Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 210831
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
430 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 21/1200 UTC THRU APR 24/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...SOUTHERN PLAINS NEWD INTO THE GT LAKES...

MODELS SHOW REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT AT 5H WITH THE PROGRESSION
OF SRN/CNTL PLAINS UPR TROF AS WELL AS SEPARATE NRN STREAM SYSTEM
TRACKING EWD ACRS SRN CANADA TOWARD THE NRN GT LAKES REGION MON
NIGHT/TUES MRNG. ALL SHOW NRN STREAM SYSTEM GAINING A BIT MORE
AMPLITUDE WITH TIME WHILE SRN STREAM S/WV IS FCST TO WEAKEN WITH
TIME IN FAVOR OF THE STGR NRN STREAM IMPULSE.  RATHER
WIDESPREAD..SOMEWHAT DIURNALLY ENHANCED SHWR/TSTM ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED AHEAD OF BOTH SYSTEMS AS WEAK UPR FORCING ACTS UPON SRLY
RETURN MSTR AND RIBBON OF WEAK INSTABILITY AHEAD OF ASSOCD COLD
FRONT.  HOWEVER WITH REGARD TO THE SRN STREAM SYSTEM...THE FACT
THAT THE UPR FORCING WEAKENS WITH TIME ALONG WITH VEERING OF 85H
FLOW TOWARD A MORE WLY DIRECTION..ALONG WITH LESS THAN IMPRESSIVE
GULF INFLOW SUPPORTS THE GENL CONSENSUS OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE THAT
MOST AREAL AVG PCPN AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT TO MDT.  THE EXCEPTION
MAY BE THRU PARTS OF THE ERN TX AND WRN PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MS
VALLEY WERE WEAK WAA PATRN DVLPS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPR TROF
MON NIGHT THAT COULD SUPPORT SOME ORGANIZED HEAVIER CLUSTERS OF
TSTMS WITH HEAVY RAIN.  A COUPLE RUNS OF THE NAM CONEST AND
CANADIAN GEM SUPPORT THIS IDEA..BUT HAVE TONED DOWN THE AMOUNTS A
BIT GIVEN RATHER WIDE MODEL SPREAD ON WHERE EXACTLY THIS MAY
OCCUR.  FARTHER N...THERE IS SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT FOR A BAND
OF ORGANIZED SHWRS/TSTMS AHEAD OF DVLPG AREA OF LOW PRES ASSOCD
WITH NRN STREAM S/WV THAT HAS WEAK INSTABILITY AND DECENT RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION SUPPORT ACRS PARTS OF THE SRN GT LAKES
REGION..WHERE HAVE A STRIPE OF .25 TO .50 INCH RAINS.


...NRN/CNTL PACIFIC COASTS...

AN AMPLIFYING UPR TROF IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ONTO THE CNTL/NRN PAC
COASTAL REGION BY TUES MRNG WITH MODELS GENLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH ONLY MINOR DIFFERENCES IN TIMING/AMPLITUDE. BACKING OF
MID/UPR FLOW THRU THE PD AHEAD OF THE LOW SHOULD KEEP BULK OF PCPN
FOCUSED ALONG COASTAL SECTIONS OF NRN CA INTO THE NRN SIERRA AND
CASCADES OF WA/OREGON WHILE BEST HEIGHT FALLS..7H UVVS..AND AXIS
OF HIER PWS..SUGGESTS HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL DVLPG OVER PORTIONS OF
NRN CA INTO SW OREGON..WITH SW FACING MTN SLOPES FAVORED FOR
LOCALLY ENHANCED PCPN MAXIMA.  THE 12Z EC RUN SEEMED TO BE ON THE
DRY SIDE OF MODEL CONSENSUS AND GIVEN LESS WEIGHT HERE.

DAYS 2/3...


...MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD AHEAD OF A SURFACE FRONT AND A
NEGATIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL FUEL QPF ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST ON DAY 2. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING
ON THE FRONT OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL BECOME THE FOCUS FOR QPF
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON DAY 3. THE ECMWF HAS HAD A BETTER
HANDLE ON THE SYNOPTIC SETUP OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS...AS THE 00Z
GFS APPEARS TO BE TOO FAST WITH THE FRONT ON DAY 2...AND THE
SURFACE LOW ON DAY 3. BECAUSE OF THIS...THE QPF WAS BASED MAINLY
ON THE BLEND OF THE PAST TWO ECMWF CYCLES.

A DEVELOPING LONG WAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO
VALLEY EARLY ON DAY 2 WILL BEGIN TO TAKE ON A NEGATIVE TILT DURING
THE PERIOD. THE TROUGH WILL PUSH A SURFACE COLD FRONT FROM THE
OHIO VALLEY EARLY TO THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COAST BETWEEN
00Z AND 06Z WED. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A 20 TO 30 KNOT LOW LEVEL
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PUMP 1.00 TO 1.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR
INTO THE ABOVEMENTIONED AREA. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MARGINAL
INSTABILITY EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHEAST STATES INTO THE NORTHERN
MID ATLANTIC...BECOMING ELEVATED INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND LIFT FROM THE LONG WAVE TROUGH
WILL SET THE STAGE FOR CONVECTION FROM SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. THE OVERALL PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE
SURFACE AND MID LEVEL SYSTEM SHOULD MITIGATE THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY RAIN...DESPITE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES APPROACHING TWO
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. THE CONVECTION SHOULD PRODUCE A
LARGE AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF FROM SC THROUGH THE MID
ATLANTIC INTO PA/NJ/SOUTHEAST NY. FURTHER NORTH...A SHORT WAVE
PASSING THROUGH THE LONG WAVE TROUGH MAY BE ABLE TO MAXIMIZE LIFT
IN AN AREA OF ELEVATED INSTABILITY. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A LARGE
AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND...AS
WELL AS NORTHERN AND EASTERN NY STATE.

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT OVER THE GULF OF MAINE
EARLY ON DAY 3...IN RESPONSE TO THE SHORT WAVE. MOISTURE BECOMES
FOCUSED ON THE FRONT...AS WELL AS NORTH AND EAST OF THE MID LEVEL
CIRCULATION. THE BEST LIFT WITH THE SURFACE LOW SHOULD OCCUR
ACROSS EASTERN ME AND NEW BRUNSWICK...AND A THIN RIBBON OF 0.25 TO
0.50 INCHES WAS PLACED ACROSS EXTREME EASTERN ME ON DAY 3.


...GULF COAST/SOUTHEAST...

A SHORT WAVE TRACKING FROM OK TO THE PANHANDLE OF FL WILL CROSS A
SURFACE COLD FRONT DURING THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 2. MOISTURE
STREAMING NORTHEAST AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BECOME FOCUSED ON THE
FRONT... PRODUCING CONVECTION. THERE WAS FAIRLY GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT AND SHORT
WAVE...SO THE QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

THE SURFACE FRONT DROPS SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN GA...WESTERN FL AND
STRETCHES INTO SOUTHERN AR AFTER 00Z WED. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW
MARGINAL INSTABILITY JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN A 1.25 TO 1.50
INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AXIS. THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE TIED TO
THE DIURNAL CYCLE...AS MOST MODELS INDICATE A RAPID DROP OFF IN
CONVECTION SHORTLY AFTER 00Z WED. A LARGE AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25
INCHES OF QPF WAS PAINTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST AND GULF COAST.


...UPPER MS VALLEY/GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...

MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY STREAMING NORTH AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH A CLOSING MID LEVEL SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHERN
PLAINS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR CONVECTION AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ON DAY 3. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD 00Z MODEL SUITE
AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE EVOLUTION OF THE SYNOPTIC
PATTERN...THOUGH THERE WERE SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE QPF AMOUNTS
PRODUCED. FOR THE MOST PART...THE PLACEMENT OF QPF SEEMED BEST
FROM THE 00Z ECMWF AND 00Z GFS. HOWEVER..THE 00Z GFS APPEARED TO
SUFFER FROM CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS...AND
THE AMOUNTS WERE LOWERED TO BETTER MATCH THE EXPECTED QPF FROM THE
CONVECTION. BECAUSE OF THESE QPF DIFFERENCES...THE WPC QPF WAS
BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF (ABOUT 2/3 OF THE BLEND) AND THE
00Z GFS (THE FINAL THIRD OF THE BLEND).

A SHORT WAVE ENTERING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES
LATE ON DAY 2 STARTS TO CLOSE OFF DURING DAY 3 ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN RESPONSE TO THE MID LEVEL
SYSTEM ON A LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER EASTERN MT...WHICH
TRACKS INTO ALBERTA AND WEAKENS. A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE
LOW FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO OK AND TX WILL BECOME THE FOCAL
POINT FOR MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY. AS THE 35 TO 45 KNOT LOW LEVEL
SOUTHERLY FLOW OVERRUNS A WARM FRONT ACROSS THE UPPER MS
VALLEY...MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ARE TRANSPORTED NORTH OF THE
FRONT. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW ELEVATED INSTABILITY STRETCHING ACROSS
NORTHERN IA INTO SOUTHERN MN AND WESTERN WI..AND THE HIGH MOISTURE
CONTENT AIR WILL RESULT IN AN AREA OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF
ACROSS THE ABOVEMENTIONED AREAS. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
NUMBERS WERE GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 1.50 AND 2.50 INCHES...SO
WHILE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED NORTH OF THE WARM
FRONT...ORGANIZED FLASH FLOODING IS NOT.

FURTHER SOUTH...THE MAIN AXIS OF INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE (IN THE
FORM OF PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.25 AND 1.50 INCHES)
BECOMES FOCUSED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS. MOST OF THE 00Z MODEL SUITE SHOWED THE BEST
OVERLAP OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY SHOULD LIE ACROSS
KS...NE...NORTHERN MO INTO WESTERN IA. SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IS
PROVIDED IN THE FORM OF A SHORT WAVE CROSSING THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES...REACHING THE CENTRAL PLAINS AFTER 00Z THU. MODEL
SOUNDINGS SHOWED MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES STRETCHING FROM NORTHERN KS INTO SOUTHEAST NE...NORTHWEST MO
AND SOUTHWEST IA.

WHILE PROFILES SUGGEST ORGANIZED CONVECTION...THE SYSTEM ITSELF
SHOULD BE PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH TO KEEP THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING
TO A RELATIVE MINIMUM. IN THE ABOVEMENTIONED AREA...A LARGE AREA
OF 0.75 TO 1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED...BUT IT SHOULD BE NOTED
THAT BOTH THE 00Z ECMWF AND 00Z GFS SHOWED LOCAL AMOUNTS
APPROACHING 2.50 INCHES. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS
ARE FAIRLY HIGH HERE (BETWEEN 2.50 AND 3.50 INCHES)...SO FOR NOW
ORGANIZED FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES/NORTHERN PLAINS...

A LONG WAVE TROUGH COMING ASHORE ON THE WEST COAST EARLY ON DAY 2
WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT FOR QPF ACROSS A WIDE AREA ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST...NORTHERN ROCKIES AND NORTHERN PLAINS. THERE
WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE OVERALL
SYNOPTIC PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION...SO THE QPF WAS BASED ON A
BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

THE LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL PUSH A PACIFIC FRONT ACROSS THE WEST
COAST INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...A DEVELOPING 35 TO 45 KNOT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL
INFLOW WILL TRANSPORT 0.75 INCH PRECIPTABLE WATER VALUES (WHICH IS
ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATION ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES) ACROSS ID INTO CENTRAL AND EASTERN MT. THE MOIST
FLOW...COMBINED WITH MARGINAL INSTABILITY PRODUCED BY STEEPENING
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE CONVECTION ACROSS
NORTHERN NV...NORTHERN UT...AS WELL AS ID AND MUCH OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL MT. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE DIURNALLY
DRIVEN...THOUGH AN APPROACHING 110 KNOT JET STREAK OVER NORTHERN
CA COULD ALLOW THE ACTIVITY TO SURVIVE PAST 00Z WED.

THE UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD FAVOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN FOR THE HIGHEST
QPF...AND AREA OF 0.5O TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED OVER THE
BITTERROOTS OF ID...AND A PORTION OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT
RANGE IN MT. THERE WAS REMARKABLY CONSISTENT WITH RESPECT TO THE
PLACEMENT OF THE HIGHEST QPF...THROUGH THERE WERE SOME SUBTLE
DIFFERENCES IN AMOUNTS. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS
ACROSS THE REGION GENERALLY RANGED BETWEEN 1.00 AND 1.50 INCHES.
WHILE THE INFLOW AND UPSLOPE FLOW COULD RESULT IN LOCALLY HIGHER
QPF AMOUNTS THAN SHOWN IN THE WPC FORECAST...AMOUNTS SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW THE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS.


SULLIVAN/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 519263 519253 518246 516227 515221 512214 511206 512203
      515205 517207 519206 521203 522198 517182 512169 507165
      503162 498165 492165 489167 485166 480170 474181 473184
      470184 468179 461180 457182 443183 440188 438189 435190
      428189 424191 414198 412202 410203 403204 398204 393201
      388197 381196 377196 375198 374201 375204 379209 381212
      379216 375218 373224 374230 373233 371235 366239 362244
      359250 356257 356261 363264 374260 385257 389257 391261
      396266 401269 407271 413272 419270 426269 427273 427276
      440276 448272 459268 468263 481260 486259 489256 492257
      495259 501262 506263 512263 519263
 0.01 531939 532927 531915 528899 529890 528880 527868 527855
      529840 528831 526824 526815 523806 521800 519790 519778
      518773 515775 505781 500784 494784 488782 481780 481770
      481762 481754 481744 478729 476723 475717 472715 461712
      459711 458713 455718 451724 449730 443746 439758 435769
      421789 417793 411797 401804 389810 383813 380814 378818
      366835 359846 353856 347868 346875 343880 341887 338893
      330905 323914 316924 307945 302958 297970 292985 290992
      288999 287005 289010 291016 296016 296021 294023 296027
      299030 305028 308028 309025 313020 318009 324995 326989
      328985 331982 333981 335982 340985 351989 358989 361987
      364986 367987 369990 378979 382975 384973 386975 388977
      392977 397976 404973 409968 414964 419961 424954 428940
      430938 430934 433926 436911 445902 450898 455893 460889
      463883 467878 469877 472877 481884 483887 481889 478895
      474898 472905 470911 469915 469920 470927 476927 480923
      485920 492924 497928 500935 502942 506952 509957 512957
      514960 520960 523960 525958 527954 530947 530942 531939
 0.01 485849 483847 480844 478842 478840 476835 474833 473838
      471840 470843 470848 473850 475852 478852 482851 485849
 0.01 451171 452166 449160 446157 444155 442152 442149 440146
      438144 436148 434152 435157 438161 442164 445165 448168
      451171 451171
 0.01 454115 451109 451105 453103 452100 448097 443098 438097
      435095 429091 428089 427094 431099 432102 431105 428108
      433110 442111 448116 453115 454115
 0.01 396113 394112 392112 390114 387115 385115 381117 379119
      383120 385118 388118 390117 392115 394114 396113
 0.01 398846 398844 398841 396840 395840 393842 391843 390845
      388847 388849 389852 389854 389856 390858 392858 394858
      396858 397855 397853 397851 397848 398846
 0.01 392075 392073 392071 391068 389066 387068 387070 388072
      389073 390075 392075 392075
 0.01 393055 393050 388049 379049 374042 367038 362038 358040
      353046 350048 345050 338053 332053 328055 326057 328060
      347057 352058 357060 362067 364066 370067 372071 374075
      377078 378075 379069 377064 376060 378055 386054 389051
      392052 393055
 0.01 369736 368727 365724 362724 359723 356725 353726 351729
      347736 344743 343750 344755 346757 355755 360752 365746
      367742 368739 369736
 0.01 343100 342098 342097 340096 340095 338093 338095 338097
      338098 339100 340100 341101 343101 343100
 0.25 502241 504233 502229 499224 496223 492224 491219 491216
      489213 486212 481211 478213 474214 473218 481219 487220
      489222 494230 492236 494239 497242 500243 502241
 0.25 515817 515814 515811 514809 514806 514804 512801 510802
      509804 509807 509810 510812 510815 511817 513819 514817
      515817
 0.25 515900 516893 514888 511879 512873 511867 511860 510854
      507853 505854 502858 501862 499866 499870 498877 499883
      501887 503890 506898 510903 514903 515900
 0.25 481247 483242 482239 480236 478233 474234 473236 472239
      469240 467242 468245 470247 474248 477248 479248 481247
 0.25 463249 463248 462246 460247 459247 458247 457247 455247
      454248 453249 452250 452251 454252 456252 457252 458251
      459251 461250 463249 463249
 0.25 462223 459219 454216 449212 445211 435214 426211 424217
      420221 416219 412215 406213 400209 390205 387205 387210
      391214 395218 399221 404224 406226 404229 401233 398238
      397243 400249 405252 407258 410261 415262 425259 429258
      434254 441249 457236 462223
 0.25 468756 467752 465748 459744 452757 445773 438785 434792
      432801 428819 426827 425838 425846 423855 424861 428861
      431859 433858 434860 431868 429876 426884 421890 419893
      420898 423900 427899 433895 437887 442873 446865 450857
      454842 463807 464797 464787 463779 467772 468756
 0.25 398915 395907 393902 390899 386898 382899 374901 369902
      367905 361911 358918 353923 347929 344930 344924 347917
      348914 348908 344907 341909 334913 330919 326926 321933
      317940 314948 310956 307963 306968 305974 301990 300994
      303993 308986 317973 321966 324963 328965 335964 345963
      351960 360957 371947 378943 381943 385945 391945 395937
      397924 398915
 0.50 447224 447220 443220 438221 427221 424222 424223 427228
      427235 423238 417234 412233 408237 411242 413248 417253
      421254 426253 431239 439233 444227 447224
 0.50 460798 460791 459786 455781 451787 449795 446803 444812
      443822 443828 445831 448835 450832 453825 457818 459809
      460799 460798
 0.50 413224 413223 413221 411220 410221 410223 411224 412224
      413224
 0.50 372929 372922 368922 361927 355934 350938 343943 338945
      336949 341949 350946 356946 359944 365938 371932 372929
 0.50 336936 336930 332929 328931 326934 323939 322943 321947
      323951 327948 330946 333943 335939 336936

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 546174 548160 548145 549132 547124 542106 541097 537088
      521062 514049 509035 504016 502005 499998 493982 486967
      479957 470947 464944 455942 448941 443945 436949 430952
      423956 417959 411962 402963 396966 395973 400979 406983
      415983 422983 436988 439994 439000 437002 436007 436011
      440019 446022 455023 460027 464035 468041 474040 481037
      480044 476051 474054 470055 464057 460065 460075 458080
      456083 454087 451089 448087 444086 440085 437087 434088
      431086 424082 420076 417068 413062 409058 404058 401054
      399051 396048 390045 385045 381046 377046 369046 365047
      361049 358052 356055 357058 371056 375056 377058 379062
      379064 376064 371063 366063 364065 364067 372070 375076
      373084 382085 404098 404102 402107 398113 399120 403128
      398133 395135 393139 387143 389149 386157 384168 389181
      394184 401186 403194 399197 393197 389195 381191 376187
      373185 368185 362188 363191 365193 370197 377202 382207
      387211 393215 398221 403226 406229 405234 404239 402242
      399248 398257 407258 409259 409263 410267 416271 423275
      427277 431278 444275 451272 456268 462266 467263 471264
      474267 480272 484276 488280 492282 495281 499274 499264
      497255 495246 499246 503248 512260 514264 516262 518257
      527244 536201 539194 541184 546174
 0.01 513675 511664 510655 507645 504638 499625 489620 480627
      472634 451648 445652 438655 423659 410664 399671 381683
      371688 361697 352707 343716 328733 320743 315755 306774
      308791 308799 313801 323807 321809 317810 310811 303820
      300825 298832 298840 297845 298859 297867 297876 296884
      296892 297897 298906 298916 297922 295929 295938 294943
      296948 297951 296956 296960 297966 301969 305969 307966
      311962 314958 317952 328930 338909 339902 344897 351888
      354883 359879 365876 369873 378866 381860 385854 390845
      397834 405827 413820 425813 427811 430813 432819 451823
      455821 460822 470826 470831 472835 473845 477850 480852
      489864 492868 496872 500876 503871 505865 505856 503851
      503847 501844 501840 499832 500828 500822 501815 501805
      503793 507785 509779 510775 511769 510761 510746 502736
      498732 496730 496725 497721 497715 499710 506701 509690
      513675
 0.01 426098 426096 426094 424093 422095 422096 420098 419100
      420102 422102 423101 425101 425100 426098
 0.01 428023 428018 427014 424008 420003 415000 413998 409998
      403998 390002 384006 381010 376016 375019 377021 384022
      388020 395016 397015 400014 406019 409026 412029 418025
      426025 428023
 0.01 266003 265997 262993 253988 246984 244989 242992 234997
      233001 234004 238007 247011 250022 250026 251026 254024
      256012 258006 262003 266003
 0.25 536182 537175 537169 535159 531141 529134 524129 521123
      519114 513096 510088 504083 498081 489081 478084 470085
      467085 464087 460093 455098 434107 435112 436117 436121
      434124 429129 428134 430138 432145 432152 430157 428161
      431164 436165 444169 450173 455180 461179 467177 472178
      475185 478194 482201 483204 482207 477211 474212 469213
      464212 457212 451213 444213 439214 436215 430217 427218
      425222 428228 426234 422238 416243 416246 418249 424254
      432255 440256 446255 458252 463251 470251 477253 481255
      482251 483246 481242 479234 477227 477223 479221 492225
      497220 497215 498213 503218 510222 517222 521221 525219
      527215 529204 530194 530186 530183 533183 536182
 0.25 500666 499658 498650 494638 492635 488637 481642 474647
      468655 463663 461666 457668 449666 444667 440670 434677
      428683 421688 415696 411704 407712 407716 406719 400726
      399732 401737 409739 414737 417737 418739 417743 414747
      413751 412756 410761 410768 415778 417782 421783 429783
      436780 439776 445774 451769 460764 468762 472759 475755
      480748 484738 487730 499691 498685 499677 500666
 0.25 476007 473996 469986 467974 466969 464964 462961 459959
      455962 455966 456979 456988 458993 460997 467003 473009
      476007
 0.25 422157 422154 420151 417151 415151 411151 409152 407155
      405158 409160 412162 414163 417165 420164 421159 422157
 0.25 422117 422116 421114 420114 419115 417116 416116 417116
      418118 420118 422117 422117
 0.25 396805 395801 394798 391796 386797 383800 381803 379807
      378812 379818 383820 386821 390819 393817 396812 396807
      396805
 0.25 362834 363830 362827 360825 354824 351827 348831 346834
      344838 343844 344847 347849 350848 354846 357842 360839
      362834 362834
 0.25 312924 312922 312920 313918 312916 310918 309920 308921
      308922 307924 307926 306928 306930 306933 306935 307936
      308935 309935 310933 311930 311928 311926 312925 312924
 0.50 523168 523160 522155 521151 518147 515144 510144 508146
      506151 507156 508160 510165 513168 517170 520169 523168
 0.50 517201 519194 518189 517185 514182 508183 503183 500180
      495179 489184 488189 490191 496192 502197 509201 511203
      515204 517201
 0.50 504119 504117 504114 504111 503109 502108 501108 500108
      500109 499110 498112 497113 497115 498115 499118 500120
      502121 504120 504119
 0.50 491664 490657 488652 484654 482659 474665 468671 461681
      455686 447693 441699 441707 440713 438719 438723 447726
      448731 448736 447743 447746 449746 458743 469739 473737
      476734 482726 486716 489691 489677 491666 491664
 0.50 467237 465232 466224 464218 459216 450219 444217 440217
      436220 437223 441229 439234 433241 432245 433247 439249
      448248 456244 465240 467237
 0.50 478107 476103 472100 468097 465097 451109 446109 443112
      446121 448127 447135 448141 447145 444145 441142 437141
      437143 436148 437155 439159 444160 450162 454161 458158
      461158 468162 471158 469154 463146 460141 459135 458129
      459126 461125 465123 467118 474113 477109 478107

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 490612 494616 498622 503631 508641 512654 517667 519673
      521681 523686 522689 520690 516693 511693 504702 497709
      488712 483711 477712 471711 466713 460715 457717 455716
      454720 454725 450729 446727 442725 439720 438716 436716
      430717 423723 418726 413728 407731 406731 405727 400716
      400711 402706 408698 408690 404687 398689 395693 387700
      385704 379706 366708 361707 356708 334709 327710 322709
      322706 326703 340690 349683 357677 363670 366666 370661
      389646
 0.01 469332 473331 477328 485321 488317 490311 492307 493299
      495297 497297 501297 508293 510291 513286 516275 517265
      517258 517251 516245 513234 511229 507226 501221 498218
      498211 501207 502203 499199 494198 483198 474192 471190
      469187 470185 477178 479178 481180 482183 488191 491195
      496195 504197 507207 511214 513218 515218 523219 528218
      530215 536206 544177 548163 549153 549143 553112 554095
      555077 555063 556056 555050 548002 542976 535952 531939
      529933 525929 513917 506911 500905 494900 488895 476884
      461871 457869 454865 449858 436852 430851 425848 418840
      409840 406850 403859 403866 402869 402872 400878 400882
      401892 403899 403903 404908 404912 401915 395921 389925
      385927 379928 373929 369931 369938 369945 371950 371956
      354968 338977 324986 311995 289999 280003 274007 270013
      275018 281022 290027 296028 304028 313025 329017 338014
      348011 350010 354011 363012 374013 375016 374019 372021
      368028 371028 375030 381039 378052 373052 367052 363054
      367054 373055 378054 382058 382062 379064 368061 366063
      370067 375072 376082 382083 387085 386081 385077 388077
      390079 392079 396077 399078 405072 413072 415071 416069
      415063 413051 413046 412039 410034 409030 411026 415015
      417010 417003 418996 421992 424990 428990 438991 447996
      453001 460006 465007 467009 471012 473017 476027 478038
      480053 482065 482077 480084 479093 479099 481105 484110
      485115 483122 478122 473120 471115 473108 473103 472097
      470092 467090 460095 458095 458092 456085 456081 453076
      450072 446070 441069 439072 441076 446080 450085 449090
      443090 435087 425085
 0.01 425085 422088 421093 423100 422105 420108 417113 415117
      416118 419126 420128 420133 419145 418151 420152 423145
      424138 428132 429126 431123 432120 436120 440122 441124
      439132 435138 433140 432145 430160 427167 428173 430177
      431181 426189 420202 415217 411224 406227 402231 396236
      392239 393242 393246 394252 397259 400275 403281 405288
      410299 411305 415311
 0.01 313884 312877 310872 306875 303879 298888 296892 294897
      291910 290915 291922 295933 298935 305935 309926 310920
      311913 310899 311892 313886 313884
 0.25 466622 484627 491631 495634 499638 504650 506656 507664
      505670 500673 489676 480682 470686 461685 452682 442682
      437683 434686 431691 427694 422696 422692 424690 432684
      426676 419668 418664 418657 422647 428638 430634
 0.25 542160 545129 546116 545104 543082 542067 540054 538041
      535030 533020 530011 517973 496943 491934 487926 477912
      472904 466898 460892 455888 451886 445886 435887 429890
      424898 416916 405928 399933 393936 387937 385940 386954
      384969 381978 377987 375990 376995 378999 381002 386003
      391003 397999 403993 411987 417982 423976 431974 441976
      446977 450976 457976 462975 466976 472984 478990 484997
      488003 494011 497021 498032 496043 494050 494058 497068
      499077 497089 495094 496100 497110 499122 500134 506156
      510164 514171 519177 525182 529183 532181 538175 541166
      542160
 0.25 494210 493205 491203 486203 476204 463203 459199 457194
      457189 458184 459182 459178 456172 455167 453154 453149
      454146 457152 460158 463162 468165 472165 476161 478157
      477153 476149 472143 468138 464138 456142 451144 448141
      444141 441142 437143 436149 436152 438159 442162 445162
      447165 448169 448175 443188 442199 440207 437211 431211
      421228 415232 411236 409242 410248 420269 422276 425281
      427288 427295 427298 429301 433305 437308 444310 449308
      453304 455298 458290 463277 468263 474251 481243 482237
      481232 481226 484221 488219 490215 494210
 0.25 446111 447109 447106 446104 445101 444101 443099 443098
      441097 439097 439098 438099 436100 436101 435102 435104
      434107 435108 437109 437110 438110 440111 442111 443112
      445111 446111
 0.25 369990 365985 360981 353982 348984 343987 340991 340993
      343995 346001 353002 358000 363996 367992 369990
 0.50 458624 465627 471633 485635 491637 494640 495645 499655
      500662 498666 490670 482674 475677 467679 459678 453676
      438673 435669 433666 431658 432652 434649 438641 442635
      444633 445629
 0.50 540151 541136 541121 540098 538075 537061 535049 532038
      529028 523011 515996 510988 505982 502980 498980 495978
      493974 486958 478943 469927 464920 460910 455904 450899
      446898 442899 434902 428905 426909 424914 423920 421925
      413927 402937 394941 390943 389946 389957 388970 385981
      383991 384994 388996 392997 394997 417975 422967 424963
      428962 437962 444959 450954 452951 453945 453939 457941
      461948 465958 469965 475971 479978 483987 488993 494995
      499996 500000 503015 503027 502046 501052 502056 506065
      507075 509089 511101 511105 511112 507120 506125 507130
      509138 513147 518155 520158 525160 530163 536164 539158
      540151
 0.50 484214 486210 483208 479209 469210 460211 451213 442215
      433219 430223 431229 432234 427236 421236 418240 420252
      428259 431263 433268 433275 435280 438284 443287 451283
      457275 460269 462263 463256 467252 471249 474245 477240
      476230 477224 479220 482218 484214
 0.50 433954 433953 433952 431951 430952 428954 430956 431956
      433955 433954
 1.00 533144 534136 532130 530127 528124 525123 521125 518128
      517133 520138 521141 525145 529147 532145 533144
 1.00 529084 528077 525073 522065 520059 518052 517048 515048
      515053 516061 518069 519078 521086 523091 525093 527090
      529084
 1.00 485648 481644 475644 470643 465642 460644 457650 456653
      457657 461660 466662 470664 476664 482663 484661 484656
      485648
 1.00 470241 470235 468231 465221 463218 459217 452221 444225
      443230 441236 436243 434247 435250 440251 444250 451248
      460249 463248 467245 470241
 1.00 415949 414944 409943 405945 402949 399952 397956 395961
      399961 403959 407959 410956 414952 415949
 1.00 402979 402975 402971 398972 396973 394975 393977 391981
      390984 390988 391990 394991 396989 398986 399984 400982
      402979
 1.50 467240 467237 466234 462232 459232 457232 454233 452235
      450237 447238 447241 449242 451242 454242 456241 459241
      463242 465242 467240

$$





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