Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 250858
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
457 AM EDT MON MAY 25 2015


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 25/1200 UTC THRU MAY 28/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...SOUTHERN PLAINS EAST INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND SOUTH TOWARD
THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF COAST...

THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK AND ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE ROUNDING
THE BASE OF THE BROAD TROUGH IS CURRENTLY DIVING ESE TOWARD THE TX
BIG BEND. IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING WAVE...LOW-MID LEVEL
WARM/MOISTURE ADVECTION DEVELOPS IN WEST TEXAS AND INCREASES
HEADING INTO CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND
COVERAGE INCREASE AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES...WITH AN AREA OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.

THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS SPLIT IN TERMS OF WHERE THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST
RAIN WILL FALL. THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE FARTHER NORTH
ACROSS THE ARKLATEX NORTHEAST TOWARD THE THE MO/AR BORDER. MUCH OF
THE MESOSCALE GUIDANCE IS FARTHER SOUTH TOWARD THE GULF COAST...IN
LIGHT OF THE INCREASING LLJ OVERNIGHT AND (THUS) MORE UPWIND
PROPAGATION (S-SW) TOWARD THE GULF COAST WHERE THE GREATER
DEEP-LAYER INSTABILITY WILL RESIDE (MODEL MUCAPES BECOME 2X AS
HIGH NEAR THE GULF COAST COMPARED TO AREAS FARTHER NORTH). PRIOR
TO THE UPTICK IN LOW-LEVEL FLOW (NOCTURNALLY-ENHANCED OVERNIGHT).
PER THE NSSL-WRF AND WRF-ARW SIMULATED REFLECTIVITY GUIDANCE...
CELL MOTION FARTHER NORTH (ARKLATEX NORTHWARD) WILL BE MORE
NORTHEAST OR DOWNWIND PROPAGATING...MORE IN LINE WITH THE MEAN
850-300FF MB FLOW...GIVEN THE NOT-AS-ROBUST LOW-LEVEL INFLOW.

THE MODELS DO SHOW ENHANCED QG FORCING OVER THE AFOREMENTIONED
NORTHERN AREA...I.E. ENHANCED UPPER DIVERGENCE AND ASSOCIATED
LOW-MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS WITHIN THE RRQ OF A DEVELOPING (ALBEIT
SUBTLE) UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK ACROSS THE MIDWEST. FOR THIS
REASON...COULD CERTAINLY SEE AREAL-AVERAGE AMOUNTS WITHIN THE
0.50-1.0+ INCH RANGE ALONG THE ARKLATEX NORTHEAST TOWARD THE MO/AR
BORDER...HOWEVER...GIVEN THE TRENDS (GROWING CONSENSUS) AMONG THE
MULTIPLE HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS...HAVE NOTED A HIGHER MAXIMA
(1.5-3.0+ INCHES) FROM EASTERN TX ALONG THE GULF COAST INTO
WESTERN LA.

BECAUSE OF THE SPREAD IN THE GUIDANCE...WPC WILL MAINTAIN A BROAD
"SLIGHT RISK" REGION FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY FOR THE
NEW DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK (12Z MON - 12Z TUE).
HOWEVER...HAVE DROPPED THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE MODERATE RISK AREA
A BIT SOUTH FROM THE PREVIOUS (DAY 2) OUTLOOK...AGAIN BASED ON THE
SIGNAL OF WHERE THE BULK OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL RATES AND CELL
TRAINING WILL OCCUR WITH THE ANTICIPATED MCS LATER THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY TUE.


...GREAT BASIN/CENTRAL ROCKIES/NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MS
VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES...

THE MODELS SHOW THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION TO DRIFT EAST OUT OF WY
ONTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS.  THE DEPARTURE OF THE CIRCULATIONS LEADS
TO A DECLINE IN PRECIP INTENSITY IN UT/WY/ID AS DRYING ALOFT
DEVELOPS. ONE MAXIMA EXTENDS ALONG THE 700 MB FRONT NEAR THE SD/ND
BORDER.  THE FRONT WEAKENS ON MONDAY AS THE CIRCULATION MOVES EAST
INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND UPPER LAKES.  FARTHER NORTH INTO THE
UPPER LAKES...RAIN SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION AS 850-700 BM THETA-E
ADVECTION AND CONVERGENCE DEVELOPS IN ADVANCE OF A WARM FRONT.  AS
THE WARM FRONT SPREADS NORTHEAST THE QPF MOVES IN TANDEM ACROSS
THE LAKES INTO CANADA. A CONSENSUS APPROACH WAS USED.

OTHER SHOWERS SHOULD OCCUR AGAIN THIS EVENING IN THIS ABOVE
AVERAGE PW AXIS WITH 700 MB VERTICAL VELOCITY MAXIMA ROTATING
AROUND THE BROAD CIRCULATION LEADING TO A RAINFALL MAXIMA IN
EASTERN CO AND ADJACENT NE/KS. THIS COINCIDES WITH A MAX REGION OF
UPPER DIFFLUENCE.

DAYS 2/3...

...MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND POINTS EAST...

AT 12Z TUESDAY...CONVECTION WILL BE ONGOING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AS A SHORTWAVE AND FRONT TRACKS EAST INTO THE REGION. WPC
FAVORS A MORE PROGRESSIVE AND SOUTHERN SOLUTION FOR TUESDAY. AS
MENTIONED IN THE DAY 1 DISCUSSION...THE THOUGHT IS THAT THE MCS
OVER TEXAS ON MONDAY WILL END UP ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF
GUIDANCE...MOVING MORE WITH THE CORFIDI VECTORS AND TOWARDS THE
HIGHER INSTABILITY ALONG THE GULF COAST. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE
0Z HI RES ARW AND NMMB GUIDANCE. THUS ON TUESDAY
MORNING...EXPECTING WHAT REMAINS OF THE TEXAS MCS TO BE IMPACTING
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. FURTHER
NORTH...INSTABILITY IS LESS...AND INFLOW WILL LIKELY BE DISRUPTED
SOME FROM THE SOUTHERN ACTIVITY. SO WHILE WE SHOULD STILL HAVE
CONVECTION...THINK AMOUNTS MAY BE LIGHTER THAN SOME OF THE
DETERMINISTIC GLOBAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS. AS WE HEAD THROUGH
TUESDAY...THE WAVE AND FRONT CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST ALONG WITH THE
ATTENDANT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. AS IS COMMON IN THESE
TYPE OF SETUPS CONTINUED TO FAVOR A FASTER PROGRESSION OF THE
SYSTEM...WHICH IS IN LINE WITH THE HI RES GUIDANCE. THUS THE WPC
FORECAST IS SIMILAR IN MAGNITUDE...BUT A BIT FASTER THAN THE
GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. THE FRONT DOES NOT MOVE TOO FAST BY
WEDNESDAY...THUS THE RAIN THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY
ACROSS THE AREA.

TWO DAY TOTAL RAINFALL...12Z TUE-12Z THU..ENDS UP OVER A HALF INCH
ACROSS A LARGE AREA FROM EASTERN MICHIGAN SOUTH TO THE LOUISIANA
AND FLORIDA GULF COAST...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 1.5 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS
NORTHERN ALABAMA AND NORTHERN GEORGIA. AGAIN THIS IS BASED ON A
MULTI MODEL BLEND...WITH SOME ADJUSTMENTS BASED ON THE ECMWF AND
GFS ENSEMBLE MEANS...AND SHIFTED SLIGHTLY QUICKER THAN THE MODEL
CONSENSUS. WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK AT THIS
TIME. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE AROUND 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE NORMAL IN THE ENTIRE CORRIDOR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST...BUT
WE LACK INSTABILITY AS YOU HEAD NORTH...AND LACK A STRONG MOISTURE
INFLUX FURTHER SOUTH. ALSO SIGNS POINT THAT THE TEXAS MCS WILL BE
IN A WEAKENING STATE AS IT MOVES INTO LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI
TUESDAY MORNING...BEFORE WE SEE CONVECTION RE-FIRE BY AFTERNOON.
THUS AT THIS TIME LOOKS LIKE WE MAY SEE LESS ORGANIZATION OF
CONVECTION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. SO WHILE WE SHOULD STILL SEE
WIDESPREAD STORMS...NOT SEEING ENOUGH OF A SIGN OF AN ORGANIZED
FLASH FLOOD RISK TO WARRANT AN OUTLOOK AT THIS TIME. PLUS FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE QUITE HIGH IN THE AREA OF MAX
QPF...ACROSS MISSISSIPPI AND GEORGIA.


...GREAT BASIN EAST INT0 THE PLAINS...

MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING STRONGER WITH THE SHORTWAVE MOVING
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON
TUESDAY...AND THUS HIGHER WITH QPF VALUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WISCONSIN..MINNESOTA AND IOWA. WPC THUS TRENDED THE FORECAST IN
THIS DIRECTION BASED ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND. POSSIBLE WE MAY NEED
TO TREND UP A BIT MORE WITH THE NEXT UPDATE BASED ON TRENDS SEEN
IN THE 12Z ECMWF. MEANWHILE ANOTHER WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL TRACK
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLANS ON TUESDAY...INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING
INSTABILITY. MUCH OF TEXAS SHOULD REMAINED CAPPED BEING FURTHER
FROM THE BETTER FORCING...HOWEVER THE MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT THE
CAP SHOULD BREAK CROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY TUESDAY EVENING.
MOISTURE PARAMETER ARE NOT TOO IMPRESSIVE....BUT GIVEN THE
EXPECTED DEEP CONVECTION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE. THIS
MAY BE AN ISSUE GIVEN THE RECENT FLOODING IN THE AREA...BUT GIVEN
FFG VALUES AND EXPECTED LIMITED AREAL COVERAGE OF STORMS...WILL
NOT ISSUE AN EXCESSIVE RISK AT THIS TIME.

ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AREA ANOTHER TROUGH WILL SETTLE INTO THE
AREA. MODELS WERE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS SETUP...THUS
WPC STARTED WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...AND MADE ADJUSTMENTS
BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGHEST TWO DAY AMOUNTS OF
OVER A HALF INCH ARE EXPECTED TO FOCUS FROM SOUTHWEST MONTANA
SOUTH INTO NORTHERN UTAH.

HURLEY/CHENARD

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 568022 564027 561027 558023 556023 555019 551009 550000
      550995 551990 554983 555976 554968 553958 553944 552938
      552934 552928 553922 554912 554898 553894 552888 552873
      551846 549819 551797 552794 552788
 0.01 540203 538192 536183 533172 530164 525155 518148 505138
      498133 491127 479114 476110 476103 476091 473085 469081
      468077 472072 476065 480057 480041 478033 480027 480020
      480003 477982 501886 505865 510844 513822 515807 516796
      518780 519768 518753 519745 518738 517731 516726 513709
      506677 503668 498664 494660 492656 488647 486642 482639
      478638 475638 466638 458639 447642 436646 433649 431650
      431654 430665 430679 431689 433698 435702 436710 432718
      433723 436726 437733 436736 432744 428754 425762 424765
      424769 423773 420780 419785 415790 412793 407794 400800
      386813 375812 371815 369818 367818 361812 355812 351813
      348813 345811 338808 330804 327803 323803 320804 316802
      312802 308800 305799 302801 299805 298810 299814 300817
      298817 291813 287811 284808 279800 273792 270789 268788
      265790 265792 263797 259800 253799 250800 247804 244810
      240812 238809 233803 229796 226793 223793 220797 220803
      220814 221821 223826 224832 225840 228845 233844 241848
      246849 248849 249846 250841 253838 262838 268843 268906
      270917 272922 271924 268924 264932 262936 264940 265954
      265961 264965 262970 259974 250978 237975 236986 235991
      235996 236999 242001 250004 256006 260999 262995 267992
      274992 279995 286000 288005 291007 296010 301011 304008
      307004 311996 316001 315006 313010 312014 312019 318022
      323021 326020 333015 338009 342007 347006 353000 356997
      359001 364011 364025 364033 362040 360046 358050 356054
      352059 337067 333071 332079
 0.01 332079 335093 342104 346109 348117 349122 352124 355126
      357126 363123 366118 368111 370109 372110 372115 373123
      375127 380128 383127 386127 391124 393126 397127 404129
      411133 409139 408143 406143 406140 402134 398134 395135
      393140 393144 392149 390153 386157 378168 373174 374178
      372181 370183 369187 374191 378196 382202 386206 389209
      392210 395213 399214 403220 397224 395228 395231 399237
      404237 408237 410236 414235 415232 417229 418223 420210
      428197 431190 432188 433182 435178 436173 436165 435162
      432158 427151 425143 425139 426135 431135 433142 435148
      439154 442157 445161 448168 451173 457172 461168 463166
      467166 472170 474173 474178 474184 475187 476192 479196
      481204 480213 479213 477218 481223 491232 501246 511257
      515263 522267
 0.01 447969 448966 448964 448961 447959 446961 446964 445966
      447969 447969
 0.01 446978 446976 446973 447971 445969 444971 444973 444976
      444978 445981 446978
 0.01 425824 423822 422820 421820 420818 418817 416818 414819
      413821 412824 411826 413828 415830 417829 419829 420827
      422826 424826 425824
 0.01 400030 401024 400018 400012 399005 398001 394000 388006
      381009 381013 383019 378024 380035 381039 387039 392040
      396042 398043 399040 400032 400030
 0.01 378997 378994 378992 378990 376988 375988 373988 371988
      369988 367990 369992 371994 373994 374997 376999 378997
 0.01 254828 254826 253824 253822 252820 251820 251818 250816
      248817 246817 244817 243819 243821 244823 245825 246827
      247828 249828 251828 253830 254828
 0.25 516227 514225 514221 517214 517205 515202 512200 508198
      505203 503204 501209 501220 502222 504226 507226 512226
      514228 516227
 0.25 511173 511168 510165 510161 508159 507160 503159 500158
      498159 496161 495163 496166 498167 501168 503171 504174
      507177 508178 510175 511173
 0.25 506771 506758 502748 498740 495737 491737 488740 487733
      488727 487720 480693 479680 477674 475670 472666 469664
      463662 445656 443657 440660 441667 442674 442681 443687
      447697 445720 447729 447736 444747 443758 445773 447799
      453819 455832 455848 455853 457860 459865 459871 456879
      451884 439896 432904 431910 428914 423923 420931 414947
      409948 404948 401951 400956 389972 388977 391983 395984
      398983 403977 405974 406968 417956 423954 426951 431943
      436936 439925 443918 445915 450915 456920 458925 458931
      458947 458965 460970 463972 466971 469967 472959 475950
      478941 480929 484916 488906 494886 496877 499866 503845
      504837 504829 505815 506801 507789 506771
 0.25 495166 495165 493165 492165 491166 490167 489169 488170
      488172 489174 490175 491173 492170 493168 494166 495166
 0.25 483133 481131 479131 478132 479133 481134 483133 483133
 0.25 465132 465129 464128 463126 463125 462126 462129 462130
      463131 464133 465132
 0.25 467018 468016 468013 467011 466010 465010 464011 463013
      463016 463018 464020 466019 467018
 0.25 429016 429007 428999 428981 426974 424972 421972 418977
      415984 413001 410014 409021 408025 408031 410036 413041
      417045 420047 423046 425040 427032 429016
 0.25 374878 371868 372865 370863 363864 358860 354856 352849
      352842 353830 351824 346824 334829 330826 325824 320825
      317830 315842 314855 311853 308853 305857 303861 299865
      293873 288877 282880 277882 274886 273893 276898 282907
      288918 290924 290931 287941 285945 281949 276963 274969
      275976 277981 279985 288990 291997 296001 299002 302001
      306996 310987 314984 320983 326986 332987 344986 349984
      352980 355975 357968 364957 366945 369920 371914 372911
      371906 369900 368891 372884 374878
 0.25 332008 331005 329006 326008 324010 322012 320014 319016
      320019 322018 325016 327014 328012 330010 332008
 0.25 283827 282826 280825 278823 276822 274822 272821 270822
      269822 268823 268825 268827 269827 269828 271830 272830
      273831 275831 276831 278831 280830 281829 282829 283827
 0.25 232824 233822 233820 233818 233816 232814 231813 231812
      229810 227809 225810 224811 224813 224815 225817 225819
      226821 227823 228824 229824 230825 232825 232824
 0.50 512215 512214 512212 513210 513209 511210 509211 508211
      508214 508217 509217 510217 512216 512215
 0.50 502798 501783 498776 496774 493776 489781 486774 483758
      478726 477718 476711 475705 475700 475692 474684 472678
      470672 465669 461670 459673 458680 460689 460698 454707
      453713 454719 455730 455738 453745 453752 453760 452766
      451781 450791 451799 452806 454813 457827 457843 458850
      460853 463852 467852 468863 467871 466876 461887 460893
      461898 463905 465914 465922 462937 461953 462960 466961
      467959 471952 473944 479918 484906 488890 496865 499851
      501844 501834 501816 502798
 0.50 431930 432928 432926 431923 429921 428922 427923 426925
      426926 426928 426931 428932 430932 431931 431930
 0.50 423032 424025 424018 423011 423006 421001 418001 417008
      416013 414017 412022 412029 414033 416036 418037 421037
      423033 423032
 0.50 357923 358916 357910 351903 346901 340901 329904 320905
      315905 313902 312893 315888 320881 325879 331879 341881
      344880 346878 346874 341872 336872 328872 322874 320877
      299873 284883 281886 279891 281897 283902 291919 293925
      293932 289943 285952 283962 282967 282975 284981 288984
      295987 297990 296997 298999 300997 303993 308983 314978
      320978 325979 330980 336978 340977 344973 348965 351955
      349950 346947 343941 343936 350935 354936 354932 355929
      357923
 0.50 349835 349833 348832 346832 345834 344834 343836 343838
      343839 343840 343841 344842 345843 345842 346841 347840
      348838 348837 349835
 0.50 331844 330843 328843 327844 329845 330844 331844
 0.50 230820 231818 230816 229814 227813 227812 227813 226815
      227817 227819 228820 229821 230821 230820
 1.00 498837 497834 494831 490831 488826 490818 491813 492809
      491806 486813 484816 483821 480825 479830 475838 473848
      475855 475862 470883 469893 471905 473908 475909 476907
      481899 484891 486880 489871 492861 495853 497842 498837
 1.00 474803 473785 473777 472773 470771 468766 463763 459773
      456786 455792 455801 458815 461829 463831 465824 468814
      474803 474803
 1.00 469942 469940 469938 469937 469936 467935 467937 467940
      467942 467944 467946 468944 469943 469942
 1.00 330943 329930 332924 331920 330916 327911 323911 312913
      302910 299906 300901 296897 295895 295891 297888 296885
      289887 285889 286893 293904 292907 293911 295916 297923
      296931 290954 288966 289972 291979 296980 301979 305979
      310975 324960 328952 330943
 1.50 487856 487851 487846 485845 481845 479847 480851 481854
      481859 480862 480867 480872 481875 483873 484870 486866
      486864 486859 487856
 1.50 477895 477892 476890 475889 474890 474892 474895 475897
      477896 477895
 1.50 462800 462797 461796 461797 461800 462801 462800
 1.50 327924 324917 322916 317916 310916 305916 301918 300925
      297933 296939 294947 292954 291957 292962 294967 294977
      300977 306974 313962 319951 325939 324932 326925 327924
 2.00 323924 321919 318918 314918 307919 303924 299935 297940
      297945 296953 294959 297962 299962 298964 296970 296974
      299976 304973 307969 312958 313950 316944 318939 320937
      319934 320929 323924
 3.00 313926 313924 312924 310923 308924 306926 306928 306929
      308930 310929 312928 313926
 3.00 307962 308958 307955 305957 303959 301962 300964 299966
      298970 297973 299973 301972 303969 305966 306964 307962

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 533217 534209 533202 534195 533190 534182 533175 531171
      530163 525153 520146 513129 506111 501101 498097 495094
      480079 475073 468065 462058 460049 452041 449030 446022
      443017 439016 436013 430013 425013 422015 428028 431033
      433035 431039 424033 418026 415022 413018 410007 405005
      401000 399995 395994 387990 391979 391965 388961 388954
      388948 389941 389937 391934 393934 399934 403936 407938
      409943 412953 415963 415969 415977 415985 417991 420994
      423997 429990 431985 435980 442964 447962 450959 455948
      465933 474915 475902 477896 482892 492876 494876 497872
      499863 506844 508838 508830 508818 509811 510803 510787
      512776 513762 514756 517752 519748 520743 521738 521734
      522731 522726 520723 519718 515709 513703 512693 509665
      506652 502645 494641 491640 487637 482628 478626 472627
      463632 452636 447638 444642 439648 435656 433660 434665
      434692 437697 437700 439699 444698 447695 454686 457690
      459693 459696 460700 458703 453705 450707 447709 444715
      441719 439724 437729 435737 432742 429743 426738 422739
      417740 413743 410746 406747 405752 404756 402758 397763
      392771 389775 386778 382781 376782 355789 351792 346794
      341792 337793 333791 327792 323794 321795 320799 316806
      315810 311811 309813 306814 303814 301812 292810 282808
      277808 274811 271814 272817 262819 258822 257826 258832
      259839 264862 265874 266878 267882 270887 269892 272901
      269923 268929 268933 270937 270941 273951 274957 276959
      280960 283958 285953 288952 290954 293956 297958 307960
      311959 316958 321956 325952 331946 335945 336948 334949
      332954 331959 330964 331970 335980 342986 352998 358004
      360008 360012 366035 364042 362047 361052 362058 366081
      367090 369097 370100
 0.01 370100 374111 375123 380146 381152 380160 381164 381168
      383168 394171 398172 398175 399179 399183 400188 402192
      408200 414204 416199 417192 418184 418178 419175 421174
      424171 431166 425158 424152 426149 429149 435151 438155
      446160 448162 448167 447175 448180 450185 457184 473179
      479187 477193 474195 469197 466200 459207 456209 454214
      458217 463218 467218 471218 478219 481222 485225 488231
      493239 501259 508256 512255 515256 522249 526247 527242
      533217
 0.01 388201 387196 385192 380190 378187 373184 370183 367185
      369190 372193 375195 379197 382200 387201 388201
 0.01 364941 363938 361939 359939 357939 355939 354939 352939
      350939 348939 347941 346941 345941 343943 345945 346944
      348944 350944 352943 354943 355943 357942 359942 361942
      363942 364941
 0.01 324818 321817 319817 315815 312816 308816 307818 303819
      300821 303822 307822 309822 312823 316823 320821 321820
      324818
 0.01 298023 299012 297004 295002 291001 285003 280007 273010
      269010 266013 264016 264021 268025 277027 286027 294025
      298023
 0.01 252816 252810 250806 248802 246796 244794 241797 241803
      242809 243815 244820 248822 251818 252816
 0.25 504228 505226 505222 504218 503207 502199 500190 499186
      498181 496179 493179 492184 494188 495197 498206 498209
      497213 498223 500226 502228 504228
 0.25 507166 505158 501150 497144 493137 491134 488132 486130
      484126 484115 482111 480108 471096 466091 464089 459088
      453091 451094 449097 445099 442098 436102 430105 425109
      419113 414112 411113 405114 399118 397122 398129 399132
      403134 412134 416136 419135 423128 428125 433124 437125
      442130 449134 456137 462137 470139 478141 482142 483146
      486154 489162 489169 490173 493175 501173 505170 507166
 0.25 482769 482762 479757 472755 468756 466759 462766 453783
      449790 446793 442795 435797 430799 426797 421792 414789
      410788 406789 400793 397796 392798 382800 376805 372807
      367809 363807 360808 354809 345813 339819 327829 317841
      304848 297852 294855 292859 288866 285875 283883 278890
      278894 279897 282905 286911 288917 289920 292929 294933
      298935 306935 314931 327922 334917 341914 348911 357909
      374905 382901 389897 396893 402887 406882 411880 416882
      423883 427886 431887 434889 435895 435907 434912 431916
      426923 425928 426934 428936 433936 440933 446927 451922
      454913 458905 464899 466894 467889 468880 465870 466857
      468847 468840 468835 471814 475793 482769
 0.25 449870 449869 447869 445869 445870 447870 449870 449870
 0.25 419147 420145 420142 418140 416141 416142 414143 414144
      413146 414147 415148 415149 417150 418149 419148 419147
 0.25 400141 399139 397138 395139 393139 393140 391142 392144
      392146 392147 394148 395147 395145 396144 398143 400141
      400141
 0.25 370987 370983 370979 369972 369963 366957 359957 354960
      351965 351974 352980 354987 358991 362996 365994 366992
      370987
 0.50 457803 457798 455797 450802 445813 443820 438823 427830
      406832 397839 393844 388849 384848 384845 383840 380840
      375842 369842 363839 359834 356829 356823 354818 350818
      346820 338827 322844 319849 315854 305859 301864 298870
      292879 290885 289892 290907 293922 297926 303927 308926
      314922 321915 326911 331906 334903 340900 345898 353899
      358899 364897 375891 379888 384884 391875 398865 409859
      418851 421847 427845 433842 437839 442835 446830 448823
      451818 456811 457803
 0.50 364983 364978 363976 362972 362969 360967 358967 356969
      356974 356978 356983 358985 360986 364985 364983
 1.00 352842 350837 348833 344832 341833 338836 332845 329855
      324865 323871 323875 325879 328881 334882 340880 343877
      348868 350863 350855 350847 352842 352842
 1.00 308911 308909 308907 307907 306908 305907 304907 303909
      304912 306913 308912 308911
 1.50 342860 343858 343856 343853 342852 340852 339854 338855
      337856 337858 336861 335862 335863 335865 335867 335869
      337869 339868 340867 341866 342864 342862 342861 342860

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 527239 529223 530216 529210 532181 531178 532173 533164
      533156 532149 534130 534125 533123 530119 525110 520104
      516100 514095 510092 506086 504082 504074 502064 495046
      499019 504019 507018 512018 515021 524025 528027 531027
      530023 528008 528002 526997 526992 523983 517976 509971
      499967 490967 480966 464967 425966 421967 415967 411967
      409966 403965 393961 389959 387955 387942 391933 395910
      400904 404894 410887 414885 418884 423882 429881 432883
      430888 432900 434905 434909 437907 447904 455899 460891
      463886 465879 470871 472866 474863 478850 480847 483849
      484855 485861 484869 483881 481904 479917 479929 482937
      490939 492939 494937 494931 497918 499903 501889 504876
      505866 507856 507848 508846 508841 512786 514759 514747
      514731 513701 511683 509674 506670 502661 496651 492643
      487640 482641 479646 476649 473652 470650 465645 462642
      457644 448648 443654 433669 423689 413708 394738 385754
      377760 371768 350795 344801 337803 332805 324810 316817
      311822 309825 305827 302829 299833 295838 293840 290841
      286841 281843 279844 279848 279855 280859 279863 278868
      277873 276877 272881 272884 276888 280894 282899 282906
      282912 284918 288931 286935 286941 287946 290950 293958
      294969 292995 289998 289001 287004 287008 282011 276015
      279022 278028 276032 275036 277040 280047 286051 307057
      318054 326051 333047 337043 340041 346037 350028 352023
      354020 361013 365010 370012 377017 389028
 0.01 389028 392033 393039 390045 388047 385048 372048 370050
      367050 365050 363054 372055 378058 379061 377064 373066
      374072 375078 375080 379081 381095 382103 383105 382108
      374116 380124 385134 380151 379156 378160 376162 377164
      377168 376173 378174 389176 396174 400170 403170 405172
      409176 412176 414175 418171 423172 426167 427158 426154
      426149 428140 431145 434150 435157 437163 439168 440171
      440175 442183 447185 453186 461180 468173 471171 475172
      478174 479177 482182 482189 481198 478203 475208 470210
      466212 463213 465215 474214 480214 487216 491215 494216
      496218 501232 504236 508241 512244 515245 517243 527239
 0.01 388201 386196 383193 380191 376188 373185 368184 365187
      367190 370192 375196 379198 382201 387202 388201
 0.01 286825 285816 284814 281815 275817 272818 269816 266812
      264808 265805 267800 268794 265788 260788 254790 251794
      253800 254805 252810 253817 257821 263823 272827 278828
      284827 286825
 0.25 504730 504716 503710 501704 494684 490672 488673 485672
      479670 472674 464689 452703 449710 447713 442714 439717
      436721 433723 428726 421730 416735 412742 409754 400768
      398776 394784 388789 381791 373795 365802 359807 352811
      346815 339819 330822 324825 317830 310835 304841 301849
      297868 296875 297884 300892 303895 306900 308903 311905
      317902 324898 330893 335889 339888 342885 347878 354875
      359875 363867 369862 374855 383843 391838 396830 399823
      403817 408810 411800 411795 412791 414788 416789 419794
      420794 423789 426786 430784 435783 442780 452767 466770
      472778 474780 479781 484774 488766 496753 502741 504730
 0.25 477134 477130 473128 470125 469120 474114 476111 477104
      476100 473096 474093 475090 475086 468082 466079 463082
      463087 459086 457089 458096 459100 457105 450107 448110
      447117 443117 443121 447129 449138 452148 454150 457148
      460148 463148 464145 464139 469138 473135 477134
 0.25 464996 465991 464987 459984 452985 447987 441988 439990
      438993 438997 439998 444000 446999 453000 456000 462998
      464996
 0.25 416127 417125 418123 417121 417119 415118 413117 411117
      410119 409119 408121 407121 407124 407125 408126 409128
      409129 410130 412131 414130 415130 416128 416127
 0.25 415010 413004 411999 405991 400988 393987 389985 382986
      377986 372985 367985 363983 364976 367970 369965 370958
      369953 367946 364941 359939 354941 350945 347950 345956
      344970 349980 365990 368994 373997 381003 389010 399016
      402019 408020 412017 415011 415010
 0.50 496714 496707 493702 490700 486701 479706 475715 476720
      476725 477729 477735 475745 476747 480744 488740 490736
      492731 495722 496714
 0.50 430738 430735 429734 429733 427733 426733 424733 422734
      421735 419738 420740 420742 420745 422746 423745 425744
      426743 427743 428741 428740 430739 430738
 0.50 394000 394999 393997 392997 390996 389996 388997 388999
      389000 390001 392000 394000 394000
 0.50 358830 353832 346830 338829 331831 324835 319839 313843
      308848 310869 312871 313875 315877 319877 323872 327866
      329857 331856 333860 335861 337858 342853 346846 353844
      355841 356837 358830
 0.50 358965 358963 358961 358958 358956 357954 357952 357951
      356952 355952 354952 353954 353956 352958 352959 352960
      352963 352965 352967 353969 353970 355970 356969 357967
      357966 358965

$$





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