Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 180815
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
415 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2014


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 18/1200 UTC THRU APR 21/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

NRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION INTO THE UPR MS VALLEY...

MODELS SHOWED REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT HERE WITH PROGRESSION OF
S/WV TROF ACRS THE CAN/U.S. BORDER REGION TOWARD THE NRN PLAINS
REGION BY SAT MRNG.  BEST MID LEVEL FORCING WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED
PCPN ACRS SRN CANADA..WHILE INCREASING WAA AND IMPROVING LOW LEVEL
MSTR WILL HELP EXPAND OVERRUNNING PCPN OVER NRN PORTIONS OF THE
UPR MS VALLEY FRI NIGHT.  A GENL MODEL BLEND WAS USED HERE GIVEN
REASONABLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT..SUPPORTING SOME .25 TO .50 INCH
AMOUNTS OVER NRN MN. TAIL END OF S/WV TROF AND RT ENTRANCE REGION
LIFT COMBINED WITH MODEST SWLY FLOW WILL HELP FOCUS SOME .25 INCH
AMOUNTS EARLY IN THE PD ACRS THE HIER TERRAIN OF WRN WY.


SOUTHEAST U.S...

A VERY WET TO PSBLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EVENT WILL CONTINUE TO
UNFOLD ACRS THE SE ON FRI THRU SAT AS S/WV ENERGY DROPPING SEWD
FROM THE CNTL U.S. GRADUALLY CLOSES OFF OVER THE SE U.S.  OUT
AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE..DEEP SUBROPICAL MSTR WILL CONTINUE TO BE
DRAWN NW FROM THE ERN GULF AHEAD OF DVLPG SFC LOW THAT IS EXPECTED
TO TRACK ENEWD ALONG WARM FRONT THAT WILL LIFT ACRS NRN FL ON FRI.
 PWS OF UP TO 2.0 INCHES WHICH WILL BE CLOSE TO 3 STDS ABOVE
NORMAL WILL BE FUNNELED INTO THE ERN GULF COAST AND SE STATES WITH
VERY CONVERGENT 85H FLOW TO THE EAST OF THE SFC LOW.  AS MID LEVEL
LOW CLOSES OFF...EXPECTED STGR COMMA HEAD PCPN BAND TO DVLP TO THE
NORTH SIDE OF THE LOW WHILE HEAVIER CONVECTIVE RAINS TEND TO TRACK
ENEWD ACRS NRN FL THROUGH ERN GA AND COASTAL SC.  THE COMBO OF
UNSEASONABLY HI MSTR..SLOW MOVEMENT..INCREASING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT
AND MODEST INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN WIDEPSREAD HEAVY RAINFALL
ACRS MUCH OF NRN FL INTO SE AL..MOST OF CNTL/SRN GA..SC..AND SRN
NC.  STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACRS THIS AREA WILL RANGE FROM 2
TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLD HEAVIER AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 6 INCHES LIKELY
IN STGR SLOW MOVING CONVECTIVE BANDS.  THE GFS CONTINUED TO BE A
BIT FARTHER NORTH THAN MODEL CONSENSUS..WHILE A BLEND OF THE
NAM..EC..AND CANADIAN MASS FIELDS WERE GENLY IN AGREEMENT WITH ONE
ANOTHER TAKING MID LEVEL LOW ACRS THE FL PANHANDLE REGION INTO SW
GA BY SAT MRNG.  RELIED HEAVILIY ON THE LATTER ALONG WITH HIGH RES
WRF ARW RUN.

SW U.S...

RATHER DRY UPR TROF OVER THE SW U.S. WILL PUSH EWD INTO THE DESERT
SW REGION BY THE END OF THE PD.  WLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE LOW ALONG
WITH DIFFLUENC ALOFT WILL SUPPORT SOME GENLY LIGHT SHWRS ACRS THE
4 CORNERS REGION.  CONFIDENCE IN PCPN DETAILS IS RATHER LOW HERE
BUT MODELS GENLY FORECAST LIGHT AMOUNTS.  GENLY FOLLOWED AN
ENSEMBLE APCH.


DAYS 2/3...


...MID ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST...

A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES ON DAY
2 WILL TRUNDLE EAST NORTHEAST THROUGH DAY 3...REACHING A POSITION
WELL EAST OF THE NC BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE 00Z GFS
CONTINUES TO BE TOO FAR NORTH WITH ITS MID LEVEL SYSTEM (AND
SURFACE LOW)...ESPECIALLY ON DAY 2...WHILE THE 00Z NAM WEAKENS THE
CIRCULATION TOO QUICKLY. THE 00Z ECMWF WAS CONSISTENT WITH ITS
PREDECESSORS WITH ITS HANDLING OF THE CLOSED LOW...AND ITS QPF WAS
USED A THE BASIS FOR THE WPC QPF ON DAYS 2 AND 3.

THE CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW FORMS OVER WESTERN FL AT THE BEGINNING OF
DAY 2. A 20 TO 30 KNOT LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW NORTH OF THE CLOSED
MID LEVEL SYSTEM WILL TRANSPORT PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN
1.25 TO 1.50 INCHES TO THE COASTS OF NC/SC DURING THE SECOND HALF
OF THE PERIOD. THE BEST INSTABILITY FOLLOWS THE PRECIPITABLE WATER
AXIS INTO EASTERN GA...EASTERN SC AND MUCH OF EASTERN NC. MODEL
SOUNDINGS IN NC/SC SHOW THAT THE INSTABILITY BECOMES ELEVATED JUST
AWAY FROM THE COAST...AS MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN. THE ABOVE
SUGGESTS CONVECTION WITH ACCESS TO HIGHER MOISTURE CONTENT
AIR...LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN.

MEMBERS OF BOTH THE 00Z GEFS AND LATEST ECMWF ENSEMBLE OUTPUT SHOW
SUPPORT FOR 2+ INCHES OF RAIN ALONG THE SC/NC BORDER NEAR THE
COAST...BUT MOST OF THE SUPPORT FOR HEAVY RAIN REMAINS OFFSHORE.
THE 00Z ECMWF SHOWED AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF
EXTENDING INTO EASTERN GA...THE EASTERN HALF OF SC...AS WELL AS
THE EASTERN HALF OF NC. A STRIPE OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF WAS
PLACED ALONG THE SC AND NC COASTS...WITH 2+ INCH QPF VALUES
REMAINING OFFSHORE.

THE LOW LEVEL EAST NORTHEAST FLOW INCREASES TO 30 TO 40 KNOTS NEAR
THE BEGINNING OF DAY 3...AS THE SURFACE LOW DEEPENS AND MOVES
SLOWLY EAST NORTHEAST. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES PEAK NEAR 1.50
INCHES EARLY AS WELL...AS THE BEST AXIS OF INSTABILITY AGAIN
MIRRORS THE PRECIPITABLE WATER AXIS. THE BEST INSTABILITY REMAINS
OFFSHORE...BUT THE LOW TO MID LEVEL EAST NORTHEAST FLOW SHOULD
BRING 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF TO COASTAL NC...WITH AMOUNTS
CLOSER TO 0.75 INCHES LIMITED TO THE OUTER BANKS.


...CENTRAL PLAINS/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES...

SHORT WAVES EMBEDDED IN A LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL PUSH A SLOW MOVING
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS ON DAY
2...AND ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES ON DAY 3. THERE WAS
GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE OVERALL
EVOLUTION OF THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN (WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE 00Z
NAM...WHICH IS FASTER WITH THE PROGRESSION). THEREFORE...THE QPF
WAS BASED PRIMARILY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

ON DAY 2...THE COLD FRONT STRETCHES FROM MN THROUGH THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO WESTERN OK. AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND LONG WAVE
TROUGH...A DEVELOPING 25 TO 35 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO TRANSPORT PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1.25 INCHES
INTO NE AND IA...SOUTH INTO WESTERN OK AND WEST TX. MODEL
SOUNDINGS OVER NE SHOW MARGINAL INSTABILITY WITH STEEPENING MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES. THE COMBINATION OF LIFT AND INSTABILITY SHOULD
PRODUCE AREAS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS EASTERN NE INTO
WESTERN IA...AND ACROSS SOUTHWEST TX.

FURTHER NORTH...THE HIGHER MOISTURE AIR RIDES UP AND OVER THE
COOLER AIR IN PLACE NORTH OF A WARM FRONT OVER THE GREAT LAKES.
MODEL SOUNDINGS HERE SHOWED SOME ELEVATED INSTABILITY...WITH MOST
OF THE LIFT FOCUSED OVER NORTHEAST MN...NORTHERN WI AND THE UP OF
MI. IN THESE AREAS...A LARGE AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF
WAS PLACED. THESE QPF VALUES WERE GENERALLY LESS THAN THE MODEL
CONSENSUS...AND CLOSER TO THE 00Z ECMWF SOLUTION.

THE COLD FRONT MOVES TO A POSITION STRETCHING FROM THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES INTO EASTERN OK BY THE END OF DAY 3. THE 20 TO 30 KNOT LOW
LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO PUMP PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1.25
INCHES NORTH INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST. THE BEST
INSTABILITY AXIS ALMOST MIRRORS THE AXIS OF HIGHEST PRECIPITABLE
WATER...AND MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL TO MODERATE
INSTABILITY WITH STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ACROSS OK...KS INTO
NE. THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND STABILITY SHOULD RESULT IN A
BROKEN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THIS AREA...PRODUCING A LARGE SWATH
OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF.

HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS...BETWEEN 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES...WERE PLACED
OVER CENTRAL KS NEAR THE COLD FRONT...AND ACROSS NORTHERN
IA...SOUTHERNMOST MN INTO CENTRAL WI AND THE NORTHERN UP OF MI.
THE QPF IN THESE PLACES WAS A COMBINATION OF RAINFALL ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WARM FRONT AND COLD FRONT. THE QPF VALUES WERE BELOW THE
THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES...WHICH GENERALLY RANGED
BETWEEN 1.50 AND 2.50 INCHES.


...GREAT BASIN/SOUTHERN ROCKIES/SOUTHWEST...

A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES CROSSING THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN
ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON DAY 2 WILL PROVIDE LIFT FOR
QPF. THERE WAS FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT AMONG THE 00Z MODEL SUITE
WITH RESPECT TO THE TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF THE SHORT WAVES...SO
THE QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

A LOW LEVEL SOUTHEAST FLOW AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVES SHOULD BOOST
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 0.50 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND NM. FURTHER WEST... PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
SHOULD HOVER BETWEEN 0.25 AND 0.50 INCHES. THE COMBINATION OF LIFT
FROM THE SHORT WAVES AND THE INSTABILITY PRODUCED BY MID LEVEL
LASE RATES STEEPENING TO BETWEEN 7 AND 8 C/KM SHOULD MAKE THE MOST
OF THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE TO PRODUCE AT LEAST SCATTERED
CONVECTION. AREAS OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF WERE PLACED ACROSS
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CENTRAL NV...SOUTHERN NM AND THE ROCKIES IN
CO. WHERE PRECIPTABLE WATER VALUES TOP OUT OVER 0.50 INCHES...THE
CONVECTION SHOULD BE MORE PERSISTENT...AS THE INFLOW SUSTAINS
IT...AND A LARGE AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS
SOUTHEAST NM.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES...

A SHORT WAVE CROSSING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES
ON DAY 2 SHOULD PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT FOR QPF. THERE WAS GENERALLY
GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF THE SHORT
WAVE...SO THE QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

THE STRONG SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS WA/OR DURING THE SECOND HALF OF
THE PERIOD...REACHING THE NORTHERN ROCKIES BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...A LOW LEVEL WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW
TRANSPORTS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES PEAKING NEAR 0.75 INCHES TO
THE WA/OR COAST...FOCUSING THE MOISTURE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
ACCORDINGLY...A STRIPE OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS STRETCHED
ACROSS THE OLYMPIC RANGE (WITH A MAXIMUM OF 0.75 INCHES PLACED
NEAR MOUNT RAINIER). A SECONDARY MAXIMUM OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF
QPF WAS PLACED OVER THE WA CASCADES.

THE MOISTURE SOURCE WANES CONSIDERABLY AS THE SHORT WAVE REACHES
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES LATE. THE COMBINATION OF STEEPENING MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND LOCAL UPSLOPE FLOW WILL MAKE THE MOST OF THE
MEAGER MOISTURE IN PLACE TO PRODUCE A STRIPE OF 0.10 TO 0.25
INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT RANGE IN MT.


SULLIVAN/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 562079 563067 562058 562054 560050 556042 553037 552032
      552027 550012 545998 539984 532971 529964 526957 519945
      512933 499913 492902 487896 481893 477889 473885 469885
      467887 464893 462910 461921 458928 456934 454940 449953
      446961 445964 445969 445973 447976 450978 451972 455974
      459977 461980 460983 457988 456008 460009 462011 466013
      466019 467027 467032 465035 462040 460045 456052 454057
      454064 452070 451072 453076 458081 463080 467078 470076
      472078 470087 467092 462098 460100 457098 453095 448095
      438090 436093 434093 429087 425088 424090 427096 413117
      386161 380174 376178 373179 368178 364177 361178 359183
      365188 370192 376196 380199 386203 390204 392202 392197
      389191 386187 385184 385180 389174 392173 395173 403161
      407156 410148 413141 415137 416142 415147 413150 412159
      412167 417164 427139 435127 441125 445131 447134 447138
      446140 447144 445147 442149 439151 439154 442157 444157
      447155 451156 454155 458155 462156 463159 466167 469170
      475172 480175 486177 492181 498193 502199 508203 519210
      523210 529213 534212 536210 538205 541185 534176 532168
      530160 531153 532149 535138 541122 543116 546112 551108
      553102 554098 556094 559093 561093
 0.01 512287 513282 512276 509270 505263 501256 496250 493252
      492258 493267 496275 499283 501286 505289 510290 512287
 0.01 510644 496659 489665 477671 469678 466682 464686 457694
      452705 447715 444726 443732 443735 440738 436741 434744
      428755 424764 424770 421777 417783 420788 423792 429799
      420820 415830 414841 414844 416847 422846 430841 442826
      455809 480775 490772 499767 504764 508760 514752 516747
      518740 519728 518719 519711 515696 515691 516688 518682
      519676 519668
 0.01 510246 512238 511231 509225 506220 503216 499213 495209
      490207 485207 479208 473214 473219 477217 482217 488220
      494228 500237 501244 504249 508248 510246
 0.01 504829 503816 498816 493817 488823 484831 481842 480847
      481852 485859 489861 492861 495858 498853 502844 503839
      503831 504829
 0.01 480244 480241 479239 479237 478236 478234 476233 474233
      473234 472236 471239 472239 473241 474242 474243 476244
      478245 479244 480244
 0.01 491132 491126 489123 486116 485107 483100 478100 473106
      474109 473112 470118 465116 462117 460119 458122 456126
      457130 457135 457141 460143 466144 471150 478148 480146
      479144 472142 470139 470134 470128 471125 479126 485129
      488132 491132
 0.01 471728 468727 466726 463726 462728 460731 459736 458739
      456742 460742 461740 464738 466736 467733 469731 471728
 0.01 458744 456742 455743 454745 455746 457745 458744
 0.01 453081 451078 450075 448073 446072 445070 442067 440067
      439069 440072 443074 444077 446077 448080 451080 453081
 0.01 418137 418135 417132 415134 415137 416139 418137
 0.01 395112 394107 390104 388098 389091 389084 387079 392077
      390073 387070 382067 373064 369062 367056 367052 366050
      363047 360043 357040 348037 323034 301029 293025 285020
      271009 266010 265014 267025 268030 271036 275042 281051
      285060 289069 291073 294077 296080 303081 314082 328092
      339109 341114 343120 345129 346134 349139 354140 358136
      367119 370115 374116 377121 381124 386115 392114 395112
 0.01 373724 372719 371718 369718 367716 367712 369698 368693
      366691 361688 353690 346694 329713 325718 321723 314736
      307747 298756 294760 288764 276772 256787 247796 239806
      235811 232817 231823 232832 235846 232848 231851 231856
      233859 233862 233870 236875 241878 244880 249880 257879
      264880 272880 277880 279882 283887 289899 289904 291906
      298909 304912 312911 317909 322905 328894 331887 334879
      341869 349856 352851 354846 358829 360812 362795 364780
      365762 366744 370734 373724
 0.01 360107 361101 358096 356093 354091 351093 349095 347099
      345102 346105 348108 351112 353115 355116 356113 359109
      360107
 0.01 355080 354078 354077 354075 353073 352073 351071 351070
      349069 348068 346068 344068 342070 344072 345074 347076
      347077 349079 350079 352081 354082 355080
 0.25 542078 543071 542066 541055 539042 537032 533024 532013
      529002 526994 523984 520975 516965 512957 496928 491921
      487914 485910 481907 476908 474910 472914 471921 471934
      474944 478952 487966 487980 489990 494997 496006 498018
      499031 501052 503062 507071 511079 514082 517084 525087
      528090 532091 535089 538086 541081 542078
 0.25 515171 514166 511160 509154 508150 504149 503151 502155
      502163 500170 502176 506182 510183 513179 515171
 0.25 497719 497717 496714 496712 496709 495708 493707 492709
      491711 490712 490713 489716 490719 491720 493720 495721
      496720 497719
 0.25 472758 472756 471753 469753 469754 468755 466757 465760
      463762 463765 464766 466767 467766 469764 470762 471761
      472759 472758
 0.25 446111 446109 446107 445106 444104 443102 441101 439101
      437102 436102 436105 436107 437108 438110 440111 442111
      443112 445112 446111
 0.25 357794 358788 357781 355769 352760 353755 351755 349751
      343752 336756 328760 319765 287781 279785 272789 265795
      259801 254807 250814 246822 245827 247831 254837 255841
      255844 252852 252859 255862 288871 302880 310883 316882
      320880 327874 332869 337862 342855 347847 350839 353828
      354819 357794
 0.50 534069 533058 532050 531045 529036 527023 525014 523010
      521004 514988 510981 504975 499978 500985 501990 502001
      504014 507037 508048 509053 511058 520072 525076 531073
      534069
 0.50 491942 490937 488932 486927 484922 482918 479917 477920
      477927 478932 479937 482942 485944 489945 491942
 0.50 353791 352780 348772 343765 340764 336764 328767 321770
      304777 290784 275793 270798 265803 261810 260814 261819
      268821 275820 278821 278826 273832 265845 263852 264856
      267858 275861 282862 290866 295870 303874 310876 315876
      319874 325870 336859 340853 344845 347836 349827 352808
      353791
 1.00 347796 347786 344781 339776 333775 321778 307783 284795
      279798 276803 275806 276810 282811 287815 286821 279832
      276837 274843 275847 277850 282853 293858 301866 307869
      312869 324864 332856 339845 343833 345818 346806 347796
 1.50 343794 342787 338784 333783 329783 322783 318785 309791
      300796 292802 293807 292811 292817 290822 284831 282836
      281842 284847 288849 296855 302862 306865 312866 317864
      321862 329855 334846 338836 339831 340824 340811 342802
      343794
 2.00 338797 338794 337791 333789 324790 319791 310796 303800
      298807 296811 296817 292824 290834 289841 287846 290848
      298853 303858 310863 314862 318860 324855 329848 333839
      336830 336821 335815 335811 337799 338797
 3.00 325810 325804 323801 318801 315802 309807 307808 304812
      303818 302824 302827 303829 309833 312834 311837 308837
      305836 302836 299838 294842 292845 294846 300849 305853
      311854 318849 320843 324838 326832 325827 322825 320821
      321814 325810
 4.00 318808 317808 315808 314809 313810 312811 311812 310814
      309816 310817 312816 312815 313814 314813 315812 316811
      317810 318808
 4.00 307844 307843 305842 306844 307845 307844

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 569974 567979 565980 562982 557983 550988 547998 544002
      543008 542017 539025 534033 532035 528035 520033 514030
      509025 508019 507014 507008 506003 501985 499975 493969
      481955 468951 461953 458955 455959 450965 444972 436984
      428997 425003 424006 420007 418010 416016 418022 420025
      425027 426032 426038 425042 422044 421047 424048 423058
      418063 417069 415071 413073 412076 412078 416085 415094
      416098 415104 412109 409117 407121 404124 400124 395122
      392121 389122 386125 384129 384132 387135 391137 395136
      398135 403135 406137 406142 404146 402149 400152 399157
      398162 394166 388169 379167 376166 374164 374159 375156
      377154 378151 372136 368133 363133 354134 350135 346133
      342125 336120 334118 333114 332110 333105 334102 332099
      329097 321100 318104 320107 323109 322114 322119 320121
      317121 315117 311112 306107 299103 296101 296098 295088
      299079 295070 292063 288058 278055 276050 276037 269033
      266031 268029 281025 280016 278013 280011 282009 283006
      282003 278002 272003 268004 263003 260002 257999 261993
      270992 277989 286989 295985 303985 307985 310983 311979
      312975 315969 319964 323958 326955 329954 339954 347958
      352965 356967 360967 364967 368970 372974 379978 384978
      386976 392972 401961 403957 403951 407945 416932 421927
      424918 429909 428901 427896 426890 428886 431878 434870
      434859 438852 441843 445835 450830 457825 461821 470811
      475805 484802 489802 493803 501806 506810 511816 521826
      530838 535843 539849 544853 548861 552868 555876 562891
      565896 567902
 0.01 525256 517240 511225 504210 504206 505201 512200 516203
      518207 520216 524224 526226 529226 531224 532218 531213
      532207 538205 538199 538195 536191 532183 524171 513160
      503151 500143 497138 495135 488132 484127 480125 476125
      471129 466134 463135 459135 454142 452146 452149 450165
      450170 451174 452178 450182 448185 450185 454186 457184
      460185 462181 463176 461173 456168 455164 457161 462161
      467163 471168 475171 476174 479180 482187 485190 490191
      492194 490197 484200 471203 462211 446213 438210 429209
      426214 424225 420230 413232 407234 402242 403250 407256
      415259 422258 426260 428262 434267 437270 441271 445273
      449272 457274 464275 478283 484287 487293 490300 494304
      500307 504311
 0.01 483680 482672 478671 474670 471668 454668 450667 447669
      444672 442677 439689 438692 439699 445705 446708 446711
      444715 437723 437728 439731 443736 445741 446747 451746
      454735 458727 462716 462709 464703 466698 469695 477690
      482685 483680
 0.01 490152 490150 490148 489147 488146 486145 485145 483146
      483148 484150 484151 486153 487153 489153 490152
 0.01 412031 410029 409029 407029 405029 404030 403031 402032
      401033 400035 400037 398039 398041 399044 401044 403042
      405042 406042 408040 410038 410035 410033 412031
 0.01 405093 405092 403091 401091 400091 398090 396092 394094
      394096 395099 396099 397099 399099 401099 403097 404095
      405095 405093
 0.01 335683 333697 330702 326706 318713 310722 306727 301732
      292739 282745 271750 268752 264753 259756 258758 258762
      261768 262770 262773 260779 257784 254789 246798 244803
      243809 244815 246817 247815 251812 258809 281817 285822
      283829 282831 282835 284840 298843 303844 307848 311852
      316854 323853 327853 329851 333847 337847 339849 343853
      344856 348856 353855 356850 357843 356837 355832 356827
      360822 363816 364810 367806 371802 374796 375790 377772
      378766 381760 383755 383748 381729 382713 382699 372674
      368668 364665
 0.01 381024 382020 381017 377013 374006 371011 369016 367021
      363023 360025 359027 357030 357033 354037 352042 350048
      351050 354050 358053 360056 363056 363050 361045 362037
      364033 369031 375030 378028 381024
 0.01 357104 357102 357100 356098 356095 355093 354093 354091
      353089 351088 350090 349091 348092 348094 348097 348099
      349100 349101 350103 350104 352106 353107 355106 357104
 0.01 316097 315095 314094 314092 313091 312092 311092 309094
      307096 306098 305100 305102 306103 308104 310104 312103
      312101 312100 314099 314098 316097
 0.01 307000 307998 306996 304994 302994 301996 300996 299998
      299000 299002 299004 300005 302004 304004 305002 306002
      307000
 0.25 523264 513245 509232 504223 497214 494210 490208 485207
      480208 472214 468216 464217 458217 454218 451222 452228
      445235 442239 445243 451244 457246 471261 487276 501291
      505293 508293 513291
 0.25 541949 541942 539935 535924 531914 527907 523908 519905
      515904 511907 506898 502888 501882 498875 496871 496867
      495862 493856 487849 487840 485833 483829 479826 470824
      465825 462829 460834 456837 453840 451846 447870 447878
      447885 446888 448891 451893 453905 454908 456910 459910
      460913 462916 464924 467926 473927 482927 491931 498938
      505942 508944 511948 513962 515978 516991 517997 519003
      522006 526004 532994 534989 534983 534977 535971 538971
      538969 538960 536949 539950 541949
 0.25 509177 508177 507174 505173 504174 503174 502175 501175
      502177 503178 503179 505180 506180 507180 508178 509177
 0.25 490237 490229 487226 484223 481221 476220 473220 470223
      470228 474229 478229 480231 481234 484236 489237 490237
 0.25 428961 426954 423949 421949 419952 418959 416966 414971
      408974 405977 401982 399988 399998 399002 398007 398011
      402010 405005 410001 417993 420987 422980 425975 427968
      428961
 0.25 373701 371686 369683 365681 361680 356681 351684 347687
      327716 315729 302742 295748 287753 281758 275765 271775
      270785 271787 270789 268793 265796 264799 268802 272801
      275799 279799 287802 295807 305821 322827 331826 336824
      339821 344815 351810 356801 359791 364773 367750 370729
      373713 373707 373701
 0.25 383079 383076 383074 381073 380074 379075 379076 378078
      379079 381080 383079 383079
 0.25 345026 345021 342018 332017 325020 316022 310026 308028
      305027 297023 294022 290023 287027 286030 288037 292045
      295052 300058 306064 310065 315065 319066 323064 325061
      326056 329046 332038 339034 343031 345026
 0.25 335082 336080 334078 332078 331077 329078 327079 327081
      328082 330083 332083 334083 335082
 0.25 276795 275793 274793 274791 273789 272791 273793 274795
      275796 276795
 0.25 261801 261799 259800 259801 261801 261801
 0.50 517276 519271 518265 516260 511249 507238 505231 502226
      499221 497219 494218 491221 494228 497241 501251 504263
      501259 499254 490245 480239 478233 475233 467239 466245
      467247 470249 479256 485266 492275 500283 506286 509286
      510283 517276
 0.50 503896 503893 501891 501890 501891 501893 501896 502896
      503897 503896
 0.50 495906 495901 493897 489889 484882 484872 482862 478854
      474846 469838 466837 461839 458845 456856 455865 459867
      462865 464863 464868 466876 465882 467887 470889 471895
      470899 471904 474906 480910 487913 491912 493910 495906
 0.50 462900 462898 462896 462893 461892 461893 460895 460896
      459898 460901 460903 462901 462900
 0.50 414982 414981 412980 411980 410979 408979 407980 406982
      406984 405986 407987 408987 410987 412985 413984 414982
      414982
 0.50 369709 369703 368696 366692 364689 361688 356688 350692
      344699 340704 331716 321728 312738 300749 289757 284764
      280771 277777 277781 278786 284791 290793 295798 300804
      304811 310816 317817 324816 336806 341802 347798 354782
      356775 358768 363749 366733 369709
 0.50 324042 325036 323033 322030 320029 315033 308036 306038
      305042 302051 306057 308060 312060 311054 314051 317050
      322046 324042
 0.50 293031 292029 290028 289029 289031 290032 292033 293031
 1.00 363706 361699 355697 349700 346703 332722 318741 311750
      304759 297768 295773 295778 298785 302789 308799 312803
      317802 324795 334787 341779 345773 348768 352757 357732
      360717 363706
 1.50 356710 356706 354705 349707 343713 333728 324745 318754
      313761 308769 306773 305778 307784 311787 314789 318789
      332778 338770 343762 346752 348743 352733 354722 356710
 2.00 349722 348717 347716 343717 341719 335730 330744 327750
      324755 316766 314772 314776 316780 319782 321780 325775
      333765 340753 344741 349727 349722

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 448323 454322 459321 463319 469317 473314 477312 481309
      485305 489302 493298 496296 498297 503300 508299 512295
      523264 521256 521247 520238 515232 509227 505223 502215
      501212 502207 501204 501197 503188 507189 509191 515197
      525206 531208 535204 538200 539191 537183 532176 514158
      507147 502142 496137 487129 482125 475123 472123 470125
      472130 477135 482140 487145 489148 488153 483158 478159
      477157 473156 467156 466160 467162 472163 474162 478162
      482164 482175 487178 491183 492186 491192 488199 486203
      484205 476207 472209 467214 456216 454218 453221 455224
      457225 460227 463227 468223 474222 479223 482225 483229
      480229 478228 458234 456236 455241 457244 456249 450259
      450264 451269 450274 439282 429286 424290 419292 415294
      409298 404300 404307
 0.01 554037 555028 555021 554004 552999 549998 542000 537002
      534997 530984 527972 526964 525955 523944 519932 517923
      513913 510908 508908 503908 498906 495906 491908 489912
      486914 484914 477919 475922 474929 471939 470952 474957
      473962 467971 463982 458991 455996 454003 456005 455008
      451010 446011 441009 436008 431007 428005 426004 423006
      420006 417008 416005 421999 426992 432983 435974 440966
      447959 451947 451938 452932 455920 457908 458898 460888
      461874 463868 465864 469861 472858 477858 480857 480855
      479842 477836 475833 474825 478820 484815 489809 493805
      497801 506795 512788 514785 515782 514778 512775 508773
      499774 496773 492774 486775 482778 475780 475775 472773
      471769 470755 469747 467744 464743 462745 459748 456759
      449777 446783 445788 444795 444804 442814 441823 440829
      435851 431872 429883 427895 423903 420906 415907 412909
      407909 402907 396907 391908 388910 382915 377918 374922
      373925 370925 366923 362922 359922 348923 344925 339925
      332929 326937 324944 324950 323956 319958 317962 313971
      306977 301983 298985 295985 290985 286987 283990 275987
      269985 266985 262988 259992 257992 261994 271999 274001
      279002 283003 289004 292004 295006 300007 305015 313015
      319007 321006 323010 331009 333010 333012 330014 327018
      327023 330025 335026 345027 349030 351036 352043 355048
      362054 366057 363061 357065 360074 368076 372078 373083
      376085 381086 389092 391097 391105 385111 380112 378114
      373125 377142 379149 382152 389153 390153 391149 388127
      389125 391124 397123 400123 402121 404117 407114 410113
      412111 415113 418116 424119 431116 438112 441110 445111
      449109 452110 455104 455096 455091 454084 451075 448072
      442072 437073 434076 428082 425087 426093 426098 424101
      415103 412102 412099 410094 408089 408080 411078 413073
      416071 417063 418060 416057 415054 411052 406051 403046
      400043 396042
 0.01 396042 374043 370041 368036 367032 370029 375030 377033
      382033 387032 388026 388023 390021 397016 413008 416008
      416010 419012 422014 423019 425024 427027 436033 452040
      457040 462040 469034 472031 474028 475026 477026 479032
      482040 483044 483047 480054 478077 478084 479089 481089
      485085 488081 492079 497072 509089 513098 518104 522112
      527115 530114 538114 545109 547106 549099 549093 548087
      542078 543070 545065 549047 554037
 0.01 511069 512066 511064 510063 510061 509058 508058 506058
      505060 506062 506063 507065 509068 510070 511069
 0.01 377716 376702 373685 369663 363665 360667 350674 344680
      336686 329692 320700 305711 298717 288724 271733 260749
      256757 253765 256768 258773 260778 261785 267793 273799
      280805 286814 287819 289821 292820 294816 297817 306822
      310823 314819 314813 314810 317809 321806 324803 329795
      333792 339789 347785 354778 364760 368750 370741 373726
      377716
 0.25 517278 518257 515248 512241 508234 504232 500231 489237
      483240 478246 474253 472256 472259 471262 472267 475269
      475273 474276 476279 483278 490280 496283 504289 508290
      510288 514283 517278
 0.25 521017 521009 521004 519991 516981 510973 507972 505975
      500984 499989 498995 498002 500008 503016 507026 511029
      514030 517029 519025 521017
 0.25 464829 463820 460813 459810 456811 451819 445831 443839
      442846 441865 436883 436894 434904 433911 430916 424929
      422933 420935 412933 405934 401938 395950 388962 383967
      380969 377970 372966 368962 366944 362943 358945 352946
      349948 347952 346958 341957 339959 339963 340966 343972
      344977 341980 337975 332979 330989 330995 331999 332001
      338006 342010 369010 379003 385001 388000 392001 397006
      401006 404005 410001 414995 421982 428971 435961 440956
      442953 443948 452915 454899 456878 459860 462844 463835
      464829
 0.25 369714 369702 366689 363681 358676 352681 345687 336697
      311716 307722 305725 304729 307734 314737 320739 323742
      323748 320754 316761 312767 306774 298783 290787 291791
      295794 300797 304799 307797 313793 318787 324781 327780
      332780 339779 346776 352770 356764 367734 369723 369714
 0.25 346952 346949 345949 344949 344952 345953 346952
 0.50 513277 514270 515261 515254 514248 511242 507239 499240
      494242 490243 485244 482247 479253 481258 487267 495275
      503282 507285 511284 513277
 0.50 458844 458837 457830 453829 450833 446844 445856 444868
      440880 438904 435914 431923 424942 421945 416947 410946
      405948 398954 398959 395963 381974 377976 370975 368976
      365981 363985 364991 364997 366999 369999 377996 382990
      389986 393983 396978 405961 408959 411959 420964 424964
      427962 433957 438949 443937 446927 447916 450905 452891
      454867 458844
 0.50 420971 419970 417970 416970 414973 413975 414976 416976
      416975 417974 419973 420971
 0.50 366712 365706 364698 361688 358685 355686 348691 337703
      331711 330716 329720 331729 331740 327759 327766 330771
      337775 342773 346770 350764 355756 358747 362738 364729
      366720 366712
 0.50 366974 366972 366971 365969 364969 362969 361969 359968
      358969 359970 360972 361972 362974 363974 364974 366974
      366974
 0.50 346998 347993 348989 346987 342985 339985 336986 335988
      334993 335997 337998 339999 342001 345000 346998
 1.00 507264 509256 508251 504248 501249 497250 492250 488249
      488255 491259 494264 496267 499271 502273 506271 507266
      507264
 1.00 438930 436928 435930 435931 434933 433934 433935 432938
      433939 435939 436937 436936 437935 438933 438930 438930
 1.00 358707 355701 351702 348708 346714 343719 342725 339738
      336751 335757 336764 340767 345763 351755 352748 351742
      352735 354730 356724 358718 358707

$$





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