Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 280900
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
459 AM EDT FRI AUG 28 2015


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 28/1200 UTC THRU AUG 31/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY--LOWER MO VALLEY

WELL DEFINED HEIGHT FALLS WILL CONTINUE TO PRESS EASTWARD DAY 1
INTO THE LOWER MO VALLEY AND MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY REGION.
SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS RUNS THERE ARE DIFFERENCES WITH RESPECT TO THE
QPF AXIS IN THE AREA OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM FROM THE LOWER MO VALLEY INTO PORTIONS OF THE MID TO UPPER
MS VALLEY.  DAY 1 QPF CONTINUES TO FAVOR THE SOLUTIONS ON THE
SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE QPF SPREAD GIVEN MODEL BIASES OF BEING TOO
FAR NORTH WITH OVERRUNNING CONVECTIVE EVENTS---ESPECIALLY IN THE
WARM SEASON.  THESE INCLUDE THE NSSL WRF---CMC GEM---GFS---NAM
CONEST AND REFORECAST 2 DATA SET.  WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN TOTALS IN
THE 1-2" RANGE DEPICTED FROM FAR NORTHERN MO---ACROSS CENTRAL TO
EASTERN IA---NORTHWEST IL INTO SOUTHERN WI.

PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS.

MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR LIGHTER TOTALS EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE TRAILING COLD FRONT INTO PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL TO
SOUTHERN PLAINS.  HOWEVER---WITH PW VALUES EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY
HIGH--1.50-1,75"+---LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS POSSIBLE WHERE CONVECTION
DOES ORGANIZE

NORTHERN MN

A SEPARATE MORE NORTHERN STREAM OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY WILL BE
PUSHING EASTWARD FROM SOUTHERN SASK---SOUTHERN MB---CLIPPING FAR
NORTHERN MN AND THE U.P. OF MI. THE 0000 UTC ECMWF HAS TRENDED
WETTER AHEAD OF THESE HEIGHT FALLS COMPARED TO ITS 1200 UTC RUN
AND IS IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE CURRENT
GUIDANCE.  MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIP TOTALS POSSIBLE IN A REGION OF
WELL DEFINED UPPER DIFFLUENCE AND ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES.

NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN TAKING STRONG NORTHEAST PACIFIC
HEIGHT FALLS THROUGH THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF OFF THE PAC
NW/NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST FRIDAY AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD IN A
NEGATIVE TILTED FASHION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY TOWARD
THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND OREGON COASTS.  MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE PW
VALUES IN THE LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THESE HEIGHT FALLS
WILL SUPPORT INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES FROM NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA
INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FROM THE CASCADES WESTWARD TO THE COAST
RANGES.  UPSLOPE COMPONENT WILL BE LIMITED IN THE SOUTHERLY
ONSHORE FLOW---WITH MODEL CONSENSUS FOR MODERATE PRECIP TOTALS IN
THE .25-.50" RANGE ACROSS THESE AREAS.

FLORIDA---SOUTHEAST AL---SOUTHERN GA

THE ELONGATED UPPER TROF OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL BEGIN TO
RETROGRADE SLOWLY DAY 1 OVER THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN GULF.
1.75-2.00"+ PW VALUES TO THE EAST OF THIS TROF WILL KEEP SHOWERY
CONDITIONS FOR FLORIDA INTO SOUTHEAST AL AND SOUTHERN GA.
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE
AREAS.  SHOWERS MAY ALSO CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL
SECTIONS FROM GA INTO NC--WITH THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINS
REMAINING OFFSHORE.

DAYS 2/3...

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST TO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...

A POTENT LATE SUMMER UPPER TROUGH WILL AFFECT THE NORTHWESTERN
CORRIDOR OF THE COUNTRY THIS WEEKEND AS STRONG HEIGHT FALLS PUSH
THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY...THE 500-MB
HEIGHTS ARE APPROXIMATELY 2.5 TO 3 SIGMAS BELOW AVERAGE SHOWING
THE TREMENDOUS STRENGTH OF THIS TROUGH. ADDITIONALLY...THE REGION
WILL AFFECTED BY A PAIR OF MOISTURE SURGES...EACH SETTING THE
STAGE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL PRODUCTION OVER THE FAVORED TERRAIN. THE
INITIAL SHORTWAVE PUSHING ACROSS THE OLYMPIC RANGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY 850-MB FLOW IN THE 40 TO 50 KNOT RANGE WHICH WILL
LEAD TO HEAVY UPSLOPE PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE COASTAL RANGE AND
WA CASCADES. EVENTUALLY THE PATTERN RELOADS AND THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW
ACCELERATES IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT SPEED MAX TRAVERSING THE BROAD
LONGWAVE TROUGH. OVERALL...IN SPITE OF SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES
WITH THE INDIVIDUAL FEATURES...THE 00Z NAM/GFS AND 12Z ECMWF WERE
QUITE SIMILAR IN THE DETERMINISTIC QPF OUTPUT. GIVEN THEIR
HIGHER-RESOLUTION...INCORPORATED THESE SOLUTIONS HEAVILY INTO THE
FORECAST WITH HEAVY PRECIPITATION ON BOTH DAYS OF THE PERIOD. WAS
TEMPTED TO PLACE A SLIGHT RISK ACROSS THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THE
WA CASCADES BUT HELD OFF GIVEN THE BELIEF IT WOULD BE MORE OF A
LONG DURATION FLOOD ISSUE.


...LOWER GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...

THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET WILL CARRY A SHORTWAVE FROM THE
GREAT LAKES TOWARD THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. MODELS EXPECT THE FLOW TO
RELAX AS THE IMPULSE FLATTENS RESULTING IN A WEAKENING OF THE LOW
REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE. THE GUIDANCE THAT MAINTAINS A MORE
DISCERNIBLE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TENDED TO BE A BIT HEAVIER WITH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS. THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR CONVECTION IS ALONG THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WHERE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL BE
MAXIMIZED. AFTER DISCUSSIONS WITH THE WPC MODEL DIAGNOSTICS
FORECASTER...IT WAS BELIEVED THE 12Z ECMWF WAS TOO SLOW WITH
MULTIPLE MODELS SUPPORTING A QUICKER TREND...LED BY THE 00Z NAM.
THE 00Z GFS WAS NOT OF MUCH HELP AS IT SIGNIFICANTLY WASHED OUT
THE WAVE LEADING TO MINIMAL PRECIPITATION WHICH SEEMED UNLIKELY IN
THIS PATTERN. THUS...THIS FORECAST WAS HEAVILY DRIVEN BY THE 00Z
NAM INFLUENCES.


...SOUTHEASTERN U.S...

BY FAR THE MOST UNCERTAIN SECTOR OF THE MAP...THIS AREA IS PRIMED
TO BE AFFECTED BY WEAK MID-LEVEL FLOW OVER THE MID-SOUTH/LOWER TN
VALLEY/ADJACENT LOCATIONS. MEANWHILE...THE INFLUENCES OF TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA AND ITS ENHANCED TROPICAL MOISTURE CONTENT COULD BRING
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SECTIONS OF FL. BEGINNING TO THE
NORTH...A MYRIAD OF SHORTWAVES WOBBLING ABOUT THE TN
VALLEY/MID-SOUTH/OZARKS REGION WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
RATHER WEAK FLOW ALOFT. GIVEN THE WEAK WIND SHEAR IN PLACE...ANY
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES SHOULD STRUGGLE TO ORGANIZE. HEAVY
DOWNPOURS ARE DEFINITELY LIKELY GIVEN SLOW CELL MOTIONS AND
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE. TENDED TO LEAN ON A COMBINATION OF THE
18Z GFS/GEFS MEAN AS THEIR SLOWER SOLUTIONS WERE MORE IN LINE WITH
THE MULTI-DAY SPAGHETTI PLOT TRENDS. THIS GENERALLY WASHED OUT THE
SIGNAL A BIT BUT GIVEN THE WEAK SYNOPTIC FORCING AT HAND...FELT
THIS WAS A REASONABLE APPROACH.

OF COURSE THE BIGGER THREAT FOR MORE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS
IN RESPONSE TO TROPICAL STORM ERIKA...CURRENTLY SOUTH OF PUERTO
RICO. MODEL UNCERTAINTY IS QUITE HIGH REGARDING BOTH THE TRACK AND
INTENSITY. THE 03Z FORECAST PACKAGE WAS MOST SUPPORTED BY THE 18Z
GFS/GEFS MEAN COMBINATION. HOWEVER...WITH A TREND IN THE SOUTH AND
WEST DIRECTIONS...THE LATEST NHC FORECAST TRACK OBEYED SOMETHING
CLOSER TO THE 00Z NAM. THE FINAL QPF PRODUCT FOLLOWED SUIT
ADJUSTING AMOUNTS ACCORDINGLY. REGARDLESS OF THE OVERALL STRENGTH
OF THE TROPICAL CIRCULATION...AN ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE ARISING
FORM THE EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW SHOULD PRESENT A HEAVY RAINFALL
THREAT TO MUCH OF FL. DECIDED TO PLACE A SLIGHT RISK ON DAY 3
ACROSS THE FL KEYS AND UP ALONG THE MIAMI/FT. LAUDERDALE METRO
AREAS. WHILE FFG VALUES ARE CURRENTLY HIGH...TROPICAL RAINFALL
RATES MAY POSE A THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING.


...FOUR CORNERS REGION...

ENHANCED MONSOONAL MOISTURE LIFTING UP THE GULF OF CA/SEA OF
CORTEZ WILL WORK IN CONJUNCTION WITH DIURNAL HEATING TO BRING
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.
MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE AREA SHOULD BE ACTIVE FROM THE
EARLY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES
GIVEN SUFFICIENT SURFACE HEATING FLUXES. THE OVERALL SIGNAL WAS
CLEAR ACROSS THE BOARD WITH ORGANIZATION NOT BEING GREAT SITTING
UNDERNEATH THE UPPER RIDGE. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED ISSUES OF FLASH
FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE COMPLEX TERRAIN WHERE RUNOFF MAY
BE AN ISSUE. THE GRAPHIC WAS PRIMARILY DERIVED FROM A COMBINATION
OF THE 00Z NAM/12Z ECMWF GIVEN SUFFICIENT AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE
TWO.


ORAVEC/RUBIN-OSTER

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV



24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 523264 521255 518246 512231 508225 505217 503212 503209
      505205 508204 515209 520216 524221 529224 532221 534215
      537204 538202 539197 536190 532183 527176 519164 514159
      511157 508157 505158 502163 500172 498176 497182 495187
      492188 486192 482198 477201 469204 466204 464208 463211
      460213 446216 432216 424217 422220 420226 417225 415222
      415218 412214 407214 399210 395210 394212 397218 402220
      403223 401227 397228 395229 389228 382232 381235 382239
      384248 375255 364268 362271 361276 360282 362284 393294
      410301 420305 428307 436307 442304 444302 445297 448289
      461254 468254 473256 475259 486268 498280 503286 506288
      509287 514285 518277
 0.01 520952 520922 520889 519865 517855 516840 515835 514827
      514820 513814 511784 510776 509772 507768 504764 499758
      496754 493756 489762 487766 486772 487788 487801 485823
      484832 480824 475820 472818 468818 463819 460821 457824
      457830 457844 459856 453850 444847 442847 441844 441838
      440832 438826 436823 432821 427826 421841 413854 405870
      403878 399886 395895 389905 385911 380919 374923 366927
      359932 355934 352938 350939 348943 345951 341956 337963
      333971 333982 338986 342988 342994 337001 331008 319024
      315030 310037 307039 305044 304057 301065 297070 280071
      275071 270069 264066 248057 240053 236054 233057 235064
      240070 245076 253079 261084 265091 284112 290117 293119
      296118 308107 316106 325110 333115 343116 347116 347113
      344104 340095 337086 331072 330068 331063 334060 337059
      343059 348059 353066 358070 364070 368071 371075 375079
      377080 380079 383079 389080 393078 399076 404075 407073
      410071 412067 412061 410057 407054 402053 385051 377050
      369046 364038 361034 360030 358025 358017 361007 366000
      367997 372995 380992 385989 389986 390983 395975 397970
      400968 407962 412958 418955 422956 425958 431962 437962
      440959 445952 449941 451930 451922 452917 456908 461891
      464890 464896 463903 463909 465921 465930 465937 464947
      463957 463963 465967 466972 467975 469975 480984 484983
      487986 487997 490000 492998 495993 497988 499983 503981
      512980 515974 517967 520952
 0.01 385806 384801 379800 375802 371805 367809 364813 361816
      358821 354824 351828 349832 348838 350842 354840 357837
      360832 365825 372816 380812 385806
 0.01 361729 359712 356709 352708 347710 344715 341720 339724
      334734 328742 325746 321750 313757 308766 306770 302773
      298775 291778 287778 284777 279777 266779 257784 247790
      240797 236807 236811 237818 241828 246839 249842 254844
      263846 277861 284869 288871 294871 300870 305868 310870
      314873 319872 323868 325864 327859 328857 328852 327844
      328837 326833 324828 322822 326812 331803 336793 339788
      340782 340776 342771 355754 358748 360742 361729
 0.25 530208 530199 528192 525187 520183 515179 510178 510183
      512189 515195 519201 521206 526210 530208
 0.25 514266 516262 515256 513249 509238 498214 496211 493211
      487210 477213 475216 476219 478219 485221 486223 486228
      485230 482230 476227 474220 466225 461227 456229 445232
      435235 431236 424235 419233 413232 402233 400234 398239
      400246 404249 406252 403254 393259 384265 376273 374277
      378281 383281 390279 402287 412294 422300 427300 433296
      441289 442281 442273 441267 439262 438259 438256 442252
      451247 462246 472246 478247 484252 492260 495260 496254
      494247 492241 494238 498241 501246 504252 507258 511265
      514266
 0.25 500914 501904 500895 499886 498883 495882 490881 485882
      481879 478879 477882 475889 475897 474907 474917 476937
      476944 477952 479954 482955 488954 492950 495944 499931
      500922 500914
 0.25 448908 448887 449877 447867 438858 436856 432855 427860
      413882 406894 399906 386931 384938 380943 370950 364954
      369955 373954 377957 379960 381961 383963 386963 391960
      397957 403954 409952 415950 430953 436950 440946 441942
      441936 443929 447918 448908
 0.25 322801 321799 318797 312798 304798 297797 284797 281802
      282807 275807 270804 257802 252806 250807 250811 250816
      254821 257827 260830 267832 271834 286854 292856 299857
      303855 304852 303846 297835 292831 286830 279832 275830
      277826 282826 289826 293826 296824 298819 312819 316815
      319811 322801
 0.25 275797 273795 271794 270795 269796 268798 267800 268800
      270800 272800 274799 275797 275797
 0.50 510257 509249 508243 507240 505237 502232 499226 496221
      495220 493225 495231 497237 502242 505247 507253 508256
      510257
 0.50 496919 495909 493904 491901 487896 480892 478902 479906
      480912 479922 479932 480938 482942 488942 492936 495927
      496919
 0.50 461240 462236 460235 457234 455234 452235 450236 448237
      446241 448244 452244 454243 457243 459242 461240
 0.50 436287 438283 437280 436277 432266 431263 426260 417260
      410261 405261 401263 398267 399272 404280 411287 418292
      422295 427295 430294 433290 436287
 0.50 431246 430243 429240 426239 423238 419236 416235 414237
      413240 413243 416246 418247 421249 425249 426249 430248
      431246
 0.50 445899 444884 443879 440874 434867 430866 426869 421876
      416885 412894 407903 399922 395932 397936 395941 391950
      394952 398951 417947 426949 430949 433947 436942 438937
      440925 443913 445901 445899
 0.50 298845 297840 296838 293837 292836 288835 286834 282835
      282838 283842 284844 287846 289846 291847 294848 296847
      298845
 1.00 438906 439897 437888 435883 430878 427879 422884 417896
      412906 408919 405936 404942 407944 410944 424943 431935
      435928 436921 438906
 1.50 434904 434897 433892 430890 427888 422894 418903 415912
      413917 412924 410933 409937 410940 414941 419941 423940
      428932 431928 432923 434911 434904
 2.00 432914 431908 430904 429901 426900 422900 419908 416917
      415920 417924 413931 412935 413938 419937 424933 429926
      431916 432914

24HR QP VT 30/12Z
 0.01 524262 524254 523249 520242 518238 517233 520230 523233
      527236 530235 532230 534225 537210 541198 542190 542183
      538177 533170 526165 523161 520157 512150 508147 504145
      495143 484131 482127 478126 476129 474133 470137 464135
      464130 466125 467120 463119 459115 457111 454108 450107
      444106 442103 439104 432107 427108 424111 421111 419113
      416117 405116 404119 406124 412130 416136 417141 419145
      423141 426134 429131 436124 439122 441121 442124 443130
      443133 441135 438138 437141 440144 440149 448150 450151
      451155 449160 451171 452176 454179 461180 463174 464171
      467169 472171 476169 480171 484178 483185 480188 466201
      458203 450206 437209 427208 420211 417213 411213 405212
      402211 400213 396214 394216 392230 401242 405244 406246
      406248 405254 408256 412260 415260 420269 425271 428270
      432268 434268 434271 437280 440286 444289 448291 451292
      455291 470303 474307 478307 487306 496305 507304
 0.01 485154 486151 485149 485147 483146 483145 482144 480145
      479147 479150 481153 482154 484155 485154
 0.01 491838 490819 488812 484807 481799 475795 470793 463794
      459795 456793 455786 453779 451776 451770 449759 447756
      444756 442754 439755 435756 432758 425767 418777 415784
      412791 406805 405811 404819 403826 403834 402842 399853
      399861 401869 390890 386898 381904 373913 356927 350931
      345932 342934 338938 337945 339952 341957 343963 345965
      348965 351964 355963 359963 362961 366956 369955 373955
      381954 385952 388948 390941 389930 388926 391922 394917
      400913 403908 407906 411902 416903 425903 431900 441892
      446887 450885 456882 462881 474875 479870 482864 485859
      488852 491838
 0.01 455147 456145 456142 455140 453142 452144 452146 454149
      455147
 0.01 411105 410101 406100 402108 394112 387113 382115 379119
      378123 375125 375130 378128 383129 386125 390118 393115
      398113 405112 409110 411105
 0.01 394798 393794 391794 386795 381798 377803 374808 371813
      374819 379819 382814 385809 389806 392801 394798
 0.01 395057 394056 390059 386062 383058 381051 379048 375047
      367046 365048 362048 358048 356049 352052 348055 346055
      344054 340049 336044 324043 313039 310036 306032 305053
      301057 297059 287063 275069 269070 262069 258071 256075
      258086 260089 264090 271093 274094 275096 277101 280105
      284107 289110 292115 297119 303123 310124 315127 323132
      329133 331129 330125 332123 337121 341123 342127 344128
      349130 351125 355123 362123 365125 368124 369120 367117
      364116 352110 349106 348101 349098 350099 355102 357102
      359100 362098 364100 366103 370104 372102 372098 373093
      372091 368088 365084 367082 371083 375084 381081 387070
      395057
 0.01 226742 214749 212751 211755 209761 208767 212777 214786
      218792 222798 226802 231816 237822 247825 249827 250830
      249832 245837 243843 243851 246858 251863 268868 279877
      287878 292881 298885 300886 303887 314886 319887 322890
      332890 336889 339886 344882 347881 352879 356879 358877
      363876 368869 369865 369860 371857 369854 369849 366845
      364834 361829 359820 352817 344817 339816 335813 331807
      330802 332798 337786 340779 344773 354758 359752 365746
      371736 375728 377721 377712 376707 372703 367698 360697
      347703 334711 323725 317731 313736 312740 309743 302744
      287742 274731 267729 264728 259728 235738
 0.01 340065 339064 337063 335063 333063 332063 330064 328066
      330068 331068 333068 335068 337068 338067 339067 340065
 0.25 520271 513229 514222 515219 518217 522218 527220 530219
      532216 534209 536196 537189 535185 529176 524170 518164
      515162 512164 511168 510167 504168 497170 494179 494184
      494189 492195 488198 482202 469208 461210 455214 447216
      441219 438231 432238 427242 429250 433254 438255 442255
      446257 457269 461272 464276 469283 474288 479291 483291
      487291 493293 501296 505295 508293 512290 515286
 0.25 448846 449839 448832 446827 444822 437801 432794 430790
      424789 420796 416807 415817 414823 414830 415836 416841
      417849 416854 411875 411883 415887 419886 426882 433876
      437870 443861 446853 448846
 0.25 371722 371717 370712 366705 360703 352707 346710 339716
      335719 329726 324730 320736 317742 317753 319761 322764
      325766 327767 331766 337762 349752 353748 359741 362736
      367730 371722
 0.25 380076 380074 380071 380070 380069 379067 378065 377065
      376064 375064 373064 371064 371065 371066 373067 374068
      374070 375071 375073 375075 376077 377078 379076 380076
 0.25 363056 364054 363052 361052 359053 358054 357056 357057
      359058 361057 363056 363056
 0.25 361067 362065 361063 359063 358065 359067 360067 361067
 0.25 352855 351849 349846 341838 337830 331824 325817 321814
      315814 308819 301825 293830 286830 280831 276832 272834
      271836 270840 273845 278851 280856 282862 288868 297871
      302871 308870 315869 319870 328872 335872 339870 346865
      351857 352855
 0.25 342096 340093 338089 337084 334082 331077 327079 325081
      326085 329088 332090 335095 337097 341098 342096
 0.25 336056 336055 334055 332055 330054 329054 327055 327056
      327057 328058 330058 332058 334058 335058 336057 336056
 0.25 331105 330102 328099 322093 319089 312085 309086 307084
      302078 297074 289072 283072 276077 272081 272085 274087
      284097 289101 297104 303107 311111 315115 320115 319112
      320108 323106 328107 331105
 0.25 287762 287755 284750 275746 267742 259737 249736 241738
      237739 228744 220750 215758 214764 215771 218781 221786
      225789 237803 241804 245802 247796 250796 252792 256789
      265782 273778 281771 285766 287762
 0.50 531210 532200 531195 530190 526185 527182 525177 520176
      515176 507177 505179 503186 504191 508194 512196 515200
      516205 519208 524210 529211 531210
 0.50 518273 518266 517259 513243 511230 509222 506216 505209
      503204 499201 494202 485205 473209 454216 450218 446221
      444227 445231 445234 438243 436247 438250 444248 449247
      452248 453251 457257 462261 469269 475273 481277 490283
      496288 503290 510283 515279 518273
 0.50 443849 443840 441832 439826 435820 428810 424808 421813
      422817 421825 421833 422844 422852 421860 420866 420872
      421875 427875 433871 439861 441856 443849
 0.50 367721 367713 363708 360708 357709 351712 346715 341720
      337722 333726 325734 322740 322747 325753 327755 331754
      343749 348747 353742 359733 362728 366723 367721
 0.50 331081 330080 329080 328081 328082 330082 331081
 0.50 331852 329846 326842 324836 322829 319828 315829 311833
      308839 307846 311850 313852 315856 318859 324857 329854
      331852
 0.50 303087 303084 301082 299080 296078 293077 292077 289078
      286078 284080 283084 284087 286086 288085 292085 295085
      297086 301087 303087
 0.50 300846 300842 298840 295838 293837 292836 288836 286838
      285841 285844 286846 289847 290848 294849 296849 299849
      300846
 0.50 271756 268750 263745 258741 251739 243739 234742 229745
      223750 219755 216762 217769 219778 223783 228787 231788
      235788 239781 243778 251774 264768 268763 270759 271756
 1.00 514272 516265 515260 513249 507229 503220 498211 495209
      492209 482210 475211 468215 461218 458222 459227 461230
      461236 465246 471251 479257 485263 491271 497278 501280
      504278 505273 508270 513273 514272
 1.00 491240 491234 488230 485227 482224 478221 474223 470226
      475227 480231 482234 486237 489239 491240
 1.00 436854 436847 435842 431838 428837 426841 426848 425853
      427857 427864 427867 430868 432864 434860 436856 436854
 1.00 347734 346732 344730 341731 337731 335732 332735 332737
      333739 335741 339741 342740 344739 346736 347734
 1.00 252751 251747 248743 245742 239742 234744 230746 225751
      220758 221763 222770 224773 227777 231774 234771 242767
      250763 252760 252753 252751
 1.50 514266 514261 511255 508242 507237 504231 500219 497216
      492212 487212 483216 483220 487225 490228 493234 498245
      504254 509262 511266 514266
 1.50 499266 497255 493246 490242 487240 484241 480239 478234
      475231 471233 469236 469240 471244 475247 479249 483252
      485256 491263 493266 497268 499266
 1.50 244752 243748 240746 234747 230748 227751 224755 223759
      225765 228768 233767 237765 240761 241759 244754 244752
 2.00 507251 507243 505236 502231 499224 497219 492215 489214
      486215 485219 488223 492227 495233 497239 500244 504249
      507251
 2.00 491253 491250 491249 490247 489246 488244 487244 486243
      485245 486247 487249 489252 490254 491253
 2.00 479244 479241 479238 478235 477235 476233 474234 473234
      472236 472237 472239 473240 474242 475242 476244 478244
      479244
 2.00 239753 238751 235750 233749 231750 228753 226755 226757
      226761 227764 229765 231764 234762 236760 238758 239755
      239753

24HR QP VT 31/12Z
 0.01 205774 212789 214798 213804 213812 214820 217834 222839
      226843 232847 243846 246847 249851 253857 258860 266864
      272869 274873 274877 274884 272886 271892 267901 260911
      257917 254926 253929 254932 254937 250939 248941 248946
      249955 255960 262964 265966 269968 275972 281973 286969
      289965 292960 297948 300942 301932 302921 303916 304912
      307905 312900 318894 324887 328882 330879 334880 347884
      352883 358883 370887 377891 385893 387895 392895 401894
      413885 421874 424869 425866 428858 429855 429850 430841
      430832 431825 434819 436811 439794 440782 441772 440766
      441762 440750 439743 437738 440733 443730 448725 450721
      453719 458714 462716 462720 465727 467729 469729 472728
      473725 476719 477714 477710 479701 482696 485692 491685
      493676 494672 493666 495658 496655 494650 491639 490636
      487634 481632 476631 464635 453643 450652 447661 444668
      442677 437694 433701 427706 419709 416711 414709 415706
      416699 416696 412696 398700 394712 393718 392727 392738
      394748 396753 396759 398762 397768 397773 395777 388784
      377794 365801 358802 353801 338803 333799 330794 328773
      327770 323767 317763 310760 306756 305750 299733 290725
      280723 264726 258728 250732 237739 210757 206759 206763
      205774
 0.01 524262 526246 530234 533228 537218 538211 538206 538202
      538191 537184 534179 531174 528168 524163 514153 498143
      492139 488134 478127 473138 475141 478140 481141 481145
      478146 475146 471145 468142 463141 456145 451157 454161
      453169 451171 451176 452178 455178 458184 461188 463191
      467192 472191 477194 478200 475205 470208 458212 452213
      446212 440211 437211 436213 430224 426231 420233 414235
      411240 411247 414248 421246 426245 434247 441247 443245
      447248 450252 453255 459257 463259 467259 467263 468273
      470280 473287 475293 479303 490312 499311 506303 510297
      513292
 0.01 521229 522226 522224 522221 521220 521218 520216 520215
      519214 517213 516212 514213 514214 513215 512218 513221
      513222 514223 515224 516226 517227 517228 519229 520230
      521229
 0.01 501201 502199 501197 499197 498196 496196 495197 494199
      495202 495203 497203 498204 499204 500203 501201
 0.01 481097 481088 480084 475074 469072 466070 461070 458074
      454078 451074 447070 442067 439068 437072 437082 435088
      427092 423107 421111 421115 422119 424120 429120 433116
      434114 436118 434123 435126 435131 439139 444140 448136
      448132 450128 454124 458123 461117 464115 473108 477104
      481097
 0.01 446048 446038 444036 441035 438035 436038 433042 406050
      399046 395043 385046 378043 371045 365047 361048 357047
      352049 348050 345049 340047 333046 327044 324044 322048
      323065 320072 315076 311077 305076 297073 292069 277065
      264058 254053 247051 238052 234053 233055 232065 232073
      237077 244085 257093 261097 265103 269108 275111 280113
      285117 298123 305125 310127 313125 325121 332121 335122
      338124 344129 349130 356127 359126 363124 371115 375111
      380109 386106 392102 397097 401091 410081 413076 417072
      425059 432059 436057 439057 446048
 0.25 534209 533190 530183 527177 523172 519167 514166 508163
      504162 502163 496164 493166 491168 490172 490176 493181
      499186 511194 518204 527216 532214 534209
 0.25 520266 521260 521253 520245 519240 513232 508222 504215
      500210 496207 488207 483207 479208 475212 473216 472222
      473226 471230 468232 465236 463241 464246 467249 471252
      474256 480277 484286 492294 497297 501296 508291 512286
      513282 518271 520266
 0.25 418792 416784 413779 410779 406780 403785 398791 394791
      390791 387794 383800 374817 369815 365811 362809 360810
      353814 347823 342829 337834 331837 327840 325843 325847
      329852 334855 340855 349853 354850 359845 362840 364833
      366829 369828 375828 378824 390824 394825 398824 403825
      410827 412825 414821 416815 417809 418792
 0.25 401058 400056 398056 397056 395055 393055 392057 393059
      393060 394062 395062 396062 398061 400060 400059 401058
 0.25 392080 393078 393075 393073 392072 391073 390073 389075
      388077 387079 388082 390082 391081 392080
 0.25 385072 384070 382067 380066 378068 377071 376073 374076
      374080 375082 377082 379082 382081 384079 385074 385072
 0.25 354086 355081 354075 349077 341078 335078 332076 329077
      327082 329085 331092 332101 334104 339106 343106 345102
      347094 352088 354086
 0.25 327102 325097 323095 317086 299081 294081 292083 291088
      293092 297100 294098 289091 286087 282086 274086 266082
      261081 259085 262090 264092 270098 278102 284108 292113
      299116 304117 308115 312108 316105 321104 324104 327102
 0.25 305806 304796 302789 298773 296764 293759 285747 281743
      277740 270737 264736 256737 249738 242741 236745 229753
      218762 215768 215773 216783 218790 221806 223814 226819
      230824 234827 241830 247831 259830 268830 276829 280828
      282825 285820 297813 301810 305806
 0.25 283941 283933 282927 281923 279921 274924 270927 267933
      266939 268945 271949 276952 281950 283943 283941
 0.50 531208 532200 530194 529188 526183 524178 520175 516175
      512173 509169 506167 503167 499169 496174 496178 498179
      503182 506185 512188 518196 520202 523205 526209 529210
      531208 531208
 0.50 519265 519259 518254 517245 515240 505219 499211 494209
      489210 480210 478212 477216 479221 488226 494238 495241
      493241 490239 486235 481235 477231 474233 470237 469244
      476251 478257 480264 490283 494287 499289 504289 509287
      511282 513276 519265
 0.50 316093 315090 313088 312087 310087 308086 306086 304086
      303086 301085 299086 299088 300091 302092 303093 304093
      305094 307094 309094 311094 313093 315093 316093
 0.50 294797 293789 291785 289772 288766 285762 279753 271748
      265746 260746 253746 248747 237751 230758 222766 219771
      219776 221790 223803 225811 228815 237819 241821 248822
      257822 261820 262816 264811 269808 272808 279808 285807
      291803 294797
 0.50 282099 282097 281096 280094 278094 276094 276095 277096
      278097 279098 281099 282099
 1.00 516264 515251 510238 505229 502222 499216 494214 491215
      485215 484220 486221 489222 491225 492230 495236 498242
      501246 504251 505258 505263 503262 490242 486240 483242
      476234 473239 474242 481245 483252 488262 494273 501282
      505284 508280 508274 511272 516264
 1.00 284787 283782 281779 275774 261768 246766 239763 236762
      233763 228768 224771 223775 224783 226793 228803 229807
      232810 247815 253813 259807 274801 280796 284789 284787
 1.50 512263 513258 512252 510246 506237 502231 499223 498220
      493218 491223 492227 496236 500242 504248 507256 508261
      510263 512263
 1.50 505279 504272 502266 499261 495254 492249 490244 487243
      485246 486254 489260 492265 496270 499274 503279 505279
 1.50 275787 270785 264781 259780 254779 251778 243771 238767
      234767 231768 227773 226781 230797 233802 238806 243809
      249811 259804 265802 270800 271797 275787
 2.00 510257 510254 509251 508248 507248 507250 507251 508253
      508255 509257 510257 510257
 2.00 501272 502269 500267 498263 496259 493254 492250 488248
      487251 489257 491260 493265 496268 500272 501272
 2.00 504241 504238 503236 500232 499229 498227 497224 495221
      493225 494229 495232 496234 498237 500240 502241 504241
 2.00 269796 267790 263787 255783 247778 239771 236769 234770
      232772 229781 231792 233798 237801 240804 244807 249808
      254805 264800 267798 269796
 3.00 263796 262793 260790 252789 247784 242780 240779 235780
      234788 241791 244792 243795 242798 243801 248804 254802
      261798 263796

$$





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