Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 271058
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
657 AM EDT THU APR 27 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 27/1200 UTC THRU APR 30/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

...WESTERN U.S...

A STABLE LONG WAVELENGTH TROUGH WITH ITS AXIS THROUGH THE PLAINS
STATES WILL BEGIN TO RELOAD AND DEEPEN WEST OF THAT AXIS TODAY.
MOISTURE IS LIMITED IN AN ABSOLUTE SENSE...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES GENERALLY LESS THAN A HALF INCH...BUT VALUES APPROACHING
0.75 INCHES WILL WRAP NORTH OF THE DEVELOPING LEE CYCLONE...INTO
NORTHERN KANSAS AND SOUTHERN NEBRASKA BY THURSDAY EVENING.
MEANWHILE...STRONG DEEP LAYER LIFT SHOULD MAKE THE MOST OF THE
LIMITED MOISTURE CONTENT ALONG AN AXIS OF DIFLUENT UPPER FLOW
SUPERIMPOSED ON INVERTED SURFACE TROUGHING FROM SOUTHERN MONTANA
THROUGH MUCH OF WYOMING INTO THE CO/NE/KS TRI-STATE AREA. MODELS
TRENDED NORTH JUST SLIGHTLY WITH RESPECT TO KS/NE...AND ALSO
INCREASED AMOUNTS SOMEWHAT. WPC TOOK A CONSENSUS APPROACH AND
INCORPORATED CONTINUITY. OVERALL THERE WAS LITTLE CHANGE FROM THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE HEAVIEST FORECAST AMOUNTS INCLUDE NORTHEAST
WYOMING WITH SOME UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT...BUT PRIMARILY RELATED TO
THE INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH...AND THEN DOWNSTREAM INTO SOUTHERN
NEBRASKA WHERE THE DIFLUENT UPPER PATTERN IS SUSTAINED AND PIVOTS
WHILE THE LEE CYCLONE FORMS FARTHER SOUTH.

STEEP LAPSE RATES AND CONTINUED ENERGETIC FLOW WILL ALSO MAINTAIN
A SHOWERY REGIME OUT THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...ALTHOUGH WITH
SOMEWHAT LIGHT 24-HOUR ACCUMULATIONS.


...EASTERN U.S...

A SURFACE CYCLONE WILL LIFT THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES INTO ONTARIO
WHILE THE PARENT UPPER TROUGH SWINGS EASTWARD. THIS WILL PUSH A
PLUME OF MOISTURE THROUGH THE EASTERN STATES AND TO THE
COAST...WHILE THE COLD FRONT MAKES MORE PROGRESS INTO THE
NORTHEAST STATES...AND STALLS OVER THE SOUTHEAST. ONE OF THE MORE
PRONOUNCED SIGNALS IS IN THE WRAPAROUND AREA JUST LEFT OF THE LOW
TRACK OVER WISCONSIN AND THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN...WHERE
WE INCREASED AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS. OVERALL...HOWEVER...MOISTURE
IS SOMEWHAT MARGINAL...AND INSTABILITY WEAK OVER MUCH OF THE
EASTERN U.S...SUCH THAT VERY FEW STATIONS WILL RECEIVE MORE THAN
AN INCH OF RAIN TODAY. THE MOISTURE PLUME IS FORECAST TO COME
ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN OF WEST VIRGINIA DURING PEAK
HEATING...WHICH SHOULD YIELD A BOOST TO CAPE VALUES AND COVERAGE
OF CONVECTIVE RAINFALL. SOME OF THIS MAY SPILL OVER INTO THE
PIEDMONT AREAS EAST OF THE SPINE BEFORE WEAKENING. FARTHER SOUTH A
RELATIVE MAXIMUM SHOULD ALSO OCCUR FROM ALABAMA TO NORTH CAROLINA
IN A RELATIVELY CONCENTRATED SWATH...ALTHOUGH THE TROUGH AND
STRONGER HEIGHT FALLS WILL SWEEP UP THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY...LEAVING THE SOUTHEAST STATES WITH MORE WESTERLY FLOW TO
PROMOTE FORWARD PROPAGATION...ALONG WITH LESS INTENSE LIFTING.

MODEL QPF SPREAD WAS MINIMAL. WPC USED OUR IN-HOUSE PSEUDO BIAS
CORRECTED ENSEMBLE...ALONG WITH THE PREVIOUS WPC FORECAST...AND A
SMALL PERCENTAGE OF THE NAM.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER/MID MS VALLEY AND TN/OH
VALLEY...

CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH IN A SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL EVENT FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO THIS WEEKEND...WITH THE GREATEST THREAT ACROSS PORTIONS
OF EASTERN OK...AR AND SOUTHERN MO. OVERALL A VERY IMPRESSIVE
SETUP...WITH ALL INGREDIENTS COMING TOGETHER FOR HEAVY RAINFALL.
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING APPEARS LIKELY WITH THIS
EVENT.

UPPER LEVELS

ON FRIDAY NIGHT A DEEP WAVE DIGGING INTO THE ROCKIES WILL RESULT
IN UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMING MORE MERIDIONAL...WITH A STRONG
NORTHERN STREAM JET DEVELOPING. EXPECT TO SEE IMPRESSIVE UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THIS JET ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN PLAINS INTO THE MS VALLEY. THIS UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT WILL MAINTAIN ITSELF FOR A LONG DURATION INTO THE
WEEKEND. ALSO BY LATER SATURDAY THE REGION WILL BEGIN FEELING THE
DIRECT IMPACT FROM THE WAVE AND UPPER JET EXIT REGION MOVING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...HELPING ENHANCE SYNOPTIC ASCENT EVEN
MORE.

LOWER LEVELS

THIS DIGGING WAVE WILL ALSO RESULT IN INCREASED SOUTHERLY FLOW OUT
AHEAD OF IT...AND EXPECT VERY STRONG 850 MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT OUT
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS MOISTURE WILL BE TRANSPORTED UP AND
OVER A STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE BOUNDARY.
HEAVY CONVECTION TENDS TO BE FAVORED NEAR THE NOSE OF THE
STRONGEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT...IN AREA OF GREATEST
CONVERGENCE. WHAT IS UNIQUE ABOUT THIS SETUP IS THAT THIS MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE AXIS IS NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE MUCH FROM FRIDAY NIGHT
STRAIGHT THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY. IT STAYS FOCUSED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN OK INTO AR AND MO.

INSTABILITY/MOISTURE

ANOTHER FAVORABLE ASPECT OF THIS SETUP IS THE EXPECTED DEGREE OF
INSTABILITY AVAILABLE. THE ENVIRONMENT SOUTH OF THE STALLED OUT
BOUNDARY WILL BE VERY UNSTABLE...BUT GENERALLY CAPPED. THUS SHOULD
GENERALLY HAVE AN UNINTERRUPTED FLOW OF MOIST UNSTABLE AIR INTO
THE BOUNDARY...WHICH SHOULD HELP MAINTAIN INSTABILITY. THUS THIS
DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE A CASE WHERE WE EXHAUST INSTABILITY AND END
UP WITH MORE STEADY RAINFALL AND LOWER RATES OVER TIME. INSTEAD
WOULD EXPECT TO SEE A LONG DURATION OF POTENTIAL HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES ALONG THE BOUNDARY. ANOMALOUS PWAT VALUES WILL BE ADVECTED
NORTH INTO THE BOUNDARY AS WELL...WITH A CONNECTION TO THE
CARIBBEAN EXPECTED. LOOKING AT PWAT VALUES ABOVE THE 90TH
PERCENTILE ALONG THE ENTIRE BOUNDARY...WITH POCKETS OF ENHANCED
PWAT VALUES LIKELY APPROACHING CLIMATOLOGICAL RECORD VALUES.

SUMMARY AND EXPECTED EVOLUTION

NOT TOO OFTEN THAT WE SEE SUCH ANOMALOUS PWAT VALUES WITHIN SUCH
AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS...WITH STRONG MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT TO GO ALONG WITH IT AS WELL. THUS ALL SIGNS POINT
TOWARDS A HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT..AND NO REASON TO DOUBT THE HEAVY
MODEL QPF VALUES.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY ARE CURRENTLY
EXPECTED TO FALL FROM PORTIONS OF EASTERN OK INTO AR AND
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN MO INTO SOUTHERN IL. IT IS HERE WHERE WE SEE THE
LONGEST DURATION OF FAVORABLE CONDITIONS. THE AFOREMENTIONED 850MB
MOISTURE TRANSPORT CONVERGENCE AXIS REMAINS OVER THIS REGION FROM
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. GIVEN THE STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
JET AND CONTINUED INFLUX OF INSTABILITY FROM THE SOUTH...WOULD
MAKE SENSE THAT WE WOULD SEE CONTINUED BACKBUILDING INTO THE
BOUNDARY. THIS IS BACKED UP BY VERY WEAK CORFIDI VECTORS OVER THE
AREA. THUS LOOKS LIKE A GOOD SETUP FOR LONG DURATION TRAINING
CONVECTION. EXPECT TO SEE WIDESPREAD 4-8" OF RAIN OVER THIS AREA
THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY. BY
SATURDAY NIGHT THE CONVECTION SHOULD EVENTUALLY BEGIN TO BECOME
MORE PROGRESSIVE OFF TO THE EAST AS THE WAVE MOVES EAST. WHILE THE
AXIS OF HIGHEST AMOUNTS COULD STILL SHIFT...CURRENT INDICATIONS
ARE FOR THE QPF MAX FROM THIS EVENT TO END UP NEAR THE OK/MO/AR
BORDER...WHERE UPWARDS OF 10" COULD FALL. THIS REGION HAS BEEN
VERY WET RECENTLY...EXACERBATING THE FLOODING THAT WILL LIKELY
OCCUR FROM THIS SYSTEM. WOULD EXPECT THAT WE MAY VERY WELL NEED A
HIGH RISK FOR THIS REGION IF MODEL SOLUTIONS HOLD STEADY. HOWEVER
CURRENT POLICIES CAP OUR OUTLOOK ON DAY 3 AT THE MODERATE RISK
THRESHOLD.

WOULD APPEAR THAT THE FRONT HAS A BETTER CHANCE OF LIFTING NORTH
AS A WARM FRONT FURTHER EAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF TN/KY/IN. THUS
WHILE TRAINING CONVECTION IS PROBABLE OVER PORTIONS OF TN/KY ON
FRIDAY NIGHT...CURRENTLY EXPECT THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TO SHIFT
NORTH INTO IL/IN ON SATURDAY. STILL LOOKING AT HEAVY TOTALS
HERE...BUT PROBABLY A BIT LESS THAN FURTHER WEST THROUGH 12S SUN.
HOWEVER ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS LIKELY AFTER 12Z SUNDAY HERE AS THE
COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS.

MODEL PREFERENCES

GENERALLY STUCK CLOSE TO A 12Z ECMWF AND 0Z GFS CONSENSUS FOR QPF
WITH THIS SYSTEM. THERE HAS BEEN VERY GOOD RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY
WITH THESE SOLUTIONS AND OVERALL THE TWO MODELS ARE PRETTY CLOSE
TO EACH OTHER...AND HAVE SUPPORT FROM THEIR ENSEMBLE MEANS. THUS
STAYED AWAY FROM THE NAM/UKMET/GEM SOLUTIONS...AS THEY ALL HANDLED
THE EVOLUTION OF THE SYSTEM A BIT DIFFERENT THAN THE CONSISTENT
ECMWF/GFS CLUSTER.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

BURKE/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 538189 537181 536173 532165 528159 523152 518145 514138
      511136 509133 505126 506118 508115 514111 517110 518106
      520102 521095 522091 522087 521083 517082 511079 505077
      503073 499074 495074 488070 473063 467060 463054 457048
      453041 448033 445024 435995 426965 421949 418940 416936
      416928 416921 414918 413912 410908 401898 395894 393891
      390892 378898 373900 369905 362919 359923 358925 357928
      357934 357940 358944 357948 357954 357965 358971 359978
      360987 360999 360005 362007 365012 369018 372026 374030
      376037 384049 385053 381053 377052 374048 371047 366047
      358049 355052 353055 353066 354074 354077 356080 360087
      367090 371098 375098 378097 386089 392089 394088 398088
      409089 413090 416093 419096 419100 416107 412105 407104
      406102 404104 393111 389111 385113 379117 375124 375128
      378128 387121 395120 403122 405123 409124 411123 416123
      421126 423129 425132 429132 432130 435131 438134 439137
      439141 438153 441159 446167 446174 441180 435179 431174
      429167 424162 423158 424154 424150 422147 419149 416153
      414155 414161 416168 419174 424179 425184 423188 423191
      426194 429195 432196 434198 437201 438206 435215 430223
      425224 423226 422229 426231 430232 433234 435237 439246
      441249 443250 448252 451251 458252 465251 473250 475252
      479254 484260 492265 495262 499266 501268 504267 504262
      503258 497246 494243 492244 490241 491237 493234 496234
      500232 503234 510247 514249 517246 518240 518235 517227
      515219 513213 513210 515209 518207 522208 526209 529207
      532198 535192 538189
 0.01 531843 530836 529830 526817 522802 519797 513798 504800
      502797 502794 501786 499778 497773 489764 482759 474754
      466749 467742 466737 464735 461730 458726 451721 445722
      440721 429718 420718 415717 409718 397721 391724 385726
      376732 369736 364741 359745 352753 340768 342772 344772
      347770 351769 354771 354776 351781 347784 339792 333799
      327807 317824 303840 300844 298849 296856 297864 293873
      298882 301884 301886 299891 298896 298904 301904 304903
      307898 311889 314884 319881 329876 348867 389852 409855
      415857 420861 425863 427865 426867 414884 411889 411894
      412901 417905 427912 431914 437915 450914 459916 469916
      474918 477921 479929 479937 479942 478948 475953 474954
      476957 478962 483965 489967 496970 500967 504963 510958
      517957 520955 525946 527937 527927 529911 531899 531888
      529879 528865 531843
 0.01 492684 492679 490677 487672 484678 482684 479689 475694
      472700 473706 475708 476706 481703 487699 490695 492687
      492684
 0.01 489193 489190 487187 484184 481181 478180 471173 467170
      465170 464174 464181 463183 458190 455191 454193 453198
      452204 455207 460209 464208 471205 479201 486198 489193
 0.01 453132 452127 451124 449122 446122 444123 441125 440129
      439132 440134 443136 446138 450136 452134 453132
 0.01 404158 402155 400155 402158 404158 404158
 0.01 381063 382060 381058 380058 379056 379055 377054 376055
      377057 377058 377060 379062 380063 381063
 0.01 353186 351185 350185 349185 349187 348190 348192 349194
      350195 351195 351192 351190 352188 353187 353186
 0.01 368059 366058 364058 364061 366061 368059
 0.25 515161 514156 512153 509149 502139 498135 493130 490126
      485127 476134 476139 477142 477147 481151 483153 482156
      481160 483161 485161 485158 485156 488157 492160 496164
      499166 503166 505161 511162 515161
 0.25 517863 517853 516843 512835 507831 502830 496833 484840
      479842 476844 474847 472854 466858 455864 450867 444872
      434880 431885 430890 430893 436896 442899 455901 462901
      470900 475900 482902 497922 501927 506929 509929 512926
      514918 514908 513895 513884 513877 517863
 0.25 489216 488213 486211 482210 481211 477212 475214 473215
      473217 475217 478217 482217 485219 487218 489216
 0.25 481786 481782 479779 475774 471771 464770 451772 447768
      443762 443757 440755 438755 435756 430761 424765 414773
      410777 406780 402779 397779 392783 386795 376803 373809
      370816 371823 374823 379822 385820 390815 401807 406804
      411803 419803 425800 432797 439794 444792 450794 456797
      461798 468798 475795 479790 481786
 0.25 474096 476089 473083 467075 461069 454060 449053 443043
      435036 430029 426020 423008 421992 418982 414975 407966
      405962 404952 402940 400930 395931 390934 387938 386943
      384959 384970 383977 384984 385991 385999 386013 387025
      387031 390036 398041 402044 406049 406053 404058 401061
      398066 398071 401075 407075 413077 418083 424093 427097
      429103 428107 429110 431114 436114 439112 442108 446105
      455103 461102 466103 470105 472102 474096
 0.25 468152 468150 467149 466148 464148 462148 461151 462152
      464153 465154 467154 468152
 0.25 456221 455221 454219 452219 450218 449219 447218 446218
      445219 443219 442219 441220 440222 440224 441225 442225
      444226 446226 448226 449225 451225 453224 454223 455222
      456221
 0.25 372840 371837 370837 368838 367838 366838 364840 363841
      362843 361844 360844 358847 358848 360848 364846 366844
      368844 370842 372840 372840
 0.25 366811 366805 366798 364791 362789 359790 355793 349800
      344805 337812 331817 326825 322832 317840 313847 312851
      312858 315868 318869 323867 338858 350846 355839 357835
      357832 357828 359823 363816 366811
 0.50 509862 510855 508849 503844 499843 495845 487849 481853
      477861 471865 464869 449877 443881 442885 443889 452891
      460892 469893 475891 479891 483892 490896 493897 497896
      500894 502891 506870 509862
 0.50 501147 500144 498142 497142 495143 494143 494145 495146
      496148 497149 498149 499149 501147
 0.50 461087 460079 457073 449061 442050 438046 431042 427039
      424032 420015 417000 415992 412984 409980 404976 400976
      397979 394984 392992 391001 392011 394018 395025 398032
      410039 415043 418048 421057 420062 419067 423082 426087
      433090 437095 440097 443094 444086 446085 449086 456089
      461087
 0.50 437770 437768 436767 435768 434768 433770 433771 432773
      434775 435774 436773 437771 437770
 0.50 426789 425784 422783 419784 416785 414787 412789 410791
      410796 413796 416795 418795 421793 423791 426789
 0.50 398800 397798 393798 392799 389801 387803 385804 383807
      382809 384811 387810 390808 392807 395805 397802 398800
 0.50 360803 360798 357797 351802 344812 339816 334820 329825
      327831 325838 323841 321842 319845 318850 318853 320855
      324854 327853 329846 339837 343833 348833 350831 351826
      352817 358807 360803
 1.00 453081 453076 451071 448067 445064 442062 437061 436066
      438070 441073 445075 449078 451080 453081
 1.00 412015 412010 411008 411003 410999 408996 406994 405993
      402993 401998 401002 402007 403009 406012 408013 410014
      412015

24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 565883 562891 558897 548910 546920 543928 541933 538936
      533939 520944 511944 507944 504942 491937 484932 481924
      480914 481911 483907 487898 488888 488879 484869 477855
      475851 471848 470846 469841 471836 474833 477835 479837
      482841 485842 490847 495843 504841 507843 509841 513840
      517837 528825 539817 541815 545815 547817 550820 552823
      556823 560833
 0.01 545177 547161 549143 550128 550115 550107 548104 542095
      532081 529076 526072 523070 520072 514077 513081 512087
      510093 511101 514113 516127 517131 515134 510131 503126
      499123 494122 487116 482119 480114 480107 481100 484095
      486093 481092 479089 474088 471087 470084 470076 472069
      474064 475059 470058 461054 457051 454046 447037 443029
      439020 435011 431000 428991 427980 426968 425961 425953
      426940 427933 428929 433904 433900 434897 434891 437878
      440854 442844 447831 451824 456814 459807 464799 470793
      472781 476759 478747 477737 475730 474724 475721 478721
      481721 484718 484705 484699 482694 480686 478681 475676
      472673 466667 457665 451664 446663 442663 438663 433663
      425662 419663 414663 406665 391673 388677 386682 383690
      382696 378696 370702 355718 344732 339739 335746 333755
      335764 336771 340771 343767 348766 350771 350778 351779
      350782 354782 352780 355775 362768 372756 388743 394737
      402732 406730 411728 415729 420729 422728 422724 426720
      431719 435720 438722 440726 443728 446724 449722 450726
      449728 447741 444763 440776 436779 429781 421780 418780
      416777 416769 419764 422763 421758 419754 418754 409756
      406766 399785 398790 394793 387796 382803 380806 377808
      369806 366809 366814 366818 368818 367822 363830 358843
      355855 352879 347896 345906 343911 342916 342922 340927
      339929 336928 335925 334919 331916 323909 320906 317901
      319895 322892 330876 334866 335854 340832 342823 343818
      343813 342809 340808 334812 334814 332819 329826 325834
      322839 321844 319850 319857 318863 314866 306869 302871
      299874 298880 298886 300897 301901 304905 306907 308914
 0.01 308914 312922 315926 319927 327931 332934 333936 333940
      330943 328945 329948 326951 325954 325957 322958 316958
      323961 326961 328963 329969 328974 325978 319984 312990
      308993 306995 306998 309001 307007 307014 309019 314024
      316026 320027 322029 325038 329047 328051 325054 322059
      320065 325070 324085 330092 331098 332103 334108 337112
      340115 344116 347111 348107 351100 355099 359097 361093
      364088 366080 369075 371073 374075 375081 373086 375089
      378092 383090 387091 390089 391092 390096 387103 384106
      382110 380110 379117 375121 373125 376137 378140 382144
      389149 396169 400173 407174 417172 427172 425160 424155
      423148 426136 426132 428130 430126 434122 438120 442117
      445116 447118 449122 447127 445133 441139 437143 434148
      435153 435157 437158 444164 451171 455174 459174 463171
      466167 472166 477167 478171 478174 477183 476192 479195
      480200 478203 476208 475214 478217 494229 496235 500239
      508244 510246 513248 516249 517248 519245 519241 518236
      512225 509214 508209 507201 509193 512189 514187 517188
      521193 526201 531213 534212 536207 539199 542193 544183
      545177
 0.01 487126 487124 486123 485121 484123 485125 485126 486127
      487126
 0.01 436801 434800 432800 431802 433804 434804 436801
 0.01 408686 403683 396687 393690 388694 384699 387705 391710
      396711 400707 402699 404694 405689 408686
 0.01 415132 414127 411127 405126 404126 398125 393124 388125
      388128 391130 396130 401131 404135 406139 409138 412137
      413134 415132
 0.01 317789 316787 314784 311784 310784 308786 307788 308793
      309795 310797 312801 314797 316796 315794 316791 317789
 0.01 312813 311811 308810 306809 304811 302812 301815 299818
      299821 301822 305821 307819 308817 310815 312813
 0.25 563864 562859 561857 559848 555841 551837 545839 540843
      535848 532854 529861 527870 524887 522895 524899 526901
      531904 534904 536902 539896 545894 550890 554886 558880
      561872 563864
 0.25 533179 531173 527167 523164 522160 520158 516153 511151
      508150 507152 511157 515161 521163 525169 528173 531175
      532178 533179
 0.25 523871 522870 520871 520872 522872 523871
 0.25 500165 500160 499158 501154 502150 500148 496152 492152
      489150 488154 487159 486166 489171 492173 494169 496166
      500165
 0.25 464139 465137 465134 464133 463134 462134 460135 459136
      460138 462139 463139 464139
 0.25 455081 454074 452066 447057 440049 437044 435042 435037
      433031 429025 427019 425012 422000 420992 420982 418966
      420951 420947 419947 415951 409961 404974 402980 401986
      400996 403002 408014 402037 401041 399039 398032 398024
      396018 394010 394003 394996 394991 393981 391974 386961
      386955 388949 389942 391938 395925 398911 401896 402883
      402873 402865 401848 402841 402832 402824 400822 399823
      394822 391817 387815 383818 379823 374826 370831 367836
      363847 360854 359861 348912 346927 341942 336952 332955
      331958 332962 333969 334975 332980 330986 333991 338993
      345994 350997 354001 356006 356013 355018 349032 347038
      346048 344054 339058 337061 339066 341071 341080 340089
      340095 342097 345096 348091 351079 353071 352068 353063
      355057 360054 365050 370053 382056 388064 393066 397064
      403062 410063 415065 418068 422074 421082 421088 423096
      422098 419100 414099 410095 406096 405104 407110 412109
      416107 422105 425099 431098 437095 442094 443090 442084
      441077 445076 449080 453084 455081
 0.25 334058 332057 330056 328056 327057 328059 330059 332059
      334058 334058
 0.50 556853 556851 556849 555848 554847 553848 553849 551851
      550854 549857 549860 549863 550865 550867 552867 553865
      553864 554862 555861 556859 556856 556853
 0.50 443067 441062 440059 438057 435052 431047 428042 426039
      424042 420043 418045 418050 421056 425061 430064 436066
      441068 443067
 0.50 430092 430089 430088 428087 426088 426089 428091 429092
      430092
 0.50 410105 411103 409102 409103 409105 409106 410105
 0.50 413996 414994 414991 414989 414987 415984 415982 414980
      413982 412984 413987 413989 413991 413994 413996 413996
 0.50 401053 400052 399051 399050 397049 395048 394047 393048
      392048 391050 391052 392052 393055 395056 397056 398056
      400055 401053
 0.50 396899 396890 396882 396873 395871 393873 390877 385875
      392865 394858 393850 393846 391842 388840 386838 385834
      385829 384825 378832 371841 366851 364858 362864 361871
      359876 354888 352901 349915 347930 345942 344949 345956
      345963 343969 340974 337980 335985 339988 351991 358998
      360000 361005 360011 355023 351035 351038 353040 359040
      369036 371037 373041 373047 376051 383052 385047 386043
      386039 384032 386024 387009 389995 388991 387987 383983
      379979 379970 378963 379957 382944 386932 391920 396899
 1.00 385913 386904 382906 377909 373904 372900 372895 374887
      376882 378873 380867 381858 380852 378850 374848 371855
      367860 363866 362874 358888 357898 355905 353912 352920
      348934 348949 348959 346969 346976 348982 354986 360988
      367977 367972 365969 364966 364961 366953 369948 377937
      382926 385918 385913
 1.00 378008 378002 374003 371005 367009 365012 363016 361020
      361027 364028 368026 371023 374019 376015 377010 378008
 1.50 375866 374860 371860 367864 364869 361880 360894 358905
      355916 354930 351935 350943 350955 348969 349974 352978
      355983 359982 361976 361970 360964 361958 365948 371938
      372933 372925 371919 370911 369896 369888 370881 375866
 2.00 369876 369869 367867 366871 364876 362881 364885 365888
      363891 363896 366896 367891 365887 367882 368877 369876
 2.00 368936 368927 368918 367912 366904 362903 359910 357916
      357921 357927 357932 355934 353936 352940 351947 351956
      350963 350969 352976 355978 357974 358967 359959 361954
      366942 368936
 3.00 357954 357953 355953 355954 355956 355958 355960 355961
      356960 356958 357956 357955 357954


24HR QP VT 30/12Z
 0.01 528245 526245 523243 525233 527220 529207 531197 532186
      531180 530175 526169 524165 526161 528159 530160 534161
      540165 544166 548169
 0.01 566035 560029 554025 546017 543014 540016 531023 522028
      519031 520039 522052 525076 526084 527086 526091 523096
      520101 517107 513112 510113 508109 498084 495080 495074
      499065 503056 505048 504046 502048 487063 481064 477069
      473078 470082 471085 471088 468090 464091 460092 456093
      453091 451085 450079 449074 447068 441060 434067 427079
      424088 422093 417094 413096 413101 414104 417105 418107
      416109 412113 410114 409109 407103 400101 394108 385113
      385117 386122 389125 393126 402123 406121 410122 417123
      422122 428123 432123 435126 438131 440130 442125 445121
      447124 450126 452131 456140 459143 455147 451150 449157
      450164 449173 448182 448185 450188 456189 459186 462183
      466178 473175 477173 482175 486184 489189 491192 490196
      482202 476202 473202 471205 468208 464209 461205 458202
      456208 453211 450213 446214 439213 435214 427220 427226
      428233 428237 426241 422247 434257 446271 449275 449278
      447281 448294 450308 452315 455319 462322 466326 477331
      484334 486337 491339
 0.01 457625 462630 466639 474654 476666 479677 484688 484692
      483695 484702 485707 484711 484715 483720 479724 473735
      470739 464741 458746 456747 454750 450751 442757 439758
      438763 434770 432774 433780 433786 435790 441796 449816
      453823 454837 454850 454858 454863 455866 459877 459886
      458893 456904 455915 456929 453937 451946 448954 442971
      438978 435983 435989 433996 431999 424004 417010 414013
      412020 411024 413026 415032 421042 425051 427054 425058
      421058 417060 412066 406070 404072 402079 401082 398083
      394083 390085 387089 386089 384086 381083 378083 375084
      371084 366092 355095 350096 347100 344103 341099 337090
      335086 335079 332082 328081 327073 327059 327052 327040
      321036 318036 317038 316042 313055 310066 308075 306084
      312081 315083 317088 316090 313094 308104 305107 300105
      296102 294097 291087 289082 291077 295072 298063 302046
      304040 304034 306031 304027 296008 290999 284992 280984
      275974 264962 265958 266954 270945 277931 281926 282921
      282916 284912 289912 292911 293908 293902 292890 292884
      290879 292876 295874 300872 305871 311877 320881 325883
      332882 335883 340882 348877 355872 365861 369855 372846
      373842 373835 372829 371823 368826 366831 364836 361841
      358850 353857 348864 339865 334864 327864 322862 322855
      321841 322837 324831 338806 341798 347793 356790 363796
      365799 368799 371797 376792 378789 376766 378757 379753
      378746 372722 371717 373715 376712 380711 386705 388705
      390707 400723 402729 404735 405739 406747 407750 409749
      411746 413733 415723 415709 414701 412694 409680 408674
      410669 413658 415650 418638
 0.01 446092 446089 445087 444089 443090 443091 445093 446092
 0.01 347068 346067 344066 342066 341065 339065 337065 335067
      335069 335071 336073 338071 340071 342070 342069 344069
      346069 347068
 0.25 524261 520258 518255 513245 506227 501220 494212 487208
      482207 478207 474210 472213 468216 466218 467220 475221
      480226 474231 471234 468240 468246 470251 472256 470264
      469277 468291 469300 471305 474309 481315 486317 489320
      498326
 0.25 520189 519184 517180 514176 511173 507170 505169 503171
      503178 504182 507185 510189 513192 518194 520191 520189
 0.25 458222 458219 457218 456217 454217 453218 452220 453222
      455223 457223 458222
 0.25 441853 440836 435832 428826 422806 419801 415800 410799
      405801 398803 395811 390830 387838 384842 383846 376866
      373873 368878 362884 356889 350896 344901 336906 328909
      314914 306917 299921 294926 290937 289942 290949 290956
      288962 287970 288978 288981 289986 290990 293993 298994
      302992 307987 311985 317985 322985 328984 333986 341986
      343990 344992 347992 348993 347995 344998 341002 341008
      341015 342020 345027 341029 337027 331025 331030 333033
      339038 342047 343052 346056 354062 361066 365064 366061
      370054 378055 381057 384058 386056 389053 394054 396053
      397049 396044 394039 396034 402014 408001 412993 417984
      426971 432963 435957 436952 437943 436934 438922 433914
      432908 431901 432889 435875 437866 440860 441853
 0.50 519271 515267 512257 510250 507242 503236 497230 495228
      493226 492229 493233 496238 499244 501248 500253 496251
      491244 488238 484238 482241 480244 480249 481260 480271
      480282 487296 490303 494311 497315 503315
 0.50 489219 488217 487217 486217 487218 488219 489219
 0.50 434857 435852 434847 430843 425841 423838 419829 416819
      414816 411817 405825 401832 396847 392854 386859 382866
      379876 374884 369889 358899 353903 345908 340911 331914
      314920 301926 296931 295936 295942 297952 297963 297967
      295970 294974 294979 296986 301986 303985 308979 311977
      316976 326974 333976 342980 347987 350988 352985 355979
      366967 370966 373970 375972 374976 372981 369984 366993
      365009 363012 362017 360020 355022 350022 350028 348033
      344036 344041 345046 347052 352057 358060 360059 362055
      365052 369051 378049 380040 383028 388022 393017 395010
      398001 401991 419960 423955 424949 423944 422938 421925
      420913 419905 420899 422888 425880 431869 433863 434857
 1.00 423869 424863 423857 418854 416850 413845 408845 401853
      379885 366897 359903 350910 337921 325923 315927 307930
      304932 303937 306948 307954 306960 305966 306971 310971
      315969 328968 334967 337969 342975 346977 351976 365961
      373958 381953 386954 393955 399954 402952 400943 396943
      392946 389945 389943 391937 396927 403908 414889 423869
 1.50 417868 417865 414862 411860 406860 395872 391873 388875
      384882 379888 372894 362904 348914 345920 343923 339925
      330926 321929 317930 316933 315937 313939 308937 306941
      310947 312952 310957 309961 309967 326963 335963 339963
      343965 344970 348972 354967 377947 381941 385933 393917
      394913 395909 400903 405896 410889 414879 417868
 2.00 412880 412870 409867 405867 400873 394878 389881 383886
      378892 372896 367900 362905 357910 351914 343925 336929
      326929 321932 321939 322945 320949 315954 312959 310962
      311966 315964 318961 321960 327957 331956 334959 342961
      346963 346967 348969 350968 352966 357961 368952 377942
      384926 389912 398899 406891 409885 412880
 3.00 406885 406878 403878 393885 378897 370901 366905 364910
      361914 356916 352919 349923 342929 338932 336939 336945
      337953 340956 346957 352957 356959 363952 370945 375936
      379925 384915 389906 396898 401892 406885
 3.00 329945 328943 327944 326945 327947 328946 329945
 4.00 399887 395888 390891 385895 382900 380907 378911 380912
      382911 385906 389902 393897 397892 399887
 4.00 375927 375923 374921 370921 368923 364927 361929 358927
      355923 350925 343934 341938 341942 345941 349939 351938
      352941 350946 345948 340951 342952 346952 351950 355956
      364947 367944 371938 375927
 5.00 370934 370927 367927 365932 363936 359938 357941 356947
      358949 361947 364943 367941 369936 370934


$$





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