WESTERN NEW YORK DOWN
TO CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
SYNOPTIC FORCING WILL DIMINISH WITH EASTWARD EXTENT TOWARD THE
COAST AS THE ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL WAVE DAMPENS. MEANWHILE...THE
ONLY SUBSTANTIAL INSTABILITY IS LOCATED FARTHER WEST....NEAR THE
APPALACHIANS AND JUST TO THEIR LEE...INCLUDING OUT ALONG A
STATIONARY FRONT INTO SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA. THE GREATEST OVERLAP OF
INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER ASCENT IS SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN...AND
SUPPORTS SLIGHTLY HEAVIER QPF ALONG THE CAPE GRADIENT FROM
SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA TO SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA. THE DEFORMATION ZONE
ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK MAY RESULT IN ANOTHER LOCAL MAXIMUM THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE THE WAVE BECOMES MORE SHEARED.

SOME INGREDIENTS ARE IN PLACE TO SUPPORT LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...BUT ANY SIGNIFICANT ISSUES MAY BE VERY ISOLATED OWING
TO THE RELATIVE LACK OF INSTABILITY AND WEAKENING DEEP LAYER
FORCING. THE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IN THIS REGION IS NOT
PARTICULARLY LOW...SO THE AREA CAN TAKE SOME RAINFALL.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHWARD BEHIND THE WAVE...AND ANY
LINGERING SHOWERS ON THURSDAY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE TOO
PRODUCTIVE EXCEPT PERHAPS IN AREAS ENHANCED BY EASTERLY UPSLOPE
WINDS MAINLY OVER VIRGINIA. ANOTHER ROUND OF RELATIVELY HEAVIER
DOWNPOURS IS POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THURSDAY
AFTERNOON ON THE FRONT. OTHERWISE A FEW SHOWERS/STORMS WILL ALSO
EXTEND DOWN ALONG A WEAK TROUGH AXIS INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND
NORTHERN FLORIDA...BUT THE SCOPE OF THESE SHOWERS WILL BE FAIRLY
LIMITED.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

THIS AFTERNOON A LEAD SHORTWAVE WAS HELPING ESTABLISH A LONGWAVE
TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN STATES...WITH HEIGHT FALLS AND A FRONTAL
ZONE PRESSING OUT TOWARD CENTRAL MONTANA DOWN TO THE MIDDLE OF THE
GREAT BASIN AND ON INTO CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. THE TROUGH WAS DIGGING
FROM THE NORTHWEST...AND LACKED ANY CONNECTION TO SUB-TROPICAL
MOISTURE. AS SUCH...SHOWERS OF RAIN AND SNOW WERE LIMITED TO THE
AREAS VERY HIGH TERRAIN AND STRONG HEIGHT FALLS EAST OF THE TROUGH
IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...AND BENEATH THE COLD MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES AND RELATIVELY MORE MOIST / UNSTABLE LOW LEVELS FROM
THE CASCADES WESTWARD. THE COASTAL AREAS WILL SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF
DEEP LAYER FORCING AS A SHORTWAVE DIGS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
DEVELOPING TROUGH TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE PREVIOUS WPC FORECAST
HAD A GOOD SPATIAL COVERAGE TO THE QPF...FITTING THE MODEL
CONSENSUS...WITH HEAVIEST AMOUNTS CONCENTRATED IN THE COASTAL
RANGE AND CASCADES OF OREGON...EXTENDING UP TO MOUNT SAINT HELENS.
FOR MAGNITUDE...THE GOING FORECAST WAS ALREADY TOWARD THE HIGH END
OF WHAT WOULD BE EXPECTED...WITH EXPECTATIONS TEMPERED BY THE
RARELY SEEN NEGATIVE PW ANOMALIES PERSISTING THROUGHOUT THE EVENT.
THEREFORE...WE MADE VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO QPF...BUT DID USE SOME
OF THE 12Z NAM CONUS NEST. WE ALSO NOTED THE PESKY PROBLEM OF THE
GFS PLACING A STRIPE OF HEAVIER RAIN OFFSHORE...WHEN IT SHOULD
OCCUR IN THE OREGON COASTAL MOUNTAINS PER THE PATTERN AND MODEL
CONSENSUS.


...SOUTH FLORIDA AND SOUTH TEXAS...

IN FLORIDA A BROAD EASTERLY WAVE WILL APPROACH FROM THE
BAHAMAS...RESULTING IN A GRADUAL INCREASE OF PRECIPITABLE WATER.
MID LEVELS OVER MUCH OF THE PENINSULA WERE DRY ENOUGH TO PREVENT
PRECIPITATION TODAY...BUT MOISTENING WILL OCCUR FROM SOUTH FLORIDA
UP TO ABOUT MELBOURNE TO PORT CHARLOTTE THROUGH THURSDAY.
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED SOUTH OF THAT LINE...AND SOME
LOCALLY HEAVIER SWATHS WILL OCCUR TOWARD MIAMI AND THE
EVERGLADES...WITH MOIST EASTERLY FLOW AND A MODEST AMOUNT OF
SYNOPTIC SUPPORT FROM THE WESTWARD MOVING TROUGH.

MEANWHILE...WITH A FRONTAL ZONE HAVING MOVED OFFSHORE OF TEXAS THE
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A PATTERN OF PERSISTENT SHOWERS AND
STORMS EAST OF BROWNSVILLE...WITH VERY LITTLE OF IT DRIFTING
ONSHORE...AND DIMINISHING IN INTENSITY AS IT DOES SO. THIS LEAVES
QPF FAIRLY TAME...WITH PERHAPS A QUARTER INCH AREAL AVERAGE RIGHT
ALONG THE COAST.


DAYS 2/3...

WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A EVEN BLEND OF 12Z ECMWF/NAM/GFS.


...MID-ATLANTIC/CAROLINAS...

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT EAST FROM NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A SURFACE RIDGE PERSISTING OVER
THE CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC AND CAROLINAS INTO SATURDAY. THE
ASSOCIATED ONSHORE FLOW WITH RESIDUAL ENHANCED MOISTURE OF UP TO
1.5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD LIGHT
RAIN WITH EMBEDDED LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ENHANCEMENT ON THE
EASTERN SLOPES OF THE BLUE RIDGE ARE POSSIBLE...BUT THE AREAL
AVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW 0.5 INCHES FRIDAY.

THE WEDGE SLOWLY ERODES SATURDAY WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO THE
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST CORRIDOR...SO UP TO A QUARTER INCH
WAS INCLUDED IN THE SATURDAY FORECAST.


...NORTHWEST...

A REINFORCING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIVE SOUTH DOWN THE BC COAST
THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO WRN WA/OR FRIDAY. PVA AHEAD OF THIS
WAVE...INCREASED UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE...AND STRONG ONSHORE FLOW
WILL ALSO SUPPORT INCREASING PRECIPITATION COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
FROM THE CURRENT TIME. MARGINAL MID-LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL ARRIVE
AHEAD OF THE TROUGH AXIS AND ALLOW LOCALIZED HIGHER RATES...THOUGH
PWATS STRUGGLE TO REACH 0.75 INCHES. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CASCADES IN THE FORM
OF SNOW.

THE TROUGH AXIS THEN SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
SATURDAY. LOCAL ENHANCEMENTS CAN BE EXPECTED IN UPSLOPE FLOW...BUT
IN GENERAL MERELY BENEFICIAL PRECIP CAN BE EXPECTED.


...SOUTH FLORIDA...

A TROPICAL WAVE SHIFTS WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. PWATS 1.75 TO 2.0 INCHES (ABOUT 1.5 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS NORMAL) SHIFT EAST FROM THE AREA WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
SHOWERS CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY. AREAL AVERAGED RAINFALL IN THE DAY
2 EXCESSIVE OUTLOOK (12Z THU-12Z FRI) AROUND 1 INCH ARE THE MOST
NOTABLE NATIONWIDE...BUT NOT EXPECTED TO WARRANT MUCH OF FLASH
FLOOD THREAT. LESSER TOTALS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AS THE PWATS
DECREASE TO AROUND 1.5 INCHES...AROUND NORMAL.


...CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH QUICKLY EJECTING EAST FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST WILL TRIGGER SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT
PLAINS FRIDAY NIGHT...REACHING THE UPPER MIDWEST BY LATE SATURDAY.
THE ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT LOOKS TO STALL SW TO NE FROM THE CENTRAL
GREAT PLAINS TO THE UPPER MIDWEST. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING 1.5
TO 1.75 INCH PWATS (2 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) INTO
CONVERGENCE WITH THE FRONT THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY. THE HEAVIEST
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AFTER 12Z SATURDAY IN THE KS/NE/IA/INTO WI/IL
AREA...BEYOND THE DAY 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK. AS OF NOW
WIDESPREAD 1-2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED.

PLACEMENT OF THIS WARM FRONT IS IN BETTER AGREEMENT AMONG 12Z
GUIDANCE AND HOPEFULLY CONTINUE TO ALLOW CONFIDENCE TO INCREASE ON
THIS EVENT.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

BURKE/JACKSON


24HR QP VT 13/00Z
 0.01 532176 532170 530165 523159 519157 517155 513147 507142
      502138 498139 497145 493137 487132 480126 475124 471125
      466124 459118 461114 464112 467110 471111 473110 475106
      480099 486091 491087 495082 497077 496073 493071 490073
      487073 484075 480082 475087 468085 461088 455092 448094
      441098 440106 443114 450132 451137 450144 448147 444145
      441144 438146 437152 438157 446168 447174 445179 440188
      444194 445197 443201 438208 433212 427215 422220 419223
      418228 416233 417239 416245 417247 422253 424257 427260
      429262 434265 442267 450269 457273 464279 471282 475283
      477281 482273 484260 484256 485252 489244 491242 494245
      496249 501251 504244 505234 506224 504215 493204 490194
      489189 492184 504184 506182 510181 514184 516182 518181
      519175 520169 524170 527176 532176
 0.01 485153 485151 484150 484148 483147 481147 480146 478145
      476145 475144 473146 474148 476149 478148 478149 479151
      481152 481153 482154 484154 485153
 0.01 488889 486886 483889 480894 476897 473910 471915 467919
      460927 458931 458935 463935 467933 472931 474927 477922
      479917 480909 483904 485898 487894 488889
 0.01 476177 475174 473174 472174 470174 468175 466175 465176
      466179 468179 469179 471180 473178 474178 476177
 0.01 445785 444774 443760 442749 440741 428707 425698 421690
      414691 410696 407703 403709 398723 395726 393722 392716
      390712 386707 382707 379705 375701 371702 368704 363707
      358712 353717 349725 346732 345739 343748 342757 339771
      332802 330810 328815 318826 311830 305835 296844 293850
      289851 287853 281867 281869 283869 290864 292860 295862
      301863 306859 309855 318844 323839 328832 331828 336822
      351800 357797 359793 362789 366787 370788 373793 378798
      382803 384804 389804 396806 401809 406809 410810 414816
      416818 420819 427817 432812 441801 444793 445785
 0.01 376078 377073 376069 375066 373064 371062 370061 368063
      367066 369066 371068 372073 373075 374078 376078
 0.01 371810 369810 366813 361818 359823 356828 353835 352839
      354841 357837 360830 363825 367820 368815 371810
 0.01 309884 309877 307873 305869 303869 301876 301880 300884
      299891 296899 291906 290910 291914 299912 303905 306897
      308892 308886 309884
 0.01 293075 291071 288068 280068 273064 267058 265055 260055
      258059 258064 258072 264078 266081 271083 275085 281085
      286086 289083 290077 293075
 0.01 285798 279784 277775 272768 265766 262765 257766 251770
      245776 238789 233804 231813 231817 231822 236828 243830
      249829 252827 258824 271815 279811 283805 285798
 0.01 285968 284961 283958 281956 279956 279952 280945 280936
      280932 277931 270939 266945 261948 257949 255951 250955
      247961 244966 242969 242972 248975 253978 259981 265983
      272982 278980 283974 285968
 0.01 255008 255004 255001 253998 251997 249995 247994 246991
      244992 243996 244998 245002 245004 247006 251007 253009
      255008
 0.25 497231 497229 498226 497225 497224 496222 495220 493221
      492222 492224 492227 492230 493233 495233 496233 497231
 0.25 481219 483212 482209 479207 474207 469208 462208 449213
      443215 436218 431222 430225 431229 431233 430237 429241
      431244 437250 443253 450257 458260 465259 467257 469253
      472244 470236 469231 470228 472224 475222 481219
 0.25 483138 482136 481136 480137 480138 482138 483138
 0.25 475161 475156 474154 472151 471149 469148 466145 463145
      461146 459150 460154 462156 464159 466161 468162 470163
      473162 475161
 0.25 455103 454103 454104 455103
 0.25 431774 430760 428748 426739 424734 422731 418733 416738
      416747 414756 411764 407771 405774 401776 394773 391771
      389767 385759 386749 382743 383735 384725 381723 378722
      374722 370724 368727 368732 368738 367743 365751 357763
      356766 353762 352760 350762 349765 346773 346777 348778
      351777 354773 355769 358772 360775 363777 370775 380784
      384789 386792 391794 395793 400794 404794 407791 418782
      427779 431774
 0.25 281078 279077 278077 276077 277079 279079 281078 281078
 0.25 278803 277796 274791 270787 266782 262778 257778 253782
      250786 243795 237805 236810 236814 238815 246819 255811
      262810 269809 275807 278803
 0.25 273075 273073 273071 272071 271070 269069 267069 265069
      265070 265072 267074 269074 270075 272075 273075
 0.25 277970 277968 274966 270963 265961 260958 255959 252963
      250966 251970 255973 261976 266977 272975 276972 277970
 0.50 478215 478213 477212 476212 475212 474213 473214 472216
      473217 475217 476218 477217 478215 478215
 0.50 465241 466229 469218 465215 460215 452216 445218 440219
      438222 437227 440230 442232 441234 438236 437239 439243
      448247 453250 458249 464244 465241
 0.50 395787 394780 391777 388776 384772 381770 376770 375773
      376776 379778 383779 386783 387789 391790 394788 395787
 0.50 275801 273796 268796 264796 262790 261786 257784 254786
      251790 246796 241803 239806 240811 247813 254808 258807
      263806 269806 273803 275801
 0.50 269972 269970 268968 267968 266967 265966 264966 263965
      261964 259964 257965 256966 255967 255968 256970 257971
      259972 261973 263974 264974 265974 266974 268973 269972
 1.00 245802 244804 245805 246804 247802 246802 245802
 1.00 463223 464221 462219 461219 459219 457219 456219 454221
      455223 455224 456224 458225 460225 462224 463223
 1.00 456239 457236 456236 455236 453236 451235 450235 448235
      446236 444237 444239 445240 447240 449241 451241 452241
      454240 456239 456239
 1.00 448224 448223 446223 445223 446224 448224 448224
 1.00 255795 256793 255792 253794 252796 253797 255796 255795

24HR QP VT 14/00Z
 0.01 525233 527220 526211 525206 523201 522197 519195 516192
      516188 517185 515179 510177 507180 506181 503179 502176
      504166 505161 509162 511162 514161 516161 521164 523167
      529171 531168 530162 526150 522141 519135 517132 514131
      511141 508143 503141 497122 495111 495097 493076 492071
      492066 489057 485050 483047 482040 480039 477044 476050
      478057 481062 484065 484070 486080 486086 487091 489115
      487119 481119 476117 474113 472104 470097 467094 462094
      458092 456088 454084 451088 449091 446094 438097 434099
      432104 434135 433141 430143 424143 421147 418170 417180
      417189 419199 419209 418232 424252 429253 433259 435269
      440274 456274 458272 461266 465265 469266 472263 471259
      473254 475252 480249 483247 488247 500253 507251 515246
      518245 520242 525233
 0.01 521207 520206 518205 517206 518207 520208 521207
 0.01 526915 525909 518909 512910 507913 497918 494921 490927
      487932 485934 485939 487945 489948 492947 499937 503935
      509933 513934 516936 517939 520941 523934 525928 526918
      526915
 0.01 515890 514884 511884 507884 504882 500875 495867 491858
      488854 487849 486844 488839 494831 499825 500821 500817
      499811 497807 493799 489789 485781 481769 477757 473750
      471748 468749 466751 464756 462767 460771 458773 455772
      449770 445773 447777 449781 448787 439798 433804 428812
      425814 419815 415815 413820 413822 417826 421828 426831
      431834 437837 439841 443842 446844 451843 456843 457846
      456849 452857 444862 438863 434861 430862 428864 428867
      431868 445868 448867 450870 447872 439879 432885 429893
      423909 421917 418929 416940 412947 409951 408957 411960
      409966 408969 410973 415977 418979 420984 423980 428971
      431962 435954 440942 443935 446928 447924 450919 455913
      465898 466893 466888 465888 464884 466880 474868 477863
      479865 487869 492890 493898 495905 497909 500907 505906
      510901 513895 515890
 0.01 465204 465202 465201 463199 462198 460198 458198 457199
      458201 460202 461202 461203 461205 461208 462209 463208
      464206 465204
 0.01 472041 473029 473024 469023 462024 459024 456027 455030
      457033 458035 456037 453039 450041 452045 455047 461050
      466056 468058 470056 468052 469046 472041
 0.01 446007 445005 445000 443997 439997 435000 431006 427010
      423017 419022 417029 414034 412038 411042 414057 419055
      421056 423058 428056 432049 438036 442019 443012 446007
 0.01 445957 445952 443954 442959 440964 436968 435973 435978
      435976 438971 440969 442964 444959 445957
 0.01 427796 425794 425793 423794 421796 420799 418802 419804
      420802 422801 423799 425798 427796 427796
 0.01 409758 409754 406750 402745 398744 392745 388743 386740
      384736 381733 381728 380725 378723 377717 375712 372708
      367712 363717 361720 357722 352723 348726 341731 338741
      338747 337751 334763 333768 327770 325772 322775 321779
      319782 315772 313758 313753 310749 308745 304742 300739
      297735 292727 289726 287728 285735 282744 280748 278752
      266765 263767 256768 246766 239769 234774 224787 221795
      220799 219805 218815 217828 219830 222831 225834 227837
      228843 230846 233848 237848 241846 246845 251843 255846
      260854 267849 275845 279844 282842 285840 286836 288832
      294830 301827 304824 307820 311816 316814 318810 318804
      320799 324802 326805 327810 328822 329829 328834 324843
      318851 311858 306865 306869 309868 314864 328853 335850
      340848 346847 354842 357839 359832 360827 361823 366818
      378805 384800 392795 397792 400788 402783 403781 400779
      402776 404769 409758
 0.01 366780 366777 364776 363776 361777 359778 359779 358781
      359783 360785 362786 363785 363784 365782 366780
 0.01 323836 322829 320830 317834 315839 309848 305852 300857
      295862 286868 277875 269880 261885 257888 254892 250902
      247915 246920 246926 246933 248937 251941 250946 245960
      241968 238970 237974 238982 238988 237992 238997 242996
      248992 253990 258987 267983 272981 281981 288977 290973
      288970 283968 280971 276972 272970 268967 267965 268962
      267959 265954 268951 270945 270936 270925 273916 279906
      282894 284889 289885 294878 294874 295870 299865 300861
      309852 317845 323836
 0.01 310085 310081 309076 304072 300071 298070 297068 301063
      297064 290064 285064 280065 271062 262060 254056 245053
      240051 234050 231052 233057 238065 248079 255085 264089
      270095 273098 276096 281096 285098 290098 294095 302092
      306090 310086 310085
 0.25 493217 493210 492206 481201 477202 473206 470211 465213
      458215 453214 447212 444208 443203 443195 446192 450192
      454190 458187 462186 466186 470188 476191 481188 486182
      488178 491170 492157 491150 492144 489140 486143 484149
      480152 477152 472150 461145 458145 454147 450150 446151
      442152 439158 440161 445166 450166 450172 448178 445182
      442183 438180 433178 429182 427187 427192 429198 430203
      429210 426215 424221 424227 426236 426242 430245 441249
      446252 450254 453253 455246 457244 461232 465228 468227
      475228 480226 485228 487226 491219 493217
 0.25 453235 452235 451235 453235 453235
 0.25 391764 387763 384761 381757 378753 374752 371754 369759
      370764 374766 378767 383767 388765 391764
 0.25 387783 385783 384784 385785 387783 387783
 0.25 372799 370799 368800 367802 369803 370802 372801 372799
 0.25 367811 367808 365804 362805 359807 358812 355815 352817
      350822 349824 347826 348829 350830 353828 354825 358822
      361818 363816 366812 367811
 0.25 359752 357750 356748 354746 352744 348745 346746 345748
      343750 342753 342755 344758 348757 350756 353755 356753
      359752
 0.25 295792 295786 294780 291775 287772 284772 278773 270779
      267780 262779 254774 247774 243783 237790 234800 232810
      230809 227810 226814 228821 230825 234826 239827 243825
      252820 256812 265808 275809 286809 289807 292803 295793
      295792
 0.50 481219 481214 480211 477210 476210 474211 472214 470215
      467217 467221 471221 474223 476222 479221 481219
 0.50 479172 480168 480163 475159 472158 469160 467168 463173
      459175 454177 453181 455183 460181 466179 471180 476177
      479172
 0.50 461223 460219 456217 448216 442214 438213 435213 430217
      427220 427224 429231 433239 435240 438240 441239 444235
      448229 455226 460224 461223
 0.50 453240 454238 453237 452238 451238 449239 451241 452241
      453240
 0.50 265800 263796 259795 255793 251792 247791 244795 242799
      242803 243809 247809 250806 254804 256801 261800 265800
      265800
 0.50 252782 252779 251779 250778 249776 249778 249780 250781
      251782 252782 252782
 1.00 446223 445219 443218 441217 438218 436218 433219 431222
      432225 433227 437228 438228 441227 444225 446223

24HR QP VT 15/00Z
 0.01 499322 497323 492322 489322 486320 474308 465292 462286
      457279 457273 460270 464264 466259 464254 462248 468242
      473238 479236 482239 487238 491234 495233 500234 513244
      525256
 0.01 531235 525229 520221 518217 517211 518204 514200 508193
      504187 506182 508180 511178 516179 524182 527185 531188
      539193 542195
 0.01 523677 523676 521676 520676 519673 519670 520668
      519665 514671 511673 508671 505667 503668 497672 494676
      492678 489678 485675 482672 475669 469676 466679 466682
      461691 459696 458697 454705 450714 448718 445722 442725
      437724 429721 426719 425715 429707 432698 434686 432682
      433679 437670 448653 446648 442649 438651 436652 434655
      431658 427659 417662 414663 412666 412671 410671 407675
      405681 400688 396696 393699 386703 382705 379706 375705
      368707 365710 363710 358709 355707 347701 330687 322691
      321698 323704 325709 329713 338721 341723 339727 338729
      340733 352762 362770 375776 388778 399777 408776 411777
      414780 418785 419790 421792 421796 423800 431801 432804
      431807 430812 428819 422834 418848 416853 414861 411873
      409882 406888 403895 399899 394917 392925 392932 391938
      389946 385952 378961 367981 360994 357001 351004 330023
      327030 323036 313043 307045 303048 296054 291059 289061
      285061 278059 270057 245066 248072 251076 259086 269091
      280096 283097 285096 294094 299092 302087 307082 312079
      315076 317071 318065 320063 337045 346039 350035 353030
      360018 363012 369008 373003 378999 384997 388996 389999
      397002 401009 404018 405026 405030 407031 409029 412029
      413034 413038 411044 408051 406053 402053 398053 399055
      403057 407056 408061 407065 407068 410070 412072 413078
      412088 408098 404104 401112 401116 403118 407124 409129
      412133 411141 407147 408150 411154 412158 413165 415173
      416182 417192 418199 422207 423210 424215 420223 418227
      421230 425233 427236 428240 429243 432239 431234 433232
      440231 445227 448224 443217 441209 443203 444201 445196
      445192 441185 437179 436173 437169 439165 442161 444157
      450158 453173
 0.01 453173 454176 457174 459170 462168 465167 468168 472168
      477159 474153 469148 464145 461142 462138 467135 471134
      477142 479147 482147 484148 487150 487154 488160 485167
      486172 490176 503161 507157 513159 519159 520157 519155
      516152 510150 501148 496146 496138 495131 493125 478107
      477101 475099 472098 470092 470085 470078 474074 477067
      476061 473056 470053 466055 463058 460064 460069 456071
      453069 451067 449061 448055 451046 449034 447029 449024
      457018 460020 461023 462028 466033 469034 470036 473044
      477047 481052 481060 482066 480072 478077 478083 481087
      484088 488087 492089 493093 494097 497097 499095 500091
      499084 499075 497069 497052 498041 498031 506975 507973
      507969 507958 506952 504949 501949 491944 487941 484943
      479943 476939 471932 465925 460915 453902 452899 453895
      455889 461866 463861 466856 471851 475848 477843 481832
      485819 489808 491801 492797 495795 497794 498791 499786
      498781 500775 503767 506754 510742 513736 515729 515724
      512717 509711 508707 509703 511698 515694 518690 519687
      518684 521683 523677
 0.01 451136 452131 451127 449122 446121 439120 435119 433120
      432123 428130 426139 428148 430155 437153 440152 443149
      447143 451136
 0.01 431764 431754 431750 429748 428743 427741 425744 422747
      419754 420759 422763 423770 425775 422780 422784 424784
      425782 428776 430771 431764
 0.01 410702 410699 408696 404694 400697 398698 398700 397703
      395708 396715 400715 403712 407709 409705 410702
 0.01 387802 385799 386797 386793 384791 378789 373794 370799
      365802 359814 354818 349822 344826 342829 341834 339838
      337842 333842 327840 323842 321848 328849 334851 342852
      343850 345851 351853 356850 361843 366840 371839 371835
      369833 362836 353842 351844 349842 352839 357834 360830
      362827 362824 368811 369804 374801 379804 379814 380814
      384809 387802
 0.01 345024 343022 341024 339026 341028 343026 345024
 0.01 323803 321797 317790 315776 311771 305767 299758 289743
      283739 276740 272739 266740 263741 259743 255746 255749
      254759 254765 249767 239769 231770 223771 221774 220778
      221786 219787 218790 219793 220805 222814 226821 229823
      234823 235826 236831 237838 234848 231866 228876 230886
      230905 231916 232926 233949 237971 237979 233983 231987
      231989 233989 237991 241992 249996 249990 253987 261984
      270984 277982 281982 281978 277976 276972 275967 276962
      279958 278952 269957 262960 257962 255964 251965 247964
      241960 237953 238945 239938 241934 246926 249923 251919
      255923 262925 269925 273923 276920 280914 284904 286894
      290876 292858 293854 297851 302851 305848 311839 318834
      322827 323821 321816 319810 323803
 0.25 539208 537208 536209 535209 534210 533211 533214 533217
      534220 534222 535223 536224
 0.25 522262 516259 510257 504260 499263 492266 487272 486280
      488290 492295 497297 503298 510299
 0.25 455105 455103 456101 456098 455097 454098 453098 452100
      453102 453103 454105 454107 455105
 0.25 456811 455806 453802 450799 448795 445793 442795 440805
      437813 433820 428841 425850 424860 422870 416877 413884
      410895 405916 395956 392963 390974 392979 395981 399984
      403984 409982 415976 419967 422956 425949 429941 435919
      438912 440902 443877 446857 451836 454823 456811
 0.25 391725 391724 389724 387725 387726 389726 391725 391725
 0.25 383736 384733 383732 381732 379734 378736 377737 378738
      379739 380739 382738 383736 383736
 0.25 300802 299798 296794 293791 287789 278789 267789 256790
      246794 240799 238805 240811 243819 245826 246831 251838
      255841 259844 262845 266843 268838 267831 264823 259815
      259813 263815 267817 270817 272816 273808 284809 293810
      298807 300804 300802
 0.25 299078 299071 299069 297067 294067 291068 287070 282072
      279074 283076 285079 290080 294082 297080 299078
 0.25 291824 291822 290821 290820 289818 288818 286816 285818
      283819 283820 282821 282823 283824 284825 285827 287828
      289827 290826 291825 291824
 0.25 244901 244899 244897 244895 244893 244891 244889 244887
      244885 244883 243881 242883 241884 241885 240887 240890
      240891 240893 241895 241897 242899 242901 244903 244901
 0.50 519272 518270 516270 513270 511271 508271 506271 503273
      500274 498276 497279 497283 498287 500288 502288 505288
      508289 511291 513291
 0.50 442841 442834 437836 433840 431847 428861 427879 423881
      418884 415889 413896 409909 407917 405924 403938 400952
      398966 398971 400975 404975 411967 416963 419956 423946
      426938 428931 435904 437890 439873 442841
 0.50 274799 273797 270796 266794 262794 259793 255795 252799
      247802 246804 247808 251807 254804 261801 266799 274799
      274799
 1.00 428914 428907 427901 425898 420896 415903 413907 412912
      410926 411935 410947 410953 413949 417941 421933 424924
      428914

$$





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