Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 240927
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
526 AM EDT MON APR 24 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 24/1200 UTC THRU APR 27/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

08Z UPDATE:

SHIFTED THE QPF MAX SLIGHTLY EAST ACROSS EASTERN SC AND SOUTHERN
NC BASED ON RECENT RADAR TRENDS ALONG WITH TRENDS IN HRRR
GUIDANCE.

...SOUTHERN-CENTRAL APPALACHIANS / SOUTHEASTERN U.S. / MID
ATLANTIC...

A HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT WILL CONTINUE TODAY...FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA. OVERALL AN IMPRESSIVE
SETUP...WITH BOTH CONDITIONS ALOFT AND IN THE LOWER LEVELS
CONDUCIVE TO HEAVY CONVECTIVE RAINFALL. IN THE UPPER LEVELS THE
CLOSED LOW MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD WILL CONTINUE TO TAKE ON MORE OF A
NEGATIVE TILT RESULTING IN INCREASED ASCENT OVER NC/SC. ALSO NOTE
IMPRESSIVE DIFFLUENCE AT 250 MB...WHICH SHOULD AID IN THE
MAINTENANCE OF CONVECTION THROUGH THE DAY. IN THE LOWER LEVELS A
STRONG COASTAL FRONT EXTENDS ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST...WITH
INSTABILITY ALONG/SOUTH AND JUST NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY. STRONG
EASTERLY FLOW INTO AND OVER THIS BOUNDARY WILL HELP MAINTAIN A
STRONG CONVERGENCE AXIS...AND ALSO HELP MAINTAIN INSTABILITY INTO
THE BOUNDARY. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
TO AROUND CLIMATOLOGICAL RECORD VALUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SC/NC AS
MOISTURE FROM THE TROPICAL WAVE OFF OF FLORIDA IS WRAPPED WEST
INTO THE CLOSED LOW.

THE EXPECTATION IS THAT THE HEAVY CONVECTIVE LINE MOVING ACROSS SC
AS OF 06Z WILL CONTINUE SLOWLY MOVING EAST INTO THE MORNING.
HOWEVER AS THE CLOSED LOW DIVES SOUTHEAST AND BECOMES INCREASINGLY
NEGATIVELY TILTED...EXPECT THE NORTH/SOUTH CONVERGENCE AXIS
RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS CONVECTIVE LINE TO SLOW ITS EASTWARD
PROGRESSION. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR CONTINUED CONVECTIVE
REGENERATION OVER EASTERN SC THIS MORNING...WITH THE ACTIVITY
SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN NC WITH TIME. THE COMBINATION
OF PROLONGED SYNOPTIC SUPPORT AND ONLY SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESSION
OF THE CONVERGENCE AXIS...AND WIND FIELDS CONDUCIVE TO SOME
SOUTHWARD BACKBUILDING OF CONVECTION INTO THE INSTABILITY...BOTH
POINT TOWARDS THE LIKELIHOOD OF TRAINING CONVECTION. WHICH GIVEN
THE VERY HIGH PWAT VALUES...WILL LEAD TO SOME IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL
TOTALS INTO THIS EVENING.

SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES EXIST WITH REGARDS TO THE EXACT AXIS OF
HIGHEST QPF AMOUNTS. AT LEAST SOME OF THE DIFFERENCES ARE RELATED
TO EXACTLY HOW MUCH CONVECTION IS ABLE TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD WITH
TIME. THE HIGH RES ARW PROPAGATES THE MOST...PUSHING THE HEAVIEST
TOTALS MORE INTO SOUTHERN NC. THE HIGH RES NMMB ON THE OTHER HAND
IS THE LEAST PROGRESSIVE SOLUTION...KEEPING THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS
OVER CENTRAL SC. AT THIS TIME THINK SOMETHING IN BETWEEN THESE TWO
EXTREMES IS PROBABLY THE MOST LIKELY OUTCOME. THE 0Z 3KM NAM AND
NSSL WRF PROBABLY REPRESENT THIS MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION THE BEST.
WPC QPF GENERALLY FOLLOWED A MULTI MODEL BLEND...ALTHOUGH WAS
WEIGHTED TOWARDS THE HIGH RES CONSENSUS. THOUGHT MUCH OF THE NON
CAM GUIDANCE (GFS/NAM/ECMWF) MAY HAVE BEEN A BIT TOO FAR INLAND
WITH THEIR HIGHEST AMOUNTS...AND PROBABLY A BIT TOO FAR
SOUTHWEST...AS THEY MAY BE FAILING TO CORRECTLY PROPAGATE
CONVECTION SLOWLY EASTWARD. LOOKING AT AREAL AVERAGED AMOUNTS
MAXING IN THE 4-6" RANGE ALONG THE NC/SC BORDER NEAR THE COAST.
WOULD ANTICIPATE SOME ISOLATED 6-10" TOTALS IN THIS VICINITY AS
WELL WHERE TRAINING ENDS UP MAXIMIZED. THE FACT THAT THE CLOSED
LOW WILL REMAIN MOVING WILL PREVENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM BEING
EVEN MORE EXTREME. OVERALL THE NEW WPC QPF ENDS UP PRETTY SIMILAR
TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST.

FURTHER NORTH FROM NORTHERN NC INTO VA RAINFALL WILL BE MORE
STRATIFORM IN NATURE. GOOD UPSLOPE FLOW WILL CONTINUE DECENT
RAINFALL INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO THE MORNING. HOWEVER
BY LATER TODAY THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO CUTOFF A BIT FROM THE FLOW AND
WE START TO LOSE THE BETTER MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS. THUS EXPECT
RAINFALL INTENSITY TO DECREASE ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS BY THIS
TIME. OUR PREFERRED HIGH RES CONSENSUS DOES CUT BACK A BIT ON
AMOUNTS TODAY IN THE STABLE AIR ACROSS VA.

...NORTHWEST...

LONGWAVE TROUGHING WITH MULTIPLE PIECES OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY
EMBEDDED WITHIN IT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TO THE
NORTHWEST TODAY. HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE COASTAL
RANGES OF NORTHWEST CA AND SOUTHWEST OR...AND OVER THE OR AND
SOUTHERN WA CASCADES. QPF AMOUNTS UP TO AROUND 1.5" CAN BE
EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS THROUGH THE DAY 1 PERIOD. THE OTHER AREA
OF INTEREST IS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MT INTO NORTHERN
WY. IT IS HERE WHERE THE APPROACH OF A SHORTWAVE FEATURE AND
INCREASED DIFFLUENCE ALOFT...WILL COUPLE WITH EASTERLY UPSLOPE
FLOW AND A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AXIS TO PRODUCE SOME 0.5"-1.5"
AMOUNTS. SOME NORTH/SOUTH DIFFERENCES WERE NOTED WITH THIS QPF
AXIS...WITH WPC FOLLOWING A MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION.

...ND/MN...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL PRODUCE
MAINLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF ND/MN.
SOME INTERESTING QPF DIFFERENCES WERE NOTED. ALL THE 0Z HIGH RES
GUIDANCE ALONG WITH RECENT HRRR RUNS WERE ALL HEAVIER WITH AMOUNTS
FURTHER NORTHWEST ACROSS NORTHERN ND...WITH THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE
GENERALLY MORE SUPPRESSED TO THE SOUTHEAST. BASED ON
RADAR/SATELLITE TRENDS THINK THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE MAY BE TOO
LIGHT...BUT ALSO QUITE POSSIBLE THE CAM GUIDANCE IS TOO HEAVY.
THUS WPC GENERALLY FOLLOWED A 50/50 BLEND OF THE HIGH RES CAM
GUIDANCE CONSENSUS AND GLOBAL GUIDANCE CONSENSUS FOR QPF ACROSS
THIS REGION.



DAYS 2 AND 3


...MID ATLANTIC TO NORTHEAST...

THE NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED CLOSED MID/UPPER LOW
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST-LOWER MID ATLANTIC COAST EARLY ON DAY 2 WILL
GRADUALLY LIFT NORTHEASTWARD AND NEAR LONG ISLAND BY THE END OF
DAY 3 (12Z THU). THE NON-NAM MODELS WERE FAIRLY WELL CLUSTERED
WITH THE TRACK OF THE DEEP OFFSHORE LOW...AS THE NAM ONCE AGAIN
INDICATED A STRONGER W-E RIDGE INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND THUS
WAS ON THE SLOWER SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE SPREAD WITH THE LOW TRACK.
AT THE SAME TIME...THE ECMWF WAS NOTABLY DRIER WITH THE QPF INTO
NEW ENGLAND (ESPECIALLY INTERIOR PORTIONS)...WHILE COMPARED TO THE
REST OF THE GUIDANCE THE UKMET WAS A WET OUTLIER. WPC UTILIZED A
MULTI-MODEL BLEND WITH THE QPF...WITH THE BULK OF THE WEIGHT GIVEN
TO THE GFS (WHICH AMONG THE MODELS HAS EXHIBITED BETTER RUN-TO-RUN
CONTINUITY WITH THIS SYSTEM) ALONG WITH WPC`S BIAS CORRECTED
ENSEMBLE QPF.

FAVORABLE...SLOW-MOVING DYNAMICAL FORCING WILL COMBINE WITH THE
IMPRESSIVE (ANOMALOUS) DEEP MOISTURE AVAILABILITY IN PRODUCING A
FAIRLY ELONGATED SWATH OF HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE NORTHERN MID
ATLANTIC COAST N-NE INTO MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND. PW AND LOW-MID LEVEL
MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES WILL BE QUITE FAVORABLE...AVERAGING
BETWEEN 2.5-3.0 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL PER THE SREF AND
GEFS...OWING TO THE AMPLE INFLUX OF MOISTURE OFF THE GULF STREAM
AS S-SE 850 MB FLOW INCREASES TO 40-50 KTS. ELEVATED INSTABILITY
UP INTO NEW ENGLAND WILL BE QUITE WEAK (I.E. NO HIGHER THAN 250
J/KG)...WHICH GIVEN THE LACK OF DEEP CONVECTION...WOULD EXPLAIN
WHY THE EVOLVING/RECYCLING WARM CONVEYOR BELT AND ELONGATED MOIST
ISENTROPIC ASCENT SHOULD BE QUITE EFFICIENT WITH THE NORTHWARD
TRANSPORT OF THE HEAVIER RAINFALL. FOR THIS REASON...AGAIN BELIEVE
THE ECMWF (AND TO SOME EXTENT THE NAM) WERE TOO LIGHT WITH THE
HEAVIER PCPN FARTHER NORTH AND INLAND ACROSS NEW ENGLAND.

WPC INCLUDED A MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL GIVEN THE FFG
AND SOIL SATURATION FORECASTS PER THE NATIONAL WATER
MODEL...THOUGH THE LACK OF CONVECTIVE CONTRIBUTION SHOULD LIMIT
SHORT TERM RAINFALL RATES.


...EASTERN PLAINS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

NEXT DEEPENING/AMPLIFYING TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS
DURING DAYS 2-3 IS NOT HANDLED PARTICULARLY WELL BY THE LATEST
SUITE OF GUIDANCE. THE DIFFERENCES ARE PREDOMINATELY
TIMING-BASED...PARTICULARLY WITH THE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE
FRONT TRAVERSING THE SOUTHERN-CENTRAL PLAINS AND LOWER-MID MS
VALLEY. MOREOVER...THE INCREASINGLY-FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMICAL
PROFILE (ESPECIALLY INSTABILITY BY WED WITH AN EXPANDING AREA OF
1000-2000 J/KG MIXED LAYER CAPES) WILL LIKELY LEAD TO THE
DEVELOPMENT OF PRE-FRONTAL QLCS/S. FOR NOW...WPC LEANED TOWARD A
BLEND OF THE GFS AND ECMWF IN TERMS OF TIMING THE EASTWARD
PROGRESSION...WEIGHTING MORE WITH THE FASTER GFS ACROSS THE
LOWER-MID MS VALLEY GIVEN THE LIKELY CONTRIBUTION FROM CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOWS. BECAUSE OF THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY PROGGED...ALONG
WITH PW VALUES CLIMBING TO 1.5+ INCHES AHEAD OF THE
TROUGH/FRONT...WPC INCLUDED A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ON
DAY 3 ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER-MID MS VALLEY WITH THE
EXPECTATION THAT HOURLY RAINFALL RATES COULD APPROACH/EXCEED
1.5-2.0 INCHES.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

CHENARD/HURLEY


24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 531197 532184 532181 531177 530175 529172 530170 532170
      532165 530155 529151 526150 520148 518145 516141 516129
      515121 512114 510111 510105 514085 515075 515072 514069
      511066 507065 502065 493072 487075 482076 475076 471078
      467078 461065 458057 457049 457039 455030 453022 450017
      442006 436994 422991 419989 419984 418979 418974 417966
      415956 400956 391956 389958 389962 389970 393975 398980
      401980 405982 406984 406989 406999 403017 399024 397028
      398032 400042 396049 392054 387057 381055 377055 379058
      379063 377065 375065 373062 368062 365068 369071 372073
      373076 376092 375104 376108 380108 381105 382098 383095
      387094 392094 394092 397092 399093 400096 399100 394103
      393108 392110 387112 384113 381116 378121 377123 376128
      383129 394126 396127 397133 396138 395142 392144 392149
      393152 393157 394161 393165 387171 387178 388183 391185
      398183 403188 404191 404196 403200 400201 392198 369182
      364184 361186 359185 357182 352182 348183 346186 344194
      347199 355189 362188 367190 372194 376199 382211 390215
      395219 374225 381236 385243 388250 391255 396260 405269
      410274 414279 420276 424273 430271 437270 448266 453263
      455261 459261 463263 467260 473255 476250 477245 479243
      481241 484240 487239 488236 490234 487233 485230 480228
      480223 482221 490222 494223 497226 499227 501225 503223
      504218 506209 512205 518207 523205 531197
 0.01 535877 535866 535855 534845 532834 528818 525809 522802
      518798 513798 501804 497819 495826 494830 494835 494841
      492845 490849 489859 488864 486867 478837 474837 473840
      473849 477866 479873 473877 468880 463885 450910 445923
      448926 454924 458924 459926 458933 455951 452966 452971
      454974 457974 458979 458999 458005 459009 461016 465019
      468025 471032 475039 483047 494054 506055 511051 515046
      519029 519023 521017 521008 520001 520994 520983 519979
      519973 519961 519951 521942 524934 528918 531902 534888
      534880 535877
 0.01 487195 483192 480190 477185 474182 471186 469190 469195
      470198 472200 474196 478194 481198 484199 486197 487195
 0.01 436785 434782 431785 424788 420786 421781 425778 426773
      427763 428758 428752 429746 427741 426735 424732 424729
      421729 417731 413721 414711 414705 413697 414676 413672
      410669 406669 401670 395672 393675 384678 368689 357699
      346713 322737 316744 312751 309759 306762 306767 308772
      306775 299779 290782 280785 270787 267790 265794 262801
      258807 249812 247813 242814 238817 238823 239829 243830
      252827 259823 261822 262823 261828 259832 259838 263839
      266838 271837 274835 281832 287825 293821 299819 304819
      314822 322823 327824 329828 331838 331847 333851 337853
      340856 343857 351857 356855 358852 360847 357845 356842
      357839 360836 362834 364830 366826 370823 374824 377827
      380830 384830 387828 391825 396807 397800 399798 406792
      409789 412789 414791 416796 415801 413806 414812 416814
      419813 428807 432802 435793 436785
 0.01 341168 339166 336167 335169 334164 330165 326167 323168
      324171 327173 333173 337172 339170 341168
 0.01 276809 274808 273808 272810 273811 275811 276809
 0.25 524876 523864 521854 518847 516843 513842 510844 508848
      506857 502863 497869 480894 478902 475912 475921 475927
      477930 478936 477941 478949 481957 481962 479966 475971
      473976 474980 476984 475988 471994 473998 476997 478994
      482994 485000 485006 488009 493003 496995 505983 510965
      511954 514945 518926 519902 522888 524876
 0.25 511149 506126 504119 501114 499115 499121 499130 496132
      495129 492124 489119 486118 483120 479122 475123 472120
      470113 473108 473105 472098 471091 469086 465083 461078
      456069 454064 453059 452052 451044 447034 441024 439019
      437014 429023 426027 426032 429044 429051 430058 432063
      433071 434078 437082 441079 444080 443084 440088 437093
      433093 428090 424091 422093 424097 425100 423102 414104
      409102 405104 400112 399115 400117 403121 405125 411126
      418127 419128 420133 415144 406149 403151 401154 401158
      406168 411176 421193 418197 413200 412204 415208 419212
      423213 423216 421222 422228 423231 421231 417229 412227
      408230 404231 399232 395232 393235 395240 399243 402247
      407248 410251 415253 422253 442248 458241 467236 471232
      471228 472222 475218 477214 476211 474210 469210 464208
      454206 457197 462187 465181 466175 468159 467152 464146
      462140 464132 466127 469128 478129 481132 483138 485141
      488143 491143 495141 496148 498156 498162 496169 496172
      495180 497188 499190 501188 503183 503176 503168 508159
      511149
 0.25 448209 443206 440202 437201 432198 428201 427206 429211
      430215 431217 432214 435216 439215 442213 446211 448209
 0.25 452139 450132 447126 444122 440120 434121 431125 428132
      429140 430147 433149 436148 442147 447146 451141 452139
 0.25 430233 429232 427231 426230 425229 424229 423229 424230
      424232 425233 427233 429234 430233
 0.25 406217 405214 402211 399207 396203 393201 389199 386199
      384200 386205 390208 393210 396212 399216 405217 406217
 0.25 422020 422015 421013 418012 416013 414015 412017 410019
      409021 408026 409030 412030 414028 416026 418024 421022
      422020
 0.25 419046 418045 417044 415043 414043 413043 411045 412047
      413049 415050 417048 418048 418046 419046
 0.25 416071 416065 412062 409061 406056 402056 399058 393062
      389066 387070 386072 384070 382071 379074 378077 381079
      384077 388075 393075 397075 401077 406077 409075 413074
      416071
 0.25 400723 400717 398713 393714 390717 383717 375715 369713
      366714 362717 351727 344731 339737 331750 314775 311782
      309786 307788 304795 305797 308799 322806 326812 330820
      334825 339825 342827 348831 351832 356830 364818 370812
      375808 388799 392792 396784 394777 392767 391757 391752
      393748 395741 397735 400723
 0.25 349840 348839 346839 346840 345842 344842 344845 345845
      347845 347844 348842 349840
 0.50 516884 517876 516867 514864 510864 506867 503871 498881
      488896 486902 485908 483922 486933 489946 490952 489961
      491967 491975 490980 491986 494986 495985 498980 499975
      502969 504966 506960 508946 511934 512903 513896 514892
      516884
 0.50 470220 470217 468216 463213 455214 438216 429218 426219
      424224 426227 431231 434233 432236 428237 425237 416233
      411232 408234 406238 408242 413244 418245 427245 434244
      442241 443237 438234 443231 451229 454228 456231 463231
      466227 468222 470220
 0.50 469105 469095 467091 464089 455073 450065 449058 450051
      447041 443039 442033 440031 435030 433033 435037 441042
      440046 437048 435062 436074 443074 447078 449082 449095
      450100 452105 452109 450114 453118 457115 458111 460109
      462110 466109 469105
 0.50 457182 455181 455179 455177 455174 454173 453171 452173
      452176 452177 454179 454180 454181 454184 455184 456184
      457182 457182
 0.50 453188 454186 453184 451185 449186 448186 447187 446188
      445189 445191 445192 447193 449192 451190 453189 453188
 0.50 443166 445164 445162 444160 443159 442157 441156 439155
      438154 436154 435155 434157 435160 436162 437163 438164
      439166 440166 441167 443166 443166
 0.50 448114 447109 445104 443101 438100 434102 430103 427105
      423107 426112 427116 428119 431119 434116 436114 441114
      447114 448114
 0.50 429173 429171 429169 427169 425169 425170 427171 428173
      429173
 0.50 433099 432099 432097 431095 431094 429093 428094 429096
      430097 431098 432099 432100 433099
 0.50 421178 421176 421175 419175 417176 416177 417178 419179
      420179 421178
 0.50 420119 420115 417114 414114 410113 408111 407107 405109
      406112 408114 408117 410119 413121 416121 419121 420119
 0.50 389787 388781 383776 380772 380764 380757 378750 376743
      372738 368734 364733 360734 355733 350734 341743 334752
      321774 318778 316785 314791 313794 314798 318802 323804
      327808 330814 333820 338823 349829 351829 355828 357822
      359817 364812 372803 375798 382797 387792 389787
 1.00 504908 503907 503906 502903 501903 500904 499906 499907
      498909 498911 498914 499916 500915 502914 502913 503911
      503909 504908
 1.00 462223 461220 456217 452218 447218 443218 438219 436221
      437225 442226 446225 451225 455225 460225 462223
 1.00 450073 449070 449068 448067 448065 447064 446063 445060
      444058 444057 443058 443060 443062 442064 441065 440067
      441069 441070 443071 445072 446073 448074 450073 450073
 1.00 421240 421239 420238 419237 418236 416236 415236 414237
      413238 414240 415240 417240 419241 421241 421240
 1.00 368759 366754 364750 361747 357746 353747 349750 344755
      336760 334763 333767 332771 330774 325780 317795 317798
      321801 327804 331811 334814 337815 339812 343811 350811
      354810 359808 365803 368800 367794 365782 363765 368759
 1.00 351824 349824 348824 349824 351825 351824
 1.50 362760 359757 356755 351756 349759 348763 353766 342767
      335771 332777 326783 325785 324789 320796 322799 325801
      335810 339808 345808 353807 360803 363798 363792 362786
      360778 356772 356768 359765 362760
 2.00 361792 358782 354779 352775 350771 347769 342770 338771
      334778 328785 324793 323796 325799 328801 333807 342805
      348804 353804 357801 359798 361792
 3.00 356795 356789 354786 350778 347772 340773 336780 333787
      329792 327796 330798 337798 345798 351800 356795
 4.00 354790 353786 350782 348777 344774 341778 338782 336786
      335789 332794 333796 337796 343795 346796 349797 352795
      353792 354790
 5.00 351791 351789 350787 349786 347786 345786 344785 343785
      342783 340784 338786 338788 340790 342790 342791 343792
      344792 346792 348793 350792 351791
 5.00 347780 347778 346777 345779 345781 347781 347780

24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 547776 547773 547770 547768 547765 546762 546760 546757
      543743 535740 530739 528742 523755 519768 515775 512778
      510784 509790 508793 505793 501783 496778 493777 487777
      479779 473784 470787 468791 463799 460806 457815 455822
      454827 451839 449845 445850 438859 436861 431864 428866
      423867 419870 416874 411882 406885 400890 387899 383902
      381905 376912 365925 347934 336939 328943 323946 319947
      311952 299963 297966 298969 301973 302972 319969 322968
      328967 334967 337969 341972 344976 348985 346991 345997
      344003 341007 338012 338019 340023 342026 342031 343036
      345042 348045 354046 357047 358051 355055 352057 341056
      334058 337062 340066 342071 340076 339081 339087 340091
      342095 344096 353095 361093 369099 376101 380098 381096
      384095 389095 395101 400103 397108 390112 381114 379116
      380120 382125 384127 393126 396125 399128 399133 397136
      394140 389141 389145 390149 393154 394158 394163 392165
      390168 389171 392172 397173 401171 404167 410165 412165
      413167 413170 414175 417179 421182 423186 424190 423194
      420198 418200 412200 410202 408207 405208 402206 394202
      386198 382197 380199 381203 384206 391211 397217 400221
      402225 393226 387226 384231 382239 383246 384251 386256
      392263 398270 401273 406275 417285 430294 440298 451302
      454302 460304 468304 476303 484297 495297 499295 503291
      509273 513271 515267 516259 516253 513245 509236 505227
      502217 501207 501202 502196 505193 509191 518195 525190
      527184 529176 529171 528167 525163 519151 516141 517124
      516118 514113 510104 507096 503088 501083 499080 497077
      493076 488075 484072 475071 468067 465064 464060 462053
      460048 459041 459033 459025 458018 455003 454997 455992
      456976 460974 464972 471969 483960 488954 490945 504906
      506902 510901 518900 527895
 0.01 527895 532889 535883 538878 538874 541866 542861 542855
      543844 544837 546833 547825 547817 548814 548800 547787
      547776
 0.01 484194 482189 479185 476183 472184 469185 466186 466189
      468192 471197 473201 477203 480202 482196 484194
 0.01 484725 483714 481703 477695 476690 476685 476679 474673
      472665 469658 465650 461644 456640 451639 445641 441644
      432652 426657 421662 416667 412671 389677 381681 376685
      361690 350696 346699 344704 343712 340720 338727 335732
      327739 324744 323749 323759 319765 315770 312776 312783
      314787 319791 324791 331788 336787 339789 346800 349806
      352809 355813 360816 366818 374817 387811 397806 404805
      408806 419814 434812 440810 444806 448802 450797 457794
      463790 469777 472763 478754 481746 482738 484725
 0.01 464204 464197 462193 457197 451203 444203 439200 437197
      437192 436188 434191 433197 434201 440206 443208 446210
      451210 453209 460207 464204
 0.01 439134 439129 439125 437123 434123 432124 430125 428128
      426132 427136 429138 432139 434137 437136 439134
 0.01 352195 353193 354191 354189 354186 354184 353183 352183
      351183 350184 348185 346187 346189 346191 347192 347194
      348195 350197 352195 352195
 0.25 535811 534802 532798 529796 525797 521802 515810 511815
      508818 498824 488821 480827 474836 462861 451880 444894
      437903 431913 426921 422927 419934 417942 416951 416960
      414965 411977 410987 409997 411004 415008 421009 426009
      431007 433002 436984 443972 445967 449962 457959 462954
      466948 472936 477925 482915 485909 489902 495891 499886
      503883 510877 515874 520869 526858 531845 533832 535819
      535811
 0.25 502267 502262 500258 496250 494241 494238 496238 499240
      502238 499230 496223 491219 485212 482210 478209 471210
      465211 458214 452215 439215 435216 430216 426215 424217
      420224 418227 416227 414224 413219 409218 408220 408228
      406232 404233 399234 396235 395241 397243 402248 408251
      417253 424253 436252 440251 445251 452252 461254 467256
      477260 481265 493265 496268 499269 502267
 0.25 512160 513154 512151 511141 508135 504130 502126 500120
      497115 494114 492115 461094 450087 446090 440089 437083
      437076 442075 446077 451081 453078 453075 450059 450042
      448029 446021 444017 442015 438014 435016 434024 434038
      432052 430062 426067 425072 427074 426078 427084 426089
      430092 431099 430109 437112 446121 458123 460125 459131
      453148 450153 445157 448170 450183 448187 449192 452193
      454190 458185 461182 464176 461171 460165 464163 470162
      476157 480155 483159 487170 491173 495174 502172 507169
      509168 510164 512160
 0.25 491232 490229 487226 486225 483224 481224 477223 475225
      476227 478229 480231 483234 486235 489234 491232
 0.25 472121 472120 471118 470118 469117 467116 465115 464117
      464119 463121 465123 466123 468123 469123 470122 472121
      472121
 0.25 462691 461684 457677 454672 451669 447667 443666 432667
      427671 423676 415683 404687 396688 390689 382691 372695
      362700 354706 351710 349716 346727 341736 337744 334749
      334757 336762 340765 348768 352770 355773 362783 365787
      365792 367798 371797 375795 379796 386796 392793 400787
      407780 412773 420763 423761 427761 431766 432771 431776
      431783 431787 433790 435788 440778 445770 447766 448762
      447758 446749 449743 452731 454719 458710 461699 462691
 0.25 415071 416066 414062 407063 404058 402052 400037 398030
      398022 401016 405013 409009 410005 399011 395009 392004
      389997 385992 381989 375989 370993 366997 362002 360007
      359015 359022 360030 362035 367048 369052 375054 382057
      387061 389072 390076 393078 398077 403074 406075 411076
      413075 415071
 0.25 407107 408105 407104 407105 407107 407107
 0.25 408936 408929 408923 405917 400916 397918 391921 383924
      377927 371931 366936 358947 355955 355965 356969 358973
      362973 364971 371966 377964 383968 387965 397954 405941
      408936
 0.25 380076 380072 379069 376067 375066 372064 370063 367063
      368066 371067 373069 374073 375075 376078 379078 380076
 0.50 527828 527818 526813 524811 521812 519813 516817 512826
      506833 503838 498842 488844 485844 483846 480849 475855
      468866 463874 453891 448902 446907 443912 438920 434928
      425951 422960 419971 415985 414992 417996 421996 424992
      429985 432981 434973 436967 438963 444957 450952 459945
      465935 473917 483896 487888 493881 519850 523845 525838
      527828
 0.50 508151 508150 507148 506147 505145 505144 503142 502141
      500141 499141 498141 497143 496143 495146 496148 498150
      499151 501152 502152 503152 504153 506154 507153 508151
 0.50 479241 479237 478234 474233 472234 469235 467235 464235
      462238 465239 467240 470240 471241 475243 477243 479241
 0.50 481216 481213 480213 479212 477212 475213 474213 472213
      472214 470214 468215 467217 468219 469219 471219 473219
      473218 475218 476218 478218 478217 480217 481216
 0.50 463223 463218 461217 456217 451220 445218 441217 436220
      437224 444227 450224 453223 458225 463223
 0.50 454241 453239 452237 451237 450237 449237 448237 446236
      444236 442237 440238 440239 440241 442242 443243 445243
      447243 449242 450242 452241 454241
 0.50 464104 463100 462099 457098 453095 448094 445101 440103
      439108 443112 448115 452116 455115 457110 461106 464104
 0.50 450701 449696 447692 442686 439684 435685 428687 420692
      414695 405697 400697 391696 383696 375699 369701 361706
      356710 353717 351722 339751 340756 344758 352760 363763
      370768 375772 378779 378785 380788 385788 390785 395782
      400775 403770 422749 428742 435737 438731 441726 447712
      450701
 0.50 429245 429241 428239 425238 421237 418236 414236 412237
      411240 411243 414245 418245 421245 423246 427246 429245
 0.50 391048 388038 388025 387019 385015 379009 374003 370003
      367007 365012 365018 366030 369039 372044 374047 377051
      381053 386052 389050 391048
 0.50 388947 389944 388942 384941 380936 377933 373934 369938
      364943 360949 359953 358958 360967 364968 366966 371961
      377958 383954 388948 388947
 1.00 481874 481869 480867 476867 472870 470875 466886 462898
      458910 457917 459924 462925 465920 470910 473898 478887
      481876 481874
 1.00 437714 438709 436705 430704 426705 422707 410712 405713
      400713 394710 390708 385706 381706 373708 369710 360716
      356721 354726 350736 347749 348753 353754 367751 378753
      389754 400754 406752 410749 418741 426733 432725 437714
 1.00 378042 378040 379037 378035 378034 378033 378031 377028
      377027 376026 375024 374026 374028 374030 374033 375035
      376037 376039 376040 378042 378042
 1.00 375947 375943 374940 373940 370943 368945 366947 364949
      363952 363956 363961 364963 366962 368960 370958 372956
      373953 375949 375947
 1.50 427722 425716 422715 413717 404721 397721 384715 380713
      375713 367716 360722 357728 352746 356748 361747 370746
      380746 386744 391741 396742 402744 407743 411741 416736
      422730 426723 427722
 2.00 413730 413727 412727 411727 410728 411729 412730 413730
      413730
 2.00 385733 384724 379721 374720 368720 363723 360727 359734
      359739 360741 366742 371740 378739 382738 384736 385733

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 507306 504300 500295 496289 492285 481266 476260 471257
      464255 458254 434255 423256 411255 399251 395248 391244
      390237 393230 397227 402226 404224 404221 398216 388209
      383206 380204 378201 377195 378194 381194 391199 395201
      398206 400208 402209 406206 407201 409197 411194 412189
      409183 405178 398176 394175 393173 390171 389170 390164
      392162 390148 389141 392139 389136 385138 379139 375139
      372136 372133 371129 372126 374120 379115 389110 394108
      396107 398103 402105 403098 403093 401090 399087 395096
      394100 392100 390096 392093 391090 389091 384094 377101
      373096 367097 360096 357095 355094 351089 351086 360065
      379057 375055 371056 365057 359056 360051 381043 391042
      398043 402045 406044 405040 403033 405029 405026 412027
      423031 436033 443033 447039 443039 438040 434042 428043
      426045 426049 430053 435057 438061 442062 444060 447060
      450064 454068 456071 459071 465069 472070 479061 483055
      486050 490045 493047 497049 500052 503059 505067 496069
      489068 486070 485073 483077 486080 489086 494099 498112
      499118 502123 508130 517141 524152 527157 531163 536174
      540183 543195 530241 528242 527242 525242 524241 522243
      522245 521248 521250 521253 522255 523256 525258
 0.01 535716 534757 533775 531794 531801 530806 528817 524835
      522844 521855 517872 515880 513890 508906 500935 497945
      493952 483966 481969 478970 470970 463970 459966 444940
      437942 432944 421949 414952 409959 397969 389980 382992
      374004 371011 369019 365034 362039 357041 349038 345032
      341024 339017 336012 340006 346993 348990 349986 349980
      348976 346973 344974 336975 329973 326971 325968 324966
      320965 313965 310964 307961 303958 293948 286947 282940
      279932 280923 280903 279898 281895 285889 292882 296877
      301874 317869 333864 364858 371856 379854 383853 386852
      392849 403843 413837 421833 426829 438818 443814 448809
      453804 458799 468789 475776 485751 493713 492700 492695
      492689 491683 488681 486680 485683 477695 472701 468706
      459716 452724 439734 427741 422743 420745 413744 403735
      397734 388736 379738 373740 362740 350736 341723 339720
      340716 340711 341706 342691 347676 359666 367661 372658
      379656 385654 392652 399650 406648 413646 420644 427642
      433640 440638 445637 448632 450627
 0.25 492612 496622 497634 495645 493654 490663 486670 475682
      452707 446712 441717 433721 423724 415724 408722 390721
      382722 376726 373728 370729 368727 365724 364719 365709
      364702 363697 364692 365683 366678 368674 374670 383666
      392663 410658 419658 429656 438653 446650 454645 458642
      461639 464635 465631 469621
 0.25 519272 518272 516272 515272 514272 512274 512276 513279
      513280 514282 515283 516284
 0.25 527727 526719 525713 522708 522700 519689 516684 515679
      512684 509687 504699 503704 502710 500722 493743 488762
      481784 477796 473805 468814 463822 454836 450840 447844
      439850 423860 415864 406866 396869 388870 341877 331879
      322882 314885 307888 304893 302897 296907 296911 297914
      300916 305922 306935 309938 312942 316949 318952 323954
      336969 345965 352960 369952 382945 399935 416925 423919
      430915 445908 456905 459907 462910 469919 474925 479927
      484924 490918 496912 501906 505895 508883 510869 512856
      516830 518806 525751 526739 527727
 0.25 509254 510248 510244 508237 505229 502222 494212 489206
      482204 475205 470207 458211 447213 440214 435216 429218
      425222 421227 415230 404233 402235 401239 402242 406244
      419246 425246 429245 431243 436240 441239 449241 456241
      464241 468242 475246 479247 481246 482241 483236 484231
      486230 490230 493233 497239 503249 506256 509254
 0.25 508175 508165 508158 506146 502140 499139 494140 490139
      484130 480120 477115 476108 473101 469098 460092 457090
      454089 451089 446091 442091 433093 429095 429101 422105
      416108 413108 410106 409103 407102 405107 401112 401116
      404121 408123 416123 423126 432123 437121 441119 448124
      452127 453129 451136 448141 444144 440146 436150 434153
      428152 423149 419149 417151 412160 413166 415171 420178
      424184 426186 429185 437178 440175 441181 440188 441194
      441197 444199 447199 450198 453196 457192 464185 471180
      475179 479178 482180 490187 496186 501184 505180 508175
 0.25 414071 414063 409059 405056 399055 393057 391064 392068
      392073 395076 399077 401076 405074 410074 413073 414071
 0.25 373988 373981 371981 368985 366990 364994 362998 360001
      359003 360006 364004 366001 369996 371993 373988 373988
 0.50 483615 486619 488624 488633 488646 488653 486658 481666
      475672 468679 462687 450701 443707 437708 433706 429704
      425704 420705 416707 405712 400713 397715 391716 387716
      381711 375696 375690 377687 386683 390679 391675 389674
      392671 400669 408666 414665 416666 408673 405675 402680
      408683 415688 424691 428692 431689 433684 432679 434674
      437668 443661 450655 456650 465644 469641 471636 474627
      477618
 0.50 523736 522729 520725 515718 512715 510716 505722 502733
      499744 493764 488784 482801 475820 470828 465836 459843
      453848 441857 425867 418872 414874 409873 406872 400873
      392875 384879 379882 370887 364892 358894 352893 347888
      344885 338885 328887 320889 313891 309894 308899 308903
      310907 311912 311920 312926 314929 317930 318936 319943
      321946 332954 334956 334959 334963 337965 340964 355954
      410919 423909 429905 436901 446898 455895 464895 472900
      477905 482906 486904 492901 497896 502886 505876 508864
      510851 513828 515806 516793 517780 519766 520755 523736
 0.50 493222 493218 492216 486211 479210 473211 468214 463218
      453215 445215 439216 434218 431221 430223 431226 434228
      437229 443227 455225 467223 472221 479221 485221 493222
      493222
 0.50 476167 478160 475155 473151 469149 463142 459143 456147
      455151 453159 453166 450168 449175 449180 451184 455187
      458185 460183 463179 464175 463172 464168 467166 470169
      474168 476167
 0.50 456113 457103 455097 453095 450094 446097 444099 441101
      436101 432104 428111 431116 436116 441113 446114 452116
      456113
 0.50 431171 432169 431166 429165 428164 426164 425165 424166
      423167 424168 424169 425172 426172 427173 428173 429173
      430172 431171
 1.00 511768 510763 509757 505757 502764 499777 495792 492805
      488818 483830 480837 476841 469849 463861 460866 461868
      460871 461874 464874 468875 471875 481877 487877 493875
      497871 500867 502860 504852 507837 509820 510803 508792
      508787 509782 511768
 1.00 474654 473651 469652 461656 454660 448665 445672 444681
      446685 449684 454680 460674 464669 469663 474657 474654
 1.00 431888 427885 421885 408889 385896 378897 374900 367911
      364914 359916 346920 341922 337925 337932 339939 351949
      356947 360943 370938 378931 388924 405910 424897 429893
      431888
 1.00 326915 327913 326911 326910 324910 322910 321911 319913
      319914 318915 319916 321916 323917 324916 326915 326915
 1.50 503816 502811 499811 497817 495822 494827 493833 492838
      492845 495849 498846 500842 502837 503831 503824 503818
      503816

$$




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