Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 241002
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
501 AM EST SAT JAN 24 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JAN 24/1200 UTC THRU JAN 27/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

06Z UPDATE...
THE 00Z EC DID ADJUST EWD WITH ITS QPF IN THE NE AND FELL INTO
LINE WITH GENL 00Z MODEL CONSENSUS..SO NO SIGNIFICANT ADJUSTMENTS
WERE MADE TO PRELIM GUIDANCE FOR THE FINAL DAY 1 QPF.

...EAST COAST...

WITH THE EXCEPTION OF VERY MINOR TIMING DIFFERENCES..THE LATEST
MODEL GUIDANCE IS FAIRLY WELL CLUSTERED WITH THE HANDLING OF LOW
PRES THAT IS EXPECTED TO DVLP OFF THE DELMARVA COAST THIS MRNG
AHEAD OF S/WV TROF LIFTING NEWD FROM GULF COAST REGION.  MODELS
TAKE DEEPENING SFC WAVE NEWD TO A POSITION JUST SOUTH OF THE WRN
TIP OF NOVA SCOTIA BY SATURDAY EVENING..THEN CONTINUE TO
ACCELERATE THE SYSTEM NEWD DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.
BASED ON TRACK OF LOW...BEST WAA LIFT WILL BE CONFINED TO COASTAL
AREAS OF NEW ENGLAND.  THE COMBINATION OF WAA AND FAVORABLE
COUPLED JET PATRN GENLY SUPPORT THE CONSENSUS QPF FCST OF .50 TO 1
INCH AMOUNTS FROM ERN MA INTO DOWNEAST MAINE.  DID NOT GO QUITE AS
FAR WEST WITH .50 INCH AMOUNTS OVER SRN NEW ENGLAND AS THE 12Z EC
GIVEN MAJORITY OF 00Z SOLNS ARE DRIER THERE.  OTHERWISE...A GENLY
BLEND OF GFS/NAM/UKMET SOLNS SEEMED REASONABLE.   FARTHER
SOUTH...EXPECT A WEAKENING AREA OF CONVECTIVE RAINS TO GRADUALLY
SHIFT SWD THROUGH CNTL/SRN FL AS COLD FRONT SHIFTS SEWD THROUGH
THE STATE ON SAT AND BETTER DYNAMICS LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

UPR RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BUILD NWD
THROUGH THE PD WHICH WILL FORCE CURRENT ONSHORE/WAA PATRN TO
GRADUALLY SHIFT NWD INTO SW CANADA THIS PD.  IN THE MEANTIME...AS
WEAK WARM FRONTAL BNDRY LIFTS THROUGH WRN WA..EXPECT SOME MDT PCPN
AMOUNTS TO OCCUR OVER THE OLYMPICS AND NRN WA WITH LIGHT PCPN
AMOUNTS CARRYING EWD INTO NW FL INTO PARTS OF THE NRN
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION.   CONTINUITY WAS GENLY USED HERE GIVEN
REASONABLY GOOD RUN TO RUN MODEL CONTINUITY.

...NRN PLAINS INTO THE PARTS OF THE MIDWEST...

AN AREA OF LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF CLIPPER SYSTEM DROPPING
SEWD FROM WRN CANADA.  00Z MODELS ARE REASONABLY TIGHTLY CLUSTERED
WITH TRACK OF ASSOCD SFC LOW..TAKING SYSTEM ACRS IA SAT NIGHT.
AVAILABLE MSTR IS RATHER LIMITED DESPITE INCREASING MID/UPR
FORCING...SO OVERALL AREAL AVG AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS
THAN .25 INC FROM THE NRN DAKOTAS SEWD INTO SRN MN/NRN IA...SRN
WI/NRN IL. SEE QPFHSD FROM FURTHER DETAILS.


DAYS 2/3...


...GREAT BASIN/SOUTHWEST...

A CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM WEST OF BAJA CA ON DAY 2 WOBBLES NORTH
NORTHWEST OFF THE CA COAST ON DAY 3...BRINGING SHORT WAVE ENERGY
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHWEST DURING DAY 3. THERE WAS
GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE TRACK OF THE MID
LEVEL SYSTEM (EXCEPT FOR THE 00Z GFS...WHICH APPEARED TO BE TOO
FAR WEST)...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/NAM.

AS THE CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM STARTS TRUNDLING NORTH ALONG THE
SOUTHERN CA COAST DURING DAY 3...SHORT WAVE ENERGY ON THE EAST
SIDE OF THE CLOSED LOW AFFECTS MUCH OF SOUTHERN CA...SOUTHERN
NV...AZ AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST UT. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...A
LOW LEVEL SOUTH SOUTHEAST FLOW TRANSPORTS PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES NEAR AN INCH (WHICH IS BETWEEN TWO AND THREE STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) INTO SOUTHERN AZ AND SOUTHEAST CA. MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN AS HEIGHT FALLS...RESULTING IN MARGINAL
INSTABILITY ACROSS PORTIONS OF AZ AND SOUTHERN CA. THE COMBINATION
OF SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT WITH THE SHORT WAVE AND MARGINAL
INSTABILITY SHOULD PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF
QPF EXTENDING ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST CA...SOUTHERN NV...MOST OF
AZ AND SOUTHWEST UT. ALONG THE AXIS OF HIGHEST PRECIPITABLE
WATER...STRETCHING ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AZ INTO A PORTION OF
SOUTHEAST CA...QPF AMOUNTS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES WERE
PLACED...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.


...NORTHERN PLAINS/GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST...

A PAIR OF SHORT WAVES IN THE FAST NORTHERN STREAM AFFECT THE
NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AND MIDWEST DURING DAYS
2 AND 3. THERE WERE SOME MODEL SPREAD CONCERNING THE TRACKS OF THE
SHORT WAVES (AND THE ATTENDANT SURFACE LOWS)...AND THE WPC QPF
SOLUTION SUPPORTED THE MODEL SOLUTIONS WHICH HAD A MORE NORTHERLY
TRACK ACROSS THE REGION.

THE FIRST SHORT WAVE IN THE NORTHERN STREAM CROSSES THE NORTHERN
PLAINS AND UPPER GREAT LAKES DURING THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 2.
THERE IS SOME WARM AIR ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC LIFT AHEAD OF THE
SHORT WAVE ACROSS NORTHERN MN...BUT THE AIRMASS IS RELATIVELY
MOISTURE STARVED (THOUGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES DO REACH 0.50
INCHES LATE). THE SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT AND LIFT IN THE WARM AIR
ADVECTION SHOULD PRODUCE AN AXIS OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF
EXTENDING ACROSS NORTHWEST CENTRAL MN IN NORTHWEST WI...WITH
LESSER AMOUNTS (GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.10 INCHES) ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF MN/WI INTO IA.

THE SECOND SHORT WAVE FOLLOWS THE FIRST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES DURING THE FIRST HALF OF DAY 2. LIKE
THE FIRST SHORT WAVE... THE AIRMASS IS RELATIVELY MOISTURE
STARVED...DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF LOW LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION.
THE SYNOPTIC SCALE LIT IS AUGMENTED BY DIVERGENCE IN THE LEFT
FRONT QUADRANT OF A 130 KNOT JET STREAK CROSSING FROM ND INTO IA.
THE LIFT MAKES THE MOST OF THE MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN TO PRODUCE A
LARGE AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF COVERING NORTHEAST MN AND
MUCH OF WI.


...OH VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC/NEW ENGLAND...

A SHORT WAVE AND SURFACE LOW CROSS THE MIDWEST DURING DAY
2...REACHING A POSITION AT THE BOTTOM OF A DEVELOPING LONG WAVE
TROUGH ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. AS
THE SHORT WAVE GETS OFFSHORE...IT PULLS THE LONG WAVE TROUGH
NEGATIVE...WHICH IN TURN INDUCES CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE EAST COAST
ON A LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE DURING DAY 3. THERE WAS FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE TRACK OF THE SHORT WAVE AND SURFACE LOW
ON DAY 2...YET THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD WITH RESPECT TO
QPF. THE 00Z NAM APPEARS TO BE TOO HIGH WITH QPF NORTH OF THE
SHORT WAVE (WITH BETTER LOW LEVEL INFLOW). WHILE THE NAM HAS BEEN
CONSISTENT WITH HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS...IT APPEARS TO BE OVERDONE
GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE. THE 00Z GFS CAME IN CLOSER
TO THE 12Z ECMWF WITH ITS QPF PATTERN ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND MID
ATLANTIC...SO THE DAY 2 QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THESE TWO
MODELS.

THERE IS EVEN MORE MODEL SPREAD FOR DAY 3...PARTICULARLY FROM THE
NJ COAST ACROSS EASTERN LI AND SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND. THE 00Z
ECMWF DEEPENS THE SURFACE LOW MORE QUICKLY AND FURTHER WEST THAN
THE REMAINDER OF THE 00Z MODEL SUITE (AS WELL AS THE LATEST
ENSEMBLE MEANS). FOR THIS REASON...THE 00Z ECMWF SOLUTION WAS NOT
INCLUDED IN THE WPC QPF BLEND. THE 00Z GFS APPEARED TO OFFER THE
MOST PLAUSIBLE SOLUTION ALONG THE EAST COAST ON DAY 3...AND IT WAS
USED AS THE BASIS FOR THE WPC QPF. IT SHOULD BE NOTED
HOWEVER...BECAUSE OF THE MODEL SPREAD...THE QPF FOR DAY 3 CONTAINS
BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE.

AS A STRONG SHORT WAVE CROSSES THE MIDWEST INTO THE OH VALLEY
DURING DAY 2...ITS BRIEFLY CLOSES AS IT APPROACHES THE WESTERN MID
ATLANTIC LATE IN THE PERIOD. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKS AHEAD OF THE
LOW LEVEL CENTER...FEEDING 0.50 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
INTO THE CIRCULATION...FOCUSED ON THE LOW LEVEL WARM FRONT. THE
STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT PROVIDES SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE FOR QPF NORTH OF THE TRACK OF THE MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE.
THE ABOVE SUPPORTS A SWATH OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF STRETCHED
ACROSS NORTHERN IN/MUCH OF OH INTO SOUTHWEST PA AND NORTHERN WV.
THE SWATH WAS SURROUNDED BY A LARGER AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES
OF QPF ACROSS MUCH OF THE OH VALLEY INTO MUCH OF THE WESTERN MID
ATLANTIC.

AS THE SHORT WAVE DROPS INTO THE BOTTOM OF A DEVELOPING LONG WAVE
TROUGH...IT PULLS THE LONG WAVE TROUGH INTO A NEGATIVE TILT. THIS
INDUCES CYCLOGENESIS ON THE BOUNDARY OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
DURING DAY 3. THERE IS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL THAT A SURFACE TROUGH
FOCUSES MOISTURE ACROSS MD/DE/SOUTHERN NJ EARLY IN THE
PERIOD...RESULTING IN AN AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF HERE.
AFTER THIS...FORECAST CONFIDENCE DROPS OFF QUICKLY...AS MODEL
SPREAD INCREASES WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THE LOW THAT
DEVELOPS EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

AS MENTIONED EARLIER...THE 00Z ECMWF APPEARS TO BE TOO STRONG/TOO
FAR WEST WITH ITS SURFACE SYSTEM...AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE...AND
WAS NOT INCLUDED IN THE QPF QPF BLEND. THE 00Z NAM IS PROBABLY TOO
FAR WEST AS WELL...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED MAINLY ON THE 00Z GFS
SOLUTION. THIS PLACES THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE 0.10 TO 0.25 INCH
QPF EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL NJ INTO SOUTHEAST MA. AS MENTIONED
EARLIER...THERE ARE SOLUTIONS THAT OFFER HIGHER (AND IN THE CASE
OF THE 00Z ECMWF...MUCH HIGHER) QPF VALUES.

HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OH VALLEY ON DAY 2.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SUITE OF WPC WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS
FOR MORE INFORMATION.


SULLIVAN/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 502313 491314 487314 486306 482298 477292 471279 462253
      462248 460243 458240 458237 462231 464229 461227 459224
      458221 461215 465211 470208 491193 491188 489185 484182
      480181 476182 472184 462191 459193 456192 452191 451186
      451177 453173 455173 458173 461171 462166 461162 455158
      448156 441153 439150 440146 446142 449138 451129 456127
      457125 456123 455120 452119 450121 448124 444123 444119
      441117 420119 426105 433094 440096 444095 450092 453093
      460096 464096 466090 468088 470088 474094 477101 482105
      486110 484115 489121 493125 496128 496131 494133 496137
      515152 528161 531165 533174 537186 542198
 0.01 557120 548107 539095 529083 521078 518076 513075 507079
      504088 501095 494094 491088 488078 487073 484068 479060
      477058 472056 464055 460055 456057 450055 444050 439043
      440039 443036 446036 448033 449029 448023 447018 444012
      441004 444997 438991 430986 424982 422980 421975 424967
      420961 415956 410949 408942 404934 398929 393922 385909
      385904 387899 390892 397878 400874 402869 404859 404853
      406850 408847 411847 418846 424851 433866 436876 441885
      476937 485949 486954 489957 494962 508967 516971 522976
      528981 533986 542998 547005 551012 554017 555023 557031
      561047 564056 563068
 0.01 489613 494622 496625 497632 499647 505652 510662 516672
      517687 517692 517700 517712 515723 512726 509725 504720
      489690 488701 485710 477727 471736 470740 470743 472743
      475747 477751 478757 479764 480779 478787 473795 468802
      464809 463814 460820 453843 453847 456847 458844 463845
      467853 470863 475874 476880 475885 473890 470895 469900
      465903 462905 460905 458901 458895 459886 462873 461866
      459860 450860 447858 443858 440856 437847 437839 438834
      438828 436826 433826 428822 422815 420814 418816 416820
      415823 415827 414831 411835 409834 406829 406822 404808
      402805 399808 396812 393810 389813 388815 384820 381823
      376830 370835 366839 364840 361841 357843 352844 346842
      348837 347830 343821 342816 338814 332813 328812 322813
      319815 314817 308819 297819 289819 280818 272821 244843
      235850 227851 219852 216838 218833 222829 231820 240812
      244806 241807 238810 236810 236808 238803 241796 242793
      244791 260772 267762 275751 281742 286737 291733 295729
      300724 309715 326695 335687 346678 367662 377652
 0.01 463698 463696 461694 460696 460699 462701 463698
 0.01 454703 455700 453700 452701 451701 450703 449704 448706
      448707 449708 450708 452707 453705 454705 454703
 0.01 455076 454073 453071 450068 448067 447065 445065 443067
      440069 441074 443076 444079 446081 449081 453081 453078
      455076
 0.01 448761 446759 444760 443761 445763 446762 448761
 0.01 442718 441717 439718 439719 438720 436722 435724 437726
      439725 439724 440722 441721 442720 442718
 0.01 442735 441733 440734 438734 436734 435735 433735 432737
      431738 430740 430741 429743 430744 432744 434744 436743
      437743 439743 440740 442738 442737 442735
 0.01 425767 424760 423754 420759 418762 415767 414770 411775
      409777 408781 411781 415778 418776 421773 424769 425767
 0.25 472619 478622 481625 484633 483640 482647 480654 473667
      441704 428724 419735 414738 409740 403740 397742 392745
      388748 370766 362774 358778 353781 337783 330785 324788
      317789 312791 304792 298793 285792 278790 277787 277783
      273781 270781 271777 277769 296753 301750 305746 311737
      319727 325716 331707 337698 345689 356681 374666 386658
      396651 402646 407643 409641
 0.25 525258 514237 509225 503215 500210 496208 490205 485207
      476210 468216 467219 468222 473220 478220 484222 488225
      490230 493242 490238 487236 484237 483240 481239 478233
      475232 473235 472239 475245 478251 484260 486274 490285
      495290 499293 511293
 0.25 530205 528192 525182 521173 514166 508162 503160 499159
      496159 491159 487160 485155 483152 479153 475152 471149
      466148 463150 464155 468159 471161 476163 480164 486165
      497179 502187 505190 508190 511192 514196 520203 525206
      528207 530205
 0.25 513017 514012 513006 511004 510003 507001 505000 502999
      498000 497002 497004 498007 500009 501011 504014 506015
      508016 511018 513017
 0.25 492147 490142 489137 488133 484130 480128 475129 472131
      470135 472139 475143 479145 483148 486151 488152 491149
      492147
 0.25 256820 256816 253815 251816 249818 246821 245822 243824
      241826 241829 243830 245829 249827 250826 253824 255822
      256820
 0.50 463623 472627 476630 479635 479640 478644 476651 470662
      464671 456680 439699 432708 427717 422722 418726 412728
      404730 391733 382739 365757 359766 355770 351773 343775
      337778 325782 318784 312785 298786 291786 289784 288782
      297774 322737 333717 339706 346697 353688 362681 382666
      391660 402654 413648 426641 432641 435640 437637 444633
      449628
 0.50 522267 520264 520258 518252 516248 511241 506232 502223
      498220 495216 488211 479213 479216 481218 484220 492222
      492227 493232 497242 498247 496250 491242 487239 485242
      481246 483252 488259 491270 495277 497283 500287 505288
      508286 514280 516280
 0.50 513184 512183 511181 510179 508179 507177 505177 506179
      506180 508181 509182 510183 511184 512184 513184
 0.50 480241 479238 477235 476235 475235 476236 476237 477239
      478241 480241 480241
 0.50 485136 484135 483133 481132 479135 481136 482137 484137
      485136
 1.00 514266 514260 513255 511250 509249 507254 505260 501260
      498257 492250 490246 487245 487249 491258 495267 498276
      501279 504281 506277 507269 511269 514266
 1.00 473642 471637 468635 460634 454634 450638 443646 437652
      433655 430656 425655 419655 410659 400664 391668 382673
      373680 367685 361692 356700 351711 346718 339722 335726
      333730 334737 340737 344737 346741 342748 339753 338759
      339761 343760 346757 359745 374733 381727 391723 400720
      407718 411715 419709 424703 426696 428693 432691 437686
      452675 466660 470651 473642
 1.50 503273 503271 503270 502267 500265 499263 497262 496262
      497265 497268 498270 498271 499272 501274 502273 503273
 1.50 467649 466642 462641 458642 454643 451647 449651 449657
      452661 456662 461659 464656 467652 467649
 1.50 428666 426664 422663 414663 406666 399670 392674 386678
      375688 370694 368701 365709 364714 367716 382717 389714
      396710 402705 403701 406698 410693 414686 418679 423675
      426670 428666
 2.00 462651 462648 461648 459648 458649 458651 457652 458652
      460652 462652 462651
 2.00 401685 396685 392685 389686 384689 381693 379695 378700
      380703 386701 389699 392696 395692 398689 401685

24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 520271 522261 524255 527241 537208 540203 541196 542187
      540183 533170 524162 491131 483124 477123 472121 467122
      467127 469133 474137 478141 481145 484149 485153 485157
      479155 477158 479165 482171 484173 487170 488167 490167
      491173 494179 498185 502186 507189 512200 515212 516219
      516223 514223 511220 508219 505224 503224 501221 498217
      496214 494214 491217 490227 492232 491237 488238 484237
      483240 481242 481247 481253 484264 485272 485282 482301
      481309 482312 484313 488314 490318 495316 499310 502306
      506300 512290 516283 519275
 0.01 546009 547002 547995 547984 544976 541971 538966 537956
      534950 529945 492901 487896 480892 468892 465890 461890
      454891 453892 453896 454898 453903 448908 445910 443906
      441901 441896 441885 440870 439866 438860 434842 428827
      423812 421805 419797 418787 416780 406745 403736 402731
      402726 402716 403711 402709 400699 395694 385689 382688
      378688 371690 357693 348696 342699 335705 331711 324722
      322730 318737 293780 289787 286795 285800 287800 293803
      305806 315805 318800 333778 339767 345756 357745 360744
      364744 368750 364757 358761 352766 349771 346778 350782
      358781 360779 363778 366778 369779 370784 369788 366793
      363800 362808 357813 350824 346831 344835 344841 341848
      342854 344858 347864 351870 355875 358879 369905 373911
      376920 382923 387922 393923 398929 402932 410943 419954
      423959 427964 433967 439969 445969 450966 454959 455948
      457948 459949 462952 465959 470966 472969 476972 487977
      492982 495988 499993 502001 505006 505010 502011 497012
      495014 494018 493022 492028 493034 495038 501039 508040
      524038 530035 533029 546009
 0.01 496642 495635 493632 487629 480628 476628 472629 458639
      451643 448646 446650 442652 439655 433662 430668 430674
      430677 435684 442686 457678 461676 464678 469676 472674
      486664 489662 490659 494650 496642
 0.01 322158 323154 322152 320147 314141 307132 299126 290121
      284119 280117 276116 276114 282114 287114 289110 285099
      284094 287090 290086 290079 286070 282066 279063 271057
      265048 259039 259033 255030 251032 248035 242045 239044
      238040 237035 235034 233037 230041 229047 228050 227054
      226060 224067 224074 224081 223088 220098 220107 220112
      221124 222131 223135 226144 230155 232160 237162 246161
      256159 265156 269153 272147 275142 279140 285140 288142
      297149 308155 315159 322158
 0.25 533209 535202 534195 530186 525177 520170 516169 514173
      511173 507171 503171 504176 511181 514185 516190 520199
      521204 524208 526212 528214 530213 533209
 0.25 517268 518260 517254 513245 507239 504240 500243 499247
      498254 497263 494275 493281 493288 495293 499292 506287
      511281 516270 517268
 0.25 420877 420870 419865 415854 414849 414844 414830 411805
      408795 403786 400783 396783 391784 389788 387792 387798
      387805 385809 384815 382818 380822 383825 386835 389847
      389853 390859 393869 404884 407887 410887 414886 418882
      420877
 0.25 357841 358839 357838 357839 357841 357841
 0.25 330755 330750 328747 326749 324751 322754 321756 319759
      318761 317764 318767 320769 323767 325765 327764 328761
      329757 330755
 0.25 259080 260074 258071 253066 250063 246063 242064 238067
      233071 232074 235077 237078 235081 233083 232089 233097
      233100 231105 228111 228115 229120 232126 236128 241128
      248127 253121 255117 255112 255106 253103 248098 244090
      245085 248085 253085 257083 259080
 0.50 524192 525190 524187 524186 523184 522183 521183 519183
      519186 520189 521191 521192 523194 524192
 0.50 511271 513263 512258 511252 508249 505247 504252 501257
      499262 498268 498273 500279 503277 506279 508277 511272
      511271
 0.50 404822 404818 403815 402811 400809 397812 396814 395818
      394821 395824 397828 398830 399834 400838 402836 402832
      403828 403825 404822

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 464622 467629 465637 462644 460651 459658 456665 450677
      446683 442691 438695 435697 434701 430706 425710 415718
      412725 410734 409741 408750 412770 417783 416790 412797
      407802 406804 402804 395806 388809 379818 375822 372824
      368825 360826 354824 354817 357810 361806 364800 365797
      363795 360787 359780 360776 357774 351772 344774 336783
      324790 319789 313789 301783 297781 292776 289769 287760
      286751 284745 281739 280735 282731 290723 294717 299713
      309704 319696 329689 337686 343682 354674 364666 373657
      378655 381652 388647
 0.01 486339 488338 489338 491337 493337 547178
      543166 541159 539162 536169 534175 532176 530175 527170
      520162 515160 511162 509164 508170 508179 509185 511191
      518201 519207 517214 513221 518224 519231 516232 513231
      509233 506236 498242 491251 484260 484266 486271 491282
      493288 495290 495295 492301 491310 488315 487323 484338
 0.01 532235 532233 531230 530232 529234 528237 527239 527242
      526244 525246 524249 523251 522253 523255 525255 526255
 0.01 511955 510945 509936 505924 502919 500912 500902 500898
      498896 496889 493883 491881 493877 495873 497868 497863
      496861 489856 469848 464848 459850 450855 406859 392860
      387861 383864 380864 378862 375858 367851 363847 358848
      356852 358857 365864 370866 373869 382876 390883 404897
      409899 414903 418907 420912 422917 426921 430924 433928
      450942 459947 464948 469950 475952 481952 486955 489957
      496967 507968 509965 509961 511955
 0.01 401181 402170 403164 402160 402155 401151 398145 396138
      392132 389126 386120 371095 362086 354075 350068 346061
      343056 338052 329043 319035 315035 312036 302036 301039
      297040 289039 285044 284049 285057 288063 291070 283073
      274073 271072 268074 263076 257081 252084 249089 267126
      270133 275138 286146 292149 298153 307162 317172 327178
      330177 332179 333182 339181 341180 343183 346187 347179
      353176 355179 352181 351184 353186 366192 370197 376203
      383205 387205 390204 393202 394198 392192 383181 380179
      382176 389176 394182 399183 401181
 0.01 370215 366208 362203 354203 350198 346191 343191 344193
      345197 347199 352205 358210 361216 364218 366218 370215
 0.25 443629 442641 441652 438661 433669 426676 423679 422683
      418692 413699 407706 404714 397731 392740 388747 382749
      377749 373749 368748 363749 359749 352753 340765 332770
      324775 317776 313775 309771 310734 313725 317718 323711
      330705 337700 343694 355681 362675 368669 375664 383659
      389655 394651 403642
 0.25 533206 533202 533198 532195 531191 529189 527187 524187
      522189 523193 524198 525200 525203 527207 529208 532208
      533206
 0.25 515261 515256 514253 513250 511247 508248 506250 505252
      504257 503262 502267 502272 504275 507274 508272 510270
      512266 514264 515261
 0.25 378128 378125 374125 368126 361123 358119 348111 344107
      337105 331106 325104 319104 313103 300101 290107 287109
      288112 292116 301123 302130 306135 311139 317140 323140
      330142 334146 337152 340158 343160 347159 349158 350155
      347149 344144 340141 339137 340135 347136 352135 359137
      364140 370139 375134 378128
 0.25 368187 368186 366185 364185 363186 364187 366188 367188
      368187
 0.25 362166 361165 361163 360162 358161 358160 357159 355158
      353157 352159 352161 353163 353164 354165 356166 358166
      359167 361166 362166
 0.25 303093 302093 300092 300093 302093 303093
 0.50 424636 427637 427644 423651 421655 420659 418669 416679
      412687 407694 403701 390735 387738 382741 375741 370741
      365742 357745 343756 331766 322771 319773 316771 314767
      314763 314757 316753 318744 321736 329722 339708 349696
      355688 360682 372671 388661 401651 416638
 0.50 346125 346123 346120 345119 343119 341120 339122 340124
      341125 342126 344126 346125 346125
 1.00 404663 399665 393668 386670 381672 366690 358699 351709
      345719 339728 332738 330743 327749 325754 326756 329755
      340750 349742 358736 363733 370731 376728 380725 385719
      388714 393704 396698 398693 399686 399679 400674 401670
      404663
 1.50 389686 386680 380679 373688 366700 359711 352722 345732
      343737 345738 350734 355730 360726 367723 372719 382710
      386705 389699 389686

$$




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