Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 240915
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
512 AM EDT MON APR 24 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 24/1200 UTC THRU APR 27/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...SOUTHERN-CENTRAL APPALACHIANS / SOUTHEASTERN U.S. / MID
ATLANTIC...

A HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT WILL CONTINUE TODAY...FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA. OVERALL AN IMPRESSIVE
SETUP...WITH BOTH CONDITIONS ALOFT AND IN THE LOWER LEVELS
CONDUCIVE TO HEAVY CONVECTIVE RAINFALL. IN THE UPPER LEVELS THE
CLOSED LOW MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD WILL CONTINUE TO TAKE ON MORE OF A
NEGATIVE TILT RESULTING IN INCREASED ASCENT OVER NC/SC. ALSO NOTE
IMPRESSIVE DIFFLUENCE AT 250 MB...WHICH SHOULD AID IN THE
MAINTENANCE OF CONVECTION THROUGH THE DAY. IN THE LOWER LEVELS A
STRONG COASTAL FRONT EXTENDS ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST...WITH
INSTABILITY ALONG/SOUTH AND JUST NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY. STRONG
EASTERLY FLOW INTO AND OVER THIS BOUNDARY WILL HELP MAINTAIN A
STRONG CONVERGENCE AXIS...AND ALSO HELP MAINTAIN INSTABILITY INTO
THE BOUNDARY. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
TO AROUND CLIMATOLOGICAL RECORD VALUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SC/NC AS
MOISTURE FROM THE TROPICAL WAVE OFF OF FLORIDA IS WRAPPED WEST
INTO THE CLOSED LOW.

THE EXPECTATION IS THAT THE HEAVY CONVECTIVE LINE MOVING ACROSS SC
AS OF 06Z WILL CONTINUE SLOWLY MOVING EAST INTO THE MORNING.
HOWEVER AS THE CLOSED LOW DIVES SOUTHEAST AND BECOMES INCREASINGLY
NEGATIVELY TILTED...EXPECT THE NORTH/SOUTH CONVERGENCE AXIS
RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS CONVECTIVE LINE TO SLOW ITS EASTWARD
PROGRESSION. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR CONTINUED CONVECTIVE
REGENERATION OVER EASTERN SC THIS MORNING...WITH THE ACTIVITY
SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN NC WITH TIME. THE COMBINATION
OF PROLONGED SYNOPTIC SUPPORT AND ONLY SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESSION
OF THE CONVERGENCE AXIS...AND WIND FIELDS CONDUCIVE TO SOME
SOUTHWARD BACKBUILDING OF CONVECTION INTO THE INSTABILITY...BOTH
POINT TOWARDS THE LIKELIHOOD OF TRAINING CONVECTION. WHICH GIVEN
THE VERY HIGH PWAT VALUES...WILL LEAD TO SOME IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL
TOTALS INTO THIS EVENING.

SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES EXIST WITH REGARDS TO THE EXACT AXIS OF
HIGHEST QPF AMOUNTS. AT LEAST SOME OF THE DIFFERENCES ARE RELATED
TO EXACTLY HOW MUCH CONVECTION IS ABLE TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD WITH
TIME. THE HIGH RES ARW PROPAGATES THE MOST...PUSHING THE HEAVIEST
TOTALS MORE INTO SOUTHERN NC. THE HIGH RES NMMB ON THE OTHER HAND
IS THE LEAST PROGRESSIVE SOLUTION...KEEPING THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS
OVER CENTRAL SC. AT THIS TIME THINK SOMETHING IN BETWEEN THESE TWO
EXTREMES IS PROBABLY THE MOST LIKELY OUTCOME. THE 0Z 3KM NAM AND
NSSL WRF PROBABLY REPRESENT THIS MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION THE BEST.
WPC QPF GENERALLY FOLLOWED A MULTI MODEL BLEND...ALTHOUGH WAS
WEIGHTED TOWARDS THE HIGH RES CONSENSUS. THOUGHT MUCH OF THE NON
CAM GUIDANCE (GFS/NAM/ECMWF) MAY HAVE BEEN A BIT TOO FAR INLAND
WITH THEIR HIGHEST AMOUNTS...AND PROBABLY A BIT TOO FAR
SOUTHWEST...AS THEY MAY BE FAILING TO CORRECTLY PROPAGATE
CONVECTION SLOWLY EASTWARD. LOOKING AT AREAL AVERAGED AMOUNTS
MAXING IN THE 4-6" RANGE ALONG THE NC/SC BORDER NEAR THE COAST.
WOULD ANTICIPATE SOME ISOLATED 6-10" TOTALS IN THIS VICINITY AS
WELL WHERE TRAINING ENDS UP MAXIMIZED. THE FACT THAT THE CLOSED
LOW WILL REMAIN MOVING WILL PREVENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM BEING
EVEN MORE EXTREME. OVERALL THE NEW WPC QPF ENDS UP PRETTY SIMILAR
TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST.

FURTHER NORTH FROM NORTHERN NC INTO VA RAINFALL WILL BE MORE
STRATIFORM IN NATURE. GOOD UPSLOPE FLOW WILL CONTINUE DECENT
RAINFALL INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO THE MORNING. HOWEVER
BY LATER TODAY THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO CUTOFF A BIT FROM THE FLOW AND
WE START TO LOSE THE BETTER MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS. THUS EXPECT
RAINFALL INTENSITY TO DECREASE ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS BY THIS
TIME. OUR PREFERRED HIGH RES CONSENSUS DOES CUT BACK A BIT ON
AMOUNTS TODAY IN THE STABLE AIR ACROSS VA.

...NORTHWEST...

LONGWAVE TROUGHING WITH MULTIPLE PIECES OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY
EMBEDDED WITHIN IT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TO THE
NORTHWEST TODAY. HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE COASTAL
RANGES OF NORTHWEST CA AND SOUTHWEST OR...AND OVER THE OR AND
SOUTHERN WA CASCADES. QPF AMOUNTS UP TO AROUND 1.5" CAN BE
EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS THROUGH THE DAY 1 PERIOD. THE OTHER AREA
OF INTEREST IS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MT INTO NORTHERN
WY. IT IS HERE WHERE THE APPROACH OF A SHORTWAVE FEATURE AND
INCREASED DIFFLUENCE ALOFT...WILL COUPLE WITH EASTERLY UPSLOPE
FLOW AND A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AXIS TO PRODUCE SOME 0.5"-1.5"
AMOUNTS. SOME NORTH/SOUTH DIFFERENCES WERE NOTED WITH THIS QPF
AXIS...WITH WPC FOLLOWING A MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION.

...NS/MN...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL PRODUCE
MAINLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF ND/MN.
SOME INTERESTING QPF DIFFERENCES WERE NOTED. ALL THE 0Z HIGH RES
GUIDANCE ALONG WITH RECENT HRRR RUNS WERE ALL HEAVIER WITH AMOUNTS
FURTHER NORTHWEST ACROSS NORTHERN ND...WITH THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE
GENERALLY MORE SUPPRESSED TO THE SOUTHEAST. BASED ON
RADAR/SATELLITE TRENDS THINK THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE MAY BE TOO
LIGHT...BUT ALSO QUITE POSSIBLE THE CAM GUIDANCE IS TOO HEAVY.
THUS WPC GENERALLY FOLLOWED A 50/50 BLEND OF THE HIGH RES CAM
GUIDANCE CONSENSUS AND GLOBAL GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR QPF ACROSS
THIS REGION.


DAYS 2 AND 3


...MID ATLANTIC TO NORTHEAST...

THE NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED CLOSED MID/UPPER LOW
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST-LOWER MID ATLANTIC COAST EARLY ON DAY 2 WILL
GRADUALLY LIFT NORTHEASTWARD AND NEAR LONG ISLAND BY THE END OF
DAY 3 (12Z THU). THE NON-NAM MODELS WERE FAIRLY WELL CLUSTERED
WITH THE TRACK OF THE DEEP OFFSHORE LOW...AS THE NAM ONCE AGAIN
INDICATED A STRONGER W-E RIDGE INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND THUS
WAS ON THE SLOWER SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE SPREAD WITH THE LOW TRACK.
AT THE SAME TIME...THE ECMWF WAS NOTABLY DRIER WITH THE QPF INTO
NEW ENGLAND (ESPECIALLY INTERIOR PORTIONS)...WHILE COMPARED TO THE
REST OF THE GUIDANCE THE UKMET WAS A WET OUTLIER. WPC UTILIZED A
MULTI-MODEL BLEND WITH THE QPF...WITH THE BULK OF THE WEIGHT GIVEN
TO THE GFS (WHICH AMONG THE MODELS HAS EXHIBITED BETTER RUN-TO-RUN
CONTINUITY WITH THIS SYSTEM) ALONG WITH WPC`S BIAS CORRECTED
ENSEMBLE QPF.

FAVORABLE...SLOW-MOVING DYNAMICAL FORCING WILL COMBINE WITH THE
IMPRESSIVE (ANOMALOUS) DEEP MOISTURE AVAILABILITY IN PRODUCING A
FAIRLY ELONGATED SWATH OF HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE NORTHERN MID
ATLANTIC COAST N-NE INTO MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND. PW AND LOW-MID LEVEL
MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES WILL BE QUITE FAVORABLE...AVERAGING
BETWEEN 2.5-3.0 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL PER THE SREF AND
GEFS...OWING TO THE AMPLE INFLUX OF MOISTURE OFF THE GULF STREAM
AS S-SE 850 MB FLOW INCREASES TO 40-50 KTS. ELEVATED INSTABILITY
UP INTO NEW ENGLAND WILL BE QUITE WEAK (I.E. NO HIGHER THAN 250
J/KG)...WHICH GIVEN THE LACK OF DEEP CONVECTION...WOULD EXPLAIN
WHY THE EVOLVING/RECYCLING WARM CONVEYOR BELT AND ELONGATED MOIST
ISENTROPIC ASCENT SHOULD BE QUITE EFFICIENT WITH THE NORTHWARD
TRANSPORT OF THE HEAVIER RAINFALL. FOR THIS REASON...AGAIN BELIEVE
THE ECMWF (AND TO SOME EXTENT THE NAM) WERE TOO LIGHT WITH THE
HEAVIER PCPN FARTHER NORTH AND INLAND ACROSS NEW ENGLAND.

WPC INCLUDED A MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL GIVEN THE FFG
AND SOIL SATURATION FORECASTS PER THE NATIONAL WATER
MODEL...THOUGH THE LACK OF CONVECTIVE CONTRIBUTION SHOULD LIMIT
SHORT TERM RAINFALL RATES.


...EASTERN PLAINS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

NEXT DEEPENING/AMPLIFYING TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS
DURING DAYS 2-3 IS NOT HANDLED PARTICULARLY WELL BY THE LATEST
SUITE OF GUIDANCE. THE DIFFERENCES ARE PREDOMINATELY
TIMING-BASED...PARTICULARLY WITH THE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE
FRONT TRAVERSING THE SOUTHERN-CENTRAL PLAINS AND LOWER-MID MS
VALLEY. MOREOVER...THE INCREASINGLY-FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMICAL
PROFILE (ESPECIALLY INSTABILITY BY WED WITH AN EXPANDING AREA OF
1000-2000 J/KG MIXED LAYER CAPES) WILL LIKELY LEAD TO THE
DEVELOPMENT OF PRE-FRONTAL QLCS/S. FOR NOW...WPC LEANED TOWARD A
BLEND OF THE GFS AND ECMWF IN TERMS OF TIMING THE EASTWARD
PROGRESSION...WEIGHTING MORE WITH THE FASTER GFS ACROSS THE
LOWER-MID MS VALLEY GIVEN THE LIKELY CONTRIBUTION FROM CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOWS. BECAUSE OF THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY PROGGED...ALONG
WITH PW VALUES CLIMBING TO 1.5+ INCHES AHEAD OF THE
TROUGH/FRONT...WPC INCLUDED A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ON
DAY 3 ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER-MID MS VALLEY WITH THE
EXPECTATION THAT HOURLY RAINFALL RATES COULD APPROACH/EXCEED
1.5-2.0 INCHES.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

CHENARD/HURLEY


24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 531197 532182 530175 530171 532170 532165 531160 530154
      529151 526150 519148 516142 516129 515120 512114 510110
      510104 514085 515075 515072 514069 511066 506065 502065
      500067 490073 479077 468078 461067 459060 457050 457039
      455031 453022 450017 441004 438997 436995 433993 421991
      419988 419984 418980 418975 417966 416961 416957 403956
      395956 391956 389960 389970 393975 396979 399980 404981
      406983 406995 405004 402018 399024 398027 398032 400041
      397048 393053 389057 385057 382055 377055 379061 378064
      375065 372062 367063 365066 367069 372073 374079 374084
      376087 376095 375105 376108 379108 381106 381100 383096
      385094 392094 399092 400099 395103 392109 387112 383114
      381117 377123 376127 378129 386129 391127 396126 397132
      397138 395142 393144 392149 393158 394162 392167 388170
      387178 388183 391186 393184 395182 398183 403188 404193
      403199 400201 396200 390196 369182 364184 361185 357183
      354181 351182 348183 346186 345189 344195 348199 355189
      360188 364187 369192 377203 380208 383212 390215 395219
      397222 395224 387224 378221 375221 374225 381237 385242
      388250 392256 398262 407272 411276 414279 415278 420276
      424273 434271 447266 458260 463263 467260 473254 476246
      480242 487239 490234 486231 481228 479223 482221 489222
      496224 498227 500226 503223 506211 508207 510206 514206
      517206 520205 523205 531197
 0.01 535877 535864 534852 532834 528819 526810 522802 518797
      511798 501804 497818 495825 494830 494835 490852 489856
      488861 487867 484865 484861 482852 481847 480843 479839
      478837 474838 472840 473851 477866 479873 473877 468880
      463885 450909 445923 448926 454924 458925 460928 459930
      458936 455950 452969 454974 457974 458979 458002 459010
      461016 465020 468025 472033 475039 480044 484048 494054
      506055 511051 515046 519026 519021 521017 521009 521004
      520001 520994 520983 519979 519973 519960 520948 523934
      527919 531902 534888 534880 535877
 0.01 487195 483192 480190 477185 474182 471186 469190 469195
      470198 472200 474196 478194 481198 484199 486197 487195
 0.01 436785 422787 420787 420784 423780 425777 425774 428765
      429760 428753 429748 428743 424732 423729 420730 418731
      415729 413719 414710 413698 412692 413687 414676 413671
      410669 401670 383679 369689 357700 346713 339720 333726
      322737 320739 317744 313749 309757 307762 306767 308773
      306776 298780 290783 281785 270787 267790 265795 262802
      258807 249812 240815 238818 238823 239828 242830 250827
      258824 262822 261827 259832 259838 264839 267837 271837
      276834 282831 287825 294821 304819 322823 327824 329830
      331834 331841 330846 331847 333851 337853 340856 343857
      351857 356855 358852 360847 357845 356842 357839 360835
      363832 365828 370823 376827 380830 383830 387828 391826
      396807 397800 400796 407792 411789 414791 416797 415801
      413805 414812 414814 416814 420813 424810 428807 432802
      435793 436785
 0.01 341168 339166 336167 335169 334164 330165 326167 323168
      324171 327173 333173 337172 339170 341168
 0.01 276809 274808 273808 272810 273811 275811 276809
 0.25 524876 523863 521855 518846 513842 509844 508849 506857
      502863 497869 480894 477903 475912 475922 475927 477930
      478937 477943 478949 481957 481962 479966 474972 473976
      474980 476983 476987 471994 473998 476996 478994 482994
      485000 485006 488009 493002 496995 505983 510965 511954
      514945 518926 519902 522888 524876
 0.25 511149 505122 503117 500113 499116 499120 499129 497133
      495130 493125 488119 485118 482120 479122 475123 472120
      470117 470112 473108 473102 472095 471089 468085 464082
      462078 456069 454064 453059 452052 451044 447034 443028
      440022 439017 437014 434015 432021 428023 426027 426032
      429044 430057 432063 433071 434078 437082 442079 444079
      444082 438089 435094 431092 427090 423092 422095 425101
      420103 415104 410103 407102 405104 400112 398113 399115
      401118 404122 405125 409126 414126 419128 419133 415144
      406149 402152 401155 401158 406168 411176 415182 417187
      420190 421193 420196 413200 412204 415208 418211 423213
      422219 422225 423232 417230 413227 408230 403231 398232
      393233 393237 399244 403247 407248 410251 414253 424252
      442248 452244 460240 467236 471232 471229 473222 476217
      477212 474210 471211 466209 463207 454206 455200 458194
      464184 466178 467172 468159 467153 465148 463143 462140
      463135 465128 468127 478129 482134 484139 487143 492142
      495141 496144 496149 498155 498161 496170 495179 496185
      497188 500189 503184 503168 508159 511149
 0.25 448209 443206 440202 437201 432198 428201 427206 429211
      430215 431217 432214 435216 439215 442213 446211 448209
 0.25 452139 450132 447126 444122 440120 434121 431125 428132
      429140 430147 433149 436148 442147 447146 451141 452139
 0.25 430233 429232 427231 426230 425229 424229 423229 424230
      424232 425233 427233 429234 430233
 0.25 406217 405214 402211 399207 396203 393201 389199 386199
      384200 386205 390208 393210 396212 399216 405217 406217
 0.25 422020 422015 421013 418012 416013 414015 412017 410019
      409021 408026 409030 412030 414028 416026 418024 421022
      422020
 0.25 419046 418045 417044 415043 414043 413043 411045 412047
      413049 415050 417048 418048 418046 419046
 0.25 416071 416065 412062 409061 406056 402056 399058 393062
      389066 387070 386072 384070 382071 379074 378077 381079
      384077 388075 393075 397075 401077 406077 409075 413074
      416071
 0.25 400723 400716 397713 391716 384717 375715 371713 368713
      362717 351727 343732 339737 331750 314775 312778 311783
      307788 304794 305797 308799 321806 326812 330820 332823
      336825 339825 342827 348831 352832 356830 358827 360823
      364818 369813 375808 378805 383803 387799 392793 396784
      392768 391757 392751 393748 395740 397735 400723
 0.25 349840 348839 346839 346840 345842 344842 344845 345845
      347845 347844 348842 349840
 0.50 516884 517875 516867 514864 510864 506867 503871 498881
      488896 486903 485908 483922 486933 489946 489961 491967
      491975 490981 491985 494987 495985 498980 500974 502969
      504965 506960 508946 511934 512903 513895 514892 516884
 0.50 470220 470217 468215 463214 455214 438216 429218 425219
      424224 427228 431231 434234 432236 428237 425237 416233
      411232 408234 406238 408242 413245 418245 427245 434244
      442241 443238 442236 438234 443231 451229 454228 456231
      463231 466227 468222 470220
 0.50 469105 469095 469093 467091 464089 455073 452069 450065
      450058 450051 447041 443039 442033 440030 435030 433033
      435037 441042 440046 437048 435061 436074 443074 447078
      449082 449095 450100 452105 452110 450114 453118 457115
      459111 462110 466109 469105
 0.50 457182 455181 455179 455177 455174 454173 453171 452173
      452176 452177 454179 454180 454181 454184 455184 456184
      457182 457182
 0.50 453188 454186 453184 451185 449186 448186 447187 446188
      445189 445191 445192 447193 449192 451190 453189 453188
 0.50 443166 445164 445162 444160 443159 442157 441156 439155
      438154 436154 435155 434157 435160 436162 437163 438164
      439166 440166 441167 443166 443166
 0.50 448114 447109 445104 443101 438100 434102 430103 427105
      423107 426112 427116 428119 431119 434116 436114 441114
      447114 448114
 0.50 429173 429171 429169 427169 425169 425170 427171 428173
      429173
 0.50 433099 432099 432097 431095 431094 429093 428094 429096
      430097 431098 432099 432100 433099
 0.50 421178 421176 421175 419175 417176 416177 417178 419179
      420179 421178
 0.50 420119 420115 417114 414114 410113 408111 407107 405109
      406112 408114 408117 410119 413121 416121 419121 420119
 0.50 389787 388782 387779 383776 380772 379767 380764 380756
      378750 375743 372738 367734 360734 355733 350734 341742
      334752 321774 318779 316785 314791 313794 314798 318802
      323804 327809 330814 334820 338823 349829 352829 355828
      357822 359817 364812 372803 376798 382797 387792 389787
 1.00 504908 503907 503906 502903 501903 500904 499906 499907
      498909 498911 498914 499916 500915 502914 502913 503911
      503909 504908
 1.00 462223 461220 456217 452218 447218 443218 438219 436221
      437225 442226 446225 451225 455225 460225 462223
 1.00 450073 449070 449068 448067 448065 447064 446063 445060
      444058 444057 443058 443060 443062 442064 441065 440067
      441069 441070 443071 445072 446073 448074 450073 450073
 1.00 421240 421239 420238 419237 418236 416236 415236 414237
      413238 414240 415240 417240 419241 421241 421240
 1.00 368759 364750 361747 357746 352747 350750 347753 344756
      337760 334763 333767 325779 317795 318798 320801 327804
      331811 334814 337815 339812 343811 350811 355810 359808
      365803 368800 367794 365782 363765 368759
 1.00 351824 349824 348824 349824 351825 351824
 1.50 362760 362758 360757 359757 358756 357755 355755 353756
      351757 350758 349760 349762 350763 352764 352765 354766
      355766 356767 358766 359765 359764 360763 361762 362760
 1.50 363798 363790 362783 359778 355776 353772 349768 343768
      337771 330777 324785 323791 320795 322800 327802 333809
      342808 348808 355807 362800 363798
 2.00 360796 360790 358784 352777 351773 347770 342771 337773
      331778 326786 326791 324795 325799 329801 335808 338804
      343804 348804 353804 356802 359799 360796
 3.00 356795 356789 354786 349780 346774 341773 337775 334781
      331788 327794 326797 329798 332800 334799 338798 342799
      349801 355797 356795
 4.00 353793 351788 348785 347778 344776 339777 339782 336785
      335789 332793 332796 337796 342797 347797 352795 353793
 5.00 348793 349791 348789 347788 346788 344788 342786 340785
      338786 337788 337791 337793 339793 341795 343794 344794
      346795 348794 348793
 5.00 345781 345779 345778 344779 345781 345781

24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 547776 547773 547770 547768 547765 546762 546760 546757
      543743 539741 534740 529739 527744 524754 520764 518770
      515774 512778 510783 508793 507796 505795 503792 496784
      489780 481781 474785 468791 463799 457815 453827 450839
      449845 447849 440857 433863 423867 417872 412879 400889
      387899 383902 380906 376911 365925 345934 339938 329943
      312952 301961 297964 298968 300972 303972 319969 329967
      338969 342972 344976 348985 346991 345999 343005 340008
      338012 338019 342027 343038 345044 350045 355046 358048
      357052 356055 354055 350057 344056 339056 335058 334058
      337062 342070 339080 339087 340091 343096 347096 353095
      357094 362094 366097 370100 376101 379100 382096 386094
      390096 394099 397102 400104 398106 395110 391111 385113
      380114 379117 380123 383126 390126 398127 399134 397138
      394141 389141 389146 391149 393153 394158 389170 393172
      397172 401171 404167 408166 411164 412168 414173 417177
      423185 424190 422195 419199 416200 412200 409204 406208
      403207 386198 383197 380199 380203 383206 391211 397217
      400221 402223 401225 392226 387226 384230 383237 382243
      383250 385254 391262 397269 403274 411280 416285 429294
      439298 450302 454302 460304 468304 477302 484296 487295
      490297 493298 497297 501293 505286 506279 507275 509274
      512271 515267 517257 503218 501207 501201 503195 510191
      518195 522193 525189 528182 529174 528167 526163 521154
      519149 517144 516137 517128 517120 515116 511107 510102
      507097 503088 500080 497077 492076 476071 469067 466064
      464060 462054 460046 459039 459031 459025 458018 455007
      454001 454995 455988 456979 456976 458975 462974 467966
      478954 488939 494922 497910 499905 502901 510901 517900
      522899 527895
 0.01 527895 532889 535883 538874 541866 542861 542855 543844
      544837 546833 547825 547818 548814 548800 547787 547776
 0.01 484194 482189 479185 476183 472184 469185 466186 466189
      468192 471197 473201 477203 480202 482196 484194
 0.01 484725 483713 481703 478696 476687 476680 475674 474672
      472665 469658 465650 462645 457640 453639 447640 441644
      432652 426657 422661 417666 412671 407673 400674 395675
      389677 381681 376684 370687 362689 357692 352695 347698
      344704 343713 341719 339726 335731 328739 324744 323749
      323755 323760 319765 315770 313775 312777 312782 314787
      318790 324791 331788 335788 338789 343794 345798 351809
      355813 360816 366818 374817 385812 395807 402805 408806
      418814 426813 433812 440810 443808 448803 450797 458794
      463790 469779 471771 472765 475760 478754 481746 482738
      484725
 0.01 464204 464197 462193 457197 451203 444203 439200 437197
      437192 436188 434191 433197 434201 440206 443208 446210
      450210 453209 460207 464204
 0.01 439134 439129 439125 437123 434123 432124 430125 428128
      426132 427136 429138 432139 434137 437136 439134
 0.01 352195 353193 354191 354189 354186 354184 353183 352183
      351183 350184 348185 346187 346189 346191 347192 347194
      348195 350197 352195 352195
 0.25 535811 533800 531798 528796 525797 520803 512814 503820
      499822 493820 489819 485822 478831 471843 458867 451878
      446889 434909 428919 421931 419938 417947 417956 416966
      412979 410988 410994 411002 413008 417011 422013 428016
      432018 434024 435035 434042 432051 431060 430064 427066
      426090 429091 430093 432100 430108 435112 441115 444118
      448122 456123 458123 461126 457134 452149 450154 445157
      448172 450179 448184 448190 451193 454189 458184 462181
      464178 463174 460168 460165 462163 469162 479155 482157
      484163 487170 492173 496173 501172 509168 512161 513157
      513153 511145 509137 494114 484120 478108 472097 469094
      464094 460093 457092 455089 453087 450087 449090 445091
      441090 438087 437083 436079 438076 441074 447078 451081
      453079 453075 449061 449054 450047 450040 449034 445019
      441014 440007 435991 436983 440976 447964 456959 460955
      464950 469941 474930 480919 484912 487905 493891 497886
      502882 507878 510877 515874 520869 525860 530847 533832
      535819 535811
 0.25 502267 502262 500258 496251 494244 494238 496238 499240
      501239 501235 500230 496223 491219 486212 478209 473210
      465211 459214 452215 446215 439215 424217 420224 418227
      416227 414224 413219 410217 408220 408228 406232 404233
      398234 396235 395240 397243 402248 408251 416253 424253
      436252 440251 445251 452252 467256 476259 479262 481265
      486265 493265 499269 502267
 0.25 491232 490229 487226 486225 483224 481224 477223 475225
      476227 478229 480231 483234 486235 489234 491232
 0.25 472121 472120 471118 470118 469117 467116 465115 464117
      464119 463121 465123 466123 468123 469123 470122 472121
      472121
 0.25 462698 461688 459682 454671 447667 442666 436666 429670
      425674 422677 417681 414683 408686 400688 386689 375694
      366698 357703 352708 350713 347723 343732 339741 335746
      334751 333755 334759 338762 342766 345767 353771 362778
      367784 365795 369798 373795 379796 386796 390794 395791
      403785 409778 415769 423761 426759 430761 433766 434769
      433771 431778 431785 433790 435787 440778 442773 445769
      446763 446754 447748 449742 455720 459708 462698
 0.25 415071 416065 414062 407063 404058 402051 399035 399020
      403014 408012 412008 408005 403009 401011 397009 395005
      394997 391990 387984 384984 378986 373990 368994 360003
      353013 351020 351029 353031 356031 361032 365036 367041
      370049 374053 384059 387061 387065 389072 392078 397077
      403074 408076 413075 415071
 0.25 407107 408105 407104 407105 407107 407107
 0.25 407936 407923 405917 400916 397917 391921 384924 377927
      371931 366936 358947 355954 355965 358973 362973 364971
      370966 373964 377964 383968 387969 389967 396954 405940
      407936
 0.25 380076 380072 379069 376067 375066 372064 370063 367063
      368066 371067 373069 374073 375075 376078 379078 380076
 0.50 527828 527818 525812 522811 520813 517817 512825 506834
      502837 497839 489843 481848 473853 467863 462871 457879
      452889 448902 446907 444911 439919 434928 430940 426951
      424961 423969 421975 417986 416994 419998 423000 426998
      429985 432972 435966 437963 443956 446953 450951 459945
      464937 473917 479907 483897 488889 493881 500872 507864
      512858 519850 522845 525839 527828
 0.50 508151 508150 507148 506147 505145 505144 503142 502141
      500141 499141 498141 497143 496143 495146 496148 498150
      499151 501152 502152 503152 504153 506154 507153 508151
 0.50 479241 479237 478234 474233 472234 469235 467235 464235
      462238 465239 467240 470240 471241 475243 477243 479241
 0.50 481216 481213 480213 479212 477212 475213 474213 472213
      472214 470214 468215 467217 468219 469219 471219 473219
      473218 475218 476218 478218 478217 480217 481216
 0.50 463223 463218 461217 456217 451220 445218 441217 436220
      437224 444227 450224 453223 458225 463223
 0.50 454241 453239 452237 451237 450237 449237 448237 446236
      444236 442237 440238 440239 440241 442242 443243 445243
      447243 449242 450242 452241 454241
 0.50 455698 455690 453683 449675 445674 442676 436682 433685
      428687 421692 414695 405697 389695 379697 373700 364704
      357709 353715 351722 344740 341747 340751 340755 343757
      348758 355760 369766 375769 378773 379779 379785 381788
      386787 389785 397779 401773 411761 421748 427741 433737
      439731 443724 451709 455698
 0.50 464104 463100 462099 457098 453095 450094 448094 445101
      440103 439108 443112 448115 452116 455115 457110 461106
      464104
 0.50 429245 429241 428239 425238 421237 418236 414236 412237
      411240 411243 414245 418245 421245 423246 427246 429245
 0.50 391048 389042 388036 389028 388021 384011 381006 378003
      373003 368005 364009 361013 361018 363023 368032 373041
      378051 384052 388050 391048
 0.50 389945 389942 387941 384940 379933 376933 373934 371936
      365943 360949 358954 358961 360965 362967 368963 375958
      383954 388947 389945
 1.00 481874 481869 480867 476865 471868 468873 463881 458893
      457900 457908 457917 459924 462925 465920 470910 474900
      477887 481876 481874
 1.00 444703 442699 440699 435701 423706 410711 405712 401711
      391705 385704 379705 372708 366711 362714 357718 352729
      349740 346747 346751 348753 360753 372754 379755 384756
      390756 397754 401753 407749 415740 422732 432723 439714
      442708 444703
 1.00 377035 377033 377030 377029 377028 376026 376024 375023
      374021 374020 373019 372018 370019 370021 370022 371023
      372025 373026 373027 374028 374030 375033 376035 377036
      377035
 1.00 376947 376943 374940 373940 370943 368945 366947 364949
      363952 363956 364961 366961 368959 370958 372955 373953
      375949 376947
 1.50 418724 417717 414717 409721 401725 397724 395722 393718
      390716 384713 376713 368715 361720 357725 353741 353746
      356747 365746 374744 381744 385744 389741 393736 395732
      398733 403737 410735 414732 416730 418724
 2.00 386726 383721 378719 372719 365721 360724 358730 358736
      360741 367740 374740 380739 384736 385728 386726
 3.00 372731 370730 368730 366731 366732 367733 368733 370733
      372733 372731

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 507306 504300 500295 496289 492285 481266 476260 471257
      464255 458254 434255 423256 411255 399251 395248 391244
      390237 393230 397227 402226 404224 404221 398216 388209
      383206 380204 378201 377195 378194 381194 391199 395201
      398206 400208 402209 406206 407201 409197 411194 412189
      409183 405178 398176 394175 393173 390171 389170 390164
      392162 390148 389141 392139 389136 385138 379139 375139
      372136 372133 371129 372126 374120 379115 389110 394108
      396107 398103 402105 403098 403093 401090 399087 395096
      394100 392100 390096 392093 391090 389091 384094 377101
      373096 367097 360096 357095 355094 351089 351086 360065
      379057 375055 371056 365057 359056 360051 381043 391042
      398043 402045 406044 405040 403033 405029 405026 412027
      423031 436033 443033 447039 443039 438040 434042 428043
      426045 426049 430053 435057 438061 442062 444060 447060
      450064 454068 456071 459071 465069 472070 479061 483055
      486050 490045 493047 497049 500052 503059 505067 496069
      489068 486070 485073 483077 486080 489086 494099 498112
      499118 502123 508130 517141 524152 527157 531163 536174
      540183 543195 530241 528242 527242 525242 524241 522243
      522245 521248 521250 521253 522255 523256 525258
 0.01 535716 534757 533775 531794 531801 530806 528817 524835
      522844 521855 517872 515880 513890 508906 500935 497945
      493952 483966 481969 478970 470970 463970 459966 444940
      437942 432944 421949 414952 409959 397969 389980 382992
      374004 371011 369019 365034 362039 357041 349038 345032
      341024 339017 336012 340006 346993 348990 349986 349980
      348976 346973 344974 336975 329973 326971 325968 324966
      320965 313965 310964 307961 303958 293948 286947 282940
      279932 280923 280903 279898 281895 285889 292882 296877
      301874 317869 333864 364858 371856 379854 383853 386852
      392849 403843 413837 421833 426829 438818 443814 448809
      453804 458799 468789 475776 485751 493713 492700 492695
      492689 491683 488681 486680 485683 477695 472701 468706
      459716 452724 439734 427741 422743 420745 413744 403735
      397734 388736 379738 373740 362740 350736 341723 339720
      340716 340711 341706 342691 347676 359666 367661 372658
      379656 385654 392652 399650 406648 413646 420644 427642
      433640 440638 445637 448632 450627
 0.25 492612 496622 497634 495645 493654 490663 486670 475682
      452707 446712 441717 433721 423724 415724 408722 390721
      382722 376726 373728 370729 368727 365724 364719 365709
      364702 363697 364692 365683 366678 368674 374670 383666
      392663 410658 419658 429656 438653 446650 454645 458642
      461639 464635 465631 469621
 0.25 519272 518272 516272 515272 514272 512274 512276 513279
      513280 514282 515283 516284
 0.25 527727 526719 525713 522708 522700 519689 516684 515679
      512684 509687 504699 503704 502710 500722 493743 488762
      481784 477796 473805 468814 463822 454836 450840 447844
      439850 423860 415864 406866 396869 388870 341877 331879
      322882 314885 307888 304893 302897 296907 296911 297914
      300916 305922 306935 309938 312942 316949 318952 323954
      336969 345965 352960 369952 382945 399935 416925 423919
      430915 445908 456905 459907 462910 469919 474925 479927
      484924 490918 496912 501906 505895 508883 510869 512856
      516830 518806 525751 526739 527727
 0.25 509254 510248 510244 508237 505229 502222 494212 489206
      482204 475205 470207 458211 447213 440214 435216 429218
      425222 421227 415230 404233 402235 401239 402242 406244
      419246 425246 429245 431243 436240 441239 449241 456241
      464241 468242 475246 479247 481246 482241 483236 484231
      486230 490230 493233 497239 503249 506256 509254
 0.25 508175 508165 508158 506146 502140 499139 494140 490139
      484130 480120 477115 476108 473101 469098 460092 457090
      454089 451089 446091 442091 433093 429095 429101 422105
      416108 413108 410106 409103 407102 405107 401112 401116
      404121 408123 416123 423126 432123 437121 441119 448124
      452127 453129 451136 448141 444144 440146 436150 434153
      428152 423149 419149 417151 412160 413166 415171 420178
      424184 426186 429185 437178 440175 441181 440188 441194
      441197 444199 447199 450198 453196 457192 464185 471180
      475179 479178 482180 490187 496186 501184 505180 508175
 0.25 414071 414063 409059 405056 399055 393057 391064 392068
      392073 395076 399077 401076 405074 410074 413073 414071
 0.25 373988 373981 371981 368985 366990 364994 362998 360001
      359003 360006 364004 366001 369996 371993 373988 373988
 0.50 483615 486619 488624 488633 488646 488653 486658 481666
      475672 468679 462687 450701 443707 437708 433706 429704
      425704 420705 416707 405712 400713 397715 391716 387716
      381711 375696 375690 377687 386683 390679 391675 389674
      392671 400669 408666 414665 416666 408673 405675 402680
      408683 415688 424691 428692 431689 433684 432679 434674
      437668 443661 450655 456650 465644 469641 471636 474627
      477618
 0.50 523736 522729 520725 515718 512715 510716 505722 502733
      499744 493764 488784 482801 475820 470828 465836 459843
      453848 441857 425867 418872 414874 409873 406872 400873
      392875 384879 379882 370887 364892 358894 352893 347888
      344885 338885 328887 320889 313891 309894 308899 308903
      310907 311912 311920 312926 314929 317930 318936 319943
      321946 332954 334956 334959 334963 337965 340964 355954
      410919 423909 429905 436901 446898 455895 464895 472900
      477905 482906 486904 492901 497896 502886 505876 508864
      510851 513828 515806 516793 517780 519766 520755 523736
 0.50 493222 493218 492216 486211 479210 473211 468214 463218
      453215 445215 439216 434218 431221 430223 431226 434228
      437229 443227 455225 467223 472221 479221 485221 493222
      493222
 0.50 476167 478160 475155 473151 469149 463142 459143 456147
      455151 453159 453166 450168 449175 449180 451184 455187
      458185 460183 463179 464175 463172 464168 467166 470169
      474168 476167
 0.50 456113 457103 455097 453095 450094 446097 444099 441101
      436101 432104 428111 431116 436116 441113 446114 452116
      456113
 0.50 431171 432169 431166 429165 428164 426164 425165 424166
      423167 424168 424169 425172 426172 427173 428173 429173
      430172 431171
 1.00 511768 510763 509757 505757 502764 499777 495792 492805
      488818 483830 480837 476841 469849 463861 460866 461868
      460871 461874 464874 468875 471875 481877 487877 493875
      497871 500867 502860 504852 507837 509820 510803 508792
      508787 509782 511768
 1.00 474654 473651 469652 461656 454660 448665 445672 444681
      446685 449684 454680 460674 464669 469663 474657 474654
 1.00 431888 427885 421885 408889 385896 378897 374900 367911
      364914 359916 346920 341922 337925 337932 339939 351949
      356947 360943 370938 378931 388924 405910 424897 429893
      431888
 1.00 326915 327913 326911 326910 324910 322910 321911 319913
      319914 318915 319916 321916 323917 324916 326915 326915
 1.50 503816 502811 499811 497817 495822 494827 493833 492838
      492845 495849 498846 500842 502837 503831 503824 503818
      503816

$$




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