Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 040849
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
349 AM EST MON DEC 04 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID DEC 04/1200 UTC THRU DEC 07/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

...NORTHERN TIER FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE GREAT LAKES...

ROBUST CYCLOGENESIS...SOME OF THE FIRST TO OCCUR THIS FALL/WINTER
SEASON EAST OF THE ROCKIES...WILL TAKE PLACE TODAY...WITH THE
SURFACE LOW TRACKING FROM THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY / CIRCA SIOUX
FALLS SD / UP THROUGH NORTHWEST WISCONSIN BY EVENING. GUIDANCE
CONTINUES IN GOOD AGREEMENT...ESPECIALLY WITH SOME ADJUSTMENTS
SEEN IN THE 00Z GFS WHICH BRINGS THAT MODEL MORE IN LINE WITH THE
ECMWF/UKMET. THE NAM IS JUST SLIGHTLY LESS INTENSE AND TRACKS THE
SURFACE LOW SLIGHTLY FARTHER EAST. THE QPFS FROM THE GFS/ECMWF
WERE SO SIMILAR IT WAS EASY TO USE THEM AS THE MAJORITY BASIS FOR
A BLEND THAT ALSO INCLUDED SOME OF OUR IN-HOUSE ENSEMBLE AND THE
00Z WRF-ARW. A FAIRLY STRONG RETURN OF GULF MOISTURE INTO THIS
SYSTEM WILL SUPPORT RELATIVELY HEAVY PRECIPITATION ONCE THE TWO
GEL OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST AND WESTERN/NORTHERN GREAT LAKES. THE
WPC FORECAST DEPICTS AREAL AVERAGE LIQUID EQUIVALENT OF A HALF
INCH OR GREATER FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN MINNESOTA...WITH HIGHER
AMOUNTS OVER 1.00 INCH NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. WITH MUCH OF
THIS FALLING AS SNOW...REFER TO THE WPC HEAVY SNOW DISCUSSION AND
LOCAL WFO PRODUCTS FOR DETAILS ON HEAVY SNOW AND IN SOME CASES
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED. THE SWATH OF HEAVIER PRECIPITATION
CONTINUES DOWNSTREAM INTO THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT WHERE THE TYPE
WILL BE RAIN OVER WISCONSIN...THE U.P...AND THE NORTHERN PART OF
LOWER MICHIGAN. PERSISTENT UPGLIDE HERE AND CONVERGENCE AT THE
NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET ARE RESULTING IN A STRONG MODEL SIGNAL
FOR PERHAPS MORE THAN TWO INCHES OF RAIN GRADUALLY ACCUMULATING
OVER PARTS OF MICHIGAN. THIS EVENT WILL PROBABLY BREAK SOME LOCAL
DAILY PRECIPITATION RECORDS SUCH AS THE 0.96 INCH RECORD FOR SAULT
STE. MARIE.


...TEXAS AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY TO THE OHIO VALLEY...

ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEVELOPING NORTHERN PLAINS CYCLONE...LARGE
SCALE HEIGHT FALLS ARE SET TO OCCUR MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE
40...BUT A SURGING STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ENCOUNTER A FEW HUNDRED
J/KG OF MUCAPE IN AREAS FARTHER SOUTH...AND THE HI-RES MODELS
SUGGEST THIS WILL SUPPORT EVOLUTION INTO A LENGTHY NARROW SQUALL
LINE ADVANCING THROUGH THE MIDWEST / MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO
THE OHIO VALLEY. THE AREA NEAR THE ARKLATEX HAS THE ADVANTAGE OF
SOMEWHAT GREATER INSTABILITY AND SOME PADDING FROM EARLY MORNING
WARM ADVECTION-FORCED PRECIPITATION TO BOOST 24-HOUR TOTALS. AREAS
DOWNSTREAM TOWARD WESTERN TENNESSEE SHOULD SEE A LITTLE BETTER
DEVELOPED SQUALL LINE WITH SOME TRAILING STRATIFORM REGION...ALONG
WITH SOMEWHAT LINGERING MID LEVEL CONFLUENCE / FORCING COMPARED TO
THE VERY RAPID PROGRESSION OF A NARROW SQUALL LINE IN AREAS FROM
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TO ILLINOIS. THUS...WPC PREFERRED SOLUTIONS
SUCH AS THE ECMWF...HREF MEAN...AND WRF-ARW...WHICH HIGHLIGHT SOME
HEAVIER TOTALS / AREAL AVERAGE 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES / IN THE DAY 1
PERIOD FROM FAR NORTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND
INCLUDING PARTS OF LA/MS/TN. THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING SHOULD
BE MINIMIZED BY THE WEAK INSTABILITY...QUICK PROGRESSION...AND
RECENT DRY WEATHER...BUT THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF
TRAINING AND BRIEF RAPID RUNOFF IN THE MOST HYDROLOGICALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE LOCATIONS.


DAYS 2/3...

...GREAT LAKES REGION...

AT 12Z TUESDAY WILL HAVE A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
NORTH OF LAKE SUPERIOR IN SOUTHERN CANADA. LIKELY TO HAVE A
CONTINUATION OF LIGHT SNOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS LOW ACROSS
PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHERN MN/WI/MI INTO THE DAY TUESDAY. LAKE
EFFECT SNOWS WILL ALSO BECOME MORE PRONOUNCED WITH TIME...FIRST
OFF OF LAKE SUPERIOR...AND THEN EVENTUALLY OFF OF LAKE ERIE AND
ONTARIO WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. WIND DIRECTION WILL STAY PRETTY
CONSTANT FROM THE WEST SOUTHWEST...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF SOME LONGER DURATION LAKE EFFECT BANDS...WITH STEEP
LAPSE RATES UP TO 700-800 MB SUPPORTIVE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RATES.
FOR THIS REASON STAYED ON THE HIGHER SIDE OF GUIDANCE FOR LAKE
EFFECT QPF...AND WILL LIKELY HAVE TO INCREASE THESE AMOUNTS MORE
AS WE GET CLOSER...CONFIDENCE ON LOCATION INCREASES...AND MORE
HIGH RES GUIDANCE BECOMES AVAILABLE.

...COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM THE NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
U.S...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH FROM THE DEEP LOW OVER CANADA WILL
STEADILY PROGRESS EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY...WITH A BROAD
SHIELD OF RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH IT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ALONG THE
FRONT SHOULD GENERALLY INCREASE AFTER 12Z TUESDAY...DUE TO A
COMBINATION OF INCREASING MID/UPPER JET ENERGY AND AN UPTICK IN
LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG THE FRONT. THE REMNANTS OF THE SYSTEM
THAT PRODUCED CONVECTION OVER TX ON SUNDAY WILL BE ADVECTED
NORTHEAST AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...SUPPLYING THE AFOREMENTIONED
INCREASED LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE TO PORTIONS OF THE OH/TN VALLEY.
MEANWHILE AN ENHANCED AREA OF MOISTURE OFF THE CAROLINA COAST WILL
EVENTUALLY ADVECT NORTH INTO NEW ENGLAND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE
COMBINATION OF INCREASED FORCING AND MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN A
BROAD SWATH OF 0.5"+ RAINFALL ALONG THE FRONT STRETCHING FROM THE
GULF COAST INTO NEW ENGLAND.

THE GREATEST SYNOPTIC FORCING WITH THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE OVER THE
NORTHEAST...AND THUS ANTICIPATING A GREATER AREAL COVERAGE NEAR 1"
HERE. A LACK OF INSTABILITY SHOULD PREVENT AMOUNTS FROM GETTING
MUCH HIGHER...ALTHOUGH SOME OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT MAY PUSH SOME
LOCATIONS TO NEAR 2". RATES SHOULD NOT BE HIGH WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
ONE EXCEPTION COULD BE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. SOME
THREAT SOME WEAK INSTABILITY GETS ADVECTED NORTH OFF THE ATLANTIC
TUESDAY NIGHT...WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR SOME EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE CORES
AND LOCALIZED 2" TOTALS HERE AS WELL. THE MID ATLANTIC REGION MAY
SEE A RELATIVE MIN IN TOTALS...BEING LOCATED IN BETWEEN THE BETTER
FORCING AND THE WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO THE SOUTH. WPC QPF FROM
THE MID ATLANTIC INTO THE NORTHEAST WAS MAINLY BASED OFF A BLEND
OF THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET...WITH SOME INCORPORATION OF THE HIGH RES
GUIDANCE AS WELL.

IN THE WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS FROM KY/TN AND POINTS
SOUTHWEST...SHOULD HAVE A LOW TOPPED CONVECTIVE LINE PROGRESSING
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. SHOULD
END UP WITH A SWATH OF 1" RAIN WITH THIS CONVECTIVE LINE....WITH
THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE LINE LIMITING THE MAGNITUDE OF
TOTALS. GENERALLY THINK THAT THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE
FRONT...ALONG WITH THE LIMITED INSTABILITY CAPPING RATES...SHOULD
PREVENT ANY FLASH FLOOD RISK FROM DEVELOPING. STILL A LOW END
CHANCE THAT ISOLATED ISSUES COULD DEVELOP ALONG AN AXIS FROM
NORTHERN MS/AL INTO FAR SOUTHERN TN. IT IS HERE WHERE WEAK WAVES
RIDING ALONG THE FRONT MAY ALLOW FOR A PERIOD OF FAVORABLE CELL
ORIENTATION FOR REPEAT CONVECTION. WHILE INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY
BE EXHAUSTED QUICKLY RESULTING IN DECREASING RATES WITH TIME...CAN
NOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED FLOODING THREAT. THUS WILL MAINTAIN THE
MARGINAL RISK. EITHER WAY THIS MARGINAL RISK AREA SHOULD SEE A
RELATIVE MAXIMUM IN RAINFALL TOTALS...WITH 1-2" (ISOLATED 2-3")
AMOUNTS LIKELY. CONVECTION WILL LIKELY EXTEND SOUTHWEST OF THIS
AREA INTO LA AND SOUTHERN MS...ALTHOUGH BEING FURTHER DISPLACED
FROM THE SYNOPTIC FORCING SHOULD RESULT IN LESS COVERAGE AND THUS
LOWER AREAL AVERAGED AMOUNTS. WPC QPF FROM THE GULF COAST INTO THE
TN VALLEY WAS PRIMARILY BASED ON THE HRW ARW AND ARW2...WHICH
SEEMED TO HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON THE SHOWER AND CONVECTIVE
EVOLUTION.

...SOUTHERN U.S. DAY 3...

WHILE THE SURFACE FRONT SHOULD CLEAR BOTH THE EAST COAST AND GULF
COAST WEDNESDAY...THE ELEVATED BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN
OVERHEAD...WITH MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE LINGERING FROM TX
EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.S. AS SUBTLE MID/UPPER LEVEL WAVES
INTERACT WITH THIS MOISTURE LIKELY TO HAVE AREAS OF STRATIFORM
PRECIPITATION REDEVELOP. SOME MODEL SPREAD BY THIS POINT WITH THE
DETAILS. THE GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS KEEPS THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
FROM CENTRAL/SOUTH TEXAS INTO LA. HAVE SEEN A PRETTY CONSISTENT
TREND NORTHWARD WITH THIS AXIS ON RECENT MODEL RUNS. WPC THUS
TRENDED IN THIS DIRECTION AS WELL...WITH OUR QPF BASED OFF OF THE
GFS/ECMWF AND GEFS MEAN. STAYED AWAY FROM THE 0Z NAM...WHICH
APPEARS TO BE LAGGING TRENDS AND IS TOO FAR SOUTH OVER TEXAS.


BURKE/CHENARD

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML




24HR QP VT 05/12Z
 0.01 542901 542891 542881 540866 539858 537851 532840 509810
      506800 503790 499777 498770 499763 501753 504744 505735
      504723 503714 500707 500703 498701 495696 489690 487688
      484689 478690 474694 473698 468708 461728 456743 447757
      436770 429775 420780 411785 407788 403792 396799 392803
      389807 367836 346862 337874 329887 324897 321901 316904
      301910 304914 305916 305920 301928 297936 295941 293944
      288949 289953 291955 296960 296970 296983 298987 300990
      306994 315987 327981 334977 343969 351963 359960 364958
      372959 381958 392952 398943 403934 409926 413924 416922
      419926 422933 427933 430934 429943 423956 421965 419970
      418977 417982 416990 416013 414019 415026 415034 415040
      415044 413047 411051 407053 395059 393063 390065 389068
      390073 392075 393068 400062 396072 396077 399081 405086
      407097 405103 402106 399111 395113 392114 395115 399114
      403116 404119 406119 412120 416118 420120 426117 432112
      439108 447110 450115 453118 459117 464117 468114 469110
      466104 463102 453098 450095 448098 439094 436093 432093
      428086 427081 429076 431071 432065 431061 431054 434045
      438047 440050 452061 462067 465070 468075 472078 477081
      484088 495102 498105 501107 503106 503100 503092 500083
      499077 499069 499064 498056 493051 490048 486046 481047
      477046 476043 474036 470028 468026 469023 473020 482015
      490007 493005 497001 500992 504982 508972 521957 535931
      540915 542901
 0.01 481135 481134 480132 479131 478131 477132 477134 477137
      477138 479138 479137 481136 481135
 0.01 464154 465152 465149 464146 463145 461143 459143 458144
      457145 456147 456150 456152 456155 456156 458157 460157
      461157 462156 463155 464154
 0.01 453083 453078 451076 450073 448071 447070 445070 442069
      440069 438070 434071 437074 439075 443075 445077 447080
      449082 453083 453083
 0.01 429106 430102 429099 427096 424091 421093 418100 416104
      415108 414112 415115 419114 423112 423110 426107 429106
 0.01 420154 419152 420149 420147 421145 422143 421142 421143
      419144 418147 418149 418151 417154 417156 418157 419156
      420154 420154
 0.01 421081 423079 422077 420077 418078 418081 420081 421081
      421081
 0.01 365054 365046 364043 359031 358025 358018 358010 356005
      353004 349009 346020 345026 344033 344037 345039 343043
      343050 346055 352056 356053 361057 365054 365054
 0.01 350782 354774 352768 350766 348762 347759 341758 336760
      328768 320778 314787 309792 309800 315804 323799 332796
      341791 350782
 0.01 305814 304810 302806 302802 300798 297797 292795 287790
      285789 282790 271795 267796 267792 264786 261784 257784
      253787 256802 256806 259806 263805 265807 278810 281812
      286811 291813 297816 304815 305814
 0.01 307875 307870 306867 303859 300856 296856 292857 293862
      289868 286875 283883 283891 287892 289889 292888 294889
      298889 301886 305880 307875
 0.25 531896 532890 530877 528866 522859 512857 505855 502848
      501837 500828 498819 496812 494807 490801 484788 480782
      476776 471771 464774 454779 447784 441792 438797 434800
      427801 422804 414816 409819 402822 394831 386838 369853
      357867 326904 320913 315921 304939 301945 300949 301953
      303959 304969 306975 309976 313975 322971 326971 330969
      337962 341958 345956 355954 368948 378940 386934 395924
      401915 405904 410897 413891 415886 417883 417878 412873
      411869 414862 416856 413849 414844 418839 426832 429828
      432830 439829 443832 435839 428850 426858 425862 426867
      430873 434876 439887 441892 443900 447912 451923 452929
      454935 447968 441980 439986 438994 438999 441999 445996
      448993 453993 457996 460999 466999 475990 490973 506952
      525922 529907 531896
 0.25 484748 485738 482734 481733 476736 473740 469746 466752
      464757 465762 466764 469765 472765 477761 480756 484751
      484748
 0.25 438016 438012 438007 436007 434008 432010 430013 429016
      428018 427023 427027 429030 430030 433028 434026 435023
      437019 438016
 0.25 339779 337776 334778 332779 328780 327781 325784 324787
      322789 321792 321794 324793 326792 330791 331789 333787
      335784 337782 339779
 0.25 302872 302869 301867 299865 298866 299868 299870 299872
      301873 302872
 0.25 280802 281800 279799 277799 276800 274801 275803 276803
      278803 280803 280802
 0.50 524894 524878 522871 520868 514867 509868 505870 502870
      499864 497857 495850 494842 485821 483814 483809 481803
      478797 473789 466786 460785 455787 451791 449796 446807
      445811 446815 449818 450826 451836 450842 447848 443850
      440853 439858 441863 443880 445887 448890 451890 453889
      456886 463880 464888 464898 463905 462912 460919 461922
      464925 466930 467935 466940 463948 462953 463959 466960
      468960 469963 470967 472972 476973 481970 489961 498950
      504942 509933 514925 519915 523904 524894
 0.50 394858 394852 392849 386850 380853 374857 363865 354874
      344885 337895 328907 322917 318925 313930 310934 308941
      305947 306952 311955 312958 316960 324957 327959 331958
      336956 341952 351942 355938 358932 372907 375899 377891
      379884 382877 390866 394858
 1.00 516889 517883 515881 512880 509881 500887 492896 485905
      483913 484919 481925 480932 481935 485936 490934 495931
      498926 501920 504916 510905 514899 516892 516889
 1.00 482859 482849 479842 475823 474813 472806 467799 461798
      459798 457800 457808 455818 455826 455837 454845 451853
      450861 451869 454871 457870 462866 467863 474864 480862
      482859
 1.00 362885 362880 359880 355883 348892 342902 333908 330915
      330919 327932 335927 342917 348907 354897 360887 362885
 1.00 341941 342939 341938 340939 339939 338941 337943 337945
      337947 337948 338947 339946 340945 340943 341942 341941
 1.50 475845 474838 472833 470823 469815 467811 463808 461812
      459816 458822 457835 456847 454857 456863 460861 465856
      473850 475845
 2.00 468841 468836 467834 465830 462832 461834 460837 460842
      459845 459849 460853 461850 463848 465846 467843 468841

24HR QP VT 06/12Z
 0.01 559839 557823 555815 554805 551791 547779 540758 532737
      525722 521713 520706 520699 518684 518676 516671 514657
      510650 508644 504638 500635 497633 487634 476638 467641
      464644 458646 438652 435652 431655 425659 413668 384689
      353717 342730 330742 322756 319763 315770 310777 304782
      298785 291791 298797 301802 305801 317798 324793 331788
      335786 339786 333793 329801 327804 324807 319812 309822
      302827 296833 287846 281855 273861 266867 259873 252887
      253893 255897 259905 268905 271906 273910 275914 273918
      270927 265932 259938 244945 238954 235958 235965 236970
      237977 242984 244986 245991 249000 263009 270005 277004
      284002 285998 288997 293996 298996 305993 308990 310986
      310980 312973 320967 324964 327960 333952 337944 346927
      349918 352909 354900 357894 358888 360885 365879 373865
      385852 392844 400837 415824 419821 423820 432816 434815
      435817 437820 441823 444822 448820 451823 453827 452834
      441849 436850 434847 429848 427850 425852 427855 429859
      433861 435864 442864 453861 460854 462853 462856 464864
      465868 465875 464880 462886 458893 455898 453900 450901
      448902 448906 450916 459928 464935 466938 469940 472952
      473957 477960 487965 491970 495972 499972 502972 504970
      508970 511967 539948 546944 553939 554937 555933 555918
      556913 556906 556897 557889 557876 558864 558848 559839
 0.01 524081 525069 525065 524062 518053 517041 512034 493021
      491017 487014 484011 478009 469003 461996 448983 444977
      440973 432967 423949 412926 410929 410937 412947 418960
      423971 432990 436995 438996 437999 431999 429004 428007
      425008 425013 426018 430021 434021 437023 441027 441032
      438033 437039 439045 442048 447049 450050 450054 451058
      453060 458062 463065 468066 474074 479074 479067 491069
      495072 500076 506083 514087 519088 522086 524081
 0.01 453100 453099 452098 452095 452094 450092 448094 448097
      448098 449099 449101 451101 453101 453100
 0.01 453081 452078 450075 448073 446071 443071 440071 439072
      443073 444077 445080 447082 449083 451083 453081
 0.01 457037 457032 456028 455025 452022 451020 447020 446017
      442017 439019 440021 442026 444028 445031 446034 448036
      450038 453039 457037
 0.01 428836 428831 427829 426831 426834 424836 425841 423843
      422848 423848 425846 427843 426838 428836
 0.01 338097 337086 334079 327072 325063 326059 327058 330056
      329053 326051 319044 313041 309038 303038 300039 299044
      300056 300067 299081 299090 302100 306108 308112 312113
      315112 317109 319105 321098 322095 326092 328093 330097
      332100 336099 338097
 0.01 280811 280806 278803 274797 270791 266791 262791 258793
      256795 259803 261805 262808 257813 259817 263819 266819
      268812 272811 277811 280811
 0.25 552862 552853 551847 549834 547822 543813 537805 532800
      526796 521800 514806 508813 503818 499826 496830 493833
      489833 486831 479829 475829 472830 468835 467840 468851
      469861 471865 472870 470877 468881 465891 464896 464902
      467904 471902 476893 478889 482887 487889 487900 483911
      484917 486921 492925 497926 506928 516927 523926 530922
      536915 540906 543898 545887 550873 552862
 0.25 510692 509680 506670 503664 499659 496655 492653 486651
      481652 474658 463662 456665 450665 440672 426680 421683
      416688 408697 400704 396708 392712 390717 389723 377741
      370754 368759 364765 361771 358776 353778 349782 343789
      339798 336805 336811 337820 334825 321848 319853 315858
      306864 302867 297869 288876 283883 284888 287891 292896
      295898 295902 290913 281935 268960 264960 263962 268967
      266970 261974 261978 265983 265986 266989 270990 273988
      280982 288974 294968 299958 302952 306946 310943 312949
      315948 318943 320937 323932 335917 341908 346897 359873
      373854 383837 389827 395817 398812 403806 412798 417793
      420788 424777 426771 427769 430768 437775 446777 449784
      452784 454781 451780 454773 461772 466768 481751 486748
      489743 493739 497735 502727 507716 510692
 0.25 458844 459842 459839 457839 457840 456841 455842 454844
      453845 453846 452848 452850 453851 455851 456850 456849
      457847 458846 458844
 0.25 431785 431783 431782 430783 429784 428786 428788 427788
      426791 425793 425795 424796 425798 427796 428794 429793
      430791 430790 430788 431786 431785
 0.25 373724 371720 366721 360726 354733 349739 344747 344752
      342755 327766 321772 316779 315784 317788 325785 331783
      334780 341776 345774 348770 350767 350762 348760 350757
      352755 352753 354750 365736 371729 373724
 0.25 268800 267798 266797 265798 266800 266801 268800 268800
 0.50 545858 545850 543843 541834 538828 535826 531825 526826
      519832 515840 509860 501878 498884 496889 496901 498907
      501909 508912 514913 519912 525907 531899 535891 543872
      545863 545858
 0.50 496691 496681 494675 488665 486661 482660 479665 476668
      466667 455669 450670 446672 439678 432687 426695 418700
      411705 404713 398721 393727 387735 378753 374763 374767
      377769 393769 395775 397775 400775 402778 407782 412782
      416779 417773 419762 422760 427759 443768 445767 446763
      444757 442745 442737 444731 446730 450730 453732 459738
      464737 467734 476726 483720 488713 493704 496696 496691
 0.50 476845 476842 474841 473841 471842 470843 470846 471847
      473847 475846 476845
 0.50 472890 473887 473885 471883 470884 469885 468888 468890
      468891 469893 470895 471892 472890
 0.50 469898 470895 468893 468895 467897 466898 467898 468898
      469898
 0.50 427743 426741 426739 426738 425739 424739 425741 425742
      426743 427744 427743
 0.50 398798 397793 394792 388795 384798 378800 372807 366815
      359824 355827 348827 343826 340829 337839 335846 333853
      326860 320866 315869 314873 295914 291925 289931 290938
      291943 290948 290955 292956 300946 302941 303935 306924
      310915 312913 312916 310923 312929 315934 319932 322928
      326919 340900 350884 362864 372849 382826 392808 396803
      398798
 1.00 473715 473713 473710 472708 471707 469708 469709 468710
      467712 467714 467715 467717 467719 468721 469721 471720
      472718 472717 473715
 1.00 458694 457688 455685 452684 451679 448677 445678 440684
      437690 436695 436700 436706 435709 435714 436718 441717
      443715 446707 451701 456697 458694
 1.00 438758 435743 434730 429721 427719 426715 423713 416713
      413718 412723 410728 409735 413735 417733 422733 428733
      430738 432749 433758 437759 438758
 1.00 421747 421744 420742 419741 418742 417743 417745 418747
      418748 420748 421747
 1.00 364849 363846 361846 361842 363839 362836 358834 355836
      350842 345848 342855 341865 338873 333889 328902 325907
      327909 331902 336896 340890 345884 349877 357863 364849
 1.00 325913 325911 324909 323911 322912 322913 321914 320915
      319917 318917 318920 319922 321922 322919 323919 323917
      323915 324914 325913
 1.00 310905 310903 311901 309899 308900 307901 306902 305903
      304904 303905 302907 301910 301911 300912 300914 301915
      303916 304914 304913 306911 307909 308908 308907 310905
      310905
 1.50 354861 353857 348857 346862 344865 343870 341875 340880
      342882 345878 347875 350871 352867 353863 354861

24HR QP VT 07/12Z
 0.01 459624 466624 473626 480628 485630 489631 492634 494641
      497644 501653 502659 502663 493669 493681 492696 491708
      486704 481701 477700 472701 467700 462702 462706 457722
      456725 457731 453738 446758 440775 438785 434784 432788
      425811 423822 422827 420830 417826 416821 415813 416807
      420790 422782 426774 430773 431769 434760 436749 440738
      443734 446731 446726 447722 448719 447715 442714 436715
      431719 418731 413734 409736 402741 397745 392751 387757
      383763 377769 368775 362779 356784 351787 349791 345801
      342810 337821 334829 332833 332839 328861 326864 326868
      323877 320894 319906 318918 318941 318956 318963 319969
      322979 324988 332008 333013 333019 332032 329040 328051
      328061 328068 329079 328092 327103 326107 321108 316109
      313111 307113 302112 297104 295100 291098 289098 285094
      279090 275086 275081 274079 272077 269075 273060 276054
      277049 276045 275035 273023 270005 267001 260000 257998
      254995 249989 244982 242971 239963 239959 243955 248945
      258937 268928 274922 277915 283895 284891 282886 277878
      269861 278845 282837 287830 292824 293821 293819 290818
      284815 281808 273808 272799 277791 281783 284779 286775
      291767 295761 300754 323723 331711 334710 337711 347709
      351710 357709 360711 363715 366714 368710 373704 384689
      386685 390681 398675 414664 425648 431638 437634 442630
 0.01 515043 515038 512035 504027 503021 499016 490010 482007
      475001 467995 455991 442980 435979 431975 423970 417970
      416974 412972 409968 400963 399965 402970 408975 412978
      415982 419987 424992 426992 427996 427000 425002 422001
      419997 415996 408994 404993 403996 410005 413008 416012
      421020 425025 430030 437026 440029 441032 440033 437038
      438043 439044 442048 445049 447047 449040 452039 455042
      457044 461045 467046 472044 476043 480040 484036 487040
      490051 492056 496061 499064 503062 510053 513048 515043
 0.01 506839 505824 504808 502803 499798 496794 493789 489787
      487784 482773 479769 474768 468769 464767 457766 452769
      450773 447787 445792 442797 439796 436798 434802 432808
      431812 434816 439830 440836 438841 437847 436850 433852
      430851 429848 427843 423839 421841 421848 420852 420860
      421867 430871 442871 450870 455867 457868 459872 458881
      457886 456894 458901 459905 458910 457915 458921 462922
      465920 469915 471910 475901 478890 481879 484872 487867
      490868 490871 490878 489883 490889 496888 499884 502872
      504855 506839
 0.01 455105 455100 454098 453095 451092 449091 446092 444094
      445097 446100 449102 450104 452107 453107 455105
 0.01 451080 452078 451077 450075 450074 448073 448072 446071
      445071 443070 443069 443070 443072 444075 445077 446078
      447080 448081 449081 451081 451080
 0.01 400793 398790 393791 389794 386797 383800 381802 380807
      383807 387806 390803 394801 397796 400793 400793
 0.25 488665 487659 486655 481645 476641 469640 453641 445644
      438649 432653 427662 423668 421672 420678 423680 427680
      436680 443680 451682 456685 466683 474680 478681 481680
      485678 487674 487671 488665 488665
 0.25 474865 472845 470838 468836 466837 464839 462837 460835
      459830 459819 458808 456798 454791 451791 450794 446802
      445808 445813 446817 453830 456835 458839 458844 461850
      463861 465868 468870 472869 474865
 0.25 470893 470890 471888 470885 470884 468885 467885 466887
      466888 465890 465893 464895 465898 465900 465901 467901
      467900 468898 468897 469895 470894 470893
 0.25 445747 444744 441745 439747 438750 437753 437756 436760
      436763 436765 439765 441762 441759 442756 443752 444749
      445747
 0.25 428786 428784 427783 426784 425786 424789 424791 424794
      425795 425793 426791 427788 428787 428786
 0.25 365739 364735 363733 357732 341733 336735 330738 326743
      323746 322750 318762 316769 316779 314784 312790 309796
      306803 303817 296828 293834 293841 294843 297842 301836
      305831 312829 317826 321820 328811 336800 342788 346774
      350761 353755 358749 365739
 0.25 319056 321044 320030 320016 319007 318001 313979 310964
      310958 308950 306941 306934 307928 309921 310916 308912
      308901 307890 305884 304881 301881 296885 294888 291894
      290902 292912 290916 286920 282923 277928 274937 268943
      264947 258948 251957 251964 254968 265983 270986 274986
      280983 283987 286995 289008 290021 292029 292035 287081
      290084 295085 300084 303087 306087 308086 311083 314077
      317070 319056
 0.50 468669 469664 467659 464653 460650 455648 449649 442652
      439655 438658 438663 441668 447669 452671 457672 463673
      466672 468669
 0.50 314041 313035 312029 314013 314006 313000 311993 308985
      303976 300971 298964 296960 296955 297937 299924 299917
      296918 295920 291931 288937 285943 282954 283962 287966
      291969 292974 291982 293987 294994 294003 296019 297032
      298039 301044 304047 306048 309047 313043 314041

$$





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