Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 271003
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
602 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 27/1200 UTC THRU MAY 30/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

UPDATE... WPC ONLY MADE ONE ADJUSTMENT TO THE FIRST 6 HRS OF THE
FCST FROM 12Z T0 18Z... IN ANTICIPATION OF THE FORWARD PROPAGATING
SQUALL LINE ARRIVING INTO SOUTHEAST TX AND SOUTHWEST LA.
UNFORTUNATELY THIS APPEARS LIKELY TO IMPACT PARTS OF SERN TX...
ESPECIALLY INVOF THE HOUSTON METRO. WPC UPPED AMOUNTS IN THIS
VICINITY OF STILL POTENTIALLY THRIVING AFTER 12Z.

NORTHERN INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST INTO NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...

A MID-LEVEL LOW AND SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE INTERIOR NW AND NRN
ROCKIES WILL SLOWLY PRESS DOWNSTREAM ON WED... AS HEIGHT FALLS AND
SMALL SCALE VORTICITY SPREAD OUT INTO THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS. THE UPPER DYNAMICS ADVANCING INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS WILL POSSIBLY IGNITE TWO AREAS FOR POTENTIALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND QPF... ONE IN ADVANCE OF ENERGY LIFTING OFF TO THE
NORTH AND EAST THROUGH THE DAKOTAS AND ANOTHER POSSIBLY EXITING
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO KS AND POSSIBLY SPREADING SOUTH AND EAST
TOWARD OK. WPC WENT WITH AREAL AVG RAINFALL AMOUNTS AOA 1 INCH IN
BOTH LOCALES. MEANWHILE UPSTREAM OVER THE WEST... EXPECT LOW UPPER
HEIGHTS WITH ABNORMALLY COLD TEMPS ALOFT TO INTERACT WITH STRONG
DIURNAL HEATING FOR SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
NRN INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST.

SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER MS VALLEY...

VERY DIFFICULT FORECAST ACROSS THE AREA IMPACTED BY UNPRECEDENTED
RAINFALL THE PAST FEW DAYS AND MONTH... AS HI-RES GUIDANCE AND
OPERATIONAL MODELS ARE ADDING VERY LITTLE CONFIDENCE TO THE
IMMEDIATE SHORT TERM TO THE NEXT 24 HRS. TWO CLUSTERS OF ORGANIZED
CONVECTIVE HEAVY RAINS ARE OCCURRING AT THE MOMENT... ONE NEAR
NERN OK AND ANOTHER MORE LARGER AREA ACROSS NERN/NRN TX. THE
SMALLER ZONE OVER NERN OK APPEARS TO BE FADING BUT SPREADING
DOWNSTREAM TOWARD NWRN AR/SWRN MO BUT MOST MODELS SUGGEST THIS
LOCATION BEING HIGHLIGHTED THROUGH THE FCST PERIOD... ESPECIALLY
NERN/ERN OK. MEANWHILE... THE ORGANIZED COMPLEX OF CONVECTIVE
RAINS OVER NERN TX IS BEGINNING TO ADVANCE DOWNSTREAM TO THE SOUTH
AND EAST POSSIBLY TOWARD SERN TX/SWRN LA. NONE OF THE GUIDANCE
HAVE MUCH OF AN IDEA ON THIS ACTIVITY EXCEPT FOR THE SPC WRF BUT
THIS MODEL WAS TOO SLOW. DUE TO THE LACK OF SUPPORTABLE
GUIDANCE... THIS FCST IS RATHER HUMBLING AS WPC ATTEMPTED TO CARRY
WHATS LEFT OF THE MESOSCALE FEATURE TOWARD SERN TX AND THEN
POSSIBLY RE-DEVELOP HEAVY RAINS ACROSS ERN OK INTO NRN/NERN TX
DURING THE DAY BUT AT THIS POINT ITS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN HOW TO PLAY
OUT.

EASTERN U.S. INTO SOUTH...

A SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE UP ACROSS THE UPPER
MS VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL PROGRESS TO THE NORTH AND
EAST TOWARD SERN CANADA OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS. TWO SHEAR AXES
EXTENDING TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OR OVER THE ERN PORTION OF THE
COUNTRY SHOULD YIELD SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN. THE FIRST SHEAR AXIS IS MOVING INTO WRN PA/WV INTO
NC/SC AT THE MOMENT AND WILL PROCEED THROUGH THE NERN QUAD OF THE
COUNTRY... WHILE THE TAIL END OF THE VORTICITY FADES. THUS EXPECT
SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS FROM NRN NEW ENGLAND DOWN INTO THE
MID-ATL REGION WITH RELATIVELY SLOW CELL MOTION... ESPECIALLY INTO
THE MID-ATL REGION AS THE ATLANTIC RIDGE KEEPS STEERING MOTIONS
LIGHT. THE SECOND SHEAR AXIS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN SURFACE COLD
FRONT WILL PRESS THROUGH THE OH AND TN VALLEYS INTO THE SOUTH
YIELDING MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS. THE MOST OPPORTUNE
ACTIVITY APPEARS ACROSS THE SOUTH... AS MORE POOLING MOISTURE WILL
EXIST WITH LIGHTER 850-700MB WINDS.


DAYS 2/3...

...EASTERN U.S....

EXPECT DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION FROM THE MID ATLANTIC SOUTH
INTO THE SOUTHEAST BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOONS. MODELS
WERE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL SETUP AND QPF. THUS
WPC USED A MULTI MODEL BLEND AND ENSEMBLE INFORMATION TO DERIVE
QPF FOR DAYS 2 AND 3. PWAT VALUES ARE GENERALLY ON A DOWNWARD TEND
BY DAY 2...THUS WHILE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS ALWAYS POSSIBLE IN
THUNDERSTORMS...THINK TWO DAY TOTAL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY STAY AT
A HALF INCH OR LESS ON AVERAGE...WITH MORE OF THAT FALLING ON
THURSDAY THAN FRIDAY. BETTER LARGE SCALE FORCING ACROSS NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND AS A SHORTWAVE TRACKS ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY. THUS
SHOULD SEE A BIT BETTER ORGANIZED STORMS UP THERE...AND GIVEN PWAT
VALUES AROUND 2 SD ABOVE NORMAL...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE.
BUT GIVEN THE FAST MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM...AMOUNTS SHOULD
GENERALLY STAY UNDER A HALF INCH.

...SOUTHERN PLAINS...

TO START THURSDAY...PRETTY LOW CONFIDENCE ON WHAT WILL BE ONGOING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH REGARDS TO CONVECTION. NO REAL
FOCUS FOR ANYTHING AND MODEL SIGNALS ARE NOT TOO STRONG. THUS FOR
NOW JUST WENT WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW QPF TO ACCOUNT FOR
SCATTERED ACTIVITY...THAT MAY TEND TO INCREASE A BIT IN COVERAGE
WITH DAYTIME HEATING. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER
THAT STORMS SHOULD FORM ALONG THE DRY LINE ACROSS WESTERN TEXAS AS
A SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE AREA. PRETTY GOOD SIGNAL AMONG THE
GUIDANCE THAT AN MCS MAY TRY TO EVENTUALLY DEVELOP OUT OF THESE
STORMS. GIVEN THE MODERATE TO HIGH INSTABILITY EXPECTED ACROSS
TEXAS...THE INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET AND MOISTURE FLUX...AND THE
LARGE SCALE FORCING FROM THE SHORTWAVE...SEEMS VERY POSSIBLE THAT
AN MCS WILL FORM ACROSS WESTERN TEXAS THURSDAY EVENING. ANY SYSTEM
THAT DOES FORM WILL PROPAGATE OFF TO THE EAST AND EVENTUALLY
SOUTHEAST. WPC FOLLOWED A MODEL AND ENSEMBLE COMPROMISE FOR A
STARTING POINT FOR QPF...BUT TRIED TO DEPICT THE IDEA OF AN MCS
MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST...ON THE QUICKER SIDE OF GUIDANCE GIVEN THE
EXPECTED PROPAGATION AND THE TENDENCY FOR THESE SYSTEMS TO MOVE A
BIT FASTER EAST THAN MODELED. HAVE EXPANDED THE DAY 1 SLIGHT RISK
TO THE SOUTH TO BETTER HIGHLIGHT THE POTENTIAL MCS RISK...SO IT
NOW INCLUDES A GOOD PORTION OF CENTRAL TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA.

THE DAY 3 FORECAST AGAIN STARTS UNCERTAIN...AS IS DEPENDENT ON
WHAT HAPPENS WITH THE THURSDAY NIGHT POTENTIAL MCS. FOR NOW HAVE
THE SYSTEM DISSIPATING BY FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS AS
IT OUT RUNS THE BETTER FORCING AND WE START TO LOSE THE BETTER LOW
LEVEL INFLOW. BUT THIS IS STILL UNCERTAIN. SHOULD SEE AFTERNOON
REDEVELOPMENT ACROSS OKLAHOMA ND NORTHERN TEXAS AS A COLD FRONT
PUSHES SOUTH INTO THE REGION INTO AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS. PWAT VALUES
WILL STILL BE RUNNING 1 TO 2 SD ABOVE THE MEAN ACROSS THE AREA SO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS AGAIN PROBABLE. HOWEVER LESS LARGE SCALE
UPPER FORCING WILL BE PRESENT...AND THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW/MOISTURE
FLUX IS NOT AS IMPRESSIVE. THUS LESS CERTAIN ON AN ORGANIZED FLASH
FLOOD THREAT. SO OPTED TO LEAVE OUT A SLIGHT RISK AT THIS
TIME...BUT WILL NEED TO BE REEVALUATED AS WE GET
CLOSER...ESPECIALLY GIVEN HOW SATURATED THE AREA IS. AS SOME SIGNS
THAT STORMS MAY TRY TO ORGANIZE BY FRIDAY EVENING AND DIVE SOUTH
INTO THE BETTER INSTABILITY ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. OVERALL WPC
STARTED WITH A MULTI MODEL BLEND...WITH QPF DERIVED FROM THAT
ALONG WITH ENSEMBLE PROBABILITIES.

...GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES/CENTRAL-NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS IN
COVERAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
PLAINS AS THE LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
SHORTWAVE. ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT
BEGINS TO WORK SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. BY DAY 3...DIFFERENCES
IN THE TIMING OF THE FRONT BEGIN TO SHOW UP...WITH THE GFS ON THE
FASTER SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE AND THE ECMWF ON THE SLOWER...AND THE
CMC AND UKMET IN BETWEEN. OVERALL THE TREND HAS BEEN SLIGHTLY
QUICKER...BUT THE GFS SEEMS LIKE IT COULD BE A BIT TOO FAST. THUS
A GENERAL BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE GUIDANCE WAS USED...WHICH SEEMED
LIKE A GOOD COMPROMISE AND MATCHED THE ECMWF/SREF/GFS ENSEMBLE
MEANS PRETTY WELL. TWO DAY TOTAL QPF FEATURES A LARGE AREA OF OVER
A HALF INCH...WITH AROUND AN INCH FROM WESTERN WISCONSIN AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...SOUTH INTO CENTRAL IOWA AND EASTERN KANSAS.

AS THE WAVE MENTIONED ABOVE MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND
NORTHERN ROCKIES ON THURSDAY...EXPECT MORE CONVECTION ACROSS THE
AREA...FOCUSED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. STILL SHOULD SEE SOME
ACTIVITY ON FRIDAY...BUT WITH THE TROUGH OFF TO THE
EAST...INTENSITY AND COVERAGE SHOULD BE ON A DECREASING TREND.
OVERALL THE GUIDANCE WAS IN GOOD AGREEMENT...THUS WPC QPF WAS
BASED ON THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...ADJUSTED BASED ON THE LATEST
MODEL CONSENSUS.

MUSHER/CHENARD

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 534212 535198 534183 533171 530162 512122 511092 509083
      506072 503060 504056 503053 501047 501031 502016 500005
      498991 496980 496972 494969 488959 484955 481952 472952
      469954 467958 465964 462968 458970 453970 449968 445971
      441974 437972 434969 431968 428970 422970 417970 416964
      417959 417954 417953 410952 397948 391948 385937 383934
      384929 383924 385919 389909 391902 393896 397886 411875
      423862 428860 433860 437859 439856 441851 442850 444851
      444859 441863 439866 434868 431871 428871 426874 426877
      429879 432879 434880 435884 435889 437894 439897 443900
      445906 450913 458920 465925 470925 473927 475916 475915
      472912 468909 465905 464901 465898 468898 472893 474892
      476895 480904 485901 488892 491880 493868 496855 501845
      517807 525784 528774 530763 535739 535733 534730 531718
      527708 527700 525696 521680 517670 508651 505646 502644
      499642 497639 495637 494639 488641 483643 480647 468661
      465664 465659 466653 464649 460649 456650 451651 448654
      442660 439664 437669 437675 439680 440684 439691 438703
      429709 425717 423721 419724 414726 412722 413718 414713
      416710 426695 428687 425690 423695 417702 412707 408710
      403714 400718 398722 393731 390735 388738 380743 374751
      367759 363761 360763 353770 346777 336789 325803 315815
      309822 302827 296835 283837 277838 273840 268845 267848
      271853 276859 282867 283871 285876 289885 285893 284898
      285902 286908 289911 293918 294922 294928 289938 286948
      283957 281962 281967 287972 285985 286989 283990 279992
      272996 275001 278004 283005 285008 290009 292013 294013
      298015 299021 300025 298025
 0.01 298025 292021 288022 288027 292030 291033 293036 292039
      289036 285034 281036 272039 265043 266047 268050 270053
      274055 282058 287060 292060 299056 303054 308054 318053
      325057 330058 334056 347047 352040 357039 361042 357051
      358057 359060 358063 357067 358069 362068 365070 369073
      371074 372078 375085 376091 375098 370099 368103 368106
      372104 380100 383098 384104 385109 382111 379115 379117
      381118 385126 390127 390131 389133 384131 381133 379137
      380141 379153 379165 382169 383175 367179 364181 365187
      370189 375190 381191 385189 388187 386184 385181 386178
      389176 393174 397171 402173 405177 409174 411172 415173
      418175 423175 427171 433173 429181 439195 443196 445192
      451195 454195 456187 461182 467174 474171 478169 481171
      483173 482175 479180 482189 481199 474203 469205 465206
      461207 461210 463216 466217 469216 473214 477213 482214
      492218 495220 497225 506244 508248 511248 514245 515241
      515234 517226 522221 525217 529216 532215 534212
 0.01 461825 459815 457810 457805 454802 452802 450804 447810
      444817 440825 439829 437832 435836 437840 442846 445847
      447845 452844 454842 457839 458835 460827 461825
 0.01 449763 448761 446762 445764 445766 447768 448765 449763
 0.01 442171 441167 440165 438163 436160 434157 432156 429156
      428158 430161 431163 433165 434169 436172 437174 439172
      442171
 0.01 433083 432080 430078 429080 428081 427082 427084 428086
      430086 432085 433083
 0.01 424079 424077 425075 425072 424070 422070 421072 420072
      419074 418074 417076 418078 418081 420082 421082 423081
      423080 424079
 0.01 414727 412725 411726 409727 407728 407729 406730 405731
      405734 406734 408733 409731 410730 411729 413728 414727
 0.01 422062 422060 422058 421057 420057 419060 418062 419063
      421063 422062
 0.01 403739 401738 400739 399740 400741 402740 403739
 0.01 406049 404047 404045 404044 405042 405040 405038 405037
      403035 401036 400037 400039 400041 399042 398044 399046
      401048 402049 404049 406049 406049
 0.01 391100 390099 389098 388096 387096 385095 383097 385099
      386099 386100 388102 390102 391100
 0.01 389041 389036 388034 387031 385029 383026 381026 381031
      379033 377035 378037 380041 383041 386043 388043 389041
 0.01 311026 311024 310022 309022 307023 307024 305025 306028
      308027 310027 311026
 0.01 307032 306031 305031 303030 301030 299031 301033 303033
      304034 306033 307032
 0.01 299031 297030 295030 294031 295032 297032 299031
 0.01 293046 294044 293042 291043 293046 293046
 0.01 260819 257817 252816 250812 249808 245806 239807 237810
      236814 238818 240821 243823 247825 252824 256822 259820
      260819
 0.25 526733 525727 523720 521709 519703 516697 513695 509695
      491703 485704 477704 472704 469701 469695 471691 476684
      478678 479673 476669 471669 468672 465676 463686 458687
      436715 431724 427726 422729 415734 410740 407743 404747
      400753 396758 394761 388760 379759 373765 369768 369773
      372774 375774 378775 382775 390772 398767 404762 410758
      412755 417754 421754 424751 425746 427746 428758 429763
      431765 434764 436762 438757 441747 442735 445732 450730
      453727 454723 459716 462713 465712 464717 464723 464728
      465736 464750 464754 467761 467772 473790 474803 472810
      472823 470836 468841 468846 468851 467857 463865 461869
      460874 461878 464882 468880 471878 476870 481862 490844
      497826 513790 520769 522760 524749 526739 526733
 0.25 497049 496041 493033 491024 494015 492007 492000 492991
      489983 465987 458987 454986 452984 448985 448989 450991
      455995 457998 456001 446007 437016 440023 444027 448032
      450035 451039 446038 442037 440040 441045 443047 447048
      451048 455049 456053 457057 459058 466059 470060 473063
      474066 476067 478059 481039 487050 490053 494053 497049
 0.25 488030 488025 486022 481015 477009 475006 473006 469008
      468011 464019 462022 464025 467026 469025 472023 476024
      479032 481036 482034 488030
 0.25 477129 475124 472120 470114 470110 471105 469100 469095
      471092 470088 467086 464087 456089 453076 454068 450064
      446066 443067 442070 445074 448078 451082 452088 449102
      444110 440107 438108 436112 439120 440134 442141 444145
      447147 449147 454146 457149 460153 466155 470155 472154
      473150 469146 466142 468137 472135 476131 477129
 0.25 433118 433115 431113 425112 419111 416110 414110 410113
      409109 413103 414098 414094 411092 408096 406102 399111
      398117 400122 400125 403127 408129 413132 415133 415137
      413141 406141 400140 396138 392141 389146 388160 399147
      406147 411147 413152 415154 417154 420148 422142 425127
      430122 433118
 0.25 425791 424786 422789 419794 417797 417802 415804 414809
      416814 419813 422808 423803 424798 425793 425791
 0.25 419825 417820 412818 410817 407821 403825 400829 398834
      394839 393844 395848 395855 392860 389865 386868 382873
      379874 372875 366875 356873 350876 348877 348881 342890
      339895 337897 335895 335882 336878 341878 346873 346862
      349852 348847 350841 351834 350829 348827 347825 344824
      338821 335823 332826 331833 328837 323843 320844 317843
      314840 311837 307837 301841 297844 293848 292853 295857
      298856 300856 302858 304862 306870 308876 308883 306888
      303899 303906 302911 300926 300933 297936 293946 292953
      292958 294964 297968 303975 305980 305988 306993 308997
      313000 319999 322994 327991 331989 334985 337983 340982
      343978 347977 353978 360977 362977 363981 364987 364992
      362998 360002 360005 362006 368007 370014 375017 379019
      384020 392025 397028 403030 414032 416028 414022 413017
      409014 404012 402008 401003 403001 408997 409991 407986
      399980 394979 389980 384983 380983 377980 373977 369976
      368971 364958 363951 359946 350923 352917 354912 357910
      361907 375894 377889 381884 385885 388884 391880 396872
      403862 408852 409847 409840 409837 411834 415834 418829
      419825
 0.25 398055 397054 395053 394052 393052 392053 390054 391057
      393058 395057 397056 398055
 0.25 365843 365840 364840 363841 362843 363844 365843 365843
 0.25 360816 360814 359813 358812 357811 355810 353811 352813
      352814 351815 350817 350818 349820 350822 351822 352822
      354822 355821 356821 358820 358819 359817 360816
 0.25 355897 354894 351894 346897 344903 343906 340906 337906
      335904 335902 331901 330904 331908 334913 339915 341910
      346906 349906 351903 354899 355897
 0.25 354005 351001 349998 350993 348989 344987 340989 338993
      337998 335003 335006 336011 339012 342011 345011 349009
      353006 354005
 0.25 345809 345807 344805 342804 340804 338804 336806 335808
      334808 334811 335813 335815 336816 337815 338815 339814
      341813 342812 343812 344810 345809
 0.25 334030 334027 330026 328028 326031 325033 324035 324040
      324043 326042 329040 331038 332036 333032 334030
 0.25 332817 330814 328813 324814 323815 321817 319820 318822
      316825 315828 318829 321827 324825 325824 327822 330820
      332817
 0.25 321012 321009 321007 321005 320003 318001 317001 315001
      315003 315004 315005 315006 314007 314009 314011 315011
      316012 318013 320013 321012
 0.50 520739 520730 518721 516716 511715 507718 504724 500736
      496748 492761 485786 480814 480821 479831 477845 477849
      479850 482846 488836 497812 507789 515764 518751 520739
 0.50 495046 494043 494041 493041 492038 491036 489037 488038
      488040 488043 489043 489045 490047 491048 492049 493048
      495046
 0.50 474675 474672 473671 471672 470672 469674 469676 468676
      468679 469681 471680 472679 473677 474676 474675
 0.50 489997 489996 488995 487993 486992 485991 484991 483992
      482994 483997 483998 484000 485000 487000 488000 488999
      489997
 0.50 460694 460691 459691 457691 455693 455695 456697 457697
      458697 459695 460694
 0.50 465129 463127 459126 456127 454128 451127 447126 445128
      445132 448133 452132 455132 459134 460133 463131 465129
 0.50 471038 467035 462031 459027 456020 456015 454013 451015
      452025 454030 457035 460040 465044 468044 470041 471038
 0.50 463099 462097 461097 460095 460096 460099 460101 461103
      463102 463100 463099
 0.50 462996 463994 462993 460991 459991 458990 457991 456991
      457992 457993 458995 460996 462996 462996
 0.50 449017 451015 449014 448014 447015 447017 449017 449017
 0.50 434732 433730 430729 427730 424731 422732 419735 419738
      421739 424739 426740 430740 431737 433735 434732
 0.50 403993 404989 402987 398984 393987 387988 383990 382997
      383007 388017 391020 397022 400020 399014 395013 396011
      394009 391011 390009 396002 396997 399994 403993
 0.50 392766 392764 390762 389762 388762 386762 384762 383762
      381763 380764 380766 380768 382770 384771 385770 387770
      387769 389769 390768 392766 392766
 0.50 381013 379008 377003 378999 378994 375990 372988 369988
      367992 366998 368003 371007 372010 376014 378015 381013
 0.50 362969 362964 361960 356955 354947 353938 351936 347935
      344936 345941 345943 340943 341938 338931 334930 332928
      330929 327937 324937 322935 316931 316929 317926 318917
      315916 314920 313929 310933 308933 301936 297941 295949
      294953 296958 299959 301957 304950 307949 311949 314964
      311970 309973 310976 309984 312990 314993 317992 319988
      319984 324978 330978 340968 344962 346960 347963 349968
      353972 359972 362969
 0.50 343842 343841 342840 341839 339840 338841 337841 336843
      336844 335845 334847 334848 334849 335850 336851 337850
      338849 340848 340847 341846 342845 343843 343842
 0.50 346002 346000 345998 344996 342996 340997 338999 337002
      338004 338005 340005 342004 344004 346002
 0.50 330865 331863 331861 329860 328860 326861 325864 326865
      326866 328866 330866 330865
 0.50 328855 328852 327851 327853 326855 327856 328855
 0.50 324894 325889 324885 323882 321880 319881 318883 317888
      316892 316894 316898 317900 320901 322899 323896 324894
 0.50 312869 313867 313864 313862 311861 310861 309863 308865
      309867 310868 312869 312869
 1.00 341954 340952 339951 339952 338954 339956 341954
 1.00 337960 336958 336957 335956 334954 333954 332953 330953
      329954 328954 327955 325956 325958 326960 326962 326965
      326967 328968 330967 332965 332964 334963 335962 336962
      337960

24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 490613 493629 496640 498649 498657 498671 499681 498687
      498693 498701 496716 494729 490746 487755 482764 478772
      473778 465775 463775 462772 460768 456757 451749 448744
      443743 438743 433742 426744 423744 420747 414749 410752
      407755 406759 402771 399788 396808 397816 399821 398827
      398835 394856 391865 389875 388884 388888 390892 401892
      409891 414889 421887 425884 429877 435869 438866 442865
      447865 450867 457871 461873 464871 468868 470864 472856
      474852 477849 483841 497798 500792 502785 505778 508776
      518773 524772 527773 532780 537784 543790 545792 547798
      552825 557851 559866 558879 557887 557897 558912 559932
      558941 557948 555955 555960 559973 561982 562987 563993
      560024 559029 557034 553040 547050 543057 537066 535070
      533072 533075 529086 525100 526109 528117 532130 538152
      543171 544177 543181 540200 534217 526239 525241 522242
      519238 517235 516232 516229 518222 517217 511209 477215
      471218 466219 465218 463215 466212 473206 479201 484192
      483181 479175 477170 474166 467161 461159 456162 449165
      443164 439160 436155 434150 433146 434143 432136 431134
      428132 424135 422138 416134 410129 407127 403126 398127
      400129 405135 409138 413141 411143 405143 395143 387146
      384143 384138 387134 388131 385129 376129 375122 376115
      377101 378093 377085 371068 368066 364061 356056 345055
      339055 336056 326056 320053 307052 302051 299049 294046
      291043 282039 266030 257025 251025 250021 268001 282995
      285992 286986 286981 285974 285967 288960
 0.01 288960 292948 291930 288919 284910 281905 281900 282892
      283885 282878 276875 268872 266870 263870 264868 269864
      273859 279853 282849 287847 312841 319840 322838 327828
      339807 342797 344792 348789 351784 354779 360769 368761
      373753 379744 386733 393725 396715 400704 403701 405701
      409705 412708 410713 412715 414715 418712 427705 433700
      436695 439691 442686 446677 465632 469626 472619
 0.01 463178 463174 461172 459170 457169 453168 451171 451173
      452176 454179 455180 459182 461180 463178
 0.01 476014 476010 475007 475002 473996 472993 470992 467994
      465995 464998 463006 463013 465018 465022 468021 469018
      473016 476014
 0.01 375186 373185 372184 372183 370182 368182 366182 364184
      366185 368185 369186 371186 373187 375187 375186
 0.01 248812 247804 244799 242793 240787 235788 231792 231798
      232806 234812 235820 237824 243821 246817 248812
 0.25 552906 552889 551875 550860 548847 545836 542822 538810
      533802 528796 523792 520791 517792 512799 509809 507820
      502837 499848 496855 482866 481870 482874 483881 483892
      484898 483904 481909 478913 472916 470917 469914 468910
      465907 458905 449903 446904 443909 439915 433917 429919
      429926 430930 429934 426936 421937 417938 411939 409945
      405947 396948 391956 386965 383971 381972 378969 377958
      378947 377942 375937 371932 362922 355918 348915 344915
      342912 338904 335892 336887 336883 344866 348858 350849
      354843 359836 362830 367824 368817 368812 369807 371802
      372800 370797 369794 372790 376788 380790 382791 380795
      378800 378805 383806 386802 389794 389789 383789 385781
      386775 385770 383765 379763 374768 369782 367786 365788
      359792 351807 343824 339834 337839 335842 323855 320858
      315860 310860 307859 303861 303865 305869 309875 310881
      309887 311903 309908 307912 305920 304925 305933 308939
      313943 318944 324945 327946 328954 323962 314974 306987
      303994 299999 293004 284005 280006 276008 273016 271020
      271024 272026 276029 280030 295038 319040 327040 334038
      342035 352034 357030 361025 366020 370014 388016 392020
      397021 404019 413018 418017 422017 429024 434020 440014
      444007 455994 458987 462981 466976 472972 476972 479973
      484979 488981 491982 494981 500975 509957 513948 517937
      523921 525917 527915 533922 537926 541933 544935 546931
      549922 551912 552906
 0.25 524200 524195 523192 521183 519178 517176 510177 504173
      496170 492170 493173 498178 504184 509188 515194 517202
      521204 523202 524200
 0.25 492661 490649 487642 486636 483633 478637 474644 472651
      468659 464665 461672 458679 454695 454702 456707 461710
      468711 474714 478712 481710 484704 488695 489688 491678
      492669 492661
 0.25 480125 479117 478108 477100 475095 473088 470081 468068
      461057 456055 451051 445041 445037 442033 435030 432029
      432034 434047 435052 433055 430056 428058 423062 421067
      431092 436104 439109 442113 449124 455135 459138 463140
      466140 473133 478129 480125
 0.25 410068 408067 407067 406068 407068 408068 410069 410068
 0.25 336936 334936 333936 334937 336937 336936
 0.50 531843 530838 528834 525832 520832 517832 512835 509839
      506847 502857 499863 494868 491877 491879 493885 498890
      498896 492916 490922 484925 478930 476934 475939 476947
      472954 467959 464962 464964 466967 470967 474963 476961
      480962 486967 492965 496962 498959 502957 506949 509941
      510934 513923 517915 521897 524889 526885 526879 521863
      520858 521854 526849 530846 531843
 0.50 487663 485656 484651 482649 479651 474655 470660 467666
      465672 466677 468679 473682 477684 481682 484677 487669
      487663
 0.50 461096 461087 460081 456076 452071 448067 446072 448078
      451083 452088 450092 446095 448100 453104 456104 458103
      461096
 0.50 462964 460963 459962 457960 456962 455963 455964 455965
      456966 457967 459967 459966 460965 462964
 0.50 454947 454946 452945 452944 450943 449942 449941 447941
      445942 444945 444947 445949 447951 449951 450951 452951
      454949 454947
 0.50 430961 429957 427954 424954 423959 421962 418964 412962
      408962 403963 398968 394975 391979 389983 391986 389991
      387995 385000 383008 397006 405008 411007 418003 422998
      424995 426990 428983 428972 429964 430961
 0.50 359011 356002 354997 351995 354987 357978 354957 353948
      352943 348943 345950 339957 334965 330969 324975 317980
      312988 308994 301012 298014 294013 287009 282009 279011
      279018 276023 275026 280028 286029 290031 295031 298028
      301027 304030 305036 307033 306030 303026 299023 297023
      293022 295018 300018 309019 312020 314025 318027 321031
      325033 329031 334027 339026 341027 344028 345024 340017
      338015 338010 359011
 1.00 510905 511903 511900 511898 510895 510893 509895 508896
      508898 508900 508903 508906 507908 508910 509908 510907
      510905
 1.00 494934 495932 495929 494928 493927 492926 492927 491928
      489929 489930 488932 487933 487934 487936 488937 489938
      491938 492937 493937 494934 494934
 1.00 343987 344979 343974 339973 336975 330980 322984 315989
      311996 310003 311007 312013 316015 322007 328002 331999
      333996 339991 343987


24HR QP VT 30/12Z
 0.01 538207 536197 537189 536182 539148 536142 533138 529132
      527128 525111 523104 521101 516100 513102 505105 498108
      491111 489114 491117 492119 496121 498124 503125 507127
      504130 497133 493134 490134 488131 480127 475126 471125
      470123 469107 466101 464094 459085 458076 459068 460052
      459040 456029 455020 453015 453010 454004 455000 461979
      465970 469960 473949 478940 484930 489919 499898 503890
      506881 515859 521842 524839 527838 531836 531833 530828
      529820 528815 527806 528790 528785 527780 511728 506721
      503720 500723 494728 490732 477747 471753 466759 456775
      444791 432807 428812 425817 421820 419822 418820 416818
      414814 417809 422802 423793 426786 420780 416776 413775
      407770 401765 396759 392758 387757 378762 373764 370767
      349807 344823 336843 333850 329856 327859 323861 313861
      303863 295868 292870 294873 302876 303880 301885 300890
      296895 289904 288910 288917 286920 286927 288936 288941
      290945 285951 276962 277966 279968 277971 274972 270974
      269980 268982 275989 280997 283006 283010 285012 289013
      292017 297019 303021 306026 310037 312042 315045 320048
      329054 340055 357057 363058 365058 369060 367063 378076
      390078 394080 399081 401079 404080 411081 417091 418093
      421094 423097 421100 418102 415107 413106 413103 411098
      409094 406095 406100 404104 396106 398110 396114 398115
      401116 405115 408117 413118 416118 418121 420123 421127
      421130 422137 427127 433120 436119 440121 438129 436135
      435144 435150 436153 438154 445155 448159 451161 455161
      459154 464149 466147 470145 472146 474149 473157 474163
      476165 479169 479176 480182 482186 489195 495200
 0.01 495200 504202 508206 509210 511216 511223 513234 514245
      516256 518268 520266 521261 525249 527233 531224 533217
      535213 538207
 0.01 443220 444217 440216 438216 435217 433218 429218 427219
      425220 423222 425223 429224 430223 434223 436222 439221
      441221 443220
 0.01 309818 308812 304805 299797 295794 289791 280790 275788
      267788 254791 248792 244796 244802 242807 243815 245821
      247827 250830 256831 257828 257823 255818 257818 261821
      261828 262835 264838 268842 274845 279845 285844 296843
      300841 297837 293834 291831 294828 296824 297818 300817
      305817 309818
 0.01 303038 304035 303032 301031 296030 292029 288024 283018
      277018 277028 276038 276044 278045 286044 291040 299039
      303038
 0.25 530213 530203 529194 527187 524182 520181 516178 515175
      515172 512170 501164 495164 492168 492173 493176 495182
      497185 499187 505189 512191 514195 517203 519208 524213
      530213
 0.25 519811 519795 517787 515784 509778 506778 504776 501770
      498761 497752 494749 489754 484761 479767 477772 475778
      473782 470786 460791 454796 451803 447811 442818 438827
      433835 427842 417847 403855 391864 379875 375878 371878
      367881 364886 359891 356894 354898 350904 346912 343920
      337926 331934 325943 319958 317968 316973 316979 316992
      320000 326007 328013 329019 330029 332033 335036 339038
      343037 350033 356029 362023 376009 380002 385994 391988
      394982 399975 405969 410968 413969 419970 423974 427972
      429969 433971 437973 442971 447964 456949 465927 471909
      474900 478892 488879 494869 498857 503850 509845 512837
      515827 519811
 0.25 447070 444064 440060 439057 440051 443047 446040 443034
      441028 440021 438013 434009 429014 427019 424037 422044
      423048 424051 427057 431061 435065 438069 444073 447070
 0.25 403053 401048 397046 390041 385040 383038 379030 369030
      370035 367038 365038 364041 365045 368050 372052 383053
      387054 391057 395058 398057 403053
 0.25 373803 371799 368800 365803 363807 361812 359815 357819
      356824 357826 359822 363819 366817 369813 371809 373805
      373803
 0.25 355830 355828 354826 353828 353830 352831 353833 355831
      355830
 0.25 356872 356870 356868 355867 353866 352866 351866 350866
      348868 349870 349873 350874 352875 353875 354874 355873
      356872
 0.50 502821 501817 499814 498806 495804 494799 489799 488797
      488793 486788 483787 480788 478790 473795 468799 462802
      460807 461810 457811 456815 451823 439849 436852 433853
      425857 417860 412866 408871 404878 402885 397890 388900
      379916 375919 369923 357929 352933 346939 336952 330964
      328970 328978 334019 335025 336028 340030 344029 347027
      352022 356005 360997 366992 377984 382980 386975 389969
      394963 410957 415954 423952 437951 442952 447947 452939
      456930 462917 468903 470895 472885 475876 478873 482871
      486865 489856 495844 500831 502821
 1.00 420926 420924 419923 418924 417924 416926 416928 415928
      415931 416933 417932 418931 419928 420926
 1.00 388947 388943 384942 379944 373948 368950 361948 357952
      350964 346970 343969 341978 340986 341990 344992 349989
      353983 355978 359970 362965 371957 376952 380952 386950
      388947
 1.00 345019 346017 345016 343016 342017 341017 341019 341020
      343020 345020 345019
 1.00 340006 341004 342002 342000 342997 342995 340993 340995
      339997 338998 338999 338000 339002 339004 340006 340006

$$





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