000
FXUS04 KWBC 180840
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
439 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 18/1200 UTC THRU MAY 21/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

...WEST...

A VERY UNSETTLED PERIOD FOR THE WRN STATES... AS A BROAD BUT SHARP
UPPER TROUGH AXIS OVER THE INTERIOR WEST WILL BEGIN TO EJECT OUT
INTO THE PLAINS TONIGHT AND SUN...WHILE UPSTREAM JET DYNAMICS FROM
THE PAC STREAM INTO THE PAC NW/INTERIOR NW. ENOUGH MOISTURE
CONTENT WITH STRONG DIURNAL HEATING AND BROAD SCALE VERTICAL LIFT
SHOULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD QPF ACROSS THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST...
ESPECIALLY FROM THE FRONT RANGE OF THE NRN ROCKIES BACK TO A
DEVELOPING MID-LEVEL LOW CENTER NEAR SWRN MT DURING THE AFTN.
MEANWHILE... LIGHTER ONSHORE FLOW WILL COMMENCE ACROSS THE NW AS A
PROGRESSIVE PAC SHORT WAVE ARRIVES LATER TODAY FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY
ACROSS THE PAC NW WITH POSSIBLE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
INTERIOR NW. WPC GENERALLY FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE 00Z GUIDANCE
FOR QPF AMOUNTS FOR EACH SYSTEM WITH .50 TO 1 INCH OROGRAPHIC
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE WASATCH TO THE ABSAROKA/BIG HORN MTNS.

...PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST...

A VERY COMPLEX FCST ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST
THROUGH TONIGHT...AS SMALL SCALE SHORT WAVE DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE AMPLIFYING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PLAINS
TONIGHT INTERACT WITH A QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY (LLVL THETA-E
RIDGE) FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF NOCTURNAL CONVECTION SAT NIGHT ACROSS
THE NRN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VLY. AS THE TROUGH TAKES ON A
MORE NEGATIVE TILT...A FAIRLY SIZABLE AREA OF UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE AND AGEOS DIVERGENCE WILL DEVELOP FROM THE CEN-NRN
PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VLY TONIGHT INTO THE EARLY AM HOURS SUN.
OVER THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MS VLY...THIS WILL COINCIDING WITH A
DEVELOPING LLJ ~30 KTS AND PW`S ~1.25" (WHICH IS ABOUT 2 STD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE NORM).  MEANWHILE...ELEVATED LLVL MSTR FLUX
CONVERGENCE (925-850 MB) IS EXPECTED TO BE ON THE ORDER OF 2.5-3.0
STD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL WITH THE ANTICIPATED MCS TONIGHT PER
BOTH THE SREF AND GEFS STANDARDIZED ANOMALIES.  MODEL QPF GUIDANCE
STILL VARYING QUITE A BIT WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT PLACEMENT...AS
WITH THE UPPER BOUND IN TERMS OF AMOUNTS.  WPC OPTED FOR AN
ENSEMBLE APPROACH WITH THE MAX AMOUNTS...INCORPORATING THE GLOBAL
RUNS...HIGH RES WINDOWS...AND OTHER HIGH PRES GUIDANCE SUCH AS THE
SPC AND NSSL WRFS AND SSEO MEAN.

...PTNS OF THE SE...TN/LWR OH VLYS...INTO THE MID ATLC STATES...

A MID-LEVEL (500MB) LOW CENTER (ENHANCED BY THE CURRENT MCV)
DETACHED MOSTLY FROM THE WESTERLIES WILL DRIFT THE NEXT 24 HRS
FROM THE LWR TN VLY AND INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS/LOWER MID ATLC
REGION TODAY.  ONCE AGAIN... A SOLID PLUME OF 1.5 TO 1.75 INCH PWS
FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL POOL ON THE ERN SIDE OF THIS
SYSTEM... WHILE BEGINNING TO INGEST SOME ESERLY ATLANTIC INFLOW.
THE RESULTANT SHOULD BE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL FROM NRN MS/AL/GA
TO ERN TN/KY INTO WRN NC AND WRN AND SRN VA. THE GUIDANCE OVERALL
HAS A DECENT HANDLING OF THE PROGRESSION OF THIS FEATURE ALONG
WITH THE MOISTURE FLUX AXIS AND WPC FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE
OPERATIONAL ECMWF WITH THE INTERNAL PSEUDO BIAS CORRECTED GUIDANCE
AND LATEST SREF MEAN FOR QPF TOTALS.

DAYS 2-3...


...ROCKIES/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

THE LONG WAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE WEST AND SHORT WAVES DROPPING
THROUGH IT WILL PRODUCE QPF ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST...MAINLY DURING DAY 2. THE 00Z ECMWF AND 00Z GFS HAVE HAD THE
BEST HANDLE ON THIS PATTERN...SO A BLEND OF THE TWO WAS USED AS A
TEMPLATE FOR THE QPF FORECAST.

THE AIRMASS OVER THE REGION WILL BE MOIST (WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES NEAR 0.75 INCHES...WHICH IS CLOSE TO TWO STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) ACROSS WY AND CENTRAL AND EASTERN MT. THE
AIRMASS WILL ALSO BE MARGINALLY UNSTABLE...AS MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES STEEPEN TO GREATER THAN 9.0 C/KM. THE COMBINATION OF
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...AIDED BY LIFT FROM PASSING SHORT WAVES
IN THE FLOW...WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF QPF BETWEEN 0.50 AND 1.00
INCHES ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE IN MT AND NORTHWEST WY...AND
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL CO. WHILE THESE NUMBERS DO NOT EXCEED FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS...IT IS INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT A FEW
MEMBERS OF THE LATEST GEFS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR 3 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.

CONDITIONS ARE MORE OR LESS THE SAME OF DAY 3...THOUGH THE
MOISTURE CONTENT OF THE AIRMASS DROPS A BIT. A SHORT WAVE RIDING
THROUGH THE BOTTOM OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL FOCUS THE MOISTURE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES...WITH AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES
OF QPF PLACED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CO.


...NORTHERN PLAINS/GREAT LAKES...

THE FLOW AHEAD OF AND AROUND A DEVELOPING CLOSED LOW IN THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS WILL RESULT IN HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES...WITH THE HIGHEST
AMOUNTS ON DAY 2. TWO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREAS WERE OUTLINED
ACROSS PORTIONS OF MN DUE TO THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN. THERE WAS
GOOD MODEL CLUSTERING WITH THE CLOSED LOW...SO A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF AND GFS WAS USED FOR THE QPF FORECAST.

ON DAY 2...THE 40 TO 50 KNOT INFLOW AHEAD OF THE CLOSING MID LEVEL
SYSTEM WILL TRANSPORT PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES CLOSE TO 1.25
INCHES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND WESTERN GREAT LAKES. AHEAD OF
THE CLOSING MID LEVEL SYSTEM...THE AIRMASS SHOULD BE MARGINALLY TO
MODERATELY UNSTABLE...WITH GOOD LOW LEVEL SHEAR. THIS COINCIDES
WITH THE BEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX...SO CONVECTION IS EXPECTED
ACROSS NORTHERN NE...MUCH OF SD AND SOUTHERN MN DURING THIS TIME.
A STRIPE OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS EASTERN
SD INTO SOUTHWEST MN. THESE NUMBERS ARE CLOSE TO THE FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE NUMBERS...SO A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS
PLACED IN THIS AREA.

NORTH OF THE CLOSING LOW...THE AIRMASS IS NOT NEARLY AS
UNSTABLE...BUT MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED
CONVECTION ACROSS NORTHERN MN AND NORTHWEST WI. THE ELEVATED
CONVECTION SHOULD PUSH QPF VALUES HERE OVER 1.50 INCHES...WHICH IS
NEAR OR JUST ABOVE THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS.
BECAUSE OF THIS...A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS PLACED
ACROSS NORTHERN MN.

FOR DAY 3...THE FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAIN SHIFTS TO THE GREAT
LAKES...WHERE MOISTURE TRANSPORT OVER THE WARM FRONT SHOULD
PROVIDE THE AXIS OF HIGHEST QPF. MODEL SOUNDINGS NEAR THE FRONT
SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION...AND UPRIGHT
CONVECTION JUST TO ITS SOUTH. A STRIPE OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES OF
QPF WAS PLACED NEAR THE FRONT OVER NORTHWEST WI...WITH LOWER
AMOUNTS (CLOSER TO 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES) ACROSS THE DAKOTAS AND MN.
THESE NUMBERS WERE BELOW THE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES FOR THE
REGION...SO NO EXCESSIVE AREA WAS ASSIGNED.


...MID ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST/FL...

A MOIST UNSTABLE FLOW OF AIR AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING MID LEVEL
TROUGH WILL RAISE THE SPECTER OF HEAVY RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES...MAINLY DURING DAY 2. A SLIGHT RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS ASSIGNED TO PORTIONS OF VA. THE 00Z MODEL
SUITE CLUSTERED WELL WITH THE MID LEVEL TROUGH...AND THE QPF
FORECAST WAS BASED MAINLY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS BLEND.

ON DAY 2...THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
TRANSPORT PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.50 TO 1.75 INCHES (WHICH
IS CLOSE TO TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) ACROSS VA...NC
AND SC. MODEL SOUNDINGS ACROSS NC AND SC SHOWED LONG THIN CAPE
PROFILES...INDICATIVE OF EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS. A LARGE AREA OF
1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED IN THE ABOVEMENTIONED
AREAS...WITH A BULLS EYE CLOSER TO 1.75 INCHES OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
VA.

A FEW MEMBERS OF THE LATEST GEFS SUGGEST 2 INCH AREAS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF VA AND NC. BASED ON THE ABOVE...A SLIGHT RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS RETAINED FOR PORTIONS OF VA. THERE IS ALSO
SOME MODEL INDICATION OF A POTENTIAL MCS IN THE MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES (MOST LIKELY GA).
HOWEVER...THERE IS NOT YET ANOTHER ENSEMBLE MEMBER SUPPORT HERE
FOR HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS.

ON DAY 3...THE MID LEVEL TROUGH WAVE TRUNDLES EAST...REACHING THE
NC COAST DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD. THE BEST MID LEVEL
LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT WAVE OCCURS DURING THE FIRST HALF
OF THE DAY...AS THE AIRMASS REMAINS ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED FROM DAY
2. A STRIPE OF 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ALONG THE NC
CST...WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS BACK ACROSS INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE
MID ATLANTIC.

OVER FL...THE SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
CONVECTION DURING BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3. THE AIRMASS WILL BE
MARGINALLY TO MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH WEAK SHEAR...AND
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1.75 INCHES. THE ABOVE CONDITIONS
SHOULD SUPPORT CONVECTION IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING...GENERALLY ENDING BEFORE 03Z BOTH DAYS. A GENERAL 0.25 TO
0.50 INCH QPF AREA WAS PAINTED NEAR THE EXPECTED POSITION OF THE
SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE EACH DAY.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS/MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

A MID LEVEL SYSTEM CLOSING ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL
BE THE FOCUS FOR QPF ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...MAINLY DURING DAY 3. AGAIN...THE 00Z ECMWF
AND 00Z GFS HAVE HAD THE BEST HANDLE ON THIS PATTERN... SO A BLEND
OF THE TWO WAS USED AS A GUIDE FOR THE QPF FORECAST.

A 25 TO 35 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
TRANSPORT PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES CLOSE TO 1.25 INCHES ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO MO DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. A SHORT WAVE DROPPING INTO THE BOTTOM OF THE LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE WEST WILL AID IN SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT ACROSS THE
REGION. MODEL SOUNDINGS IN THE REGION SHOW STRONG INSTABILITY WITH
LOW LEVEL TURNING... SUGGESTING CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE AREA.

THE 00Z MODEL SUITE POINTED TO THE REGION OF NORTHEAST
OK...SOUTHEAST KS INTO SOUTHWEST MO AS THE MOST LIKELY LOCATION OF
A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS OR SMALL MCS DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
THERE WAS A LARGE SPREAD IN THE MODEL QPF HERE... BUT BOTH THE
GEFS AND ECMWF ENSEMBLE OUTPUT HAD MEMBER SHOWING 2+ INCH AMOUNTS
IN THIS SAME GENERAL AREA.

AS A RESULT...AN AREA OF 1.00 TO 2.00 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED IN
THE ABOVEMENTIONED AREA....WITH A BULLS EYE CLOSER TO 2.50 INCHES
IN SOUTHWEST MO. THESE VALUES ARE LOWER THAN THE THREE HOUR FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES...SO NO EXCESSIVE AREA WAS ASSIGNED FOR NOW.


HURLEY/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 531173 540209 524265 510296 490280 484274 478275 473275
      467276 461274 453270 445267 427272 425268 422266 420261
      421258 424242 421237 419231 424219 429216 430212 429209
      426211 423210 419203 418199 419193 421190 421183 413180
      409175 404166 402162 402154 403151 406151 412152 416155
      420158 423161 427162 431164 439177 441180 444182 450183
      453180 453176 459177 459184 455189 452193 450195 449200
      449204 450207 452210 461212 466210 472208 480208 485205
      485199 481192 481188 481182 482170 481165 479162 472159
      467162 463166 457165 451164 448162 444156 441150 439145
      437138 434132 433125 430122 427123 426127 424128 419131
      412133 408134 402134 390131 384127 379123 377122 382116
      388112 391108 391103 391098 387096 382098 377099 375101
      371106 366111 366114 363118 357110 357103 355100 357095
      358089 372072 372065 375068 379067 382065 387061 392059
      396055 398049 401045 403041 402036 399028 395023 390020
      385017 380013 370011 367008 363009 359009 343003 329998
      310000 307997 306994 306988 309984 317979 318976 316973
      318970 318966 319966 326964 332961 338958 352955 356953
      358950 358946 357937 353932 353930 350919 346913 343907
      342901 334889 316873 318859 320851 319845 321834 321829
      320826 318825 315822 312821 309823 298823 289822 276821
      271819 267819 258816 253814 249810 252805 254802 260800
      270802 277803 282806 292809 303813 308817 315815 322812
      328808 339792 345788 346783 342778 340772 337765 335758
      334745 333737 339733 343729 347725 353724 361720 364719
      366721 371725 377728 382733 387741 392745 400755 402771
      402776 403781 402789 401795 400804 400808 401815 402823
      402828 404837 405845 401856 397868 392878 387879 385877
      383879 384884 388888 391892 396897 399901 402904 406903
      412905 419907 420907 422913 423921 426924 433926 437926
      439928 444928 447927 452926 455923 456915 456906 457898
      457887 460880 463876 464870 466863 465856 464845 463836
      464831 465823 465815 467808 469800 473794 480791 483792
      489793 493795 515811 532826 542834 537853 534863 532868
      531872 532876 529897 527903 527909 526925 524943 525955
      526966 525973 523982 518997 513012 511023 510030 506054
      503074 503081 505089 508099 511105 512117 513119 511123
      510129 512136 515143 517146 520148 522157 526164 531173
 0.01 525252 527238 528232 526227 525222 523217 520216 518211
      515210 513205 511203 507199 504197 499198 496201 495204
      497208 500214 505220 507225 507230 511239 513242 516246
      518249 521252 525252
 0.01 453706 453702 451698 450698 447700 445702 445703 444708
      444709 443714 446713 449711 451709 453707 453706
 0.01 427781 426777 425774 423779 424783 427781 427781
 0.01 385943 385932 384921 382917 379915 373910 369907 363901
      361900 359899 358902 361909 363919 366922 367925 369930
      371932 373942 376945 378946 382946 385943
 0.01 250988 231994 225011 232022 246020 252015 256014 262013
      268018 270020 276020 279016 279010 278007 275001 274998
      271995 266994 258991 250988
 0.25 518270 516268 513267 510266 507265 504266 503266 504267
      506269 509271 512273 515274 517276 518270
 0.25 503888 502876 500869 495858 491854 489846 487839 481836
      482840 481847 480857 478866 475872 471874 468878 465885
      463889 462894 461907 461919 459929 454943 452950 450954
      448957 439961 430961 423959 415957 403954 391958 374960
      376966 374974 374981 373985 374989 379994 385996 401001
      406006 410015 412021 415027 427036 432040 438048 441052
      439057 435064 433073 432081 431093 433101 438108 442117
      446125 449127 453126 462117 467115 476114 485116 489118
      492116 493113 494106 493100 491095 490088 488081 489075
      496058 497045 499031 502022 506013 511997 512987 513980
      512973 510967 507963 503957 503933 504921 504911 504903
      504894 503888
 0.25 480244 478241 476238 476237 473236 471236 469240 472242
      474244 477245 480244
 0.25 466222 466221 463219 460220 458219 460222 463222 466222
      466222
 0.25 463034 461030 458032 457035 457039 459041 460039 461037
      463034
 0.25 391776 389765 384755 378746 373741 361737 353737 344739
      341741 340745 341754 345757 348757 353757 357759 358764
      359770 359778 360784 358788 351795 347800 342807 340811
      340816 338820 335822 331827 326833 324844 324854 326863
      330870 344882 348886 349877 354860 356856 358854 363852
      368851 376852 381850 384842 383836 381830 390812 390804
      391796 392786 391776
 0.25 296816 295815 293814 292814 288813 285813 283813 283815
      286816 287817 290817 292818 293819 296818 296816
 0.50 507994 507986 504981 499977 496977 495971 495967 496959
      497941 498927 498918 497908 493901 490892 488888 486888
      479890 476888 471887 468893 467901 467918 466925 468935
      464940 461943 458948 456955 453961 450965 444969 437970
      428973 423975 417978 412980 408982 406982 405975 404970
      401967 398966 393967 388969 384971 380976 377981 377986
      381988 401990 406993 409998 416010 421017 429021 432024
      433027 432032 436033 438027 455016 460013 464013 469017
      472025 471041 473044 476045 482043 487040 491035 497023
      503008 506000 507994
 0.50 471094 473086 473076 471071 468069 465068 459070 454068
      451066 444065 441068 440071 441076 446084 448088 446092
      447105 449112 452114 458107 464101 469098 471094
 0.50 386786 385780 382776 378774 372774 366777 364781 364787
      361795 357800 352803 347820 344824 341828 333835 329841
      327845 327852 328858 331863 335867 338868 343865 345863
      347858 349852 352845 364840 368837 370834 371829 371822
      372818 375815 380811 382807 386798 386786
 0.50 360750 361745 359742 357742 354742 351743 348743 345743
      344747 345751 346752 347753 349753 352752 354751 357751
      360750 360750
 1.00 493933 493926 491919 489916 486915 485917 481924 477934
      473943 467951 462958 457967 453973 446979 441986 438990
      437996 442003 445004 451003 457999 459997 465995 469993
      472990 477981 481971 486962 488955 492942 493933
 1.00 380793 380790 378787 375784 373785 372785 370788 369791
      369793 368795 367799 367800 366804 369805 372803 375802
      377800 379798 379797 380793
 1.50 490934 490929 489924 485924 483927 478939 470952 463962
      458975 455979 450985 449990 456991 459988 463985 467984
      471981 475975 481963 486948 490934
 2.00 478959 479954 477950 476950 475951 473952 470955 469956
      468958 465962 464966 463969 462971 463975 467978 469975
      471973 472972 474968 475968 477963 478959

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 497680 490669 480666 478665 474668 469674 459686 449689
      445694 443700 440706 441711 443719 444726 452745 457760
      459768 461775 465790 470807 471816 470821 467835 465841
      460844 456846 453849 451853 449856 446859 438861 433860
      426863 421866 418870 412874 404876 399878 398884 396888
      391891 384897 377904 368918 362927 359936 355944 344948
      340951 334953 327959 322963 319966 316967 308973 299977
      292979 288981 283983 280984 280987 280993 282998 299998
      314993 323989 327987 332985 350975 360971 367969 371967
      384967 390967 396969 399969 400971 402979 401988 399993
      394001 392015 393022 395025 398031 406029 411030 415032
      416034 416038 414043 414050 412054 406053 401050 395044
      383042 380043 377048 379055 385057 385062 383064 381067
      378067 375067 373065 369065 369068 372072 376084 381087
      383092 385095 389095 392092 397093 404092 403097 402101
      398103 395106 389107 383112 376121 375126 376131 380132
      383133 387130 390131 389135 384137 383140 384143 388147
      396150 398154 399161 401164 406163 408162 410164 414175
      418179 425179 427173 431168 429163 426160 425155 427142
      432141 434143 435147 435152 437159 445165 445171 446175
      445178 440188 440194 444193 448192 453193 455193 456190
      460185 465179 469175 473172 481180 482187 484192 486197
      486202 482209 473209 465213 455214 449218 442217 439220
      440225 443228 446228 449231 448234 445234 442235 439239
      444243 448242 451244 455242 459243 463243 468239 469228
      473224 483222 489222 492229 497237 500238 502235 503234
      502231 502225 502216 501210 501206 504202 506200 511200
      516202 518206 521206 531203 532193 531187 531182 531177
      534171 536165 538162 542155 543144 541135 538129 535124
      527122 522121 519120 513117 508114 505109 502104 498103
      496100 495096 494089 493086 493081 496075 502066 507055
      508040 509036 508030 503018 501011 500007 501004 504992
      504984 505977 508963 513949 514946 515940 518932 520925
      522915 524909 525902 526898 525894 524882 521864 520854
      520848 519839 519829 519815 519801 518794 518790 518785
      517779 517772 516763 512755 506748 503742 504736 503718
      503711 501702 497680
 0.01 404706 400694 397692 394691 387688 380688 375692 373698
      373706 372710 368713 367716 363720 361722 359727 358731
      356734 353741 353749 354757 353761 348762 341765 334766
      324771 317776 311781 309787 311795 316798 321799 321804
      320807 316810 311811 297811 293811 287807 282804 276802
      269802 261802 256807 253813 254817 256820 261823 266825
      271826 285830 296835 302839 304842 305845 308852 310854
      312858 322869 324871 328872 336873 342875 346880 354886
      357889 361889 364890 370890 372891 375890 379883 379881
      378875 377866 378858 383854 389852 395850 397847 397842
      399838 403832 410827 413818 412813 410811 408807 409803
      408798 407791 408786 408780 409776 410768 412761 410752
      414745 414742 414738 412731 409725 406723 404718 403710
      404706
 0.01 458232 456229 453229 450230 452232 455235 458232
 0.25 493705 490699 487694 484690 480689 475689 471692 470698
      473705 474708 477709 481711 485712 491711 493705
 0.25 511826 511819 510813 506801 499774 494769 489766 484762
      481758 481753 477737 472723 471717 468713 466711 464711
      460713 457717 457726 460734 463746 466758 470778 471788
      475798 477808 477817 477832 476842 475849 473854 468859
      460863 454867 441879 436885 432891 430897 430904 430909
      430913 428921 424931 421935 416939 409939 403937 393930
      390927 390923 391920 392916 391911 390908 387907 382911
      378918 370927 368932 366939 363948 367952 374953 379955
      387953 403954 409958 411965 411973 411980 409987 407993
      404000 404005 405011 408015 415015 423017 429016 432024
      433036 432045 430048 427049 423051 422056 421064 420072
      421089 426103 427107 429112 432112 438115 442115 446117
      451120 458124 460125 461131 465135 468136 473137 477137
      483140 499157 510162 516167 522169 526164 528158 528151
      527139 524135 521134 513131 505131 501130 498127 494122
      490112 484099 482093 479083 480077 482073 486068 491062
      495055 499045 499036 496028 493023 489021 486021 479024
      467026 463023 460013 459009 459001 462996 468993 473989
      480985 487982 491979 493975 498963 501953 503944 508915
      508904 509894 509876 509860 510846 510833 511826
 0.25 398748 393741 387742 380742 375741 372739 368740 365746
      368754 368762 364765 359769 351772 344775 339776 334777
      329779 327782 329785 332787 333791 331798 326811 322816
      320820 327852 330855 334856 340855 351858 354857 357854
      359851 359846 360844 362841 366839 369840 377839 385834
      386832 387827 388821 388817 390812 392805 394797 393791
      397773 399759 398748
 0.25 421115 414113 409106 407110 404113 400113 394114 388116
      387122 388124 394124 399125 405124 411120 419119 421115
 0.25 417072 415068 410064 407063 401063 395063 392067 391072
      389076 388080 389082 392084 398086 402083 406080 410076
      412074 417072
 0.25 300818 295816 289814 283812 279810 272810 266809 262809
      259812 264816 270818 276820 282821 288823 294822 298821
      300818
 0.50 506834 505823 504816 502811 500808 497808 493806 489804
      486807 483818 482825 482837 483844 482853 482860 478865
      475870 471873 467875 461875 454877 448881 443888 439899
      437906 436915 435928 433936 431940 425947 418959 416965
      415971 413983 411995 411000 414002 416003 418006 420008
      424008 430008 434010 436016 438020 441026 445030 450032
      454028 453019 451006 450998 452993 458980 461975 462967
      461962 462960 468959 472960 476964 480968 483968 487966
      491963 494958 497947 500932 502925 504915 505908 505897
      504882 504869 503855 504845 506834
 0.50 520158 521153 520152 518149 515148 512147 511147 509146
      506145 505146 503150 506154 508155 509156 511158 514160
      517160 520158 520158
 0.50 471736 470732 468730 465731 463735 463736 464740 466744
      467748 468749 471749 472745 471740 471739 471736
 0.50 492045 493036 490031 484030 479032 476034 476038 475042
      474051 474059 476065 481063 485059 488055 491050 492045
 0.50 477111 478105 476102 473097 470090 465085 462080 459074
      450064 447060 441056 435060 434068 435073 438075 441077
      447082 450088 444095 442098 444101 450104 452111 455112
      458110 462111 466114 470116 477111
 0.50 391764 390759 388756 384755 375757 370767 368769 362773
      350778 346779 344782 339787 337791 335801 332807 333814
      330823 328828 329833 331838 341831 348824 358828 363828
      366830 371832 374831 370821 373809 378802 381795 383791
      390781 391776 391770 391764
 0.50 438096 435093 435092 433090 430088 427085 425088 426092
      427093 429096 430097 432100 435099 438096
 0.50 403076 404072 401069 398069 395070 394072 393076 395078
      396079 398081 401079 403076
 0.50 343846 342843 341843 339841 337840 334841 334843 333845
      333847 334850 337850 340849 342848 343846
 1.00 498913 497903 496895 495886 491885 483893 478897 476902
      475908 475916 473929 475938 482945 485949 488949 490947
      492936 496924 498913
 1.00 450910 451906 449903 446902 443909 442921 441926 440930
      437942 433948 425966 421974 418983 417987 418990 424987
      426986 429987 432992 436997 439003 442005 444001 443995
      446983 449976 450962 452953 453947 453940 449927 449920
      450914 450910
 1.00 385775 383768 379767 376767 374770 370775 367779 365782
      365786 367788 369791 372793 375793 377791 380789 383784
      385779 385775
 1.00 358789 355788 352788 349789 346790 344792 342796 342797
      341800 340801 341802 342804 345804 348804 350804 351803
      353801 354798 355797 356793 356792 358789
 1.50 493914 492910 491909 489907 488905 485907 484908 483912
      483913 482918 481921 481923 481927 482929 484931 485931
      488930 489929 491926 491924 493919 493914
 1.50 378783 378779 376778 375780 378783 378783

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 464354 469351 473345 477338 481326 482322 484319 487311
      489305 492300 494291 498286 500283 504282 510279 512276
      514271 518266 520254 520248 520243 518238 515235 508233
      500231 497231 494233 492235 488237 478240 470239 463240
      459241 451242 445243 442244 438246 428250 425250 424254
      421257 420261 418265 416267 415272 416277 415284 415287
      416292 417298 420305 424311 430315 433320 436326 441341
 0.01 498647 496639 494631 487619 479612 471608 461602 456601
      451602 443603 435605 428611 422617 417623 414628 410634
      408638 403641 398642 393644 387649 381653 377653 374660
      374667 372678 371683 371690 370698 367707 364717 351738
      346746 343755 340757 336759 329761 322763 318763 310766
      304770 300775 297778 297784 292784 285786 281786 274788
      269787 263790 261793 257795 251800 245806 242815 244818
      248823 252825 257826 261826 264828 272832 280833 286832
      291832 297832 301833 310835 316837 320840 327846 331850
      336855 338856 342856 350854 354851 357847 360839 369834
      372830 375828 377828 381828 384824 386822 389816 391811
      396806 399801 401803 403808 405815 404821 406828 406832
      405837 406844 405849 403857 399863 377878 373882 368885
      365888 362889 358893 351900 349908 345917 343926 340938
      337942 333946 323962 318969 315974 314980 315997 316006
      319009 325009 327006 331004 335999 342997 345996 353994
      358995 363994 366993 376991 387988 396983 400979 403974
      407969 409964 418947 423942 429937 431940 431944 429951
      426961 423966 419971 403988 400989 398992 395997 390009
      390012 388016 386013 385010 379006 376007 373011 373017
      374022 379030 381034 379037 372038 369043 367049 361051
      355054 364058 368060 369065 372071 374084 379088 382090
      383094 386098 390095 398096 401096 403099 405105 403110
      400113 400117 402121 407122 426127 429123 434120 440120
      442121 442126 442131 440135 438139 438145 441149 446153
      449159 453159 454154 454150 450144 449139 451135 455136
      456141 458148 460152 466155 470159 477161 482165 488169
      490170 493168 496167 502161 507161 512162 518163 520161
      523154 524146 523141 522130 519128 515122 509121 506115
      502100 498086 497067 497046 497021 499013 499003 499983
      501974 502965 502959 503953 502944 500931 499917 498900
      498893 499887 498868 494847 491831 491816 489787 490753
      489747 489743 489733 488713 489706 491698 493692 495685
      498676 498666 498655 498647
 0.25 487643 486637 482634 477631 470630 463630 458629 454628
      451626 446622 440621 436621 433625 429633 426641 426649
      429656 432659 435661 441661 445659 449654 455647 458650
      461657 465667 471673 477675 481673 485666 487659 487648
      487643
 0.25 478793 474780 469773 464767 461770 459775 457789 457796
      459804 460811 459811 448813 445814 442813 435814 429821
      428831 427839 426845 421854 416861 413866 410871 408877
      404885 400892 397895 392899 382904 377906 372906 369906
      366908 359915 354930 348946 345954 342965 341969 342975
      344979 347982 354984 364982 370978 378973 392960 406946
      410941 415933 419926 427921 435914 437918 438925 439932
      439938 436951 434960 430967 426975 422985 419997 419008
      419016 417023 414033 414040 415043 420049 426055 429058
      435060 447058 457055 462054 468052 475046 479041 485033
      488024 490011 492996 492980 492947 492922 491894 490881
      488863 485845 483828 479810 478793
 0.25 450704 449700 447699 447701 449705 450706 450704
 0.25 415662 414659 412656 411654 410653 408654 406656 405657
      406661 405663 405666 405670 405671 406674 408676 408677
      411679 413681 415677 415676 416672 416671 415667 415663
      415662
 0.25 461320 462312 463304 464300 463291 460288 455284 453283
      449284 445287 443290 443298 443303 445308 448314 451317
      454322 457323 461320
 0.25 412726 411723 409723 406724 404727 400734 395740 385749
      377753 373750 345759 335767 330773 326779 324784 325790
      328796 328803 326808 320813 316816 316819 320820 329821
      335822 339822 342818 346807 350802 358798 362794 365789
      377779 383768 386764 389762 397757 401753 404748 408741
      411734 412726
 0.25 411068 411061 410056 401050 392049 381048 380053 384055
      387057 388060 387064 386068 384070 381072 378072 377075
      378079 380080 384077 389078 392079 395077 400076 404072
      411068
 0.25 289812 288809 285807 280806 274805 268805 260806 255810
      260813 266815 271817 276818 282819 285818 288816 289812
 0.50 474640 473639 470638 469638 469639 470640 473641 474640
      474640
 0.50 486876 484863 482848 475818 471805 467799 463799 465814
      466821 466825 464825 450824 446827 444832 441841 439852
      438859 436863 429864 425867 418869 413874 411878 411884
      412890 412894 407903 403907 400910 394913 388914 384912
      379912 374914 368918 363922 360928 357936 353945 350954
      347964 347967 349971 352974 359978 365976 372971 378966
      383958 388950 392941 394936 400934 406932 408929 411921
      415913 417909 422907 433903 437900 439894 441889 441883
      439877 439869 443871 445877 445882 446888 448894 449901
      449906 447912 445922 443934 443947 442956 440963 436969
      431976 428984 426996 426012 426017 423022 421027 420031
      422036 426039 439045 445047 451046 461044 470040 473038
      477034 482026 484018 485011 486987 485978 484970 483967
      482959 485931 487903 487889 486876
 0.50 366773 365766 362764 356763 353763 347765 342768 337772
      337777 339783 338787 339794 345794 350792 355788 357785
      362780 364778 366773
 1.00 480892 480879 477866 473855 469847 463846 460850 459856
      462867 463873 462878 460897 458906 456914 454922 451931
      450939 450945 452947 455945 457938 462930 466925 471917
      477902 480892
 1.00 444027 444023 443020 443019 442015 440011 437012 435016
      437020 437022 440024 441025 442027 444028 444027
 1.00 383932 382929 379926 377925 374927 371932 366938 361945
      359949 356956 356961 358965 364968 371964 375960 379952
      381945 383936 383932
 1.50 471890 471886 470885 470887 469891 471894 471890
 1.50 470900 471895 468893 465896 465897 465901 464905 464906
      464907 467906 468905 469902 470900
 1.50 377949 378945 378941 375938 374938 372938 371939 369941
      367943 367944 365947 364948 363951 363955 363958 366961
      368961 369961 372959 374956 376952 376951 377949
 2.00 374953 374949 374946 372944 370946 369947 367950 367951
      367954 368955 371955 374953 374953

$$