Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 160842
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
339 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JAN 16/1200 UTC THRU JAN 19/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1 UPDATE...

CHANGES TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 QPF WERE TO INCREASE QPF ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN CO AND WESTERN KS WHERE THE LATEST ECMWF AND
HRRR GUIDANCE IS COMING IN A BIT MORE ROBUST WITH THE WESTERN
FLANK OF THE DEFORMATION ZONE LIFTING NORTHEAST OUT OF THE TX
PANHANDLE. ALSO MADE SOME SLIGHTLY WETTER ADJUSTMENTS TO THE QPF
ALONG THE COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND THROUGH
THE OH VALLEY.


DAY 1...

...SOUTHERN ROCKIES/CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...
...LOWER MS/OH VALLEYS...

A FAIRLY INTENSE/COMPACT UPPER LOW WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST MO AND SOUTHWEST IA BY MONDAY EVENING AHEAD OF A WEAK
NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE
COMPACT UPPER LOW SHOULD THEN OPEN UP INTO A PROGRESSIVE TROUGH
AND CROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TO LIFT FROM NEAR
THE RED RIVER VALLEY OF OK/TX QUICKLY INTO WESTERN MO BY MONDAY
EVENING AND THEN TOWARD SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN BY TUESDAY MORNING.
A WELL-DEFINED DEFORMATION ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW WILL
PIVOT ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE THEN MOVING INTO LOWER MI EARLY
TUESDAY AND WEAKENING. A SWATH OF ADDITIONAL FREEZING RAIN AND
SOME SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH THIS WHERE COLD WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TO
THE NORTHWEST OF THE SURFACE LOW TRACK. PLEASE CONSULT THE LATEST
QPFHSD FOR MORE DETAILS ON THE EXPECTED WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS
WITH THIS SYSTEM.

FARTHER EAST AHEAD OF THE SURFACE WAVE...STRONG WARM ADVECTION
WITH THE AID OF A 50 KT SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL FAVOR AN
EXTENSIVE AXIS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN INITIALLY ACROSS
THE MID MS VALLEY BUT THEN LIFTING NORTHEAST THROUGH THE OH VALLEY
BY MONDAY NIGHT. FARTHER SOUTH AND ESPECIALLY TOWARD THE LOWER MS
VALLEY...DEEPER MOISTURE AND SOME MODEST INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW
FOR SOME CONVECTIVE RAINS TO BE FOCUSED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT. THE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SOME SLOWING OF THE TAIL END OF
THE FRONT OVER SOUTHEAST TX BY LATER MONDAY THROUGH EARLY
TUES...AND THIS MAY HELP FOSTER SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS
GIVEN THE SOUTHWEST/NORTHEAST ORIENTATION OF THE FRONT RELATIVE TO
THE MEAN FLOW WHICH WILL TEND TO FAVOR SOME POTENTIAL TRAINING OF
CONVECTIVE CELLS. THE GUIDANCE FOR NOW DOES NOT EXACTLY SUPPORT
ANY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TOTALS...BUT THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED
CLOSELY WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RISING TO NEAR 1.5 INCHES
AND MUCAPE VALUES OF 1000 TO 1500 J/KG OVER THE SOUTHEAST TX
COASTAL PLAIN.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN INTO PARTS OF COASTAL WA AND ESPECIALLY THE
OLYMPIC PENINSULA BY MONDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.
PRECIPITATION WITH THE DEEP LAYER WARM ADVECTION PATTERN WILL
BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE WA CASCADES AS WELL BY EARLY TUESDAY. THE
LATEST GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT THIS IS JUST THE LEADING EDGE
OF WHAT IS AN IMPRESSIVELY LONG-FETCH ATMOSPHERIC RIVER THAT
EXTENDS WELL SOUTHWEST ALL THE WAY INTO THE TROPICAL WESTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN. THIS IS CONFIRMED BY CIRA-LPW DATA AND AMSU 89 GHZ
DATA. THE STRONGEST ONSHORE FLOW FOR THIS PERIOD SHOULD BE FOCUSED
INTO SOUTHWEST BRITISH COLUMBIA WHERE VERY OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE BEGINNING THIS PERIOD. MUCH
HEAVIER RAINS WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY IMPACT THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
JUST BEYOND THIS PERIOD AS THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER SAGS SOUTHEAST IN
CONJUNCTION WITH A COLD FRONT.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES/CALIFORNIA...

A SIGNIFICANT ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT IS LIKELY TO UNFOLD ON DAY 2
IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NORTHEAST
PACIFIC RESULTS IN A STRONG LOW-MID LEVEL JET CORE WITH SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF 50-70 KT AT 850 MB LEADING TO STRONG AND PERSISTENT
MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES INTO WESTERN WA STATE. GIVEN THE
CORRESPONDING SPECIFIC HUMIDITY AND PRECIPITABLE WATER
ANOMALIES...HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY ON DAY 2. THE CURRENT FORECAST
OF 4-5 INCHES ON DAY 2 MATCHES WELL WITH THE 00Z NAM AND 21Z SREF
MEAN AND ALSO THE GEFS REFORECAST  LIQUID EQUIVALENT
PRECIPITATION. THE ECMWF FORECASTS ARE  LIGHTER BUT THE LONG TERM
BIAS IS FOR THE ECMWF TO BE A LITTLE LOW ON AMOUNTS IN THESE
EVENTS IN THE NORTHWEST...SO THE ECMWF WAS GIVEN LESS WEIGHTING.
THE GFS BACKED OFF THE LARGE AMOUNTS FROM THE 12Z RUN...SO IS
WITHIN THE PACK OF FORECASTS NOW.

A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TOTALS REFLECTS FLOODING
CONCERNS ACROSS THE OLYMPIC RANGE IN NORTHWEST WA.  A MARGINAL
RISK SURROUNDS AND EXTENDS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE NW OR COAST AS THE
MOISTURE PLUME/INTEGRATED VAPOR TRANSPORT AXIS SINKS SOUTHWARD
INTO EARLY WED IN ADVANCE OF AMPLIFICATION OF A WESTERN TROF.

ON DAY 3...THE PEAK LOW LEVEL JET AND MOISTURE
TRANSPORT/CONVERGENCE STREAM ONSHORE STARTING IN SOUTHWEST OR AND
GRADUALLY SINK SOUTH ACROSS CA.  THE STRONGEST 850 MB JET AND
MOISTURE FLUXES TARGET THE COASTAL RANGES OF SOUTHWEST OR AND
NORTHWEST CA...WITH HEAVY PRECIP EXTENDING INTO THE
SHASTA/SISKIYOU RANGES AND NORTHERN CA SIERRA. MANUAL PROGS USED
CONTINUITY AND THE REFORECAST DATA WITH A LITTLE LESS WEIGHTING ON
THE MORE PROGRESSIVE GFS AND UKMET THAT SPREAD THE PRECIP FURTHER
SOUTH IN CA FASTER. SECONDARY MAXIMA OF PRECIP ARE EXPECTED
FURTHER INLAND IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...PARTICULARLY ON DAY 3 AS
THE UPPER JET MOVES ACROSS WA/OR INTO THE REGION WITH WELL DEFINED
UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA AND PERSISTENT MOISTURE FLUXES.  PLEASE
REFER TO THE QPFHSD FOR THE RESULTANT IMPACTS ON SNOW AND ICING
FORECASTS.

...TX/LOWER MS VALLEY...

IN TEXAS...A POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH DRIFTS EAST FORM THE
SOUTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  THE UPPER JET CROSSES CENTRAL
TEXAS...SUPPORTING EMBEDDED UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA AND SCATTERED
SHOWERS/  GREATER COVERAGE AND AMOUNTS ON DAY 2 OCCUR IN SOUTHEAST
TEXAS AS THE MODELS SHOW A STREAM OF ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
FLOW WITH MOISTURE FLUXES CONTINUING WHERE UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE FAVORED RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF
THE UPPER JET.
THIS JET DRIFTS EAST INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY ON DAY 3.  THE
UKMET/NAM/CANADIAN GLOBAL HAVE JOINED THE ECMWF IN PREDICTING A
STRIPE OF 1 TO 2 INCH RAINFALLS ON DAY 3...AND THE 00Z ECMWF HAS
EXCELLENT RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY.  A BLEND OF THESE FORECASTS WAS
USED.

...GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A LOW-MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING EAST
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND PA/NY/NEW ENGLAND...WITH A SECONDARY
LOW FORMING NEAR THE SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COAST AND MOVING
OFFSHORE.
THE WAVE INDUCES STRONG MID LEVEL WARM ADVECTION...RESULTING IN
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THESE AREAS...AND WHERE UPSLOPE
FLOW ENHANCES PRECIP IN THE MOUNTAINS OF WV.  THE 00Z GFS AND NAM
ARE HIGHER THAN THE ECMWF/UKMET/CANADIAN AND THE SREF MEAN AND
GEFS MEAN QPF IN CENTRAL NY.  GIVEN THE WAVE IS PROGRESSIVE ACROSS
NY...LESS WEIGHTING WAS GIVEN TO THE HEAVIER NAM/GFS SOLUTIONS AND
MORE TO CONTINUITY AND THE ECMWF/UKMET/CANADIAN GLOBAL. WITH THE
ECMWF AND UKMET/GFS FORECASTING THE LOW TO LEAVE SOUTHEAST NEW
ENGLAND STEADILY EARLY ON DAY 3...CHANCES OF A LONGER DURATION
EVENT ARE DIMINISHING. SEE THE WINTER WEATHER GRAPHICS AND
DISCUSSION ON THE IMPLICATIONS FOR SNOW AND ICING
AMOUNTS/PROBABILITIES.

SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FORECAST IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES INTO EASTERN NC TUE NIGHT INTO EARLY WED.
COVERAGE/AMOUNTS REDUCE AS POST-FRONTAL DRYING ALOFT COMMENCES
LATE WED.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

ORRISON/PETERSEN

24HR QP VT 17/12Z
 0.01 460328 464325 466323 470322 475323 479322 482321 486319
      488317 491313 494310 498309 502309 506308 543195 540189
      536185 533177 531170 524160 516150 510149 506148 504150
      501156 497161 488165 487170 488174 493177 496182 499185
      498190 497196 494198 489199 486197 482198 480200 475202
      471205 468212 466222 464231 466233 465237 462241 458244
      453247 449251 447256 445258 440261 437267 432271 425279
      420283 418285 416289 412298 412304 413310
 0.01 516219 515215 515211 515207 513204 512201 509199 508197
      506198 503199 504202 505207 505210 507213 509216 510219
      512220 514221 516219
 0.01 484687 481677 475669 467666 463669 463673 465680 463685
      459695 456699 454703 451708 450714 455714 458717 459719
      462718 464721 464725 469734 471740 472748 474763 478774
      480779 484779 487775 488770 487755 484743 481736 480728
      480719 481713 483702 484696 484687 484687
 0.01 461908 460896 459887 458875 459867 458844 456832 454823
      449806 446796 442788 435768 433764 432757 428750 423744
      419740 413725 412720 409718 406717 402717 401720 401723
      404734 406738 407745 407756 405760 405765 399772 392775
      388776 386774 381769 377764 373756 371754 368754 363754
      362757 363760 368764 373770 381782 383785 383789 380793
      377794 373797 367801 362806 354805 349812 340814 337815
      336818 333821 332824 333828 335830 340832 346831 346835
      344838 347842 349843 350846 351850 347857 346864 346873
      336886 334895 328903 324904 319904 313900 308895 303892
      296894 293899 293904 295906 299912 299923 294930 291939
      285943 280948 279956 279960 277961 274964 273967 273973
      276975 283979 295978 301975 306972 312966 317963 322958
      328955 335953 343952 354952 361955 366961 369965 371970
      372975 372981 372992 369008 369018 368027 367031 366037
      363043 358047 354049 352052 348054 346054 343052 344048
      340045 337046 334049 334056 339056 341054 344054 346057
      348061 346065 346068 349072 349081 341080 339082 337081
      335079 332085 333089 335092 334096 329096 324094 320091
      316097 316099 318102 324109 328109 329106 331103 336103
      339105 341109 343113 346115 349117 350112 346105 346103
      347100 349089 353084 351081 354078 357078 359080 363081
      366080 370077 370079 374081 377083 380082 383073 388074
      390075 393072 397072 403067 406064 411064 413061 411056
      413053 412050 410046 410041 413034 417027 432000 435982
      436971 439961 445942 455928 458925 459918 461908
 0.01 371709 369703 364703 360709 357713 349722 343732 332752
      326762 322766 316769 312771 305773 299770 296770 295772
      293778 297781 305787 310790 316790 324789 328786 334776
      342766 347758 351752 355748 358744 359737 366726 369718
      371709
 0.01 325883 325880 322879 318877 312875 308871 303869 299872
      300873 298876 292878 283884 274891 276894 282893 293888
      297885 300880 301877 303878 308882 312884 316884 318886
      322885 325883
 0.01 270802 270801 269800 268798 267798 266797 264797 262797
      261797 259798 258799 259800 260801 261802 262803 263804
      265804 267804 269804 270802 270802
 0.25 525257 520253 518246 514239 512231 504221 498206 493209
      487208 485207 482208 480213 486227 485233 483235 478232
      473234 470241 461253 453262 444271 436280 431285 430289
      429294 433298 438297 450296 451302 454309 456312 460314
      466313 476310 487303 491301 496301 503300 508300
 0.25 536210 537201 536195 530184 525176 517169 513168 508169
      505174 506179 507185 510189 516198 521209 528216 532215
      535211 536210
 0.25 449894 449882 449871 447848 445836 441826 438819 433811
      424803 417801 413802 411805 409808 404810 401812 400816
      394817 385820 373826 369833 366840 361848 359858 357865
      353872 347886 340899 335906 329913 319923 309931 298941
      293947 290955 287964 290972 293973 297973 302970 314962
      326951 331947 337943 344940 351937 364930 368927 370927
      376933 381938 385945 386954 385962 385986 383997 381007
      381013 381016 383020 386023 390024 394023 400019 405014
      409009 418996 425978 430962 436945 449911 449894
 0.25 381049 381044 380038 380033 379028 377023 375023 374026
      372030 371035 369041 369048 367052 372054 377055 381051
      381049
 0.25 373066 371064 370063 368062 367063 368064 369066 371066
      373066 373066
 0.25 368054 367053 365053 363053 361053 361054 359055 357056
      359057 361057 363057 365057 365056 366055 368054
 0.50 524261 519253 517247 514242 510233 504225 501220 500215
      498210 494211 491213 486212 486217 487223 489228 489234
      482241 477239 474242 468250 463259 460264 458272 457279
      457285 458292 458299 460303 464306 470307 474306 481302
      488298 497297 505296 510296
 0.50 531208 533205 533200 532195 530190 527186 525182 521179
      516178 514178 513181 515187 517190 520194 521200 523204
      528207 531208 531208
 0.50 442882 442872 441862 439849 438839 435832 429829 425829
      420834 416840 412846 408854 407862 401895 391904 389909
      391913 393917 393922 393930 393939 394963 395971 394980
      394986 395991 396995 399998 404996 408991 412984 417978
      426943 428934 429926 431916 435909 438904 440897 442882
 0.50 383854 384849 383844 380842 375842 368847 363854 358868
      351883 345897 341905 337910 328921 323928 317932 310935
      305939 298945 294952 294956 291964 293967 299968 307964
      317956 328946 339937 344932 349925 350917 354910 358903
      363896 371885 378868 382862 383854
 1.00 523264 518257 515248 506233 502226 498219 495217 492220
      491223 491228 492232 493237 491240 487240 484243 480249
      474255 470264 468271 469278 468285 468291 470295 474297
      478297 484294 490291 494290 498291 505291 513290
 1.00 370864 369861 368863 363867 357877 347901 342910 335921
      328928 320937 312944 305952 302957 302961 306961 311958
      316954 323947 331939 338930 341926 344919 349909 356899
      362890 365885 367878 370864
 1.50 522267 515253 512245 507238 504232 499225 497222 494223
      493229 493233 496241 497245 493246 489243 486243 482252
      478258 474267 473273 473279 473284 475288 478291 481291
      488288 493287 502289 508288 513285 518279
 1.50 330934 328934 326936 325938 323940 321942 319944 317946
      316948 316951 318949 320947 322945 323943 325941 327939
      329937 330934
 2.00 520271 520266 518262 516258 514253 506237 496225 494229
      495234 499242 503250 503255 500256 495252 490245 486247
      484251 480259 477272 477279 478283 482285 486284 489283
      494284 502286 506286 509283 513277 517275 519272 520271
 3.00 517267 517265 515261 513258 512255 511252 509250 507248
      506247 507250 507253 508259 508262 509265 510268 513270
      516270 517267
 3.00 505279 505271 502264 499261 495255 491250 488251 486254
      484261 482270 482273 484276 490278 496281 501283 505279
 3.00 505242 504239 502238 501238 502241 503242 505244 505242
 4.00 503278 503271 501267 498263 496260 493255 489255 487259
      488264 489270 492274 495276 498279 501279 503278
 5.00 501272 500269 498266 497264 495262 493259 491258 490260
      490263 491266 493269 496272 497274 499274 501272

24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 497328 494332 492334 488335 484333 481329 478326 475322
      472319 469317 465313 461314 457317 453318 451320 447321
      445322
 0.01 542197 538191 534183 530175 526167 521162 516156 510151
      507148 503146 497142 493135 487130 480126 457137 446144
      442143 439139 436138 435143 430161 427164 425168 427172
      430174 429182 424188 425192 428195 430198 430202 427205
      423205 422208 422212 421215 417217 407215 402218 397224
      392231 388238 384244 382255 382259 381265 379277 380283
      382288 384294 381299
 0.01 525246 527236 526233 527228 524222 520216 516211 513211
      509212 508214 510217 513223 515229 518235 520242 522248
      524249 525246
 0.01 475760 468725 467716 464706 459689 451677 447672 442667
      437661 433657 425654 418652 412652 407652 404651 400652
      393654 385657 380660 375661 373664 369669 360679 355685
      353690 349707 346715 343722 337733 335739 332744 323754
      314763 310770 309773 311776 316781 320781 323779 329774
      333769 341759 344759 345763 346772 346776 345781 344787
      341803 339810 337818 328851 326859 325866 321881 319887
      315892 306900 297908 290912 289919 286925 281931 276936
      273939 270939 262943 255945 251948 248954 246958 246961
      243961 241966 242972 245978 242983 238998 240002 243003
      248006 260015 265019 272023 281031 287041 289047 291053
      296067 299073 303078 308083 311085 313085 318080 322074
      332064 334060 334056 335047 336030 337027 338023 338013
      339993 345979 349961 350956 350952 351941 351931 352924
      352918 353912 355905 368884 376873 380868 386864 394863
      401865 405869 407872 409877 412886 420887 436890 441890
      443892 446892 453891 458889 462883 465877 467866 468863
      470860 473843 474839 474834 474829 472826 471819 473813
      472800 471776 471771 473768 475760
 0.01 473111 473108 471108 469107 468107 467110 468110 469110
      471111 473111 473111
 0.01 291889 291885 289885 287887 287889 285891 285896 285900
      284904 286908 288908 288906 289902 290899 290895 290891
      291889
 0.25 423314 431309 438304 443299 449294 455287 461281 467278
      472278 475281 481289 488296 496299 503299 507298 510296
      523259 519250 515240 511228 505216 501208 496197 495194
      499193 505192 511195 519201 523204 528205 530204 531199
      530191 526181 520173 517169 512166 503160 497151 493142
      489138 485134 481132 479134 478137 481142 481147 474150
      464151 461156 458161 455166 451170 449174 448180 448187
      452188 462187 466191 469195 470199 469202 466204 461205
      457208 453211 448212 439215 435217 432220 432227 432230
      431234 425234 418232 414231 408232 393279 392288 394294
      397300 402306
 0.25 454769 452756 450742 448733 447727 444712 440700 437694
      433691 422689 413687 405687 396690 385695 378701 374701
      371705 367714 366721 368727 370735 372743 374749 374751
      376756 379757 390753 396753 398753 399757 399772 397778
      393782 383788 375793 363807 359815 354825 347835 343846
      337867 333876 329885 325895 320904 315912 309920 301928
      293935 287941 281948 275955 270963 267975 266981 267988
      280007 287011 293012 299011 308008 312005 315000 322992
      327982 328977 329969 334958 337950 339939 339931 338926
      338919 339914 349893 353882 357872 362864 367856 379840
      387831 391828 398826 404827 408829 415835 420843 424853
      430854 435852 443847 448845 450839 452824 452815 454809
      454803 454794 453787 453781 454769
 0.50 522267 514241 509228 502215 496206 491203 487198 489190
      491185 493183 499183 503184 508187 514188 520191 524195
      524191 521185 517179 513173 504167 499163 494161 487157
      478156 470157 466159 465162 465167 464177 468181 474194
      475199 473202 469206 460210 450214 445216 440218 436223
      437233 434238 429239 422237 415236 411239 408245 406256
      404264 402272 400280 400288 402294 406298 412302 417303
      419302 426300 433294 441286 450278 460272 469268 475269
      481272 489285 492289 496291 501292 505292 513290
 0.50 463178 463177 461177 459178 461179 462179 463178
 0.50 443745 443737 441731 438726 435720 431708 429704 423702
      418704 415708 412712 410718 409724 410731 412749 415764
      414772 413778 411782 407785 404787 404790 405792 409793
      413795 415799 420811 422815 426819 433826 437825 440822
      442817 443809 444794 443779 442763 443747 443745
 0.50 390803 389800 387798 383800 372806 368811 366815 363823
      360829 352835 349840 348847 346854 344858 345863 346867
      346871 343877 338887 333898 319917 290950 283957 276966
      273971 272977 271985 273991 280999 284003 289005 298004
      304002 309000 313996 318988 320982 320973 325958 326952
      327945 326940 326933 330920 335907 341897 351877 353870
      354868 352865 358852 371836 376825 379819 383813 387808
      390803
 1.00 516273 517267 517263 515254 513244 509236 503222 500215
      494210 487206 483204 479205 467211 455216 450220 448224
      447229 443236 438241 433244 428243 424241 420241 415247
      414259 412271 412278 413283 415286 420286 423285 429282
      439274 450267 461260 468258 476258 482262 487268 491274
      498281 504282 509280 513277 516273
 1.00 497174 496170 493168 488167 484168 481170 479175 477180
      481183 484179 487177 491175 495175 497174
 1.00 484230 484227 482226 481225 479225 478225 479226 480227
      482229 483230 484230
 1.00 307958 305953 300953 296956 290960 285966 279972 277977
      277982 278986 282989 291985 295978 299970 305963 307958
 1.50 513260 513249 509240 500220 495213 487208 479207 472212
      458217 454220 455226 452232 449234 438246 434248 430248
      423247 422253 422263 424267 428270 437267 444265 457256
      465253 469253 475253 483258 490265 495273 498276 503278
      504274 504269 501259 495249 491240 485235 478228 475227
      470227 469224 474222 477221 482223 487225 489229 493238
      496243 500246 505255 509260 512262 513260
 1.50 283981 283978 283977 282978 283981 283981
 2.00 510251 507242 503232 499223 497219 494215 488210 483208
      479209 476212 474216 483221 486223 489226 494235 498242
      506249 510251
 2.00 502272 501263 497255 490242 479231 476229 473229 466230
      453235 449239 447241 446248 448254 454253 460250 467249
      475251 479252 483255 493266 497271 500274 502272
 2.00 464224 466222 464219 463218 461219 459220 457221 457222
      457224 458225 460226 461226 462226 463225 464224
 3.00 495262 495256 494252 490245 485240 480238 476232 470233
      468236 468242 474246 481249 486255 492261 495262
 3.00 498234 498229 497223 495220 491216 489213 484211 481214
      483218 488220 491223 492227 495233 498234 498234
 4.00 493259 494256 493255 493253 492252 491250 491249 489247
      488245 486244 484245 485248 486249 487251 488253 489255
      490256 491257 492258 493259 493259
 4.00 477240 477239 477238 476235 475234 474234 472236 471238
      472239 473241 475242 476242 477240

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 422636 426640 430644 433647 437654 440660 442663 446663
      451663 455665 460669 464670 476666 482664 486666 492669
      494671 494676 495685 494689 487699 480701 478701 478706
      480725 482731 484741 484745 482746 479752 472761 469766
      462768 441777 437780 436784 434789 432795 429800 425812
      425815 422819 418823 395821 383823 375824 371826 365830
      361836 358839 354844 354848 353851 353855 356854 368853
      373853 376857 380864 382870 383879 385884 383898 377911
      371919 364929 359936 350944 347960 343970 337980 322998
      318002 316003 311003 306003 301004 280014 275015 269015
      263014 258011 254008 250002 244994 240983 241977 242970
      244964 247959 251947 261929 267918 270913 273908 280900
      287893 296887 307882 311881 312879 318879 323876 328872
      332869 337864 336855 334849 333840 335835 338823 339818
      341815 340810 340805 338802 333798 319780 318772 317764
      317750 318744 318739 319737 323727 327716 332704 337692
      341680
 0.01 400305 405305 411303 419298 428291 438285 443285 450287
      456291 459295 461301 464302 467301 472301 476299 481297
      487296 490297 492296 496294 502295 508298 510300 527252
      523248 521242 516231 512219 511212 515207 522213 528216
      531212 534205 534197 533182 528171 522162 518157 514153
      506146 491132 483126 476125 470125 468131 465134 462136
      461133 457135 456138 453139 449136 445123 447117 447111
      444106 438105 433106 428105 425105 424108 421114 419114
      418117 416120 413120 408121 402120 395119 393126 390130
      385131 376134 369133 364134 362140 362147 358151 354153
      337164 334167 332174 331182 328188 321213 318227 316242
      329263 343274 345274 347275 348277 350278 352279 353281
 0.01 462834 462832 462829 462827 462824 460822 460820 459817
      458817 457818 456820 454820 454823 455825 455828 456830
      457832 457833 459833 460834 460835 462834 462834
 0.01 404766 403756 399751 394747 391746 388749 383753 379758
      371770 365780 362787 361796 360799 361804 364806 367806
      373802 377796 385788 397781 402775 403769 404766
 0.01 392186 391183 390181 388178 385175 384173 380172 377173
      378177 379179 383181 385182 387185 389187 392186
 0.25 519271 520265 520259 517247 513235 511225 504205 502199
      503193 507191 512191 515192 518192 522189 522183 521178
      519172 514163 505158 500151 495142 488134 481129 477130
      475135 477140 478144 476146 466145 461146 458149 454151
      450148 436136 431134 427135 424139 422144 421152 421161
      422171 422174 423180 427188 431200 438205 445202 452197
      456196 456200 453205 451210 435212 429205 426203 423204
      419205 410206 403202 395198 386191 378185 371181 366178
      360179 356181 355186 359192 367199 368201 366202 363201
      361199 358196 354195 349194 346191 343188 339189 337216
      337220 337227 342235 345238 351241 356249 359271 364278
      371285 376286 381288 386289 391289 408284 415282 423278
      439270 446266 454263 463263 468265 472269 485282 489285
      494285 504286 510286 514281 518275 519271
 0.25 474201 474200 473199 472198 471197 469197 467197 465198
      463198 463200 463201 465203 465204 466204 468205 469205
      470205 471204 472203 473201 474201
 0.25 440697 440690 439685 436676 432664 428656 423651 417646
      409645 402647 398655 395664 392672 388675 393681 400685
      405690 410696 415702 420707 427712 433710 436707 439703
      440697
 0.25 388682 388677 387675 383670 377668 371668 365670 360673
      355679 352683 347694 343706 340718 335730 338735 338742
      334754 335762 337769 339776 343779 350778 353774 355767
      355759 356753 358747 363737 368725 373713 377703 382691
      388682
 0.25 366905 366900 365896 360889 353887 343888 336889 328892
      316900 303907 297912 292917 281927 272938 263950 260956
      258966 259975 261983 264991 269996 274996 278995 284991
      290987 297985 304981 310977 321968 331957 341945 349933
      357920 366905
 0.50 516270 516260 514248 509227 505217 501209 494204 490201
      488195 492186 498181 501178 504174 502169 500165 494159
      490156 485155 476153 467148 464149 461151 458155 455157
      451156 448152 442147 438144 434142 430143 428147 427153
      427158 429169 432177 436186 442193 447195 450194 457191
      465190 469189 473191 476194 478196 478200 473207 470208
      465208 460207 456211 454213 449214 434217 429215 425216
      422220 419221 416213 411210 407208 398203 391198 378188
      368183 363183 362188 365194 371201 375207 371210 366209
      356205 352205 349208 349213 351218 353222 356227 360233
      363237 364241 365246 368251 369256 368261 368267 370271
      375277 381280 386279 394278 410276 418274 426271 453256
      460254 468255 473257 477260 483266 487274 490278 493281
      497280 502281 506280 509278 511273 513272 516270
 0.50 485230 483229 483230 485230 485230
 0.50 492145 492144 492142 490140 490139 489139 487136 486135
      484133 483132 481132 480132 479135 481136 482138 484139
      485140 486141 487142 488143 490144 490145 491145 492145
 0.50 428681 428676 427671 423665 421661 415658 412659 409666
      408672 409678 413685 416691 417695 419696 422696 426694
      428688 428681
 0.50 370693 371687 368683 364684 362686 357693 354699 352706
      350716 351721 353724 356726 359725 363718 365711 368703
      370695 370693
 0.50 353912 354908 353904 347901 333900 328902 321906 312912
      302919 294928 285935 276943 269952 266957 265966 265974
      268980 273984 279985 284984 290981 301976 311970 319962
      328953 336943 341933 348922 353912
 1.00 507253 508244 508237 504223 501217 498213 493209 486206
      482206 479208 477212 477215 478218 483221 487224 489227
      489232 488235 485234 480230 474227 470230 467231 466228
      470223 473219 469216 464213 460212 458214 455217 449219
      445221 440224 435228 431229 424229 419228 416225 414218
      409213 404210 384196 380193 375191 373192 374195 377201
      384209 388215 387218 383218 379220 376225 377232 378238
      388261 391265 396266 407264 415265 420265 430261 438255
      447250 458246 463246 469247 479253 484257 488262 494272
      497274 499274 503267 503262 505258 507253
 1.00 492176 493170 491166 489164 485161 480160 473158 467153
      465155 465160 467169 470175 476180 480186 484186 486184
      488179 490177 492176
 1.00 458182 457178 456177 454169 451163 447159 443155 438152
      435152 435157 437163 438170 441176 445180 448186 452183
      458182
 1.00 361217 363215 362214 361213 360212 358211 357212 356212
      356214 358216 359217 361217 361217
 1.00 332932 333926 331922 324919 316921 310925 297935 287945
      277956 273963 272967 273970 275972 280973 288970 295967
      303965 309961 315956 325945 330938 332932
 1.50 504241 504234 502226 500219 496215 491212 484211 482211
      482216 486220 491224 492230 494236 497242 502243 504241
 1.50 499266 499260 499255 496249 494245 490243 485238 480232
      475229 471231 469235 468239 470242 476246 482250 486252
      488256 492263 494266 498268 499266
 1.50 486169 486168 484168 484169 484170 485171 486169
 1.50 464224 465221 465219 464218 463216 461216 459217 457219
      456221 457224 458225 460226 461226 462226 464224 464224
 1.50 454243 455240 453238 449235 444233 439234 435236 429235
      424232 419231 415229 413223 411218 407216 400209 396207
      392206 392211 395215 401223 398225 392224 387225 383227
      382232 383237 388245 394253 397256 403258 408260 414260
      423259 438251 454243 454243
 2.00 500232 500230 500229 500227 500224 499223 498221 496219
      495219 493219 493220 493222 494225 494226 494228 495230
      495231 496233 498234 500233 500232
 2.00 495259 495257 495256 493254 492256 493257 493259 494260
      495259
 2.00 480241 481239 480238 480236 479235 478233 478232 476231
      475231 473232 472233 471236 471238 472239 473241 475242
      476242 478243 480241 480241
 2.00 432249 433245 432242 428238 424235 418233 414231 411226
      411223 408221 405225 402229 396228 391229 387231 388237
      390241 395245 398248 408254 411256 416257 425255 429252
      432249
 2.00 401214 400212 399211 398210 397210 396210 397211 397213
      398214 400215 401214
 3.00 426247 426242 424240 421238 417238 414237 410237 409239
      410242 413244 416244 418244 420246 421248 423248 426247

$$





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