Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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784
FXUS04 KWBC 210848
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
347 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 21/1200 UTC THRU FEB 24/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

...CENTRAL-NORTHERN CA INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...

GUIDANCE REASONABLY AGREES THAT LEAD LOW...IMPULSE/JET ENERGY
ALOFT...AND LEAD BAROCLINIC LEAF EXPANSION INLAND AND OVER THE
NWRN U.S. TUESDAY WILL SUPPORT A WIDESPREAD SWATH OF MODERATE TO
TERRAIN ENHANCED PCPN/ELEV SNOWS ACROSS THE REGION. INCREASED
SHORT TERM WPC CONTINUITY ACCORDINGLY TO ADDRESS RECENT SATELLITE
AND MODEL TRENDS...ESPECIALLY THE MESO MODELS. THIS INCLUDES SOME
1-2" LIQUID AMOUNTS DAY1 FOR SW OREGON INTO THE OREGON
CASCADES...WITH DECREASING ACTIVITY SPREAD INTO TUE NIGHT WITH
MAIN SHORTWAVE PASSAGE. FOR DETAILS ON WINTER WEATHER AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS AND INLAND ACROSS THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST ROCKIES AS
DYNAMICS/HEIGHT FALLS SQUEEZE OUT PCPN...PLEASE SEE THE WPC WINTER
WEATHER DESK QPFHSD DISCUSSION FOR MORE DETAILS.

FARTHER SOUTH UNDERNEATH...GUIDANCE ALSO AGREES THAT WHILE
ADDITIONAL ERN PACIFIC RIPPLES ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO FEED UPON A
DECAYING ATMOSPHERIC RIVER MOISTURE FEED THROUGH TUE IN THE WAKE
OF MAIN MID-UPPER TROUGH/JET SUPPORT...THE BULK OF HEAVY PCPN FOR
N-CENTRAL CA WILL ON A DECIDEDLY DOWNWARD TREND AS THE
AFOREMENTIONED MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PROGRESSES INLAND. LINGERING
MECHANICS THOUGH REMAIN IN PLAY FOR ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AND HIGHER
ELEVATION SNOWS ACROSS CENTRAL-NRN CA...PARTICULARLY INTO THE
CENTRAL SIERRA WHERE TOPOGRAPHIC LIFT ENHANCES LIFT WITH THE
LINGERING MOISTURE PLUME. AGAIN...PLEASE SEE THE WPC WINTER
WEATHER DESK QPFHSD DISCUSSION FOR MORE DETAILS.


...CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES...

THERE IS IMPROVED MODEL AGREEMENT THAT THE INITIALLY FULL-LATITUDE
UPPER TROUGH WILL SPLIT WITH A VIGOROUS SRN STREAM TROUGH
DEEPENING AND CLOSING OFF WITH NEG TILT AT MID LEVELS ON A GRADUAL
BUT STEADY ESEWD TRACK INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO TUE INTO WED. FAVORABLE UPPER DIFLUENCE AND LINGERING
INSTABILITY/MOISTURE INLAND OVER THE E-CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES
SHOULD STILL PROVIDE PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION WITHIN AN AREA OF
MODEST TO LOCALLY HEAVY POCKETS OF PRECIP. THIS LEADS TO SOME
WIDESPREAD 1" AMOUNTS CENTERED OVER AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE...WITH
BEST POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER VALUES CLOSER TO THE COAST AND
ESPECIALLY OVER THE NERN GULF OF MEXICO. FOLLOWED A MODEL BLEND
THAT SEEMED REASONABLY WELL CLUSTERED.


...MIDWEST / GREAT LAKES...

SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE SYSTEM PROGRESSION ACROSS
THE OH VALLEY/GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST WILL HAVE LESS MOISTURE TO
CONTEND WITH BUT FAVORABLE LEAD THETAE FLOW AND DYNAMIC SUPPORT
WILL SUPPORT A
SUUPORT A SWATH OF LIGHT TO LOCALLY MDT PCPN ACROSS THE REGION AS
PER A FAVORED MODEL CONCENSUS.

DAYS 2 AND 3...


...WESTERN UNITED STATES

SHORT WAVE ENERGY AHEAD OF A LONG WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING THE WEST
COAST ON DAY 2 SPINS UP SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN
AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES...RESULTING IN LOCALLY HEAVY
PRECIPITATION. THE POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH COMES ASHORE DURING
THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 2...REACHING A POSITION FROM THE ROCKIES
THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST STATES BY THE END OF DAY 3. THERE WAS
GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC
SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

A SHORT WAVE AHEAD OF A POSITIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH
APPROACHING THE WEST COAST EARLY ON DAY 2 CROSSES THE SIERRA
NEVADA RANGE BEFORE TRACKING OVER THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THE BEST LIFT WITH THE MID LEVEL
SYSTEM...COMBINED WITH UPSLOPE FLOW...WILL MAKE THE MOST OF THE
MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN (AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES DROP BELOW
0.25 INCHES) TO PRODUCE AN AXIS OF 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF
STRETCHED FROM THE SOUTHERN WASATCH RANGE IN UT TO THE ROCKIES IN
FAR SOUTHWEST WY AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CO. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
FORMING IN THE FRONT RANGE OF THE ROCKIES WILL AID THE UPSLOPE
FLOW OVER THE CO ROCKIES...WHERE LOCALLY HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE.

AS THE POSITIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH COMES ASHORE OVER OR/CA
OVER THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 2...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOCUSED ON THE
OR COASTAL RANGE...WHERE THERE WAS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR 0.25
TO 0.05 INCHES OF QPF. BOTH THE 00Z ECMWF AND 00Z GFS HAD LOCALLY
HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS OVER THE OR COASTAL RANGE...BUT EACH HAD THE
MAXIMUM QPF IN DIFFERENT LOCATIONS. THE UPSLOPE FOCUSES DECREASING
MOISTURE ON THE NORTHERN SIERRA NEVADA RANGE IN CA...WHERE 0.25
INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED.

FINALLY...SHORT WAVE ENERGY DROPPING OUT OF WESTERN CANADA
PROVIDES LIFT OVER NORTHERN MT DURING DAY 2. THE COMBINATION OF
LIFT AND UPSLOPE FLOW MAKES THE MOST OF THE PALTRY MOISTURE IN THE
COLUMN TO PRODUCE AN AXIS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF IN THE
ABOVEMENTIONED AREAS. AS THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY EXITS MT EARLY ON
DAY 3...THERE IS SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AND LIFT REMAINING FOR AN
AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF.

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SPINS UP ALONG THE CO FRONT RANGE LATE ON DAY
2 BEFORE EXITING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING DAY 3. ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE LOW...STRENGTHENING UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS SOUTHERN WY
FOCUSES MOISTURE ON THE LARAMIE MOUNTAINS...AS WELL AS THE
SOUTHEAST EXTENT OF THE WIND RIVER RANGE. THERE WAS A STRONG MULTI
MODEL SIGNAL FOR STRIPES OF 1.00 TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF IN THESE
LOCATIONS... WHICH WAS EXTENDED INTO THE FAR NORTHERN ROCKIES IN
CO. ANOTHER QPF AXIS (WITH AMOUNTS NEAR 0.75 INCHES) WAS PLACED
OVER FURTHER SOUTH DOWN THE CO ROCKIES CHAIN.

HEAVY SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN
OF THE WESTERN UNITED STATES ON DAYS 2 AND 3. PLEASE REFER TO THE
LATEST SUITE OF WPC WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.


...UPPER MS VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRACKING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE
UPPER MS VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES ON DAY 2 PUSHES A SURFACE
LOW ALONG A SIMILAR PATH. LIFT AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE IS EXPECTED
TO AID IN THE PRODUCTION OF A SWATH OF QPF ACROSS THIS AREA. THE
00Z GFS APPEARED TO BE TOO WEAK AND TOO FAST WITH THE MID LEVEL
LIFT...SO THE WPC QPF LEANED MORE HEAVILY TOWARD THE 00Z ECMWF/12Z
ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN.

AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY CROSSES THE NORTHERN PLAINS DURING
DAY 2...A LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.50 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER ALONG THE TRACK OF A CLIPPER LIKE SURFACE LOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT WAVE. THE BEST LIFT OVER THE WARM FRONT
OCCURS OVER EAST CENTRAL MN ACROSS FAR NORTHERN WI INTO THE UP OF
MI...WHERE AN AXIS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED. THE
00Z ECMWF CONTINUED THAT MODELS TREND OF HIGHER QPF WITH THIS
FEATURE...WHILE THE 00Z GFS/NAM AND 00Z UKMET (WHICH MADE A FAIRLY
SIGNIFICANT DOWNWARD TREND IN ITS QPF FROM ITS 12Z SOLUTION) WERE
MUCH LIGHTER. WHILE THERE IS A MOISTURE SOURCE SOUTHWEST OF THE
SYSTEM...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE 00Z ECMWF IS TOO HIGH WITH ITS
QPF AMOUNTS...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON THIS SOLUTION...WITH
AMOUNTS REDUCED TO SOME DEGREE.


...CENTRAL PLAINS/MID MS VALLEY/LOWER GREAT LAKES...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRACKS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES DURING DAY 3...AND LIFT WITH THE SHORT WAVE AIDS IN
CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WHICH TRACKS TO THE UPPER
MID MS VALLEY. INCREASING MOISTURE AND LIFT WITH THE SHORT WAVE
WILL PRODUCE AN AXIS OF LOCALLY HEAVY QPF STRETCHING FROM ME
ACROSS IA INTO IL/SOUTHERN WI. THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD
WITH RESPECT TO THE PLACEMENT OF THE AXIS OF MAXIMUM QPF...WITH
THE 00Z GFS MUCH FURTHER NORTH THAN THE GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS.
THE 00Z ECMWF CONTINUED THAT MODELS CONSISTENT HANDLING OF THE MID
LEVEL SYSTEM...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED MAINLY ON THE 00Z
ECMWF/12Z ECWMF ENSEMBLE MEAN.

SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRACKING FROM UT/SOUTHWEST WY EARLY ON DAY 3
WILL AID IN CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE FRONT RANGE OF THE ROCKIES. THE
SHORT WAVE AND RESULTING SURFACE LOW THEN MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. A LOW LEVEL
SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR OVER
NE/KS INTO IA AND IL. THE MOISTURE BECOMES ENTRAINED IN A
DEVELOPING MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING STRETCHING ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NE...WHERE AN AXIS OF 0.75 TO 1.00 INCHES OF
QPF WAS PLACED. DEPENDING ON THE PLACEMENT OF THE BANDED
PRECIPITATION...HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE BANDED
LIFT EXITS.

FURTHER EAST...MOISTURE IS LIFTED OVER A WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM
THE SURFACE LOW ACROSS IA/NORTHERN IL INTO SOUTHERN WI/SOUTHERN
MI. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL (MAINLY ELEVATED) INSTABILITY
TRANSPORTS OVER THE WARM FRONT AS WELL. MAINLY ELEVATED CONVECTION
IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN AXIS OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF IN
THE ABOVEMENTIONED AREA (WITH THE 00Z ECMWF SHOWING LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ALONG THE WARM FRONT). AS MENTIONED EARLIER...THERE IS A
FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD CONCERNING THE PLACEMENT OF THE AXIS OF
HIGHEST QPF. THE 00Z GFS IS MUCH FURTHER NORTH WITH ITS
MAXIMUM...PUSHING THE BEST LIFT AND INSTABILITY ACROSS THE UPPER
MS VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES. AT THIS POINT...THE 00Z GFS
APPEARS TO BE AN OUTLIER...SO NOT MUCH OF THIS SOLUTION WAS
INCORPORATED INTO THE WPC QPF.

THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE...AND THREE HOUR FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY IN THE 1.50 TO 2.00 INCH
RANGE...SO WHILE HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...ORGANIZED FLASH
FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.


...FL/SOUTHEAST...

A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST WILL TRACK
ACROSS SOUTH FL DURING DAY 2...BEFORE MOVING OVER THE BAHAMAS
DURING DAY 3. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID
LEVEL SYSTEM (AND ITS SURFACE REFLECTION) WILL FEED CONVECTION
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF THE FL PENINSULA...MAINLY
DURING DAY 2. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE
MOVEMENT OF THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM (AS WELL AS THE PLACEMENT OF THE
HIGHEST QPF)...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/GFS.

AS THE CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW TRACKS FROM SOUTH OF KMOB TO SOUTH FL
DURING DAY 2...CURVED BANDS OF CONVECTION ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. A 20 TO 25 KNOT LOW LEVEL
SOUTHEAST INFLOW TRANSPORTS 1.50 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR INTO
THE DEVELOPING CONVECTION...WHICH BECOMES FOCUSED ON THE SOUTHWEST
FL COAST EARLY (DUE TO LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE THERE). AN AXIS OF
1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ALONG THE COAST...AND HIGHER AMOUNTS
ARE POSSIBLE WHERE THE BANDS HANG UP. ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE SHOULD ALLOW THE CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ALONG THE EAST
COAST OF FL...WHERE LOCAL 1.50 INCH QPF AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED. THE
CONVECTION SHOULD BE DIURNALLY ENHANCED...AND SHOULD BEGIN TO WANE
AS THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION MOVES EAST. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE ARE GENERALLY ABOVE 3.50 INCHES...SO ORGANIZED FLASH
FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.

AS THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION EXITS FL FOR THE NORTHERN
BAHAMAS...THE LAST OF THE DEEP MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL
AFFECT THE EAST COAST OF FL. FOR THE MOST PART...QPF AMOUNTS ON
DAY 3 SHOULD BE LESS THAN 0.50 INCHES...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WHERE BANDS OF CONVECTION TRAIN BRIEFLY
BEFORE EXITING.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

SCHICHTEL/HAYES


24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 474866 472883 481893 491879 491856 477814 465795 463763
      467741 472712 474703 474683 473679 464670 461673 455683
      449696 410732 407738 404745 401753 399760 397768 396775
      395782 394785 392787 390791 387793 384795 380795 365797
      360801 353805 344813 335822 329826 322829 307830 299830
      293829 268824 261823 254824 246825 241829 238834 237843
      237848 238851 243854 247859 249866 252871 257874 260875
      263878 261886 262893 265898 270901 278903 291905 298906
      302906 302909 299914 297920 299924 301925 309924 316925
      316930 315932 317938 321943 325946 333946 342946 350944
      356941 361937 365933 370927 378916 394899 400894 404890
      409887 413883 424875 437869 444868 451866 467864 471864
      474866
 0.01 499191 509193 518186 523166 517141 509105 504057 503010
      503006 502995 501983 500951 493935 487941 476954 472975
      467988 470994 471002 471025 471037 470046 468053 469061
      470066 470072 471077 471080 470083 468078 465077 463074
      461078 464085 465090 465095 463099 459097 455092 449089
      445089 442086 442083 446083 451085 454086 456083 457073
      454066 452063 448063 438061 436059 432059 429059 428056
      424055 421053 416052 413054 411055 407054 391061 387068
      387072 388075 391082 396085 400088 399093 397106 393110
      387113 383117 382129 387144 384151 383156 383161 388174
      389182 388186 384186 373180 365178 358179 352183 349186
      349192 342190 339192 339195 342202 346209 364227 385246
      390250 397253 405257 410259 412258 417259 424264 428266
      432266 439264 461257 467257 482259 499276 506268 501256
      489245 482244 478236 480228 484228 486227 489228 500241
      506245 509247 511245 512241 511237 507229 503223 498217
      495212 493209 489207 483206 479208 477205 473200 474195
      476192 481189 485190 489192 495194 499191
 0.01 463121 463117 460114 457116 455118 453120 451120 449122
      447123 446128 449131 450133 452129 454127 456127 459128
      461124 463121
 0.01 437201 436199 436195 437187 436181 438181 440178 439171
      436166 433162 431156 428145 424147 421152 421156 422159
      426163 428167 427170 424173 421178 420186 421193 424197
      428200 433202 437201
 0.01 385095 386086 383081 380076 378069 377064 375062 371061
      368063 367068 368070 370077 370082 371084 373089 376094
      381097 385095
 0.01 366200 365198 363196 361194 358193 354191 351190 349192
      349194 351197 353199 357200 358201 362202 364202 366200
 0.25 490165 492150 492143 490139 486131 482128 480127 475129
      471130 466137 460141 452145 447144 444142 440138 437138
      435146 435152 437158 439161 446167 448170 449176 451181
      449185 449191 452195 455197 459195 463188 469182 476177
      483173 489167 490165
 0.25 475219 476217 473215 469215 463213 458209 451213 437216
      421218 415212 408208 401201 395196 380188 372184 366182
      361183 360187 365193 374205 382211 389215 397219 401220
      404223 403226 400228 392228 387227 383227 386233 392240
      398245 407249 415252 425254 432255 437255 441254 446250
      453245 459243 465226 475219
 0.25 470828 470821 469815 467810 465807 458802 455800 450801
      444807 443812 444817 448827 450831 454834 457836 460839
      463843 466844 469842 471836 470828
 0.25 453100 452097 450095 443095 438093 434093 431090 429088
      424088 425096 425100 423102 418105 411102 408100 406102
      399118 404124 411124 423122 428124 430122 436119 443118
      448114 451110 452106 453100
 0.25 412073 412071 412068 410067 408068 407068 405070 405071
      404072 405072 406074 406075 408076 410076 411075 411074
      412073
 0.25 380224 379222 379221 377220 376219 376218 374217 372216
      372215 370216 368217 368219 369221 369223 371224 372224
      373225 374226 376226 378225 380225 380224
 0.25 364216 363215 362214 361215 363216 364216
 0.25 365849 365844 362843 357848 354847 354844 359836 359826
      360823 361820 359818 352822 346827 341833 335839 332840
      326842 317841 301839 292837 284837 266836 256838 254841
      253844 256854 260859 272868 274871 274875 272884 273887
      275891 282894 287895 292895 302894 310895 317898 325902
      333903 342900 349899 354898 357895 358887 357876 359866
      358861 361857 365849
 0.25 345932 343930 341928 339927 337926 334924 332926 331930
      332933 334936 337936 338936 341936 343934 345932
 0.50 482163 481158 479154 474152 471149 466147 461148 458150
      457154 458156 461159 464162 467166 470169 475169 479167
      481164 482163
 0.50 462223 461218 458216 452216 445217 438219 433220 427222
      426227 423230 417230 414228 414224 414218 408214 404209
      399203 394198 381191 375187 369184 365184 363188 367193
      375203 381208 387212 394215 402218 406219 408222 408227
      406230 400233 394234 393236 394238 397241 404244 411247
      416249 426251 431250 439248 444246 449241 450237 450233
      451229 455226 460225 462223
 0.50 450100 448097 441097 436098 432094 429092 429096 431102
      423108 421111 418111 412112 408110 406112 406115 410117
      416116 421113 427115 431118 434116 440113 445113 450100
 0.50 346893 343882 343876 342871 340865 339858 338852 334848
      325846 314845 292842 281840 270841 267845 266849 271859
      277866 280870 280874 279877 278881 279885 283889 287890
      313889 333894 341895 346893
 1.00 450222 450220 445220 438222 430226 429231 425233 416233
      413235 411240 414243 418245 427247 434244 437240 436235
      435230 439227 446225 450222
 1.00 400211 397205 393200 388197 383194 378192 373188 369187
      367189 370195 375200 379203 384207 390209 396212 400211
 1.00 334874 333870 331868 327863 326859 324857 319853 313851
      306850 293847 286846 282846 278848 279853 282859 286864
      287873 287880 287882 291885 307883 322883 328882 332878
      334874
 1.50 429243 431241 431239 430237 428237 427236 425236 423236
      422236 421236 420236 418235 416236 415236 415239 415240
      416241 417242 418243 420243 422244 424244 425244 427244
      429243 429243
 1.50 396208 394204 391202 386198 383196 377194 374192 371190
      371193 374195 377199 380202 385204 388206 393208 396208
 1.50 324872 319864 318860 315857 307854 298851 289850 285852
      286856 292862 291866 290872 292877 295880 300881 305880
      314878 322874 324872
 2.00 426242 427240 426239 424239 423238 421238 419237 418239
      419240 420241 422241 424242 426242 426242
 2.00 386201 386200 384199 382198 380199 382200 384201 385202
      386201
 2.00 316873 315869 312867 311862 309858 306857 300854 293853
      289853 289856 295860 293866 292871 295874 301877 306877
      309875 316873
 3.00 297872 300871 301863 297860 295867 296870 297872

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 544177 543165 542151 536126 526110 522109 519106 518100
      515097 511089 508078 505067 503062 499058 497056 494052
      492038 490010 488997 486984 486975 487967 491955 494944
      495940 497937 502929 505924 505918 508891 508873 509868
      509859 508841 509827 511817 511809 512804 511796 510791
      508778 506770 505767 505762 509752 512744 513739 513731
      513704 512696 510690 505682 503680 500680 495683 489690
      486698 479689 480683 479680 477676 470677 467676 462677
      458680 457685 458694 458701 456706 455713 455723 454736
      451760 450784 450792 453796 455801 458805 461810 461820
      458830 457834 457840 460841 461844 463849 463857 463864
      462876 459890 459899 458902 456903 448904 446908 448913
      453935 455948 455955 453961 450973 450979 452983 455988
      456993 455000 452002 449016 445024 441027 439024 434016
      431004 429000 429996 429989 429983 428978 424971 419969
      418970 414972 412977 412984 412988 410991 410996 411001
      415008 417011 418014 416017 410016 407020 407028 405035
      402040 399042 397045 395052 393056 389058 385059 383063
      380068 375070 372072 372080 372089 368098 366102 366109
      367113 368116 367119 362128 363130 362133 359136 359149
      359154 361160 365162 366159 370152 376148 387146 390148
      390151 388155 386168 387175 390178 393182 397185 399189
      397194 393195 388192 382186 379183 374180 361179 352181
      346189 346195 348199 351198 353201 357203 360202 363201
      369202 377208 383211 385213 389216 391220 390229 385233
      382234 376234 372233 371236 374244 385259 419281 436282
      453278 459273 462270 464265 468263 472259 476256 480255
      483255 487252 489248 491243 494241 493236 493233 496232
      500231 500226 498219 494210 495205 493201 485202 473209
      455211 451214 449212 449209 451205 450200
 0.01 450200 451190 451184 446181 443181 441183 441185 437187
      434185 433182 431168 430161 431154 429148 432145 437146
      440150 445162 450172 454174 458170 461165 460159 465163
      469167 479170 480167 482166 486167 489170 494172 498175
      501182 502186 505192 509191 512192 514189 516185 518183
      520183 524185 531188 533192 534193 538188 541183 544177
 0.01 447131 447126 444121 443118 440114 435114 431116 430123
      432128 433133 435136 438136 440132 445133 447131
 0.01 424787 423781 421776 417774 413776 402778 397779 395784
      394789 395796 387794 383797 380797 379794 377788 374782
      369774 365769 364771 360775 358769 361758 363746 366736
      370727 375717 379708 380695 380689 378685 374677 370672
      367669 362670 361672 362676 362679 361682 357692 353701
      352707 349713 342730 338740 334751 331757 328759 323765
      317767 313765 309761 306757 305752 302749 292747 284745
      274744 269743 263744 249746 239750 229755 225757 222760
      217767 212775 212783 214789 217797 221808 222820 223827
      225832 231839 237844 241847 246848 257851 265855 271859
      286871 293877 300882 305884 311884 314881 318877 325873
      335870 345873 351873 357872 364867 371861 378855 382843
      384833 386822 386818 388815 389812 392805 394801 396800
      397803 399807 400814 401820 403827 405831 407831 410826
      413816 415808 417802 420793 424790 424787
 0.01 414696 412682 411676 408673 405675 402680 398688 399700
      401713 403727 404732 406736 412735 413732 415720 414708
      413701 414696
 0.01 426091 426089 426087 425084 423086 423088 423091 424093
      426091
 0.01 389102 390098 388095 385095 383096 381097 379101 377101
      374101 372102 370106 371109 375111 378110 380108 382106
      384105 388104 389102
 0.25 532171 532168 531165 530165 529164 528164 529167 530169
      531170 532171 532171
 0.25 522160 522153 521146 517135 512123 506116 497095 489073
      483062 480059 476059 473064 471071 470080 471087 473099
      477112 483132 487141 493151 500159 510164 514165 518165
      522160
 0.25 499827 498817 496812 492806 488803 484805 481810 479818
      478825 476840 474847 471853 469868 468877 468883 469893
      470901 471905 470908 469915 470932 469949 469957 471957
      475942 477927 478918 477912 479908 484897 489884 491877
      492869 495854 498839 499827
 0.25 459245 458238 456236 452235 446235 441233 438227 433224
      426224 421226 415228 409232 405235 401239 400244 401247
      403250 406252 421255 433253 446250 455245 459245
 0.25 450078 449077 449075 448073 446072 446075 448077 449078
      450078
 0.25 412216 413214 413212 413210 413209 411209 410209 409209
      408209 406210 404212 404214 405216 406217 408218 410217
      412217 412216
 0.25 416175 417170 417168 415165 414160 413158 413155 410152
      407154 407158 411158 412161 412164 411167 411170 412174
      414176 416175
 0.25 420057 417053 414052 409053 406056 400062 393068 388076
      386080 388085 395091 398094 399099 399107 396110 388114
      381119 378122 376128 377132 382134 387133 390130 401113
      408112 412113 411108 412100 412093 412087 413082 417072
      419058 420057
 0.25 396212 396210 395209 393207 392207 390206 388207 388208
      390209 390211 391212 393212 395212 396212
 0.25 369820 370815 369811 367808 365806 362805 359808 357810
      356812 355815 355817 357821 358823 360826 363826 365825
      367822 369820
 0.25 315811 315806 313802 308798 304791 301785 294771 291764
      286758 273754 267752 259751 249753 243756 236759 231763
      226768 223775 224783 227790 230797 231806 230815 230820
      231824 236830 241833 248836 255837 262839 268842 281848
      287851 293855 301856 304855 305852 306847 304844 300838
      308827 312819 315811
 0.50 512147 512141 510136 506127 500120 496112 490104 487101
      486103 486109 487115 490126 492136 497143 500147 504150
      509150 512147
 0.50 491835 491828 490825 488824 485826 483831 481837 480842
      480847 479851 480854 483854 488854 490850 491843 491838
      491835
 0.50 479870 479865 478865 477867 475870 474874 474877 473882
      473884 475887 477885 478882 479877 479872 479870
 0.50 479860 479857 480854 478853 478855 478857 479860 479862
      479860
 0.50 424244 426242 424241 422241 421240 419239 417239 416239
      415239 414240 412240 410241 409242 410242 411243 413244
      415244 416245 418245 420245 422245 424244 424244
 0.50 414068 415063 411064 407069 401072 395078 392079 393082
      397080 401082 404081 404090 403096 404101 408094 409084
      409081 409077 414069 414068
 0.50 390123 391121 390119 388120 387120 386121 385122 384122
      382124 381126 382128 384128 386127 388125 390123 390123
 0.50 308810 306803 303798 298787 295781 292776 285767 280764
      275763 262763 250766 244768 239771 235776 233780 232784
      233789 236794 235808 235815 237822 241827 245830 256833
      266838 270841 275843 281844 288844 292841 292837 290830
      291827 294826 303819 308810
 1.00 298800 296794 293790 289785 285781 280779 274780 268782
      263785 259789 256791 256795 253793 247793 244795 243797
      244801 246802 248805 243809 241813 246817 249824 258830
      263833 269835 280838 284837 285833 284829 277822 271810
      265802 261797 259795 262794 268796 270801 275804 280805
      287805 292806 297803 298800
 1.50 291797 290793 289791 287788 285786 283785 279785 276785
      272785 269787 271791 273793 275795 277796 279797 283798
      285798 288799 291797
 1.50 272830 270828 267827 265826 263825 260823 257823 258825
      259828 262828 264829 267831 268831 270831 272830
 2.00 287795 287793 286792 286791 284789 282788 280788 279788
      278788 278790 278792 279793 280794 281795 282795 284796
      286796 287795

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 515259 516251 515245 514239 511233 508224 508216 499215
      488213 484213 479212 473211 469212 464211 461212 456211
      451208 452194 452191 455189 458189 462188 465184 470178
      474174 479172 481171 483171 486169 489167 492167 494169
      497172 503175 516168 521158 522149 523144 519131 520120
      518111 512104 509094 507082 506069 503057 501052 499048
      497041 494038 492035 490035 487032 482031 476031 471030
      468031 465043 466055 464057 461057 459056 458052 454043
      451029 445010 446995 447987 448981 452957 455947 457937
      461927 463919 464913 464906 465901 465887 464872 464863
      462857 461849 460842 459837 457830 455820 451814 449809
      449806 451806 455806 459808 469809 473810 473817 473823
      471830 467841 468856 477860 488874 492874 498873 501870
      503866 507856 510843 515788 515781 515776 517771 519766
      521758 524746 524732 522712 520698 518686 515670 514662
      512655 510647 509642 506636 503633 497629 494627 490626
      482625 479624 476627 469644 468651 465657 462660 461661
      460666 462678 461683 458688 451704 446714 445717 443724
      442736 439741 437742 435739 430741 427745 424746 422743
      420740 420733 424724 428714 429703 430692 428685 424683
      419691 414701 411710 409720 406729 403740 402746 403753
      403761 403767 400776 399781 394784 389785 386787 381788
      378785 376779 377774 377768 374765 370765 368769 362778
      354797 352801 353806 358813 357819 356823 350832 347836
      346840 347848 349853 352860 357868 359872 362874 368878
      375873 380868 384863 386858 389855 390858 389861 389864
      387868 387873 386879 386888 388892 388898 387904 387909
      385915 385923 382935 379947 379951 380956 378961 378966
      380978 381985 380992 379005 379046 370050 363053
 0.01 363053 359054 357056 355063 356071 361076 368077 372079
      374086 372095 374098 378100 380102 380107 373122 373125
      375130 378133 383139 385145 388148 392149 397146 401140
      401134 403130 409127 411125 414126 417128 419133 418139
      416144 417151 418156 414162 410164 406163 403162 400165
      396168 391173 389176 388180 388185 389188 391191 394191
      401188 406184 411181 417180 420179 422182 423187 421192
      411201 406205 405210 406214 412217 407222 402223 396226
      389239 384242 381246 382250 387254 391257 394257 400260
      408263 417266 422270 430272 437272 444274 450277 465282
      473286 478290 487293 492290 497287 500279 500274 499271
      497263 492257 489252 485245 481238 484240 486243 489245
      492245 495245 497249 500254 504259 509262 513261 515259
 0.01 471140 470135 467132 464127 461124 458123 455120 460115
      464114 466111 464108 461109 456108 454105 453100 451099
      450102 449109 448116 448119 446119 439122 434122 430126
      428130 427137 427144 428149 430159 431164 434169 439175
      442176 444176 447174 448171 447167 447162 448155 450150
      451146 454144 470143 471140
 0.01 459776 459771 457769 455766 452765 447768 442772 439774
      438777 440784 443791 445798 448799 449794 452789 455784
      458778 459776
 0.01 455093 455091 456088 454087 453088 452089 450090 450092
      452095 453095 455093
 0.01 361733 359727 356725 349727 345730 341731 335734 329735
      325733 317727 314724 308722 304720 301717 298713 294715
      290718 284720 274725 255733 246739 240747 227760 218766
      217769 216775 216782 215788 216793 216796 218798 220803
      223806 227809 232810 242808 252804 259805 260811 264822
      267825 271827 274830 278832 288837 298839 304838 308835
      312826 315802 322793 327786 332778 334773 337768 343759
      345755 349752 357743 360738 361733
 0.25 512692 511680 509671 503657 499651 495647 493651 490659
      484671 482685 480693 477699 474705 470711 470719 474725
      482732 485739 486743 486749 485755 484763 484774 486784
      488790 492797 496801 499800 502798 505792 506784 510769
      510750 510730 510713 512692
 0.25 453253 453247 452244 447242 440243 433244 427246 420247
      414250 416255 418256 425258 433259 441259 446258 452253
      453253
 0.25 444072 441063 440055 436046 435042 435036 435017 435005
      435992 433973 432962 434950 437932 440914 441901 441892
      440867 438846 436837 431833 427832 425828 429821 431819
      432816 432809 432803 431792 431787 429782 427781 424784
      422787 419788 415790 413794 409800 406806 405817 406828
      408835 411842 412848 411854 409872 406893 404910 400929
      393965 391976 395984 399989 404986 406983 408986 408994
      405003 402011 399020 398028 397038 394046 392050 391056
      390060 387062 382067 379075 381082 385087 388089 392090
      397090 401092 403095 404101 405109 408112 412110 418106
      422102 424093 431092 434083 439076 444072
 0.25 413075 413074 412073 413071 412069 411070 411073 410075
      411077 411078 413076 413075
 0.25 314781 313772 311764 310758 309751 306748 298741 295738
      292733 289730 287729 284730 267741 262744 260748 258753
      254757 249764 245768 244772 247776 251780 261782 267788
      270793 273797 282801 291804 297804 304802 307800 310795
      313788 314781
 0.50 502741 502739 501736 501734 501731 501730 500731 499734
      499737 499739 498740 497742 497743 497745 497748 497750
      498752 499751 501749 501747 502744 502743 502741
 0.50 498771 499768 499765 499763 498760 498758 497756 495756
      494758 494761 494762 494764 493766 493769 493771 495774
      496774 496773 498771 498771
 0.50 431071 432063 431057 428046 426042 424035 426028 426020
      426004 427999 426994 422994 417996 414998 413003 413008
      412014 409024 407029 406037 406044 404049 403053 403056
      406060 410061 414060 419062 422066 420071 418076 416081
      412084 411091 412094 413095 417092 419088 423086 426087
      431071
 0.50 434890 434878 434871 433866 432863 429861 424865 420859
      417860 415865 413884 410903 409913 407922 406931 407937
      409939 414944 419944 424939 428932 432914 433904 434892
      434890
 0.50 426803 426801 425799 425798 423797 422797 420797 418797
      417799 417802 418804 418806 418809 418811 419812 421812
      423811 423810 424809 425808 425805 426803 426803
 0.50 397076 398071 396069 394068 392068 389069 387071 385074
      385075 386079 388080 391081 394080 396078 397076
 0.50 307782 304775 302770 299761 296756 290742 288739 286739
      280741 275746 274753 273760 270765 267772 269777 276788
      279794 284798 299798 304793 307786 307782
 1.00 425079 425077 424074 423074 422076 421076 421079 422080
      423081 425079
 1.00 425058 425057 425056 423054 422053 420052 418051 416050
      415050 413051 412052 413054 414055 416056 417057 418057
      419058 421058 423058 425058 425058
 1.00 424898 424895 424893 423892 423893 422894 422895 421898
      420899 420900 420901 422901 423900 424898 424898
 1.00 295777 295775 293771 293767 292765 289764 286764 283764
      281767 280769 280770 281773 282776 284779 286781 288782
      292781 295780 295777

$$





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