Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 260950
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
550 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID SEP 26/1200 UTC THRU SEP 29/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...TEXAS / SOUTHWEST U.S....

CLOSED MID/UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS NW
MEXICO AND BAJA THIS PERIOD...WHILE THE NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH
CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY INTO A MID-UPPER CLOSED LOW ACROSS THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW WEAK SUPPORT FOR UPPER
FORCING ACROSS TX IN BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS... WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL SHEAR AXIS AND A QUASI-STATIONARY SURFACE BOUNDARY OVER
SOUTH TX AND WEAK UPPER DIFFLUENCE EAST OF THE UPPER LOW ACROSS
SOUTHERN AZ/NM INTO WEST TX. MEANWHILE...THE MORE ANOMALOUS PWS
(2.00+ INCHES) WILL CONTINUE TO PRESS SOUTH WITH TIME TOWARD THE
TX GULF COAST...WHILE MODEST PW ANOMALIES (AROUND 1.5 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) ALIGN W-E ACROSS SOUTHERN AZ/NM INTO WEST
TX. INSTABILITY WILL ALSO BECOME MORE CONFINED TOWARD SOUTH TX AND
THE GULF COAST WITH TIME DURING THE PERIOD...WITH ONLY MIN MAL
CAPES (200-400 J/KG) ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN AZ NORTH OF THE UPPER
LOW. IN TERMS OF THE QPF...THE 00Z GFS AND ESPECIALLY ECMWF HAVE
TRENDED LIGHTER DURING THE DAY 1 PERIOD ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL TX
AND AREAS WEST INTO THE SOUTHWEST...WHICH IS NOT SURPRISING GIVEN
THE WEAKENING SYNOPTIC SUPPORT AND LACK OF DEEP INSTABILITY.
HIGHEST AREAL-AVERAGE TOTALS FROM 12Z MON-12Z TUE WERE BETWEEN
0.50-1.0" ALONG THE RIO GRAND EAST OF THE BIG BEND FROM DRT TO
LRD...WITH A SECONDARY AXIS ALONG THE SOUTH TX GULF COAST BETWEEN
CRP AND BRO WHERE THE INSTABILITY AND 2+ INCH PWS WILL PERSIST.
THE HIGH-RES CAMS SHOW LOCALIZED 3-5" TOTALS ON THE MEXICAN SIDE
OF THE RIO GRANDE...WITH A FEW POCKETS OF 3-5" AMOUNTS ALONG THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE TX COAST. OUTSIDE OF THE ARES ALONG THE RIO GRAND
(NEAR DRT) HIT HARD BY THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS (THUS HAVING LOWER
FFG)...THE RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING DURING DAY 1 APPEARS TO BE
MARGINAL AT BEST.


...EASTERN U.S. FROM THE EASTERN LAKES...NORTHEAST...AND
MID-ATLANTIC REGION...

A NARROW RIBBON OF HIGHER PW VALUES...1.5-1.75 INCHES...WILL SWEEP
EASTWARD TOWARD THE EASTERN SEABOARD AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT.
AVAILABLE INSTABILITY...HOWEVER...WILL BE RATHER MEAGER AHEAD OF
THE FRONT...WITH MUCAPES AVERAGING 500-1500 J/KG AHEAD OF THE
FRONT LATER TODAY...MAINLY ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE
APPALACHIANS. WPC QPF WAS COMPRISED FROM A BLEND OF CONTINUITY
(PREVIOUS FORECAST) AND THE 00Z GFS AND ECMWF. BOTH THE GFS AND
ECMWF SHOW MINIMAL TIMING DIFFERENCES COMPARED TO PREVIOUS RUNS
(12Z SUN ECMWF WAS A BIT FASTER).HIGHEST AREAL-AVERAGE AMOUNTS
BETWEEN 0.50-1.00" WERE NOTED.


...SOUTHEAST U.S. FROM SOUTH CAROLINA TO FLORIDA

A CIRCULATION ALOFT OVER THE SOUTHEAST WAS BEST DEFINED AT 250
MB...AND THE DIFLUENT REGION EAST OF THE LOW OPENS UP OVER THE
ATLANTIC...ENSURING A LITTLE GREATER COVERAGE OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS
JUST OFFSHORE OF FLORIDA UP TO SOUTH CAROLINA. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ALSO FORM INLAND...WITH THE TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS...AND GREATER
COVERAGE DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS LOOK TO
BE IN THE 0.10 TO 0.25 INCH RANGE...THOUGH WITH FAIRLY RICH
MOISTURE IN PLACE A FEW HEAVIER EMBEDDED DOWNPOURS ARE LIKELY.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...EASTERN U.S...

A DEEP UPPER LOW OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION EARLY TUES IS
FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE PERIOD AND REACHING
THE OH VALLEY BY THURS. DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC FLOW AND RELATIVELY
STEEP LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OVER THE WARMER GREAT LAKE WATERS
WILL RESULT IN NUMEROUS LAKE ENHANCED SHOWER ACTIVITY FOR
ESPECIALLY THE U.P. OF MI...AND ALSO NORTHERN LOWER MI THROUGH
TUES AND TUES NIGHT. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF ON WED
AS THE UPPER LOW DROPS FARTHER SOUTH TOWARD THE OH VALLEY.
MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE NORTHEAST AND MOST
OF THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION...ALTHOUGH THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT OVER THE CAROLINAS AND DOWN TOWARD
THE EASTERN GULF COAST STATES BY LATE TUES. EXPECT THERE TO BE AT
LEAST A BROKEN AXIS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUES ALONG THE
FRONT...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND ALSO DOWN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER
DELMARVA AND ADJACENT SOUTHEAST VA WHERE STRONGER MOISTURE
TRANSPORT/FORCING WILL BE NOTED.

THE FORECAST THEN TAKES ON A MORE UNCERTAIN TURN FOR WED AND THURS
OVER THE OH VALLEY...MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST. ALL OF THE MODELS
AGREE ON DROPPING THE UPPER LOW DOWN INTO THE OH VALLEY BY
THURS...BUT SHOW SOME KEY LONGITUDINAL DIFFERENCES THAT WILL
INFLUENCE THE EVOLUTION OF THE FRONTAL ZONE OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND
MID-ATLANTIC COASTAL PLAIN. THE GFS AND TO SOME EXTENT THE CMC
ADVANCE THE UPPER LOW A BIT FARTHER EAST AND MORE INTO THE UPPER
OH VALLEY WHICH ALLOWS THE FRONT AND POOL OF DEEPER MOISTURE ALONG
IT TO SET UP NEAR AND GENERALLY OFF THE EAST COAST.
MEANWHILE...THE UKMET AND ESPECIALLY THE ECMWF FOCUS THE UPPER LOW
A BIT FARTHER WEST AND INDICATE SUFFICIENT DIGGING OF HEIGHT FALLS
TO HELP BACK THE LOW AND MID LEVEL FLOW OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
SOUTHEAST COASTAL PLAIN. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED
TO FORM ALONG THE AFOREMENTIONED STALLED OUT FRONT OVER THE
CAROLINAS...BUT THE BACKING OF THE FLOW PER THE UKMET/ECMWF
SOLUTIONS WILL ALLOW THE BOUNDARY OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC TO
ACTUALLY LIFT BACK NORTH AND WOULD ALLOW FOR A SIGNIFICANT
RESURGENCE OF ATLANTIC MOISTURE OVER THE REGION. THIS WOULD SET
THE STAGE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL TO FOCUS ALONG THE FRONT GIVEN
INCREASINGLY DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW...AND
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE UP ACROSS THE COASTAL
PLAIN. CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM...BUT THE
UKMET GENERALLY REPRESENTS THE MODEL CONSENSUS REGARDING THE UPPER
LOW...AND GIVEN ITS LOCATION IT WOULD APPEAR THAT MOISTURE AND THE
THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WILL FOCUS UP ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD FROM
THE CAROLINAS NORTH INTO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC REGION. LOCALLY
SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AND ESPECIALLY NEAR THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION...THE DELMARVA AND UP INTO SOUTHEAST PA AND
NJ WHERE THERE IS A SIGNAL FOR FOCUSED MOISTURE CONVERGENCE.
LESSER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
AT THIS TIME. MEANWHILE...WRAPAROUND MOISTURE AND PRESENCE OF A
MID LEVEL DEFORMATION ZONE WILL FOCUS AT LEAST SOME MODERATE RAINS
WED INTO THURS ACROSS THE UPPER OH VALLEY AND LOWER LAKES REGION.


...FAR SOUTHERN TX...

MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE SUPPRESSED WITH TIME AS HIGH PRESSURE
NOSES SOUTH THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ALONG WITH DRIER AIR. THE
GUIDANCE THOUGH ON TUES HANGS ON TO A NORTH/SOUTH AXIS OF STRONGER
SURFACE CONVERGENCE NEAR THE LOWER TX COAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE COLD FRONT SETTLING FARTHER SOUTH THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME OF
THE GUIDANCE INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS RIGHT ALONG
AND JUST OFFSHORE THE SOUTH TX COAST THROUGH TUES...WITH THE
ACTIVITY GRADUALLY DIMINISHING ON WED. FOR NOW...WPC WENT WITH A
COMPROMISE SOLUTION ALLOWING FOR SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TO FOCUS
NEAR THE COAST.


...SOUTHWEST...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE REGION
AS MOISTURE ADVANCES WEST AROUND THE NORTHEAST FLANK OF A MID
LEVEL LOW CENTER ADVANCING ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA. MUCH OF THE
FOCUS WILL BE OROGRAPHIC IN NATURE...WITH GENERALLY THE HEAVIEST
RAINS FOCUSING NEAR THE MOGOLLON RIM...BUT SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY
WILL LIFT NORTH UP INTO SOUTHERN UT AND SOUTHWEST CO AS WELL.

HURLEY/ORRISON

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 501320 500315 497315 495319 491320 490317 490312 481288
      481280 479273 468273 473264 480254 481249 481247 482242
      486243 488241 492235 490227 487223 485221 485218 485213
      487212 490211 493211 496214 498217 501219 507219 511203
      511197 510194 508188 508180 510175 518166 524167 528170
      531171 533168 536163 542159 544157 547158 550159
 0.01 567941 565948 561953 553958 549960 544961 541961 539963
      534963 519963 511963 504962 487949 477940 471932 465923
      458917 453903 456888 454879 450872 449868 446866 440866
      435862 434861 436857 438852 442848 446845 447841 445839
      439840 433842 427844 422846 413854 395872 369908 364914
      361921 355933 343954 336964 332975 327985 324995 321011
      322016 317021 316028 316032 317034 324044 325049 330052
      334055 336061 339072 341085 341094 339102 336108 331114
      324121 320126 318129 320134 323139 324141 324145 317151
      300156 294151 290147 287142 284140 280139 276146 269136
      263125 259121 255119 249118 246115 245110 249109 256111
      262114 268117 274120 291136 300144 306136 308134 307130
      304129 298129 294126 288116 282104 276094 269085 262074
      256066 245050 242038 239031 239023 236009 232997 230990
      231979 230967 234953 239944 244941 250939 256936 261931
      263925 265920 270919 275921 277922 279920 282914 285907
      285898 285888 286882 288876 288870 293858 293848 293839
      288834 282833 271831 263832 256831 245827 241826 241823
      242816 243805 247800 253797 258793 264793 282781 287775
      291770 295765 295758 297751 300746 304742 308739 315737
      322737 329739 334741 339744 343747 349758 350767 350773
      349776 346783 343788 344792 346794 349795 352794 358784
      369759 373746 375741 376737 375733 373731 374728 376721
      380716 385710 392708 396705 400703
 0.01 400703 422689 433686 440684 445680 448675 449668 451662
      454660 456662 463669 466677 468684 483703 487707 490712
      499719 505728 509734 512739 525762 535786 541799 547811
      549817 552820 559828
 0.01 364867 363864 360863 358862 355862 348869 340875 334883
      327890 325894 324902 326906 328906 335906 344901 349899
      352894 356885 359880 361874 364867
 0.01 338919 336917 333917 328917 324916 323922 323928 323934
      323939 321942 323945 325941 328937 330932 332930 335926
      337921 338919
 0.01 330837 328835 326836 324836 323838 321840 320842 320845
      320847 320849 322850 323849 323848 325846 326844 327842
      328840 328839 330837
 0.01 321949 321947 319946 318947 318949 319951 321949
 0.25 525254 519250 514242 509235 505233 501234 499237 498244
      499249 498252 494254 492258 488266 492269 494272 497284
      498287 501289 503289 510288 513288
 0.25 542198 540197 537194 536192 535189 532188 530189 528191
      526195 526198 526201 526205 528208 529211 530215 531218
      533221 534223 535225
 0.25 560870 560855 557848 551834 545824 539812 531798 524781
      520775 514771 504766 499762 501770 492777 487778 484782
      482790 484797 486801 490801 497802 503806 508811 512816
      516823 522838 524843 523850 522860 520867 518875 517879
      514881 510883 497884 491886 487886 485882 482861 481851
      480840 477832 475828 475823 473810 472799 469785 466781
      461778 457775 453772 446768 443766 441762 437755 438745
      434744 428750 426753 423755 418758 413759 409759 406752
      410747 414743 423735 426730 426723 425719 423715 416714
      409717 403722 388746 380758 374769 370781 364791 348813
      344820 345832 345843 345849 352846 358842 365833 371824
      379814 385811 393808 400806 408806 411808 409812 406819
      403825 399831 391844 389850 391852 393850 401841 409834
      420824 428821 437819 451821 455825 457830 457835 479934
      484939 490942 495944 501947 513948 519948 525947 531944
      537940 543934 547928 548923 548916 547912 547908 550890
      554878 558873 560870
 0.25 495758 492754 488750 484745 481741 476738 475737 473740
      475743 480744 485748 489752 493756 495758
 0.25 388858 388854 385854 384857 382859 382861 380865 378868
      378871 380871 382869 384866 385863 386861 388858
 0.25 343770 342764 341760 336754 331748 324745 319745 316746
      309751 303755 299763 298771 297776 297781 295790 295795
      297798 302804 306812 309818 314818 317816 321810 325802
      329796 335790 339784 341775 343770
 0.25 325100 326094 324089 320080 307062 309048 310042 310035
      307023 309017 313013 316007 318002 320991 319984 315980
      308981 303981 294977 292972 294966 299955 301949 299942
      297937 293935 289935 286938 277945 274948 268949 263952
      259951 251954 246956 241960 236969 235975 236980 236986
      235992 237998 240002 245006 249010 254018 257021 259025
      259031 258038 258050 256053 259057 266062 284074 299086
      314101 318103 321103 325100
 0.25 269812 268806 263803 257802 252804 251812 248816 246821
      247822 250824 255820 258815 263815 268814 269812
 0.50 525258 519255 516250 511245 509240 506238 504239 504247
      506253 507261 506266 505268 502269 499271 501280 504284
      509283 514283 516284
 0.50 541202 540201 538202 537202 536204 535207 536208 536210
      537212 537213
 0.50 552857 551849 548843 544836 541831 538826 534823 532830
      531838 534843 538848 542853 545858 550859 552857
 0.50 540925 540920 538918 535916 531913 528907 528898 525895
      522891 516892 512894 507895 497896 488901 478902 476900
      476896 477891 476883 474880 473880 469882 467886 464892
      462898 462903 463905 468906 474906 475912 476921 478925
      481930 485934 489937 493939 504940 514939 525937 532933
      537929 540925
 0.50 475852 475850 475849 475848 473847 473848 473850 473851
      474853 475853 475852
 0.50 456808 455806 452804 450803 446803 443803 440804 437806
      435809 436813 439814 442814 445814 449813 452812 454811
      456808
 0.50 431764 431762 430761 429761 427761 425762 425763 424763
      422765 421766 421767 420768 421771 423772 424772 426771
      428770 428769 429768 430766 431765 431764
 0.50 427786 425782 423780 424777 420778 415782 408786 401789
      395793 390798 389802 390805 392804 398800 404797 413795
      421793 426788 427786
 0.50 409730 409728 407727 405727 404728 403729 402731 402732
      402734 401737 402739 403739 405738 406736 407736 408733
      409730
 0.50 400751 398746 393747 387756 382764 377776 374784 371790
      368794 362801 355810 351818 349826 349831 350837 352839
      354838 362829 373813 381808 385804 388799 383797 382793
      389785 391783 391779 389775 394766 398758 400751
 0.50 335773 335765 333759 329754 325751 318751 313754 308757
      304761 302767 302774 304791 305798 307803 311807 316805
      323797 326792 331788 334783 335776 335773
 0.50 315088 314082 311078 309075 299066 294061 293057 295054
      299049 300042 294043 287045 272050 265050 262052 261055
      266058 273061 279065 285070 296079 306087 312089 315088
 0.50 315996 291995 296989 298986 297983 293983 289987 287991
      284990 274989 273985 277985 283979 286976 288972 288964
      291955 294946 292942 287943 281948 275952 265955 259960
      250963 247964 244967 244975 255975 259977 261980 263984
      262986 252985 246984 242986 239990 238993 242999 256010
      261016 265021 269025 275026 285027 296028 299026 301023
      305014 306009 309006 313002 315996
 0.50 263811 263809 262807 261807 260805 258805 256807 256808
      257809 258810 260811 261811 262811 263811
 1.00 522262 521262 519261 518260 516260 514260 513261 513263
      512266 512268 512271 512274 514275 515277 517278
 1.00 501926 500924 497922 494921 492921 489919 487919 486921
      486922 487925 489927 492927 496928 499928 501926
 1.00 361818 362816 361814 359814 357815 356817 356818 355819
      354821 354822 353824 353826 352828 353829 355829 356828
      356827 357826 358825 359823 359822 360821 361819 361818
 1.00 328768 327764 325763 319763 312763 309768 309775 311781
      311790 312794 314796 315794 318789 322785 325781 327775
      328768
 1.00 297012 294009 290006 280001 271998 265997 261994 257992
      251990 247992 246996 247000 255005 262011 269018 273020
      279022 289021 292019 296014 297012
 1.00 283972 283968 282962 282959 279959 276960 270961 266962
      262964 259967 259972 263974 266975 270977 275977 279976
      283972 283972
 1.50 317770 316768 315768 314768 314770 315771 316770 317770
 1.50 291014 290010 287008 278004 271001 260998 255994 251994
      250997 251000 258004 263009 269015 272017 278018 287018
      291014
 1.50 278972 277971 277970 275969 274968 272968 270968 268968
      266967 265967 263967 262968 262970 263971 264972 266973
      268974 269974 270974 272975 274975 275975 276974 277973
      278972
 2.00 286014 285010 282007 277005 273003 269002 264003 264006
      266009 269013 272015 276016 280015 285015 286014
 2.00 255998 253998 255998 255998
 3.00 278009 276008 276007 275007 273005 271004 269005 268007
      269009 270011 271011 273012 274012 276012 277011 278010
      278009

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 462623 474662 477671 482678 485690 490700 507728 513742
      516748 519758 522765 526774 529783 532794 537816 538831
      539847 539859 539864 538866 538877 536887 531908 529913
      527917 523921 519926 514932 511934 507935 498935 495937
      491937 487935 483935 472935 464932 456933 453930 449923
      445916 442914 438914 435916 432916 425909 419910 415904
      413898 413894 414890 414884 412880 413876 414872 413867
      415858 418856 419850 419842 420837 424832 427826 430817
      434812 438805 441798 444789 448785 456783 458783 460780
      461776 462771 462764 464756 469739 472734 471727 467717
      463710 461707 459708 447714 445713 443714 441716 436711
      433708 430709 425714 415724 413728 412732 409741 404748
      398753 393760 387766 383774 380780 377787 373793 371802
      367809 366815 363822 348848 345855 340861 328875 320885
      316890 311895 303905 299907 298911 295912 293910 289893
      287890 286885 286879 288875 290868 291863 290856 289851
      288846 283840 280836 278835 272834 258830 253827 249828
      246827 243827 241822 238816 243803 248797 252790 264781
      274780 284780 291778 300775 304771 306767 306763 307747
      308743 311740 316735 324733 329728 334722 340717 354708
      362703 368701 371699 375697 377693 381688 391676 411657
      414653 418647 423636
 0.01 537196 537185 535177 532168 528163 518151 511147 509145
      506147 504145 500144 503148 508154 511162 506169 502171
      503177 501183 501191 501196 502199 505198 509199 511202
      514200 519199 523199 526201 533203 536199 537196
 0.01 524849 525845 525841 525831 521821 515811 514806 512799
      509787 505777 499766 494760 488760 485765 486769 484768
      486772 487780 487785 486789 487793 486808 489821 495829
      498832 499837 500845 499852 499859 501865 502868 504870
      507869 510866 515866 520865 524860 524849
 0.01 499229 498226 500225 499216 496211 493212 495215 491213
      484211 479212 475212 474214 478218 483218 490220 492226
      494229 497230 499229
 0.01 479241 480239 480236 479235 478234 476233 474233 473234
      473236 474238 475240 476241 478242 479241
 0.01 451696 450694 448693 447693 445694 444696 442697 440697
      439698 437700 439702 441701 443701 444700 446702 448700
      449699 451696
 0.01 448744 442745 439748 440753 439757 437763 435771 434778
      434780 432783 429788 426794 424801 422806 423813 429802
      431797 435792 438787 439782 443769 446762 447756 447751
      446746 448744
 0.01 378130 378127 375125 372122 367120 366112 362107 354106
      351106 349103 344089 338084 336082 331080 328081 326084
      321082 314081 304080 291074 282074 280076 280079 285083
      286088 288090 292090 296092 298097 297102 297109 298118
      300121 303123 303118 305117 307119 320119 326115 330115
      334117 336120 335123 331127 332130 330133 333141 339144
      344140 352141 355140 357135 361134 362132 364128 368127
      374132 378130
 0.01 345182 346176 345172 341165 338166 334164 329163 323156
      327152 324148 320146 313143 310143 306141 303135 294132
      292132 289135 287139 289143 292149 300154 308156 313157
      318159 323165 329169 337169 339172 341177 341180 344183
      345182
 0.01 226050 232053 238059 242059 244061 249065 261074 264074
      265072 265069 266066 268064 271067 277071 282070 282064
      290064 292058 288043 293026 293016 290010 284006 277002
      266995 261990 257983 258978 261977 268976 275974 281968
      285963 288956 285947 283945 278944 272942 267943 265944
      260949 258952 254954 252956 248956 241958 231965 231983
      231987 233992 235996 236000 238005 237011 239014 241020
      240026 238029 236033 231033 228032
 0.25 451627 452632 455639 457642 457648 457652 455655 448663
      444668 441674 434685 428698 415718 408729 400742 387760
      361803 360810 357817 353823 351829 345839 341840 341834
      335832 333832 332827 334820 337815 339808 340801 339797
      340792 337791 333789 329782 328779 327777 325777 321776
      319774 318769 315763 315751 350718 355714 363711 370708
      374703 383695 391686 408667 415658 422647 430634
 0.25 521889 521887 521886 519886 518886 517887 517889 518890
      519889 521889 521889
 0.25 489714 489711 488711 487709 485707 484707 483706 481707
      481708 481711 482712 482713 484714 486714 487715 489715
      489714
 0.25 484849 482842 478838 474837 469833 466829 460827 459825
      458822 457814 453811 450814 449817 455823 458829 457839
      455843 451847 445856 441860 440864 443868 449870 458869
      461874 460881 458887 458893 458898 460905 462909 464911
      467912 471908 474902 476896 477890 477880 475873 473867
      475860 482855 484849
 0.25 426867 427864 427862 427860 426858 424858 422860 421863
      421864 421865 421866 421867 423869 424869 426867 426867
 0.25 349778 348776 346778 345781 347781 348780 348779 349778
 0.25 284810 283806 280804 276802 272801 267800 263800 260803
      260805 260811 262815 266817 272817 276815 280813 284811
      284810
 0.25 284035 283030 280026 276025 273028 271032 270036 266038
      266041 269044 273044 276046 279045 280043 281039 284035
 0.25 230973 241977 252975 257974 263974 269973 273970 279963
      282958 281955 276956 272959 270953 266954 257958 247962
      241963 238965 231969
 0.25 274015 274011 271008 267005 265003 261000 257999 251000
      251002 254006 257008 260010 263014 266017 270019 274016
      274015
 0.25 252057 250053 248050 246046 247040 248036 245036 243040
      240042 237045 237051 241053 245054 249056 252057
 0.50 445629 443644 438657 434669 432676 429682 425694 422700
      418706 405726 400737 392748 386758 380766 373777 370783
      365787 361792 359797 358799 357804 355810 352814 350816
      346816 348801 350795 352791 354785 358781 364769 366763
      368756 366750 361751 357756 354762 351766 347770 343772
      338772 331772 327769 324763 320750 322745 328741 335738
      340735 347726 351721 355717 368712 373709 378703 393687
      402678 410668 424649 430639 436632
 0.50 470895 470893 470890 470888 470886 468886 466888 465890
      465891 464893 464895 463898 464900 464903 465903 467904
      468903 468902 469900 470898 470897 470895
 0.50 455857 455855 456852 456850 454849 454850 453851 452852
      451853 450855 449855 449858 450860 452860 453858 455857
      455857
 0.50 278809 278808 278807 276806 275805 274805 272805 270804
      269805 268806 268808 269810 269811 271812 273812 275812
      276811 277811 278809 278809
 0.50 274964 268962 265959 261959 254961 247964 241967 238969
      237973 242975 246975 253973 261972 267972 272967 274964
 1.00 427669 425664 423662 417667 409678 404685 397690 387700
      383705 375710 371713 363717 356721 352727 345739 331747
      328748 326751 327756 330759 334764 337765 342764 351753
      356749 362743 370732 375727 381722 385720 387722 391730
      393732 397731 402725 409714 417699 420692 422685 425676
      427669
 1.00 387747 381748 378752 375758 372763 369768 367773 369773
      371770 374765 377761 380757 385752 387747
 1.50 417681 416676 414680 409687 403694 398702 395710 394715
      396721 399721 401718 407710 411702 415694 417684 417681
 1.50 380716 379713 376713 371715 363719 356725 353733 351737
      348740 344743 341746 345750 349750 356746 362740 366731
      373725 379718 380716
 2.00 376719 377717 375715 373715 372717 370718 370719 368720
      368721 368723 369723 371723 372722 374721 376719 376719
 2.00 363731 363729 362728 360727 359728 357730 356732 355732
      355735 354736 354737 353740 355741 357741 358740 360739
      361738 362737 362735 362733 363732 363731

24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 231992 238993 242995 253996 255994 252990 253987 257986
      259983 265976 270973 272970 268962 265957 261954 256952
      252951 247952 243951 239951 237953 235955 232957
 0.01 477882 475875 471871 469868 467867 465869 465873 465878
      463880 461888 460892 462898 463908 465908 467906 469900
      472895 475888 477882
 0.01 445658 444650 443642 436641 432642 431645 420674 414685
      406695 401702 392710 383717 371724 368727 364728 358734
      348742 340750 332758 326765 321767 317771 312775 308780
      306785 300789 267788 262793 263796 261797 257800 254804
      253811 255817 259821 263824 264827 265831 269835 271837
      273841 275860 277867 282872 281878 282885 283887 283891
      284899 282904 284909 284912 286914 288910 290908 290904
      293899 297894 300888 303869 306863 311858 316853 323842
      326832 334823 340821 345817 347814 351814 355813 357815
      362810 367806 371804 373802 376799 377805 374809 371812
      367816 362819 355829 349837 348844 344849 342864 343869
      346871 347875 350875 356862 362854 365854 370856 375852
      381850 385847 390845 393844 397842 398846 399856 398860
      398865 396874 397883 403886 412885 419886 420890 420896
      424900 429902 431900 439892 442885 446880 451877 454872
      457867 457863 458859 458853 458842 455836 452830 450828
      450824 451818 450810 449802 451794 453789 453782 452773
      450767 439762 436761 434756 432743 433734 436727 435720
      433714 433708 434701 433692 436686 441674 443670 444664
      445658
 0.01 412108 410102 408100 404102 401103 397101 396096 392094
      389087 386082 386078 389079 392080 393078 393072 395069
      398065 398062 396060 393061 391065 387065 381065 376064
      369061 364063 356064 351068 345070 340069 334072 327074
      319073 311072 305074 301073 298071 292067 284063 281056
      258044 254039 252030 252009 251005 249003 246009 239017
      238023 238033 236038 235044 235053 239058 244062 247067
      254069 267076 276077 285080 292082 298085 299090 300091
      304095 308101 313105 317109 320110 324109 328111 333114
      338120 338123 336125 337128 343131 346140 355142 358142
      359146 362152 367152 372149 376148 378146 380145 384147
      391149 393142 398135 395128 399123 408117 408114 410111
      412108
 0.01 348192 348187 345185 345176 345166 341159 339156 336154
      335158 338162 339165 330165 328167 330169 339171 340179
      341183 341188 343191 347193 348192
 0.25 231988 239989 243990 244986 244982 246980 250978 255975
      259971 260967 259965 255962 248960 243959 237960 232963
      231963
 0.25 437796 438790 437784 436777 433773 426768 421761 419757
      417751 417745 418741 418731 419723 420701 419695 417696
      409704 405710 402716 400725 395731 386744 369754 358761
      351766 333779 309804 298811 292809 285805 276802 268802
      261807 260811 262815 267818 272822 277822 280820 283819
      285821 300823 306825 313823 318823 322822 326817 332812
      340808 348802 356798 367790 381782 388780 396782 398788
      396793 391799 382811 381818 385823 386827 389829 397832
      407834 412841 414847 413852 410859 409862 409868 411871
      414874 422875 425874 428869 433861 436851 438840 436832
      435818 435813 436805 437796
 0.25 375102 375100 375098 374097 372097 371097 369096 367095
      366097 365099 365101 366102 368103 370104 372103 374103
      375102
 0.25 376821 374819 373819 371822 369823 367826 365828 364829
      362832 364833 366831 368829 371827 372826 374823 376821
 0.25 349114 347105 349100 348097 347091 346086 341085 337083
      333081 330082 323087 320090 320093 325100 329105 333106
      338112 342115 347115 349114
 0.25 273067 270062 264058 259053 252049 247045 244044 242045
      240049 241052 246057 251061 258065 266068 271068 273067
 0.50 432792 431786 426784 422786 419784 420778 421772 420768
      415760 412747 413740 412730 411718 409715 406719 402728
      396738 391745 387749 383751 375756 366764 360769 351773
      341779 338782 334787 328794 323801 321804 320810 323811
      326810 331808 339803 346798 355793 363786 371783 379778
      391775 396776 401778 408784 411786 409791 407794 403802
      404806 407809 408814 407821 410828 416832 418834 424836
      426839 428835 429824 429814 430804 432792
 0.50 261062 261059 259056 257055 254053 252052 248050 247050
      245052 246054 249056 252058 253059 257061 260061 261062
 0.50 231977 235977 237978 239977 242977 245976 248974 250973
      252971 252970 251968 249966 247966 244967 241967 239967
      235968 232969 231969
 1.00 411770 409756 408750 406745 405740 400741 395747 388753
      380758 377762 376767 378769 380770 384771 394770 402773
      406774 409773 411770
 1.00 354784 354782 351780 348780 346781 343783 342785 341788
      341792 343792 346791 348789 351787 353786 354784
 1.00 341794 341793 339794 339795 341795 341794
 1.50 407766 407759 407755 405752 403750 397750 394752 390755
      386758 383761 383764 387767 390767 396768 399769 403769
      406767 407766
 2.00 404762 404757 403755 401753 398753 395754 393755 390757
      388760 387763 388765 392766 395766 397766 401767 404764
      404762
 3.00 400763 400760 398758 396758 395758 393759 392759 392762
      393762 395763 397762 398763 399763 400763

$$




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