Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 240945
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
544 AM EDT SUN AUG 24 2014


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 24/1200 UTC THRU AUG 27/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...06Z UPDATE...

MADE SOME CHANGES MAINLY TO ADDRESS A SOMEWHAT FASTER EXIT OF
CONVECTIVE PCPN ACROSS THE UPR MS VLY EARLY IN THE PD.
ADDITIONALLY...THE 00Z ECMWF AND 06Z NAM TEND TO MAINTAIN A RATHER
STRONG DEFORMATION ZONE FOR A BIT LITTLE LONGER OVER CNTRL/NRN MT
TODAY...WHICH APPEARS TO BE SUPPORTED BY THE LATEST SAT/RADAR
TRENDS. SO MADE SOME WETTER ADJUSTMENTS OVER THIS AREA WITH MANUAL
QPF VERY CLOSE TO THAT OF THE 00Z ECMWF.

OTHERWISE...ONLY MINOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 QPF.

PREV DISCUSSION...

...EASTERN FOOTHILLS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

AN ONGOING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL EVENT WAS UNDERWAY FROM THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES AND THE ADJACENT FOOTHILLS EASTWARD INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS.  THE MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW WAS HIGHLY DIFLUENT AND
DIVERGENT AS AN ANOMALOUSLY STRONG UPPER/MIDDLE LOW SPUN OVER MT.
THE SYSTEM HAS HAD A WELL DEFINED WARM CONVEYOR BELT FEEDING
PLENTY OF MOISTURE INTO THE TROWL/DEFORMATION ZONE ON THE
NORTHWEST SIDE OF THE LOW. HOWEVER THE CONVEYOR BELT WITH THE
MOISTURE HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY DIRECTED INTO THE EASTERN DAKOTAS
AND UP INTO CANADA LEAVING THE UPPER LOW DETACHED FROM ITS SOURCE
OF DEEP MOISTURE.  TENDED TO FOLLOW THE ECMWF AND GFS/NAM WHICH
ALL DEPICTED VARYING DEGREES OF THIS DRY SLOT.  MAINTAINED AN INCH
PER 6 HOURS IN THE 24/06 TO 24/12Z TIME FRAME ACROSS MT NEAR THE
VORT CENTER AND THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISHED THE MAX PCPN AMOUNT
DURING THE DAY AS THE SYSTEM OPENS AND LIFTS NORTH OF THE BORDER.

OVER THE EASTERN DAKOTAS AND WESTERN MN...AN AREA OF CONVECTION
WITH A HISTORY OF HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL BE MOVING
EASTWARD INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.  SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
24/0515Z SHOWED CLOUD TOP TEMPS OVER ERN SD FINALLY BEGINNING TO
WARM.  THIS AT LEAST SUGGESTED AN EVENTUAL DECRASE IN THE RAINFALL
RATES AND AMOUNTS. SUSPECT MOST MODELS WERE TOO QUICK TO END
CONVECTION GIVEN THE LOW LEVEL JET STILL DRAWING IN AIR WITH PW
VALUES AT OR ABOVE 1.75 INCHES AND H85 MOISTURE TRANSPORT STILL
DIRECTED INTO WRN MN AHEAD OF THE LINE.  CONSEQUENTLY THE WPC
MANUAL GRAPHICS WENT ABOVE GUIDANCE EARLY IN THE PERIOD.  HOWEVER
THE MODELS DID TEND TO AGREE IN A DAYTIME MINIMUM IN RAFL WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL RAFL AGAIN LATER TONIGHT.  HERE THERE WAS
NOT MUCH REASON TO DIVERGE FROM THAT IDEA.  TENDED TO PUT MORE
WEIGHT IN THE HI RES CONVECTIVE EXPLICIT MODELS IN DEFINING THE
MAX PCPN AMOUNTS LATE IN THE PERIOD.

...OH VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
STATES AMD MID ATLANTIC STATES...

CONVECTION WHICH FORMED OVER PARTS OF IN/KY EARLY ON SAT EVENING
WAS FINALLY WEAKENING OVER KY EARLY THIS MORNING.  GLOBAL MODEL
GUIDANCE WAS HANDLING THIS FEATURE POORLY.  POSITION OF THE THE
WPC RAFL AREAS WAS LARGELY BASED ON SHORT TERM LINEAR
EXTRAPOLATING IN THE SHORT TERM.  THEN THE GUIDANCE DEVELOPED NEW
CONVECTION ON SUNDAY AFTN AND EVENING ONCE THE LOW LEVELS
DESTABILIZE ENOUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN OH VALLEY/TN VALLEY INTO THE
DEEP SOUTH AS WELL AS AREAS EASTWARD INTO PARTS OF THE
APPALACHIANS AND MID ATLANTIC STATES.  ONCE AGAIN USED A CONSENSUS
OF THE PW AXIS FROM THE MODELS TO HELP PLACE PCPN...BUT CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW IN THE QPF DETAILS.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

CENTRAL PLAINS INTO MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES...

THE ANOMALOUS UPPER TROUGH AND IMPRESSIVE CLOSED LOW OVER ERN
MT/WRN ND WILL LIFT OUT OF THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
CANADA ON SUN. THE FEATURES COLD FRONT ON MON WILL TRANSITION FROM
THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES BUT TRAILING END WILL
STALL ALONG THE EDGE OF THE NRN/NWRN PERIPHERY OF THE MAMMOTH
UPPER RIDGE BASED OVER THE MID MS VALLEY. THIS QUASI-STATIONARY
FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR A POOL OF ANOMALOUS TROPICAL
MOISTURE... WHILE A SMALL SCALE SHORT WAVE IMPULSE EJECTS OUT OF
THE CO ROCKIES LATE MON. THIS IMPULSE WILL TRACK ALONG THE FRONT
AND EDGE OF THE 500MB RIDGE FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE
MID/UPPER MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. THE RESULTANT WILL BE A
POSSIBLE ORGANIZED COMPLEX OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO DEVELOP LATE MON
INTO TUES FROM NERN CO NORTH AND EAST THROUGH NE INTO IA BUT
WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ALONG THE ENTIRE
LENGTH OF THE FRONTAL ZONE. THERE WAS ONLY SLIGHT SPREAD BETWEEN
THE GUIDANCE AND WPC MAINLY FOLLOWED A BLEND/COMPROMISE OF THE
ECMWF/GFS FOR QPF ON MON FOR A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINS FROM
NERN CO THROUGH NE INTO WRN IA AND MAINLY THE OPERATIONAL ECMWF
FOR QPF ON TUES WITH A CONTINUED SLIGHT THREAT OF EXCESSIVE FROM
ERN NE THROUGH IA INTO NRN IL.

INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST AND FOUR CORNERS REGION...

THE DEEP UPPER TROUGH DEPARTING THE REMAINDER OF THE WEST ON SUN
WILL BE FOLLOWED QUICKLY BY ANOTHER DYNAMIC SHORT WAVE TROUGH.
THIS FEATURE NEAR BRITISH COLUMBIA COASTLINE WILL DIVE SOUTH AND
EAST TO DIG THROUGH THE NORTHWEST ON SUN... PROCEED SOUTH AND EAST
ON MON INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN AND POTENTIALLY CLOSE OFF A
CLOSED LOW CENTER OVER THE WRN FOUR CORNERS REGION ON TUES. THE
RAINFALL POTENTIAL SHOULD BECOME FAIRLY ORGANIZED ON MON IN TWO
AREAS... ONE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INVOF OF FRONTOGENETIC
FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT AND ANOTHER
OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AS DIGGING HEIGHTS DRAW NORTH
MONSOONAL MOISTURE. THE RAINFALL ON TUES SHOULD BE EXCLUSIVELY
ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION OR AHEAD OF THE CLOSED 500MB
CIRCULATION IN A ZONE OF PRIME SYNOPTIC SCALE SWRLY UPPER DIFLUENT
FLOW. THIS MEANS AN ANOMALOUS FEATURE FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR TO
INTERACT WITH TROPICAL MOISTURE AND ORGANIZED RAINS. NO EXCESSIVE
WAS ISSUED ACROSS THE REGION FOR TUES BUT MAY BE NEEDED IF MODEL
GUIDANCE BECOMES BETTER CLUSTERED. FOR MON... WPC FOLLOWED A BLEND
OF THE GFS/ECMWF FOR QPF AMOUNTS AND ON TUES FOLLOWED STRICTLY THE
ECMWF.

LOWER MS VALLEY/WEST CENTRAL GULF COAST...

AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY NEAR THE TN VALLEY/SRN
APPALACHIANS WILL CONTINUE TO DIVE SOUTH AND WEST ON SUN...
BASICALLY AROUND THE LARGE AMPLIFIED ANTICYCLONE. THIS SMALL SCALE
FEATURE WILL THEN TRACK UNDERNEATH THE RIDGE FROM EAST TO WEST
FROM THE MS/SERN LA COAST TO SERN TX COAST ON MON AND DOWN THE TX
COAST ON TUES. THIS IS THE CORRIDOR... MS/LA/SERN TX... FOR THE
FOCUS FOR HEAVY CONVECTIVE RAINS GIVEN THE DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
IN PLACE ALONG WITH SOUTH FL/KEYS... AS THE LEFTOVER BACK DOOR
COLD FRONT/SHEAR AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE AREA. WPC FOLLOWED A BLEND
OF THE ECMWF/GFS EACH DAY FOR QPF AMOUNTS.

BANN/ORRISON/MUSHER

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV



24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 564891 564882 563875 561858 557831 552800 549789 545776
      538759 530761 526766 524772 519791 515819 514825 512830
      510836 508841 503849 496853 487858 482859 475859 465860
      459861 457863 453865 451866 448866 441858 431841 433832
      431828 426828 422829 420833 416842 414844 416850 410859
      408862 407866 407870 405873 406876 421911 415917 412927
      412935 407942 396956 395961 395964 392965 384970 371981
      367984 365988 358992 353993 349997 340000 336001 332002
      323005 317012 310020 305029 304032 304038 302042 301048
      300054 298058 292062 288064 282065 277064 273062 263058
      256054 248049 240045 236043 231042 228051 228056 230061
      228071 228076 229080 233086 238092 243099 250107 266116
      275119 280117 283114 286110 289109 299112 311114 315113
      317108 315104 315098 317095 320093 323089 326086 330085
      334084 340078 341078 342075 343068 346063 347059 345052
      343049 340045 337047 333048 331046 333043 334038 336033
      338028 341024 349021 353019 356016 360009 366002 374997
      377992 380988 387981 395977 398973 399968 409966 414966
      416967 416970 415975 417982 420982 423981 426980 429976
      437972 442969 447969 454965 464965 470965 474968 481971
      487978 490984 487987 480994 477003 473011 471016 471022
      468027 466030 459039 454046 449058 445066 438066 436066
      436069 447082 448085 448089 445092 437089 429084 425086
      424091 428100 424104 423110 425113 427118 427123 430121
      433116 436115 441116 442120 437130 429134 427137 428142
      426146 424146 421145 414150 411151 408154 408162 412165
      414170 412186 413192 411197 413207 417208 420207 424204
      427199 428192 429187 428184 426179 428175 432171 433167
      435162 440163 443170 444173 443176 438177 436179 436184
 0.01 436184 439190 444193 446196 450196 451198 454204 460206
      460210 462216 464218 468218 472218 480220 484219 495225
      498229 501235 506247 507251 512249 516248 516241 515233
      512227 511225 508224 506217 503210 505201 508197 510192
      511190 522190 530191 534189 536181 536173 532168 529164
      526158 521146 515144 511141 507136 503134 501131 498131
      493130 490124 493118 496110 499106 502101 505097 509092
      513090 521082 523081 524078 527072 533061 535054 537046
      541033 546019 549013 551007 553999 554990 560959 561951
      562939 562919 564891
 0.01 484181 484174 482169 476167 472168 469166 466163 463162
      461163 459168 461172 465175 468179 467182 463185 460188
      458192 462195 467194 466189 468186 472184 477186 482186
      484181
 0.01 448709 448707 447706 445706 443707 443708 442709 440710
      440711 440714 440716 441717 442716 443714 444713 446711
      447710 448709
 0.01 441728 439726 437726 435726 434726 432727 430727 429728
      428728 429731 431731 432731 434731 436730 437730 439729
      441728 441728
 0.01 436885 436880 436875 435873 433870 431871 429874 428876
      427879 425881 427883 428885 429888 431890 434892 435887
      436885
 0.01 425056 423042 423033 423029 420027 414019 415012 413010
      408014 406012 403996 402990 398988 394993 392997 391015
      393021 392026 388026 385026 383028 378030 375033 374042
      374048 367047 363050 359054 354055 356058 362058 366057
      372053 375053 378055 381060 377064 370064 369068 372073
      374080 375085 379085 380084 384089 388092 391097 393100
      392103 387104 385106 384111 377119 374124 374129 377129
      382128 385127 387132 385141 385145 387146 388150 386152
      384158 386162 393160 395157 400146 405142 405138 403132
      402127 403124 406124 407121 414120 416116 417112 419111
      414108 412108 412104 417099 414093 411088 411083 412079
      414073 417069 423064 425056
 0.01 410089 407087 405085 402084 400086 398090 397092 398094
      399099 401099 403097 404095 405093 408091 410089
 0.01 403053 404051 402049 401051 401053 402054 403053
 0.01 396812 392805 388801 389799 391797 395794 395789 394784
      389783 387783 384785 374787 357796 346809 342815 339816
      338813 339808 344802 346792 345783 346774 347768 351765
      356759 358754 358749 356747 353750 350752 348754 345752
      342750 340752 334759 330761 328755 329751 327746 326741
      324737 321732 317733 311738 307755 303774 299781 296786
      293788 289790 283791 280790 275790 266792 264794 262799
      263808 254807 246811 246817 248820 255826 260832 272843
      277850 280857 283860 284865 287874 288881 285885 282887
      281891 281902 282908 283913 285923 286935 290942 294943
      296941 296928 296922 297919 299914 303911 312908 319905
      324900 329892 332891 334895 337898 342898 346897 349895
      358879 366877 374880 377882 383882 386875 388870 391865
      396860 397858 395852 390846 384842 382839 383836 384832
      387826 392822 395816 396812
 0.01 318086 317085 315084 315086 315087 317088 318086
 0.25 557900 558884 557870 556856 554842 552830 550822 546809
      542803 538803 535807 532816 527835 524844 520851 514858
      509863 494870 487873 479876 471875 464876 457879 451884
      445891 441899 434904 431910 425928 424933 425937 428939
      431937 439934 444935 447937 454940 459941 472950 485957
      492961 497967 498972 498980 495989 493999 491005 489009
      486015 483027 479034 473039 467043 461048 459052 458059
      457071 458083 459094 461098 464102 471104 480104 487101
      498091 510082 515077 520071 528055 535038 538028 541016
      546995 550971 553947 556924 557900
 0.25 492201 491199 489199 487199 486200 485201 485202 485203
      487203 489202 490202 492201 492201
 0.25 485210 485207 483206 481206 480206 478206 476206 475207
      474207 473208 472208 472211 474213 475213 477213 479213
      480213 482212 484212 484211 485210
 0.25 496899 495896 493894 492896 492897 491899 490901 489904
      488904 489905 490904 491904 492903 493901 494901 495900
      496899
 0.25 453174 453171 453170 453169 452167 451166 450164 449163
      448165 448167 448168 449170 450171 451173 453174 453174
 0.25 454149 456142 454137 452133 448133 446138 446141 443140
      441141 438144 440149 443152 446154 449157 452152 454149
 0.25 406112 407110 407107 405106 404107 402109 402110 400111
      401113 403114 405113 406112
 0.25 392080 392077 390076 390077 390079 390080 392080 392080
 0.25 363856 360850 356850 352851 351848 348844 343840 337840
      334839 332837 332828 329827 328831 326835 325840 326844
      329848 331852 330857 330861 334865 337870 340876 343877
      345875 352866 356861 360858 363856
 0.25 324784 324778 321776 317776 314778 309783 306790 301795
      295800 287804 282808 279811 276812 270814 262813 253813
      253817 256819 259820 264820 267821 270823 276827 279828
      281832 280836 282839 284847 287854 292860 295868 297878
      298883 301884 308886 311885 312880 306863 304854 303850
      300848 297849 295849 290843 287839 286837 288836 294836
      296834 306831 311827 319815 322797 324784
 0.25 306087 305083 301080 296078 290077 279076 272073 257063
      250058 243054 239053 236055 237061 238064 245070 251075
      257081 260090 261094 260096 261100 264103 268105 273106
      281104 286104 290102 294094 306087
 0.50 554900 555888 555878 554865 553856 551846 549839 546833
      542830 539831 538833 535840 533848 530854 522863 516873
      511886 509905 507911 504916 500921 496925 485929 481934
      479938 480944 484949 488952 493955 497959 501964 503970
      503982 502991 500000 498006 494020 491028 489033 484039
      480042 471047 466052 463057 462068 463077 464086 467091
      472094 478095 484094 489091 497083 506077 511073 515069
      521059 527047 533033 538019 541003 545986 546978 546966
      548949 552931 554900
 0.50 475907 474901 470899 464899 460901 450905 438906 435910
      435916 434920 435926 441928 445928 455931 460928 462925
      468923 471920 474915 475908 475907
 0.50 345851 345850 344849 343848 342847 341846 339846 338846
      336847 335848 335850 336852 336853 337854 338856 340857
      342857 344856 344855 345853 345851
 0.50 312811 312807 311803 310803 307805 305806 304808 302810
      301814 299817 298819 299823 302824 305823 307821 308819
      310816 311813 312811
 0.50 297086 292084 284083 277083 270081 267083 268087 270091
      274096 278098 281099 284099 287093 291089 295086 297086
 0.50 283819 283817 283816 281815 279815 277816 275816 275818
      275820 276820 277821 279821 281820 283819 283819
 0.50 251065 249064 248063 246062 244060 242060 241060 241062
      242063 242064 244065 246065 247066 248066 249065 251065
      251065
 1.00 551892 551882 551873 550865 547860 538877 532879 528881
      524886 523892 520905 517916 512929 510933 507937 498942
      495942 494944 496947 500950 504954 509965 512977 512984
      512993 504018 501031 495039 488045 480051 475054 472056
      470062 470071 471077 473082 479084 484082 499071 507066
      514058 519049 524039 528026 532014 533005 534997 534990
      536984 540971 543957 546942 548928 549907 551892
 1.50 545909 545904 544900 542898 539898 533901 529906 523918
      521927 521939 521945 520950 519960 520971 521981 523983
      527981 531976 533969 535960 538939 539930 541922 544916
      545909
 1.50 500054 499051 497051 492052 486054 481056 477059 475066
      476074 479076 482075 486073 491069 494065 498059 500054
 2.00 484067 484065 484064 483063 481065 480067 481068 482069
      484068 484067

24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 565908 564889 562873 560858 557842 556829 554823 553814
      550803 547787 543776 539767 532749 530744 527743 518742
      510760 508766 508774 507781 503784 499786 496789 490798
      487801 484806 479814 476817 474822 470825 467826 464824
      464818 465814 466809 463806 459804 457799 456793 452791
      447785 443783 439783 432789 430798 424808 421819 420825
      418827 417823 415817 411814 405818 406824 410826 413828
      415828 417832 411841 407842 403845 403850 404857 405863
      403869 400878 395885 391893 388897 385900 385904 390904
      394905 396907 400910 405919 404924 397926 395930 397933
      395939 396949 389958 386963 386967 381975 376981 373984
      369983 361978 359976 359980 357983 360985 363987 365990
      365994 358998 353003 349006 346009 342008 339009 340012
      341018 340022 338023 334026 332028 333032 333039 329042
      321045 314039 312036 308036 302039 304047 304051 307056
      308058 307062 304067 302071 299067 292062 286061 281061
      275062 271059 254050 248044 244043 238043 231049 228050
      227052 229056 229073 233083 238090 242096 248102 260111
      277123 283125 289125 297122 306126 316130 323128 328130
      334131 338130 342132 348139 362137 369134 380135 384135
      388137 391139 391144 386148 384150 385152 386155 388155
      391156 393161 394163 397164 404163 408172 409177 409184
      405196 407201 412203 414199 414194 415188 416185 418185
      430178 434176 437172 437167 437164 440164 444172 448176
      453179 457183 462183 464182 465179 461175 458172 457169
      458164 459156 464154 466152 466146 464141 465133 465126
      461122 465117 463112 465109 466101 463093 462092 459093
      455091 453090 451087 455080 462074 466068 468063 467058
      465050 462045 458035 456020 454017 449015 446014 444009
      442004 442996 445969 444946 448919 448908 449901 451897
      453894 454889 456884 458882 461882 470879 475879 478880
 0.01 478880 492884 500884 504885 505888 508898 510904 508908
      505914 502918 500919 496926 494936 492940 492944 494949
      492952 490957 488961 487965 488969 492987 488997 488003
      489007 491015 493020 492025 491030 490037 490043 493045
      498049 503047 516041 521037 525031 529024 533017 540006
      545997 549990 553983 555977 558972 559967 561956 563947
      563936 565908
 0.01 453811 453808 452807 450807 448808 447808 445808 444810
      444812 443815 443817 443820 444821 445822 446823 448823
      449821 451821 452818 452816 452813 453811
 0.01 394101 389096 385102 383104 379104 374102 369095 365092
      360096 354096 349099 346104 348107 348112 345118 343121
      346124 349123 350121 354113 358110 367112 370117 375117
      377116 383113 387107 391103 394101
 0.01 386865 385847 382832 380827 374825 369826 364828 362832
      360834 358834 351835 348836 345841 345847 345854 344860
      339865 335869 330871 323872 317872 312869 309866 306860
      307854 307848 301842 298838 301834 311833 315827 316821
      326814 327801 329797 334794 339787 347781 347774 349769
      351765 355761 357755 357752 355750 350748 345751 342754
      339758 333768 328776 322784 315789 306794 298795 293793
      284789 278788 273788 263793 253792 249791 243792 240797
      240801 236804 234809 234821 237833 242845 246854 251863
      256872 258876 259882 261886 261893 264907 261923 262935
      274949 283952 292952 296951 297955 299954 306946 309946
      311948 310954 303962 306964 309963 311959 316958 330967
      335964 341963 345963 346965 353965 365965 370963 373958
      377954 380952 382948 380945 378945 375943 373938 371935
      373932 375927 375919 373919 368922 363923 359922 356921
      356917 357910 361906 364903 363898 364894 367891 374884
      379873 386865
 0.01 381038 382033 382029 380026 377024 375022 374021 370019
      367021 367025 368028 370030 371034 372037 373039 376040
      378039 381038
 0.01 367077 367074 365073 364074 363075 362075 360076 359078
      358080 358082 358085 359086 361087 362085 363083 363081
      365079 365078 367077
 0.01 357945 355943 354941 352942 350945 346943 346939 351935
      353931 350928 346930 342934 337935 325935 319937 317938
      317941 322942 326945 329949 332952 343956 352952 357945
 0.25 561911 561900 560894 558878 553851 547822 544809 542799
      531780 527777 524778 519787 515797 511809 510816 510823
      512830 514834 521842 526849 529862 533871 537883 540898
      541913 541926 540935 538941 533949 527956 522964 515973
      510982 509989 511993 515995 520994 528991 536985 547973
      553964 556952 559927 560917 561911
 0.25 484856 482848 481844 478842 473841 466843 444839 438837
      438830 438827 436829 434831 431832 427835 425841 423847
      422855 419861 415865 413881 411886 411893 411908 414923
      411938 412948 411956 409963 407966 403973 400978 397985
      397989 398991 401995 401003 400009 397015 395018 395021
      396028 396034 393041 394044 396044 401043 408045 412047
      417052 422053 421039 425029 429024 429020 428016 427011
      429004 433998 434990 436983 435973 433959 432950 433942
      436925 438911 438894 440886 442883 446882 449879 453874
      456870 457868 461867 467868 471867 474865 480863 484856
 0.25 453161 452160 452159 451158 449157 448156 446157 445160
      446160 447162 449162 451163 452162 453161
 0.25 454115 454110 451107 446104 441099 440092 437090 433088
      428089 422093 418098 414103 412106 412110 414117 418122
      422123 426123 430125 433126 438126 440129 438139 436142
      436148 439152 443152 444148 444140 445131 448124 451117
      454115
 0.25 452061 453059 452056 451054 451053 449052 448053 447053
      447056 446058 447060 449061 450062 452061 452061
 0.25 442106 442105 441104 439105 440108 442106 442106
 0.25 440113 440112 438111 437110 435112 435114 436115 438115
      438114 440113 440113
 0.25 444868 443867 442865 440864 438865 436866 435868 435871
      436873 437874 438875 440874 441873 442872 443870 443869
      444868
 0.25 422155 424150 424146 424141 423138 422135 419133 417135
      417137 416139 416143 416144 415148 415151 416154 420156
      422155
 0.25 405070 403067 400067 395069 392071 388072 386077 386081
      389084 393084 397082 399078 402074 405071 405070
 0.25 355060 353055 348054 343055 339056 338063 337066 334066
      326067 313081 308082 304080 296076 285074 278072 275071
      259061 250057 239054 237057 238060 239064 244070 257084
      264089 270095 277102 284108 290110 295110 301111 304113
      307117 309122 312123 314122 316116 320109 323108 323115
      324121 327125 330126 333126 336123 339114 339108 334106
      329103 324105 319097 320093 324090 329090 333094 338097
      343096 346092 347086 340069 344065 350065 354063 355060
 0.25 355870 353868 352867 350867 348868 347871 348872 348873
      350874 352874 354874 355872 355871 355870
 0.25 334913 334906 331902 326895 316886 312883 306882 303875
      293863 289854 285845 281838 284831 282827 278825 274824
      271824 268824 267818 264811 261808 257810 249814 246815
      244818 244823 245828 253845 257852 262856 272871 274874
      275879 276884 276890 274901 273911 275921 277927 282936
      284940 286943 290945 294943 296941 296937 296932 300930
      305928 308926 314921 318915 321911 326913 331914 334913
 0.25 314903 314901 313900 311899 310901 311903 313903 314903
 0.25 301912 302909 301909 299910 298912 299913 301912 301912
 0.25 284802 283800 281799 279799 278799 277798 275798 274798
      272799 270799 269800 270802 272802 273803 274804 276805
      278806 279807 280807 282806 283804 284802
 0.50 471853 471848 468847 463849 458848 453845 447846 444849
      444853 446855 453855 458856 462859 465860 468858 471853
 0.50 436859 435852 432846 428846 427848 426853 426857 424862
      418865 417868 417872 421876 428874 428867 431862 436859
 0.50 432895 432885 430880 428878 427879 423879 420881 417886
      416893 414900 414905 414910 418914 422917 425912 427907
      431901 432895
 0.50 431985 432981 432976 431971 429959 428945 427937 427931
      428925 424922 420924 417927 416942 414947 414952 413963
      408970 403979 402986 404991 405997 405005 405012 404016
      401022 402029 403035 405037 411038 415037 418033 419027
      418021 419015 424008 427996 431986 431985
 0.50 351059 350059 348059 348060 350060 351059
 0.50 342091 339087 337084 336079 334075 329074 325076 321078
      318080 321083 326084 332086 335087 338091 342091
 0.50 334119 335117 335115 335112 333112 332112 331112 329114
      328116 327118 327120 328122 328123 330123 331123 332122
      333121 334119 334119
 0.50 311118 311112 310108 309103 309098 311092 309087 303084
      299081 295082 290086 276078 262071 258069 254069 258074
      264080 270083 274086 272089 278094 284093 287095 294100
      300100 304102 307108 311118
 0.50 306890 305888 301888 298882 296876 294871 289866 284865
      282867 282871 285877 288881 292885 287885 285889 282895
      282902 282907 279912 281916 283918 285919 285916 286912
      287910 291908 297904 302903 306890
 0.50 254822 254820 253819 252820 254822 254822
 0.50 251069 251068 251067 249064 248063 247062 246062 244061
      243060 242059 242060 242062 242063 243064 244065 245066
      247067 249067 251069 251069
 1.00 427982 427978 426975 424971 424962 424954 424949 423944
      418947 417952 418966 416971 412974 409978 406982 410994
      410998 413000 417996 420992 426984 427982
 1.00 422900 420900 419903 420904 422902 422900 422900
 1.00 413031 413029 412027 412026 411025 409025 408026 407028
      407029 407031 409032 410033 412032 413031
 1.50 423980 422980 421978 421977 419977 417977 416977 415978
      414979 413980 414981 415982 417982 419983 421983 421982
      422981 423980
 1.50 421952 421949 420952 421953 421952


24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 484692 482687 479683 479672 478666 476663 472663 467665
      462683 459694 457699 455702 446715 443728 436736 430747
      424754 420758 418764 419780 415790 409793 403803 398807
      398806 396809 396814 399818 400821 400825 400839 399842
      395844 393849 393858 392863 392871 394878 394887 395902
      396906 395909 392913 390919 385922 385925 382927 377927
      370932 367932 363930 361927 356927 347927 345916 346912
      349908 351903 355901 359896 366889 372882 374878 373869
      373860 373855 374848 374841 371837 366838 366845 367860
      366868 363874 359881 359887 357891 355894 350895 346899
      342909 333912 328912 323911 315909 305892 306888 304883
      303878 301874 281870 275861 273857 269859 266866 266877
      268886 267895 264913 261923 257930 255935 255942 259952
      259958 257964 257968 259971 261976 266982 271983 275980
      277975 281977 286975 285972 293974 297975 300974 306970
      308968 314968 322971 325969 325964 330958 335956 338960
      341963 345965 355961 357958 361956 366954 371954 376953
      383953 388954 387959 385965 382969 376979 371987 369996
      372998 370001 363004 358004 356006 354010 354017 349025
      344032 338040 329043 319045 313049 299063 294066 288067
      278071 263063 257059 250055 243051 238050 236052 234056
      234061 239066 253080 270091 277097 285101 289100 292100
      294102 297107 298110 296113 297120 301122 305124 314126
      321130 327135 330138 332142 349148 354148 360146 363146
      367150 373151 376157 378160 384161 389160 393158 397155
      401155 408154 413156 416158 420158 422153 416147 409144
      407137 414134 417135 419138 422138 422136 424129 427127
      432120 436117 443119 445120 450118 452111 456106 457101
      455097 438085 434086 431083 430079 434076 437075 442075
      448080
 0.01 448080 451075 450073 447067 444067 442064 443059 445060
      449063 453064 456062 461058 465048 467041 468032 470023
      472015 473008 473004 472999 472994 474992 474984 468976
      466974 466968 465960 464957 461954 455954 454957 453961
      455964 459969 460976 461979 459981 453983 453988 450990
      447981 447976 446974 443971 442967 443962 445956 450952
      452947 451939 451933 452928 454915 457909 458902 460895
      462893 460890 449886 447879 446872 452862 454844 456838
      456828 457818 456809 456800 459798 461795 462786 466782
      470776 472771 471763 469757 468754 465753 459754 456756
      454759 452762 450762 451753 453740 455733 457728 461723
      466718 473707 478700 484692
 0.01 432030 433028 433026 433023 433021 433018 432016 430015
      429016 428017 427018 427019 425020 425021 424022 425025
      425027 425030 426031 426032 428034 429033 431032 432030
 0.01 356761 354757 352754 348757 346761 339767 335771 332776
      321788 316791 309792 305794 301797 299800 295803 291804
      289801 285798 281796 277794 269793 263795 257796 254799
      251803 248798 245796 242799 239807 237817 237822 238826
      242829 245830 248829 250824 252822 255819 259820 262821
      265818 270820 274820 279818 284817 290822 293828 294835
      294841 294847 294853 296857 298861 301861 304857 305852
      306846 305837 306831 307828 312821 319813 324805 327797
      333789 340785 344785 347783 348776 353771 356761
 0.25 454032 454027 452025 449026 447027 445029 443031 441033
      440038 443039 445038 448036 450035 452034 454032
 0.25 451833 451829 450826 447822 440819 438816 436810 435802
      432796 429791 425796 419805 416810 414815 412820 407824
      404828 404835 406846 406852 405858 403871 402886 402892
      404899 411908 412915 411922 410934 409940 407944 402954
      400964 399971 400977 399982 395986 394989 394992 396998
      394005 394011 401018 402020 401023 398026 395029 392032
      389045 382053 380061 376062 373060 368052 362050 356052
      350059 346061 342062 338063 334066 331068 329073 327080
      324085 319086 316088 314091 327098 320103 317105 315110
      315117 319121 325126 337127 341129 344134 347139 350140
      353139 364137 369137 373139 377138 378134 378123 376117
      372114 369111 370104 374099 381099 389095 394094 396092
      397087 398080 401076 403073 402069 399067 402063 405058
      403053 400048 402041 407030 413022 422014 425010 425005
      425000 426996 434976 437972 438966 441951 445938 446928
      445918 441910 438907 437901 437887 438880 435878 429875
      426871 427866 430861 431855 431844 432842 435841 442839
      447836 451833
 0.25 411106 412103 412101 412099 411097 411096 410095 408094
      406095 406096 405098 405100 404102 404104 405107 406107
      407108 408107 409107 411107 411106
 0.25 318943 318932 317926 314922 309917 305915 303913 304909
      303904 301900 295893 288890 284891 280895 277903 277910
      276914 275919 273922 271926 270933 271944 273956 276962
      279964 283963 287962 291960 292957 297947 300940 308945
      314946 318943
 0.25 294081 292080 291079 290079 289079 288079 287079 285079
      283080 281081 280082 280084 281085 281086 282087 284088
      286087 287087 288087 290086 291085 292085 293083 294081
      294081
 0.25 248816 248814 247813 246811 246809 245808 243808 242809
      242811 241813 241815 241817 241819 241821 241822 241823
      243824 245824 246823 246822 247821 248819 248817 248816
 0.50 446831 443826 438823 434821 429817 426813 423811 420813
      414823 410826 407829 408833 411849 412861 418862 422860
      424858 426853 425845 424842 424838 430835 443834 446831
 0.50 444930 442924 440922 436922 429920 426918 424914 425909
      427908 432904 433900 433894 432890 430888 426883 423877
      412870 409868 406876 405884 405890 406894 410899 417900
      419901 420906 417916 414931 412941 409947 407952 404959
      404964 404969 406980 404986 403991 404996 408003 413006
      419006 418998 426987 428980 431974 435968 437959 438950
      440944 444930
 0.50 402030 402029 400029 398030 398031 397032 398034 400034
      401032 402032 402030
 0.50 399060 399058 398056 398055 397054 396053 395052 393051
      392051 391052 390054 391057 391059 392061 393063 395063
      396062 398060 399060
 0.50 393068 392067 392066 391064 389065 388066 387066 386068
      385069 385070 387072 389072 390071 391070 392069 393068
 0.50 373127 374120 372116 367115 362115 356115 355120 354126
      351130 351132 356134 361134 365133 369132 372129 373127
 0.50 364094 366090 365085 359080 356079 353081 352085 348087
      342087 340087 339084 337081 334081 334084 337087 337091
      336094 336098 339101 343102 343105 334104 327106 324109
      324111 327117 329121 333121 340121 342120 342117 344111
      347107 354102 364094
 0.50 297931 296926 294921 290918 289912 291908 293905 292901
      288900 285902 284916 284921 281927 277928 278933 277945
      278950 280956 283955 288952 290949 294943 297933 297931
 1.00 433959 434952 434945 433940 430935 423931 420930 418935
      415945 411954 409958 408963 409968 412973 413977 414983
      418984 422981 427973 431965 433959
 1.00 428826 427826 425826 424826 422825 420826 419827 419830
      421831 422831 424830 426829 427829 427828 428826
 1.00 418886 420884 420881 418881 416881 414881 413882 412884
      411886 411887 411889 413891 414891 415891 416889 417889
      418886 418886
 1.00 368124 370122 369120 368119 368120 367120 365121 363123
      363124 362125 361126 360127 358129 360130 362130 364128
      365126 366125 368124 368124
 1.00 292933 292932 292931 290929 288931 288933 287935 287937
      287939 288940 290939 291937 292935 292933 292933
 1.50 430952 429947 427942 423940 421941 418945 416949 414954
      413959 413962 416963 419963 422968 424967 427964 428959
      430954 430952
 1.50 421973 421971 419972 418973 417975 417977 417978 417977
      419976 420975 421973 421973
 2.00 422949 422947 421947 419949 419952 421950 422949

$$





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