Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 030858
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
457 AM EDT THU SEP 03 2015


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID SEP 03/1200 UTC THRU SEP 06/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

THE DEEP FRONTAL ZONE AND UPSLOPE FLOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MOST OF
THE PRECIPITATION THROUGH 12Z FRI AS THE UPPER TROUGH DRIFTS
EASTWARD...WITH THE SLIGHTLY SLOWER NAM/GFS PREFERRED OVER THE
MORE EASTWARD 12Z ECMWF FOR QPF OVER WESTERN MONTANA DUE TO
TRENDS...GENERATING MOSTLY LIGHT TO MODERATE BASIN-AVERAGE VALUES.

GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY...

AREAS WITHIN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE MID LEVEL REFLECTION OF THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND ITS ACCOMPANYING LOWER
LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE WILL FOCUS MOST IF NOT ALL PRECIPITATION
THROUGH 12Z FRI.  THE PRIMARY CONSIDERATIONS FOR THE QPF INCLUDE
THE INTENSITY AND DEPTH OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITH CURRENT
INDICATIONS AND MODEL CONSENSUS GENERALLY RULING OUT THE STRONGEST
AND MORE NORTHWARD 12Z ECMWF ACROSS MICHIGAN....AND SECONDLY THE
POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE REDEVELOPMENT NEAR OR POSSIBLY NORTH OF
THE TRAILING FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE OH VALLEY.  THE NAM AND TO
A LESSER EXTENT THE GFS APPEAR TO HAVE A REASONABLE HANDLE ON THE
QPF AMOUNTS AND LOCATION AND THUS WERE USED AS A GUIDE...WITH SOME
CONTRIBUTIONS FROM THE HI-RES GUIDANCE.

NORTHEAST...

THE SOUTHWARD MOVING FRONT AND OROGRAPHIC ASCENT WILL FOCUS MOST
OF THE PRECIPITATION THROUGH 12Z FRI WITH GENERALLY LIGHT
BASIN-AVERAGE TOTALS EXPECTED.  FOCUSED A BIT MORE ON THE LIGHTER
NAM AND 12Z ECMWF VERSUS THE HEAVIER GFS GIVEN THEIR SUPPORT FROM
OTHER MODELS.

GULF COAST AND FLORIDA...

THE NAM AND GFS APPEAR TO HAVE A REASONABLE HANDLE ON SEA BREEZE
DEVELOPMENT AND THE RESULTING CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL TODAY AND
TONIGHT AS WELL AS THE MOISTURE SURGE AHEAD OF THE LOW OVER THE
GULF IMPACTING LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS COAST.  THE
FINAL VALUES ACROSS LOUISIANA AND TEXAS REFLECT A SLIGHT INCREASE
FROM THE PREVIOUS IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE HI-RES GUIDANCE.

CENTRAL-SOUTHERN ROCKIES...

MODEL AGREEMENT EXISTS WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN ALLOWING THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER NORTHEAST ARIZONA TO LIFT OUT OF THE REGION
WHILE A NARROW RIBBON OF ASCENT AND MORE FAVORABLE MOISTURE LINGER
WITHIN THE REMAINING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS.  USED A COMBINATION OF
THE NAM/GFS/HI-RES SOLUTIONS TO DERIVE THE QPF WHICH PRESERVED
CONTINUITY.

DAYS 2/3...


...NORTHERN ROCKIES/NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST...

THE LONGWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. WILL CONTINUE TO
AMPLIFY DURING DAY 2 (FRI AND FRI NIGHT)...WITH 500 MB HEIGHT
ANOMALIES PEAKING AROUND 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL OVER
THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN. BY DAY 3 (SAT-SAT NIGHT)...THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE WILL PIVOT E-NE TOWARD THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...WITH
LEE-SIDE CYCLOGENESIS ENSUING ACROSS THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN HIGH
PLAINS. THE MODELS BEGIN TO SHOW MORE SPREAD BY DAY 3 IN TERMS OF
THE PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW TRACK. PER THE
LATEST PMDHMD...THE ECMWF SEEMED TO HAVE THE BEST SUPPORT FROM THE
GEFS/EC ENSEMBLE MEANS...AND AS A RESULT THE QPF DURING BOTH DAYS
2 AND 3 WERE HEAVILY WEIGHTED TOWARD THE ECMWF WHILE ALSO
MAINTAINING SOME CONTINUITY WAS MAINTAINED FROM THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST. SYNOPTIC SCALE SUPPORT WILL BECOME QUITE ROBUST FOR
EARLY SEPTEMBER...THANKS IN LARGE PART TO THE HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER
FLOW AND STRONG UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE OUT IN FRONT. FAVORABLE
ALONG-STREAM UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE WILL LIKELY GET A BOOST FROM
THE UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK THAT IS NOTED BY THE MODELS ACROSS THE
4 CORNERS AND EVENTUALLY CENTRAL ROCKIES. DEEPENING S/SW
PRE-TROUGH FLOW AND WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL LEAD TO INCREASING
PW AND 850-500 MB MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES...PARTICULARLY OVER THE
NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST.

IN TERMS OF THE QPF DETAILS...FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE
UPPER MIDWEST THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW 2 SEPARATE ROUNDS OF
POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE FIRST OCCURS DURING DAY 2 WITH THE
LEAD CONVECTIVELY-INDUCED SHORTWAVE THAT COMES OUT OF THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS FRIDAY MORNING. AN ENSUING 30-40+ KT LOW LEVEL JET
WILL BEGIN TO POOL PWS OF ~1.75 INCHES INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MS VLY BY LATE FRI AND FRI NIGHT.
MCS DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY AS THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE INTERACTS
WITH THIS INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT...AS
FCST MUCAPES ARE CONSERVATIVELY ANTICIPATED TO RANGE BETWEEN
2000-3000 J/KG RANGE. WPC QPF NOTED HEAVIEST RAINFALL A BIT
FARTHER SOUTH COMPARED TO THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE CONSENSUS...ALONG
THE LLJ AND AXIS OF MAXIMUM INSTABILITY. HIGHEST AREAL-AVERAGE
TOTALS OF 1-1.5" WERE NOTED ON DAY 2 ACROSS EASTERN ND AND
NORTHWEST MN.

BY DAY 3...THE SYSTEM WILL HAVE A MORE MATURE CONVEYOR BELT
STRUCTURE (BAROCLINIC LEAF) WITH THE MODELS CONTINUING TO SHOW A
PORTION OF THE WCB PULLING BACK WESTWARD ACROSS MT (DEEPENING
TROWAL). THIS WILL FAVOR DEEP MOIST ISENTROPIC ASCENT OVER THE
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND ROCKIES WITH PW ANOMALIES OF 2-3 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL BEING PULLED INTO THE AREA FROM THE EAST.
THERE IS GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS OF A HEAVY RAINFALL SIGNAL OVER THIS
REGION...THOUGH TIMING AND LOCATION DIFFERENCES WERE NOTED WITH
THE QPF DETAILS. WPC INCLUDED A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
OVER THIS AREA DURING DAY 3...IN LIGHT OF THE GROWING MODEL
CONSENSUS AS WELL AS THE RELATIVELY LOW FFG. HAVE ALSO ADDED
ANOTHER SLIGHT RISK AREA ACROSS A PORTION OF THE UPPER MIDWEST
(NORTHERN/CENTRAL MN) DURING DAY 3 WITH THE EXPECTATION OF
ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY (AND MCS INITIATION) IN WHAT WILL
BECOME AN INCREASINGLY DIFFLUENT UPPER LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE
SLOWLY ADVANCING TROUGH.

HURLEY


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV



24HR QP VT 04/12Z
 0.01 555966 556952 553941 550933 547930 545930 538935 532941
      527946 520941 516942 512947 506952 502957 497970 490984
      483000 478017 476023 474028 469033 463040 462042 463045
      465046 465050 463055 458071 463075 465077 467077 470076
      471078 470081 467084 463084 459089 452094 445091 442091
      439093 431096 429099 430102 433111 436119 439118 440122
      440127 439132 437134 433139 429146 426150 424151 414160
      413169 414172 418170 423167 425170 423171 421173 417180
      414191 412201 411207 415210 424203 429205 434201 441188
      444181 449177 453178 456176 458172 460167 462165 467162
      472161 475159 477157 479159 481163 483165 483172 486180
      488190 489195 487199 477206 468210 458216 442216 441220
      443223 444226 448227 452227 454229 452231 445234 440238
      439244 438247 436247 416256 405265 401269 399272 398276
      397281 399284 402292 408297 412299 415298 423296 429293
      442286 451280 463274 472269 475267 478267 481266 484268
      489274 492282 497289 503291 509286 513279 515275 516271
      521266 526250 528237 528231 530226 534223 537215 540206
      541195 541184 540172 536163 534156 532130 531126 526125
      522124 518122 515118 513115 514111 520104 522097 526078
      525070 522067 518066 516069 512078 509080 508076 508070
      509066 510054 511050 512043 518019 523006 531997 540988
      545982 549976 555966
 0.01 509084 510081 508078 507081 507084 508086 509084
 0.01 468013 465006 461005 458003 453001 450000 439999 431999
      429001 425001 418003 413007 408012 402018 393033 388038
      382042 377045 371046 367049 362049 355046 351044 346043
      335042 329044 321045 315045 314050 316052 323058 325060
      324063 318069 316071 313070 310068 303065 293064 286066
      279065 247052 243051 240052 233056 230062 230066 231069
      243078 248085 254091 263101 268105 275107 282111 287116
      294122 297124 302125 310126 316124 330122 333124 335128
      336132 340133 355127 361125 365121 371115 373107 386100
      389098 395100 396099 397092 400090 401085 404080 411078
      417074 421067 422062 422059 425058 428057 429051 431040
      433036 436034 442029 452025 461018 468013
 0.01 464861 464854 463849 461841 459836 455827 455820 453816
      449807 446804 443802 438801 432801 431798 432795 435790
      440783 444776 448760 450741 451718 452714 451706 449701
      446697 442695 438695 435693 432689 430687 425685 422682
      418683 411692 406699 399715 395724 392731 390734 390738
      393743 398749 399753 402756 405758 409756 414747 415754
      414760 412767 411771 409773 407775 404773 403769 399765
      388767 384765 379766 354752 348747 345744 342742 338737
      332732 328725 322718 315714 306715 302719 300722 299728
      296731 289737 288742 287748 286763 286768 284772 280776
      263783 260790 258794 253795 248796 246800 246805 248810
      250814 253816 259820 267822 274826 281833 284838 286844
      287849 286855 282862 277868 273872 268876 265881 258897
      258902 257907 257914 258918 260922 263925 272925 275924
      279925 282928 285931 287936 285941 281951 277958 274962
      272964 263967 262971 264974 268979 274981 283981 288979
      294973 299963 303954 305947 309938 311933 311926 310920
      309915 304906 302900 301889 300878 304872 307870 310867
      312862 312857 314839 310820 315820 319820 321822 321825
      322831 321837 321843 323849 325853 334870 343880 348886
      355886 360879 363872 357865 351861 348860 346855 348850
      351846 364836 369828 374824 377825 378829 379839 382841
      385846 388856 392863 399876 407890 415904 420912 426919
      438929 448931 453930 457928 459923 459916 455906 433885
      432875 432869 435867 442869 446870 449869 453868 454870
      457872 460871 463866 464861
 0.01 454083 454081 453078 450075 448073 447070 445070 441069
      441072 443074 444077 446077 448080 449083 451085 452085
      454083
 0.01 436165 436163 435160 434158 432159 430161 428163 426165
      424167 425170 427169 429168 431168 432166 433166 434166
      436165
 0.01 411108 410098 408093 402099 398104 391106 385110 381115
      380121 381124 385125 388123 392119 398115 405112 408111
      410108 411108
 0.01 395780 391776 387775 382775 378773 375778 372781 365785
      350795 347798 344802 340808 336817 333826 331831 333838
      339834 346827 351822 357813 361807 370793 373788 377785
      383780 395780
 0.01 264000 264994 260992 255988 253984 252978 250976 241972
      237973 233977 232989 232997 233001 236007 239009 249012
      254011 257008 262005 264001 264000
 0.25 534187 534176 533168 529151 527143 523137 511132 507132
      504135 502139 501149 502158 497172 497176 498180 504183
      508184 511182 515179 518179 521181 525187 527189 531190
      534187
 0.25 533971 533965 530963 525963 522965 517970 513977 510985
      507993 507002 509005 513005 518000 522994 526987 530979
      533972 533971
 0.25 499266 499264 498263 497262 496262 496265 497267 498267
      499266
 0.25 505234 504226 503220 502217 499214 497210 495210 491212
      487210 483214 482216 483219 485220 491223 494229 496234
      500236 502236 505234
 0.25 498115 499108 499100 497098 497095 498089 495087 491093
      480103 466107 463109 460116 456121 452129 448136 448141
      451141 457145 460154 462156 465155 475142 483140 489138
      490132 492126 496120 498115
 0.25 482244 482239 481237 480234 478230 474231 473233 471236
      471241 473244 474245 476245 479246 482244
 0.25 457854 457848 456842 451836 443827 440823 439819 435817
      430817 422819 416821 409822 404821 401824 399826 398830
      395837 394847 397856 401862 406866 409873 414881 416886
      419896 427910 433914 436915 439914 440909 439905 434898
      426888 422881 419879 417875 412859 410849 411844 414840
      420841 426840 433843 439848 444850 443853 441856 442861
      445861 448855 454856 457854
 0.25 442708 441706 438706 433709 430709 428708 425706 422707
      420713 419717 421718 424723 430725 435725 438721 441714
      442708
 0.25 440750 440748 440745 439743 437741 435741 434742 433744
      432747 432749 432752 433754 433756 435757 437757 439755
      440753 440751 440750
 0.25 428018 427014 423012 418012 415013 411016 409019 407024
      407031 410032 414030 418028 421026 425023 427020 428018
 0.25 410061 409057 407056 402054 391054 385063 382065 379064
      373063 370063 368065 368072 368081 367088 366092 369094
      373091 380086 384083 390083 394080 397076 402067 410061
 0.25 346116 346108 343103 344098 342091 337082 335080 332079
      327081 324086 319087 315087 313089 309092 304104 306110
      311113 317115 322114 328112 333115 338118 343117 346116
 0.25 320797 319790 317783 314772 313758 312746 309741 306741
      304743 301751 294771 283788 281793 277797 268801 259807
      258811 260815 264817 270816 279813 284813 289815 295822
      300821 304817 306814 310811 315809 318805 320797
 0.25 309085 308081 305078 300076 294077 290077 285077 281078
      281083 284085 290086 294088 299089 304090 307090 308087
      309085
 0.25 301937 302924 301914 297903 293895 287889 284889 281892
      281898 282904 284912 288921 291931 294940 298942 300939
      301937
 0.25 289962 290960 289958 288957 287957 285957 284958 283959
      282960 281962 281964 281966 281968 283968 285968 286966
      287966 288964 288963 289962
 0.50 532178 531167 528160 525151 521144 515141 511141 508142
      507148 507152 512158 516164 522170 525177 529180 532178
 0.50 522983 522981 522978 521978 520979 518981 517983 515986
      515987 514988 514991 515993 516992 517991 518990 519989
      520987 520986 521984 522983
 0.50 486126 485123 482122 481117 479116 476116 474117 472118
      470120 469125 469128 471130 474131 477132 479132 483131
      485128 486126
 0.50 455845 454842 452840 450839 449838 448838 447839 445841
      446843 447845 449845 450845 451846 453847 454847 455845
 0.50 436835 436833 434830 433828 431827 429826 427827 426829
      426830 424831 423832 422833 421834 423836 424835 426835
      428835 430835 430836 431836 433836 435836 436835
 0.50 433907 433904 431902 429900 428900 427899 427900 427901
      428902 429904 429905 431907 433907 433907
 0.50 392073 391070 391069 390070 390073 392073 392073
 0.50 380078 381076 381074 380071 378069 376068 375067 373068
      373069 373071 373073 373075 373077 374079 374080 375082
      377082 379080 380078
 0.50 339095 339093 338092 338091 337090 335090 334090 334093
      335094 335095 336096 338097 339095
 0.50 319106 320104 320102 320099 320098 320097 319095 318094
      316095 314096 312097 311098 310100 310102 310104 310105
      310107 311108 313108 315108 316107 317107 319106 319106
 0.50 314802 315794 313788 311782 310775 308769 305765 302767
      299770 295780 291789 290797 288800 285803 289804 294807
      298807 302804 307803 311805 314802 314802
 0.50 299924 299916 298910 295903 293899 291897 287897 285898
      285902 286908 288915 290920 292927 295933 298931 299924
 0.50 281804 279803 276802 272803 270804 267806 265807 264809
      264813 266814 270814 273812 275811 277809 279807 281804
 1.00 522157 522155 522154 520153 519153 517153 519155 520157
      522157 522157
 1.00 296920 296918 297916 296914 295912 294910 294908 293906
      292904 291902 289902 289904 289906 290907 290908 291910
      291912 292913 292914 292916 293918 294919 295920 295921
      296920

24HR QP VT 05/12Z
 0.01 556958 556952 555945 555928 549924 546923 546919 547913
      547903 548898 548877 547868 544865 537866 533869 526873
      519879 509888 493896 488902 482911 471923 464930 457934
      447938 442942 438946 430953 423956 417963 411969 406974
      401979 396986 392995 381013 377019 373028 371032 367033
      360033 356035 346039 335045 327048 323050 320054 319058
      317061 315065 310066 292063 282064 273062 265061 257057
      244048 240046 233046 230048 227051 225058 224066 225071
      228077 236082 244086 256098 270109 303121 306123 309123
      315122 317121 319118 322118 328118 335116 345121 354121
      359120 363117 367115 371112 376105 381099 387092 391088
      417067 421065 423061 423053 422050 420048 417047 412047
      407046 402045 402041 403039 409036 413034 416031 422019
      425015 430014 434016 435021 439019 444020 454020 463021
      464029 457038 454064 453070 452072 449072 445070 443070
      441072 443074 447075 450078 452081 451085 448090 445091
      444089 440091 433097 439105 439109 436112 441120 442125
      439128 436136 434149 434155 435158 440162 441164 441168
      437171 434169 427170 422178 417186 415191 411195 403202
      399206 398208 400211 401217 404221 409230 414236 422241
      427242 430241 432239 432236 432233 434233 438232 445231
      455229 463227 469223 477221 485221 491222 494223 495226
      498230 502228 504218 501211 498208 494204 489202 485202
      482205 478207 470208 463210 460211 458209 456207 455205
      457199 461196 464194 471191 474186 474181 475170 475163
      477157 485155 491157 494159 500168 504174 505183 507188
      510191 517198 522200 524198 526193 529191 531192 534184
      538178 541164 541157 539151 536141 532132 530131 529127
      530123 531120 532114 534109
 0.01 534109 538089 537078 535069 533068 533060 534056 534050
      531041 530039 526039 520041 517042 515040 510034 509032
      511028 521018 525012 529008 539996 543989 546982 552966
      556958
 0.01 479238 480236 480234 479233 478232 476232 474233 473233
      471233 469234 468235 467236 465236 465237 467238 468238
      470239 472239 473240 475240 477239 479239 479238
 0.01 455835 454833 453828 448823 443821 436822 422820 415819
      411816 405814 403813 399815 395819 391824 388830 387833
      386839 386846 388854 396866 402876 410888 418898 422902
      427907 433905 438907 440909 443909 445906 444902 442895
      446894 448892 449889 449886 446878 438868 437866 440864
      447860 451856 453850 452840 455835
 0.01 416757 416750 413746 411741 407737 404736 400736 396740
      390751 387755 383758 380761 375761 370760 370756 370748
      366741 359737 353737 347738 342741 336736 332732 328731
      315720 307726 296731 291733 288728 287726 285726 281727
      280729 276730 275732 270737 269742 270750 271763 265772
      265779 264784 257785 246802 244808 244813 244821 248825
      253829 256834 259838 262841 263853 264860 262866 262871
      261876 258887 258895 254901 251906 249911 249923 247934
      245939 242943 235951 233954 231959 231966 232969 233971
      235979 233987 232993 232001 238009 244015 252020 255019
      261019 267019 272018 276017 282014 284010 280005 271998
      263994 257989 259984 263982 271982 275981 284977 292970
      295967 301964 305952 305943 305939 307937 307929 309925
      310920 311913 319915 322909 324907 324903 324896 324886
      324882 325879 328865 345857 354860 360852 370833 377823
      385813 392807 397801 405792 410783 413778 414774 415769
      416757
 0.25 546957 547950 546942 542931 538923 532918 531902 529898
      524900 512911 506916 502919 497921 491924 484928 472942
      467948 459951 451949 447951 443954 431965 430968 429973
      431976 433976 437973 444969 447968 447972 443980 445992
      444997 446001 448003 453003 461002 467003 471004 485012
      494015 500014 504012 510009 516004 523998 529990 538976
      543966 546957
 0.25 522141 520133 515126 511119 509111 507089 509081 510074
      509068 503066 496061 489048 484044 479042 474043 470046
      466053 463062 463069 463075 468090 469094 470100 465109
      456118 452124 447132 444139 441147 441152 442156 445158
      449157 455155 460152 473146 480145 486145 494147 502150
      509151 514149 519146 522141
 0.25 454176 455174 455172 454171 453169 451170 451171 450173
      449175 449177 448180 448181 450182 451180 452180 453178
      454176 454176
 0.25 448199 450196 449192 449187 447185 444185 441185 437184
      434185 426187 423190 421195 418199 415200 412203 411208
      415211 420211 424211 428213 439214 443208 446202 448199
 0.25 415870 415864 413860 409854 407851 407846 410838 408834
      405832 400833 398836 397840 396844 399853 403859 405867
      411872 413873 415870
 0.25 394787 394782 389782 385782 381783 370792 365798 360801
      354806 350811 346819 343825 342830 342834 346838 350838
      353835 357830 366818 370812 376808 384805 388801 392793
      394787
 0.25 392077 394069 393061 382060 376060 371057 367053 365052
      359053 355058 355063 353067 344072 333074 328076 324081
      321086 318088 314091 309095 306099 306105 309109 315109
      322110 327109 337106 341103 344098 346093 350088 357082
      363081 368083 373085 379086 387081 391080 392077
 0.25 312816 310811 305808 302802 301800 303798 301792 300788
      303778 305750 301748 297751 294754 291755 284758 280761
      274772 271781 271788 271795 271799 269801 262801 257801
      253803 253807 256813 259816 268820 271823 274828 280841
      284850 285858 283864 277873 271885 269890 268897 268911
      266922 261936 256946 254950 254954 255958 260959 265956
      273947 285931 291921 294916 296909 299899 300884 303853
      302846 301840 300834 305831 307827 309822 312816
 0.25 303082 303077 301073 296072 291072 281072 271071 254065
      247059 241054 237053 233054 232060 233063 236067 240069
      247074 250077 252080 256088 267099 276104 279105 283103
      285101 287096 293090 303082
 0.25 278805 278804 276804 274804 274805 276805 278805 278805
 0.25 250004 251002 249000 247998 246998 246997 244996 242997
      242998 240000 241002 242002 244004 245004 247005 249004
      250004
 0.50 543952 541945 537939 529931 525914 522913 518914 513917
      504925 494930 489933 484939 480944 477947 467956 459964
      455969 453976 454979 457981 458984 458988 481997 485002
      491005 497006 502005 513999 521992 530982 536972 540960
      543952
 0.50 504135 505129 505123 504113 502103 499097 497093 494091
      490090 487092 486104 483113 477116 472118 461126 455132
      452139 452144 456146 463144 469141 475140 483139 490140
      497140 501139 503137 504135
 0.50 482075 483067 481062 479059 475056 473057 470061 469068
      471073 473078 475082 480082 482077 482075
 0.50 441195 440194 438193 436193 435193 434193 434195 436196
      438196 440196 441195 441195
 0.50 381078 383074 382069 380068 378067 375065 371064 368066
      367068 367072 369074 370076 372077 375080 377081 379080
      381078
 0.50 360821 360819 359819 358821 359821 360821
 0.50 343091 344089 344087 343086 341085 339085 337086 336088
      336091 335092 335093 334095 334096 335097 336097 337097
      338097 340096 341094 342093 343091
 0.50 328103 328100 327098 325098 323099 322100 322102 323102
      325103 327103 328103
 0.50 298769 298764 294761 291761 290763 287767 282770 278774
      276780 278786 283785 290783 295779 297775 298769
 0.50 294820 294819 293818 292816 292815 290815 288814 286816
      286819 286820 287821 288822 289822 290823 292822 293822
      294820 294820
 0.50 290899 290895 290891 290887 289885 285884 282885 280887
      278889 276892 276894 275898 277900 280901 282902 285904
      288904 289902 290899
 0.50 262809 262807 261807 260805 259805 258804 256805 256807
      257809 258811 260811 261811 262810 262809
 1.00 529965 528960 524957 521955 520950 519946 514944 508942
      501938 494940 488947 482951 471961 468964 466969 466971
      469974 472983 479985 483986 487989 491995 494997 498998
      503996 511991 516986 525973 529965
 1.00 498126 497120 494117 491117 487119 484121 480123 476126
      474129 476133 481134 486134 489133 493131 496128 498126
 1.50 494975 494967 492960 491954 489952 486953 481957 477959
      472963 471966 471969 476971 475977 481979 486980 490979
      494975

24HR QP VT 06/12Z
 0.01 565977 566972 564968 564957 563947 561939 556922 554916
      554905 556894 558883 558875 555864 551844 548835 545832
      544828 540807 539799 536793 533785 530780 529777 527780
      521782 516785 514788 511789 509792 507802 504811 500829
      497837 495848 493850 490850 487849 483849 480847 477852
      469864 467868 467871 466879 463897 462903 460906 455912
      444924 433934 396964 384974 381977 383982 386984 389983
      396981 403980 410978 416975 419973 420975 419977 415984
      415991 418995 426995 430995 432999 433007 435014 435021
      433030 430040 429042 430045 434049 440049 443051 444060
      440069 423103 418098 413092 409089 412087 418080 418076
      417073 410072 406072 406077 407080 405084 401088 397094
      402095 405097 404100 404104 402106 396110 390114 393118
      405119 410120 413122 420127 423129 426127 432122 435121
      437125 436130 434135 429149 423161 420166 416175 413181
      415185 413193 416199 419206 422212 430215 437211 443208
      451204 456202 462199 469192 478185 483180 490181 503181
      510178 514174 517172 519166 522157 518151 517145 519141
      526126 530115 531104 533099 537099 542099 543088 543081
      543075 543060 544047 544039 547034 560007 562001 563991
      564983 565977
 0.01 525257 521254 518249 515235 507226 499214 496210 491208
      484207 478207 474209 470213 462221 471223 478221 479223
      480228 475231 471233 467237 462243 457252 452267 456294
      457297 459298 462299 464297 473290 477287 482286 493286
      501289 511293
 0.01 441854 440846 437837 435830 431825 427821 421817 409819
      402820 399822 395823 392826 389835 389842 393849 397853
      401855 406850 409848 413848 418851 424854 429857 436857
      439856 441854
 0.01 225056 227063 230067 238074 243078 248081 256084 266087
      272088 276091 282093 285095 286098 287106 291111 301121
      303123 307123 310122 315119 320123 327126 328125 329121
      330115 333113 342113 342100 351093 353091 357090 363092
      378090 392091 396088 397080 396077 396073 394069 396064
      404060 405058 402056 400055 397055 395057 391061 385058
      375050 371041 369039 367040 356042 350043 343041 338038
      331040 326044 325048 326053 329058 331060 331064 328069
      325071 324068 322061 322052 320048 317047 314048 314054
      313070 311079 308072 296066 287065 279063 267058 257052
      247044 237035 232031 229032 227035
 0.01 275720 272729 270736 267744 266748 266754 267761 268765
      266767 268779 267787 265792 261793 255794 248800 247803
      248808 256824 259828 258831 256832 253841 253848 254853
      257857 260860 263864 266868 263874 258880 258886 256890
      256897 258901 262908 268917 273927 276935 279943 279967
      279972 283972 286970 288966 294956 297950 301949 304950
      308948 311947 314944 313934 314929 316926 318924 322924
      327927 330928 332924 326917 322907 317900 313894 316883
      317880 319876 321871 324867 331862 344860 353855 358850
      361842 363831 367830 372829 373824 372816 373810 376806
      381797 382795 379793 374794 370792 361794 358796 356797
      354794 353790 355788 354782 357770 358767 360766 365763
      370761 373759 376755 377748 377744 377737 375726 373723
      370722 360725 352730 345736 330750 319762 314767 309759
      302740 296729 292725 288724 276718
 0.25 543879 542865 540856 538851 535848 531846 528846 524848
      521851 516858 509869 507873 503877 496882 489884 485884
      480887 476894 466912 461920 454930 449937 445944 442968
      438974 437978 438982 442984 449984 455985 459988 462992
      463005 466013 466018 465023 462034 462040 462047 461052
      459057 456062 452065 449069 447075 451085 451088 450094
      446100 449109 452113 453121 453127 452133 449138 446142
      442145 440151 441156 444161 448166 452174 455178 453182
      449187 447189 444194 446195 448194 456192 459192 461190
      464184 466179 470176 475173 490168 497162 503154 508145
      510138 511131 511126 512121 516111 522092 527079 528062
      526049 523036 519027 514021 508016 501016 498010 498005
      500002 502001 505001 510003 513998 517988 516984 517976
      520969 524961 528951 532939 535928 538913 540901 542890
      543879
 0.25 497265 497264 496262 496261 494260 494261 494262 495264
      495265 497266 497265
 0.25 362749 361742 358738 355737 352738 348742 341750 335757
      329766 327770 326776 327780 332781 340775 347769 355761
      360754 362749
 0.25 355828 354827 354826 352825 351824 349826 349829 349831
      349833 350835 351836 353835 354835 354833 354830 355829
      355828
 0.25 311850 311841 311837 310833 305829 302827 301823 282806
      278807 276809 277812 278816 275815 272808 262803 258802
      254804 254810 259815 263819 268822 276823 281820 286823
      292825 298828 300830 301834 298835 295835 289831 282830
      277830 275831 273832 275834 284844 292852 295858 297866
      302879 306873 309867 311858 311850
 0.25 247064 246062 244060 242058 240056 237054 236052 234051
      231051 232054 233057 234059 235061 237063 240065 242066
      245066 247064
 0.50 537899 538886 538879 537872 533863 530861 525862 517874
      511882 505888 497901 489896 482898 474910 468919 463925
      459930 454937 450945 450950 452957 453966 455969 459970
      468971 476974 480981 483989 489995 493996 497994 501988
      502982 500977 496969 494963 495954 500950 501939 505931
      509931 512936 515943 520938 523935 525932 530923 535912
      537899
 0.50 522070 522061 520051 518042 512035 508031 502028 494026
      486023 476019 473022 471026 468036 467046 467058 466064
      464068 459074 456074 454077 455081 455091 455101 458117
      460123 459126 457137 454143 450151 451156 453159 458160
      461160 467159 474159 481158 487151 491147 493145 495141
      498131 501121 508109 510105 513100 515090 519081 522070
 0.50 357750 355744 350746 347749 345752 342756 340760 337763
      335767 335770 338770 342768 345765 348762 352759 354755
      356751 357750
 1.00 529907 530902 530896 530891 527889 526889 524890 523892
      521894 520900 519902 520905 521908 523910 526911 528910
      529907
 1.00 511071 512064 511057 510052 506049 490042 487040 483039
      480042 478047 476059 474065 474070 479077 483080 484085
      478091 472096 466102 465110 466115 470116 473114 479107
      481104 486103 489103 492099 496088 498084 501081 507077
      511071
 1.00 478932 477929 474927 471929 469931 467933 466936 464940
      466943 467942 471940 472939 475937 477934 478932

$$




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