Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 150920
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
519 AM EDT TUE AUG 15 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 15/1200 UTC THRU AUG 18/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...USED A COMPOSITE BLEND OF REASONABLY CLUSTERED NBM/NMMB/NAM
CONEST AND WPC CONTINUITY/BIASED CORRECTED QPF AS A STARTING POINT
IN THIS COMPLEX PATTERN AND THEN APPLIED MANUAL MODIFICATIONS AS
PER STLT/RADAR/HRRR TRENDS...


....MID-MS/TN VALLEYS TO S-CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/MID ATLANTIC...

A WAVY MOISTURE-LADEN FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE
CAROLINAS BACK INTO OK IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINS/RUNOFF ISSUES AS A SERIES OF MID LEVEL SHORTWAVES INTERACT
WITH THE CORRESPONDING AXIS OF DEEP MOISTURE. PWS OF 1.75 TO 2.25
INCHES INTERACTING WITH A STRING OF SHORTWAVES WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DEEP MOISTURE IS
EXPECTED TO SUPPORT EFFICIENT RAINFALL PROCESSES...WHILE DEEP
WESTERLY FLOW PARALLEL TO THE BOUNDARY MAY ENCOURAGE CELL
TRAINING. PERHAPS THE BEST POTENTIAL IN THIS ACTIVE WAVY FLOW MAY
BE OVER THE AR AND THE TN VALLEY AS INFLOW REBOUNDS AHEAD OF
APPROACHING SRN PLAINS MCVS AND WELL DOWNSTREAM OVER THE S-CENTRAL
MID-ATLC IN A REGION OF FAVORABLE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION UPPER JET
SUPPOPRT. THEREFORE...ISSUED A WPC MARGINAL EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
THREAT AREA FOR THESE TWO AREAS. WPC MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION
DISCUSSION #693 HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR SHORT TERM DETAILS
CENTERED OVER AR.

...PLAINS...

A WPC SLIGHT AND MARGINAL EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THREAT AREA HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR MUCH OF THE N-CENTRAL TO S-CENTRAL PLAINS...WITH THE
SLIGHT AREA CENTERED OVER THE CONVECTIVE APPEX/REPEAT CELL REGION
INVOF SE SD AND NEBRASKA INTO KS.

CONVECTION SHOULD INCREASINGLY FLOURISH AS HEIGHT FALLS/EMBEDDED
VORT ENERGY WITH APPROACH OF WRN US MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH/JET
ENERGIES INTO THE PLAINS. SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS AND NORTHWARD
TRANSPORT OF MOISTURE UP THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND INTO/OVER A
WAVY N-CENTRAL US FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD FURTHER INCREASE
INSTABILITY AND LOWER ATMOSPHERIC CONVERGENCE/LLJ INFLOW. WITH PWS
INCREASING TO AOA 2 INCHES UP THROUGH THE PLAINS...SUSPECT HEAVY
CONVECTIVE RAINS WILL OFFER POTENTIAL FOR LOCAL RUNOFF ISSUES AND
QPF PROGS FOCUS QUITE A BIT OF ORGANIZED AFTERNOON/OVER NIGHT
ACTIVITY OVER THE N-CENTRAL PLAINS THAT SHOULD GRADUALLY WORK
LATER PERIOD INTO THE MID-UPPER MS VALLEY. MEANWHILE EXPECT
IMPULSES/UPPER DIFFLUENCE ALSO FAVORS CLUSTERS OF SRN PLAINS HEAVY
CONVECTION/MCVS IN SEPARATE ACTIVE FLOW.

...CENTRAL AND ERN GULF COAST...

DEEP MOISTURE AND WEAK FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT SCATTERED
SLOW MOVING AFTERNOON CONVECTION ALONG THE CENTRAL AND ERN GULF
COAST. WHILE WEAK RIDGING ALOFT MAY HAMPER DEVELOPMENT...STORMS
THAT DO FORM WILL LIKELY BE SLOW MOVING GIVEN WEAK FLOW ALOFT AND
GIVEN THE AMPLE MOISTURE...THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE EFFICIENT BUT
SPOTTY RAINFALL PRODUCERS.


DAY 2 (12Z WED-12Z THU)....


...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE MIDDLE/UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...

A SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE
UPPER MS VALLEY THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY...WITH A TRIALING COLD
FRONT TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW. EXPECT WE WILL SEE SCATTERED TO
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM THROUGH WEDNESDAY OVER MUCH
OF THE AREA. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR ORGANIZED HEAVY RAINFALL
DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD APPEARS TO BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF IA/MN/WI
NEAR THE TRACK OF THE DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW. THIS DEVELOPING LOW
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT JUST
AHEAD AND ALONG ITS TRACK. THIS AREA IS ALSO IN THE REGION OF
BETTER MID/UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT...WITH THE PRESENCE OF BOTH A MID
LEVEL WAVE AND BROADLY DIFFLUENT FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS.
MEANWHILE PWAT VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR OR ABOVE
THE CLIMATOLOGICAL 90TH PERCENTILE. THUS MANY FACTORS CONTINUE TO
BE IN PLACE FOR THE THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.

THINK THE GFS/ECMWF MAY BE TOO FAR NORTHWEST WITH THEIR AXIS OF
MAXIMUM QPF...AS THEY PUT AN EMPHASIS MORE ON THE DEFORMATION BAND
RAINFALL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOW. WHILE THIS AREA OF RAIN WILL
LIKELY EXIST...A LACK OF INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT RAINFALL
RATES...WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT ON THE LOWER
SIDE. HOWEVER A LONGER DURATION 1-3" IS STILL PROBABLE
HERE...WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING CONCERNS.

OVERALL THINK THE GREATEST FLASH FLOOD RISK WILL END UP ALONG AND
JUST SOUTH OF THE LOW TRACK...WHERE SOUTHERLY MOISTURE TRANSPORT
WILL BE MAXIMIZED...AND SOME INSTABILITY SHOULD BE REALIZED.
THOUGHT THE 0Z 3KM NAM NEST DEPICTED A REASONABLE EVOLUTION OF
THINGS INTO WEDNESDAY...PUTTING THE MAIN EMPHASIS FOR HEAVY
CONVECTIVE RAINS ACROSS NORTHEAST IA INTO SOUTHEAST MN AND WESTERN
WI. THE MAIN LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE THE OVERALL PROGRESSIVE
NATURE OF THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER DO THINK WE WILL SEE A SWATH OF
INCREASED CELL MERGERS/TRAINING FOR A PERIOD ALONG/JUST SOUTH OF
THE LOW TRACK...WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT POCKETS OF UPWARDS OF 3-5" OF
RAINFALL. THE SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS THUS
MAINTAINED...ALTHOUGH WAS SHIFTED A BIT TO THE SOUTH MORE INTO THE
WARM SECTOR ALONG/JUST SOUTH OF THE LOW.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM SWATHS OF
CONVECTION ARE LIKELY. STRONG 850 MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND PWAT
VALES RUNNING 1-2 SD ABOVE AVERAGE SUPPORT REGIONS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL. UNFORTUNATELY IT IS LIKELY TO BE A RATHER CHAOTIC
CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION...WITH NO CLEAR AREA OF FOCUS. FOR THAT
REASON WILL JUST CARRY A BROAD MARGINAL RISK THAT ENCOMPASSES THE
GENERAL REGION OF EXPECTED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...STRETCHING FROM
TX/OK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY AND INTO SOUTHERN
IL/IN/OH. DO THINK WE MAY EVENTUALLY BE ABLE TO EMBED A SLIGHT
RISK SOMEWHERE WITHIN THIS AREA...BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW ON
EXACTLY WHERE AT THIS POINT. THUS FOR NOW AN ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD
RISK SHOULD BE EXPECTED ANYWHERE WITHIN THE MARGINAL RISK.


...LA/MS...

LINGERING 2"+ PWAT VALUES SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT DIURNALLY
DRIVEN CONVECTION OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST. THE CONSENSUS
AMONGST THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE FOCUSES THE ACTIVITY ACROSS LA INTO
SOUTHERN MS...WITH HOURLY RAINFALL TOTALS UPWARDS OF 1-3". GIVEN
THAT MUCH OF THIS AREA HAS SEEN WELL ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL
RECENTLY...THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOOD RISK. THUS A MARGINAL RISK WAS EXTENDED TO
ENCOMPASS THIS REGION.


DAY 3 (12Z THU-12Z FRI)


...GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY/NORTHEAST...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES ON THURSDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY STRATIFORM RAIN TO THE NORTHWEST
OF THE LOW WILL CONTINUE...ALTHOUGH RATES WILL GENERALLY BE LOW
ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOOD ISSUES. IN THE WARM
SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM LIKELY TO HAVE GOOD COVERAGE OF CONVECTION.
WITH PWATS RUNNING 1-2 SD ABOVE AVERAGE...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ANY STORM. THE HIGHEST AREAL AVERAGED RAINFALL
WILL PROBABLY END UP ACROSS MI INTO PORTIONS OF OH...CLOSER TO THE
BETTER MID/UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND STRONGER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
TRANSPORT. EVEN HERE WOULD ANTICIPATE CONVECTION TO BE PROGRESSIVE
ENOUGH TO LIMIT THE OVERALL FLASH FLOOD THREAT. THUS FOR NOW THINK
A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL SHOULD SUFFICE...WITH THE
RISK EXTENDING ACROSS MUCH OF MI INTO NORTHERN OH. SOME MINOR
MODEL DIFFERENCES CONTINUE TO EXIST WITH THE TIMING OF THIS
SYSTEM...ALTHOUGH THE AGREEMENT IS MUCH BETTER THAN WHAT WAS SEEN
YESTERDAY...AND THUS THE WPC QPF ENDS UP PRETTY CLOSE TO A BLEND
OF THE ECMWF/GFS/NAM.

...SOUTHERN PLAINS...

A STATIONARY WEST TO EAST BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO BE DRAPED IN THE
VICINITY OF NORTHERN TX AND OK THURSDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT. EXPECT TO
SEE AMPLE INSTABILITY ALONG/NEAR THIS FRONT...WITH ABOVE NORMAL
PWATS IN PLACE. THE NOCTURNAL INCREASE IN 850 MB MOISTURE
TRANSPORT INTO THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF
ORGANIZED CONVECTION BY THURSDAY NIGHT. ALSO LOOKS LIKE AN UPPER
JET TO THE NORTH MAY GIVE SOME ADDED BOOST TO CONVECTION WITH THE
REGION IN THE FAVORED RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION. THUS SEEMS LIKE A
SETUP FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION/POSSIBLE MCS TRACKING ACROSS THE TX
AND OK PANHANDLES. WPC FAVORED A SOLUTION CLOSER TO THE 0Z
GFS/NAM. IN RECENT SETUPS SUCH AS THIS THE ECMWF HAS BEEN
CONSISTENTLY UNDER DOING QPF AND HAS GENERALLY HAD A NORTH BIAS.
THINK THE SETUP IS FAVORABLE ENOUGH TO WARRANT THE INCLUSION OF A
SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR THE TX PANHANDLE AND
ADJACENT OK. WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS ACROSS THIS AREA WILL ALSO
INCREASE THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT. OF COURSE TOUGH TO PIN DOWN THE
DETAILS THIS FAR OUT...SO WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND
ADJUST THE RISK AREA AS NEEDED ON FUTURE SHIFTS.



GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


SCHICHTEL/CHENARD


24HR QP VT 16/12Z
 0.01 526047 526016 526999 525996 525992 525984 525968 523962
      520960 513957 505959 476944 472941 469936 466932 464927
      460922 456921 447918 442918 439919 430922 423923 419925
      416922 414917 412905 410899 411892 412881 414870 417861
      416857 412856 410854 410851 409845 402846 394862 393867
      391863 387858 385854 381850 377843 381835 384830 387827
      392819 393814 391811 393804 395801 400795 403790 403785
      403778 404773 409764 411761 413759 415759 417767 420780
      422783 422787 421792 421797 418799 415804 413809 412814
      411819 413821 413825 416827 417834 418849 422851 424849
      426839 429827 432816 433811 436809 442802 446798 451797
      458801 462800 466797 470794 471789 474781 476773 477767
      480754 480748 481742 484731 489709 489703 489694 491684
      491678 490672 487662 484657 481654 477654 475651 461645
      456644 449646 444646 441643 438641 434641 428644 424646
      413650 406656 400665 394671 388679 383686 380690 379695
      375703 372710 368718 359734 354742 348749 345752 340755
      330760 326764 322766 315772 311775 308779 308783 311788
      318785 325779 332774 337774 336778 333786 332797 340811
      347835 346846 343851 339851 336850 331842 326834 325819
      323814 321812 317811 312811 307809 303807 298802 290797
      282799 271796 260798 252801 249805 248811 254816 260821
      267825 280837 288855 290859 291866 292877 285896 285903
      285910 287920 289929 289941 291946 295947 299944 304945
      308945 311942 317936 324930 329929 334930 339932 341936
      344947 343955 342960 342966 339969 336972 334976 331984
      327994 320000 315008 313011 309013 306015 301015 292018
      285022 277029 271035 260035
 0.01 260035 263046 263051 260055 261061 264067 267073 270075
      281082 290087 295090 301093 312092 305068 305057 302055
      305053 311052 315050 320051 325054 330056 338057 344055
      354052 360050 365052 369056 371062 374069 377075 381077
      387075 391071 396074 400078 398085 397095 396100 397103
      400109 402111 413108 420098 422096 425098 428104 433104
      436107 438110 442110 447111 452111 456105 457097 457089
      457080 457071 456064 457054 459048 462043 468040 475039
      479040 478049 478054 480057 483060 489061 491059 494059
      499057 502054 510053 515051 518051 522049 526047
 0.01 494272 494270 494272 494272
 0.01 296968 296964 290962 287960 287955 284954 284960 281963
      279966 277970 279974 283975 288975 292972 294970 296968
 0.25 481678 481671 479667 477664 474663 468669 463675 456687
      452694 448701 445709 445714 446720 445729 446735 449738
      452730 453726 456724 462726 465726 468724 470720 471716
      468706 474692 478685 481678
 0.25 495018 494009 492002 490996 491992 492988 492984 485974
      479969 474966 468963 462959 459955 455949 451942 445940
      435944 429946 421946 417946 415944 413942 411943 407949
      405955 403959 400959 396954 390950 386952 384954 380967
      377976 373983 368985 362985 356988 349985 346982 342981
      339984 336991 334998 333006 331014 332023 336025 340024
      344021 348020 352021 359020 363016 374008 377003 382999
      385999 387001 390008 393016 392021 386023 385027 386029
      394040 399044 404047 408049 409052 411060 414066 419065
      423066 425063 430060 434043 436040 440038 441034 440030
      441023 442017 444012 445013 448020 449024 451026 457023
      467017 471018 474020 479024 484025 488023 493021 495018
 0.25 431665 431658 427655 418655 414655 411657 405664 399670
      394678 390686 387696 386706 387719 388726 388730 387737
      390741 393743 396742 400739 402734 410718 413708 413701
      414698 418690 422680 427674 431665
 0.25 414090 414085 413082 411082 409084 407084 405086 405088
      406093 405098 405102 406105 408105 411103 412101 412096
      413092 414090
 0.25 389771 387767 383767 379766 379759 378755 376753 371754
      367755 357758 351764 346771 343774 342779 341784 342789
      350792 353795 357797 359799 361805 361816 361823 363826
      367829 371829 376823 380814 383804 386802 388798 390787
      389777 389771
 0.25 365907 365898 363891 360885 359878 357872 353866 348866
      346871 341884 340889 339893 339897 341912 344928 346934
      348939 355938 359935 361930 362923 362914 365907
 0.25 359036 359034 359033 357033 355032 353032 352032 350033
      349035 350036 351037 353037 355037 357037 359037 359036
 0.25 353822 353819 352819 351820 352822 353822
 0.25 343035 342034 342032 341032 339031 337032 335034 335036
      335038 337039 339039 340039 340038 342037 342035 343035
 0.25 312028 312025 309023 306024 301023 297025 292030 288036
      284041 284044 287047 289048 293047 295045 300044 303038
      308034 312028
 0.25 312918 308915 309910 308905 306898 300895 296895 293897
      292906 294914 292922 295931 297933 300933 305928 310922
      312918
 0.25 309869 309865 308861 306856 303849 302842 302834 300830
      299834 300838 299842 298844 297851 298859 300865 302872
      307871 309869
 0.25 296063 295062 293062 292064 293065 294065 295063 296063
 0.25 283070 283068 282066 280066 279065 277066 275067 274069
      275069 276070 278071 278072 279071 280071 282071 283070
 0.25 269810 268806 267804 263804 259804 257805 255808 254810
      256812 258813 260815 262815 264815 267812 269810
 0.50 476677 477674 476671 476669 474667 473668 472670 471671
      470673 470674 469676 469678 469679 471681 473681 474680
      475679 476677 476677
 0.50 474982 474979 473978 470976 463976 460975 457971 455964
      453960 452955 450951 448949 433952 417951 412950 410953
      408963 406967 403970 398967 395960 389955 387958 385962
      383971 380981 380985 381988 392993 396000 397004 397009
      399013 402016 405019 405024 406036 408039 410040 423035
      426034 428030 429027 429025 426022 425019 426017 429014
      434009 440004 444003 448005 453009 456008 458003 460000
      465001 469999 471996 474982
 0.50 420666 419663 417660 412661 402671 395682 392689 391697
      392715 391730 396730 398728 403723 406717 408709 411694
      416681 420667 420666
 0.50 415048 415045 414043 413041 413043 412045 412047 413049
      415048 415048
 0.50 379780 379776 378774 373774 374768 372763 370761 367760
      364760 359763 355766 349773 346778 345783 348785 354786
      357788 364788 367792 369797 370800 372799 375794 379785
      379780
 0.50 367001 366998 364996 357997 349998 348991 345988 341987
      338990 338995 342002 345007 351013 353014 356012 360007
      366003 367001
 0.50 360907 360903 358899 355894 353890 354884 354881 351877
      349879 348884 345888 345893 343897 343904 344908 346921
      348930 352933 355931 358927 360923 360910 360907
 0.50 341017 341015 341013 340011 339010 338009 336010 335012
      334014 334017 335019 336020 338020 339019 340019 341017
 0.50 264811 264809 263808 262807 261807 260807 259807 258808
      257809 258810 259811 260812 262813 264811 264811
 1.00 445986 446980 445975 442969 438964 431961 426959 419958
      415962 414968 413976 411984 405997 403001 403006 404010
      406012 412010 418008 427999 438995 443990 445986
 1.00 412673 410669 406671 402677 399684 398693 398702 398714
      399717 401716 403708 406701 408693 410684 412675 412673
 1.00 396982 397977 396973 395970 393968 389969 387971 386974
      385977 385981 387983 391983 393984 396984 396982
 1.00 357910 358907 357905 355905 353905 352905 351907 351908
      350910 350912 350914 351916 351917 352919 353920 354921
      355922 355921 356919 356916 356914 356912 357911 357910
 1.50 439985 439982 439978 437973 430968 423964 419966 417970
      415984 413994 412999 408002 408005 411004 420001 426996
      433991 436988 439985
 1.50 407682 407679 406677 405677 404679 404680 404682 403683
      403685 403687 405685 406684 406683 407682
 2.00 433980 432976 429973 426971 423969 421971 419975 419980
      418987 419992 419995 422994 426991 429987 432985 433980

24HR QP VT 17/12Z
 0.01 509962 509948 508944 507939 507926 504917 504903 505891
      505877 504871 501866 499860 496855 490848 485841 481837
      476833 469828 462824 458825 455828 452833 447841 442845
      435842 430838 426831 424824 421821 417814 416811 416808
      418803 420797 420791 421785 420780 418773 413774 413780
      414787 407804 399807 391811 386817 384825 384830 381828
      377821 375818 371816 368814 366812 366809 367804 367798
      366789 369779 371775 371772 367759 361752 360745 361740
      360727 360713 359711 357714 354721 353729 350736 348734
      346730 342721 337714 336712 332710 322713 313719 308722
      306725 299732 291740 287745 284750 283754 281763 280771
      282792 282798 282800 280802 277801 275798 272800 267798
      260797 253795 250798 249804 247813 248820 247823 249824
      258830 264835 274850 282865 287872 289879 290884 290889
      287897 283904 282909 283912 286933 288939 290943 294945
      297948 298950 297954 295957 287957 282959 278961 277965
      279969 283971 286973 290972 297969 301968 305966 309962
      320953 326947 329945 334944 334948 333953 329962 318978
      315982 312985 306994 301003 298006 294007 285007 282010
      281014 282023 284031 286037 291043 293043 296040 304036
      306034 307029 309025 312022 318021 321025 324029 327029
      330025 332020 335015 339011 353002 366994 371993 374995
      379999 384004 386008 386014 388035 387038 386041 383041
      377041 374043 371046 370051 379056 384058 387060 394061
      398064 405069 409072 412072 415068 417063 420060 425060
      425052 428046 426036 424028 420020 419015 421010 424002
      429995 437988 441986 445986 468982 471980 475980 486980
      491980 494977 499972 509962
 0.01 457113 458107 457103 457098 454095 452093 449091 446089
      442088 436092 432091 430089 426089 428091 430099 437100
      441101 446104 450109 455115 457113
 0.01 407149 407143 406140 399133 396131 391130 388139 387145
      385150 382153 380158 379164 381169 387174 391174 395170
      399164 404156 407149
 0.01 409105 409103 410101 410098 410096 408093 406093 406095
      406098 406100 405102 405105 407105 409105 409105
 0.01 396208 395204 393201 391199 386196 381191 377186 370182
      364180 362182 363186 368192 373196 380201 387204 393208
      396208
 0.01 358810 356806 352804 349801 343802 338802 335806 336813
      339815 342818 347819 351817 354815 357811 358810
 0.25 496919 496897 494886 491879 487874 481868 475863 469859
      463862 458865 445871 436871 428870 423875 418877 410878
      407873 405870 405864 406856 408848 408844 407838 406834
      405828 403822 399821 396828 396836 392844 387848 380852
      374856 371858 369862 369873 372880 372886 369905 352932
      348944 341948 338950 337953 337958 334962 330968 327971
      327974 328977 333982 333987 328991 324997 318000 317002
      318005 322006 328011 331009 332005 335001 335996 347991
      358985 365980 370974 373974 376975 384978 413974 419970
      424969 428970 434970 440966 451960 457957 465955 472957
      479960 482959 484954 489947 491942 493935 495925 496919
 0.25 417045 417041 415035 415029 413024 411019 408019 406021
      402026 400030 398034 399041 403044 407044 411046 417046
      417045
 0.25 362769 362765 359764 354763 347765 344770 342775 339779
      337786 338789 340790 346789 351785 355781 357776 360771
      362769
 0.25 326891 323886 322883 320885 317890 314890 315888 313881
      311879 309878 307880 302893 297895 295897 294901 293908
      293913 293916 296923 296928 297932 310927 315924 318917
      320911 323904 325898 326891
 0.25 294818 293813 290810 287808 282806 278806 274807 275811
      277817 279821 282823 285825 291825 292822 294818
 0.25 264811 264809 263807 261806 260806 258806 256806 254808
      253810 255812 257813 258813 258814 260814 262814 263813
      264811 264811
 0.50 491922 492912 490902 491891 490886 488884 479877 475870
      469868 464870 461874 457879 452879 439883 432885 427889
      416892 409890 404888 400884 398873 398863 401853 401846
      399845 396846 388854 387857 387862 391866 391872 390876
      386879 381883 378887 375893 375902 373911 372914 368916
      365922 361925 356929 354935 354945 352952 349958 345964
      334966 330969 329973 331974 337975 341982 351983 357980
      362975 367964 371965 374966 379969 385970 392970 406966
      412965 417963 423960 428962 433963 438959 444956 450954
      469941 470946 472949 476953 479952 481949 484942 488932
      491922
 0.50 410040 412038 412036 412033 412031 411029 411028 409028
      408028 407029 406030 405031 404033 403035 404037 405038
      406040 408041 410040 410040
 0.50 401839 401836 401834 401832 400830 399829 399830 398832
      398834 398835 398837 399839 400840 401839
 0.50 372936 372934 371933 370932 370929 368928 368929 368932
      367934 368936 368937 369938 370939 370938 371937 372936
 0.50 350773 351771 350769 349768 347767 346770 346772 345774
      345776 346778 348777 349776 350774 350773
 0.50 321900 320898 318896 317898 317899 316900 317901 319902
      320901 321900
 0.50 311905 313902 312899 309894 307892 306897 306902 303899
      298898 297903 296908 298912 301916 302914 304912 306907
      308905 311905 311905
 1.00 481902 480897 477893 474889 470886 465888 463891 455898
      450903 441904 431906 421905 415910 413915 413924 411935
      415938 421939 424940 426945 433954 437952 440948 444947
      449948 452947 455943 461935 472919 477911 481902
 1.00 407942 405940 405938 403937 402938 401938 400939 399940
      398942 398943 398944 400945 401947 401949 402952 403949
      405947 407945 407943 407942
 1.00 400954 400951 398954 394954 388952 384949 379947 373947
      372951 373956 375961 380965 386967 391965 396961 399956
      400954
 1.00 391920 392911 390904 389895 385896 381900 379907 379916
      377922 377927 382930 386931 389925 391920
 1.00 358972 359965 358958 355958 352962 350965 347969 344971
      344976 347974 350974 353977 357974 358972
 1.50 472910 473905 473900 468895 465894 463896 458903 456908
      450911 436914 429915 425915 424918 429921 427931 435939
      433943 437943 440941 445939 451940 455936 459930 467919
      472910
 1.50 387909 387906 385905 384906 383909 385911 387909 387909
 2.00 467908 467904 465901 462902 459908 457914 450915 447919
      445923 450921 455920 457921 460920 464916 467910 467908


24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 518821 515797 513791 510787 505779 501772 496766 485749
      473731 468724 461717 456712 453709 450708 440710 428714
      422718 417724 411730 405737 399744 395750 393756 389760
      384766 381769 378769 366770 361771 356770 349765 347765
      343769 335774 331777 326779 316783 301789 290791 282795
      270797 259798 249799 244799 242800 239809 238813 240818
      256829 267842 271848 274855 278864 282870 290887 292891
      296895 300896 303893 309892 317889 323885 330878 336876
      339874 341876 341880 340886 339897 336905 333910 333918
      329921 328926 326930 326936 326947 327951 327959 325967
      324975 323980 322986 320990 316998 320006 322012 324015
      327021 331024 337032 338036 342039 346041 348045 352051
      356053 360055 365054 368052 373047 375044 378044 379050
      381056 385063 388068 392071 394074 399074 405070 408066
      409062 409055 406053 401051 398048 396043 397038 399033
      403030 409026 414024 418024 436033 438042 441043 444042
      445037 444031 452028 459028 461029 460032 460036 464038
      471036 475035 479037 494043 501039 506034 510031 512027
      516017 518010 517004 516996 515990 509971 507967 503969
      500978 496987 494987 494979 494975 492974 487974 478976
      442980 437978 430976 426975 421976 417983 413986 408984
      401980 395977 379967 370951 366945 364940 365935 376917
      380909 381906 384904 386906 387909 390919 391919 394917
      402913 412917 420917 422919 427919 437921 447921 462928
      480922 489919 498915 503914 507911 507897 508890 508881
      508873 509868 514848 516834 518821
 0.01 454098 455093 454088 453081 452073 450066 447062 443065
      440069 439079 439086 440091 441093 444099 448103 451102
      452100 454098
 0.01 316922 315913 312911 308911 305909 301909 298910 297914
      299922 299933 297936 297941 297950 305949 309943 311935
      314927 316922
 0.01 312034 312024 307023 303025 299027 297026 296023 294020
      289018 285018 283020 282032 282038 284043 289048 300049
      306045 309041 310036 312034
 0.25 507852 505843 503833 500825 497817 493810 488803 483799
      480794 476788 473780 471771 469766 467764 457753 449739
      447737 444740 443742 439743 435739 434732 432727 429728
      425732 424737 422740 417747 409758 402771 389785 393787
      391791 389787 390792 387794 385797 381803 378804 376803
      366789 363787 360790 360793 357797 351798 349801 349806
      353813 358819 361820 362823 369825 370824 371827 371836
      370855 373873 370880 367887 369890 372889 376882 378875
      379872 384870 388871 392871 398873 403871 408872 415875
      420878 427880 435879 439878 444879 449882 455888 458895
      460905 464909 468909 472908 477904 483902 490897 495891
      499875 504864 506857 507852
 0.25 489997 487997 486997 487998 488998 489997
 0.25 431785 432778 431771 429767 426762 423763 422770 421773
      419778 419781 421782 424787 427788 429788 431785
 0.25 384031 385024 383019 379015 377010 371987 369982 365979
      361976 357972 353963 348961 345956 343951 341949 339951
      339955 341958 343961 342965 341973 342980 340986 336990
      332991 328995 326001 328006 332010 335014 337019 343026
      350033 354035 359036 365034 371035 379033 382033 384031
 0.25 341794 339791 337788 332786 327787 320791 312795 305799
      300801 294802 277809 271814 268820 272823 276824 285823
      286826 290827 294819 301821 305823 308827 312826 315824
      320817 324809 333805 339801 341794
 0.25 313860 314849 314844 312841 306836 301837 298839 296843
      298853 299863 300872 302880 305880 308878 311871 313862
      313860
 0.50 501857 501850 499842 498835 494832 487824 481816 477804
      474800 471797 466796 462798 459803 455807 450808 445807
      443805 443801 442795 443789 446783 454777 456772 455765
      451754 449752 447752 444757 441761 439767 437772 437779
      438791 435796 432799 428803 426804 423803 419804 416808
      410816 409822 412825 416829 417832 417837 414842 412846
      408849 402850 401853 405858 409856 413857 416861 420863
      426864 430860 434857 440856 448858 452861 454867 459875
      461881 462889 463899 465905 468905 472903 480897 488891
      491886 493881 501857
 0.50 431745 431742 431740 430738 429736 428736 426738 426739
      425741 425744 426746 427747 429747 430745 431745
 0.50 413802 414795 412791 408787 405787 401790 399793 397798
      396803 399807 400811 404815 408812 410809 413805 413802
 0.50 392853 393851 392849 391849 390849 389851 389854 389856
      390858 391856 392854 392853
 0.50 386840 385838 384838 383838 382839 380840 380841 379843
      381844 382843 384843 385843 386841 386840
 0.50 377030 378027 377024 374019 369010 367005 367998 366992
      362987 358986 355986 351986 347995 339002 339009 340015
      342020 346024 353030 364029 369030 371032 375032 377030
 0.50 350974 350973 349971 349969 348968 347969 346970 346971
      346974 346976 346977 348977 349976 350974 350974
 0.50 345984 345982 344982 344984 344985 345984
 1.00 492863 492851 489843 479834 474830 469823 464822 458827
      455833 455838 456845 463858 469874 467893 469896 473895
      478890 483886 488879 491873 492863
 1.00 370021 370019 369019 368018 368019 368021 368023 370022
      370021
 1.00 352020 351018 350017 349015 349014 347013 345014 345015
      345016 346017 347020 349020 350020 352020
 1.50 487864 486856 482852 478852 475857 473865 474875 474880
      472883 471885 471889 476885 481882 484877 487871 487864
 2.00 481872 482869 482867 481864 479863 478862 477862 476864
      475865 475867 475870 476871 477872 477875 478876 479875
      479874 481872 481872


$$





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