Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 032100
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
500 PM EDT FRI JUL 03 2015


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 04/0000 UTC THRU JUL 07/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR



DAY 1...

...MID MS VALLEY/TN VALLEY/OH VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC...

SHORT WAVES DROPPING INTO THE BROAD EASTERN UNTIED STATES TROUGH
INTERACT WITH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A QUASI
STATIONARY BOUNDARY TO PRODUCE CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS WITH HEAVY TO
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM THE MID MS VALLEY ACROSS THE OH AND TN
VALLEY INTO PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC. FOR THE MOST PART...THE
WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z GFS/00Z ECMWF...WITH EQUAL
PORTIONS OF THE 12Z REGIONAL GEM/12Z ARW/NMMB USED TO BETTER
DELINEATE THE POSITION OF THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL THIS
EVENING.

CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE EAST SOUTH OF A
QUASI STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST TX ACROSS THE
AR/NORTHERN
MS/NORTHERN AL/GA...ALONG AN AXIS OF 2.00+ INCH PRECIPITABLE
WATER. THE BEST INSTABILITY REMAINS SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...AND
THE COMBINATION OF THE FRONT SLOWLY SAGGING SOUTH AND OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES PUSHING SOUTH SHOULD RESULT IN THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST QPF
EXTENDING FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
MS/NORTHERN AL INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST GA/EASTERN TN. MOISTURE
(IN THE FORM OF PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.75 AND 2.00
INCHES) AND INSTABILITY REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS...AS A FIRST SHORT WAVE CROSSES NEAR THE FRONT...AND THE
THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES THROUGH THAT TIME. THE 00Z
ECMWF WAS THE FURTHEST SOUTH WITH THE MAIN AXIS OF QPF SOUTH OF
THE FRONT...WITH MOST OTHER MODELS FURTHER NORTH (INCLUDING THE
MAJORITY OF THE HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE). THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST
QPF WAS PLACED CLOSER TO THE POSITION OF THE 12Z GFS/12Z REGIONAL
GEM...FURTHER NORTH THAN THE 00Z ECMWF.

THE NEXT SHORT WAVE IN THE FLOW TRACKS FROM KS/MO ACROSS THE OH
VALLEY INTO THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC BETWEEN 4/06Z-4/12Z...WHICH
SPINS UP A SURFACE WAVE OVER NORTHERN WV AROUND 4/06Z. THE 20 TO
30 KNOT LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKS AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING WARM
FRONT...ALLOWING 1.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER TO RIDE UP AND OVER
THE WARM FRONT. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND A
MOISTENING COLUMN...SUGGESTING WARM RAIN PROCESSES BECOME MORE
IMPORTANT WITH TIME. AN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LIFT AND MOISTURE
WITH THIS SYSTEM...A LONG AXIS OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS
STRETCHED FROM EASTERN TN ACROSS EASTERN KY THROUGH MUCH WV INTO
CENTRAL PA. THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW FAVORS THE TERRAIN FOR HIGHEST
QPF AMOUNTS...AND THE MAJORITY OF THE GLOBAL AND HIGH RESOLUTION
MODELS PLACE THEIR QPF AXIS HERE.


...WESTERN STATES...

MONSOONAL MOISTURE COMBINING WITH MARGINAL TO MODERATE INSTABILITY
COULD LEAD TO ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWEST STATES...MAINLY AFTER 4/00Z. A LOW LEVEL EAST SOUTHEAST
FROM FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TRANSPORTS 1.25 PRECIPITABLE WATER
AIR IN NM...WHILE THE MONSOONAL FLOW BRINGS 1.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE
WATER AIR IN SOUTHERN AZ. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL TO
LOCALLY MODERATE INSTABILITY...
WHICH APPEARS TO PEAK AFTER 4/00Z ACROSS SOUTHEAST AZ/SOUTHWEST
NM. WEAK SHORT WAVES IN THE MID LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW COULD PROVIDE
LOCAL SYNOPTIC LIFT FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THROUGH 4/00Z...BUT
IT IS NOT CLEAR IN THE GUIDANCE WHEN/WHERE THIS OCCURS. THE HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT OF THE AIR COULD RESULT IN LOCAL FLOODING
ISSUES...BUT LOCATING THESE PLACES IS PROBLEMATIC.

THERE IS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL THAT A WEAK SHORT WAVE RUNNING
WESTWARD AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WESTERN UNITED STATES RIDGE COULD
SPARK AN MCS ACROSS NM/AZ. NAM SIMULATED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SUGGESTS AN MCS WILL FORM OVER WEST CENTRAL NM/EAST CENTRAL AZ
AFTER 4/02Z...WHICH TRACKS WESTWARD ACROSS AZ THROUGH 4/09Z. WHILE
MOST MODEL QPF OUTPUT ACROSS THIS AREA IS GENERALLY UNDER AN
INCH...THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT OF THE AIR COULD RESULT IN HIGHER
RAINFALL RATES WITH THE MCS.

OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NV AND NORTHERN CA...PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES VALUES TOPPING OUT NEAR 1.25 INCHES (WHICH IS BETWEEN THREE
AND FOUR STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN) WILL FUEL SCATTERED
CONVECTION DEVELOPING IN AN AREA OF DIFFLUENCE AND MID LEVEL
DRYING. THE CONVECTION PROBABLY REMAINS FAIRLY SCATTERED THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SIERRA
NEVADA RANGE THROUGH NORTHERN NV. WHILE BASIN AVERAGE QPF SHOULD
RANGE BETWEEN 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES...LOCAL AMOUNTS COULD EASILY
EXCEED AN INCH OR MORE...PARTICULARLY WHERE TRAINING OCCURS IN THE
MID LEVEL SOUTH SOUTHEAST FLOW.


DAYS 2/3...


...NORTHERN-CENTRAL PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST...

TO START DAY 2 A SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA WILL HELP
TRIGGER CONVECTION ALONG A COLD FRONT..FOCUSED PRIMARILY ACROSS
NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHERN MINNESOTA ON SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY SUNDAY. AS ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY DIVES SOUTHEAST
INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS...AIDED BY ASCENT IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE
OF AN UPPER JET...EXPECT CONVECTION TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
FURTHER SOUTHWEST ALONG THE BOUNDARY INTO SOUTH DAKOTA...TAKING
ADVANTAGE OF A MODERATELY TO HIGHLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. AN
INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET WILL HELP PUMP ANOMALOUS PWAT VALUES AS
HIGH AS 1.75 TO 2.25 INCHES NORTHWARD...ON THE ORDER OF 2 TO 3 SD
ABOVE AVERAGE. MEAN CLOUD LAYER WINDS ARE SOUTHWEST T NORTHEAST
AROUND 20 TO 30 KTS...BUT GIVEN THE ORIENTATION AND MAGNITUDE OF
THE LOW LEVEL JET..WOULD EXPECT CONVECTION TO PROPAGATE OFF TO THE
EAST SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 TO 15 KTS. GIVEN THE STRONGLY FORCED
SETUP AT THE LOW AND UPPER LEVELS...THE FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC
AND MOISTURE PARAMETERS AND SLOWER MOTION...AN AREA OF HEAVY
RAINFALL SEEMS PROBABLE. FFG VALUES ARE A BIT HIGHER THAN THE
CURRENT FORECAST QPF ACROSS THIS AREA...BUT CURRENT QPF FORECAST
TAKES INTO ACCOUNT SOME UNCERTAINTY IN HIGHER QPF MAGNITUDE AND
LOCATION...THUS HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. THUS DECIDED TO ISSUE
A SLIGHT RISK FOR DAY 3 ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN SD...SOUTHEAST
ND AND WESTERN MN.

WPC QPF WAS SHIFTED A DECENT AMOUNT NORTHWARD ON DAY 3 IN THIS
REGION GIVEN RECENT DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE TRENDS. OVERALL THE
WPC FORECAST REPRESENTS A CONSENSUS POSITION OF THE HEAVIER
RAIN...WITH SOLUTIONS FROM THE ECMWF/GFS/CMC/UKMET/NAM ALL
CONSIDERED ALONG WITH VARIOUS ENSEMBLE MEANS. THE GFS WAS THE
FURTHEST SOUTH SOLUTION AND THE UKMET THE FURTHEST NORTH. THIS IS
IN GENERAL A LOW PREDICTABLE PATTERN...WITH ROUGHLY 6 DIFFERENT
VORTICITY LOBES CURRENTLY IN NORTHWEST CANADA INFLUENCING THE
EVENTUAL EVOLUTION OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS SYSTEM. THUS FURTHER
MODEL AND FORECAST ADJUSTMENTS ARE PROBABLE.



...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER MS VALLEY...

ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...SHOULD SEE AN AREA OF
CONVECTION CROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS  AND OKLAHOMA...WHICH
SHOULD MOVE WITH THE MEAN WIND AND CORFIDI VECTORS OFF TO THE
SOUTHEAST INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. OVERALL
AGREEMENT ON THIS SETUP WAS PRETTY LOW...AS WHILE WE DO HAVE A
SUBTLY SHORTWAVE IN THE UPPER FLOW AND AN AXIS OF
INSTABILITY...LOW LEVEL FOCUS FOR ORGANIZATION IS LOW. QPF SPREAD
WAS PRETTY HIGH WITH THE NAM MUCH LESS IMPRESSED WITH THE SETUP.
WPC OPTED TO GO WITH A CONCERNS APPROACH...WHICH LOWERED AMOUNTS
AND SHIFTED THE AXIS OFF TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. AS
CONFIDENCE INCREASE ON THE EXACT EVOLUTION AN AXIS OF THIS
CONVECTION AMOUNTS MAY NEED TO BE INCREASED. USUALLY A SITUATION
IN WHICH THE HIGHER RES MODELS TEND TO HANDLE BETTER...SO AS THIS
TIME PERIOD BECOMES COVERED BY MORE AVAILABLE HI RES
GUIDANCE...THE GENERAL CONFIDENCE ON EVOLUTION SHOULD INCREASE.
ENOUGH INSTABILITY DOES EXIST TO SUGGEST AN ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM DIVING SOUTHEAST IS A POSSIBILITY.


...APPALACHIANS/MID-ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST...

WITH A LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN POTION OF THE COUNTRY THE
THREAT OF CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THIS REGION. MOST OF THE
ACTIVITY IN DAY 2/3 WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY
ACROSS THE WESTERN DAKOTAS...THAT WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST AND
EVENTUALLY TRACK EAST ACROSS AL/GA AND THEN NORTHEAST INTO MID
ATLANTIC. GIVEN THE LOCATION OVER THE CONUS...MODELS SHOULD BE
BEGINNING TO GET A BETTER HANDLE ON THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM.
WPC FOLLOWED A GENERAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE CONSENSUS...WITH
ONLY THE NAM IGNORED GIVEN ITS POSITION AS AN EXTREME OUTLIER WITH
REGARDS TO QPF. IN GENERAL THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET/CMC HAD THE SAME
GENERAL IDEA. THE WPC QPF FORECAST FEATURES A SHIFT WEST AND
INCREASE IN THE HIGHER AMOUNTS BY DAY 3 ACROSS NV/VA AND PORTIONS
OF WV BASED ON THIS CONSENSUS. THE 0Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE WAS MORE
SUPPRESSED AND SOUTHEAST...SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS WPC
FORECAST...BUT GIVEN THE TREND AND AGREEMENT OF THE VARIOUS
DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE...FELT THE ADJUSTMENT WEST WAS NEEDED. IN
FACT DAY 2 QPF MAY NEED TO BE BUMPED UP A BIT ACROSS THE
APPALACHIANS...WITH THE 12Z ECMWF (NOT AVAILABLE AT THE FAY 2
TIME) TRENDING MORE TOWARDS THE GFS.

...SOUTHWEST/GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES...

SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE WEST THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK TO SUPPORT SCATTERED
CONVECTION BOTH DAYS...PRIMARILY ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE SLOWLY
WEAKENING UPPER HIGH...AS WELL AS ALONG THE TERRAIN WHERE
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING WILL BE GREATEST.  RELIED UPON A MODEL
CONSENSUS APPROACH TO GENERATE QPF.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

JAMES

24HR QP VT 05/00Z
 0.01 400643 406648 411654 418664 424678 430689 437696 443703
      449714 456727 454743 452752 450757 448763 445770 443776
      439780 433789 426796 419804 409812 404816 399821 391832
      389838 387846 385859 368905 364940 369951 370958 370965
      363976 361981 357983 352985 351991 351997 351002 350004
      349013 345017 342011 340005 337988 332980 329974 323973
      321971 317971 313974 308977 305982 301994 297998 294000
      289000 277996 272994 269992 268988 261980 259977 257974
      257971 257964 260961 267955 272951 274947 274943 273923
      273918 274915 275907 276901 276892 278889 277885 276880
      272876 270872 264865 260860 258856 258848 263845 268841
      270838 266837 262833 259828 256823 249822 247820 247816
      248811 252807 255803 256801 259799 264799 271799 276800
      285803 292804 300804 307804 312800 323793 327790 331787
      332783 332780 332773 333769 336764 343756 335747 333743
      333739 331728 332713 334708 337701 340698 344694 349684
      357677 374660 387647
 0.01 567902 565893 563882 561876 558871 551863 545860 536861
      531870 527879 523891 521899 520909 518923 517930 516939
      516948 516956 515970 515973 512974 508974 502974 498972
      489967 480962 476957 472954 456944 449936 445930 440920
      436909 436904 434901 436893 435885 435881 434879 430878
      428878 428882 429899 429904 431907 431911 435923 436928
      439931 442940 444943 445947 449952 457959 464964 468968
      470973 477990 488008 491015 492019 491022 485032 479041
      477045 476053 475068 475074 477077 481080 486078 489077
      494074 495079 496088 495097 496104 496113 496121 496129
      495136 482125 478124 475126 470129 469133 482138 487141
      489146 489149 492151 496154 500157 503160 507162 510163
      510167 510175 511178 514183 517185 526183 530180 533174
      536161 535144 538130 540114 541102 547094 549089 553086
      556078 557069 560055 561049 562046 563037 564020 565990
      566972 566963 566952 567910
 0.01 527708 525698 524692 519681 514675 511671 507669 504672
      502677 497687 495696 490706 479749 476752 473753 471758
      471765 468769 464775 461779 460785 458799 455811 454837
      451850 451856 453862 469861 475860 480859 483855 485849
      482842 482835 486832 487836 488841 492841 499835 504827
      508820 514809 517798 522776 526763 528751 528736 527729
      526724 527708
 0.01 461106 461101 460101 456099 455097 453082 452076 450070
      447066 445063 443058 444055 445040 447034 449030 456021
      459016 461012 452007 432011 429008 427006 426008 421015
      416022 414025 412028 409026 405023 400020 390015 385013
      382014 374019 368023 360027 354034 349042 338037 331038
      328041 324043 322050 325059 329068 330073 325073 316071
      304069 282061 265051 239031 234035 234044 234050 236055
      240064 245072 250078 257082 272093 282100 289107 286108
      289112 296118 299121 302125 306126 308129 311131 315129
      320119 333117 338120 339126 342131 346133 356136 363133
      366130 369132 371133 372127 380131 384129 391128 395124
      399122 402120 407117 410113 411108 412101 410096 408093
      407087 407082 409078 414076 417076 420079 423082 425090
      427096 426100 424100 418107 424112 428112 431114 439113
      444115 448119 454115 461106
 0.01 422233 422231 420229 420223 421217 423214 426206 423200
      420197 415195 413191 412187 410178 410169 411155 412150
      411145 411139 409138 402137 395140 391141 388144 387147
      388150 393154 392159 389162 383163 378164 377166 382172
      386180 386182 383184 377181 369179 361177 358179 357183
      360188 366193 378204 391212 399217 406220 410223 407224
      401226 394228 394232 397235 402240 410242 419240 422233
 0.01 312156 311156 310154 310153 308153 307155 308156 309157
      311156 312156
 0.01 255814 253814 255814 255814
 0.25 564930 563909 563899 561891 559885 556884 552884 548888
      545895 542902 538915 537922 537930 538947 527971 523983
      518993 511004 509009 507017 507026 508031 511035 515038
      521038 525041 524048 522055 520062 518067 515073 513079
      515099 514111 516128 516143 518159 525169 528167 530160
      530146 530126 531116 532109 536094 538087 538078 543062
      548050 552037 555026 557016 559005 558995 558985 562952
      564930
 0.25 520726 520718 518711 514705 508703 505704 502707 497715
      495725 495737 492744 488753 483759 479767 480771 483772
      490777 494782 498784 502785 509785 512782 513777 515767
      517756 518745 520734 520726
 0.25 433766 433759 432752 431746 430740 429728 427720 425711
      422705 418702 410702 406702 402704 398710 395717 393725
      391731 387735 379747 378751 375755 370761 357763 353768
      352776 357792 357799 357805 354812 351820 348825 340834
      332844 327851 324853 320854 311856 308861 309870 311876
      314883 316892 318896 320900 320911 320922 320931 321938
      323944 325951 328958 334966 338971 342976 346977 347973
      347955 347939 346934 344930 345921 349905 355894 357887
      359879 362870 365863 371850 374844 377838 385827 390820
      394814 403804 413797 418792 422787 426782 430776 433766
 0.25 399206 398200 397196 396193 392190 387191 380190 375186
      370184 366183 362184 364185 367188 371190 376194 381199
      387203 390206 393207 399206
 0.25 385696 383692 379691 375690 370692 363698 357705 354712
      353718 354724 357726 360727 367722 375718 382711 385703
      385696
 0.25 380078 378069 377066 374064 371062 374060 377059 379055
      373050 365049 357049 353050 349048 342045 336046 332052
      330057 333060 339064 346066 352062 357064 360077 365083
      371086 374082 377082 380078
 0.25 372073 371071 371070 369069 368068 367068 366068 367070
      369072 369073 371075 372073
 0.25 355118 353113 350109 347104 347099 349086 349076 343074
      341073 338073 331079 327090 329095 331099 337101 341104
      347112 349117 354118 355118
 0.25 310094 308085 304080 298076 293075 289075 281076 276077
      274079 279084 280088 280090 284095 290098 297101 302102
      305100 309096 310094
 0.25 300819 295815 291814 286811 280810 275809 269811 265815
      268818 274821 279823 287822 294821 298821 300819
 0.50 561916 561903 554903 549910 546920 545926 544934 545949
      542963 539971 534982 532992 531004 536011 538011 539015
      540019 543019 546015 545006 549998 555975 558962 559950
      559925 561916
 0.50 544030 544028 544027 543027 542027 541028 540030 539032
      539033 539035 539038 538040 539042 540043 541043 541041
      542039 542038 543035 544033 544031 544030
 0.50 535064 535059 534058 532059 530062 528065 527068 525071
      524073 523078 524082 527081 528079 530077 531074 533070
      534066 535064
 0.50 526134 526132 526131 525129 524128 523128 522130 522131
      522133 524136 525137 526134
 0.50 512739 510737 508736 506738 505743 505746 504751 504754
      504759 507761 510758 511755 512752 512747 512741 512739
 0.50 425774 426768 424761 421754 417746 414741 418729 417721
      413717 409719 406722 403728 405736 400741 397745 393749
      392757 394766 396772 393776 389777 387779 383781 378781
      374782 372780 371774 369770 364766 358768 356772 357776
      361784 367788 370792 373794 377793 379796 378799 371801
      367807 361813 358819 354826 350831 343840 336852 329865
      327872 327880 325896 324903 324913 325923 325934 326944
      329949 333955 335957 336955 336946 338939 339927 341919
      345904 350892 354877 358860 360854 365847 370837 374831
      378828 397805 401800 406796 416789 422780 425774
 0.50 395203 395200 391197 390195 386194 385193 383193 379193
      379195 381197 384199 386201 389203 392204 395203
 0.50 347061 347059 346059 344061 346062 347061
 0.50 342096 341093 340092 338092 337093 336093 336095 336097
      336098 338098 340098 342096
 0.50 340054 341052 340051 339052 338054 339055 340054
 0.50 339056 338054 336055 334056 333058 334058 336058 338057
      339056
 0.50 304093 304089 303087 301084 299083 295082 292083 290083
      288085 286088 286091 287092 289093 293095 294096 298098
      301097 303095 304093
 1.00 416774 414770 410772 406777 401781 395787 391792 386799
      388801 394796 400792 407788 412783 415776 416774
 1.00 358843 359839 357836 352836 348842 345847 344852 340859
      335867 332876 331887 329896 327907 327919 329931 331935
      333932 334920 337910 341903 344895 350875 350863 349855
      351850 354847 358843
 1.50 347875 346868 344865 340867 337870 335874 334880 334891
      333897 331901 329905 329911 330917 332920 333908 335899
      340892 344884 347875
 2.00 341878 342875 341875 340875 339876 338878 338879 338880
      340882 341880 341878 341878

24HR QP VT 06/00Z
 0.01 535957 535949 533944 530935 528931 525926 523924 520926
      516929 514930 512928 511916 508894 506887 504882 500884
      498888 496892 494894 493892 491886 488891 478908 471915
      465920 455935 445952 440961 435965 430966 426964 417963
      410961 405960 400959 397956 389950 388943 388936 384929
      378922 374919 371916 364907 363902 364898 367887 368878
      376870 378866 379863 382856 383850 383844 382831 382823
      383816 386805 387800 387793 386786 387780 384767 388759
      392750 395745 397743 400742 404739 409738 414739 415734
      419721 424715 427711 430707 434699 436691 437682 436674
      433669 429666 425664 416664 407662 398661 394661 392664
      386673 379681 369695 360712 352726 347732 341738 327751
      323764 320769 316771 306776 297779 280786 272789 267791
      263789 260788 256789 251793 248797 245804 245808 249806
      253805 257805 256808 256814 257818 255822 257830 257842
      260851 264864 270874 280889 285896 288904 289911 291916
      295924 299931 301935 304936 307938 308944 307949 307952
      309957 313958 317955 320956 324959 326965 335971 339973
      342979 348987 353994 358999 373008 383025 385029 389030
      394026 402024 398032 391040 379039 360031 357029 354030
      348035 344039 340041 333042 329044 320041 317039 315035
      314029 310028 303027 299024 296021 293021 285024 284032
      287039 296055 294060 290063 284073 281080 279092 282103
      285107 287112 289115 294117 299122 306128 311131 315130
      326131 331131 335130 338128 343130 347135 351139 354138
      359137 362134 365131 367129 370130 375132 380136 383140
      386144 389148 390150 388152 382158 385161 386166 384172
      381173 374177
 0.01 374177 370181 363181 361184 365187 385204 403219 406224
      400224 398227 397229 399232 400232 422234 429223 431213
      433210 432207 428194 425189 424183 423180 423174 426166
      428161 427153 426144 428134 430127 433122 437119 438117
      441118 444126 447131 461149 465154 470158 474154 477152
      479156 484167 486171 490169 497170 501165 504158 510157
      511149 510146 510141 508127 507119 508109 506088 505081
      500079 498063 497054 497049 499045 506034 512021 514017
      517011 523997 529984 532970 535957
 0.01 486691 485684 483681 483677 480670 477666 470658 466657
      464655 461656 453663 444671 441675 439680 440684 439687
      440697 442711 442713 440716 438718 434720 440723 444729
      440733 438736 438738 441743 441750 440754 437755 437760
      441757 444752 448749 450744 450740 452738 460731 464726
      464720 465715 467713 472711 476707 479702 482700 484698
      485697 486691 486691
 0.25 520960 520951 519949 516949 513949 509947 507939 503927
      495919 489908 486908 485911 482918 477930 474935 469939
      466942 462947 455958 453964 452971 452978 454986 457992
      463991 468990 475990 477992 479997 480002 483009 488012
      492013 496010 500005 503999 507993 510990 513985 516978
      518969 520960
 0.25 499146 500142 499137 498128 496123 494115 492101 489086
      487079 484075 479076 475081 474088 472098 474114 476129
      480134 483140 485146 491149 496148 499146
 0.25 457047 457045 457042 456039 455039 453037 452036 450035
      449036 448037 447039 447041 447043 448045 448046 450047
      450049 451049 453050 455049 456048 457047
 0.25 445041 446039 446036 445035 443034 442034 440036 440038
      441040 441041 443042 445041 445041
 0.25 437045 436042 435040 434040 433039 431039 430040 430042
      431043 431044 432046 434047 436046 437045
 0.25 405126 405123 404121 403121 403118 403117 401116 401115
      399115 397115 396117 397119 397121 398122 398123 400125
      402126 404126 405126
 0.25 406077 407072 406068 402064 396060 394058 389059 384060
      379059 373057 368052 365050 363052 363059 359065 367067
      370068 372071 372076 374079 378083 381085 381090 382094
      384095 387095 388091 386087 391084 394080 396083 400084
      404081 406077
 0.25 394101 395098 394096 394095 392094 391093 390093 391096
      391098 392100 393100 393101 394101
 0.25 398975 398971 396968 391965 386963 383957 379951 372947
      363938 354930 347921 345913 343904 342897 343888 345882
      349877 357870 361864 364856 369842 375830 376821 375816
      373806 375797 372788 372779 373772 372764 370758 366754
      362751 355753 345765 335788 332798 322809 319814 316821
      319827 317833 310843 307846 305850 305859 302874 302882
      303890 302900 306908 310914 312920 330936 339944 350953
      358976 362981 368984 377985 383988 388987 392984 396980
      398975
 0.25 388999 387997 385996 383996 382997 382999 381999 381000
      383001 383002 385003 386002 387001 388999
 0.25 367965 368963 366963 365963 364964 363965 364965 366965
      367965
 0.25 348088 345079 347075 347070 347066 345064 342067 334073
      323073 318074 312076 304080 299081 296080 292084 290088
      289092 290096 292098 296101 298104 303114 306118 309120
      316121 320117 320111 319107 315103 313099 312093 312090
      313088 320087 324085 334090 336095 340098 348088
 0.25 326825 326823 325822 324823 323823 322825 321825 322825
      324826 325826 326825
 0.25 297819 296815 295813 290810 284808 278807 274807 273810
      269812 265815 267821 268823 272824 277824 281823 289823
      295822 297819
 0.50 509975 508966 506955 504952 503948 503941 501937 497932
      494930 489931 484934 478939 474944 469951 466958 467965
      469967 474967 478969 479972 479979 482987 484992 486994
      489997 492998 497995 502989 506983 508980 509975
 0.50 493135 494129 492125 490116 488108 487098 486093 484088
      482086 479087 477090 476096 477107 478117 482125 486130
      489132 490137 493135
 0.50 390974 388972 386970 384969 380969 377969 375970 372972
      371974 373976 375976 378979 380979 384979 386979 389977
      390974
 0.50 365766 364762 359761 356766 355770 353775 352778 351784
      353788 358790 362789 363785 364780 364775 365769 365766
 0.50 367824 367818 365814 359812 345822 342828 343832 345835
      336851 328853 323853 319855 316858 314862 313873 311883
      311890 313901 315911 317915 320918 327921 334927 339933
      344939 350943 357948 361951 365949 363946 361943 356938
      350931 344925 335912 333903 331889 332884 334880 337873
      341870 345868 353864 356856 357851 356846 351839 357833
      362829 366827 367824
 0.50 339091 339090 339089 338087 338084 337083 337082 336080
      336079 335077 334077 333077 332078 332079 332080 333082
      334083 334084 335086 335087 336088 337090 338091 339091
      339091

24HR QP VT 07/00Z
 0.01 517910 513879 513871 511864 510851 508844 507835 505832
      501831 494827 491830 487831 482835 478838 476842 472849
      466856 458864 451870 437881 427888 424889 418890 407891
      403893 400892 383884 374880 368876 361869 359865 361859
      368854 372851 375847 381841 384832 386828 389826 397822
      401822 406820 413814 416810 415803 414790 412785 412778
      410771 407766 396755 391749 389745 386742 380738 374733
      372731 369732 364735 358736 353739 343742 339744 336747
      327753 320759 314765 307771 291782 278792 258799 253800
      250802 246807 244811 246815 243824 250828 253830 258830
      262830 264832 264837 268844 278859 290872 292875 294878
      294882 292892 293897 296900 302901 306904 317916 323923
      331927 341939 347942 351945 355954 357958 358964 355973
      350980 345984 341986 335991 329997 325002 318007 304015
      299016 292016 287017 283020 277026 276029 278032 286039
      289042 294044 299045 302047 303053 302060 300065 301069
      301073 298073 292072 290075 290081 288095 293103 298110
      302113 306116 314120 319121 323123 331126 335129 337132
      341135 343135 357137 359138 365138 371139 374141 379143
      380147 382153 382160 379162 379165 381168 382172 381175
      379178 375181 371181 364181 363184 364187 370194 377199
      384203 389205 395205 397203 399198 400190 399185 398180
      399177 401177 420151 421143 422138 421136 418135 416139
      412143 408144 402139 398129 397127 399125 405126 410125
      413127 420124 423124 425130 430138 432141 435145 440144
      458140 463129 463124 459122 455120 452117 454115 457112
      461110 466103 469100 467097 465093 464086 465080 467075
      468062 468054 467049 467043 464037 463030 465023 469015
      471010 473009 483025
 0.01 483025 487033 491040 496060 502066 505068 508068 511058
      513053 511050 512045 510040 507029 506024 506017 507003
      509992 508985 505983 499978 494972 501954 503943 505932
      514918 517910
 0.01 428211 426206 424203 425198 424194 422190 422183 423176
      421173 418173 417180 416184 415189 412191 408193 405196
      403200 402207 402212 403215 405216 409214 414207 419207
      423210 428211
 0.01 378107 377103 375100 376095 374091 371084 369081 365081
      363084 364088 367095 365098 366103 368105 368108 365109
      363108 361107 359109 363111 365114 370114 372111 378107
 0.01 359107 357105 355104 354102 352102 351104 352105 352106
      353107 355108 357108 359107
 0.25 507893 506882 504874 501866 497861 492858 486855 481853
      478854 475857 467868 462873 458876 449884 439894 430903
      420910 414914 407915 399916 393916 387916 382920 376932
      375944 373953 371961 367967 363972 359977 356983 353991
      351997 344008 344014 345018 351022 354022 355020 356016
      358014 370012 377010 382011 388007 392002 395997 400992
      407989 410990 412994 414999 417007 418016 420023 424028
      429033 431035 435037 441035 452029 456025 460019 467007
      472995 480982 486967 491953 502924 504916 505908 507893
 0.25 442096 440091 438088 433087 430084 427083 425084 423089
      424093 427098 429102 432105 437105 439100 441098 442096
 0.25 415064 414057 412054 406049 390045 380043 375037 368034
      359033 355033 352036 348044 349048 351052 356058 364061
      371066 377071 383071 387072 388077 391080 393079 397076
      400076 406071 412068 415064
 0.25 400783 399779 397776 394772 390767 388760 384756 379756
      374754 367755 360758 355760 350762 345766 342772 339775
      330781 325786 322790 318801 316806 314809 308812 302811
      295811 289810 284809 279812 274816 277820 287823 294824
      297828 302840 305850 309856 310862 307875 305877 304881
      306886 311888 317889 327893 359917 359909 358903 356897
      351893 342887 339883 338876 337868 337861 338848 340842
      342837 348833 353832 365827 371825 375821 380819 384818
      389814 393810 396803 397796 398788 400783
 0.25 388199 386196 385194 383193 382195 382197 382198 384199
      386200 388199
 0.25 323111 319109 314107 313103 312098 309094 307091 304092
      303097 304102 306104 310107 313111 316114 320115 322112
      323111
 0.50 502908 503892 502884 500880 491863 488861 483860 475864
      470870 464876 457881 450887 439899 427913 416925 412929
      411934 410938 412943 414947 414950 413956 414961 427974
      424999 424014 425019 429022 436024 445022 453018 456015
      458012 461002 466994 476979 484962 492942 499922 501915
      502908
 0.50 431094 431092 430090 429089 428089 427089 428091 429093
      431094 431094
 0.50 404063 402059 399056 395054 390054 387054 384051 376046
      369043 364043 360045 358047 358051 361056 365057 370058
      375060 384062 393066 403065 404063
 0.50 392787 392782 390780 386775 376769 371764 368763 365764
      361769 357772 353779 351785 348793 349799 355812 359816
      364816 371812 376808 387805 390799 392792 392787
 0.50 394970 393967 390967 386968 376972 366975 362978 360983
      357988 356994 355000 354007 358007 362003 369996 374995
      377992 384986 390977 394970
 0.50 327829 326828 324827 322828 321829 321832 322834 322836
      323836 324836 326833 327831 327829 327829
 1.00 496911 496904 495899 493891 491884 488874 486871 483870
      477875 469885 458894 452898 446899 441905 437911 434913
      432916 430923 439934 435941 433947 433968 433973 431977
      431985 432994 434003 437009 443009 448005 452998 456991
      460986 468975 469970 470965 470960 471955 477941 484928
      491919 494915 496911
 1.00 384786 383783 379783 376785 374787 373789 371790 369793
      368797 370799 372799 375797 377794 379792 381791 383788
      384786
 1.50 483887 483883 480884 478885 476887 474890 472892 471895
      471900 472902 473907 475909 477907 479904 480900 481897
      482894 483889 483887
 1.50 459947 460939 459935 455932 450931 445940 442949 440959
      437971 438978 441980 445983 446988 447990 450988 452986
      455981 456976 455964 456959 457954 459947

$$





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