Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 190856
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
455 AM EDT WED JUL 19 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 19/1200 UTC THRU JUL 22/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

...NORTHERN PLAINS / UPPER MIDWEST...

CONVECTION WAS NOT OVERLY WIDESPREAD ON TUESDAY...BUT A LEAD
SHORTWAVE HAD LAID THE GROUND WORK FOR A MORE ROBUST THUNDERSTORM
EVENT EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A NEWLY ARRIVED
FRONTAL ZONE WILL STALL ACROSS SD/IA/IL. WITH VERY HOT AND DEEPLY
MIXED CONDITIONS SOUTH OF THE FRONT...THE CORRIDOR MORE FAVORABLE
FOR ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE TO THE NORTH OF THE
BOUNDARY...ALIGNING WITH THE BEST OVERLAP BETWEEN THE CONFLUENT
MID LEVEL / 700 MB FLOW TO THE REAR OF A 100-PLUS KNOT UPPER JET
AND THE NORTHWARD RETURNING / SURGING CAPE GRADIENT ALONG THE
FRONT. THIS POINTS TOWARD CONVECTION ORGANIZING AND FANNING OUT /
PROPAGATING DOWNSTREAM OUT OF EASTERN NE/SD INTO SOUTHERN MN AND
POINTS BEYOND. THE LATITUDE IS ALWAYS A DIFFICULT ASPECT OF THE
FORECAST. IN THIS CASE THE CONVECTION SHOULD STRIKE SOME BALANCE
BETWEEN EASTWARD PROPAGATION IN DEEP WESTERLY FLOW...AND SOUTHWARD
PROPAGATION TOWARD THE INFLOW AND CAPE GRADIENT. AFTER
COORDINATING WITH LOCAL OFFICES...WPC KEPT CONTINUITY BY LEANING
TOWARD THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE SOLUTION ENVELOPE...ALTHOUGH WE DID
EXPAND THE SWATH AND NUDGE EVER SO SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD. WE ALSO
PUSHED HEAVIER AMOUNTS AS FAR DOWNSTREAM AS POSSIBLE BY 12Z
THURSDAY...ASSUMING THE MODELS WILL NOT QUITE BE FAST ENOUGH WITH
WHAT SHOULD BE A PROGRESSIVE MCS.

WITH A PROGRESSIVE EVENT LIKE THIS THE FLASH FLOOD RISK WILL BE BE
TIED MORE TO THE INTENSE SHORT TERM RATES POSSIBLE WITH
ANOMALOUSLY HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AND MODERATE TO STRONG
INSTABILITY. SOME TRAINING COULD OCCUR LATER WED NIGHT OVER PARTS
OF MN/IA/WI AS THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW VEERS AND BECOMES MORE
PERPENDICULAR TO WHAT SHOULD BE AN ESTABLISHED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.


...SOUTHWEST...

IT LOOKS LIKE A TYPICAL MONSOON DAY. TOTAL COLUMN MOISTURE IS A
LITTLE GREATER OUT OVER THE DESERTS AND EXTENDING UP INTO
SOUTHEAST NEVADA / NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHERN UTAH. WIND
SPEEDS ARE ALSO SLIGHTLY ENHANCED IN THAT AREA OWING TO A WEAKLY
DEFINED TROUGH DRIFTING AROUND THE RIDGE. THIS FEATURE WILL LEND A
LITTLE GREATER ORGANIZATION TO THE CONVECTION THAT IS ABLE TO FORM
WHEREVER POCKETS OF HEATING / REDUCED CLOUD COVER ALLOW FOR IT.
MOISTURE WILL ALSO BE SUFFICIENT FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS
OVER SOUTHEAST ARIZONA AND OVER CENTRAL TO WESTERN COLORADO.
MOISTURE DEPTH AND CLOUD BASE INFLOW MAY INCREASE LATE IN THE
PERIOD OVER EASTERN UTAH INTO WESTERN COLORADO...BUT THIS MAY BE
AFTER MUCH OF THE INSTABILITY HAS BEEN CONSUMED. OVERALL...SOME OF
THE MORE FAVORBALE TIMING OF FEATURES APPEARS TO OCCUR IN AZ/NV/UT
FOR A LITTLE GREATER RISK OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS / FLASH FLOODING. WPC
WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN...HOWEVER...THE COORDINATED SLIGHT RISK AREAS
OVER SE AZ AND PARTS OF CO AS WELL.


...DAYS 2 AND 3...

...SOUTHWEST...

MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER MUCH OF THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST/SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES OVER THE NEW FEW DAYS. THE
STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EASTWARD...WHICH
WILL ALLOW FOR THIS MOISTURE TO SURGE NORTHWARD INTO UTAH AND
COLORADO...WHILE ALSO ALLOWING FOR WEAK VORTICITY MAXIMUMS TO MOVE
NORTH AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND ENHANCE LIFT OVER THE
REGION. ON DAY 2 (12Z THU-12Z FRI) ONE CONCERN IS OVER PORTIONS OF
UT. IT IS HERE WHERE PWAT VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR
CLIMATOLOGICAL RECORD VALUES...WITH AN MCV OR SHORTWAVE
POTENTIALLY MOVING ACROSS AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. THIS
COMBINATION OF FORCING AND MOISTURE SHOULD SET THE STAGE FOR
POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND SOME FLASH FLOODING. MAIN
UNCERTAINTY WILL BE INSTABILITY...WITH CLOUD COVER POTENTIALLY
LIMITING CONVECTIVE INTENSITY. HOWEVER ENOUGH OF A THREAT TO
WARRANT THE CONTINUATION OF THE SLIGHT RISK...WITH POCKETS OF 1-2"
IN AN HOUR POSSIBLE. BY DAY 3 (12Z FRI-12Z SAT) THIS THREAT SHIFTS
EAST INTO CENTRAL CO. THE HIGHER MOISTURE AND MCV/VORT SHOULD
SHIFT TOWARDS CO BY THIS TIME. UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA WRF RUNS SHOW
AN UPTICK IN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY BY THIS TIME AS WELL...AND
ANTICIPATE THAT WE WILL SEE AN INCREASED COVERAGE OF CELLS CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING 1-2" IN AN HOUR. THUS OPTED TO GO WITH A SLIGHT RISK
FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL CO.


...NORTHERN PLAINS/MID AND UPPER MS VALLEY TO THE GREAT LAKES AND
NORTHEAST...

CONVECTION LIKELY TO BE ONGOING AT 12Z THURSDAY ACROSS A PORTION
OF THE GREAT LAKES...ALTHOUGH QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY ON THE
EXACT POSITION AND INTENSITY OF CONVECTION BY THIS TIME. THE 0Z
ECMWF AND UKMET MAINTAIN A WELL DEFINED LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
CONVECTION THAT TRACKS ACROSS MI AND INTO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH
THURSDAY BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY CONVECTION WITH IT. MEANWHILE THE
GFS AND GFSP ARE MUCH WEAKER WITH THIS FEATURE...RESULTING IN
LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION INTO THE NORTHEAST. AT THIS TIME
LEANING TOWARDS SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN THESE TWO SOLUTIONS BEING
MOST LIKELY. THINK THE GFS SOLUTION IS PROBABLY TOO WEAK WITH THIS
WAVE/LOW. HOWEVER THE ECMWF/UKMET MAY VERY WELL BE STRONG WITH
SOME CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK RESULTING IN THE STRONGER/NORTH TRACK.
FOR NOW PREFER A SOLUTION THAT MAINTAINS SOME ENERGY
EASTWARD...HOWEVER WITH A SOUTHWARD SHIFTED TRACK...MOVING AROUND
THE TOP OF THE MID LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE BETTER
INSTABILITY/MOISTURE AXIS. THIS PREFERRED MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION
IS PROBABLY BEST REPRESENTED BY THE 0Z CMC AND NAM. AGAIN LOW
CONFIDENCE...BUT THIS SOLUTION WOULD BRING CONVECTION AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL INTO PORTIONS OF IN/OH...WESTERN PA AND SOUTHWEST
NY THROUGH THURSDAY...AND THUS A MARGINAL RISK WILL COVER THIS
AREA.

MEANWHILE A WEST NORTHWEST TO EAST SOUTHEAST BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN
DRAPED FROM SD INTO IL/IN. MAY BE A BIT OF A LULL IN CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY FOR MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY ACROSS THIS CORRIDOR...WITH
US BEING IN BETWEEN WAVES. HOWEVER BY LATER THURSDAY NIGHT SHOULD
BEGIN TO SEE AN UPTICK IN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AS ANOTHER WAVE
BEGINS TO MOVE ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID/UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE RESULTING IN INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT
INTO/OVER THE BOUNDARY. AT THIS TIME ANTICIPATE THAT THE GREATEST
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE WILL END UP OVER SD INTO SOUTHWEST MN AND
NORTHWEST IA...CLOSEST TO THE APPROACHING WAVE. RECENT MODEL
TRENDS SEEM TO BE CONVERGING ON THIS REGION AS THE FOCUS FOR
OVERNIGHT ACTIVITY...AND THUS THE SLIGHT RISK WAS SHIFTED A BIT TO
ENCOMPASS THIS AREA. A BROAD MARGINAL RISK WAS EXTENDED ALONG THE
REMAINDER OF THE MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AXIS. CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
MAY BE LESS IN THESE AREAS...BUT THE ENVIRONMENT WILL CERTAINLY BE
SUPPORTIVE OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN ANY CONVECTION THAT DOES DEVELOP.

DAY 3 (12Z FRI-12Z SAT) SHOULD BE AN ACTIVE CONVECTIVE DAY FROM
THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES.
WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE ALONG THE WEST NORTHWEST TO EAST
SOUTHEAST ORIENTED MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AXIS...WITH RIGHT ENTRANCE
JET DYNAMICS ADDING TO THE ASCENT. THUS ANTICIPATE ONE OR MORE
ROUNDS OF CONVECTION TO TRACK ALONG THIS BOUNDARY THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WITH PWAT VALUES NEAR 2" SUPPORTING HEAVY RAINFALL. WHILE
CONVECTION WILL BE PROGRESSIVE...MOTIONS WILL BE PARALLEL TO THE
BOUNDARY. THUS ANTICIPATE THAT WE WILL AT LEAST SEE SOME AREAS OF
REPEAT CONVECTION RESULTING IN ENHANCED RAINFALL TOTALS. OVERALL
APPEARS TO BE A GOOD SETUP FOR HEAVY RAINFALL...AND AN INCREASED
FLASH FLOOD RISK. SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH REGARDS TO THE EXACT
AXIS...ALTHOUGH IN GENERAL MODELS HAVE BEEN CONVERGING ON A
SOLUTION. WPC PREFERENCE FOLLOWS A SLIGHTLY SOUTH SHIFTED MODEL
CONSENSUS...TRACKING THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FROM FAR SOUTHEAST MN
INTO SOUTHERN WI/NORTHERN IL AND SOUTHERN MI. A SLIGHT RISK WAS
ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS. GIVEN THAT THIS BOUNDARY WILL NOT MOVE
MUCH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...SOME CHANCE A MODERATE RISK COULD BE
NEEDED AT SOME POINT SHOULD ANTECEDENT RAINFALL END UP SATURATING
THE GROUND. SO WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR.

A NORTHERN STREAM WAVE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA SHOULD ALSO
HELP TRIGGER CONVECTION FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF EASTERN ND. SOME FLASH FLOOD RISK LIKELY EXISTS WITH THIS
ACTIVITY AS WELL...HOWEVER STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE
MAGNITUDE OF THE THREAT AS COULD END UP BEING MORE OF A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CONCERN. THUS FOR NOW WILL JUST STICK WITH A MARGINAL
FOR THIS AREA.


...SOUTHEAST...

SCATTERED CONVECTION CAN BE EXPECTED EACH DAY ALONG THE GULF COAST
AND SOUTHEAST COASTS ALONG SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES DUE TO DAYTIME
HEATING. MUCH OF THIS AREA WILL MAINTAIN PW VALUES GREATER THAN
1.75". A MULTI MODEL BLEND WAS GENERALLY FOLLOWED FOR THIS REGION.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


BURKE/CHENARD


24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 493253 494249 493245 490239 488233 485231 481231 473237
      467237 460234 448234 444235 439238 435241 434244 436246
      440249 447252 460257 474260 478260 482261 484259 488257
      493253
 0.01 495678 494671 493664 488657 485655 481657 474665 458674
      459681 461687 458691 454695 452699 451704 454706 455707
      453709 448717 446722 442727 433726 429728 427731 430732
      431735 435735 441734 444734 443737 442742 440745 435746
      432748 430754 428759 429767 431771 435771 438770 441766
      444769 447773 452772 456770 459768 458776 457785 454795
      455803 458803 467799 473793 480785 484776 488767 491758
      494746 494733 490723 486715 487709 486700 490690 495678
 0.01 506029 507019 507006 502992 499987 495982 490981 486981
      484978 485967 485954 484946 482938 471927 468907 472893
      473890 473884 472876 471868 469860 463849 459844 452841
      446838 438841 434846 432848 430845 431837 431832 430828
      429824 428822 426819 422819 417822 412826 396843 387854
      381859 377860 373860 367856 365849 369844 375839 371828
      373823 376819 380814 384814 387816 386822 387826 389828
      393826 396825 400819 402812 404812 405815 406818 408819
      409815 412807 414802 418797 421792 423789 422783 419770
      413757 411749 417745 419737 419730 421726 424721 426717
      425712 422708 418709 416712 400731 395734 392738 389744
      388752 386768 382774 379778 374784 375792 380791 383789
      388784 392785 393787 393792 392796 388799 381802 376807
      373812 370815 367813 362817 357823 349834 345840 345842
      346845 348849 347852 345860 346867 348869 353868 357868
      359870 364874 373882 379891 385895 390898 394904 398903
      401894 408890 411889 414887 417898 434953 433962 432972
      430982 427991 427000 428002 431004 435010 437013 441015
      446013 448016 449020 455032 461043 464048 467055 469063
      472071 477069 481062 482050 484043 488037 491036 495037
      500037 502035 506029
 0.01 458702 456700 455703 454705 456707 457705 457704 458702
 0.01 441096 442090 441086 434083 428079 427077 428074 432073
      436072 437067 434056 440038 436033 431027 427027 425029
      422038 418045 416048 412049 406044 401041 396040 390039
      384043 380048 375055 374058 370061 366068 362071 358073
      351075 344078 335077 322075 315071 314067 316064 327064
      332064 333058 334056 332052 326048 315041 307038 303039
      299041 282036 274037 271039 270043 268045 268050 266053
      262051 256053 251055 249059 248065 250068 254074 263085
      267089 271095 280107 285114 293119 299123 302125 307126
      315127 316124 319125 328129 331128 333130 332132 331139
      333143 338148 348159 360161 369159 372156 374155 377155
      382157 385156 391151 403143 405142 406138 408135 409129
      412119 417113 423105 426105 428111 432109 433102 437096
      441096
 0.01 400991 400977 397968 396963 395956 395943 389938 389942
      387947 387954 386959 389968 392977 394986 398993 400991
 0.01 367798 364796 361796 354801 351801 350798 349792 350788
      352784 355779 359776 362772 364768 363762 361760 355761
      310811 302808 300805 303803 305800 306795 306792 305788
      302785 298782 293780 288779 282780 277782 270786 267788
      262790 255794 246805 243808 241813 243825 247825 249824
      250826 252831 255833 258834 260838 263840 269840 279839
      287840 292842 293847 288854 285877 281895 281905 282910
      283915 285927 284938 281947 275954 262981 262986 266988
      271989 276987 279985 279982 277978 278976 281975 288972
      289976 292977 298973 300964 305945 312924 314914 314901
      315893 315881 316869 316855 316849 315846 313842 312835
      313830 314828 316826 318823 322822 324831 326836 330835
      338831 341828 342829 345827 346825 347819 349815 353811
      362807 365805 366802 367798
 0.01 345171 345169 345167 345166 343165 341165 340164 338164
      336164 334163 332163 331163 329163 328163 329164 330166
      332167 334168 335169 337170 339171 340172 342172 344171
      345171
 0.01 348756 347752 346750 343749 341751 338753 337755 336758
      335760 336765 338765 341765 344763 346761 347758 348756
 0.01 324163 324160 322157 319155 317154 314153 312152 310152
      306152 304153 304155 306157 309159 311161 314162 318163
      321164 324163
 0.01 260013 260004 259998 255994 251991 245992 243998 244004
      245010 247016 248019 252020 256019 259014 260013
 0.25 497013 496010 496005 495002 492000 489000 487999 484000
      482002 482007 483010 486011 489012 491015 493018 495019
      496016 497013
 0.25 477709 475704 472703 468707 465712 463716 462723 458734
      454745 452750 451758 454759 458756 460750 462744 466734
      472725 474720 476714 477709
 0.25 473046 471035 469027 468019 470012 474004 472980 473964
      472950 466933 464920 461910 459899 459887 456874 452865
      448857 444851 441851 439854 439857 440863 438869 435871
      430872 422874 420877 419882 420889 422895 424904 426915
      433935 437953 439966 438973 437978 434986 433992 434997
      440002 444002 448000 450999 452000 455003 457012 460023
      463033 466043 469047 473046
 0.25 411106 412102 411099 406101 400108 395107 395103 399101
      399094 398091 396091 393095 382097 389103 389107 387110
      385111 382111 380107 379113 376119 372122 367119 365117
      362118 358120 354124 350133 347136 348141 353144 356144
      360140 366142 368141 371137 376134 381133 385132 389129
      392125 394119 398115 402114 407112 410108 411106
 0.25 411873 411870 411868 410867 410866 408865 407865 405866
      403868 403869 402871 401873 400876 400877 400878 400879
      402880 404879 406878 407878 407877 409876 409875 411873
      411873
 0.25 401074 401069 398067 397063 398059 398055 395054 392055
      390057 386065 380069 376076 376082 378085 381085 384076
      391075 393072 396073 400076 401074
 0.25 342100 343098 342096 342095 340095 338095 337097 338099
      338100 339101 341101 342100
 0.25 327111 327107 326104 323102 319098 315093 301078 296069
      295063 292057 287048 282046 278046 277049 280053 282057
      280064 277069 275070 273069 269065 266062 259060 257063
      258066 261070 265072 271075 273085 276092 280096 286103
      289108 295111 305114 311117 315118 322117 327111
 0.25 305886 301874 303859 300854 294857 296864 294871 291877
      291885 288892 288897 289906 290912 290921 292927 294929
      296928 301923 303917 304907 303893 305889 305886
 0.25 299819 297815 294814 288811 284805 281802 283802 289798
      291795 293790 286789 278790 262796 257799 252804 251809
      253812 260814 269824 269831 272833 277834 283835 287836
      289833 290826 293823 297821 299819
 0.50 467994 468984 468974 469962 468952 463940 460923 452891
      449886 445882 441877 433876 426877 422881 422888 424895
      426902 427911 429919 432926 436938 440955 443971 438988
      438993 439997 441999 444998 446990 448982 451983 452986
      454993 456000 460006 463005 465003 467994
 0.50 387125 388123 388120 388118 387117 385116 383116 381117
      381118 380119 379121 379123 379124 380126 382126 384127
      385127 386127 387125
 0.50 366135 367133 366130 366129 364128 362129 362130 361132
      361134 361135 363136 365136 366135
 0.50 321110 321106 320105 316101 307093 300084 294075 289072
      286071 283072 280076 278084 280089 285093 288097 292102
      300108 303104 306104 307106 311110 316114 321110
 0.50 300884 300882 299882 298884 300885 300884
 0.50 299910 299907 299905 298905 297906 296908 296910 297911
      299910 299910
 0.50 286818 281813 279805 272803 266800 262800 259801 254806
      254810 258810 264813 269818 275822 278823 283821 286818
 0.50 280796 279796 277796 277797 279797 280796
 1.00 464971 465964 464958 462954 461949 455928 453916 450904
      446896 441887 435883 430881 425883 425888 426892 429904
      430915 435926 438933 441945 443955 448964 452971 457979
      460981 461979 464971
 1.00 292085 292083 290082 289081 288081 286081 285082 284084
      284085 285087 286087 288088 290088 291087 292085
 1.00 276818 275815 273814 273813 271812 270814 271816 272817
      273818 274818 275818 276818
 1.50 461967 460959 457949 454932 450916 448910 445902 440899
      436894 432888 429887 430893 432900 432906 432911 433919
      437926 440931 442934 442940 443949 445957 449962 454966
      458969 461967
 2.00 451957 452954 451952 451949 450947 449945 449943 448942
      447940 445939 445940 445942 444945 444947 445949 445952
      446954 447956 447957 449958 450959 451957
 2.00 452932 451925 450920 448914 446909 445906 443910 441909
      438910 434911 435917 437921 440925 444925 447928 449932
      452932

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 533190 535178 536167 536155 535150 534146 532143 529141
      524139 510139 500144 495150 490157 489166 488177 488186
      488190 490196 490201 488205 484209 481212 478212 470213
      458214 452215 451217 452222 457225 460227 459231 458235
      459238 464244 474253 479255 481257 489260 496262 501260
      505256 510249 513240 516235 520229 525220 530205 533190
 0.01 512006 510993 508984 502963 498954 493945 489939 486939
      485943 483949 482954 482972 481981 478985 475982 473976
      465959 456940 452930 447924 443922 441919 436910 435906
      436901 439894 442885 447877 457862 459858 460852 462839
      466815 469784 468771 467769 464772 462774 461773 459767
      456755 457750 457743 456737 454735 445736 442733 441728
      437718 434715 433710 433697 434688 435673 436668 435660
      435657 432655 430658 425660 421664 415670 409677 404684
      399692 398702 399709 400712 404721 408728 408732 405737
      403741 404749 402770 394789 393791 391789 387783 385783
      383786 382791 384795 388797 385806 386810 385814 382824
      381828 382832 384841 390861 394870 398877 406899 410910
      414923 417933 419939 419945 422957 423967 423974 421978
      420983 420991 417000 413007 405022 395040 394043 393049
      392055 389057 385060 380061 374061 369060 376051 371050
      367052 360055 357058 359061 360067 361070 370069 369072
      366076 363078 360076 355074 352071 342056 327050 307041
      302040 298043 290048 283051 276055 275060 274065 273078
      272090 272094 274096 282111 287118 290121 296123 302127
      307134 314140 317142 321142 329132 332129 338129 358156
      388149 392149 396146 403139 408134 414128 419126 423126
      432121 439116 446107 447102 447094 451086 456078 461070
      463067 466064 470068 483080 496092 499095 501094 505085
      499029 512006
 0.01 470999 468997 467997 466996 465995 463995 462994 461993
      460992 459993 459996 460998 460001 460003 461005 463006
      465005 466004 467003 468001 470999
 0.01 365847 364838 355839 348842 346844 343845 338849 339858
      342864 345866 350868 353868 355867 358861 362854 365847
 0.01 353773 352766 348770 347772 344772 340768 338761 336750
      332746 325747 280772 274774 267776 259778 255780 242786
      238791 236798 238814 239821 243825 254829 260832 266837
      269841 271843 272848 273864 275902 279915 284925 288931
      292934 291941 289949 286963 284969 284977 285979 288977
      291972 297960 302946 305941 305934 305916 308899 311885
      313870 316856 322842 337825 344814 346807 347804 347798
      353773
 0.01 316809 315807 313807 311807 309807 307806 305806 304806
      302807 301808 302809 304809 306810 308811 310811 311811
      313810 315810 316809
 0.01 294899 294897 294895 294893 293891 291893 290895 290897
      290899 290902 290904 290906 290908 291910 292911 293910
      293908 293906 293904 293901 294899
 0.25 499998 499993 498990 498985 497981 497977 496974 492973
      491975 489980 489985 489990 489995 490998 492001 495002
      498000 499998
 0.25 473987 466978 460966 454956 449942 431929 429930 429935
      430941 430950 429959 428976 427984 426994 429000 429007
      427014 425022 423029 426034 432035 436032 442030 445026
      447018 446007 445992 448984 450976 452970 456972 460977
      463984 469987 470989 473987
 0.25 443779 443772 442766 440762 437761 435758 436753 435746
      434742 430738 426740 421745 419755 419768 418777 413784
      403797 399804 395810 397816 398819 402829 402842 402851
      403872 409889 412901 413903 417905 423910 426909 427904
      427894 425890 424883 420864 418851 419842 420839 423839
      430841 436841 440839 442834 443830 443824 443817 442812
      438804 437799 438794 441786 443779
 0.25 440108 442101 439097 436094 433090 430089 428091 425096
      424103 425108 429108 433108 439108 440108
 0.25 441052 442050 442048 441046 441045 439044 438043 436043
      434043 433044 432045 431047 431049 432051 433052 434052
      435054 437054 439054 441053 441052
 0.25 417719 417714 417710 416705 416700 415696 413694 412697
      411699 411702 410707 409709 409712 408716 410721 411723
      413725 416724 417722 417719
 0.25 411106 412099 410094 406095 403100 400102 399108 396111
      392112 383115 380124 382126 386126 392120 398115 400111
      405109 407110 410108 411106
 0.25 401058 402056 400054 399054 397055 397056 396057 397059
      398059 400058 401058
 0.25 355120 354115 351112 348108 348107 352107 354107 354104
      352101 347099 347092 341085 339081 334078 325075 319074
      313074 303075 291073 287075 284078 283085 284091 285096
      287100 293107 300113 309118 312121 316122 320123 325121
      333119 342115 349120 352122 355120
 0.25 295834 295825 292818 287813 290805 288796 285788 280784
      272783 264785 257789 253794 250802 251808 255814 263825
      275832 280836 286839 294839 295834
 0.50 449961 450955 447949 443942 439942 435944 433954 433968
      433979 432992 435994 439995 441992 443985 446976 448964
      449961
 0.50 437828 436822 434820 427817 424812 425802 425792 423789
      419789 409800 406805 406811 407817 409825 407836 406844
      407850 409849 413830 417825 420823 422823 425831 427834
      430836 433836 435834 437828
 0.50 419884 419881 418879 418878 417877 416875 414873 412873
      411874 410875 410877 410880 410882 411884 411886 411887
      412889 413890 415891 416890 417889 418886 419884
 0.50 408103 409100 409098 408098 407098 406100 406102 407104
      408103
 0.50 342098 342096 340093 339091 337090 335089 333090 333092
      333095 333097 334098 336099 337099 338100 340100 341100
      342098
 0.50 328100 327097 325096 323099 322097 320092 315088 311087
      307083 302081 297083 293085 290089 290096 294100 301106
      308113 315120 319121 323117 325113 325104 325101 328100
 0.50 282804 282799 281796 278793 275792 266794 259797 255801
      253804 254809 258814 265817 272819 277819 278810 282804
 0.50 275824 274823 272822 272824 274824 275824
 1.00 444964 443962 443961 443959 442957 442955 441954 440953
      438952 438954 439957 439959 440961 441964 442965 443964
      444964
 1.00 317112 317111 316110 315108 313108 311108 311107 310106
      309107 310107 311109 313111 313112 315113 316112 317112
 1.00 271804 271802 270801 269800 268799 266799 264799 263800
      261801 259802 257803 256803 256804 258805 259805 261804
      263804 264804 265805 267805 269805 270804 271804

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 537003 534997 531988 531980 530977 530970 528965 524951
      518937 514926 509918 504910 501906 498905 493901 486899
      478899 470895 465893 460888 457879 456867 453852 450842
      447836 443828 440819 437808 433797 426782 428770 428757
      428755 425755 419752 413751 408756 399766 397780 395784
      393784 390784 389782 392774 395764 394756 392752 384764
      381768 376766 373764 370766 366772 365781 366790 367802
      367807 366811 366818 368820 370820 373817 377820 378826
      379830 380834 383838 386845 388854 389881 391886 394888
      400888 404890 407892 408895 406902 403910 401920 398928
      397937 396943 396953 396966 396970 398973 398977 401988
      397997 392004 390013 390022 390027 388031 387037 386039
      381044 375047 367048 360050 356055 353060 349060 348058
      343052 337046 330042 323038 314034 304033 294033 286034
      282034 280036 276041 274050 273055 272061 272070 273076
      276090 279098 282106 285110 289113 297116 327129 336131
      340132 343134 345136 349138 359139 367140 372143 377144
      379143 384140 395129 403118 412102 413093 414088 414076
      415065 415053 417044 418031 420024 423018 431008 435005
      436001 431997 428993 428989 431988 438985 443984 446984
      447995 450003 455008 466016 478025 482030 487035 493046
      505061 509068 511061 512057 514056 518054 520050 521046
      523043 523037 524023 537003
 0.01 494674 491664 485656 479652 475651 470652 462656 454661
      451664 450668 451676 454681 455694 454699 452706 441718
      446725 449728 453730 459732 463733 469733 472731 475727
      481718 488701 493682 494674
 0.01 344858 344854 342852 338849 331848 330843 327835 326831
      324829 322821 319817 317815 314815 308818 305818 302817
      299813 299808 300801 304787 306780 307774 308767 305763
      291765 276770 263769 257770 254773 249778 246782 240795
      239807 244817 258836 262841 266845 269849 271855 271863
      270872 268888 266913 268917 270918 272919 274917 277918
      277921 277925 279929 279933 281937 285941 292943 291949
      291958 290964 292966 294964 298960 301955 305950 310942
      316931 323919 331898 335883 337874 340869 344858
 0.25 514996 515986 513978 509965 507956 505949 502942 499937
      494933 489929 484929 481932 478937 474942 470947 464947
      459944 457939 457935 456920 456911 454902 450884 446870
      442858 439850 437840 436833 434826 428814 422806 416801
      410800 401803 395805 393811 391813 391816 392821 392831
      392835 393838 397845 399851 401857 404864 409873 413888
      417905 420921 422927 424933 428939 431944 440954 443957
      447961 449968 450975 456987 459994 465997 470999 473006
      483008 487009 490007 494009 500011 506015 508015 507012
      508008 511002 514996
 0.25 404058 404054 401050 396043 389047 387051 386059 386064
      382066 378067 377073 377079 380080 381078 383073 385069
      390070 394068 397078 401077 403070 400065 401062 404058
 0.25 358118 356115 352112 347108 346103 346091 346088 343082
      339080 336080 330079 327083 321081 318078 309070 290068
      285069 282068 281070 285080 286087 288091 292101 298107
      307113 313115 319115 326117 330120 333121 338119 342117
      347121 349124 352126 358118
 0.25 290814 286806 283804 282802 282798 283794 281790 276784
      271784 266786 258790 256793 256799 257805 260809 265815
      272820 279822 284822 288819 290814
 0.50 497993 498988 498985 495978 491969 482964 472960 469959
      464960 462965 461974 465986 467989 473991 478001 482002
      487001 492000 496998 497993
 0.50 452923 452908 451899 448891 440866 438853 433840 428829
      421820 416812 413810 410812 409819 411852 413867 415884
      416891 418897 420904 422912 424924 427930 431935 433940
      436943 449940 451933 452923
 0.50 400074 400072 399070 398071 398074 399074 400074
 0.50 397057 398055 397054 395053 393052 392054 391054 391055
      392057 393059 393060 395060 395059 397058 397057
 0.50 342096 342095 342094 341091 340090 339091 338091 337093
      336095 336097 336098 338099 340100 342098 342096
 0.50 320102 321097 320091 315086 310086 305083 298080 294079
      292083 293092 295095 298098 303103 308108 314107 317109
      319104 320102
 0.50 272812 272810 271809 270808 269806 268804 267802 267800
      266800 264799 263800 263801 262803 263805 263806 264807
      264809 265809 267810 267811 269811 271812 272812
 1.00 488985 487982 485980 482977 481976 478974 477974 474976
      473979 474984 475986 477988 479990 482991 484990 487987
      488985
 1.00 447920 447914 446911 444899 442890 437880 433859 426841
      423835 420832 416833 415837 415842 417853 418860 418865
      418873 419879 421888 424898 427907 431916 433923 435928
      438932 444928 447920
 1.50 442913 441907 440897 438891 435885 431869 428855 426849
      423843 419839 420846 422862 423879 425887 427894 429901
      431907 435911 438918 440918 442913
 2.00 437902 436896 434892 431888 431881 430874 428870 426865
      426872 427876 427883 429888 430895 432900 434903 437902


$$





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