Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 040901
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 AM EST SUN DEC 04 2016


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID DEC 04/1200 UTC THRU DEC 07/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...TEXAS AND THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHEAST AND
LOWER MID ATLANTIC REGION...

BENEFICIAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHEAST STATES...AREAS
WHERE DROUGHT HAD BECOME WIDESPREAD. THIS MORNING A CLOSED LOW
OVER MEXICO WAS REACHING PERHAPS ITS MOST MATURE PHASE...WITH
GREATEST DEGREE OF AMPLIFICATION AND INFLECTION IN THE
FLOW...LEADING INTO THE STRENGTHENING OF A DOWNSTREAM UPPER JET
OVER THE MIDWEST AND OHIO VALLEY. MEANWHILE... 500 MB HEIGHT
ANOMALIES WITH THE CLOSED LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN SEA OF CORTEZ ARE
BETWEEN 5 AND 6 STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL. RAINFALL WAS
WIDESPREAD WITHIN THE WARM ADVECTION REGIME IN BETWEEN THE
LOCATION OF THE UPPER JET AND A SURFACE FRONT NEAR THE WESTERN
GULF COAST. RAINFALL WAS ESPECIALLY FOCUSED WHERE CONFLUENT
DEFORMATION AND RESULTANT STRENGTHENING FRONTOGENESIS BETWEEN
850-700 WERE TAKING PLACE...FROM THE WESTERN GULF COAST NORTHEAST
THROUGH CENTRAL LA AND INTO CENTRAL-NORTHERN MS...NORTHERN
AL...AND MUCH OF TN. MEANWHILE...THE MORE FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMICAL PROFILE (ANOMALOUS PWS NEAR 2 INCHES...HIGHER
AVAILABLE DEEP-LAYER INSTABILITY...AND WET BULB 0C HEIGHTS ABOVE
12KFT) WILL AGAIN MAKE FOR MORE EFFICIENT WARM RAIN PROCESSES AND
HIGHEST SHORT-TERM RAINFALL RATES AND THUS THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR
FLASH FLOODING CLOSER TO THE COAST FROM THE MID-UPPER TX COAST
INTO WESTERN LA. ALREADY HIT HARD FROM THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL
(LOWERING 1-3 HOURLY FFG VALUES RATES SIGNIFICANTLY)...A MODERATE
RISK FOR ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING WILL ENCOMPASS THIS AREA PER
THE DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK. DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH
RECOVERY IS OBSERVED WITH THE RUNOFF AND (THUS) SHORT-TERM FFG
WITH ANY BREAKS IN THE HEAVIER RAINFALL...A HIGH RISK MAY BE
NEEDED LATER TODAY (AS LATER SHIFTS WILL EVALUATE). FARTHER INLAND
HAD BEEN MORE TAME...ALTHOUGH STILL DELIVERING A WIDESPREAD
SOAKING TO MUCH OF THE REGION...AND SETTING UP THE POSSIBILITY OF
SOME LONGER DURATION FLOODING IN THE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE LOCATIONS.

THE COMBINATION OF SUSTAINED FAVORABLE UPPER DIFFLUENCE AHEAD OF
THE SOUTHERN STREAM CLOSED LOW...ALONG WITH THE ELONGATED 850-700
MB FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING E-NE (SUPPORTED BY THE 130-150+ KT JET
STREAK TO THE NORTH)...WILL MAKE FOR AN EXPANSIVE WARM CONVEYOR
BELT (WCB)...WHERE THE NORTHERN PORTION WILL BECOME SHUNTED MORE
W-E WITH TIME AS THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE NORTHERN STREAM
SHORTWAVE LEADS TO STRENGTHENING UPPER LEVEL CONFLUENCE (INCREASED
ZONAL FLOW AND A STRONGER UPPER JET) OVER THE MIDWEST AND OHIO
VALLEY. THEREFORE WILL EVENTUALLY SEE A SHARPER NORTHERN EDGE TO
THE MOD-HEAVY RAINFALL AS THE ACTIVITY SPREADS FARTHER EAST INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. WPC QPF INCORPORATED A BLEND OF
CONTINUITY (PREVIOUS FORECAST) ALONG WITH A NON-NAM/NON-UKMET
BLEND OF GUIDANCE WHICH ALSO INCLUDED THE WRF-ARW...NMMB...AND
NSSL-WRF. A RATHER LARGE SWATH OF 0.50-1.00+ INCH AREAL-AVERAGE
AMOUNTS IS AGAIN FORECAST FROM THE SOUTHERN HALF OF TX E-NE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST AND LOWER MID ATLANTIC REGION.
FAIRLY GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS (ESPECIALLY WITH THE HIGH-RES CAMS)
WOULD SUPPORT MAX TOTALS AGAIN ALONG THE MID-UPPER TX COAST INTO
SOUTHWEST LA (STRONG DEEP-LAYER FORCING WITH MORE FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMICS) AS WELL AS ACROSS EASTERN LA...SOUTHERN
MS...SOUTHERN-CENTRAL AL...AND NORTHERN GA ALONG THE
AFOREMENTIONED AXIS OF STRONGEST 850-700 MB FGEN.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES...

AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK ACROSS THE NORTHERN PACIFIC
(ACCOMPANIED BY ADDITIONAL LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVES) WILL LEAD TO
GRADUAL LONGWAVE TROUGHING ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS DURING
THE DAY 1 PERIOD...WHICH WILL BE FOLLOWED EVENTUALLY BY A DUMP OF
ARCTIC AIR INTO THE UNITED STATES. A BRIEF UPTICK IN PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE LEAD SHORTWAVE...WITH THE
ENHANCEMENT MAINLY BEING FELT ACROSS WESTERN OREGON AND
WASHINGTON...BEFORE THE HEIGHT FALLS HELP PUSH THE PW PLUME
SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHERN-CENTRAL CA. THE PERSISTENTLY MOIST
WESTERLY FLOW ALONG WITH INCREASED ASCENT AHEAD OF THE
SHORTWAVES...WILL FAVOR GENERALLY MODERATE PRECIPITATION TOTALS
DURING DAY 1 OVER THE WA-OR COASTAL AND CASCADE RANGES ALONG WITH
THE FAVORED HIGHER TERRAIN ACROSS CENTRAL-NORTHERN ID...NORTHWEST
MT...AND NORTHWEST WY. MODEL QPF GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT...AS CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS WPC QPF WERE
INSIGNIFICANT.

...MIDWEST INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...

THE SHARPLY DEFINED TROUGH THAT WILL PROGRESS OUT OF THE ROCKIES
WILL SWEEP UP SOME MODEST RETURN MOISTURE...WITH UPGLIDE ON THE
295 TO 300 K SURFACE OVERLAPPING WITH 12-HOUR HEIGHT FALLS OF 40
TO 80 METERS FROM THE MIDWEST INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT...WPC IS FORECASTING BROAD 0.10 TO <0.50 INCH AMOUNTS
FROM THE MID MS VALLEY INTO THE OH VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION.
WPC INCORPORATED A MULTI-MODEL BLEND WITH THE QPF...WHICH LED TO A
SLIGHT UPTICK IN AMOUNTS OVER NORTHERN IL-NORTHERN IN AS WELL AS
NORTHEAST LOWER MI COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...TEXAS INTO THE LOWER/MID MS VALLEY INTO THE OH/TN VALLEY AND
SOUTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC...

THE CLOSED MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BE MOVING ACROSS TEXAS EARLY
MONDAY...BEFORE OPENING UP AND PICKING UP SPEED AS IT MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE TN/OH VALLEY BY TUESDAY. EXPECT TO SEE
SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS AHEAD OF THIS WAVE JUST OFF THE TEXAS COAST
EARLY MONDAY...WITH THE LOW MOVING NORTHEAST INTO THE OH/TN VALLEY
THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH COASTAL REDEVELOPMENT OFF THE MID ATLANTIC
BY LATER TUESDAY. EXPECT TO SEE A BROAD AREA OF PRECIPITATION IN
THE WARM AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE WAVE/LOW. RELATIVELY MINOR
DIFFERENCES STILL EXIST WITH REGARDS TO THE EXACT TRACK AND SPEED
OF THIS LOW...BUT OVERALL THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD
AGREEMENT. DID THINK THE NAM WAS LIKELY A BIT TOO QUICK WITH THE
PROGRESSION OF THE WAVE AND LOW...THUS GENERALLY AVOIDED ITS QPF.
WPC QPF STARTED WITH AN EQUAL BLEND OF THE ECMWF/GFS/UKMET FOR
THIS SYSTEM. DID HOWEVER MAKE SOME ADJUSTMENTS FROM THIS BLEND IN
THE WARM SECTOR WHERE PRECIPITATION WILL BE MORE CONVECTIVE IN
NATURE (WHICH THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE MORE APT TO STRUGGLE WITH).

TO START THE DAY MONDAY EXPECT THAT THE SURFACE WARM FRONT WILL
STILL BE HUGGING THE GULF COAST...WITH MOST OF THE SURFACE BASED
INSTABILITY ALONG/SOUTH OF THAT BOUNDARY. THUS WOULD MAKE SENSE
THAT CONVECTION MONDAY MORNING SHOULD BE MOST FOCUSED CLOSER TO
THE GULF COAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST TX INTO SOUTHWEST LA. AS THE LOW
LIFTS NORTHWARD SO WILL THE WARM FRONT...HOWEVER WOULD EXPECT THE
COASTAL CONVECTION TO PROPAGATE MORE EASTWARD RATHER THAN MOVE
NORTHEAST WITH THE MEAN WIND. THUS THESE FACTORS SHOULD KEEP THE
GREATEST INTENSITY CONVECTION AND AXIS OF HIGHER QPF FURTHER SOUTH
THAN SOME OF THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY
AND ADJACENT AREAS. THOUGHT THE ECMWF WAS PROBABLY TOO FAR
NORTH...AND LEANED OUR MAX QPF AXIS MORE IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
GFS AND HIGH RES ARW. WILL CONTINUE WITH A SLIGHT RISK FROM FAR
SOUTHEAST TX INTO PORTIONS OF LA/MS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY. OPTED TO INTRODUCE A SMALL MODERATE RISK ACROSS COASTAL
FAR SOUTHEAST TX INTO SOUTHWEST LA. LOOKS LIKE THAT AREA WILL SEE
ANOTHER ROUND OF LOCALLY HEAVY CONVECTION MONDAY MORNING AS THE
LOW LIFTS NORTH. THIS CONVECTION SHOULD STAY PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH TO
KEEP AMOUNTS IN THE 1-3" RANGE. HOWEVER ANTECEDENT HEAVY RAINFALL
HAS SATURATED SOILS ACROSS THIS AREA..WHICH SHOULD MAKE ADDITIONAL
FLASH FLOODING EASIER TO COME BY. THUS EVEN PROGRESSIVE CONVECTION
COULD POSE A THREAT...ESPECIALLY GIVEN CONTINUED ANOMALOUS PWATS
AND MOISTURE FLUX SUPPORTING LOCALLY HEAVY RATES.

THE OTHER AREA OF CONCERN IS FROM THE FL PANHANDLE INTO PORTIONS
OF GA. THERE IS A PRETTY GOOD SIGNAL THAT CONVECTION WILL FORM
ALONG THE NORTHWARD LIFTING WARM FRONT OVER THE FL PANHANDLE ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON SHIFTING NORTH INTO GA. THIS SIGNAL WAS STRONGEST
IN THE IN THE HIGH RES ARW...PARALLEL NAM CONUS NEST AND THE
UKMET. GIVEN THIS MULTI MODEL AGREEMENT ALONG WITH ANOMALOUS PWATS
AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACROSS THIS AREA...WILL CONTINUE A SLIGHT
RISK FROM PORTIONS OF THE FL PANHANDLE INTO GA.

ON DAY 3 (12Z TUE-12Z WED) THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO LIFT OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST. BY THIS TIME THE SYSTEM WILL BE OUTRUNNING ANY
INSTABILITY...AND OVERALL SYNOPTIC FORCING WILL BE ON THE
DECREASE. THUS EXPECT TO SEE LIGHTER RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THE OH
VALLEY INTO THE MID ATLANTIC. AS MENTIONED ABOVE CONTINUED TO STAY
CLOSE TO A GFS/ECMWF/UKMET BLEND.


...NORTHWEST...

A MID LEVEL WAVE AND 120 TO 130 KT UPPER JET DROPPING IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER AREA OF GENERALLY LIGHT PCPN ALONG
THE COAST ON SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY...WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS
WESTERN OR.  THE GFS AND ECMWF HANDLE THIS WAVES COMPARABLY SO WE
CONTINUED TO USE A BLEND OF THE TWO QPF SOLNS.

...CENTRAL ROCKIES AND THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
UPPER MS VALLEY ON MONDAY...BRINGING AN AREA OF PRECIPITATION TO
THE REGION. MODELS CONTINUE TO FLUCTUATE SOME WITH THIS
SYSTEM...ALTHOUGH HAVE BEGUN TO COME INTO BETWEEN AGREEMENT. THE
GFS/NAM ARE A BIT QUICKER THAN THE ECMWF/UKMET...WITH THE LATTER
HAVING A BIT MORE QPF IN ND. OPTED TO GENERALLY GO FOR A MIDDLE
GROUND SOLUTION FOR NOW. THE LOW SLOWS DOWN ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA
ON TUESDAY...WITH LIGHT WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION PROBABLE INTO
NORTHERN ND AND MN INTO TUESDAY. AGAIN SOME DIFFERENCES WITH THE
LATITUDE OF THE CLOSED LOW AND OPTED TO FOLLOW A CONSENSUS
SOLUTION.

A SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES TUESDAY NIGHT WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN AN INCREASING PRECIPITATION SHIELD STRETCHING
FROM CO INTO PORTIONS OF NE/KS. STILL A DECENT AMOUNTS OF MODEL
SPREAD WITH THIS SYSTEM LOWERING CONFIDENCE. WPC GENERALLY TRIED
TO FIND A CONSENSUS MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION FOR QPF. THE NAM/UKMET
ARE A BIT STRONGER WITH THE WAVE AND THUS HIGHER WITH THEIR QPF
AMOUNTS.  STAYED CONSERVATIVE FOR NOW AND WENT CLOSER TO THE
LIGHTER GFS/ECMWF FOR THE MAGNITUDE OF AMOUNTS...AND WENT WITH A
PLACEMENT IN BETWEEN THE NORTH ECMWF AND SOUTH UKMET...SOMETHING
CLOSE TO THE GFS/NAM.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

HURLEY/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 05/12Z
 0.01 529197 530187 529178 528172 526166 524159 522153 517143
      508125 508091 508082 508076 510072 512067 516062 519058
      522055 526052 524046 522040 520033 521025 518022 512021
      509018 505006 502001 497000 494004 492010 492031 493036
      491043 464070 463076 463082 461086 459084 458081 457074
      457066 451064 448059 446053 446046 445041 441042 443047
      444054 443061 440064 438069 436071 435075 441078 444080
      444083 442084 438088 435089 432089 427085 423083 421088
      420091 422093 422096 422100 418103 409104 405105 402108
      392112 390114 390116 394115 399118 403119 403123 406123
      411125 415129 416135 416142 413148 409151 406152 405160
      409161 413166 415172 414185 408196 408201 405205 403211
      406215 410219 410223 409227 400229 397229 397233 404243
      412250 417254 420259 429265 434269 438270 444272 446276
      446280 447292 448298 449301 467318 477322 480325 482324
      487322 493316 499305 510286 512280 514272 516257 515249
      512242 506234 500224 498221 500217 502211 505206 507203
      510200 514198 518197 524198 529197
 0.01 533976 533970 531965 529961 528956 526946 520941 515938
      512934 509931 503927 506919 511915 512911 512904 513897
      513891 513878 514869 514863 514857 515849 514840 505823
      500817 497811 488795 483789 480783 475777 470770 461759
      457753 453748 444739 432731 421724 408716 399718 392718
      376721 361728 354730 348733 344739 340744 336751 332759
      325771 322775 322779 320788 315804 310814 306820 301824
      290833 284839 279843 270856 269860 270863 273870 276880
      277889 276892 276898 273904 268919 265925 261931 257935
      252939 250946 249951 248954 244961 242970 242980 240988
      244994 246998 245001 246008 249016 252023 252028 257041
      257051 256059 258063 260066 265070 270075 274077 278078
      294082 299083 303080 306073 307063 312057 326035 323027
      322024 322019 324011 327003 330997 327988 333973 334969
      334964 333953 333947 334943 334933 336924 338921 341919
      350908 357898 371891 374889 378889 378892 376895 373903
      372907 372912 373920 376929 377934 379938 381942 385944
      391949 398950 410945 423940 435934 442931 452930 457931
      459933 462935 464940 469960 471967 474972 477973 487980
      500986 511991 519992 524992 526989 531982 533976
 0.01 491196 491189 489185 481184 474185 468188 463193 458198
      459201 462203 464206 466206 472201 478200 485201 491196
 0.01 495120 495115 494112 494102 494094 493084 489089 486093
      482098 480105 478109 479114 482119 485124 488125 490124
      495120
 0.01 446727 444726 443727 444730 446727 446727
 0.01 267804 267800 266798 264796 262794 260791 258789 256789
      256791 257793 257797 257799 257803 259805 261805 265805
      267804
 0.01 260856 258850 255846 249837 247821 248813 251809 251806
      250803 246798 242797 241803 241810 240815 240824 239829
      241836 238840 238844 240846 244849 252857 258857 260856
 0.25 507274 506273 504271 502272 502273 504275 505276 507274
 0.25 496148 491137 487132 483128 478126 471125 469126 469130
      469136 467137 465136 463133 460132 454132 450135 447141
      444142 440141 435142 432147 431152 432157 435162 438167
      443170 446175 446179 443182 442189 444193 447195 450195
      454192 462184 465179 467171 472168 476167 480167 482165
      483158 481153 476150 473148 471145 471142 473141 478142
      483144 491151 495151 496148
 0.25 479218 480214 478212 472211 465212 460212 455214 451214
      446212 442209 438210 434212 431212 427208 426213 422221
      421227 419232 412235 412239 413241 418244 426249 430251
      435251 442249 448249 453248 460246 470248 473247 473244
      471241 466237 463234 465228 468225 474221 479218
 0.25 472845 472835 471826 466811 458804 449799 446799 444801
      441806 438812 438820 437832 440839 444842 449845 448850
      452855 458856 465854 468850 472845
 0.25 454112 455105 455099 453095 448094 444095 440094 436096
      432095 428092 427094 429097 428103 425104 423107 424112
      427115 431118 436117 441118 445118 452115 454112
 0.25 434885 432883 431883 432883 433885 434885 434885
 0.25 431897 428881 423875 419870 416864 412860 405858 400862
      400876 398885 399892 401899 398904 395912 396917 398918
      404921 412921 420920 426917 424910 426907 431897
 0.25 387765 386760 383756 377751 369746 362745 355748 349754
      344758 339764 334772 332781 326799 324808 320815 316822
      311828 299838 293845 287852 282858 280862 280865 287881
      288885 287892 286902 283911 278917 269930 261941 256950
      252958 250966 253974 257988 262005 259008 257013 256017
      256021 261029 264036 266040 266046 268050 272051 274054
      277057 285058 290058 294057 301054 307047 311040 314032
      315023 316015 318003 320991 319981 322960 324938 328920
      331910 333900 344888 349881 354874 360860 367842 371821
      373811 373806 371801 370790 370781 374775 380771 385768
      387765
 0.50 485138 485136 484134 483133 481132 479131 478130 476130
      474130 473131 472132 472133 472134 472136 471138 472139
      473139 475139 477139 479140 480140 482139 484139 485138
 0.50 470218 470216 468216 467217 466219 467220 468220 469219
      470218
 0.50 474158 474155 472153 471150 469147 467145 465143 461142
      459143 457145 456150 456155 457157 459160 463160 466161
      470161 472161 474158
 0.50 456239 457236 455233 456227 459222 458217 453215 449215
      443214 439215 434217 429218 425220 423224 429233 427237
      424239 425244 430245 434244 439244 449243 456239
 0.50 463178 461175 459175 455172 453168 451166 449168 448170
      449175 450180 450185 455185 458184 462181 463178
 0.50 452164 453159 450153 447151 443149 438147 435149 433155
      436158 438162 443164 447165 450165 452164
 0.50 445113 447109 446104 444101 443100 441098 439098 436100
      435100 433099 432102 430106 431110 433112 436114 440114
      443115 445113
 0.50 367764 366758 363756 360755 356757 350762 346768 340773
      337780 334795 332804 330812 326819 322825 313834 306839
      300842 295848 291855 290859 290865 293873 295881 296887
      295892 292898 291906 290911 288914 283920 273931 257952
      254961 253965 254967 258975 261982 264988 267996 269001
      270006 269011 265018 264022 264026 267034 271040 273042
      277044 287043 300045 303043 306040 308033 310021 312012
      314004 316995 315986 315977 316967 318958 321939 324921
      325913 325902 326899 329894 333889 344878 351868 355859
      357852 362834 363826 363815 361805 360795 361786 363778
      367764
 1.00 448224 449219 447218 444217 440216 438218 436219 434220
      431222 432224 435226 437225 441225 443225 446225 448224
 1.00 442110 443108 442107 440106 439107 438107 437109 436109
      437110 438110 440110 442111 442110
 1.00 355837 355832 352831 352825 349809 349801 348798 345798
      340811 337826 332837 329845 326851 322856 317860 305866
      303868 302865 304860 307853 309850 306847 301850 299857
      297864 297868 298870 300868 304882 304892 305897 308898
      315896 318892 325879 328874 332869 343861 347855 349849
      351840 355837
 1.00 312945 314935 312930 311928 303926 301921 298920 296920
      290924 279930 275935 272941 265950 260955 257961 259967
      264970 269974 273979 275995 279999 282004 284007 284012
      283016 281017 276020 272025 271029 273032 277034 281025
      287020 294021 300019 304014 308000 309995 308990 307982
      307973 308966 312945
 1.50 443220 443218 442217 441217 440219 440220 441221 443220
 1.50 346831 345829 343829 342832 341835 339838 338841 337843
      338846 340845 341843 343839 344836 345833 346831
 1.50 330863 329859 326858 320862 315866 310871 307875 307880
      306888 307893 311892 316888 320882 323877 327870 330863
 1.50 305949 306945 305942 301937 297933 292932 286934 282931
      278933 276938 274944 270949 262956 260962 265965 270967
      277967 283969 288968 294965 298962 302957 305952 305949
 1.50 301994 301993 299992 298991 297990 295989 293990 292991
      291992 290993 289993 289995 290995 291996 292998 293998
      295999 297999 299998 300996 300994 301994
 2.00 325864 322864 321865 319867 317868 315871 313873 312875
      310877 311881 314881 316879 318877 320875 321872 323870
      323866 325864
 2.00 296954 297950 296947 295943 292941 287940 283938 281933
      277937 277944 275947 268952 264955 262958 263962 268964
      279963 288962 294956 296954
 3.00 272958 272957 271956 270956 268956 266956 265957 264958
      264960 265960 266961 268961 270960 271960 272958 272958

24HR QP VT 06/12Z
 0.01 542014 539947 539938 538931 536917 530893 525875 522866
      518858 516853 513849 511843 508841 502844 497850 492858
      487866 484869 479872 472880 466888 461895 448911 439925
      436928 437931 439932 438935 436940 441939 448934 454930
      459925 471913 475918 475922 474927 472930 470936 469949
      466961 457983 456994 456002 454006 449012 442019 437023
      429023 426023 426028 426037 429039 428042 424046 418050
      409053 404051 399051 388067 387072 391073 394074 395078
      396083 406084 408084 408090 406094 404099 401107 394112
      392117 396124 397130 397136 398141 399147 400160 401172
      407174 410178 409186 410190 408206 409209 408212 405212
      404215 406218 410220 410226 407228 403228 401229 396234
      392239 394243 394249 392260 398267 403264 407263 412265
      415268 418271 421277 428286 433294 437299 440300 448308
      456311 465310 468304 473296 474288 474282 474278 478279
      481278 484279 491279 498277 502277 503274 504267 507264
      510254 510244 509238 505227 500219 495210 489202 488196
      487191 483184 479176 477167 473167 472163 469155 464146
      464136 457118 449111 446115 442117 438119 437116 439114
      443109 447107 449104 450098 453094 457097 461107 463117
      472131 476138 482144 492155 496156 500155 504156 506151
      506146 503141 498131 490124 485123 483119 475098 469093
      464096 461083 461079 459074 458064 458050 463030 466018
      471009 473004 477000 480997 484997 487002 486010 485025
      484032 482037 480042 480047 482050 488051 498052 514046
      520049 524051 527049 532044 536035 540024 540017 542014
 0.01 512804 496765 492761 490757 484750 474735 466726 464722
      464718 463708 446675 444661 439655 436654 432650 424647
      410642 400645 392652 384657 381663 380668 381672 381676
      377677 359682 355685 352692 343706 337715 328715 323721
      315723 312725 311729 307738 302746 298751 293758 288763
      274785 271793 269803 267807 264811 257817 253823 250831
      242848 236862 234870 233874 233880 232887 234894 243903
      241923 240930 242935 244945 246954 248961 250964 255970
      261975 273982 277985 280988 285993 288996 289001 287008
      286026 287031 287037 287041 291040 300038 309035 315029
      320023 325016 331008 333988 342978 346973 354968 364958
      370953 376947 387933 397919 403910 407902 410895 406889
      404886 402881 402873 404864 405859 405853 403844 400837
      395816 391805 389803 390799 393796 401793 404791 407789
      409791 411796 412801 414809 416814 418816 420812 422803
      424794 428788 407787 401788 400791 395793 390794 387795
      384793 378784 372776 368769 368766 369764 372761 380755
      387749 390747 393746 395747 400749 407752 429767 431771
      432778 435785 437782 440783 443788 443800 440805 436808
      435811 436815 439820 442820 448819 451816 456811 460810
      463812 469811 476815 488818 491818 493820 497820 500822
      503821 512804
 0.01 482852 481847 479842 476837 473835 471833 467831 464832
      464839 466844 468848 470851 473853 477855 480854 482852
 0.01 455852 455850 454847 454845 453845 451845 449845 449848
      449850 449853 450855 451857 453857 453855 455852 455852
 0.01 432121 432118 431116 429116 427115 426113 424115 422115
      421116 420117 419117 417118 418121 420121 421121 422121
      423123 425124 427124 428123 429122 430122 432121
 0.01 409138 409136 409133 408131 407129 405130 405133 405135
      406137 407140 409138
 0.25 525036 521027 517020 521994 520985 520977 519965 518959
      516953 512945 505940 499936 494937 492941 490945 491952
      491965 487975 493984 495993 500004 502013 506025 508027
      512029 516030 519035 525036
 0.25 495246 496244 497242 497239 496236 495233 495232 493231
      492230 490230 488230 487231 486233 486236 487238 487239
      487241 488243 489244 489246 491247 493247 494247 495246
 0.25 483222 483221 482219 481218 480218 479218 478218 477220
      476220 475222 474223 474224 474226 474227 475229 475230
      475232 476233 477234 479234 480234 481231 481229 481226
      482224 482223 483222
 0.25 472249 470244 467240 464233 463229 465228 468225 470220
      468215 461208 459206 454204 441196 440203 437207 430211
      420226 408237 410241 413245 420250 424253 430255 439256
      448256 455255 464253 470251 472249
 0.25 395878 395871 394867 389857 380841 379818 378809 375801
      370794 364787 356782 354780 353772 353764 357757 361750
      366745 373738 375735 377730 378720 376714 372713 365715
      358720 351724 345724 340725 335727 329734 319748 312764
      304775 295790 293795 292800 293810 292814 290818 285823
      281825 275822 272819 269822 265831 262839 263849 261855
      260864 261873 263883 265908 266915 264920 262930 263935
      264940 269944 273950 277955 283962 286964 290962 293961
      298961 302963 306967 306973 305978 303981 306986 309994
      311998 313001 317999 321997 324994 326989 330980 334974
      341971 343968 345964 348957 351954 354952 362947 369943
      376936 384925 387916 389906 391898 393889 395878
 0.50 492240 491238 490239 490242 491242 492241 492240
 0.50 509991 509985 509980 508978 507975 505972 502971 500973
      500977 501980 502983 504986 505988 507991 509991
 0.50 456224 455221 452219 447217 441217 437218 433221 429222
      426222 427225 428230 429235 423236 418235 416236 416238
      423245 427247 430246 434245 439244 440241 437236 440234
      444231 448229 453227 456224
 0.50 387895 386885 384876 380868 376862 372857 369851 367844
      366836 368816 368811 367807 363801 359795 355792 349789
      346785 344777 344767 348760 352755 356750 359743 360737
      361733 360729 357727 353727 346730 341735 336737 332738
      328742 325747 319758 313771 305784 302790 301796 302802
      302810 301817 299821 297824 291828 286833 277834 275839
      276844 275851 274859 274870 278888 281902 281910 279914
      276922 272929 273940 276946 281950 287953 297956 305955
      312952 325947 330943 334939 339937 343932 345929 348927
      351934 359936 362937 366936 373927 377922 380916 385904
      387895
 1.00 354742 353739 349738 344742 336751 323766 318776 313787
      311792 310798 309810 309818 307824 304829 300833 295842
      295848 296855 294871 296878 300881 305884 305888 301897
      295907 297919 296924 293928 288937 288941 291948 295952
      300950 314939 317934 320927 325924 328920 332909 335897
      338886 342872 344861 345849 348817 349812 349809 346808
      342810 340808 336804 333800 332798 331793 331787 333780
      337771 338765 341762 346756 349751 354742
 1.50 334835 334830 332827 330822 327816 322813 318817 316821
      310833 307838 303842 300847 298852 299866 300870 303871
      308868 311862 312856 314849 320847 329842 333837 334835
 1.50 331891 329884 327882 324883 315892 311898 310905 309908
      306911 303915 298928 295935 294939 296943 301943 305939
      312928 319916 324911 326906 331892 331891
 2.00 324827 323825 322824 320823 318825 318826 316827 316828
      315830 314832 314835 315836 316836 317837 319836 321835
      321834 322833 323831 323829 324827 324827
 2.00 326900 327892 325886 321889 318893 313903 312909 310912
      306916 303920 302926 300931 298937 301940 306931 312922
      316913 322906 326900
 2.00 309852 309848 309843 308841 307843 305845 303848 302850
      301853 300855 300859 300863 302865 304865 306863 308861
      308858 309854 309852

24HR QP VT 07/12Z
 0.01 561864 500742 489734 484730 478728 455713 450711 446710
      441710 428709 408683 403677 399669 394664 389660 384657
      377663 371667 367672 342691 337696 330700 324705 319711
      315718 310724 302736 299741 294747 286759 277770 268783
      260794 259802 256809 255818 252826 241834 238837 238841
      237849 238869 239874 241879 245879 247877 258868 265864
      275863 291862 295862 299860 305856 308853 311852 314852
      317853 326866 333877 338882 343884 350888 356892 363906
      366909 371910 382910 389908 397905 404903 408898 407894
      407889 413882 417876 419870 425865 431862 434859 436856
      438848 442839 443834 444829 444824 445818 446815 447817
      449821 454841 456850 461855 464862 467872 465892 464899
      461903 458903 455906 453908 455911 462915 470926 472931
      473936 473942 472947 472953 471957 471962 473966 476972
      479976 480979 483989 482993 482998 483002 487005 490009
      491016 493020 493024 496028 497034 501034 504036 514053
      520057 524057 526055 531047 534040 540023 546004 551986
      553977 554966 557944 557937 558932 558916 557889 559874
      560867 561864
 0.01 456254 457245 450242 441242 430243 423243 420242 421239
      426236 431232 435228 437226 438222 434218 434208 432198
      430190 431180 432175 434172 433166 432160 430155 425142
      427133 432135 434138 435143 435150 435153 434155 436158
      442159 444162 447164 449173 450175 449180 446185 442190
      441196 444210 447215 451217 455215 458208 461190 464183
      464175 463168 461159 459153 457152 455148 448138 452134
      451131 452127 457116 451105 448102 446097 445096 440091
      432089 427090 424095 423091 423086 423078 423074 426073
      429073 431071 433068 433065 433057 433042 431032 430030
      430025 423015 422008 419002 418994 417987 416982 416977
      416968 416954 416945 411946 409947 408950 404953 399956
      395956 389956 384958 371981 367995 365000 365010 365025
      366034 367041 366046 365048 361052 357056 357060 359063
      360066 360071 359082 358090 358093 360094 361097 364096
      369093 368088 373085 377085 380087 380091 378094 376099
      375103 379103 382104 382108 380114 379123 382129 388131
      391128 393125 394128 391160 389164 391166 391171 389174
      390176 394179 400180 400187 393197 387200 385200 385203
      393211 398214 403219 408221 410223 410228 404231 399232
      403240 410249 420257 432258 444258 448257 451257 456254
 0.01 442137 441134 440132 440129 439127 437129 438131 439132
      438134 439136 441137 442137
 0.01 419138 420133 419128 416128 412128 409128 407128 403130
      403135 404139 406140 409142 410145 412146 414148 416146
      417144 417140 419138
 0.01 353095 355086 354079 352076 350077 347083 346090 346096
      343101 339106 340114 345112 348105 350100 353095
 0.25 540893 540886 537880 535877 530875 526876 522879 514880
      510892 508907 509912 508918 507924 504931 499941 496954
      496963 497972 500984 503989 506993 515998 520999 524996
      527991 529986 533974 537960 539944 540928 539910 539900
      540893
 0.25 436780 432763 431756 430752 427749 421747 415745 408742
      403736 396723 393717 388712 378703 371704 368707 363706
      356707 348707 341708 337708 332710 324719 315732 308744
      302756 289782 288791 286797 281811 279817 275823 270828
      268831 269836 272837 277837 283834 290831 297828 302826
      307822 314815 317811 320808 324806 326808 328812 330821
      330826 331831 339832 347831 352828 356827 362830 364834
      366840 369849 372858 374866 375876 379884 383888 389892
      394892 398885 406873 409867 412859 419845 424831 430795
      435787 436780
 0.25 407058 409054 409049 406044 403039 399037 398039 394041
      392048 393056 393064 394068 396069 397073 399074 403071
      406065 407058
 0.25 303808 302807 300807 298808 297809 299811 300812 302810
      303808
 0.50 420782 420777 419774 416769 408761 404756 399754 394752
      392746 391738 390736 386735 383737 379741 374742 371740
      374738 374736 373729 371722 366719 357715 351714 345713
      340713 335714 333717 331722 328727 321736 309757 297777
      291788 292791 295792 302793 310792 317790 324789 330790
      343791 354797 359798 363801 374804 380806 382799 384793
      387792 388795 392800 390806 388810 384814 381828 380836
      381845 383850 387855 389860 389870 390874 392877 397878
      400873 403867 405852 406848 408846 412842 414836 415827
      413817 414808 415802 418795 420789 420782
 1.00 352742 352738 351735 351727 348722 343721 339723 335727
      331737 330742 326747 322756 320767 322773 327775 332775
      337773 345765 347762 348756 351744 352742
 1.50 346743 345732 344728 342728 339731 338736 337743 333750
      329756 328759 327764 330766 334766 341762 344757 346753
      346747 346743

$$





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