Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 260923
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
522 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 26/1200 UTC THRU APR 29/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

06Z UPDATE...
ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO PRELIM GUIDANCE.

...CNTL ROCKIES EWD THRU THE CNTL AND SRN PLAINS/LOWER AND MID MS
VALLEYS...
STG VORT ROTATING TO THE SOUTH SIDE OF UPR LOW OVER CO IS FCST TO
SWING OUT ACRS THE SRN/CNTL PLAINS ON TUES WITH MODELS SUPPORTING
A REFORMATION OF THE UPR LOW WITH THIS VORT VCNTY OF KS/SRN NEB BY
WED MRNG.  THE STG HEIGHT FALLS WORKING EWD ACRS THE SRN PLAINS
WILL INTERACT WITH DEEPENING MSTR RETURN FROM THE WRN GULF AND STG
DAYTIME INSTABILITY RESULTING IN A RAPID BREAKOUT OF CONVECTION TO
THE EAST OF DVLPG SFC LOW AND ASSOCD COLD FRONT.  THESE STORMS
SHOULD INTENSIFY EWD THRU THE SRN/CNTL PLAINS INTO AXIS OF
INCREASING PWS OVER ERN TX NWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY LATE TUES
AND TUES NIGHT LIKELY RESULTING IN A WELL DEFINED SQLN/MCS.
MODELS SUGGEST LOW LEVEL MSTR AXIS/JET COULD BE NEARLY STATIONARY
ACRS ERN TX INTO ERN OK/WRN AR BEFORE MAIN VORT LOBE PIVOTS NEWD
TUES EVENING ALLOWING INCREASING WLY FLOW TO THE SOUTH OF THE VORT
LOBE AXIS TO BEGIN TO ACCELERATE ACTIVITY TO THE EAST.  THIS COULD
RESULT IN A PERIOD OF INTENSE RAINS ALONG WITH TRAINING CELLS
PARTICULARLY THRU NE TX/SE OK AND WRN AR GIVEN EXPECTED STG
INSTABILITIES AND PD OF IMPRESSIVE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT....WITH A
SWATH OF 1 TO 2 INCH PLUS RAINS LIKELY WITH ISOLD AMOUNTS IN
EXCESS OF 4 INCHES.    A SECONDARY MAX WITH IS EXPECTED FARTHER
NORTH ACRS ERN KS INTO MO NEAR INTERSECTION OF E/W WARM FRONT AND
APCHG COLD FRONT AHEAD OF THE DEEPENING LOW.  MODELS SHOW
IMPRESSIVE COUPLED JET STRUCTURE DVLPG HERE TUE EVE THAT COULD
RESULT IN A PERIOD OF INTENSIVE CONVECTIVE RAINFALL.  THE TWO
CORES OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY BEST CAPTURED BY CAM
GUIDANCE.  WHILE THE WRF ARW HAS SHOWN GOOD SKILL IN SITUATIONS
LIKE THIS...ITS RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY IS NOT IDEAL..AND THUS HAVE
TENDED TO LEAN TOWARD A BLEND OF THE ARW..NMM..HI RES NAM..AND
EVEN THE CANADIAN GEM GIVE THE MODEST QPF SPREAD IN BOTH LOCATION
AND AMOUNTS HERE.  FARTHER N...HAVE TRIMMED THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS
SOME OF THE GLOBAL MODELS..IE THE GFS..HAVE INDICATED JUST
NORTHWEST OF THESE AREAS BUT SHOWED ANOTHER MAX NEAR DVLPG COMMA
HEAD CIRC THRU CNTL NEB/SRN SD WHERE STG ISENTROPIC LIFT/TROWAL IS
EXPECTED NORTH OF THE REFORMING MID/UPR CIRC. RAINS WILL CHANGE TO
SNOW IN THE WEST END OF THE CIRC BACK THRU THE CNTL
ROCKIES...ESPECIALLY WY/NRN CO.  SEE QPFHSD FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

...TN AND LOWER OH VALLEY..
THERE IS A DECENT SIGNAL IN THE MODELS IN DVLPG ORGANIZED
CONVECTION ACRS PARTS OF THE MID MS VALLEY THIS MRNG WITH MODELS
SHOWING A WEAK VORT..PSBLY CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED MOVING THROUGH
THRU THE FLAT RIDGE AND TRANSLATING EWD ALONG E/W FRONTAL BNDRY
SLIDING VERY SLOWLY SWD THRU THE LOWER OH TN VALLEYS TODAY.
CONFIDENCE IN ANY PARTICULAR MODEL IS LOW HERE WITH TIMING OF
STORMS THAT MAY DVLP ALONG THE BNDRY TODAY BUT THERE IS MODEST
INSTABILITY EXPECTED TO DVLPG ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT ALONG
WITH 1.25 TO 1.5 INCH PWS AND MODEST RT ENTRANCE REGION JET
SUPPORT...TO LEAD TO WIDESPREAD SHWER/TSTM ACTIVITY HERE.
INCREASED AMOUNTS FROM PREVIOUS FORECASTS HERE GIVEN WETTER TRENDS
IN MODEL WITH AN OVERALL BLEND OF HI RES GUIDANCE AND IN HOUSE
BIAS CORRECTED MEAN GIVEN RATHER LARGE MODEL SPREAD.  WITH MEAN
FLOW PARALLELING SFC BNDRY..COULD SEE SOME TRAINING CELLS WHERE
SOME OF THE MORE ORGANIZED STORMS DVLP AND AS A RESULT SOME PSBL
ISOLD RUNOFF ISSUES MAY OCCUR ACRS THIS REGION.

...NE U.S..
MODELS SHOW DECENT AGREEMENT WITH RATHER FLAT SFC WAVE TRACKING
EWD ACRS PA INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND ON TUES IN RESPONSE TO RAPIDLY
SHEARING S/WV MOVING EWD UNDER DEEP VORTEX OVER ERN CANADA.  GENL
.25 TO .50 INCH RAINS WERE INDICATED BY GENL MODEL
CONSENSUS...WHICH WAS ACCEPTED.

WEST COAST...
00Z EC AND UKMET REMAIN SLIGHTLY FASTER WITH UPR TROF APCHG THE
WEST COAST..BUT OVERALL QPF IMPACTS ARE MINOR WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF THE DRIER NAM WHICH WAS NOT FOLLOWED.  SOME .10 TO PERHAPS .25
INCH RAINS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PAC NW/NW CA COASTS BY WED MRNG.


DAYS 2/3...

...UPPER LOW MOVING INTO THE PLAINS WED SHEARING TOWARDS THE EAST
COAST THU/FRI...

DAY 2

SYNOPTICALLY MODELS APPEAR IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
OVERALL SETUP OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
ON WEDNESDAY WHERE IT SHOULD SLOW ITS FORWARD PROGRESSION...BEFORE
EVENTUALLY SHEARING OFF TO THE EAST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HOWEVER
QPF DIFFERENCES CONTINUE TO BE NOTED. BY 12Z WEDNESDAY (THE START
OF DAY 2) WOULD EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED CONVECTION
TO BE STREAMING NORTH JUST AHEAD OF THE LOW INTO NE/SD ALONG AN
INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDING NORTH FROM THE LOW. PRECIPITABLE WATER
ANOMALIES GENERALLY 1-2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL WILL
PROMOTE A REGION OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. HOWEVER A
LACK OF INSTABILITY FROM NW IA INTO FAR NORTHEAST NE AND SD SHOULD
HELP KEEP RAINFALL RATES IN CHECK. WITH THAT SAID EXPECT THE SWATH
OF PRECIPITATION TO EVENTUALLY PIVOT TO THE WEST AS THE LOW SLOWLY
PROGRESSES EAST. THUS LOCATIONS NEAR THE PIVOT POINT WILL SEE A
LONGER DURATION HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT. EXPECT A GENERAL DOWNWARD
TREND IN PRECIPITATION INTENSITY BY 18Z WEDNESDAY THOUGH AS THE
SYSTEM BEGINS TO LOSE INTENSITY RESULTING IN A DECREASE IN
SYNOPTIC FORCING AND MOISTURE FLUX INTO THE REGION. IN THE WARM
SECTOR FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL NE
AND SOUTHERN IA WILL PROBABLY HAVE MORE OF A CONVECTIVE NATURE TO
THE PRECIPITATION WITH MARGINAL INSTABILITY FORECAST. THUS RATES
COULD BE HIGHER HERE...BUT CURRENT THOUGHTS ARE THAT THIS
CONVECTIVE AREA SHOULD BE A BIT MORE PROGRESSIVE OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST AS THE COLD FRONT MAKES FORWARD PROGRESS. THUS IN
GENERAL WHERE THE LONGER DURATION IS EXPECTED RATES SHOULD BE
LOWER...AND WHERE RATES ARE HIGHER DURATION SHOULD BE SHORTER. SO
FOR NOW WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD OFF ON ANY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
AREA...ALTHOUGH DAY 2 AMOUNTS OF 1-2" ON TOP OF WHAT FALLS ON DAY
1 COULD EVENTUALLY CAUSE SOME RUNOFF ISSUES IN SPOTS. PREFERRED
QPF CLOSER TO THE 0Z ECMWF...WITH ITS EVOLUTION BEING THE CLOSEST
MATCH TO THE HIGH RES (ARW/NMMB/GEM REG) CONSENSUS. THE 0Z GFS QPF
DISTRIBUTIONS SEEMS OFF...WITH THE GENERAL TREND AMONG MOST
GUIDANCE FOR A SLIGHTLY FURTHER SOUTH PIVOT POINT.

THE SECOND AREA OF CONCERN ON DAY 2 IS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
IL/IN/KY. IT IS HERE WHERE A WEST TO EAST STATIONARY BOUNDARY WILL
BE SETUP. AND AS THE WHOLE SYSTEM MOVES EAST WOULD EXPECT ROUNDS
OF CONVECTION TO FORM AND MOVE DOWNWIND NEAR THE BOUNDARY. SHOULD
BE A MESSY SETUP...WITH MULTIPLE AREAS OF CONVECTION FORMING ALONG
OLD OUTFLOWS AND EVENTUALLY ALONG THE EASTWARD PROGRESSING COLD
FRONT. DO HAVE SOME CONCERN ABOUT TRAINING CONVECTION RESULTING IN
A FLASH FLOOD THREAT ACROSS THIS REGION WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES 1-2 SD ABOVE AVERAGE. HOWEVER INSTABILITY MAY BE A LIMITING
FACTOR...AND STORMS SHOULD BE PROGRESSIVE...WITH ANY FLOOD THREAT
RELYING ON MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF CONVECTION MOVING OVER THE SAME
AREAS THROUGH THE DAY. AND WHILE THIS IS POSSIBLE...ENOUGH
UNCERTAINTY ON THE EXACT CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION AND THE IMPACT OF
CLOUD COVER ON INSTABILITY...THAT OPTED TO HOLD OFF ON ANY SLIGHT
RISK...WITH THE THREAT SEEMING ONLY MARGINAL AT THIS TIME. ALSO
NOT SEEING A REAL STRONG SIGNAL IN MODEL QPF FIELDS FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL...WITH AMOUNTS GENERALLY STAYING IN THE 1-2" RANGE. A
MULTI MODEL CONSENSUS WAA USED FOR QPF ACROSS THIS AREA.

THE NEXT AREA OF CONCERN IS FURTHER SOUTH ALONG THE BOUNDARY FROM
TN TOWARDS LA. ON WED MORNING EXPECT A LINE OF CONVECTION TO BE
PROGRESSING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TX INTO LA...AS SUGGESTED BY VARIOUS
HIGH RES SOLUTIONS. SYSTEM SHOULD BE PRETTY PROGRESSIVE OFF TO THE
SOUTHEAST GIVEN THE FORECAST WIND FIELD...AND THUS FAVORED A
SOLUTION CLOSER TO THE QUICKER ECMWF/GEM REGIONAL/ARW. THIS KEPT
GOOD CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS WPC FORECASTS AS WELL. BECOMES MORE
MESSY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...AS THIS FIRST LINE OF
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. SHOULD EVENTUALLY SEE RE
INTENSIFICATION EITHER ALONG THE OUTFLOW OR CLOSER TO THE ACTUAL
FRONTAL BOUNDARY...BUT THIS NEW DEVELOPMENT IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON
THE EVOLUTION OF THE FIRST COMPLEX. THUS THIS REMAINS A LOW
CONFIDENCE FORECAST. WPC PLACED THE HIGHEST QPF ROUGHLY ALONG THE
AXIS OF BEST MOISTURE...USING SOMETHING CLOSE TO A 0Z ECMWF/UKMET
CONSENSUS. CONFIDENCE ON THE DETAILS REMAINS LOW...BUT IN GENERAL
GOING WITH 1-2" ACROSS MUCH OF MS INTO LA...WITH CONVECTION
WEAKENING AS IT MOVES INTO AL LATER AT NIGHT. CURRENT THOUGHTS ARE
THAT THIS CONVECTION SHOULD BE PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY
ORGANIZED FLASH FLOOD RISK.

DAY 3

BY DAY 3 THE SYSTEM IS IN A MUCH WEAKER STATE AS IT MOVES INTO THE
MID ATLANTIC...GENERALLY RESULTING IN LESS QPF. ALTHOUGH THERE IS
A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR AN AREA OF CONVECTION ACROSS SOUTHEAST VA
AND EASTERN NC RESULTING IN LOCALLY AMOUNTS UP TO 2". A NON NAM
CONSENSUS SEEMED TO WORK BEST FOR QPF ACROSS THIS REGION.


...UPPER LOW ENTERING THE SOUTHWEST U.S BY THURSDAY...

ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY WILL DIVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST...FORCING
ANOTHER CLOSED LOW BY THURSDAY..PROGRESSING TOWARDS THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION BY FRIDAY. IN GENERAL THERE WAS GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM. THE 0Z UKMET
SEEMED A BIT QUICKER THAN THE BEST CONSENSUS...HOWEVER ITS QPF
DISTRIBUTION SEEMED ALRIGHT IF JUST SHIFTED SLIGHTLY SLOWER. THUS
FROM A  QPF PERSPECTIVE A COMBINATION OF THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET/GEM
WAS USED...WITH THE NAM AN OUTLIER AND DEEMED UNLIKELY.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

SULLIVAN/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 497327 493327 488326 483326 478324 473324 466321 460318
      455314 454310 450306 442299 433295 421296 413292 408292
      402290 396288 392285 388280 382277 375270 376263 374259
      371254 373250 379247 384244 390238 393235 396231 399225
      398219 390209 383203 379200 375196 373191 374188 385194
      399206 406210 412212 416211 417207 419199 421192 423190
      432188 440195 447204 454213 461220 467228 472232 479235
      488240 497246 507248 513250 517251 519253 524252 526251
      528247
 0.01 438631 441635 444639 446653 446672 448695 449703 451710
      452718 452728 452750 452758 452767 448782 447788 445791
      442791 440794 436795 429800 425804 421811 407829 404844
      402852 404862 409873 412889 413891 414897 417903 422909
      426916 429919 433923 440934 447944 452952 454954 455959
      459971 466981 471986 475991 483004 496025 498028 500030
      502037 502042 500047 498049 495049 491053 491060 494076
      497084 502088 506088 508091 515093 520093 525090 534083
      538079 543077 548074 552072 555072 558073 560077 561083
      562090 557119 538116 527113 521112 518111 516114 509113
      507115 503114 492117 481118 478119 475119 472116 471118
      472120 487133 493135 496135 497138 503139 508142 514144
      517149 516153 511157 506160 501163 498164 495164 489167
      476154 475148 473141 469137 467136 465137 455137 450134
      448126 446123 442123 435122 426121 420123 416124 412127
      409131 405135 402137 400139 397138 390137 385136 378133
      377128 376120 380115 382108 378104 374098 367095 359090
      357087 355080 354077 354073 356068 360057 363050 369048
      375047 380045 390039 401034 403031 402028 397025 388021
      383012 379006 379000 378996 375995 369992 364991 359994
      352996 345996 339994 336994 333995 329997 328992 317994
      308999 305002 302008 300014 296015 294009 293004 291003
      280997 277991 275984 275978 277973 281963 286953 292945
      296941 301937 310931 333919 347906 353898 355892 354884
      350835 351831 354827 356821 355813 356807 355800 357786
      359771 359763 361757 363749 364746 362741 358737 355732
      358723 359718 363713
 0.01 363713 368707 371702 375694 378687 382681 385675 390669
      396663 401658 405653 410647 415641 422637
 0.01 505694 504683 504677 503671 502666 500664 495659 491656
      487657 486661 485668 487676 490681 492686 491692 490698
      484704 481706 480708 479716 480724 484733 488735 492734
      494731 497727 501718 504704 504697 505694
 0.01 469947 469944 467942 466937 464935 462932 460931 459930
      455930 454932 454935 455937 455940 457942 459945 461947
      464947 467947 469947
 0.01 446155 446152 445150 442147 440144 439141 437139 436138
      434140 433143 432145 433147 433152 434155 436155 439158
      442157 444157 446155
 0.01 332820 332813 328813 319819 312822 310824 307822 301821
      298821 294820 284816 275814 267809 264808 261806 263803
      262801 257803 254804 251808 249812 251814 267825 282831
      290835 294837 299840 308840 314839 317838 319836 326831
      331822 332820
 0.01 324894 322890 318889 309890 306892 302896 295901 291908
      291913 293916 301920 308918 312916 315912 319905 323896
      324894
 0.25 519273 515273 510271 499265 490259 484258 477258 467257
      455255 445253 433249 428245 426242 421238 415236 412241
      412248 415253 420257 421267 426269 429270 431273 434278
      437279 449280 455283 458287 461292 463299 467302 473305
      479307 486308 490304 495304 502306 505307
 0.25 459028 457003 456994 454981 452976 449971 443964 436955
      428947 415935 409928 403920 398912 397905 397897 398882
      399864 399851 397837 395824 394810 392804 388799 384796
      380792 376788 373788 371793 370799 367822 366835 367849
      367878 362905 357913 351920 348923 344925 334927 316937
      307942 302945 298949 294957 292965 295976 295987 298992
      302993 305989 309988 313989 323987 335984 339983 344984
      350982 356974 358971 364970 387986 389992 391995 395005
      400012 406020 410031 412037 410041 399062 397066 394070
      391071 389077 390082 393080 396076 399078 402077 406074
      410077 412080 410086 405091 403097 404104 404114 408116
      413117 419111 434101 436096 438087 441084 447081 450078
      452072 454065 456057 457041 459028
 0.25 434664 433656 431649 429646 425646 418650 411659 404670
      395678 386688 379697 377703 375712 382722 385729 387737
      388746 389750 390754 394753 396751 397747 400746 409744
      410752 413758 418760 423758 430755 436752 440748 441741
      437722 436713 436703 435684 434676 434664
 0.25 430257 429256 427256 426257 425257 423257 422258 423259
      425260 426259 427259 428259 430257
 0.25 384761 385758 384756 385754 384752 383750 382752 382753
      382754 382757 382758 383759 384761 384761
 0.25 385083 386081 384079 383076 381074 380074 380073 379074
      378074 377076 376078 376079 375080 375082 375083 377084
      379083 381083 382083 384084 385083
 0.50 510291 509288 507284 501279 496273 489269 483268 479272
      480276 483280 489284 495288 500295 502296 505295 510291
 0.50 450049 451043 450039 448029 449015 450005 450998 449992
      447981 443973 435966 426956 415945 409938 404933 400931
      396927 393923 393915 396872 396860 396846 395833 393827
      390822 382811 379808 375807 373810 372815 370864 373885
      372895 370905 366913 362920 358923 353925 344929 338930
      330933 316941 310947 309951 309957 304964 303969 306971
      311972 311977 311981 314984 318985 323984 331982 339979
      346974 352967 355964 359963 366960 370959 375961 382964
      387970 398983 403005 412017 423028 428034 427039 425043
      416046 414051 413059 414064 417066 426067 428070 427075
      425084 425088 427092 431095 433090 434085 436077 440067
      445059 450049
 0.50 432728 431723 430723 428724 427727 426731 426736 427741
      428745 429748 432747 432744 433740 433735 432730 432728
 0.50 426683 426676 424670 423665 421663 418664 415668 413673
      413678 414684 415689 417693 419698 422694 423689 426686
      426683
 0.50 416109 416108 414107 414106 413103 412101 412099 411097
      411096 410095 408095 408096 407098 407100 407103 407104
      407105 408107 409109 409110 410111 412111 414111 414109
      416109 416109
 0.50 392692 390692 388693 387695 385696 385699 384701 384702
      384704 386704 387703 388702 389700 389699 390697 390696
      392695 392694 392692
 1.00 441997 442991 440985 435980 428974 425972 421973 417985
      416987 412990 409993 408996 410001 414008 420013 430015
      434013 437009 439006 441000 441997
 1.00 427053 427052 426051 425051 424053 425056 427055 427053
 1.00 404959 403950 400943 389927 386920 386914 388911 389901
      387897 384900 376913 376918 377922 378928 375932 371934
      367936 362935 359934 354934 346937 339936 332938 325943
      319948 318952 319956 323958 323960 321967 320973 323976
      328980 334978 341974 343971 339972 335973 331971 336967
      342962 352959 357956 358951 361948 366945 374949 377956
      380959 384961 390964 398968 404959
 1.00 383841 382836 382832 382830 379825 378824 376826 375830
      375835 376839 375841 376844 377846 381846 382843 383841
 1.50 434999 435995 434992 433989 431991 429992 426993 422994
      420994 418996 418001 420003 422004 424006 427007 429005
      431004 433002 434999
 1.50 396954 398950 396945 394940 391936 387931 384935 382940
      381945 384947 386949 382954 382956 386958 391959 394959
      395955 396954
 1.50 354945 354941 348940 339943 338942 335941 332942 330945
      332948 333953 330957 325964 323967 323972 326971 330967
      337963 345958 351954 354945
 2.00 393945 393943 393942 392940 391939 389938 388940 389943
      391945 392945 393945 393945
 2.00 349952 349949 348945 346945 343947 339951 336954 334956
      330960 328962 328965 330965 334962 337960 339958 343955
      346952 349952

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 511295 497286 494283 491281 484275 482273 477271 469268
      460266 458267 454265 443262 438261 433261 414260 408261
      404260 394260 392258 387257 382255 379252 374246 366244
      356241 352234 351231 354227 359221 361219 357217 352213
      347205 346196 342186 340181 334178 322176 315172 313167
      314161 315156 318159 321162 326163 334164 339164 342163
      348164 352164 355160 355156 354153 351146 348137 345136
      343133 339122 339118 342113 350108 357104 363101 369094
      373091 373087 371082 370075 370071 369066 367060 361060
      359056 361051 364048 367047 370045 372042 375041 380042
      388045 397049 401052 407053 412055 414061 416061 419060
      422056 423053 423048 418041 413035 405029 400023 397019
      392011 388003 380988 380965 380961 379958 375955 370949
      363943 357945 352946 342949 331950 326950 322952 316956
      304964 291973 277979 267979 262978 261976 259972 261968
      265960 270952 272941 279921 279915 280910 285904 286895
      288888 296873 297868 296863 296857 294853 294847 297845
      303841 307839 311839 319842 324843 326839 333832 338825
      345820 348818 351811 350805 350802 347801 340805 335809
      331811 329811 325818 298830 289827 281826 272824 263819
      257815 253810 262812 270816 279814 285811 290811 294812
      302815 309817 313815 315813 317810 322809 324806 326801
      329797 333794 340789 343786 346781 349772 353763 345758
      341757 339754 338748 339742 344728 353713 360699 364692
      367684 375669 378664 379665 384676 388689 390692 389698
      390704 389711 388721 388728 389736 391745 393750
 0.01 393750 409779 418794 420801 421808 425819 436828 441846
      445857 446865 447871 451894 453905 456914 460934 466956
      471979 481017 484027 488033 493044 498051 503058 506062
      507066 508077 509087 516104 508128 506137 504140 501137
      493136 485136 481136 476134 469128 466125 462123 457121
      451120 447119 444121 443123 444125 446129 452133 460138
      478147 492155 500158 509161 515165 517169 518175 518177
      515180 507185 501190 501204 501207 500209 494215 488218
      481221 467227 459232 457234 454235 455238 461240 463243
      466244 469245 472249 477250 485253 507261 519249 524236
      527231 530229 533230
 0.01 497654 497650 495647 491646 482639 480637 477638 471639
      465639 460643 454645 450648 446653 449657 467667 472668
      477666 480663 483662 485659 488660 487667 485671 479676
      476682 477690 476694 472700 471706 473721 477724 480726
      482724 484720 490717 492714 492710 491701 489694 491687
      490677 492669 497654
 0.01 486192 484181 482176 478174 470173 466174 463178 458185
      455188 453193 453206 457208 462208 469207 476204 482198
      486192
 0.01 430075 431071 429068 426066 424067 421067 419069 413073
      410077 409084 412089 414090 415094 419097 421098 422095
      425089 427082 430075
 0.25 485060 479040 474019 466993 464981 461969 459959 456947
      450928 447915 443902 439892 434882 417847 410827 404813
      398805 396795 394789 391786 383784 379782 376779 369773
      366775 365782 364787 363794 363807 361816 361823 360829
      347840 333852 325858 315863 311865 309867 303875 302879
      299882 295890 291899 289905 291910 294921 292925 290929
      288938 287941 288945 290949 296956 298956 302954 312947
      315944 320941 328939 333937 336934 341928 348923 353922
      358922 367923 379924 383927 387931 393938 395944 396952
      402970 407978 410986 413998 418010 422020 428030 432035
      437038 439041 449057 451061 455066 462072 466075 470075
      473070 477067 481062 485060
 0.25 455172 456166 455162 455156 452149 446143 441138 436143
      435150 439156 443159 445162 448168 450172 452176 455172
 0.25 407215 407214 406212 405212 404212 404214 405215 407215
      407215
 0.25 411110 411103 409098 405098 402102 395108 385112 381114
      380117 380121 381127 380135 380142 385143 395142 397141
      397138 398129 401124 404120 408117 410112 411110
 0.25 383195 383194 381193 379194 379195 380197 381197 382196
      383195
 0.25 375187 375184 374182 373182 372180 370179 369178 367177
      366178 365179 365180 364182 364183 365184 366185 368186
      369187 369188 371189 373189 374189 375188 375187
 0.25 379755 379746 376738 373733 371727 369724 365724 358727
      355730 353737 353741 355744 362743 368744 372749 375753
      377755 379755
 0.50 471041 471029 469020 464002 453959 444922 443914 442910
      438904 434901 432897 431890 428884 421871 416863 412859
      407850 403841 400830 398825 395821 390819 382822 376826
      371831 367840 365843 362843 359845 363845 364849 364852
      361854 355857 350858 346858 346860 342860 339862 333861
      329862 320866 316875 314878 310880 302882 300884 299889
      293903 293908 295912 301918 301924 299928 295935 296942
      298947 300950 303949 306947 312942 318937 325932 327929
      327922 330918 333916 340913 348911 367909 376909 382909
      385910 391915 393920 393927 417999 418004 420006 423009
      425013 430020 435023 463045 468046 471041
 0.50 409105 408103 408101 407103 406105 407106 409105
 0.50 387799 387795 384793 381794 377794 377791 373792 373793
      375796 375797 374799 374803 376805 378806 381805 385804
      386802 387799
 1.00 461015 460007 456999 453988 451978 447961 443952 438942
      435936 430930 424924 415923 408921 404921 401923 402926
      405930 409940 409957 413964 416975 417980 419985 419990
      422994 422987 423978 424972 423966 423961 421956 419953
      419948 422945 423940 421931 423933 426938 428944 431952
      434959 436969 435984 436991 434997 434004 435010 437013
      444017 449019 452020 458020 461015
 1.00 424001 424999 424997 423996 422995 421996 422997 422999
      422001 424002 424001
 1.00 412901 412893 411887 407875 401867 394859 390857 385856
      381858 380861 381866 384879 390887 396894 401903 405906
      410905 412901
 1.00 354881 355877 354873 352870 348869 344870 343872 339878
      336883 329881 316887 303887 302891 304893 302901 302907
      303910 307911 314913 318913 321911 326907 329901 335898
      344897 347894 352888 354881
 1.00 317928 316926 315926 314926 312927 310928 310929 308930
      306932 305933 305934 304935 305936 307935 308935 310933
      312932 314931 315930 316930 317928
 1.50 446981 445978 445977 443978 442978 443981 443983 443984
      444983 445982 446981
 1.50 418963 417962 416962 415963 416964 417965 418963
 1.50 400876 400874 399871 398870 397869 396868 395867 394867
      393869 393871 393872 394874 395875 397876 398877 400876
 1.50 328889 327888 326887 325887 323887 322887 322888 320890
      319892 318894 320896 322895 323894 324893 325891 327889
      328889
 1.50 317907 318905 318902 317902 315901 313901 311902 310903
      309903 308905 310906 311907 311908 313908 315908 317907
      317907

24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 537194 539180 538175 536171 531165 525160 522157 521151
      519138 515116 513103 511092 502074 496063 494058 492051
      488038 485025 465001 462991 460988 462985 463980 465975
      466969 467964 467957 465945 464938 463933 461920 458909
      457901 458896 458888 456881 453875 451867 449862 450857
      444836 439818 432796 428785 425775 422762 421754 419747
      415739 411727 410718 409707 409693 410682 410669 410658
      409651 407648 399650 396652 392654 384659 374664 367668
      364676 358686 356693 353699 349707 344717 325748 321755
      317763 312777 309786 307791 308798 309801 308806 307810
      302812 293817 290818 290822 291826 293828 296830 298835
      299842 299846 298849 297854 295857 291864 288870 285874
      280881 276887 271894 266908 263919 263921 267924 275928
      278929 283929 288927 292929 296931 298932 298934 288935
      286946 280989 283996 288003 292008 296013 298019 301021
      303024 308028 326033 331035 335038 340043 347049 350053
      351058 351066 349072 343083 336084 332087 328096 323102
      318108 316112 318115 319121 325122 329121 332122 333125
      335130 337133 338139 338148 339154 336159 335161 332161
      327161 316161 314163 315165 319168 330171 337177 340181
      342183 345183 349181 354182 360188 365195 371199 378203
      387206 392207 392202 394191 393186 394183 396180 410174
      429170 429165 433160 436165 437162 440161 451159 455157
      459163 478188 479193 482193 481206 488205 494205 498206
      502205 503209 501213 497224 494252 492252 490249 486245
      482241 476239 474240 474244 477250 482260 485266 492274
 0.01 492274 500278 503278 506276 510270 514264 516259 517254
      519251 520248 521245 524238 527228 530218 533208 535204
      535198 537194
 0.01 483140 482138 480138 479140 480142 482143 483140
 0.01 458118 458113 456108 453102 451099 448099 448102 447107
      445111 441115 436119 434124 435131 439136 441139 446140
      450140 452136 454131 454127 458118
 0.01 442227 437225 433227 429232 426237 422242 419247 424250
      430249 433244 433237 436231 440229 442227
 0.01 434188 434184 432183 430183 428185 426187 424191 424193
      424196 425201 426203 428199 429197 431195 432190 434188
 0.01 440057 441042 439026 434011 430999 428987 427979 426973
      422957 419950 417943 416938 415932 412926 410920 408914
      405908 399895 395886 392880 388879 377873 371871 368869
      364872 347880 342884 338885 336887 331890 327895 318913
      316920 312926 305933 302933 300935 306936 311934 318933
      324931 330931 343934 353938 358940 361945 364951 365958
      366964 369967 373967 381970 395972 411972 414977 415984
      419994 422006 432033 440057
 0.01 425103 426098 425096 425091 426086 425082 425079 423077
      421076 420081 420086 420090 421093 422095 423100 425103
      425103
 0.25 504176 505171 504168 501167 499168 497170 495172 493175
      492178 493183 495184 496184 499183 501181 503178 504176
 0.25 435864 435861 434859 433857 432856 431855 431854 429853
      427853 426855 426857 426860 426862 427864 428867 430869
      431869 432869 433868 434866 435865 435864
 0.25 421804 421792 419778 417771 415765 411756 408749 404739
      401725 399712 397700 395687 393682 391676 387675 382675
      375678 372681 369686 362704 358712 354719 344735 336748
      331757 327766 326773 326779 329781 337776 343772 344783
      343794 347796 353797 360801 369802 372802 376803 381813
      384816 387820 390828 396834 400835 404832 410825 413821
      416816 420809 421804
 0.25 415062 416053 415049 416045 416040 415038 411036 398032
      388023 384020 379017 374006 372003 369001 364998 358994
      353989 348982 341971 339969 337964 336957 335948 332941
      327945 325949 323956 322963 324971 328976 332982 332991
      331997 328001 323004 321007 321010 324016 327021 334024
      341027 350031 356034 358036 360039 361047 364054 368058
      366063 366077 366089 370096 372099 372103 372108 370110
      367114 362115 354124 353132 354136 358136 370135 377136
      381139 388140 392140 395142 402144 406141 406137 405133
      402126 400120 399114 402110 407107 409103 409098 407091
      407081 409073 415062
 0.25 355837 355833 352828 348825 343823 339823 335822 336815
      339810 340806 340802 335802 331803 327805 324808 321819
      319830 316841 315851 315857 313862 304880 308882 312882
      314885 316883 318879 328863 333856 337852 342849 348846
      353842 355837 355837
 0.25 304882 301880 298881 294883 291887 289891 287895 286900
      289903 293901 296897 298893 300889 302886 304882
 0.50 416790 416783 413777 408768 402759 400759 399763 399770
      399777 398784 391790 388794 387802 389807 393810 405809
      409807 413803 415798 416790 416790
 0.50 410049 408043 401041 394039 389035 382035 375037 371041
      368042 366043 367045 370049 375054 380058 380065 374066
      371075 375080 378081 381081 385074 390076 394076 397077
      400076 402072 401069 402062 407056 410049
 0.50 395740 394735 392734 391731 390725 389714 389702 388695
      386690 382689 375693 369699 365706 360713 353728 347743
      346746 347752 351752 354750 361746 367746 372745 378740
      387736 395740
 0.50 391116 390115 389114 387114 385115 384118 384120 383122
      383124 384126 386125 387123 388120 389118 390117 391116
 0.50 376130 378128 377127 375127 376130 376130
 0.50 376765 375760 373757 369757 364759 358763 353768 351775
      350778 350784 356787 364787 371786 373782 374778 376769
      376765
 0.50 366039 366036 366034 364034 362035 362036 362038 364040
      366041 366039
 0.50 347013 348010 348006 346003 344000 340997 337998 333000
      330003 328008 329014 331016 336019 341018 345016 347013
 0.50 334965 334960 334957 334954 333949 332945 330945 329947
      327949 327952 325956 324958 324962 325964 326968 328970
      332970 333967 334965
 0.50 321864 321862 322859 320857 319860 318862 318864 319866
      321864 321864
 1.00 395048 394048 392047 390048 392049 394048 395048
 1.00 390050 390047 388046 387046 386047 385049 386050 388050
      390050
 1.00 363771 363769 362767 360767 358769 358770 358772 360773
      362772 363771
 1.00 332956 332955 332954 330952 328953 328954 327956 327957
      326958 326960 327961 328962 330962 331960 332958 332956
      332956

$$





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