Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 170826
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
425 AM EDT SUN JUL 17 2016


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 17/1200 UTC THRU JUL 20/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...MID AND UPPER MS VALLEY/GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY...

AS OF 06Z A WELL ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS SD/MN/IA. OVERALL A SLIGHTLY SOUTH SHIFTED
PARALLEL HRRR AND THE 0Z HIGH RES ARW APPEAR TO BE HANDLING THE
EVOLUTION OF THIS FEATURE THE BEST. THESE SOLUTIONS SUGGEST A
GENERAL WEAKENING TREND OF CONVECTION AFTER 12Z. GIVEN THE
WEAKENING MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE SYSTEM AND A DECREASING
SYNOPTIC SUPPORT AS THE FORCING LIFTS NORTH...THIS WEAKENING MAKES
SENSE. OVERALL FOLLOWED A CONSENSUS OF THE 0Z ARW AND 04Z PARALLEL
HRRR TO HANDLE QPF THIS MORNING...WITH A LINE TO CONVECTION
STRETCHING FROM WI SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL IA. KEPT AREAL
AVERAGED QPF BELOW AN INCH AFTER 12Z GIVEN THE EXPECTED WEAKENING
OF THE LINE AND ALSO INCREASED FORWARD SPEED.

STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARDS TO CONVECTIVE REDEVELOPMENT
THIS AFTERNOON. SHOULD SEE AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AS
THE FRONT TIGHTENS UP THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING FROM MI SOUTHWESTWARD
INTO IN/IL/IA. THIS COMBINED WITH INCREASING UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A DEVELOPING
JET...SHOULD PROVIDE A FAVORABLE SYNOPTIC ENVIRONMENT FOR
CONVECTION. GIVEN OUTFLOW FROM THE CONVECTION THIS MORNING...WILL
LIKELY HAVE AT LEAST A COUPLE BOUNDARIES THAT COULD ACT AS A
FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS IA/IL/IN.
THEN OVERNIGHT...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT IS EXPECTED TO
INCREASE INTO THIS BOUNDARY...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR CONTINUED
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. STORM MOTIONS ARE EXPECTED TO EXHIBIT A
LARGE COMPONENT PARALLEL TO THE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTATED
FRONT...INTRODUCING THE POTENTIAL OF TRAINING. COMBINE THIS WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES POTENTIALLY APPROACHING 2"...AND A FLASH
FLOOD THREAT COULD DEVELOP. SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE AXIS OF
HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION...DUE IN PART TO OUTFLOW FROM THIS MORNINGS
CONVECTION AND EXACTLY WHERE CONVECTION INITIATES THIS AFTERNOON.
IN GENERAL ALL THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE ARE FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE
GLOBAL GUIDANCE...WITH THE 0Z ARW BEING THE FURTHEST SOUTH. THE 0Z
ESRL HRRR (WHICH RUNS OUT 36 HOURS) IS ACTUALLY THE FURTHEST NORTH
WITH THE AXIS. FOR NOW OPTED TO CUT THE DIFFERENCE...AND GO WITH A
SOLUTION GENERALLY IN BETWEEN THE ARW AND ESRL HRRR...WHICH ENDS
UP BEING PRETTY CLOSE TO THE NMMB. THIS ENDS UP SOUTH OF THE
GLOBAL GUIDANCE...BUT GIVEN THE EXPECTED EVOLUTION OF CONVECTION
THIS MORNING...GOING SOUTH MAKES SENSE.

THE HIGH RES CONSENSUS IS FOR LESS QPF FURTHER NORTH ACROSS MI.
STILL EXPECTING SCATTERED CONVECTION WITH THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE...BUT THE FRONT SHOULD BE PRETTY PROGRESSIVE...AND THE
CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH VERY WELL COULD INTERRUPT MOISTURE INFLOW
FURTHER NORTH. THUS WPC QPF UNDERCUTS MOST OF THE GLOBAL
GUIDANCE...AND RESEMBLES SOMETHING CLOSER TO A HIGH RES CONSENSUS.


...CAROLINAS INTO THE NORTHEAST...

SCATTERED DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION AGAIN SEEMS LIKELY ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST TODAY...FROM THE CAROLINA COASTS SOUTH INTO GA...THE
GULF COAST AND FL.  PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.75" AND 2"
SUGGEST LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY IN STORMS. HOWEVER
NOT MUCH OF A FORCING MECHANISM TO HELP FOCUS CONVECTION...WITH
GENERALLY PULSE STORMS EXPECTED. GENERALLY FOLLOWED CLOSE TO A
BLEND OF THE 0Z ARW/NSSL WRF AND ESRL HRRR FOR QPF.

A WAVE LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SHOULD RESULT IN
CONTINUED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH THE DAY. GENERALLY
FOLLOWED A CONSENSUS OF THE ECMWF/GFS ALONG WITH THE ARW/NSSL WRF
AND HRRR. GREATEST COVERAGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS MAINE...CLOSER TO
THE BETTER FORCING FROM THE LIFTING WAVE.

...WEST...

AN INCREASE IN MONSOONAL MOISTURE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SOUTHERN
US UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF AZ/NM TODAY. ALSO
LOOKS LIKE A WEAK SHORTWAVE IN THE VICINITY COULD HELP FOCUS
CONVECTION. MAIN LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE A LACK OF
INSTABILITY...WHICH SHOULD GENERALLY ONLY MAKE IT INTO SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF AZ/NM. WPC QPF IS GENERALLY CLOSE TO A MULTI MODEL
BLEND OF THE GLOBAL AND HIGH RES GUIDANCE.

A GROWING SIGNAL IN THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE FOR CONVECTION TO
INITIATE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN WY INTO WESTERN NE THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...AS EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW COMBINES WITH
INCREASING INSTABILITY. THIS CONVECTION SHOULD THEN MOVE EAST
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING. GIVEN THE
VERY GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE HIGH RES MODEL SUITE...WENT AHEAD AND
INCREASED QPF ACROSS THIS AREA.

THE UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
WA...WITH ANOTHER FAVORED AXIS POSSIBLY STRETCHING FROM EASTERN OR
INTO WESTERN MT. AGAIN MODELS WERE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT...WITH
WPC FOLLOWING A BLEND OF THE ECMWF/GFS/NAM AND ALSO THE HIGH RES
GUIDANCE.

DAYS 2/3...

...MIDWEST/OH VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/ NORTHEAST...

ON DAY 2  BROAD UPPER TROUGH CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES TO NORTHEAST.
 SHOWERS AND STORM S OCCUR IN THE PRE-FRONTAL AIRMASS WITH MAXIMA
IN NY AS THE 300 MB JET CROSSES OVERHEAD....WITH ASSOCIATED
DIVERGENCE MAXIMA AT THE JET LEVEL MOVING ACROSS THE REGION. GFS
FCST PRECIPITABLE WATER (PW) VALUES OF 1.5-1.75 INCHES SUPPORT
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM THE GREAT
LAKES INTO THE OH VALLEY AND ADJACENT MIDWEST...WITH THE MOISTURE
PLUME CROSSING THE OH VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.  WITH
A WESTERLY COMPONENT TO LOW LEVEL FLOW...
A TOPOGRAPHICAL MAXIMA IS SHOWN IN WV IN THE WRF NMMB/CANADIAN
REGIONAL GEM/UKMET/ECMWF.  GIVEN THE REDUCED FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
IN WV...A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS INDICATED.
UPPER-LEVEL SPEED DIVERGENCE ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE PERIOD
WILL FURTHER SUPPORT MAINTENANCE OF DEEP CONVECTION.
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AND THEN ADVECTION OF DRIER AIR ON TUE SHOULD
END THE THREAT IN WV.

...MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
THE MODELS SHOW A RESIDUAL FRONTAL BNDRY REMAINING IN PLACE WITH
WARM/MOIST ADVECTION OCCURRING OVER THE TOP OF THE STRONG
ANTICYCLONE.  THE FORECASTS SHOW POOLING OF MOISTURE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE LOW LEVEL FRONT WITH THE 00Z ECMWF INDICATING PW
VALUES PEAKING NEAR 2 INCHES IN SOUTHERN IOWA.  SHOWERS/STORMS
DEVELOP IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE FRONTAL CIRCULATION/THETA-E
ADVECTION PLUS DIFFERENTIAL CYCLONIC VORTICITY ADVECTION AS A
SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE TOP OF THE RIDGE.
MANUAL PROGS BLENDED THE 12-00Z ECMWF/00Z GFS/00Z UKMET QPF.


...MID ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST...

A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE MID ATLANTIC STATES ON DAY 2...WITH
SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS AS THE FRONT PASSES
THROUGH.  ACTIVITY DECLINES AS DRY AIR ADVECTION OCCURS ALOFT ON
TUE.

FURTHER SOUTH...A VERY MOIST AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS
THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES THROUGH THE DAY 2/3 FORECAST PERIOD.
SCATTERED PRIMARILY DIURNAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
FROM THE GULF COAST TO THE CAROLINAS MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. ON
TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT PROGRESSES INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION BY
LATE IN THE DAY, EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS ACROSS THE CAROLINAS. THE 00Z ECMWF INDICATES PW VALUES
INCREASING TO 1.75-2 INCHES IN SOUTHEAST VA TO EASTERN NC TUE...SO
ACTIVITY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE LOCALLY HEAVY.
THE 00Z UKMET IS SLOWER IN MOVING THE RAINFALL SOUTH THROUGH NORTH
CAROLINA.  GIVEN THE MULTI-MODEL AGREEMENT ON THE UPPER TROUGH
AMPLIFYING AND THE FRONT PROGRESSING...THE 00Z UKMET LOOKS LIKE A
LOW PROBABILITY SOLUTION.  MORE WEIGHTING WAS GIVEN TO THE MORE
PROGRESSIVE 00Z GFS AND 00Z ECMWF QPF.  A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL WAS POSTED GIVEN ANTECEDENT MOIST CONDITIONS AFTER
YESTERDAY`S RAINFALL.


...SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN/SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL ROCKIES/CENTRAL
PLAINS...

OVER THE SOUTHWEST...SOUTHERLY LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW ON THE WESTERN
SIDE OF THE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN,
INCREASING MOISTURE FROM AZ/NM NORTH INTO THE CO ROCKIES. LIFT
WILL BE PROVIDED BY OCCASIONAL UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA IN FLUENT
FLOW.  ON DAY 2...ONE SUCH MAXIM IS FORECAST TO EXTEND ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS OF CO AND THEN CROSS NEBRASKA INTO IOWA. THUS, EXPECT
DIURNAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY.  ON TUE...THE BETTER
DEFINED UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA CROSSES THE CO ROCKIES...SO
ENHANCED TOTALS ARE EXPECTED HERE.
WPC QPF FOR THIS REGION WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE
ECMWF/GFS/NAM/21Z SREF MEAN WITH ADDITIONAL ADJUSTMENTS BASED ON
TERRAIN.


...NORTHWEST...

A MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW JUST OFF THE PAC NW COAST WILL MOVE LITTLE
THROUGH MONDAY.  THE UPPER JET STREAK ACROSS OR PLACES WA IN THE
FAVORED LEFT EXIT REGION FOR UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA.  HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE INDICATED WHERE UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA CROSS THE
NORTHERN WA CASCADES. LIGHTER AMOUNTS EXTEND DOWN INTO THE COASTAL
RANGE AND THE BLUE MOUNTAINS UNDERNEATH THE JET STREAK, WITH LIGHT
AMOUNTS IN THE MODELS/ENSEMBLES.  MANUAL PROGS USED A BLEND OF
CONTINUITY AND THE 00Z MODEL RUNS/21Z SREF MEAN QPF.

CHENARD/PETERSEN


24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 547830 547825 545822 542818 537810 530806 522802 506799
      502798 497797 492797 488798 480801 471802 467803 463802
      465791 468771 469764 469757 468749 465746 460743 455744
      446745 438748 431755 428759 426766 423777 421786 419792
      419797 414814 408828 403835 397842 385854 373871 371876
      372882 375891 379900 387906 392913 397923 400930 402940
      403946 401951 396959 393963 392966 390971 390976 392986
      395993 396999 390001 387004 384008 384015 386020 387025
      390027 392029 391031 387031 391039 394039 395037 398033
      404035 408038 410041 411047 413051 416053 421054 425056
      428058 432060 438065 440074 445072 447069 447065 444058
      442055 444051 447047 449041 448036 446031 443028 439026
      429023 427020 424014 420006 415997 414994 415990 416986
      419976 426957 428948 429935 431929 435923 441913 447911
      451909 464920 468924 467929 468943 474967 475972 475978
      475989 477996 478999 482997 484994 485991 487992 487998
      490008 494025 497039 499054 503078 504083 503086 502085
      499082 493081 489088 484101 479118 472135 465155 460165
      456173 449182 443193 441197 439203 440208 445210 450210
      453207 455203 454198 459188 465178 473163 480144 483139
      485142 489150 495156 498163 501170 502171 503168 504165
      506166 511169 517175 520180 523183 527184 530180 531167
      531157 531142 528130 527118 524107 522096 523083 522079
      522073 520051 519033 516020 515014 515006 515993 514984
      514974 514965 515960 519947 520942 521935 526915 526910
      528906 531896 537877 542858 545852 546847 546843 546834
      547830
 0.01 523259 525247 524243 525237 523221 518206 513197 508190
      504185 500180 495176 490177 486180 482184 480193 477194
      475196 474202 471203 469207 464210 461211 459214 459220
      460223 469221 474219 482220 487220 491223 494230 496237
      498244 498246 495245 490245 491253 490258 491261 495266
      499272 503274 505273 507271 508266 509264 512265 516268
      519265 523259
 0.01 486663 485657 484655 480649 476646 473644 468641 462639
      457639 453641 450648 448655 445668 443674 440680 434690
      431696 425700 421702 417706 414712 413720 412727 413732
      416734 419733 425730 430730 436730 443728 449724 456717
      464707 471698 477686 482676 485669 486663
 0.01 480241 481239 481236 481234 481231 480230 478229 476230
      475232 474234 473237 474238 475240 477241 478241 480242
      480241
 0.01 451217 449215 447215 446216 445216 444216 442216 440216
      440217 441220 443222 445221 447221 448221 450219 450218
      451217
 0.01 440093 440088 440086 439081 437078 436078 434080 432080
      430085 430087 428089 427094 429096 431097 432099 434100
      436097 438095 440093
 0.01 415101 415099 415097 414094 413094 412094 410096 409098
      408100 407103 407105 409105 411106 411105 413104 413103
      415101 415101
 0.01 395089 394084 390086 383090 376093 370095 366093 364090
      360082 356075 349076 328071 318077 313079 310079 302075
      296070 287070 283071 277070 271071 268072 262074 261078
      261082 286102 293109 296111 300110 303113 305117 310120
      319125 322128 326128 330121 339122 342124 342127 346129
      349130 353128 366124 368116 371113 378108 384104 389100
      393094 395089
 0.01 379716 379711 378707 375703 368700 364698 358700 353701
      348705 334734 328754 324764 318770 306782 301785 298789
      295792 293794 290795 283795 281796 279794 277790 273787
      269786 259784 251783 246784 243786 239787 237790 232796
      229801 228806 229818 232827 238835 242837 245837 249837
      253838 257847 261854 265865 270873 274883 276887 276894
      278898 278903 279914 280924 278927 275931 265934 262937
      261941 263950 266955 268958 272960 276960 281961 282967
      284969 287968 292960 300955 303946 305941 306934 309924
      313916 317911 324907 328900 331888 332882 332877 334872
      335869 337868 341869 344866 350861 355854 358846 359835
      361823 365814 367809 367804 362811 358818 356821 353822
      350820 349814 349809 350804 354794 357784 358771 359766
      361761 369748 373740 375731 379716
 0.01 382072 382069 382067 382065 380065 378064 376067 376069
      378071 379074 380074 381072 382072
 0.01 336058 334056 334055 332055 330055 329053 328053 327053
      325055 325057 325059 326059 328060 330060 332060 334058
      336058 336058
 0.25 512242 514232 514226 508217 501209 499203 496200 489198
      486200 486204 483206 480213 484215 492217 495215 498219
      498226 499232 502238 505241 510244 512242
 0.25 521162 521160 520155 519152 518149 516147 513146 510147
      511150 512155 513157 515159 516161 519164 521162
 0.25 502262 501259 500256 499256 498254 497252 496252 495252
      494254 494256 494258 495259 496260 497262 499263 500263
      502262
 0.25 502834 502827 500822 495819 487819 478820 471822 465821
      453820 448821 445824 438827 436825 434820 428824 424829
      423836 423846 422853 417861 411864 407863 406859 405854
      403851 399851 394856 387865 385870 384875 384884 387892
      391899 398909 401916 403923 413958 413964 413970 410977
      408982 408986 411984 415977 417968 420959 422950 423942
      424934 426925 429919 434912 438907 444901 448896 451891
      453885 456877 458869 460864 462864 470865 471867 472874
      476880 481885 478892 476900 475910 476917 479920 481923
      481928 481937 483941 486943 489938 492930 494914 497901
      497892 498883 496879 493878 486878 487871 490864 494859
      498853 500850 501846 502834
 0.25 488119 489114 486112 484114 482117 481120 480124 478127
      478129 477134 481132 483130 485128 485126 487121 488119
 0.25 467667 467661 466656 464656 459661 457665 454672 452679
      449684 445688 439697 435704 434710 436712 439712 444710
      449706 455704 462701 465697 467688 467682 468673 467667
 0.25 470893 471888 470884 467885 465887 463888 462893 461896
      461900 463903 465904 467903 468900 470895 470893
 0.25 447785 447780 446778 442777 439777 436779 435782 434790
      433797 432804 432814 434818 437816 440813 444807 444798
      446793 447785
 0.25 426712 426710 425708 424708 422707 421707 419709 418712
      418714 418717 420719 421718 422718 423716 425715 425714
      426712
 0.25 428037 429035 428033 427032 426032 425032 424032 423034
      423037 424038 425039 426040 427039 428037
 0.25 418041 418036 417031 416024 418018 417010 413006 409003
      404003 402009 401014 401019 404023 408028 411033 413040
      415043 418041
 0.25 351773 350770 346770 343769 340771 334778 328792 324803
      321810 321813 318815 309820 305823 304827 303834 305840
      306844 304846 301852 304859 306871 307877 309881 312879
      314873 315866 313859 313851 314847 316846 323845 328841
      332836 334830 331826 327825 325823 323821 325818 333813
      337806 339798 344789 349780 351773
 0.25 353086 348084 343083 340082 337082 334084 332088 334093
      336096 339100 341100 344096 344092 346089 350088 353086
 0.25 324109 325104 323102 321097 320093 318093 313093 308090
      302091 300095 303101 308104 313107 317111 322110 324109
 0.25 305916 306911 304908 302905 300904 299903 297904 295906
      293909 292912 292916 294920 295922 297924 301922 302920
      304918 305916
 0.25 284825 282821 279819 271815 264811 258807 253805 252802
      246802 244805 245810 249812 251811 254814 261819 267823
      271824 276825 280826 284825
 0.50 507229 505228 504228 505230 507230 507229
 0.50 491848 491842 489836 484834 476835 472833 469830 465829
      460829 456830 454833 452838 449845 449851 451852 458854
      463856 467854 469851 473846 477845 481847 483850 479857
      478865 478868 480869 484867 486861 491848
 0.50 491904 491896 489894 487895 483897 481902 479907 480914
      484917 484924 486922 487918 489913 490906 491904
 0.50 463670 463663 460665 457669 456673 455678 455685 455690
      456696 459696 461694 462691 461686 462681 463675 463670
 0.50 446700 446698 445696 445695 444696 443696 442697 441699
      440699 439702 438704 438707 440708 442707 443706 444705
      445704 446703 446701 446700
 0.50 455859 453855 450854 448858 447864 445871 438874 434873
      435868 432860 432856 435853 435847 432845 430846 427849
      425859 418872 412873 407874 405871 401864 398859 393861
      391865 388873 386880 388888 397903 403915 412952 414957
      417959 419956 421951 423931 425921 427910 427905 429902
      434899 441894 447888 448884 448879 447874 450870 454864
      455859
 0.50 412024 413022 413019 411017 409015 409014 408013 406012
      404014 403016 403019 404020 404021 405023 405024 407026
      408026 409026 410026 411026 412024 412024
 0.50 349776 349773 348772 346773 345774 344775 343777 342779
      341780 340781 340784 342784 343783 345782 346781 347780
      348778 348777 349776
 0.50 335802 335800 335797 334796 332797 331798 330799 329800
      329802 328803 328805 327807 329809 331809 333807 333806
      334804 334803 335802
 0.50 327835 327833 326832 324833 322833 321834 319836 318838
      319840 319841 321841 323841 325840 326838 326836 327835
 0.50 315830 315828 316826 316824 314822 312822 311822 309824
      308824 307826 307827 306829 305831 306832 307833 308834
      309835 310836 312837 313836 314834 315832 315831 315830
 0.50 299916 299914 299913 297913 297914 297916 297917 299917
      299916
 1.00 421921 422914 419912 417912 414910 411889 402873 398865
      396865 394868 393874 391877 389880 390884 394893 398899
      401903 403907 405915 409924 410934 412945 413951 416954
      417953 419947 420938 420926 421921
 1.00 416886 417884 416883 416884 416886 416886
 1.50 418949 418940 418931 418921 414917 411912 409905 408904
      406906 406908 407915 409922 410929 412935 413945 414950
      416951 418949
 1.50 408898 408889 406883 403878 400872 396869 395876 393882
      394888 397894 401898 405901 408898
 2.00 416947 416945 417942 417940 416938 416936 415938 414940
      414942 414945 415947 416949 416947
 2.00 415928 415926 414924 414921 413919 412917 411915 410913
      409915 409917 409919 410922 410924 411924 411926 412928
      412930 414931 415928
 2.00 405889 405885 404882 402878 400876 398874 397876 396881
      395885 395886 396890 398892 401894 403895 404892 405889

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 466622 468626 471625 474624 480626 484630 495645 501655
      504658 506664 508677 510691 512697 513704 512716 511727
      516732 523741 525745 526750 526756 525760 523770 518779
      509787 501793 499795 498798 497805 498822 496832 494838
      491841 490843 487844 482844 474840 471838 468832 459817
      451814 445818 440823 435830 430838 426844 424851 417871
      415877 414882 414890 416896 420905 425914 429922 433931
      437940 439949 440962 439972 438978 436983 436987 438990
      441996 442002 448013 453021 454027 454035 452039 450041
      453044 455047 454053 449056 444056 440055 437052 432050
      429052 427061 424063 420063 417065 414068 407075 412077
      415079 411087 409091 408095 410098 416099 418102 418106
      416108 412110 404115 401118 396121 388123 380128 376128
      369127 366127 364129 362132 358134 354133 347130 345128
      344124 342114 337110 333110 328114 321118 316119 310118
      302113 293106 287105 283102 275097 269091 266088 264082
      266079 269076 273074 276069 283065 289062 302068 306067
      309066 316062 319061 326061 333066 342072 345070 344067
      340062 342058 346056 351055 355053 362048 367039 369034
      373030 377028 380024 390013 394011 397007 401998 404990
      402978 399956 396945 391933 385910 382899 379889 375876
      370868 365863 362859 360861 355870 350877 342882 334883
      323883 320886 317890 314900 312907 314914 316925 316939
      315951 309960 305967 302971 298973 294977 291977 282975
      279972 277968 275964 275960 277956 277950 281943 282938
      282932 282926 281923 277912 276904 275902 275898 273871
      273858 273852 276848 286834 283833 278833 269835 258837
      250835 240836 236829 234824 233819 234812 235805 236800
      237797 240795
 0.01 240795 243793 243790 244786 246784 251785 254786 259785
      267786 271789 273794 280797 288799 296800 300802 305801
      307803 310802 313799 317792 319785 321775 322771 325766
      328759 332752 336744 341737 351725 355723 359723 363725
      366728 364734 363738 361742 360748 363745 369738 370735
      374735 382737 386729 388725 388721 388717 388712 390704
      395695 400688 404681 408674 419659 428647 439631
 0.01 526247 527242 526238 523230 522222 525214 526208 525200
      525196 526193 529186 531181 531176 531167 529160 526153
      518144 514140 509137 496139 500121 502101 502094 500088
      500082 498079 495079 493081 488085 484090 484093 486094
      490096 495102 495107 485118 483125 482136 479142 476149
      470159 464164 461163 459165 450174 447178 444183 438196
      433201 429206 428211 428214 432220 432224 434226 439225
      450223 456224 457228 456232 451235 445236 442237 441239
      445243 456241 462239 467239 472252 482260 489270 492277
      495283 502286 505287 507285 511282 514277 520264 526247
 0.01 493061 493053 492048 489040 482034 476029 472025 470021
      466021 466026 465034 467038 470048 476054 479057 483058
      488058 493061 493061
 0.01 474191 474189 473187 472187 470188 468190 466190 464191
      463191 461191 460193 461194 462195 464195 466195 467194
      469194 471194 472193 473192 474191
 0.01 392107 391101 387097 379103 375103 375101 374096 373092
      370093 368094 369097 370101 369106 363106 359103 356103
      353103 352106 355111 360113 369114 372114 374113 378111
      385111 389110 392107
 0.01 337060 336058 334056 332055 330055 329053 327053 325055
      326057 327057 328059 330060 332061 334060 335060 337060
      337060
 0.25 519255 519249 518245 517237 516229 513223 509218 503218
      499214 500206 506192 509187 514185 517183 517178 514171
      508162 507156 505155 501160 499162 498167 499172 497177
      494179 490183 487188 485197 482203 477207 475210 476214
      478215 486216 494218 497220 498223 498230 502247 501252
      496250 493252 493256 496263 500268 503269 507261 509259
      511260 516258 519255
 0.25 488706 486693 485681 480675 477674 473674 469675 465677
      461683 457689 451694 445700 438707 426717 423723 420731
      416738 414746 411757 408766 405773 400780 395784 389788
      385794 381801 377810 374818 372828 371834 373840 379854
      384870 389893 392901 398908 401915 402919 402925 403935
      405945 410953 412964 416984 418992 421992 422987 424980
      426974 426968 432949 430941 425933 421927 418918 415912
      410905 408903 406895 405885 405872 405861 406850 407841
      411824 415815 420808 424801 427792 430785 435780 445769
      451762 458756 461755 466754 473753 479749 483744 486735
      486725 486719 488714 488706
 0.25 417700 415695 412697 409701 407705 405709 403713 403720
      407722 410720 413716 414713 415707 416702 417700
 0.25 426023 425020 423017 423013 422009 420007 418008 416011
      415013 413017 412019 413022 414025 416027 418029 420029
      423027 424025 426023
 0.25 396749 396747 395747 394748 392750 390752 390753 389754
      388755 388758 387760 388761 390762 391760 392759 393757
      393754 394752 396750 396749
 0.25 400058 400055 398053 395051 392050 390052 388055 387059
      387063 388066 390068 392069 394067 396065 398062 399060
      400058
 0.25 382081 382079 382076 382074 382072 382071 380070 378069
      376071 376072 376073 375075 374078 374080 375082 377083
      379083 381082 382081
 0.25 342098 343094 342091 341088 339085 337084 334082 332080
      330081 331083 332086 333088 335093 335095 337097 340099
      342098
 0.25 336800 336797 336795 335795 334795 332795 331796 330797
      329798 329799 328801 327803 327805 326807 326810 328811
      330810 331809 332809 333807 333806 334804 335802 336800
      336800
 0.25 319104 318098 315092 311090 306087 302086 301089 297092
      296097 299102 305104 310107 313109 317108 319104
 0.25 321842 320840 320838 319836 317837 315839 315841 314843
      314845 316847 316848 318848 319847 319845 319844 321842
 0.25 270822 270817 268814 264810 256808 256801 253794 249796
      248799 245805 243813 243818 245821 252822 261823 264824
      268823 270822
 0.50 514250 514248 514242 514240 513235 510234 507235 506237
      506239 507243 508248 509250 510252 513253 514250
 0.50 493209 494207 495205 494202 494201 492201 491201 490202
      490203 489206 488207 487208 488209 489211 490211 491211
      493210 493209
 0.50 475710 473697 471693 469691 466693 458702 453707 449710
      441719 440727 441735 441741 443744 446746 450746 453742
      459731 465728 469728 471726 474720 475712 475710
 0.50 439760 439755 438750 437748 434747 431748 427749 426751
      423753 422756 423761 424764 426767 428767 431767 433766
      436764 438762 439760
 0.50 425949 424944 423939 419936 416934 413938 413945 414952
      415956 417961 421962 422956 424952 425949
 0.50 411798 410794 408791 400792 392791 388795 381809 379818
      379828 383845 386855 389863 392870 397867 399848 401838
      403832 404821 404815 411800 411798
 0.50 401892 401890 401887 401885 400884 399883 399882 397881
      395882 394883 394885 395888 395890 397892 397893 398894
      399895 399894 401892 401892
 1.00 395812 394808 393805 390805 387806 386809 385811 384815
      384818 384820 386819 388817 391816 394814 395812

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 507306 496312 493316 490318 487320 483317 480314 481311
      485305 492303 495300 497294 495284 497279 495275 492268
      490263 487259 484263 482267 477263 472257 466254 463254
      461255 458254 454253 451250 449247 451243 455242 456239
      455236 458228 462221 472210 476209 479206 481193 482180
      485169 486162 485156 484151 484146 485143 487143 491144
      498146 500144 503145 506147 511149 514147 518143 522138
      525136 529138 534143 539148 543157 546165 548172
 0.01 561938 561929 559921 559914 558908 549889 539874 533869
      525865 515865 512864 506864 488866 477867 474869 470870
      458871 449877 443885 441889 437892 432894 427893 424892
      420890 407879 404875 402871 398864 394855 390843 388839
      388831 390819 391814 391807 392803 392797 391792 389785
      387779 388774 390761 391757 391749 392743 391736 393726
      398718 404712 411705 416699 424683 435667 442660 451657
      457655 460651 462646 465642 466636 463632 456629 444634
      441636 436638 431641 428644 424647 422644 418642 414643
      409644 405646 402649 399652 394660 382672 373680 367687
      357705 349722 342728 337736 331752 325771 322780 319792
      318797 316801 311804 307805 303807 299806 293805 290803
      288799 285797 277793 272791 267791 257790 250792 242797
      240799 239803 236812 241829 250834 255836 261836 273835
      277837 279841 283848 283852 281855 277865 276875 276880
      278886 281894 284919 283925 283930 280940 279943 276947
      268951 261954 252957 248959 245963 240968 239972 239976
      236978 233983 233988 235992 237996 242000 251003 255004
      261005 267005 272004 279001 292991 295987 297983 301975
      305966 307958 309953 309946 314939 316936 322935 326937
      330940 333944 337947 339952 345952 358952 367950 376948
      381949 386950 396950 400952 403957 410975 412978 417982
      420985 426986 426990 424996 419006 415014 409019 406023
      403026 396031 382043 379045 373045 365049 358053 355057
      352059 344063 340060 338056 334049 327051 325057 325060
      329069 330073 326076 323078 318080 311079 307076 298071
      295067 292064 282067
 0.01 282067 276062 273060 268059 263063 258069 260076 261080
      264082 274094 284104 289111 293115 299120 305124 309126
      314127 320132 327129 332125 340131 353125 357123 362124
      366124 369122 369111 372104 376104 378106 385102 393102
      394104 393107 390109 383111 379117 378119 382121 388120
      393117 398112 402106 399097 400093 402090 405091 406095
      406100 407107 411105 413102 413097 413086 411082 413078
      418073 424068 426065 427058 428045 430041 433039 439036
      446032 459023 460020 460014 463006 470999 477998 483002
      487008 489013 490018 489030 488043 488053 491063 496069
      509066 514061 519055 522053 524049 528042 535024 537022
      539022 543022 548019 553012 553008 554004 554999 556993
      556987 558977 558971 559965 560956 560945 561938
 0.01 491235 490230 488229 487226 484222 483221 480219 476219
      474220 472221 470225 473229 477227 479226 481229 483231
      484234 488235 491235
 0.01 499765 499760 497758 495751 493743 491741 489742 487740
      483741 478742 476750 477757 479762 482766 488770 492772
      496771 499765
 0.01 494117 492114 488113 481107 478104 477099 476094 473088
      466082 464082 462087 462094 463099 468105 472113 475119
      478122 482123 485126 492122 494117
 0.01 442215 441212 439211 439212 437213 436212 434211 433212
      432213 430214 430216 430219 430221 431222 433221 434220
      436219 437218 438216 440217 442215 442215
 0.01 355066 353065 351065 350066 351068 353068 355066
 0.25 533208 532206 531202 529200 526198 524197 522197 522200
      523205 524208 526209 529213 532211 533208
 0.25 517955 518944 517936 514930 509927 502927 497930 493934
      490939 489947 488957 489965 492972 500980 501988 499989
      498993 499996 502996 505992 507989 507986 508975 510970
      514964 517955
 0.25 456930 448925 440920 433914 424907 410894 401890 396888
      395883 393875 390873 387873 387877 389883 393887 393894
      393902 394908 398932 403933 407936 414943 421950 425954
      430955 435954 438950 440946 442940 444934 448932 456930
 0.25 409686 408679 406675 403674 398675 391681 386687 382694
      379701 375708 370716 365722 361728 354732 348738 340753
      336759 333767 324801 327811 332817 339819 346817 353813
      360810 368806 371803 372799 374788 373778 376758 378738
      380729 384722 389715 396710 405697 409686
 0.25 409066 410061 410058 408051 405049 401049 390051 386054
      384059 381063 377065 373069 372075 373080 377084 386085
      388079 392080 394077 396075 399076 403072 407068 409066
 0.25 376823 377817 374812 371810 369813 366818 365822 365827
      365834 366838 368844 372845 374842 375835 375830 376825
      376823
 0.25 311848 311845 311843 310843 308842 307842 306842 305842
      303844 302846 301848 302850 302851 303853 304853 305854
      307854 309853 310852 311850 311849 311848
 0.25 273801 271797 266796 262796 257797 253798 250801 248804
      250807 256806 261806 267805 270803 273801
 0.25 271820 270819 269818 268818 267818 266819 266821 268822
      270822 271820
 0.50 504954 504952 504950 503949 502949 501948 499949 498949
      498952 498954 499957 501958 502958 503957 504955 504954
 0.50 430938 430932 429928 425921 421915 415910 411905 408903
      405903 404907 405912 407919 410926 416933 421936 426940
      430938
 0.50 404689 404685 401683 397681 394682 392684 389689 385694
      383699 381706 383711 389710 394708 399703 401698 403692
      404689
 0.50 369752 367744 365740 362739 355739 350743 341755 338762
      336769 333776 331785 330794 331801 333804 336805 344806
      348806 353805 359801 361798 361794 361789 362785 367768
      369752
 1.00 396694 396691 395690 394692 393693 392694 392695 390697
      389699 388700 388702 388703 389705 390705 392705 393705
      395703 395701 395698 395696 396695 396694
 1.00 357757 356753 354752 349754 345759 343764 342770 342772
      346774 348779 352782 354777 352775 352771 354766 357759
      357757

$$





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