Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 190953
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
552 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 19/1200 UTC THRU AUG 22/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...CENTRAL/SOUTH-CENTRAL TX...

A COMPACT...QUASI-STATIONARY MID LEVEL CIRCULATION ACROSS
CENTRAL/SOUTH-CENTRAL TX WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT THIS MORNING
UNDERNEATH THE BROAD UPPER RIDGE. DYNAMICAL SUPPORT AFFORDED BY
THE CONVECTIVELY-ENHANCED VORT MAX IS ALLOWING FOR THE WIDESPREAD
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS CEN/SOUTH-CEN TEXAS EARLY
THIS MORNING...WITH THE ACTIVITY AIDED BY A FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WITH PWATS NEAR 2.00 INCHES...MUCAPES
AOA 1000 J/KG...AND ELEVATED LLVL SOUTHERLY INFLOW AROUND 30 KTS.
THE RELATIVELY STRONG SOUTHERLY LLVL FLOW JUXTAPOSED WITH THE WEAK
CYCLONIC STEERING FLOW (MEAN WIND) WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW FOR SLOW
MOVING/NEARLY STATIONARY STORM MOTION AND TRAINING OF CONVECTION.
THE MESOSCALE GUIDANCE -- WHICH STILL APPEARS TO BE PLACING THIS
ACTIVITY WAY TOO FAR TO THE NORTH -- IS GENERATING LOCAL AMOUNTS
OF 3-5". CONSIDERING THE SATURATED SOILS...ADDITIONAL RUNOFF
ISSUES AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY THROUGH
DAYBREAK...AFTER WHICH TIME THE LLVL INFLOW WILL WEAKEN.


...SOUTHWEST INTO THE GREAT BASIN...

ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES -- 1.5 TO 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE
MEAN -- WILL CONTINUE TO BE FUNNELED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD THIS
PERIOD ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE GREAT BASIN BETWEEN THE
CLOSED LOW DIVING SOUTHWARD INTO CEN-SRN CALIFORNIA AND THE UPPER
HIGH THAT WILL SHIFT SLOWLY FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS. VERY
DIFFLUENT UPPER FLOW EXPECTED AHEAD OF THIS CLOSED LOW...WITH A
BROAD AREA OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT NOTED FROM THE MODELS OVER THE
OUTLOOK AREA BETWEEN THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED TROUGH/RIDGE AXES.
MOREOVER...THE MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT WELL-DEFINED
CONVECTIVELY-ENHANCED VORTS OR MCVS  MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD IN
THE HIGH PW AXIS. THIS WILL SUPPORT NUMEROUS DIURNALLY-AIDED
SHOWERS/TSTMS DURING THE PERIOD FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE GREAT
BASIN...WITH THE MODEL CONSENSUS AGAIN SUPPORTING MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS...ALONG WITH THE ENHANCED RISK FOR LOCALIZED
RUNOFF ISSUES AND FLASH FLOODING. SOME OF THE HIGHER RESOLUTION
GUIDANCE...PARTICULARLY THE 4KM WRF-ARW...NAM CONEST...AND SSEO
MEAN WERE UTILIZED FOR THE QPF DETAILS THIS PERIOD... ALONG WITH
THE IN-HOUSE PSEUDO BIAS CORRECTED ENSEMBLE MEAN.


...UPPER MIDWEST INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION...

MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
PUSH OF NORTHERN STREAM HEIGHT FALLS FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO
THE UPPER LAKES REGION TODAY. THE DIFFLUENT UPPER FLOW AHEAD OF
THESE HEIGHT FALLS IN AN AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES -- 1 TO
1.5+ STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN -- WILL SUPPORT NUMEROUS
SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE THE UPPER MS VALLEY
(WI) INTO THE UPPER LAKES...AND EVENTUALLY SOUTHWARD ALONG THE
TRAILING COLD FRONT INTO THE MID MS VALLEY. CONFIDENCE NOT GREAT
WITH DETAILS..HOWEVER CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH THAT THERE WILL BE
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS GIVEN THE ABOVE
DYNAMICS/MOISTURE.  THE HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE (WRF-ARW...NSSL
WRF...AND NAM CONEST) WERE USED PRIMARILY FOR QPF DETAILS...WITH
THEIR FAIRLY SIMILAR MAX AXES IN THE VICINITY OF THE WARM FRONTAL
BOUNDARY USED TO DEPICT THE GREATEST RISK OF RUNOFF ISSUES.
ISOLATED RAINFALL TOTALS IN THIS AXIS OF 2-4"+ WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...SOUTHEAST TO LOWER MID ATLANTIC...

TWO WELL DEFINED VORTS EXPECTED TO PUSH EASTWARD IN THE SOUTHERN
STREAM FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN QUARTER OF THE NATION DAY 1.
THE NORTHERN MOST VORT IS NOW OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AS OF
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...THUS TAKING THE BULK OF THE CONVECTION
OFFSHORE WITH IT. FARTHER TO THE SOUTHWEST...AN MCV OVER NRN AL/GA
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST THROUGH THE CAROLINAS AND
EVENTUALLY OFF THE NC COAST BY 12Z WED. THIS MCV WILL HELP TO
SPARK MORE NUMEROUS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY LATER TODAY...PARTICULARLY
DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS THIS AFTN INTO THE EVENING. A
CONSENSUS APPROACH WAS USED WITH THE QPF DETAILS CONSIDERING THE
FAVORABLE MODEL COMPARISON...INCORPORATING SOME OF THE HIGHER
RESOLUTION GUIDANCE INCLUDING THE SSEO MEAN...NAM
CONEST...WRF-ARW...AND NSSL WRF. THE ENSEMBLE OF THE QPF OUTPUT
WOULD SUPPORT THE HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD OF HEAVIEST
RAINFALL...AVERAGING AROUND 1 TO 1.5 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
UP TO 3 INCHES...FROM EAST-CENTRAL NC TO THE SOUTH CAROLINA
BORDER.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE UPPER MIDWEST...

A HEAVY TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THREAT IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DAKOTAS INTO MN WED-EARLY THU.  A
WEST-EAST ORIENTED BOUNDARY STRETCHING FROM THE FROM THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE OH VALLEY IS FORECAST TO LIFT TO THE NORTH AHEAD
OF SURFACE WAVE LIFTING OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS TOWARD THE UPPER
MIDWEST AS MID-UPPER LEVEL ENERGY EMANATING FROM THE SOUTHWEST
EJECTS THROUGH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS.  PWS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO AROUND 2 INCHES ON THE NOSE OF 40-50 KT
INFLOW INTO THE BOUNDARY.  THIS DEEP MOISTURE INTERACTING WITH
STRONG MID-UPPER LEVEL FORCING AND STRONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS
FORECAST TO PROMOTE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY AMOUNTS...RAISING
LOCAL RUNOFF CONCERNS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL-EASTERN DAKOTAS
INTO WESTERN MN ON DAY 2.  EXPECT THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT TO
DRIFT FURTHER TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE WITH LOW LEVEL CENTER AND
BETTER UPPER FORCING INTO NORTHERN MN-NORTHWESTERN WI ON DAY 3.
WPC QPF GENERALLY FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE ECMWF WITH AN IN-HOUSE
BIAS CORRECTED ENSEMBLE.

...NORTHERN ROCKIES-HIGH PLAINS...

AN UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DEEPEN ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST-NORTHERN ROCKIES AS ENERGY DROPS FROM THE GULF OF
AK/WESTERN CANADA INTO THE REGION.  A HEAVY TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL THREAT MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL-EASTERN
MT LATE THU-EARLY FRI.  INCREASING LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE/EASTERLY
LOW LEVEL INFLOW AFFORDED BY A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL WAVE IS
EXPECTED HELP RAISE PWS ACROSS THE REGION WHILE MID LEVEL ENERGY
LIFTING OUT OF THE BASE OF THE TROUGH PRODUCES THE NECESSARY UPPER
FORCING.  WPC QPF GENERALLY FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE ECMWF WITH AN
IN-HOUSE BIAS CORRECTED ENSEMBLE.

...OH/TN VALLEY TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...

EXPECT THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY TO PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR
CONVECTION AND MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AS ITS LIFTS FROM
THE TN/LOWER OH VALLEYS ON DAY 2.  BROAD SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL
INFLOW IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT PWS INCREASING TO 1.75 INCHES OR
MORE AS WEAK MID LEVEL ENERGY MOVING THE ALONG THE BOUNDARY
PROVIDES SUFFICIENT LIFT.  THE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ON DAY
3 ACROSS THE OH VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AS THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY.  A PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG
WESTERLY LOW LEVEL INFLOW COUPLED WITH MID LEVEL ENERGY IN
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT MAY SET THE STAGE FOR HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE
RAINS ACROSS OROGRAPHICALLY FAVORED REGIONS OF THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS.  HERE ALSO...WPC QPF GENERALLY FOLLOWED A BLEND OF
THE ECMWF WITH AN IN-HOUSE BIAS CORRECTED ENSEMBLE.

...MID ATLANTIC...

MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST LATE IN THE PERIOD AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS NEAR THE VA/NC COAST AS ENERGY FROM THE UPPER LOW MOVING
INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES DAY 1 MOVES SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE
NORTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC COAST.  WPC AMOUNTS REFLECT A BLEND OF THE
ECWMF/NAM/GFS.

...UPPER OH VALLEY/LOWER GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST...

MID-UPPER LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LOW MOVING
OUT OF THE UPPER LAKES REGION ALONG WITH PWS 1.5+ COINCIDING WITH
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL INFLOW IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SOME MODERATE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS ACROSS THE UPPER OH VALLEY/LOWER GREAT LAKES
REGION ON DAY 2.  AS PRECIPITATION ADVANCES FURTHER TO THE WEST
ACROSS NY INTO WESTERN NEW ENGLAND ON DAY 3...AREAL AVERAGES ARE
EXPECTED TO DECREASE AS A HIGH BUILDING TO THE NORTH SUPPRESSES
THE LOW AND THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW DECREASES.

HURLEY/PEREIRA...

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 536177 536165 536160 534155 526139 520122 516111 514103
      511094 505090 501090 498094 497099 495102 491110 490117
      490124 490127 486130 484133 483138 481149 480160 481172
      484181 485187 485193 484204 485215 487219 488213 490200
      493192 496188 497194 498206 499216 500220 502225 506233
      510234 513234 516230 516224 512217 508208 506200 504194
      503190 504184 509185 515186 521180 523178 526178 530182
      532182 534180 536177
 0.01 493878 492843 487821 482813 481809 477807 462799 458797
      455794 448790 441784 434778 428776 419777 413779 411781
      408782 397783 394779 392774 389769 386763 386757 387751
      388740 390730 388717 386713 383710 377704 375699 372697
      370697 363703 355708 350715 348718 343721 335726 322738
      309754 304761 301767 300771 300777 301783 299788 296791
      297798 296800 293801 288801 280801 275800 269800 268796
      263797 261798 260796 261791 259786 256784 253783 247784
      239789 236794 236798 235803 235810 237824 239832 240836
      244836 245834 249827 252824 255824 264821 267820 272820
      283823 288823 293825 295825 296829 297833 295844 291860
      288883 291887 296887 298890 297893 295899 294903 294909
      297912 300914 307918 315920 326920 333920 335917 339913
      339906 339902 341900 344896 346892 344886 340876 338873
      338868 338862 340859 342865 344870 350876 363891 365895
      364902 361911 360914 361919 362926 361933 361939 362946
      364950 368950 377943 380940 386939 390940 392944 395947
      396950 396954 400975 411991 414003 411007 407010 393018
      391027 389033 386037 382039 382042 384045 388044 395041
      400041 401043 399045 397048 394050 391050 379049 367048
      359051 350070 348072 345071 341067 338064 336058 336054
      332051 328049 325047 318042 313037 312032 312027 319021
      328017 333014 336009 340002 345992 349983 350979 348977
      342973 337972 336965 334959 332955 329954 325957 319962
      315971 313975 310978 304981 289990 282996 277005 277009
      280011 285009 293005 300002 305002 304008 303013 298014
      289014 283015 279017 276021 275028 256026 252026 248027
      241030 238033 236037 240045 244052 250057 263070 254091
      257098 264104 280112
 0.01 280112 284114 289116 297118 307120 315124 318125 320128
      326135 331143 334146 340146 348148 356148 374149 394148
      399148 403151 406151 416150 422147 426145 427141 426136
      424133 422131 423129 425127 428124 433124 435128 436135
      436141 436148 440149 444147 448139 451131 455132 457135
      464134 466130 467123 466119 462116 459112 459108 461104
      463101 466095 468092 470088 474064 480062 484052 484048
      482044 482034 479029 477031 473032 472032 471029 468021
      461018 457014 455010 448005 443997 440989 432971 424955
      407923 405919 405913 408904 415889 419881 425876 430874
      436874 440875 444878 445881 444884 442889 442901 441904
      443910 441914 438916 436921 438924 440928 443933 447935
      449938 454945 462949 464947 469947 471945 472940 474936
      477932 481929 483926 486922 487917 489912 489907 490901
      491894 493878
 0.01 454073 454071 453069 453068 452067 450067 449068 448070
      448073 450075 451075 453075 454073
 0.01 448085 447080 444077 441072 440067 437064 433059 431056
      428058 424063 422066 422069 424074 424079 422082 425085
      429086 432085 439086 443087 446087 448085
 0.01 415229 414227 410226 407225 403225 400225 398225 395226
      394231 396233 398235 402236 404236 407235 411235 413234
      414231 415229
 0.01 386198 383194 380188 379182 376181 373183 370183 364182
      361183 360185 360188 363190 370192 375196 380199 382201
      385200 386198
 0.25 523149 522138 518130 510123 507121 503122 499132 492136
      489139 488144 489149 493150 500157 503159 508161 516158
      520159 522152 523149
 0.25 485839 479827 476821 472817 467814 461810 456809 452809
      450807 445803 440803 434803 426803 416801 410800 403803
      397807 393811 387821 379832 376836 376841 377846 378854
      381860 382865 381869 378875 376877 370875 363872 362876
      363878 370890 372897 373906 376911 381915 384920 380920
      376920 374922 371927 370935 371939 375937 380933 382931
      387930 391933 401941 404942 407941 405934 400924 396918
      392913 390910 390905 390898 399890 416871 437859 443858
      449860 452865 455872 457879 461884 464888 471889 480882
      483877 484871 484864 483850 485839
 0.25 447102 446098 444096 441094 438093 436095 434097 432101
      431104 430106 432108 435108 438107 440106 442106 445104
      447102
 0.25 441036 438030 435024 434018 432010 429005 425006 424008
      421013 419020 420027 423033 428036 435036 438037 441036
 0.25 431990 431987 431985 430983 429980 429978 428976 428975
      427973 426972 424971 423971 421973 421975 421978 422980
      422981 423982 424985 425987 426989 426990 427991 429992
      431990
 0.25 413111 413098 413094 411091 398099 393099 391102 384106
      377109 371112 362109 359103 358098 355095 348090 343085
      336081 329084 326086 321085 313083 305083 297081 292081
      289083 284087 285091 285095 291102 297106 303111 310115
      319118 326122 331127 335129 336132 343138 348141 366141
      381136 388133 391132 393128 395124 398122 404118 409114
      413111
 0.25 410075 411071 410067 407066 404067 399069 396070 392070
      387071 383074 381076 379080 382086 387090 393089 397085
      402082 407079 410075
 0.25 388797 388796 387795 386793 385793 384792 382792 380793
      379793 378794 377795 375796 374799 375801 376801 378802
      379801 381801 383800 384800 385799 386799 388797 388797
 0.25 378739 376732 373727 370726 366727 361731 359732 356732
      355729 352727 347727 341731 334740 328751 322761 316772
      314779 316788 317795 321801 329805 334809 337813 340819
      347819 349820 352819 354813 355805 356799 360797 361794
      360787 358778 357769 356760 357752 358745 362742 366746
      369752 373754 376750 378743 378739
 0.25 327799 327796 326796 326797 325798 323799 322799 323799
      325799 327800 327799
 0.25 330863 330856 329852 323844 320840 320833 321822 321816
      320812 317807 314805 315800 311801 308805 308812 305821
      302831 303841 304855 306861 308865 308870 307875 304885
      304899 306904 310905 314903 317900 319895 322894 326894
      328889 330884 330877 329870 330865 330863
 0.25 330984 331982 330980 330979 328979 326979 325980 324980
      323982 323983 322984 322986 322988 324989 326988 328987
      329986 330986 330984
 0.25 314058 315053 315048 311042 306036 301033 294035 286036
      274040 270039 266039 259041 256045 261050 266055 269057
      273056 279057 286062 291065 296065 298063 301048 307049
      309058 314058
 0.25 305990 304988 304987 303987 301987 301988 299988 297989
      297990 295991 294991 293992 292993 291994 291995 291997
      293997 295997 297997 299997 300996 302994 304992 304991
      305990
 0.50 515140 514134 511132 507134 504137 500138 497140 498141
      501146 504150 506149 507146 511144 514142 515140
 0.50 474872 475860 473850 470829 461821 447818 442813 438810
      429811 423813 419809 417807 413805 406809 401813 397819
      393825 384834 380841 381845 383847 389850 390855 389861
      389869 391877 395882 400877 420860 427860 432857 438854
      445853 451856 455861 464873 470879 474875 474872
 0.50 409103 410101 410098 408096 407098 406100 406102 406105
      407106 408105 409104 409103
 0.50 405112 406107 404105 398106 394110 389113 385115 380119
      379124 382125 385124 390122 395120 399118 403114 405112
 0.50 402936 401931 399926 396923 394920 391915 389913 385910
      385913 387918 389922 392927 395931 397933 401936 402936
 0.50 394078 394077 392075 390074 389075 388075 387077 386078
      386079 386081 386082 387084 388084 389084 391082 392082
      393080 393079 394078
 0.50 376742 376740 376737 375735 374733 372731 370731 368731
      367732 367734 367735 367736 367737 368739 369741 370743
      371745 372746 374746 375744 376742
 0.50 384927 382925 382924 380923 378925 377927 377929 378931
      379931 380930 382929 384927 384927
 0.50 371133 369130 367128 361123 351110 347103 342096 340093
      336092 329095 325094 322091 318089 313088 310090 308094
      308100 310103 314111 320116 335122 347134 353134 358136
      361138 367137 371133
 0.50 380904 380902 379902 379904 380904 380904
 0.50 357788 355777 353764 352761 350761 348765 348771 346775
      341782 339786 339790 341791 344792 347796 347800 345805
      342810 342813 346814 350813 352809 352802 355793 357788
 0.50 346745 345739 342738 340740 337745 333750 329753 326758
      324764 326771 331770 336766 340762 343757 345751 346745
 0.50 325872 325870 325868 324867 324866 322865 322866 322868
      322870 322872 322874 323877 323879 324876 325874 325872
      325872
 0.50 310886 310884 310882 310879 309877 308877 307879 306880
      306882 306884 306886 306888 307889 309888 309887 310886
 1.00 467853 466851 465849 465848 463846 461844 459844 458845
      456847 457849 458851 458852 459854 460855 462856 463857
      465857 467856 467855 467853
 1.00 442841 439835 438825 434821 429820 423822 418825 417832
      419839 417846 418850 422849 427846 429850 431847 435844
      442841
 1.00 401848 401846 400844 399844 398846 397848 397850 398851
      399852 399851 400848 401848
 1.00 354784 354782 354781 353779 353777 352775 352773 351771
      351770 351771 351773 351775 351778 351780 351782 352784
      352786 353787 353786 354784 354784
 1.00 348123 347119 346116 345114 342111 340110 337110 336112
      336115 338117 340120 342122 344125 345125 348123
 1.50 427841 427838 426837 424837 423839 422841 421843 421844
      420846 421846 422846 423845 425844 425843 426842 427841

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 330034 339036 344033 345029 343028 339023 337017 334011
      329010 320015 314017 308018 301017 296014 289005 264000
      250997 243998 245003 248007 250012 250016 244015 239016
      236017 235020 235027 236035 239046 241052 241060 243065
      243070 241072 243077 247082 265095 268098 276100 278106
      282111 285114 288119 288123 289125 297126 301125 304124
      308126 312129 313131 317132 324130 327136 331141 335144
      338149 339152 337154 333159 327160 322160 320163 322165
      326166 333169 335171 339170 343167 347162 351158 355155
      358155 362156 370157 375157 381156 386153 391149 393144
      394137 390133 389129 391124 394119 396117 399117 404120
      407124 410123 411126 412134 412143 412151 409156 407161
      409164 412162 414159 418158 423155 426152 428144 430141
      433142 439154 446155 451154 455152 458147 463149 468147
      470146 473147 479152 475159 475164 477167 482170 485174
      487176 487182 489188 489196 490201 489206 485210 480213
      483218 487222 493224 496230 499237 502243 504248 508249
      509246 506233 505225 503218 501210 501202 501197 503194
      506190 508189 516183 521183 527183 529178 530171 530168
      528161 525155 524150 525145 527139 528128 527119 524113
      523110 523104 527088 529078 530072 532063 535056 540052
      542046 547033 550024 552020 553012 552007 549997 542992
      537989 533988 529986 526981 521972 519967 515965 508960
      495950 483933 477925 474922 471920 466918 465915 466911
      469903 470898 470891 473880 476870 480859 482854 485849
      488839 487823 487811 486806 484801 482794 479790 470773
      462751 459747 456745 449740 442737 438736 434736 429738
      425741 418747 417753 414753 407753 402752 384751 378752
      374755 373760 371763 369762 368759 366759 361758 353760
      347768 344767 340769 331772 326774 323777 321780 323782
      333781 336780 338783 336789 334800 332804 330808 324816
      319823 316826 313822 310816 307814 306807 304802 302799
      298801 295804 293807 290803 287808 287813 286818 287825
      284829 284831 297839 303862 305867 306869 310870 315869
      317864 323858 333859 338859 342861 348865 355868 361870
      364872 368874 371878 375889 379891 381895 384899 386904
      389913 391918 394920 397919 398913 399909 401909 405913
      415930 415944 416952 414959 402999 396007 393016 393022
      397023 404020 417012 427009 429010 430015 428020 424030
      424037 425043 427044 431042 435039 439041 443043 447045
      457046 462047 464053 464058 462062 465063 469066 474067
      478070 476074 470080 463084 452071 449067 444065 436069
      439074 440079 436081 431080 425077 423073 420069 416066
      411057 407051 405048 405044 401041 390040 383044 379048
      376048 367051 368054 374055 379054 384055 391059 391063
      389065 387063 382062 379066 375066 374073 376078 377080
      377084 375089 378092 379098 381097 383095 386096 392098
      391105 390109 388111 384114 380115 376116 372118 362119
      356115 350109 347102 344094 340086 338085 335089 334093
      331094 328095 321089 311086 305080 303076 304068 308062
      315056 320055 323055 325057 329060 334060 339058 341056
      339054 333052 331049 327048 323046 318045 319041 322038
      330034 330034
 0.01 462913 460905 455901 453901 453896 453886 452870 449865
      445865 438866 433864 429862 426860 422861 421863 420867
      423872 426879 429883 432889 436894 440897 443901 452910
      457912 462913
 0.01 422088 421084 420083 416081 414080 413076 410077 408079
      406082 405084 406086 407089 410090 412092 415093 417092
      419090 422088
 0.01 361812 360803 358797 355793 351787 348793 347798 346807
      348811 352815 354821 358817 361812
 0.01 343131 342126 340122 339117 336115 333111 329109 327108
      324109 321110 322115 325119 325124 327126 330126 333127
      337130 342133 343131
 0.01 317104 317101 312103 310103 309104 310106 312106 313106
      317104
 0.01 312932 313924 312914 308903 305896 301892 300887 299885
      298876 297858 296850 294853 291865 288879 288897 290914
      291916 291921 291930 288943 283956 281961 277966 273970
      271973 273974 274977 273980 275981 285975 288971 294967
      298964 302959 306954 308949 312932
 0.01 273822 266812 266809 268806 271802 270799 267797 265795
      260795 257790 255789 253791 243799 240805 237810 236812
      236817 239821 242828 244830 249831 255830 260826 260822
      258820 259816 270822 273822
 0.25 537021 506981 501979 497975 491964 484952 476940 472936
      468934 461931 457927 452923 447920 440918 435915 426907
      424902 422893 410868 394849 390844 389834 385829 381830
      378829 373827 365828 358829 353832 347835 343839 339840
      339844 344847 346849 346853 350857 361863 366866 371868
      373870 375875 379879 385881 390882 397884 401887 406903
      411907 414912 420923 423929 425937 427944 430951 432959
      432964 430966 421973 417977 414985 411001 413002 418001
      424000 429999 434000 440004 443009 443020 446025 451030
      458032 463033 467039 470043 475047 482049 485052 486055
      485062 487069 490075 493079 497086 499095 498103 497110
      487119 483121 480121 477119 471108 461099 450091 444092
      440094 437095 433095 429096 428098 418123 417130 418137
      420139 422136 424130 427125 430120 433118 437117 443122
      444124 447125 452124 463119 469122 472126 478130 482136
      487149 489154 492161 496164 499162 500160 504159 508160
      512163 518161 516154 513147 511139 512128 511120 509110
      509100 511079 516066 519060 522052 523046 525045 530039
      534031 537021
 0.25 504049 503047 502048 500048 498049 500051 501050 503050
      504049
 0.25 478810 478804 477797 473790 467784 463778 455763 451757
      446751 441746 438745 433746 429752 425758 420765 417769
      413767 406766 398765 390765 385767 385771 394782 387785
      383792 376795 373794 370796 368799 368804 367809 368813
      380821 385826 393822 398818 403811 408806 416808 424809
      430812 434813 439811 448811 456811 463814 467816 472816
      476814 478810
 0.25 457849 456843 453838 446829 439823 436820 432818 425825
      422829 420834 419838 420843 425844 429843 434844 441850
      444854 448856 453855 456850 457849
 0.25 411106 411104 411103 411101 410098 410097 409096 408095
      407096 406096 405098 405100 406102 407105 407106 408107
      409108 411106 411106
 0.25 405070 405069 403069 401069 401070 403071 405070 405070
 0.25 309036 307032 304029 298028 294025 292021 288018 282019
      279022 281026 281030 277032 272033 261034 258035 254039
      251038 247035 244037 244042 248051 249055 251061 256068
      259070 262074 265078 269080 278082 289081 291078 292071
      292064 290060 289054 291050 297042 306039 309036
 0.25 304821 304819 303816 303815 302814 301813 300813 299812
      297813 296813 295814 294815 295817 296819 297821 298822
      300823 302824 303823 304821
 0.25 303916 304914 304912 304909 303907 303905 302903 300904
      300905 300907 301909 301910 301912 301914 302916 303916
      303916
 0.25 262803 259802 257801 254800 250800 246802 245804 244807
      244811 244815 248815 249813 251811 255811 256809 258807
      259805 262803
 0.50 521023 522016 519012 512008 508006 505003 506993 505989
      502985 497978 491971 487964 483956 477949 471944 464945
      455931 452927 449926 443926 438927 435929 435936 438943
      439948 439955 438962 437966 423975 419980 415991 415995
      415997 418997 427996 434995 438996 441999 445006 446011
      447018 448022 453024 462024 467024 469024 470028 472038
      474042 478044 485044 499036 505032 509031 514031 518027
      521023
 0.50 503150 503144 502139 499134 496131 492132 488134 487139
      488143 491146 494149 497152 502152 503150
 0.50 478017 479014 479012 478009 477009 476009 475012 475013
      474014 473016 472019 473019 474019 475018 476017 478017
      478017
 0.50 472803 471797 469792 463785 457778 451770 446762 440755
      435755 431758 426766 420774 415775 411774 406776 403780
      396786 394790 396794 405797 414799 420805 424806 429805
      437799 447801 455805 463808 468808 472805 472803
 0.50 454110 455103 454098 450095 447094 443096 442101 439105
      438110 442113 444116 446119 450117 452115 454110
 0.50 451845 451843 449838 448836 446834 444832 441829 440829
      436830 436833 436835 438837 441839 443841 445843 446846
      448848 450848 451845
 0.50 409877 409873 407868 401862 396857 394854 390852 385847
      380841 377839 374839 370840 371837 371835 367834 358833
      353838 353844 355848 352855 360857 364858 364861 370864
      374866 376870 381875 384877 389878 397879 405881 408880
      409877
 0.50 395814 396807 394800 392798 386798 383800 379803 374805
      374810 377812 381814 386814 391814 395815 395814
 0.50 300815 299815 298815 299816 300815
 0.50 286043 281042 276042 271044 265045 259044 253045 250047
      252053 253058 255061 264067 274071 278071 280070 280067
      278064 273061 272057 273052 282048 286043
 1.00 495018 495010 495003 493999 491995 487994 484995 482997
      485000 488003 490008 491015 491020 494020 495018
 1.00 472001 476996 472995 469991 464986 459978 458972 458964
      453942 450939 448942 445952 442964 442969 438971 433973
      429975 423980 421984 420989 422993 427992 434990 443990
      448000 451010 452015 454018 459018 462016 466008 472001
 1.00 462797 462795 461792 460790 459790 457789 456788 455788
      454788 452789 451789 450790 450792 451794 451795 452796
      453797 454798 455799 456800 458800 458801 460800 461799
      462797
 1.00 432785 431784 429783 427784 426786 426787 425789 424789
      423791 423793 423794 423796 423799 424798 425796 426794
      427793 428791 429791 430789 431788 431787 432785
 1.00 402871 401867 399864 392860 387857 382852 379852 376854
      370858 369861 373861 380862 383865 383870 389873 398873
      402871
 1.50 464994 462991 460990 458988 455987 452988 452993 452998
      454000 456003 458005 460001 462998 462996 464994
 1.50 454964 454962 454960 453959 452957 452956 451954 450953
      449954 447957 447958 446959 446961 446964 447966 448966
      449967 450967 452966 454964 454964
 1.50 446983 445978 443976 441976 438976 436976 433977 430978
      428979 426981 426985 428987 431987 434986 438986 441985
      443985 446983


24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 242035 233038 230039 230042 230049 235059 238064 243070
      246072 247077 252083 260090 269095 279100 289104 298112
      306113 309114 310119 312122 316125 320128 326129 328126
      333128 336132 337135 334136 323134 320140 316142 304145
      302146 301150 306154 313159 322163 327164 332167 337170
      340171 343169 339161 336157 335151 339146 343143 349146
      350155 354155 358153 360150 359145 358139 362136 365130
      366126 364119 360117 352110 349108 349105 355102 361101
      365097 369094 373091 376087 382087 387088 388086 389079
      391078 395080 396083 399081 401076 404070 407072 408075
      410081 406088 404094 397094 394098 394100 395106 392110
      385114 381115 381117 386118 391117 396115 399112 402113
      403115 407120 409127 413133 412143 408153 408156 413159
      415164 416163 419164 422157 424151 426143 427138 430135
      432138 441146 441151 443154 448158 452159 456157 462152
      468153 471158 476169 483193 489207 485211 483214 479213
      479215 484219 489222 492224 492227 496236 502244 506249
      508253 510259 514264 517267 518258 515243 509222 508214
      509204 512199 514198 517201 522203 525202 529202 537202
      538187 535177 532167 528156 520147 514141 512135 511126
      509111 508101 507094 506090 505085 504079 504067 498061
      495057 495050 500037 501027 506027 509025 516021 523015
      528008 533998 539988 545977 548972 547968 542964 539962
      536962 528966 524966 520968 511969 503972 499973 494973
      491962 490957 493954 497949 495936 495927 496922 498915
      497907 494890 490879 484871 473860 466855 464851 463847
      464844 472842 480842 482831 482817 481809 479803 477792
      475776 474768 473764 471748 467742 463737 457729 449725
      435720 429714 423710 417706 411708 407708 400713 397717
      397721 398736 391741 388742 386740 379730 373723 365719
      352723 348726 345730 337743 336748 337754 338762 340766
      343769 341774 336780 331789 328792 328796 328803 333803
      338802 343803 345808 346816 347828 348837 352840 358840
      361845 367853 370856 374856 376858 376870 377875 382877
      394883 402887 410893 415899 418903 420907 421920 423925
      426927 434931 439933 442935 448943 452948 453957 454972
      456977 459982 469982 476985 478987 475990 469994 461999
      456998 453996 446990 443988 442993 440998 441005 443014
      442017 440018 436020 434024 434032 434040 432046 429051
      424055 420058 414059 410061 403060 396064 393066 389065
      374065 375071 371074 367076 365080 359084 352087 342088
      335091 328096 321092 316090 313088 313085 314081 313079
      313076 317065 319062 322061 326061 328060 335056 336054
      333049 330042 335038 350026 356021 361015 366007 371001
      370999 364998 359999 353999 346004 341008 336008 333010
      330014 323021 315026 308027 304026 301024 293021 288019
      283019 274021 271023 271026 269030 268033 262035 259036
      252035 247036 242035 242035
 0.01 449850 446844 444841 435835 436831 438827 442823 442819
      439818 433811 428808 424806 419809 416812 417818 419823
      424832 432840 437847 442850 446852 449850
 0.01 415050 415043 416036 416031 410031 407031 403034 400037
      398039 401042 404044 408045 411046 411049 415050 415050
 0.01 412952 411948 409947 402947 398956 400963 400968 401972
      398979 396988 397991 399989 403984 408977 410970 411959
      412952
 0.01 381195 380192 379190 377187 375185 373183 370182 367181
      364182 362184 364186 366187 369189 373190 374191 377194
      379195 381195
 0.01 322862 322853 322849 320845 319840 317834 315830 316826
      320821 318817 314815 301811 291808 270801 267800 266798
      264795 261794 255795 251798 246809 244814 243821 243827
      247829 252826 254822 257820 264823 274825 280826 282829
      285830 289832 293837 299847 306855 314863 319864 322862
 0.01 318937 318927 316922 312909 310903 306899 301896 297897
      292902 291908 289915 291920 293927 293935 293944 290949
      292954 297954 307948 309942 310940 314940 318937
 0.25 527172 527170 527169 526167 524166 523163 522162 521162
      520162 521165 522168 524171 525172 527173 527172
 0.25 530986 530979 530975 527973 523972 515973 506977 495983
      489986 484992 480999 475003 462014 454005 448999 444999
      444005 448023 448030 445035 443039 443042 446051 449059
      452065 454068 452070 446072 447077 450080 452083 454088
      454092 449094 425105 424115 423121 423127 432117 436117
      440119 443126 446132 451139 454141 458141 461140 464136
      468130 473130 476134 478142 483145 486152 487155 485158
      483161 485180 486186 488191 494197 497197 499195 502186
      509170 511167 514166 516165 516160 508141 501106 499097
      498092 497086 497079 495074 489068 484062 483054 481044
      481034 476026 476023 478020 485017 494014 508011 514009
      519005 523002 526997 530986
 0.25 508240 507237 506234 504231 503228 502225 500222 498220
      497224 498226 498230 500234 501236 504238 506240 508240
 0.25 489934 490927 490920 487909 478885 474879 469873 463867
      454868 424849 418843 414836 411829 407820 406813 407808
      410799 414789 419787 424788 427786 430782 434776 435771
      440770 442774 442779 443783 446785 453782 462781 466778
      467770 465756 462748 452735 445730 438727 434727 427728
      422730 419733 413740 410748 408752 404754 399755 396753
      387751 381748 374741 369739 365736 362734 358736 349738
      345743 342750 343757 344763 348771 350776 349781 350784
      353786 354788 355792 356795 359796 363796 368797 370801
      371805 370810 372815 373821 373828 371837 372842 376841
      382839 388840 393845 397853 400861 399866 400872 405879
      412883 421887 425890 428895 430899 429906 428911 429918
      433923 440922 445928 451935 456944 460956 464963 467966
      470967 476964 481954 484951 486944 489934
 0.25 379080 380078 379077 378078 379080 379080
 0.25 308045 309043 309041 309038 308036 306035 304035 302034
      301034 299036 299037 298038 299039 299040 299042 298044
      299046 300048 302048 304048 305048 307047 308045
 0.25 303085 303080 301077 296072 295064 292056 288050 284046
      275046 269049 259049 256053 251053 248051 245052 243056
      244060 246063 249069 257081 269088 276092 279094 283094
      292093 298091 302087 303085
 0.25 265813 265810 264809 264807 264804 263804 262803 261802
      259802 257802 256803 255803 254804 253806 252807 252808
      253809 253810 254812 255812 257813 258813 260813 262814
      264814 265813
 0.50 528981 521981 516982 512981 504980 497984 492990 490995
      490000 489005 493008 499008 503006 510002 516997 522991
      527984 528981
 0.50 504153 505147 504143 502132 501124 499116 492099 491088
      490080 484075 479069 472056 466039 467033 465030 461025
      456018 453010 449003 447002 447007 449017 451026 452036
      451044 462076 466082 466087 465092 462099 460102 456102
      456106 459108 465113 471115 475118 477121 483137 491147
      499154 504153
 0.50 498185 499180 500175 499170 498168 494166 491167 489169
      489170 490174 490178 491182 492184 494186 496187 498185
 0.50 486937 487930 487924 484913 480905 475896 471890 465884
      459883 455889 454891 452889 447882 441876 436868 436864
      435861 429856 417851 412847 409837 402818 402810 404802
      405797 406792 404783 400775 401774 401768 397761 394757
      391755 383752 378749 368741 360740 355740 351742 348745
      347750 347755 348762 352773 352777 354781 357783 360781
      366777 369774 370777 363782 360785 358790 360793 365792
      370788 376785 379775 384770 387769 389772 391777 394779
      397783 395789 384795 381798 378802 375810 375817 377823
      379826 385831 392838 397843 401850 407864 411871 415878
      423882 427883 430887 439902 443906 446913 447922 450929
      455937 460945 463952 468957 474956 479951 484943 486937
 0.50 462765 461757 458751 454747 451746 448747 436751 431755
      427758 422763 419768 418771 418776 422780 427778 432774
      435761 439756 444754 445754 447759 450765 454767 457767
      461768 462765
 0.50 447111 449109 448107 447106 446106 444106 442108 441110
      442111 443112 445113 447112 447111
 0.50 296084 296080 294078 290075 289066 287062 281053 277051
      272054 266055 262058 256061 253064 256074 257077 260079
      264082 273087 279090 285091 290089 295086 296084
 1.00 485093 485086 482082 479079 477076 474072 471068 468069
      467073 468078 470083 471088 474093 477095 482096 485093
 1.00 482932 482926 481922 477916 472910 469910 465908 462906
      460908 461918 463927 464937 465943 467946 472950 477944
      481937 482932
 1.00 472905 471902 470901 469900 468899 467900 467903 468904
      470905 470906 472905
 1.00 422865 421864 420863 419862 417862 416863 417864 418865
      419866 421866 422865
 1.00 397821 396814 395805 394800 392799 386799 382802 379807
      377814 379819 381820 386822 390825 394828 396830 397827
      397823 397821
 1.00 380755 376750 370746 364744 357743 354744 351746 352758
      351761 354764 358761 360758 364757 370759 375760 379758
      380755
 1.00 284082 283078 282072 282067 279066 277067 273068 269069
      264070 260070 261073 265076 268078 272081 275083 281084
      284082
 1.50 482087 481086 480084 478083 476082 475083 474084 475085
      475086 476087 477089 478089 479090 480090 481089 482087
 1.50 392815 392810 391806 390803 387802 383804 381806 380808
      378811 378814 379816 382818 386817 389816 392815
 1.50 374756 373752 371750 368748 367748 364746 361746 357747
      356749 355753 354755 355758 359757 360756 364755 366755
      369756 371757 374756
 2.00 388808 388806 387804 385804 383806 382807 382808 381809
      380810 380812 380814 380815 382815 384814 385813 386812
      387811 387810 388808
 2.00 365751 363749 361748 360749 360752 362752 363752 365751

$$




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