Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 190857
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
456 AM EDT MON JUN 19 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUN 19/1200 UTC THRU JUN 22/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

...NEW ENGLAND SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE MIDATLC AND SWWD INTO THE
LOWER MS VALLEY/TX...

WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY CONVECTIVE RAINS ARE LIKELY THIS
PERIOD ALONG AND AHEAD OF A STRENGTHENING COLD FRONT THAT IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH EWD FROM THE OH VALLEY INTO THE NE/MID ATLC
BEFORE SLOWING SWWD ACRS THE LOWER MS VALLEY BY TUES MORNING.
MODELS SHOW SUPPORTING UPPER TROF THROUGH THE MIDWEST SHARPENING A
BIT ON MON AS ADDITIONAL JET ENERGY DIGS INTO THE WEST SIDE OF THE
TROF WITH UPPER FLOW BACKING SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE MIDATLC INTO THE
NORTHEAST.  VERY FAVORABLE MOISTURE/INSTABILITY PROFILES ARE
EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT ESPECIALLY FROM THE MIDATLC REGION NWD
WHICH SHOULD ALLOW RAPID DVLPMENT OF FRONTAL/PREFRONTAL CONVECTION
ESPECIALLY DURING PEAK HEATING MON AFTERNOON/EVENING..WITH SOME
SLOW MOVING CONVECTIVE LINES LIKELY TO OCCUR..ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
ADVANCING COLD FRONT THAT COULD LEAD TO INTENSE RAIN RATES AND
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.  BY MON NIGHT...THERE IS A MODERATELY
HIGH CONSENSUS IN THE 00Z HI RES MODEL RUNS TO SUGGEST A SLOWING
OF THE EXPECTED CONVECTIVE LINE THROUGH SE VA SWWD INTO THE CNTL
NC WITH SOME INTENSE RAIN RATES PSBL AS LINE BECOMES COINCIDENT
WITH VERY DIFFLUENT UPPER FLOW OVER THE REGION.  THERE IS FAIRLY
DECENT SUPPORT IN THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE FOR A SWATH OF 1 TO 2"
PLUS AMOUNTS FROM PARTS OF MAINE SWD INTO THE MID ATLC..BUT THERE
REMAINS SOME TIMING ISSUES WITH THE ARW/NSSL RUNS LEANING TOWARD
FASTER MOVEMENT OF CONVECTION AND THE NAM CONEST/NMM SEVERAL HOURS
SLOWER..SO HAVE TAKEN A MIDDLE GROUND APCH FOR NOW.  CHANGES FROM
CONTINUITY WERE RELATIVELY MINOR..THOUGH DID INCREASE AMOUNTS FROM
SE VA SWWD INTO NC GIVEN THE STRONGER CONSENSUS WITH THE HI RES
GUIDANCE SUPPORTING SLOW TRAINING CONVECTION THERE MON NIGHT.
FARTHER SOUTH...FRONT WILL GRADUALLY SINK SOUTHWARD INTO AN UPPER
LEVEL COL REGION FROM TEXAS EWD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.  PLENTY
OF MSTR WILL REMAIN ALONG THE FRONT WITH PWS EXPECTED TO BE AOA
2.0 INCHES.  WHILE CONFIDENCE IN QPF DETAILS HERE WILL BE QUITE
LOW GIVEN ACTIVITY WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY MESOSCALE
DRIVEN...SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL BE PSBL IN SOME OF THE
STGR/SLOW MOVING CELLS AND CELL MERGERS.  ACRS THIS REGION...A
BLEND OF CONTINUITY ALONG WITH THE HREF MEAN/00Z HI RES CONSENSUS
WERE USED.

...NRN PLAINS SEWD INTO THE GT LAKES OH VALLEY...

CYCLONIC FLOW TO THE SOUTH OF THE UPPER LOW OVER THE GT LAKES/SRN
CANADA WILL SUPPORT SHOWERY CONDITIONS FROM EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY/GT LAKES AND OH
VALLEY REGION AIDED BY S/WV TROF FCST TO DROP SEWD ACRS THE UPPER
MS VALLEY MON NIGHT.  DAY 1 QPF DID NOT DEVIATE FROM THE OVERALL
MODEL CONSENSUS OF LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE PRECIP TOTALS ACROSS
THESE REGIONS.

...FLORIDA/ERN GULF COAST...

MDTLY STG SELY LOW LEVEL FLOW TO THE EAST OF AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER OVER THE ERN GULF OF MEX AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL
CONTINUE TO DRAW HI TROPICAL PW VALUES OF 2 TO 2.25+" ACRS THE
PENINSULA  ESPECIALLY THE SW PORTION OF THE STATE.   THIS WILL
SUPPORT INCREASING SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH BANDS/CELLS GENLY PUSHING
NWWD ACRS THE AREA WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS PSBL GIVEN THE
ANOMALOUS PWS.   HEAVIEST PRECIP AMOUNTS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA
OF DISTURBED WEATHER WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE INTO THE EASTERN GULF
DURING THE DAY 1 TIME PERIOD..BUT INCREASING MSTR WILL GRADUALLY
HELP SHOWERS SPREAD NWWD INTO COASTAL AREAS OF THE EASTERN GULF
STATES INCLUDING SE LA BY TUES MORNING.  SEE THE LATEST NHC
OUTLOOKS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...GULF COAST...

A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. A TROPICAL PLUME OF MOISTURE IS
FORECAST TO STREAM NORTH ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THIS DISTURBANCE.
STILL QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD WITH REGARDS TO THE TRACK OF THE
POTENTIAL TROPICAL LOW...AND THE RESULTANT AXIS OF HIGH PWAT AIR
TO ITS EAST. CONTINUE TO LEAN AGAINST THE GFS SOLUTION...WHICH
REMAINS AN OUTLIER. THE CMC QPF SEEMS SUSPECT AS WELL ACROSS THE
AREA. WPC QPF CONTINUES TO LEAN TOWARDS THE MORE CONSISTENT
ECMWF/UKMET/NAM/NAM NEST SOLUTIONS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY. THIS
FOCUSES THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM SOUTHEAST LA INTO
SOUTHERN MS/AL AND THE FAR WESTERN FL PANHANDLE...WITH 48 HOUR
TOTALS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY OF 3-6" CURRENTLY FORECAST OVER THIS
AREA. WOULD ANTICIPATE THAT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR.
HOWEVER STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT AXIS OF HIGHEST
AMOUNTS...AND HOW FAR INLAND THE COASTAL FRONT AND BETTER
INSTABILITY IS ABLE TO PROGRESS. THUS WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR...AND AS CERTAINTY INCREASES CAN INCREASE QPF AMOUNTS IF
NEEDED. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL THROUGH DAY
3 FROM THIS DISTURBANCE WILL PROBABLY OCCUR WELL DISPLACED TO THE
NORTHEAST OF ANY ACTUAL SURFACE LOW THAT DOES FORM.

DAY 2 AND 3 MARGINAL RISKS WERE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST. ALSO ISSUED A DAY 3 (12Z WED-12Z THU) SLIGHT RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHEAST LA INTO FAR
SOUTHERN AL/MS. STRONG LOW LEVEL FLOW AND PWAT VALUES POTENTIALLY
INCREASING TO AROUND 2.25" (NEAR THE CLIMATOLOGICAL 95TH
PERCENTILE) SUPPORTS EFFICIENT HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH THESE COASTAL
AREAS HAVING THE BEST CHANCE OF GETTING ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO
SUPPORT RATES HIGH ENOUGH FOR FLASH FLOODING. AS MENTIONED ABOVE
STILL A GOOD AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS HEAVY RAINFALL
THREAT. HOWEVER GIVEN THE ANOMALOUS PWAT VALUES AND STRONG LOW
LEVEL FLOW IN PLAY...AND THE GROWING MODEL SIGNAL FOR POTENTIAL
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS...THOUGHT THE SLIGHT RISK WAS
WARRANTED TO INCREASE AWARENESS OF THE THREAT. WILL LIKELY HAVE TO
FINE TUNE THIS AREA AS MODELS CONVERGE ON A SOLUTION.

...SOUTHEAST COAST...

A FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED OUT OVER THE SOUTHEAST COAST ON
TUESDAY...WITH 2"+ PWAT VALUES POOLED ALONG IT. SOME QUESTION AS
TO THE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION ON TUESDAY WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD
COVER PROBABLE. HOWEVER WITH SUCH HIGH PWAT VALUES AND A NEARLY
STATIONARY FRONT SOME CONVECTIVE TRAINING WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE. THUS WILL CONTINUE THE MARGINAL RISK
OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS EASTERN SC/NC.

...UPPER MS VALLEY...

AT 0Z THURSDAY LIKELY TO HAVE A COLD FRONT PROGRESSING EAST ACROSS
THE PLAINS...WITH A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF MN/IA/WI. LIKELY TO HAVE CONVECTION FORM ALONG THE
COLD FRONT BY EVENING...WITH ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY POSSIBLE
ALONG/NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT
INCREASES INTO THE BOUNDARY. THE SYSTEM WILL BE
PROGRESSIVE...HOWEVER ANTICIPATE SOME TRAINING THREAT WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF CELL MERGERS AS THE COLD FRONT OVERTAKES ANY WARM
FRONTAL CONVECTION. PWAT VALUES INCREASING ABOVE 1.5" WILL SUPPORT
A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT IF TRAINING DOES OCCUR. WENT WITH A DAY 3
(12Z WED-12Z THU) MARGINAL RISK FOR PORTIONS OF MN/IA/WI TO
ACCOUNT FOR THIS THREAT. THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE SYSTEM
PREVENTS A SLIGHT RISK FOR NOW...HOWEVER SHOULD A SIGNAL FOR MORE
ORGANIZED TRAINING BECOME CLEARER THEN AN UPGRADE COULD BE
POSSIBLE.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

SULLIVAN/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 536218 538211 539204 539198 540191 536183 533181 530179
      528180 523185 522189 521195 518206 516213 514219 513223
      510226 505229 502233 498233 496236 493240 493245 490246
      484245 475243 466243 459244 454248 452252 454256 463259
      471260 475262 475266 477269 482272 484273 484275 482280
      477287 472292 471297 470299 473300 475304 476309 479318
      484323 487324 491321 497316 505302 515285 522267 526256
      527249 529245 536218
 0.01 545771 543756 539742 534719 528699 521675 518665 513654
      512649 509643 505634 501629 498627 493630 489633 480641
      468646 457649 453648 447650 442652 440655 434662 429668
      421673 408683 401688 391695 382701 374710 370717 365724
      353738 347746 340752 335758 330766 326771 321778 317786
      315789 315794 313799 310801 305801 299800 288799 276796
      271795 266795 257793 248792 241788 237787 232789 232793
      234798 236801 236806 232814 231817 232821 232825 228828
      225833 223843 225867 226879 227884 229889 239906 240910
      242910 247913 252914 255917 262924 265927 270928 275928
      279926 282924 286926 290931 295939 299945 301947 304947
      308956 306962 305966 303978 299987 294997 293002 295006
      297011 297017 297033 299038 302036 308030 311022 311016
      313009 313006 316005 320014 322014 324012 329004 331995
      333982 337957 340930 340913 341902 342895 344891 349882
      353875 358868 362861 367856 373849 379844 383846 386850
      393857 399868 400881 401892 404899 408899 408910 408922
      411928 412933 414938 418941 430952 442962 453974 459979
      466987 472994 478000 485007 494015 501019 509024 517020
      520018 520015 515991 512985 505979 503976 501971 499962
      493954 485948 482944 479937 472927 470924 470921 473921
      475920 477918 477912 476907 475900 472890 468879 467874
      466866 463854 460844 457836 455830 455823 453819 452813
      451809 451802 449787 453775 455767 458754 459748 460744
      462743 466738 471734 483719 495705
 0.01 495705 501705 507704 515705 515709 513712 500741 487768
      481781 477788 475796 471802 468808 467812 464817 466824
      467827 470830 474835 476842 481849 490856 495851 497850
      500852 505855 510857 514857 517854 520853 523851 526849
      527846 531841 533838 534834 537824 541810 542804 543798
      544794 543788 544777 545771
 0.01 447221 445220 442219 438218 435218 433219 431219 427220
      427221 430224 432224 434223 437224 439223 443223 445221
      447221
 0.01 434184 433181 430183 427184 423188 419189 415191 415194
      416199 421200 424198 426194 430190 432186 434184
 0.01 416160 416158 415155 412153 410152 408149 405147 403146
      400145 398145 397150 397152 401153 404154 408154 411157
      412160 414160 416160
 0.01 398199 395195 388192 383190 378187 371185 369188 376191
      380195 385198 391200 394202 398199
 0.01 336082 334080 333077 333073 333071 329070 326070 324070
      321072 320074 319078 321079 323081 327081 330082 334082
      336082
 0.01 334058 332057 330056 328056 327057 326057 326059 328060
      330060 332059 334058 334058
 0.01 336028 336023 336021 334019 331016 328018 327020 328023
      330025 330027 332030 334032 334030 336028
 0.25 537775 535766 531758 527755 523757 520760 517767 515776
      512783 506789 496799 493806 493812 493817 496824 500830
      506831 511825 519813 528801 532794 535787 537775
 0.25 516275 518267 518259 516254 512253 508255 505255 498253
      494254 491258 495269 497274 495283 493291 495297 499298
      504295 510286 515276 516275
 0.25 498654 497651 494652 490653 484654 478658 468662 459669
      453673 448677 440687 431696 422708 405724 399732 393741
      384749 380752 375751 373749 370750 366755 357766 351777
      348782 346788 344799 340809 321862 317874 312885 310889
      307886 305880 303872 303867 304858 305851 302843 300837
      299828 295824 289820 278817 271808 263803 254799 248798
      242795 241797 245800 247808 245811 237824 233834 230839
      229845 229858 230866 233871 239882 246892 254900 259905
      264908 276912 280912 286910 294906 302899 303905 303913
      304921 307926 309928 313929 316927 319923 319917 321909
      333887 340880 346871 358851 367841 376831 393815 407799
      414790 420785 423777 428767 435756 449736 462718 478694
      484684 493674 498654
 0.25 497988 494980 488972 484970 482967 480967 477964 473962
      470959 462955 462959 466962 472969 478974 484980 490986
      496990 497988
 0.25 422803 422801 422800 421801 420803 420804 420806 420808
      421809 421808 421806 422804 422803
 0.25 332967 332956 330949 328948 327949 325954 323962 320969
      317975 316980 316986 319992 322992 324990 328982 330975
      332967
 0.50 507285 509278 507274 506272 506269 505263 501261 500266
      500272 500277 499282 499287 502288 506287 507285
 0.50 481675 480669 478667 470669 460677 453681 447687 437699
      428710 419719 407729 398740 387751 378758 371761 366762
      361765 357772 351785 346796 341814 338830 335837 336840
      338837 345827 352815 356808 359808 358812 353827 348839
      342855 335869 336871 339872 344867 350857 357843 365829
      370829 373828 378823 388815 398805 407793 415781 420776
      422770 430757 433749 434745 439744 448733 455722 458715
      463708 471695 477685 481675
 0.50 334843 335841 334841 334843 334844 334843
 0.50 328861 328859 328858 327859 327861 328861 328861
 0.50 329973 330967 330960 329954 327956 325960 324964 323969
      321975 321979 323984 326980 328975 329973
 0.50 328878 324874 321881 317888 313894 311901 310911 312914
      315912 319905 321898 324890 326883 328878
 0.50 297859 296850 294845 289830 279824 271814 267808 263805
      257802 254801 250802 251807 254813 258818 264821 267822
      266824 259824 252824 246827 240830 237834 233840 232846
      232855 233861 236868 240873 247882 251888 256892 263901
      269905 277905 283902 287899 291894 294887 296873 297859
 1.00 468686 468681 465682 460685 454689 449695 440705 430716
      421725 417728 414730 409735 400744 397752 393754 391757
      383766 374778 370783 371788 373789 378784 383778 387774
      391772 394773 400774 405770 410765 414760 422749 430738
      440726 445722 449717 458704 464696 468686
 1.00 405787 402788 399790 396794 393797 390800 387804 389805
      392802 395799 398796 401792 403790 405787
 1.00 385761 384758 382758 377761 367766 360773 356781 352792
      350797 351804 356802 359797 364788 368779 375770 382763
      385761
 1.00 287877 288871 287866 284856 281850 275842 271838 264834
      256833 246835 240838 237842 236846 236851 238855 242862
      251875 255881 260886 269898 273900 276900 280898 282895
      285887 287879 287877
 1.00 262811 262810 261809 260809 258807 257807 258808 259809
      260809 262811 262811
 1.50 461691 460688 458689 455692 448699 443706 435714 423728
      409742 405750 398758 395761 394765 397766 401765 406763
      410761 417752 422745 428737 440722 446715 451706 456699
      460694 461691
 1.50 384770 383769 382770 381770 382771 384772 384770
 1.50 373767 371766 367768 364772 361777 358782 355788 353793
      353797 356798 359794 362788 365782 368777 371772 373767
 1.50 282889 283881 281871 280864 278856 276850 272844 268840
      262837 257840 248840 242842 238848 240854 244860 252869
      255875 259880 262885 267889 270894 272897 277897 280894
      282889
 2.00 444713 443711 442710 441711 440711 439713 438714 437715
      436717 436719 438720 439719 440718 441717 442716 443715
      444713
 2.00 427734 424733 422735 419737 417739 415741 413744 411746
      409747 401758 401760 404757 412751 413749 415748 418745
      420743 421741 423739 426736 427734
 2.00 370770 367771 364774 362778 360783 358786 356790 355795
      357794 359790 361785 363782 366777 368775 370770
 2.00 282885 281879 279870 277864 275855 272849 269843 264840
      262839 260842 248843 243847 241849 241852 245857 249862
      253866 257871 261877 263883 273890 277891 278889 282885
 3.00 274875 273865 271854 265849 256846 252845 247847 245849
      246853 252859 257865 262872 265881 268882 272880 274875
 4.00 270861 268855 263852 259850 254848 248849 248851 251853
      256856 260860 261866 264872 266873 269872 269863 270861

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 526013 526005 525000 524995 522991 513980 508973 502967
      497962 492958 481947 476942 471939 464935 457935 448947
      440963 436971 435978 434985 433989 434997 441002 446002
      451001 454003 461006 468011 473014 475015 476019 476025
      475039 480037 483035 487036 494041 498046 503053 506057
      506060 508065 509068 511065 513061 518043 526013
 0.01 500232 501225 501220 499215 499211 497207 492205 487204
      485204 477206 471210 465214 458216 455218 458221 460225
      463226 471228 474230 476232 475235 472238 467237 460235
      459240 464243 471246 485256 491253 495246 500232
 0.01 504158 504148 503137 501128 500126 498128 494138 491145
      488154 488167 488175 490178 492176 497170 501164 504158
 0.01 499062 501055 498052 494052 491053 488055 485055 481052
      478051 475049 472048 465043 460042 456047 454051 454056
      450063 446065 444062 440057 437049 435046 432047 428054
      426063 426066 427070 428073 432073 436074 438076 439080
      437083 437086 435090 434095 430104 429113 429116 433116
      437117 439120 441130 442132 445131 449127 453122 455118
      456113 459104 462111 464114 467116 469113 470108 471088
      471082 472078 475074 477074 481072 484073 490076 494074
      496069 499062
 0.01 488706 486690 485682 484677 483665 480660 477658 473657
      469654 463648 450639 443634 438640 431647 425652 418659
      416661 412660 408650 406656 394673 392677 389679 387677
      379677 374676 371678 368685 357689 351690 348694 345697
      342701 338711 332728 329734 325740 321749 318755 313763
      308771 302778 296786 286800 281806 273811 269811 266809
      261804 257803 255804 248800 246820 247831 247843 246854
      245865 247891 247902 246914 247937 247963 251983 254989
      258995 261996 265995 271991 275989 278985 284979 289973
      293962 296954 301948 313933 339865 346847 351838 353829
      356819 358807 360798 365789 371774 374767 378759 382750
      388742 397728 423699 427695 432694 435694 436696 432699
      427707 426719 424728 423737 420746 418756 413763 410771
      407781 403790 400801 396809 395815 395823 397828 398834
      400845 405854 407859 407865 406869 402873 395877 391884
      388903 388915 389920 392921 394921 394933 398940 402944
      405947 407952 410955 414957 417957 418954 423947 423940
      421935 419926 413917 410914 409912 411910 417905 420908
      422911 427917 434923 438924 443924 449918 455913 463908
      468900 470895 470888 469875 468872 470869 472863 476856
      482849 484836 484830 485824 489779 490750 490744 490738
      489724 487712 488706
 0.01 423160 424148 423144 424138 424132 423129 423124 421124
      416130 415133 413136 406139 403141 403144 405148 404153
      404157 405159 408162 412163 415165 417164 423160 423160
 0.01 412991 412975 410968 408963 405958 403956 401956 395956
      391958 388963 385967 383973 383982 383989 385993 385000
      383004 380010 376014 374020 372025 357038 353042 356044
      351047 347048 337051 332053 328057 330060 335063 338068
      336073 328077 324082 322087 321091 319091 314089 309087
      305089 302093 302098 304102 308105 315107 319107 321105
      324101 329103 335105 340108 343109 344107 340080 342074
      344070 350062 358054 367048 369047 370050 372048 377039
      375033 375028 377026 380021 383017 401009 406006 409001
      410994 412991
 0.25 465675 463672 458673 455677 454681 452686 453693 453697
      455700 457700 458694 459689 461685 464680 465676 465675
 0.25 461716 461709 457705 454709 452708 449714 448717 447722
      444727 444732 448732 451730 455727 457722 459719 461716
 0.25 450763 447758 447751 446749 443748 438747 434747 431749
      430755 431769 430777 427783 423794 423797 426800 429800
      432798 436797 438803 440806 441803 442798 445781 448768
      450763
 0.25 399707 400700 397696 393695 388696 378699 374699 369701
      364706 360711 352724 343737 335752 321778 305804 296815
      291820 285824 277827 270831 264837 261842 256855 253864
      252873 253895 253915 252926 253937 254955 256974 257977
      259977 263976 269972 275970 280962 287951 290944 294935
      300920 304914 307906 312892 316884 320878 325872 330866
      335854 341837 347821 353805 356797 359790 364777 371761
      379747 391718 399707
 0.50 386715 386708 384708 380710 377709 372710 368711 363716
      347738 340751 334765 329779 330784 332787 334789 333793
      330800 326806 322812 321820 319827 316830 307830 299832
      291834 284837 276840 271843 265847 263851 257865 256875
      256883 257902 259939 260958 261964 262967 266966 268964
      272960 277953 280949 284943 288938 292931 297917 305904
      309892 314876 319860 321852 323844 325839 330835 337831
      342825 345818 347811 351798 354790 357783 370755 376743
      381729 386715
 1.00 374731 374724 369724 365726 363729 359736 359741 361745
      362751 360754 356756 353759 348774 342790 338799 337802
      338807 343805 345801 348794 355779 361765 364755 367748
      371740 374732 374731
 1.00 307888 308880 308873 306859 304853 301849 298847 292847
      281849 277851 273854 269857 266862 262870 260876 259881
      260893 262906 266917 267930 266941 266944 270944 274943
      278939 281936 292920 297910 303903 306895 307888
 1.50 306888 306881 305876 302866 300863 296860 288860 282860
      278861 271865 266873 262880 263893 265903 268913 271921
      273928 270935 270940 275939 279933 289918 293910 299904
      303896 306888
 2.00 304886 303878 300872 298869 294868 288867 279869 274871
      269875 266880 265884 265888 265894 267904 269911 272916
      275923 276925 280925 283920 290910 299900 303887 304886
 3.00 293899 294894 294889 292881 287877 282875 277876 273882
      271885 271889 270893 271898 273906 274910 277911 280910
      283908 288904 293899
 4.00 286898 287895 286893 285893 285891 284890 283889 282887
      280887 279888 278888 276890 276892 276893 277894 278896
      280897 281898 282898 284899 286898 286898

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 538955 533941 528931 525923 522918 520915 517915 515915
      514912 515909 515891 514880 513870 508854 505849 501846
      500844 496844 491841 482838 479834 475827 469811 467809
      464809 457810 452816 451823 448825 446824 441820 435809
      431804 427802 422799 421792 417788 414788 412790 412794
      409794 403792 405811 405817 404820 401827 399832 402839
      404841 406841 411838 414835 416840 417847 416853 413858
      410865 408872 406880 404887 402894 399901 397909 393914
      386924 385930 389934 393939 396945 393951 391954 387959
      384965 379971 374975 366981 362987 358991 345015 328060
      331066 330073 329083 331090 335094 339096 345084 348079
      352075 344069 341063 342055 345048 347046 350045 361049
      367050 371050 372049 371046 371040 370037 371032 372029
      376028 378027 382029 387040 388046 391047 394046 396044
      397033 400025 406024 409018 409012 409009 410007 414007
      416010 433030 440039 444042 448039 450032 451021 451009
      451005 450001 447988 447981 451982 453983 461984 467987
      479992 487000 491004 493008 495011 499011 502010 505011
      515019 519023 523026 526022 527013 531994 534976 538955
 0.01 492710 491701 490689 485674 483665 479658 476656 468656
      463657 457661 452664 448670 443682 441689 440697 441703
      439710 437715 435719 435722 440736 439741 436744 432747
      426758 427762 429765 434763 437760 440762 442772 442776
      446776 449775 451773 455770 459765 468754 475745 479739
      483734 488722 491716 492710
 0.01 425053 425048 422045 413042 408042 404044 399050 393055
      393061 394066 397076 401077 404074 410069 416064 422058
      425053
 0.01 377758 376746 373740 363726 351716 345712 341712 339716
      337723 337727 335728 325729 321730 317733 311739 306744
      301749 296756 287765 280771 275776 262786 257791 252796
      250798 248802 249809 251813 250818 250829 246847 241861
      239877 239889 238893 238898 239940 242980 246988 251993
      257996 266997 272993 275989 280981 282978 285975 293973
      299970 305964 310958 317947 327933 331927 335921 339913
      342904 344897 345890 343878 341868 340857 342847 351833
      352797 361781 365776 369770 377758
 0.25 523968 523960 518957 509960 502954 498951 495947 496942
      492938 489942 490947 491954 494957 502963 506966 509965
      510974 512980 517979 521976 523968
 0.25 477686 477681 476677 473672 468669 463670 459674 456680
      458689 461694 463698 465699 470695 473690 476689 477686
 0.25 479942 477937 471934 465930 462924 462911 463888 462870
      460862 457856 453851 448846 444843 437841 432843 428850
      426857 425867 426876 424885 421902 419910 419919 420926
      423933 424938 421945 420950 420954 421958 424960 428961
      431960 438958 444956 450957 455957 459954 460950 461947
      463949 469950 473950 476949 479942
 0.25 357739 354734 348732 344732 341737 339744 338750 336756
      335761 338764 341763 346759 351755 354751 356746 357739
 0.25 332833 332826 330822 327816 325811 322808 316808 311810
      308813 302819 299823 294825 288827 283829 275833 266837
      259844 255851 251863 250872 250886 251896 253911 254921
      253934 251945 251960 252970 252981 258980 261978 270973
      285963 290960 293956 297947 302941 306938 309934 312929
      315926 321920 328915 328911 326909 324906 327903 327895
      332887 324867 322859 323851 327843 332833
 0.50 454920 454908 454896 453884 452874 450865 447855 442851
      438850 434852 431858 430863 430869 430880 429890 428912
      429917 430921 435928 436931 436937 436943 437947 440948
      443947 449941 452933 453923 454920
 0.50 322892 322887 321884 317878 314871 312862 308847 307841
      305839 299838 293839 286842 274849 261854 256860 256868
      256877 259885 263901 267915 268921 267926 265933 260946
      258955 258959 259962 264966 270964 283958 288956 290954
      292949 294942 297935 301932 305929 306926 309919 313913
      319903 321901 322896 322892
 1.00 450908 450899 448891 446886 441882 437885 436892 438899
      439909 441916 443922 446921 448918 450911 450908
 1.00 316898 316893 315888 311881 309877 308872 304865 300858
      293853 286855 280859 275865 268869 266872 266877 267886
      271894 277899 287910 291917 294920 296920 303916 308910
      316898
 1.00 287939 286936 283935 279935 276937 274939 272941 272943
      272945 274949 277948 279947 281945 284943 285941 287939
 1.50 312899 310886 306876 304870 301865 298863 294862 293864
      290868 286872 284875 279877 276881 277886 282895 288902
      291906 295908 299907 304908 308905 310901 312899
 2.00 308897 308891 307886 305880 302872 299869 296870 290874
      286879 284882 284887 287895 291902 297903 302905 307899
      308897
 3.00 303895 303890 302886 302883 300880 299878 296878 293878
      291881 290883 289887 289891 291895 293897 295898 298899
      300899 302897 303895
 4.00 299893 299891 299889 298887 298886 296886 295887 294887
      294889 294891 295892 295893 296894 298894 299893


$$





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