Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 190856
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
356 AM EST THU JAN 19 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JAN 19/1200 UTC THRU JAN 22/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...EASTERN U.S...

A LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL PIVOT OVER THE PLAINS...BRINGING A
NEGATIVELY TILTED SHORTWAVE UP THROUGH THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI...TOWARD THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS. AT 06Z
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE ONGOING IN CENTRAL MS TO CENTRAL
LA...AND OFFSHORE. WATER VAPOR LOOPS REVEALED A WELL DEFINED
SHORTWAVE TROUGH UPSTREAM OVER MEXICO...WITHIN THE PLUME OF
MID-UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE HAVING A CONNECTION TO THE TROPICAL
EASTERN PACIFIC. THIS CONNECTION SUPPORTS MODEL PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES THAT PLUME/POOL TO NEAR 1.75 INCHES. AS THE FORCING ARRIVES
EARLY TODAY...EXPECT RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE AND
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. FACTORS SUCH AS TIME OF DAY...TIME OF
YEAR...AND DEEPLY SATURATED VERTICAL PROFILES...IN OTHER WORDS
LITTLE EVAPORATIVE POTENTIAL...ALL ARGUE FOR KEEPING THE HEAVIER
SWATHS OF PRECIPITATION TIED RELATIVELY CLOSELY TO THE SYNOPTIC
FORCING. THUS...FOR PLACEMENT OF THE QPF WE TRENDED TOWARD THE
WRF-NMM AND THE GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS...TONING DOWN SOME OF THE
FORWARD PROGRESSION BUT TONING UP THE AMOUNTS. MODEL CONSENSUS
PUSHES 24-HOUR AREAL AVERAGE PRECIPITATION TO BETWEEN 2 AND 3
INCHES IN A FAIRLY BROAD ZONE FROM CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ACROSS
NORTHERN ALABAMA INTO SOUTHERN TENNESSEE. THIS MATCHES WELL WITH
THE GEFS REFORECAST DATA BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION FROM
ANALOG EVENTS. JUDGING BY THE PRECIP RATES IN THE HI-RES
MODELS...AND CONSIDERING THE QUALITY OF MOISTURE WITH PW ANOMALIES
PLUS-2.5 TO 3.0...IT APPEARS 3-HOURLY FFG OF 2 TO 2.5 INCHES IS
ACHIEVABLE...AND WE MAY EMBED A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
OVER PARTS OF LA/MS/AL/TN.


...WESTERN U.S...

ONE PROGRESSIVE...FULL LATITUDE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WEST
THURSDAY...WHILE A SECOND AND MORE VIGOROUS ONE APPROACHES THE
COAST EARLY FRIDAY. BROAD AND MODERATE HEIGHT FALLS ACCOMPANYING
THE FIRST WAVE WAS YIELDING WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO MODERATE
PRECIPITATION FROM BORDER TO BORDER THIS MORNING. THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EARLY IN THE
DAY...BEFORE THE CONNECTION TO SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE PINCHES OFF
AND RELOADS OFFSHORE AHEAD OF THE NEXT WAVE. ASIDE FROM THIS
STREAM AFFECTING CALIFORNIA...THE LEAD WAVE WILL WORK WITH
SEASONABLY MODEST MOISTURE ANOMALIES OF PLUS-1.0 TO 1.5...ALTHOUGH
THIS WILL PROVE SUFFICIENT FOR AREAL AVERAGE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
OF 0.25 TO 0.75 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE HIGH TERRAIN WEST OF THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...INCLUDING DOWN INTO ARIZONA...WHILE SUCH
WIDESPREAD HEIGHT FALLS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS OF
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TO EXPERIENCE MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION.

BY FRIDAY MORNING THE LEAD WAVE WILL BE CROSSING THE DIVIDE AND
DRYING OUT IN AN AREAL AVERAGE SENSE...AND THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE WEST COAST...ESPECIALLY SOUTHWEST OREGON
TO AROUND MONTEREY CA. VERY STRONG 12-HOUR HEIGHT FALLS IN THE
LEFT EXIT REGION OF A 170 KNOT JET STREAK WILL LIKELY MEAN SOME
CONVECTIVE ENHANCEMENT TO THE RAINFALL COMING INTO NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA AT THE TIME...WITH POTENTIAL FOR RAPID RUNOFF OR SOME
FLOODING CONCERNS ALONG THE COAST. FOR QPF WPC LEANED ON OUR
IN-HOUSE POST-PROCESSED ENSEMBLE TOOL...USING THE WETTER...NON
BIAS-CORRECTED VERSION...WHICH WAS SPATIALLY SIMILAR TO THE
WRF-ARW.

DAYS 2 AND 3...

WEST COAST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/ROCKIES...

OTHER THAN THE 00Z GFS`S MORE NORTHWARD SOLUTION FOR THE OFFSHORE
LOW NEAR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT...THE MODELS WERE GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT...WITH A
CONSENSUS OF BOTH HIGH-RES AND GLOBAL GUIDANCE USED TO DERIVE THE
LIQUID EQUIVALENTS FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT AND SMALL VARIATIONS IN SYSTEM DETAILS FROM PREVIOUS
RUNS SUPPORT GOOD CONTINUITY AS WELL. ONE TO TWO-DAY BASIN AVERAGE
LIQUID EQUIVALENTS OF 1.5 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS
OF THE CALIFORNIA COASTAL RANGES/SIERRAS/MOGOLLON RIM...WITH
PROGRESSIVELY LOWER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...WITH
THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS THERE OVER THE SOUTHERN WASATCH. THE DEEP
UPPER TROUGH AND ACCOMPANYING NEGATIVE TILT SUPPORT 700-500 MB
LAPSE RATES OF 7 TO 8.5 DEGREES C...SUFFICIENT FOR SCATTERED
CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS AND THUS LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. REFER TO THE
QPFHSD FOR MORE INFORMATION ON SNOWFALL.

PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY...

THE PERSISTENT UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL ALLOW
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGHS TO LIFT NORTHWARD TOWARD THE
CANADIAN BORDER...THUS ACCESSING ONLY LIMITED MOISTURE...RESULTING
IN A NARROW AXIS OF LIQUID EQUIVALENTS EXTENDING ACROSS THE OH
VALLEY TOWARD THE UPPER MIDWEST...AND A SECONDARY AXIS NEAR THE
PERIPHERY OF A COMPACT UPPER LOW REACHING THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
SATURDAY NIGHT. USED AN INTERMEDIATE SOLUTION INVOLVING THE 00Z
GFS/12-00Z ECMWF TO DERIVE THE TOTALS...WITH THE 00Z NAM
CONSIDERED TOO FAST IN MOST AREAS...THUS RECEIVING VERY LITTLE
WEIGHTING. CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE WITH THE BROAD STRIPE OF LOW
VALUES ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER...AND LOW WITH THE SATURDAY EVENT
CLOSE TO THE SMALL UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...WHERE JUST
A SMALL SHIFT IN PATH OR SPEED WOULD DISPLACE THE LIQUID
EQUIVALENTS TO A NEW LOCATION. THE ENSEMBLE MEMBER SPREAD IS ALSO
MODERATE BY SATURDAY...SUPPORTING MINIMAL CONFIDENCE.

LOWER MS VALLEY/SOUTHEAST...

APPROXIMATELY 2 SIGNIFICANT ROUNDS OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION WITH
POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH THE PATTERN IS MORE CHARACTERISTIC OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS (REFER TO THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR
DETAILS)...THE REPEATING NATURE OF THE STORMS THAT CONTAIN DEEP
AND INTENSE UPDRAFTS...THUS HIGH RAIN RATES...ALONG WITH VEERING
WINDS TO SUPPORT TRAINING AND/OR SUPERCELLS FOR SLOWER CELL
MOTIONS...WARRANT VARIOUS RISKS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS
OF THE AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO
COMMENCE NEAR LOUISIANA FRIDAY NIGHT AS MOISTURE FLUX INCREASES IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET AND INCREASINGLY MOIST
ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE NORTH OF THE RESIDUAL AND/OR REFORMING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. USED AN INTERMEDIATE SOLUTION INVOLVING THE 00Z GFS AND
12-00Z ECMWF FOR THIS FIRST EVENT...WITH THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE
CONSIDERED TOO FAR SOUTH INTO THE WARM SECTOR. EXPECT THE MAJORITY
OF THIS ACTIVITY TO ADVECT AND PROPAGATE DOWNSTREAM WITHIN THE
FAST FLOW TO INCLUDE MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST BY LATE SATURDAY WHICH
MAY HELP TO REDUCE FFG VALUES FOR THE NEXT ROUND OF RAINFALL THE
FOLLOWING NIGHT. USED MORE OF A MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS MINUS THE
00Z NAM WHICH MAY BE TOO FAR NORTH WITH THE MAIN UPPER LOW TO
DERIVE THE AMOUNTS FOR THE REMAINDER OF DAY 3 THAT INCLUDES
SATURDAY NIGHT TO HELP ADDRESS THE GROWING SPREAD AND UNCERTAINTY.
AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE THERMODYNAMIC AND KINEMATIC PARAMETERS
ARE MOVE CONDUCIVE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...WITH THE SLOWER CELL
MOTIONS DUE TO SUPERCELLS AS WELL AS TRAINING DUE TO VEERING WINDS
THE PRIMARY MECHANISMS THAT MAY ALLOW SHORT TERM RAIN RATES TO
EVENTUALLY EXCEED FFG VALUES. GIVEN THE THRESHOLD FOR A SLIGHT
RISK IS JUST 5 TO 10 PERCENT...A BROAD SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL WAS INTRODUCED FOR PORTIONS OF SC/GA/FL FOR DAY 3.
CONFIDENCE IN THE PRECISE DETAILS SUCH AS TIMING AND AMOUNTS ARE
ONLY AVERAGE...WHICH IS A RESULT OF GOOD SYNOPTIC-SCALE
AGREEMENT...YET HIGH UNCERTAINTY IN THE MESOSCALE
ENVIRONMENT...WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY BECOME DOMINANT AS THE EVENT
UNFOLDS.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

BURKE/JAMES

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 522264 520249 516237 511226 506216 504211 503206 505202
      510203 516213 520217 525218 528219 530217 534211 536205
      538202 535191 531180 526169 523165 520164 518161 514160
      509156 504150 501144 498143 495140 490139 486135 482132
      476131 474129 469132 465133 465124 467117 469110 471096
      468085 468076 466070 462065 458062 454059 449057 446055
      444057 440057 430058 417057 414055 411056 405055 397050
      384049 372048 368051 363052 358055 354057 350055 345054
      342057 340062 339068 335071 329072 325074 321080 318085
      313094 305102 303114 303128 303133 306138 313135 322133
      324143 326145 333145 336146 338148 339151 337154 327150
      322151 316150 310149 306151 300157 299169 305179 312181
      316185 321194 323198 327201 328211 328224 330236 336244
      351261 359269 364271 369273 391280 414290 436289 445287
      454284 463282 471280 480279 484279 489281 501287 511293
 0.01 481690 479678 475672 473668 472662 470651 469646 467641
      463635 460634 457635 451639 448646 446653 443662 443666
      440670 436676 434679 435683 439690 444693 448692 450689
      458687 461689 466688 471691 477697 480696 480693 481690
 0.01 475197 475193 473191 470188 467187 464184 460186 457189
      452195 450197 446196 445192 444189 442190 436188 431193
      426191 425189 425184 429182 432181 431176 427173 425174
      421178 420185 420195 427201 431207 439213 446213 459205
      466204 470203 472200 475197
 0.01 478150 479147 479145 478143 477142 475142 473142 471143
      470145 471148 472150 474149 474148 474149 476150 477151
      478150
 0.01 463173 463171 462168 460166 459165 457167 457169 457172
      458174 459175 461175 463173
 0.01 455712 454710 454708 452708 451711 449711 449714 448717
      448719 450719 451716 452716 453713 455713 455712
 0.01 462918 462908 461902 460894 458889 454879 451869 448861
      443853 438844 434835 422818 416811 411804 406796 402788
      395782 392782 388780 376783 371785 366786 347792 342799
      337805 332811 328815 323816 311815 302819 296824 289830
      284836 281838 279842 275851 273861 270872 269877 268882
      265891 261899 258922 253937 247946 246951 246957 246971
      246977 248980 253984 261986 272986 277985 282985 288983
      291980 298975 304968 310962 322949 327944 332939 339930
      346924 353919 361915 366916 369918 375923 381930 381933
      378933 375936 360947 359949 359953 361956 370956 377952
      380949 383944 386936 389936 391938 398938 402936 408937
      412940 422940 430939 436943 445942 457930 460927 461923
      462918
 0.01 438182 438180 438177 437175 436177 435179 435181 436184
      438182
 0.01 440173 439172 438172 439175 440173
 0.01 439762 439760 439757 439755 439753 438750 436750 435751
      434751 433754 433756 432758 432759 432761 432764 432766
      433768 433769 435769 435768 436766 436765 438763 439763
      439762
 0.01 428084 427080 425077 422077 420079 416080 414081 413083
      411087 412092 413094 415097 417099 420100 422095 422091
      424089 426087 428084
 0.01 402195 403191 402188 400185 398183 395184 391184 388181
      383181 382185 384189 389192 392193 397196 400197 402195
 0.01 334058 334057 332055 330055 328057 327057 326057 327057
      328058 330058 332058 334058 334058
 0.25 530205 530194 527186 524184 521183 518183 517180 515176
      512175 507174 503173 505176 508183 514188 517195 522201
      528205 530205
 0.25 383136 383135 382135 383136 383136
 0.25 487233 488231 487228 485227 484226 482226 480225 479225
      477225 475224 474224 475225 477225 479226 479228 480229
      481231 481232 483234 484235 485235 486234 487233
 0.25 454088 454087 454088 454088
 0.25 457086 456085 454086 456087 457086
 0.25 438899 436889 436883 436877 437868 435861 427849 421839
      416831 412826 406822 401820 395819 388818 384816 382811
      380809 376810 373813 370814 367813 361815 355819 350820
      345825 335835 331840 328842 324843 318845 314841 309837
      306837 303840 294845 288851 287859 283873 277883 272896
      268912 267916 268919 271926 274930 271935 267939 265947
      263950 263954 267958 276960 284959 286960 288964 289967
      291964 297956 303950 308945 318937 326930 336921 346911
      352907 357905 365903 370900 376896 381895 388897 394901
      399904 405908 429915 433912 436907 438899
 0.25 428127 429121 426118 423116 419115 411113 403110 399108
      395106 393102 394098 392096 389096 387100 389105 389108
      387111 380115 374116 370117 367113 367108 365104 359099
      355097 352102 353106 350108 345103 343096 339089 335088
      332089 328096 319108 320111 322112 325113 330115 332118
      335126 338132 342139 347145 353149 359152 368156 375157
      382158 389158 393157 396154 401150 411138 416137 423136
      427131 428127
 0.25 515267 516259 515255 513246 508231 505223 502218 498212
      491207 486206 482206 476209 472215 464213 458215 454221
      451228 446231 438232 435234 431232 425227 421222 419214
      414208 404205 388196 377189 371184 364182 358182 354182
      350180 346173 345168 343165 336162 328161 319159 316160
      313162 314166 315169 319173 324179 329184 342192 354191
      364202 363205 358205 352207 350211 351215 354221 356227
      354236 355246 359253 363259 369264 384271 399274 414277
      423278 430277 442275 453270 457267 462258 464256 469255
      471255 475258 482260 488265 492270 497275 502277 508277
      513272 515267
 0.25 387093 387090 387086 384082 381080 376078 374078 371082
      371088 375090 378088 380087 383092 387093 387093
 0.25 444118 443117 443118 444118
 0.50 510265 512260 512255 511249 506236 501223 498218 492215
      485213 482213 480216 485221 489224 491232 491240 486243
      484248 485254 489259 493264 498267 505269 509267 510265
 0.50 479243 479241 479238 479236 478233 476231 475231 473232
      472234 470236 470237 470238 471241 471242 473244 474244
      474245 476245 478244 479243
 0.50 464224 464221 464220 463218 462218 461218 459219 458220
      457222 457224 458226 459227 459228 461228 461227 462226
      464224 464224
 0.50 456244 457240 456238 453239 446240 441242 434244 431244
      428242 422236 418232 416229 416224 415218 413215 405212
      395203 380195 375191 367188 359185 357186 357188 363191
      370196 373203 374207 374213 368217 362218 362223 363228
      365235 368241 372247 375250 376255 378262 384265 392267
      401269 408269 415269 421269 429268 434262 439257 443252
      452250 456244
 0.50 423874 423868 422864 420858 417851 415846 407836 404833
      400830 397829 393830 389834 376837 370838 366838 361836
      359832 359828 358823 356824 351828 343835 336843 329851
      324856 320857 318856 309849 302849 298852 294855 292862
      290869 287874 282885 278895 277902 277908 278911 282911
      288908 289907 291910 290918 286927 277935 274940 272947
      275952 279953 282952 294949 303944 314937 321930 337915
      346906 350903 354900 364896 374890 381887 385886 390888
      395892 405894 410893 413892 415889 419887 420882 423874
 0.50 408128 408124 406121 404120 401118 399117 396116 394118
      392121 391126 392130 393133 395135 397136 401136 403135
      405133 406130 408128
 0.50 381147 376137 376130 373125 369123 365119 361118 356120
      347112 343109 340111 341115 343119 345124 344131 345138
      350141 362142 368144 372147 376148 381147
 0.50 343182 344175 343171 341167 336166 330164 325164 320164
      322169 324172 327174 332177 336180 339182 343182
 0.50 341098 341096 340095 339093 338092 337091 335092 335093
      333095 333097 332099 332101 332102 333103 334104 335104
      336103 337102 338101 339100 340100 341098
 0.50 319877 320875 321872 320870 319869 318870 317871 316873
      314875 314876 313877 314878 316878 318877 319877 319877
 1.00 499235 499232 499230 498229 497226 496226 495226 495228
      495231 496233 497234 498235 499235
 1.00 413250 413248 412247 411247 410247 409248 408248 408249
      410250 412250 413250
 1.00 411230 411228 411226 411223 411222 409222 407222 407224
      407226 407227 408229 408230 410231 411230
 1.00 402247 403242 404238 402232 398228 390227 384225 378226
      377228 378231 382235 387239 392242 396246 402247
 1.00 400216 401213 400212 398211 398210 397209 396207 395207
      394206 392206 391206 390208 391211 393213 394214 396216
      398216 399216 400216
 1.00 386856 360849 351846 345843 342845 340850 338856 335865
      331872 328880 323885 314896 309903 305907 300914 298922
      294928 288932 278943 281946 284945 290943 297939 303935
      314926 326917 333913 338908 349897 355892 360889 380868
      382865 383860 386856
 1.00 309865 308860 306859 302859 299864 297870 294876 292881
      289887 291891 294887 298882 302878 305872 308867 309865
 1.50 368865 367859 363856 356853 352852 347853 344856 342860
      339868 335876 330883 325889 318896 314903 308909 305912
      304916 306920 310921 317917 325912 331907 339902 345897
      356884 362877 366869 368865
 2.00 362865 359860 353859 348859 347861 343866 336878 329889
      321898 317904 316907 317911 321909 326905 331901 337899
      342895 347890 354879 356872 361868 362865

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 500295 501282 501273 500267 502262 504257 504254 500253
      496249 493245 490239 486235 481229 477225 473223 471222
      470219 473216 481211 485209 489209 492205 491199 491196
      489195 484196 476196 468197 462199 458199 455200 453198
      452197 451193 452186 454171 454165 453161 452155 450149
      445141 440134 435124 432115 436118 439122 442125 448127
      454127 457126 463122 467115 472103 473096 475091 475084
      474078 473073 471066 466060 460064 451058 441057 436056
      432058 432061 434068 432073 432080 431087 428089 427103
      419108 413107 410105 415099 417095 415092 413087 413080
      414074 413068 411054 406049 401042 399037 398032 400030
      400024 402017 403012 405007 408003 412001 417001 421000
      431997 440993 444990 449991 457989 462989 465991 470992
      475994 480996 483000 485002 489005 498003 502998 505993
      508991 512988 514982 514975 516969 517962 517955 516950
      517943 517927 517918 515911 508888 507883 506877 502866
      496845 492835 487826 485821 481816 478809 473799 468791
      466786 464791 463797 464801 468814 471823 474835 475838
      474842 471837 460824 454817 451813 449809 433770 426748
      422738 420733 417727 402717 396712 391710 386712 382711
      377711 373713 369715 351723 346725 343729 338736 333743
      330751 327755 330760 332763 334765 333769 326774 324777
      323784 324790 323797 318804 312813 309816 305818 299818
      295821 289826 284835 282842 279851 277862 275871 274880
      274887 273894 272906 270929 270939 268948 263956 259965
      257970 257975 260986 270987 275987 278982 283974 292971
      305964 310969 314971 319971 330954 333950 335944 338931
      341923 341916 343911 345864 346858 349855 354850
 0.01 354850 364845 372842 376839 381841 390845 402859 407866
      405868 403866 403869 399879 399883 401888 404897 408909
      408913 405912 403907 399899 397894 394892 391890 388892
      385895 383900 383904 387914 389918 390923 392929 394935
      394943 395952 394959 393965 393970 391975 387986 381004
      381011 379015 376015 374017 374023 375031 376036 379047
      380052 378053 375052 365051 359051 355053 351054 348052
      338048 328046 322045 317043 305042 300046 296056 271080
      268091 269096 272100 279115 282120 283125 281135 279147
      280153 283157 285161 284166 283171 285175 289184 293191
      296200 298210 300218 307225 335249 343255 350261 357268
      361270 365274 368279 372280 377279 382281 392284 396285
      402285 413289 417290 421289 432293 438295 442294 454298
      460300 464300 473304 477304 479299 500295
 0.01 440745 439741 438738 435732 431728 427724 422721 420723
      421726 424732 427738 430745 433749 437751 439748 440745
 0.01 404100 403097 402097 401096 400097 400099 401100 402101
      404100
 0.25 477291 478277 481267 480260 478256 470247 463240 458230
      455224 458220 464214 464211 462208 459209 457211 454213
      449213 444214 440215 437219 431218 415205 410204 404201
      397196 387190 383188 382183 378180 376176 373171 372165
      373159 377154 384148 384125 387121 391119 396118 396113
      387109 389107 389103 389095 388085 386080 382077 376067
      373064 368062 359065 357070 358077 357081 355084 350083
      345083 342083 340082 334078 327072 327068 331066 335064
      339060 336056 331053 325054 321056 320058 320062 320070
      320074 316078 313080 307079 297077 291076 286077 282080
      279084 300142 295143 292148 292155 294159 304176 308186
      313194 319203 324209 332217 338222 346229 355235 364239
      373243 391256 401262 409267 415269 421270 431272 442273
      452274 455274 457277 460281 463284 468286 477291
 0.25 504957 504945 503937 501928 497921 494915 490909 482911
      479918 477922 474921 469924 470932 471936 472940 477943
      486952 487962 489970 493975 497975 499974 502968 504959
      504957
 0.25 464915 464905 461895 457886 453877 449869 445865 442865
      442870 446880 448887 448891 449899 450903 454913 457918
      460918 464915
 0.25 432840 431831 430824 426808 424801 421797 414786 410782
      406779 403783 400789 400797 402804 407815 413826 420837
      424841 428843 431842 432840
 0.25 418771 418764 416760 414755 411751 408749 403750 401753
      402758 404762 407766 410770 413772 415773 417772 418771
 0.25 392080 392077 390077 388079 389082 390082 391082 392080
 0.25 370111 369106 366102 363101 359101 356099 351098 348101
      348106 350110 353113 356117 361117 365115 369113 370111
 0.25 365762 365757 364755 360754 357757 355759 354762 353764
      352766 353771 355772 358770 360768 362767 363764 365762
 0.25 366793 366791 365789 364787 363787 362787 360787 358788
      357790 355792 355793 354795 354797 356799 358800 359799
      360799 361798 363797 364796 366793
 0.25 339830 339819 338813 336810 331810 328813 323817 315830
      310836 305841 300840 297838 294838 291839 287846 286856
      286864 285876 282892 280902 280911 281931 279937 278948
      278953 280957 283958 287960 294958 299953 307941 311935
      315928 318921 321912 323904 325895 327887 330878 334862
      337843 339830
 0.25 323150 322146 319143 321142 324139 319137 314136 312137
      315142 313144 315148 318151 322151 323150
 0.50 448254 447248 445245 436239 425234 419229 417224 417218
      414215 411214 405209 398201 383191 369178 362173 359171
      354171 349170 345167 338162 301148 298150 297153 299157
      302161 313174 317181 322190 326197 332205 336212 343219
      349224 358230 377239 393249 402254 411258 421261 431261
      441258 448254
 0.50 379144 378136 377132 378127 379122 379119 378116 374116
      372119 370120 366120 362120 359122 354117 349112 346106
      340091 338085 333080 327078 321082 316084 307084 300082
      294082 289086 290095 295109 297115 300121 304125 311129
      315130 319130 325126 329125 333132 339143 341146 345148
      353149 357146 360145 361149 361152 363155 368153 376150
      379144
 0.50 361199 360199 359197 359196 357196 356196 357198 358199
      360199 361199
 0.50 335060 335058 334056 333056 332055 330055 329055 328055
      327056 325057 325059 326061 328062 330062 332062 334061
      335060
 0.50 325851 324833 324827 321832 316843 312847 309850 302851
      300849 296850 293854 291860 291868 289875 287887 284902
      284909 284915 286922 289927 288934 287941 289947 292949
      295947 299943 302939 307928 310922 312916 319892 323879
      325866 325851
 1.00 428250 428243 425239 415233 413231 413227 414222 413219
      407216 403213 397205 391202 386198 370183 365181 359179
      354181 352183 353187 358191 363193 371200 379207 389213
      399219 401221 403224 403228 397230 391229 380223 371215
      363209 355202 351198 348192 344169 340165 334163 322158
      310154 307154 305156 307160 314168 323176 330181 334193
      339203 347211 355218 361222 367223 376228 385237 393243
      398246 405249 412251 418251 425252 428250
 1.00 373143 374141 375139 374136 372136 370138 370140 370142
      371144 373143 373143
 1.00 349137 349128 347119 345112 342105 338098 333094 327094
      320090 318088 313088 306088 302087 299090 301099 305113
      307117 310119 312120 316118 320113 323111 327112 333116
      336119 337123 340131 343136 347138 349137
 1.00 330088 330086 330085 329085 329088 330089 330088
 1.00 313094 312092 311092 310094 309096 311098 312096 313095
      313094
 1.00 313884 314877 313871 311867 308865 304865 301867 296876
      294885 292895 291899 291906 293910 296910 302905 307897
      311889 313884
 1.50 410242 410241 410240 408238 407237 405236 403236 402235
      400235 398236 396238 397240 398241 399241 401242 402243
      404244 406244 407244 408243 410242 410242
 1.50 411226 412223 411222 409221 408222 408225 409226 410226
      411226
 1.50 400213 400212 398211 398210 397209 395208 393207 392207
      390208 391210 392211 393212 394213 396214 398215 400214
      400213
 1.50 390206 384200 379196 374191 369185 365183 361182 357183
      355184 356187 360189 367193 373197 378202 385206 390206
 1.50 348205 350202 349199 347194 344184 343171 340168 338169
      336167 327162 322160 316159 315164 319168 323171 329172
      335180 340189 342199 345204 348205
 1.50 341122 342118 341115 340112 339109 337107 335105 333106
      333109 335112 336114 338116 340119 341122 341122
 2.00 370190 369188 369187 368186 366185 365184 364184 363183
      361183 359184 358185 358186 360188 362189 363190 365190
      367191 369191 370190
 2.00 330168 331166 330166 329165 327164 325164 324163 323163
      322162 321162 321164 321165 323166 324167 325167 326168
      328169 330168 330168

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 569972 567960 564949 554937 551930 549925 546922 544920
      539920 535921 533915 525897 521894 517894 511903 503922
      499926 495928 493922 493914 491903 489898 489891 491881
      491876 489871 487866 484866 480867 477866 476863 475856
      473854 467846 468843 465839 460834 453825 443825 434823
      427826 424827 422829 417830 407835 397837 389840 384840
      380838 375832 373828 374823 378812 386799 389794 391789
      390775 393766 395761 397757 399745 400740 398735 393725
      392720 388719 380717 377716 374719 364731 353745 349736
      346733 343732 333730 328730 324732 319735 316739 312749
      309758 309769 309781 310788 309792 252826 247835 246838
      246844 246858 248871 248877 250881 251892 262907 265910
      266916 266927 266950 269957 270962 273966 280970 284972
      286976 287979 292979 301975 305975 310975 315974 319976
      330980 335987 338990 339994 343004 345013 345016 341019
      335021 326020 321020 317018 307013 302010 296016 292022
      289032 288038 288042 288049 288053 286056 283060 278062
      273063 269064 267068 268073 269077 272080 276087 279095
      281103 282112 284121 291126 307134 311133 316133 324130
      326128 331128 339134 346143 349145 355148 364152 367151
      372152 377153 380156 383154 388155 397157 404163 419171
      421174 424172 426172 428163 425153 423148 425141 426137
      429133 432133 434136 435138 434153 437161 441165 443166
      444171 443179 441181 443183 446184 448183 454176 456164
      456157 453152 450144 446140 444140 455142 458139 457137
      453133 449131 444125 443121 445119 450119 453116 452110
      451106 449102 446097 443094 435097 428091 428103
 0.01 428103 424105 420104 417102 411089 409087 411084 414075
      414069 412066 407060 396055 383049 378044 376041 375035
      374027 374021 373017 372010 373007 374002 375983 374975
      375965 376943 374935 372929 370920 374914 378909 383904
      387898 394892 398889 403886 414879 421875 426868 429862
      432865 433871 438884 437892 437904 436907 436913 433923
      429930 427938 426940 427943 429951 432968 433973 435975
      438976 440981 450991 455996 460998 465003 468009 472015
      474021 481027 486027 487036 486044 488052 491058 495065
      496069 495074 493078 495082 496089 497092 502099 504105
      509110 514116 517119 521125 529127 534128 537126 542127
      544125 547126 556122
 0.01 516280 511272 511261 511249 510246 509238 507227 504220
      501217 498216 496213 495207 497205 497200 495196 494191
      495185 495179 494173 489166 487161 483159 480162 479167
      483175 485180 486187 463205 460202 457205 450210 441209
      436206 431204 417195 412190 404184 388173 385173 382175
      378177 373176 365173 359167 356164 353164 349172 345175
      341176 336176 334173 332171 335170 341172 344172 345170
      343165 334164 329162 326160 310152 303150 299152 297154
      312166 319170 322172 326172 330171 332172 333175 333179
      330181 326185 324190 322194 323200 325209 330216 335222
      335227 334232 333237 333242 335252 335257 337260 345266
      349269 354271 365275 382281 391286 397291 415303 421305
      432308 439309 444310 447309 450299 455289 457294 458300
      457304 459309 461313 466316 477320 496328
 0.01 448736 448734 447731 446731 445731 443732 443733 443735
      443736 444737 445738 447738 448736
 0.01 418142 418138 417133 411131 405128 400130 394131 390135
      386139 386142 388143 391146 394146 401148 403146 407147
      412145 418142
 0.25 477238 478235 478234 476232 474233 473234 473236 473239
      475240 477239 477238
 0.25 465241 462233 456227 452224 447222 436219 428220 425220
      422218 415210 406206 393197 379185 371180 368178 363177
      354179 351181 349185 349190 346191 339194 338199 339205
      342213 345221 346231 344249 344253 346257 354262 363268
      374271 383273 392277 401282 409288 418292 426292 431291
      434288 440280 446257 448253 451248 454245 457243 463240
      465241
 0.25 479942 481937 480932 479922 479912 475909 472914 469918
      465922 462929 463935 465942 468947 472951 476946 479942
 0.25 401113 398112 396113 392114 390114 387116 385117 383119
      382122 384122 386121 388120 391119 394117 396116 398115
      401113
 0.25 374207 372204 369199 367196 363193 358192 352191 352195
      357198 360200 363202 368205 372207 374207
 0.25 385083 385077 381072 377067 373063 368061 363063 362065
      362068 365073 368079 370084 373089 378089 383085 385083
 0.25 368793 367785 363780 359773 354768 348767 341768 331771
      326777 313802 309807 302812 294815 286818 280821 276824
      271829 267835 264841 261849 261858 264866 268873 272877
      276878 278881 279889 281898 283905 286914 286921 285926
      283934 283940 286943 290943 297939 309933 317930 325927
      336920 342921 349924 352926 353930 355937 354943 350960
      348967 348971 349974 354977 357978 359982 361991 363000
      364005 367003 368994 369974 370954 369945 366935 364928
      361920 357914 354907 349903 342901 337897 335893 334891
      337882 343876 347871 350865 356851 363816 366804 368793
 0.25 348114 344104 343096 340091 337087 334081 329079 321077
      316075 314070 318066 324064 329063 334061 336058 334056
      330055 324057 320056 315052 309050 306051 306054 307061
      311066 311070 309072 283075 281076 281079 282084 287097
      288102 292105 300107 306105 311104 315103 318105 322109
      326110 328108 335115 343116 348114
 0.50 431273 433267 434262 435252 435249 434243 430236 409213
      398204 385194 374184 368180 364180 361183 358183 356186
      363190 368191 371195 375200 380206 383208 383213 379214
      373212 366208 353200 349201 348205 352213 361224 362232
      360242 363258 366260 370263 380265 389267 396271 403276
      412280 417280 423279 427279 429277 431273
 0.50 362803 360795 356786 352780 349778 345777 337780 331785
      322797 314809 308814 301817 285822 278826 273832 270837
      267845 266854 267860 268863 277873 281882 283891 285899
      289905 294905 298903 303897 308893 312887 323874 344855
      349850 352843 355835 358825 360814 362803
 0.50 366965 367958 366952 365947 361947 359951 357956 356960
      355965 356969 359973 362976 364979 366974 366967 366965
 0.50 342912 339908 335907 330908 326909 321911 317913 315915
      317920 321920 324919 330917 333915 337914 342912
 0.50 306089 306087 304085 302082 299081 296080 292080 290081
      289085 290087 291091 293094 294095 298096 301095 304093
      305091 306089
 1.00 422245 421240 418235 415232 414226 412221 408220 406227
      402230 392231 388234 387238 388243 392249 399255 404259
      407260 410259 413252 418250 421246 422245
 1.00 398210 397208 394205 392204 389201 387201 384198 380198
      380200 382202 385204 386206 390208 391209 395211 398210
 1.00 351831 352826 352822 350813 346797 344792 339790 333793
      329798 324808 320813 315817 305824 291827 284828 278832
      275836 274843 273851 275857 281869 283875 285883 287890
      289895 291897 294897 298893 306884 313875 317870 321866
      329857 338849 343846 347842 351831
 1.50 414238 412236 411236 409237 408237 408238 408239 410240
      412240 414239 414238
 1.50 338806 334805 331809 325818 319825 315828 309830 297831
      291832 285833 281836 278839 277845 278852 282861 284866
      286873 288884 290890 291892 295891 300885 305876 311853
      313849 317847 323844 327844 331843 334839 337834 337828
      336821 337816 338806
 2.00 304852 303848 301844 293839 290838 284839 282842 281846
      282851 283856 286859 287864 289874 290880 292885 296885
      298882 301873 302861 304852

$$





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