Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 041028
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
527 AM EST SUN DEC 04 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID DEC 04/1200 UTC THRU DEC 07/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...TEXAS AND THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHEAST AND
LOWER MID ATLANTIC REGION...

BENEFICIAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHEAST STATES...AREAS
WHERE DROUGHT HAD BECOME WIDESPREAD. THIS MORNING A CLOSED LOW
OVER MEXICO WAS REACHING PERHAPS ITS MOST MATURE PHASE...WITH
GREATEST DEGREE OF AMPLIFICATION AND INFLECTION IN THE
FLOW...LEADING INTO THE STRENGTHENING OF A DOWNSTREAM UPPER JET
OVER THE MIDWEST AND OHIO VALLEY. MEANWHILE... 500 MB HEIGHT
ANOMALIES WITH THE CLOSED LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN SEA OF CORTEZ ARE
BETWEEN 5 AND 6 STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL. RAINFALL WAS
WIDESPREAD WITHIN THE WARM ADVECTION REGIME IN BETWEEN THE
LOCATION OF THE UPPER JET AND A SURFACE FRONT NEAR THE WESTERN
GULF COAST. RAINFALL WAS ESPECIALLY FOCUSED WHERE CONFLUENT
DEFORMATION AND RESULTANT STRENGTHENING FRONTOGENESIS BETWEEN
850-700 WERE TAKING PLACE...FROM THE WESTERN GULF COAST NORTHEAST
THROUGH CENTRAL LA AND INTO CENTRAL-NORTHERN MS...NORTHERN
AL...AND MUCH OF TN. MEANWHILE...THE MORE FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMICAL PROFILE (ANOMALOUS PWS NEAR 2 INCHES...HIGHER
AVAILABLE DEEP-LAYER INSTABILITY...AND WET BULB 0C HEIGHTS ABOVE
12KFT) WILL AGAIN MAKE FOR MORE EFFICIENT WARM RAIN PROCESSES AND
HIGHEST SHORT-TERM RAINFALL RATES AND THUS THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR
FLASH FLOODING CLOSER TO THE COAST FROM THE MID-UPPER TX COAST
INTO WESTERN LA. ALREADY HIT HARD FROM THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL
(LOWERING 1-3 HOURLY FFG VALUES RATES SIGNIFICANTLY)...A MODERATE
RISK FOR ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING WILL ENCOMPASS THIS AREA PER
THE DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK. DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH
RECOVERY IS OBSERVED WITH THE RUNOFF AND (THUS) SHORT-TERM FFG
WITH ANY BREAKS IN THE HEAVIER RAINFALL...A HIGH RISK MAY BE
NEEDED LATER TODAY (AS LATER SHIFTS WILL EVALUATE). FARTHER INLAND
HAD BEEN MORE TAME...ALTHOUGH STILL DELIVERING A WIDESPREAD
SOAKING TO MUCH OF THE REGION...AND SETTING UP THE POSSIBILITY OF
SOME LONGER DURATION FLOODING IN THE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE LOCATIONS.

THE COMBINATION OF SUSTAINED FAVORABLE UPPER DIFFLUENCE AHEAD OF
THE SOUTHERN STREAM CLOSED LOW...ALONG WITH THE ELONGATED 850-700
MB FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING E-NE (SUPPORTED BY THE 130-150+ KT JET
STREAK TO THE NORTH)...WILL MAKE FOR AN EXPANSIVE WARM CONVEYOR
BELT (WCB)...WHERE THE NORTHERN PORTION WILL BECOME SHUNTED MORE
W-E WITH TIME AS THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE NORTHERN STREAM
SHORTWAVE LEADS TO STRENGTHENING UPPER LEVEL CONFLUENCE (INCREASED
ZONAL FLOW AND A STRONGER UPPER JET) OVER THE MIDWEST AND OHIO
VALLEY. THEREFORE WILL EVENTUALLY SEE A SHARPER NORTHERN EDGE TO
THE MOD-HEAVY RAINFALL AS THE ACTIVITY SPREADS FARTHER EAST INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. WPC QPF INCORPORATED A BLEND OF
CONTINUITY (PREVIOUS FORECAST) ALONG WITH A NON-NAM/NON-UKMET
BLEND OF GUIDANCE WHICH ALSO INCLUDED THE WRF-ARW...NMMB...AND
NSSL-WRF. A RATHER LARGE SWATH OF 0.50-1.00+ INCH AREAL-AVERAGE
AMOUNTS IS AGAIN FORECAST FROM THE SOUTHERN HALF OF TX E-NE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST AND LOWER MID ATLANTIC REGION.
FAIRLY GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS (ESPECIALLY WITH THE HIGH-RES CAMS)
WOULD SUPPORT MAX TOTALS AGAIN ALONG THE MID-UPPER TX COAST INTO
SOUTHWEST LA (STRONG DEEP-LAYER FORCING WITH MORE FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMICS) AS WELL AS ACROSS EASTERN LA...SOUTHERN
MS...SOUTHERN-CENTRAL AL...AND NORTHERN GA ALONG THE
AFOREMENTIONED AXIS OF STRONGEST 850-700 MB FGEN.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES...

AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK ACROSS THE NORTHERN PACIFIC
(ACCOMPANIED BY ADDITIONAL LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVES) WILL LEAD TO
GRADUAL LONGWAVE TROUGHING ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS DURING
THE DAY 1 PERIOD...WHICH WILL BE FOLLOWED EVENTUALLY BY A DUMP OF
ARCTIC AIR INTO THE UNITED STATES. A BRIEF UPTICK IN PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE LEAD SHORTWAVE...WITH THE
ENHANCEMENT MAINLY BEING FELT ACROSS WESTERN OREGON AND
WASHINGTON...BEFORE THE HEIGHT FALLS HELP PUSH THE PW PLUME
SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHERN-CENTRAL CA. THE PERSISTENTLY MOIST
WESTERLY FLOW ALONG WITH INCREASED ASCENT AHEAD OF THE
SHORTWAVES...WILL FAVOR GENERALLY MODERATE PRECIPITATION TOTALS
DURING DAY 1 OVER THE WA-OR COASTAL AND CASCADE RANGES ALONG WITH
THE FAVORED HIGHER TERRAIN ACROSS CENTRAL-NORTHERN ID...NORTHWEST
MT...AND NORTHWEST WY. MODEL QPF GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT...AS CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS WPC QPF WERE
INSIGNIFICANT.

...MIDWEST INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...

THE SHARPLY DEFINED TROUGH THAT WILL PROGRESS OUT OF THE ROCKIES
WILL SWEEP UP SOME MODEST RETURN MOISTURE...WITH UPGLIDE ON THE
295 TO 300 K SURFACE OVERLAPPING WITH 12-HOUR HEIGHT FALLS OF 40
TO 80 METERS FROM THE MIDWEST INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT...WPC IS FORECASTING BROAD 0.10 TO <0.50 INCH AMOUNTS
FROM THE MID MS VALLEY INTO THE OH VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION.
WPC INCORPORATED A MULTI-MODEL BLEND WITH THE QPF...WHICH LED TO A
SLIGHT UPTICK IN AMOUNTS OVER NORTHERN IL-NORTHERN IN AS WELL AS
NORTHEAST LOWER MI COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.



DAYS 2 AND 3...

...TEXAS INTO THE LOWER/MID MS VALLEY INTO THE OH/TN VALLEY AND
SOUTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC...

THE CLOSED MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BE MOVING ACROSS TEXAS EARLY
MONDAY...BEFORE OPENING UP AND PICKING UP SPEED AS IT MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE TN/OH VALLEY BY TUESDAY. EXPECT TO SEE
SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS AHEAD OF THIS WAVE JUST OFF THE TEXAS COAST
EARLY MONDAY...WITH THE LOW MOVING NORTHEAST INTO THE OH/TN VALLEY
THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH COASTAL REDEVELOPMENT OFF THE MID ATLANTIC
BY LATER TUESDAY. EXPECT TO SEE A BROAD AREA OF PRECIPITATION IN
THE WARM AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE WAVE/LOW. RELATIVELY MINOR
DIFFERENCES STILL EXIST WITH REGARDS TO THE EXACT TRACK AND SPEED
OF THIS LOW...BUT OVERALL THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD
AGREEMENT. DID THINK THE NAM WAS LIKELY A BIT TOO QUICK WITH THE
PROGRESSION OF THE WAVE AND LOW...THUS GENERALLY AVOIDED ITS QPF.
WPC QPF STARTED WITH AN EQUAL BLEND OF THE ECMWF/GFS/UKMET FOR
THIS SYSTEM. DID HOWEVER MAKE SOME ADJUSTMENTS FROM THIS BLEND IN
THE WARM SECTOR WHERE PRECIPITATION WILL BE MORE CONVECTIVE IN
NATURE (WHICH THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE MORE APT TO STRUGGLE WITH).

TO START THE DAY MONDAY EXPECT THAT THE SURFACE WARM FRONT WILL
STILL BE HUGGING THE GULF COAST...WITH MOST OF THE SURFACE BASED
INSTABILITY ALONG/SOUTH OF THAT BOUNDARY. THUS WOULD MAKE SENSE
THAT CONVECTION MONDAY MORNING SHOULD BE MOST FOCUSED CLOSER TO
THE GULF COAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST TX INTO SOUTHWEST LA. AS THE LOW
LIFTS NORTHWARD SO WILL THE WARM FRONT...HOWEVER WOULD EXPECT THE
COASTAL CONVECTION TO PROPAGATE MORE EASTWARD RATHER THAN MOVE
NORTHEAST WITH THE MEAN WIND. THUS THESE FACTORS SHOULD KEEP THE
GREATEST INTENSITY CONVECTION AND AXIS OF HIGHER QPF FURTHER SOUTH
THAN SOME OF THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY
AND ADJACENT AREAS. THOUGHT THE ECMWF WAS PROBABLY TOO FAR
NORTH...AND LEANED OUR MAX QPF AXIS MORE IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
GFS AND HIGH RES ARW. WILL CONTINUE WITH A SLIGHT RISK FROM FAR
SOUTHEAST TX INTO PORTIONS OF LA/MS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY. OPTED TO INTRODUCE A SMALL MODERATE RISK ACROSS COASTAL
FAR SOUTHEAST TX INTO SOUTHWEST LA. LOOKS LIKE THAT AREA WILL SEE
ANOTHER ROUND OF LOCALLY HEAVY CONVECTION MONDAY MORNING AS THE
LOW LIFTS NORTH. THIS CONVECTION SHOULD STAY PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH TO
KEEP AMOUNTS IN THE 1-3" RANGE. HOWEVER ANTECEDENT HEAVY RAINFALL
HAS SATURATED SOILS ACROSS THIS AREA..WHICH SHOULD MAKE ADDITIONAL
FLASH FLOODING EASIER TO COME BY. THUS EVEN PROGRESSIVE CONVECTION
COULD POSE A THREAT...ESPECIALLY GIVEN CONTINUED ANOMALOUS PWATS
AND MOISTURE FLUX SUPPORTING LOCALLY HEAVY RATES.

THE OTHER AREA OF CONCERN IS FROM THE FL PANHANDLE INTO PORTIONS
OF GA. THERE IS A PRETTY GOOD SIGNAL THAT CONVECTION WILL FORM
ALONG THE NORTHWARD LIFTING WARM FRONT OVER THE FL PANHANDLE ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON SHIFTING NORTH INTO GA. THIS SIGNAL WAS STRONGEST
IN THE IN THE HIGH RES ARW...PARALLEL NAM CONUS NEST AND THE
UKMET. GIVEN THIS MULTI MODEL AGREEMENT ALONG WITH ANOMALOUS PWATS
AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACROSS THIS AREA...WILL CONTINUE A SLIGHT
RISK FROM PORTIONS OF THE FL PANHANDLE INTO GA.

ON DAY 3 (12Z TUE-12Z WED) THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO LIFT OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST. BY THIS TIME THE SYSTEM WILL BE OUTRUNNING ANY
INSTABILITY...AND OVERALL SYNOPTIC FORCING WILL BE ON THE
DECREASE. THUS EXPECT TO SEE LIGHTER RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THE OH
VALLEY INTO THE MID ATLANTIC. AS MENTIONED ABOVE CONTINUED TO STAY
CLOSE TO A GFS/ECMWF/UKMET BLEND.


...NORTHWEST...

A MID LEVEL WAVE AND 120 TO 130 KT UPPER JET DROPPING IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER AREA OF GENERALLY LIGHT PCPN ALONG
THE COAST ON SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY...WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS
WESTERN OR.  THE GFS AND ECMWF HANDLE THIS WAVES COMPARABLY SO WE
CONTINUED TO USE A BLEND OF THE TWO QPF SOLNS.

...CENTRAL ROCKIES AND THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
UPPER MS VALLEY ON MONDAY...BRINGING AN AREA OF PRECIPITATION TO
THE REGION. MODELS CONTINUE TO FLUCTUATE SOME WITH THIS
SYSTEM...ALTHOUGH HAVE BEGUN TO COME INTO BETWEEN AGREEMENT. THE
GFS/NAM ARE A BIT QUICKER THAN THE ECMWF/UKMET...WITH THE LATTER
HAVING A BIT MORE QPF IN ND. OPTED TO GENERALLY GO FOR A MIDDLE
GROUND SOLUTION FOR NOW. THE LOW SLOWS DOWN ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA
ON TUESDAY...WITH LIGHT WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION PROBABLE INTO
NORTHERN ND AND MN INTO TUESDAY. AGAIN SOME DIFFERENCES WITH THE
LATITUDE OF THE CLOSED LOW AND OPTED TO FOLLOW A CONSENSUS
SOLUTION.

A SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES TUESDAY NIGHT WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN AN INCREASING PRECIPITATION SHIELD STRETCHING
FROM CO INTO PORTIONS OF NE/KS. STILL A DECENT AMOUNTS OF MODEL
SPREAD WITH THIS SYSTEM LOWERING CONFIDENCE. WPC GENERALLY TRIED
TO FIND A CONSENSUS MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION FOR QPF. THE NAM/UKMET
ARE A BIT STRONGER WITH THE WAVE AND THUS HIGHER WITH THEIR QPF
AMOUNTS.  STAYED CONSERVATIVE FOR NOW AND WENT CLOSER TO THE
LIGHTER GFS/ECMWF FOR THE MAGNITUDE OF AMOUNTS...AND WENT WITH A
PLACEMENT IN BETWEEN THE NORTH ECMWF AND SOUTH UKMET...SOMETHING
CLOSE TO THE GFS/NAM.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

HURLEY/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 05/12Z
 0.01 529197 530186 529179 527168 526163 524157 520148 508125
      508091 508081 510073 514064 520056 524055 526051 522038
      521033 521028 519022 513021 509019 507014 505006 502001
      498000 495002 493008 492022 492030 493036 491043 489049
      487056 481056 478056 476059 474064 472068 470068 467070
      464070 462085 459086 458082 458076 457069 456066 450064
      448060 446053 446045 445041 443041 441043 443049 444059
      442063 440064 438069 436071 435076 440078 444080 445082
      442083 436089 433090 431088 428086 423083 421088 422094
      422100 402108 392112 390116 392116 401118 403123 406123
      410123 411125 415130 416135 416140 414148 411150 406151
      405159 405161 409161 413167 415171 415184 410192 408196
      408200 405205 404212 408218 410219 411223 408228 403228
      397229 397233 404243 407247 412250 415252 418256 421260
      425262 434269 445272 446288 447295 447300 449301 457310
      461313 466316 468319 474321 479324 482324 487322 490319
      494315 496310 503299 510286 512279 514272 516257 516251
      514246 512241 510238 503229 500224 498221 500217 505205
      509201 514198 518197 522198 529197
 0.01 533976 533970 531965 529962 528957 527947 522944 512934
      503928 504923 507919 512913 512900 513896 513890 514840
      498812 484790 480783 475777 471770 464763 459756 454749
      444739 433732 427729 423725 411718 408716 400718 391718
      380720 370722 362726 349733 346734 344738 340744 333758
      326770 323775 321782 318796 315805 311812 307819 301825
      290833 279843 270855 269857 269862 272868 276880 277889
      276897 271912 264926 259933 254937 250943 248954 244961
      243970 242978 240986 245995 246009 256039 258048 257058
      257062 259065 265070 270075 277078 285079 287081 292082
      301082 304079 306072 307063 316050 324038 326035 325031
      322024 324012 327003 330997 327989 327984 329981 332975
      334971 334967 334958 333956 333951 334944 334934 335927
      336923 342918 346912 356899 363894 371891 374889 378889
      378891 376894 374901 372905 372909 373919 374926 377934
      380939 382942 384944 391949 398949 405947 412943 421940
      428938 435934 443931 451931 455931 459932 463937 467954
      469957 469962 471968 474972 477974 479977 483979 489982
      492983 495985 510991 519992 523992 526989 530984 533976
 0.01 491196 491190 491187 489185 481184 474185 468188 463193
      458198 458201 462203 463206 466206 472201 478200 485201
      491196
 0.01 495120 495115 494112 494102 494094 493084 489089 486093
      482098 480105 478109 479114 482119 485124 488125 490124
      495120
 0.01 446727 444726 443727 444730 446727 446727
 0.01 267804 267800 266798 264796 262794 260791 258789 256789
      256791 257793 257797 257799 257803 259805 261805 265805
      267804
 0.01 260856 258851 255846 249837 247821 247814 251809 250803
      246798 242797 241803 241809 240815 240823 239829 240835
      238840 238844 239845 244849 252857 257857 260856
 0.25 507274 506273 504271 502272 502273 504275 505276 507274
 0.25 496148 492138 488132 483128 478126 472125 470125 469129
      469136 465136 462132 454132 450135 448141 444142 442141
      438140 436141 432147 431152 432156 434161 437166 443170
      446174 446179 445181 442187 442191 444193 447195 450195
      453193 457188 462184 465179 467173 468170 471168 476167
      479167 481165 484160 481153 476150 473148 472146 472141
      477142 483144 489151 495151 496148
 0.25 479218 480214 479212 474211 465212 456213 452214 446212
      443209 439209 434212 431212 427208 426211 426215 424218
      422221 420231 412235 412238 413241 417243 426249 433251
      442249 451248 460246 469248 472248 474245 471241 464235
      463231 464228 468225 474222 479218
 0.25 472845 472836 471826 466811 458804 449799 444800 441806
      439812 438820 437832 440838 444842 449845 448850 452855
      458856 464854 468850 472845
 0.25 454112 455106 455099 453095 448094 445095 440094 436096
      432095 429092 427094 429097 430100 428103 425104 423107
      424111 427115 430118 436117 445118 452115 454112
 0.25 434885 432883 431883 432883 433885 434885 434885
 0.25 431897 428881 424876 419870 417865 412860 406857 402859
      400862 400869 400876 398883 399892 401899 398904 395911
      396916 398918 403920 412921 419920 426917 425911 424909
      426907 431897
 0.25 387765 386760 383756 378751 372747 366745 361745 357746
      350752 344758 339764 335771 332780 328795 322813 318820
      311828 299838 290848 285854 282858 280863 281867 283872
      287880 288885 288891 286900 284908 281914 261941 255949
      252956 250962 251970 254977 257986 259998 258008 256018
      259025 265038 266042 267048 274053 277056 281057 292058
      299055 304050 309045 312038 315021 318008 319996 319986
      319977 323958 325935 330913 332904 334895 338891 344886
      349880 354873 363854 366845 368837 371819 373809 371798
      370791 370783 371779 373776 381770 385768 387765
 0.50 485138 485136 484134 483133 481132 479131 478130 476130
      474130 473131 472132 472133 472134 472136 471138 472139
      473139 475139 477139 479140 480140 482139 484139 485138
 0.50 470218 470216 468216 467217 466219 467220 468220 469219
      470218
 0.50 474158 474155 472153 471150 469147 467145 465143 461142
      459143 457145 456150 456155 457157 459160 463160 466161
      470161 472161 474158
 0.50 456239 457236 455233 455230 456227 459223 458217 454215
      449215 444215 439215 429218 425219 423224 429233 428236
      424239 425244 430245 434244 439244 449243 456239
 0.50 463178 461175 459175 455172 453168 451166 449168 448170
      449175 450180 450185 455185 458184 462181 463178
 0.50 453161 452156 450153 445150 442148 437147 434150 434156
      437159 440163 443164 448165 452164 453161
 0.50 445113 447109 446104 444101 443100 441098 439098 436100
      435100 433099 432102 430106 431110 433112 436114 440114
      443115 445113
 0.50 367764 366758 363756 357756 352760 348765 342771 339774
      338779 336786 334795 332803 330811 328816 324823 320828
      315833 307839 300842 295848 292854 290860 292869 294877
      294885 290906 287913 284919 276928 266939 257952 254959
      254966 257972 259978 262984 264992 268002 269006 269010
      265017 264020 264025 266032 269037 274044 285044 291043
      295045 300045 303043 306040 308034 309024 311017 313007
      315997 316987 315977 320943 323922 325913 325902 326893
      329886 332880 334878 337877 343876 346874 351867 354860
      357852 361836 363828 363821 360799 360794 360790 363778
      367764
 1.00 448224 449219 447218 444217 440216 438218 436219 434220
      431222 432224 435226 437225 441225 443225 446225 448224
 1.00 442110 443108 442107 440106 439107 438107 437109 436109
      437110 438110 440110 442111 442110
 1.00 356837 356832 353830 352824 350817 349807 349800 348798
      345798 341811 340819 340826 336832 332837 328840 325845
      322851 318855 308862 305860 306857 309850 306847 302850
      299856 297863 297870 299871 300873 301883 302891 304897
      306899 309899 317890 330869 335865 340863 345858 347853
      351849 352846 356837
 1.00 312954 313944 311938 303926 300921 297920 285928 280931
      276935 268945 261955 258963 261969 265974 270976 272979
      272983 272993 275999 277004 282008 281016 272024 271027
      272031 277034 279033 279031 280026 285021 294021 300019
      303015 307998 308991 307985 306980 307974 309966 312954
 1.50 443220 443218 442217 441217 440219 440220 441221 443220
 1.50 346831 346830 344829 342832 341834 341835 340836 339838
      338841 337842 337843 337845 338846 339845 340845 341843
      341842 342840 343839 343838 344836 345836 346833 346832
      346831
 1.50 328861 327857 324856 318860 312864 306867 304871 305875
      306884 307888 311888 314883 319877 323872 326866 328861
 1.50 305956 306952 305949 303947 299943 297939 295934 291935
      282935 276940 270947 265956 263960 263965 268970 275972
      277975 283979 279983 277987 277992 280994 285997 291997
      295999 299998 301992 300987 297983 294981 286978 294975
      298971 300966 305956
 1.50 296012 297010 297008 296007 296006 295005 294006 293006
      291008 291009 290010 291012 293014 294013 296013 296012
 2.00 323864 322863 321864 320864 321865 322864 323864
 2.00 320866 319865 317866 317868 319867 320866
 2.00 315871 314869 312871 312873 314872 315871
 2.00 292958 293947 291944 287943 283938 279939 277941 272947
      268953 266960 266964 268966 277968 283968 288963 292958

24HR QP VT 06/12Z
 0.01 542014 542006 541002 541986 539972 539953 539936 538931
      538925 534909 531897 529886 526876 522865 518857 511843
      507841 505843 501844 498847 489863 486868 482870 479872
      475876 469883 465890 459899 451906 440923 436928 438935
      436940 439940 445935 450933 455928 461922 465923 469925
      471928 471934 470943 469948 466960 462970 457983 456995
      456001 455005 451010 444017 439023 436025 432023 426023
      426029 426037 428038 428042 427043 424046 418050 410053
      401051 397052 395056 392062 389065 387068 387072 393074
      395076 395080 396085 398087 400083 403083 408085 408091
      406094 402103 400108 396110 392116 396124 397129 397136
      400156 399164 400169 402172 408175 409180 409187 410191
      409198 408206 409209 407212 404216 407218 410219 411222
      409226 402228 396233 392239 393243 394246 394250 392260
      398267 404264 409264 413266 419273 430289 442303 447306
      450309 456311 461311 465310 468306 473298 474291 474286
      473282 474279 475278 489278 497278 504276 503273 504267
      507264 509258 510254 510246 508235 505226 499216 488199
      488194 486190 482181 478172 477167 474168 466150 464142
      464136 462131 460123 457119 454117 449112 441117 439119
      437117 440113 442109 445108 449105 450099 454093 457098
      460105 462115 466122 471129 475137 479142 483145 494156
      501156 505154 506150 506145 503140 498131 482117 475099
      470093 464095 462089 461079 459073 458067 458052 459044
      460041 462035 463028 466018 471010 473005 475002 480000
      484999 487003 486010 485027 482038 480042 480047 483050
      488051 498052 502051 505049 512046 516048 520050 525051
      528047 533042 536035 540024 540017 542014
 0.01 512804 496768 492759 487753 481745 476738 471731 467727
      464722 464718 463711 462707 455692 453689 454686 456683
      457679 455675 446663 443659 440655 433652 419645 412643
      407643 401645 389653 383658 381660 380664 380668 383674
      378676 373678 363681 359682 356685 348698 338713 335716
      331715 327717 323720 316722 311728 305742 301747 298752
      294758 288764 278778 274784 272792 270800 268805 265809
      259815 255820 250828 246838 243846 239853 234868 232885
      234892 238898 242902 242911 241934 244942 245948 246954
      249962 253968 258974 264977 275983 285993 289997 288004
      287007 287014 286025 287034 287041 289041 299038 306036
      310034 313032 324017 330010 331006 332999 333988 337983
      346973 357964 369954 375948 380942 392926 402913 408899
      410894 408891 403884 402875 404865 405857 404851 403848
      398828 394819 391808 391801 391798 394796 396796 398793
      403792 407790 411794 411800 413803 414809 416813 417816
      419813 423797 428788 427784 423784 420785 417788 415790
      410789 405787 401788 399792 394794 389793 384784 379773
      374765 372763 373760 377758 382753 389748 393746 397747
      404750 410754 420761 427765 431773 434783 435785 439782
      441786 443788 443792 441803 438806 436810 435814 439818
      441820 445819 453813 506815 512804
 0.01 482852 481847 479842 476837 473835 471833 467831 464832
      464839 466844 468848 470851 473853 477855 480854 482852
 0.01 455852 455850 454847 454845 453845 451845 449845 449848
      449850 449853 450855 451857 453857 453855 455852 455852
 0.01 432121 432118 431116 429116 427115 426113 424115 422115
      421116 420117 419117 417118 418121 420121 421121 422121
      423123 425124 427124 428123 429122 430122 432121
 0.01 409138 409136 409133 408131 407129 405130 405133 405135
      406137 407140 409138
 0.25 519036 517030 517024 518012 521998 521991 519986 515962
      511951 505945 498940 492940 489944 488950 486962 483973
      482977 483982 493996 499004 502013 505024 507027 512029
      514030 516035 519036
 0.25 495246 496244 497242 497239 496236 495233 495232 493231
      492230 490230 488230 487231 486233 486236 487238 487239
      487241 488243 489244 489246 491247 493247 494247 495246
 0.25 483222 483221 482219 481218 480218 479218 478218 477220
      476220 475222 474223 474224 474226 474227 475229 475230
      475232 476233 477234 479234 480234 481231 481229 481226
      482224 482223 483222
 0.25 472249 464233 463230 465228 468225 470220 468215 462209
      459206 454204 441196 440202 437207 430211 420226 408237
      413245 420250 424253 429255 439256 448256 455255 463253
      470251 472249
 0.25 395872 394868 391865 386857 383844 381834 379808 377798
      372792 367786 360783 356781 353777 353766 357759 361751
      366745 371740 376733 378723 377717 374714 371713 366714
      352724 349725 345724 340725 337727 331731 325738 320746
      316754 313761 309768 301781 296788 292796 292801 293806
      293811 292815 286822 281825 275822 272820 270820 262837
      264845 261854 260863 261872 263883 264892 265904 265910
      265916 263927 263936 265940 267943 270945 272948 281960
      286964 290962 295961 301962 305964 306968 306972 306976
      303980 306986 313000 318999 325993 328982 333975 339972
      344967 348958 350954 354952 360948 368944 374938 379931
      384925 387917 389911 389907 391897 394883 395872
 0.50 492240 491238 490239 490242 491242 492241 492240
 0.50 510993 510986 509980 507975 505972 502969 497969 494972
      493977 494982 497987 500990 503992 507994 509995 510993
 0.50 456224 456221 453219 447217 441217 437218 433221 429222
      426222 427225 428230 429235 423236 418235 416236 416238
      423245 426247 430246 434245 439244 440241 437236 440234
      444231 448229 452227 456224
 0.50 387895 386885 384877 380868 376863 373859 369852 367843
      366833 366823 368816 369810 368804 367799 365797 358793
      352792 347790 345783 344773 344768 345765 350758 355753
      358748 360740 360732 357727 353727 349729 343733 341736
      336737 332738 329740 322752 316763 310776 303789 301817
      298823 291828 285832 280832 275834 275843 277847 276850
      274857 274866 276877 279894 280901 281909 276923 273928
      273933 273939 276946 281950 287953 294956 301956 307955
      319949 326947 332941 341934 349923 352923 353926 356933
      359936 363937 368934 377922 382911 385902 387895
 1.00 354741 353739 350738 344742 336751 323767 317777 312788
      310795 310800 309814 308820 306827 305829 302831 297834
      294838 293845 296857 295864 294872 297879 302882 305884
      305889 299899 295908 296916 297923 292931 289935 288941
      290945 294951 299951 302947 311942 317934 331914 337891
      341879 346866 350856 352850 352844 351826 347813 346811
      342811 338808 332799 331792 332785 336773 340763 347754
      352747 354741
 1.50 338828 331825 328819 324814 321813 319815 313827 310834
      306838 300842 299849 298857 299865 299868 302871 306870
      308868 311861 312854 316849 321846 332839 338828
 1.50 331891 329884 327882 324883 315892 310905 307911 303915
      298928 295935 294938 296943 301943 305939 312928 319916
      324911 326906 331892 331891
 2.00 326900 327892 325886 321889 318893 313903 312908 310912
      306916 303920 302926 300931 298936 301940 306931 312922
      316913 322906 326900
 2.00 322829 323827 322825 320824 318825 318826 316828 315830
      315831 315832 314834 315835 317836 319835 320834 320833
      321832 322830 322829
 2.00 309854 310850 310846 309841 307842 305844 304846 303848
      302851 300853 300857 300861 301864 302866 304865 306863
      308861 309856 309854

24HR QP VT 07/12Z
 0.01 561864 500742 489734 484730 478728 455713 450711 446710
      441710 428709 408683 403677 399669 394664 389660 384657
      377663 371667 367672 342691 337696 330700 324705 319711
      315718 310724 302736 299741 294747 286759 277770 268783
      260794 259802 256809 255818 252826 241834 238837 238841
      237849 238869 239874 241879 245879 247877 258868 265864
      275863 291862 295862 299860 305856 308853 311852 314852
      317853 326866 333877 338882 343884 350888 356892 363906
      366909 371910 382910 389908 397905 404903 408898 407894
      407889 413882 417876 419870 425865 431862 434859 436856
      438848 442839 443834 444829 444824 445818 446815 447817
      449821 454841 456850 461855 464862 467872 465892 464899
      461903 458903 455906 453908 455911 462915 470926 472931
      473936 473942 472947 472953 471957 471962 473966 476972
      479976 480979 483989 482993 482998 483002 487005 490009
      491016 493020 493024 496028 497034 501034 504036 514053
      520057 524057 526055 531047 534040 540023 546004 551986
      553977 554966 557944 557937 558932 558916 557889 559874
      560867 561864
 0.01 456254 457245 450242 441242 430243 423243 420242 421239
      426236 431232 435228 437226 438222 434218 434208 432198
      430190 431180 432175 434172 433166 432160 430155 425142
      427133 432135 434138 435143 435150 435153 434155 436158
      442159 444162 447164 449173 450175 449180 446185 442190
      441196 444210 447215 451217 455215 458208 461190 464183
      464175 463168 461159 459153 457152 455148 448138 452134
      451131 452127 457116 451105 448102 446097 445096 440091
      432089 427090 424095 423091 423086 423078 423074 426073
      429073 431071 433068 433065 433057 433042 431032 430030
      430025 423015 422008 419002 418994 417987 416982 416977
      416968 416954 416945 411946 409947 408950 404953 399956
      395956 389956 384958 371981 367995 365000 365010 365025
      366034 367041 366046 365048 361052 357056 357060 359063
      360066 360071 359082 358090 358093 360094 361097 364096
      369093 368088 373085 377085 380087 380091 378094 376099
      375103 379103 382104 382108 380114 379123 382129 388131
      391128 393125 394128 391160 389164 391166 391171 389174
      390176 394179 400180 400187 393197 387200 385200 385203
      393211 398214 403219 408221 410223 410228 404231 399232
      403240 410249 420257 432258 444258 448257 451257 456254
 0.01 442137 441134 440132 440129 439127 437129 438131 439132
      438134 439136 441137 442137
 0.01 419138 420133 419128 416128 412128 409128 407128 403130
      403135 404139 406140 409142 410145 412146 414148 416146
      417144 417140 419138
 0.01 353095 355086 354079 352076 350077 347083 346090 346096
      343101 339106 340114 345112 348105 350100 353095
 0.25 540893 540886 537880 535877 530875 526876 522879 514880
      510892 508907 509912 508918 507924 504931 499941 496954
      496963 497972 500984 503989 506993 515998 520999 524996
      527991 529986 533974 537960 539944 540928 539910 539900
      540893
 0.25 436780 432763 431756 430752 427749 421747 415745 408742
      403736 396723 393717 388712 378703 371704 368707 363706
      356707 348707 341708 337708 332710 324719 315732 308744
      302756 289782 288791 286797 281811 279817 275823 270828
      268831 269836 272837 277837 283834 290831 297828 302826
      307822 314815 317811 320808 324806 326808 328812 330821
      330826 331831 339832 347831 352828 356827 362830 364834
      366840 369849 372858 374866 375876 379884 383888 389892
      394892 398885 406873 409867 412859 419845 424831 430795
      435787 436780
 0.25 407058 409054 409049 406044 403039 399037 398039 394041
      392048 393056 393064 394068 396069 397073 399074 403071
      406065 407058
 0.25 303808 302807 300807 298808 297809 299811 300812 302810
      303808
 0.50 420782 420777 419774 416769 408761 404756 399754 394752
      392746 391738 390736 386735 383737 379741 374742 371740
      374738 374736 373729 371722 366719 357715 351714 345713
      340713 335714 333717 331722 328727 321736 309757 297777
      291788 292791 295792 302793 310792 317790 324789 330790
      343791 354797 359798 363801 374804 380806 382799 384793
      387792 388795 392800 390806 388810 384814 381828 380836
      381845 383850 387855 389860 389870 390874 392877 397878
      400873 403867 405852 406848 408846 412842 414836 415827
      413817 414808 415802 418795 420789 420782
 1.00 352742 352738 351735 351727 348722 343721 339723 335727
      331737 330742 326747 322756 320767 322773 327775 332775
      337773 345765 347762 348756 351744 352742
 1.50 346743 345732 344728 342728 339731 338736 337743 333750
      329756 328759 327764 330766 334766 341762 344757 346753
      346747 346743

$$





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