Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 180901
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
500 AM EDT FRI AUG 18 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 18/1200 UTC THRU AUG 21/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

EASTERN GREAT LAKES/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TO MID ATLANTIC INTO THE
NORTHEAST AND NEW ENGLAND

WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED LATER TODAY AHEAD OF
THE STRONG HEIGHT FALLS PUSHING EASTWARD.  MODELS SHOW THAT
FAVORABLE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION DYNAMICS WILL ENHANCE LIFT ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY---INITIALLY
FOCUSING ACTIVITY FROM THE EASTERN LAKES EARLY TODAY AND THEN
PUSHING NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE NORTHEAST AND NEW ENGLAND LATER
TODAY.  ADDITIONAL ORGANIZED CONVECTION CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD THEN FIRE ALONG AND
AHEAD OF AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS AND THE MID ATLANTIC REGION...SUPPORTED BY
INCREASINGLY DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT.  THE 00Z RUNS OF THE MODELS
STILL SHOW PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES SOME 2 TO 2.5 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN---ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT---LOCALLY HEAVY TO ISOLATED EXCESSIVE TOTALS POSSIBLE.  THE
00Z WRF/ARW SEEMED TO BE TOO SLOW COMPARED WITH THE GLOBAL MODELS
WHILE THE 00Z RUN OF THE NSSL WRF SEEMED TO BE BETTER.  AS A
RESULT...THE 00Z WPC QPF WAS A BLEND OF THE NCEP RUNS PLUS THE 00Z
NSSL WRF.

NORTHERN TO CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY

IN THE WAKE OF THE LEAD AREA OF HEIGHT FALLS EJECTING EAST
NORTHEAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION...ADDITIONAL UPSTREAM HEIGHT
FALLS WILL BE PRESSING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY
TODAY.  WHILE PW VALUES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS
NEXT ROUND OF HEIGHT FALLS...VALUES DO NOT LOOK TO BE TOO
ANOMALOUS.  THIS...AND THE EXPECTED QUICK SOUTHEASTWARD MOVEMENT
OF CELLS...SHOULD KEEP PRECIP TOTALS IN THE MODERATE RANGE WITH
ISOLATED HEAVY AMOUNTS WHERE CONVECTION IS MOST ORGANIZED.

SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY

PW VALUES WILL BE INCREASING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MS
VALLEY  AS LOW LEVEL WINDS BECOME SOUTHERLY AND TAPS INTO A SOURCE
OF DEEPER MOISTURE.  STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
INTO THIS FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL SUPPORT INCREASING
CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF THIS BOUNDARY.  CONFIDENCE REMAINS
LOW ON DETAILS---BUT THE HIGHER PW VALUES WILL SUPPORT A BETTER
CHANCE OF LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS IN THE VICINITY OF THIS BOUNDARY.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...CA/GREAT BASIN/SOUTHWEST U.S...

NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS THINKING HERE AS THE MODELS
INSIST ON ALLOWING AN ELONGATED MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
GREAT BASIN AND DOWN ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST U.S. TO CONSOLIDATE
SOMEWHAT WITH THE EVOLUTION OF A CLOSED LOW NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN
CA BY EARLY SATURDAY. THE CLOSED LOW SHOULD THEN TEND TO BROADEN A
BIT BY LATER SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. MEANWHILE...THE FLOW
AROUND THE EASTERN FLANK OF THIS UPPER LOW/TROUGH AND THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
WILL ALLOW FOR THE TRANSPORT OF A RATHER SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF
DEEPER LAYER TROPICAL MOISTURE NORTHWARD UP ACROSS MAINLAND MEXICO
AND INTO ESPECIALLY THE FOUR CORNERS REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD. IN
FACT...ALREADY THE LATEST CIRA-LPW PRODUCT SHOWS A SUBSTANTIAL
CONCENTRATION OF MOISTURE IN THE 700/300 MB LAYER ADVANCING
GRADUALLY NORTHWEST ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHERN MEXICO...AND THIS
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN LIFTING UP ACROSS AREAS OF SOUTHEAST AZ..AND
ESPECIALLY CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NM AND FAR SOUTHWEST TX BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS CHANNELING OF DEEPER
MOISTURE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO BE MULTIPLE CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED
VORT CENTERS THAT WILL LIFT NORTH AND THEN NORTH-NORTHEAST AROUND
THE WESTERN END OF THE RIDGE AXIS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT
BEFORE THEN EJECTING OUT ACROSS THE IMMEDIATE HIGH PLAINS OF
SOUTHEAST CO/NORTHEAST NM AND POSSIBLY SOUTHWEST KS BY LATE SUNDAY
OR SUNDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS LIKELY TO BE SOME RATHER ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OF CONVECTION
IMPACTING THESE AREAS THROUGH THE PERIOD GIVEN NUMEROUS FAVORABLE
INGREDIENTS. THIS INCLUDES ENHANCED MOISTURE TRANSPORT...VORT
ENERGY/SMALL SCALE DYNAMICS...DIURNAL HEATING AND ALSO A
LIKELIHOOD OF MULTIPLE DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARIES AND
OROGRAPHICS. MULTI-DAY RAINFALL TOTALS OF AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED...WITH SOME ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLY NEAR 5
INCHES...AND ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS OF SOUTHERN NM AND FAR
SOUTHWEST TX WHERE THE CONVECTIVE THREAT WILL BE IN PLACE THE
LONGEST THIS PERIOD. ALSO THE PWATS ACROSS A RATHER LARGE AREA OF
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NM AND FAR SOUTHWEST TX ARE FORECAST TO REACH 2
TO 3 SIGMAS ABOVE NORMAL WHICH WILL FACILITATE HIGHLY EFFICIENT
RAINFALL PROCESSES AND ENHANCED RAINFALL RATES THAT COULD EASILY
EXCEED 2 INCHES/HR WITH THE MORE ORGANIZED/STRONGER CONVECTIVE
CELLS. SLIGHT RISK AREAS ARE DENOTED ACCORDINGLY IN THE EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3 GIVEN THE RATHER ENHANCED
THREAT FOR RUNOFF PROBLEMS AND FLASH FLOODING.

MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND BACK INTO THE
SIERRA-NEVADA...THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOSED LOW WILL BE TAPPING SOME
OF THIS DEEPER MOISTURE OVER MEXICO AND WRAPPING IT BACK TO THE
NORTHWEST OVER THIS REGION. EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE ENERGY EJECTING OUT
OF THE BASE OF THE UPPER LOW WILL LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS AREAS OF
NORTHWEST AZ AND ADJACENT AREAS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN NV...UT AND
WESTERN CO WHICH WILL INTERACT WITH FAVORABLE DIURNAL
HEATING/SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY AND THE INCREASED MOISTURE FOR A
LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE ACTIVITY
WILL BE OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED AS WELL. THE MORE SUBSTANTIAL
COVERAGE OF CONVECTION HERE SHOULD TEND TO BE MORE ON SUNDAY
VERSUS SATURDAY...BUT THE CONVECTION WILL BE RATHER SLOW-MOVING
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2+ INCHES IN
SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME...WHICH WILL ENCOURAGE RUNOFF AND FLASH
FLOODING CONCERNS. THE CONVECTIVE THREAT AND CONCERN FOR FLASH
FLOODING WILL EXTEND AS FAR BACK AS THE SIERRA-NEVADA WHERE EVEN
STRONGER DYNAMIC FORCING AND OROGRAPHICS WILL ALLOW SLOW-MOVING
CELLS TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH ENHANCED RAINFALL
RATES. ALL OF THESE AREAS ARE PLACED LOCALLY WITHIN A SLIGHT RISK
AREA FOR THE DAY 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK.


...OH VALLEY/NORTHEAST...

A COLD FRONT WILL BE LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON
SATURDAY AND GRADUALLY PUSHING OFF THE COAST BY SATURDAY NIGHT AS
AN UPPER TROUGH LIFTS THROUGH THE NORTHEAST. SOME SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER AREAS OF
MAINLY SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEW ENGLAND...BUT THE MODELS ARE
GENERALLY RATHER MODEST WITH THEIR QPF...AND GENERALLY UNDER A
0.50 INCH AS ALL OF THE DEEPER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE
SHIFTING OFFSHORE. MEANWHILE...UPSTREAM OVER THE OH VALLEY...THE
MODELS INDICATE A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH ARRIVING ON
SATURDAY AND THEN QUICKLY PIVOTING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY.
THIS NEXT PIECE OF ENERGY WILL BE RATHER VIGOROUS AND SHOULD BRING
A ROUND OF LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO ESPECIALLY
THE UPPER OH VALLEY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THEREAFTER...SOME
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS WILL BRUSH ACROSS THE NORTHEAST. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OVERALL WILL BE RATHER MODEST AND UNDER A 0.50 INCH GIVEN
THE PROGRESSIVE MOVEMENT...BUT SOME LOCALLY HEAVIER TOTALS MAY
OCCUR OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN OH AND WESTERN PA WHERE BETTER
INSTABILITY WILL BE IN PLACE.


...SOUTHEAST COASTAL PLAIN/DEEP SOUTH/LOWER MS VALLEY...

A COLD FRONT SLOWLY DROPPING SOUTH ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND INTO
THE DEEP SOUTH REGION NEAR THE GULF COAST WILL STALL OUT AND ACT
AS A FOCUS FOR DIURNAL CONVECTION THROUGH THE PERIOD. ALTHOUGH THE
CONVECTIVE THREAT SHOULD TEND TO BE MORE WIDESPREAD ON SATURDAY
VERSUS SUNDAY GIVEN SOMEWHAT BETTER POOLING OF MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY ALONG THE FRONT...COUPLED WITH SOME SMALLER SCALE
MESOSCALE BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE GIVEN THE RATHER HIGHER PWATS...BUT MOST MUCH OF THE
CONVECTION SHOULD BE RATHER DISORGANIZED. THE CONVECTION OVER
PARTS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL TEND TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
POSSIBLE REMNANTS OF AN MCS FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THAT WILL DROP
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THIS REGION AND TEND TO INTERACT WITH THE SAME
FRONT ON SATURDAY. AREAL AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
GENERALLY UNDER A 0.50 INCH...BUT SOME ISOLATED 1 TO 2+ INCH
AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...AND ESPECIALLY ON SATURDAY.


...SOUTH FL AND THE FL KEYS...

THE MODELS SUGGEST AN INVERTED TROUGH/EASTERLY WAVE ADVANCING
WESTWARD ON THE HEELS OF AN UPPER LOW THAT CROSSES SOUTH FL AND
THE FL KEYS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE INVERTED TROUGH WILL
ARRIVE BY LATER SATURDAY AND CROSS THE SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA
THROUGH SUNDAY WHICH WILL ENHANCE THE SURFACE CONVERGENCE ACROSS
THE REGION AND ALSO BRING A SUBSTANTIAL POOL OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
WESTWARD FROM THE BAHAMAS. PWATS ARE FORECAST TO EXPECT REACH
ABOVE 2.25 INCHES...AND THE LATEST GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS SUGGESTS
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
TOTALS. AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...BUT
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4+ INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE GIVEN
THE DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME...SURFACE FORCING AND ALSO A
RELATIVELY DIFFLUENT UPPER AIR PATTERN GIVEN THE CLOSE PROXIMITY
OF THE UPPER LOW JUST TO THE WEST. THIS WAVE WILL MOVE
WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY...AND SOME DRIER AIR/LOWER PWATS WILL ARRIVE OVER THE
SOUTHERN PART OF THE STATE BY MONDAY IN ITS WAKE.


...CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST...

BY LATER SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY...THE MODELS EJECT
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE OUT ACROSS THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS
REGION...AND THIS WILL BRING SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR
THE CENTRAL PLAINS REGION UP TOWARD THE UPPER MS VALLEY. SOME
STRONGER SMALL SCALE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION IS POSSIBLE OVER
PARTS OF SOUTHERN NE AND NORTHERN KS WHERE WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL
BE INCREASING...BUT THE LACK OF GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT OR
INSTABILITY AT THIS POINT WILL TEND TO MITIGATE THE HEAVY RAINFALL
THREAT. HOWEVER...BY SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY...THE MODELS
SHOW A MORE SUBSTANTIAL LOW LEVEL JET AIMING UP TOWARD THE UPPER
MIDWEST OUT AHEAD OF A NEW COLD FRONT AND SUPPORTING UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE. A CONSENSUS OF THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW THE LOW LEVEL JET
INCREASING TO AS MUCH AS 40 KTS...WITH MUCH HIGHER PWAT TRANSPORT
AND FAVORABLE INSTABILITY FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION. EXPECTING THE
POTENTIAL FOR AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3+ INCHES OF RAIN OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHERN MN AND NORTHERN IA. A SLIGHT RISK AREA FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL HAS BEEN ISSUED HERE FOR THE DAY 3 PERIOD.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

BANN/ORRISON


24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 541187 543175 543168 542162 539157 537147 535144 532142
      530140 528143 526145 525152 523155 522158 520157 516153
      513153 511157 513165 513171 512178 511190 512200 514209
      518217 522223 524226 529227 532221 536212 538203 540189
      541187
 0.01 517265 513242 510231 506221 504216 501212 497210 493209
      489211 487215 488219 490227 495234 497240 500245 501248
      499250 496248 493243 489241 485240 482237 477235 475237
      477241 479246 482250 486253 489257 494267 499274 502276
      504276 507274 513270 517265
 0.01 530790 529777 527765 524757 522752 520744 521737 520732
      516723 508704 503695 497688 491679 486673 480665 477663
      473660 463655 457655 450657 441660 442657 438656 429659
      424661 423664 422668 420671 415674 412677 402692 399697
      396701 392706 389710 375723 368729 363733 361736 347749
      340754 336756 334758 319765 316770 313772 306778 295790
      291798 288802 283801 278800 272800 269798 268793 263791
      256792 250794 247797 246801 244806 245813 248817 251812
      257817 263821 265825 260827 255829 249830 244831 244833
      245838 246843 248847 251849 254852 258854 267856 275859
      275869 275877 277884 278890 282896 285898 290896 291910
      292920 294925 295927 303941 309948 314958 320974 324984
      324990 326997 327003 331006 337009 343010 342017 344022
      346024 352025 357024 359018 362007 366989 381983 391981
      400979 409977 413976 416974 423967 427964 432967 440974
      450980 453981 460982 465982 468979 476974 481969 490955
      494949 497945 499939 497929 494926 489926 486924 482924
      472924 465924 460922 453918 446911 443908 440902 433878
      426855 427843 426832 422825 420822 415823 411826 408830
      404837 396854 386869 385875 386880 389885 391888 400894
      390899 383906 378916 373923 366925 359930 354936 350944
      345943 339942 333938 327932 324929 323924 320914 321909
      322905 324904 328903 333902 338891 343882 353864 358855
      363850 375839 388830 396824 401817 415800 420792 423786
      427782 430783 429786 428791 425800 424805 424810 432815
      435816 438814 443813 449812
 0.01 449812 452816 454820 456826 457830 455835 449838 442846
      439851 439854 448860 451860 453857 457857 460864 477870
      491879 499883 509883 518882 524871 525868 524863 522847
      529825 531820 531814 530796 530790
 0.01 454115 454110 454105 453103 452100 450097 448096 446099
      446101 445106 447109 447111 448114 452115 454115
 0.01 416227 415222 411221 408223 405224 400225 396225 394225
      393228 395232 400233 404233 408230 412229 416227 416227
 0.01 387208 387204 386200 384199 384196 383192 380185 378180
      373179 368181 365181 364184 365191 368195 373199 375201
      378202 382207 387208
 0.01 395140 396136 394133 388130 388125 390121 394117 396115
      396112 395107 397105 395103 391103 389104 389109 387111
      386116 379119 377123 375126 373132 373141 373145 376148
      377150 375154 371158 371165 378164 389162 389155 392149
      391147 392143 395140
 0.01 397057 393050 391046 388045 386049 385052 383051 380050
      379053 382058 382061 380064 374070 374080 377082 381081
      382069 383067 385065 389066 391061 395059 397057
 0.01 225050 227057 231063 236067 243072 253079 261092 270100
      288102 294102 300101 304095 311092 317090 318084 319080
      320077 320074 322072 326071 326067 324065 320064 325060
      332059 334058 332055 323045 321041 321036 321026 308030
      304032 300031 297033 292031 287032 283031 281029 275025
      267023 261019 254018 245017 241016 238015 232017 228025
 0.25 528196 529191 529186 529183 527180 525177 522178 521181
      521184 520189 521194 523196 525198 526198 528196
 0.25 524813 524806 524802 521793 516776 513767 511758 512744
      509732 506714 502707 496704 485706 479703 473695 468683
      466677 464674 461669 458664 456662 448663 439665 433669
      428672 423677 415689 407700 402706 396712 390716 386721
      377732 373736 371739 370743 369749 371752 374751 372756
      366789 369785 375782 391779 398781 407778 414774 423770
      431763 440752 445746 448745 451747 455754 459763 464778
      467788 468796 469807 471818 475828 481833 495856 498858
      503858 509855 513850 517840 521827 524813
 0.25 440947 441942 440936 438928 434922 432918 428916 424919
      422923 422928 423937 422940 419944 414947 407949 393956
      388960 386964 387966 389967 397966 405969 409969 412968
      419963 428954 436953 439951 440947
 0.25 417860 418851 416844 411846 407850 404855 401861 399867
      397874 398876 402878 409875 412872 416866 417860
 0.25 394803 392801 388800 384801 381803 376809 373815 368821
      367824 369825 374821 376819 379818 380823 386818 389812
      393805 394803
 0.25 392940 392935 391931 388929 384928 377930 375931 371931
      365932 360938 357945 354952 349957 343958 339957 337960
      336965 336971 338979 341982 346982 354981 361978 367975
      371969 382960 386955 390947 392940
 0.25 353771 353766 351764 346766 342768 339770 333775 325784
      320789 313794 303800 293810 265806 260808 260812 262814
      274822 278824 279829 277831 273836 272841 274846 278850
      281855 288853 294848 300849 303844 307838 308835 309829
      311823 314817 320813 326808 334799 340786 346778 353771
 0.25 310064 309061 305059 300058 294058 286054 278051 270048
      258046 248045 240042 235041 232042 231048 231055 236060
      243066 256076 262081 269087 276090 286091 294089 298088
      303085 309066 310064
 0.25 312879 312867 312862 312858 311854 308852 304855 301865
      300878 299891 297903 298910 301916 303918 306919 309918
      311913 311905 311890 312879
 0.50 516814 515806 512801 508796 504792 500789 496784 493780
      488777 486781 484789 483793 484798 486808 489823 491832
      492840 495845 500847 504845 508839 514830 515823 516814
 0.50 501729 501721 498717 493720 490724 480727 474730 470731
      468729 459710 457704 459699 461696 464690 463685 460681
      457677 455672 454668 452667 448667 441668 435670 427676
      422684 417693 410702 405709 398716 391723 389727 388732
      381750 381757 380763 378769 379773 381775 418763 423763
      428760 433752 439743 442739 447734 454737 460745 465755
      474763 481766 484769 487767 489763 490756 496745 499737
      501729
 0.50 435938 435936 434935 433933 432933 431933 430935 431938
      433940 434940 435939 435938
 0.50 421956 422952 420952 417953 415954 412956 410958 409961
      408963 410965 414964 416963 418961 420959 421956
 0.50 410863 411861 410859 408859 406860 406861 405863 405864
      404866 404869 405871 407870 409869 409868 410866 410863
      410863
 0.50 386938 387934 384932 379934 374936 368936 364938 361945
      359950 356956 353960 349963 345963 341969 341973 343976
      348975 359972 368965 377957 382947 386938
 0.50 331796 330792 326793 321797 316801 309804 303806 301809
      301813 295815 290822 287826 282830 278834 277840 285840
      290835 300833 303831 304828 305820 305816 308814 313811
      320808 324803 331796
 0.50 299065 290062 279057 275055 268054 257057 254059 255066
      260074 267081 272083 277084 283085 288084 292083 294081
      295077 296071 299066 299065
 1.00 446675 441675 434677 430681 426686 423691 423697 428710
      430713 429718 428725 428733 432735 436731 438724 441720
      447717 447709 445703 447696 446690 445683 446675
 1.00 404743 403739 396742 391744 388749 387756 386763 386767
      389768 394764 398761 400755 402748 404743
 1.00 378945 377942 375944 372944 368945 366946 364948 364952
      363956 366958 369956 372955 373954 374949 375946 378945

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 528178 529175 529172 528171 527170 526169 525168 524167
      522167 522168 521170 521173 522174 522176 523177 524178
      526178 528178 528178
 0.01 525195 522189 518185 516179 512173 509169 505171 504181
      505187 511191 516194 521198 523197 525195
 0.01 538960 538952 537947 536940 532936 528934 530929 532925
      533921 533917 530906 529901 525898 520893 517891 513891
      504892 499893 495896 488901 484903 477904 471904 467906
      461913 452915 445920 440926 431930 425933 419933 406932
      397935 392940 389944 388948 385956 381979 380983 378989
      375994 370996 365996 361992 359987 358981 357976 355969
      352962 351956 353952 352944 351939 347928 344923 343916
      343913 344910 343907 341897 342894 342888 336884 332882
      326882 320883 318885 315891 312889 309883 309875 309863
      310858 312853 319838 323829 329821 340804 351793 356787
      361779 364771 367760 373752 381744 396734 410724 421721
      428715 432711 437708 438709 439713 439719 438725 434729
      432731 433734 431738 432748 429752 427754 417757 415761
      411764 408768 408774 406780 403785 390823 380839 377843
      375848 372853 371858 371864 375864 378858 382850 384846
      386851 387856 389859 393857 396853 399853 402856 405860
      408857 413860 415861 424853 430833 431827 433823 433807
      434794 433785 434778 436770 441762 443762 444765 446769
      448780 448786 450790 451795 454799 457803 460807 462810
      463815 465824 467829 469833 472838 478845 485854 486859
      487866 489872 488878 488881 490883 495886 501881 506875
      507866 508859 508853 508846 506839 502828 500823 500819
      503817 510811 512810 513806 513798 515786 515771 513758
      512753 511747 509742 507739 508735 511731 513726 515700
      510679 505667 504662 501659 499655 496652 489649 482643
      479640 474639 465637 457640 447640 441641 436643 431645
      428648 420655 416659 412663 406671 401676 394682 382694
      375702 369710 365717 362720 359718 355717 352719 345727
      341734 338742 332761
 0.01 332761 329768 323777 317785 310792 304797 301800 299803
      298805 295805 292804 294797 293793 289792 285791 281792
      276794 271793 267791 262790 257790 252792 247794 243797
      240800 238804 236808 235814 236819 239822 247827 249833
      255833 266830 269827 273827 276828 280831 286835 285839
      283842 280845 279850 278859 280864 280870 281882 283895
      283902 285908 294925 296935 294945 291950 290954 293960
      296962 301958 307958 309956 325956 332961 335963 336969
      341989 352005 355007 356014 357018 356022 352026 348026
      339032 334034 327032 324031 320033 317037 315038 313036
      308032 306029 302027 292027 288028 284026 278020 271019
      267017 262015 258016 257027 260037 256043 257053 254056
      250058 248061 249066 249072 252077 254080 259083 263089
      268093 271096 273100 280105 283108 287108 294108 302105
      306106 309110 314116 320115 321112 324111 328109 334111
      337114 339119 342127 351133 352135 355135 358136 360134
      371134 378141 381143 382147 380171 376179 373181 368181
      363181 359183 362189 358192 357196 360201 361206 364210
      369208 365200 366194 370194 374196 378200 381204 387207
      392208 397211 401211 401206 395202 395199 399197 401194
      402190 401188 393186 390182 393178 396175 397171 399164
      402160 408155 409154 410150 409145 406142 404139 403136
      407126 408119 410112 411107 411099 409095 405092 402088
      402083 404077 407076 412072 416063 416057 413052 410042
      409037 411034 414034 420034 424037 433043 441048 445048
      448048 448046 450040 452043 451054 452058 455061 463060
      471064 473059 474051 470043 468034 467030 464028 461030
      457034 453034 450036 449038 447035 446030 450029 453026
      456025 458019 450014 439016 434014 431011 424004 420003
      417005 412007 410005 411001 418993 421990 426987 431984
      432972 435968 436963 439959 443957 447957 453955 461952
      471948 483947 486945 491945 501948 505968 511968 514970
      517973 522974
 0.01 536965 538960 538952 535939 527933 533924 533917 531911
      529901 524897 518891 509891 499893 492899 482903 477904
      472904 468904 467906 464910 461913 456915 451915 448918
      443923 439927 435928 430931 424933 417933 412932 407932
      402933 394938 390943 387951 384961 382973 380983 376992
      373996 367996 364996 362994 360991 358984 357976 356970
      354966 352962 351956 353951 352943 349932 344923 342904
      341899 342895 342888 340886 334882 329882 323883 319884
      317888 316890 313890 311886 309880 309873 310859 313850
      317842 326825 338808 349796 354790 359784 363774 365764
      368759 371755 376749 382743 391737 398733 407727 425718
      429715 432711 434709 438709 439710 439714 438726 432731
      432734 431738 432742 432748 430752 426754 420755 413762
      410765 408771 407777 405783 399790 397802 395810 392819
      382835 377843 372854 371858 371864 374864 376862 384846
      386848 386852 387856 390859 394856 397852 401854 404859
      408857 415861 422856 430838 431827 433822 432814 433807
      434799 433784 434775 438766 440763 442762 444764 447769
      447775 448787 451795 462811 464817 465825 469833 482850
      484854 486859 489873 488880 491884 495886 498883 501881
      504876 506874 507869 507863 508856 508846 500822 501818
      503817 507814 511810 513809 513803 514791 516785 515777
      514764 513757 512752 511747 508742 507738 508735 512731
      513725 514717 515703 516701 514695 511685 504662 500656
      496652 492651 487647 480641 471637 467639 463638 457640
      451640 441641 431646 423652 415660 409668 403674 397679
      391685 385691 379698 373705 367713 364717 360720 355717
      349722 339738 334756
 0.01 334756 331765 326773 319782 313789 301800 299804 296806
      292804 293801 294796 291792 287790 281792 277794 272793
      264791 260790 255790 247794 240801 236809 235814 237820
      244825 247828 250833 262832 266831 268828 272827 276828
      282833 286835 287837 285839 279846 279851 278857 280862
      280869 281884 283894 283901 285905 288914 292921 295931
      296936 295941 290952 293960 296962 299960 303958 307958
      310954 315955 318956 321955 335963 336967 335971 339980
      340983 340987 342991 345995 347000 354007 357018 356022
      354025 352026 347027 343030 338032 333033 326031 324031
      320033 317037 313037 310034 306029 303027 298027 292027
      288028 284026 280023 265015 261015 258017 257024 259030
      259034 258039 256043 256049 257053 256055 254056 250058
      248062 250073 252077 256081 261085 262089 265091 271096
      273101 277103 284108 293109 302105 306107 309111 314116
      319115 322111 326111 331110 338115 340124 343128 347130
      352134 357136 365134 370134 372136 379142 382145 382152
      380164 380170 378174 377177 375179 372182 363181 359183
      359186 362187 362189 358191 357196 360201 361207 364209
      369208 367204 365200 366194 371194 375197 381205 394209
      396211 400212 401207 398204 395202 394200 395199 399197
      401193 400188 398187 396188 393186 390182 396175 400162
      406156 409154 410147 408143 404140 403134 405130 407126
      408119 411106 411098 410096 408094 404091 401087 403078
      410075 412073 414068 416063 416057 413052 411047 409036
      411034 415034 421034 430040 437045 441048 446048 448047
      448041 451042 451046 451053 452059 456061 459060 463060
      467063 471063 473058 474051 473048 469040 467030 464028
      460030 457034 452034 449038 447034 446030 449029 452027
      457024 458022 458018 451014 446014 444016 438016 434014
      427008 424004 420003 412008 410003 411000 415996 421989
      430986 431982 432975 435968 436962 440959 472948 483947
      488945 495945 498947 501948 502951 504963 517973
 0.01 535968 534969 533971 533972 532973 531974 530974 528974
      526974 525974 523974 522974
 0.01 512160 513158 512156 511155 511153 510152 509151 508150
      506148 505147 504148 504150 504151 505153 506155 506156
      507157 508159 510161 511161 512160
 0.01 503228 502222 500218 499214 494211 492216 488218 490220
      491221 491224 493230 496234 498233 500230 503228
 0.01 479215 479213 479212 477212 475213 474214 473214 472215
      471216 471217 473217 475217 477216 478216 479215
 0.01 467858 467853 465851 465849 463849 461851 462856 462861
      460864 459869 459871 461871 462873 464871 466868 466866
      465861 467858
 0.01 448077 448073 446072 445070 442067 440067 438067 436069
      436071 438071 440070 441072 443072 444075 446077 448077
 0.01 438734 436733 434733 433735 435736 436736 438734
 0.01 374111 375106 373102 374097 373093 369093 365094 363095
      363099 366106 361105 357102 352104 349105 348107 349110
      352112 356113 361118 370119 374111
 0.01 370932 370925 368920 367907 367896 364894 360896 356903
      355907 355914 355927 353932 354936 355940 355943 357945
      364949 368947 368943 368936 370932
 0.01 350199 350197 350196 349194 349192 349191 347189 345189
      344191 345192 345193 345196 345198 345200 345201 347202
      348201 349199 350199
 0.01 326902 326900 326898 325896 324894 322894 320896 319898
      320899 321900 322901 323902 324904 326902
 0.25 480691 477686 472685 467688 466695 461699 457704 456710
      460711 466710 470706 474701 478696 480691
 0.25 468677 461661 458655 454650 449647 444647 441649 434653
      430658 421670 415681 411687 406691 395700 389704 383708
      373716 355737 352743 350746 345748 338756 335763 331770
      325780 308800 305805 303812 298827 297834 297845 299851
      300853 304853 307848 310840 314826 321814 327804 332799
      338796 343791 346785 349778 348771 347766 350760 356746
      358741 364741 382722 395716 401711 408709 416706 422701
      431692 440682 447678 451678 455677 460676 463679 464681
      466680 468677
 0.25 419825 419819 418816 416812 415807 413802 411799 407800
      406803 403811 400819 398828 399833 401837 406841 412842
      416842 418839 418828 419825
 0.25 416977 417974 416972 412970 409967 407963 410954 408949
      403948 400950 396954 393963 391975 393979 396982 397988
      398993 401993 405991 410983 416977
 0.25 383195 381193 381192 380191 378190 377189 376189 375188
      373187 371187 369186 368185 367187 367188 369189 370190
      371190 372191 374192 376193 377194 379195 381196 383195
 0.25 347055 346049 342046 329046 325048 320049 311054 301057
      290058 279059 274056 268055 263056 260059 257071 259076
      263079 270086 278092 282094 289094 298091 309091 314094
      318092 320086 323082 327079 331077 333071 336067 340064
      343062 347055
 0.25 340941 340936 339934 334931 331926 327924 323926 319931
      316932 314932 314935 316937 319937 323937 328940 334937
      337943 340941
 0.25 336947 336946 335945 334944 332945 330945 330947 330948
      332949 334948 336948 336947
 0.25 316915 315910 313908 310907 305907 300904 298900 297893
      300882 299878 294879 291884 290889 289894 289902 290907
      292912 297921 301924 303925 306924 308920 314918 316915
 0.25 274801 272797 268796 260795 258794 253795 246798 242803
      241806 240811 242816 244819 247820 252818 257815 261815
      265813 269807 274801
 0.50 338780 338774 335771 330778 322789 312800 309805 306812
      304821 304829 301833 301838 302842 305841 307833 310826
      312820 316813 324801 329796 333790 336784 338780
 0.50 339056 337051 333050 323052 316055 308059 290060 286062
      281063 272060 267060 264062 262067 263072 265077 268079
      271083 275085 282088 290087 298084 306083 310084 313087
      315088 317082 314078 314075 320069 329067 335060 339056
 0.50 298910 298908 297906 296905 295903 293904 293906 293907
      294908 294910 295911 297912 298910
 0.50 267804 267800 265798 260797 253797 248799 244803 242809
      244815 248816 253812 257811 262809 265805 267804
 1.00 333055 332055 330055 329055 328055 328057 328058 329057
      330057 332056 333055
 1.00 325061 322057 316058 308063 303064 297064 292064 288066
      283068 277068 271069 270071 271074 274077 278080 284082
      290082 294080 297075 301073 307073 315068 324063 325061
 1.00 252806 253804 252802 252801 250802 249802 248803 247804
      247805 246807 246809 247811 249811 250810 251809 251808
      252806 252806
 1.50 318063 317062 315062 315064 317063 318063
 1.50 311066 313064 312064 311064 310065 308066 307066 306067
      305068 306068 308068 309067 311066 311066

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 534893 534879 533872 531866 529863 526862 518863 509864
      505866 506862 508857 510850 510843 508838 497839 488845
      484848 478849 476848 476844 478837 477807 478797 477793
      474790 471791 468794 461800 457808 455817 454843 452848
      450852 445860 441863 437865 433868 432875 427882 425892
      425899 425904 423906 419908 413909 408910 404915 403921
      400926 398936 397939 394940 391942 385945 382945 380941
      377938 372938 367937 364935 355931 350930 348925 346920
      345918 346914 350905 351900 350896 353888 357877 358869
      353866 351867 345875 343880 340883 338888 334891 329895
      321893 318889 317884 319875 320849 322838 325827 334813
      337808 339802 340796 343792 344787 342783 343774 346766
      349756 354740 356731 356720 354716 350718 346721 343725
      337745 332762 330767 327772 321773 317775 309782 306786
      302781 299778 294779 289780 284782 279787 272791 265795
      257797 246801 238806 236810 234814 235820 238825 240828
      241834 242845 244849 248848 252845 255844 259849 263850
      269850 274852 280858 285865 292879 294883 295888 294898
      291907 291913 293919 295930 295938 293943 294948 297952
      302953 309947 313949 315954 316956 319957 325957 332957
      337959 340961 345960 352955 358960 360963 360968 365983
      367987 372989 372997 372001 371003 356015 342026 333031
      328031 324033 321035 315035 310037 306036 302036 298037
      293037 290042 280051 275051 271050 261047 253050 251054
      252057 255067 257072 260074 264083 271089 274092 275096
      277100 281103 285107 291109 298116 307117 311118 314120
      317124 318128 320130 324130 328129 329123 331118 332117
      335117 338122 338128 340133 342136 343140 341145 342150
      345153 346156 350159 355161 360164 359170 361174 362177
      361180 357184 355184 355187 359188 364190 368193 375199
      381205
 0.01 381205 391211 397210 398206 397203 394199 386192 379186
      372177 370171 370168 372166 375162 380159 384157 387152
      392153 394165 393170 394177 395182 397185 402183 404182
      405178 408172 412167 416163 419156 421152 423145 424138
      425132 427127 425122 426117 428110 429101 431099 431093
      428089 425090 415096 411093 411085 410079 415076 414073
      415069 417064 416059 415052 410049 408044 407040 409037
      410033 408026 404028 400032 394039 390042 385044 381044
      378042 372036 377025 380020 384018 388014 390009 390002
      386998 382993 380988 377983 375979 374975 374971 377968
      379963 386963 389961 393957 398956 401954 405955 409958
      410965 411972 412981 412994 415998 418001 422000 425002
      431002 434003 435006 438010 443012 446010 451007 453004
      454006 455012 457020 459025 458031 454027 448026 447027
      447031 451039 451042 454043 457046 460047 463044 461041
      462038 466035 471035 474039 477035 480030 485028 487026
      488022 488015 485015 482016 480015 479009 481004 481994
      481990 479988 475990 472991 469984 466972 464964 464954
      463946 464940 465932 466925 470916 474912 478910 480912
      483912 487911 505898 507896 510898 514900 518903 520905
      523905 529900 534893
 0.01 497654 495644 494640 492637 488634 485632 481633 479632
      476633 469636 465642 461648 458654 454658 453661 453664
      459669 463671 465677 466682 467687 469689 473693 478691
      482683 490673 496660 497654
 0.01 507099 508094 506091 505083 504081 504075 504068 502064
      499064 495066 493074 491081 493087 499090 500098 503101
      507099
 0.01 455713 454710 452708 451711 451713 450716 452718 453716
      453715 455713 455713
 0.01 395791 391791 388794 384797 381800 379803 376805 374810
      378810 380807 383803 386800 390797 393794 395791
 0.01 389785 387783 386783 385785 383785 382786 381786 380788
      379789 378791 379792 380792 382792 383791 384789 385789
      387788 389786 389785
 0.01 385754 385751 383752 382752 380752 378753 380755 382755
      384754 385754 385754
 0.01 373758 371758 370759 368759 366759 366762 368761 370761
      372761 373758 373758
 0.01 351204 352202 352199 352197 352196 351195 350193 350192
      349191 347190 346191 345193 344193 345194 345196 345198
      346199 346200 346202 347204 348204 350204 351204
 0.01 365816 363816 361818 359821 358823 356825 353826 352828
      351831 353833 355833 356830 358828 360825 361823 361821
      363818 365816
 0.25 465883 464876 460876 454884 450887 445887 436894 426914
      420921 419927 422931 424935 424941 423956 422961 422970
      423976 428980 435985 438984 439980 439976 442964 446952
      448939 450931 452925 453920 456917 460913 462905 463895
      465883
 0.25 384198 383195 381193 380191 377189 375188 372186 370185
      368187 371190 372191 376193 377195 379197 382199 384198
 0.25 397057 392050 390049 387049 383052 377053 375055 370051
      368045 363043 364038 366033 367026 366024 362023 356025
      351027 347030 331040 319043 312049 306050 301050 290051
      286054 279055 268058 264058 260060 261066 263071 272077
      280084 287089 295096 305101 309101 311100 312096 314095
      321097 323096 324093 326092 331095 338103 344104 348099
      348091 351088 356086 360083 363081 369082 377089 375095
      375101 375108 377114 378119 379123 382121 390115 392113
      392108 392102 393098 390097 385098 383097 385095 386091
      384077 384068 385064 389065 393065 395062 397057
 0.25 378130 379128 379126 379124 377124 375125 375126 373127
      374129 374131 376131 378130 378130
 0.25 383060 382060 381058 381056 381055 379055 378055 379057
      380058 380060 380061 382061 383060
 0.25 371129 370122 368117 364114 358114 351114 349116 350121
      352126 353133 352135 352139 357142 363141 367137 369131
      371129
 0.25 322791 322789 318787 315788 311790 310791 308793 306797
      307798 309801 312800 315798 316796 318793 321792 322791
 0.25 327932 327930 326929 325929 323929 321930 321931 321932
      321933 322934 323935 324934 325934 326934 327932
 0.25 291797 290792 288791 280794 266798 262804 262809 260812
      256812 253810 251808 248808 244813 243818 244823 245832
      247835 251836 258837 263836 264833 269831 272833 275831
      278826 278821 275820 271815 278811 282806 289802 291797
 0.25 286839 286837 284836 284835 282835 280835 279835 277834
      275836 276838 277840 277841 279842 281843 283842 284842
      285841 286839
 0.50 443935 443921 442913 440908 435909 431914 429919 428926
      428942 428949 426956 426964 428971 431975 435976 438961
      442949 443936 443935
 0.50 391057 391056 390054 390052 388052 388053 389054 390055
      391057 391057
 0.50 378080 379076 379071 378068 376066 374064 371063 368063
      366065 366066 369068 371069 372073 373075 374078 375080
      378080
 0.50 364054 364050 362049 356049 353045 357039 360034 359030
      357029 352030 347033 338039 335044 329047 324047 320048
      322053 318058 319061 322061 328060 335061 341060 348061
      354058 360058 364054
 0.50 303080 305074 303071 300069 298066 299063 300061 305060
      305057 303056 298054 292054 289056 283057 274059 264062
      264067 267071 276076 285081 289083 295085 299086 301086
      302082 303080
 0.50 278803 277800 275798 272799 269800 267802 265804 265806
      266808 269809 273809 275810 276809 278805 278803
 0.50 266823 264818 261817 257815 253814 249814 247819 247825
      248831 253831 256832 260831 263827 265824 266823
 1.00 437945 437940 437935 435934 434938 433940 433945 431948
      431952 431957 432959 433959 435956 435952 436947 437945
 1.00 292066 290062 286060 281061 277062 275066 269065 269067
      271068 273071 278072 283074 288072 291068 292066
 1.00 256826 258824 256822 254823 253824 254825 255826 256826
      256826


$$




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