Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 180936
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
536 AM EDT SAT MAR 18 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAR 18/1200 UTC THRU MAR 21/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...


...NORTHWEST U.S....

A DEEP LAYER...FULL LATITUDE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE
INLAND EARLY TODAY...THEN SHEAR CONSIDERABLY DURING THE LATTER
HALF OF THE PERIOD (00-12Z SUN) AS IT IMPINGES ON THE
HIGHLY-AMPLIFIED DOWNSTREAM RIDGE. AS THE TROUGH EVOLVES TOWARD A
FLATTER...MORE NORTHERN-STREAM DOMINANT SYSTEM...THE EMPHASIS FOR
DEEPER LIFTING (ENHANCED BY RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION UPPER JET
FORCING/FRONTOGENESIS) AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL BE CONFINED TO
THE NORTHERN STREAM...AFFECTING THE WEST COAST FROM FAR NORTHERN
CA NORTHWARD AND AREAS INLAND ACROSS THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES. THIS PORTION OF THE TROUGH WILL BRING
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY PRE-FRONTAL FLOW AND MODESTLY ANOMALOUS
MOISTURE FLUX (EARLY IN THE PERIOD ACROSS THE PAC NW)...AS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RISE TO JUST ABOVE 1.00 INCH AT THE
COAST AND WEST OF THE CASCADES WITH VALUES UP TO NEAR 0.75 INCHES
FARTHER INLAND ACROSS THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES.

ACROSS THE PAC NW...THE BULK OF THE PCPN DURING DAY 1 WILL BE
POST-FRONTAL...WITH THE RESULTANT DROP IN PW AND WEAKENING
(WESTERLY) LOW-LEVEL FLOW ALLOWING FOR MODEST
OROGRAPHICALLY-ENHANCED TOTALS ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE
COASTAL AND CASCADE RANGES. THE 00Z GUIDANCE NOTED VERY LITTLE
SPREAD WITH THE QPF OVER THESE AREAS...AND AS SUCH CONTINUED TO
LEAN TOWARD A MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE LED BY THE HIGH-RES MEANS
(INCLUDING THE PARALLEL NBM).

FARTHER EAST...ACROSS THE BLUE MTNS IN NORTHEAST OR AND ESPECIALLY
OVER THE SALMON RIVER/SAWTOOTH/BITTERROOT RANGES AND INTO THE
NORTHERN (MT) ROCKIES...CONTINUE TO EXPECT OROGRAPHICALLY-ENHANCED
MOD-HEAVY PCPN...THE BULK OF WHICH OCCURRING UNDERNEATH THE BROAD
WARM CONVEYOR BELT (WCB) AS THE DEEP-LAYER FGEN INCREASES AND
PRE-FRONTAL MOISTURE ANOMALIES REMAIN HIGH (+3-3.5 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS PER THE SREF/GEFS). WPC UTILIZED A COMPOSITE OF 00Z
GUIDANCE WITH THE QPF...AGAIN LED BY THE HIGH-RES MEANS GIVEN THE
BETTER SENSITIVITY OVER THE TERRAIN. AREAL-AVERAGE TOTALS OF 1-2"
OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT PCPN ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
IN CENTRAL-NORTHERN ID INTO NORTHWEST MT...THE BULK OF WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO FALL IN A 12-18 HOUR PERIOD. GIVEN THE RELATIVELY LOW
FFG ACROSS CENTRAL-NORTHERN ID (AS LOW AS 0.75" IN 3 HOURS AND 1"
IN 6 HOURS)...THESE TOTALS COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED SHORT-TERM
RUNOFF ISSUES. AS A RESULT...THE MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL INHERITED FROM THE DAY 2 OUTLOOK WILL CONTINUE WITH THE
LATEST DAY 1 ERO.


...MID ATLANTIC AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS / NORTHEAST U.S....

THE COMPACT UPPER SHORTWAVE OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AS IT DIGS SOUTHEAST INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC REGION SAT NIGHT. THE AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH WILL SPUR
CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COAST...WITH THE
QPF (PARTICULARLY THE INLAND EXTENT OF LIGHT-MODERATE AMOUNTS)
HINGING ON THE TIMING AND TRACK OF THE OFFSHORE CYCLONE. BASED ON
THE 00Z GUIDANCE...THE MODEL QPF TRENDS (PARTICULARLY THE UKMET
AND ECMWF) HAVE BEEN DECIDEDLY FARTHER OFFSHORE COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY`S RUNS...WITH THE GFS AND PARALLEL NAM ON THE WETTER
SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE SPREAD ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST
THROUGH DAY 1 (12Z SUN). AS A RESULT...WPC HAD ADJUSTED THE QPF
DOWN ACCORDINGLY.



DAYS 2 AND 3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN CA/NORTHERN ROCKIES...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY CROSSES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN
ROCKIES DURING DAY 2. AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND CA COASTS DURING DAY 3...A LOW LEVEL FLOW TAPS
DEEPENING PACIFIC MOISTURE...WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ACROSS NORTHERN CA. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE TIMING OF THE MID LEVEL
FEATURES...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED MAINLY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/GFS.

SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRACKS ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST IN THE FAST
MID LEVEL FLOW BEFORE ON DAY 2...MAINLY BEFORE 20/00Z. THE BEST
LIFT WITH THE SHORT WAVE TAPS MOISTURE IN A LOW LEVEL SOUTH
SOUTHWEST FLOW (PARALLEL TO THE OR/NORTHERN CA COASTS)...FOCUSING
THE 0.75/1.00 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN
ACROSS NORTHWEST CA. THE MOISTURE PLUME IS NOT DEEP...SO QPF
AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LIMITED TO 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES ACROSS NORTHWEST
CA AND NEARBY SOUTHWEST OR. THE MOISTURE PLUME IS LARGELY INTACT
AS IT CROSSES THE NORTHERN ROCKIES DURING THE SECOND HALF OF DAY
2. THE COMBINATION OF UPSLOPE FLOW...DEEP MOISTURE AND UPSLOPE
FLOW SHOULD RESULT IN AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF
CENTERED OVER THE GRAND TETONS IN WY...AS WELL AS THE ABSAROKA
RANGE IN NORTHWEST WY INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MT.

A LONG WAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE WEST COAST DURING DAY 3. AHEAD
OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH...A 25 TO 35 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW
TRANSPORTS 1.00 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR TO THE
OR/NORTHERN CA COASTS (WHICH IS ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE THE MEAN). THE UPSLOPE FLOW FOCUSES THE DEEP MOISTURE ON THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN CA...WHERE THERE WAS A MULTI MODEL
SIGNAL FOR 1.75 TO 2.25 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE SHASTA/TRINITY
MOUNTAINS...AS WELL AS THE SISKIYOU RANGE. THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS EACH
HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS THESE RANGES...BUT IN DIFFERENT
LOCATIONS. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATED MARGINAL INSTABILITY IN THE
COLUMN (DUE AT LEAST IN PART TO STEEPENING LAPSE RATES)...WHICH
COULD FUEL LOW TOPPED OVER NORTHERN CA. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE ACROSS THESE RANGE IS GENERALLY BETWEEN 2.00 AND 2.50
INCHES...AND SNOW LEVELS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENTLY HIGH TO ALLOW
RUNOFF ISSUES TO OCCUR. WITH THIS IN MIND...A MARGINAL RISK WAS
PLACED OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CA FOR DAY 3.

DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...THE MOISTURE PLUME
REMAINS IN PLACE. UPSLOPE FLOW WILL FOCUS THE MOISTURE ON THE
GRAND TETONS AND BIG HORN MOUNTAINS IN WY...AS WELL AS THE BLACK
HILLS IS FAR WESTERN SD. IN THESE LOCATIONS...QPF AMOUNTS OF 0.25
TO 0.50 INCHES WERE PLACED.


...MID/UPPER MS VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRACKING FROM SASKATCHEWAN TO THE UPPER MS
VALLEY DURING DAY 2 PUSHES A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION.
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE FRONT COULD RESULT IN
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY.
THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE
TIMING OF THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY AND THE PLACEMENT OF THE COLD
FRONT...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED MAINLY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/GFS.

AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRACKS ACROSS THE INTERNAL BORDER FROM
SASKATCHEWAN TO NORTHERNMOST MN DURING DAY 2...THE ENERGY PUSHES A
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MID AND UPPER MS
VALLEY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW HELPS
TRANSPORT 1.00/1.25 INCH PRECIPTABLE WATER AIR (WHICH APPROACHES
TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN) OVER MO INTO IL...WHERE
MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATED MARGINAL TO MODERATE INSTABILITY IN THE
20/00Z TO 20/06Z TIME FRAME. THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT CONVECTION STRETCHING ACROSS MO
INTO IL...STRETCHING INTO THE NORTHERN LP OF MI. THE BEST MOISTURE
FLUX ALONG THE FRONT OCCURS OVER EASTERN MO INTO WEST CENTRAL
IL...WHERE AN AXIS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE DEEP MOISTURE IN
PLACE...BUT CORFIDI VECTORS SUGGEST THAT THE CONVECTION SHOULD
KEEP MOVING...SO THERE APPEARS TO BE VERY LITTLE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING ON DAY 2.


...OH/TN VALLEYS...

MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY BECOMES FOCUSED ON A FRONT SLOWING ACROSS
THE OH AND TN VALLEYS DURING DAY 3...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO FEED
CONVECTION WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. WHILE THERE WAS GENERALLY
GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT...THERE WERE
SOME PLACEMENT DIFFERENCES CONCERNING THE LOCATION OF THE HIGHEST
QPF AMOUNTS. IN AN ATTEMPT TO MITIGATE SOME OF THESE
DIFFERENCES...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED MAINLY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/GFS.

AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRACKS ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES DURING
DAY 3...IT PUSHES A SLOWING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE OH AND TN
VALLEYS. AHEAD OF THE SLOWING FRONT...A LOW LEVEL WEST SOUTHWEST
FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.00/1.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR ACROSS THE
REGION. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL INSTABILITY ALONG THE
FRONT...CENTERED ON 21/00Z. THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY...FOCUSED BY LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE
FRONT...IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN AXIS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF
QPF STRETCHING FROM SOUTHEAST MO ACROSS SOUTHERN IL INTO WESTERN
AND CENTRAL KY. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE 00Z ECMWF SHOWED LOCAL
QPF AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 1.00 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHEAST MO WITH THE
CONVECTION.

THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE AS LOW AS 1.50 TO 2.00
INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KY...AWAY FROM THE
BEST INSTABILITY. CORFIDI VECTORS SUGGEST A SLOW SOUTHWARD PUSH TO
THE CONVECTION...WHICH SHOULD MITIGATE THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING
ALONG THE SLOWING FRONT. AT THIS POINT...GIVEN THE CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING...NO MARGINAL RISK AREA WAS ASSIGNED
FOR DAY 3...AS THE THREAT FOR ORGANIZED FLASH FLOODING IS
CONSIDERED VERY LOW.


...NEW ENGLAND...

A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW OVER THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC EARLY ON DAY
2 TRACKS OFF THE SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COAST...TAKING ITS
ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW WITH IT. THERE HAS BEEN A SLOW CONVERGENCE
IN MODEL SOLUTIONS CONCERNING THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE AND MID
LEVEL SYSTEMS...AND THE IMPLICATIONS OF THE TRACK TO THE BEST MID
LEVEL FORCING AND QPF. THE 00Z ECMWF SOLUTION WAS FURTHER OFFSHORE
WITH THE SURFACE AND MID LEVEL SYSTEMS...TAKING MUCH OF THE QPF
WITH THESE SYSTEMS JUST OFF THE SOUTHEAST MA COAST. GIVEN THE
CONVERGENCE IN SOLUTIONS... THE WPC QPF WAS BASED PRIMARILY ON A
MULTI MODEL BLEND.

THE BEST MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETICALLY FORCED LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM TRACKING AWAY FROM THE NORTHERN MID
ATLANTIC EARLY ON DAY 2 IS EXPECTED TO BRUSH EASTERN MA AS IT
MOVES TOWARD FAR DOWNEAST ME. THE 00Z GUIDANCE CONSENSUS WAS TO
SCALE BACK THE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID
LEVEL FORCING TO SOUTHEAST MA...WHERE LOCAL 0.25 INCH QPF AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WHILE THE CONSENSUS KEEPS
THE HIGHEST QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS EASTERN MA OFFSHORE...THERE COULD
STILL BE SOME WOBBLES IN THE GUIDANCE...WHICH COULD ALLOW HIGHER
QPF AMOUNTS TO AFFECT SOUTHEAST MA BEFORE 20/00Z.

THE BEST MID LEVEL FORCING ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THE MID LEVEL
AND SURFACE SYSTEMS WILL BRUSH FAR DOWNEAST ME TOWARD THE END OF
DAY 2. AS WAS THE CASE ACROSS SOUTHEAST MA...THE 00Z GUIDANCE
CONSENSUS WAS TO KEEP THE HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS OFFSHORE AND ACROSS
NOVA SCOTIA. A RIBBON OF 0.25 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ALONG
COASTAL SECTIONS OF DOWNEAST ME.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


HURLEY/HAYES

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 398644 410642 417644 421647 424652 426659 428667 429675
      428680 427693 424706 423709 425712 428714 429716 427719
      421722 422726 424727 428726 431730 426733 428739 432743
      436746 438750 440752 441757 443758 444756 448751 452750
      454752 455757 455761 454764 452770 450774 448778 448782
      451799 456809 458822 460827 459833 456838 451837 446835
      441832 429818 424815 421819 423825 426830 431833 436835
      440837 440839 437840 434845 434853 429862 419863 415854
      412849 409845 402836 401834 398832 392831 383827 377826
      374830 369832 365827 362827 360832 356839 349849 346853
      346860 343870 342884 339896 339915 340942 336952 333956
      328958 324956 321952 317941 313929 312924 311916 311909
      309904 309891 308884 310877 310871 311864 313852 315836
      318826 321814 323804 325799 323798 321800 320802 317803
      311802 310798 309790 306786 301784 297781 297775 298762
      302751 310734 314725 320715 326705 332697 346681 354673
      363663
 0.01 525254 520247 515239 514232 512228 508215 509207 510203
      512205 520213 526221 528223 533220 535217 536208 539197
      536184 533171 531165 530159 524147 520138 517138 516142
      516146 514147 511145 503141 495134 488127 484124 478124
      474123 469123 466122 462123 458119 457115 460114 465115
      467112 463107 462104 458103 456101 454096 453094 450093
      439091 436092 436096 432092 430091 427091 429096 430099
      429102 421107 423109 422112 420118 419127 415139 411149
      404156 400159 401162 405161 409157 416150 418146 421144
      427144 429152 429158 428161 426161 422159 421163 426171
      427174 427178 424184 422190 418195 411199 409201 409206
      408209 405208 399206 394204 390201 385200 387204 393210
      395217 397222 393226 387225 383227 380230 379237 377242
      374246 369247 361252 358254 357258 358261 360265 358273
      357275 359277 360280 361285 363285 372283 379281 398277
      419274 427272 436268 443265 450261 458257 466253 471251
      476251 483257 489268 496278 501287 506291 511293
 0.01 528970 528960 527955 522951 518952 517954 512967 507980
      503993 500000 499008 498013 499018 501019 503021 506022
      511019 518009 523997 526981 527975 528970
 0.01 475197 476194 474193 473193 471192 469192 468191 466191
      465191 464191 463192 461193 461195 461198 462199 462201
      463201 465202 466203 467202 468200 469199 470198 472198
      474198 475197
 0.01 482864 482859 480852 476842 474840 469840 466848 463859
      462871 461876 461883 465893 470888 475882 479874 482864
 0.01 465129 464127 463124 461124 460126 461128 463128 463129
      464130 465129
 0.01 455127 455124 453123 449125 445123 441120 436120 432123
      430128 430135 434136 437134 440132 444129 449131 453129
      455127
 0.01 449080 450078 450075 448075 446072 445072 443072 441072
      443072 444075 446075 448077 448078 449080 449080
 0.01 393949 393943 393937 387931 379927 375927 371929 368929
      366934 364938 364945 366949 366956 366961 370963 380963
      388959 392952 393949
 0.01 353824 352822 351823 350824 351825 353825 353824
 0.01 306042 306040 304036 304034 303032 301032 299033 297035
      297040 299038 300040 302040 304044 306042
 0.01 292027 291025 289022 287022 285022 283026 282028 282032
      282036 284039 286039 288039 286037 286035 286032 288029
      290029 292027
 0.01 281080 276073 272070 269066 261059 254053 247047 242046
      239047 237051 239057 244065 251071 259078 268081 279082
      281080
 0.01 279980 279977 278976 272976 259980 248983 235983 233985
      233988 234991 232993 233000 237003 249007 255006 257004
      257000 256995 260991 270986 279980
 0.25 523264 520260 515257 511253 509250 510245 509238 507231
      503219 499209 495205 490201 478203 470208 465209 463208
      454212 448214 443214 433212 427205 423201 419200 417202
      420213 418214 416212 413212 411213 404212 401213 400216
      402222 386235 379257 385258 390260 394264 399264 418260
      429257 438253 445248 454245 465242 470240 472239 475241
      480241 479237 476232 472232 471230 472227 476227 482226
      489227 496234 499239 502244 506250 507253 506257 506261
      508267 511275 516280
 0.25 533203 535197 535192 533183 530173 526166 522161 517156
      511150 505146 499143 496141 493138 487132 481129 474127
      471128 471132 468142 460139 455142 448144 440141 438139
      436140 436146 434148 433153 434157 436161 442166 446173
      448181 452186 459184 464181 467179 469180 475185 482191
      484193 487192 489190 488186 491184 493187 497188 499186
      502184 505188 511192 516198 521205 526209 531208 533203
 0.25 501264 499259 497255 495251 493247 490242 487239 485239
      485243 487246 489250 492254 494258 497262 500264 501264
 0.25 480145 480142 478142 477142 475142 473142 471143 470143
      471143 473145 475146 476147 477147 478146 480146 480145
 0.25 446111 445109 444105 444102 444100 443098 439097 437100
      437102 439105 435107 433109 436112 440111 443112 446111
 0.25 417671 416665 412659 407655 402654 390653 381655 375658
      367666 359677 343698 330718 323730 317742 312752 311758
      310765 314772 316775 319776 324775 329770 336763 341759
      341765 340775 340783 340792 339799 340806 344810 349807
      353802 359791 362784 368779 374778 379780 391782 397786
      396791 394792 388795 384800 380804 377809 379813 382812
      387807 393803 399800 404796 411794 414794 416792 417786
      416777 414768 411762 410755 404753 400749 397742 396734
      396724 397716 401704 410701 413694 416683 417671
 0.50 530194 531188 530183 527174 523167 518160 514155 507150
      493142 490136 487133 483132 476131 472136 471138 472140
      476140 481141 484143 485148 483151 478151 474149 468145
      466143 462144 457151 454153 450151 444149 439143 437148
      435152 436156 439160 445163 449165 450168 449173 451176
      454175 453171 453165 455162 460158 470170 477169 479171
      482175 486177 488176 490176 491179 493183 503176 506178
      507184 512189 518192 523197 527197 530194
 0.50 499227 500221 500218 497211 489206 481206 477208 472212
      464212 461213 459215 433217 427218 424220 423224 426227
      424232 422231 421227 416227 416217 414214 411215 406217
      405227 402230 399231 395232 393234 390243 390248 392250
      396251 399254 403256 411255 424253 430252 435249 445242
      452240 459240 466227 471222 474221 478222 489224 496228
      499227
 0.50 463179 463176 463175 461174 460175 459175 458177 457178
      457179 457182 459182 460182 462181 462180 463179
 0.50 428209 427208 426206 424206 423207 424209 425210 427210
      428209
 0.50 414682 414675 413669 411663 407660 399658 388658 380660
      372665 365673 360680 340709 330724 325734 323743 321761
      323766 329766 335760 340755 347748 350747 350751 348760
      346770 344781 346786 350787 356780 362775 366766 368762
      369756 369752 366746 366744 368740 370736 375733 384729
      387725 388719 388709 395702 399693 402694 406694 410693
      412689 414682
 0.50 392771 390765 388762 384759 380757 378757 375761 373765
      372770 374774 378775 382776 386777 389775 392771
 1.00 509170 509169 508167 508166 506166 504165 504166 503168
      504170 506171 507172 509172 509170
 1.00 491217 491214 489212 487211 486211 484211 482211 481212
      479212 478213 477213 476215 476217 478218 480218 481219
      483219 485220 486220 488219 490219 490218 491217
 1.00 494174 495171 494169 493166 491165 488163 487161 484158
      482158 480160 482163 484165 486167 489170 491171 493173
      494174
 1.00 490139 489137 487135 486135 484136 485138 486138 487140
      488141 490139
 1.00 474159 473157 473156 472154 472153 471152 469152 467155
      467157 468160 470162 471162 473161 474159
 1.00 453223 452220 450219 449219 447219 445220 443220 442218
      440219 439219 440221 440222 441223 443224 443225 444226
      446227 447226 448226 449225 451225 451224 453223
 1.00 451158 449158 448157 447158 448158 449159 451158
 1.00 429245 428240 425237 422234 416233 412231 410226 408232
      409237 406238 410241 415242 420245 422245 427244 429245
      429245
 1.00 412221 412219 412218 411219 410220 409220 408223 409224
      411223 412221
 1.00 402242 403240 402237 401237 400236 399237 398238 397238
      398239 399241 401241 402242 402242
 1.00 403673 402667 397663 391662 385664 375669 370673 366678
      352697 341716 335726 332733 332739 333752 336753 338751
      343746 350738 354735 357739 374724 375718 371712 374705
      378700 385692 389688 394683 400679 403675 403673
 1.50 422238 421238 419237 418237 417237 417238 419238 421239
      422238
 1.50 395671 394668 392667 387667 381669 377671 371677 364685
      353701 345719 342727 339738 340744 343743 349735 354728
      358724 360725 361730 364727 367723 365720 364715 366711
      371702 384688 389681 391676 394673 395671
 2.00 386678 386673 383672 377675 369684 361693 355702 354708
      352715 348727 349729 353725 357721 360716 366705 372697
      380687 384683 386678

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 466622 469625 471628 472635 471640 468649 464658 457675
      453684 448690 444697 438703 434706 429708 425710 419711
      412713 404718 400726 398737 397745 394754 392766 389774
      383779 374781 366778 360774 354769 345768 339764 333757
      329753 325742 324736 323730 323724 324719 327712 331704
      344692 349687 355681 366667 373658 382649
 0.01 361287 371292 380295 388298 393298 397300 409304 415301
      422296 425292 427286 432275 434269 436265 441254 443250
      444243 443237 441234 438232 438228 440223 443218 444213
      445205 445199 449188 454181 456177 457172 457162 464108
      469097 471091 471085 469079 469070 470055 472050 471045
      470041 471036 469029 468026 466019 468014 468009 469000
      470995 474984 476977 476964 475958 473954 470953 469950
      471945 479923 485913 487912 487917 490929 493932 495934
      494937 491949 489961 489964 487967 487973 489978 489982
      493986 496988 505988 510983 514977 522957 528948 533941
      541937 545939 549942 554945 559944 561941 563935 566922
      565908 562894 559883 557877 557868 556853 554845 550837
      548831 546827 543823 542816 541797 541783 542777 539770
      537766 533763 526757 517758 508760 502762 496762 490764
      486765 483768 466776 463777 460780 451782 432790 426796
      423798 422803 423810 425815 429826 429836 426841 423845
      419847 414849 410851 403855 398857 394858 389860 385858
      376857 373860 373864 375871 377876 377882 367900 365905
      361907 357909 353910 356913 355920 357925 356932 354938
      353944 352948 352954 355956 359955 363954 366952 370950
      375952 379954 384954 409936 422921 428914 433909 436905
      439902 444894 448887 451883 454881 458894 461904 462913
      460921 460929 459935 458951 459964 460967 460973 459978
      458984 454996 450007 444028 434028 433030 433035 434040
      439046 445052 442057 439056 435054 431053 428054 428057
      429062 430069 431075 436078 438082 436086 431086 424087
      419092 416104 412115 412118 416121 418125 417131 411139
      406146 403149 400156 400162 402169 403174 407178 410181
      413180 416180 417182 416186 412193 408199 402197
 0.01 402197 399191 398189 394191 391195 388198 385196 376189
      374191 375194 376201 386212 378225 373228 368232 357239
      353241 350243 346243 340242 334244 332246 331250 334255
      336262 336269
 0.01 538202 540193 540184 539178 536174 533170 527168 518163
      512162 508163 506167 505174 510186 514195 521205 527212
      532214 536210 536205 538202
 0.01 522267 522261 520255 516243 504226 501221 499215 493207
      490208 487212 485217 486223 492232 498242 499248 494246
      487238 486236 483240 488252 489257 488266 488273 491279
      495288 496291 499293 502296 505300 508301 508300 514288
      519276 522267
 0.01 400795 400791 398791 391792 388795 383800 380804 378810
      380814 386813 391808 394805 399800 400795
 0.01 334051 333047 327044 326042 322041 317037 313035 306034
      302036 304040 309045 313048 318052 323053 330053 334051
 0.01 336934 334929 330926 323921 318919 314917 309914 308909
      304905 301907 297909 295914 297924 301929 303933 307936
      312937 325937 331937 334937 336934 336934
 0.01 305085 305081 305077 300072 291064 286066 284068 280069
      273067 268062 264058 261056 257056 250056 249060 249064
      252069 257073 266082 270086 276090 280093 289094 293094
      295093 300089 305085
 0.01 286976 285972 281970 273974 267975 261975 255974 250973
      239971 235972 233974 233977 236980 241982 248989 260989
      267989 270990 276989 281987 284984 286979 286976
 0.25 456625 460631 462638 462642 459651 454660 447674 442682
      436688 431693 425698 421701 416701 409698 408693 402686
      399684 395683 392682 387684 380688 378691 376695 375717
      371733 370738 368743 365748 362752 358753 354753 351751
      345747 341744 339740 336734 333729 333726 334717 339709
      349698 355692 359689 364688 367687 369684 373676 382662
      390653 398644
 0.25 514266 514264 514263 512263 512264 512266 513266 514266
 0.25 462099 462094 461088 458084 454087 447091 438091 435093
      429092 427095 429099 428109 431113 434115 443119 446117
      448114 456110 459106 461101 462099
 0.25 452161 452159 451158 449156 448155 446154 444154 443155
      442156 441159 442160 443161 444162 445164 447164 449164
      450163 452161
 0.25 420238 421231 419227 415223 409221 401224 394230 390240
      382245 368254 359257 355259 352262 350268 353273 357276
      363279 372283 378285 382285 390282 394278 397273 398269
      398264 398255 399249 403247 407246 413245 417243 420238
 0.25 403894 402889 399885 395885 392888 390892 388895 386900
      384904 385910 389911 394911 398910 401906 401901 403896
      403894
 0.50 449627 453629 454631 457640 457645 456648 453654 446666
      442672 439678 435683 430688 423690 416691 408679 399671
      396671 392673 388673 386671 387663 391658 395652 399648
      405642
 0.50 444106 445104 444102 444101 443099 441099 439099 437100
      436102 435104 435105 434107 435109 437111 438111 440110
      442110 444108 444106
 0.50 362733 361729 360727 358725 355725 353726 351729 350733
      350736 350740 352742 355742 358741 360739 361736 362733
 1.00 447645 447641 446638 443637 441638 435640 430641 427640
      423642 416645 405650 398653 397656 398660 400662 405664
      410665 415669 418673 424674 428678 432676 439667 444662
      446656 447645
 1.50 441655 441650 440648 438646 435647 433649 430651 428652
      428656 429658 431660 434662 437661 438660 440657 441655

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 488613 501629 504636 506644 508650 509658 508665 507672
      503682 499686 494687 487684 479676 471670 468668 462668
      452670 444676 440680 435682 426688 416689 408684 406681
      403675 401674 401670 401664 406655 413639
 0.01 478336 486326 490319 493312 499300 504282 506273 507263
      507255 508244 506211 505194 504186 500179 499172 496166
      493161 488156 487154 484153 480155 477159 477166 479181
      478188 476191 473193 470190 469187 470185 475179 475175
      473173 466171 462170 462166 464157 464148 467145 470146
      473144 475141 476138 474132 470128 468123 468120 467118
      469115 470112 475109 475099 473083 471075 469068 462038
      457025 451010 442988 436976 432971 427968 423968 421969
      420976 420987 417989 414987 410981 410975 407957 404945
      402945 401948 401959 401999 403033 404041 403047 401050
      399055 398060 396062 398075 402079 407080 411080 413078
      414076 417074 418076 421076 423079 423084 424088 423092
      420097 419107 414111 414113 417114 419116 418120 416127
      415135 412140 409144 405149 402155 401162 404170 404173
      401175 399178 395183 391185 385188 381183 370178 362177
      358178 353180 349184 347186 342186 337185 324186 320188
      319191 317194 316197 316202 317205 316211 317218 319225
      324230 328234 331235 331239 327245 327249 330251 336255
      341257 346261 356267 369274 384280 390282 395285 409290
      412291 415294 419298 425301 432303 439303 444307 449311
      454314 455317 454321 452325
 0.01 533763 532754 532750 531748 527743 522743 518746 515751
      512751 510745 505735 497732 492731 486732 483735 478737
      470743 461750 457752 452755 444761 438768 435770 431770
      429766 427759 424753 421750 417749 411750 407752 402741
      399737 396733 388726 384724 377725 374728 372732 370743
      370750 372754 373761 372767 373780 374788 373792 373797
      372799 367802 360809 355818 351828 351835 349840 350847
      352852 354858 354867 356898 353909 349919 347931 344943
      344958 347963 350965 361963 369957 377954 382950 386949
      389945 391940 391932 393927 400902 403891 409881 419865
      430847 434843 438839 446832 452831 455828 464823 470822
      474829 475834 476842 480854 480862 482867 485879 488886
      491891 495899 502909 515923 517926 521922 525920 528915
      530912 532905 534889 529860 528852 528843 527822 528793
      530785 531777 533763
 0.01 340002 337995 331995 329997 326999 322003 316009 312015
      310020 307021 306028 310028 314028 318025 325021 331015
      336008 340002
 0.01 299040 299033 299027 296020 289014 282011 276011 273012
      267019 267022 270025 277029 284034 287043 289047 293048
      295046 297042 299040
 0.25 458625 461625 465624 472621 479621 484623 489625 491627
      491631 489640 487647 485650 482652 476654 471655 464658
      449663 446665 442666 434667 428667 424662 423657 424654
      427647 430641 434636 439631
 0.25 491281 494274 493266 491256 489246 482238 476230 472228
      467226 451228 440225 431220 424213 418209 409207 399204
      388200 380197 377194 373194 373200 374204 375209 374214
      368213 364213 355216 355221 356227 358235 360240 364243
      372248 376256 382264 385267 388270 406268 410268 415269
      424274 433280 436282 440282 446278 451278 455277 465278
      471285 477293 481293 485292 489287 491281
 0.25 456174 456169 454166 450163 446160 444156 442156 442159
      444163 445167 446172 448177 452180 456177 456174
 0.25 452110 453103 451100 446098 443096 438094 434095 432099
      431106 433110 438112 442113 447114 451114 452110
 0.25 451078 451075 450073 450072 449070 448070 447069 445068
      443068 442067 442066 440067 439069 440070 441072 443074
      444075 446077 447077 448078 449078 451078 451078
 0.25 446048 448042 447036 444029 440022 438014 435007 431005
      429009 430020 430030 431040 435047 439052 442053 445051
      446048
 0.25 387820 386814 382814 380816 377820 374822 372818 369817
      366820 367826 372824 374829 378825 381823 385821 387820
 0.25 385906 386894 384882 385873 384868 383861 381852 376847
      374836 373830 371831 368840 367851 366869 362875 361884
      363895 362907 361918 362923 364927 368929 373929 377927
      380925 381920 381914 385907 385906
 0.50 465647 464643 461641 455638 453636 449637 442641 437646
      432652 431657 435659 439656 442657 449658 456658 460653
      465647
 0.50 462258 463251 461244 457239 453237 448237 441236 435234
      430234 427234 424233 421227 417215 413212 409211 404210
      399207 392205 387206 384211 382218 379224 376230 379235
      383239 389248 395254 396261 400263 405262 409261 414259
      420260 431265 437269 442268 452267 462258
 0.50 371217 370217 368217 367217 368218 370218 371217
 0.50 373918 374914 374909 373905 373902 372898 371895 369897
      368900 368905 367907 367912 368914 368918 369922 373920
      373918
 1.00 418232 416228 416222 415219 412217 407215 401211 393209
      392212 393216 396219 401220 402222 403228 399231 402235
      407235 411235 414234 418232
 1.50 413228 413226 412224 411222 409221 408222 408225 409226
      410228 412229 413228
 1.50 403216 402214 402213 400213 398212 396212 395212 395214
      396215 397217 399217 401217 403216

$$





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