Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 250958
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
457 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 25/1200 UTC THRU FEB 28/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR



...FEW CHANGES WERE MADE FOR THE DAY 1 FINAL QPF. THE QPF AXIS WAS
MOVED A BIT FURTHER NORTH ACROSS THE MIDWEST PER OBSERVATIONS AND
THE MODEL CONSENSUS SHIFT WITH THE 00Z/06Z GUIDANCE. THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE QPF WAS NUDGED NORTHWARD ACROSS THE LOWER MS
VALLEY...AGAIN BASED ON OBSERVATIONS AND 06Z MODEL CONSENSUS.


DAY 1...


...NEW ENGLAND...

AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH CROSSES CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST ME DURING
THE EARLY PORTION OF THE DAY 1 PERIOD. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE FORMS
ON THE INVERTED TROUGH OVER THE BAY OF FUNDY...THEN TRACKS
NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE REGION. THERE WAS DECENT AGREEMENT WITH A
SHORT WAVE THAT CROSSES NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...THOUGH THERE WAS A
FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD CONCERNING THE POSITION OF THE DEVELOPING
SURFACE LOW. FOR THE MOST PART...A MULTI MODEL BLEND SHOULD
SUFFICE...AS MUCH OF THE QPF FALLS IN ASSOCIATED WITH THE INVERTED
TROUGH...BEFORE THE SURFACE LOW DEEPENS AND TRACKS NORTHEAST.

PRECIPITATION EXTENDED ALONG THE INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH INTO
EASTERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHWEST ME DURING THE EARLY PORTION OF
DAY 1. AS A STRONG SHORT WAVE TAKES ON A NEGATIVE TILT OVER
QUEBEC...THE INVERTED TROUGH CROSSES THE CENTRAL ME AD DOWNEAST ME
COASTS. THE INFLOW AHEAD OF THE INVERTED TROUGH IS FAIRLY
IMPRESSIVE (AS MESOSCALE MODELS SHOW 25 TO 30 KNOTS OF LOW LEVEL
SOUTH/SOUTHEAST FLOW)...AND THE MOISTURE BECOMES FOCUSED ON THE
TROUGH ACROSS THIS AREA. THERE IS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT CONCERNING
THE PLACEMENT OF THE 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH QPF AREA...AND THIS IS
GENERALLY FROM THE PENOBSCOT RIVER EASTWARD THROUGH DOWNEAST ME.
THE 0.10 TO 0.25 INCH AREA SHOULD ENCOMPASS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST
ME...BUT REMAIN EAST OF THE EAST ME COAST AFTER 25/12Z.

MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION IS GENERATED WITH THE SHORT WAVE
INTERACTING WITH THE INVERTED TROUGH. AS THE SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS
OVER THE BAY OF FUNDY...MOST OF THE MOISTURE AND LIFT SHOULD BE
EXITING THE REGION. THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR A PORTION OF
DOWNEAST ME TO SEE OVER 0.50 INCHES OF QPF...BUT IT SHOULD BE
CONFINED TO THIS AREA.


...MIDWEST...

A SHORT WAVE TRACKING FROM CENTRAL CANADA TO THE MIDWEST SPINS UP
A SURFACE LOW THAT TRACKS ALONG WITH THE SHORT WAVE...BEFORE
DISSIPATING OVER THE MIDWEST DURING THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 1.
THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK
OF THE SHORT WAVE AND SURFACE LOW...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A
BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF.

AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE (AND DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW) ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS...ISENTROPIC LIFT (WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS NEAR 30
KNOT RIDING UP THE 290 K SURFACE) INJECTS MOISTURE INTO THE COLUMN
(AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES TOP OUT NEAR 0.50 INCHES) ACROSS THE
MIDWEST. THE LIFT WITH THE SHORT WAVE BEGINS INTERACTING WITH THE
MOISTURE BETWEEN 25/18Z AND 26/00Z...CENTERED MAINLY OVER IA. THE
COMBINATION OF LIFT AND IMPRESSIVE MOISTURE FOR LATE FEB SHOULD
RESULT IN A LARGE AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS MUCH
OF IA...EXTENDING INTO NORTHERN MO AND WEST CENTRAL IA. AS THE
BEST LIFT CROSSES CENTRAL IA...IT PRODUCES A QPF MAXIMUM BETWEEN
0.50 AND 0.75 INCHES OF QPF. THERE IS FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT AMONG
00Z MODEL SUITE MEMBERS ON THE AMOUNT AND PLACEMENT OF THE MAXIMUM
QPF.

SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
SUITE OF WPC WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.


...LOWER MS VALLEY/SOUTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC...

A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AREA EARLY ON DAY 1
OPENS UP INTO A LONG WAVE TROUGH AND CROSSES THE LOWER MS VALLEY
AND THE MID ATLANTIC AS IT BECOMES ABSORBED INTO THE FAST MID
LEVEL FLOW. THE LONG WAVE TROUGH SPINS UP A SURFACE LOW ALONG A
LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE STRETCHING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES.
THE LOW TRACKS NORTHEAST ALONG THE BOUNDARY TO A POSITION OFF THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST BEFORE EXITING THE REGION. THERE WAS SOME MODEL
SPREAD WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK THE SHORT WAVE AND SURFACE
LOW...WHICH HAS AN IMPACT ON THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF THE
PRECIPITATION SHIELD. THE 00Z NAM/12Z SREF MEAN APPEAR TO AGAIN BE
TOO FAR NORTH WITH THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION
SHIELD...DUE AT LEAST IN PART TO THE STRONGER SHORT WAVE IN THE
FLOW (COMPARED WITH THE MODEL CONSENSUS). THE 12Z ECMWF LOOKED TO
BE A BIT SUPPRESSED AS IT DAMPENS THE SHORT WAVE THE FASTEST. THE
00Z GFS/UKMET WERE CLOSEST WITH THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW (AND
NORTHERN EXTENT OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD)...SO THE WPC QPF WAS
BASED PRIMARILY ON THIS COMBINATION.

DURING THE FIRST PART OF DAY 1...A WEAK SHORT WAVE AHEAD OF THE
MID LEVEL SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST INTERACTS WITH MOISTURE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTH TX AND SOUTHERN OK...CENTERED OVER THE RED RIVER
VALLEY. THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD AMONG THE MESOSCALE
MODELS (INCLUDING THE LATEST HRRR AND RAP)...AS WELL AS THE 00Z
NAM...CONCERNING HOW MUCH QPF WILL FALL HERE BEFORE 25/18Z. THERE
IS MID LEVEL INSTABILITY WEST OF THE REGION (AS SEEN IN THE 00Z
MAF AND ABQ SOUNDINGS)...AND THE VARIOUS HIGHER RESOLUTIONS MODELS
ARE SPLIT ON HOW TO HANDLE IT. THE 00Z NAM PLACES THE HIGHEST QPF
HERE (NEARLY AN INCH)...AND THIS SEEMS OVERDONE GIVEN THE LACK OF
DEEP MOISTURE TO GO WITH THE MID LEVEL INSTABILITY. THE LATEST
HRRR AND RAP SHOWED AMOUNTS BETWEEN 0.25 AND 0.50 INCHES...AND THE
WPC QPF FORECAST WAS CLOSER TO THESE NUMBERS.

AFTER 25/18Z...THE MAIN LIFT COMES FROM THE CLOSED MID LEVEL OVER
THE FOUR CORNERS AREA EARLY ON DAY 1. THE SHORT WAVE INTERACTS
WITH DEEPER MOISTURE FORM THE GULF OF MEXICO (AS PRECIPITABLE
WATERS VALUE BETWEEN 1.00 AND 1.25 INCHES ARE TRANSPORTED NORTH ON
A LOW LEVEL SOUTH SOUTHWEST FLOW. THE BEST LIFT OCCURS NEAR OR
NORTH OF A SURFACE WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM SOUTHWEST AL THROUGH
SOUTHERN GA INTO SOUTHERN SC...ALONG AN INTENSE LOW LEVEL
BAROCLINIC ZONE. SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY SHOULD BE CONFINED TO
PLACED SOUTH OF THE FRONT (MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN FL AND SOUTHERN
GA)...THOUGH MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED ELEVATED INSTABILITY ALONG THE
MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GA
INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL SC.

ALONG THIS AXIS...A SWATH OF 1.00 TO 2.00 INCHES OF QPF WAS
STRETCHED FROM SOUTHERN GA ACROSS SOUTHERN SC...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS
2.25 INCHES OVER SOUTHERNMOST SC...WHICH IS CLOSE TO THE MODEL
CONSENSUS. ONE AND THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES IN THIS
AREA RANGES BETWEEN 2.50 AND 3.50 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST
AMOUNTS ACROSS SOUTHEAST GA AND SOUTHERNMOST SC. MOST OF THE
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE STRATIFORM IN NATURE (WITH CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS MIXED IN)...SO AT THIS POINT ORGANIZED FLASH FLOODING
DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...BUT
MAY BE MORE OF A FLOOD VS FLASH FLOOD PROBLEM.

THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF THE PRECIPITATION WAS EDGED FURTHER
NORTH...ALONG WITH THE MODEL CONSENSUS. THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE
LOW IS OFF THE NC COAST (AND THERE IS BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT WITH
RESPECT THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW)...WHICH FAVORS KEEPING THE
0.25 INCH QPF LINE ACROSS SOUTHERN VA AND THE SOUTHERN
DELMARVA...AND MEASURABLE ALONG THE MASON DIXON LINE. IT SHOULD BE
NOTED THAT THE 00Z NAM/21Z SREF MEAN BRINGS THESE LINE FURTHER
NORTH...BUT AT THIS TIME THESE SOLUTIONS LOOK LIKE LOW PROBABILITY
EVENTS.

SNOW AND ICE ARE EXPECTED ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE AREA.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SUITE OF WPC WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS
FOR MORE INFORMATION.


...ROCKIES...

A SHORT WAVE TRACKING FROM WESTERN CANADA ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL ROCKIES PROVIDES SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT ABOVE AN ARCTIC FRONT
BANKED UP AGAINST THE TERRAIN. THE COMBINATION OF THE LIFT AND
UPSLOPE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN AXIS OF QPF ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES. FOR THE MOST PART...THERE WAS DECENT
AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THE SHORT WAVE AND THE
MAGNITUDE OF THE UPSLOPE...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF
THE 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF...WITH SOME 21Z SREF MEAN USED TO BETTER
DEPICT HIGHER TERRAIN QPF MAXIMA.

THE LIFT IS NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE WITH THE SHORT WAVE AS IT TRACKS
SOUTHEAST ALONG THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES...BUT THE LIFT IS
AUGMENTED BY DIVERGENCE IN THE LEFT FRONT QUADRANT OF JET 90 KNOT
JET STREAK DIVING IN BEHIND THE SHORT WAVE. THE LIFT WILL NOT HAVE
MUCH MOISTURE TO TAP...AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES IN THE COLUMN
GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW 0.25 INCHES. ACROSS THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES...THIS EQUATES TO A LARGE AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES QPF
EXTENDING FROM WESTERN MT THROUGH MUCH OF WY. AS AN ARCTIC FRONT
BECOMES BANKED UP AGAINST THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...THE UPSLOPE FLOW
AUGMENTS THE MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN...PRODUCING AXES OF 0.25 TO
0.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT RANGE IN
MT...AS WELL AS THE GRAND TETONS AND BIG HORN RANGES IN WY.

FURTHER SOUTH...WHERE THE UPSLOPE FLOW BEHIND THE ARCTIC FRONT IS
STRONGER...THE AXIS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF IS
WIDER...ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF THE ROCKIES OF CENTRAL CO INTO THE
SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN NM. LOCAL 0.50 AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CO ROCKIES...WHERE THE
UPSLOPE FLOW IS FOCUSED.

SNOW IS EXPECTED THE HIGHER TERRAIN. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
SUITE OF WPC WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRACKS SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
DURING DAY 1. THE SHORT WAVE PUSHES A PACIFIC FRONT ACROSS REGION
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD...WHICH BECOMES THE FOCUS FOR
QPF. THERE WERE SOME MINOR TIMING DIFFERENCES AMONG THE 00Z MODEL
SUITE MEMBERS WITH RESPECT TO SHORT WAVE TIMING (WHICH IS TO BE
EXPECTED IN A FAST MID LEVEL FLOW)...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A
BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF...WITH SOME 21Z SREF MEAN USED TO
BETTER DEPICT HIGHER TERRAIN QPF MAXIMA.

AS A SHORT WAVE TRACKS SOUTHEAST INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST DURING
THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 1...LIFT WITH THE SHORT WAVE IS AUGMENTED
BY DIVERGENCE IN THE LEFT FRONT QUADRANT OF A 110 KNOT JET STREAK
FOLLOWING ON ITS HEELS. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE
USHERS IN PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 0.75 INCHES TO THE WA/OR
COASTLINES. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW FOCUSES THE MOISTURE IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...RESULTING IN STRIPES OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF
ACROSS THE NORTHERN OLYMPIC MOUNTAINS IN WA...AS WELL AS THE
CASCADES OF WA AND NORTHERN OR.




DAYS 2/3...

***FLORIDA PENINSULA***

THE MAJOR PRECIPITATION EVENT FOR THE SOUTHEAST U.S. WILL BE
MOSTLY OFFSHORE BY THE BEGINNING OF DAY 2, SO THE DETAILS OF THIS
SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN THE PRECEDING DAY 1 SECTION.  THE TRAILING
COLD FRONT FROM THAT SURFACE LOW WILL BE SITUATED OVER THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA FOR BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, AND THE HIGHEST QPF IS
EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA AS THE MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE ZONE BECOMES QUASI-STATIONARY.  AREAL AMOUNTS OF 0.5
TO 1 INCH ARE LIKELY, ALTHOUGH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE
WITH ANY PERSISTENT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  A GENERAL MODEL
COMPROMISE WAS USED HERE.


***NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES***

AFTER THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS AND INTO MEXICO BY THE BEGINNING OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, A
LARGE 1040+ MB SURFACE HIGH WILL OOZE SOUTHWARD FROM THE NORTHERN
PLAINS AND TOWARDS THE OHIO VALLEY.  SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AROUND THE
BACKSIDE OF THIS HIGH WILL ALLOW FOR UPSLOPE TO OCCUR OVER CENTRAL
AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF COLORADO AND NEW MEXICO.  SOME WEAK
SHORTWAVE ENERGY ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR ADDITIONAL MID-LEVEL LIFT,
BUT THE LACK OF ANY DEEP MOISTURE WITH PWS GENERALLY LESS THAN
0.50 INCH WILL HELP KEEP PRECIP AMOUNTS OVERALL FROM GETTING TOO
HEAVY.  WE PREFERRED A BLEND OF THE GFS/ECMWF/CMC, WITH LOCAL
ADJUSTMENTS BASED ON PRISM DATA.


***PACIFIC NORTHWEST***

A PAIR OF SHORTWAVES ROTATING AROUND THE EASTERN PACIFIC RIDGE ARE
PROGGED BY THE MODELS TO MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST ALONG THE
BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST, AND THEN REACHING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
COAST BY FRIDAY EVENING.  THESE ARE EXPECTED TO MERGE INTO A
SINGLE, LARGER SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT SHOULD EVENTUALLY SETTLE OVER
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST BY SATURDAY NIGHT.  AT THE 700MB LEVEL,
THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION IN THE PRESENCE OF A
RELATIVELY SATURATED LAYER TO SUPPORT LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL
AND HIGH MOUNTAIN SNOW FOR THE CASCADES AND COASTAL RANGES, AND
ALSO EXTENDING TO THE BLUE MOUNTAINS OF OREGON.  THE LIMITING
FACTOR SHOULD BE THE LESS THAN IMPRESSIVE 0.4 TO 0.7 INCH PWS NEAR
THE COAST, AND SLIGHTLY LESS INLAND, KEEPING AMOUNTS IN CHECK.
BOUNDARY LAYER WIND PROFILES SUPPORT THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ON THE
WEST FACING SLOPES.  A GFS/ECMWF/BIASED CORRECT MODEL BLEND WAS
USED FOR THIS AREA.

HAYES/HAMRICK


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 474619 483623 489628 493635 500653 501659 500662 498671
      490685 479698 467705 463706 461710 461713 464715 466717
      466720 463726 460746 458755 455762 452765 449765 444762
      442760 437762 432764 429762 426759 426753 427750 430742
      431740 435739 439736 440733 436730 432730 429733 427731
      427729 430726 434724 438723 440719 439718 439712 439709
      436708 423703 410699 403697 400694 399697 400706 399716
      398726 398737 398744 398754 400777 401783 400787 400793
      399795 391808 386813 382819 381822 380829 381842 379851
      376858 372873 369887 365894 361899 358901 356905 354913
      356922 354930 353940 351948 349957 349970 348979 346984
      344987 341992 337998 334003 329008 319016 316015 314011
      311005 309987 308978 308968 305960 303956 298955 286960
      279963 274968 270970 266975 259978 255978 253976 248972
      244966 241961 241952 242948 242943 244937 247934 248929
      244925 244917 246911 250904 253897 255891 257889 257884
      252878 246876 240872 239867 240862 241855 244849 251836
      260824 268813 278804 285795 289790 292782 295774 298768
      304755 308747 311741 315726 320712 327700 333690 338685
      344680 356670 363666 369663 374661 378663 383669 385672
      388670 393665 415646 428634
 0.01 520271 521264 522255 521248 519243 510220 507217 506211
      504197 503190 498187 495186 493184 490180 483174 475169
      464166 460171 456173 453171 452167 453163 451158 445157
      438155 434152 435162 434167 430166 427161 423161 421168
      421176 422183 423186 426189 430188 434185 436186 436190
      436199 438204 439207 439211 437218 432226 429241 432245
      436248 442248 447250 450252 456254 458252 460253 465257
      468263 470269 471276 470284 470289 469297 470311 472317
      476320 484318 492317 496316 500312 507301 511292 520271
 0.01 532173 531167 529159 519150 513144 507142 501137 498130
      499124 497120 500111 503104 505100 504096 486113 484111
      484106 487099 486091 484085 479079 471078 467077 466074
      464066 462058 459050 458046 460047 466053 475059 478057
      477055 478052 480052 483055 492061 497067 501067 503065
      507066 510064 513056 514047 513042 511039 503027 495013
      487002 479989 465968 462962 459956 450944 445935 443932
      442928 443921 442915 441909 439903 438891 433876 428865
      427860 426857 425845 422837 419835 412840 409845 401857
      400864 396874 392887 385901 380911 376916 373925 373935
      375943 377950 380956 382959 386959 388967 389970 392973
      397973 402974 415001 420012 417020 413021 409021 393018
      380021 372017 365014 352010 344010 340010 336012 330023
      331028 332036 336043 340048 345052 350056 362063 367068
      373071 374076 374080 376083 381085 385091 389091 391089
      395086 397087 400086 404085 406088 406093 405104 405112
      411108 411103 413099 418095 424095 428100 423105 421109
      421114 427114 432116 438115 442117 444119 447123 445126
      444128 443131 443135 444138 448141 449145 454147 458148
      461151 464156 467158 469155 473155 476157 482158 485156
      490158 495161 499158 514161 518167 523172 529175 532173
 0.01 467204 466202 465199 464197 462196 460196 459197 458197
      457199 458202 458204 459206 461205 463206 464206 466206
      467204
 0.01 474860 474858 474857 472855 472853 470853 468853 468856
      468858 469861 470861 472863 474860 474860
 0.01 454811 453804 451799 449797 446793 442798 442803 440806
      440813 441818 444820 448824 450824 449816 452812 454811
 0.25 446628 464632 471634 480637 486643 491651 492658 491664
      489668 485672 482675 477678 467679 459684 456686 450687
      441687 432685 415682 411680 408676 408670 411666 417658
      424651 428648 430644 436634 441630
 0.25 505289 507285 507280 506273 503267 500261 497256 492251
      489250 487254 488262 491268 495272 498279 499285 500288
      503290 505289
 0.25 486218 485216 483216 482215 480215 479216 480216 481219
      483219 485219 486218
 0.25 481244 481241 480239 479237 478236 477235 476234 475235
      474236 474237 475239 476240 477241 478243 479244 481244
 0.25 491142 491140 490139 489137 488136 487135 486133 484132
      483132 481131 479130 478131 477132 478132 479133 481134
      482135 483135 484136 486137 487139 489140 490142 491142
 0.25 477217 473214 470216 466217 462218 457218 454220 452220
      457222 462224 466224 469220 472218 476217 477217
 0.25 449222 448221 447220 445221 446223 448222 449222
 0.25 453105 454103 455100 454098 454095 453095 452093 450093
      448094 447094 446094 445094 444096 445098 445099 446100
      448101 449102 451104 452105 453105 453105
 0.25 449075 448073 446071 446070 445069 443068 441068 440069
      439069 438070 437071 438072 439073 441074 443075 444075
      446076 448076 449075
 0.25 430092 429091 428090 426091 428093 429093 430092
 0.25 435954 436944 435935 429919 427913 423907 413901 410899
      406901 402906 400913 396919 394925 393932 398936 402941
      407945 410950 415955 419959 427961 433959 435954
 0.25 427061 428058 428056 427054 426053 425052 423052 422053
      422055 422058 423060 424062 426061 427061
 0.25 419062 419058 416056 411055 408052 402047 394043 378040
      370037 360035 356034 353036 352042 353046 357054 361056
      366056 374055 382056 390056 391059 391063 390065 390071
      392073 396073 398075 403075 408075 412074 415071 419062
      419062
 0.25 385731 384721 382711 380702 377693 375687 372684 365682
      361683 359685 353690 343699 339704 336711 322739 311765
      306778 303786 302790 299793 295798 292804 289810 284815
      277820 273827 268839 265845 263852 267853 270852 275858
      275868 274878 271892 269900 269909 270916 273920 276922
      285924 291927 298929 305931 310934 314939 317945 323952
      326960 326967 327970 334967 337960 338953 341947 344939
      346929 348919 348909 350890 351872 356856 359841 361829
      363823 369809 375794 377787 378777 379766 381759 385731
 0.50 476654 475647 472642 468640 463640 458639 454637 451634
      445634 441635 437639 435650 436656 439661 445671 449672
      454673 458673 464671 474665 476660 476654
 0.50 427942 427939 426935 425931 424926 422921 419917 415916
      413919 410923 410929 412933 414936 417939 421942 424945
      427942
 0.50 400058 400057 398057 398058 400058 400058
 0.50 376723 375716 373709 367698 364696 360696 356698 352699
      345706 338716 333728 323749 318760 313773 309784 307791
      305796 299806 297811 293816 289821 286823 286828 288830
      288833 288837 286849 286856 284864 283872 281879 278890
      278896 280902 283906 288910 295913 301915 313918 328934
      331937 335934 339927 341920 342906 343888 343873 345855
      349845 351839 353831 356816 360804 364793 366787 367780
      368771 370763 373751 375737 376723
 0.50 379051 377050 376049 374048 372048 371048 372050 374051
      376051 377052 379051
 1.00 365737 365730 364726 361722 359721 354720 348721 342727
      338734 334741 326756 319771 313790 311798 310807 309812
      307816 303824 300831 299835 299840 297850 298855 302858
      302862 301865 297872 292878 292883 296880 301875 304868
      306863 310861 318858 327855 330853 332850 334841 337832
      345818 349798 352789 353780 357770 359761 363749 365742
      365737
 1.50 356746 357741 355737 353736 350736 344740 340744 333752
      328757 326762 322773 320780 319787 317792 317799 317808
      316815 314821 312825 308830 306835 306839 308841 311841
      312844 311849 314850 318846 323827 331820 335815 338810
      339804 340798 340790 343784 346779 347773 349765 351760
      356746
 2.00 346756 345752 342754 340757 335760 329764 326768 324773
      324777 324784 323795 325800 330798 333790 338782 341775
      343764 346756

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 522251 524243 523237 520229 517222 512215 509211 507206
      506200 509196 512195 516196 519199 521199 525198 527191
      526184 522175 520172 516170 507166 497163 492162 488159
      483157 480155 477152 473149 470146 472142 480141 487145
      489148 493148 495146 493142 489135 483129 473127 469125
      467122 467114 470107 468101 465095 462092 456086 451078
      449074 446071 443069 442070 443074 447080 450088 449091
      447093 438092 436094 434094 431091 428087 425085 424089
      423096 418102 414103 411099 404086 403082 404079 408077
      413076 415073 415068 418065 420065 425064 427059 423053
      419045 415038 410033 401030 393026 388022 383015 378008
      372003 363003 358002 355000 344987 337982 328982 324984
      321988 319996 316003 313007 310009 307011 302012 297012
      292012 285011 279007 273003 265997 261992 254987 245985
      241987 238989 235992 234996 236000 240002 249003 253004
      256006 265017 274021 283023 290025 296029 309041 314046
      317054 321061 325068 328077 330088 333095 337104 345116
      350122 353120 351113 348106 349101 351096 354094 359094
      363093 366091 369087 373085 376091 376098 379099 382097
      389094 394100 394106 393111 385115 381115 379117 375125
      374136 375140 376138 377132 379128 384123 392121 397123
      400125 407129 409132 411136 407140 402139 396138 392139
      389140 387143 390155 394163 399169 406174 412178 414181
      416187 417190 417197 410202 419211 419215 417216 416213
      413214 410216 405224 400229 397235 396239 397246 400254
      408261 421267 428268 432270 438275 454286 467295 472297
      477301 484305 489307 492307 497305 500302 517267 522251
 0.01 484184 484182 481181 476179 473178 469178 467179 466182
      464186 461189 460191 461194 464197 469199 474199 477197
      481196 483191 484186 484184
 0.01 461126 463122 462119 460114 458111 456113 453117 448119
      445117 439115 433116 427125 427133 431136 435134 440134
      441137 440139 442142 444145 449143 451138 450134 454129
      459129 461126
 0.01 455855 454850 451850 449852 441858 437860 431861 427860
      422860 419861 416862 412865 410866 410869 411872 414875
      417875 421877 427876 432875 442873 446869 449865 452860
      455855 455855
 0.01 433669 431664 427662 422664 416671 410671 402670 397670
      391671 383674 377676 366682 357690 345698 328714 319722
      312729 305736 300741 292749 281764 270785 267790 262794
      257797 252800 248803 247807 247811 251817 248829 244839
      244848 245854 249859 255860 262858 267854 273845 286822
      292814 295808 300802 306798 314801 321797 324792 330782
      343775 357773 361772 364773 367773 370775 375776 381780
      385781 391781 393782 392784 388789 382793 378796 370804
      361813 357817 354821 351827 350834 352838 354839 357838
      362834 366830 374823 379820 384816 389811 392807 401797
      405795 409796 409801 407808 397825 394831 393838 397851
      401855 406857 413856 417854 420848 423839 427824 432814
      436799 437793 436784 434780 432778 428774 428764 428753
      427744 426739 424736 421736 419741 418748 417755 415762
      412769 410772 405773 401777 398778 395777 399764 405750
      410741 414735 417729 421723 423715 426704 429690 432679
      433669
 0.01 394920 394907 394895 390888 384883 380884 377886 374889
      372890 369884 365878 362876 357876 351880 347888 345893
      345897 346909 346913 349917 351919 356920 357921 362919
      365917 367918 367921 368925 371929 377934 386934 390928
      393924 394920 394920
 0.25 504278 504272 503267 499258 495250 490240 487238 484240
      478233 470231 468228 468224 469221 476218 480218 484219
      491224 495233 497238 501238 501233 500228 497218 491211
      486208 482207 474209 470210 466210 459208 454207 449205
      445198 444190 446186 444184 441185 439187 438194 440199
      439207 436210 430212 425215 422219 421223 420230 414238
      414245 416248 420252 424254 434257 442258 451259 456260
      461261 469266 476271 484278 492284 497284 499283 504278
 0.25 461180 462176 459175 458176 454174 453172 451170 450173
      451177 451180 450183 451185 452186 455185 457184 459182
      461180
 0.25 419156 419154 418153 417153 416153 415154 414155 414156
      415158 416159 418158 419156
 0.25 410068 408064 403063 401062 398057 393048 390044 385041
      377036 372034 367034 357033 346030 342031 339034 336039
      335047 333052 334058 337063 338069 340074 345074 355072
      363068 370069 373073 376078 379077 382072 385070 389070
      394069 398067 401068 407070 410068
 0.25 390709 389699 388693 385689 381688 375689 365694 357699
      349705 335719 323733 312749 303755 298757 295760 290767
      284776 279784 275793 271801 267808 264820 262830 262837
      263838 266838 269836 273831 282815 292797 296790 302783
      308775 315768 322761 326760 330761 337758 345751 360738
      371736 376733 381731 386726 389722 391715 390709
 0.50 496265 496261 495257 495254 494251 493248 491245 488242
      485243 484245 484250 485253 486255 488258 489260 492263
      493265 496265
 0.50 479244 480241 479238 479237 478235 477235 476234 474234
      472236 472239 472241 473242 474244 476245 478245 479244
 0.50 464239 464236 461233 456229 464220 463216 458215 446216
      440217 436219 432224 431231 427235 421237 419240 420244
      425247 430248 435247 446245 457243 462241 464239
 0.50 375055 374051 372050 370050 367051 363052 361053 359056
      363058 366059 368059 370059 373057 375055
 0.50 354055 354053 352051 349048 347046 344048 342050 341054
      341056 341060 342063 344064 347063 349061 351059 353057
      354055
 0.50 299773 299768 298765 292770 286779 281788 276799 272810
      268820 267825 270825 274821 280811 285801 290791 296780
      299773


24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 524195 522187 523181 524175 525172 525168 521160 516155
      514152 509150 506145 499140 494138 490133 481126 475114
      472110 468106 459098 452094 449093 444093 440092 436091
      434091 431090 428088 425089 427094 429101 425102 422104
      420107 416109 412110 411103 409097 407093 402090 401085
      403082 414074 416065 413059 411055 412048 414045 414039
      413030 409021 404018 398015 393013 388010 387003 379994
      372991 368991 364989 357975 354968 351962 348958 345951
      344941 339938 334939 332941 328947 326952 323958 320963
      317969 315973 314977 313981 313986 313998 313009 314016
      317026 324036 332045 335050 336054 335062 335071 341086
      339094 339101 340107 340115 343122 345127 350132 352135
      353139 357144 358147 359153 361166 364171 366173 365176
      363178 356181 348179 345173 344169 341165 335165 328162
      325163 323166 324170 332178 338187 341193 343197 347201
      349198 349193 351189 354188 357190 370199 380209 390216
      393219 397224 394225 391224 384223 382224 381227 380231
      381239 383248 384253 387256 392260 400263 406263 411264
      414263 423262 439258 446258 454261 467266 476276 479277
      482275 487271 489270 492268 494264 496260 495252 493244
      492237 496234 498238 501240 506239 510233 510228 510222
      510216 512207 515201 516198 519199 521199 524195
 0.01 407789 400789 395791 393793 387797 381802 378807 375811
      376813 379812 384806 390801 395797 402793 405792 407789
 0.01 298781 298772 295765 291762 286761 282761 280763 276768
      269777 267782 264787 261792 260794 256795 253795 251797
      248803 246807 244812 243815 243819 247819 249817 250816
      250820 250824 250833 251839 255845 254850 254858 260863
      266862 269863 273865 278863 282860 284856 287850 289844
      292832 293826 294818 295810 296805 297793 298781
 0.01 295002 294996 291992 286985 284979 285973 285966 287962
      290958 292953 292947 290947 289943 289937 289930 285925
      281924 274924 270927 266929 263933 259936 256945 256954
      254966 253971 250974 245981 245991 247996 250999 255002
      266002 271005 276008 283012 288010 292008 295002
 0.25 479246 481240 479235 476231 471228 470226 470222 473217
      475210 473204 470198 468194 467189 468181 467176 466171
      464169 459166 457162 460159 461158 464159 468161 475162
      476160 474155 470148 464143 459143 456144 454147 450149
      446149 442146 439142 437143 436148 434155 431159 425159
      421157 416151 413149 408147 402147 398145 395142 394138
      392134 392128 394124 397119 402117 408117 409116 407113
      402111 395109 388111 384111 383105 383099 385093 390087
      397080 412068 408063 400062 389059 383054 377049 373046
      367045 362045 357047 353050 351055 351061 352065 353074
      357093 357099 356106 354111 350112 346109 344111 349119
      359130 362133 364137 367146 370154 376162 382172 387180
      389188 387190 382189 375186 366185 362186 363189 371197
      378203 387210 396214 404217 408219 410222 409227 406231
      401239 402243 404245 408248 415250 420251 430250 445249
      453249 461249 474250 479246
 0.25 487136 486136 484135 482134 481134 479133 477133 476133
      475134 476135 477136 479136 481136 482136 484136 486137
      487136
 0.25 448111 447109 446107 444106 442105 441104 439105 439106
      438107 438109 439110 440110 442111 443112 445113 447113
      448111
 0.25 420216 419213 418209 417207 415205 413202 411200 408201
      409204 409208 409211 412214 414215 417217 420216
 0.25 290789 290784 288781 285779 283785 283788 280794 279798
      276804 274809 270822 267833 267837 268841 270842 272840
      276830 280817 283805 284797 286793 290789
 0.25 276968 276964 272960 268959 266962 264966 262970 263974
      264980 266983 270985 273983 274978 275972 276968
 0.50 478238 477236 476236 475237 475238 477239 478238
 0.50 463238 463236 462232 461229 462225 463217 460213 450210
      444211 439212 433215 430219 429224 430228 431232 429234
      423235 418236 416239 418242 423245 430244 433242 435239
      439239 442240 449243 454242 460242 463238
 0.50 455182 456176 454171 452168 447167 446171 447174 447180
      445184 441185 440188 443186 446184 448186 450187 452186
      455182 455182
 0.50 394207 393205 391202 388201 386199 382197 381196 379196
      378199 380202 383204 385206 388208 391208 394207
 0.50 384072 380065 377060 371055 363054 360055 357058 358065
      362072 365078 368085 371088 375087 381084 383079 383074
      384072

$$




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