Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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514
FXUS04 KWBC 280917
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
517 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 28/1200 UTC THRU JUL 31/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

...EASTERN U.S. FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE MID
ATLANTIC...

MODERATE FORCING WILL TEND TO FOCUS A SWATH OF 1.0 TO 2.5 INCH
AREAL AVERAGE PRECIPITATION FROM TENNESSEE TO NEW JERSEY AS RICH
MOISTURE IS SWEPT UP AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING TROUGH. THE TROUGH
ORIGINATED AT TROPICAL LATITUDES...BUT WAS BEING STEERED AROUND A
HIGH CENTERED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC COAST...AND WAS SET TO
JOIN THE WESTERLIES WITH SOME ACCELERATION EXPECTED TODAY. THIS
WILL INCREASE THE STRENGTH OF SOUTHWESTERLY LOWER LEVEL FLOW INTO
THE EASTERN TN/OH VALLEYS AND INTO THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. AT THE SAME TIME...FORCING SPILLS OVER INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC...INCLUDING MUCH OF SOUTHERN PA DOWN THROUGH
VA/MD AND EASTWARD...AS MID/UPPER SUPPORT IS ENHANCED WITHIN THE
ENTRANCE REGION OF A DEVELOPING JET STREAK. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE A LOT OF HIGH CLOUDINESS WHICH MAY LIMIT INSTABILITY
ALONG THE PATH OF GREATEST FORCING FOR ASCENT...BUT THE LIFT
ITSELF WILL OPERATE ON A DEEPLY SATURATED ENVIRONMENT...AND EVEN
MINIMAL INSTABILITY WOULD BE ENOUGH TO LEAD TO SOME EFFICIENT
RAINFALL PROCESSES. THE HEAVIEST SHORT TERM RAIN RATES MAY OCCUR A
LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH IN AREAS OF GREATER HEATING FROM EASTERN TN
INTO VA/MD/DE. ADDITIONALLY...A FEW SOLUTIONS POINT TOWARD
REDEVELOPMENT OF HEAVY RAIN OVER SOUTHWEST PA THURSDAY NIGHT IN
THE DEFORMATION AREA OF WHATEVER CIRCULATION MAY CONTINUE TO EXIST
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ADVANCING TROUGH.

MODEL QPFS DISPLAY SOME NORTH TO SOUTH VARIABILITY WITH THE
PLACEMENT OF THE PRECIPITATION AXIS...AND ALSO SOME DISAGREEMENT
AS TO THE EASTWARD EXTENT OF HEAVIER RAINFALL. THE GFS APPEARED TO
SUFFER SOME FEEDBACK IN ITS OMEGA FIELDS...BUT THE CONSENSUS TRACK
OF THE MID LEVEL FORCING IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF THE GFS...AND GIVEN
THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE...WOULD FAVOR EASTWARD EXTENSION OF HEAVIER
RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHERN PA INTO NJ AND EVEN TOWARD LONG ISLAND.
WPC STARTED BY BLENDING THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TOWARD THE 00Z NAM
CONUS NEST AND 12Z WRF-NMM. THE RESULTING QPF HAS SUPPORT FROM THE
UKMET...WRF-ARW...AND TO SOME EXTENT THE 00Z ECMWF.


...CENTRAL PLAINS...

A FAIRLY WELL DEFINED EVENT IS PROGGED IN WNW FLOW ALOFT...WITH
RECENTLY ARRIVED FRONTAL BOUNDARIES FOCUSING A WESTWARD PUSH OF
DEEPER MOISTURE INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...AND PHASING OF
SHORTWAVE ENERGY COMING DOWN OUT OF MONTANA AND THE DAKOTAS. THE
NAM/GFS/ECMWF NOW SHOW SOME SIMILARITY IN PLACEMENT OF THEIR QPF
SWATH...WHICH WIDENS OVER KANSAS AND DIPS INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.
SOME SOLUTIONS ARE SHIFTED EASTWARD...CATCHING MORE OF SOUTHEAST
NE / NORTHEAST KS WITH HEAVIER RAIN. WHILE MEAN FLOW DOES SUGGEST
A HEALTHY EASTWARD COMPONENT TO INDIVIDUAL CELL MOTIONS...THE BULK
OF RAINFALL AND MCS CENTROIDS SHOULD PROPAGATE TOWARD THE GREATER
MAGNITUDE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY BACK TOWARD WESTERN AND SOUTH
CENTRAL KS PER THE NAM/GFS/ECMWF. THE REGIME LOOKS TYPICAL OF THE
PLAINS...WITH FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL TIED MAINLY TO THE EARLY
STAGES OF DEVELOPMENT PRIOR TO FORWARD PROPAGATION AND/OR CELL
MERGERS DURING UPSCALE GROWTH.


...MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES...

WHILE DEEP MOISTURE WAS DISPLACED FARTHER SOUTH...THERE WAS A
REINFORCING COLD FRONT DROPPING THROUGH THE MIDWEST AND GREAT
LAKES...WITH ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER WISCONSIN.
THIS AND OTHER UPSTREAM SHORTWAVES WILL MAINTAIN LIFT ALONG THE
SLOWLY SAGGING FRONT AND ALONG AN INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDING INTO
THE COLD SECTOR. REGIONAL SOUNDINGS REVEALED RELATIVELY STEEP
LAPSE RATES AND SUFFICIENT MOISTURE TO SUPPORT
CONVECTION...ALTHOUGH COVERAGE HAD BEEN A LITTLE SPARSE OVERNIGHT.
WITH THE STRONGEST LIFT OCCURRING NEAR THE BASE OF INDIVIDUAL
SHORTWAVES...STEERING FLOW WILL BE RATHER LIGHT...WHICH COULD
ALLOW FOR LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. AREAL AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION...HOWEVER...SHOULD REMAIN MODEST. WPC TRIED TO KEEP
CONTINUITY WHILE ALSO KEEPING UP WITH CONSENSUS TRENDS.


...NORTHERN NY STATE INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...

THE EASTERN EXTENT OF THE AFOREMENTIONED REINFORCING FRONT WILL
PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN NY STATE AND NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND THURSDAY. A NARROW AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW
VALUES...1.5"+...IN THE VICINITY OF THIS FRONT WILL SUPPORT
SCATTERED CONVECTION...WITH MODERATE PRECIP TOTALS POSSIBLE.


DAYS 2/3...

...PLAINS...LOWER MS VALLEY...

AFTER ONE AREA OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION MOVES SOUTH AND EAST FROM
THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS BY THE START OF THE DAY 2
PERIOD...29/12Z...CONVECTION SHOULD BE WANING.  THERE ARE MIXED
SIGNALS IN THE MODELS WHETHER OR NOT ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY
RAINFALL PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS IS ABLE TO REDEVELOP OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS OR LOWER MS VALLEY.  THERE IS AN AXIS OF PW VALUES
ON THE ORDER OF 1.50 TO 2.00 INCHES OVER THE AREA...SO THINKING IS
THAT LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE COMMON ENOUGH FROM ANY STORMS
THAT FORM.  BUT THE LACK OF ANY ORGANIZED HEIGHT FALLS OR JET
STREAMS SUGGESTS THAT COVERAGE SHOULD BE SCATTERED AND DIFFICULT
TO PINPOINT THIS FAR OUT IN TIME.

...MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/GREAT LAKES...

MODELS AGREE THAT A BROAD SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE
MID-UPPER MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES STATES LATER IN THE DAY ON
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.  SURFACE FEATURES ARE ILL-DEFINED AND THE
LACK OF A COHERENT IMPULSE EMBEDDED IN THE TROUGH SUGGESTS THAT
CONVECTION WILL BE MOSTLY SCATTERED AND DIURNALLY DRIVEN. THE
MODELS NOW ARE NOT QUITE AS CONVINCED ABOUT AN 850MB CIRCULATION
DEVELOPING...BUT EVEN IF IT DOES NOT THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE AREA
WILL BE MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL BE
AT OR ABOVE 1.75 INCHES.  THIS MAY WELL RESULT IN SOMEWHAT MORE
ORGANIZED ACTIVITY...BUT CONFIDENCE IN PLACING THIS PRECIPITATION
IS VERY LOW.

...OH/TN VALLEYS/APPALACHIANS/MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE SPREADING NORTHEAST AS AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
CONTINUES TO MAKE ITS WAY OUT OF THE MID ATLANTIC REGION.  THE 00Z
MODEL PRODUCTION CYCLE HAD A SOMEWHAT MORE NORTHWARD SHIFT IN THE
PCPN AREA COMPARED WITH PREVIOUS RUNS...BUT IT IS NOT ENTIRELY
CLEAR WHICH FORCES WERE AT WORK THE MOST /SEE DISCUSSION ON THE
TOPIC IN THE DAY 1 SUBJECT/.  AS A RESULT...THERE WAS A SOMEWHAT
NORTHWARD SHIFT IN THE WPC MANUAL QPF AND THE FORWARD SPEED WAS
INCREASED A BIT.  ONE IMPLICATION OF THE NORTHWARD SHIFT IS THAT
THE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS NOW IN PLAY ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...SO WE OPTED TO HOIST A SLIGHT RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.

THE 00Z ECMWF SPED UP AND WAS IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE 00Z GFS
IN TERMS OF THE MASS FIELDS AND THAT WAS ALSO GENERALLY TRUE OF
THE QPF.  THE WPC MANUAL QPF CONTINUED TO BE WEIGHTED MORE TOWARDS
THE GFS TRACK WITH A CONSENSUS APPROACH FOR QPF AMOUNTS.  THE NAM
CONTINUED TO BE AN OUTLIER AND WAS GIVEN LITTLE WEIGHTING.

...SOUTHWEST...

UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE REGION WILL SLOWLY BREAK DOWN OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS ALLOWING FOR AN INCREASE IN MONSOONAL CONVECTION
DURING DAY 3. AXIS OF GREATEST INSTABILITY AND HIGHEST PWS
SUGGESTS THE BEST CHANCES FOR MORE ORGANIZED ACTIVITY AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN WILL BE OVER SOUTHEASTERN CA
INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL AZ.

BURKE/BANN

24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 548080 549063 545054 540048 532048 515061 502075 496080
      490088 485095 484111 486116 488120 487122 484122 479122
      477121 475119 474114 473106 472098 471093 461089 458087
      458081 458069 458065 460063 464065 469065 474064 480054
      482049 484040 484032 482029 474024 470023 468018 463008
      459003 453998 448997 446997 443995 440988 437985 433987
      428994 427996 425995 423992 418985 414975 407965 402956
      397945 395940 392938 385935 383934 383931 384925 384915
      376910 373907 371905 373902 380897 385896 390896 393900
      392906 394908 399908 402910 408911 415914 422921 423923
      421926 417928 414934 414940 414948 414952 416952 421952
      424949 428945 431943 443931 453920 458911 462901 461886
      458877 456874 452873 442874 445856 442849 439845 435841
      433836 433823 430821 424822 421823 420817 419811 421806
      424799 426789 428785 429782 431783 434785 438785 441781
      444776 448769 454764 457760 458756 459749 459741 460728
      462715 463707 466701 469691 471681 475670 477659 477648
      475634 473627 471624 468623 464624 459633 454641 451648
      448658 446665 443671 434678 432679 432682 431689 428700
      427705 426708 424710 422709 419706 414700 411699 406699
      396702 392705 388709 383717 379725 380733 379739 372744
      364748 359754 349770 346776 348779 353782 356788 358792
      362792 364795 364798 362804 358812 356817 353821 348821
      344824 339830 330843 322859 317866 314867 313860 311860
      308866 306871 305877 304889 301891 302886 302867 299865
      296867 291873 285893 278910 276915 275921 277931 277937
      278937 281933 283929 287920 290919 291921 297924 298926
      299930 297936 296942 294947 290957 285957 281959 268969
      262973 265982 267986 267992 267997 270999 271002 268006
      263005 260003
 0.01 260003 255999 249996 244994 242993 241996 242000 245002
      250006 255012 259019 263023 264032 261039 258040 254039
      247037 240037 233037 230041 229051 231057 233063 236067
      238077 242083 247088 252091 260099 264103 269107 281111
      292119 299122 305123 309118 310120 314121 319121 321119
      323117 322115 324111 326109 327111 330111 330104 327098
      324093 317090 315088 311087 301081 291076 283073 281072
      280067 275057 273054 272048 271039 269037 271035 278037
      285037 290033 289027 285021 281017 279015 282015 287017
      292019 294017 295012 294005 291000 290997 290993 295987
      299979 304975 307974 313974 316987 321989 327987 330984
      331981 334974 337958 343947 354945 359942 362944 360947
      356954 352964 348978 345993 345001 348006 358015 362021
      364027 367042 369048 377051 388050 392055 395057 398058
      404056 406056 411056 414061 415069 419071 421067 419063
      420057 422053 425054 431057 435062 441077 445085 446088
      441087 437083 435085 435089 437094 440096 444098 449102
      453106 453115 455120 467127 471131 478132 502153 516174
      520179 523183 527185 534179 538173 539170 539164 538156
      536150 529135 523129 517124 513121 509114 510109 512107
      518104 529101 533101 535099 540097 546088 547082 548080
 0.01 386145 386143 383140 381139 377138 375140 373143 372145
      373147 373152 375154 378153 379149 381147 384146 386145
 0.01 376134 376132 377130 377128 377126 377125 375123 373123
      373125 374127 374130 374132 374134 374135 376135 376134
 0.01 379085 379078 375071 375064 372064 370059 372057 370055
      367050 361049 356052 354055 355061 355066 351072 347076
      343078 338080 334079 330081 328083 328087 332100 334102
      335106 334114 335121 335130 336133 340134 344133 346139
      353143 363137 359127 354121 353115 349101 349096 350092
      355089 358084 361076 363075 367075 370077 372080 375087
      379085
 0.01 364159 365157 364156 363156 361154 360156 361157 362158
      364159 364160 364159
 0.01 324161 324158 321156 319155 315154 312153 308151 307150
      304151 304154 306156 309157 313158 315159 318161 322161
      324161
 0.01 315105 315102 314099 311098 307099 303100 299101 296105
      297109 301112 304114 306115 307113 309109 312107 315105
 0.01 313850 310839 308836 308832 307825 309820 305816 301814
      295813 290813 286816 286822 289824 291826 293830 296832
      302840 299851 302855 306857 310854 312850 313850
 0.01 298968 299966 299964 298962 297961 297960 296959 294958
      293960 294962 295964 294966 294968 293970 292971 291972
      290974 292976 293975 294974 295973 295972 297970 298968
 0.01 287843 287837 285832 280825 278822 275819 269812 261809
      259806 261803 268799 268793 266790 249791 245792 243797
      239805 236813 236819 237823 243829 245833 248835 252834
      255831 258829 262831 275840 281846 285846 287843
 0.25 522155 521150 518146 516143 514138 511135 506134 504140
      506145 508149 511152 514156 518159 520159 522155
 0.25 463670 462663 461658 458661 456665 451673 447680 443691
      441700 441706 444705 451700 455697 457692 460684 463673
      463670
 0.25 446724 446722 445721 443721 443723 442725 440725 440726
      439727 438729 438730 437731 438732 440733 441732 443731
      443730 444727 446726 446724
 0.25 451034 449027 444022 437012 432009 427010 423006 420001
      418994 414987 410984 406980 398970 394964 389961 384959
      375959 370961 365965 362970 359978 359983 362988 366994
      367001 373012 377017 384020 390020 397022 417034 422039
      427042 439046 443044 446040 451034
 0.25 449904 447901 442900 439900 437897 428885 426876 426871
      428867 429864 429859 427851 422846 419846 416849 412854
      410861 412882 411891 415898 418905 420907 424909 431911
      436915 443916 446908 449904
 0.25 423739 421732 418727 414722 409714 407713 403714 400718
      396731 391742 380752 377755 373760 372763 371767 375772
      374779 372785 370802 359823 353833 350842 347849 345860
      342866 339871 331880 327887 324892 320903 316918 316927
      316935 316941 318943 320947 321954 323956 328956 334949
      337943 339936 340929 342919 345914 349910 352905 354899
      356892 359887 367876 382859 389849 396837 401824 404811
      407796 410788 413781 416770 420757 422747 423739
 0.25 312943 312941 310940 308940 307941 307942 306943 305945
      305946 304947 304949 304952 305953 306952 307951 308949
      308948 309947 310945 312943
 0.25 300091 295084 286081 277078 272073 271070 273066 273062
      270058 266051 258048 248044 240047 237049 236056 239063
      242073 246080 252086 255088 260089 263091 267094 272101
      277102 283101 290098 296094 300091
 0.25 275022 275019 274018 274017 273015 272015 271013 270013
      269013 267013 266013 265014 264015 265016 266017 267018
      268019 268020 270021 270022 272023 274022 275022
 0.25 254818 253812 253810 254804 250800 247804 245807 244811
      242817 242819 245823 247827 250824 252822 254818
 0.50 452681 450680 449682 447685 449686 451684 452681
 0.50 438038 436033 435030 435028 433025 430024 427025 425027
      425032 426036 428037 429037 433037 435038 438038
 0.50 438909 437906 436904 434902 432901 431900 430900 429901
      428902 429903 431904 433906 433907 434908 436909 438909
      438909
 0.50 419747 418741 416738 413736 410731 408720 405718 403721
      399728 396738 392744 387749 381755 378759 376764 377769
      380771 380774 378778 376781 375785 374790 374798 374803
      373806 369813 366821 361829 358836 356846 355855 354860
      357863 354869 352873 352877 354879 356878 359876 363872
      372860 384848 388842 392835 396828 399818 400810 402800
      409783 413765 417755 419747
 0.50 423025 419006 416997 412990 407990 403988 399982 393975
      387970 379968 373965 370966 368969 364978 368987 371994
      376003 380008 388013 395016 402020 409023 415027 420027
      423025 423025
 0.50 344897 344889 340887 332889 329893 327898 324909 322915
      323921 326931 329936 332939 335935 337930 337924 337919
      338913 339908 344897 344897
 0.50 292092 291088 286088 281085 270077 267072 264066 261060
      257056 253051 248051 245051 240055 242062 246074 249080
      253084 257084 262086 266089 270094 274098 278099 281098
      286095 291094 292092
 1.00 408759 406739 405730 401733 398739 395745 392749 387753
      384757 382760 383763 385768 389767 392769 391773 389779
      387785 384790 381795 380803 378809 375814 368824 365828
      362834 361840 361847 364852 369851 372849 375849 380845
      384841 386836 391823 394811 399799 403788 405781 407772
      408759
 1.00 410014 410007 407003 400995 394987 391983 387981 378976
      373974 371974 371976 372982 375987 377992 380995 387004
      390007 394010 402014 410014
 1.00 262074 262072 260069 258067 256065 254063 252061 250060
      248060 249062 250065 251068 252071 253073 256075 259076
      260076 262074
 1.50 405755 404745 403736 401736 400739 397744 395749 393757
      394762 395766 396774 399776 400774 403768 405762 405755
 1.50 398793 399788 397785 392788 386799 382811 378816 374819
      367828 364834 364840 365843 367845 372844 377840 382837
      387827 389819 390813 391808 392806 395801 398793
 1.50 399002 398000 397998 394996 392994 391992 389990 387990
      387995 388997 390000 391002 392005 395006 398005 399002
 2.00 404755 403750 403746 402743 399744 398747 397749 396754
      396756 396761 397765 398768 399767 401765 403762 403757
      404755
 2.00 387811 386808 385808 385809 385811 386812 387811
 2.00 385827 386820 385817 382818 380821 378825 376824 371826
      370831 372833 374829 377828 378830 380830 383828 385827

24HR QP VT 30/12Z
 0.01 465622 469623 471630 473638 473647 473655 472660 468665
      466672 463681 460689 456698 455703 453708 449716 448720
      446725 438743 431788 427813 426828 425835 425843 422855
      425866 429886 427893 425896 423899 422906 422914 421919
      419924 415927 410927 408926 404923 402918 394900 392896
      390896 389900 388906 385911 378919 374922 374930 375936
      378939 385940 387938 389943 393949 395953 395960 396967
      398970 401974 404971 405970 408969 413968 410957 411953
      415952 423956 428961 430966 433971 436981 442991 440998
      441005 442011 446014 448017 446021 445029 444033 441036
      438038 432034 423036 418043 415048 415054 412057 409059
      405061 403058 400060 392059 386062 377065 378071 377078
      371081 365072 358067 356066 355069 353072 353078 351082
      350088 346092 345096 345101 346106 349108 353106 354099
      356096 360096 364098 365101 365108 366113 370116 372111
      379107 382108 386111 389115 387121 382133 382137 385136
      389134 392132 396135 397139 396143 395146 394149 390149
      382149 378146 378143 378140 376137 373134 371134 366136
      357136 353137 348137 340133 330118 325116 320117 317119
      310120 306121 303121 299122 292128 289131 286135 284137
      279136 274135 272133 272127 270123 264118 259111 256103
      254099 250097 243092 240088 239083 239079 238072 238067
      236063 231057 231050 233045 235038 237035 240029 244026
      248025 252027 254029 259030 267035 272026 278022 282022
      286023 291030 292033 290039 290046 291050 293056 291061
      291067 293070 298076 303078 305081 312089 317092 320088
      327079 329076 330074 329071 329067 330062 331059 329058
      325057 327053 330051 334051 338048 336043 338040 346037
      353031 355026 354020 349011 347006 347000 348991 349985
      346982 343977 342975 339974 330977 325968 325948 314935
      311932 308934 302939 298943 296940 293937 292929 291926
      288927 283929 281927 276925 275922 276912 280894
 0.01 280894 300859 302857 303858 306860 309860 315860 318863
      324863 329861 333858 335854 336847 337839 338834 338827
      337815 341803 344792 347787 351784 358777 361776 363780
      364788 366792 368793 373793 375788 379777 380775 378771
      376769 387728 389723 391716 387714 383715 379719 376723
      374728 370730 367730 366729 367721 371713 374708 377705
      381697 384692 388687 393678 396675 399669 405663 412654
      421648 440637 460624
 0.01 535209 535198 535190 530173 524170 519172 506164 501162
      499165 498170 498180 502184 506185 509188 507195 504202
      503210 508214 515217 527215 535209
 0.01 529159 528153 524150 518144 510140 502135 493133 488133
      487137 491145 497152 507156 515159 524162 529159
 0.01 482969 481967 479966 476966 472966 470967 469969 467972
      467974 471975 474975 477975 479972 481972 482969
 0.01 471108 472102 471098 470094 468090 462091 454090 445088
      443086 439086 436087 435090 439096 444099 447102 451103
      454105 458107 460109 464110 468111 471108 471108
 0.01 451080 451073 450066 445062 441057 437057 433063 431068
      431073 432075 436079 437081 441082 447083 451080
 0.01 428230 426220 422212 421207 421200 421195 418194 413202
      408208 405210 405212 406217 412224 414234 416237 419238
      423236 426232 428230
 0.01 409105 408103 408102 407103 407105 407107 407108 407107
      409105 409105
 0.01 395184 395181 394179 392176 391174 388171 386170 384170
      384173 385177 386180 388181 390183 393186 395184
 0.01 407012 404005 403000 399994 397996 394996 390996 389000
      387005 385009 387011 390018 394020 397021 399020 403016
      407012
 0.01 388201 388196 386194 383190 379185 375181 371178 366180
      363181 362184 366188 371191 374192 376194 380198 383203
      388201
 0.01 392165 390164 389164 387164 386166 388167 390167 392165
      392165
 0.01 368153 369151 369150 367150 366151 365151 363151 362152
      361153 360154 359155 358156 358158 359159 360160 362160
      364159 366158 366157 367155 368154 368153
 0.01 359743 356736 350732 347731 344732 338737 328748 321759
      313772 313781 314786 316789 319796 325799 332796 337792
      342786 346781 353768 356761 357752 359743
 0.01 338168 337167 337165 336164 334164 333165 333167 334167
      335168 337168 338168
 0.01 302823 300817 297813 287806 283803 278801 266799 259800
      254802 250806 248808 249812 251818 254822 263829 273833
      278831 284831 291831 296829 300826 302823
 0.25 452666 451661 447658 440657 432661 425667 415680 407696
      402703 399711 393729 390748 389758 389769 389784 388793
      381809 380814 383818 388822 393822 396819 400813 403809
      403803 402798 400795 401787 406778 414763 422747 425738
      427729 429719 431709 437691 440683 445676 450671 452666
 0.25 421989 421988 420987 419986 417985 417984 415984 414987
      415988 417989 419990 420990 421989
 0.25 405868 406861 404857 401853 397853 395856 393860 393867
      395872 397878 397883 401887 402887 405882 404875 405869
      405868
 0.25 387979 388971 386964 380957 374949 367943 357937 349932
      346929 345923 350922 355920 372908 374905 376900 377896
      377892 376888 374887 369885 368878 367871 366864 365859
      365853 368840 373829 373824 371819 365819 359821 354828
      349839 346850 345862 342873 336883 331891 327900 325906
      325913 326921 328928 330930 335930 339928 341928 342930
      341936 341941 349963 353972 358983 360987 366990 370000
      372004 376005 378004 381001 383996 386987 387979
 0.25 335093 337091 337089 337086 335084 334084 333084 332084
      330085 329085 328087 326089 326092 327093 329094 331094
      333094 335093 335093
 0.25 303104 304096 302092 299090 297086 282074 281068 282062
      279058 276056 271053 268050 264042 256037 252035 246035
      239041 237045 237051 239055 244058 247060 247066 247072
      248076 251080 255082 265082 269085 271088 279094 285100
      291107 296108 301107 303104
 0.25 301903 302899 300896 298895 295894 293895 291897 290902
      289904 289908 290910 292912 295912 297910 299907 300905
      301903
 0.25 284823 284819 283816 279812 274809 270806 263805 259806
      258807 260813 257816 259819 263821 268823 276823 281824
      284823
 0.50 435683 435679 434676 431674 429674 426675 423678 413693
      409701 405709 400718 398726 395736 395747 395759 397763
      399766 402766 405764 407761 410753 417736 421727 425717
      428708 430699 435683
 0.50 381986 379984 380981 381977 381970 379965 375958 368952
      362947 357946 353947 352952 352956 356965 361972 366978
      370981 375982 377986 378991 381986
 0.50 349890 349884 345883 342886 339889 337893 335897 334902
      335906 339905 342902 344899 347895 349891 349890
 0.50 298101 298096 294094 295091 293088 290085 286083 281082
      280086 282089 285093 288095 290098 294100 298101
 0.50 271075 271064 264058 262049 260046 256044 248044 246042
      243043 242048 245052 248053 251057 253061 253071 255075
      259076 269077 271075
 1.00 422706 421701 419700 415703 413706 407714 403722 400731
      399736 399742 402744 406743 409739 412735 415727 418717
      422709 422706
 1.50 412723 412720 411719 410719 408720 407721 407722 405724
      405725 404727 404729 404732 403734 405735 406735 408733
      409730 410728 411727 411725 412723 412723

24HR QP VT 31/12Z
 0.01 558098 559080 557067 550047 545038 541033 543028 545022
      545014 543010 539007 535009 532013 527022 522031 516038
      512039 508037 505034 501029 498026 493025 491028 489033
      488040 490046 494056 497067 497074 498082 499087 499096
      497112 500124 502128 498131 496133 494141 493146 492153
      493160 495165 500175 507195 511198 516199 520199 524201
      527204 531205 535204 537196 538191 541186 544174 544168
      545161 547145 549140 550131 554116 558098
 0.01 523246 524240 523236 520228 517219 515216 512214 508213
      506214 502215 500219 498229 500238 505243 511248 519250
      523246
 0.01 463139 461129 457120 453119 454115 457111 461109 461104
      458101 455100 451102 447106 443113 441118 442122 445126
      447129 452132 453135 456140 460141 463139
 0.01 453076 450070 447067 442062 437059 434056 428058 428061
      429063 433068 436072 441075 448076 453076
 0.01 457983 454976 449971 437964 431964 429967 429973 431976
      432978 431980 429982 426980 423980 419982 417989 416001
      415004 414010 414015 416018 421022 427018 432016 435013
      438014 446015 448013 449007 448000 447997 446993 452991
      455987 457983
 0.01 450896 444889 439885 435882 430883 426880 424874 425859
      427848 430838 429826 432814 429807 429798 430791 431786
      433781 432774 433763 433750 430741 426734 419726 414722
      410720 405722 399729 395733 391731 383726 379724 378721
      374717 369717 359720 349724 344734 339744 331757 324775
      318791 317795 314800 313806 311809 310815 310821 310828
      309834 308839 309842 311854 311861 312865 306867 304870
      301880 301884 298886 294889 286895 277894 273898 269904
      268909 267916 266925 262934 259937 255939 248946 246950
      249952 255952 258951 267949 271947 276946 288945 288949
      287955 285960 284966 285971 288974 295975 301968 305962
      314948 318945 320944 323945 328952 338969 346975 348978
      349983 349000 351004 353007 348026 345036 343040 340043
      335048 331050 325050 323053 323060 328065 329067 329070
      326075 325082 321084 312080 307075 300055 300051 302047
      309051 307055 308060 312060 314057 314051 313047 313044
      312040 310036 305037 302040 301043 299042 295037 293033
      294030 294021 292016 287014 276013 265011 259003 249991
      248984 243984 237983 236988 235993 234000 236010 239016
      245021 250022 255023 258023 261025 263027 268035 269040
      267041 264040 257036 251036 247039 244048 243056 244062
      247071 250077 256085 262091 270098 279104 286107 296108
      302114 306117 308120 311124 315125 319124 322126 326129
      328133 332136 337138 341141 346140 351136 354132 358130
      363128 366128 366125 363119 361115 358112 353104 351096
      351092 352091 354086 356081 359075 364072 367073 369075
      374077 375080 388081 389080 391075 392069 393062 391051
      388047 384045 378039 373035 367035 364030 361018 358014
      356012 359009 367005 379974 382971 387970 393965
 0.01 393965 395962 395956 393947 391940 386934 382929 379926
      378922 378911 381904 385900 389893 389881 391873 396873
      398876 401883 404892 407898 412905 417908 420910 424910
      433909 441909 445904 450896
 0.01 430173 429168 429163 427160 424155 420151 417151 415153
      414160 415165 416168 415170 414172 415179 418184 422184
      424182 425179 428178 430173
 0.01 408156 408154 409152 409150 409147 409145 409143 409142
      408140 407140 406139 405140 404141 403142 403144 403146
      402148 402151 402153 402154 404156 406157 407157 408156
 0.01 412110 413106 413101 412099 410096 408095 406095 404098
      402102 402104 402106 403110 405112 406114 408113 410112
      412110
 0.01 415050 415048 413047 412045 411045 410044 408044 406044
      404044 403044 401046 400048 401049 402049 404051 406052
      408052 409052 411052 413052 415050 415050
 0.01 405133 405126 402124 399122 393121 390118 389113 385111
      382110 378114 377119 374130 377130 380126 384127 385131
      387134 390133 397138 400139 403135 405133
 0.01 396163 397159 395156 393158 389159 386158 382158 382159
      384161 385164 388165 392165 394165 396163
 0.01 368187 369185 369183 368182 367180 366180 365181 363181
      362181 362184 362185 363186 364187 366188 367188 368187
 0.01 330164 326157 319154 312150 307146 300142 298140 293140
      292143 293147 297152 302157 307163 314166 318167 321166
      326166 329165 330164
 0.01 305823 303819 301817 294811 288807 285806 280808 271807
      265802 262799 262794 269788 275783 279780 283779 291774
      291771 287769 276770 268768 265767 260768 248770 240772
      234774 231776 226781 221789 219798 220809 222815 222821
      221827 222833 223839 224845 226847 232847 237846 241843
      244839 239818 237813 236808 237804 241803 248821 252824
      255825 265826 273829 282830 289829 298830 301829 303826
      305823
 0.25 543098 543091 543087 540077 536070 532065 529062 525062
      519063 517066 515071 514075 515079 518088 525091 531095
      536099 540101 542098 543098
 0.25 534168 535162 536155 535150 534146 530138 522137 515139
      513140 510144 509147 510152 513159 516167 517172 518175
      522178 526178 531173 534168
 0.25 419771 419762 419757 417752 415747 410742 404741 398743
      392747 387750 380760 379763 375763 371760 367756 366746
      366740 364733 359731 356731 352733 350738 348745 347758
      345764 344773 345779 349784 354786 359785 362788 369789
      371790 372794 373803 372810 373819 373828 371834 368840
      364845 356852 351856 348862 347868 347873 345875 342881
      341886 342902 342910 344917 346922 350928 358936 362939
      366939 369938 371908 371901 374895 378891 381886 383879
      385872 387856 388850 391844 393838 396835 400836 403835
      408831 411826 413820 415804 416798 416788 418777 419771
 0.25 363954 363949 360945 357943 352941 348940 345943 344947
      346952 349954 352956 356958 361958 363956 363954
 0.25 318103 319100 319096 316093 308086 299081 292075 288072
      284072 279075 279080 282085 283091 285095 289098 293100
      297104 301107 306110 310111 314109 318103
 0.25 321902 321900 321898 320897 320896 318895 317896 316896
      316898 315901 315903 315905 316907 317907 318907 319906
      320905 320903 321902
 0.25 308918 309915 309911 305909 301910 299914 299918 299924
      300928 302933 303937 307936 307930 307924 308919 308918
 0.25 275067 272063 270058 265054 259052 256049 252048 251050
      252057 253063 256069 260072 263073 267073 273072 275067
 0.50 527158 528156 528153 527151 527150 526149 524148 522149
      521150 519151 519152 517153 517156 518158 519159 520160
      521162 522163 523163 524163 526161 526160 527158
 0.50 410770 409762 405755 402750 398750 395752 387763 384768
      379773 375778 375781 378784 383800 383804 386806 392808
      397810 402814 405813 406809 403802 403792 406785 410771
      410770
 0.50 388824 388822 386818 385815 384811 382809 380813 380816
      381821 381823 383826 385827 387827 388824
 0.50 366914 366905 365898 364893 362890 355888 352887 349890
      347897 347902 348906 351914 353923 358927 362928 365927
      364922 366916 366914
 0.50 357770 356769 356768 354767 353768 352769 353771 355771
      357771 357770
 0.50 314101 313095 309092 304089 299086 294083 288083 288089
      292094 296096 301101 304104 308106 312105 314101

$$





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