Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 062159
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
600 PM EDT SUN JUL 06 2014


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 07/0000 UTC THRU JUL 10/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO
VALLEY...

THE MODELS CONTINUE THE TREND OF AMPLIFYING THE H5 TROF THRU THE
NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES THIS PERIOD..WITH
LEAD S/WV ENERGY WITHIN THIS TROF HELPING TO PUSH A COLD FRONT
INTO THE EASTERN LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY BY MONDAY EVENING..WHILE
ADDITIONAL S/WV ENERGY NOW UPSTREAM IN NORTHERN ALBERTA/SASK DIGS
INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.  THE LEAD S/WV
ENERGY AND ACCOMPANYING COLD FRONT WILL HAVE THE MUCH HIGHER
MOISTURE/AXIS OF HIGHER PWS TO WORK WITH..SO EXPECT ORGANIZED
FRONTAL/PRE FRONTAL CONVECTION THRU THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO
VALLEY IN WHAT WILL BE A FAVORABLE LARGE SCALE LIFT/HIGH MOISTURE
REGIME.  THE PATTERN WILL BE PROGRESSIVE..HOWEVER..WHICH SHOULD
KEEP THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS GENERALLY IN THE LIGHT TO MODERATE
RANGE..AS PER MUCH OF THE MODEL QPF GUIDANCE.  LESS MOISTURE AND A
PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPSTREAM S/WV
ENERGY DIGGING INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON MONDAY..AGAIN RESULTING
IN MOSTLY LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE RAINFALL AMOUNTS.


...SOUTHWEST/FOUR CORNERS REGION...

AGAIN..NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES THIS PERIOD IN THE LARGE SCALE
PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST/4 CORNERS REGON.  THE CLOSED UPPER
HIGH WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN WITH MUCH ABOVE
AVERAGE PW VALUES REMAINING IN PLACE TO ITS SOUTH.  THIS HIGH
MOISTURE AVAILABILITY AND WEAK H5 S/WVS ALSO ON ITS SOUTH SIDE
WILL SUPPORT ADDITIONAL SCATTERED AND WIDESPREAD
CONVECTION..MAINLY LATER MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  HAVE TRIED
TO TIE IN THE MORE ORGANIZED AND MODERATE CONVECTION/RAINS TO THE
HIGHER TERRAIN FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM INTO THE WHITE MOUNTAINS AND
VICINITY OF THE H5 VORT SHEAR AXIS.


...IMMEDIATE CAROLINA COASTS INTO THE FL PENINSULA...

THE INCREASINGLY WELL DEFINED H5 S/WV OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST
IS FORECAST SIMILARLY BY THE LATEST MODEL RUNS TO LIFT
NORTHEASTWARD OFF THE COAST DURING THE PERIOD.  WITH THE SYSTEM
PROGGED TO REMAIN OFF THE COAST AND THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMING
LESS ONSHORE WITH TIME..THE BULK OF THE HEAVIER RAINS SHOULD ALSO
REMAIN JUST ALONG THE COAST OR JUST OFFSHORE..WITH ANY GREATER
THAN 0.50 INCH TOTALS MOST LIKELY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE NC COAST.

TERRY


DAYS 2/3...


...LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY/MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY/MID
ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY POOLING ALONG A SLOWING COLD FRONT
STRETCHING FROM THE LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY THROUGH THE OH VALLEY
INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COULD PROVIDE THE FUEL FOR
HEAVY RAINFALL ON DAYS 2 AND 3. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD 12Z MODEL
SUITE AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT AND THE
LONG WAVE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE LOWER OH
VALLEY (EXCEPT FOR THE 12Z NAM...WHICH WAS FASTER THAN THE
CONSENSUS)...SO THE QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS.

A STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTER OR MCS SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG THE
WESTERN EDGE OF A SLOWING COLD EXTENDING ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND
CENTRAL PLAINS AT THE BEGINNING OF DAY 2. THE CLUSTER PROBABLY
FOLLOWS THE AXIS OF BEST INSTABILITY...STARTING IN EASTERN NE AND
TRACKING ACROSS SOUTHERN IA INTO NORTHERN MO AND WEST CENTRAL IL.
THERE IS SOME SPREAD AMONG THE 12Z MODEL SOLUTION CONCERNING THE
TRACK ON THE CLUSTER...WITH MOST SOLUTIONS FOLLOWING A TRACK
CLOSER TO THE ONE MENTIONED ABOVE...RATHER THAN FURTHER NORTH.
THERE WAS ALSO SOME SPREAD IN QPF AMOUNTS...BUT BOTH THE 12Z GEFS
(WITH MEMBERS SHOWING 3-4 INCHES OF QPF) AND THE LATEST ECMWF
ENSEMBLE OUTPUT (WITH MANY MEMBERS SHOWING 2+ INCHES OF) SUPPORT A
SWATH OF 1.50 TO 2.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS EASTERN NE...SOUTHWEST
IA...NORTHERN MO AND WEST CENTRAL IL. WHILE THESE VALUES ARE LESS
THAN THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES...PRECIPTABLE
WATER VALUES GREATER THAN 2.00 INCHES (WHICH IS TWO STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) SHOULD SUPPORT HIGH RAINFALL RATES.
BECAUSE OF THIS...A SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS ASSIGNED TO THE
ABOVEMENTIONED AREA.

THE CLUSTER SHOULD WEAKEN AFTER 8/12Z...AND THE FOCUS FOR QPF
SHIFTS TO THE FRONT...AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RANGE BETWEEN
1.75 AND 2.00 INCHES (WHICH IS ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
NORMAL) AND MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY STRETCHING
FROM SOUTHERN IL INTO WESTERN PA. A SHORT WAVE DROPPING INTO THE
LONG WAVE TROUGH POSITION ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES SHOULD PROVIDE
SUFFICIENT SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT FOR A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION
ALONG THE FRONT DURING THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. GIVEN THE
HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIR IN PLACE...A LARGE AREA OF 0.75 TO 1.25
INCHES OF QPF WAS EXTENDED FROM SOUTHERN IL THROUGH SOUTHERN IN
AND OH INTO WESTERN PA. THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES
ALONG THIS AXIS ARE GENERALLY BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES...SO WHILE
HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED...ORGANIZED FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.

THE MID LEVEL FLOW AT THE BOTTOM OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH BECOMES
ALMOST PARALLEL TO THE FRONT DURING DAY 3. THE AIRMASS ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT DOES NOT CHANGE APPRECIABLY ON DAY 3...AS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE NORMAL AND MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MODERATE TO STRONG
INSTABILITY AND A UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILE STRETCHING FROM THE
MID MS VALLEY INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC. CLUSTER
OF CONVECTION ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONT...PRODUCING A LONG AXIS
OF 0.75 TO 1.50 INCHES OF QPF...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED
ACROSS EASTERN KY AND CENTRAL WV. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
NUMBERS ACROSS EASTERN KY/WV ARE GENERALLY BETWEEN 2 AND 3
INCHES... BUT...DEPENDING ON THE PLACEMENT OF THE HEAVY RAIN ON
DAY 2...THESE VALUES COULD LOWER WITH TIME. FOR NOW...NO EXCESSIVE
AREA WAS ASSIGNED...BUT IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS ACROSS THIS
AREA...EASTERN KY/WV COULD EVENTUALLY NEED A SLIGHT RISK AREA.


...NORTHERN PLAINS/GREAT LAKES...

A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY CROSSING THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER
GREAT LAKES ON DAY 2 WILL BE PUSHED ALONG BY A SHORT WAVE CROSSING
THE REGION DURING THE FIRST HALF OF DAY 2. THE COMBINATION OF LIFT
AND A FOCUS SHOULD RESULT IN CONVECTION ACROSS A LARGE AREA OF THE
NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER GREAT LAKES DURING THIS TIME. THERE WAS
GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE TIMING OF THE
FRONT AND TRACK OF THE SHORT WAVE...SO THE QPF WAS BASED ON A
BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS.

A SHORT WAVE TRACKING FROM ND ACROSS MN AND WI BEFORE 8/12Z WILL
PUSH A WEAK COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER GREAT
LAKES. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATED MARGINAL TO
LOCALLY MODERATE INSTABILITY AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES PEAKING
NEAR 1.25 INCHES. SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT SHOULD BE AUGMENTED IN THE
LEFT FRONT QUADRANT OF A 90 KNOT JET STREAK CROSSING THE NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL PLAINS. THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE...LIFT AND IN SITU
INSTABILITY SHOULD PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF PRE FRONTAL
CONVECTION. THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF
0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS EAST CENTRAL MN...MUCH OF WI
INTO THE UP OF MI.


...GULF COAST/FL...

SEA AND GULF BREEZES ARE EXPECTED TO SERVE AS FOCI FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION EXTENDING
FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TO FL ON DAYS 2 AND 3. THERE WAS GOOD
MODEL CONSENSUS CONCERNING THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE QPF
WAS BASED MAINLY ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS.

FLAT MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL SUPPRESS MUCH IN THE WAY OF LIFT FOR
ORGANIZED CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION ON DAY 2. THEREFORE...THE
SEA BREEZE IN FL AND THE GULF BREEZES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST TX AND
SOUTHERN LA COASTS WILL ACT AS FOCI FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MODERATE
INSTABILITY WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RANGING BETWEEN 1.75
AND 2.00 INCHES...AS WELL AS WEAK SHEAR. THE ABOVE SHOULD SUPPORT
SCATTERED TO BROKEN THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE ACROSS THE REGION...WITH
A LARGE AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF SPREAD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PENINSULA OF FL...AS WELL AS COASTAL SOUTHEAST LA.

NOT MUCH CHANGES FOR DAY 3...AS MID LEVEL SUPPORT FOR CONVECTIVE
ORGANIZATION IS ABSENT. THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY...HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIR AND WEAK SHEAR SHOULD
AGAIN PROMOTE SCATTERED TO BROKEN OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND
MUCH OF FL. AN AXIS OF 0.25 TO 0.05 INCHES OF QPF WAS STRETCHED
ACROSS CENTRAL FL...WHERE THE BEST LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS
EXPECTED.


...GREAT BASIN/SOUTHWEST/ROCKIES...

THE MONSOONAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE MOISTURE FOR
CONVECTION ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...AS WELL AS THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON DAYS 2 AND 3. FOR THE MOST PART...THERE
WAS GOOD 12Z MODEL SUITE AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE OVERALL
SETUP (THOUGH THERE WERE SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE PLACEMENT OF A
SHORT WAVE IN THE FLOW ON DAY 2). WITH THIS IN MIND...THE QPF WAS
BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS...WITH SOME 12Z NAM USED TO
BETTER DELINEATE HIGH TERRAIN QPF MAXIMA.

ON DAY 2...A SHORT WAVE (OR MCV FROM CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES IN
MEXICO) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWEST ACROSS SOUTHERN AZ. THE
SHORT WAVE COULD PRODUCE AN AREA OF ENHANCED LIFT...WHICH IN TURN
COULD RESULT IN A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX FOLLOWING THE SHORT WAVE. THE
CONVECTION SHOULD TRACK ALONG A PRECIPITABLE WATER GRADIENT (WITH
PEAK VALUES NEAR 1.75 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHWEST AZ)...PRODUCING A
SWATH OF HEAVY RAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN AZ. A SMALL AREA OF 0.50 TO
1.00 INCHES QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST AZ BETWEEN KOLS AND
KCGZ. WHILE THESE VALUES ARE BELOW THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE VALUES...THEY DO APPROACH THE ONE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE NUMBERS. FOR NOW...NO EXCESSIVE AREA WAS ASSIGNED...BUT
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH SOUTHERN AZ ON DAY
2.

FURTHER NORTH OF DAY 2...A WEAK SHORT WAVE RIDING THROUGH THE MID
LEVEL RIDGE POSITION SHOULD PROVIDE ENOUGH SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT
FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. MODEL
SOUNDINGS ACROSS CENTRAL CO INTO NORTHERN NM SHOWED MARGINAL TO
LOCALLY MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR
AN INCH...AS WELL AS A LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW. THIS SHOULD RESULT
IN AN LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION FIRING IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED
ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL CO AND NORTHERN NM IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

THERE WAS LESS IN THE WAY OF SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING ON DAY 3...AS
THE MID LEVEL RIDGE REASSERTS ITSELF. AGAIN...THE BEST THRUST OF
MOISTURE WITH THE MONSOONAL FLOW WILL OCCUR ACROSS SOUTHWEST
AZ...WHERE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AGAIN TOP OUT NEAR 1.75
INCHES. IN THIS AREA...AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS
PLACED...ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF A MUCH LARGER 0.10 TO 0.25 INCH
QPF AREA DRAPED OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES.


TERRY/HAYES



GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 08/00Z
 0.01 568947 564922 554912 547906 542901 540898 539892 536879
      525830 525822 523815 521800 516767 506723 500695 498684
      494674 490665 483664 474667 469669 467666 465667 461676
      460681 457684 441699 435705 430711 425717 421724 414739
      406757 402776 399787 394799 390806 386816 381839 380850
      378859 376868 376879 375888 375901 375914 378928 381937
      386947 389950 391954 394961 395968 396977 395992 394997
      393005 390016 388020 387026 388029 391029 394026 395022
      398019 403019 409014 414023 420039 425047 429049 434050
      440051 443048 445043 445035 445032 447032 452032 457033
      461035 479042 481047 481052 482058 482065 481091 480097
      482102 483109 482117 482123 483128 484133 487136 492138
      494144 499157 510170 514179 514184 515190 516195 519201
      522203 525203 527201 530200 531195 532188 532181 531173
      527164 521146 512128 507119 505116 503113 503108 504100
      502095 503089 503084 502077 501070 501062 500058 500053
      499039 504037 509037 517035 523036 528039 531040 536037
      542032 546022 551017 550011 549005 544998 536993 533991
      530987 526981 515962 512957 509954 501949 487941 481936
      476931 464920 459915 451910 442911 434916 431920 430917
      431914 435904 438899 442896 450898 454899 456901 459898
      465893 476881 479879 481882 486887 491892 497899 507916
      511922 514932 516936 519940 527945 543956 550960 558955
      568947
 0.01 501267 501259 498253 495246 492241 489236 485238 486246
      488252 489258 492264 495270 497272 499269 501267
 0.01 453083 453076 450073 447070 443068 440066 436066 433070
      432073 436076 441077 444079 449082 453083 453083
 0.01 430930 431924 430920 428921 423928 417934 412934 409932
      405929 404931 405936 405942 409954 410958 412961 417963
      420962 421959 424951 428942 430930
 0.01 410112 411101 410094 407095 404097 401095 399091 399085
      401081 403076 407073 412073 412069 414059 413054 409053
      401052 386047 376046 367045 363047 360047 359041 359034
      360023 360017 359014 357010 354008 351009 348012 348023
      348030 346035 344038 344043 347055 346059 348064 341063
      332050 325048 316051 309053 301057 295061 291061 288059
      286057 281057 273058 265058 257054 251049 248046 243045
      239044 234045 230050 229059 229064 231067 237082 247095
      258103 266107 271112 279117 286122 292126 302128 311129
      318133 330142 335149 342155 349156 357154 363151 366157
      367160 367163 366169 362177 361181 362186 364189 368192
      375196 379197 381194 381183 382178 384173 386171 387166
      387160 386156 385147 385141 385135 387130 389126 393122
      397120 399118 405116 410112
 0.01 377701 375692 373686 369683 364681 359680 352682 342691
      338695 335700 331704 328709 321721 319726 315733 310742
      303752 299756 293761 285770 270785 266791 260794 249800
      245804 242808 241814 242819 244821 248825 253828 266832
      276835 282836 288834 295835 301832 303831 305833 309837
      316846 324854 328857 331857 333853 335847 334839 330833
      327829 318821 313819 312812 314806 318801 324799 328796
      333793 337789 345779 352766 361745 372718 375710 377701
 0.01 361072 361069 360067 358069 358071 360073 361072
 0.01 309954 308949 307945 301939 297939 294943 288949 284956
      283959 282966 282972 285975 288977 292975 299971 304964
      308956 309954
 0.25 562941 561933 559930 553925 546920 541914 534907 529898
      525888 520876 515868 512858 509848 506834 505821 504805
      503789 499775 498761 498753 499749 497742 495739 491726
      486717 483713 480707 476697 473683 471675 469674 468676
      468687 468699 466705 463710 456714 450722 443730 435738
      430745 425752 421760 420765 420773 422780 422785 419794
      409814 405822 400828 396836 389842 385851 382863 381875
      380891 379902 381912 385914 387911 388906 388898 389886
      390880 393874 400868 405867 409866 412868 416874 419878
      422880 427879 430876 434873 438871 446868 450865 452860
      455850 458843 461838 466831 473827 478826 480829 485839
      488851 491863 494876 499888 508903 517921 523930 525935
      530938 536942 546946 555948 560945 562941
 0.25 491038 490025 488018 486012 483004 477994 476982 476974
      474969 469962 462954 459951 457947 453942 450940 445938
      441940 441949 442954 445966 447971 450976 455983 460993
      465000 468005 470011 478029 484037 488040 491038
 0.25 465876 464871 464868 463864 462859 462856 460854 458855
      458859 459861 460866 460871 461874 463877 465876
 0.25 421907 421902 419900 417899 415901 413905 413907 412912
      412917 414920 417919 419917 420914 420910 421907
 0.25 362722 361718 358715 354713 351713 348715 344719 339727
      331741 322757 318763 313771 309779 307784 304787 298787
      291791 283797 276802 268802 260805 255816 287825 295823
      303823 291812 299808 304806 306803 314797 323794 330790
      336785 343778 347770 353754 357745 360736 362728 362722
 0.25 354142 354133 355128 355124 351114 346109 344100 344094
      343090 337083 334081 330081 330094 327097 326093 324089
      320087 315081 307077 298074 289072 275071 269072 263070
      257066 251062 246060 241061 240066 241070 245076 250082
      255087 262093 268097 284105 298114 307116 312117 317117
      325113 335113 338115 338120 335129 334134 336138 344141
      350144 353143 354142
 0.50 552936 551930 548928 541921 534915 528907 524898 520887
      516876 511867 507858 501850 498847 498853 500868 503880
      507890 515910 520919 526928 532934 539939 547940 552936
 0.50 498827 498820 497813 492803 493795 490782 483762 482753
      482746 479734 477734 475738 471740 470745 468757 467772
      466776 468780 468783 466787 463786 459788 451795 444800
      435802 431801 426803 420811 417820 417828 415833 414839
      412844 411852 413856 417858 424857 426863 427866 429867
      438864 444860 447849 446841 444836 442834 443831 445827
      449819 455811 468796 474792 479792 482793 487806 490808
      491813 493825 496829 498827
 0.50 476720 476717 476715 475712 475711 473711 473713 473715
      473718 473720 474723 475724 476722 476721 476720
 0.50 473698 473695 473693 472691 472693 472695 472698 473698
      473698
 0.50 459966 459964 457959 456957 455954 453952 450950 447952
      448957 449959 450964 452966 454968 457969 459966
 0.50 448743 448739 446737 444736 440737 437741 433747 430752
      428757 427762 431764 437762 441762 445756 447750 448743
 0.50 356734 356730 355725 351725 349727 342739 339744 336749
      328761 322771 320778 320786 324789 331786 336782 341777
      347767 351753 355739 356734
 0.50 309104 310096 307089 303085 297081 292079 283078 272079
      260073 254071 251072 250075 252080 257085 262088 269091
      279098 285099 292104 295107 300109 304109 309104
 0.50 286818 284816 281814 277813 272812 269810 265808 262810
      264813 268814 271815 275816 279818 283820 286818
 1.00 439846 437846 437847 436849 435849 435852 436853 437852
      438851 439849 439848 439846
 1.00 345761 345759 344758 342758 341759 340760 339761 339762
      338764 338766 340767 342767 343766 344763 345762 345761
 1.00 339775 337773 335774 333775 332776 330778 330779 332781
      332780 334780 336778 337776 339775
 1.00 301095 300094 299093 298092 297091 295092 296093 298094
      299095 300095 301095

24HR QP VT 09/00Z
 0.01 496610 496612 497612 498615 499616 499617 500619 501621
      502623 502624 503626 504628 505630 506633 507634 507635
      508637 509640 509641 510642 511644 512647 512648
      522672 528696 532719 534735 535744 534750 533763 534768
      533774 530783 525796 522798 519803 518807 518814 515840
      507855 497856 492856 489855 486852 483850 484860 488871
      490877 493881 504896 510903 512906 517908 534907 551913
      556919 561921 562924 566936 567951 565963 562973 560978
      558983 553989 547996 542000 539001 531005 522005 519007
      515007 507006 490000 483994 480991 474989 454989 444988
      440988 436990 426004 419011 420015 416020 414022 410024
      402019 399011 396000 393991 392986 391977 390967 382965
      378959 374967 373976 372983 371989 373994 373000 373016
      377025 379029 384031 387033 392034 399036 406040 414047
      420053 421059 420062 417068 415071 412073 406075 402083
      397088 392087 390091 385097 383099 384102 386106 394113
      396116 394121 391123 389128 387134 388140 389146 390149
      393160 394166 393175 392181 393188 394196 393202 390205
      382201 375195 366192 363184 365176 371172 374168 372163
      369158 363157 358159 353162 348168 345170 341169 332169
      325163 324153 323148 320143 313137 303134 294130 288126
      277116 261106 253103 243098 231088 227083 224075 225064
      226059 227054 232043 236040 240039 246039 249040 257044
      264048 271051 291057 295059 301061 308066 313071 319075
      324076 329075 336071 338066 335062 326056 341048 344044
      346039 349031 352022 355014 356008 356001 357986 354963
      353943 353930 355922 361897 362885 364874 367861 367847
 0.01 367847 367830 366822 359821 357821 357818 357810 360805
      361798 372781 375776 379772 387765 391762 397759 402756
      405752 416731 420720 422715 426710 431700 437690 442680
      442676 440674 436669 435663 434654 435648 436644 437643
      440638 443636 447632 449628
 0.01 454105 455100 453097 451095 447094 442089 437086 434089
      431090 429089 426086 424089 426091 429097 431099 436100
      440101 442103 447104 449102 452105 454105
 0.01 355755 354749 352746 349745 348740 346729 342720 337716
      331712 326711 321712 318711 315714 310715 307718 302721
      289732 283737 277743 265752 259756 254761 245774 242781
      239789 237793 236797 237808 242824 248842 253862 257879
      260897 262902 262907 262919 263929 264934 264940 266948
      270954 272959 269962 264966 255970 249974 247976 245981
      245992 249998 251000 256002 263002 271001 277997 286993
      289992 293991 296989 298984 306971 311966 315960 319952
      322943 322932 322919 320896 316879 315867 314862 313856
      312845 311840 311834 316817 315809 311802 312798 315794
      322789 334778 339775 342772 345768 349765 351761 355755
 0.25 491612 494618 495624 498630 500634 506642 512655 516666
      520679 523700 524708 525720 525749 524758 523765 519777
      516788 512803 510816 509823 507828 503832 498832 494831
      490828 486818 485808 483801 480800 479802 476806 471811
      469816 465844 467858 471870 476882 481892 486902 492915
      496924 498930 499937 498943 496947 492950 488952 479955
      474957 467957 459957 452957 449954 445949 444944 441938
      438934 435930 432933 428940 423954 420966 417980 415987
      413992 410997 404997 400995 397991 395977 395964 391951
      386940 381931 377918 368898 367890 368883 370872 373860
      374846 378818 381808 386799 399784 403779 407776 412773
      416770 423762 430754 433750 437746 438740 439733 438725
      439719 441715 444710 449702 453689 456664 457658 460652
      462646 463639 463634 465629 469621
 0.25 558958 559952 559947 558938 554933 550930 547929 544929
      539933 536936 533942 528941 523942 520942 518944 519952
      521960 523967 526971 531974 542973 552968 556963 558958
 0.25 478747 475742 472738 470731 466730 462731 457734 454737
      451743 445750 443755 442762 443770 443774 445773 452765
      455762 460760 466758 470755 475753 477749 478747
 0.25 404058 404055 401053 397050 392047 385047 376047 373047
      371044 369039 366037 363038 360044 356048 354053 357064
      361069 366069 369069 371072 376075 381073 385070 396066
      401062 404058
 0.25 343107 344102 343098 340093 334090 330094 327095 325093
      321089 310081 300073 294069 288067 273063 261057 250052
      242050 237050 235051 234055 234059 235067 237074 240080
      243084 247089 254093 259096 280110 304123 310125 318125
      321123 323120 325113 328110 333108 336106 340108 343107
 0.25 294799 293792 289789 284786 280785 268784 256788 249793
      255797 255802 256810 263817 267820 268823 272827 276830
      289843 291838 291834 289830 285827 287824 290820 291817
      290814 286810 282808 271804 266803 263802 268800 273800
      280800 285802 289801 294799
 0.25 293805 293803 292802 290802 289802 287804 289805 289806
      291806 293805 293805
 0.25 296916 296912 294910 294901 293895 292887 290881 287879
      285881 283887 282894 281902 282909 284915 287920 290922
      294920 296916
 0.50 520708 519697 518685 513666 510659 506651 502647 497645
      490647 487650 485653 484661 481668 480676 482687 487704
      492720 494729 494738 492756 491766 491774 491795 492805
      494813 497816 500816 504815 507809 509799 513783 517767
      519760 520750 519729 520708
 0.50 475669 475667 474664 474665 473667 473669 473670 475670
      475669
 0.50 473785 473778 471773 466776 462779 462785 460795 457804
      450803 445805 442808 440810 435813 428809 423805 412791
      408791 404791 399792 396794 391801 387809 384818 382826
      380836 378846 376857 374867 370886 370891 371895 372898
      376900 382904 385916 389934 393944 396954 397964 397976
      398982 399987 401991 405992 409991 411988 413978 415968
      416954 414937 416911 409892 409884 407881 407878 410868
      413860 418853 423846 429841 432840 434845 436857 437868
      437879 438888 434890 432894 431899 431903 437920 442928
      446937 448941 451943 455944 459942 464937 467933 471932
      474930 476926 477920 477915 475902 472892 468885 465877
      463856 462848 462842 462831 463818 462811 465807 470797
      473785
 0.50 323106 323100 320095 313088 305083 296079 283076 272073
      264068 257062 248058 242056 241057 240060 242066 245074
      246080 249085 256090 265095 274101 282106 291111 300116
      306118 312119 318119 320116 323106
 1.00 511697 511691 510684 507681 505680 501687 500696 500701
      501708 503717 505730 503741 501749 500757 499768 500780
      501784 502787 504787 508779 511771 512762 512749 510739
      508727 508716 511697
 1.00 458874 457869 455864 452860 448858 447860 446865 447872
      448877 450882 453885 456882 457876 458874
 1.00 452918 450916 450915 450916 451918 452918 452918
 1.00 411968 412960 411952 410938 409930 410922 409914 406908
      403905 399906 396911 395917 395925 394931 395938 396944
      399956 402968 404973 407974 409973 411968
 1.00 403822 402818 400816 395816 390819 388824 387831 386838
      385847 389851 394850 397845 400840 402834 402825 403822
 1.00 314111 314108 314104 312098 309093 304090 297089 290088
      282088 275086 270083 266080 261077 257078 261082 266087
      272094 282101 291107 297110 302112 309113 314111
 1.50 409963 408952 408938 406933 406926 407915 405911 401909
      399910 398913 398918 396929 396936 397940 400952 402961
      404966 406967 408966 409963
 1.50 309106 308102 306098 304095 298093 293093 288093 286097
      288101 292104 295106 299108 304109 308108 309106
 2.00 406961 407954 406947 406940 405934 403930 401925 398927
      397933 398940 400945 401949 402954 403960 405962 406961
 2.00 305104 305103 304102 303100 303099 301098 301097 300096
      298096 296096 295096 294098 293098 293100 294102 295103
      297105 298105 299105 301106 302106 303106 304104 305104

24HR QP VT 10/00Z
 0.01 547792 546775 545760 543752 541744 537731 534718 530705
      521681 512659 508649 506645 503642 503645 501649 494647
      485650 481652 478655 467659 462659 459659 452666 449671
      446675 440686 435695 426712 423715 419718 417716 416712
      415705 414701 411699 407698 403698 401708 399716 395725
      390734 382738 378746 369767 360785 355794 352804 348813
      345822 342829 340839 336846 334850 333855 332859 330860
      328858 326846 321825 317814 318803 317797 314793 311790
      307788 298785 287785 277784 268782 264781 259781 255782
      252784 246789 242797 241802 237804 237809 239813 244822
      249827 254829 258832 267835 274836 277838 277842 276848
      274859 272871 272881 273892 277908 281917 285924 288927
      293927 303922 311918 316913 324905 328904 329910 331922
      332927 333934 335947 338958 342976 345984 348994 351002
      356005 356012 354016 353022 350034 342039 338045 336047
      336051 335060 332072 324079 320082 316082 307078 302077
      298074 287062 282057 276050 271046 265045 261043 252042
      247042 244041 238034 237029 239026 251023 255021 262021
      268021 274020 280020 285018 291014 287005 275994 269989
      266986 266982 266980 263978 259976 255976 247978 237981
      233983 232988 231992 231997 232002 232009 231024 230031
      229036 228049 229053 230058 229063 229066 230068 234073
      237080 239084 242088 249094 255099 264102 270107 276113
      284119 291123 295127 300130 309134 316137 319138 323135
      326131 330136 329142 327148 324150 320152 309151 306151
      301150 299152 300155 308159 311162 315163 319165 324166
      330168 333171 339171 341176 342180 344183
 0.01 344183 347179 346173 345167 343155 341145 343140 346139
      349141 353140 361137 364136 369137 383142 386144 386150
      388158 388163 386166 385176 386180 389181 392181 395177
      402141 400137 396135 389134 388129 391126 396121 399117
      402116 408113 412108 413101 412098 409092 407082 408078
      410075 416071 420070 423073 425076 425082 427091 430094
      432100 429104 424105 423107 426109 429111 434112 440118
      446122 450123 453121 455118 456114 457109 456105 452097
      455089 455082 453078 448071 437062 432055 429044 430029
      431023 433019 433004 432994 431987 430984 428975 423969
      418964 412961 410961 409964 411982 414001 412006 409009
      402012 375020 374015 376010 377002 378993 377990 377985
      377976 376971 377966 379956 379945 379933 381925 387904
      391896 393886 398867 403851 409837 417824 422818 427815
      431807 436802 446804 450812 452816 451821 444826 440829
      436828 432826 429826 428833 428844 429849 430852 434857
      438859 440859 446858 450859 451864 445870 442874 439876
      437880 439883 442887 446887 450889 453891 453893 456903
      458906 463908 467908 470905 476905 483917 489922 495926
      520937 526942 530947 533949 536947 542941 546939 546933
      546925 547921 547913 545909 543905 541900 538894 535887
      521881 509878 497870 492863 487859 485855 483847 483841
      483837 484834 490815 492813 494812 499814 501818 501825
      501832 502834 506834 523833 528836 533835 536832 538829
      540824 542818 547792
 0.01 458148 456144 453139 452136 447133 444130 442130 438134
      437139 438144 438148 443150 448151 452150 456148 458148
 0.01 390201 387196 384191 380186 379183 377181 370180 364180
      360183 364187 370190 374194 379198 383202 390201
 0.25 539783 540772 539764 535743 532725 527709 523698 521692
      517687 514683 510679 506679 500680 491679 483680 478684
      471696 465707 463712 462718 466732 466735 463735 459731
      454722 450718 444718 437721 432725 428728 426736 424742
      417744 408750 403740 397740 393743 390748 387753 387756
      388760 386763 382767 378771 372781 367794 364807 359817
      350835 345844 341849 340857 340865 338872 334884 333892
      335898 335912 337927 339941 344950 350963 353967 358970
      365971 368965 369957 369949 369942 369934 371922 373916
      375911 380901 382894 384886 387872 391859 400840 409819
      414809 417801 418795 422781 429770 435763 443761 456758
      459758 461760 462765 462780 460798 461809 461816 462823
      464831 466833 469831 471826 474813 477803 483791 487781
      490782 492785 497783 500781 503780 507779 512783 514789
      515803 518808 522811 524811 527810 530806 536795 538789
      539783
 0.25 487891 487890 485889 483887 481886 481887 481889 482890
      483890 485892 487893 487891
 0.25 471880 471875 471873 469868 467866 465863 464862 462864
      461869 462873 462878 463883 465885 466886 470885 471883
      471880
 0.25 392055 390053 386052 385051 381051 377051 374050 372050
      370053 370055 374057 377056 381057 384057 386056 390056
      392055
 0.25 326109 326103 323098 316092 303089 295084 288077 280073
      262063 258060 254060 251061 251067 252071 254076 251081
      255085 259086 263089 266094 269097 273100 282105 289111
      304125 307128 312128 319123 326109
 0.25 310820 300817 294816 291814 283808 274805 265802 258808
      260812 264814 272820 275823 280824 291825 297824 303824
      310820
 0.25 302882 302878 302874 301869 301867 299863 297861 295859
      293863 293866 293870 293874 294878 295880 296885 298885
      300884 302882
 0.25 280796 279795 278794 277794 275795 274795 274797 275797
      277798 279797 280796
 0.50 537775 536764 534752 529732 527721 524710 521701 518695
      515693 511693 507694 503694 497693 490694 486696 484700
      481708 480728 477746 474765 471773 469783 467790 465799
      467804 471804 474796 478789 480782 482773 487767 495764
      500760 505754 508752 512752 518753 523756 524760 525768
      525781 524786 524790 525793 527794 535784 537780 537775
 0.50 413795 413788 410784 403778 387784 384782 381784 375792
      368809 365818 361822 359826 357831 354834 350840 348844
      350850 347854 347860 346871 343880 338890 338896 338902
      339914 341926 344935 347940 350943 355950 359956 363956
      366952 366945 365940 364930 364925 362922 360918 360911
      362905 364902 374888 379879 382868 389852 396831 404815
      410803 413795
 0.50 320114 320110 317106 313105 310102 304095 297090 288088
      282088 280090 280095 283098 290102 297109 300112 304113
      310118 314120 317120 320114
 0.50 285814 284814 282814 281813 280813 279813 278813 277813
      275813 273814 271814 272816 273817 275817 276817 277818
      279818 281817 283817 284816 285814
 1.00 397800 397794 395793 389797 385799 383802 380807 377815
      377819 379822 380832 384832 386829 389822 391815 395807
      397800
 1.00 380839 379833 376833 374833 374829 372828 371831 367840
      364852 360861 355870 356876 360876 363872 365867 369856
      372851 374853 374858 377853 380841 380839
 1.00 353894 353888 351886 347888 346893 345897 345904 345910
      345917 348919 350917 350910 351905 352899 353894

$$




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