Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 240956
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
455 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID NOV 24/1200 UTC THRU NOV 27/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


1000 UTC UPDATE

QPF AMOUNTS WERE INCREASED FROM THE PRELIM DAY 1 QPF ACROSS THE
EASTERN PANHANDLE OF FL INTO SOUTHEAST GA AND EASTERN SC FOR
LATEST ECMWF AND ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN DATA.  ELSEWHERE---NO CHANGES
MADE TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 QPF FOR THE FINAL ISSUANCE.

DAY 1

WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION

DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE WILL BE PULLING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE
UPPER LAKES REGION INTO ONTARIO AND QUEBEC MONDAY.  THE COMMA
HEAD/DEFORMATION PRECIPITATION REGION WILL LINGER OVER THE
WESTERN/UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE DAY 1
PERIOD.  PRECIPITATION WILL BE CHANGING TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST
EARLY DAY 1---SUPPORTING HEAVY SNOW POTENTIAL FROM THE WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE U.P.---ACROSS MOST OF WI---FAR NORTHERN IL AND THE
WESTERN L.P. OF MI.  STRENGTHENING NORTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF OF
LAKE SUPERIOR AND WESTERLY FLOW OFF OF LAKE MICHIGAN WILL ENHANCE
SNOW TOTALS FOR THE WESTERN U.P. AND THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
L.P. OF MI.  SEE THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR FURTHER WINTER WEATHER
DETAILS.

EASTERN NEW ENGLAND

THE AREA OF ORGANIZED PRECIPITATION PUSHING RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD
EARLY THIS MORNING TROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO BE
VERY PROGRESSIVE TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY DAY 1 AS IT MOVES THROUGH
NEW ENGLAND. THE RAPID NORTHEAST PUSH WILL BE A LIMITING FACTOR
FOR HEAVY PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.  THE DAY 1 QPF DID NOT DEVIATE
FROM THE MODEL CONSENSUS OF .25-.50"+ AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS FOR
EASTERN NEW ENGLAND.

EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO THE COASTAL SOUTHEAST

AN AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR MOST OF
DAY 1 FROM THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE---NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST.  CONVECTION LIKELY IN THIS AXIS
AS THE TRAILING SURFACE FRONT FROM THE DEEPENING LOW OVER THE
UPPER LAKES PUSHES EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN GULF
COAST INTO THE COASTAL SOUTHEAST THIS PERIOD.  MODEL CONSENSUS IS
FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY PRECIPITATION
TOTALS AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY IN THE ABOVE AVERAGE PW AXIS---WITH
THE BEST CHANCE OF THE HEAVY TOTALS ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES

UPPER HEIGHTS ARE BUILDING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST EARLY DAY
1 IN THE WAKE OF THE HEIGHT FALLS PUSHING SOUTHEASTWARD EARLY THIS
MORNING INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.  AS THE AXIS OF THE SHORTWAVE
RIDGING PUSHES INLAND--WARM ADVECTION PRECIPITATION WILL PUSH BACK
INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MONDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES MONDAY EVENING/EARLY TUESDAY.  THE LATEST NAM IS A
SOUTHERN OUTLIER WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION TOTALS
EXTENDING INTO THE OREGON  CASCADES AND COAST RANGE--WITH MOST OF
THE GUIDANCE KEEPING THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION TOTALS
FARTHER NORTH THROUGH THE WA CASCADES/COAST RANGE---EXTENDING ONLY
INTO THE FAR NORTHERN OREGON CASCADES/COAST RANGE.  WITH HEIGHTS
RISING OVER THE NORTHWEST---THE FARTHER NORTHWARD QPF AXIS IS
FAVORED.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...SOUTHEASTERN U.S./APPALACHIANS/MID-ATLANTIC/NEW ENGLAND...

A STRONG SHORTWAVE ORIGINATING FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL BE
SEEN DIVING ACROSS THE BIG BEND OF TX EARLY TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM
IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MX LATE TUESDAY/EARLY
WEDNESDAY WHILE MOVING INTO A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR THE
PRODUCTION OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION. MANY FACTORS ARE WORKING IN ITS
FAVOR INCLUDING ENHANCED MOISTURE AND STRONG UPPER JET DYNAMICS.
MORE SPECIFICALLY...MANY OF THE MODELS SHOW PWATS ON DAY 2 RANGE
FROM 2 TO 2.25 INCHES AS THE BAROCLINIC ZONE CROSSES THE FL
PANHANDLE. THE PWAT CLIMATOLOGY SUGGEST THESE VALUES WILL EASILY
SURPASS THE 99TH PERCENTILE FOR LATE NOVEMBER. FURTHER...THE UPPER
JET STRUCTURE FEATURES A VERY POTENT JET STREAK WITH 250-MB WIND
SPEEDS IN THE 150 TO 170 KNOT RANGE RACING FROM THE LOWER TN
VALLEY UP INTO INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND. THE FAVORABLE RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION OF THE JET WILL BE FEATURED OVER THE EASTERN GULF COAST AND
EVENTUALLY THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. WHERE SOME OF THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED. THE SHORTWAVE TRAVERSING THE
NORTHERN GULF OF MX SHOULD HELP DEVELOP AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST BY EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS IS WHERE
THE DIFFERENCES REALLY BEGIN TO GROW AS SOLUTIONS LIKE THE 00Z
ECMWF CONTINUES TO BE WEST OF THE CENTER OF SPREAD. ENDED UP
STAYING AWAY FROM THIS MORE WESTERN END AND FAVORED SOLUTIONS
WHICH WERE CLOSER TO THE MODEL CONSENSUS. CONTINUED TO USE THE 12Z
ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN AS A STARTING POINT AND LEANED ON
DETERMINISTIC MODELS WHICH SHOWED SIMILARITIES TO THIS ENSEMBLE
SOLUTION. GENERALLY USED TO THE 12Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN ALONG WITH
THE 00Z UKMET/21Z SREF MEAN WITH THE PLACEMENT FOR
PRECIPITATION...PARTICULARLY ON DAY 3. DID NOT INCORPORATE ANY OF
THE 00Z GFS ON DAY 3 AS IT WAS MUCH QUICKER IN USHERING THE WINTER
STORM UP INTO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND. OF COURSE THE UNCERTAINTY STILL
REMAINS SOMEWHAT HIGH WITH LARGE SOCIETAL IMPACTS GIVEN THE STORM
FALLS ON THE DAY BEFORE THANKSGIVING ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR. SEE
THE WPC WINTER WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR MORE DETAILS ON THE WINTRY
ASPECTS OF THIS SYSTEM. IN TERMS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...THERE
WERE ENOUGH MODELS FORECASTING HEFTY AMOUNTS ON DAY 2 TO WARRANT A
SLIGHT RISK ACROSS THE EASTERN FL PANHANDLE.


...GREAT LAKES/NORTHERN PLAINS/MIDDLE MS VALLEY...

BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW WILL BE FEATURED ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE NATION. THIS WILL HELP AID IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW
PRODUCTION ALTHOUGH FORECAST AMOUNTS WERE KEPT ON THE LIGHTER SIDE
GIVEN THE LOW-LEVEL WIND DIRECTIONS VARY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
THE OTHER SYSTEM IN PLAY IS A SHORTWAVE WHICH IS FORECAST TO DROP
FROM THE DAKOTAS DOWN ACROSS THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY BETWEEN 26/0000Z
AND 27/0000Z. THIS WILL DRIVE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH AND
EAST WITH RATHER POOR MOISTURE ADVECTION INTO THE SYSTEM. AS MUCH
OF THE GULF OF MX CAN EXPECT NORTHERLY WINDS TO DOMINATE IN THE
WAKE OF THE POSSIBLE EAST COAST STORM...PWATS DO NOT REBOUND A
WHOLE LOT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. THIS HELPED MAINTAIN LOW-END
AMOUNTS GENERALLY NOT EXCEEDING A QUARTER INCH ON EITHER DAY.
REGARDING THE FORECAST TIMING...THE 12Z ECMWF WAS RULED TO BE A
NORTH OUTLIER AND LEANED MORE ON THE CONSENSUS FORMED BY THE 00Z
NAM/GFS AND 18Z GEFS MEAN.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES...

A STOUT UPPER RIDGE WILL GENERALLY BE MAINTAINED ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE WEST COAST WITH WEAK VORTICITY MAXIMA TRAVERSING THE TOP
OF THE RIDGE INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
THESE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES SHOULD SPAWN AREAS OF
PRECIPITATION...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS OF FAVORABLE UPSLOPE FLOW.
FOR DAY 2...THE BEST COMBINATION OF MID-LEVEL FORCING AND
OROGRAPHIC LIFT WILL BE ACROSS THE
OLYMPICS...CASCADES...BITTERROOTS...SAWTOOTH...AND TETONS.
BUILDING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. SHOULD EVENTUALLY FORCE
THE PRECIPITATION AXIS CLOSER TO THE CANADIAN BORDER FOR DAY 3.
THE GUIDANCE VARY IN HOW MUCH SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS ABLE TO
PENETRATE THE UPPER RIDGE. DISCUSSIONS WITH THE WPC MODEL
DIAGNOSTICS DESK SUGGEST THE 12Z ECMWF WAS TOO QUICK IN BREAKING
DOWN THE RIDGE. SO FAVORED SOME SORT OF COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE 00Z
NAM/GFS THROUGHOUT THE TWO DAY PERIOD.


ORAVEC/RUBIN-OSTER



GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 544758 539740 534718 527695 524687 520680 512662 508654
      504649 501644 498641 492635 485629 482628 477630 471628
      467629 463632 458632 455633 447636 441641 433642 425644
      422643 417644 407645 402647 401649 398650 384661 371670
      359680 347688 338693 335695 333698 316723 307737 308746
      309756 309759 306761 303763 296769 282779 259797 253802
      249807 246815 243822 239828 235835 231842 230849 231874
      232898 233916 235926 237933 240936 244937 248934 252933
      263925 272914 277908 283899 292884 300872 317848 325836
      333822 338815 342807 352792 356786 361778 369765 373760
      377754 381747 386740 389734 392730 397729 405731 410733
      419735 424740 430748 432753 434760 436764 435768 434780
      429800 426803 423803 415804 404816 384838 376843 370848
      365854 362859 362865 364867 373871 381875 386882 395892
      405906 415919 427924 434928 441933 445935 449936 454935
      457933 463933 466931 469930 472927 478921 484917 494907
      506896 517885 521879 523870 533830 539807 541798 542782
      544758
 0.01 535212 538201 538189 538184 536179 532173 528165 523159
      519153 514148 508144 501140 493135 488128 479125 472124
      471118 474115 476112 477107 480100 484095 485083 482075
      473063 468058 464052 460045 455039 447028 432018 429016
      424015 421018 421020 425027 429030 436036 438043 437047
      436050 433051 432049 431044 429042 426041 424044 423049
      421054 419055 415054 411054 408055 404054 396053 390050
      379049 372050 368061 369066 372072 372077 374081 376084
      379086 384086 386089 388086 386083 385078 388080 391082
      392084 417074 418067 422066 425064 428061 432059 440060
      444062 444065 439067 436066 433068 430070 429073 435077
      440077 444079 450082 452083 454080 456077 461079 464081
      466086 465091 464096 462097 460094 457093 453092 445091
      441090 438091 435092 432090 428087 424088 424091 426094
      428098 427101 420104 416105 414103 410095 407095 406098
      405104 403107 399107 396110 389114 384118 384122 387123
      392119 395117 400117 416121 421119 423120 425122 438118
      442120 444123 451125 447130 446134 444138 438138 436142
      435145 434152 435160 439168 442172 443177 439183 438189
      440192 442203 445207 449207 451205 455196 459190 468177
      471177 476178 479183 484190 483196 481198 473201 466205
      460207 454212 439213 428206 424205 425208 428217 422221
      421224 423227 427230 426233 424234 418233 414236 409235
      405236 405240 410247 419251 428253 433254 436253 449252
      454252 462254 469259 475264 486275 497285 500288 504290
      508289 511286 514282 515278 518266 520262 520255 520247
      520240 522236 528232 535212
 0.25 530205 531197 530190 528177 523166 520162 516158 508152
      504150 501150 500152 501158 498161 492161 487160 478155
      471148 467144 463144 458147 457151 458155 460159 464161
      469165 474166 478166 482168 490176 497183 500187 505192
      510200 513204 518208 521211 525211 530205
 0.25 536778 536765 534750 532738 530727 527715 523704 515685
      511677 507670 501664 496660 480657 465654 451652 447651
      443652 436657 430665 426673 418678 415679 411679 401686
      395692 393696 393699 395701 398710 405707 409708 411711
      418719 424721 433720 440722 447719 450719 452720 453724
      454738 455744 457751 460761 461766 461770 459775 457779
      452784 448793 442813 439821 436831 433838 428845 417856
      415860 413865 411877 412884 413888 418894 422900 427908
      433913 440915 445914 449913 452910 457909 462916 463919
      466918 467915 472896 477877 479872 483869 491866 497865
      504862 509857 514849 518841 520832 534792 536778
 0.25 515267 517258 517251 513237 503215 500210 496206 491202
      486202 476204 472206 467209 451217 446219 444221 444225
      446228 449228 454228 455230 450231 446235 446240 451244
      454245 467248 478253 482256 487262 493270 500280 502282
      505282 508280 512274 515268 515267
 0.25 496241 494238 491233 489229 486225 482223 478223 475224
      474227 477229 480231 482237 486235 489237 492240 494242
      496241
 0.25 491145 490142 489138 487136 485133 483131 479131 476130
      474131 472136 475138 479139 480140 483142 485143 488146
      491145
 0.25 462181 463176 459175 454176 452180 449182 445183 442186
      443188 446187 451190 452191 456187 458185 462181 462181
 0.25 451114 452112 452110 451107 449106 447105 446105 444105
      442105 442106 440108 441110 442111 443113 445115 446116
      447116 448116 450115 451114
 0.25 444038 443038 441038 441041 443041 444038
 0.25 412071 410066 407065 403062 398062 394063 391066 390070
      391075 395076 401077 403074 404071 406071 412072 412071
 0.25 372722 370720 364720 354724 350728 348732 346737 344743
      343747 343753 342759 342762 344763 345767 344771 341776
      337780 325794 311807 298821 285835 279842 275850 269859
      265868 262877 261880 263883 266886 273885 278882 285876
      297863 309848 320833 332816 337808 341800 345788 346777
      348773 348766 346762 348758 352748 359741 366732 372722
 0.25 277811 278807 276804 269804 263807 260811 257818 255822
      255826 256828 260831 266833 269829 271824 274818 276813
      277811
 0.50 526201 527194 526187 522178 517169 514167 509165 502163
      498164 496169 497174 500178 506185 511193 517201 520203
      525203 526201
 0.50 531774 531764 530752 527731 525721 522713 519707 515701
      509689 505684 501680 494681 492682 490686 488695 483697
      473697 469698 468699 465706 462714 459721 457728 457736
      459742 462744 465743 469742 471741 475736 480741 482745
      483748 472751 469756 469767 469775 467782 463787 458792
      455798 455808 453815 449820 446826 444833 441840 438846
      434852 429856 426861 425870 426889 429897 433903 438905
      445902 448898 450891 451881 452873 456857 460842 462836
      466830 470829 475832 483844 495847 501846 506841 512831
      519816 525802 529788 531774
 0.50 513266 515259 515253 512240 508232 502223 498213 495210
      490206 483205 474207 467212 460215 456217 452221 459230
      458232 455234 450237 452241 457243 462244 472245 482248
      485252 488257 493266 499275 502278 505278 508272 511269
      513266
 0.50 498247 497240 494235 492229 491226 488223 483221 478221
      472224 471229 478232 481237 482240 484240 487239 490241
      493246 496249 498247
 0.50 466690 465685 464682 458679 454675 457668 455664 449662
      444664 440672 441678 446683 448685 447688 443693 438699
      432703 432706 433711 438716 440717 443715 447710 453707
      458702 461697 466692 466690
 0.50 335804 335802 332802 329803 319808 312813 305820 299826
      293832 288839 282848 278855 273864 272869 272874 274875
      277875 281873 288867 295861 307847 318832 328817 335804
 1.00 512260 511255 510249 509243 507240 504236 501233 497229
      496231 498236 500240 502243 504249 505253 508258 511262
      512260
 1.00 500269 500266 499262 498259 496257 495254 493251 491248
      490252 491255 492258 493261 495264 497266 498269 500269
 1.00 506764 504760 501764 498768 497773 496779 495784 494789
      495795 498793 499786 500780 502777 505774 505766 506764
 1.00 486215 486212 483209 479208 474210 470213 465215 459217
      455221 458224 463226 467225 471220 476219 481218 486215
 1.00 479238 477235 476234 474234 473237 474237 474239 475240
      476241 478241 479239 479238
 1.00 324818 319817 314820 306827 299834 293841 287850 286854
      286858 289859 293857 298853 304846 310839 316830 321822
      324818
 1.50 481214 479212 476212 474213 472214 468215 466216 464218
      462221 466222 467220 469219 471218 474217 477216 479216
      481214
 1.50 308835 306833 302835 299838 297840 294844 292847 293851
      296851 300847 302844 305841 307837 308835

24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 537204 537196 537190 535184 533179 528168 528159 530157
      530151 533140 534123 536104 535091 535080 534073 534065
      534056 533048 530035 527025 524017 517999 515988 511976
      509968 507964 504957 501954 499947 499939 501934 501925
      497899 496885 496881 494875 494861 488851 487849 487844
      489840 493832 505816 515801 516798 516793 518786 520779
      521771 522766 520763 520755 518750 514738 511727 509723
      506719 504715 501711 497708 493707 489705 485704 482703
      479705 476707 474705 469709 465717 461741 459749 457754
      452764 447770 443779 440784 437784 434782 431780 426780
      421782 420786 419790 419795 417807 423814 425818 425825
      424833 424836 421839 417858 419867 426873 435877 444882
      454882 458881 462879 465876 467876 469879 470889 470893
      468895 467900 466906 461911 458915 455917 452918 447920
      442920 437920 428916 410908 402905 391906 386908 382911
      380916 378918 378922 377926 377930 378937 380942 386947
      394953 400957 407961 416974 427990 435997 435011 435026
      431037 427042 425043 422041 417040 412038 405033 401032
      397030 392036 395046 397051 395056 388062 377063 373061
      367060 366064 368067 371070 372074 372080 374084 375088
      379087 380085 383084 386087 388088 386082 398085 400081
      404080 409081 414080 418077 421072 423071 427073 434080
      435083 434086 430087 426085 424086 423088 425094 428098
      429101 424102 418106 415108 411106 408096 405103 404107
      402106 399106 396110 391112 387116 390117 396114 398118
      402117 411120 416122 419126 422131 425131 431124 434120
      437118 441121 440128 436136 433145 432151 433156 435160
      437163 443171 444176 442181 440185 444190 449192 450195
      452195 459193 463192 466192 468195 468201 465206 462205
      458206 456211 451211 445214 437217 434220 434223 436230
      433235 431239 432244 434248 437252 440254 445256 449255
      454256 457255 460258
 0.01 460258 468263 470265 470269 473278 473287 475297 475301
      477304 481313 486318 491320 495320 497318 503313 506306
      510296 513287 516278 520271 524261 526252 529242 531230
      533219 535207 537204
 0.01 495632 493622 489616 483617 479622 473636 468649 464656
      461661 458669 457677 459683 463686 467685 469682 472676
      476670 481665 485661 488655 491647 493640 495632
 0.01 447749 446739 440740 437741 434744 432747 433752 432759
      433768 435770 438770 442767 443765 445759 446751 447749
 0.01 410695 409688 407685 402676 398676 394675 389670 385671
      381670 379668 375669 365671 358677 346690 335702 318727
      306740 295752 285764 280769 276774 264787 260793 253798
      241805 234809 227813 221819 219828 218833 218838 221845
      224853 229859 234863 240867 244873 248877 249882 248892
      248902 250912 253920 257925 262931 265933 268932 274931
      278929 281929 284926 289919 299908 303903 306899 307895
      309892 312889 319882 330872 336869 342864 354853 378830
      386818 394803 402784 402762 402749 404742 405733 406722
      410695
 0.25 519263 522251 524236 523224 522216 520209 522205 525204
      527201 527198 526188 524179 520170 514155 509149 506144
      503137 500130 491117 486111 483104 477090 473084 468079
      458067 453062 450059 447058 441060 436064 434067 433072
      435076 438076 440077 443079 445084 445089 441091 437092
      434094 428091 428093 429096 431104 425107 424110 426113
      429116 433116 438114 443119 446125 447128 447133 444154
      455185 461183 463181 464176 465174 469173 475174 481180
      482184 483191 481196 479198 474202 466209 453215 451218
      452223 459229 458236 462241 473251 482262 485269 488279
      490287 495292 498294 501293 505289 510283 514276 519263
 0.25 481761 481756 480753 476751 472755 470761 467772 464783
      456791 453795 452801 456803 460801 467794 472783 476774
      480762 481761
 0.25 480024 481022 480019 478017 478016 477014 476012 475010
      474009 473008 472007 471009 470011 471014 471016 471017
      471019 471021 473023 473024 474025 476026 478026 479025
      480024
 0.25 471996 470995 469994 468993 468994 468995 469996 470998
      471996
 0.25 414073 413070 412066 412064 409063 407064 403063 400065
      399067 398070 397073 399074 401073 403072 406071 408072
      411073 414073
 0.25 388703 385696 383692 380690 372691 365694 354702 345710
      326730 310750 300761 292770 283780 276789 272795 268800
      259809 239823 234828 231836 231840 232844 234849 238854
      242858 252865 257870 257881 256891 258899 260905 265909
      271909 277906 282902 288897 296887 313869 332850 341843
      351833 360822 364817 368811 374801 377795 379787 379778
      377768 375760 375753 379740 382733 384725 386713 388703
 0.50 518260 519252 517241 515227 512213 511207 512199 515190
      513179 509167 505163 502159 497154 495148 493141 491134
      484124 480120 477114 477106 475101 472093 469088 464088
      461092 458093 455091 454089 451090 443096 440096 438098
      434105 432109 435112 441113 445116 448119 452117 454114
      457115 461121 461125 459131 456134 452145 452153 454161
      458162 463161 466167 469169 471168 477169 481172 486174
      489180 488185 487190 484197 480201 476204 468210 459216
      454218 456224 461228 467227 471228 470233 470240 474246
      480249 485253 489260 491265 497275 500280 506282 508281
      510276 513271 516265 518260
 0.50 461180 461178 461177 460178 459179 458180 459180 461180
      461180
 0.50 438071 436071 435071 436073 438071 438071
 0.50 378716 376713 374711 368709 361710 354712 349715 344719
      336726 306762 291780 285789 277798 269807 260815 251821
      241827 238830 236834 235838 237846 240850 249857 258861
      262865 264869 263874 261887 264899 269902 275900 284891
      292883 306866 315856 322848 330839 337830 344820 350810
      356799 360789 367761 374736 376725 378716
 1.00 514261 512258 512250 512241 508232 505223 502215 500206
      497201 493199 488200 476207 465216 461220 460223 463222
      467223 474221 478221 483222 490228 492230 495234 503249
      507258 509262 512264 514261
 1.00 500261 498258 497255 495252 494250 492248 490245 488244
      489247 491250 492253 494256 496260 497261 500261
 1.00 481242 481239 481237 481236 480234 479233 478232 476232
      475232 474233 473234 472236 473239 473240 475241 476242
      478243 480243 481242
 1.00 482160 480156 477153 472152 469149 466146 462146 458148
      460151 463154 467157 470157 473159 477162 480162 482160
 1.00 481135 480132 479132 478131 476131 474132 474133 474134
      476135 477135 479135 481135 481135
 1.00 362736 360730 359727 355726 351727 346729 337735 331742
      317759 305774 292791 288799 282807 273814 264820 255825
      247830 242833 241835 240839 241843 245847 252853 262855
      266857 270861 271865 270869 269874 266884 267891 267893
      271894 276891 280887 286879 297862 302852 308844 314836
      320827 325818 331809 342792 348782 353773 357763 360753
      362743 362736
 1.50 498226 498219 498210 491207 488206 483206 478209 474211
      470217 472219 478218 482219 488222 492225 496227 498226
 1.50 479238 477236 477235 476234 475235 474237 475238 477239
      479238
 1.50 350749 351743 349738 345736 342737 336742 332748 321761
      311773 303786 299792 295798 291807 287813 280817 273820
      258828 251830 244835 244839 246843 251847 265852 270852
      274851 281846 289843 295840 307829 316816 326804 330798
      333790 338782 342776 347770 349767 349762 350754 350749
 1.50 278877 279875 277875 276875 276876 274877 273878 272879
      272880 272881 274882 276881 277879 278879 278877
 2.00 492217 492213 490211 488210 484209 483209 480211 477212
      475212 475216 478215 480214 483217 485218 488218 490218
      492217
 2.00 344757 343754 344750 344746 341745 336750 333755 323764
      319769 315774 312780 310786 307792 306799 307803 310804
      316801 322797 326792 333783 340771 343766 344758 344757
 2.00 295830 295826 294824 289823 284825 279825 273824 267826
      258830 252832 248835 246837 247840 250843 259847 264848
      270847 279842 288838 291835 295830 295830
 3.00 268839 269837 268835 266834 264834 262834 260835 258836
      257838 257840 259841 261841 262841 263842 263841 264841
      266840 268839 268839


24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 489613 490614 491615 492616 494615 495615 496616 497617
      499616 499618 502633 504639 506646 508652 508656 507660
      505668 504675 502681 501688 497699 488724 486730 482735
      477743 474749 473756 471764 471769 472774 474780 476786
      478789 481789 486790 490792 494795 497801 498812 497842
      497853 495859 494868 494878 493886 491894 490899 489902
      488910 487917 485923 481932 477937 476939 473940 466944
      452948 447950 441951 432954 428957 422957 411952 403943
      400939 396936 389930 385928 380925 370917 367913 366911
      365906 364901 363892 363887 361883 357879 355872 352866
      350861 347858 342860 334861 328859 317857 307854 297851
      283850 273855 267857 261858 251857 245857 239856 234854
      228851 222844 220840 219832 217827 218819 218813 221807
      222802 224798 228790 231785 230782 243776 283754 293749
      300745 312738 322732 331726 333717 356707 383671 392663
      397658 401656 406653 411651 417648 422644 431636 436635
      440630
 0.01 525257 539198 541189 541185 538170 536158 531148 527144
      525139 522127 519114 516106 513101 506091 502080 497071
      494064 491058 488055 486050 482040 479034 478029 469019
      467003 467996 463992 456984 448978 442978 438980 433988
      431992 431001 430012 432019 433025 434031 424034 422039
      422048 423051 423056 422065 424066 428063 428058 432054
      435053 436057 434064 432070 433076 439079 441082 440086
      438088 434091 431091 428089 426088 425091 430101 429104
      426104 421105 420107 421110 423111 428114 429118 432119
      435116 438116 441118 444121 450122 452121 455122 457125
      456127 454129 453134 453137 455138 455147 456152 456161
      458160 461160 464164 463171 458174 454169 451170 451176
      453178 453181 453183 456184 459180 468175 473178 477185
      479189 480195 477198 473200 464207 461207 459208 455212
      423235 418236 414238 408246 405248 403249 401253 399261
      400267 403271 408274 411277 418279 424281 427279 430281
      431283 434284 440284 456297 474314 480316 485316 493313
      497309 501305 506295 519275
 0.01 440882 435878 431871 430859 430854 432852 435844 437838
      436832 428819 417811 413810 409811 402815 400818 399823
      400829 400834 399844 403850 407857 408861 409866 415882
      417884 422886 430885 436885 440882
 0.01 415073 413069 415066 416063 412061 411059 406056 401055
      397057 394060 389063 387065 388069 387072 390080 392081
      394075 395072 397075 397078 399078 401075 401071 403067
      406069 406072 410075 415073
 0.25 532214 534204 534197 533187 531179 529172 526167 520155
      518150 514147 505137 502133 500126 498118 496112 490101
      486088 482082 479079 477081 470078 463078 460082 458097
      454099 450097 446099 448102 451105 458107 468115 473119
      473123 471127 471134 471138 473141 475146 474154 474160
      475164 477170 481177 486181 489184 491191 490196 488197
      485200 475205 466212 462216 460218 460222 464226 468227
      470227 469230 464233 464240 465248 465254 465258 468260
      475262 479264 487276 490280 494283 502286 507285 510281
      513276 517270 520263 521258 521249 521231 523225 527221
      530218 532214
 0.25 490644 489636 487632 485629 482628 477626 478629 477631
      474631 466630 458631 455633 449636 443638 439641 425650
      410663 398675 386688 375701 362714 348725 342730 336736
      314764 308769 301775 287783 278786 269788 258789 249790
      244793 242795 237801 238810 241814 245811 256801 259798
      263796 269794 275794 276803 278808 282810 289812 299812
      309810 317808 329806 334806 338808 344815 347818 349825
      353830 357832 362831 370827 376822 387808 397796 403789
      411782 438760 443751 447742 456727 464713 475695 478685
      481676 483667 486656 490644
 0.25 467626 466626 464626 464627 465628 466627 467626
 0.25 440266 441263 440263 439261 437262 436262 436264 436265
      438266 439267 440266
 0.50 531205 531200 529194 528188 529183 525172 523168 520165
      513158 508157 505155 497151 494147 493143 491138 487135
      481132 481137 485140 491147 491155 487164 487170 490174
      496181 502188 507195 516200 521206 528211 531205
 0.50 519260 520255 519249 515240 512229 507222 506217 503212
      501209 497206 492206 488206 481209 475213 481219 487226
      489228 489232 489234 486235 480240 479242 479246 480249
      486259 490268 494275 501281 506282 508280 511273 513271
      519260
 0.50 478645 475639 473636 467632 464633 452639 441645 431652
      421661 412668 404677 388695 381704 373713 366719 357728
      351732 347736 341745 334753 327764 320773 318777 317785
      322788 326789 342787 351790 356793 359795 361798 366807
      371808 376804 392787 409772 417763 424754 431745 440737
      446727 451715 472668 476656 478645
 1.00 515259 513250 510244 506235 502229 500222 497218 494217
      492220 493225 495233 496238 499242 503248 504251 505257
      501260 493247 490247 489252 491259 499274 501276 505279
      507276 507273 507266 509263 511261 515259
 1.00 461648 459644 456645 447650 432662 419675 411680 404687
      399693 393701 387709 381716 374721 366726 360733 354739
      349747 343754 338761 333769 332774 336774 345769 352764
      359758 361754 365753 375752 380752 384753 389754 394753
      412746 424732 430726 437718 442710 446700 452682 456671
      459662 461655 461648
 1.50 504276 504273 504272 503270 503269 501267 500265 499265
      498266 498268 499271 500271 501273 502275 504276 504276
 1.50 504242 503238 501237 500234 499229 498226 496223 495228
      496231 496234 497238 500240 502241 504242
 1.50 424703 424691 421689 416691 411695 405699 400704 396710
      394714 395719 401721 406726 410727 414725 419720 422713
      424704 424703
 1.50 375735 374735 372736 374736 375735

$$





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