Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 220854
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
454 AM EDT SAT JUL 22 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 22/1200 UTC THRU JUL 25/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...UPPER MS VALLEY/WRN GT LAKES...

HEIGHT FALLS IN ADVANCE OF UPPER LOW DROPPING ESEWD FROM MANITOBA
WILL HELP TRIGGER SCTD CONVECTION AHEAD OF ASSOCD LOW PRES AND
COLD FRONT MOVING ACRS THE UPPER MS VALLEY ON SAT.  AIRMASS AHEAD
OF THE FRONT REMAINS MODERATELY MOIST WITH SFC DPS IN THE UPPER
60S AND WITH MODELS SHOWING SOME FAIRLY DECENT INSTABILITIES DVLPG
DURING THE DAY.  WHILE THE MORE ORGANIZED HEAVIER RAINS WILL
LIKELY DVLP NORTH OF THE BORDER IN THE EVOLVING COMMA HEAD...SOME
STGR CELLS OR LINE SEGMENTS COULD PRODUCE SOME LOCALIZED HEAVIER
RAINS FROM ERN MN INTO WI/U.P. OF MI.


...MID ATLC WWD THROUGH THE OH AND MID MS VALLEYS AND CNTL
PLAINS...

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD EWD FROM ONGOING
EARLY MORNING CONVECTION/MCS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY
ASSOCD WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRES AND CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED
S/WV...STRADDLING AN E/W FRONTAL BNDRY.  VERY DEEP MSTR WITH PWS
AOA 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TO POOL ALONG THE BNDRY..MAXIMIZING ACRS
PARTS OF THE MID ATLC EAST OF THE APLCNS SAT AFTN.   MODELS
SUGGEST A RE-INTENSIFICATION OF REMNANT MCS ACTIVITY AS IT MOVES
INTO PA/WV AND POINTS EAST BY AFTN AS DAYTIME HEATING AWAY FROM
DENSER OVERCAST ALLOWS FOR STG DESTABILIZATION OF THE AIRMASS.
MODEL PREFERENCE WISE...GLOBAL MODEL RUNS WERE CERTAINLY TOO FAR
NORTH WITH HEAVIER CONVECTIVE RAINS ACRS THE MIDWEST ON FRI/FRI
NIGHT AND THAT MAY BE AGAIN THE CASE TODAY.  HI RES GUIDANCE
ESPECIALLY THE EXPERIMENTAL HRRR HAS AT LEAST CAPTURED THE
EVOLUTION OF MCS ACTIVITY ACRS THE MIDWEST REASONABLY WELL AND
THAT TOGETHER WITH THE NAM CONEST AND EVEN THE WRF ARW APPEAR TO
BE A GOOD BLEND FOR DOWNSTREAM DVLPMENT TODAY.  THAT WOULD SUGGEST
HEAVIEST RAIN AXIS WITH AREAL AVG AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF AN INCH
ACRS PARTS OF SE OH INTO MUCH OF SRN PA..SRN NJ INTO NRN MD AND
NRN WV...WITH DEEPER LAYERED WLY FLOW SUGGESTING DECENT CHANGE OF
TRAINING AND BOWING LINE SEGMENTS PSBLY LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING.
 BEHIND THE MAIN WAVE...DEEP MSTR WILL REMAIN POOLED ALONG THE
BNDRY EXTENDING WWD THRU THE MIDWEST/MID MS VALLEY AND CNTL PLAINS
WITH VERY UNSTABLE CONDS EXPECTED WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO SCTD
CONVECTION ALONG THE BNDRY INTO SAT NIGHT.  SOME EMBDD SMALLER
SCALE MCS ACTIVITY WILL BE PSBL WHICH COULD LEAD TO ISOLD HEAVIER
CONVECTIVE RAINS ALONG THE BNDRY FROM THE CNTL PLAINS INTO THE MID
MS VALLEY AIDED BY WEAK S/WV ENERGY EJECTING OUT OF THE CNTL
ROCKIES.  HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IN QPF DETAILS HERE ARE LOWER AND
THUS HAVE TAKEN MORE OF AN ENSEMBLE APCH TO QPF ACROSS THIS AREA.



...SOUTHWEST/GREAT BASIN/CENTRAL ROCKIES...

WHILE SLIGHT UPPER RIDGING IS FCST ACRS THE GT BASIN THIS PD
OVERALL 5H PATRN REMAINS VERY WEAK WITH LITTLE STEERING FLOW.
ACRS THE 4 CORNERS REGION...LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED TO THE
OVERALL MSTR PROFILES WITH PERHAPS SOME SLIGHT INCREASE IN OVERALL
PWS ACRS SRN PORTIONS OF AZ DURING THE PD.  SCTD DIURNALLY
ENHANCED CONVECTION WILL ONCE AGAIN BE THE RULE ACRS THIS REGION.
WEAK UPPER SHEAR AXIS NOTED ACRS WRN CO MAY LEAD TO SOME SLIGHTLY
HEAVIER ORGANIZED RAIN AMOUNTS ACRS PARTS OF SRN CO INTO NRN
NM..WHILE HAVE INDICATED SOMEWHAT HEAVIER QPF TOTALS ACRS SERN
AZ/SW NM IN AREA OF WEAK 85H-7H CONFLUENCE.  PATRN WILL AGAIN
SUPPORT THE POTNL FOR FLASH FLOODING ACRS PARTS OF THE
REGION..ESPECIALLY ACROSS BURN SCAR AREAS AND NEAR STEEPER
TERRAIN.

...GULF COAST/FL...
VERY MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITHIN WEAK FLOW REGIME WILL LEAD TO
SCTD MAINLY DIURNAL TSTM ACTIVITY ENHANCED BY SEA BREEZES.
CONFIDENCE IN QPF DETAIL IS LOW HERE GIVEN WEAK FORCING ALOFT.
DID NOT MAKE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO CONTINUITY HERE.


...DAYS 2 AND 3...

...ROCKIES/SOUTHWEST/CALIFORNIA...

MID LEVEL RIDGING REASSERTS ITSELF ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND
SOUTHWEST STATES DURING DAY 2. A LONG WAVE TROUGH COMES SHORE OVER
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CA ON DAY 3...AS THE MID LEVEL RIDGE STARTS
TO BREAK DOWN. MONSOONAL MOISTURE OVER THE REGION WILL HELP FUEL
SCATTERED TO BROKEN CONVECTION WHICH COULD PRODUCE HEAVY TO
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EACH DAY. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS
BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS/NAM.

...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS/MID AND LOWER MS VALLEY...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY DROPPING SOUTHWEST FROM A MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER
THE ROCKIES PROVIDES SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT OVER A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
EXTENDING ACROSS THE PLAINS AND LOWER AND MID MS
VALLEY...PRIMARILY IN THE DAY 2 PERIOD AND EARLY DAY 3 PERIOD.
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FOCUSED ON THE FRONT WILL FEED CONVECTION
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...MAINLY
DURING DAY 2. THEE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE
PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT...BUT THERE WAS SOME SPREAD ON THE THE
LOCATION OF THE MAXIMUM QPF...ESPECIALLY ON DAY 3. IN AN ATTEMPT
TO MITIGATE SOME OF THE QPF PLACEMENT DIFFERENCES...THE WPC QPF
WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
SHORT WAVE ENERGY ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF MID LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW
CROSSES THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID MS AT THE START OF THE PERIOD
AS A WEAKENING COLD FRONT...OR ITS REMNANTS...DROPS SOUTH ACROSS
THE REGION. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...1.75/2.00 INCH PRECIPITABLE
WATER AIR AND MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY POOL AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND THE RESULTING CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN
AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF FROM EASTERN KS ACROSS CENTRAL
MO. VARIOUS 00Z MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGEST LOCAL 2.50 INCH QPF
AMOUNTS WITH SOME STORMS...AS SLOWING PROPAGATION VECTORS PROMOTE
THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING.

THE FRONT SLOWS AS IT REACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MS
VALLEY EITHER LATE DAY 2 OR EARLY ON DAY 3...AS THE BEST MID LEVEL
SHEARS OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. AS WAS THE CASE ON DAY 2...DEEP
MOISTURE AND STRONG INSTABILITY BECOME ALIGNED WITH THE
FRONT...AND A LARGER AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS
STRETCHED FROM CENTRAL OK INTO NORTHEAST AK. WHILE THERE WAS
GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT ON THE PLACEMENT OF THE
FRONT...THERE WERE SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE PLACEMENT OF LOCAL
2.50+ INCH QPF AMOUNT.

...EASTERN GREAT LAKES TO MID ATLANTIC AND THEN EASTWARD TO THE
NORTHEAST...

A COMPLEX FRONTAL SYSTEM CROSSES THE OH VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC ON
DAY 2...BEFORE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT OVER
NORTHERN NY STATE LATE ON DAY 2 AND PERSISTS . DEEP MOISTURE AND
STRONG INSTABILITY FOCUSED ON THE FRONT WILL FUEL CONVECTION THAT
PRODUCES HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY DURING DAY 2
ACROSS THE EASTER PORTION OF THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES. THERE WERE SOME PLACEMENT DIFFERENCES WITH REGARD TO THE
FRONTAL POSITION (ALONG WITH THE ASSOCIATED PCPN AMOUNTS).  THE
LATEST RUNS OF THE GFS APPEAR TO BE AN OUTLIER BEING TOO FAR NORTH
COMPARED WITH OTHER MODELS.  AS A RESULT...TENDED TO PUT MORE
WEIGHT ON THE ECMWF AND UKMET.

AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY CROSSES THE FRONTAL POSITION FROM THE OH
VALLEY ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES ON DAY 2...IT PROVIDES
SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT FOR CONVECTION OVER PARTS OF PA INTO NY.
LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 2.00+ INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER
IN POSITION AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH TRACKS INTO NY ON DAY 3 FROM THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES...LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPIS ALONG A FRONT EXTENDING FROM
THE MID ATLANTIC INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. IN THE BROAD WARM AIR
ADVECTION PATTERN AHEAD OF THE LONG WAVE TOUGH...A 20 TO 30 KNOT
LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.25/1.50 INCH PRECIPITABLE
WATER AIR INTO NORTHEAST NY AND MUCH OF NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE
MOISTURE BECOMES FOCUSED ON THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS IT MOVES NORTH
ACROSS EASTERN NY AND NEW ENGLAND. THE LIMITING FACTOR FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY WELL BE
INSTABILITY WHICH IS NOT AS ROBUST AS IT WILL BE SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY.

EVEN SO...THERE IS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR 1.50 TO 2.25 INCHES OF
QPF ACROSS MUCH OF UPSTATE NY INTO PORTIONS OF VT AND NORTHERN NH.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE AS TRAINING OCCURS ALONG THE
WARM FRONT...BUT THE MOTION OF THE FRONT ITSELF SHOULD MITIGATE
THE EXTENT OF THE HIGHER AMOUNTS TO SOME DEGREE. THREE HOUR FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE AS LOW AS 1.50 TO 2.00 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF NY STATE INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...AND THE
CONVECTION COULD RESULT IN A LOW LEVEL FLASH FLOOD THREAT HERE.
BECAUSE OF THIS...A MARGINAL RISK WAS LEFT IN PLACE FOR NEW
ENGLAND ON DAY 3.


...TN VALLEY INTO SOUTHEAST/GULF COAST...

DEEP MOISTURE AND PLENTY OF INSTABILITY IN THE PRESENCE OF WEAK
SYNOPTIC FORCING SUPPLIES SCATTERED TO BROKEN CONVECTION ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST AND GULF COAST ON DAY 2. BY LATER DAY 2 AND INTO DAY
3...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY CROSSING THE TN VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHEAST
STATES SHOULD PROVIDE A BETTER FOCUS FOR THE MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY...AND THE RESULTING CONVECTION COULD PRODUCE HEAVY TO
LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH THE RESPECT TO THE OVERALL SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF
WAS BASED ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND.

MID LEVEL RIDGING IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND GULF
COAST DURING DAY 2 STARTS TO BREAK DOWN AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY
BEGINS TO BREAK IT DOWN FROM THE NORTH. DEEP MOISTURE (WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 2.00+ INCHES) AND RESULTING
INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE CONVECTION WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. THERE WAS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR A LARGE AREA OF 0.25
TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF ALONG THE GULF COAST FROM FAR EAST TO THE
NORTHERN FL PENINSULA. WITH LOCAL 2.00+ INCH QPF AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

SULLIVAN/BANN

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 516283 519267 519255 514234 510224 504218 500215 495215
      492216 490221 493242 487234 478232 475235 473240 473252
      474257 476262 481268 494282 497286 501288 503292 507293
      513289 516283
 0.01 534011 534992 534982 534975 532969 531963 528952 525939
      523934 522928 514901 508880 501857 496838 490818 483809
      480806 475805 470806 467808 461815 458819 456819 455815
      451804 450801 447801 443799 433796 429794 427789 427777
      426765 422755 416738 412727 410714 407697 405692 402689
      396682 386684 380685 376689 371699 368710 366720 359762
      355769 355774 355780 358803 358807 357810 353815 348817
      345820 340827 336835 327841 318844 312834 308823 306812
      315808 322801 326792 314787 310785 305786 298786 287788
      281789 274789 268788 257790 251791 248795 245796 244801
      244808 245815 250817 258832 262838 264842 263845 260869
      257889 256894 256901 258907 258913 260917 260923 263932
      272951 275956 279960 285965 288968 290968 298964 306959
      313954 320937 328926 334917 337913 339908 341896 344887
      350864 355856 360846 362843 365843 368847 371851 374856
      378877 376897 376909 375918 374950 375956 377962 379971
      379979 378985 376002 376011 370019 367022 362025 357024
      353026 350028 348033 343039 339048 332044 326039 325031
      317025 314024 308025 304027 299026 291022 288021 286022
      283024 275030 273041 271048 268050 265050 262053 261057
      260060 258060 252059 248061 247065 250068 253070 260073
      265078 275092 281101 287108 292115 298121 303123 308123
      313121 317125 318127 321128 324126 329125 334126 338128
      341132 346138 350139 353138 359140 367139 375143 381147
      386150 390151 396150 398147 391143
 0.01 391143 384140 380138 381134 384128 390123 393118 398115
      398113 396110 391110 383112 377114 369112 366110 365105
      364098 368093 374092 379089 388079 397068 401064 404058
      406056 405054 401049 400045 401041 407038 415037 419036
      419033 420028 421025 422017 422013 420010 417005 412998
      407994 405993 403989 402978 401963 401943 401931 402927
      404924 407924 409920 411911 420884 420880 423877 425879
      426884 426890 429892 433899 436904 440908 445912 448914
      447918 447925 447935 446953 450957 457957 467953 474950
      477958 479967 482975 485980 490984 497995 499996 501001
      502010 504020 507027 510032 514031 520030 524029 525026
      534011
 0.25 512249 511246 510241 509238 508235 506233 505231 503232
      502236 503239 505242 506245 508247 509249 512249
 0.25 499261 499260 499258 498257 497255 497254 495253 495251
      494250 492249 491250 492253 493255 494256 495257 496259
      496260 497261 499261 499261
 0.25 520986 521978 520971 519957 515939 513927 510914 508906
      505898 499876 492858 488850 483842 478837 475837 471838
      465843 463846 461851 460863 455867 447870 442871 437873
      435875 433878 434883 435887 441894 448898 456898 459899
      460902 459914 457925 457929 459932 463934 467933 473932
      480932 487934 492940 497947 502956 510970 514986 517988
      520986
 0.25 442825 442822 442820 442817 442815 440813 438813 437815
      436816 435817 434818 434820 433821 433823 434825 434826
      435828 436829 438830 440829 441827 442825
 0.25 418792 416781 412769 411760 412755 411749 408735 406723
      403714 401709 399707 395705 391704 388705 384709 381717
      379725 376735 375745 371752 370757 370763 375772 379783
      380787 380791 376798 373807 371812 371818 380831 389848
      391858 391867 391881 392895 394895 395888 396878 398869
      403859 404855 405856 407860 408862 410862 415841 417830
      418821 418812 417802 418792
 0.25 391064 391059 390056 384053 384048 386045 388038 388033
      384032 380035 368041 364047 360051 357053 356057 359060
      361058 369059 368062 364063 361063 360066 365070 375078
      378078 380076 384072 391064
 0.25 394986 396982 396977 396970 396954 395945 394940 390929
      387918 387913 384913 382918 382924 382931 383945 385959
      386965 387972 387981 388986 391991 393988 394986
 0.25 385765 385763 384761 384763 384765 385766 385765
 0.25 377128 378126 378123 377123 376123 375124 375125 374127
      374129 374130 376130 377128
 0.25 355120 355117 354116 353115 351114 349114 348116 349119
      350120 352121 354121 355120
 0.25 345109 344089 341080 336074 333071 329070 325069 322070
      317071 315073 313070 309068 299068 294068 291069 283072
      280075 281079 291092 290099 295105 302109 311111 328107
      331105 333106 340110 345109
 0.25 336058 334056 334055 332055 330054 329054 327055 326055
      326057 326059 327059 328060 330060 331060 332059 334059
      336058 336058
 0.25 319905 320897 318892 315889 311887 305882 306880 304876
      300867 298862 298855 298846 294839 284827 280825 278822
      281819 285815 286811 287807 283804 277802 272802 267802
      257806 256810 259813 264819 268827 274832 282836 286839
      284843 282852 282859 284865 280875 277883 275892 273901
      274906 277908 282910 282911 280921 279932 283941 287947
      291949 296949 302948 305945 306935 309925 312918 317910
      319905
 0.25 309043 308041 308039 307038 306037 305036 304035 302035
      301036 301037 300038 301040 302041 303042 304043 306044
      307044 309043 309043
 0.25 300899 300897 300896 300897 300899 300899
 0.50 515955 512940 509928 504914 498905 497899 495889 493873
      488861 482852 478850 475849 472850 470855 469863 477890
      475895 472901 467910 466915 467920 471923 476922 480919
      484917 491916 494919 497923 499929 501939 504949 507955
      512960 514958 515955
 0.50 457886 457884 457881 456880 454880 452880 451882 449883
      447884 446885 444887 444888 444889 446891 448891 449891
      451890 453889 454888 456887 457886
 0.50 415830 411796 410787 411779 410772 407766 407756 408752
      407747 404731 401722 398716 394713 389714 386720 384729
      385740 386750 386755 388760 390766 391771 386776 386781
      387783 389786 389789 386794 380807 379814 379818 383825
      387830 390836 393842 395849 398849 399846 410845 414836
      415830
 0.50 393952 392947 391943 389937 388931 386927 384934 385940
      386947 386952 388957 389961 391963 393956 393952
 0.50 374053 372052 371053 372053 374053 374053
 0.50 370052 368051 367051 366052 367053 368053 370052
 0.50 340098 340094 339091 338089 337086 335084 332083 330086
      331090 332092 333095 335097 337100 338100 340098
 0.50 322098 322094 320091 315086 308081 303077 298077 294077
      292079 292082 297088 298093 296099 301104 310105 317103
      321099 322098
 0.50 301931 301928 299926 297928 296931 294933 292934 291937
      292940 294941 296940 297939 299937 301933 301931
 0.50 275809 276807 274807 273807 271807 269807 267807 265808
      263808 262808 261809 262811 264812 266812 267812 268812
      269812 271812 272812 273811 275810 275809
 1.00 485882 485876 485871 484867 483864 481862 479862 478865
      477867 478870 479873 481877 482879 484882 485882
 1.00 410822 408808 406794 404789 406782 406778 404774 401771
      399763 399756 400751 401737 399730 396727 392738 391748
      389754 391760 395770 392778 395781 397785 398789 395794
      388800 385804 384809 383816 386820 392828 394833 396832
      399827 402824 407824 409823 410822
 1.00 313094 313093 311092 310092 309091 309092 308094 309095
      311095 313095 313094

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 503880 503862 502852 501844 499828 497815 488793 478781
      477774 477767 477762 477755 475738 473725 471718 469713
      467708 464705 458700 454699 449700 440698 435696 430695
      425694 421692 416686 410679 406677 402677 397679 392682
      387684 384686 379688 375691 369698 360713 358717 357722
      356726 358731 363737 359745 355756 353759 350759 342760
      328771 321777 318781 315781 314779 307775 298776 290779
      283783 277789 271793 262798 260802 258807 256811 257816
      261825 271828 273829 274832 273839 270848 268852 266857
      265861 265867 266878 271901 271906 273909 279909 282911
      284916 283921 281924 280928 281940 284949 288958 297964
      300968 305969 313969 318971 327971 334965 341958 345961
      346966 349977 353986 354990 354996 354003 352007 352013
      349015 342018 338020 336021 335023 337028 333033 326036
      320037 315035 302034 297033 295036 294040 286043 284045
      285047 285051 280059 278063 278067 278081 276091 278094
      281098 285100 287104 288108 291111 295114 297118 304121
      306122 308125 309128 316126 319126 322127 326129 329133
      333136 336138 339142 343145 348146 352145 356142 363139
      370135 374134 378132 377128 374125 362113 355106 355103
      358102 362102 367096 370094 373097 375101 379099 381097
      382090 382085 385079 386076 388075 393072 400069 405069
      408073 411075 414073 417069 417064 416061 412058 410054
      409047 405045 401047 398037 393028 390025 388020 384999
      380979 380971 383969 384971 393979 395983 396989 397993
      401996 403993 404986 404972 402960 402947 398938 397931
      397924 392916 386909 383907 381903 381897 381892 382878
      382868 392846 396836 399832 403830 409836 409847 413857
      416868 421874 428879 434886 438888 443887 452891 459895
      462896 467895 472895 472890 475885 478883 483890
 0.01 483890 485892 487894 488895 490896 490897 490896 492895
      493894 494894 495892 496891 497891 498889 500889 500888
      501886 501885 502883 503881 503880
 0.01 494954 493949 491947 484941 479932 478927 476924 470924
      467926 462927 459929 457930 460935 464944 467954 469958
      472960 476958 481958 491957 494954
 0.01 441212 442205 435202 428201 422197 417195 410194 406194
      405196 405200 406203 410207 416209 423211 430213 437215
      441212
 0.01 431243 431236 429233 424236 419239 415243 409243 405247
      404253 409257 416259 420256 424252 428248 431243
 0.01 421248 422245 420245 418244 416246 414248 414250 415251
      417251 419249 421248 421248
 0.01 408168 410160 410152 407148 402148 400156 399154 400150
      398145 395141 386143 381146 377144 376148 377153 380159
      381165 382171 384175 385178 388179 392179 399169 403169
      406170 408168
 0.01 391202 388196 383191 379184 376182 374183 365181 357183
      357185 364189 370193 375194 379196 384201 388202 391202
 0.01 350802 350800 348798 347796 344795 342797 339798 338800
      336802 333804 332807 331809 333810 337810 340809 342807
      345805 347804 350802
 0.01 341135 341133 340131 338129 338128 337126 336126 335124
      334125 334127 335129 337130 338132 338135 339137 341135
 0.25 496863 492838 489828 485819 481811 477805 473798 469789
      466778 465771 464764 465753 467744 467738 466732 463726
      458718 453713 449715 447720 438722 430726 422728 418728
      416726 413717 410705 409699 408695 404693 398694 393700
      391704 391711 394720 396724 396730 396739 391747 389751
      388756 388761 388768 391776 392782 391786 386791 381796
      375801 369806 363811 357819 353826 348831 344838 342841
      342848 345856 350873 359890 363896 366898 369898 372889
      374881 373870 372860 372855 374848 378841 386827 396815
      399808 401799 403794 406790 414788 419786 422787 426795
      429803 431813 433824 434831 436835 444839 450843 460856
      465861 468863 472864 486867 493867 496863
 0.25 401058 400056 398056 397056 395056 394057 393058 392059
      393061 395061 396061 398061 400060 401058
 0.25 391052 385045 378040 373035 370032 366031 362032 359036
      355042 350050 345056 339056 333054 329055 328059 326065
      323067 313065 307065 304068 298073 288072 285077 286083
      288086 294092 288097 290104 295107 299108 309110 326111
      329109 331108 333110 337112 342112 345115 349114 345105
      346096 347090 351089 355087 357083 357078 359074 366069
      369068 373070 375079 380079 381074 380071 377070 376066
      373062 370060 368058 371057 375058 384056 391052
 0.25 364769 365764 363762 361763 358765 356768 355770 354773
      354777 354778 356780 358779 361776 362774 363771 364769
 0.25 370970 371958 370947 369944 366942 363939 361938 355941
      353944 352949 354958 356967 358976 362981 365980 368977
      370970
 0.25 354124 354122 355120 355118 354116 353115 351115 349117
      351118 351119 350120 348120 348121 346122 346123 345125
      345127 346129 347130 349130 351128 353126 353124 354124
 0.25 346932 344929 341929 337924 334919 330915 321910 317910
      313911 308913 301913 297918 297924 298939 299947 302949
      305949 317946 327941 332938 337936 343934 346932
 0.25 311839 311832 309828 305825 304821 302816 298814 290813
      283808 279807 274807 273810 273815 279820 282821 282824
      282830 282840 281851 280861 277872 279878 281880 291881
      295884 299884 301885 302884 304879 305869 303858 303852
      305848 308843 311839
 0.50 487849 485838 482829 479822 475817 465807 457791 452787
      446785 442784 439787 438791 438796 440806 443815 444821
      445826 448831 454836 459842 463847 465853 467854 482854
      486852 487849
 0.50 461741 462736 461733 459730 456729 451729 443729 434730
      429733 427736 423742 417749 412754 404758 400760 398763
      399768 402771 404774 409774 415769 422765 426767 427771
      429774 433774 450769 455767 457764 459754 461741
 0.50 407712 406710 406705 404703 402704 401707 400711 400716
      402720 403724 405725 406722 407719 407714 407712
 0.50 393810 393802 389800 381804 374809 369815 364823 361825
      359825 352831 348840 348845 349849 353859 361876 362881
      365884 369882 370876 365854 367844 371836 376828 381822
      388817 392814 393810
 0.50 379051 376046 371043 368037 366035 363036 359040 355044
      354051 354055 354059 355061 359061 361059 365054 370052
      373053 379051
 0.50 368963 369958 368955 367952 366949 363948 360949 359952
      357954 357958 358961 359963 361965 364966 367965 368963
 0.50 342096 342093 341089 340087 339084 336082 332084 331086
      331088 333091 334095 335097 338099 341098 342096
 0.50 332099 331097 329097 327096 326096 325095 324094 322094
      320094 320095 319097 320099 321101 323101 325101 327101
      329101 330100 332099
 0.50 320082 318076 313074 308077 304080 301082 297081 293077
      290076 289079 292084 297088 302090 307092 313092 317087
      320082
 1.00 456810 457808 457805 456803 455801 453799 451798 449797
      448798 447800 447802 448804 448806 449807 450809 452811
      454812 456811 456810
 1.00 438748 437746 436745 434746 432746 432747 432749 433750
      435750 436751 437751 438750 438748
 1.00 379816 379814 379813 377814 376814 375816 374817 374818
      373819 372820 371822 370824 369826 371827 372827 374826
      376823 377821 377820 378819 379817 379816

24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 459624 466634 472647 474649 475655 477662 480669 480677
      481688 482699 487717 485738 480751 478755 473759 466771
      451786 450797 450802 448805 445812 441818 434820 430819
      425816 421809 414802 412800 409798 406799 404797 405790
      408784 410779 410774 409769 403767 397761 393755 391746
      389744 389740 385738 382739 380742 376743 373746 371749
      375751 378753 379755 379761 378763 376769 372775 367779
      364784 363790 362794 362799 361804 363808 367808 369809
      372811 374814 376817 377821 377830 375833 378836 381843
      383850 382855 377868 376871 376875 377877 377881 376897
      374900 374904 377913 381929 383933 383938 386940 386945
      390961 385971 380974 378978 378983 376990 373994 368996
      361996 354995 351993 349989 343976 339970 334965 330962
      325957 317951 313947 310941 310933 310924 311922 312917
      311908 313900 313896 315893 314888 311889 308890 305889
      303884 301880 298880 292883 290882 288879 283869 279855
      277848 277839 276831 277825 285812 283806 285798 289794
      295792 302791 306792 308788 312778 315772 318767 324756
      331747 341735 345732 348732 354733 358736 359744 362745
      364744 369738 372733 376730 385722 401703 415695 418693
      422691 424689 425684 425675 423665 422660 424657 426654
      430653 433653 433647 434633
 0.01 530939 529924 530918 528912 525905 521901 516897 511895
      502894 497895 491896 485899 481902 476906 473910 472915
      470922 467927 464930 452952 450959 450964 454968 458969
      462972 460976 458982 456989 456998 458003 458007 455009
      451012 449012 448016 445029 447036 452040 470045 468051
      467061 469078 469085 470092 473093 476089 478081 479071
      482065 485058 490049 492046 498044 502042 506036 509031
      508024 502016 499016 498018 495018 493015 496013 499011
      501011 510006 517000 520997 522989 516978 522968 527955
      530939
 0.01 418161 391123 396120 397115 396112 391107 388102 385098
      388094 391086 390078 391074 392068 393062 398057 399054
      400049 396044 393041 390040 387042 384038 378037 369037
      358039 344039 329041 319040 314039 311037 307036 301038
      297042 294048 293059 290061 287059 279058 270058 265068
      266075 268081 273086 283088 290090 298090 301092 302095
      304102 304106 307107 311111 317108 320107 323109 329120
      333118 338123 338127 338132 334136 331140 332144 332149
      334152 339157 342157 344156 347152 353149 365147 368144
      369140 374135 377132 380132 381140 384145 388146 397152
      400158 401168 401174 403177 406179 408177 413168 418161
 0.01 411127 411122 410119 410117 408112 407110 405109 403109
      401111 401116 399120 400122 404123 407126 409127 411127
 0.01 396170 395165 392161 387163 384168 383175 380179 374179
      370174 368170 364167 361166 361163 365159 368158 370153
      367150 361151 352152 349158 350163 351166 353171 356170
      360165 360173 365180 360180 357180 355184 371195 375197
      381198 385202 388201 388198 386193 385187 384182 388179
      393175 396170
 0.01 385109 384106 381103 377103 375105 372107 370108 368111
      368115 369118 372119 374117 376116 377112 378107 380107
      383108 385109
 0.01 345182 347176 346170 343162 339161 334162 326158 317155
      306152 309158 317164 321165 326167 335170 339172 341177
      342181 345182
 0.01 265800 263795 260789 255789 249791 244793 238793 233795
      231800 231808 235812 237828 237835 240841 244841 248837
      251824 252819 253816 257815 263813 265811 265806 264802
      265800
 0.25 511957 511952 509950 507949 505949 502951 501953 499956
      497958 496962 495965 496967 499969 502968 504966 505965
      508962 510960 511957
 0.25 509929 509923 505919 497916 493917 489920 484927 479937
      477947 477950 479951 482953 489947 494942 497939 502937
      505936 508931 509929
 0.25 473720 473712 472703 469696 467689 465682 462676 455668
      450655 447656 442662 439665 438670 436677 434684 434689
      434698 433705 432711 426721 416729 416734 418741 421746
      422756 424762 426768 430772 433772 436770 441760 445757
      451754 456754 462752 465747 468740 471731 473720
 0.25 379078 379073 376069 369069 367068 367065 370066 365056
      363053 358054 351062 348074 349080 352084 354086 357085
      361082 370084 374081 377082 379078
 0.25 366133 365126 362121 358116 355113 350109 346109 345112
      345118 348123 351128 355133 357135 361136 366133
 0.25 366827 355811 353805 350802 348799 348794 351790 354786
      356782 360772 360771 356771 351774 344776 339779 333785
      328794 326799 324805 323812 326816 348831 345840 338845
      329840 320832 314828 310825 305824 298825 294830 296835
      300838 303841 305845 308857 312861 316862 317863 321868
      323874 323881 324886 326898 327907 330913 333915 339914
      355904 364899 365893 365887 360865 359858 354855 349851
      352845 355841 360837 364832 366827
 0.25 366929 364927 361928 357932 355935 354939 352945 354950
      359949 361947 363942 364937 366932 366929
 0.25 344100 344095 342091 339088 338082 338078 332076 329079
      328083 328088 331090 334095 336098 339101 344100
 0.25 246805 246803 244802 244801 243801 242801 242803 243804
      244805 245805 246805
 0.50 466724 464705 463694 460686 455681 450676 446677 444681
      441682 439686 439696 441701 441708 442719 438726 433730
      428736 426739 426745 428748 430749 432747 440748 443748
      447746 461743 464737 466727 466724
 0.50 361132 360128 359126 355124 356120 356117 353116 350119
      352123 353124 354128 356131 358132 361132
 0.50 360894 356884 353875 351864 347862 342862 338860 333860
      330863 329868 330880 334889 336891 342892 349896 356896
      360894
 1.00 461721 460716 460713 458710 454712 453715 452718 451721
      452726 453728 455731 457732 460731 460728 461723 461721

$$





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