Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 170835
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
434 AM EDT SAT JUN 17 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUN 17/1200 UTC THRU JUN 20/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

NORTHERN PLAIN/GT LAKES SOUTHWARD INTO THE CNTL PLAINS/MID MS
VALLEY...

A NORTHERN STREAM S/WV WILL DIG SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE NRN
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION EARLY SATURDAY WITH ASSOCD HEIGHT FALLS
SUPPORTING LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT ALONG AN INTENSIFYING COLD
FRONT OVER THE MO VALLEY THAT WILL LIFTING NEWD SAT NIGHT TOWARD
THE GT LAKES.   THE COMBINATION OF STG HEIGHT FALLS AND..POOLING
OF 2 INCH PWS ALONG THE FRONT AND STEEPENING LAPSE RATES SHOULD
SUPPORT RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF THUNDERSTORMS MOST NOTABLY ACROSS
ERN IA/NRN MO AND THE NRN PORTION OF IL BY LATE SAT.  THESE STORMS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE WITH FAVORABLE SHEAR AND
MOISTURE PROFILES LIKELY SUPPORTING ORGANIZED SQLN DEVELOPEMENT
THAT WILL EXPAND SOUTH AND EAST OVERNIGHT.  THE NAM WAS A BIT MORE
DVLPD BOTH WITH THE S/WV TROF AND ASSOCD SFC LOW WHICH RESULTED IN
IT PLACING ITS HEAVIER EMPHASIS FARTHER NORTH.  THE CONSENSUS OF
THE WRF ARW..NMM..AND CANADIAN GEM INDICATED A POTNL E/W FOCUS OF
HEAVIER RAINS SOUTH OF THE NAM AND MORE ACROSS CNTL IL INTO SE
IA/NE MO WHERE E/W ALIGNMENT OF THE FRONT EAST OF THE LOW WILL BE
CONDUSIVE FOR TRAINING AND PSBL ELEVATED RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINS
EARLY SAT NIGHT.   ACCELERATION OF POTNL SQLN TO THE SOUTH ACRS
KS/MO INTO OK/AR IS EXPECTED SAT NIGHT TOWARD MORE FAVORABLE
INSTABILITIES WITH AMPLIFYING NWLY FLOW AND WILL LIKELY SEE SOME
INTENSE BUT SHORTER LIVED RAIN RATES GIVEN THE FAVORABLE
MSTR/INSTABILITY PROFILES.  FOR MOST OF THIS AREA A BLEND OF THE
MOST RECENT HI RES GUIDANCE ALONG WITH SOME CONTINUITY WAS USED.
FARTHER NORTH...STEEPENING LAPSE RATES AHEAD OF MAIN CORE OF
HEIGHT FALLS ACRS THE NRN PLAINS INTO THE WRN GT LAKES WILL
SUPPORT MDT CONVECTIVE RAIN AMOUNTS THERE..WHILE AN UPTICK IN
CONVECTION IS ALSO EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE DEEPENING SFC WAVE SAT
NIGHT FROM PORTIONS OF ERN WI EWD INTO LOWER MI.  A NON-NAM BLEND
WAS GENLY FOLLOWED ACRS THIS AREA.

CNTL GULF COAST/FL PANHANDLE...

A FAIRLY ORGANIZED CONVECTIVELY INDUCED MID LEVEL LOW IS FCST TO
SLOW AND MEANDER NEAR THE GULF COAST IN VCNTY OF THE AL/FL REGION
THIS PD AS IT MOVES INTO A REGION OF RELATIVELY WEAK STEERING
FLOW.   THERE WILL REMAIN THE POTNL FOR LOCALIZED HEAVIER RAINS
NEAR THE UPPER LOW THROUGH THE PD AS MOIST SWLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
MAINTAINS MDTLY HIGH PWS ACRS THE REGION WITH WEAK CYCLONIC FLOW
ALOFT.  WENT ABOVE MOST OF THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE HERE AND MORE
TOWARD HI RES CAM BLEND.

EASTERN U.S.

DIURNALLY-ENHANCED CONVECTION WITHIN A DEEP MOISTURE PLUME/WARM
CONVEYOR BELT (PWS 1.75-2.00+ INCHES) WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE EAST COAST WITHIN A VAGUELY DIFLUENT UPPER FLOW PATTERN AHEAD
OF A RELATIVELY FLAT UPPER TROUGH AND EMBDD WEAK VORTS/MCVS.
CONFIDENCE IN QPF DETAILS REMAINS LOW GIVEN LACK OF LOW/UPPER
LEVEL FOCUS...AND THEREFORE STAYED CONSERVATIVE WITH AREAL AVG
AMOUNTS.

SULLIVAN

DAY 2 (12Z SUN-12Z MON)...

...LOWER MS VALLEY...OH/TN VALLEY...LOWER GREAT LAKES...

WIDESPREAD CONVECTION IS FORECAST SUNDAY ALONG/AHEAD OF AN
EASTWARD MOVING COLD FRONT FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY NORTHEAST INTO
THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. NOTHING IN THE LATEST MODELS REALLY POINTS
TOWARDS AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TRAINING ANYWHERE...THUS CURRENTLY
NOT ANTICIPATING A WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOOD THREAT TO
DEVELOP DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD. WITH THAT SAID...PWAT VALUES
APPROACHING 2" ALONG THE FRONT (AROUND THE CLIMATOLOGICAL 90TH
PERCENTILE) WILL LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES. ALSO
GENERALLY UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW PARALLEL TO THE FRONTAL ZONE WILL
SUPPORT CELL MERGERS. LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE THE PROGRESSIVE
NATURE OF THE FRONT...ALTHOUGH IT WILL SLOW ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR
SOME SHORT TERM TRAINING POTENTIAL ALONG THE EXTENT OF THE FRONT.
APPEARS TO BE AN EVENT ON THE BORDER OF A MARGINAL AND SLIGHT
RISK...FOR CONTINUITY WILL CONTINUE THE SLIGHT RISK ALONG THE AXIS
OF EXPECTED MAXIMUM CONVECTIVE COVERAGE...WITH ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED FLASH FLOOD ISSUES POSSIBLE.

SOME UNCERTAINTY ON THE EXACT AXIS OF HIGHEST RAINFALL DURING THIS
PERIOD. HAVE GENERALLY SEEN A SLOWING TREND IN THE GUIDANCE.
HESITANT TO COMPLETELY BUY INTO THIS GIVEN THE TENDENCY FOR
CONVECTION TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD A BIT QUICKER THAN FORECAST BY
THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE. THUS ENDED UP BLENDING THE SLOWER GFS/ECMWF
WITH THE SLIGHTLY QUICKER 3KM NAM...GEM REGIONAL AND OUR PREVIOUS
FORECAST. THERE SEEMS TO BE A SIGNAL FOR A QPF MAXIMUM ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL TN. LOOKS LIKE THIS AREA COULD SEE
MORNING REMNANTS OF AN UPSTREAM MCS...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. IF A MORE WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOOD THREAT
WERE TO DEVELOP ON DAY 2 THIS AREA PROBABLY HAS THE HIGHEST
THREAT. IF MORNING CONVECTION WERE TO BE ROBUST ENOUGH TO SATURATE
THE GROUND...THEN POSSIBLE THAT THE 2ND ROUND LATER IN THE DAY
COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. THUS SOMETHING WORTH MONITORING.

...UPPER GREAT LAKES...

A SHORTWAVE AND LOW MOVING ACROSS WILL BRING MORNING CONVECTION TO
PORTIONS OF MI...WITH DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS POSSIBLE LATER IN
THE DAY UNDERNEATH THE TROUGH. WPC QPF GENERALLY FOLLOWED A MULTI
MODEL BLEND ACROSS THIS REGION.

...FLORIDA...

SCATTERED CONVECTION IS LIKELY OVER FLORIDA ON SUNDAY...WITH THE
HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
STATE. LEANED AWAY FROM THE GFS/CMC WHICH WERE ARE AGGRESSIVE IN
BRINGING A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NORTH INTO THE GULF.

DAY 3 (12Z MON-12Z TUE)...

...EAST COAST...

CONTINUES TO BE A GOOD SETUP FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION AHEAD OF
THE EASTWARD MOVING COLD FRONT WITH ANOMALOUS PWAT VALUES AND
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE OF THE UPPER JET. AS
MENTIONED IN THE DAY 2 DISCUSSION ABOVE...THE FRONT SHOULD BE
PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH TO PREVENT A SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOOD THREAT.
HOWEVER UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW PARALLEL TO THE FRONT DOES SUPPORT
CELL MERGERS...WITH THE HIGH PWAT VALUES POINTING TOWARDS LOCALLY
INTENSE RATES. THUS WOULD ANTICIPATE THAT AT LEAST SOME ISOLATED
FLASH FLOOD ISSUES WILL OCCUR ALONG THE FRONT. FOR NOW OPTED TO
EXTEND A BROAD MARGINAL RISK ALONG THE AXIS OF EXPECTED
CONVECTION. MAY HAVE TO EVENTUALLY EMBED A SLIGHT RISK WITHIN THIS
MARGINAL IF MODELS CONVERGE ON A FAVORED REGION FOR LOCALLY
ENHANCED AMOUNTS AND/OR IT BECOMES CLEAR THAT HEAVIER CONVECTION
WILL IMPACT A REGION OF LOWER FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE.

SOME BIGGER TIMING DIFFERENCES BY DAY 3...WITH THE GFS SLOWER THAN
THE ECMWF. GENERALLY WENT WITH A BLEND OF THE TWO...ALTHOUGH DID
LEAN A BIT TOWARDS THE QUICKER ECMWF SOLUTION...WHICH HAS SOME
SUPPORT FROM THE CMC/UKMET AND SEEMS TO SHOW A MORE REALISTIC
EASTWARD PROGRESSING CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION.

...GULF COAST/FLORIDA...

ANOTHER DAY OF SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED. CONTINUED TO LEAN
AGAINST THE GFS/CMC SOLUTION OF A QUICKER AND FURTHER EAST
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. FOR NOW CONTINUE TO PREFER SOMETHING CLOSER
TO THE 0Z ECMWF/NAM/UKMET WITH THIS FEATURE.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

SULLIVAN/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 481616 487637 478654 472663 470668 466672 457679 450689
      445695 439703 437709 436716 437722 436728 444746 446746
      449744 452741 455734 459726 465717 477704 481695 487683
      491673 494668 496667 502670 505671 506676 507684 509691
      512694 513700 517711 520723 523723 528725 530731 531739
      534771 534779 533784 531795 526822 525828 522834 516845
      513851 512856 509861 506871 502878 498889 497894 495897
      495901 496909 499914 502919 502921 500926 498931 496937
      494935 493941 493949 496960 499971 503986 507998 510003
      512009 516019 521029 525031 528034 535040 538043 541043
      548049 557062 560067 559070 555081 552090 549095 544093
      540094 534093 523092 519093 512092 511090 508089 503088
      499087 495085 489084 486083 485086 486093 483095 481093
      479087 480080 478074 473068 469062 466058 466053 463043
      460032 452015 446006 441020 437030 435036 434042 433045
      433048 432054 432061 436064 441069 443072 439072 433071
      429073 426072 424068 421055 422050 423048 424044 425039
      426033 427027 426022 423013 423006 425002 426994 427988
      428985 426981 422977 414968 411970 410973 408977 407982
      405985 407989 408000 408010 409014 407019 403021 398021
      395020 392017 385011 380004 374999 365996 357980 353969
      351963 350958 346960 344960 339956 344950 348943 348936
      345913 340911 337913 327915 315916 306920 303924 303930
      299931 297928 293920 292916 291910 288908 288902 289895
      289891 285885 284879 283874 282867 283858 282846 281843
      280838 276830 245822 241820 239816 238811 238807 241804
      242799 243790 244785 248782 251779 255775 262768 269766
      273764 293757 304755 309755 315755 323755 329755 332755
      341754 348749 358734
 0.01 358734 361731 364726 370716 375705 380700 383695 386689
      389686 399679 404675 410673 417670 421666 425654 434645
      442637 450627
 0.01 499324 500318 500314 499309 501305 503294 503283 505260
      508259 510253 512244 511235 507227 503220 501218 499215
      492212 484209 477209 471210 465213 461218 462221 466223
      472222 479221 482220 486223 488226 486228 481231 467229
      462233 461237 462241 465243 464248 461259 455276 453287
      453298 454307 456314 461320 470324 478327 484327 489329
      494328 499324
 0.01 441772 439761 433749 420761 414767 408774 402781 399788
      397793 394795 387802 385806 383809 379818 377821 374824
      369825 365829 360834 358839 356843 352850 345852 343849
      341850 338854 334861 329867 331872 335874 347886 349888
      351889 353888 356883 359880 370868 393844 408833 419820
      422797 428791 430791 432796 435791 438784 441772
 0.01 437105 437100 434097 431094 428091 427094 429099 431104
      428106 424108 423110 428111 431109 435107 437105
 0.01 414068 414064 414061 412063 409063 405061 405058 404056
      402056 401060 401065 401067 403070 405072 406075 408075
      412073 412071 414068
 0.01 313809 311805 307801 301798 294799 287800 281803 279805
      282805 287808 291809 299810 306810 313809 313809
 0.25 515751 514742 512735 510728 508722 504717 499715 494718
      488724 481729 477733 474732 472730 471733 467737 461748
      455757 450767 445780 439794 435802 429811 418832 412841
      406850 400860 393874 389882 385894 382898 379898 378896
      374891 370887 366886 362890 356898 351912 351919 354925
      364977 366982 370987 373988 376983 379977 380974 382975
      385969 385964 387961 391951 393947 396945 400943 401940
      404936 414931 418927 421921 427914 439907 442902 445909
      450921 452928 451937 447947 445952 443961 445970 447975
      453984 461995 468006 475029 479032 483030 486027 493026
      497025 498023 498018 493008 487997 478987 475982 474975
      473967 474958 475944 476927 476918 476909 473895 471886
      470876 468869 465863 456858 453852 452844 454834 462827
      465822 470819 469813 465810 465806 467803 471798 481794
      490792 495794 499795 504791 506786 511773 514762 515751
 0.25 496286 497281 497274 496267 491253 489251 484249 480251
      477260 476264 477269 478272 476276 474278 472282 463289
      460297 460305 463312 469315 477317 482317 484315 486311
      489301 492293 495288 496286
 0.25 456640 456636 454635 451637 443646 437654 431663 426672
      424678 424684 427688 432687 438680 445671 451662 455653
      456640
 0.25 412749 412746 411744 409744 408745 406746 404748 403750
      402750 403753 405755 407755 409754 410752 411751 412750
      412749
 0.25 377773 375769 369769 359774 351780 344787 337795 331802
      331808 334808 336806 343800 351793 360788 369783 376776
      377773
 0.25 324900 324897 322895 316892 319881 323870 321864 317862
      314860 313856 311850 306846 303848 302850 302857 303863
      302870 300876 298882 299886 302888 306888 308888 308892
      312898 317899 322901 324900
 0.25 289818 287815 284814 277813 269812 262810 259807 261805
      258803 255803 253807 254812 260814 266818 272820 281820
      289818
 0.50 502739 501733 497730 494728 490728 487730 484733 482738
      486740 490739 493738 497740 500740 502739
 0.50 476309 476308 476306 475304 474303 474302 472300 471299
      469298 468298 467299 465300 465301 464302 464304 464306
      464307 465308 467310 468310 470311 472312 473312 475311
      476310 476309
 0.50 480774 480768 478764 476762 472762 464765 457771 452776
      449783 446790 442796 434809 426825 419839 411850 406855
      402861 395878 392887 392895 391899 389902 383906 378912
      374912 372910 370906 369900 367895 363896 358901 355909
      354917 357924 359932 360942 362952 365962 369967 370975
      371981 373983 376976 380971 383968 384965 390946 392938
      396936 398938 401936 406931 413918 418912 420907 422901
      421862 423860 426860 428863 431864 428880 427890 427899
      435885 440880 445877 452873 451868 448865 442864 433864
      438857 440849 445834 450826 453817 455797 458791 462785
      466781 471778 480774
 0.50 466937 466928 465920 465905 465890 465881 463876 458875
      456876 455879 455888 455896 456905 456913 457930 456939
      455945 455953 456956 459955 462951 464945 466937
 0.50 319873 319868 317867 315866 312866 309867 307869 305871
      304874 304878 304882 306884 309884 312884 314882 316879
      317877 319875 319873
 0.50 315894 313894 312894 313894 315895 315894
 1.00 412908 410905 410901 410891 411879 409868 409863 406864
      403871 399887 397908 396914 393913 389911 386913 381919
      378925 382931 387929 395917 403926 407921 410914 412908
 1.00 384947 385943 384938 383936 380934 377936 377938 376943
      376947 376952 377955 379956 380956 382954 384949 384947
 1.00 313875 312873 312872 310872 309873 309875 310877 312877
      313875
 1.50 408894 409887 407880 404879 402883 401890 401896 402903
      402910 403916 405912 406905 407901 408895 408894
 2.00 408887 408886 407885 406882 405882 404884 404885 404887
      404889 404891 403904 404907 406899 406896 406894 407892
      407889 408889 408887

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 530747 528722 526718 525714 521703 520699 518695 516686
      509671 504662 496658 495658 492661 485668 482673 476677
      462687 450696 441709 431721 424722 419722 418717 419712
      419707 417707 412713 408721 404728 398735 394740 392750
      388756 379758 370760 366760 362757 354748 340746 319750
      315751 311753 303755 297756 294758 289759 286758 282760
      277761 268763 264763 262765 256769 252771 250773 245779
      241784 238790 233795 229800 225806 223813 222817 222821
      224825 225832 225838 224843 226852 227855 232855 235856
      238854 241853 246855 249857 249861 253868 258874 263876
      267876 269874 275871 281867 293856 297850 301847 303851
      305855 306859 302865 294877 289882 288886 286888 283895
      286903 281916 280924 283927 285928 300926 302929 305930
      311924 313921 315922 315924 312933 310941 311947 311954
      312961 314970 316979 317985 318989 321995 323998 326999
      335999 340998 346993 349991 350988 354978 360972 363969
      368968 375971 378972 379968 380963 381958 381948 380939
      379928 379914 380907 382902 383900 388893 391887 409861
      422851 426849 426856 425860 425867 427875 425882 423886
      424890 429899 433917 433921 435922 440928 447930 457931
      465931 470937 474944 476947 477945 484939 486932 486927
      487924 488918 492912 497906 499902 501897 506883 506870
      507861 507846 509836 510830 512826 515819 518809 524802
      526798 527791 528781 530764 530755 530747
 0.01 528132 527127 526124 522116 519109 517098 510084 507078
      502072 493061 490058 489060 492068 498085 504099 504105
      506108 510115 518129 523132 528132
 0.01 508280 509272 506268 505265 505262 508256 510247 511243
      510240 505229 499219 497213 493207 489205 485205 479205
      474208 467214 463217 462220 463223 468226 472225 476222
      479222 483223 485229 480230 469231 465233 461235 459240
      462246 464252 467256 477263 486270 491273 495279 498283
      502285 507284 508280
 0.01 525034 526029 525025 522019 519014 516012 513011 503004
      494995 492987 487985 483982 479976 475972 471969 465966
      457966 452963 447959 443957 439956 435954 430959 429966
      429971 431973 438975 442979 445985 447991 451996 461002
      471010 491024 497034 502039 509040 513039 518039 523037
      525034
 0.01 389201 389197 387191 383189 378188 376184 372182 366181
      363184 364189 368192 372195 375197 379199 383202 389202
      389201
 0.01 322806 320804 318804 316805 315807 313809 315810 317810
      318808 320807 322806
 0.01 318022 318018 316016 314015 311015 309017 308019 306021
      306026 308028 312026 314026 318024 318022
 0.01 313811 311810 309810 308812 310813 312813 313811
 0.25 516788 516778 514769 512763 511751 509733 506713 504692
      502687 500686 495684 493679 491680 487685 484690 478696
      469703 466707 461711 457715 451718 443726 435735 429733
      424736 420737 413737 406741 402747 401752 401757 402761
      404767 405771 404774 400784 397790 392793 384795 375802
      370807 366812 362816 359823 345843 339851 335856 334861
      333866 336874 335879 333882 329887 328890 326893 321889
      316885 311879 309881 307888 305894 300899 294906 293912
      298916 305917 311914 315910 317905 321904 323907 326912
      329919 330925 325936 320948 319954 319963 319968 321971
      323972 338971 344971 347967 354955 362945 364939 365932
      366923 368916 372906 373899 375892 378885 382880 389871
      398862 404848 409838 416827 426806 431794 434788 438783
      442779 446777 450776 453779 453784 451794 447806 444822
      440836 440844 439849 437856 435864 436868 438871 443873
      454881 459884 464888 467892 471892 476889 481884 487875
      493864 498851 500842 502834 505827 507821 509811 511804
      514796 516788
 0.25 296826 296820 294817 287812 284809 283805 284801 288797
      289793 286791 276789 267790 258788 252789 249790 245792
      242796 236812 235821 235827 235834 237838 239841 243843
      248844 258842 263843 268843 284836 290832 294830 296826
 0.50 511791 510788 509781 508776 506772 495761 494757 494751
      494741 493728 493721 491715 489711 485711 482718 480727
      479732 477737 470751 464769 457805 455816 455821 454825
      450831 447836 446841 445851 447854 451853 458850 459856
      458862 454870 456874 459875 468875 477872 487862 491856
      495847 497837 500830 502821 504809 511791
 0.50 448753 445747 441743 435742 432746 428759 426767 425771
      421773 416774 411778 404786 401791 396795 387805 379813
      372822 367832 364838 359845 349865 346871 345878 343884
      339891 336904 335918 334926 331931 325945 323950 323958
      325964 329962 334960 340961 343960 345956 348950 352947
      354945 355941 356935 358929 359921 362914 368903 370889
      373883 376878 383869 387864 392859 395855 398848 402836
      404831 408826 416816 427794 433783 441772 445763 448753
 0.50 361938 361936 360936 360938 361939 361938
 0.50 350936 350934 350936 350937 350936
 0.50 289826 288821 283818 278817 275816 273812 276800 270799
      264797 253795 248797 246799 245803 245817 246823 250826
      257827 265826 276829 282829 287828 289826
 1.00 477797 477792 476787 474787 473789 471791 470795 468799
      468801 467805 467809 468812 469811 471808 473805 475803
      476800 477797
 1.00 439760 440757 440755 440753 438752 436752 435753 433754
      432756 432759 432761 432764 432766 433767 435768 436766
      437765 438764 438763 439760 439760
 1.00 428786 426782 421783 413785 401797 390808 381822 363847
      359855 355862 349879 341915 340920 341920 345914 349920
      351916 355913 358911 360907 363900 369882 376868 380860
      384852 393840 397833 402825 422800 425793 428786
 1.00 339926 340923 339921 339923 339926 339926
 1.50 423789 404799 397806 393811 389817 375840 373847 370852
      365856 360861 354872 351879 350888 347901 351906 356901
      360896 362890 368876 374865 381852 387842 394830 409808
      417799 421795 423789
 2.00 390824 388824 387826 385829 383831 382834 381836 380839
      381842 383841 385838 386836 387833 389829 390826 390824
 2.00 361881 361874 360870 357871 355874 353879 353886 352890
      352897 355896 357892 359887 361883 361881

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 534013 535008 534003 532997 528986 525980 522974 520970
      516967 510960 504952 494936 491931 493927 495923 496919
      495906 492898 489894 485892 480898 477903 474900 470892
      468888 468883 468874 464863 461857 459850 456845 455839
      457838 459840 459847 462851 466853 475856 480857 483859
      487864 493868 506875 517874 524870 530864 533859 533854
      532843 530838 526827 523821 520816 515805 503788 497783
      490777 485773 481773 479772 470771 461772 457771 454772
      446777 444775 444772 444766 449758 477724 481720 483718
      483714 485710 489706 502693 503689 501684 504676 504673
      501671 494668 486649 485649 480652 473646 466638 462635
      457637 437649 418659 405672 393683 383692 375700 372703
      368705 365709 362712 355718 341733 326747 312760 308763
      305767 298773 288783 285787 281787 273789 269790 264790
      258790 253789 249788 249790 247796 237815 232824 229831
      233833 233838 230848 231853 233857 235861 238864 251872
      257879 258891 260896 263898 264899 268897 273894 276890
      280888 288882 291887 293885 301879 302882 301884 301891
      299896 295899 291901 291907 286916 284925 283935 290935
      294929 295927 297929 297935 297941 299947 301952 303952
      310947 316945 316954 315959 315974 311977 305978 301976
      294976 292979 295983 298987 300990 300997 303000 304006
      305011 308012 310016 312018 316015 320017 324014 324009
      323005 332969 331955 331948 333942 336930 341920 345912
      350901 353892 355888 358885 364879 368872 370867 373862
      379855 388841 391836 396830 402822 407815
 0.01 407815 416809 418808 419811 418816 418825 416830 414833
      410868 411875 413881 418891 421900 422907 422914 410931
      412935 416938 421943 447969 450974 456974 460974 462971
      457971 454968 451965 449959 444948 442942 445943 457955
      465962 473968 472979 477984 482988 484993 482999 483002
      490007 495013 500025 502029 506032 514030 520026 525023
      529019 532016 534013
 0.01 461825 461820 461815 459810 457809 455808 453807 452809
      453813 454818 455820 456825 457827 459832 460827 461825
 0.01 450831 448831 450831 450831
 0.01 428206 424198 421195 418196 413202 405203 399203 396204
      395210 398213 402215 407215 410215 410221 412226 414226
      416225 418222 420218 422214 422207 428206
 0.01 430805 430802 429801 427803 427805 429806 430805
 0.01 407159 408154 408151 406149 403148 400147 396145 394144
      393144 390146 392149 393151 395152 397155 400157 401160
      403161 405161 407159
 0.01 391199 388196 383192 378188 375184 372183 370184 366184
      364186 367188 372191 377195 382198 387202 391199
 0.01 373062 374048 371041 365041 364043 366046 365049 363049
      356044 351050 347051 347055 355060 357062 359060 362056
      367054 370055 370059 373062
 0.01 346039 346035 342034 337034 335036 331036 328038 324044
      320050 319054 321057 323059 324064 324074 324078 324084
      328088 332090 334094 336097 338098 341098 341096 340091
      338084 337074 335069 334062 334060 336059 339058 340054
      335049 330049 331045 336043 338041 342041 346039
 0.25 489670 484669 480666 477666 471670 463677 456684 450689
      443694 431710 427714 423718 419718 416714 413708 413703
      413699 411698 407702 390732 383742 380748 376751 373754
      370759 365766 360774 355779 348785 343777 339773 336770
      336764 333763 320778 314785 308792 306800 309802 314802
      326802 332800 337797 341795 343794 343797 341801 342807
      351809 353807 353813 350820 344827 338836 330843 322862
      319873 317880 313891 312901 315907 315911 314918 317924
      323925 326922 333916 338909 341901 342890 347881 353872
      360862 371846 381833 392819 406801 411793 417785 427771
      440757 453739 466724 473717 478708 486694 489687 489680
      489670
 0.25 487836 487833 487831 486829 485828 484828 482829 480830
      480832 479834 481836 483836 483837 484837 486837 487836
 0.25 312818 309815 304814 299810 290808 280808 270807 265807
      260809 256811 254815 252824 257845 261855 267860 274864
      282866 292868 295868 299866 302863 304859 307852 307827
      310820 312818
 0.50 481688 478678 476674 473675 463684 454691 449696 446700
      435712 425722 416731 413734 408735 407726 405722 401724
      396729 392734 388740 385746 383750 379755 374760 370767
      369781 363791 361798 361805 359813 355820 347831 341841
      339847 336853 335858 337863 335872 330887 332888 334886
      336881 339875 343871 364852 377832 395810 402800 405794
      408789 417777 426767 435758 441748 450735 460726 469717
      475707 477702 479696 481688
 0.50 302850 303842 301836 299830 298823 296822 293823 287824
      277821 270821 267825 265829 264835 264841 265845 272852
      280858 285860 289860 294859 298856 302850
 1.00 469701 467695 464693 462694 457697 454697 450700 448704
      443711 416738 409747 401751 392748 390748 387751 378770
      372788 369800 368803 369806 367811 358826 355832 352836
      348844 351848 354846 363842 387813 393804 398795 401786
      406780 410775 414772 420764 426758 432752 436740 441731
      449726 455720 464710 468706 469701
 1.00 399781 398777 395775 389776 384776 381780 380784 380789
      381793 384796 388794 391791 394789 398786 399781
 1.50 444720 443719 441720 440721 439724 440724 442724 443723
      443721 444720
 1.50 435732 432729 428728 426732 423734 421738 418742 416746
      414750 419751 424749 427746 429743 432739 434734 435732
 1.50 409761 410758 410756 409754 407755 405756 404757 404758
      402760 400762 400763 399765 400767 401768 403767 405767
      405766 406766 408764 408763 409761 409761
 1.50 374821 374817 373812 370815 369817 368821 367824 365825
      363827 364830 365827 367825 368829 370829 372826 373824
      374821
 2.00 430735 429734 428735 426736 426737 424739 423740 421742
      420744 420745 420746 421747 422747 423746 425744 425743
      426741 428739 428738 429736 430735

$$





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