Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 190851
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
451 AM EDT THU OCT 19 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID OCT 19/1200 UTC THRU OCT 22/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO FAR NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA AND THE FAR
NORTHERN ROCKIES...

A PLUME OF MOISTURE AND ASSOCIATED RAINFALL WILL SHIFT SOUTH
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TODAY AS THE MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES TO PUSH EASTWARD. TO START THE DAY WILL HAVE MOISTURE
TRANSPORT MAGNITUDES AROUND THE CLIMATOLOGICAL 99TH
PERCENTILE...PWAT VALUES AROUND THE 90TH PERCENTILE...AND LOW
LEVEL ONSHORE UPSLOPE FLOW ABOVE THE 95TH PERCENTILE. THUS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A GOOD SETUP FOR OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED MODERATE
TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE DAY THESE
PARAMETERS ALL TEND TO SHOW A DOWNWARD TREND...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW
FOR RAINFALL RATES TO BE A BIT LESS IMPRESSIVE WITH TIME. THE
QUICK FORWARD MOVEMENT OF THE TOUGH AND ASSOCIATED ATMOSPHERIC
RIVER WILL ALSO HELP CAP THE UPPER MAGNITUDE OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS.
STILL LIKELY TO SEE SHOWERY PRECIPITATION CONTINUE BEHIND THE MAIN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVER GIVEN THE COLD MID LEVEL AIR UNDERNEATH THE
TROUGH AND CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW. IN GENERAL LOOKING AT
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-3" ACROSS THE WA/OR CASCADES AND
THE COASTAL RANGE OF FAR NORTHWEST CA AND SOUTHWEST OR. LOCALIZED
3-5" AMOUNTS APPEAR PROBABLE BOTH ALONG THIS COASTAL RANGE AND THE
CASCADES FROM NORTHERN OR INTO FAR SOUTHERN WA. RAINFALL RATES
SHOULD BE MAXIMIZED ACROSS THE COASTAL RANGE LOCATIONS IN
NORTHWEST CA AND SOUTHWEST OR...WHERE AMOUNTS AROUND 0.5" IN AN
HOUR ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY BETWEEN 18Z AND 0Z.

OVERALL THE NEW WPC FORECAST STAYS PRETTY CLOSE TO OUR PREVIOUS
FORECAST. MAIN CHANGES WERE TO EXPAND SOME 1"+ AMOUNTS FURTHER
SOUTH INTO THE CA SIERRAS...AND TO TRIM THE EASTERN EXTENT OF THE
PRECIPITATION SHIELD OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. BOTH OF THESE
ADJUSTMENTS HAVE SUPPORT FROM THE MULTI MODEL HIGH RES MEAN AND
THE VARIOUS GLOBAL MODEL SOLUTIONS.

...NEW MEXICO...

APPEARS LIKE A PRETTY GOOD SETUP FOR CONVECTION WILL EXIST OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO TODAY. IN THE MID LEVELS WILL HAVE
A FEW SUBTLE SHORTWAVE FEATURES TRAVERSE THE AREA...WITH THE UPPER
LEVEL FLOW ALSO BECOMING VERY DIFFLUENT TO THE NORTH OF THE
SUBTROPICAL JET. PWAT VALUES ARE AROUND 0.75"...WHICH DOES END UP
APPROACHING THE CLIMATOLOGICAL 90TH PERCENTILE. WITH THE HELP OF
DAYTIME HEATING WE SHOULD DESTABILIZE ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR
SCATTERED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. WHILE DETAIL DIFFERENCES STILL
EXIST AMONGST THE MODELS...THERE IS A GOOD SIGNAL AMONGST THE 0Z
HIGH RES GUIDANCE FOR A SWATH OF 0.5"-1" RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS
SOUTHERN NM. STORMS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH TO
CAP ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS AROUND 1.5". WPC QPF ENDS UP PRETTY
CLOSE TO THE HREF MEAN GIVEN THE GENERALLY GOOD CLUSTERING SEEN IN
THE HIGH RES SOLUTIONS.

...FLORIDA...

SCATTERED SHOWERS LIKELY TO CONTINUE IN THE PERSISTENT POST
FRONTAL EAST NORTHEASTERLY FLOW REGIME EXPECTED ACROSS THE FL
PENINSULA DAY 1. GENERALLY ONLY LOOKING AT LIGHT AMOUNTS ALONG THE
EASTERN SHORE...ALTHOUGH SOME LOCALIZED 1" TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE.

...LOWER TX COAST...

A CONCENTRATED AREA OF LOW LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IS FORECAST TO
MIGRATE WEST NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF TONIGHT AND
IMPACT THE LOWER TX COASTAL AREA DURING THE DAY TODAY.  THIS WILL
SUPPORT INCREASED SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THIS INFLOW AXIS OVER THE
LOWER TX COASTAL REGIONS...WITH SOME EMBEDDED HEAVIER CONVECTIVE
CORES POSSIBLE. IN GENERAL THE CONSENSUS AMONGST THE GUIDANCE
KEEPS THE HEAVIER TOTALS OFFSHORE...ALTHOUGH SOME LOCALIZED 1"
TOTALS COULD MAKE IT RIGHT TO THE COASTLINE. SOME UNCERTAINTY AS
TO THE EXACT AXIS OF SHOWERS...WITH THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE
GENERALLY FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE GLOBAL MODELS. OUR PREVIOUS
FORECAST WAS ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE MODEL SPECTRUM...AND THUS
WILL MAINTAIN THAT IDEA AND FOLLOW A SOLUTION CLOSE TO THE HREF
MEAN...WHICH BRINGS THE BEST SHOWER THREAT ONSHORE NEAR CORPUS
CHRISTIE.


DAYS 2/3...

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES...

A WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH...EXTENDING ACROSS THE PAC
NORTHWEST AND AS FAR SOUTH AS NORTHERN CA...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EAST AS THE ENTIRE MID/UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES.  SOME GENERALLY
LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL BE LINGERING ALONG THE COAST AS WESTERLY
FLOW CONTINUES TO DRAW MOISTURE INLAND DURING THE DAY 2
PERIOD...BUT THEN RAINFALL INTENSITY AND AMOUNTS RAMP UP ACROSS
WA/OR EARLY SATURDAY ONCE THE NEXT PLUME OF DEEP MOISTURE MAKES
ITS WAY INLAND FROM THE ERN NOPAC.  THIS NEXT PLUME OF MOISTURE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY 40 TO 55 KTS OF H85 FLOW...RESULTING IN
CONSIDERABLE COVERAGE OF UPSLOPE ENHANCED PCPN ALONG THE COASTAL
RANGE...CASCADES AND EVEN INTO PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES ON
SATURDAY.  A BUILDING LOW LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE GREAT BASIN
WILL SHUNT MUCH OF THE PCPN NORTH INTO THE ROCKIES WHILE
PREVENTING MUCH PRECIPITATION FROM FALLING OVER THE GREAT BASIN.

...CENTRAL UNITED STATES...

AN AMPLIFYING MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN STATES WILL
RESULT FLOW ALOFT BACKING OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES.  SURFACE
PRESSURES FALL AND CYCLOGENESIS BEGINS OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST AS
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE ENERGY IN THE NORTHERN STREAM EMERGES FROM THE
ROCKIES FRONT RANGE.  PRECIPITATION SHOULD INITIALLY BE MINIMAL
ON SATURDAY GIVEN THE DRYNESS OF THE ATMOSPHERE...BUT GULF
MOISTURE WILL START BEING DRAWN NORTHWARD ON SATURDAY AND EARLY
SUNDAY.  CONVECTION SHOULD BLOSSOM AS WIND SPEEDS IN THE
DEVELOPING WARM CONVEYOR BELT ACCELERATES TO AROUND 50 KTS AND AN
AIRMASS WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INCREASE TO...AND
EVENTUALLY EXCEED...AN INCH AND A HALF ON SATURDAY.  MOISTURE
TRANSPORT VECTORS BECOME MAXIMIZED OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS ON SATURDAY EVENING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SURFACE
FRONT...ALSO SUGGESTING THAT CONVECTION WILL BE FED BY PLENTY OF
MOISTURE.

THE MODELS ALL TENDED TO HAVE QPF MAXIMA IN EXCESS OF 2.5 INCHES
WITH SOME HAVING CONSIDERABLY MORE.  THERE WAS CONCERN THAT THE
RAINFALL RATES WITHIN THIS REGION WILL BE QUITE EFFICIENT AND MAY
EXCEED THE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE.  HOISTED A SLIGHT RISK BASED ON
THIS CONCERN.

IN TERMS OF THE MODELS...IT LOOKS LIKE THE ECMWF SHOWED ITS
TYPICAL BIAS OF BEING TOO SLOW WITH THE FORWARD PROGRESS OF THE
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT AND BEING TOO LIGHT WITH QPF.
THE 00Z GFS PERHAPS WAS TOO WRAPPED UP...WHICH RESULTED IN ITS QPF
BEING TOO MUCH.  BUT A COMPROMISE OF THE TWO SOLNS ENDED WITH WITH
PLACEMENT AND RAFL AMOUNTS CLOSE TO THE GEFS MEAN...ECMWF MEAN AND
THE IN HOUSE WPC ENSEMBLE BIAS CORRECTED AMOUNTS AND WAS GENERALLY
FOLLOWED.

...SOUTH FLORIDA...

WEAK SHORTWAVE ENERGY EMBEDDED WITHIN MOIST EASTERLY FLOW WILL
BRING SOME GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO THE SOUTHEAST FL
PENINSULA LATE SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY.  GIVEN PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES AT OR ABOVE 2 INCHES...SOME LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE.

CHENARD/BANN

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML




24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 539205 539197 537184 534168 529162 526158 516148 503140
      495138 489135 481135 468139 463142 456144 450148 447149
      444147 442146 438145 434148 430154 431161 427161 425159
      420158 417160 409171 402172 397175 394178 396184 397188
      396192 393194 387192 379190 373187 368185 367186 366191
      368194 367199 366207 362210 358211 354208 352211 352215
      355221 371240 374246 383250 386257 388260 392261 397264
      403266 412270 420272 429273 442272 446270 450270 453271
      454273 458275 466277 472279 476279 482281 489284 493287
      494290 497295 498297 501299 507298 511295 519275 521266
      523259 526241 527229 529225 531224 535220 537213 539205
 0.01 506709 505704 503700 499695 495693 488695 480698 475702
      471703 471694 471690 474687 477684 480683 485680 489676
      492669 491658 489652 485648 482649 479651 474656 467666
      464695 461701 455704 452708 453716 460716 465713 466710
      468713 467717 467722 466727 467732 471736 474738 477740
      480739 482741 486741 490739 492737 497734 501729 506709
 0.01 492238 491235 491234 490234 489237 491237 492238
 0.01 380096 380092 380089 379085 377084 375086 373089 373091
      371095 370097 370100 374100 376098 378098 380096
 0.01 379078 378076 378071 377069 375066 373064 371064 368063
      368064 369066 371068 373071 374075 374078 375080 377080
      379078
 0.01 360188 359185 357185 355184 353183 352183 350183 349183
      348185 347185 347187 347189 347190 348192 350193 352193
      354192 356191 358190 360188 360188
 0.01 365103 362090 358087 357082 356074 353069 355067 358067
      362069 362066 361063 359057 357053 353054 351053 351050
      348047 344045 352029 354024 350022 345024 328026 315038
      309037 303034 298033 293035 290037 287041 283049 278052
      274056 269058 266058 263056 256051 251050 247048 240047
      237051 236058 237061 239062 254071 259074 264072 268069
      275069 280068 285068 291069 295069 300067 306069 310071
      315074 317079 319083 320093 331092 334096 338099 342101
      347101 351099 354096 358099 361103 365103
 0.01 341766 340761 336759 331760 329763 318770 315772 312776
      308778 305780 292785 273789 256791 251790 246792 240796
      226801 223803 222807 224815 226823 229828 231832 236832
      240827 242825 245824 249829 252831 258831 265829 268823
      270816 274815 277817 281824 283826 287825 292821 302819
      308814 316804 332782 341766
 0.01 329012 327010 322009 316009 313011 302010 291009 284005
      280007 279011 280016 283018 287017 292016 297015 300017
      306018 309019 320020 327017 329012
 0.01 321952 321947 317945 314947 312949 308952 305956 303958
      305960 308962 314962 316960 319956 321952 321952
 0.01 302893 300889 297885 290882 274877 265875 262874 256874
      253875 253880 254885 255889 249894 248900 249906 253921
      246925 240931 235935 233938 232942 235951 239957 247970
      252970 257972 260975 261980 264988 268992 276990 283994
      288997 293000 297000 297996 295990 291984 289981 290977
      293968 290964 291961 295953 298945 297941 296937 294933
      291930 290921 288918 289914 295908 297904 299899 302893
 0.25 517265 519258 519252 519247 517241 511224 508219 505212
      502204 501200 503197 510196 520197 522195 524191 525184
      525178 523171 521164 517158 511152 506148 497143 494141
      490142 488145 486150 483154 477155 470156 462155 455157
      451158 447160 444160 442162 445164 446168 450173 450182
      442190 439194 438199 440204 443208 447209 450209 455205
      454211 448214 442213 436209 435205 431202 427201 424198
      422198 419195 415197 411201 409204 405205 397202 391198
      384195 380195 377199 380207 383210 387212 397219 404223
      405226 403228 385225 382227 381230 383237 389243 394247
      398251 404255 420261 427260 433258 445255 457254 465253
      469254 475255 481261 486267 495278 499282 503285 506284
      510280 513274 517265
 0.25 504260 502252 499245 496239 491232 489229 485227 481225
      478225 481234 484237 487237 493243 496249 500256 504260
 0.25 482201 483196 481193 476191 473191 468191 462191 457194
      456201 461204 466208 471207 476205 480202 482201
 0.25 431185 430185 429184 428185 427186 426186 426188 428188
      429187 430186 431185
 0.25 344083 344076 341072 340065 341061 340056 336053 335045
      335039 332038 328040 320046 316051 315056 315063 318067
      321071 323076 324082 328085 334084 339084 344083
 0.25 299811 298807 297805 295803 292801 290801 287800 283802
      283803 284806 286810 286812 288814 291816 293816 295815
      298813 299811
 0.25 280800 278799 276797 273796 270795 268796 264796 262796
      260799 261801 263803 265804 269805 272805 276804 279803
      280800
 0.25 285972 282964 279956 274947 269941 259941 255943 255947
      255954 256958 258962 261965 266971 272978 276979 279977
      283975 285972
 0.25 282902 283900 283898 282897 281896 280895 278895 276894
      275894 273893 271894 270894 269894 268896 269898 269899
      271900 273901 275902 277903 279903 280904 282902 282902
 0.25 256816 256814 255813 254814 254816 255817 256816
 0.25 244809 243807 241807 240807 240808 238809 238810 237812
      238813 240813 242813 243811 243810 244809
 0.50 515261 516256 516251 513242 511235 508228 504217 500212
      495208 487206 480207 470211 463210 460207 457212 451214
      426217 417221 416215 410215 399206 394202 387199 384198
      381199 381202 384207 389211 402219 407223 408228 406231
      401229 395228 391230 389231 388236 399245 401248 405249
      412251 416256 421257 427257 431255 443250 455248 464246
      470246 476247 481251 486257 489263 494267 498273 502277
      505279 506274 506271 505266 503264 498258 492245 488239
      482239 478230 474224 475222 479221 486224 491228 497239
      500243 503249 509262 512264 515261
 0.50 516182 516177 515173 512168 505164 500161 494156 497156
      501155 502152 500147 493144 491145 491150 491153 488154
      484157 478162 477164 476169 476179 477183 481185 484182
      485179 490177 498178 504181 509185 514185 516182
 0.50 427232 426230 424228 423228 421228 422231 424232 425233
      427232
 0.50 429209 427207 426206 424206 422206 421207 420209 420211
      421214 423215 425214 426213 427212 428211 429210 429209
 0.50 339078 338071 335064 335058 332052 331046 327046 325047
      322052 319056 318061 320063 324067 326072 327079 331081
      334080 339078
 0.50 280972 278966 276960 274956 270949 267945 264947 263952
      263956 265962 268966 271972 272974 275975 280972
 1.00 500232 501227 501225 500221 498219 497215 495215 494214
      491213 487212 485215 486220 490220 491222 493225 494228
      496231 498233 500232
 1.00 498151 498150 497148 496148 495147 494148 494150 495151
      496152 497152 498151
 1.00 494169 494165 493163 490162 488162 487160 483160 482163
      483166 484171 485172 489173 490172 493171 494169
 1.00 484214 482213 481212 479213 479215 480216 481218 483217
      484215 484214
 1.00 470220 470216 468213 462213 458215 453216 447216 442216
      433220 427220 423222 425225 430228 435233 432237 428238
      423236 418232 412231 409235 407235 404234 398236 398237
      401240 402237 413243 421249 425251 430250 438244 449242
      453241 454240 455236 450233 450229 452228 457227 461227
      470220
 1.00 409218 408217 407216 405217 406218 408218 409218
 1.00 405215 402213 399211 398208 396205 394204 391203 387203
      390206 392208 393210 395212 398215 399216 401215 405215
 1.50 490168 489166 488166 487167 487168 489169 490168
 1.50 469217 468216 466216 465216 466217 468218 469217
 1.50 464221 464216 461215 456217 449218 441217 436222 429223
      430224 433227 437229 440227 444228 450227 455224 463223
      464221
 1.50 429245 429241 428240 425238 421237 418235 415234 414234
      412238 415241 417242 420245 423246 427246 429245
 2.00 463221 463218 461217 460218 459219 457219 456218 455218
      455221 457221 459221 460222 462221 463221
 2.00 450222 448220 447220 445219 444218 443218 443217 443220
      443222 444225 446225 448225 449224 450223 450222
 2.00 428243 428242 426241 424239 423239 423238 421238 420238
      419238 418237 416236 415239 417240 419240 420242 421243
      422244 424244 425243 427243 428243

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 485339 491303 496299 501294 511287 512286 514281 517272
      519263 520251 519242 520237 523235 532230 535221 537217
      537210 536201 533195 531190 531185 531175 529167 526161
      522156 519151 507144 502141 496136 485126 478122 475120
      473119 473116 476109 479101 482101 485105 489111 495112
      498107 498100 498094 501091 506090 509092 513093 519093
      523090 526088 530089 537089 541089 544088 550083 553078
      555070 552061 551058 548056 543052 537049 532047 526046
      520043 514043 507042 503044 498044 493046 490050 482053
      475055 468055 464057 461057 457059 454059 449062 451066
      459067 462068 463070 462072 463077 464085 465088 463091
      461094 458094 455088 451087 448088 445090 442090 438092
      434091 426087 423089 424096 427100 423104 415105 410102
      407103 405105 403113 398117 390116 390119 392121 397118
      401119 403123 409126 410122 419123 427125 438121 440123
      439129 436135 434139 431141 427139 425136 422132 417129
      415130 413133 410140 394163 392167 391172 392177 395179
      401183 406188 410190 416185 420184 421186 424188 426192
      424201 417200 412202 413207 417213 417217 414214 406211
      403206 390195 378188 372185 364184 357184 349185 347191
      348194 351193 356190 358189 362190 370193 374194 375197
      380202 387207 393213 399217 405220 407223 405226 402227
      398226 394226 392228 390229 391234 396245 402248 407251
      410254 409259 408269 410277 412286 416300 420306 418312
 0.01 480337 480334 478334 476333 475332 473331 472331 470330
      468330 467331
 0.01 519223 519217 517215 515217 512215 511209 510202 506196
      503195 501196 498198 499203 501207 506213 508218 513223
      516224 519223
 0.01 494194 490187 484182 476180 470183 467186 465187 458190
      456193 457198 465200 472199 479199 486198 492196 494194
 0.01 471925 470915 467912 460917 453922 448922 441922 433916
      429916 425918 414928 405936 402940 401945 402957 402960
      399960 394961 387964 380968 370974 362977 357974 354970
      352965 356963 365959 369957 373954 377948 377942 375938
      368916 364914 357914 353914 349917 342921 335930 333942
      332944 330943 327941 320938 312934 289880 283879 279881
      279887 281892 282904 282912 278915 271918 267920 262920
      252919 247920 244923 239927 237932 239940 244948 245960
      246970 253974 273980 279981 284984 289991 293998 299998
      304996 309994 314994 319993 325993 330993 334995 337997
      338004 340008 345009 349005 351000 371997 378993 387991
      390989 396989 408989 415990 420988 429985 435978 442971
      447966 452959 455957 459952 464944 469933 471925
 0.01 454081 455078 453078 451075 450075 448075 446075 444075
      443077 441079 442082 444082 446082 447082 449083 451083
      453083 454081 454081
 0.01 445176 444175 442174 441173 439173 437173 436174 435175
      434176 434179 433181 433183 432186 433188 435191 436189
      437187 437184 439182 440182 441180 442180 443179 443178
      445176
 0.01 426060 425054 421053 420054 417053 420048 423044 426039
      426033 424029 418029 414031 408038 400046 397048 394052
      391057 387059 382061 380066 375064 369062 365065 367069
      371073 373078 377087 381090 386090 390086 390082 406094
      411092 413086 417076 423067 426060
 0.01 342175 343171 343168 339167 336166 332166 328165 327165
      323167 324170 328171 331171 335172 337170 339172 340175
      342175
 0.01 314028 314026 312026 310025 308025 308026 306027 306028
      305029 304030 303031 302032 303034 304034 305034 306033
      308032 310032 312030 314029 314028
 0.01 308814 303806 295801 277794 267791 260791 255793 245798
      242801 240805 238816 237822 238826 241830 248829 250826
      253825 255826 262832 267835 271835 266815 273809 279809
      284810 291816 296819 299819 304819 306818 308814
 0.25 451325 454320 457314 460300 460295 460291 462288 468282
      472279 474276 475272 477266 480264 486261 489262 490261
      490255 487249 486242 481232 478228 474229 471227 474224
      478225 479223 481223 487224 491227 494238 498247 497252
      496254 496262 497267 499272 504273 506270 506258 510255
      511250 509244 507239 502228 501225 500218 497212 494209
      489206 483204 467210 447214 438214 430217 426220 424225
      422231 418232 414235 412238 413242 415246 419249 423253
      423260 422273 428293 430299 430306 430316
 0.25 525193 524184 523177 517166 514160 510155 503154 500160
      496161 491160 481153 475151 471146 467142 463138 458133
      453136 449140 446143 439143 435149 434153 435157 437160
      447165 450168 452169 455166 460163 463164 470165 476165
      480166 485170 488175 493178 502181 508184 512188 516192
      519194 523194 525193
 0.25 495148 494143 492139 489135 486132 483130 478128 474128
      473136 475140 480142 482143 485145 488147 493148 495148
 0.25 462109 460103 455099 453097 450097 445098 439099 435103
      435110 437113 440114 444118 446120 450120 455117 458113
      462109
 0.25 425160 425156 424153 422151 421149 418149 417154 416156
      414158 412161 411164 410169 413170 415169 418168 420167
      422165 424162 425160
 0.25 358945 357943 355942 354942 352942 350942 348943 347945
      347947 348949 350949 352949 354949 355948 356947 357946
      358945
 0.25 316958 314952 310948 302941 292936 279934 272934 265935
      263940 264945 268956 271962 272966 274968 279969 286968
      291966 297965 303964 310963 315961 316958
 0.25 249806 249804 248804 247805 245807 245808 245809 245810
      247810 248808 249808 249806
 0.50 513173 513171 512169 511168 510167 509167 508167 506168
      504168 504171 505172 507172 509173 510174 512174 513173
 0.50 502238 498228 498222 496216 489211 481208 474211 466214
      451216 442217 438219 435222 432225 430229 428233 424234
      420236 417238 416241 417243 423244 427246 430248 433251
      434257 432262 432268 434278 436282 440283 444283 443287
      437295 435301 434305 435309 439313 443314 447313 450310
      452306 454299 453294 452289 449285 447283 454278 461272
      469255 472250 476248 478245 477240 475236 471233 467230
      466227 473221 480220 490222 493225 495231 497237 501239
      502238
 0.50 488139 487137 487136 486135 484133 483132 481131 479132
      478132 477133 477134 477135 478137 479137 480138 482139
      484139 485140 487140 488139
 0.50 470158 470155 469151 468148 466146 463145 460146 458148
      457150 457154 458156 461158 463159 466160 469160 470158
 0.50 457157 457155 455154 453154 452153 451154 450156 450158
      450161 451161 452163 454162 456159 457157
 0.50 448158 449156 448155 446153 445152 443151 442149 440147
      439148 438151 438153 439156 441157 442158 444158 446159
      448158 448158
 0.50 451110 452107 451105 449104 448102 446101 444103 442106
      440108 439110 440111 442112 443113 445113 447113 449112
      450110 451110
 0.50 305954 301949 296945 289941 281940 274941 272945 272948
      274956 277962 282964 286963 293960 299958 303956 305954
 1.00 462223 462222 460222 460223 462223 462223
 1.00 450242 450239 449238 448236 446238 445238 444239 444240
      445241 447242 449242 450242

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 452325 456319 459315 464312 468308 472305 477302 482301
      486300 492297 495293 499291 506293 511293 525257 521247
      517236 517232 518226 521219 525214 529213 534210 536205
      537199 536193 536184 537173 535155 534148 533144 528133
      523122 520117 517116 516122 514128 513136 511143 508143
      501134 492126 475116 469115 464120 458130 455135 452138
      447139 443140 435147 431152 428160 425160 422155 420152
      417155 414160 412161 412164 415177 413190 414196 416200
      418207 419209 418213 416222 414225 410225 404232 400232
      399239 402245 402252 404259 408264 410268 415272 419274
      424275 429274 432274 433277 432287 431295 431302 432308
      434314 438319
 0.01 556059 556053 555050 550042 541030 536027 532026 528026
      517030 504036 499040 496049 495052 495056 497060 499062
      506063 510061 514062 520061 529062 535064 543065 548064
      554061 556059
 0.01 528854 527846 524843 516841 499838 480848 462861 454866
      446869 439874 436878 433880 428884 423887 418886 413884
      409882 403881 399880 393882 363901 352905 347906 347896
      347894 345886 343880 339879 320877 316877 312879 305879
      301877 294870 288866 285863 279856 275853 270853 268858
      269865 269870 271875 275882 277887 278894 281905 284910
      287914 301929 305931 307933 306934 302936 297935 292933
      290933 282937 280942 278949 277953 278958 280964 283969
      290977 294980 296985 297990 296997 296003 298006 301010
      305011 327008 336003 342000 347004 351005 356005 364001
      372997 378992 388986 393983 397981 405981 412980 417980
      436974 442971 450965 454963 459960 466955 478950 487946
      494939 500933 506926 511918 513913 517910 520905 522898
      525893 526889 523886 524883 525876 524871 525863 528854
 0.01 482067 481062 479059 476056 471053 468053 464055 463057
      464060 467063 472066 476067 479069 482067 482067
 0.01 457118 457112 456108 455100 448095 441093 437098 432102
      426108 426115 428118 432119 436119 439117 446116 451122
      455122 457118 457118
 0.01 316796 315791 311789 306790 303793 299800 295808 294813
      297817 295821 297826 303825 311831 314831 317828 315817
      314812 312807 315798 316796
 0.01 285802 278798 269794 267789 267785 268777 267771 265767
      262765 257767 255773 253782 251788 245789 240791 237794
      235800 235806 236812 237816 239824 241828 246827 249824
      252819 256818 261826 264829 267827 270816 272815 273818
      275824 278832 277819 284804 285802
 0.25 522267 516244 513227 511221 511213 511206 515203 519203
      523202 527198 528191 527182 525176 519166 513158 509153
      504150 498149 491146 482142 478139 474139 465142 458143
      454147 440160 440168 440173 438177 436182 432187 429191
      432194 437192 439197 441203 442206 440209 430212 425215
      423219 423227 421230 411234 409237 408241 409249 411254
      416257 427260 432261 438260 440261 442264 443272 442281
      445286 447292 448298 451303 455304 457303 462300 469294
      477291 486285 496283 500281 505282 511284 516283
 0.25 507859 507856 503855 498854 494856 489859 483862 479866
      478869 479873 486872 491870 497868 502865 506862 507859
 0.25 471191 472188 472186 472185 470184 469183 467184 466187
      465187 464189 463190 462191 461193 461194 461195 462197
      464197 465196 467196 468195 469195 471193 471191 471191
 0.25 486914 487910 487904 485898 483891 479888 473885 467883
      460885 454886 443889 433894 421898 415900 410900 403899
      397900 386903 374907 362912 344923 339926 333930 324937
      320941 317943 312947 307948 295952 292954 292957 294964
      298973 302977 307979 313981 314987 318993 324995 331995
      336995 346991 353990 359991 362989 366989 372985 410961
      427950 433947 438948 443950 450952 455948 459944 468940
      478935 484932 484928 481927 477925 479922 486914
 0.25 330913 330911 330909 329909 328908 327909 326911 328911
      329913 330913 330913
 0.25 317903 314898 309894 301886 294878 286869 283866 279866
      276867 276871 277874 280879 282885 284893 286897 291902
      299909 304911 308911 317903
 0.25 268800 264794 260791 256791 249793 245797 245805 241808
      242815 246815 249809 254807 261805 265802 268800
 0.50 513271 515263 516256 513245 507219 505208 504202 504195
      506190 508185 512181 510174 505166 497161 486157 482155
      476152 472149 467149 464152 465158 468162 471167 477169
      480175 482184 482188 478192 472199 468202 463204 457203
      453204 452208 448212 438212 430217 427221 428225 431229
      432234 427237 422236 418235 414236 411241 412245 414250
      417253 423255 429257 439256 445257 447261 448272 450277
      455280 460283 465284 500277 503276 507276 511274 513271
 0.50 520186 519183 518182 516182 515182 515184 516185 517187
      519187 520186
 0.50 462183 463179 463174 458170 455167 451162 447165 444174
      444179 446186 449191 454191 460188 462183
 0.50 457908 453905 450903 443901 438899 434899 425902 410908
      404908 398910 390913 375918 355923 348927 341931 333936
      327943 318955 310962 308964 309969 315973 320979 326986
      331987 335986 371981 377976 384973 392968 398963 401959
      403955 403949 405947 410945 414947 421947 427941 433937
      438935 437927 440923 444921 448919 452917 454911 457908
 0.50 308899 306895 302893 298891 294889 291888 287891 288893
      291896 295898 299901 301901 306900 308899
 1.00 506261 508251 508244 506234 504227 501214 498205 496200
      489197 485197 478200 473203 454213 449216 444217 441217
      440219 444225 443230 439235 436241 434244 431245 418241
      421248 426252 431253 437253 443251 446252 448255 455265
      462265 468265 472268 478271 486272 492273 501270 505265
      506261
 1.00 427921 423918 417918 411920 403921 397922 392924 382929
      371928 362929 357931 348934 341937 336941 330949 327956
      325961 325967 326973 330977 337979 344979 350978 362974
      370969 379961 387954 397947 406941 416933 421928 427921
 1.50 499263 501260 501256 500251 503236 497215 494210 491208
      487205 482203 475206 467210 463211 460214 452218 454231
      446233 442236 440240 441244 447250 456256 474259 480264
      490266 495266 499263
 1.50 418926 417923 415923 411924 406926 402931 398933 393933
      382937 376938 373935 363939 357938 351939 345941 341943
      335950 332956 331962 331969 334973 338976 343974 350969
      352968 354971 355973 359972 365967 375961 389949 396942
      397940 401938 405937 412932 418926
 2.00 496257 494248 490240 488236 484233 481229 480227 481224
      488224 492222 492217 487209 481207 477207 471211 463214
      461217 457219 455221 460225 461228 460231 452234 448234
      445236 443237 443241 446246 449248 453250 465252 481257
      488259 492261 496259 496257
 2.00 391943 392940 391939 389940 388942 386943 384945 384946
      383947 382949 384950 386950 386949 388948 388947 389946
      390945 391943 391943
 2.00 379952 375949 368949 364951 361953 360949 357945 352945
      346947 341951 335960 334964 335968 339972 343969 346963
      348958 354955 358953 360956 362958 364960 370958 379952
 3.00 482247 482242 481239 476235 469234 464234 458236 453236
      448239 448242 452243 457244 464245 469244 476246 482247
 3.00 483217 483214 482212 481212 479212 477212 476212 475213
      474214 475217 477217 478216 480217 482217 483217

$$





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