Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 162100
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JAN 17/0000 UTC THRU JAN 20/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO THE NORTHEAST...
...LOWER MS/OH VALLEYS...

A FAIRLY INTENSE/COMPACT UPPER LOW ACROSS EASTERN KS EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST TOWARD THE UPPER MIDWEST
TONIGHT...OPENING IN THE PROCESS...WHILE A WEAK NORTHERN STREAM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS TRAVERSES THE UPPER MS
VALLEY ON TUE. THE WELL-DEFINED DEFORMATION ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO ELONGATE TOWARD THE UPSTREAM
SHORTWAVE...LEADING TO A FAIRLY EXTENSIVE TROWAL AS A RESULT. A
SWATH OF ADDITIONAL FREEZING RAIN AND SOME SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH
THIS WHERE COLD WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
SURFACE LOW TRACK. PLEASE CONSULT THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR MORE
DETAILS ON THE EXPECTED WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS WITH THIS SYSTEM.

FARTHER EAST AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND ATTENDANT SURFACE
LOW...STRONG WARM ADVECTION AND DEEP-LAYER MOIST ISENTROPIC ASCENT
WITH THE AID OF A 40-50 KT SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET WILL FAVOR
AN AXIS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE OH VALLEY BY
MONDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE PROFILES ARE  FAVORABLE -- WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER 850 MB MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES BETWEEN 2-3
STANDARD DEVIATIONS. MEANWHILE THE DEEP LAYER ASCENT WILL BE
FAVORABLE AS WELL OVERNIGHT...AS THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE
SOUTHERN STREAM JET STREAK COUPLES WITH THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION
OF THE DEPARTING NORTHERN JET STREAK. IN TERMS OF THE QPF...WPC
UTILIZED A NON-NAM BLEND...CONSISTING MAINLY OF THE
GFS-ECMWF-UKMET WITH SOME CONTRIBUTION FROM THE WPC IN-HOUSE BIAS
CORRECTED ENSEMBLE QPF. THE NAM WAS ON THE DEEPER/SLOWER EDGES OF
THE GUIDANCE SPREAD...THUS ITS QPF (WETTER OVERALL) WAS
DISREGARDED. THE MAIN INHIBITING FACTOR FOR AREAL-AVERAGE AMOUNTS
EXCEEDING 0.50" IS THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE FAVORABLE DEEP
LIFT/MOISTURE ALONG WITH THE LACK OF ELEVATED INSTABILITY.

FARTHER SOUTH AND ESPECIALLY TOWARD THE LOWER MS VALLEY...DEEPER
MOISTURE AND SOME MODEST DEEP-LAYER INSTABILITY (MUCAPES GENERALLY
<1000 J/KG) WILL ALLOW FOR SOME CONVECTIVE RAINS TO BE FOCUSED
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
SUGGEST SOME SLOWING OF THE TAIL END OF THE FRONT OVER SOUTHEAST
TX THROUGH  TUESDAY...WHICH MAY HELP FOSTER SOME LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL TOTALS AS THE SOUTHWEST/NORTHEAST ORIENTATION OF THE
FRONT RELATIVE TO THE MEAN FLOW WILL TEND TO FAVOR SOME POTENTIAL
TRAINING OF CONVECTIVE CELLS. SOME OF THE 12Z HIGH-RES CAMS
DEPICTED A SLIVER OF 2-3+ INCH AMOUNTS IN THE 24 HR PERIOD FROM
00Z TUE-00Z WED...HOWEVER ON A LARGER SCALE (10-20 KM GRID) EXPECT
MAX AREAL-AVERAGE AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1-1.5" PER A MULTI-MODEL BLEND.
BECAUSE OF THE RELATIVELY DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS (INITIALLY
HIGH FFG)...THE DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE ALONG WITH THE LATEST SSEO
NEIGHBORHOOD PROBABILITIES OF THE FORECAST QPF EXCEEDING THE
CURRENT FFG DO NOT SUPPORT ANY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TOTALS...BUT
THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES RISING TO NEAR 1.5 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHEAST TX COASTAL
PLAIN.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN INTO PARTS OF COASTAL WA AND ESPECIALLY THE
OLYMPIC PENINSULA AND NORTHERN WA CASCADES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
PRECIPITATION WITH THE DEEP LAYER WARM ADVECTION PATTERN WILL
BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE WA CASCADES AS WELL BY EARLY
TUESDAY...THEN SPREADING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE OR COAST AND INTO THE
SOUTHERN WA/NORTHERN OR CASCADES. THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS
INDICATING THAT THIS IS JUST THE LEADING EDGE OF WHAT IS AN
IMPRESSIVELY LONG-FETCH ATMOSPHERIC RIVER THAT EXTENDS WELL
SOUTHWEST ALL THE WAY INTO THE TROPICAL WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
THIS IS CONFIRMED BY CIRA-LPW DATA AND AMSU 89 GHZ DATA. THE
STRONGEST ONSHORE FLOW FOR THIS PERIOD SHOULD BE FOCUSED INTO
SOUTHWEST BRITISH COLUMBIA WHERE VERY OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE BEGINNING THIS PERIOD. MUCH
HEAVIER RAINS WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY IMPACT THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
JUST BEYOND THIS PERIOD AS THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER SAGS SOUTHEAST IN
CONJUNCTION WITH A COLD FRONT.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...WEST...

A SIGNIFICANT ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT IS LIKELY TO UNFOLD ACROSS
THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. BY 0Z WEDNESDAY SHOULD HAVE
INTEGRATED MOISTURE TRANSPORT AT OR ABOVE THE CLIMATOLOGICAL 99TH
PERCENTILE POINTED INTO WESTERN WA/OR...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES ALSO AT OR ABOVE THE 98TH PERCENTILE. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL
BE ANOMALOUSLY STRONG (ABOVE THE 99TH PERCENTILE) OUT OF THE SOUTH
SOUTHWEST ENHANCING UPSLOPE PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCY IN THE
FAVORED SOUTHWEST FACING TERRAIN. ALSO WILL HAVE IMPRESSIVE
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH THE REGION IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE
UPPER JET. THUS THE IMPRESSIVE QPF TOTALS SEEN IN THE GUIDANCE ARE
NOT SURPRISING GIVEN THE MULTITUDE OF FACTORS COMING TOGETHER FOR
HEAVY PRECIPITATION. SHOULD BE A PRETTY LONG DURATION EVENT...WITH
THE ANOMALOUS MOISTURE REMAINING OVER WESTERN WA/OR BOTH ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN PORTION OF THE MOISTURE PLUME WILL
SHIFT SOUTH INTO SOUTHWEST OREGON ND NORTHERN CA THROUGH THE DAY
TUESDAY INT WEDNESDAY. THIS SHOULD SHIFT THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION INTO THE COASTAL RANGES OF SOUTHWEST OREGON AND
NORTHWEST CA. THIS REGION SHOULD ALSO SEE AN ENHANCEMENT OF
PRECIPITATION INTENSITY BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS AS IT MOVES ASHORE..INCREASING THE DURATION
OF THE HEAVIER RAINFALL. BY LATER WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY THE
SYSTEM BECOMES MORE PROGRESSIVE AND BEGINS TO LOSE SOME OF ITS
ANOMALOUS MOISTURE CHARACTERISTICS AS IT SHIFTS SOUTH THROUGH CA.
THUS RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE LESS ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
A...ALTHOUGH STILL EXPECTING A A PERIOD OF STEADY RAINFALL GIVEN
THE INCREASED SYNOPTIC FORCING.

THREE DAY PRECIPITATION TOTALS (0Z TUE-0Z THU) ARE EXPECTED TO
GENERALLY BE IN THE 4-8" RANGE (LOCALLY HIGHER) ACROSS THE COASTAL
RANGES OF WA/OR INTO THE WA CASCADES...AND SOUTH INTO THE COASTAL
RANGES OF SOUTHWEST OR AND NORTHWEST CA.  GIVEN THE IMPRESSIVE
SETUP WILL MAINTAIN THE MARGINAL RISK ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWEST ON DAY 2 AS WELL AS THE SLIGHT RISK ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE OLYMPICS BELOW SNOW LEVEL. ALSO WILL ADD A SLIGHT RISK ON THE
DAY 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK (12Z WED-12Z THU) ACROSS THE
FAVORED COASTAL RANGES OF NORTHWEST CA AND SOUTHWEST OR...WHERE AN
INCREASED DURATION OF THE ANOMALOUS MOISTURE PLUME/LOW LEVEL WINDS
SHOULD ALLOW FOR IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL TOTALS IN AN AREA THAT HAS
ALREADY BEEN ANOMALOUSLY WET RECENTLY. OVERALL MODELS WERE IN
PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM...AND THUS
WPC FOLLOWED A MULTI MODEL BLEND FOR QPF AMOUNTS. OVERALL THIS
RESULTED IN PRETTY GOOD CONTINUITY FROM OUR PREVIOUS
FORECAST...ALTHOUGH WE DID INCREASE THE SPEED OF THE SOUTHWARD
PROGRESSION OF HEAVIER QPF INTO NORTHERN CA ON WEDNESDAY. PLEASE
REFER TO THE QPFHSD FOR THE RESULTANT IMPACTS ON SNOW AND ICING
FORECASTS.

...TX/LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE TN VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST...

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STALLED OUT ACROSS
SOUTHERN TEXAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. EXPECT TO SEE INCREASING
SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE SOUTHWEST TROUGH S IT SLOWLY MOVES
EAST...WHICH WILL RESULT IN INCREASING MOISTURE INTO THE STALLED
OUT BOUNDARY. THE CURRENT MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR ONE PIECE OF
SHORTWAVE ENERGY TO EJECT EASTWARD ON THE PERIPHERY OF THIS
MID/UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS ON TUESDAY
NIGHT. INCREASED SOUTHERLY FLOW AND SYNOPTIC ASCENT AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO RESULT IN AN UPTICK IN CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT OVER EAST TEXAS. THE EXPECTATION IS THAT PERIOD OF
CONVECTION WILL BE ONGOING ALONG/NEAR THE BOUNDARY OVER COASTAL
TEXAS INTO TUESDAY EVENING. THIS CONVECTION MAY TRY TO ANCHOR TO
THE FRONT...RESULTING IN SOME BACKBUILDING AND TRAINING POTENTIAL.
THEN AS THE SHORTWAVE EJECTS EAST THE FRONT MAY TRY TO PUSH
NORTHWARD A BIT...WITH A CONVECTIVE LINE POSSIBLY DEVELOPING
ACROSS EATS TEXAS...MOVING INTO WESTERN LA AND SOUTHERN AR.

THE WPC DAY 2 QPF (0Z WED-0Z THU) MODEL PREFERENCE WAS TOWARDS THE
12Z ECMWF/GEM/UKMET...AS THESE THREE WERE MORE IN LINE WITH THE
HIGH RES ARW AND BETTER FIT OUR EXPECTATIONS BASED ON THE PATTERN
THAN THE NAM/GFS DO. GIVEN THAT THE INSTABILITY AND SURFACE FRONT
WILL BE NEAR THE GULF COAST...THE FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST AXIS OF
HIGHER QPF SHOWN BY THE ECMWF/GEM/UKMET MAKE MORE SENSE THAN THE
GFS/NAM SOLUTIONS. GIVEN THE TRAINING POTENTIAL ALONG THE STALLED
BOUNDARY FOLLOWED BY THE POTENTIAL OF A WEST TO EATS CONVECTIVE
LINE MOVING OVER THE SAME AREAS LATER AT NIGHT...OPTED TO
INTRODUCE A DAY 2 (12Z TUE-12Z WED) MARGINAL RISK OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN
UPGRADE TO A SLIGHT RISK...WITH HIGH FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE...RELATIVELY DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS...AND SOME
UNCERTAINTY ON THE EXACT FAVORED WPF AXIS WARRANTING JUST A
MARGINAL AT THIS TIME.

CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE WE MAY SEE A DOWNWARD TREND IN THE CONVECTIVE
INTENSITY BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE CONVECTION BECOMES
DISPLACED FROM THE BETTER SYNOPTIC FORCING. HOWEVER SHOULD SEE
ANOTHER UPTICK IN INTENSITY/COVERAGE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE TROUGH
IS FORECAST TO BECOME A CLOSE MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW AND TAKE ON MORE
OF A NEGATIVE TILT. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN INCREASED UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE..FALLING HEIGHTS AND INCREASED SOUTHERLY FLOW BRINGING
HIGHER MOISTURE/INSTABILITY NORTHWARD. THUS WOULD EXPECT A SWATH
OF HEAVY RAINFALL FROM LA NORTHEAST INTO PORTIONS OF MS/AL ON DAY
3 (0Z THU-0Z FRI). SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORWARD PROGRESSION
OF THIS CONVECTION. AGAIN THOUGHT THE NAM/GFS LOOKED UNREALISTIC
BASED ON OUR EXPECTATIONS...WITH THE CONVECTION LIKELY PROPAGATING
FURTHER EAST/SOUTHEAST THAN DEPICTED BY THOSE SOLUTIONS. AGAIN
PREFERRED MORE OF A ECMWF/UKMET SOLUTION...AND CAN INTO EVEN
COMPLETELY RULE OUT THE MORE PROGRESSIVE GEM. PORTIONS OF EAST TX
AND LA MAY BE IMPACTED B BOTH THE INITIAL CONVECTIVE ROUND TUESDAY
NIGHT...AND THE SECOND AROUND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS POTENTIAL
COMBINED WITH THE ANOMALOUS MOISTURE OVER THE REGION SUPPORTS A
DAY 3 MARGINAL RISK AS WELL ACROSS THIS AREA.

...NORTHEAST...

A SHORTWAVE AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
BY WEDNESDAY, EXPECT TO SEE AN AREA OF OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION
TO THE NORTH OF THIS TRACK OVER THE NORTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. SOME NORTH/SOUTH MODEL DIFFERENCES...ALTHOUGH WITH THE
12Z ECMWF COMING A BIT NORTH...THERE IS NOW PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH THE LATEST NAM/GFS/ECMWF...WITH THE WPC FORECAST FALLING
CLOSE TO A MULTI MODEL CONSENSUS.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

HURLEY/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 18/00Z
 0.01 450324 454323 458322 461320 465318 468316 471313 474311
      477307 480304 483301 487301 492305 493308 496313 498317
      502316 528246 520239 517234 514228 512222 511212 514211
      516212 518218 522229 524235 528234 532230 534228 535223
      539208 539198 539192 537184 534179 528169 524166 520160
      511155 507151 502149 497146 494140 486133 480132 476133
      472133 472135 472138 474139 481140 483141 484145 483149
      481150 478151 474151 468149 462148 460153 461158 465162
      465167 465172 454176 451173 449177 445183 443183 443186
      445191 449195 453192 456189 461187 463191 463199 463202
      461203 455203 453203 451205 447210 443212 436218 432222
      431225 429234 425237 419237 415240 400253 397258 392262
      389266 387273 382284 379291 377297
 0.01 466705 465702 463699 460700 456701 455703 453706 452708
      452713 453717 455719 459718 460715 462713 464710 465707
      466705
 0.01 464812 464805 462801 461787 459778 457766 455754 451742
      448734 444723 440715 434713 419709 410707 405704 402700
      393685 383671 379665 375662 361671 354677 345683 340689
      337696 332713 330722 328731 326743 324753 313764 311767
      307769 302770 298768 294769 294773 293778 297780 302785
      304797 307801 311802 314803 317800 327788 333782 338775
      341768 346760 355746 363734 369726 370722 373724 377732
      379737 377741 362777 357792 356797 356803 353811 348818
      347827 347833 346837 343844 337863 333870 328876 317890
      311896 303902 291912 290914 289920 285927 275938 268941
      261943 254945 248951 246955 248959 252966 255964 261964
      264968 264972 264984 265989 267993 276007 281012 287014
      291016 294019 299025 303030 304035 304041 303047 301052
      300064 298068 300070 305070 309073 334093 339098 343098
      343095 341082 340078 336074 335070 336064 340056 342053
      340049 336044 335032 332023 329014 330008 331002 335980
      336970 336958 336952 337947 341941 347932 352925 357920
      365915 372912 379910 382912 385915 387918 389923 390927
      390935 391947 392954 395957 402952 407947 409945 414942
      419945 420947 421952 420959 417970 419978 423978 425975
      428973 431969 440957 445949 449940 452933 457925 461904
      458878 460865 464857 465852 465845 463839 463832 460819
      464812
 0.01 393066 390059 392055 393051 392048 387040 385036 384030
      383024 381019 380013 379008 376010 373013 370017 368021
      368033 368041 367045 366048 363049 357048 354052 353057
      350059 347064 346068 349072 349077 352079 358072 362074
      364079 367077 369076 370079 378083 381081 381074 385070
      389072 393066
 0.01 300880 300876 298876 290880 285883 279888 274892 276894
      279894 283893 285896 285901 284904 288908 289902 290891
      295887 300881 300880
 0.01 265798 264798 262797 261798 259798 258799 259800 261800
      262801 263801 263800 264799 265798
 0.25 406307 409304 413303 423301 432298 437299 442299 445305
      450307 454307 459305 467301 474296 482293 486291 491291
      495293 500297 508302 525257 516238 512229 507219 502210
      500205 497201 494202 488201 483201 480203 473209 469211
      465212 463211 460212 457215 449219 445221 443226 443230
      442234 439238 432242 424244 417251 411259 405267 400277
      397289 396295 397300 402306
 0.25 536207 537196 536191 535188 531183 528176 524171 519164
      514162 508163 501162 496165 492169 492174 493177 504187
      513197 519209 523214 528219 531220 533218 536207 536207
 0.25 453821 452805 451794 448779 445767 442753 441747 439741
      435737 430736 421740 414736 411734 406734 404738 403743
      403758 403766 402770 397779 392786 390788 386788 380790
      377792 373796 369804 366812 363824 358846 355856 351866
      342882 331897 320913 314922 308927 297939 290945 284953
      274972 274984 275990 277993 282000 288006 294008 299007
      305008 310006 313002 314997 315992 314989 310990 304987
      300982 306973 321955 335936 346923 370895 376888 379887
      382888 387890 391891 397891 399890 403892 404896 404902
      402913 401917 403921 408919 412915 419908 422904 427902
      431904 433907 436918 438922 441926 444925 447923 450918
      451912 452898 452865 451852 453843 453821
 0.25 376687 376680 373674 371673 368674 363677 356684 350692
      344700 342706 340711 338722 338728 336733 334744 329754
      325763 322768 322772 326774 331771 338763 349747 354738
      355732 357730 358727 365707 376689 376687
 0.50 524260 518246 511231 508224 504217 500209 497206 493206
      486205 480206 469215 462215 457219 455222 454228 448233
      439243 433247 427249 422254 418260 414267 410275 409281
      410284 415289 423289 428288 439278 449270 462274 466276
      469279 470284 473287 480287 486287 493286 499291 505295
      511297
 0.50 534209 536201 536194 531186 526177 522170 518167 513168
      504169 503173 503179 509188 514195 519202 521207 524211
      527213 531213 534209
 0.50 488231 487228 485226 484225 484224 482224 481223 479223
      478223 477224 477225 478228 479228 480229 481231 481232
      482234 483235 484233 485233 486232 488231
 0.50 448846 447822 446809 444800 440780 437770 436763 436757
      435752 433749 430749 426751 425755 424763 418768 413774
      408780 405786 402794 403799 406803 410810 410817 409826
      408830 405832 403836 403841 407847 407858 407864 405867
      398871 394876 396880 400879 407877 411877 413880 417886
      421891 425891 428889 434885 437885 439888 442890 444889
      444886 441883 440881 442877 445869 446856 448846
 0.50 390817 381805 372824 358868 354877 349886 342894 335901
      323917 317925 310931 303937 297945 290953 285962 281969
      279974 280980 284981 289978 297974 304968 312961 325946
      337931 350915 360898 372880 377873 382863 386852 389840
      388833 389827 390817
 0.50 348741 347734 346733 343735 342737 340742 337747 336750
      334754 332759 332761 335760 338755 341753 343750 346745
      348741 348741
 1.00 523264 518254 513242 508230 503220 497210 492210 486208
      482209 478213 480218 486222 489226 490232 489234 486235
      482239 480233 478231 474230 469233 465237 461237 458235
      455236 451240 450246 460245 464247 469250 472255 472262
      476276 497284 505289 513292
 1.00 531202 530194 528188 525182 521176 516177 511179 512184
      516190 519196 522201 526205 529205 531202
 1.00 447253 445252 442250 440251 437253 434254 432255 430257
      429260 428264 430267 434267 436266 438265 440262 442260
      444257 446255 447253
 1.00 370867 369866 368865 368867 369867 370867
 1.00 369871 368867 365869 362874 359879 356885 353890 351895
      350899 351901 355897 358892 361887 363883 366876 369871
 1.00 348910 348905 346906 342912 338919 334925 329930 325936
      323938 323942 328937 332932 337926 341920 345914 348910
 1.00 320937 320932 317931 312934 308938 305942 301947 299952
      298956 299958 304956 307952 311947 315943 319939 320937
 1.50 521269 518260 515251 508234 500218 498215 496213 493214
      484211 482213 483217 487219 489222 491232 492238 487237
      481241 479236 476233 473234 472238 476246 479267 479271
      482275 492277 498282 507287 513287
 2.00 518270 518266 517261 514252 510243 506235 502228 498219
      496217 493218 491222 491227 494236 496241 498245 501251
      496245 490240 488239 485240 483245 481250 481262 481267
      485271 492274 498281 503283 507282 518272 518270
 3.00 514266 512258 509249 507241 503234 499227 497224 494222
      494230 496239 501246 506251 508259 512268 514266
 3.00 504276 503268 501262 498257 495252 491245 487243 485251
      484258 487265 491269 495274 500278 503278 504276
 4.00 502273 501268 499263 497260 495255 492251 490247 487248
      487253 487259 489263 492266 494270 499273 502273
 4.00 504244 505242 504239 502237 501235 500234 499232 498231
      497229 496231 496234 496235 496236 497238 499240 500241
      502242 503244 504244
 5.00 500269 499266 497263 496261 495258 493255 492253 489252
      489257 490260 492263 493265 496267 498270 500269

24HR QP VT 19/00Z
 0.01 420637 424646 426653 428659 439672 461694 463696 467696
      471695 474697 479701 483706 484713 483718 480726 477732
      476737 475742 474746 473750 474753 475759 472763 470765
      471771 472782 471788 470791 463795 458796 453794 450804
      442839 437844 434847 432851 437871 436881 434885 430883
      417875 414875 412873 409873 404868 401864 400860 398848
      402841 405842 407845 411847 412842 412839 410838 407836
      398830 391824 389823 385823 381827 380831 376841 369857
      366865 361872 356877 354881 353888 356896 363894 367900
      368910 368914 366918 363925 359933 359943 359948 357953
      352963 352983 351993 350998 352003 353007 353013 351017
      350024 347032 343040 335051 327063 325066 322065 317061
      315058 314052 307047 310040 313036 314032 308028 303023
      299021 293021 289022 285022 272017 263006 255996 256991
      255986 250982 244976 241968 241963 244961 252958 262946
      266940 272933 276929 279923 286909 289901 292895 296889
      299888 302890 309894 314896 320896 323892 324888 326878
      326873 328868 330862 325855 331850 337845 343839 346833
      350827 351818 359815 365811 367806 378791 381793 385794
      391789 398784 401782 403778 403775 402772 400768 395766
      390767 384777 377774 372775 368777 364785 363794 362799
      360801 356806 354803 351802 348803 342804 338802 328791
      319779 317767 317760 318754 318745 320738 324726 330710
      333703 335699 335695 340680
 0.01 535212 536204 536198 535188 531179 527172 519161 509151
      496139 490134 487132 482131 464136 461136 458139 452143
      445143 439138 435133 431137 426143 425153 416169 412178
      406182 394189 390192 383192 380190 374188 369187 370189
      373197 371201 367203 355209 351212 348218 342226 340230
      339235 342242 347248 354259 358264 361267 365270 378281
      392289 422302 432306 437308 441311 446311 450312 459316
      466318 469319 472318 479321 486319 492315 497307 501299
      506294 513281 516271 519263 521256 521248 519239 513221
      511213 512208 515207 527215 531217 533215 535212
 0.25 531200 531189 527183 517173 507165 498159 492153 484152
      477151 471150 467147 462146 456159 454162 452161 446156
      443155 440157 438165 435171 433180 432188 432195 434203
      432207 428205 422206 417211 406210 395208 375224 369226
      364229 363237 364242 380265 390274 394277 398278 413284
      428289 440291 451291 458291 464292 478293 484293 490292
      494290 498288 503283 507277 514261 516254 517248 517244
      513231 507216 500202 499196 500192 502190 508192 513195
      519199 524203 528203 531200
 0.25 495151 494149 494148 493147 491145 490145 490144 488144
      487144 487146 488149 489152 491152 492152 494152 495151
 0.25 468205 469202 469200 469199 467197 465197 464196 462196
      460198 462199 463201 465203 466204 468205 468205
 0.25 460200 460198 458198 457198 455198 454198 453199 452200
      453203 454203 456202 457202 458201 460200 460200
 0.25 456747 455736 453729 448716 446703 442695 435686 428676
      424664 420654 415650 410648 401657 389660 379663 368669
      361672 357676 352684 348692 344704 340715 338726 340740
      340749 343755 347768 350772 353775 356776 358775 360771
      365759 371750 375741 378730 380716 382703 385700 390701
      392705 394713 397720 399726 404738 408740 411745 413750
      416755 427757 432759 437759 439758 442762 447753 451755
      454753 456747
 0.25 379816 380812 378810 375810 373811 371813 369815 367818
      366820 364822 366825 368827 371826 372826 375823 377821
      378819 379816
 0.25 363840 363836 362834 359833 355835 353836 351837 350840
      350844 352846 354846 356846 359844 361842 363840
 0.25 361854 361852 360850 359848 358849 357850 356852 354854
      354855 353856 352857 352859 352861 353863 355862 356861
      357861 358859 358858 360856 361854
 0.25 350928 351917 350908 349905 345904 340904 334905 327908
      317913 307920 299927 290937 283944 272952 269956 268962
      266965 266969 269974 272980 273986 276992 285992 296989
      304988 308990 313990 317987 327979 331975 334971 341959
      345947 348936 350928
 0.50 511260 513253 514246 513237 507221 504215 500209 495206
      491204 489200 488197 488191 492185 502178 505182 511186
      516185 516182 515179 507174 501170 496164 489160 484157
      477156 471156 465152 462155 461160 460166 458170 455170
      453167 451165 446164 441180 439189 441197 442202 445204
      448197 451195 453192 460191 465190 471193 474196 474199
      471205 468208 464206 459202 455209 453212 450213 439215
      436216 432216 426218 422224 418224 416220 416215 411215
      402213 397213 393218 383227 374240 374246 375249 379256
      383260 387265 393269 401272 409273 416275 424278 431279
      438280 444279 455277 462275 470277 478280 485280 490280
      496278 502278 504276 506271 509264 511260
 0.50 487233 487231 487230 485228 485227 484226 482227 482228
      482229 482232 483234 484235 486234 487233
 0.50 434713 434707 433701 431694 424680 422671 419664 417660
      413658 408662 400667 396670 397677 399684 401689 402694
      403704 403709 405715 408720 418728 423730 429728 431725
      432721 434714 434713
 0.50 377687 377682 376678 369678 363681 360686 354697 351709
      349715 350722 352731 354737 356739 359740 363735 369725
      374715 376709 376701 377687
 0.50 344928 344921 342915 337914 333915 322918 314922 305929
      298935 294938 291943 287950 279958 277962 275967 276980
      277985 281987 286987 293985 301981 317972 322969 325964
      330957 337948 341940 344932 344928
 1.00 509254 511246 511239 507230 501214 487204 483202 479203
      473206 471210 467210 459207 458211 455214 449216 445216
      440217 434220 430221 429223 431231 424231 416227 413219
      407220 401226 394229 391230 387231 386237 385250 391257
      397261 404264 413266 421267 430268 437267 445265 451262
      457257 464256 472259 480264 488266 496270 509254
 1.00 489234 489231 489226 488223 487223 485222 484222 481222
      479226 480230 481234 482236 486236 488236 489234
 1.00 484171 486166 485163 483165 480165 478166 476168 474171
      474176 474181 474184 475188 477190 480191 482188 482183
      481178 482173 484171
 1.00 463181 463179 463177 461176 461175 459176 458176 456177
      454179 454181 455182 457184 458184 460183 461183 462181
      463181
 1.00 336939 337933 336927 334925 330925 320926 315928 303937
      300943 295947 286958 282965 279972 282977 286979 294976
      299972 305967 310963 316960 321956 327950 331945 336939
 1.50 508246 509241 507238 506233 504228 502221 500217 496213
      492212 488208 483206 479207 475209 472213 462211 459214
      454215 450219 444217 442217 441219 440223 440228 440231
      437234 433236 427234 415229 412224 409223 407227 403231
      397234 393239 393246 394252 398255 406260 417263 427263
      436262 444258 450252 455248 459248 463248 469250 479253
      484255 488259 491263 496265 499263 499257 496247 490239
      485238 482238 481236 477225 474225 471228 468231 466230
      465226 469223 471221 473221 478220 484221 489222 491227
      491233 494238 496243 502245 506247 508246
 1.50 321945 315939 309938 306941 299948 292954 286963 283972
      286972 290969 297962 305956 314954 319952 319949 321945
 2.00 503236 501228 499219 496216 492215 488210 481208 475213
      475217 476217 484219 490220 492224 492228 494237 500240
      503236
 2.00 497260 497254 496251 493245 488240 483241 477227 473228
      470233 465231 460234 453233 448233 442234 437237 433241
      428238 420234 415231 411229 407234 402236 397239 397246
      399251 412259 420260 424260 431259 437257 444250 449246
      456244 461243 466243 473247 478248 484250 488254 492262
      496262 497260
 2.00 470218 469215 468215 465215 461214 460215 456216 454217
      454219 455223 456225 460227 463226 465224 466222 468220
      470218
 2.00 447224 447221 445219 443218 443220 443221 445223 446224
      447224
 2.00 309945 309943 308942 307943 306943 305945 305946 304947
      305949 307948 308947 309945
 2.00 300954 299953 297953 296953 295954 294955 293956 292958
      291960 292962 294961 295960 296959 297958 297957 298956
      299954 300954
 3.00 498232 498229 499227 498224 498222 497221 496220 495220
      495221 494223 493225 493228 494229 494230 495232 496233
      498232
 3.00 489247 488245 486244 485246 486247 487248 489247
 3.00 490216 489214 488213 487212 486213 485215 486218 487218
      488218 490216
 3.00 480241 480239 479236 479235 479233 478232 477230 476230
      475230 473231 473232 472233 471236 471238 472240 473241
      473242 475243 476243 478243 480242 480241
 3.00 463223 464221 463218 463217 461217 461218 459219 458219
      457221 457222 458223 460224 462224 463223
 3.00 449239 451237 450236 449236 449239 449239
 3.00 444240 444238 442238 441239 442240 444240 444240
 3.00 433251 431248 429244 427240 423237 418237 416238 416241
      415248 417253 420254 424255 428254 431253 433251
 4.00 477240 478238 478235 477234 477233 476232 474232 473234
      472236 473239 475241 477240 477240
 4.00 425244 426242 426241 424239 423239 423238 422238 421240
      421241 420243 421245 422246 423247 424246 425245 425244
 5.00 425241 424241 422240 422241 422243 424243 425241

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 342273 350274 360277 380278 385279 389279 396285 418294
      437300 448304 453305 457305 469309 471315 474319 477318
      480316 482312 486308 496296 499292 503293 508293 510286
      514274 516269 520265 522260 524254 524241 524216 529216
      531211 534207 535201 536195 535188 533183 530180 517167
      506153 494139 487133 482131 476131 468133 469118 471107
      471103 467100 462099 460100 454108 449109 444106 441105
      437102 432094 428091 427096 427101 424104 420104 415106
      410103 408098 405088 394077 390075 390080 390083 387083
      383080 379078 376079 371084 367087 361087 357084 353084
      350086 347092 343099 339097 337100 339107 337115 336118
      334124 334130 334135 336146 338151 337154 334159 329159
      324157 319157 314157 313158 312163 309167 307172 309180
      311189 314211 316220 319229 322233 322239 324250 325255
      329261 334266 339270
 0.01 505696 504690 502686 502681 498677 492654 489643 486642
      484636 483631 478632 474634 470638 467640 463641 461636
      459634 456633 453637 450645 448649 447653 444661 442667
      442674 444683 446689 445695 443703 443710 443715 445717
      447720 447724 451731 452735 447736 437739 433742 430742
      423747 421752 423752 426753 431752 436761 439760 441757
      442752 445747 448744 453743 460746 473753 481754 486755
      490754 496750 500744 503733 505720 504715 505709 504700
      505696
 0.01 412866 408851 406848 404847 399848 395846 393844 392839
      390828 381818 377816 370815 362816 355818 346820 343818
      340819 335823 327826 321827 315831 306840 299842 293847
      289853 284858 276866 268876 265882 265887 263891 260907
      257922 246929 241933 237939 235942 235946 237952 244963
      248968 248974 248984 248989 249992 253006 254008 256007
      259001 266000 273003 281004 284003 287001 291996 295990
      301979 309968 314963 320960 332954 343947 354940 361936
      366932 377923 380918 383912 384909 387907 391906 394904
      403896 406892 407889 409880 412866
 0.01 405785 403783 398788 393791 388794 384797 383804 383807
      385806 389801 393797 397796 398794 402790 405785
 0.25 516264 518257 517249 513237 508226 504214 501209 498207
      494207 489206 488204 489199 490193 494188 498185 502186
      507189 513191 517189 517185 516184 514178 509172 500166
      491159 486156 483154 480155 475154 470151 466148 461148
      455150 452149 447146 443143 436133 432130 426128 419127
      414123 406118 401118 397117 393122 392133 392138 391140
      388140 377137 373132 368136 367139 368142 370148 372153
      372159 376163 382160 387160 393160 398172 404180 408183
      414184 419183 423179 427180 431184 435189 437191 440192
      446192 450191 461188 466185 470186 471189 475192 478197
      480201 478205 473209 469212 463211 458212 454214 448216
      437218 426216 426212 424206 417204 408205 404205 399202
      389195 369181 365179 360179 354181 349183 346181 345176
      345169 342165 329164 324167 325172 331182 333192 336205
      338210 339219 342229 345234 349237 355240 359243 371247
      382250 393254 401256 406257 421260 431261 442261 463263
      476267 481270 485275 493282 499286 504283 511275 514269
      516264
 0.25 489236 489234 488232 487231 487229 485229 484227 482226
      480225 480226 480227 481229 481231 482232 483232 484235
      486237 487236 489236
 0.25 383877 382867 378857 372848 369845 365843 356842 351842
      345844 338850 333852 329853 324854 321856 317859 313861
      309863 306867 304878 299884 293890 286896 279902 269915
      266923 263935 262945 260956 261961 263966 268973 271976
      275978 283978 290972 296966 301960 308954 315949 323944
      338936 346932 350930 353927 364914 370906 374897 380888
      383877
 0.25 359196 358194 357194 359196 359197 359196
 0.25 355195 354194 352193 352190 351189 350190 350192 350193
      351195 352196 353197 355195
 0.50 513269 516256 516251 514246 507229 503218 501214 498211
      491211 484209 481208 477210 473215 471218 473220 476223
      479221 483221 502251 501254 499253 493246 490242 487241
      484243 482240 479231 476227 472228 469231 466232 469224
      471218 459215 456218 455221 456227 455232 452233 446232
      436230 432229 428231 424231 419229 417226 416222 416216
      415212 405208 399204 384194 378189 369183 366181 361181
      355183 355188 358190 362193 363198 361202 358203 351201
      348198 346193 342183 344175 344171 342168 337167 333168
      332170 333173 336176 339192 347207 353222 359228 365234
      372239 381241 400246 407247 416249 424250 432247 440244
      444243 449245 456244 460242 463240 466238 468240 475246
      483247 487254 491264 494274 499281 503280 506277 513269
 0.50 486182 487175 487172 486168 483165 479165 474166 475172
      476179 477184 479188 483189 486184 486182
 0.50 453176 453166 453161 451157 446152 440147 438145 433144
      429150 429158 427166 432173 436179 439181 443181 449180
      453176
 0.50 372882 373877 372872 369862 367860 363860 355859 349855
      345855 342857 334860 328864 324870 319875 315877 312879
      308886 298895 286904 281908 277915 275924 272931 268939
      267948 267959 268963 272966 273968 277970 285967 290962
      295956 319940 332934 344924 350920 354914 365903 368899
      370893 372882
 1.00 512258 512255 512254 512252 511249 510249 509249 508251
      507253 508256 509259 511259 512258
 1.00 502272 502267 500264 499262 498260 496256 495253 494251
      491248 490247 490252 491255 492258 494262 495264 496267
      498269 499272 502272
 1.00 503236 502230 501225 500219 497216 495215 492217 488218
      490221 491227 493232 496236 499238 502237 503236
 1.00 441161 441159 441156 441154 440152 438151 436151 435152
      434153 434155 434156 434157 435159 436160 437161 438162
      440161 441161
 1.00 425244 424239 422236 413232 413227 414221 412216 408215
      405213 402209 396204 389200 383195 376189 370185 365183
      361183 358185 360188 367194 371200 375207 376217 382232
      385235 389237 399240 408242 416244 421245 425244
 1.00 393221 392219 390218 388217 387219 388220 389222 389223
      391224 393223 393221 393221
 1.00 373223 373220 372218 370218 369219 369222 369223 371224
      371225 371224 373223 373223
 1.00 364218 363216 363215 362214 360213 360212 359212 358213
      357214 358215 359217 361219 363219 364218
 1.00 353894 353891 352889 349888 349886 350879 349870 346867
      340866 335868 331872 324879 318888 311896 308900 305905
      298912 290920 284927 278937 277942 277945 280947 285948
      290946 310938 320933 328927 337922 339915 342910 353894
 1.50 497231 498229 498226 498224 498223 497221 496220 495220
      494220 493222 493225 493228 494228 495231 496233 497231
 1.50 411225 411223 411221 410220 408220 406222 407224 407225
      409226 410226 411225
 1.50 403217 402212 399208 392204 387202 384198 377194 371188
      366185 363185 364187 370193 377198 379203 383206 388206
      390211 396217 401218 403217
 1.50 345877 345873 341871 334875 327880 322887 313902 308908
      301913 295918 290925 288929 287934 288937 290939 296937
      304935 308934 310930 312925 314924 317927 321926 326918
      330909 333902 338893 345877
 2.00 400216 400213 400212 399211 398210 397209 395208 394207
      393207 393208 393209 394212 395212 396215 398216 399216
      400216
 2.00 338880 334879 330881 327885 325887 322892 320896 321898
      323900 326899 329897 333894 335891 336887 338881 338880
 2.00 325911 323908 319907 312911 306914 299918 295923 292931
      294934 298933 305929 309924 314919 318919 321921 324913
      325911

$$





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