Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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329
FXUS04 KWBC 160731
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
230 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JAN 16/1200 UTC THRU JAN 19/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...SOUTHERN ROCKIES/CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...
...LOWER MS/OH VALLEYS...

A FAIRLY INTENSE/COMPACT UPPER LOW WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST MO AND SOUTHWEST IA BY MONDAY EVENING AHEAD OF A WEAK
NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE
COMPACT UPPER LOW SHOULD THEN OPEN UP INTO A PROGRESSIVE TROUGH
AND CROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TO LIFT FROM NEAR
THE RED RIVER VALLEY OF OK/TX QUICKLY INTO WESTERN MO BY MONDAY
EVENING AND THEN TOWARD SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN BY TUESDAY MORNING.
A WELL-DEFINED DEFORMATION ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW WILL
PIVOT ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE THEN MOVING INTO LOWER MI EARLY
TUESDAY. A SWATH OF ADDITIONAL FREEZING RAIN AND SOME SNOW IS
EXPECTED WITH THIS WHERE COLD WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THE SURFACE LOW TRACK. PLEASE CONSULT THE LATEST
QPFHSD FOR MORE DETAILS ON THE EXPECTED WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS
WITH THIS SYSTEM.

FARTHER EAST AHEAD OF THE SURFACE WAVE...STRONG WARM ADVECTION
WITH THE AID OF A 50 KT SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL FAVOR AN
EXTENSIVE AXIS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN INITIALLY ACROSS
THE MID MS VALLEY BUT THEN LIFTING NORTHEAST THROUGH THE OH VALLEY
BY MONDAY NIGHT. FARTHER SOUTH AND ESPECIALLY TOWARD THE LOWER MS
VALLEY...DEEPER MOISTURE AND SOME MODEST INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW
FOR SOME CONVECTIVE RAINS TO BE FOCUSED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT. THE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SOME SLOWING OF THE TAIL END OF
THE FRONT OVER SOUTHEAST TX BY LATER MONDAY THROUGH EARLY
TUES...AND THIS MAY HELP FOSTER SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS
GIVEN THE SOUTHWEST/NORTHEAST ORIENTATION OF THE FRONT RELATIVE TO
THE MEAN FLOW WHICH WILL TEND TO FAVOR SOME POTENTIAL TRAINING OF
CONVECTIVE CELLS. THE GUIDANCE FOR NOW DOES NOT EXACTLY SUPPORT
ANY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TOTALS...BUT THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED
CLOSELY WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RISING TO NEAR 1.5 INCHES
AND MUCAPE VALUES OF 1000 TO 1500 J/KG OVER THE SOUTHEAST TX
COASTAL PLAIN.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN INTO PARTS OF COASTAL WA AND ESPECIALLY THE
OLYMPIC PENINSULA BY MONDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.
PRECIPITATION WITH THE DEEP LAYER WARM ADVECTION PATTERN WILL
BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE WA CASCADES AS WELL BY EARLY TUESDAY. THE
LATEST GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT THIS IS JUST THE LEADING EDGE
OF WHAT IS AN IMPRESSIVELY LONG-FETCH ATMOSPHERIC RIVER THAT
EXTENDS WELL SOUTHWEST ALL THE WAY INTO THE TROPICAL WESTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN. THIS IS CONFIRMED BY CIRA-LPW DATA AND AMSU 89 GHZ
DATA. THE STRONGEST ONSHORE FLOW FOR THIS PERIOD SHOULD BE FOCUSED
INTO SOUTHWEST BRITISH COLUMBIA WHERE VERY OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE BEGINNING THIS PERIOD. MUCH
HEAVIER RAINS WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY IMPACT THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
JUST BEYOND THIS PERIOD AS THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER SAGS SOUTHEAST IN
CONJUNCTION WITH A COLD FRONT.

DAYS 2 AND 3...

PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES/CALIFORNIA...

A SIGNIFICANT ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT IS LIKELY TO UNFOLD ON DAY 2
IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NORTHEAST
PACIFIC RESULTS IN A STRONG LOW-MID LEVEL JET CORE WITH SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF 50-70 KT AT 850 MB LEADING TO STRONG AND PERSISTENT
MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES INTO WESTERN WA STATE.
WITH A CORRESPONDING SPECIFIC HUMIDITY AND PRECIPITABLE WATER
ANOMALY...HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY ON DAY 2.
THE CURRENT FORECAST OF 4-5 INCHES ON DAY 2 MATCHES WELL WITH THE
00Z NAM AND 21Z SREF MEAN AND ALSO THE GEFS REFORECAST  LIQUID
EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION. THE ECMWF FORECASTS ARE  LIGHTER BUT THE
LONG TERM BIAS IS FOR THE ECMWF TO BE A LITTLE LOW ON AMOUNTS IN
THESE EVENTS IN THE NORTHWEST...SO THE ECMWF WAS GIVEN LESS
WEIGHTING.  THE GFS BACKED OFF THE LARGE AMOUNTS FROM THE 12Z
RUN...SO IS WITHIN THE PACK OF FORECASTS NOW.
A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TOTALS REFLECTS FLOODING
CONCERNS ACROSS THE OLYMPIC RANGE IN NORTHWEST WA.  A MARGINAL
RISK SURROUNDS AND EXTENDS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE NW OR COAST AS THE
MOISTURE PLUME/INTEGRATED VAPOR TRANSPORT AXIS SINKS SOUTHWARD
INTO EARLY WED IN ADVANCE OF AMPLIFICATION OF A WESTERN TROF.

ON DAY 3...THE PEAK LOW LEVEL JET AND MOISTURE
TRANSPORT/CONVERGENCE STREAM ONSHORE STARTING IN SOUTHWEST OR AND
GRADUALLY SINK SOUTH ACROSS CA.  THE STRONGEST 850 MB JET AND
MOISTURE FLUXES TARGET THE COASTAL RANGES OF SOUTHWEST OR AND
NORTHWEST CA...WITH HEAVY PRECIP EXTENDING INTO THE
SHASTA/SISKIYOU RANGES AND NORTHERN CA SIERRA. MANUAL PROGS USED
CONTINUITY AND THE REFORECAST DATA WITH A LITTLE LESS WEIGHTING ON
THE MORE PROGRESSIVE GFS AND UKMET THAT SPREAD THE PRECIP FURTHER
SOUTH IN CA FASTER. SECONDARY MAXIMA OF PRECIP ARE EXPECTED
FURTHER INLAND IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...PARTICULARLY ON DAY 3 AS
THE UPPER JET MOVES ACROSS WA/OR INTO THE REGION WITH WELL DEFINED
UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA AND PERSISTENT MOISTURE FLUXES.  PLEASE
REFER TO THE QPFHSD FOR THE RESULTANT IMPACTS ON SNOW AND ICING
FORECASTS.

...TX/LOWER MS VALLEY...

IN TEXAS...A POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH DRIFTS EAST FORM THE
SOUTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  THE UPPER JET CROSSES CENTRAL
TEXAS...SUPPORTING EMBEDDED UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA AND SCATTERED
SHOWERS/  GREATER COVERAGE AND AMOUNTS ON DAY 2 OCCUR IN SOUTHEAST
TEXAS AS THE MODELS SHOW A STREAM OF ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
FLOW WITH MOISTURE FLUXES CONTINUING WHERE UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE FAVORED RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF
THE UPPER JET.
THIS JET DRIFTS EAST INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY ON DAY 3.  THE
UKMET/NAM/CANADIAN GLOBAL HAVE JOINED THE ECMWF IN PREDICTING A
STRIPE OF 1 TO 2 INCH RAINFALLS ON DAY 3...AND THE 00Z ECMWF HAS
EXCELLENT RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY.  A BLEND OF THESE FORECASTS WAS
USED.

...GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A LOW-MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING EAST
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND PA/NY/NEW ENGLAND...WITH A SECONDARY
LOW FORMING NEAR THE SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COAST AND MOVING
OFFSHORE.
THE WAVE INDUCES STRONG MID LEVEL WARM ADVECTION...RESULTING IN
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THESE AREAS...AND WHERE UPSLOPE
FLOW ENHANCES PRECIP IN THE MOUNTAINS OF WV.  THE 00Z GFS AND NAM
ARE HIGHER THAN THE ECMWF/UKMET/CANADIAN AND THE SREF MEAN AND
GEFS MEAN QPF IN CENTRAL NY.  GIVEN THE WAVE IS PROGRESSIVE ACROSS
NY...LESS WEIGHTING WAS GIVEN TO THE HEAVIER NAM/GFS SOLUTIONS AND
MORE TO CONTINUITY AND THE ECMWF/UKMET/CANADIAN GLOBAL. WITH THE
ECMWF AND UKMET/GFS FORECASTING THE LOW TO LEAVE SOUTHEAST NEW
ENGLAND STEADILY EARLY ON DAY 3...CHANCES OF A LONGER DURATION
EVENT ARE DIMINISHING. SEE THE WINTER WEATHER GRAPHICS AND
DISCUSSION ON THE IMPLICATIONS FOR SNOW AND ICING
AMOUNTS/PROBABILITIES.

SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FORECAST IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES INTO EASTERN NC TUE NIGHT INTO EARLY WED.
COVERAGE/AMOUNTS REDUCE AS POST-FRONTAL DRYING ALOFT COMMENCES
LATE WED.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

ORRISON/PETERSEN

24HR QP VT 17/12Z
 0.01 460328 464325 466323 470322 475323 479322 482321 486319
      488317 491313 494310 498309 501309 506308 543195 540189
      536185 534177 531170 528164 525160 516150 510148 506148
      504150 501156 497161 488164 486166 487170 487174 490176
      493176 494180 499185 497196 492199 489199 486197 484196
      482198 478201 475201 473204 469207 467217 466223 465226
      464231 466233 464239 460243 455246 450249 447255 442258
      434269 427276 418285 412294 411302 411309
 0.01 516219 515214 515211 515207 513204 512201 510199 508197
      505197 503199 504202 505207 505210 506213 509217 510219
      511221 514221 516219
 0.01 484687 481677 475669 467666 464668 463673 465680 463685
      459695 454703 452707 451714 454714 458717 459719 462718
      464721 464725 469734 471739 472748 474763 478774 480779
      484779 487775 488770 487755 485750 484743 482740 481736
      480728 480720 481713 483702 484697 484687 484687
 0.01 459866 459855 459845 457832 455822 450804 442786 438777
      434766 433762 432757 430752 427749 421742 419740 417733
      410718 406717 403717 401720 401722 407741 407747 407752
      407757 405760 404766 401769 394774 388776 382770 379767
      377763 371754 364753 362755 362759 368764 373770 381781
      383785 382790 376794 370799 364804 361807 356805 353806
      351809 349812 344813 339814 336817 333820 332824 334830
      338832 342832 345830 346833 344838 345840 348842 351841
      353838 356831 360826 363823 365825 365828 364833 359839
      355841 352845 346860 344867 345872 346875 344877 338882
      336885 335891 334897 331900 326904 319904 316902 309897
      304893 299893 295894 294897 293901 294904 295908 298911
      299918 298924 294924 292926 290929 290935 289940 286943
      281947 279949 279956 280958 280964 271977 273982 276985
      280987 286987 297982 308973 319962 334957 341955 345953
      350954 366959 367964 368970 370981 368990 365998 366016
      368024 372031 370041 362044 356047 351053 347054 345054
      343051 344048 340045 338045 335049 334053 334056 336056
      340056 343052 345057 348058 346066 349077 350080 345080
      341080 340082 334079 333085 333090 335093 333096 329096
      325095 322091 320091 316099 318101 321103 324109 328109
      330104 333102 337104 340107 342111 347116 349115 350112
      348110 346105 347101 348091 352086 353084 351082 352079
      356076 358079 361081 365081 367079 368074 371076 373080
      375083 379082 381078 383073 388073 390075 393072 398072
      405066 412063 413054 413051 411048 410042 412038 416031
      418025 422017 423014 424007 426998 429990 436971 442954
      449931 450928 451921 452917 453909 454900 457891 458886
      458878 458870 459866
 0.01 389045 390043 390041 389038 387040 387043 387045 388047
      389045
 0.01 371709 369703 364703 357713 349722 343732 332752 326762
      322765 316769 312771 305773 299771 296770 295772 293778
      296781 305787 310790 316790 324789 328786 334776 342766
      347758 350753 355748 358744 359737 366726 369718 371709
 0.01 325883 325880 322879 318877 312875 308871 303869 299872
      300873 298876 292878 283884 274891 276894 282893 293888
      297885 300880 301877 303878 308882 312884 318886 322885
      325883
 0.01 270802 270801 269800 268798 267798 266797 264797 262797
      261797 259798 258799 259800 260801 261802 262803 263804
      265804 267804 269804 270802 270802
 0.25 525257 520253 518246 511231 495207 491209 485207 482208
      480211 480216 482219 484221 486225 486230 484233 482235
      480233 476232 473234 470241 466247 456259 437277 430287
      428292 430297 433299 445296 447295 450296 453305 455311
      459314 462314 474311 484305 489302 496301 508300
 0.25 537210 537201 536195 530184 525176 517169 514168 508169
      505174 506179 507185 510189 516198 521209 528216 532215
      535211 537210
 0.25 450899 451888 450876 449863 448853 446841 443830 440821
      436813 433808 428802 422798 416797 413799 410803 404808
      401811 396811 387809 383804 379808 375816 374824 373833
      370842 366850 362857 355870 348884 340898 336905 331911
      322921 310929 304935 299940 294946 290954 288959 287964
      287969 288973 292976 299974 306969 312964 323955 343936
      348931 353927 362923 368923 373924 378927 382933 387938
      391946 392957 389965 385973 384983 384991 387000 389003
      392005 399004 405001 411996 420980 423975 427967 434952
      441935 444927 447916 450899
 0.25 373066 372064 371064 370063 368063 367063 368064 369065
      370066 371066 373067 373066
 0.50 524261 518253 517248 514242 510233 504225 502220 500215
      498210 494211 491213 486212 486217 488223 489227 489234
      482241 477239 474242 468250 463259 460263 459272 458285
      459290 458298 460303 464306 470307 474306 488298 496296
      505296 510296
 0.50 531208 533205 533200 532195 530190 527186 525182 521179
      516178 514178 513181 515187 517190 520194 521200 523204
      528207 531208 531208
 0.50 446896 446886 446875 445865 443853 439837 436830 431824
      425822 422821 419823 415829 412837 410843 406850 404857
      405864 400880 399887 397899 398914 394919 392923 391929
      393938 395945 396951 395957 395965 396973 399979 405979
      410974 415970 418963 423947 428931 432927 438923 443910
      445903 446896
 0.50 388863 387858 386854 381848 375846 371849 366856 359870
      351887 333915 323928 314942 308946 307945 309941 312938
      312933 307934 304937 299943 296951 295958 293962 293968
      295971 298970 306966 319956 329945 334940 341932 345927
      349919 359905 369894 374888 379878 382870 386866 388863
 1.00 523264 518257 515248 506233 502226 498219 495217 492220
      491227 492232 493236 491240 487240 484243 480249 474255
      470264 469270 469277 468289 469293 473297 477297 480296
      487293 493290 501291 507292 513290
 1.00 354899 353897 351899 351900 353900 354899
 1.00 342919 339918 337919 334924 326933 319941 311949 303957
      300962 301964 303964 312958 321949 328941 334932 341921
      342919
 1.50 522267 515253 512245 507238 499225 497223 494223 493229
      493233 496241 497244 493245 490243 486243 482252 478257
      475267 473273 474279 474284 475288 478291 481291 487288
      493287 502289 508288 513285 518279
 1.50 315952 314950 312951 311952 310953 309954 308954 307956
      306956 305958 307959 308958 309958 310956 311956 312955
      313954 314953 315952
 2.00 520271 520266 518262 516259 514253 506237 496225 494229
      495234 499242 503250 503254 500256 495252 490245 486247
      484251 480259 477272 477278 479283 482285 486284 489283
      494284 502286 505286 509283 513277 516276 519272 520271
 3.00 517267 517265 515261 513258 512255 511252 509250 507248
      506247 507250 507253 508259 508262 509264 510268 513270
      516270 517267
 3.00 505279 505271 502264 499261 495255 491250 488251 486254
      484261 482270 482273 485276 490278 496281 501283 505279
 3.00 505242 504239 502238 501238 502241 503242 505244 505242
 4.00 503278 503271 501267 498263 496260 493255 489255 487259
      488264 489270 492274 495276 498279 501279 503278
 5.00 501272 500269 498266 497264 495262 493259 492258 490260
      490263 491266 493269 496272 497274 499274 501272

24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 497328 494332 492334 488335 484333 481329 478326 475322
      472319 469317 465313 461314 457317 453318 451320 447321
      445322
 0.01 542197 537190 532180 529174 524166 519160 513153 508148
      502144 498142 495138 490131 483127 479126 475125 472126
      469130 466133 463131 453141 447144 442143 439139 436138
      435143 432152 431158 429162 426165 425170 427173 430175
      427184 425186 424191 430198 435204 435208 431207 424205
      421207 420211 420217 415217 409218 406219 403222 400226
      396228 393234 388240 387246 384250 382255 382259 380270
      379280 384291 383295 381299
 0.01 525246 527236 527228 524222 520216 516211 512210 509212
      508214 510217 513223 515229 518235 520242 522248 524249
      525246
 0.01 475760 468720 462700 458689 454682 450675 446671 442667
      438663 433657 428655 416652 403651 386656 378661 374662
      371665 361677 357682 355685 354688 352695 351703 349711
      345717 340728 311776 314780 316781 319781 325778 329773
      338762 342758 345762 345767 346776 345781 345785 341801
      336819 336824 334827 332837 325866 321881 319886 315892
      306900 295909 290914 289920 287924 277935 273939 266941
      254945 241963 241968 244975 245978 244981 240987 238996
      238000 241002 249006 255011 274026 279030 282032 284036
      286040 289047 294059 299073 311085 315083 320077 328068
      332063 334059 334054 335036 325031 321030 320026 322018
      329004 345975 349960 350952 350941 350931 348925 347918
      348913 350911 353908 357901 361895 365888 374875 379869
      386864 393863 397863 400864 404868 407872 410882 412886
      415887 422887 429888 436888 439890 442890 450889 454889
      458886 464883 466881 468875 468870 469865 472855 474834
      474829 472826 471819 473815 471776 473766 475760
 0.01 473111 473108 471108 469107 468107 467110 468110 469110
      471111 473111 473111
 0.01 291889 291885 289885 287887 287889 285891 285896 285900
      284904 286908 288908 288906 289902 290899 290895 290891
      291889
 0.25 423314 431309 438304 445297 452290 459283 463280 467278
      472278 475281 482291 490297 496299 500299 508298 510296
      523259 518249 514235 510226 505216 502211 500206 497198
      493194 508194 517200 522204 525206 529205 531200 531193
      527182 520173 517169 511165 503160 497151 492141 488136
      483133 479133 478136 479139 481144 481147 477149 471150
      465151 461154 456164 452168 449172 448178 448187 450189
      452188 458187 463188 466192 469195 470198 469202 465204
      459205 455209 450211 443213 434217 431222 432229 431234
      428234 421233 416232 410232 407234 406241 405248 402254
      399261 396270 393282 393288 395294 397300 401306
 0.25 453742 452738 450731 447726 446718 444708 442701 439695
      435691 417688 407687 397690 387694 383697 379701 375701
      371706 368718 368725 370732 373745 375753 378757 382757
      391753 397753 399755 400760 400770 398776 395780 390783
      382789 375795 370802 362809 353827 347836 341848 338858
      336869 332878 329887 325897 319906 312916 305924 292935
      286942 279949 274956 269965 266979 266986 268990 279006
      283009 287011 292012 298011 307008 311006 314001 321992
      326981 329970 330965 331957 331950 330944 329939 330932
      332923 337913 349891 353883 357872 362863 367856 371848
      378840 387831 391828 397826 403827 407828 414834 420841
      424852 427854 433852 437851 442848 447844 449843 450839
      452823 452815 454811 455803 455798 454785 454779 454774
      453755 452747 453742
 0.50 522267 518254 513237 508226 502215 498209 493204 488199
      488190 491185 495183 501183 506186 512187 515188 519190
      524195 523190 517179 513174 509170 499163 485156 473155
      468157 465158 464161 464168 462176 459177 458180 460181
      462179 466180 469185 472190 475196 472203 468207 463208
      451214 441217 438221 436225 437228 437232 436236 431240
      423237 415238 405264 403271 400280 401290 404296 408300
      414303 420302 426300 434293 444283 451277 461271 465269
      471268 476269 480271 483277 487282 490287 494291 499292
      508292 513290
 0.50 443747 443739 441732 436722 435709 432704 427703 418705
      414708 412713 411719 411728 411737 415769 413784 414795
      419809 424817 431825 435826 439824 442819 443812 444800
      444769 443755 443747
 0.50 390803 389799 386798 383800 378806 367821 363825 360830
      358832 353834 350837 348842 345851 342875 340880 340886
      341886 345882 350873 353864 355860 355852 359845 367838
      369835 372831 382814 387808 390803
 0.50 332908 333904 330904 326908 319917 311926 305933 290949
      282959 275967 273972 271979 272984 274991 281000 284003
      291005 303002 308000 311995 315990 317984 319979 320971
      320962 321956 319952 319943 320937 322929 327919 332908
 1.00 516273 517267 517262 515251 513244 509236 502220 499214
      494210 487205 482204 478205 473209 467211 454216 450220
      446228 443235 437242 432244 424242 422244 419248 415257
      412265 412274 413283 415286 420286 426283 431280 443272
      453265 458262 465259 470258 475258 479260 485265 490272
      494277 501282 506282 511278 514276 516273
 1.00 497174 496171 493168 491167 488166 484165 483166 481168
      479171 478175 477179 479182 482183 485179 486178 488177
      491175 493175 497174
 1.00 484230 484227 482226 481225 479225 478225 479226 480227
      482229 483230 484230
 1.50 513260 513248 508237 500220 498216 494213 489209 485207
      478207 472212 455218 454223 455228 452231 449234 444240
      440245 436248 428248 425251 423256 422262 426265 430269
      435268 441266 449262 455257 464253 471253 476254 481256
      488262 495272 499277 503278 504272 502262 496251 493243
      491239 486236 483234 480229 475227 471227 468225 471223
      479222 484224 487226 493237 495241 498244 503252 508259
      511262 513260
 2.00 510251 507242 503232 499223 497218 494215 488210 482208
      479209 476212 474216 483221 486223 489226 494235 498242
      506249 510251
 2.00 502272 501263 498257 491244 487238 481234 477229 471229
      459232 454234 449238 447241 446248 447252 448254 454253
      460250 466249 472250 480253 484257 493266 498272 500274
      502272
 2.00 464224 466222 464219 463218 461219 459219 459220 457221
      457222 457224 458225 460226 461226 462226 463225 464224
 3.00 495262 495256 494252 490245 485240 480238 476231 470233
      467236 466239 467243 471246 479248 485253 489258 495262
 3.00 498234 498229 497223 495220 491216 489213 484211 482211
      481214 483218 488220 491223 492227 495233 498234 498234
 4.00 493259 494256 493255 493253 492252 491250 491249 490247
      489247 488245 486245 485245 486248 487251 488251 488253
      489255 490256 491257 492258 493259 493259
 4.00 480244 480243 479241 478240 478238 477236 477235 476234
      474234 473234 472235 471236 471238 471241 471242 473243
      474244 476244 478244 480244 480244
 5.00 476240 476237 475236 474236 473237 473239 473240 475241
      476240

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 422636 426640 430644 433647 437654 440660 442663 446663
      451663 455665 460669 464670 476666 482664 486666 492669
      494671 494676 495685 494689 487699 480701 478701 478706
      480725 482731 484741 484745 482746 479752 472761 469766
      462768 441777 437780 436784 434789 432795 429800 425812
      425815 422819 418823 395821 383823 375824 371826 365830
      361836 358839 354844 354848 353851 353855 356854 368853
      373853 376857 380864 382870 383879 385884 383898 377911
      371919 364929 359936 350944 347960 343970 337980 322998
      318002 316003 311003 306003 301004 280014 275015 269015
      263014 258011 254008 250002 244994 240983 241977 242970
      244964 247959 251947 261929 267918 270913 273908 280900
      287893 296887 307882 311881 312879 318879 323876 328872
      332869 337864 336855 334849 333840 335835 338823 339818
      341815 340810 340805 338802 333798 319780 318772 317764
      317750 318744 318739 319737 323727 327716 332704 337692
      341680
 0.01 400305 405305 411303 419298 428291 438285 443285 450287
      456291 459295 461301 464302 467301 472301 476299 481297
      487296 490297 492296 496294 502295 508298 510300 527252
      523248 521242 516231 512219 511212 515207 522213 528216
      531212 534205 534197 533182 528171 522162 518157 514153
      506146 491132 483126 476125 470125 468131 465134 462136
      461133 457135 456138 453139 449136 445123 447117 447111
      444106 438105 433106 428105 425105 424108 421114 419114
      418117 416120 413120 408121 402120 395119 393126 390130
      385131 376134 369133 364134 362140 362147 358151 354153
      337164 334167 332174 331182 328188 321213 318227 316242
      329263 343274 345274 347275 348277 350278 352279 353281
 0.01 462834 462832 462829 462827 462824 460822 460820 459817
      458817 457818 456820 454820 454823 455825 455828 456830
      457832 457833 459833 460834 460835 462834 462834
 0.01 404766 403756 399751 394747 391746 388749 383753 379758
      371770 365780 362787 361796 360799 361804 364806 367806
      373802 377796 385788 397781 402775 403769 404766
 0.01 392186 391183 390181 388178 385175 384173 380172 377173
      378177 379179 383181 385182 387185 389187 392186
 0.25 519271 520265 520259 517247 513235 511225 504205 502199
      503193 507191 512191 515192 518192 522189 522183 521178
      519172 514163 505158 500151 495142 488134 481129 477130
      475135 477140 478144 476146 466145 461146 458149 454151
      450148 436136 431134 427135 424139 422144 421152 421161
      422171 422174 423180 427188 431200 438205 445202 452197
      456196 456200 453205 451210 435212 429205 426203 423204
      419205 410206 403202 395198 386191 378185 371181 366178
      360179 356181 355186 359192 367199 368201 366202 363201
      361199 358196 354195 349194 346191 343188 339189 337216
      337220 337227 342235 345238 351241 356249 359271 364278
      371285 376286 381288 386289 391289 408284 415282 423278
      439270 446266 454263 463263 468265 472269 485282 489285
      494285 504286 510286 514281 518275 519271
 0.25 474201 474200 473199 472198 471197 469197 467197 465198
      463198 463200 463201 465203 465204 466204 468205 469205
      470205 471204 472203 473201 474201
 0.25 440697 440690 439685 436676 432664 428656 423651 417646
      409645 402647 398655 395664 392672 388675 393681 400685
      405690 410696 415702 420707 427712 433710 436707 439703
      440697
 0.25 388682 388677 387675 383670 377668 371668 365670 360673
      355679 352683 347694 343706 340718 335730 338735 338742
      334754 335762 337769 339776 343779 350778 353774 355767
      355759 356753 358747 363737 368725 373713 377703 382691
      388682
 0.25 366905 366900 365896 360889 353887 343888 336889 328892
      316900 303907 297912 292917 281927 272938 263950 260956
      258966 259975 261983 264991 269996 274996 278995 284991
      290987 297985 304981 310977 321968 331957 341945 349933
      357920 366905
 0.50 516270 516260 514248 509227 505217 501209 494204 490201
      488195 492186 498181 501178 504174 502169 500165 494159
      490156 485155 476153 467148 464149 461151 458155 455157
      451156 448152 442147 438144 434142 430143 428147 427153
      427158 429169 432177 436186 442193 447195 450194 457191
      465190 469189 473191 476194 478196 478200 473207 470208
      465208 460207 456211 454213 449214 434217 429215 425216
      422220 419221 416213 411210 407208 398203 391198 378188
      368183 363183 362188 365194 371201 375207 371210 366209
      356205 352205 349208 349213 351218 353222 356227 360233
      363237 364241 365246 368251 369256 368261 368267 370271
      375277 381280 386279 394278 410276 418274 426271 453256
      460254 468255 473257 477260 483266 487274 490278 493281
      497280 502281 506280 509278 511273 513272 516270
 0.50 485230 483229 483230 485230 485230
 0.50 492145 492144 492142 490140 490139 489139 487136 486135
      484133 483132 481132 480132 479135 481136 482138 484139
      485140 486141 487142 488143 490144 490145 491145 492145
 0.50 428681 428676 427671 423665 421661 415658 412659 409666
      408672 409678 413685 416691 417695 419696 422696 426694
      428688 428681
 0.50 370693 371687 368683 364684 362686 357693 354699 352706
      350716 351721 353724 356726 359725 363718 365711 368703
      370695 370693
 0.50 353912 354908 353904 347901 333900 328902 321906 312912
      302919 294928 285935 276943 269952 266957 265966 265974
      268980 273984 279985 284984 290981 301976 311970 319962
      328953 336943 341933 348922 353912
 1.00 507253 508244 508237 504223 501217 498213 493209 486206
      482206 479208 477212 477215 478218 483221 487224 489227
      489232 488235 485234 480230 474227 470230 467231 466228
      470223 473219 469216 464213 460212 458214 455217 449219
      445221 440224 435228 431229 424229 419228 416225 414218
      409213 404210 384196 380193 375191 373192 374195 377201
      384209 388215 387218 383218 379220 376225 377232 378238
      388261 391265 396266 407264 415265 420265 430261 438255
      447250 458246 463246 469247 479253 484257 488262 494272
      497274 499274 503267 503262 505258 507253
 1.00 492176 493170 491166 489164 485161 480160 473158 467153
      465155 465160 467169 470175 476180 480186 484186 486184
      488179 490177 492176
 1.00 458182 457178 456177 454169 451163 447159 443155 438152
      435152 435157 437163 438170 441176 445180 448186 452183
      458182
 1.00 361217 363215 362214 361213 360212 358211 357212 356212
      356214 358216 359217 361217 361217
 1.00 332932 333926 331922 324919 316921 310925 297935 287945
      277956 273963 272967 273970 275972 280973 288970 295967
      303965 309961 315956 325945 330938 332932
 1.50 504241 504234 502226 500219 496215 491212 484211 482211
      482216 486220 491224 492230 494236 497242 502243 504241
 1.50 499266 499260 499255 496249 494245 490243 485238 480232
      475229 471231 469235 468239 470242 476246 482250 486252
      488256 492263 494266 498268 499266
 1.50 486169 486168 484168 484169 484170 485171 486169
 1.50 464224 465221 465219 464218 463216 461216 459217 457219
      456221 457224 458225 460226 461226 462226 464224 464224
 1.50 454243 455240 453238 449235 444233 439234 435236 429235
      424232 419231 415229 413223 411218 407216 400209 396207
      392206 392211 395215 401223 398225 392224 387225 383227
      382232 383237 388245 394253 397256 403258 408260 414260
      423259 438251 454243 454243
 2.00 500232 500230 500229 500227 500224 499223 498221 496219
      495219 493219 493220 493222 494225 494226 494228 495230
      495231 496233 498234 500233 500232
 2.00 495259 495257 495256 493254 492256 493257 493259 494260
      495259
 2.00 480241 481239 480238 480236 479235 478233 478232 476231
      475231 473232 472233 471236 471238 472239 473241 475242
      476242 478243 480241 480241
 2.00 432249 433245 432242 428238 424235 418233 414231 411226
      411223 408221 405225 402229 396228 391229 387231 388237
      390241 395245 398248 408254 411256 416257 425255 429252
      432249
 2.00 401214 400212 399211 398210 397210 396210 397211 397213
      398214 400215 401214
 3.00 426247 426242 424240 421238 417238 414237 410237 409239
      410242 413244 416244 418244 420246 421248 423248 426247

$$





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