Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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286
FXUS04 KWBC 040904
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
403 AM EST THU FEB 04 2016


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 04/1200 UTC THRU FEB 07/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

...FLORIDA TO NORTH CAROLINA...

AS OF 06Z CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. HAD FINALLY DECREASED
IN INTENSITY...BUT HAD EARLIER PRODUCED VERY HEAVY RAIN AMIDST
HIGHLY ANOMALOUS...AND IN SOME CASES RECORD...PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES NEAR 1.70 INCHES. IN THE VERY SHORT TERM...SOME OF THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL HAVE MOVED OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINAS...BUT
WILL STILL HAVE POTENTIAL TO MOVE ONSHORE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO
INTO NORTHERN FLORIDA DURING THE MORNING HOURS. LOW LEVEL INFLOW
STRENGTHENS FURTHER OVER NORTH FLORIDA DURING THE DAY UNDER THE
APPROACH OF AN UPSTREM SHORTWAVE. WITH MERIDIONAL WIND FIELDS ONLY
SLOWLY SWINGING AROUND AND VEERING...THE SURFACE COLD FRONT AND
OUTFLOWS/EFFECTIVE FRONT MAY BE SLOW TO ADVANCE EASTWARD...UNTIL
THE SHORTWAVE ARRIVES TOWARD 00Z. AT THE SAME TIME...HEIGHT FALLS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE WILL FURTHER ENHANCE GRADIENTS ALONG
A STRONG UPPER JET STREAK SITUATED OVER THE EASTERN
STATES...LEADING TO A BROAD INCREASE TO BOTH CONVECTIVE AND
STRATIFORM PRECIPITATION FROM GEORGIA UP TO VIRGINIA...WITH THE
OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA BEING FAVORED FOR THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL GIVEN PROXIMITY TO SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY AND THE
NEARBY DEVELOPMENT OF A FRONTAL WAVE / SURFACE LOW PRESSURE JUST
OFFSHORE.

MOST DETERMINISTIC MODEL SOLUTIONS FEATURE TWO LOCAL MAXIMA OF
PRECIPITATION...ONE IN FLORIDA/SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE OTHER IN
NORTH CAROLINA...AS DISCUSSED ABOVE. CERTAINLY THE NAM WAS A BIT
OF AN OUTLIER IN FOCUSING NEARLY ALL PRECIPITATION BEHIND THE
SURFACE FRONT...HENCE TOO FAR NORTH AND WEST. A FEW HI-RES
SOLUTIONS...INCLUDING THE WRF-ARW...HAVE DONE JUST THE
OPPOSITE...AND ARE EAST OF CONSENSUS. THE WRF-ARW IS TYPICALLY
VERY SKILLFUL...BUT GIVEN THAT THE FORCING MECHANISMS ARE LARGE
SCALE...WPC LEANED TOWARD THE GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS...SUPPORTED
ALSO BY THE 00Z CANADIAN GEM REGIONAL. THE MANUAL FORECAST IS
CLOSEST TO THE GEM AND THE ECMWF...BUT THE 00Z GFS CAME IN
STRONGLY SUPPORTING THIS SOLUTION AS WELL.


...MID ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND COASTAL AREAS...

SATELLITE LOOPS REVEALED A LARGE AMOUNT OF MERIDIONAL FLOW...AND
THE SURFACE COLD FRONT IS NOT FORECAST TO PUSH TOO FAR OFFSHORE
BEFORE UPSTREAM HEIGHT FALLS ARRIVE AND A COASTAL LOW BEGINS TO
FORM THURSDAY EVENING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. THE SLOPING FRONTAL
ZONE WILL SEE TIGHTENING GRADIENTS AS A 175 KNOT ANTICYCLONICALLY
CURVED JET STRENGTHENS IN PLACE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND
NORTHEAST STATES. THE RESULTING BACKING OF FLOW MAY BRING MORE
PRECIPITATION ONSHORE AS THE LOW / WAVE BEGINS TO MATURE THURSDAY
NIGHT. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WHERE THE
FOREAST HAS TRENDED WETTER FROM LONG ISLAND TO CAPE COD. THE I-95
CORRIDOR IS PARTICULARLY CHALLENING...AS THE CONSENSUS TREND HAS
NOT BEEN WETTER...BUT RATHER SHARPER...WITH A STRONG GRADIENT
BETWEEN ZERO PRECIPITATION AND AMOUNTS RAMPING UP QUICKLY TOWARD A
HALF INCH. WPC STARTED WITH A 50/30/20 BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF /
BIAS-CORRECTED ENSEMBLE / PREVIOUS WPC. WE MADE SOME ADJUSTMENT
TOWARD THE GEM REGIONAL. THE 00Z ECMWF CAME IN WETTER...INCREASING
THE ODDS OF AT LEAST A TENTH INCH OF LIQUID ALONG I-95 FROM
PHILADELPHIA TO NEW YORK. GIVEN THE MERIDIONAL FLOW AND STRENGTH
OF UPSTREAM FEATURES...THIS SEEMS TO MAKE SENSE...AND WILL HAVE
IMPLICATIONS FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. SEE THE HEAVY SNOW
DISCUSSION FOR DETAILS.

DAYS 2/3...

...NORTHEAST...

AN APPROACHING TROUGH WILL INTERACT WITH THE EXITING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY LATER THURSDAY...ALLOWING AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO FORM
AND MOVE NORTHEAST OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST ON FRIDAY. THE
NAM/GFS/ECMWF/GEM HAVE ALL CONSISTENTLY TRENDED WEST WITH THIS
STORM OVER THEIR LAST SEVERAL RUNS...COMING CLOSER IN LINE TO THE
MORE CONSISTENTLY WEST UKMET. THE NAM/GEM CONTINUE TO BE THE
FURTHEST EAST SOLUTIONS...BUT THE 21Z AND 03Z SREF MEAN IS
CONSIDERABLY WEST OF THE NAM...AND GIVEN THE STRONG TREND
SEEN...WOULD APPEAR THE NAM/GEM ARE LIKELY TOO FAR EAST. FAVORED A
SOLUTION CLOSEST TO A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF...0Z GFS...21Z SREF
AND OUR IN HOUSE BIAS CORRECTED ENSEMBLE. THIS BLEND RESULTED IN
AN INCREASE IN AMOUNTS FROM SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND NORTH INTO
COASTAL MAINE...WHICH APPEARS TO BE THE CORRECT TREND. FOR NOW THE
03Z SREF MEAN AND 0Z UKMET ARE ON THE NORTHWEST EDGE OF THE
GUIDANCE AND THUS BRINGING HIGHER QPF FURTHER INLAND. GIVEN RECENT
TRENDS THESE SOLUTIONS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...AND WILL DEFINITELY
HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS...AS A FURTHER WEST SOLUTION IS
POSSIBLE. THE HIGH RES ARW/NMMB ARE FURTHER SOUTHEAST...ESPECIALLY
THE ARW. THIS DOES RESULT IN A SLIGHTLY LOWER CONFIDENCE
FORECAST...BUT GIVEN RECENT TRENDS THEY SEEM TO REPRESENT LESS
LIKELY SOLUTIONS. THE FACT THAT THEY HAVE A NAM CORE AND THE NAM
APPEARS TO BE PLAYING CATCH UP WITH THIS SYSTEM COULD BE PLAYING A
FACTOR IN THE FURTHER SOUTHEAST HIGH RES SOLUTIONS.


...SOUTHEAST...

A COMPLEX SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITH MULTIPLE SHORTWAVES EMBEDDED
WITHIN IT CURRENTLY ENTERING THE NORTHWEST WILL DIVE INTO THE
PLAINS BY LATER FRIDAY. THERE IT WILL BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH A
WEAK LOBE OF ENERGY THAT IS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST
ALASKA...WHICH WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE
DEVELOPING WEST COAST RIDGE. NEEDLESS TO SAY A COMPLEX PATTERN AND
THUS NO SURPRISE GUIDANCE OFFERS DIFFERING SOLUTIONS TO THE
EVENTUAL EVOLUTION OF THE MORE CONSOLIDATED WAVE AS IT APPROACHES
THE SOUTHEAST COAST THIS WEEKEND. THE NAM/GFS ARE ON THE QUICKER
SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE SPREAD...WITH THE ECMWF/UKMET/GEM SLOWER. NOT
NECESSARILY A CLEAR TREND...BUT A LOOK AT THE PAST COUPLE DAYS OF
RUNS SUGGEST IF ANYTHING THERE MAY BE A TREND TOWARDS A SLIGHTLY
QUICKER SYSTEM. THE GFS/NAM ARE ALSO SLIGHTLY WEAKER WITH THE
ENERGY WITHIN THE WAVE AND MORE POSITIVELY TILTED...WHICH RESULTS
IN A SLOWER LOW DEVELOPMENT AND HENCE LESS QPF OVER FL ON DAY 3.
DECIDED THAT A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF AND 0Z GFS OFFERED THE BEST
MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION WITH THIS SYSTEM FOR THE TIME BEING...WITH
BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE. HOPEFULLY TODAY`S SET OF MODEL RUNS CAN
CONVERGE ON A MORE SIMILAR SOLUTION GIVEN THAT MOST OR ALL OF THE
FEATURES ARE NOW OVER LAND.

...NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES...

ANOTHER ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT WILL SET UP FOR THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT AND MOISTURE AXIS
SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE ASHORE DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...BUT GIVEN THE
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE...THE SYSTEM WILL BE PRETTY PROGRESSIVE
WHICH WILL END UP KEEPING QPF TOTALS FROM GETTING TOO HIGH. ALSO
THE PLUME OF MOISTURE RAPIDLY BEGINS TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES ASHORE WITH DROPPING PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES.
NONETHELESS...GIVEN THE STRONG SYNOPTIC FORCING AHEAD OF THE
WAVE...WOULD EXPECT A SHORT SHOT OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAVORED TERRAIN. IN GENERAL A BLEND
OF THE 12Z ECMWF...0Z GFS AND OUR IN HOUSE BIAS CORRECTED ENSEMBLE
WAS USED FOR QPF. THIS SEEMED TO REPRESENT THE BEST CONSENSUS
SOLUTION AT THIS TIME.


...NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES...

SUBTLE SHORTWAVES WITHIN THE BROADER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION WILL LIKELY BRING AN AREA OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION MOVING
FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND EVENTUALLY
NORTHEAST FRIDAY INTO THIS WEEKEND. GENERALLY FOLLOWED CLOSE TO A
MODEL CONSENSUS SOLUTION WITH THIS PRECIPITATION...AS SOME
DIFFERENCES CONTINUE IN THE HANDLING OF THE SUBTLE SHORTWAVES.

THE SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY WILL MOVE
EAST INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS WEEKEND. MODELS BEGIN TO
DIVERGE ON THE TRACK AND SPEED OF THIS SYSTEM. LITTLE CONSISTENCY
WITHIN THE GUIDANCE RESULTS IN A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST. IN
GENERAL AN EXAMINATION OF RECENT TRENDS SUGGEST A SOLUTION BETWEEN
THE ECMWF AND GFS PROBABLY REPRESENTS THE MOST PROBABLE SOLUTION
FOR THE TIME BEING. THUS THE WPC QPF TRIED TO FOLLOW A CONSENSUS
OF THESE SOLUTIONS.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

BURKE/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 05/12Z
 0.01 422313 429315 434315 439314 445315 451314 457315 462315
      467316 474317 479317 485318 491318 496318 502317
      524259 522252 520242 518236 515231 512225 507219 499209
      496204 489202 482201 478202 457210 455214 453213 446214
      433214 429219 428222 430226 434228 436231 436235 435237
      434242 437248 449250 455250 462253 468256 468260 466262
      457270 452272 448276 443279 438282 430289 421298 417304
      415309 416311
 0.01 536209 537203 537199 535192 532186 530178 527171 523165
      518159 513155 494139 487126 480120 474122 468121 461121
      459128 452129 448131 446129 447127 453124 458121 458117
      460115 464115 471114 475109 482100 484095 482092 479091
      476091 473093 467092 463096 460099 457096 430089 426086
      424087 425090 426096 428099 427101 416106 412110 411106
      411101 412090 414084 416080 418079 421077 425077 433078
      436078 440077 444078 446080 451085 453085 453080 451075
      447070 439068 434070 432070 431068 435066 437062 434054
      429042 428037 430035 432028 432017 430008 429004 429998
      428994 427990 424987 419987 415993 413003 413011 412016
      411021 402028 383040 385043 390043 395039 403040 408045
      409048 409052 401053 397055 392061 387063 384068 382070
      379070 373066 369067 371071 375085 378093 377098 381099
      386095 394096 396091 400090 404091 405102 404106 402108
      398108 394110 390112 383115 380114 378116 379121 380124
      383125 385132 391132 394133 398134 401137 404137 412136
      416137 418140 417144 417147 419150 423144 427138 431133
      436132 441130 444129 442132 441137 437138 434145 434157
      438163 440165 441168 442176 443182 441183 441186 440188
      444190 450195 453195 457190 462186 464180 464177 462174
      459169 461166 464168 468173 476175 484178 490182 495187
      503195 508201 511207 516211 519212 521215 525219 528218
      533213 536209
 0.01 513126 512121 510118 504110 501101 498090 500085 500078
      501062 497041 494028 491019 488013 488007 486997 482987
      479984 475983 466983 458986 450990 446993 444996 441000
      441002 444005 449005 453003 458003 463006 466009 465012
      462013 458013 451017 448019 446024 449032 452034 455035
      458037 461039 460042 455047 456052 459055 463057 466058
      474059 478060 480064 484075 485078 486085 487090 487098
      489108 491114 494117 500118 505125 508128 511129 513126
 0.01 475646 474642 472640 468636 464634 459633 456632 452632
      448630 440632 434635 429637 423640 416643 411647 403655
      396664 367704 352721 336737 318752 307760 303764 298767
      280780 262794 254801 245808 240811 234815 231820 229825
      226838 226848 226855 227861 228864 229866 231865 236862
      244855 249852 252851 254854 256860 257864 258868 263872
      268874 279876 294875 299872 303869 311860 315857 320854
      325852 329848 339838 342834 345832 348833 352831 355835
      358832 360827 363823 365820 368820 374819 379815 384811
      387808 395800 401796 409794 413794 415796 417806 418812
      419813 421811 426802 429801 430798 430793 431790 431785
      429779 425777 423779 420778 415778 408780 406782 403783
      398788 394792 388795 369811 361816 355819 355815 357813
      362803 369794 385774 416741 432723 436715 438709 446700
      459680 462676 465670 468666 471658 474652 475646
 0.01 493848 492842 490836 483829 479827 474827 469826 465823
      461819 458817 454813 452806 448795 445793 442793 441796
      439801 436804 433809 431815 428819 427824 426831 426836
      430838 434835 446837 442846 439851 437853 435852 425850
      420853 418857 414860 414865 416868 421872 423877 426881
      433889 443906 442912 440916 438918 438923 440929 441934
      442941 442950 442954 443957 445962 448964 452962 455956
      459945 461932 459927 460920 464915 466909 470910 474913
      478915 480915 482912 480902 479897 481894 482888 488879
      488864 490861 492856 493848
 0.01 471703 470698 466697 456699 453701 448704 442710 440714
      442718 444720 444722 442727 439730 438734 435744 432754
      426755 423760 424765 428772 432776 434780 436779 438775
      440764 444755 448746 451738 453727 454722 457719 465713
      469704 471703
 0.01 457837 457835 457832 455831 455830 453828 451826 450828
      452830 452831 452833 452835 452838 453840 454842 456840
      457837
 0.01 448048 448044 447041 447039 445036 443033 442033 440036
      438038 438043 439043 441045 444048 446048 448048
 0.01 428187 429185 429184 427184 425186 424189 425189 426189
      428187 428187
 0.01 429168 429166 428165 427168 429168 429168
 0.01 409122 408119 406119 404118 402118 401118 399118 397118
      395117 394117 392119 390119 388120 390123 391123 393123
      395123 397124 398124 400124 402125 404125 405125 407124
      407123 409122
 0.25 516283 519268 519261 517254 514246 509237 504229 498219
      494211 484208 480208 477210 472212 468212 452218 452222
      455224 461227 465226 471221 478218 486221 490225 493230
      500248 497247 493243 489241 485243 483247 483254 484260
      483263 478274 473282 467289 460292 451291 443294 436299
      431304 434306 437304 445302 453300 462300 470301 482305
      497305 504304 508301
 0.25 481244 480238 478232 474231 473232 471234 467233 464232
      462233 457234 451236 449237 451239 458241 464242 470241
      475242 479245 481244
 0.25 484136 484135 482133 481132 479131 478131 476131 474131
      473131 471133 471135 472138 473138 474139 475139 476139
      477139 479138 480138 481137 482137 484136 484136
 0.25 478164 478160 475156 472152 469148 468145 463143 459145
      457147 458153 461156 463159 466162 471165 474163 478165
      478164
 0.25 461181 462178 461176 459176 458177 457177 456179 455179
      454181 454184 455184 456184 457184 459183 459182 460181
      461181
 0.25 453656 452650 450647 445643 441643 436644 429646 422649
      416653 407663 397674 388686 372708 362719 351730 333750
      323759 312769 307775 303781 295788 285798 277811 273818
      270823 263833 262837 262841 264849 267855 269859 273861
      280861 287859 293857 299853 309845 320834 339814 359794
      367785 376774 385764 395752 403739 411728 419717 423710
      426706 427702 433691 441678 448667 451662 453656
 0.25 451222 450221 448221 447220 445221 444223 446224 448224
      449224 450223 451222
 0.25 445111 444108 442106 440106 439107 437107 435108 434109
      433111 432114 433115 434116 436116 438115 440115 441115
      442115 443115 445113 445111
 0.25 251832 251828 245828 240829 236831 235835 233838 233844
      234848 235851 238851 241848 243845 246841 248838 250834
      251832
 0.25 452173 451172 451173 451174 452173
 0.50 512287 512279 514269 516262 514256 512249 508245 506245
      505250 506258 503257 499253 495249 490247 488249 487254
      487262 487272 485282 483292 485298 491300 496300 502300
      506298 510294 512287
 0.50 483214 482212 481212 479212 478213 479214 480215 482216
      483214
 0.50 479238 478236 477234 476233 474234 473237 474237 475239
      477240 479238
 0.50 464221 464219 463217 461217 459217 457218 456219 456221
      457222 458224 460225 462225 463223 464222 464221
 0.50 442662 443656 441652 435652 427653 420656 411664 401674
      397679 393685 385697 378706 370716 349735 333754 325764
      315773 311778 307783 299792 291801 283812 277823 272834
      270841 271846 275853 277855 281855 287853 292851 303843
      312835 322825 340808 349800 359790 367780 375771 391749
      405728 413717 420704 432679 438670 442662
 1.00 508288 509283 508278 507272 504265 501259 497255 492252
      491258 491267 492274 495280 498287 500289 503290 508288
 1.00 426669 422666 417667 408674 404678 401681 393692 380710
      373718 365726 356733 348741 340751 334758 328767 320776
      313785 307793 295811 288820 284830 281835 281840 283846
      287847 290846 299840 307833 340804 369770 381751 394734
      400724 407713 413702 417693 423680 425674 426669
 1.50 505284 506279 505275 504272 503269 502267 500264 497261
      496259 494259 494262 494267 495270 495273 497277 498279
      499282 502285 505284
 1.50 414682 413678 410678 406682 399691 388707 381715 373722
      358736 351742 343750 332765 326773 319782 308798 302806
      299817 290835 288840 290842 293841 301835 316822 322815
      326812 330808 336802 339796 338793 367765 378748 390732
      402713 407705 411695 414682
 2.00 408691 407687 404689 400695 393706 384717 375726 354741
      349746 345751 337762 323782 320787 322790 326788 336781
      346773 353771 358767 367757 374745 382736 391725 398714
      404703 407696 408691
 3.00 364749 364744 361743 354746 350749 346754 344759 341765
      340768 344769 349765 354762 357758 360754 364749
 4.00 353757 353755 352755 351756 350758 352759 353757 353757

24HR QP VT 06/12Z
 0.01 487614 484622 480630 477641 473651 469661 464670 453686
      445701 440709 434717 429724 423730 415738 407743 379765
      371771 367773 363774 352775 342773 330769 331771 329777
      326786 322795 320800 316802 309808 302813 292814 289814
      286810 278806 273799 269796 263797 254802 251805 250809
      252814 255817 258825 258828 255832 251831 245831 237829
      234827 232823 231819 231813 231806 232801 234792 241777
      244773 248770 255766 263761 269760 273762 277765 276768
      276772 273776 276780 276784 274786 277788 280786 287780
      295775 303768 312762 320759 319755 316755 313754 309754
      304753 297750 297745 298741 303733 307726 310722 314720
      318716 319711 321708 326705 338694 341690 345685 344679
      346676 380654 393645
 0.01 460328 464327 467326 471324 475322 478320 481317 484315
      487312 491311 494309 497307 501305 504302 506300 508300
      524262 523259 523258 523256 522253 522252 522250 522248
      522245 522243 524241 524240 524238 525235 525233 527231
      527228 528226 528223 529221 531221 532223 534223
      541203 538194 537184 535174 530166 526161 522159 520156
      505148 499144 493139 488134 481130 477129 475130 466129
      459128 454129 450131 449134 445133 446138 447142 444144
      436146 434148 434154 436163 438171 438178 435182 431187
      431198 434206 432210 428213 424217 419224 417227 414228
      407232 397243 395245 393250 391253 390260 383277 383281
      386284 388283 393284 396287 397292 394303
 0.01 509831 507822 503816 498810 493806 482796 474797 470793
      466791 465788 464785 460784 456784 453781 452779 449781
      448790 446797 440805 439809 435811 430814 426820 425824
      428824 432824 434821 442820 449822 453824 453830 449840
      445844 442851 438860 436864 436867 439890 439895 438899
      434909 429921 428926 428928 425930 422931 420934 412961
      408977 407982 406988 410994 412993 415990 419984 426969
      431956 433952 435950 436952 442957 446963 449964 450968
      450972 452981 455988 455993 456996 460001 463005 465007
      468009 470007 474999 477989 479979 479969 479959 474954
      485944 489942 493942 496942 499939 502931 504926 504921
      503912 500903 499899 498892 500888 500882 501873 500860
      500856 502853 506844 509831
 0.01 471703 471701 470700 469699 468698 467697 466697 465699
      464700 464703 465705 466706 467706 469705 471704 471703
 0.01 449748 448743 443744 439747 436748 435754 434761 434766
      437770 438770 441765 443760 444756 447752 449748
 0.01 450117 451109 449102 448098 446099 445104 442105 439105
      438107 438110 437117 434123 433128 437126 442123 446123
      448121 450117
 0.01 436785 436782 436780 436777 435775 433773 432771 431771
      430771 428771 428772 428774 428776 429779 429781 431781
      432783 433783 434783 436785 436785
 0.01 414064 414061 412060 407058 403056 398055 394058 391061
      391065 389068 390073 396067 402058 406062 407063 405065
      402065 401069 397073 399076 403074 408075 412072 412068
      410066 414064
 0.01 380972 380968 379965 379961 377958 375952 372947 368947
      366949 366954 364961 364967 365972 366976 367978 371981
      375981 377979 379974 380972
 0.01 361961 361949 354945 346941 337938 330934 325934 323937
      319943 323952 328958 336963 346963 355963 361961
 0.25 463623 464628 466631 468634 467638 462646 460652 457659
      453666 443679 429704 425711 419716 415721 407726 398735
      391740 384744 370750 362751 356750 351746 346739 344732
      343726 343721 346714 350708 355703 357701 360696 363691
      369686 374682 380676 384670 388663 392659 400654 405651
      411646 421637
 0.25 532197 532193 531187 526179 520173 516170 511168 493163
      486157 482155 479156 470156 467159 467166 473172 477182
      479185 481188 484187 487188 490187 489190 492193 497191
      503189 508190 511193 517200 523206 527207 530205 532197
 0.25 519274 520264 519252 517243 514234 511226 507219 498205
      494199 486195 473204 468207 462209 449214 442216 439217
      436219 434222 432227 432233 431236 424236 420235 416236
      414240 415244 414251 413256 412263 415272 418278 422281
      428283 436285 445289 453292 457293 461296 476299 483300
      490299 502294 508291 514285 517280 519274
 0.50 518270 518261 517252 515243 512234 505220 501214 495208
      489204 485203 482204 470210 445221 441219 441223 444225
      449230 444235 439239 434244 430245 427243 425242 422243
      422251 425259 429265 432267 436267 443267 450266 455263
      459262 463263 470265 475271 483285 489290 496290 502290
      505289 509286 514279 518270
 0.50 526198 526193 525190 524187 522185 521183 518182 515182
      515186 517189 518191 520194 521197 524199 526198
 0.50 504176 503176 502173 500173 499174 498174 498176 500176
      502177 503176 504176
 0.50 457642 456638 454636 448634 444635 440637 434641 421649
      416653 410658 400668 391679 382689 372699 369705 366712
      364715 361717 356722 353728 355735 360738 364738 369736
      396726 402722 408718 419708 434684 451660 455651 457642
 0.50 456229 454227 453228 452228 453228 454229 456229
 1.00 513271 515263 515255 514249 512242 508232 503223 500218
      494215 486209 481208 477211 477215 481220 486221 489226
      494238 493241 489239 482239 479233 477229 472229 470230
      469235 469243 472247 477250 480254 485265 490276 496283
      501286 505284 509277 513271
 1.00 464224 465221 466219 464218 463217 461218 459219 458219
      458222 458223 460224 462225 464224 464224
 1.00 430661 427661 424663 417669 410673 405680 400686 393691
      390698 387702 384705 377708 372710 370713 370717 371721
      376721 381719 388715 392713 394710 395705 397703 399703
      404702 409700 416696 420690 426673 429666 430661
 1.50 510257 511252 511248 510241 507234 503230 500224 497219
      493220 493222 493230 496236 499240 502246 504252 505256
      508257 510257
 1.50 505281 506276 505271 503262 500255 495249 490243 487244
      485248 486257 488265 492272 496279 499282 502284 505281
 1.50 487215 486212 484211 482210 481210 480211 479213 480215
      481216 482217 483217 485217 485216 487216 487215
 1.50 479243 480241 480239 479236 478233 477233 476232 474232
      473233 472234 471236 472239 473241 473242 474244 476245
      478244 479243
 2.00 503281 503273 502267 500264 498259 496255 494250 491247
      488249 488255 489260 491266 493270 495274 498278 501280
      503281
 2.00 507243 507240 506240 506242 507244 507243
 2.00 497226 496223 494225 496227 497226
 2.00 479238 477235 476234 474234 474235 473237 474237 475240
      476241 478241 479239 479238

24HR QP VT 07/12Z
 0.01 479617 484617 488621 496629 506650 511660 515671 517674
      518679 520681 525693 531720 532734 533746 534755 533760
      533765 531775 527786 524797 522805 519811 516816 513820
      508830 502837 494843 486847 487852 490856 501870 512885
      520897 523901 526904 530910 544928 547930 550935 557942
      561946 562951 563965 563974 564980 564000 564010 564020
      563037 562051 561056 560062 557073 553074 546069 539065
      537065 535067 531070 528074 526077 525082 528094 530100
      530104 532106 539116 542120 542124 537150 534161 530173
      528176 529179 532184 535190 539199 537204 534205 527206
      520205 512199 510196 507195 502194 500190 498183 496179
      492174 487180 480174 470173 466171 465178 464181 461184
      454185 450183 449176 448173 448170 449167 448165 445161
      441158 437156 435148 437141 443144 446144 448142 448136
      450128 445128 442128 442126 439120 435117 430118 427114
      424110 426106 429104 430101 429099 427094 430093 433092
      438093 445094 451094 454095 456100 456096 454092 452088
      449083 446080 443076 442074 442071 445065 442060 440054
      441048 439041 441035 443031 452027 458022 463020 465016
      456011 447015 444015 441017 436017 435024 430028 428025
      428020 429999 429983 429978 433975 436975 438973 444973
      447973 448971 451968 452964 455951 452938 450932 452928
      457919 453893 452881 455872 456868 456861 451865 443871
      439873 434874 430874 426872 424870 424862 424857 427852
      432849 435847 435841 432835 428836 423836 418835 411828
      407828 405831 400839 398841 396837 397831 396828 395821
      397817 398808 400800 406785 414778 417775 421771 423745
      430740 435736 436734 434732 431733 427734 427729 431725
      436725 437719 437712 443708 446705 447701 441701 433703
      429702 428698 429693 430689 434682 437671 438668 436665
      435659 433657 432654 431648 435642
 0.01 435642 437641 439641 440638 442637 443637 445634 446633
      448633 450632 451629 453629 454628 456627 458627 459624
 0.01 511297 521264 523261 524251 518244 510232 507227 503220
      499211 496213 492212 487205 485204 482203 473207 464211
      460212 455212 435211 433215 428218 427223 430227 431232
      429237 424240 417239 413240 404245 396250 395252 396255
      394261 391266 388273 387277 389279 392279 400277 412271
      420265 424263 427261 436255 440249 444245 450233 454231
      456230 460231 464234 464241 469246 470248 471254 471261
      468268 462276 461283 464289 472299 476304 481307 485311
      491313 499312 505308 510300
 0.01 517153 517144 516139 513129 511125 507125 503125 498126
      496128 492125 487119 483110 481108 479108 476109 472107
      470102 468100 467095 466087 464085 462084 461089 462095
      464101 468107 470120 472124 476125 487128 493132 506145
      512151 515154 517153
 0.01 498245 496234 493228 491225 483227 480231 478230 474220
      468225 471233 474239 476242 479238 482242 480244 480248
      482249 488244 492242 495246 498245
 0.01 476089 476086 475084 474084 473082 471083 471086 471088
      472090 474090 476089
 0.01 469070 470068 469067 468068 469070 469070
 0.01 455056 454055 453054 451054 449056 447056 446058 447060
      449063 450065 452063 452061 452059 452058 454058 455056
 0.01 412066 412064 412063 410063 409063 407065 405065 403065
      405067 405068 406070 408072 408073 408072 410071 410070
      410068 412066 412066
 0.01 362729 362726 359723 354721 350721 348718 346716 346712
      341704 335705 332706 330709 328710 326713 321717 317721
      312721 299723 295726 292729 283739 274745 267751 258758
      241773 235781 230790 226801 223813 222818 222824 226828
      227835 226842 227849 229855 234858 238860 240862 240866
      241870 248869 263868 271861 276852 278847 281844 292836
      295832 298830 300832 307831 310828 320823 328815 337808
      341805 343801 345795 345787 347771 349766 351760 354756
      356750 359741 362729
 0.01 352947 352939 350936 343930 338927 334924 326919 321917
      317917 312921 311926 312933 315937 323941 328945 332946
      341950 346952 350950 352947
 0.01 306920 303912 297907 291907 288904 285901 282899 276899
      273900 271905 272908 275917 280925 286929 297929 305924
      306920
 0.25 547971 546966 543965 538966 534968 531968 528960 523957
      517959 508970 505979 503982 504987 507994 507001 510011
      513017 516021 520021 524017 527008 529997 537990 545976
      547971
 0.25 477714 476712 476710 475707 474706 473706 471707 471708
      470710 469711 468713 468714 468717 468719 469721 469722
      471722 473721 473720 474719 475717 476717 477714
 0.25 470158 472156 471153 471152 470150 469149 468147 466145
      465144 463143 462144 461146 461148 461149 460150 459153
      460155 461156 462156 463157 465158 466158 468158 470158
      470158
 0.25 446109 445108 444107 442106 440106 439107 439108 440110
      442111 443111 445111 445109 446109
 0.25 349753 350750 350746 347742 341737 335734 328731 320730
      314735 304744 291757 286762 281766 267776 256785 244795
      238808 235817 235820 237823 239823 248823 254826 257828
      262827 266821 277813 285808 292810 295812 298812 306812
      314812 322810 328805 332799 335789 336780 338772 341766
      346758 349753
 0.50 466154 466152 465151 464151 463154 465155 466154
 0.50 339755 338749 337747 334745 328742 321743 317744 310750
      295762 284775 281780 277784 272789 271794 273800 274803
      280804 287803 292803 300806 305807 311805 318802 323798
      325794 329786 336767 339755
 1.00 323775 321771 317771 307774 299779 293784 287790 285794
      288796 299795 306797 313798 315795 318787 322778 323775

$$





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