Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 182209
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
509 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 19/0000 UTC THRU FEB 22/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


...WESTERN U.S...

THE FAIRLY LOW LATITUDE UPPER LOW THAT BROUGHT VERY HEAVY RAINS TO
SRN CA WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EWD AND ELONGATE INTO AN OPEN TROF AS
IT MOVES THROUGH THE DESERT SW/CNTL ROCKIES REGION BY LATE SUN.
MODEL SPREAD REMAINS LOW WITH THE 12Z NAM AND GFS SLOWING DOWN
EVER SO SLIGHTLY WITH THE EWD PROGRESSION OF THE UPR TROF.  BROAD
BUT DEEP LAYERED SLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD A
SWATH OF MODERATE RAIN AND HIER ELEV SNOWS NWD THROUGH THE 4
CORNERS REGION INTO THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION WITH THE LATTER
GETTING AN ADDED BOAST FROM NRN STREAM S/WV ENERGY THAT WILL MOVE
ACRS THE PAC NW SAT NIGHT/SUN.   GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUPPORT
KEEPING THE REALLY DEEP PAC MSTR SUPPRESSED ACROSS BAJA AND WRN
MEX...BUT SUFFICIENT LOW TO MID LEVEL SLY FLOW COMBINED WITH
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WILL COMBINE TO SUPPORT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND
HIER ELEV SNOWS PARTICULARLY ACRS THE MOGOLLON RIM REGION OF CNTL
AZ AND THE SWD FACING SLOPES OF THE UINTA MTNS OF UT AND SAN JUANS
OF SW CO. FOR QPF DETAILS...STAYED REASONABLY CLOSE TO A BLEND OF
THE ARW/NMM ALONG WITH CONTINUITY TO BETTER CAPTURE TOPO DETAILS.

ACRS THE PAC NW...WITH PASSAGE OF UPR TROF ACRS SRN CA...EMPHASIS
WILL SHIFT BACK NWD TO THE PAC NW AND NW CA AS WAA PATTERN ENSUES
AHEAD OF A SERIES OF UPSTREAM S/WVS MOVING EWD TOWARD THE COAST.
THE LEAD SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PUSH AN OCCLUDED FRONT TOWARD THE
PAC NW COAST SAT NIGHT WITH THE SRN PORTION OF THE FRONT HANGING
UP OFF THE NRN/CNTL CA COAST AS THE NEXT IMPULSE APCHG 140W ALLOWS
A LOW LEVEL WLY JET TO INCREASE TOWARD THE NRN CA COAST BY THE END
OF THE PERIOD. TIMING..THE GFS/EC HAVE SHOWN REASONABLY GOOD
CONTINUITY WHILE THE NAM APPEARED TO BE SOMEWHAT OF A FASTER
OUTLIER. AS A RESULT...WE TENDED TO LEAN MORE TOWARD SYNOPTIC
TIMING OF THE GFS/EC WHILE INCORPORATING WRF ARW/NMM FOR BETTER
TOPO DETAILS. WHILE MDTLY HEAVY PCPN AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY FROM THE
CASCADES/WA COASTAL RANGES SWD INTO NRN CA NORTH OF
SFO...INCLUDING THE NRN SIERRA...THE MORE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED AFTER THIS PERIOD. SEE QPFHSD FOR DETAILS ON WINTER
WEATHER.


...SRN PLAINS...
WITH THE APCH OF SRN STREAM HEIGHT FALLS IN THE WEST AND INCREASE
IN MSTR FROM THE WRN GULF INTO THE SRN PLAINS...SHWRS ARE EXPECTED
TO INCREASE FROM SRN TX NWD INTO OK ON SUN...MAINLY IN THE
AFTN/EVE. INSTABILITY IS FCST TO INCREASE ESPECIALLY ACRS NCNTL TX
INTO OK NEAR THE RED RIVER. IT WOULD APPEAR THE TIMING FOR BETTER
STORM DVLPMENT WOULD OCCUR AFTER 00Z GIVEN THE SLIGHTLY SLOWER EWD
TREND OF THE UPR TROF AND THUS HAVE TRIMMED BACK AMOUNTS SLIGHTLY
FROM CONTINUITY.


...SOUTHEASTERN U.S/CNTL APLCNS...

WEAKENING CLOSED LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACRS THE TN VALLEY/CNTL
APLCNS REGION SAT NIGHT AND OFF THE SRN MID ATLC COAST BY SUN AS
AN OPEN WAVE. SCATTERED CONVECTION IS LIKELY EARLY IN THE PERIOD
ACRS PORTIONS OF SRN GA INTO FL BEFORE DRIER NWLY FLOW ENSUES ON
SUN. HI RES GUIDANCE SHOWS LARGE SPREAD IN AMOUNTS WITH THE WRF
ARW QUITE DRY AND THE HI RES NAM CONSIDERABLY WETTER. THE
EXPERIMENTAL HI RES NAM IS CONSIDERABLY DRIER BUT DOES SUGGEST
SOME SPOTTY .25"+ AMOUNTS COULD OCCUR THIS EVENING ACRS SRN GA/NRN
FL AS A VORT MAX ALONG THE BASE OF THE TROF MOVES THROUGH.
HOWEVER...MOST OF THE HI RES GUIDANCE HAS BEEN TOO SLOW WITH LEAD
CONVECTIVE LINE...SO WE HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE DRIER AMOUNTS AFTE
00Z.

...NORTHEASTERN U.S...

NRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH CLIPPING NRN NEW ENGLAND AND LEADING
WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN SHOULD BE ABLE TO SQUEEZE OUT SOME
LIGHT WINTRY PCPN FROM NRN NY ACROSS VT/NH/MAINE DESPITE LIMITED
MOISTURE.


DAYS 2 AND 3...


...WESTERN UNITED STATES...

AN ACTIVE PERIOD WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WEST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY AS ANOTHER ATMOSPHERIC RIVER APPROACHES THE COAST. THIS
TIME AROUND EXPECT THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION TO BE FOCUSED FROM
CENTRAL CA NORTH INTO SOUTHWEST OR. BOTH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
AND INTEGRATED MOISTURE FLUX ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT OR ABOVE THE
99TH PERCENTILE WITHIN THIS ATMOSPHERIC RIVER. WHAT MAKES THIS
EVENT STAND OUT EVEN MORE IS THE EXPECTED LONG DURATION DURING
WHICH THIS ANOMALIES DO NOT MOVE MUCH. THEY STAY FOCUSED FROM THE
CENTRAL CA COAST NEAR SFO EAST INTO THE SIERRAS FOR ABOUT A FULL
24 HOUR PERIOD. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL FROM
AROUND SAN FRANCISCO INTO THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE SIERRAS BELOW
SNOW LEVELS. A WIDESPREAD 2-4" IS EXPECTED IN THE 48 HOUR PERIOD
ENDING 12Z TUE...WITH AS MUCH AS 5-9" ACROSS THE FAVORED TERRAIN.
GIVEN THE EXPECTED PROLONGED PERIOD OF STEADY TO AT TIMES HEAVY
RAINFALL...AND THE WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS...WIDESPREAD
HYDROLOGICAL CONCERNS ARE LIKELY. EXPECT TO SEE RISING WATER
LEVELS AND FLOODING CONCERNS ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS...ALONG
WITH AN INCREASED RISK OF MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN. FOR THESE
REASONS...AFTER COLLABORATION WITH THE LOCAL FORECAST
OFFICE...WENT AHEAD AND UPGRADED OUR DAY 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
OUTLOOK (12Z MON-12Z TUE) TO A MODERATE RISK FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL CA. SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARDS TO THE EXACT AXIS OF
HEAVIEST TOTALS...WITH SOME OF OUR GUIDANCE SUGGESTING FROM JUST
NORTH OF SFO INTO THE SIERRAS...AND OTHERS FROM THE SANTA CRUZ
MOUNTAINS NORTHEASTWARD. WPC DID HEDGE A BIT TOWARDS THE FURTHER
SOUTH SOLUTIONS GIVEN RECENT TRENDS...BUT NOT REAL CONFIDENT. THUS
WHILE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ON A HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT...EXACTLY WHERE
THE WORST ENDS UP REMAINS UNCERTAIN. WILL CONTINUE TO FINE TUNE
OUR QPF AND MODERATE RISK AREA AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE EVENT.

FURTHER NORTH ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST SHORTWAVE ENERGY AND AN
APPROACHING LOW WILL BRING DECENT QPF TOTALS ASHORE. ALTHOUGH NOT
EXPECTING AMOUNTS TO BE A SIGNIFICANT AS FURTHER SOUTH. GENERALLY
FOLLOWED A MULTI MODEL BLEND FOR QPF ACROSS THIS REGION.


...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY....

AN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTHWEST TOWARDS THE PLAINS
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. INCREASING MOISTURE AND FORCING AHEAD OF
THIS FEATURE WILL RESULT IN INCREASING CONVECTIVE CHANCES BY
SUNDAY EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL TX...SHIFTING EAST INTO THE LOWER MS
VALLEY BY LATER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. WELL ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE
FLUX AND PWATS WITH THIS SYSTEM SUPPORT A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT
WITH ANY CONVECTION. ORIGINALLY THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE
PRETTY PROGRESSIVE...BUT AS THE DEEP TROUGH TRIES TO CUT OFF OVER
SOUTH TEXAS AND THE WESTERN GULF...WE MAY SEE THE POTENTIAL
INCREASE FOR SLOW MOVING CONVECTION AND A POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD
THREAT.

MODEL SPREAD REMAINS HIGH WITH THIS SYSTEM. THERE IS ALWAYS A GOOD
DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARDS TO CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION WITH
SYSTEMS SUCH AS THIS...SO WHEN YOU ADD IN SYNOPTIC SCALE
DIFFERENCES AS WELL...CONFIDENCE IN THE EXACT QPF FORECAST
DECREASES EVEN MORE. SO WHILE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...PRETTY LOW CONFIDENCE ON THE EXACT DETAILS AND WITH
REGARDS TO WHETHER A MORE ORGANIZED FLASH FLOOD RISK ENDS UP
DEVELOPING OR NOT. OVERALL THOUGHT THE 0Z ECMWF WAS AN
OUTLIER...PUSHING THE DEEP TROUGH EASTWARD TOO QUICKLY. RECENT
TRENDS SHOW A PRETTY GOOD SIGNAL FOR MORE OF THE ENERGY WITHIN THE
TROUGH SHEARING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST...WHICH ALLOWS ENERGY AT THE
BASE OF THE TOUGH TO BECOME MORE CUTOFF FROM THE FLOW AND THUS
PUSH EAST MORE SLOWLY. ON THE OTHER HAND THOUGHT THE 12Z UKMET
REPRESENTED A SLOW EXTREME...AND WHILE NOT IMPOSSIBLE..SEEMS LESS
LIKELY AT THIS TIME. THUS THOUGHT THE 12Z GFS AND 06Z/12Z GEFS
MEAN BEST REPRESENTED THE MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION AT THIS
TIME..THUS TRENDED WPC QPF TOWARDS THOSE SOLUTION OF NOW. THE LATE
ARRIVING 12Z ECMWF DID INDEED TREND CLOSER TO THE
GFS/GEFS...ADDING SOME CONFIDENCE TO OUR CHOICE.

THE CURRENT EXPECTATION IS THAT CONVECTION WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE OVER EAST CENTRAL TX AFTER 0Z MONDAY...MOVING INTO EAST
TX THROUGH THE NIGHT. FAVORED A CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION CLOSE TO THE
HIGH RES ARW AND NMMB THOUGH 12Z MON...WHICH KEEPS THE HEAVIEST
AMOUNTS ALONG THE COAST OF TX. AFTER 12Z MONDAY THE CONVECTIVE
PROGRESSION MAY TEND TO SLOW DOWN AS  THE SHORTWAVE ENERGY CLOSES
OFF AND SINKS INTO THE GULF. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE POSSIBILITY
OF SOME TRAINING CONVECTION FROM SOUTHEAST TX INTO LA. ALTHOUGH AT
SOME POINT OUTFLOW MAY PUSH THE INSTABILITY OFFSHORE...WHICH WOULD
CUT OFF THE HIGHER AMOUNTS INLAND. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY AND HIGH
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE...WILL CONTINUE WITH JUST A MARGINAL RISK FOR
NOW. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR TRENDS...AS THE SETUP COULD POSSIBLY
RESULT IN SOME ENHANCED TRAINING OVER SOUTHEAST TX AND SOUTHWEST
LA...WHICH COULD REQUIRE AND UPGRADE TO A SLIGHT RISK. BUT
CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW ON THE OVERALL EVOLUTION AT THIS TIME.

...UPPER MS VALLEY TO THE GREAT LAKES...

THE GENERAL TREND HAS BEEN TO SEPARATE THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN
STREAMS A BIT MORE AS THE DEEP TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE PLAINS ON
MONDAY. THIS RESULTS IN A QUICKER PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT AND
PRECIPITATION FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES. THE
0Z ECMWF (AS MENTIONED IN THE SECTION ABOVE) WAS AN OUTLIER IN HOW
IT HANDLES THIS TROUGH. WPC QPF THUS ENDS UP CLOSER TO THE
GFS/GEFS MEAN AND GEM...WHICH ALL FAVORED A QUICKER PROGRESSION
AND WERE A BETTER MATCH TO CURRENT TRENDS. THE 12Z ECMWF DID
INDEED COME IN QUICKER AND MORE IN LINE WITH OUR PREFERENCE. A BIT
OF INSTABILITY MAY TRY TO ADVECT NORTH AHEAD OF THE FRONT WHICH
COULD LOCALLY ENHANCE RAINFALL RATES. HOWEVER AT THIS TIME WITH
THE QUICK FRONTAL PROGRESSION AND LOW END INSTABILITY...THINK THE
CHANCE OF REACHING FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE (1" IN AN HOUR) IS LOW.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

SULLIVAN/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 536215 535200 535194 534189 530178 526168 519157 511150
      495138 488133 480127 473123 470117 470110 472103 471092
      473088 471090 464094 457100 451094 447092 444092 434093
      429090 427087 424090 424093 422094 421092 412087 410085
      410082 414078 417076 418071 418059 416057 411056 405055
      400053 391051 386049 382050 365046 360046 356048 354054
      351056 347059 342058 331054 326051 322048 316047 311049
      307051 308055 308060 310066 312070 310074 304074 295072
      286068 277063 274060 277057 291052 299047 300044 297042
      286041 282042 276042 253036 250035 252033 255029 261021
      265013 269007 274003 282999 286998 289001 293009 298015
      307019 311022 315021 319019 322016 325013 327009 331006
      336004 356014 360012 366012 376009 386009 391009 394007
      396005 396000 392997 386997 380992 374986 364974 357967
      351961 344958 338956 333956 327957 320958 314958 309960
      287963 280967 273972 268976 260979 257981 252982 245985
      237989 232995 231005 232015 235024 239032 233033 229036
      228043 228049 232060 238067 249079 252085 256092 258096
      261097 270102 281113 287120 290121 296122 299126 299132
      295136 292138 287141 288146 293156 310167 326173 331173
      335175 339182 342184 344182 344171 344167 344160 346158
      349158 351159 353157 356156 360155 365155 369158 371163
      377164 386164 391163 397164 402168 404170 405175 403181
      399182 396186 397192 401193 405189 409187 411191 408195
      405197 395195 385193 378188 367180 364182 358181 353181
      350184 347187 346193 349194 353191 358191 363194 372202
      375205 378210 373211 368211 353215 349216 346218 340223
      335230 331239 332248 333253 336257 343263 350267
 0.01 350267 355271 360272 362271 372269 383265 385264 388265
      392268 397272 405274 411276 416276 423278 430279 436280
      441279 446279 450280 452282 456282 461283 468283 472278
      477269 479264 481262 487260 491259 495255 499253 501248
      502244 506229 509227 506219 504212 507203 511202 516205
      524212 527215 531218 536215
 0.01 505782 504763 503758 502755 501745 497711 496703 494696
      491689 489681 486665 483651 480646 476645 472639 468636
      463638 460641 457645 456650 455653 455657 456666 457676
      456683 452692 449698 446702 440711 437716 439723 437728
      434730 436734 438737 437741 435741 434745 430749 429751
      430755 434759 439758 440755 443754 448746 452736 458724
      462721 465722 466725 465731 465740 461751 460758 462765
      463772 465777 468789 472803 478815 483824 489831 492835
      497835 501831 504824 505816 504810 504803 502799 502795
      505782
 0.01 446075 445072 443070 443072 445072 446075 446075
 0.01 397800 394783 392777 391769 387770 382774 381778 382782
      382786 377798 372808 358825 353830 351837 350842 352846
      356852 360856 362856 365859 364867 364874 363882 363890
      365894 369896 372890 376877 377871 380864 386854 388848
      390840 392826 397800
 0.01 365706 364696 362686 361682 358678 355676 352677 340683
      331690 321698 309708 292723 269741 262749 254758 248768
      243775 240781 238792 243805 239811 238813 239817 241817
      244815 247812 249813 252819 254820 258820 262817 266813
      268811 271811 273820 268826 262830 256832 252835 249841
      252845 277838 282841 287842 295841 301842 306847 309852
      312854 315853 323850 327846 330842 333828 331821 330811
      331802 333792 337781 342768 348757 353751 356744 359732
      363718 365706
 0.25 517185 519181 520177 518172 514168 512163 507160 504155
      499152 495151 493153 489154 484152 480152 476154 472153
      466149 462150 458152 454153 450150 446146 444140 443135
      445129 449120 450112 447107 444105 435102 433097 430094
      427094 429099 431105 427109 423112 418113 414111 412106
      410097 407094 402094 399094 396092 393089 391085 386084
      383080 382074 380068 379066 375066 372065 370067 369072
      367086 364088 360088 357087 354082 350081 347082 343083
      339081 335079 329078 327079 325082 325086 323092 317092
      310092 305086 299081 290077 282072 273068 267067 261068
      263074 266078 271085 277090 290098 296101 298104 300108
      303112 305116 307123 312132 328133 347138 366136 373138
      379135 386129 384126 382122 388123 396124 400126 405127
      415126 420128 424131 427134 429136 430140 430147 431154
      443183 445188 450189 457185 470172 474173 476178 481184
      485188 489190 497188 508184 517185
 0.25 505163 503162 502161 500160 498160 497161 496161 496164
      496166 498167 499167 501166 502165 503165 505163 505163
 0.25 497229 496222 494217 490212 483209 478209 474211 470211
      465210 445213 441214 437215 434216 430214 421216 419209
      415209 408208 398204 388199 381197 380200 392214 395217
      395222 390223 383222 374222 366223 361224 356227 353231
      350237 350241 351246 353251 356254 360257 366258 371257
      376254 383249 386247 391248 398254 403257 408258 417257
      428260 438261 448258 456257 462251 470247 474242 473235
      471231 470228 472225 475222 479220 484220 488221 490224
      493228 497229
 0.25 483715 483713 483710 481708 480708 479709 479711 479714
      480716 481717 482717 483715
 0.25 393078 393075 393073 393071 392070 391068 391067 389067
      388068 388070 389072 390075 390076 391077 392079 393078
 0.25 362119 363114 362111 359110 355109 353108 351106 350103
      349101 347103 346103 349106 351108 352110 353114 356115
      358117 359119 362119
 0.25 419221 418220 418222 419221
 0.25 366054 365054 363054 365055 366054
 0.25 348729 348724 348719 342715 336715 328717 322720 314724
      304730 294740 286749 283754 277759 270768 267774 266777
      266781 265788 262794 264799 270803 275803 279799 285796
      288795 291796 294800 296803 300804 306801 311799 315798
      323791 331779 337769 344756 346750 346743 347734 348729
 0.25 329168 329166 328165 327165 325164 323165 325167 326168
      328168 329168
 0.25 342982 342980 341978 340978 339978 338978 337978 335978
      334978 332978 330979 329980 330982 332984 333984 335985
      337985 339984 341984 342982
 0.25 250062 251059 250056 246055 245052 243050 241048 240047
      236047 237051 238053 240056 241058 243060 246062 248063
      250062
 0.25 411068 410067 408066 407066 405067 404067 405068 406069
      408069 410069 411068
 0.25 361056 361055 361056 361056
 0.50 463238 463236 462234 460234 459234 457234 455234 453235
      453236 453238 454240 456240 458241 459240 460240 461239
      463239 463238
 0.50 463226 465224 465221 464219 463217 461216 459216 458217
      457218 456219 456221 457223 458224 458225 460226 461226
      463226 463226
 0.50 448241 449236 446234 443233 440234 437235 436236 433237
      432241 434243 436245 439246 441247 444246 446243 448241
 0.50 452171 453166 452161 451159 449157 446155 445154 441154
      439156 439161 440163 441166 445169 447170 449171 452171
 0.50 434225 434224 433222 432222 431221 430221 429222 427223
      427225 428227 430227 432227 434225 434225
 0.50 444123 445121 445118 445116 445115 445113 443112 442111
      440111 438111 437112 436112 436114 436116 436117 438119
      439119 441119 443120 443123 444124 444123
 0.50 426244 424239 418236 415233 413229 415221 413217 411216
      406213 402209 393204 390204 392209 395213 400217 403220
      403226 400228 394228 385225 368232 362231 358235 356240
      356246 359251 362252 364252 371245 374241 379238 387237
      392239 397243 401246 406245 410242 415241 424244 426244
 0.50 438148 439146 439144 439143 438141 437140 436140 435141
      437143 436145 435148 436150 438149 438148
 0.50 409110 409108 410105 410103 409102 409100 408099 406099
      405100 404102 404103 403104 402106 402108 401109 401111
      401112 402113 403114 405115 406115 407114 408112 408111
      409110
 0.50 378083 379080 379078 379076 378074 378072 377071 376071
      374072 374073 373075 373077 373080 374082 375084 377083
      378083
 0.50 353122 353118 351115 349112 345107 343103 340092 338087
      336083 332082 329083 330088 331095 330101 327111 328117
      330122 331128 335130 344131 347132 349130 350126 353122
 0.50 343748 342743 342737 342731 339729 333728 329726 324727
      320728 310732 303738 297746 291753 290758 289764 283769
      281774 280780 283782 288782 294780 299783 299789 301793
      311790 314787 316784 321778 325780 328778 338762 342755
      343748
 0.50 339982 337981 335981 334982 335983 337983 339982
 0.50 299088 297086 295085 294084 292083 290083 289083 289085
      290086 291087 292088 293088 295089 297089 299088 299088
 0.50 288083 287081 287080 285078 283078 281076 280075 278076
      276076 274077 273077 274078 274079 276080 277081 279082
      281083 283083 284083 286083 288083
 0.50 279790 278790 276789 274787 272786 270786 270787 269788
      268790 268792 268794 269796 270797 270798 271799 272800
      273799 274799 274797 275796 276795 277793 278792 278791
      279790
 1.00 346116 347114 346113 344111 342110 340111 339110 338111
      337113 337115 338117 339119 338122 339123 339124 341125
      342125 343124 343122 343120 344118 345117 346116
 1.00 328744 327740 323737 320736 316738 313743 312747 312751
      311756 312760 316763 319760 322756 324754 327749 328745
      328744

24HR QP VT 21/00Z
 0.01 567983 565970 565960 563952 560925 558918 558911 554894
      554887 552880 550879 546879 536880 530880 529878 525878
      506879 464878 445877 437881 432883 428885 408891 400895
      392897 372906 367907 363909 356912 351914 345914 333912
      313909 303908 293905 282904 273904 251909 242911 235915
      229926 229930 230937 231944 235954 240959 242961 240964
      237969 239976 240977 239980 235985 234990 236995 240998
      244000 255003 262003 268002 273001 279001 283005 285008
      281009 276011 273014 272018 272025 272028 274029 284032
      289031 292028 295023 297019 300013 301011 304009 313004
      317001 320999 324000 331001 341002 346003 350001 355999
      361998 367997 374997 383993 387990 391986 395984 398984
      404984 412985 419984 433981 436983 436987 438994 438998
      436002 432005 428007 424006 420017 410024 400028 397033
      396034 398037 401037 405040 405043 402046 396051 391054
      386054 368050 362051 357053 350063 355069 357072 357076
      354084 353090 351095 355098 359100 368099 372101 379102
      382102 384104 387099 389093 392092 396092 403094 406099
      406102 403105 400108 397109 394110 394114 392114 385118
      381120 381124 383124 388124 393121 397118 399116 403117
      409123 408133 407138 406140 400145 390143 388143 386141
      381139 377135 376130 375129 373132 372135 371144 373147
      376148 379154 382159 383163 381165 378172 372175 366175
      358175 351180 346181 345176 343170 341169 339168 339170
      340173 338176 331184 328190 329195 331198 330201 327207
      327211 328214 330222 334230 330242 330245 332250 337261
      344264 343273 361286 371294 377293 380287 383283 387280
      396273 399273 401275 405279 409285 414287 426289 439291
      446293 449294 450291 454287 458283 465274 470269
 0.01 470269 477272 481275 492284 503291 509286 516278 518271
      520268 521261 521255 519247 516237 514229 513223 514216
      516213 520213 525217 530218 532219 533218 536209 536196
      534187 532179 527166 521159 514152 512155 509154 504150
      497143 489134 486131 480128 475126 472122 474116 477112
      483113 486111 488104 484095 481087 478081 476076 474073
      478072 481070 484065 488053 490049 493049 499054 506060
      514069 518070 523074 529075 537075 541075 544071 547066
      551064 551053 553045 553039 555034 555023 560010 563996
      567983
 0.01 463693 459687 456690 455694 456700 451704 445708 440711
      438719 440721 439726 436732 440733 440738 439741 435746
      434749 436753 440755 445750 448744 451728 454721 455715
      462701 463693
 0.01 472096 469093 466093 463095 462099 460104 456110 453115
      452120 452124 453127 456129 461126 462119 464114 464109
      466107 466102 470098 472096
 0.01 470071 469068 467065 466063 464065 465067 466068 467070
      469073 470071
 0.01 460096 460089 461085 459082 456079 451080 447082 444082
      441079 441074 445065 447060 448059 447056 444058 439057
      435055 432059 426066 422074 416081 411085 409091 408099
      410104 414105 422101 425097 424093 423090 425087 429086
      433092 442093 450092 455098 458098 460096
 0.01 431195 431193 431188 430185 429182 428178 424179 425184
      427186 429187 427187 425189 424193 425195 429197 431195
 0.01 381067 381063 381059 379058 375056 374054 371055 369057
      370060 372062 375064 376067 377069 379069 381067
 0.01 333116 333110 330105 327100 324093 325085 323083 319088
      318095 319098 319101 321106 322110 324111 329116 331118
      333116
 0.01 263757 263753 261750 260747 257746 242748 234750 231752
      231754 231760 233766 237773 241777 244783 247790 246795
      248799 250802 252803 254801 254796 258791 261786 259783
      257778 257773 259766 263757
 0.25 544982 544971 540965 533961 527958 522957 517958 511962
      509967 509975 508978 504979 496982 490986 489990 485993
      482000 481006 483012 486014 490014 506013 511012 514009
      518003 520999 524998 531000 535000 538997 542990 544982
 0.25 502251 505241 505231 504223 502218 500214 497209 496202
      494195 491193 481198 470206 466207 460205 454201 451201
      449202 445208 440211 435213 428210 423207 420205 417205
      414199 411195 410192 409186 411177 411171 408169 402172
      398174 396175 395179 395186 391189 385189 381185 375181
      366179 361179 355182 353184 354189 354195 353197 350197
      347191 345188 342188 338195 344220 347232 349239 347251
      347254 350257 353261 358264 361269 364275 369277 373273
      376267 378265 387259 391257 397255 404257 410261 416265
      424269 436269 441269 445265 454260 460260 468258 479257
      483257 489260 493263 497264 499262 502251
 0.25 511944 511936 510932 505922 500915 495909 490903 483897
      475895 471897 469900 468905 466908 463905 461899 460894
      457892 449891 442894 433899 421907 416914 410922 407930
      407932 410935 417938 421940 427940 442936 446937 448940
      453950 455954 459956 466957 470957 472952 472949 468946
      467942 466939 467935 467926 472922 475919 481919 486924
      487937 484942 484946 485952 488956 491958 495958 502956
      511944
 0.25 468157 468155 467152 467149 466147 464147 464149 463151
      463154 463156 463158 463159 465160 466159 466158 468157
 0.25 459182 460180 459178 457177 454179 452178 453173 453164
      453159 451156 448151 442142 439135 436131 431132 428137
      429145 431149 435156 439160 442166 442172 443176 441180
      441183 442186 452190 459182
 0.25 447116 448109 446104 444101 439099 434098 432104 430109
      431113 434115 436115 440115 441118 444120 446118 447116
 0.25 427218 428216 426215 424216 423217 422218 421219 420221
      422223 423222 424221 425220 426219 427218
 0.25 431094 430092 429092 428090 427091 428093 429094 429095
      431095 431094
 0.25 402074 399071 398071 397067 398062 396060 395059 393061
      391066 390068 390072 392075 394076 397077 401076 402074
 0.25 379974 378969 375966 373965 373961 373956 372950 374946
      377943 378938 372931 368928 363926 359925 354925 351926
      346926 336926 325923 315923 306922 304922 299920 289918
      282922 277927 270933 262939 257945 255948 254954 252958
      250961 249967 252972 254980 248985 246988 248991 260993
      279992 290992 295991 296993 293996 293000 298002 306997
      309993 312988 320985 330984 339982 344981 350982 354984
      360983 368982 375979 379974
 0.25 369070 370068 369067 369066 368063 366065 364067 363067
      364068 364070 365072 365073 367073 368072 369071 369070
 0.50 499227 499224 498221 497219 495219 493220 493222 493225
      494226 495228 497229 498229 499229 499227
 0.50 479243 480235 479229 469227 468213 465210 462211 457213
      453213 443217 427223 426229 422229 417226 418216 417212
      412209 407202 403198 402193 400191 397191 391192 385190
      381188 374182 367181 362180 357182 356186 357189 360192
      360199 359201 356202 351201 347196 344195 342200 344206
      348214 351223 355231 355239 353248 353255 356257 364263
      370264 374262 377257 381253 388248 396246 406248 411250
      417254 422255 425256 431257 434257 443253 454252 462251
      469247 476246 479243
 0.50 459908 458906 457904 455903 453902 451901 450901 448902
      447904 446906 445908 446911 448911 450911 452911 453911
      455911 457911 458910 459908
 0.50 361941 361936 359933 353929 346931 339931 324927 308928
      300927 291926 285927 279931 269940 265944 261949 259955
      253961 252966 257969 262974 263977 261980 256984 256988
      259989 265991 274990 288987 295987 303984 308980 313977
      320977 329979 343977 349975 357972 359969 357964 355963
      354959 356956 358953 357949 361941
 1.00 477235 476233 474234 473237 474237 476236 477235 477235
 1.00 432246 433242 431240 429237 425234 415229 416219 415215
      413214 408212 406207 401202 396197 385193 373184 368182
      363182 359183 358185 364190 367194 370199 373205 372209
      368210 363211 359210 355209 354211 356219 359230 363245
      366250 370250 378237 382236 387235 391235 395236 400242
      403243 405243 408242 411243 417246 425248 430248 432246
 1.00 409232 408230 406227 405224 404220 401220 397219 395219
      392220 390220 391223 393225 394227 397229 401230 402231
      406233 409232
 1.00 347969 345965 336964 332962 337961 341956 344950 344942
      339939 334938 327935 323932 317931 312933 308934 303934
      298932 294933 288935 282939 276947 274952 268956 263964
      279972 283970 291969 302968 308969 313966 323961 327961
      329962 327970 328974 331975 337974 344971 347969
 1.00 299981 300977 298975 295973 292973 288974 286975 284978
      284981 285983 288984 292985 295983 297982 299981
 1.00 272984 272983 270983 268983 266984 264984 262986 264987
      266987 268987 270987 271986 272986 272984
 1.50 428243 428240 425237 422236 420235 416234 414234 412235
      413238 415241 417242 420244 423245 426244 428243
 1.50 415222 415218 413217 409216 407214 406210 403206 399202
      394198 388196 385194 375187 372185 366183 361184 360186
      363188 370194 376203 378208 376212 366215 362212 357212
      361223 364234 366238 369239 372237 375232 378231 383231
      388227 388224 386222 386217 391216 398218 402218 406221
      407226 411228 415222
 1.50 404238 403237 401237 403239 404238
 1.50 338969 337969 335969 337970 338969
 1.50 334949 334945 329944 324941 320939 318936 314935 307939
      304939 301937 299935 297936 292939 291944 288946 282949
      271958 272962 274966 277967 281967 289966 296963 312961
      327956 332953 334949
 1.50 296979 295977 294978 292978 291979 290980 289981 289983
      290983 292983 294981 295980 296979
 2.00 426242 424240 424239 423238 421238 420240 421241 422242
      424242 426242
 2.00 413224 414222 413219 412218 410218 409218 408219 407220
      407222 408225 409226 410226 411226 412224 413224
 2.00 405215 404211 402207 396201 388197 381193 375188 371186
      368185 366187 368189 372195 378202 380205 380210 379212
      375214 369216 365217 362213 359215 361218 363222 364227
      368233 374230 381227 383223 384216 386214 391214 401217
      405215
 2.00 325952 323946 319944 314941 312941 299942 295941 295944
      294946 285951 280953 278958 280964 285965 290963 294961
      299959 305958 316956 321955 325952 325952
 3.00 401214 399206 395203 389200 383198 379194 374190 370188
      373193 378196 382202 384207 390209 394213 398215 401214
 3.00 379222 379220 379219 378217 376216 374217 372217 370217
      369219 368221 368224 369226 371226 372227 374227 376226
      378224 378222 379222
 3.00 303949 303946 299946 296947 294949 292949 289952 287954
      286956 288957 292957 296956 298956 301954 303952 303949
 4.00 398213 399211 399209 398208 397206 396205 394204 392204
      390204 389203 387203 389204 390205 391206 392207 393208
      394209 395210 396212 398213 398213
 4.00 376223 376221 375219 374219 372219 371220 370222 371224
      372225 373225 374225 376223

24HR QP VT 22/00Z
 0.01 548006 548995 547990 547984 547974 547968 546964 546950
      546944 545941 544920 543902 541884 540872 539862 537845
      534835 532827 529812 528801 527791 524791 522789 519779
      517771 515761 513754 512742 510735 509727 507720 506717
      504717 448731 433734 427736 423738 401748 396753 393759
      387769 379782 377787 373794 367804 362814 359819 356825
      351833 350836 346840 343843 338847 332850 328854 322857
      317861 308862 293864 286864 282865 279866 273867 270867
      268869 265880 263886 260893 258890 254890 252888 253902
      246911 240919 237924 235926 235929 236942 237960 237968
      236976 238983 240987 240992 245004 247006 247010 249008
      253994 255989 259984 265978 276971 288968 294966 301963
      312956 321951 327948 335948 342947 347946 359945 366943
      372943 385939 391938 396936 400936 406934 412933 416931
      420931 425929 432928 439928 445928 450930 462930 466930
      470932 474937 481947 487957 491963 494967 497970 513986
      529997 540003 545006 548006
 0.01 531200 532194 531189 531183 531176 530170 523163 514155
      499140 497136 497129 497115 497112 497108 497099 498084
      497080 497075 497067 496059 497049 496044 496035 495029
      492024 489022 486017 483017 481022 481029 480033 479037
      478043 475046 471051 469055 470063 470073 472084 472092
      471102 470105 467104 464101 457096 449090 445090 440089
      434089 428085 423085 419089 416093 415098 413105 409101
      406100 403104 399111 398113 399115 403117 409126 410138
      407142 402145 395152 394158 393162 392164 388166 385170
      388178 390183 386184 383183 379180 374177 369175 364171
      361171 356173 354177 354189 353195 349194 346185 344186
      341192 338195 335200 329225 321241 337250 347256 352258
      357261 377272 413293 418295 422296 430292 439288 443284
      447283 462275 470271 476268 492258 497255 502254 510252
      513250 512246 510234 512226 515221 521216 531200
 0.01 465196 465194 464192 463193 462194 461195 460198 462200
      463198 464198 465196
 0.01 308985 304981 295981 290981 288982 283982 281984 276984
      273986 268988 268992 271995 273997 277997 286998 291998
      293996 299994 304990 308985
 0.25 521197 522195 521193 520191 519191 518190 517190 515189
      515190 514192 515193 516195 517195 518197 519198 521197
      521197
 0.25 510186 510177 507171 502162 498158 495152 494145 491140
      488135 484132 474128 461136 456139 452140 448141 444138
      442132 438129 439126 441125 446123 449119 451113 452105
      453099 450095 445095 436093 433091 429088 426088 424090
      424095 425101 422104 415115 415120 417125 424134 428142
      431149 436161 438167 442170 444172 445175 444180 438190
      431197 429196 427189 424187 422183 417180 412179 408183
      404187 401191 396192 390191 384189 374182 369179 364179
      359180 357185 358189 361193 366200 368205 367208 357204
      345200 341201 342208 354223 355228 357232 367236 374238
      378241 382244 385250 387255 390258 398260 403260 412259
      422257 439257 455246 460244 465244 474246 479246 482245
      485240 486235 496233 500232 501229 501225 504218 504211
      500207 496204 485204 476209 472211 467212 460213 449213
      445211 443208 446203 449199 455190 470174 474173 478172
      486179 494186 498190 502192 507190 510186
 0.25 516884 517873 516863 515854 512847 506840 502835 501831
      502827 505821 506817 505813 503804 500797 498794 501787
      504782 504779 499775 495773 483771 473770 461771 447774
      439775 433778 429781 427785 423789 418792 413795 409800
      409803 411805 416809 419814 421821 422827 422831 425836
      422841 413850 398860 394864 391870 385881 383886 379888
      377894 383894 395891 398890 399891 400895 406902 408905
      412904 417902 422900 429899 444897 450897 455896 465892
      475897 481899 488899 494897 499897 506897 511895 515890
      516884
 0.25 415160 414158 413156 411157 411158 410159 409161 410163
      412163 413162 414162 415160
 0.25 337913 338908 337903 331900 323894 317891 309890 302892
      297895 271897 260904 254913 247924 246937 246956 247962
      251966 256969 261966 266962 270959 282954 293949 300948
      307946 316940 328934 332931 333924 337913
 0.50 495223 496218 496214 492212 486210 480211 475214 474219
      476223 476227 475230 476232 477235 482229 485227 491227
      495223
 0.50 486138 485138 484136 484135 482134 481134 479134 477134
      476136 477138 479139 480140 481140 482140 483140 484140
      485140 486138
 0.50 479162 478157 476152 471147 466146 463146 459155 460160
      458165 455164 455159 455154 453149 449147 445147 441144
      439140 437136 435136 433140 433145 436153 440162 447166
      450175 451179 448182 448185 451184 457181 462174 467170
      479162
 0.50 488864 487858 485853 480844 477842 475836 470829 466820
      461812 458810 453810 449817 446828 445841 444846 442849
      436855 433859 431864 432867 435868 444872 445878 447882
      449884 455884 461880 466872 470869 474868 479869 484869
      488864
 0.50 466222 466217 462215 454217 447218 440217 435216 433213
      431208 428204 422201 417195 412194 408195 404196 399195
      391193 383190 376185 372182 367181 362181 360183 359185
      360188 362190 368197 372204 374208 373211 365213 358208
      355207 351209 351211 354215 358221 385237 390243 391248
      393252 397253 401253 408253 416253 424251 432249 437245
      439241 436238 443235 448231 454228 463226 466222
 0.50 447111 447102 441097 437097 433095 428090 426092 427096
      428100 426103 423106 422110 419119 420123 423125 427125
      429123 434117 437115 441117 445116 447113 447111
 0.50 400225 402223 400221 399221 397221 395221 393220 392221
      392223 393225 394226 396226 398225 400225 400225
 0.50 323926 324919 322912 319905 316900 313896 307896 304897
      295902 289903 284903 273905 266909 259915 255923 252933
      250943 251948 253953 257956 261957 267956 272954 279949
      288945 297944 302943 307940 312934 317933 319930 323926
 1.00 486220 485218 484217 483217 482219 483220 485220 486220
 1.00 468155 467154 465154 467157 468155
 1.00 425239 418218 418214 415214 409215 407212 408206 406202
      399199 390195 380190 372184 367182 363185 368193 375202
      378205 379210 381216 387217 397218 403219 406222 405228
      401229 396231 394233 393236 394241 397245 402247 408246
      416246 422243 425239
 1.00 375223 375219 374218 370216 368219 365216 363214 360213
      357214 358217 361219 362221 366223 367224 371225 373224
      375223
 1.00 316922 314914 310909 307908 305910 299913 292914 288912
      284911 279912 275915 267925 259934 258938 259943 260945
      263947 267947 272946 277943 288939 303936 308932 312928
      316922
 1.50 420238 420235 419233 417232 413229 414226 416221 415216
      412217 410219 408224 410228 408232 404232 398234 396236
      397240 399243 401245 404245 410242 417240 420238
 1.50 404214 404207 403204 395199 386195 378190 371185 367185
      368190 373197 378203 383211 387214 392215 398217 403216
      404214
 1.50 373220 372218 370217 369219 370221 371222 373220
 1.50 365220 365218 365217 364216 363215 362214 360215 360217
      361218 363219 364220 364221 365220
 1.50 312920 312918 308916 303917 292920 283923 274927 269930
      265933 263938 263941 266943 270942 274941 282935 288933
      294934 301933 303931 310922 312920
 2.00 414236 413234 412233 411233 409234 407235 405235 404235
      402235 401235 400237 400239 400242 401242 402243 403242
      404242 406241 406240 408239 410238 411238 412236 414236
 2.00 413224 414222 414219 413219 411220 410221 410223 410225
      410226 412226 413224
 2.00 402214 402209 401206 394200 388197 381194 374189 372187
      369187 372193 377198 381205 386211 394214 401216 402214
 2.00 364218 363217 362215 361215 361216 362218 363218 364218
 2.00 308920 305919 301920 294921 286924 279926 273929 268934
      268938 272938 278935 285931 288930 292930 297930 301928
      304922 308920
 3.00 400213 399209 397206 396204 393202 391201 388199 386198
      382197 381199 383202 385205 386207 388208 391210 395212
      396213 400213
 4.00 394207 392206 391204 390204 389202 387203 388205 390205
      391206 392207 393207 394207

$$




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